KCs ace Vargas, an All-Star who is 12-4 with a 3.08 ERA, is winless in his last three starts and has a 9.95 ERA in July -- after going 6-0 with a 1.98 ERA in June. Needless to say, he is showing signs of fatigue, which makes him a cannon fodder candidate. Meanwhile, Red Sox starting thrower Price is 5-3 with a 3.82 ERA since returning from the disabled list, but he lasted only five innings and allowed six runs (five earned) in his last start, at Anaheim. My own estimates expect the Royals to put at least 5 runs on the board against him and the BoSox bullpen tonight.

Over is 4-0-2 in the last 6 meetings in Boston.Over is 12-3-3 in the last 18 meetings.

MLB Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 like the Red sox - after 2 straight games where they committed no errors, starting a pitcher who walked 1 hitters or less each of his last 2 outings are 75-39 over for a 69% conversion rate.

Play OVER

The NY Mets send a talented pitching prospect (Chris Flexen) to the hill to face the San Diego Padres this Thursday night. In Class A and Double-A ranks,  the hurler recorded a over powering  6-1 mark along with a 1.66 ERA. The Mets feel so confident in his abilities that they have allowed him to by pass Triple A ball. The Padres will reply with with Luis Perdomo (4-5, 4.71). In his last start  vs the San Francisco Giants, he gave up four runs and eight hits in six innings. In the previous start, he was  clobbered for seven runs and six hits in just 2 1/3 innings of sub par work, and is a high -light go against pitcher according to my power rankings tonight.

NY METS are 29-9 L/38 against the money line in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in the second half of the season dating back a few seasons.NY METS are 18-9 L/27 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.NY METS are 10-3 L/13 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season.

Cleveland starter Carrasco is 2-0. His 1.80 ERA vs. Los Angeles is his lowest career mark against any opponent he has opposed as a starter more than once.In four July starts, Carrasco is 2-1 with a 3.42 ERA and looks be in top form and capable of slowing down the Angels offense tonight. Meanwhile, Nolasco despite of some shabby efforts of late is still a capable hurler , and in his 20 outings this season, the combined average score of his games, ring at just 7.1 rpg.NOLASCO is 9-1 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season with a combined of 5.8 rpg going on the board.

CARRASCO is 12-4 UNDER vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this season.LA ANGELS are 18-9 UNDER in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season, with a combined average of 8 rpg going on the board.

Cleveland won a 11-7 contest yesterday vs the Angles, but it must be noted that the Indians have played some low scoring games after an offensive explosion.

CLEVELAND is 11-1 UNDER L/12 after scoring 9 runs or more this season with a combined average of 6.7 rog going on the board.CLEVELAND is 10-1 UNDER after a game with a combined score of 15 runs or more this season.with a combined average score of 6.1 rpg scored.


MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 like the Angels - with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent with an on base percentage of .393 or better over their last 3 games are 41-13 under for a 76% conversion rate for low side bettors.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

SF Giants starting hurler Samardzija (4-11, 5.05 ERA despite of his lowly record has allowed three runs or fewer in 11 of his past 16 starts  and has the ability to shut down opposing offenses. He owns a solid 2.91 ERA record in 24 games (13 starts) against the Pirates in his career.The Pirates will respond with right-hander Trevor Williams, who has pitched his best ball this season on the road..Williams (4-4, 4.74 ERA) has won three of his past four road decisions, and he has limited the home team to three or fewer runs in five of his past six road outings and I'm betting on a repeat performance here today. 

SF smashed the Pirates yesterday 11-3, but today I expect a lot less runs to cross the plate.

 SAN FRANCISCO is 18-4 UNDER L/22 after a win by 6 runs or more with a combined average of 6 rpg going on the board. PITTSBURGH is 11-3 UNDER L/`14 after allowing 8 runs or more this season with a combined average of 7 rpg getting scored. The Giants have gone under in 10 straight games after the first game of a series, after they won by 5 or more runs! 

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

Seattle 's starting pitcher Moore (1-2, 5.70 ERA) goes to the hill to face the Boston Red Sox this Wednesday. His pithing opponent will be the ace of the BoSox pitching staff Chris Sale 12-4, 2.48 ERA). Sales has been in top form, but Seattle's offense have not been easy outs of late, as was evident when they came from behind for 6-5 win in yesterdays game, and overall have scored 5 or more runs in 5 of their L/8 and must not be underestimated to do at least some offensive damage here today. Meanwhile, Boston now desperate to avoid a 3 game sweep, will be ready to swing their bats with determination vs a pitcher in Moore who has recorded a 7.80 ERA in his L/3 starts, and put runs on the board in merciless fashion, which will I'm betting lead to this total being eclipsed. 

SEATTLE is 48-23 OVER L/71 in home games against left-handed starters with a combined score of 9.3 rpg going on the board. SEATTLE is 13-3 OVER  in home games vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game in the second half of the season dating back to last season, with a combined 10.7 rpg scored. 

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Atlanta's 8-3 victory at Arizona on Tuesday night gave the Braves their 4th victory in 5 meetings in this series this season, and I'm betting they can get another one here this afternoon. Todays, pitching matchup between the Braves Blair and the DBacks Corbin are negligible, and I'm focusing on the overall matchup, and Braves ability to score and play well on the road, where they are just 1 game under .500 as well as the value attached to them on the moneyline. I feel the Braves have the DBacks number, and the right side today.

ATLANTA is 15-8  against the money line against NL West opponents this season.ATLANTA is 11-5 L/16 against the money line in road games after a win by 4 runs or more.

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 like the DBacks - good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game on the season, after 2 straight games where they stranded 10 or more runners on base are just 21-39 L/60 for a go against conversion rate of 65% for underdog bettors.

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Seattle's starting hurler Hernandez (5-4, 3.88 ERA) is 8-4 in 18 career starts against the Red Sox, including 5-2 with a 3.90 ERA at Safeco Field and a solid option to back tonight against the Red Sox.

Boston lost yesterday, by a 4-0 count to Seattle , and are 0-9 with immediate revenge on board in their L/9 opportunities. Also BOSTON is 7-17 L/24  against the money line after getting shut out.

Bosox starter POMERANZ when he starts ha seen his team go 15-30  against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record.

SEATTLE is 25-11 L/36 against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%).

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher Mariners  - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a good starter (ERA 4.20 or less ) (AL), with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL are 37-18 dating back 5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate.

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Minnesota  starts right-hander Jose  Berrios (9-3, 3.50 ERA), who is coming off one of the best starts of his two-year career, holding the New York Yankees to one run over 6 2/3 innings in a 6-1 victory . Meanwhile, Dodgers right-hander Kenta Maeda (8-4, 4.23 ERA) gets a turn for the Dodgers. In his L/4 starts against AL teams Maeda has seen a total of 3 runs scored. Both hurlers looks very capable of contrlling the opposing teams offense.

MINNESOTA is 16-4 UNDER  vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.LA DODGERS are 22-10 UNDER  after a game where their bullpen blew a save over the last 2 seasons.

Home teams like the Dodgers - having won 12 or more of their last 15 games, in July games have gone under in 44 of their L62 opportunities for a 71% conversion rate for under bettors.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

On paper Lance Lynn the Cards starter looks to be in better form that Jon Gray. But Lynn has had problems stringing consecutive good starts together and that is evident by the Cards going 0-8 as home chalk with Lynn pitching when he threw 98 or less pitches last time out, and registered a WHIP of 1 run or less. Meanwhile, GRAYs team when he starts  is 10-4 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 dating back to last season and is bonified dog according to my own numbers.

Play on the Colorado Rockies on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Royals left-hander Danny Duffy (10-7, 3.35 ERA), will oppose Tigers hurler    Fulmer (6-6, 3.71 ERA)  who ranks second in the American League with 16 quality starts. Both hurlers have shown consistency and both are capable of holding down the other sides offenses.

KANSAS CITY is 11-3 UNDER  after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season with a combined 7.4 rpg going on the board.DUFFY is 18-6 UNDER L/24  as an underdog of +100 or higher with a combined average of 6.4 rpg going on the board.

MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (DETROIT/KC ) - after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival, in July games are 208-115 for a long term 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

Houston, starting hurler today Morton is 7-4 with a 4.18 ERA. In three starts since returning to the rotation after missing the entire month of June, he is 2-1 with a 4.58 ERA. (MORTON team when he starts  is 22-8 L/30  against the money line in night games. )Meanwhile, the  Phillies' starter, rookie Nick Pivetta (3-5, 5.58 ERA), has struggled for most of the season, and has been highly  inconsistent .

I' m betting Pivetta will find himself in hole again, vs a Houston offense that is putting up some big time  numbers this season, including a 13-4 win in the series opener Monday night. The Astros offense has averaged a whopping, 7.3 rpg on the road this season and have the guns do this to teams on a regular basis.

PHILADELPHIA is 19-44  against the money line after a loss this season. HOUSTON is 22-7 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.PHILADELPHIA is 4-18 L/22 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season.HOUSTON is 29-6 L/35 against the money line as a road favorite of -110 or higher this season.HOUSTON is 33-12  against the money line vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season.

Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Houston has scored a whopping 7.3 rpg on the road this season, and have the ability to eclipse this total all by themselves. I expect the Phillies inconsistent bats to do just enough damage to help this score go over the posted total. Note: Philadelphia has averaged 6.3 rpg in offense over their L/7 games and have seen a combined  average of 11.6 rpg scored in their L/7.

HOUSTON is 10-1 OVER L/11 when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 14.1 rpg getting scored.HOUSTON is 9-0 OVER  vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 14.3 rpg going on the score board.HOUSTON is 7-0 OVER (+7.1 Units) in road games after scoring 7 runs or more 3 straight games this season with a combined average of 14 rpg getting scored.PHILADELPHIA is 20-9 OVER  in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.3 rpg going on the board.

San Diego's Clayton Richard (5-10, 5.35 ERA) goes against the Mets' right-handed ace DeGrom (11-3, 3.37 ERA).  

NYM star hurler DeGrom has had trade rumors swirling around him, so if his complete attention on tonights game is not 100% I will not be surprised , which gives credence to my upset underdog bet. If DeGrom falters he is backed by a bullpen that own s a ugly 6.30 ERA on the road this season. DeGrom himself despite of being 5-1 on the road this season owns a 4.63 ERA allowing 30 ERs in 50 innings including 13 HRS.

The Padres took the last 2 games of a 3 game series that these teams played earlier this season and matchup well against the Mets.

NY METS are 7-13 L/20 against the money line revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent as a home favorite. SAN DIEGO is 12-3 L/15 against the money line in home games after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season.

Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more San Diego  - with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games are 68-57 for a 55% conversion rate.

Play on SD Padres on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Greinke (11-4 , 2.97 ERA )the DBacks ace will be opposed by R.A. Dickey (6-6, 4.14 ERA). Atlanta's knuckleballing right-hander beat the Diamondbacks 4-3 on July 14, so he must not be underestimated in this spot.He has allowed no more than one run while lasting at least six innings in each of his past five starts. In previous series this season, the Braves swept the DBacks, and are capable of pulling off an underdog win here.

ATLANTA is 21-13  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season.DICKEY is 8-1  against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season.ATLANTA is 14-7 L/21 against the money line against NL West opponents this season. 

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win vs the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

The Marlins are sending Adam Conley (2-3, 6.75 ERA) to the mound and the Texas Rangers are countering, with Martin Perez (5-7, 4.72),The left-hander is 1-0 with a 2.95 ERA over three starts against the National League this season and gets my support here this evening in Arlington.

The Rangers are 10-2 (.833) vs. NL clubs in 2017, baseball's third-best winning percentage in interleague games this season. The Marlins are 7-10 against the AL this year.

TEXAS is 16-5   against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season dating back to last year.

MLB  favorites with a money line of -110 or higher like the Rangers - with a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season, after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 49-14 L/63  for a 78% conversion rate.

Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Houston enters this game against the Phillies averaging 7.2 rpg on the road this season. Thats not a good omen for the Phillies as they will start Vincent Valquez. The Philly starter has languished at home this season, going 1-3 in 5 starts while recording a 6.26 ERA , 19 ERA in just 27.3 innings of work, including 7 HRs. Meanwhile, Houston will reply, with Brad Peacock. who has been in top form of late going 3-0 in his L/3 starts , while recording a stingy 1.89 ERA. On the road this season Peacock is a perfect 4-0 in 5 starts , and once again looks like the pitcher you would want to back. It must be noted that the Phillies, have averaged just 3.9 rpg vs right handed starters this season, while batting below the Mendoza line (.224 BA). We are paying a bit of a premium here with the Astros, but they are worth the extra outlay. 

HOUSTON is 21-6 L/27 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.HOUSTON is 41-18  against the money line vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season, and s 27-9   against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse.HOUSTON is 35-11 against the money line in road games this season and  28-5  against the money line as a road favorite of -110 or higher this season.HOUSTON is 50-19  against the money line against right-handed starters this season.PHILADELPHIA is 7-26 against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.

Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Philadelphia will send Vince Velasquez (2-5, 5.14 ERA) to the mound to face fellow right-hander Brad Peacock (8-1, 2.49) on Monday in the series opener.Peacock, has allowed just seven earned runs in his past six outings, , helping a pitching staff that has the lowest starters' ERA in the AL. Needless to say the Phillies inconsistent lineup will have huge problems brings runs across the plate here tonight. With the Phillies scoring abilities muted I expect to see this total combined score stay on the low side of the number. 

PHILADELPHIA is 10-1 UNDER  in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season with a combined score of 6.6 rpg going on the board. 

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

Porcello the Red Sox starter has been a hard luck pitcher this season, and has not received much run support. In 10 of his last 17 starts, the Red Sox, have scored two runs or fewer, including being shut out five times.He has not helped his own cause either,  posting a 4-12 record and 4.60 ERA while allowing 11.2 hits per nine innings. Meanwhile, Angles starter Bridwell (3-1, 3.18 ERA) has seen his team won 6 of his L/7 starts. He is a very under rated hurler, and gives his team a great chance at an underdog upset. The Angles are 13-3 in game 3 of a series and I'm betting they have the edge again. ( Halos are 7-3 L/10 in this series.

Play o the LAA to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Minnesota starts rookie left-hander Adalberto Mejia (4-4, 4.22 ERA) try  on Sunday vs Detroit starting left-hander Matthew Boyd (3-5, 5.58). Detroit has done its worst offensive work on the road this season , hitting under the Mendoza line (.244 BA) and 4.3 rpg and I'm betting their bats will be muted in this game. Meanwhile, The Twins have done their worst work offensively vs left handed pitchers like Boyd averaging just 3.7 rpg via a ugly .238 BA. 

Todays home plate umpire has seen an average of 6.6 rpg and since 1997 has seen his home plate appearances produce a a combined average of 8 rpg. 

Boyd has gone under in 4 of his L/5 starts vs an above .500 team. Twins have gone under in 4 straight vs LHP and have gone under in 4 straight games 3s of the series. UNDER is 5-1 in Mejas L/6 starts.UNDER is  2-0-2 in Boyds L/4 vs Twins.

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

Red Sox LH David Price (5-2, 3.39 ERA) vs. Angels RH JC Ramirez (8-8, 4.54)

Price the BoSox starting pitcher delivered eight scoreless innings against the New York Yankees on Sunday and has allowed a total of two runs over his last three starts spanning 20 innings of top tier work. Needless to say Price is in a groove and a quality hurler to back tonight via a decent line. Meanwhile, Angels starter Ramirez, in first start after the all star break was roughed up, vs TB allowing 4 runs in just 6 innings. Ramirez has also not pitched well at home this season where owns a 1-5 record along with a bloated 5.50 ERA.

Considering the form of both pitchers, and the Angles overall offensive struggles, it will be easy decision taking Price and the Red Sox in this spot. Angels are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.Angels are 1-4 in Ramirezs last 5 home starts.Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125  like the Angels - poor AL offensive team (4.2 runs/game or less ) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) are 41-85 for a go against conversion rate of 68% for bettors.

Play on the Boston Red Sox to won on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

The Astros starting right-hander is coming off one of his strongest starts in 2017 with a seven-inning outing on July 16. Fiers (6-4, 3.75 ERA) allowed two earned runs on an efficient 92 pitches on Sunday and once again looks like a viable betting option in this spot.In his 17 innings in July, Fiers has allowed five earned runs, notched 24 strikeouts and posted a 2.65 ERA. Meanwhile, Orioles starter Jimenez is coming off of his fourth outing lasting fewer than four innings in his 14 starts. Going just 3 2/3 innings against the Cubs, the righty allowed six runs on 11 hits, including a home run. At home, Jimenez is 1-1 with an 8.13 ERA and is a go against hurler tonight.

In their only other series this season, the Astros swept the Orioles in three games at Minute Maid Park. Houston outscored Baltimore, 15-6, from May 26-28. I like the Astros to bring us home the cash again .

.Astros are 21-6 in their last 27 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Astros are 9-3 in Fiers' last 12 road starts.Astros are 23-7 in their last 30 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Orioles are 9-20 in their last 29 vs. American League West.

Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Yankees RH Luis Severino (5-4, 3.40 ERA) vs. Mariners RH Felix Hernandez (5-3, 4.20)

Severino is winless in his last six starts and just not getting any breaks, and tonight I'm betting things won't get better, vs a Seattle team that is in top form of late, as is evident by winning 6 of their L/7 games. Meanwhile, the long time ace of the Seattle Mariners Felix Hernandez takes to the hill, and is looking strong after spending a good part of the season on the disabled list. Since returning he owns a 3-1 record along with a stable 3.72 ERA, and getting stronger with each outing.

Yankees are 1-6 in Severinos last 7 starts vs. American League West.Yankees are 1-9 in Severinos last 10 starts during game 1 of a series.Mariners are 11-3 in Hernandezs last 14 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.SEVERINO is 1-6  against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.NY YANKEES are 9-21  against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 this season.SEVERINO is 3-10 L/13 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 .

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Left hander Cole Hamels goes to the hill for the Texas Rangers tonight, vs a Baltimore team that has struggled vs southpaw pitching this season averaging just  3.8 rpg via a BA of .241. Hamels has been on fire of late winning 2 of his L/3 starts, while registering a miniscule 0.82 ERA and 0.500 WHIP. He has allowed just 2 ERS in his L/22 innings of work and once again looks like a solid choice here. Meanwhile, Wade Miley the Orioles starting hurler, has been operating at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum, registering a 1-2 record along with an extremely bloated 11.24 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill. MILEY is 1-5 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 5.75 and a WHIP of 1.352 and gets the thumbs down.

MILEY is 4-14 L/18 against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%). HAMELS is 16-2 (+13.9 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the second half of the season dating back to last season. HAMELS  team is 24-6  when he starts   against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175. 

BALTIMORE is 0-12 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better this season.BALTIMORE is 14-25 L/39 against the money line against AL West opponents.

Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

The Royals enter this tilt against the Tigers in a funk as is evident by having lost four of five at home after the All-Star break. With starter Jason Hammel,  at 0-2 with a 6.35 ERA through three July starts the Royals once again look they will continue in downward spiral.Hammel is 2-2 along  with a ugly 8.02 ERA in 10 career outings, including seven starts, against the Tigers.HAMMEL is 0-8 L/8 against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%). Meanwhile, Detroit seems to have found their rhythm after the all star break, winning 4 straight times, behind a offense that has scored 37 runs during that span with 11,6,10,9 run outputs. 

Yesterday they scored a 9-2 win vs the Royals.

DETROIT is 18-4 L/22 against the money line after scoring 7 runs or more 2 straight games . HAMMEL is 1-8  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.

Play on the Detroit Tigers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Pomeranz, the Red Sox lefty starter , is 9-4 with a 3.75 ERA this season. He has won his last three decisions and is 6-1 in his last seven trips the hill. Pomeranz hasn't lost since June 4, and the Red Sox are 8-2 in his past 10 starts and he once again looks like a viable option to back in this spot. Note : The Jays have struggled against southpaw starters this season, averaging just 3.5 rpg via a .232 BA. Meanwhile Aaron Sanchez the Jays starting thrower is in a bit of a funk of late, allowing 20 hits in under 14 innings of work (3 starts), while registering a bloated 5.27 ERA and a 2.048 WHIP. His form is definitely suspect at the moment which makes him fade material for me. I also know the Red Sox have played alot innings recently, but I'm betting they muster up enough juice to take out the Jays today.

TORONTO is 9-17 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better this season.TORONTO is 16-26 against the money line against division opponents this season.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the Jays - with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 2.000 or worse over his last 3 starts, after 2 straight games where their bullpen blew a save are 3-37 for a powerful 93% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the BoSox to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection   

Greinke (11-4, 2.86 ERA) is in top form and has done well vs the Reds, in his career going 8-2 with a 2.21 ERA in 13 career starts.  With Cincinnati having lost  five straight since the All-Star break by a combined 46-14 they once again look like fade material facing a tough hurler like Greinke who is 10-3 with a 2.62 ERA in his past 15 starts . 

GREINKE team when he starts is 20-4 L/24 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record. CINCINNATI is 8-25 L/27 against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season (dating back 3 seasons). 

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more like the Dbacks - NL team with a low on-base percentage (. or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better), with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 109-42 dating back 5 seasons, for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Right-hander Charlie Morton (7-3, 4.06 ERA) will start Wednesday for the Astros and Left-hander James Paxton (8-3, 3.19 ERA) takes the ball for the Mariners . Paxton has been hot of late, but the way the Astros are swinging their bats, anything that moves is ready be hit, including Paxtons powerful fastball. It must also be noted that MLB Home teams like the Astros - excellent power team - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game on the season against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  0.800 or less over his last 3 starts are 32-12 for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Astros have averaged 6.3 rpg vs lefty starters this season via a .295 team BA. 

HOUSTON is 35-13 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season, 31-13  against the money line against division opponents this season.

Play on the Houston Astros to win vs the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Detroit beat the Royals yesterday by a 10-2 count, but I'm betting they bounce back today.Detroits starter Boyd is 0-2 with a 13.17 ERA in four career starts at Kauffman Stadium. In seven career appearances against the Royals, he is 1-3 with a 9.11 ERA and once again looks like fade material. If he he falters which Im betting he does he is backed by a bullpen with a ugly 7.12 road ERA.

DETROIT is 16-24 L/40 against the money line after a win this season. The Tigers are 1-6 in Boyds L/7 starts. Royals are 13-3 L/16 games in Game 2 of a series.

Play on the KC Royals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Todays pitching matchup on paper favors the Houston Astros. But Peacock the Astros starter despite of some good numbers this season,  has seen his team lose 10 of his L/13 home starts, and is just 1-5 in his L/6 game 2 of a series, and his team is just 1-4 in his L/5 starts vs the Mariners. Yesterday the Mariners proved that they were no pushovers, with a come from behind win vs the explosive Astros , by 9-7 count and they  must not be underestimated here as they have won 6 of their L/7 games overall and ramping into top form.

SEATTLE is 17-8 L/25 against the money line after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.SEATTLE is 16-6 L/22 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with poor control (more than 2.75 BB's/start).

MLB teams like the Astros - hot hitting team - batting .290 or better over their last 15 games, starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing are not long term good bets as they are just 11-33 in these situations.

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Colon the veteran Twins hurler today, is at the end of a long successful career, and no longer looks like a viable MLB pitcher. After being released by Atlanta the Twins went after him and gave him a contract. In one minor league start he looked below average allowing 4 runs in just under 4 innings of work. Colon, who is 6-7 with a 5.69 ERA all-time against the Yankees, and once again looks like fade material in this spot vs the Yankees.

MINNESOTA is 12-22 against the money line in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. NY YANKEES are 17-3 L/20 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 like the Twins - with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game, with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP  2.000 or worse over his last 3 starts are just 11-51 L/66 for a go against conversion rate of 83% for bettors. Also MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more like the Yankees - with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL) against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.50  or worse over his last 3 starts are 60-19 for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Arizona started their season on fire, but have fallen apart lately as is evident by losing in 11 of the last 14 games, including a season-high five straight losses. Meanwhile, the Reds are off being swept the by Nationals in a weekend series, and now get a chance for redemption against a another struggling team. I know Ray the DBacks starting pitcher has some nice numbers this season, but he has not had much success vs the Reds in the past posting a 0-2  record along with a 4.91 ERA in two starts. RAY when he starts has seen his team go 6-15  against the money line when playing against a lower tier  team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%).RAY is 5-11 L/16 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175.

It's also interesting note how well struggling underdogs have done in situations like this as this league wide trend would indicate:MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like the Reds - cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 3 games, with a tired bullpen - throwing 13+ innings over the last 3 games are 62-32 L/94 opportunities, for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

The Phillies starting hurler Eichoff, owns a 2.12 ERA in his L/3 starts, and has been a stable cog for his team pitching staff of late. Meanwhile, Miami's starting pitcher Koehler has not looked like he belongs in the majors for this entire season. He has a 7.43 ERA on the road and  a horrendous  (8.84 ERA) at home. His ERA in May was 10.13; he did not pitch in the majors last month, and he owns a 13.50 ERA in July and now he is listed a favorite , which throws up red flags, and makes for a value fade play against the Marlins in this spot.  

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 like the Marlins  - starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings are just 19-36 for a go against conversion rate of 66% for underdog bettors.

MIAMI is 10-18 L/28 against the money line in home games vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game on the season .MIAMI is 11-20  against the money line in home games in night games this season.

Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Adam Wainwright the Cards despite of a good record this season, has performed badly on the road, going 3-4 along with a bloated 8.36 ERA in 8 starts.  Considering his road woes and the Cardinals ineptness on the road against teams like the Mets , as is evident by a  4-11 L/15  record on the road vs a team with a below .500 record team its an easy decision to take a desperate and frustrated Mets team in this spot. It must also be noted that the Cardinals  and have lost 12 of their L/17 games in the first tilt of a series.

Mets are 17-7 L/24 vs a pitcher with a 1.30 WHIP pr greater. NY METS are 12-4 L/16 against the money line after a game with a combined score of 15 runs were scored. (They were clobbered by the Rockies 13-4 yest) ST LOUIS is 13-19  against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. The Cardinals are 0-11 L/11 on the road after a game where they had a higher on base % than opponent in their last game.

Play on the NY Mets to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

The Orioles were embarrassed this past weekend by the visiting Chicago Cubs, allowing 27 runs and 10 homers as they were swept in a 3 game set. Now after being humiliated, I expect they will pull their proverbial pants up, and look for redemption vs the Texas Rangers in game 1 of this series. I know there may not be alot of support for them here with Chris Tillman on the hill ( 0-5 L/10 starts along with a 8.80 ERA). But he has had some time off after his wife gave birth on June 30th. Now rested and more than capable as he has shown in the past, Im expecting Tillman to finish his season strong , starting today vs a Rangers side, that has averaged just 4.4 rpg on the road this via a lowly .219 BA .TILLMAN team when he starts is 18-8 L/26 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse. 

TEXAS is 5-17  against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) this season. BALTIMORE is 37-18 L/55 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse.BALTIMORE is 13-3 L/16 against the money line in home games after a game where they stranded 3 or less runners on base. 

Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Giants Right-hander Jeff Samardzija (4-10, 4.58) is tied for the most losses in the National League , but despite of that is still a very reliable from a long term perspective. He has also done very well vs the Padres and is 7-2 with a 3.13 ERA lifetime against them. My own batter vs pitcher power rankings also suggest this is a very bad matchup for the Fathers. Meanwhile, San Diegos starter Cahill despite of some decent numbers this season, has been a little unstable of late recording a 4.11 ERA and 0-1 record in his L/3 trips to the hill, which includes giving up 4 HRS in 15.3 innings of work. The Padres won as underdogs yesterday, by a 5-3 count, but I'm betting on a bounce back effort in this spot by the Giants.

Padres are 2-10 L/12 vs NL West. SF is 4-1 L/5 vs NL West.

Play on the SF giants to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection (LATE STEAM)   

Manaea the As starter is 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA in two career starts against Cleveland. He has 17 strikeouts and three walks in 14 innings.

Cleveland power pitcher Bauer is 1-1 with a 3.16 ERA in four career starts against the A's. He has 27 strikeouts and nine walks in 25 2/3 innings.

BAUER is 10-1 UNDER  in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse dating back to last season with a combined average of 7 rpg getting scored.BAUER is 9-0 UNDER L/9 in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/games, with a combined average of 5.8 rpg scored.BAUER is 15-1 UNDER in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse with a combined average of 5.3 rpg scored.BAUER is 17-2 UNDER in road games with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) with a combined average of 6.5 rpg scored.BAUER is 8-0 UNDER  in road games vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game with  combined average of 6.5 rpg scored.BAUER is 8-0 UNDER l/8  in road games against AL West opponents with an average of 5.2 rpg scored. BAUER is 16-3 UNDER L/19 in road games with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. BAUER is 10-0 UNDER L/10 in road games in day games with a combined average of 6.8 rpg scored. 

The Indians have gone under in 15 straight games, in the last game of the series on the road,when they scored 2 or fewer runs for their starter in his L/game and its after the all star break. 

CLEVELAND is 17-7 UNDER  on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. These teams have gone under 14 of the L/18 meetings.

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

Today vs  White Sox I expect Mariners  rookie Andrew Moore will be hard to deal with. Moore in limited work owns a 3.68 ERA, but is considered one of the top pitching prospects in the Mariners organization and has made 3 straight quality starts. Meanwhile, the White Sox , go with southpaw Derek Holland, who's 5-9 with an ERA that has gone  from a nighty 2.37 in May  to now bloated 5.01 ERA. In his last seven outings, Holland has given up 35 runs in 31 innings and must be considered fade material in this tilt. 

The Mariners have won 5 of their L/6 road games and are 19-6 L/25 in the second half of the season dating back, to last season vs a team with a win % of .380 to .460. White sox are 0-5 in their L/5 games with Holland on the hill facing a below .500 side. 

Play on the Mariners to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Yankees LH CC Sabathia (7-3, 3.81 ERA) vs. Red Sox RH Rick Porcello (4-11, 4.75)

Porcello the Red Sox starting hurler allowed a run over eight strong innings in a loss at Tampa Bay before the before the all star break, and has finished at least six frames in 16 consecutive outings. I know last years Cy Young award winner has a lot of losses, but he is a fine hurler that gives his team a chance at a win almost every time he goes to the hill. Meanwhile, CC Sabathia the Yankees starter, despite of pitching well in a previous game against the Red Sox this season, still owns a bloated 5.25 ERA in 16 career appearances at Fenway Park.

NY YANKEES are 14-30 L/34 against the money line in road games off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher .Yankees are 0-8 in their last 8 games following a win.

Yankees are 0-5 in Sabathias last 5 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance.Red Sox are 13-3 in their last 16 home games vs. a left-handed starter. 

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher like the Red Sox) - cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 5 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are 107-43.

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Giants starter Bumgarner (0-3, 3.00 ERA) faces the San Diego Padres on Saturday night in his first outing in three months, and I'm betting he is still rusty.The Padres will counter with right-hander Jhoulys Chacin, who has won his L/2 starts and 4 of his L/6, and must be respected here as an underdog. 

Chacin owns a 5-2 record at home this season along with a stingy 1.68 ERA.

Giants are 4-9 in Bumgarners L/13 road starts.Padres are 5-2 L/7 home games vs a team with a road winning record of less than .400  like the Giants, and are 5-2 in Chacins L/7 starts vs a team with a below .500 record.

SAN FRANCISCO is 4-12 (against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 this seasonSAN FRANCISCO is 9-23  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season.

Scherzer (10-5) the Nationals starter is very high on my pitcher power rankings list and takes a  major league-best 2.10 earned-run average and National League-leading 173 strikeouts into Saturday's start vs the Cincinnati Reds. The Nats all star hurler is 7-2 on the road thiss eason along with a stingy 1.47 ERA. He is backed by an offense that has the National Leagues top three hitters. Needless to say we have a big edge backing the Nationals here today, while laying a little lumber. 

Nationals are 24-8 in Scherzers last 32 road starts. Reds are 24-50 L/74 vs a starter with a WHIP of 1.15 or less. Reds are 1-5 L/6 vs NL East teams.CINCINNATI is 3-15 L/18 against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less this season which happened yesterday in 5-0 loss.

MLB Road teams like the Nationals  - hot hitting team - batting .280 or better over their last 20 games, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.000 or less over his last 5 starts.

Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Citi Field has been good to Rockies starter Tyler Chatwood. In three career starts there, Chatwood has allowed one run  in 17 innings of top tier work. Chatwood has had a tendency in his career to pitch better on the road than at home, and today I'm betting on him delivering us some bankroll expanding profits.Chatwood is 3-0 with a 1.50 ERA in five career starts against New York -- the lowest ERA he has produced against any opponent he has faced more than three times. Meanwhile, Seth Lugo his pitching opponent from the Mets owns a 6.48 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill, and according to my own pitcher vs batter rankings matchup badly vs this Rockies batting order.

The Mets won a 14-2 lopsided decision yesterday, but I expect the Rockies to bounce back in the second game of this series.

NY METS are 8-22 L/30 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.COLORADO is 15-7  against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less this season.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Seattle's starter Hernandez (4-3) is now completely healthy , which was evident when he came  off a two-hit, eight strikeout effort against Oakland on Sunday. It was a start that Hernandez said was  his best of the season. With him in top form the Mariners are formidable opponents for any AL team including the Pale Hose.Meanwhile, Mile Pelfrey the White starting hurler, owns a 0-2 record along with a ugly 8.31 ERA in his L/3 starts, and is fade material in this spot play.

Mariners are 25-9 L/45 in Hernandez's last 34 start vs a team with a below .500 record. Mariners are 4-1 in Hernandez's :L/5 starts vs the Southsiders.

SEATTLE is 27-9 L/36 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 . The Mariners are 11-0 L/11 as a road favorite of 140 or more against a team that has lost at least two straight games.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 like the White Sox - with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game, with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP  2.000 or worse over his last 3 starts are 11-50 on the moneyline for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Seattle Mariners  to win 1 unit reg selection

Musgrove (4-7, 6.04 ERA) will make his 15th start of the season for Houston.Twins will respond with right-hander Ervin Santana (10-6, 2.99 ERA).

MINNESOTA is 10-1 OVER in road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season dating back to last season.MINNESOTA is 8-0 OVER  after allowing 9 runs or more 2 straight games. Houston has gone over in 8 straight games with a combined average of 13.9 rrpg going on the board. In 5 of their 7 games they have score more than 10 runs ( 16,10,12, 19,10 respectively) and I expect despite of going a strong hurler will unload again, as they are currently hitting on all cylinders. Meanwhile, Minnesota I am betting will respond with some fire works of their own vs a hurler, in Musgrove, who has recorded a ugly looking 10.79 ERA in this L/3 starts overall, and a 5.40 ERA in 9 home starts this season.

These teams have gone over in 10 of their L/14 meetings.

Play OVER  1 unit reg selection 

Cubs starter today Jake Arrieta (8-7) faces Baltimore Saturday , and Wade Miley (4-7, 4.97) goes to the hill for the Orioles.It must be noted that the Os  southpaw is 4-1 with a 3.46 career ERA versus the Cubs and gets my support here tonight.

Yesterday the Cubs won a close one after taking a big lead vs the Orioles, squeaking out a 9-8 win , but today I expect they will be on the wrong side of the final score. It must be noted that the Cubs are just 0-12 on the moneyline, when on the road and coming off a win this season.CHICAGO CUBS are also just 9-25 L/34 against the money line in road games after a game with a combined score of 15 runs or more.

ARRIETA is 1-6 L/7 against the money line in July games dating back to last season.

BALTIMORE is 32-17 L/49 against the money line in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game.

Baltimore Orioles to win on the moneyine 1 unit reg selection 

Berrios(8-2, 3.53 ERA) the Twins starter has been a decent cog in the Twins rotation this season, but the Twins are just 3-9 in his L/12 starts vs an above. 500 team with Berrios on the hill and he owns a 6.23 ERA and has allowed five homers over his most recent three starts.Twins are also 1-4 in Berrios L/5 starts in game 1 of a series.HOUSTON is 27-10  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. It must also be noted that the Astros are a perfect 8-0 L/8 times vs a pitcher with a WHIP of less than 1.15 and 5-1 L/6 at home vs a right handed starter and a long term 45-18 L/63 vs righties and have averaged 5.8 rpg vs orthodox pitching this season.  Meanwhile, the Astros starter Morton has seen his team win 5 of his L/7 home starts. With the Twins sporting a 0-6 mark in the L/6 overall meetings in this series they once again look like fade material tonight. MINNESOTA is 4-17 L/21 against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. .620 or better ).

Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Zach Davies will start for Milwaukee against Philadelphia after finishing the first half with victories in three straight decisions. DAVIES team is 7-1 when he starts  against the money line after a win this season.He is now rested and in top form and very much looks like a viable pitcher to back in this battle vs a lowly Philadelphia Phillies squad, that have lost 40 of their L/57 overall games vs a team with an above .500 record like the Brewers and are also 14-39 in their L/53 on the road vs a righty starter. Phillies are also 0-4 in their starter Pivettas L/4 road starts. Phillies are 4-10 in the L/14 meetings in this series and are fade material in this spot play.

DAVIES team when  he starts is 11-4 L/15 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season.PHILADELPHIA is 4-23 ( against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

McCarthy the Dodgers starter  labored through six innings of two-run ball against the Royals after coming off the disabled list and still needs time to get back in top form.  Meanwhile, Miamis's starting hurler Straily, fresh off a career start, opens the second half for the Marlins. Straily pitched a career-high 8 1/3 innings and allowed one run. Since the beginning of June, Straily owns a 2.95 ERA with an 8.25 K:BB ratio and must be respected in this spot. 

STRAILY is 7-1 L/8against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season dating back to last season.STRAILY is 15-4 L/19 against the money line in the second half of the season dating back to last season.MCCARTHY team when he starts  is 2-19 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 in his career.MIAMI is 29-17 L/46 against the money line against NL West opponents.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the Marlins - hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts have won 40 of their L/60 opportunities

Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

New York Mets Jacob deGrom (9-3, 3.65 ERA) goes against Colorado's Jon Gray (2-0, 3.75) in a matchup of ace right-handers.DeGrom won his fourth straight start in his last appearance , when he allowed four runs over seven innings as the Mets beat the Cardinals, 6-5. He has a 1.80 ERA in the four consecutive wins.DeGrom is 2-0 with an 0.95 ERA in four career starts against the Rockies. Gray is 1-0 with a 6.14 ERA in three career starts versus the Mets.DEGROM team is 28-11 when he starts against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 in his career and the Mets a pere a perfect 5-0 in DeGroms L/5 starts.. Rockies starter Gray is 1-5 in his L/ road starts vs a a team with a below .500 record and the rockies are 6-16 in Grays L/22 road starts.

Rockies are 3-11 L/14 meetings in NY.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 like the Rockies - with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are a bankroll depleting 14-61 L/75 for a go against conversion rate of 81% for bettors.

Play on the NY Mets to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

 Pittsburgh smashed the Cubs 14-3 Sunday and won five of six games going into the break and look like viable investment options again in this spot vs the Cardinals with  starting pitcher Cole who is 6-4 with a 2.72 ERA in 12 career starts aganst the Cardinals. Meanwhile, the Cards LEAKE is 7-17  against the money line against division opponents and the Cards are just 15-21 L/36 against the money line against division opponents this season.

Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

The Blue Jays will open this series vs the Detroit Tigers with Aaron Sanchez (0-2, 4.85 ERA), who was limited to just six starts in the first half due to a blister on his right middle finger.The Tigers will respond with right-hander Justin Verlander (5-6, 4.73 ERA). Verlander got the win in his last outing which is a good omen heading into this game as his team is 10-0 L/10 when he starts against the money line in home games after a win. Detroit has won 4 of the L/6 meetings here in Motown and get the nod again in this spot.

Blue Jays are 2-9 L/11 game 1 of a series and have lost 4 straight after some time off, and have lost 5 straight vs a below .500 team. Tigers are 9-1 in Verlanders L/10 game 1 of the series and 5-1 in his L/6 home starts.



Play on the Detroit Tigers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Seattle ended a 8 game home losing streak by beating the As yesterday by a 7-2 count, and will now be primed to make it 2 wins in a row with that momentum on their sides.

 OAKLAND is 0-9 L/9  against the money line rested bullpen - threw 2 or less innings in each of the last 2 games  losing SU by an average of 4.6rpg.As Manager MELVIN is 19-39  against the money line in road games after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 6.50 or worse.

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

The Red Sox starter Rick  Porcello is 4-10 5.01 ERA , despite of a negative record  is highly under rated . The right hander has been extremely consistent in staying in games for at least six innings. He's done so in each of his last 15 starts, the longest active streak in baseball, and must be respected here on a value line. His pitching opponent from the Rays, Alex Cobb (6-6, 4.01) looked tired in his last start, giving up six earned runs vs Baltimore which could easily extend into today vs a peaking Boston Red Sox side that clobbered the Rays by a 8-3 count yesterday to even this series at one a piece.

BOSTON is 26-10  against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half and is 21-9  against the money line in road games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season.TAMPA BAY is 47-62  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 dating back to last season.

Play on Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

The Mets  send Zach Wheeler (3-5, 5.01) goes to the hill and is  making his second start since coming off the 10-day disabled list for biceps tendinitis. He was not looking good before the break, and now I'm betting he still not back in the groove and is at a disadvantage vs the Cards batting order today. Meanwhile, St. Louis will turn to Adam Wainwright (9-5, 5.48 ERA)  who very much looks to be the superior option in this spot. He has done his best work at home where he is 6-1 on the season along with a 3.42 ERA.

WAINWRIGHT team when he starts is 14-3 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season dating back to last year and is 30-13  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game.WAINWRIGHT team when he starts is 21-7  against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10.

Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

The Nationals have had some problems with the Atlanta Braves in this series, and look to be in a bit of a funk, averaging just 4.3 rpg in their L/7 trips to the diamond. Today , the Nats will send Stephen Strasburg (9-2, 3.28 ERA) to the hill in the third game of the four-game series. Strasburg got a no decision in his last turn, which was against the Braves. ( Atlanta won that game 11-10 on June 12)

. Meanwhile, the Braves send Julio Teheran to the mound, to face Nationals hitters. Teheran has done his best work on the road this season, going 5-0 along with a registering a solid 2.88 ERA, and must not be underestimated in this spot. Today I'm betting the Braves if they lose, will not go easily, and getting a +1.5 value run line with them makes good investment sense.

 TEHERAN team when he starts is 6-0 L/6.  against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage of .340 or better and is  8-1 overall in his career against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game on the season. 

WASHINGTON is 14-20  against the money line in day games this season. 

Baltimores starter Miley (3-7, 5.20 ERA) goes head to head against Minnesota rookie left-hander Adalberto Mejia (4-3, 4.32), who is coming off one of his best starts of the season last time out. Meija is 3-0 along with a stingy 1.53 in his L/3 starts. Over his last six starts, Miley is 1-4 with an 11.69 ERA and he is fade material in this spot according to my own prjections. The Twins have taken the first two games of the four-game, weekend series and the first five games between the teams this season and I'm betting they have the edge this afternoon.

MILEY is 1-10 L/11 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season.

BALTIMORE is 2-13 L/15 against the money line in road games after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse this season. 

Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Named to the AL All-Star team, Severino had a lot of problems in his last outing, allowing six runs in 5 1/3 innings and taking the loss against the Astros.Severino is 1-2 with a 4.88 ERA over his last four starts after he went 4-2 with a 2.90 ERA over his first 11 outings and is over rated as  a favorite in this spot vs a Brewers team that must not be underestimated, after they took out the Yankees as +190 dogs yesterday by a 9-4 count. 

MILWAUKEE is 8-4  against the money line as a road underdog of +150 or more this season.

MLB team like the Yankees - cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 3 games, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 16-49 in the followup game for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Houstons bats are heating up again, as they have scored 57 runs in their L/6 games, and nothing looks to be able to stop them rolling again vs a sub par Toronto pitching staff. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays have shown glimpses of coming to life offensively of late scoring 7 runs in back to back games before yesterdays 12 -2 loss to the Astros. Today, Im expecting a these teams to light the board up again, despite of two decent hurlers going to the hill ( Fiers vs Stroman) with the Astros leading the way in what my own projections estimate to be a high scoring affair.

FIERS is 10-2 OVER L/12 on the road with a money line of -100 to -150  with a combined average of 10.9 rpg going on the board. HOUSTON is 19-7 OVER in road games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season, with a combined average score of 11.8 rpg going on the board. FIERS is 21-9 OVER L/30 when playing against a team with a losing record. HOUSTON is 20-7 OVER  on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season.HOUSTON is 10-2 OVER  after batting .333 or better over a 5 game span this season with a combined 12.5 rpg going on the board. 

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Dodgers will send right-hander Kenta Maeda (6-4, 4.56 ERA) to the mound in the series opener vs the KC Royals vs right-hander Jason Hammel (4-7, 5.08). Hamel was slapped around in his last start, allowing seven runs (six earned) in 5 1/3 innings during a 10-5 loss to the Twins on Saturday and in 18 career games against the Dodgers, 14 of them starts, Hammel is 2-7 with a 5.00 ERA and looks to be in trouble vs a explosive Dodgers offense that has averaged 5.5 rpg at home this season. Meanwhile, Maeda gave up five runs and eight hits in 3 2/3 innings during a 5-3 loss to the San Diego Padres on Sunday in his last start. His overall efficiency numbers are not as good as his record would indicate and is once again  has a high probability of allowing multiple runs vs a Royals offense starting to hit on all cylinders averaging 7 rpg in their L/7 games overall.

Royals have gone over in 5 straight interleague games and 5 straight interleague road tilts, and 5-0 to over vs the NL West. Royals are 9-3-1 over in their L/ 13 road games vs right handed starter. KANSAS CITY is 31-15 OVER L/50 in road games against NL West opponents with a combined average of 10.6 rpg going on the board. Over is 7-1 in Maeda's L/8 home starts vs a winning team and 20-8-2 to the OVER his L/30 overall starts.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Greinke the Dbacks starter is 7-2 with a 2.40 ERA in 12 career appearances, all starts, against Cincinnati. His ERA is 2.07 in 19 starts against the Padres.Greinke has had great success at home, going 8-0 with a 2.67 ERA in 10 starts and I'm betting hr will be lights out again vs a inconsistent Reds offense that averages just 4.4 rpg on the road this season. Meanwhile, the Reds starter Adelman (5-5, 4.67 ERA) will make his first career start against Arizona. He owns a  3-3 record along with a stable 3.64 ERA in his last eight starts, with four of them quality starts and overall has 6 quality starts which is second on the team. It must be noted that the DBacks bats are slumping and have averaged just a .208 BA along with 3.4 rpg in their L/7 trips to the diamond.

ARIZONA is 7-0 UNDER after a game where their bullpen blew a save this season(which happened lat time out vs the Dodgers).GREINKE is 26-9 UNDER L/35 at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 in his career.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

Rangers starting hurler Hamels (3-0, 4.12 ERA) goes head to head with  Angels starter Ricky Nolasco (4-9, 4.42). Hamels is extra fresh because of being on the disabled list for a good part of this season, but since returning looks to be at the top of his game,  as was evident in his last outing allowing two runs on two hits in 6 2/3 innings. He  has also owned the Halos in his career , registering five of his six   quality starts, leading to a career 2.93 ERA vs. Los Angeles.

HAMELS team is 16-4 when he starts against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record and 13-1  against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%).

I know Nolasco the Halos thrower has been in top form in his last two starts, but as can seen from his record has been far from a consistent commodity. 

Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selecton 

Guerra the Brewers starter is guy that won't impress many underdog bettors to take a value line with the Brewers vs the favored NY Yankees. I know Guerra's been clobbered lately, but Milwaukee is a quality team, and have the better record of these two teams. Also I'm betting the Brewers despite of what they say in a public media forum are aware of this line, and now have something to prove. After all its not like the Yankees have been a model of consistency of late, as the pitchers have posted a 5.10 ERA in the last 22 games, and since June 12, the relievers are pitching to a 5.64 ERA, and New York pitchers have allowed 50 runs in the seventh inning or later. There is just to much value considering the matchup.

MILWAUKEE is 32-22 against the money line vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season.GUERRA is 5-0 against the money line as an underdog of +150 or more.NY YANKEES are 5-11 L/16 against the money line when the total is 10 or higher.

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection   

The Braves starter today veteran knuckelballer Dickey has allowed two runs in his past three starts. He has permitted just 14 hits over 20 innings and is shaping into top form for this game vs the Nationals. Meanwhile, The Nationals are slated to start Max Scherzer (10-5, 1.94 ERA). He has been an extremely consistent cog for his teams pitching staff, and is a big problem for the best of offenses. I'm betting we see a pitchers duel in this spot.

WASHINGTON is 13-2 UNDER L/15 in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season with a combined average score of 7.5 rpg getting scored.DICKEY is 17-6 UNDER  after a win dating back to last season with a combined average of 7.6 rpg going on the board.

ATLANTA is 36-19 UNDER  in July games dating back 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. The Nationals have gone under 11 straight times, when Sherzer starts as a home favorite when his team lost his last start vs a current opponent.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

Chicago will send Eddie Butler (4-3, 4.18 ERA) to the hill against Pirates rookie right-hander Trevor Williams (3-3, 4.67).

The Pirates have taken the last three games between the teams, but now I expect the Cubbies to get some redemption in this spot.

Chicago is 21-15 against teams in the division, compared to 21-28 vs. the rest of the Majors.
CHICAGO CUBS are 32-8 L/40 against the money line in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better.
PITTSBURGH is 3-11 L/14 against the money line after having won 3 of their last 4 games.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection   

Athletics RH Paul Blackburn (0-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Mariners RH Sam Gaviglio (3-3, 3.48)

Seattle's starter Gaviglio is winless in his last three starts despite allowing three runs or fewer each time, but today I'm betting his fortunes turn vs a inconsistent/streaky As side. He faces a As hurler in Blackburn, that is making just his 2nd major league start. He looked very good in his adrenalin filled beginning, but now in a natural letdown spot I won;t be surprised is he is lit up. Hey guys, I know the Mariners have slumped at home of late losing 7 straight, but all and bad runs must eventually come to an end , the tricky part is timing it. Today, I'm betting the bad run ends abruptly.

Athletics are 9-21 in their last 30 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Mariners are 4-0 in Gaviglios last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.

OAKLAND is 9-26 L/35 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season.

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win vs the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Orioles RH Dylan Bundy (8-7, 4.02 ERA) vs. Twins RH Jose Berrios (7-2, 3.44)

Baltimore starting hurler is currently not in good form. Bundy is a lowly -2 in his L/3 starts along with a hugely bloated 8.22 ERA. and once again looks like fade material.The Orioles are struggling especially on offense, and were shut out last night to end a three-game sweep in Milwaukee. They've been shut out twice in the last eight games and have averaged just 2.38 runs per game in that span, and should once again have trouble vs Jose Berrios.BALTIMORE is 0-11 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better this season losing on the runline by an average of 4.5 rpg.

BALTIMORE is 2-14 against the money line after 3 consecutive games versus an interleague opponent losing by an average of 3.6 rpg.

Orioles are 4-15 in their last 19 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Orioles are 6-21 in their last 27 road games.Twins are 5-0 in Berrios' last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Orioles are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.

Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Padres starter today Lamet in his last three starts, is 1-0 with a 2.37 ERA, having held hitters to a .159 average, with 25 strikeouts in 19 innings. He is backed by a San Diego bullpen that has been outstanding, in this series so far , pitching 8 2/3 scoreless innings in th, and once again I'm betting the Indians offense will be muted. I know the Indians starter Tomlin has regressed in recent turns, but the Padres offense is less than what anyone would consider consistent, as they average just 3.6 rpg overall this season, and have battled just .233 vs lefties like Tomlin. With that said, Im expecting a much lower scoring game than the linesmakers are, and recommend we take the under investment option here.

Under is 6-0 in Padres last 6 road games.Under is 2-0-2 in Tomlins last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 13-3-2 in Indians last 18 overall.Under is 9-1-2 in Indians last 12 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Indians last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Cleveland.

SAN DIEGO is 9-1 UNDER in road games vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season with a combined average of 6.8 rpg getting scored.CLEVELAND is 20-8 UNDER L/28 vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season with a combined average of 7.5 rpg going on the board.CLEVELAND is 10-2 UNDER as a favorite of -175 to -250 this season with a combined average of 7.4 rpg going on the board.

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Baltimores starter today vs the Brewers Aquino (1-1, 9.00 ERA) will be recalled from Triple-A Norfolk on Wednesday. He wons a record at Norfolk, of 2-7 along with a 4.46 ERA in 12 starts. Needless to say, he looks like fade material vs a hard hitting Brewers crew here today in Milwaukee. Meanwhile, the Brewers starter Garza (3-4, 3.46 ERA) allowed two runs on six hits in five innings  of work l last time out, a 3-2 Milwaukee victory over Miami.In 13 career starts against the Orioles, Garza is 9-1 with a 3.11 ERA and according to my own pitcher power rankings should give us a good turn today.

 Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Brewers are 7-0 in Garzas last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.Orioles are 8-22 in their last 30 vs. a team with a winning record.Orioles are 6-20 in their last 26 road games.Orioles are 4-14 in their last 18 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Orioles are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Milwaukee is 16-5 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season.

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Philadelphia lost by a 3-0 count yesterday to the Pirates. Philadelphia's offense is becoming very inconsistent, scoring 2 runs or less in 5 of their L/10 games, and could easily fall asleep at the proverbial wheel once again today vs Pirates starter Cole.

PHILADELPHIA is 0-9  against the money line after a game with a combined score of 4 runs or less this season and 2-13  against the money line after scoring 1 run or less this season.

Pirates are 20-8 in Coles last 28 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Phillies are 0-5 in Livelys last 5 starts.Pirates are 18-8 in the last 26 meetings

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher like the Pirates - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=3.70 to 4.20) -NL, with an on base percentage of .285 or worse over their last 5 games are a bankroll expanding 32-7 L/39 opportunities for a 82%  conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates 1 unit reg selection 

Red Sox LH David Price (3-2, 4.61 ERA) vs. Rangers RH Yu Darvish (6-6, 3.11)

Boston has been playing some very good baseball of late, but todays offers a chance to bet against them in a game the Rangers have the edge in because of the pitching matchup. Price after being on the disabled list earlier this season, is now healthier , but still does not look as strong as he once did, and is susceptible to being lit up vs a under rated Texas offense.

Price  the BoSox starter for this tilt suffered through one of his worst outings of 2016 at Texas on June 24, when he was hammered  for six runs and 12 hits in 2 1/3 innings of unstable work.PRICE is 3-9 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 5.42 and a WHIP of 1.391. Meanwhile, the Rangers starting hurler Darvish despite of being winless in his last three outings despite allowing  a total of two earned runs in his L/13 innings of work.

Rangers are 7-0 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series.Rangers are 7-3 in Darvishs last 10 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Rangers are 6-2 in their last 8 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Red Sox are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in Texas.

TEXAS is 30-18 L/48 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start.

Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the monyeline 1 unit reg selection 

The SF Giants are finally coming to life, after starting their season in dismal fashion. The Giants have now won 6 straight and must not be underestimated with this momentum on their sides.Meanwhile, the Tigers (36-45)  have just  dropped two of three to the American League Central-leading Cleveland Indians, and enter into this game in a letdown situation. Their record at the midway point is their worst since 2003 and I really believe they are over rated favorites in this spot, vs a NL team that their not used to facing. I know veteran hurler for the Giants righty veteran Cain may not inspire bettors, but DETROIT is just 24-36  against the money line against right-handed starters this season, and just and 10-19  against the money line vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season. Also from a runline perspective it must be noted that the Giants are a perfect 10-0 on the runline when Matt Cain starts as an underdog when they won their most recent start and they also won his last start against this same opponent.

Play on the SF Giants +1.5 on the runline 1 unit reg selection 

Royals RH Ian Kennedy (2-6, 4.72 ERA) vs. Mariners RH Andrew Moore (1-0, 3.86)

The Royals bats have finally come to life, as was evident by winning seven of its last eight in California road trip, taking series from the Padres, San Francisco and the Los Angeles Angels behind a reenergized offense that averaged 7.4 runs in its wins. Today against the Mariners starter Moore, who is being called up by his team to make his 2nd career start, this kid very much looks like he could be in trouble vs a KC batting order thats been chewing up pitchers of late. With that said,  I won't be surprised if the Royals surpass this Total all by themselves or at least put a big enough dent in the number that we only need a few runs from the Mariners.

Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-1 in Royals last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 8-1-1 in Kennedys last 10 starts overall.Over is 8-2-1 in Royals last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 10-2-1 in Royals last 13 road games.Over is 9-4-1 in Mariners last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

SEATTLE is 27-11 OVER L/38 in home games vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse with a combined average of 9.9 rpg getting scored.

MLB team like the Royals  - lower tier AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or better), hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games are 32-8 over for a 80% conversion rate for over bettors on the total.Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 like the Mariners - starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing against opponent starting a pitcher who gave up 2 earned runs or less in his last 2 outings are 37-9 to the over for a 80% conversion rate for over bettors on the total.

Play OVER 

White Sox LH Carlos Rodon (0-1, 0.00 ERA) vs. Athletics RH Jharel Cotton (5-7, 5.02)

Cotton has won back-to-back outings after going 0-4 over his previous five trips to the hill and once again looks like a viable investment option here tonight. Meanwhile, White Sox are 3-8 in Rodons last 11 road starts.Over his career, Rodon is 0-1 with a 5.73 ERA in two starts against the Athletics.Athletics are 4-1 in Cottons last 5 starts vs. American League Central.

The A's outscored Chicago by a combined score of 18-5 during a 3 game sweep of a  series they played late last month. Now they get the Pale hose at home, and once again look like the superior side in the first game of the rematch.

.OAKLAND is 13-6  against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) this season.

Play on Oakland As on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection ( LATE STEAM)

Red Sox RH Rick Porcello (4-10, 5.06 ERA) vs. Rangers LH Martin Perez (4-6, 4.70)

Porecello Bostons starting pitcher despite of some dismal numbers overall this season, has pitched little better of late, and looks like he could be heading back towards his AL Cy Young award winning ways from last season in the 2nfd half of this season. He goes against a Rangers batting order that averages 9.33 strikeouts a game. Boston (47-35) enters having won five of its last six games, including four in a row and once again look like solid bets with upward momentum on their sides. With rusty southpaw Martin Perez (4-6, 4.70), making his first start since June 22, the Rangers look like fade material, especially considering how horrid their bullpen has been.Perez has not fared well vs the BoSox, as he owns a 2-2 record along with a bloated 6.12 ERA in six career starts against them men from Beantown.

The Red Sox over their recent 5-1 run have outscored opponents by an average of 4.7 rpg, and another lopsided affair is a high probability tonight on the road in Texas.

Red Sox are 11-5 in their last 16 vs. a team with a losing record.Rangers are 0-4 in Perezs last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.Rangers are 1-8 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Red Sox are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.


MLB teams like the Red Sox - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA=4.70 to 5.70)-AL, with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 31-14 dating back 20 seasons .

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection   

Blue Jays RH Marcus Stroman (8-4, 3.41 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Masahiro Tanaka (6-7, 5.56)

Both the Yankees and Blue Jays are struggling to put Ws up of late, but the Yankees are at least showing some life offensively,  scoring an average of 6.2 rpg at home this season, while the Jays are not scoring a total of just 11 runs in their L/5 games overall.

Tanaka the NYY starter looks to be pulling out a early season funk, and his last few starts has given the Yankees what they expect of him, tossing eight scoreless innings in a no  decision on June 23 against Texas, and then cam back and  yielded just  two runs and six hits over six innings in southside Chicago  vs the White Sox to win on Wednesday. Im betting he has the edge over Toronto's starter Marcus Stroman.

Blue Jays are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. American League East.Blue Jays are 2-8 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Blue Jays are 1-8 in their last 9 during game 1 of a series.Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League East.Yankees are 20-8 in their last 28 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Yankees are 5-1 in Tanakas last 6 starts vs. Blue Jays.

TANAKA team is 16-2 when he starts   against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record dating back to last season and is 15-3 L/18  against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game.STROMAN is 1-7 L/8 against the money line in road games in the second half of the season dating back to the last campaign.

NY Yankees to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Nationals RH Max Scherzer (9-5, 2.06 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Carlos Martinez (6-6, 2.88)

Washington Nationals ace Max Scherzer who has registered 151 strikeouts in 113 2/3 innings go up against St. Louis Cardinals ace Carlos Martinez and his 121 whiffs in 106 1/3 innings. In a game of fast ball  heavy heat specialists I'm betting on the explosive Washington Nationals having the edge behind a offense that averages 5.9 rpg vs righty starters.

WASHINGTON is 34-13  against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5. WASHINGTON is 33-14 L/47 against the money line in night games this season.

Nationals are 6-0 in Scherzers last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Nationals are 23-9 in Scherzers last 32 starts.Cardinals are 17-8 in Martinezs last 25 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.

MARTINEZ team when he starts  is 3-11  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game dating back to last season.SCHERZER team is 16-2 L/18 against the money line in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game.

Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Southpaw Drew Pomeranz (7-4, 3.81 ERA) will start for Boston with right-hander Joe Biagini (2-7. 4.50) going for Toronto. Pomeranz is 4-1 with a 2.66 ERA over his last eight starts and has 50 strikeouts, and opposition BA of .257 over 44 innings during that span. In five starts in June, he was 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA.Toronto has scored 10 runs in its past five games and have struggledvs LHP averaging just 3.6 rpg via a lowly .229 BA and Pomernaz should once again hold them down in this spot. I know Torontos Biagini may not inspire the same confidence, but he is a bullpen guy, thats been placed in the rotation, and still learning how to temper a starters role, but make no mistake he must not be underestimated, and is considered a quality pitcher. My own projections make estimated a total of 7.5 runs per game getting scored here, which would give us value for an under wager.

POMERANZ is 14-3 UNDER vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game with combined average of 5.5 rpg getting scored.BIAGINI in 5 startw when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season has seen an average of 8.4 rpg scored.BOSTON is 8-0 UNDER L/8 in road games in July games dating back to last season, with a combined average of 6.6 rpg scored. TORONTO is 40-19 UNDER against left-handed starters with a combined average of 8.2 rpg scored.POMERANZ is 12-2 UNDER in the second half of the season dating back to last season with a combined average of 6.8 rpg scored.

MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 like the Blue Jays - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP=1.300 to 1.350) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 on the season (AL) are 64-28 to the under for a 70% conversion rate fr bettors dating back 20 seasons.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

Yankees LH Jordan Montgomery (6-4, 3.53 ERA) vs. Astros RH Francis Martes (2-0, 5.51)

Southpaw hurler Jordan Montgomery (6-4, 3.53 ERA) will start for the Yankees (43-35). Montgomery finished 4-0 with a 2.59 ERA over five starts in June and looks very much like a pitcher that in his current form will give the Astros some problems today. Meanwhile, the Astros respond with Francis Martes in limited action recorded a 4.26 ERA , but look good in his lone home start recording a a victory while allowing just 1 ER in 5 innings of quality work for a 1.80 ERA. I'm expecting both these starting throwers and their respective bullpens when called upon to help this score on the low side of the Total.
Yesterday the Yankees scored a 13-4 victory vs the Astros in game 1 of this series, but from a long term perspective the Astros have played alot of low scoring games vs winning teams like the Yankees at home.
HOUSTON is 18-4 UNDER L/22 in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) with a combined average of 7.7 rpg going on the scoreboard.HOUSTON is also 17-4 UNDER L/21 in home games after allowing 8 runs or more with a combined score of 6.4 rpg going on the board.

Under is 7-3 in Yankees last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 games following a win.Under is 7-2 in Astros last 9 games following a loss.Under is 7-2 in Astros last 9 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings in Houston.Under is 6-2-1 in Fosters last 9 games behind home plate.

MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 like the AStros - with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (AL), after a loss by 4 runs or more are 36-8 to the under for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection   

Orioles starting hurler today Bundy (8-6, 3.73 ERA) has been Baltimores most consistent starter this season and been his best at home recording a 3.26 ERA allowing just 18 ERS in 49.7 innings of quality work. He's posted quality starts in 14 of his 16 turns and is a key component in the teams quest for AL East title run, and looks like a soild hurler to back in this spot play. Meanwile, TBs starter Odorizzi (4-3, 4.00 ERA) has had problems with home runs this season. He's tied a club record by giving up homers in 11 straight appearances.ODORIZZI team is 0-10 L/10 when he starts against the money line in road games vs. good power teams like O's - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game.Of the 21 ballparks Odorizzi has pitched in, he has posted his third-worst ERA of 6.32 at Camden Yards in his 37 innings of work. The righty thrower is just  1-3 in Baltimore and has allowed 12 home runs, which is the most he's allowed at any opposing ballpark in his career

Rays are 1-6 in Odorizzis last 7 starts.Rays are 1-6 in Odorizzis last 7 road starts vs. Orioles.Rays are 4-11 in the last 15 meetings in Baltimore.

Play on the Baltimore Orioles to wn on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Chris Sale (10-3, 2.77 ERA) will start for Boston against Toronto Blue Jays left-hander Francisco Liriano (4-3, 5.46 ERA).Chris Sale Bostons ace starter today is  4-2 with a 1.90 ERA in nine career games (six starts) against the Blue Jays and is 2-1 with a 1.36 ERA in five career games (four starts) at Rogers Centre and gets the nod here today vs the Blue Jays.SALE Red Sox are 22-4 L/26  against the money line  when he starts vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse like the Jays.SALE team is also  18-3  against the money line when he starts in game when the total is 8.5 to 10 in his career. Considering Toronto has really struggled against southpaws like Sale this season averaging just 3.6 rpg via a lowly .232 BA , it is an easy decision for me to back the road team in this spot.

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Dodgers LH Alex Wood (8-0, 1.86 ERA) vs. Padres LH Clayton Richard (5-7, 4.42)

Wood the Dodgers starter is getting alot of accolades, thanks to a fast start to this current campaign. But from a long term perspective, I still feel that Wood is a middle of the pack type of hurler, who could implode at any time. It must also be noted that his team has lost his last two starts vs the San Diego Padres. Meanwhile, the Padres a team that has won two straight series, goes for third advantage with picher Calyton Richard on the hill. The southpaw goes against a Dodgers team that is hitting just .244 on the road this season. I know these teams from a long term perspective are operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, but the Dodgers after an extended hot run have lost 2 of their L/3 and shown some hiccups on offense getting shut out in one of the losses and scoring 2 runs in the other. On the other hand the Padres have been playing well, winning 4 of their L/6 games and are 7-2 L/9 at home and must not be underestimated on a value line in a spot play.

Dodgers are 1-6 in Woods last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Dodgers are 3-10 in Woods last 13 road starts. 

WOOD  team when he starts is 0-9  against the money line in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last few seasons.LA DODGERS are 19-30 L/49 against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5. WOOD is 0-9 L/9against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5.

Play on the San Diego Padres to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Braves RH Mike Foltynewicz (5-5, 4.10 ERA) vs. Athletics RH Sonny Gray (3-3, 4.45)

Oakland enters this game with their bats on fire , scoring an average of 6 rpg during a current 7 game run, but unfortunately their pitching and defense have been really bad and they have allowed 5.4 rpg during the same span for a combined average of 12.4 rpg going on the scoreboard. Oakland has also done their best offensive work this season at home where they score an average of 4.8 rpg including 54 HRS. Meanwhile, Atlanta despite of owning a very inconsistent offense,   should do some damage today vs Sonny a Gray a hurler who owns a 4.45 ERA on the season. Note: GRAY is 0-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.689. Atlanta also have a tendency of consistently allowing a boatload full of runs as has been the case  in 3 of their L/4 allowing 6, 6, and 7 runs, and I'm betting on them getting blown up again with Mike Foltynewicz on the hill. The Braves hurler owns a ugly 6.91 ERA in his last 3 trips to the mound and has averaged just 4.8 innings per start. 

Over is 17-7-1 in Foltynewiczs last 25 starts overall.Over is 4-1 in Braves last 5 interleague road games.Over is 9-4 in Foltynewiczs last 13 road starts.Over is 5-0 in Grays last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.Over is 5-1 in Grays last 6 home starts.

OAKLAND is 14-4 OVER  at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. GRAY is 15-5 OVER  in night games dating back to last season with a combined 10.9 rpg going on the board. GRAY is 15-4 OVER L/19 vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game with a combined average of 10.3 rpg getting scored.OAKLAND is 16-4 OVER  after scoring 2 runs or less this season with 11.1 rpg clicking in on the scoreboard. ATLANTA is 11-1 OVER  as a road underdog of +125 to +175 this season with a combined 11.1 rpg getting scored.

Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection

Marlins RH Edinson Volquez (4-8, 4.15 ERA) vs. Brewers RH Matt Garza (3-4, 4.43)

Miami starter Edinson Volquez (4-8, 4.15 ERA) has struggled recently, walking 14 over his last three outings, with a 7.90 ERA. .Meanwhile, Matt Garza despite of not registering some great numbers , does not shoot himself in the foot by walking many batting opponents as he has issued just 4 walks in his L/4 overall starts.MIAMI is just 5-16 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season.

Miami has averaged just 2.7 rpg in offense during a recent 7 game run winning just 1 time in the process, and on the season, have lost 21 of their 35 road games. Tonight against a Brewers team that is expected to have two key offensive stars in the lineup ie ( Braun. Thames) I am betting the home team has the edge.

VOLQUEZ team when he starts is just 4-15 against the money line when the total is 10 or higher.

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection   

McCullers (7-1, 2.53 ERA, 4-0 at home 1.95 ERA) is 2-0 with a 0.75 ERA over two career starts against the Yankees.Meanwhile, Pineda (7-4, 4.12)has struggled of late garnering a 7.47 ERA in his L/3 starts. The Yankees starting hurler also took the loss against Houston on May 11, allowing three runs on six hits and one walk with seven strikeouts over 6 2/3 innings in a 3-2 loss. Pineda is 2-3 with a 4.62 ERA in six career starts against the Astros. I'm betting the pithing matchup, favors the Houston Astros to bring home the cash on the moneyline tonight. 

NY YANKEES are 6-14 L/20 against the money line against AL West opponents this season.HOUSTON is 15-3 L/18 against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .375 or better.MCCULLERS JR. team is 12-1  against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season when he starts. 

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the Yankees - good offensive team (5.1 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or better) (AL), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities are 7-35 dating back 5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Also MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more like the Yankees - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season are just 9-44 L/53 for a go against conversion rate of 83% for bettors.

Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Red Sox RH Doug Fister (0-1, 4.50 ERA) vs. Blue Jays RH Marco Estrada (4-6, 4.89)

Boston starter Fister (0-1, 4.50 ERA) will take on Toronto right-hander Marco Estrada (4-6, 4.89). Estrada  is 0-4 with a 10.03 ERA in five starts in June. Both hurlers may not inspire bettors, but one ( Fister) is the lesser of two evils at this time. Also both teams are playing at the proverbial opposite end of the perfromance spectrum, with the Red Sox coming off a brilliant home stand where they took 3 of 4 vs the Minnesota Twins, compared to a Blue Jays team that has lost 5 of their L/7 in current basement dwellers in the AL East.

TORONTO is 9-16 L/24 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. Boston has won 13 of the L/22 games played in Toronto. Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 games on astroturf.Blue Jays are 1-4 in Estradas last 5 starts vs. Red Sox.

MLB Home teams like the Jays - with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP  2.000 or better over his last 5 starts, cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 3 games are just 35-71 for a go against conversion rate of 67% for bettors.

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Milwaukee will send right-hander Jimmy Nelson to the mound Thursday night . He wons a 1-1 record along with stable 3.66 ERA in his L/3 starts. Nelson is 4-3 with a 4.62 ERA in 12 career appearances, including 10 starts, against Cincinnati.  Meanwhile, Bailey the Reds starter/ began his season, after injury rehab, in atroicious fashion, and still looks far from 100%. He allowed 8 ERS in just 1.7 innings of work in his only start ( 43.11 ERA). Bailey, is 5-8 with a 4.64 ERA in 22 career starts vs. Milwaukee. Needless to say, Bailey looks like fade material. In his last three starts going back to last season, his team has lost 18-3, 11-2, and 18-9. 

The Reds have won the first two games of this series, but tonight, I expect the Brewers to repsond in a big way. 

MILWAUKEE is 9-2 L/11 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging  0.5 or less errors/game this season. CINCINNATI is 9-25 L/34 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. MILWAUKEE is 14-4 L/18 against the money line with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent this season.MILWAUKEE is 10-3 L/13 against the money line after 2 straight losses by 2 runs or less.CINCINNATI is 3-15 L/18 against the money line in home games after a game where their bullpen blew a save.

Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the Brewers - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, a marginal winning team (51% to 54%) playing a losing team are 105-76  . 

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Starting pitchers: Philadelphia -Lance Lynn vs Patt Corbin -Arizona 

Corbin the Arizona DBacks starter who has recorded a 5-2 record at home along with stable .3.19 ERA is a southpaw, and the Cards have struggled mightily vs lefties this season averaging just 4 rpg via a lowly .226 BA. Meanwhile, Lynn the Cards starter is struggling of late garnering a ugly 8.21 ERA in his L/3 turns allowing 14 ERs in just 15.3 innings of sub par work. Today I expect the DBacks who entered Wednesdays action averaging 6.3 rpg at home will light Lynn up and help us get to the promised land.

LYNN team is 2-10 L/12  when he starts  against the money line in day games.

ARIZONA is 19-4 L/22 against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%).ST LOUIS is 7-20  against the money line vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season.

MLB Road teams like the Cardinals  - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA=4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with a slugging percentage of .440 or better over their last 20 games are just 12-30 L/42 opportunities for a 72% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

 Atlanta's starter Colon (2-7, 7.78 ERA) pitches for the first time since June 5. The veteran no longer looks as viable a pitching option when he was young, as is evident by  having surrendered at least six runs in five of his 12 starts and owns a ugly 0-3 record along with a nasty looking 13.91 ERA in his last 3 starts. Meanwhile, San Diego will answer back with right-hander Luis Perdomo (2-4, 4.56 ERA) who unlike Colon has been a good pither for the Padres this season, an owns a 2-1 record along with a stable 2.41 ERA in his L/3 starts . The pitching matchup and home field advantage favor the Padres getting the victory.

Atlanta won the first game of this seres 3-0 which sets up these key situational trends.

The PADRES are 6-0 at home after being shutout as favorite , and had at least 2 hits .

ATLANTA is 8-34  L/42 times against the money line in road games after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less. 

SAN DIEGO is 9-2  against the money line in home games after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season.

Play on the San Diego Padres to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

HYUN -JIN RYU -Dodgers vs ALEX MEYER Angels

Dodgers starter Ryu (3-6, 4.35 ERA) has only two quality starts this year in 12 trips to the hill.In 67 innings, he has been slapped around for 14 home runs. Injuries have really taken their toll on the Dodgers southpaw, and has yet to get back t o 100% healthy, and very much looks like fade material in this spot. Meanwhile, the Angels, starting thower, Meyer (3-4, 4.20 ERA) is proving his worth as a starter with consistent efforts. In his last seven trips the hill, the right-hander has allowed just three earned runs or fewer six times, two runs or fewer in five of those games,  The pitching matchup, and home field advantage favor LAs other MLB tean in this spot.

The Dodgers won at home last night by a 4-0 count, but now I feel their at a disadvantage on the road vs a fiesty Halos group.

LA DODGERS are 2-10 L/12 against the money line in road games against AL West opponents.LA DODGERS are 9-24 L/33 against the money line in road games after 2 or more consecutive home games.

MLB teams like the Dodgers  - very good NL offensive team (5.0 runs/game or more) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less), after a win by 4 runs or more are just 24-61 for a go against conversion rate of 72% for bettors.

Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Wainwright The Cards starter  is 2-4 with a 9.48 ERA on the road this season and is fade material here at Chase Field tonight vs a Arizona side that has averaged 6.3 rpg at home this season via .289 BA. Meanwhile,  Godley,  Arizonas starter joined the rotation after Shelby Miller had a season-ending elbow injury, is 3-1 with a 2.53 ERA. He has not given up more than three runs in any of his nine starts and has not given up more than two runs in his four starts at Chase Field. He has made seven quality starts in his last eight outings, missing by an out of an eight-game streak after pitching 5 2/3 innings in a 5-1 victory at Philadelphia on June 17.

Im betting the Dbacks to deliver the good at home in this meeting.

ARIZONA is 30-10 against the money line in home games this season . ST.LOUIS is 12-22  against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. ARIZONA is 19-4 L/23 against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%).GODLEY is 12-4  against the money line in night games .

Play on the Arizona Dbacks to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

    Philadelphia Phillies send pitcher Mark Leiter Jr to the hill today to face the Seattle Mariners in his second career start. In 12 relief appearances prior to the start, Leiter had pitched 19 innings and posted a 4.74 ERA. He had allowed just 13 hits but had walked 14 as his biggest issue so far has been his control. Meanwhile, Mariners starter ace Felix Hernandez (3-2, 4.68 ERA) will be making his second start since coming back from the disabled list . He won that start, and I'm betting on him being even better this time around vs a Phillies side that averages just 3.6 rpg on the road this season.

PHILADELPHIA is 4-19 against the money line in road games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season losing by an average of 2.1 rpg on the runline.SEATTLE is 19-6 L/25 against the money line in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season winning on the runline by an average 2.1 rpg.PHILADELPHIA is 3-19 against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season losing SU by an average of 3 rpg.

Play on the Mariners on the runline -1.5 to win 1 unit reg selection   

Angels RH Jesse Chavez (5-7, 5.15 ERA) vs. Dodgers RH Kenta Maeda (5-3, 4.62)

The Dodgers had their 10 game winning streak snapped yesterday in game 1 of this series vs the LA Angels and now instead of being deflated by the loss will be primed to bounce back in revenge mode.

Angels are 4-9 in their last 13 games following a win.Angels are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series.Angels are 7-15 in their last 22 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Angels are 1-6 in their last 7 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Dodgers are 17-4 in their last 21 during game 2 of a series.

Angles starter Chavez is 1-2 with a 6.10 ERA in his last six starts, allowing 40 hits in just 31 innings of work, and could easily get gobbled up by a explosive Dodgers offense, that is averaging 8.3 rpg in their L/7 games, and 5.8 rpg at home this season. Meanwhile, the  Dodgers starter Maeda, has seen his team win his L/4 home starts, and is a capble hurler who must be respected vs a Halos team that is inconsistent offensively. If he does need help the Dodgers bullpen has been brilliant this season especially at home where they own a miniscule, 1.94 ERA and 0.957 WHIP.

LA ANGELS are 2-16  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better losing SU by an average of 2 rpg which can be applied to a runline result. LA DODGERS are 14-1 against the money line in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season winning by an average of 3.4 rpg.LA DODGERS are 37-8 L/45 against the money line vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season winning SU by an average of 2.9 rpg.

Play on the LA Dodgers -1.5 to win vs the runline 

White Sox left-hander Jose Quintana (4-8, 4.69 ERA) is slated to make a start here vs the NY Yankees and right-hander Luis Severino (5-3, 3.30 ERA). I'm betting the Yankees have the edge vs Pale Hose side, that is in a funk and have lost seven of the last eight games to fall a season-worst 11 games below .500. I know Qunitana has seen the White Sox win his L/2 starts, but the team is just 0-12 when he starts as an underdog and his team win his L/2 starts.
Yankees are 7-3 in their last 10 road games vs. a left-handed starter.White Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Yankees are 16-6 in the last 22 meetings.

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection   

Right-hander Mike Fiers (5-2, 3.81 ERA) will start Tuesday for the Astros.Fiers is red hot and  4-0 with a 1.72 ERA over his past five starts. Meanwhile, the As will respond with Left-hander Sean Manaea (6-4, 4.05 ERA) . He has lost both his career starts vs the Astros.

Astros are team that must be respected, and could be this years version of last years Cubs. When a team like this can be bought for a 1.50 or less on a moneyline, you have to think seriously about taking them.  Alot has been made of well the Astros have played on the road as compared to in their own backyards, but give it some time, Im sure their numbers will increase as the season goes on, as long as they remain healthy. Meanwhile, Oakland has for the most part been horrendous on the road losing 25 of 37 games, and despite of a  recent road sweep vs their White Sox, they  should now  fall back to their expected mean average perfromances. Also after the As sweep you can bet the Astros will be wide awake and ready for their opponents. 

HOUSTON is 15-2  against the money line vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game this season. 

Texas had a 9-2 lead wiped out vs the Cleveland Indians yesterday and lost 15-9. But now I expect the Rangers to come back even more determined to set things right and get redemption for yesterday humiliating crash and burn scenario. It must be noted that the Indians are 0-6 this season, as -140 or more favorite, when their opposition is out for immediate revenge after a 4 plus run victory. 

CLEVELAND is just 8-12  against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -200 this season. Rangers are 11-2 L/13 against the money line after scoring and allowing 8 runs or more in a game.

MLB Road teams like the Rangers  - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 61-31 dating back 20 seasons. 

Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection