Cards starter OVIEDO is 2-12  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The righty hurler owns a 6.91 ERA in road starts this season and is fade material here in the launching pad known as Coors Field where the Rockies play their best baseball. 

The Rockies are 10-0 L/10 on the ML  as a favorite when they have gotten quality starts in three straight games.  COLORADO is 23-9   against the money line in home games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season. COLORADO is 15-4  against the money line in home games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. COLORADO is 8-0  against the money line in home games after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season.

Cardinals are 1-10 in their last 11 road games.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (COLORADO) - poor team, outscored by opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season, after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 55-19 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (COLORADO) - with a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.70 or worse on the season (NL) are 27-9 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. 

Play on Colorado to win 

Tigers orthodox  starter MIZE is 7-3  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) CHI WHITE SOX are 0-9  against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better over the last 2 seasons. MIZE is 6-1 ( against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season. (Team's Record)  CHI WHITE SOX are 18-30 (  against the money line in road games against right-handed starters  like MIZE over the last 2 seasons.  

MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (DETROIT) - revenging 4 or more straight losses vs opponent in last 2 years, off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher are 30-15 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. 

Play on the White Sox to win 

Last time these teams played the Jays were clobbered 14-8 and now with revenge on boarrd Ill bet on the Jays to get redemption in this spot play.

TAMPA BAY is 0-8  against the money line after aTAMPA BAY is 0-8 against the money line after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs this season. Rays are 0-8 in their last 8 road games.

TORONTO is 7-0 against the money line in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 12 or more runs over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on Toronto to win 

 Im betting the Dodgers get their seventh consecutive win tonight , and for the Nationals to lose their  fourth straight in a Scherzer home start on Friday night in Washington as his teams offence  , has totaled just one run while losing each of Scherzer's last three home starts. Scherzer has looked electric but his lack of run support which Im betting continues tonight is his Achilles heel. 

Nationals are 2-7 in their last 9 games as a home underdog.

Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Dodgers are 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Washington. Dodgers are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. LA DODGERS are 14-1  against the money line after allowing 4 runs or less 4 straight games this season.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA DODGERS) - ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 60-30 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Dodgers to win 

DEGROM in 24 career starts  against ATLANTA with an ERA of 1.88 and a WHIP of 0.959. The Mets are 10-0 L/10 on the ML Jacob deGrom starts on the road when their starter went fewer than 6 innings their last two games. 

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (ATLANTA) - good offensive team - scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season (NL), in July games are 45-122  L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate.

Play on NY Mets to win 

As starter MANAEA is 12-0 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  MANAEA is 9-0  against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

TEXAS is 6-31 against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. 

The Athletics are 17-0 L/17 on the ML as a home favorite of more than -135 after they did not score after the third inning.

Play on As to win 

Twins starter Berrios recorded his third consecutive quality outing on June 24, allowing one run on four hits and two walks with nine strikeouts over 6 1/3 innings against the Cleveland Indians.The 27-year-old right-hander has allowed four earned runs or fewer in 15 consecutive starts to open the season. Berrios,  owns a 2.65 ERA in 17 career starts against the White Sox, Meanwhile, the Pale hose will fire back with   Carlos Rodon (6-3, 2.06 ERA), who is looking to bounce back after giving up three runs over five innings Friday during a 9-3 loss to the Seattle Mariners. The  left-hander has notched  eight-plus strikeouts in each of his last seven starts, one short of the longest such streak in White Sox history.

The White Sox are 0-11 UNDER L/11 in the last game of a series after a game as a home favorite in which they won by 5+ runs.

CHI WHITE SOX are 16-7 UNDER  vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game this season with a combined average of 6.8 rpg going on the board. CHI WHITE SOX are 21-9 UNDER   at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.9 rpg.Under is 9-4 in White Sox last 13 during game 3 of a series. Under is 9-4 in White Sox last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

Play UNDER

As starter  BASSITT is 9-0  against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record) BASSITT is 18-3 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Rangers starter ALLARD is 0-3 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 8.03 and a WHIP of 1.622.

The Athletics are 21-0 L/21 on the ML as a favorite of at least -200 on the opening line  off a home game in which they hit multiple home runs.

TEXAS is 0-12 against the money line in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. 

Rangers are 7-25 in the last 32 meetings in Oakland.

Play on the As to win 

Im expecting the Astros will beat up on Baltimores starting pitcher Harvey who has garnered a 8.10 ERA in his last 3 starts. HARVEY is 0-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 12.79 and a WHIP of 2.052.

MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (HOUSTON) - after a game without an extra base hit are 53-4 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate with the rpg diff clicking in at +3.6. 

Play on the Astros to win on the 

RL -1.5 

Im betting on the Cubs averting being swept by the Brewers. I know these teams are at the opposite end of the performance spectrum at the moment but it must be noted that Arrieta seems to always bring his A game when going against streaking sides. 

Note: The Cubs are 14-0 L/14 on the ML when Jake Arrieta starts for the Cubs when their opponent is on a winning streak of at least four games.

Cubs are 9-3 in their last 12 vs. National League Central.Brewers are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win 

 White Sox - L. Giolito-R vs Twins - K. Maeda-R- Considering these pitching matchups and overall offensive output performance charts Im betting on a combined score that eclipses this total. 

Over is 5-1-1 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 19-4-4 in Twins last 27 vs. American League Central.Over is 13-3 in Twins last 16 games as a road underdog.

The Twins are 10-0-1 OVER L/11 off a game as a favorite in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits.MINNESOTA is 25-9 OVER   vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season.MINNESOTA is 14-2 OVER  after allowing 2 runs or less this season.MINNESOTA is 13-3 OVER as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season.Over is 9-4-1 in Twins last 14 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Over is 4-0-1 in White Sox last 5 during game 1 of a series.Over is 5-2 in White Sox last 7 overall.

Play OVER

The Rays Im betting will avoid a seventh consecutive away defeat on Tuesday when they face a Washington club that has won 12 of its past 15 games overall. Note:  Rays starter Hill, 41, is 3-0 in his last five starts after he overcame five walks to allow just one run on three hits over five innings of an 8-2 victory against the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday. He recorded five strikeouts. Hill is 3-0 with a 3.55 ERA in seven road starts this season and gets my support here for a motivated Rays side. 

The Rays are 13-0 L/13 on the ML as a road favorite off a home game in which they used 5+ pitchers. TAMPA BAY is 19-4  against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 3 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 43-21   against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons.

Rays are 26-9 in their last 35 vs. National League East. Rays are 21-8 in their last 29 vs. a team with a losing record.

Nationals are 1-6 in their last 7 games as a home underdog

MLB Road teams (TAMPA BAY) - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70%, with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) are 26-10 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Rays 

Cubs starter HENDRICKS is 8-0 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)HENDRICKS is 15-4  in his career  against the money line in road games after giving up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings .

 Cubs are 9-1 in their last 10 vs. National League Central. 

Brewers are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

MLB team (MILWAUKEE) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better ), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100  or less over his last 10 games are 54-103 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win 

Astros starter GREINKE is 24-9  against the money line in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) HYDE is 18-66 (-34.6 Units) against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better as the manager of BALTIMORE with the average rpg diff clicking in at 2 rpg. 

MLB  favorites with a money line of -200 or more (HOUSTON) - after a game without an extra base hits are 53-3 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate with a +3.7 rpg diff which qualifies in a run-line wager. 

Play on the Astros to win

 KCs starter DUFFY is 3-17   against the money line in road games against AL East opponents in his career. (Team's Record) DUFFY is 0-6  in his career when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 7.26 and a WHIP of 1.865.

BOSTON is 8-1 against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (KANSAS CITY) - bad offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, after scoring 1 run or less 2 straight games are 6-37 L/24 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Red Sox to win 

Dodgers ace lefty KERSHAW is 81-30 against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record) Cubs are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

 The Dodgers are 28-0 L/28 in the last game of a series as a home favorite of at least -200 (on the opening line)  after they won and never trailed last game which was the case in a 3-2 win.  CHICAGO CUBS are 17-31 against the money line in road games after scoring 2 runs or less over the last 3 seasons. Cubs are 4-12 in the last 16 meetings in Los Angeles.

ROBERTS is 51-15 against the money line in home games when playing on Sunday as the manager of LA DODGERS. ROBERTS is 85-32  against the money line in home games after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games as the manager of LA DODGERS

MLB team (CHICAGO CUBS) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better ), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100  or less over his last 10 games are 54-103 L/5 seasons for a go against  66% conversion rate.

Play on LA Dodgers to win 

 Royals starter SINGER is 0-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 13.51 and a WHIP of 2.402.   Rangers starting hurler  LYLES is 2-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.45 and a WHIP of 0.857.

Royals are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Royals are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Royals are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Royals are 7-25 in the last 32 meetings.

Royals are 16-37 in the last 53 meetings in Texas.

KANSAS CITY is 3-15  against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.

MLB Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 8 runs or more 3 straight games are 5-30 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. 

Play on the Rangers to win 

These teams are playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum of late with the Angles having lost 5 straight and the Rays on a 4 game win streak. Lets fade the negative momentum of the Halos and ride the Rays positive energy in this spot play. 

The Angels are 0-6 L/6 on the ML when Patrick Sandoval starts after their bullpen gave up at least three runs yesterday. 

 LA ANGELS are 18-54   against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher like Yarbrough  whose WHIP is 1.200 or better over the last 3 seasons.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA ANGELS) - with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 3 runs or less 4 straight games are 11-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the TB Rays to win 

 Marlins top tier starer ALCANTARA has struggled against the Nats in his career and  is just  1-5 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 6.46 and a WHIP of 1.793.

MIAMI is 10-25   against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season like M. Scherzer.  SCHERZER is 14-5 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 2.99 and a WHIP of 1.053.

The Marlins are 0-11 L/11 on the ML in the last game of a series at home after they had a comeback win last game.

MLB team (MIAMI) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better ), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or better  over his last 10 games are 54-103 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Home teams (MIAMI) - team with a poor OBP (.310 or worse) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less ) -NL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or better  over his last 10 games are 11-31 L/5 seasons for a 73% go against conversion rate. 

Play on Washington to win 

Rays lefty starter  YARBROUGH is 9-1 OVER  in all games this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored. MADDON is 31-12 OVER against left-handed starters as the manager of LA ANGELS with a combined 11.8 rpg scored. MADDON is 30-16 OVER  when the money line is +125 to -125 as the manager of LA ANGELS with an average of 10.5 rpg scored. Over is 5-0 in Angels last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as an underdog.

Over is 5-1 in Angels last 6 games as a road underdog.

Over is 9-2 in Angels last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.LA ANGELS are 20-6 OVER  after scoring 4 runs or less 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons.    The Rays are 15-0 OVER L/15  in the last game of a series after they scored first before trailing and then coming back to win with the least amount of combined runs scored ringing in at 8 . Over is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings.

Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay.Over is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings.

Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay.

MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (LA ANGELS) - after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 10 runs or more are 39-13 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 

These two teams are operating at the opposite end of the performance spectrum. 

The Diamondbacks are 0-24 SU L/24 on the road and are 4-20 on the runline.  While the Padres have won 8 straight games and running hot. 

ARIZONA is 7-34 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season with a combined average of 2.4 rpg. ARIZONA is 1-13  against the money line in road games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season with a 2.9 rpg diff.ARIZONA is 1-18 against the money line as an underdog of +175 to +250 this season with a 2.9 rpg difference. 

Play on San Diego Padres

Dodgers southpaw starter Urias has struggled of late as is evident by a 6.32 ERA in his L/3 starts. Note: The Cubs have clobbered lefties this season recording an average of 5.8 rpg via a .267 BA.  The Cubs are 12-0 L/12 past the first game of a series when the opposing starter has an ERA of higher than 4.00 on the season. 

CHICAGO CUBS are 11-5 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season this season.  CHICAGO CUBS are 10-5  against the money line against NL West opponents this season. 

LA DODGERS are 6-16  against the money line after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CHICAGO CUBS) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record are 59-72 L/5 seasons for a 55% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win 

 Brewers are 10-1 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing record and know how to take care of sub .500 squads winning 20 of their L/26 against struggling sides.

The Rockies are 0-12 L/12 on the ML when Antonio Senzatela starts on the road when their opponent is on a 3+ win streak.

COLORADO is 4-20  against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.COLORADO is 4-20  against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Play on Milwaukee to win 

EFLIN is 1-10 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game on the season. (Team's Record) .EFLIN is 3-14 against the money line in road games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons..... (Team's Record)

MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (NY METS) - after a game without an extra base hit are 52-3 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (PHILADELPHIA) - after allowing 2 runs or less against opponent after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 6-53 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate. 

MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (PHILADELPHIA) - after allowing 2 runs or less against opponent after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games and 15-80 L/5 seasons for a go against  84% conversion rate. 

Play on the NY Mets 

The Pirates enter this game against their hosts the Cards having won five of their last seven games, while the Cardinals have lost five straight games and seven of eight. With both sides playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum it will be an easy decision to take the Pirates on a value money-line. 

Cardinals are 1-11 in their last 12 vs. National League Central.

ST LOUIS is 3-11  against the money line at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. ST LOUIS is 6-13  against the money line in home games vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6  or less errors/game this season.

MLB Home teams (ST LOUIS) - team with a poor OBP (.310 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or better ) -NL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 9-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win 

The Padres defense and pitching and particular the bullpen have been tremendous this season, and in their L/6 games have allowed 2 runs or less 4 times and Im betting an Arizona side that averages just 3.6 rpg on the road this season goes below their season average in offensive out put here tonight . Note: Padres starter PADDACK in 7 starts in his career against ARIZONA  has garnered an  ERA of 2.39 and a WHIP of 1.062 and has seen 6 of those 7 games stay on the low side of the total. Also despite of being a top tier team with some strong hitters in their lineup the Padres only average 4.3 rpg via a lowly .236 BA at home. With that said, ,my projections make the combined average score to be closer to 7.5 rpg giving us a full 1 run edge here for a under wager to cash.

The Padres are 0-9 UNDER L/9 off a home game where they were tied at the end of 6 innings with the average combined score clicking in at 4.3 rpg. 

ARIZONA is 20-8 UNDER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons.

Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in San Diego.

Play UNDER

Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Lopez of the Marlins .Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.Nationals are 10-1 in their last 11 overall and deserve respect here as underdogs. WASHINGTON is 47-19 against the money line after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons. Note: Lester has been  in top form for a while  with two or fewer earned runs allowed in each of his last five trips to the hill. 

Marlins are 1-7 in their last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter. (Nats starter Lester is a southpaw hurler) MIAMI is 9-24  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season like Lester. 

MLB Home teams (MIAMI) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better ), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or better over his last 10 games are just 24-45 L/5 seasons for a 65% go against conversion rate.

Play on Washington to win 

Marlins starter LOPEZ is 8-0 UNDER  vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)WASHINGTON is 11-0 UNDER  vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better this season. Washington stater Lester has been on an impressive  run  with two or fewer earned in each of his last five outings.

WASHINGTON is 19-3 UNDER  as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored.Under is 42-17-3 in Nationals last 62 overall.Under is 7-3-1 in Nationals last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 9-4-1 in Nationals last 14 road games.Under is 11-5 in Nationals last 16 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 13-6-3 in Nationals last 22 games as a road underdog

MIAMI is 22-9 UNDER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons.Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 during game 2 of a series.Under is 4-1-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. National League East.Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.

Play on the UNDER 

Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 overall and have the edge here vs a side that just cant find a way to get any kind of momentum going. Blue Jays have the edge. 

 TORONTO is 15-4 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.90 or worse over the last 3 seasons.( Orioles starter Dean Kremer -RHP-0-6, 6.20 ERA,)  BALTIMORE is 0-12  against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 7.00 or worse this season.

The Orioles are 0-19 L/19 on the road. 

MLB Road teams (BALTIMORE) - cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 15 games, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 15 games are 57-117 L/5 seasons for a  go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Blue Jays 

The Athletics are 10-0 L/10 on the ML when Chris Bassitt starts as a road favorite.BASSITT is 13-1  against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BASSITT is 17-3   against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Rangers starter,ALLARD is 0-2 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 9.95 and a WHIP of 1.896. 

The Rangers found a way to get by the AS yesterday but are just 0-5 L/5 after a win. 

Athletics are 53-25 in their last 78 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Athletics are 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Texas.

Play on Oakland to win 

Phillies starter VELASQUEZ is 6-0  against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season. (Team's Record)The Phillies are also  9-0 on the ML L/9  since Jul 30, 2017 when Vince Velasquez starts at home after he had a WHIP of at least 2.00 in his last start.

Nationals starter  Fede has seen his team lose his L/3 starts vs Phillies.   Nationals are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in Philadelphia.

PHILADELPHIA is 13-1 against the money line in home games in day games this season.

Play on Phillies to win 

White Sox starter Dylan Cease(RHP5-3, 3.99 ERA, 89 SO( has been in good form on the hill this season, plus he adds a live bat to the lineup in inter-leauge action as he went 3 for 3 last time he went against a NL team the the Reds. PITTSBURGH is 3-16 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start over the last 2 seasons. 

PITTSBURGH is 6-22 against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season.CHI WHITE SOX are 21-6  against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season.

The Pirates are 0-11 L/11 on the ML as a dog after they scored first and then trailed before coming back to win last game.

MLB team (PITTSBURGH) - NL team with a poor OBP (.310 or less) against a good AL starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 to 1.350), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start are 15-38 L/24 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the White Sox to win 

Considering how both pitching staffs and bullpens are operating of late, my projections see a combined score that eclipses this total. 

 Over is 3-0-1 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.Over is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 interleague games as an underdog.Over is 3-0-1 in Pirates last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 32-15-4 in Pirates last 51 during game 2 of a series.

Over is 11-4 in White Sox last 15 games as a road favorite.Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

LARUSSA is 10-0 OVER   in road games after scoring 3 runs or less 5 straight games in all games he has managed - dating back to 1996 with the average combined score of 11.6 rpg scored. 

Play on the OVER 

Seattle starter FLEXEN is 8-3   against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)  FLEXEN is also 7-1 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record)

COLORADO is 4-18  against the money line in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. I know the White Sox have used up alot of innings with their bullpen staff of late, but COLORADO is 4-19  against the money line in road games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season.

 MLB team (SEATTLE) - AL team with a terrible OBP (.310 or less ) against a terrible NL starting pitcher (WHIP 1.650 or worse ), starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 29-7 L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Mariners  to win 

Milwaukee has allowed 29 runs in their L/4 gamers, after losing to the lowly Arizona Dbacks last night. Im betting that Arizona does more damage tonight, and for the Brewers  to also do some of their own in a tilt I have projected to go over this total. Note: The Brewers are 8-0 OVER L/8 when Freddy Peralta starts on the road after he had a WHIP of less than 1 in his last start with a combined average of 13.7 rpg scored. Over is 8-1 in Diamondbacks last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

COUNSELL is 36-22 OVER  as a road favorite of -125 to -175 as the manager of MILWAUKEE with an average of 10.4 rpg scored. Over is 4-1-1 in Brewers last 6 road games.

Over is 20-8-1 in Diamondbacks last 29 games following a win.

Over is 20-8-1 in Diamondbacks last 29 during game 2 of a series.

 Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Arizona.

Play OVER

Astros starter GREINKE is 62-18  against the opening money line as a favorite of -175 to -250 since 1997. Baltimores starter LOPEZ owns a ugly 8.23 ERA in his L/3 starts and  is 0-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 23.18 and a WHIP of 3.863.

BALTIMORE is 2-15  against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season this season

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (HOUSTON) - starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest, hot hitting team - batting .290 or better over their last 20 games are 35-16 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Houston to win 

The Padres are 8-0 on the ML when Yu Darvish starts as a favorite after they used 5+ pitchers yesterday.

Dodgers are 0-4 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.

Padres are 20-6 in their last 26 home games.

MLB team (LA DODGERS) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or better  over his last 10 games are 17-35  L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate.

Play on San Diego to win 

Fading the Dbacks has been a lucrative endeavor.Arizona has lost 13 straight and the momentum of their ugly run must be an option to back on this cheap of a line. 

Arizona has allowed 8.3 rpg in their L/7 trips to the diamonds. 

Note: Brewers starter Anderson is a southpaw hurler , ARIZONA is 3-15 against the money line against left-handed starters this season.

The Brewers are 10-0 L/10 on the ML after they scored at least six runs last game. ( Milwaukee scored 7 runs yesterday in a win)

Play on Milwaukee to win 

Todays starting pitchers Anderson and Kelley according to projections are good for a combined 9 + runs. Which makes this a high probability over investment option. 

Over is 15-5-3 in Brewers last 23 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

Arizona is allowing 8.3 rpg in their L/7 overall with a combined average score of 12.7 rpg scored.

ARIZONA is 7-0 OVER   in home games after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span this season with a combined average of 14.1 rpg scored. Over is 6-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Over is 9-1 in Diamondbacks last 10 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Over is 8-1 in Diamondbacks last 9 games a home underdog.The Diamondbacks are 13-0 OVER L/13  at home after a loss as a home dog in which they never led.

MLB  Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (MILWAUKEE) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA  5.00 or worse), ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games are 31-9 OVER L/24 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Arizona.

Play OVER

Phillies starter  Eflin has pitched fewer than six innings  in two of his last three starts and in his current form a good hurler to fade.  

The Phillies won yesterday 13-6 but now a regression factor comes into play favoring the sf Giants. 

The Giants are 10-0 L/10 on the ML after they did not score after the third inning last game. PHILADELPHIA is 0-8  against the money line after scoring 12 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 6-15  against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.

SAN FRANCISCO is 16-4  against the money line in home games revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Giants to win 

KCs starter MINOR is 0-6 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this season. (Team's Record) MINOR is 4-11 against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

The Royals are 6-for-67 with runners in scoring position in their last eight games, and they've lost seven of them, including Saturday's 7-1 loss to the Boston Red Sox, in which the Royals were 0-for-11 with RISP. (Fade Material)

BOSTON is 14-3  against the money line after a win by 4 runs or more this season.

The Royals are 0-10 L/10 on the ML past the first game of a series after they scored in at most two separate innings last game.

Play on Red Sox to win 

The Rockies are 9-0 L/9 on the ML  at home off a game as a dog in which they scored 6+ runs.

COLORADO is 23-10 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. COLORADO is 15-6  against the money line in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season.

MILWAUKEE is 0-7  against the money line in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.MILWAUKEE is 9-15   against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season.

The Rockies have won 5 straight and the Brewers have lost 5 straight. Both are currently headed in opposite directions. This is a momentum play. 

Take the Rockies to win 

Astros hurler Valdez has been in top form of late, but the White Sox generally  dominate southpaw pitchers as is evident by a 6.5 rpg offensive output . Meanwhile, Lance Lyn in his L/2 starts vs the Astros have seen the Pale Hose score 8 and 12 runs respectively . 

HOUSTON is 8-1 OVER  vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better this season. HOUSTON is 24-9 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. HOUSTON is 15-4 OVER after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season.

The White Sox are 11-0-1 OVER L/12 as a road dog after a game as a road favorite in which they had more strikeouts than hits.Over is 18-7-3 in White Sox last 28 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

Play on the OVER 

As starter Chris Bassitt(RHP-7-2, 3.43 ERA, 91 SO) has allowed four runs or fewer in each of his past 25 starts over the past two years and Im betting on the run continuing today vs the Yankees. The Yankees are 0-7 UNDER  L/7  when Domingo German starts in an afternoon game.

NY YANKEES are 18-9 UNDER  in day games this season with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. Under is 10-4-1 in Yankees last 15 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.  Under is 9-4 in Yankees last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 11-5 in Yankees last 16 home games

OAKLAND is 19-7 UNDER  in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.Under is 18-7-3 in Athletics last 28 vs. American League East.Under is 4-1-1 in Athletics last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in New York.Under is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Play UNDER 

The Giants are 10-0-1 OVER L/11  as a favorite after they won by 5+ runs last game. SAN FRANCISCO is 13-1 OVER off a win of 6 runs or more over a division rival over the last 3 seasons

Giants starter  CUETO is 11-1 OVER in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.9 rpg going on the board.   CUETO is 1-6 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 5.07 and a WHIP of 1.284 in 13 games. 

SAN FRANCISCO is 23-5 OVER  vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season like the Phillies starter Velasquez. with a combined average of 10.6 rpg going on the score board. ( Velasquez owns a 8.25 ERA in his L/3 starts) 

MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 10 runs or more are 39-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate.

Play on the OVER 

 Dodgers starter Bauer had a great start to his campaign and is obviously a top tier pitcher, that has looked average of late.  But this is a great opportunity to get back into early season form vs a struggling side in Arizona. 

ARIZONA is 2-25  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season. ARIZONA is 3-22  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. ARIZONA is 1-15 against the money line as an underdog of +175 to +250 this season.

MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (LA DODGERS) - after a game without an extra base hit are 52-3 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Dodgers to win 

Twins starter Jose Berrios ( RHP-7-2, 3.49 ERA, 81 SO) In his last outing, José Berríos went seven innings and limited the Astros to two runs on five hits. Berríos was the winning pitcher in five of his last eight outings. He has pitched seven or more innings three times in that span and now still in top form entering this tilt gets my support on a moderate chalk line. 

The Twins are 20-0 L/20 on the ML  as a favorite of at least -140 after a game as a road favorite in which they won by 5+ runs.

TEXAS is 9-28 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.TEXAS is 8-33  against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons

MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 163-110  L/24 seasons for. a60% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Minnesota to win 

Cards starter Martínez was sharp in his last start (two unearned runs over seven frames) and owns  a 3.90 ERA in 11 games (four starts) against Atlanta. MARTINEZ is 3-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.96 and a WHIP of 1.240.

ATLANTA is 7-12  against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season.

ST LOUIS is 18-2 against the money line after a game where they had 4 or less hits over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Cards to win 

Milwaukee starter Brandon Woodruff(RHP-5-2, 1.52 ERA, 97 SO) 1.52 ERA and 0.72 WHIP is the best of the Brewers' three aces. He's coming off seven efficient innings last Friday against the Pirates, in which he threw 98 pitches. Im b etting on a rinse and repeat performance here in Coors today. 

Brewers stater WOODRUFF is 23-7  against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WOODRUFF is 18-3 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

The Brewers are 10-0 L/10 on the ML when Brandon Woodruff starts coming off a start where he got at least seven runs of support.

MLB team (MILWAUKEE) - after 3 straight games where they had 5 or less hits, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games are 32-14 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Brewers to win

DYLAN CEASE (R) vs. JOSE URQUIDY (R)

Both these starters have been reliable of late, and Im betting on them to continue their strong efforts and when needed these strong bullpens will be there to bail them out. 

The White Sox are 0-11 UNDER L/11  after a game as a home favorite in which they scored in fewer innings than their opponent.

CHI WHITE SOX are 14-3 UNDER  vs. struggling speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game this season.

 MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (HOUSTON) - with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.000 or better  over his last 5 starts, with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games are 42-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Yankees starter Michael King(RHP0-3, 3.77 ERA, 28 SO) In three starts since taking the injured Corey Kluber's place in the rotation,  has pitched to a 6.35 ERA with two losses, allowing 10 runs (eight earned) in 11 1/3 innings. Im betting the mighty Blue Jays offense tees off here and brings home the W.

KING is 0-1 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 16.85 and a WHIP of 2.247.

Yankees are 4-9 in their last 13 games as a favorite.Blue Jays are 9-4 in their last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Play on the Blue Jays to win 

The Orioles are 0-18 L/18 on the road and at this price Ill just continue to ride the curse of the Birds. Remember there is no such thing as due for a win.CLEVELAND is 31-9  against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on the Indians to win 

Astros starter GREINKE is 32-8  against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)

The Astros are 15-0 L/15 on the ML as a home favorite after their opponent left 18+ men on base individually last game.

TEXAS is 5-28 against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

MLB team (HOUSTON) - revenging a 3 game sweep at the hands of their opponents, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team is 29-7 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Houston to win

Pittsburgh ha allowed 36 runs in their L/6 games ( 6.00 rpg) and Im betting the bleeding won end today. I know the Nationals offence is sometimes inconsistent but they matchup well here vs the Pirates pitching staff. Also its obvious that the Bucks dont do alot of scoring and or HR hitting but, it must be noted that MARTINEZ is 14-4 OVER  in home games vs. terrible power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game as the manager of WASHINGTON with a combined average of 12.1. rpg scored. The Nationals are 11-0 OVER past the first game of a series vs a team that has lost at least their last three games with a combined average of 14 rpg scored. 

Play OVER

Padres starter SNELL is 0-6  against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. (Team's Record) SNELL is 3-8 (against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) SNELL is 0-7  against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)

The Rockies are 9-0 L/9  when lefty Kyle Freeland starts at home in an afternoon game. Padres are 21-50 in their last 71 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

COLORADO is 15-4 against the money line in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season.

MLB Road teams (SAN DIEGO) - ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings are 12-31 L/24 seasons for a 72/% go against conversion rate.

Play on Colorado to win 

Tigers start Tarik Skubal(LHP3-7, 4.35 ERA, 74 SO)is unbeaten in his last three starts after racking up 25 strikeouts in 17 innings against the White Sox and Yankees. His slider has become an increasingly effective swing-and-miss pitch, coupled with more consistent command of his fastball. He brings great momentum and top tier form into this matchup and gets my support to help the Tigers get the W here today vs a KC side that has lost 10 of their L/11 games overall. 

KANSAS CITY is 0-15  against the money line off 2 straight home losses against division rivals over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Detroit to win 

Phillies starter  Eflin is searching for his first win  has gone 0-4 in his last five start and despite of some brilliance has been generally sub par lately and susceptible to be smacked around by a powerful Dodger batting order and could easily contribute to the Dodgers eclipsing this total all by themselves. Note: EFLIN is 17-4 OVER   as a road underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997. (Team's Record)

LA Dodgers starter  URIAS is 7-0 OVER vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse this season. (Team's Record) as he continues to get run support .  URIAS is 16-1 OVER in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

The Dodgers are 10-0-1 OVER when Julio Urias starts after a quality start in his last start with a combined average of 12.27 rpg scored with no game seeing less than 9 combined  runs scored. 

Play OVER 

As starter Frankie Montas ( RHP 6-6, 4.37 ERA, 73 SO ) took a tough-luck loss against the Royals his last time out, looking unhittable through six innings before an unlucky sequence in the seventh that led to three runs scored. Im betting he continues his current trend of top tier efforts and that this time will result in a W. 

Angels starter HEANEY is 3-15  against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)

OAKLAND is 12-0  against the money line in home games after 4 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. 

OAKLAND is 23-9  against the money line vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season. 

Play on the As to win 

Orioles starter Matt Harvey( RHP3-7, 7.41 ERA, 47 SO)   owns a ugly 11.79 ERA in his L/7 starts ,  with six of them registered as  losses.  Note: The Orioles are 0-16 L/16  on the road and continue to be fade material here today vs the Indians.  

CLEVELAND is 8-0   against the money line in home games after a 3 game span with an OBP of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 29-9  against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons

Play on the Indians to win 

Hyun Jin RyuLHP ( 5-4, 3.34 ERA, 62 SO) hasn't been quite as sharp recently, but he is close to getting back to his ace form and looked great against the Yankees earlier this season, allowing just one unearned run over 6 2/3 innings on April 13. With upward momentum ready to peak he is a prime candidate to get the under rated and explosive Blue Jays into the win column tonight vs a Yankees team that has lost 7 of their L/9.  RYU is 48-16  against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record) RYU is 41-14  against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)

BOONE is 17-36 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 as the manager of NY YANKEES.

MLB Road teams (NY YANKEES) - with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 7 runs or more 3 straight game are 4-35 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate.

Play on the Blue Jays to win 

Nats starter Patrick Corbin( LHP3-5, 6.21 ERA, 48 SO) and  Pirates starting  hurler  Tyler Anderson(LHP3-6, 4.52 ERA, 61 SO) have in general terms been very hittable throwers.  PITTSBURGH is 44-23 OVER  against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 10.1 rpg going on the board.  ANDERSON is 14-2 OVER  on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.7 rpg.  The Nationals are 10-0 OVER L/10 past the first game of a series vs a team that has lost at least their last three games with a combined 14.5 rpg scored with no game seeing less than 10 combined runs scored. 

Play OVER 

Mariners starter GONZALES is 0-2 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 11.58 and a WHIP of 2.251 and according to my pitcher vbs batting order power rankings matches up badly here vs the Twins batting order. Meanwhile Twins Manaea has totaled a season-high 111 pitches in each of his last two starts and despite of being strong in those starts fatigue could easily rare its ugly head in this tilt. 

The Mariners are 10-0-1 OVER L/11 at home off a road game in which they hit more home runs than their opponent.

MINNESOTA is 19-4 OVER  vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season with a combined average of 11.3 rpg scored. MINNESOTA is 22-11 OVER  when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season with a combined average of 10.1 rpg scored. 

These teams have gone over in 8 of the L/10 meetings in this series overall. 

Play OVER

TB starter GLASNOW is 22-7  against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) White Sox success rate vs righties has not been great as is evident by averaging just 4.4 rpg which is a detriment vs a Rays side that has averaged 6 rpg on the road this season. 

 TAMPA BAY is 7-0  against the money line in road games after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season.

The Rays are 12-0 L/12  as a road favorite off a home game in which they used 5+ pitchers.

TAMPA BAY is 13-2  against the money line vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season.

MLB Road teams (TAMPA BAY) - after sweeping a 3 game series at home against a division rival, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.000 or less over his last 5 starts are 34-12 L/ 23 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Rays to win 

Royals starter Keller owns a ugly 7.20 ERA in 6 home starts this season. Meanwhile, Boyd the Tigers starter owns a equally nasty 5.47 ERA in 5 road starts. 

The Tigers are 9-0 OVER L/9 when Matthew Boyd starts when their opponent is on a 3+ losing streak with a combined average of 13.8 rpg scored. 

 KANSAS CITY is 15-5 OVER  in home games in night games this season with a combined average of 10.6 rpg scored. 

MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (DETROIT) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings are 97-44 OVER L/24 seasons for a 69% conversion rate.

Play OVER 

Cubs starter Zach Davies(RHP3-3, 4.45 ERA, 37 SO)    logged six shutout innings to beat the Padres on the road on Tuesday, ending with four strikeouts, two walks and one hit allowed. The righty has a 2.16 ERA in his last eight turns, including five shutout frames in St. Louis on May 23. Considering his form and momentum he is a good bet tonight to help the Cubs into the win column. DAVIES is 16-3 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)  Cardinals are 0-7 in their last 7 vs. National League Central.

Cardinals are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

The Cubs are 10-0  on the ML  past the first game of a series when the opposing starting pitcher has an ERA of higher than 4.00 on the season by an average of 4.4 rpg. (Martinez the Cards pitcher owns a ugly looking 6.21 ERA) Cubs are 12-2 in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

MLB Home teams (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games are 52-19 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win 

MLB underdogs with a money line of +200 or more (TEXAS) - poor offensive team - scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 1 run or less are 1-37 L/5 seasons for a go against 98% conversion rate for bettors. 

Dodgers to win 

As starter Chris Bassitt(RHP6-2, 3.44 ERA, 86 SO) Dating back to the start of the 2020 season, Bassitt is 11-4 with a 2.94 ERA in 24 starts. He has walked just one batter in each of his last four outings. He deserves our support here even with the extra lumber being layed. 

The Athletics are 14-0 L/14 when Chris Bassitt starts as a favorite of at least when they won in his last start. BASSITT is 14-1 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)BASSITT is 10-0  against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Play on the As to win 

Astros starter Luis Garcia(RHP5-3, 2.75 ERA, 68 SO)  has been moving upward with  effective momentum all season, but now that success is showing up in the win column. After an 0-3 start through his first seven games, he's won each of his past five. He has just two homers allowed in his past 29 innings and gets my support here todays vs a Twins side he matches up well against according to my pitcher vs batting order rankings. 

The Twins are 0-10 L/10 on the ML in the second game of a series after they scored in at least four separate innings last game. MINNESOTA is 9-20  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. MINNESOTA is 1-9  against the money line after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs this season. 

Twins are 3-13 in their last 16 vs. American League West.

MLB Road teams (HOUSTON) - good offensive team ( 5.1 or more  runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) (AL), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts with a combined average of 29-10 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate.

Play on the Astros to win 

Pale Hose starter Dylan Cease(RHP4-2, 3.36 ERA, 78 SO)  absolutely dominates the Tigers. He has a 7-0 record with a 1.91 ERA over seven career starts against Detroit, striking out 47 over 42 1/3 innings. Cease has 14 scoreless innings in two wins over the Tigers this season. Rinse and repeat .

Note: Tigers starter :  URENA is 2-19 ( against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record)

MLB Home teams (DETROIT) - AL team with a low on-base percentage (.320 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), with a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season are 87-186 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the White Sox to win 

Halos starter Alex Cobb(RHP4-2, 4.24 ERA, 49 SO)  has pitched well over his last four starts, garnering a stingy   2.25 ERA and 26 strikeouts in 24 innings and in his current form deserves respect here vs a struggling Dbacks side that  has lost 8 straight games.ARIZONA is 2-21   against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season.

 Diamondbacks are 0-6 in their last 6 interleague games as an underdog.

Play on the LA Angels to win 

The Indians are 10-0 L/10 on the ML as a home favorite off a home game in which Jose Ramirez had multiple hits.

Mariners are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. American League Central.

Indians are 4-1 in their last 5 home games. Indians are 8-3 in their last 11 during game 2 of a series.

MLB team (SEATTLE) - terrible offensive team ( 3.6  or less runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 6.20 or more ) (AL), starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 29-61 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate.

Play on Cleveland to win 

Angels have averaged 5.8 rpg this season vs right handers like Smith and they could almost all by themselves eclipse this number. 

The Diamondbacks are 10-0 OVER L/10 at home after a loss as a home dog in which they never led.  ARIZONA is 17-4 OVER  in home games when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

LA ANGELS are 10-1 OVER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

Play OVER 

As starter Cole Irvin(LHP4-7, 3.89 ERA, 50 SO)   bounced back from what had been a rough stretch ,  by tossing six innings of one-run ball in a win over the Rockies his last time out and now with momentum gets my support here vs the Royals.  

The Royals are 0-15 L/15 on the ML as a road dog off a 5+ run road win.

OAKLAND is 36-21 against the money line vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season.OAKLAND is 35-11  against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 3 season.

Play on the As to win 

Brewers starter WOODRUFF is 11-1 UNDER vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WOODRUFF is 11-2 UNDER  against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Im betting he shuts the Pirates down here this evening. Note: Pittsburgh has average just 2 rpg in their L/4 overall. Meanwhile, the Brewers have allowed more than 2 runs just twice in their L/6 games. Everything points to a lower scoring affair.

The Brewers are 0-15 UNDER L/15  when Brandon Woodruff starts when the bullpen allowed more runs than he did in his last start.

Under is 20-7 in Pirates last 27 during game 1 of a series.  

Play on the UNDER 

Tarik Skubal(LHP3-7, 4.33 ERA, 68 SO) pitched well vs the White sox the last time they met, but now after scanning him, Im betting they have an edge against a left handed fast ball hurler. Meanwhile, White Sox starter  GIOLITO is 7-0 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in his career. (Team's Record)

CHI WHITE SOX are 30-4 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Home teams (DETROIT) - AL team with a low on-base percentage (.320 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better ), with a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season are 87-186 L/5 seasons for a 68% go against conversion rate. 

Play on the White Sox to win 

We have two quality hurlers to start this game, but my power rankings suggest the both offenses matchup well against these pitchers. Note: Giants starter  ANTHONY DESCLAFANI  owns a 9.45 road ERA this season.  SCHERZER is 4-5 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.90 and a WHIP of 1.144 WHIP. 

 Over is 5-1 in Giants last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Over is 9-2 in Giants last 11 games as a road underdog. 

SAN FRANCISCO is 13-2 OVER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better this season. 

Play OVER 

 The Red Sox are 7-0 L/7  when Eduardo Rodriguez starts in the last game of a three-game series when they lost the first two games. RODRIGUEZ is 22-6  ) against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

HOUSTON is 19-32 against the money line in road games after 4 or more consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons

Road teams (HOUSTON) - after 4 straight games where they committed no errors, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100  or better over his last 10 games are 29-50 L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Red Sox to win 

Dodgers starter Julio Urias(LHP8-2, 3.48 ERA, 80 SO)   bounced back well following his worst start of the season with five innings of one-run ball against the Braves on Friday. Since the beginning of May, the left-hander has struck out 48 and walked five over seven starts and gets my support here in this spot. 

The Dodgers are 27-0 L27 on the ML in the last game of a series as a favorite of more than -180 after they won by one run last game.

 PITTSBURGH is 3-17  against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. PITTSBURGH is 6-27 against the money line revenging 2 straight home losses vs opponent over the last 3 seasons. 

MLB Home teams (PITTSBURGH) - with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.00 or worse  over his last 5 starts, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 5 games are 17-41 L/5 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

LA DODGERS is 8-0  against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on the LA dodgers to win 

Brewers starter Freddy Peralta(RHP6-1, 2.25 ERA, 92 SO)   came within five outs of a no-hitter last Friday against the D-backs before Nick Ahmed hit a slider below the zone for a single. Peralta's last two starts: 14 1/3 innings, five hits, two runs. Rinse and repeat here and we will back Peralta. 

Reds starter  CASTILLO is 1-9   against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)The Reds are 0-10 L/10 on the ML as a home dog after they had a comeback win last game.

MILWAUKEE is 11-3  against the money line in road games in day games this season

MLB  teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MILWAUKEE) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less ) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA  4.50 or more ), playing on Thursday are 36-15 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Milwaukee to win 

Angels starter Griffin Canning( RHP4-4, 5.82 ERA, 50 SO)   is coming off a rough outing against the Mariners, allowing four runs over 3 1/3 innings. He has an 8.74 ERA over his last three starts and in his current form could contribute this total being  eclipsed  all by himself. The Angels are 11-0-2 OVER L/13 when Griffin Canning starts after they lost in his last start.

A ANGELS are 12-4 OVER at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season with a combined average of 10.8 rpg scored. 

Play OVER

White Sox starter right-hander Lance Lynn  is 6-0 with a 1.38 ERA and a .150 opponents average over his past seven starts. Lynn has 36 strikeouts in his last 39 innings of work and deserves respect here on the M L. LYNN is 23-8 against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

TORONTO is 8-16  against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season.

The White Sox are 17-0 L/17 on the ML as a favorite of at least -140 after their opponent scored first last game.

CHI WHITE SOX are 17-4  against the money line vs. a struggling  bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season.CHI WHITE SOX are 18-4 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season.

Play on the White sox to win 

As starter Sean Manaea( LHP4-2, 3.36 ERA, 70 SO)   pitched a masterpiece in his last time out, throwing a shutout with eight strikeouts against the Mariners. In his last four starts, Manaea owns a 1.69 ERA with 25 strikeouts to seven walks and my support here on a big chalk line.  MANAEA is 10-0 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)ARIZONA is 2-19  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season.

MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (OAKLAND) - after a game without an extra base hit are 52-3 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate. 

Play on Oakland to win 

I know Gibson the ace of the Giants pitching staff takes to the hill today, but the way the Rangers bats have shown inconsistency this season, Im fading them here as run support could easily lead to SF finding a way to win in this spot play. GIBSON is 0-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.000. 

The Rangers are 0-10 SL/10 on the ML past the first game of a series after they scored in at most two separate innings last game.TEXAS is 1-13 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last 2 seasons.TEXAS is 0-9  against the money line in an inter-league game this season.

Play on SF Giants to win 

Chris Bassitt RHP5-2, 3.53 ERA, 80 SOis coming off his shortest start of the season, going just four innings against the Mariners in his last outing and looks vulnerable entering this tilt vs a side the As maybe overlooking.  

ARIZONA is 8-1   against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better over the last 3 seasons.

The Diamondbacks are 11-0  L/11 on the ML in the first game of a series with rest after they allowed 6 or fewer hits last game.

ARIZONA is 26-9 against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the Arizona DBacks to win 

Jays southpaw Robbie Ray (3-2, 3.57 ERA, 69 SO) has pitched well this season, but hes going against a Pale Hose offense that rips apart left handed pitching averaging 6.8 rpg. Advantage White Sox. 

CHI WHITE SOX are 28-4  against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.CHI WHITE SOX are 13-1    against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season.CHI WHITE SOX are 13-1   against the money line in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season. 

CHI WHITE SOX are 17-4  against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season.

Play on the White Sox to win 

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SEATTLE) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 5 games are 10-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate. 

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SEATTLE) - after 5 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings are 19-70 L/24 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. 

Tigers to win ( LATE STEAM)

 Brewers starter HOUSER is 7-16  against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record). 

Reds starter GRAY is 19-8  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GRAY is 19-8  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

The Brewers are 0-9 L/9 off a win as a favorite in which they scored 3 runs or less.

 MLB Road teams (MILWAUKEE) - starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing, ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 15 games are 21-45 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate. 

Play on the Reds to win 

Phillies starter Aaron Nola (RHP4-4, 3.84 ERA, 78 SO)  became the ninth pitcher in Phillies history to record 1,000 strikeouts. He is the third Phils pitcher to reach 1,000 before turning 28 . He continues to be a consistent hurler for the Phillies and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well vs the Braves.NOLA is 17-4 UNDER in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in his career. (Team's Record)Meanwhile, Drew Smyly (LHP 2-3, 5.98 ERA, 43 SO)  will make his second start against the Phillies, and despite of some inconsistent numbers could easily 

The Braves are 0-11 UNDER L/11 as a dog after they did not give up a walk last game . 

Play on the UNDER 

Padres starter Ryan Weathers(LHP2-2, 2.06 ERA, 29 SO)   suffered through his roughest outing as a big leaguer against the Cubs on Tuesday, allowing four runs over five innings. Still, he's been one of the most effective rookies in the sport, and he's allowed four runs, total, in four starts at home and now Im betting he bounces back in a big wauy here at home in Petco where he loves to pitch. The Padres are 7-0 L/7 on the ML as a favorite when they lost the last two games their starter started.

The Cubs are 0-7 L/7 on the ML in the first game of a series with no rest as a road dog after they had a comeback win last game.

CHICAGO CUBS are 22-40 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.

MLB Road teams (CHICAGO CUBS) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 26-54 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Padres to win 

Chris Paddack( RHP2-4, 4.24 ERA, 42 SO) At long last, it's time for Paddack's rematch with the Mets and Pete Alonso. Paddack famously called out Alonso before a start two years ago, and the two didn't square off last year during a COVID-19-shortened season. Paddack had a 3.09 ERA in May. Motivation for Paddock makes him and the Padres my choice in this spot play. NY METS are 14-30  against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 3 seasons. 

MLB team (NY METS) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better ), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 32-97 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the San Diego Padres to win 

Rangers starter Dunning has put up a 2.33 ERA in five home starts where he has pitched his best baseball. Meanwhile, TB defense and pitching has allowed 3 runs or less in 8 of their L/11, and Im betting they once again hold form here vs a Texas side that averages just 3.7 rpg vs a lowly .222 BA at home. 

TEXAS is 12-4 UNDER in home games against AL East opponents this season. 

The Rays are 0-15-1 UNDER L/16  when their starter went less than four innings in his last start.

Play UNDER 

White Sox starter Dylan Cease(RHP3-2, 3.79 ERA, 68 SO) has a proven track record of success against Detroit, as is evident by his  6-0 record with a 2.29 ERA and 37 strikeouts in 35 1/3 innings over six career starts against them. Rinse and repeat here again today. Note: CEASE is 11-1   against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Meanwhile, Tigers starter URENA is 2-18   against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season  in his career. (Team's Record)

The Tigers are 0-17 L/17 on the ML as a road dog coming off a one-run win on the road.

Detroit upset the White Sox yesterday and now Im betting on the Pale Hose to be fully awake in revenge mode here today.

Play on the White sox to win 

Miami has lost 8 straight games and are fade material .The Pirates are 10-0 L/10 on the ML  when Chad Kuhl starts at home when they lost in his last start.

MIAMI is 0-7  against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season this season.

Marlins are 2-8 in the last 10 meetings in Pittsburgh.

MLB Road teams (MIAMI) - ice cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 20 games, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 64-110 L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate.

Play on the Pirates to win 

Orioles starer Lopez Historically has not done well vs the Indians  . His 9.00 ERA against the club is his fourth highest against any team he's gone against. 

Orioles are 17-40 in their last 57 vs. American League Central.

The Indians are 12-0 L/12 on he ML on the road off a road game in which they scored 6+ runs.

MLB Road teams (CLEVELAND) - with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.400 to 1.500 on the season-AL are 48-23 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. 

Play on Cleveland to win 

Dodgers stater Clayton Kershaw(LHP7-4, 3.33 ERA, 77 SO)  has been slightly better on the road this season, going 4-2 with a 3.06 ERA in six starts away from Dodger Stadium. He has struck out 31 over 32 1/3 road innings and gets my support here today. KERSHAW is 7-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 1.77 and a WHIP of 0.934.

MORTON is 0-2 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 5.82 and a WHIP of 1.477.

The Dodgers are 11-0 L/11  on the ML  after they scored in at most two separate innings last game. 

Play on the Dodgers to win 

Im betting on these two long time rivals to keep this combined score on the low side of the offered number. Note: The Red Sox are 0-10 UNDER L/10 when Eduardo Rodriguez starts as a dog when they lost in his last start.BOSTON is 14-4 UNDER  in road games vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. 

 Red Sox stater RODRIGUEZ is 20-7 UNDER  as a road underdog of +100 or higher since 1997. (Team's Record)

NY YANKEES are 16-3 UNDER  when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.

Play UNDER

The Royals are 0-16 L/16 on the ML past the first game of a series as a home dog after they had at least two multiple-run innings last game.

Play on Minnesota to win

Rays hurler Hill is in top form but the Rangers have done fairly well vs the southpaw pitching this season averaging 4.1 rpg. Meanwhile, TB continues to be explosive offensively away from home averaging 6.1 rpg on the road. Rangers starter ALLARD is 0-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.500 (spanning 4 innings of relief).

TAMPA BAY is 7-0 OVER in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season. TAMPA BAY is 11-1 OVER as a road favorite of -110 or higher this season.

The Rays are 13-0 OVER L/13 as a road favorite. 

Play OVER

Rockies starter Jon Gray ( RHP4-5, 3.71 ERA, 50 SO)  is 4-1 with a 2.36 ERA in seven starts at home, and he is 8-1 with a 3.06 ERA against American League teams and gets the nod here vs the As tonight. 

The Rockies are 11-0 L/11 on the ML when Jon Gray starts at home and he had a WHIP of 2+ in his last start in a Rockies lost.

COLORADO is 12-4  against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (COLORADO) - average NL offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a decent AL starter (ERA 4.20 to 4.70), starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 37-16 L/24 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Rockies to win 

Jon Gray the Rockies starter owns a sting  2.36 ERA in seven starts at home, and has also recorded a solid  3.06 ERA against American League teams. Meanwhile,  Montas has pitched well lately garnering a viable .3.24 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill and a 2.50 ERA in his L/3 road starts this season.

The Rockies are 0-12 UNDER L/12  as a dog after they allowed 6 or fewer hits. COLORADO is 17-6 UNDER  in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.5 rpg scored. 

OAKLAND is 13-5 UNDER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored.OAKLAND is 14-5 UNDER  as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season with a combined average of 7.8 rpg scored.OAKLAND is 32-9 UNDER   when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 8.2 rpg scored.

Play UNDER