Dodgers starter URIAS is 13-0   against the money line vs. an NL team with an slugging percentage .400 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) the rpg diff clicks in at +5.2 which easily qualifies on this runline offering. URIAS is 27-4  against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average run per game diff coming in at +3.4. Urias is in top form having garnered minuscule 1..89 ERA in his L/3 starts all wins allowing just 4 ERS in 19 innings of quality work, and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here tonight. URIAS is 6-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 1.59 and a WHIP of 0.781 in his career. 

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA DODGERS) - very good offensive team (5.0 or less  runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better ) (NL), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) are 33-2 L/25 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.6 rpg which qualifies on this ATS ( Run-line) offering. 

Play on the LA Dodgers to win -1.5 

Cleveland (81-67)  holds a five-game lead over the White Sox (76-72) for first place in the AL Central with 14 games left for both teams. Needless to say after losing the opener of this series you can bet the Pale Hose will now be in desperation mode. They need this game, and will leave it all on the filed here tonight making them a viable hungry team to back. 

Chicago veteran Lance Lynn, who has victories in  his past four starts with a 1.03 ERA .Lynn (7-5, 3.99) most recently beat the Guardians in a one-game makeup on Thursday, allowing two runs and six hits in 6 1/3 innings of an 8-2 win in Cleveland. Overall, he's 5-0 with a 1.43 ERA in his past seven starts and gets my support here tonight in a key contest. 

White Sox starter LYNN is 39-17  against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 since 1997. (Team's Record)  LYNN is 45-18 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997. (Team's Record) LYNN is 49-19   against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)

MLB Road teams (CLEVELAND) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL are 187-309 L/25 seasons for a go against  62% conversion rate. 

Play on White Sox to win 

Phillies starter GIBSON is 31-13 OVER  in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.8 rpg scored. GIBSON is 21-7 OVER in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.2 rpg scored. GIBSON is 18-4 OVER in home games in September games in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.6 rpg scored. 

Over is 5-1-1 in Phillies last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

Over is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 interleague home games.

Blue Jays starter Stripling has pitched well for the Jays but according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup all that well vs the Phillies sometimes explosive  batting order. 

TORONTO is 7-0 OVER in road games after a game where their bullpen blew a save this season with a combined average of 13.2 rpg scored.

Over is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 overall.Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 vs. a team with a winning recor

MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or better  over his last 10 games are 36-8 OVER L/25 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Philadelphia.

Play on the OVER 

The Rockies will send Chad Kuhl (6-9, 5.33 ERA) against Jakob Junis (4-6, 4.15) in a battle of righties on Monday night. Junis has faced Colorado twice in his career -- both of them starts -- with a 3.00 ERA in those outings and my projections tell me he matches up well here again in this matchup.

KUHL is 0-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 6.12 and a WHIP of 1.560.

SAN FRANCISCO is 29-15 against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.

KAPLER is 80-37 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of SAN FRANCISCO.

MLB Road teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - after having lost 4 of their last 5 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a bad team (38-46%) are 39-13 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Giants to win

Entering yesterdays action the  Yankees bats are back after a long slump and have now scored 38 runs in their L/5 trips  to the diamonds (7.6 rpg). Im betting they bounce back again in a big way after only 1 run yesterday. Meanwhile the Brewers bats have also come alive scoring 28 runs in their L/5 tilts  entering Saturday and have scored 5 or more runs in 4 of those games. (They scored 4 runs yesterday in their 4-1 win)

Cole  and Alexander  are viable pitchers but my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest the offenses will fair well here.

Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Over is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.

Over is 5-0-1 in Brewers last 6 inter-league home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

MLB Road teams (NY YANKEES) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or worse ) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or better over his last 10 games are 35-8 OVER  L/25 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 

Bradish and Berrios have ERAs over 5.00 during this campaign and the last 6 times these to hurlers have faced each other the total has been eclipsed. Altogether 11 of the 14 meetings in this series have gone over the total and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here today .TORONTO is 25-10 OVER ( in home games after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.8 rpg scored. 

Play OVER 

Bradish’s four-starts against the Blue Jays this season,  has seen him garner a  7.27 ERA in a ugly 17.1 innings of work and Im betting nothing changes today.Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Berrios (10-5, 5.07 ERA) is a stellar 7-0 with a 3.05 ERA in 10 career starts against Baltimore and gives the Blue Jays the edge here today on the hill. Overall the Jays are the better team playing at home with alot of post season future motivations. 

Play on Blue Jays to win 

The pitching matchup for the opening meeting will feature Texas left-hander Martin Perez (11-6, 2.77 ERA) and Rays right-hander Corey Kluber (10-8, 4.36). Kluber was roughed up by the Yankees in his last outing, but he has been a stable presence in the Rays rotation and  is 6-1 with a 3.21 ERA in 10 career starts vs the Rangers and my projections make him a solid fav here today.

Texas starter PEREZ is 3-6 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 5.86 and a WHIP of 1.457.

TAMPA BAY is 32-9  against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.TAMPA BAY is 22-7 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season this season. TAMPA BAY is 20-7  against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season.

MLB road teams (TEXAS) - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 18-62 L/5 season for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Tampa Bay to win

Detroit starter Manning is 0-1 with a 6.43 ERA in five career starts against the White Sox with his team losing all 5 of those tilts. Today Im betting we see a rinse and repeat situation manifest. 

White Sox starter GIOLITO is 22-9   against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) since 1997. (Team's Record)GIOLITO is 33-14   against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)

White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.

White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.

MLB team (DETROIT) - terrible offensive team ( 3.6 or less runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, after scoring 3 runs or less 4 straight games are 14-42 L/25 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate.

White Sox are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Detroit.

Play on Detroit to win 

Rockies starter MARQUEZ is 13-2  against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MARQUEZ is 9-1 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MARQUEZ is 15-3  against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MARQUEZ is 10-1 against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Marquez  is 3-1 with a 2.45 ERA in his last five road starts.

Cubs starter STROMAN is 4-10 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) STROMAN is 2-10  against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. (Team's Record) STROMAN is 1-8 against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record) Stroman is 0-5 with a 7.11 ERA in nine starts at Wrigley Field this season and is fade material in this spot play. 

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHICAGO CUBS) - starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings against opponent starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 30-9 L/5 seasons for a 77% go against conversion rate. 

Play on Colorado to win 

D Lynch the Royals starter owns a 9.22 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill along with an equally ugly 2.048 WHIP allowing 14 ERS including 5 HRS in a 13.7 inning span. My projections estimate that he matches up poorly vs the Twins and should be lit up again. He is 0-1 with a 4.67 ERA in three lifetime starts at Minneapolis. Over is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.

Meanwhile, Bundy the Twins starter owns a 5.25 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill , while allowing 23 hits in 14.3 innings of sub par pitching and is set to be beaten around more than his two previous pitching Twins predecessors in the first two games of this series . BUNDY is 23-11 OVER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.2 rpg scored. 

MLB  teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (KANSAS CITY) - terrible offensive team ( 3.6 or less runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70)-AL, after a loss by 4 runs or more are 31-7 OVER L/25 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

Over is 37-18-4 in the last 59 meetings in Minnesota.

Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.

Play on OVER 

 .

The Pirates send Roansy Contreras (5-4, 3.29 ERA) to the mound in the series finale. The 22-year-old right-hander will be making his 15th start of the season for the Pirates, and second this year against Cincinnati and according to my projections gives the Pirates a edge on the hill. 

CINCINNATI is 12-21 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season.

CINCINNATI is 8-26 against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.

CINCINNATI is 7-23  against the money line after scoring 3 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

MLB team (PITTSBURGH) - poor NL offensive team ( 3.8 or less runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or worse ), after a game where they stranded 3 or less runners on base are 35-15 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Dodgers star hurler and expected starter today KERSHAW is 39-8 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record)

LA DODGERS are 27-7 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season this season.

LA DODGERS are 41-15 against the money line against division opponents this season.

Meanwhile, Kelly the DBacks starting hurler despite of a strong season is off a 6-5 loss in his last out vs San Diego, and has shown some chinks in his proverbial armor of late, by allowing 4 HRs in his L/3 starts.KELLY is also just  0-7 in his career when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 5.85 and a WHIP of 1.567.

Dodgers are 42-13 in their last 55 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Diamondbacks are 10-45 in their last 55 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Diamondbacks are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.

MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA DODGERS) - average hitting team (AVG .255 to .269) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA  3.00 or better ) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) are 59-9 L/25 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win 

Angels southpaw Reid Detmers (5-5, 3.67 ERA) will make his 22nd start of the season on Monday for Los Angeles. He is 1-1 with a 4.15 ERA in two career starts versus Cleveland. Meanwhile, another Left-hander Konnor Pilkington (1-2, 3.99) will make his 10th start (14th appearance) of the season for Cleveland. He hasn't started a major league game since July 23, spending most of the past two months at Triple-A Columbus. (Rust at the MLB level is a factor here)

According to my projections both these pitchers do not matchup well vs the opposing sides batting orders aiding in my synopsis for this tilt to see more runs scored than the offered number from the lines-makers.

Over is 4-1-2 in Angels last 7 overall.Over is 10-4-3 in Angels last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 5-2-2 in Angels last 9 road games.

Over is 7-2 in Guardians last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. 

MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (LA ANGELS) - terrible offensive team ( 3.6 or less runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70)-AL, after allowing 9 runs or more are 31-7 OVER L/25 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

White Sox starter CUETO is 8-14 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

The White Sox clobbered the As yesterday 10-2 out hitting them by a 20-3 count. Note:CHI WHITE SOX are 2-9  against the money line after a game where they had at least 10 more hits than their opponent over the last 2 seasons. Regression now expected by the Pale Hose and a bounce back effort is at hand for a redemption minded As squad. 

MLB Road teams (CHI WHITE SOX) - after a game where they had at least 10 more hits than their opponent against opponent after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base are 15-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (OAKLAND) - after a game where they had at least 10 less hits than their opponent, with a tired bullpen - throwing 13+ innings over the last 3 games are 30-18 L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oakland As to win 

Diamondbacks are 28-64 in their last 92 road games vs. a right-handed starter like the Rockies Urina. Rockies are 39-18 in their last 57 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

Colorado has won 3 straight while the Dbacks have lost 3 straight Im betting on the trend continuing tonight. 

COLORADO is 31-16  against the money line in home games vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse over the last 2 seasons.COLORADO is 31-21  against the money line after 2 straight games where they committed no errors this season.

Diamondbacks are 39-91 in their last 130 road games

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (COLORADO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.20 or worse on the season (NL), in September games are 26-9 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Colorado to win 

Cubs starter Cessa has not faired well against the  Cubs this season allowing five runs, six hits and three walks over 3 1/3 innings spanning four relief appearances. In eight lifetime outings vs. Chicago, Cessa has no decisions and a 6.14 ERA. Im betting the Cubs take advantage of him again today and get us the victory. Note: The righty hurler has allowed five runs  over his L/11 11 innings of his previous three starts including giving up four homers.Cubs are 13-5 in their last 18 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Cubs are 10-4 in their last 14 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win 

Dbacks starter Henry will face the Padres  today and has been in good form away from home of late ,  going  2-0 in his last two road starts, with a 3.49 ERA. He took a bit of beating last time out, but is a quality hurler and Im betting he bounces back. 

Padres Starter DARVISH is 3-8  against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Diamondbacks are 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss.

Padres are 2-6 in their last 8 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.

MLB Home favorites against a 1.5 run line (Money Line =-190 to +175) (SAN DIEGO) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better on the season-NL are 42-101 L/25 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Dbacks +1.5 run-line 

The Phillies dropped two of three against the Arizona Diamondbacks and were then swept by the San Francisco Giants to cap the 1-5 road swing and will now be hungry for redemption and to get their momentum back on a upward swing against a Marlins side that has lost 7 straight games.

PHILADELPHIA is 23-4 SU vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.8. 

MIAMI is 4-23 SU vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season with the average rpg diff clikcing in at -3.1. 

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (MIAMI) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.000 or better  over his last 3 starts are 13-77 L/25 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in a t-2.8 which qualifies on this ATS line offering. 

Play on Philadelphia to win -1.5 

Colorado has scored a total of 8 runs in their L/6 games overall and  are obviously struggling offensively in a big way entering this game against the Milwaukee Brewers. All 6 of those games have gone under the total and more of the same lack of production will help keep this combined score on the low side of the offered number. 

Ryan Feltner the Rockies righty starting pitcher has seen his L/3 trips to the hill go under the total with combined runs of 5 , 4 and 7 combined runs going on the score board. Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Under is 7-2-2 in Brewers last 11 during game 1 of a series.Under is 11-5 in Brewers last 16 road games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.

COLORADO is 18-8 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 2 seasons.COLORADO is 30-16 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Road teams where the total is 11 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 36-8 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road teams where the total is 11 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or less), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start are 71-35 L/25 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Under is 13-5 in the last 18 meetings in Colorado.

Play UNDER 

New York Im betting at least temporarily ends their current slide and  and beat the Tampa Bay Rays when the American League East rivals  conclude a three-game series Sunday afternoon in St. Petersburg, Fla. New acquisition Montas is 2-1 with a 1.87 ERA in six career appearances (five starts) against Tampa Bay and according to my projections gives the Yankees the edge on the mound today. Note:Tampa Bay is expected to begin Sunday with Shawn Armstrong (2-1, 4.72) as its opener before using Ryan Yarbrough (1-8, 4.87) as its bulk reliever.

Play on NY Yankees to win 

MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 35-7 OVER L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rare for bettors.

Play on the OVER 

Pirates starter Contreras, is a young gun that management are high on. In 15 appearances (12 starts) this season, he twice has pitched at least five scoreless innings including his last trip to the hill where he registered a  a 5-0 win Sunday against Philadelphia, striking out seven in five shutout innings of top tier baseball. 

Pitching advantage goes to the Pirates 

The Yankees won five straight after manager Aaron Boone smashed his hand down on the table in the Yankee Stadium interview room following a 5-2 loss to the Toronto Blue Jays on Aug. 20. Since its 3-2 win in Oakland on Aug. 26, New York is 1-5, has scored just 15 runs and gone 3-for-30 with runners in scoring position. Im betting hell broke loose again last night after their game 1 loss to the Rays  in the confines of the lock room and that the Yanks will come out here and get themselves out a late season slump here today with a motivated redemption minded effort. 

Note: Yanks starter Schmidt, New York's first-round pick in 2017, is 1-0 with a 1.59 ERA in four career appearances against Tampa Bay.

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TAMPA BAY) - hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 5 games are 23-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on NY Yankees to win 

Alcantara (12-6, 2.13 ERA) will face Atlanta veteran Charlie Morton (6-5, 4.10) in the opener. With that said, Im betting we have value with a possible Cy Young award winner on the hill here this evening. We know how potent Atlanta is but Alacantra and make the most powerful offenses look mortal. He is fifth in the National League in opponent batting average (.205) and strikeouts (167).He threw his league-leading fourth complete game of the season in his last start, on Aug. 27 against the Los Angeles Dodgers which proves my point.Alcantara has made two starts against Atlanta this season garnering a 2-0 record along  with a minsicule  0.53 ERA, giving up four runs (one earned) with 21 strikeouts over 17 innings. He is 4-1 with a 1.74 ERA in nine career starts and has never allowed a home run to the Braves. 

ATLANTA is 6-14  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better this season.

Play on Miami to win 

The Rays  Jeffrey Springs (6-4, 2.76 ERA) has pitched well lately  but according to my pitcher vs batting order  power rankings the  left-hander does not matchup well here and was roughed up in his latest trip the hill by the Red Sox who smashed him  for five runs on eight hits in six innings. 

I know the Rays are in top form , but now the Yankees after a last season slumber will be motivated and now  Im betting and ready to perform behind a very talented lineup. 

Yankees are 19-7 in their last 26 games following an off day. Yankees are 35-16 in their last 51 during game 1 of a series.

Rays are 2-5 in their last 7 games following an off day.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY YANKEES) - cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 3 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 10 games are 101-66 L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on NY Yankees to win 

Seattles starter CASTILLO is 0-5  against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)CASTILLO is 2-10  against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)CASTILLO is 2-8  against the money line as a road favorite of -125 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Meanwhile, Cleveland's starter is right-hander Zach Plesac (3-11, 4.39 ERA), who  was  winning pitcher last time he faced Seattle going  seven innings and allowing just  three runs last Saturday in Seattle. Im betting on. RINSE and REPEAT situation here and a value line victory. 

Guardians are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Guardians are 10-4 in their last 14 games following a loss.

Play on Cleveland to win 

The Dodgers took the first two games of this series, and now in desperation mode Im betting we see a motivated bounce back effort vs Kershaw and company by the Mets. 

Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. NY METS are 16-3 against the money line after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season.Mets are 24-6 in their last 30 during game 3 of a series.Mets are 12-3 in their last 15 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

 NY METS are 34-17  against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.

MLB Road teams (LA DODGERS) - with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL), after scoring and allowing 4 runs or less last 3 games are 55-108  L/25 seasons for a go against  65% conversion rate for bettors. 

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (LA DODGERS) - after a game where they had 4 or less hits, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less  over his last 5 starts are 20-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on NY Mets to win 

 Arizona has  won seven straight home games against Philadelphia including a come from behind 13-7 victory. 

Arizona  has pushed 45 runs across the plate during their current  five-game winning streak. The Diamondbacks had a season-best 17 hits on Tuesday and more of the same action Im betting is on board this Wednesday vs Phillies starter Falter (2-3, 4.41)  who has struggled to keep the ball in the park, allowing  up 12 homers in just 51 innings of sub par work . ARIZONA is 23-11 against the money line in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons.

 MLB team (PHILADELPHIA) - excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season, after 3 straight losses by 4 runs or more are 12-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Arizona to win 

Paul Goldschmidt looks like a sure bet to win the  NL MVP if he stays healthy down the stretch. He has owned Cincinnati Reds pitcher Mike Minor  during his illustrious  career, going 8-for-14 against the southpaw including  three home runs. His slashline against Minor is absolutely impressive ringing in at .571/.600/1.286.

The Tampa Bay Rays have defeated the Miami Marlins in six straight games and Im betting nothing changes today. Tampa Bay, which leads the American League wild-card race, will start right-hander Drew Rasmussen (9-4, 2.77 ERA) on Wednesday and he matches up very well here vs the light hitting Marlins batting order according to my power rankings.

MLB Home teams (MIAMI) - NL team with a terrible OBP (.300 or less ) against a very good AL starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less ), cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games are 17-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Tampa Bay Rays to win 

Cards starter QUINTANA is 0-5 against the money line as a road favorite of -175 or more in his career. (Team's Record)QUINTANA is 4-13  against the money line in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) The Cardinals  will trot out southpaw Jose Quintana (4-6, 3.45 ERA) to the hill  in the rubber match of the series.  In his last outing  Quintana suffered his first loss with the Cardinals since coming over from the Pirates at the trade deadline. He allowed four runs (two earned) and seven hits over five innings against the Atlanta Braves and Im betting with his momentum broken he continues to get hit around by a Reds side that averages 5.1 rpg vs lefties this season.

CINCINNATI is 13-7  against the money line in home games after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more this season.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CINCINNATI) - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30%, with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL) are 32-23 L/5 seasons. 

Play on Cincinnati Reds to win 

Colorado stater URENA is 2-23 SU vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season in his career (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.9. Jose Urena owns a ugly 10.39 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill and looks like cannon fodder for the explosive Braves. 

Braves starter FRIED is 13-1  against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with average rpg diff recorded at +3.8. 

ATLANTA is 20-2  SU when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season with the rpg diff registering at +2.8 . 

Atlanta is in a rebound mode tonight after two straight losses. Note:ATLANTA is 13-1against the money line after 2 or more consecutive losses this season with average rpg diff clicking in at +3.6. 

MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (ATLANTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 113-20 L/5 seasons with the average run diff clikcing in at +3.3 which qualifies on this ATS line offering. 

Play on Atlanta to win -1.5 

The Nationals will start right-hander Erick Fedde (5-8, 4.88), who will make just his second appearance of August. FEDDE is 21-8 OVER  in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.6 rpg going on the board. 

Left-hander Cole Irvin (6-11, 3.16 ERA) will get the start for Oakland. Irvin lost four consecutive starts before his no-decision Wednesday vs the light hitting Marlins. Cole owns a 4.73 road ERA and according to my pitcher vs batting order matchup power rankings does not matchup well vs the Nationals . I know the Nationals offense has been stagnant but they have a chance to bust out here today giving us value for an over wager to cash. 

Over is 4-1 in Athletics last 5 games following an off day. 

WASHINGTON is 29-13 OVER  in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game in the second half of the season with a combined average of 10.4 rpg scored.Over is 5-2-1 in Nationals last 8 during game 1 of a series. 

MLB Road teams (OAKLAND) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or less  over his last 10 games are 34-7 OVER L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings.

Play over

The host Miami Marlins,  have previously lost five straight games to the in-state rival Tampa Bay Rays and Im betting nothing changes today. It must be noted that in two career starts against the Marlins, Rays starter  McClanahan is 2-0 with a 0.82 ERA. That includes a 4-0 win on May 24 when McClanahan pitched brilliantly with nine strikeouts in six scoreless innings. Rinse and repeat scenario now in play. 

MLB team against a 1.5 run line (MIAMI) - bad NL offensive team (3.8 or less runs/game) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better ), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.00 or worse  over his last 3 starts are 8-33 L/25 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Rays to win -1.5 

Right-hander Tony Gonsolin  has been over powering this season as is evident by  a 16-1 record along with a stingy 2.10 ERA . Im betting he continues to add to his Cy Young award chances here today vs a very inconsistent Miami Marlins side. Advantage on multi run victory for the powerful Dodgers offense . GONSOLIN is 14-1 SU line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.5.

MIAMI is 2-15 SU vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season this season with the average rpg dfff clicking in at -3.5 . 

MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 112-20 L/5 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.3 rpg which qualifies on this run-line offering. 

MLB Road teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (LA DODGERS) - average hitting team (AVG = .255 to .269) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less) -NL, hot hitting team - batting .315 or better over their last 10 games are 37-11 L/25 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on LA Dodgers -1.5 

Odorizzi (5-5, 3.95 ERA) threw a solid six innings in a 2-1 win over the Pittsburgh Pirates in his last time out . He allowed the one run on four hits while striking out seven batters and stopping 14 of the final 15 batters he went against .He is 2-1 with a 2.91 ERA in four career starts against the Cardinals. Cards offensive stars Albert Pujols (0-for-10, three strikeouts) and Paul Goldschmidt (0-for-3, two strikeouts) have  not faired well against the righty. I know the Cards Adam Wainwright has pitched well of late, but this version of the Braves matches up well against him giving us value with the Braves as road dogs. 

Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 10-1 in their last 11 road games.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - on a good fielding streak, 10 straight games with one or less errors against opponent after 5 straight games where they stranded 8 or more runners on base are 46-23 L/25 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Braves are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in St. Louis.

Braves are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.

Play on Atlanta to win 

These teams played two tight games so far in this series with each side squeezing out 3-2 victories. More of the same projected action is now on board giving us value with a runline wager with the As. BOONE is 26-30 SU in road games revenging a one run loss to opponent as the manager of NY YANKEES.

Yankees are 4-10 in their last 14 games following a loss.

Yankees are 6-15 in their last 21 road games.

Yankees are 3-8 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

NY YANKEES are 5-10 SU in road games in day games this season.

NY YANKEES are 5-11 SU vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.90 or worse over the last 2 seasons like Martinez. 

Road teams (NY YANKEES) - after a one run loss against opponent after scoring 4 runs or less 6 straight games are 19-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the As to win +1.5 runline 

Dodgers starter URIAS is 14-1  SU in road games vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +4.1 . URIAS is also  17-2 SU in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.7. 

Miami squeezed by the Dodgers yesterday, but a repeat performance is not on the table here today. Note: MIAMI is 5-16 against the money line after allowing 1 run or less this season.

MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 111-20 L/5 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.2 which qualifies on this run-line offering. 

Play on the LA Dodgers to win -1.5 run-line 

Astros righty starter URQUIDY is 26-9   against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) URQUIDY is 22-7  against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Orioles are 71-162 in their last 233 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

HOUSTON is 51-27  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better over the last 2 seasons like the Orioles starter Kremer. 

HOUSTON is 32-16  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. HOUSTON is 34-15  against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season.

MLB  Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (BALTIMORE) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 15-62 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Houston Astros to win 

The pitching matchups are a toss up, but this is game that favors the Nationals to grab a win based on pitcher vs batting order power ranking projections.

Reds are 2-10 in their last 12 vs. National League East. Reds are 4-9 in their last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter. Reds are 16-39 in their last 55 during game 2 of a series.

CINCINNATI is 10-16  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (WASHINGTON) - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season-NL are 49-22 L/25 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Washington to win 

Rays starter nJeffrey Springs owns a 6-3 record along  with a tight 2.46 ERA and 1.08 WHIP.  The  left-hander is in top form of late as well garnering a   3-0 record while registering  a 1.66 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in his L/4 trips to the hill. Im betting his recent success will continue vs a very inconsistent BoSox batting order. Meanwhile, Rich Hill the Red Sox starter has garnered a 7.20 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill, and on the season, 7.12 ERA at home in 30.3 innings of sub par work. The Rays also according to my own data matchup well against him and the tired looking Boston bullpen. 

BOSTON is 2-12 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season this season.BOSTON is 17-35  against the money line against division opponents this season.

Play on Tampa Bay to win 

The Angels crushed the Blue Jays yesterday by a 12-0 count and  now the Jays will be primed to bounce back after that embarrassing outcome. Note:TORONTO is 15-4 against the money line in home games after a loss by 12 runs or more since 1997.

Note: In two career outings against Toronto, Ohtani is 1-1 with a 5.25 ERA. He took a loss against the Blue Jays on May 26 when he allowed five runs in six innings, though he struck out 10.

I know the Blue Jays starter  Manoah has suddenly gone cold, but this big man still is a top tier pitcher and deserves respect here to help his team get some redemption today. Manoah owns a 1-0 record and a 2.84 ERA in two career starts against the Halos.

LA ANGELS are 7-22  against the money line against AL East opponents this season.

Play on Toronto to win 

NYY starter COLE is 0-4 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) Cole has also struggle of late as is evident by his gone 0-4 record along  with a fairly bloated 4.62 ERA in his last six starts. 

Meanwhile,A's, starter JP Sears (5-0, 1.93 ERA) has gone  2-0 with a 1.76 ERA since a recent trade from the Yankees. Im betting he makes the Yankees wish they never traded him here this evening. 

I know the Yankees blew out the As yesterday but it must be noted that the NY YANKEES are just  8-15  against the money line in road games after a win by 6 runs or more over the last 3 seasons.

MLB Road teams (NY YANKEES) - ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.000 or less  over his last 5 starts are 23-70 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Oakland As to win 

The Braves will open the series by starting Spencer Strider (7-4, 2.95 ERA), who has held opponents to one run in four of his last five starts. Meanwhile, the Braves starter Qintana despite of pitching well overall for the Cards since coming over in a trade, had a bad outing last time out, and   lost the last time he faced the Braves, when he allowed four runs in five innings on June 12 while still with the Pirates. He is 2-2 with an 8.37 ERA in five career starts against Atlanta. Note:  Braves are 42-19 in their last 61 games vs. a left-handed starter.

ATLANTA is 22-6 against the money line in road games in August games over the last 2 seasons.Braves are 20-7 in their last 27 during game 1 of a series.

Play on Atlanta to win 

The Royals will send Kris Bubic (2-8, 5.29 ERA) to the mound in the opener, and the Padres will counter with Joe Musgrove (8-6, 2.91 ERA).  The pitching matchup favors the Padres. Musgrove the San Diego-area native is a first-time All-Star this season, currently holding a career-low ERA, and has delivered quality starts in each of his last three trips to the hill.

Meanwhile, Bubic the Royals starter has struggled at home this season going 1-4 along with a bloated 5.55 ERA in 11 outings, having allowed 54 hits in 48.7 innings of sub par work. 

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (SAN DIEGO) - ice cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 5 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 10 games are 36-6 L/25 seasons for a 86% conversion rate.

MLBt team (SAN DIEGO) - NL team with a poor SLG (.400 or less) against a poor AL starting pitcher (WHIP 1.600 to 1.700), with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) are 32-11 L/25 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the San Diego Padres to win 

The Twins bring a season-worst, six-game losing streak into this tilt t following a 6-3 loss to the host Houston Astros on Thursday night and will be extremely motivated to get back on track with   a victory here this evening. Meanwhile, the Giants are off a 6-1 loss to the Tigers, as their inconsistent play continues. Note: SAN FRANCISCO is 3-15  against the money line after scoring 1 run or less this season.

Rookie right-hander Joe Ryan, who was born in San Francisco, will be motivated to end the Twins' losing streak. Ryan (9-6, 3.86 ERA) recorded  a solid start in his latest trip to the hill ,  vs the Texas Rangers on Sunday, but his team still lost. A better overall result is expected by me today behind the arm of a viable hurler and a desperate side. Note: Giants are 6-22 in their last 28 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Ryan. Giants are also 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Twins are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter lie the Giants stater Wood who owns a 4.64 road ERA in 13 outings this season. 

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, in August games are 73-190 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Twins 

Milwaukee has lost 14 of its past 22 games to plummet six games behind the NL Central-leading St. Louis Cardinals and in their current form look like fade material vs a up trending Chicago Cubs side that have a pitcher on the hill (Steele) who is in top form as is evident by a 0.79 ERA with 33 strikeouts over 22 2/3 innings in four starts this month. 

MILWAUKEE is 4-12  against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season this season.

Cubs are 5-2 in their last 7 road games.

Cubs are 7-3 in their last 10 overall.

MLB Home teams (MILWAUKEE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 52-102 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate.

Cubs are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Play on Chicago Cubs to win 

Tampa Bay visits Boston having won six consecutive games --  which is currently the  longest active streak in the majors including  11 of 13, and a four-game sweep of the Los Angeles Angels this week. The Rays are on a top tier  run, allowing just 16 runs in their last eight games overall with their pitchers having allowed three or less runs in 12 of the past 13 games. Tonight we will tail that momentum vs a struggling Boston side playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum. 

Red Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.

MLB team (BOSTON) - off 2 consecutive close losses by 2 runs or less to a division rival, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 12-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Tampa Bay to win 

Marcus Stroman has thrown the ball quite well for the Chicago Cubs of late, but at home this season he has generally struggled going 0-3 along with a bloated 6.62 ERA. Cubs starter STROMAN is 9-14  against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) After losing yesterday the Cards will be primed for a come back and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well here.

The Cardinals' Dakota Hudson (6-6, 4.33 ERA) is 2-0 with a 3.13 ERA in seven career games against the Cubs, including four starts and gets my support here today. The St.Louis pitching staff owns a 2.12 ERA in their L/15 trips to the diamonds and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation. 

ST LOUIS is 17-4  against the money line in August games this season.ST LOUIS is 26-9  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season.

CHICAGO CUBS are 1-14  against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, in August games are 73-190 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate.

Play on Cardinals to win 

Diamondbacks righty Zac Gallen is in top form and has garnered a  0.92 ERA over his last six starts . He matches up very well against this light hitting Royals side and gives his team an obvious edge in this matchup. Not since  the 3rd week of  July   Gallen has allowed only five runs (four earned) in  39 innings of quality work with opposition batters  registering a lowly .152/.200/.182 slash-line  against  the righty. GALLEN is 6-0  against the money line after giving up 1  or less earned runs in his last 2 outings this season. (Team's Record)

LOVULLO is 13-4  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better as the manager of ARIZONA like KCs starter Singer. 

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more on the opening line  (ARIZONA) - with a slugging percentage of .370 or worse over their last 15 games, in August games are 43-12 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dbacks to win 

 The red hot visiting Cardinals Im betting will grab their 10th victory in 11 games when they face the Cubs on Wednesday night . Im also betting it comes in conclusive fashion. The NL Central-leading Cardinals have hit .310 with 18 homers while averaging seven runs over the last 10 trips to the diamonds. Meanwhile, their pitching staff has a 2.17 ERA with an opposition batting orders  averaging f .178 in the last 12 contests. Rinse and repeat here tonight behid Cards starter  Mikolas who  has given up three runs and  six hits  while going eight innings in each of his last two starts, both wins.

MLB Road favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +130 to -255) (ST LOUIS) - off a win of 10 runs or more over a division rival, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 35-10 L/25 seasons for a 78% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.6. 

MLB  underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line  +110 to +155) (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 17-55 L/5 seasons for a go against  77% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.6 which qualifies on this run-line offering.

Play on the Cardinals -1.5 runline 

White Sox starter GIOLITO is 9-1 OVER  with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.8 rpg scored. GIOLITO is 16-5 OVER   on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GIOLITO is 20-8 OVER  in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 9.7 rpg scored. The Pale Hose righty enters this game with a 7.20 ERA in his L/3 trips to the mound and looks vulnerable to being lit up again vs a sometimes explosive batting order.  . Giolito L/3 outings have all gone over the offered total. 

Meanwhile, Baltimores stater Watkins, owns a 4.35 ERA at home this season in 9 outings, allowing 46 hits in 39 plus innings of work with a low strikeout rate (21). Hitters are making contact consistently and the White Sox are the kind of team that can make him pay for his beachball type offerings. 

Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Over is 15-7-4 in White Sox last 26 vs. a team with a winning record.

Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 9-2-2 in Orioles last 13 during game 2 of a series.

MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (BALTIMORE/CHI WHITE SOX) - in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 54%), playing on Wednesday are 106-54 OVER L/25 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. 

Play on the OVER 

In this  series finale, Atlanta right-hander Kyle Wright (15-5, 3.14 ERA) is scheduled to face Pittsburgh right-hander Mitch Keller (4-9, 4.49). Keller according to my pitcher vs batting order rankings matches up well here vs the Braves giving us the edge on the run-line. 

The Braves won all four games in a home series against Pittsburgh in June and have won the first two this series 2-1 and 6-1 but Im betting on some regression here today. 

ATLANTA is 18-22 against the money line in day games this season. Braves are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.

MLB Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (PITTSBURGH) - allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season (NL), after scoring 1 run or less 2 straight games are 32-5 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate! 

Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 runline 

Dodgers starter GONSOLIN is 13-1   against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record) GONSOLIN is 18-3  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) Brewers are 1-7 in their last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter like  Gonsolin. 

LA DODGERS are 31-9  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season like Milwaukees starter Burnes. Dodgers are  also 39-13 in their last 52 games vs. a starter  with a WHIP less than 1.15. 

Dodgers are 41-13 in their last 54 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

LA DODGERS are 16-4  against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. LA DODGERS are 22-4 against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season. 

MLB Home teams (LA DODGERS) - team with an excellent SLG (.440 or better ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less) -NL, in August games are 38-11 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win 

Right-hander Aaron Civale (2-5, 5.63 ERA) will start for the Guardians Tuesday night against Padres right-hander Mike Clevinger (4-4, 3.63).

On the season, Civale has given up 70 hits in 64 innings with a 1.34 WHIP. Opponents are hitting .277 against him and overall has not pitched well away from home, going 0-2 along with a bloated 7.26 ERA in 31 innings of sub par work. In his current form he is fade material. 

Guardians are 3-8 in their last 11 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.

Guardians are 16-43 in their last 59 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Padres are 10-1 in their last 11 games following an off day.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CLEVELAND) - with a team on base percentage .320 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 15-65 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the San Diego Padres to win 

NYM starter Taijuan Walker (10-3, 3.36 ERA)  is not 100% due to back spasms that caused his exit after two innings on Aug. 16 in Atlanta. There are reports of a bulging disc in his back which is not a good omen for him entering this game. Walker despite of positive win loss record still owns a  ugly  6.97 ERA in his last five starts and against a Yankees team that might be gaining momentum with two straight wins looks like he could face some turbulence tonight. When he leaves this game, he will be backed by an average bullpen.

Meanwhile, Bronx Bombers starter Frankie Montas (4-10, 3.87 ERA), who has a 9.00 ERA in three starts since being acquired  from the Oakland A's, makes another start today. Montas allowed six runs in six innings on Thursday against Toronto in his home debut and according to my pitcher vs batting order rankings does not matchup well vs NY Mets batters. Montas is backed by bullpen that has struggled mightily of late and is looking tired. 

Everything points to a higher scoring affair that eclipses this offered total. 

Over is 12-4 in Yankees last 16 games following a win.

Over is 6-1-2 in Mets last 9 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 15-5-2 in Mets last 22 interleague road games.

Over is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings.Over is 15-5-1 in the last 21 meetings in New York.

NYM starter Taijuan Walker (10-3, 3.36 ERA)  is not 100% due to back spasms that caused his exit after two innings on Aug. 16 in Atlanta. There are reports of a bulging disc in his back which is not a good omen for him entering this game. Walker despite of positive win loss record still owns a  ugly  6.97 ERA in his last five starts and against a Yankees team that might be gaining momentum with two straight wins looks like he could face some turbulence tonight. When he leaves this game, he will be backed by an average bullpen.

Meanwhile, Bronx Bombers starter Frankie Montas (4-10, 3.87 ERA), who has a 9.00 ERA in three starts since being acquired  from the Oakland A's, makes another start today. Montas allowed six runs in six innings on Thursday against Toronto in his home debut and according to my pitcher vs batting order rankings does not matchup well vs NY Mets batters. Montas is backed by bullpen that has struggled mightily of late and is looking tired. 

Everything points to a higher scoring affair that eclipses this offered total. 

Over is 12-4 in Yankees last 16 games following a win.

Over is 6-1-2 in Mets last 9 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 15-5-2 in Mets last 22 interleague road games.

Over is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings.Over is 15-5-1 in the last 21 meetings in New York.

Atlanta is off a hard fought series against the Houston Astros this past weekend and will now be in a natural letdown spot on the road this Monday vs the Pittsburgh Pirates making them vulnerable to being upset in game 1 of this series.

 Atlantas newly acquired starter Odorizzi has made three starts for Atlanta since coming over from Houston on Aug. 1 and is 0-2 along with a  bloated 5.93 ERA. He was smacked around in his last start against the  Mets at home this past  Wednesday, allowing five runs on eight hits in five innings. Im betting Pittsburgh takes advantage of his tired arm in this spot. Pirates are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

PITTSBURGH is 5-1 SU when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season this season.

MLB team (PITTSBURGH) - poor NL offensive team (3.8 or less runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less ), after allowing 9 runs or more 2 straight games are 25-9 L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Home teams against a 1.5 run line (PITTSBURGH) - poor NL offensive team ( 3.8 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less ), after allowing 7 runs or more 2 straight games are 33-9 L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Pittsburgh to win +1.5 runline 

After watching the Yankees find a way to salvage a game from their weekend series with the Blue Jays yesterday I feel their is a momentum edge here taking the Yanks to find a way to pull off another victory and get them selves out of this late season funk. I know The Yanks starter German has looked far from spectacular since his return from the IR, but now I expect after enough innings of work should also be ready to help his team get going in the right direction. Note:GERMAN is 14-2  against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in his career. (Team's Record) Its obvious he pulls in a diff gear in these kinds of tilts at home. I know the Mets will send out top tier hurler Scherzer (9-2, 2.15 ERA) but a we know this Yankees team can make the best of hurlers look bad. 

Mets are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Yankees are 7-2 in their last 9 interleague home games.

Play on the Yankees +1.5 runline 

The Chicago White Sox have seen alot of  low-scoring tilts in recent weeks  as is evident by having  eight or less combined runs scored in 14 of their past 18 trips to the diamonds for a  (.780) conversion rate to the under. Im betting on another low scoring affair as both the White Sox and Royal send pitchers with viable form to the hill. 

The White Sox Kopech in  22 starts this season, has garnered a  3.25 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP. The righty in his his L/ 7  starts, owns a viable a 3.08 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP and top tier  .303 xwOBA, .210 xBA and a .365 xSLG during his current campaign. Add to he has  pitched well vs the  Royals this season, registering a  3.00 ERA and a 1.17 WHP in two quality starts. 

KOPECH is 7-0 UNDER  when playing against a sub par team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 4.3 rpg scored. KOPECH is 11-3 UNDER  vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.4 rpg scored. 

Meanwhile, Royals starter Lynch has been up-trending lately recording a  3.18 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP in his last 8 starts. In two starts against Chicago, Lynch is 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA and a 0.90 WHIP and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here in what promises to be a constipated offensive output by both sides. 

MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor power team - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game on the season, after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 62-33 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate.

Under is 6-0 in White Sox last 6 during game 1 of a series. Under is 7-2 in Royals last 9 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Under is 20-7-1 in the last 28 meetings.Under is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings in Kansas City.

Play UNDER

Todays Im going to back a potential Cy Young award front runner in this tilt featuring the visiting Marlins vs the LA Dodgers.  The Marlins stater Sandy Alcantara  owns a stingy  2.78 xERA, and  is allowing   a .243 xwOBA,  with opposition batting orders garnering  a lowly .209 xBA against  the strong righty. Meanwhile, the Dodgers will replay with inexperienced R Pepiot. The Dodgers right hander has made just  six starts in the the big leagues  and despite of no losses,  recorded a sub par  5.03 xERA, a 7.11 BB/9 rate, and 1.77 HR/9 rate. These are obviously not good numbers, and even the light hitting Marlins look capable of doing some damage here against him. 

The Dodgers are a great team and own a consistent offense so they are always dangerous, but Im betting Alacantara can keep them in this game and they could possibly steal it. 

Marlins are 10-3 in their last 13 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.Marlins are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. National League West.Marlins are 12-5 in their last 17 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

MLB team against a 1.5 run line (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher who is undefeated after 5 or more starts, starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing are 25-56 L/22 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Miami +1.5 

Seattles starter CASTILLO is 3-9  against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CASTILLO is 5-9 ) against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Athletics are 7-3 in their last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Meanwhile, As new acquired pitcher Sears has been impressive in two starts for the A's, allowing two runs and seven hits over 10 1/3 innings. The southpaw is    of a five inning  shutout performance  on the road against the Texas Rangers in a 5-1 win on Tuesday. The kids got a good slider and Im betting he gives the Mariners all they can handle. 

Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -175 or more (SEATTLE) - cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games are 22-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 57% conversion rate with a average 0.2 rpg diff which qualifies on a run-line offering. 

Play on Oakland  to win 

The Royals Zack Greinke has not pitched well on the road this season where he has garnered a 0-6 record along with a  bloated 6.48 ERA and 1.600 WHIP . My projections once again see a non quality start and a situation where the home side has the edge.

The Royals as a team have generally  not played well away from home and   are 5-16 in their last 21 road games. I know the Royals found a way to win on Friday  , by a score of 3-2  but lost yesterday by a 5-2 count and  todays outcome Im betting will be similar to yesterdays Rays victory. Meanwhile, the Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 4 of a series. Rays are also 7-3 in their last 10 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game

Royals are 16-35 in their last 51 games on astroturf.Royals are 19-42 in their last 61 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Royals are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay.

Royals are 8-19 in the last 27 meetings.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (KANSAS CITY) - with a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher who is winless after 5 or more starts are 25-57 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Tampa Bay to win 

Right-hander Logan Gilbert (10-5, 3.51) is the scheduled starter for the Mariners,. The  southpaw is winless in his last seven starts overall, during which his ERA has gone up from 2.61 to 3.51 and Im betting he continues to regress. The predominately fast ball hurler has a very significant hard hot rate and Im betting he gets lit up more than the lines-makers estimate here today. Meanwhile,  A's right-hander James Kaprielian (3-7, 4.33 ERA) goers to the hill knowing he owns a  5.40 ERA in eight games, including five starts, in his career against the Mariners. He registered a  xERA ( 4.79)  and a xFIP ( 5.13). He is also predominately a fastball pitcher something the Mariners offense excels against +16.7 rv). Everything points to total being eclisped. 

MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (OAKLAND) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 55-20 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

Rasmussen (7-4, 2.80 ERA) had a bid for a perfect game last time he took to the hill and enters this game in top form. In three career outings (one start) vs the Royals, Rasmussen is 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA . He defeated the Royals   on July 22 in Kansas City when he threw five innings of one-run ball in a 7-3 win. Meanwhile, the Rays offense will go against  left-hander Kris Bubic (2-7, 5.11 ERA). Advantage Tampa Bay -1.5. 

Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter like Rasmussen. Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (KANSAS CITY) - allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 2 runs or less are 107-21 L/5 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.4 which qualifies on this ATS run-line offering. 

Royals are 3-9 in the last 12 meetings in Tampa Bay.

Play on Tampa Bay Rays to win 

The Cubs pitchers have been in top form garnering a  2.98 ERA since the All-Star break .  Cubs starter Marcus Stroman in  his last seven trips to the hill has been solid as is evident by registering a 2.21 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP along with 33 strikeouts in 36.2 innings of top tier work and has owned  the Brewers during this current campaign recording a  0.75 ERA in 12 innings . Im betting on him having another strong outing vs a very inconsistent Milwaukee offense. 

Cubs offense meanwhile, has strong momentum on their sides averaging  five runs per game in their L/11 tilts and matchup well vs Brewers starter Peralta  . The righty has not gone past 5 innings since returning from IR and according to my power rankings does matchup well vs this up-trending Cubs batting order. 

MILWAUKEE is 2-10 SU vs. an NL team with an slugging percentage .400 or less in the second half of the season this season.MILWAUKEE is 3-11 SU vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season this season.MILWAUKEE is 1-6 SU in road games in August games this season.

Brewers are 1-5 in the last 6 meeting.

Play on the Cubs +1.5 on the runline 

The Yankees offense has sputtered of late as is evident by  having been blanked five times in their last 13 games and have been held to three runs or less 12 times in the past 15 trips to the diamonds. Today here against Toronto starter White, who is set to make his third start since being acquired from the Los Angeles Dodgers at the trade deadline. The Jays new starter has allowed four runs and nine hits in 9 1/3 innings , against the Minnesota Twins and Cleveland Guardians. Im betting he will continue to uptrend here vs the slumping Yanks offense. Meanwhile, Yanks starter Cole has allowed one run on nine hits in 13 innings over his past two starts and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well vs the Jays . I know the Yanks bullpen has looked tired lately but Im betting on Cole going deep and helping keep the combined score on the low side of the Totals offering.

Under is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 3-1-1 in Yankees last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Under is 7-2 in Yankees last 9 vs. American League East.Under is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Play 
UNDER

Arizona has won eight of its past 12 games and is fresh off a four-game road split against the San Francisco Giants and off a win yesterday and deserve respect here getting runs vs the Cards who easily be in a letdown mode after an extended home stand . 

Note: Left-hander Tommy Henry (2-1, 4.15) will make his fourth career start for the Diamondbacks. The  southpaw won his last two outings and is in top form. 

ST LOUIS is 1-8 SU in road games after 4 or more consecutive home games this season

MLB underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line  165 to -135) (ARIZONA) - after allowing 2 runs or less 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 8 runs or more are 29-5 L/22 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Dbacks to win +1.5 runline

Giants starter WOOD is 5-11  against the money line in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record)

The Giants have struggled to find consistency most of the year, and that was on full display yesterday vs Arizona as they lost 5-3. More of the same sleepy action in Colorado tonight. 

Giants are 4-11 in their last 15 games following a loss.Giants are 3-9 in their last 12 road games.Giants are 8-20 in their last 28 vs. National League West.

COLORADO is 11-1  SU in home games after scoring 4 runs or less 4 straight games over the last 2 seasons. COLORADO is 7-0  SU in home games after scoring 4 runs or less 5 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (COLORADO) - allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season (NL), after scoring 1 run or less 2 straight games are 31-5 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Colorado Rockies to win 

Astros starter MCCULLERS JR. is 8-13   against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record)

Atlantas starter WRIGHT is 14-0   against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record)

Houston exploded for 21 runs yesterday in a win vs the Chicago White sox. Im expecting big regression here vs a viable side in tonight matchup in Atlanta. Note: HOUSTON is 0-6  against the money line after scoring 10 runs or more this season.

ATLANTA is 18-7 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Road teams (HOUSTON) - after a game where they had at least 10 more hits than their opponent against opponent after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base are 13-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Atlanta to win 

White Sox starter Lynn has been in decent form lately, but   the  last time he faced  the Guardians in Cleveland, he allowed eight runs on nine hits in just ugly four innings of sub par work. Lynn has also not pitched well on the road this season as his  is 0-3 record along  with a 7.46 ERA in five away starts  would indicate. If he fails, he has an exhausted and ravaged bullpen to back him. Note: Yesterday the Astros put 21 runs on the board against the White Sox. Meanwhile, McKenzie, the Guardians starter  owns a  0-2 record along  with a nasty 7.28 ERA in eight career appearances (seven starts) vs. Chicago. Yes he pitched decently against them this season, but according to stat regression charts I keep the sometimes powerful Pale Hose batting order should catch up to him in this matchup. 

CHI WHITE SOX are 16-7 OVER vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better this season with a combined average of 10.9 rpg scored. Over is 16-6-4 in White Sox last 26 vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 3-1-1 in White Sox last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

CLEVELAND is 13-5 OVER  after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season with a combined average of 8.9 rpg scored. 

Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.

Play OVER 

Torontos starter GAUSMAN is 11-3  against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Toronto is within nine games of the Yankees, the closest the Blue Jays have been since they also trailed by nine on June 15. Needless to say this is a big game and series for them. Expecting the Blue Jays to leave everything on the filed here this weekend and at least open this series with a win.

TORONTO is 9-3 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TORONTO) - off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher against opponent off a loss by 6 runs or more to a division rival are 30-7 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate.

Play on Toronto Blue Jays 

 Milwaukee despite of offensive production problems showed some life this week in a series vs the Dodgers , and yesterday homered three times and pulled out a 5-3 home victory to salvage a four-game split with the powerful Los Angeles Dodgers. Now with momentum on their sides Im betting they find a way to get the win in Chicago this afternoon. 

COUNSELL is 15-6  against the money line in road games after batting .175 or worse over a 3 game span as the manager of MILWAUKEE.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (MILWAUKEE) - with a slugging percentage of .370 or worse over their last 15 games, in August games are 30-8 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Milwaukee to win 

San Francisco Giants starter WEBB is 13-0 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)WEBB is 21-3   against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  Arizona starter GALLEN is 1-4 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 4.69 and a WHIP of 1.261.

LOVULLO is 19-57  against the money line in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better as the manager of ARIZONA.

Diamondbacks are 17-56 in their last 73 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Giants are 9-1 in their last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.

SAN FRANCISCO is 19-2  against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons.

Play on San Francisco to win 

Brewers are 8-1 in their last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter like the Dodgers starter   T. Gonsolin. MILWAUKEE is 33-17 SU vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 2 seasons.

Note: Brewers starter Lauer owns a 6-0 record when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.56 and a WHIP of 1.101 and is currently in top form recording a 4-1 record and a  2.65 ERA at home  this season.

I know the Dodgers have been hot but the value here on the moneyline is out standing and worth taking on a bet with the Brewers. 

 . 

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win 

Scherzer (8-2, 1.93 ERA) will be opposed by Atlanta right-hander Jake Odorizzi (4-4, 3.80) on Wednesday. Scherzer did well against the Braves earlier this season, but you can bet the Braves are now better prepared for the right hander and motivated for revenge. Note: Braves are on a 8 game winning streak and have strong positive momentum on their sides. 

NY METS are 2-11  against the money line vs. teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game over the last 3 seasons.

ATLANTA is 54-25  against the money line in night games this season.

MLB Home teams (ATLANTA) - team with an excellent SLG (.440 or better ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less) -NL, in August games are 35-10 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Atlanta to win 

The Yankees are in a 2-11 skid and are 8-17 since registering a 64-28 record at the All-Star break and are fade material in their current form. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay has outscored its opponents 19-4 during a four-game winning streak and matchup well here according to my pitcher vs batting order  power rankings vs NYY starter German, Note: German despite of a a  3-1 record has still put together a bloated  6.40 ERA in eight career appearances (six starts) against the Rays. 

TAMPA BAY is 50-18  against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons.

NY YANKEES are 13-22 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. NY YANKEES are 11-21 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less  errors/game in the second half of the season this season. NY YANKEES are 1-7  against the money line in home games off 3 straight losses against division rivals over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Home teams (NY YANKEES) - off 3 straight losses vs. division rivals, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 20-48 L/5 seasons for a go against  71% conversion rate.

Play on Tampa Bay to win 

Garrett Hill the Tigers starter has struggled on the road this season, going 0-3 along with a 7.80 ERA. Im betting he gets blasted again vs a Cleveland Guardians side that has won 9 of their L/11 overall .

The Tigers are averaging just 2.8 rpg via a ugly .212 BA on the road this season.

Note: Guardians starter PLESAC is 4-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 2.16 and a WHIP of 0.908.

CLEVELAND is 30-8  against the money line as a home favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by an average of 2.2 rpg which qualify on this runline offering. 

Tigers are 14-43 in the last 57 meetings in Cleveland.

Play on Cleveland -1.5 

White Sox starter CUETO is 15-4 OVER   in home games in August games in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.2 rpg scored. CUETO is 26-11 OVER (+14.8 Units) in home games vs. poor base-running teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 9.5 rpg scored. 

Cueto has given up 21 hits over 14 innings in two starts this month and Im betting Astros batting order lights him up and helps us eclipse this total. 

Over is 5-1 in Astros last 6 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Over is 3-1-1 in White Sox last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

I know the Astros starter J. Urquidy has been hot but it must be noted that the CHI WHITE SOX are 11-3 OVER  in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season with a combined average of 12.2 rpg scored. ( Astros starter J. Urquidy qualifies) 

Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.

MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (CHI WHITE SOX) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 55-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. 

Play OVER 

Blue Jays Left-hander Yusei Kikuchi (4-6, 5.13 ERA) is scheduled to start for Toronto on Monday. He is 1-3 with a 6.14 ERA in four career starts against the Orioles.

KIKUCHI is 2-7 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Orioles are 11-3 in their last 14 games vs. a left-handed starter. Orioles are 20-7 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.

Tonight Im betting the under rated Orioles have success against the Jays starting hurler and tired bullpen  and help get us an underdog win. It must also be noted that Jays star slugger Vladimir Guerrero Jr. was 0-for-4 with an RBI on Sunday to end his hitting streak at a career-best 22 games. In his past six games, he is 5-for-26 and this to me a fore bearer for bumpy road for the streaky Jays . 

Play on Baltimore to win 

The Padres, who are coming off a 6-0 win over the Washington Nationals on yesterday and will start right-hander Joe Musgrove (8-5, 2.91). The Padres are 13-7 this year when starting Musgrove. The right hander  leads Padres starters in ERA, has 15 quality starts out of his 20 appearances. MIAMI is 3-11  against the money line in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. MUSGROVE is 3-0 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 2.19 and a WHIP of 1.135 and his team has won all 4 starts. 

Meanwhile, the Padres' heavy-hitting lineup now in top form are well prepared   to  face Marlins right-hander Sandy Alcantara (10-5, 2.01 ERA), the favorite to win the National League Cy Young Award.

MIAMI is 0-10  against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

MIAMI is 4-16  against the money line in home games in the second half of the season this season. MIAMI is 3-17 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (SAN DIEGO) - with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 5 games against opponent with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games are 28-12 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on San Diego Padres to win 

After losing yesterday the Twins have now lost 4 in a row and 4 of their L/5 on the road and are fade material in their current form. Twins are 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter like the Halos  Davidson. 

Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (LA ANGELS) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or better) -AL, starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings are 29-13 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on LA Angels to win 

The recent performances of Bassitt (9-7, 3.39 ERA) and Wheeler (11-5, 2.63) project to a lower scoring affair here today between visiting Milwaukee and their hosts the St.Louis Cardinals.  In four starts during August , these two top tier hurlers have  combined for a  4-0 record along  with a minuscule  0.64 ERA and 27 strikeouts in 28 innings. Im betting on both starters to go long and strong here and for the combined score of this tilt to stay on the low side of the totals offering.  

Note: Bassitt is 1-0 with a 1.54 ERA in two career starts against the Phillies. Wheeler,  , is 4-2 with a 2.48 ERA in 10 starts against his former club.

ST LOUIS is 13-4 UNDER  vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 7 rpg scored. 

Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 overall. Under is 4-1-1 in Mets last 6 home games.

Under is 13-6-2 in the last 21 meetings.

Under is 11-5-1 in the last 17 meetings in New York.

Play UNDER

Right-hander Shane Bieber (7-6, 3.21 ERA) will be Cleveland's starting pitcher on Sunday. He is 2-1 with a 4.38 ERA in four career starts against Toronto and my projections tell me he matches up well here against the Blue Jays batting order.The Guardians have moved into first place in the American League Central with their recent surge and now with momentum on their sides are a team that must be respected especially on a value underdog offering. 

Jays starter GAUSMAN is 3-10  against the money line in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GAUSMAN is 9-20   against the money line against AL Central opponents in his career. (Team's Record)

Blue Jays are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.

Blue Jays are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.

CLEVELAND is 10-3  against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season this season.Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.

Guardians are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Play on Cleveland to win 

 Cards are playing better ball than the Brewers at this time, but this matchup favors the Brewers. Note: Cards starter Wainwright has gone 0-2 with a 7.07 ERA in three previous outings against the Brewers this season.

ST LOUIS is 3-15  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better this season like Brewers starter Burnes  (8-5, 2.45 ERA). Cardinals are 6-20 in their last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Burnes. 

MILWAUKEE is 49-29 against the money line in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better over the last 2 seasons.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, in August games 64-168 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win 

Seattle left-hander Marco Gonzales (7-11, 3.98 ERA) will look to record his second straight victory when he takes the mound on Saturday. Im betting he is in good enough form to help his team get the W here vs the Rangers. Note: Texas starter DUNNING is 0-8  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. (Team's Record)

The Mariners posted their ninth straight win vs. the Rangers and the 12th in 14 meetings this season with a 6-2 victory in the series opener on Friday. Rinse and repeat on board for Saturday is my bet.  . 

Mariners are 14-3 in their last 17 during game 2 of a series.Mariners are 22-5 in their last 27 vs. a team with a losing record.Mariners are 11-3 in their last 14 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Mariners are 10-3 in their last 13 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Mariners are 20-6 in their last 26 road games.

SEATTLE is 21-7  against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons.

WOODWARD is 16-33  against the money line vs. an AL team with an slugging percentage .400 or worse in the second half of the season as the manager of TEXAS.

Rangers are 2-10 in their last 12 home games.Rangers are 2-14 in their last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Play on Seattle to win 

The Dodgers have won 11 straight games all by at least 2 runs and Im betting nothing changes tonight. 

MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher LIKE HEANEY whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 109-18 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate with the average rpg dif clicking in at +3.3 which qualifies on this Run-line offering. 

Play on the LA Dodgers -1.5 runline 

NY METS are 9-0 against the money line off a loss to a division rival as a home favorite this season.NY METS are 17-1  against the money line revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite this season.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (NY METS) - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season, after scoring 1 run or less are 54-7 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. 

Colorados righty starter Senzatela is 3-9 with a 5.80 ERA in 20 career games (16 starts) against the Diamondbacks and Im betting he gets lit up again here today vs the under rated visitors.Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. Diamondbacks are also 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Rockies are 8-20 in their last 28 during game 1 of a series. Rockies are 2-7 in their last 9 vs. National League West.

Play on Arizona to win 

Dodgers starter GONSOLIN is 23-4  against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a average rpg diff +2.6. 

Dodgers are red hot having won 10 straight games, with all the victories coming by 2 or more runs and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation today vs the Royals. 

LA DODGERS are 18-1  SU vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season average rpg diff clicking in at +3.2 . LA DODGERS are 26-4 SU vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season with the average rpg diff of +3.1. 

MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 109-18 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate .

Play on the LA Dodgers to win 

Marlins right-hander Pablo Lopez (7-7, 3.57 ERA) will go to the hill in the series opener against Braves right-hander Jake Odorizzi (4-4, 3.76).Odorizzi is 3-1 with a 3.41 ERA in six career starts against the Marlins.Lopez has had problems  in his career against the Braves. He is 3-6 with a 5.70 ERA in 12 career starts versus Atlanta.

Braves are 9-3 in their last 12 during game 1 of a series.Braves are 39-14 in their last 53 vs. a team with a losing record.

Marlins are 1-9 in their last 10 home games. Marlins are 0-6 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

Braves are 67-32 in the last 99 meetings in Miami.Braves are 51-23 in the last 74 meetings.

Play on Atlanta to win 

Cleveland starter Plesac is 0-4 L/4 overall  with a 7.04 ERA and a 1.78 WHIP. He has also struggled against the Tigers in the recent past  past as is evident by his last  four outings against Detroit, Plesac has garnered a    a 4.22 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP and Im betting things don't change here today. Meanwhile,Right-hander Garrett Hill goes to the hill   for Detroit. This kid in  six starts ,  is 2-3 with a 5.12 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP and according to my power rankings does not matchup well vs the Guardians batting order leading me to a projection of +9 runs games going on the board when incorporating bullpen activity. 

CLEVELAND is 37-23 OVER vs. AL teams scoring 3.9 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 9.5 rpg scored. 

CLEVELAND is 13-4 OVER  after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season with a combined average of 10 rpg. 

Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter like the Braves Pivetta . Braves are 8-17 in their last 25 vs. American League East.

BoSox starter PIVETTA is 6-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.93 and a WHIP of 1.267. He has won his most two recent starts vs the Braves. 

Red Sox are 102-44 in their last 146 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter like Wright. Red Sox are 77-34 in their last 111 vs. National League East.

Wright took the loss earlier this season vs Boston 9-4 and is fade material here vs the Red Sox today in Fenway. 

MLB team (ATLANTA) - NL team with a poor OBP (.310 or less) against a good AL starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 to 1.350 or less ), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start are 19-44 L/25 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate.

Play on Boston Red Sox to win 

Clevelans starter Civale put forward one of his best outings of the season against Detroit on May 20. He didn't allow an earned run in 6 1/3 innings  Civale has owned the Tigers in his career going  7-0 in eight   starts against the Tigers with a 1.94 ERA and 0.79 WHIP. He's been really hard on Willi Castro (1-for-17), Jonathan Schoop (1-for-15) and Miguel Cabrera (2-for-16). More of the same action is on board today for at least the amount of time he pitches with his capable bullpen waiting to clean up after him. Meanwhile, Tigers starter Hutchison is 1-1 with a 6.85 ERA in six career outings against the Guardians.

CIVALE is 12-5  against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

DETROIT is 11-34 against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Cleveland to win 

The Yankees looked asleep at the proverbial wheel last night in a 13 inning loss to the Mariners that featured base running mistakes and consistent brain farts all night long. There is some good news from last nights 1-0 loss, and that is the Yanks should be very awake for this tilt and ready for redemption. Motivational factors as well as a pitcher vs batting order power ranking suggests the Yanks starter Cortez has an advantage vs a now struggling Mariners starter Ray who has garnered a ugly  7.81 ERA run in his L/3 and a 0-3 record in his L/3 vs the Yankees .

Yankees are 39-15 in their last 54 games vs. a left-handed starter like Ray. 

RAY is 22-35 against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 in his career. (Team's Record)

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SEATTLE) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 runs/game or less) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33. or less ), with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP  2.000 or worse over his last 3 starts are 9-33 L/25 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

. Right-hander Jakob Junis (4-3, 3.05 ERA) will start for the Giants against Padres left-hander Sean Manaea (6-6, 4.74).

Padres starter  Manaea,   is struggling mightily entering this tilt vs the giants . His last start  he gave up eight runs on 10 hits and a walk in just four innings vs the Dodgers and is fade material in his current form. Meanwhile, Giants starter Junis also took  the loss in his last start against the Dodgers on Thursday, giving up three runs on five hits and two walks in 3 2/3 innings but in his previous two starts ,  he allowed just  one run on eight hits and two walks with six strikeouts in 8 1/3 innings. The Giants are 6-4 when Junis starts. He has a 1.097 WHIP and a .230 opponents' batting average and deserves respect here in the underdog role. 

Giants are 43-21 in their last 64 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Padres are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. National League West.

Play on SF Giants to win 

Neither of these teams inspire bettors, but  Im betting we have a value edge here backing the As and righty Paul Blackburn their starting pitcher. The As hurler after a fast start to his season, has slowed down lately, but  did notch a win last time out, and my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest he matches up well here vs the Halos. Note: Angels are 4-11 in their last 15 road games vs. a right-handed starter. NoteBlackburn is 2-0 along with a .2.74 ERA in 4 career starts vs the Halos with all the games ending in Athletics win. Rinse and repeat scenario now on board.

Athletics are 8-3 in their last 11 vs. American League West.Athletics are 10-4 in their last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter like the Angels Sandoval. 

Play on Oakland to win 

Yankees hurler Cole has garnered a 7.00 ERA in his L/3 starts and his L/3 starts vs the Mariners have all gone over with the average rpg average clicking in at 11.7 rpg. Mariners expected starter Castilo owns a 3.64 ERA at home with 2 of his L/3 vs the Yankees going over the total, with the combined average of his L/3 starts logging in at 10.33 rpg -(10, 8, 13) combined runs. Im betting on at least 8 runs going on the board in this tilt . 

NY YANKEES are 15-3 OVER  vs. an AL team with a batting average of .265 or worse in the second half of the season this season. Over is 4-0-1 in Yankees last 5 vs. American League West.

Over is 11-1 in Yankees last 12 games following a win.Over is 14-2 in Yankees last 16 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

SEATTLE is 19-7 OVER  when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons. Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Over is 5-0-2 in Mariners last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 5-1-2 in Mariners last 8 overall.Over is 5-1-2 in Mariners last 8 on grass.Over is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (SEATTLE) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA  3.75 or better ), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 53-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Seattle.

Play OVER 

 The Astros right-handed starter  Jose Urquidy (10-4, 3.62 ERA)  is off a top tier effort last time out pitching seven scoreless innings Wednesday in a 6-1 victory vs the Boston Red Sox, allowing two hits while garnering 10 strikeouts in what was his ninth consecutive quality start.Urquidy is 5-1 with a 2.29 ERA and .492 opposition' OPS during that nine-start stretch, with 47 strikeouts against 12 walks. Note: Urquidy is 4-0 with a 2.04 ERA over six career starts against the Rangers. He is 1-0 with a 2.84 ERA in two starts against Texas and gets my support here again today vs instate rivals the Rangers. 

URQUIDY is 21-6  against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) URQUIDY is 25-8  against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

TEXAS is 18-48  against the money line in road games with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent over the last 3 seasons.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (HOUSTON) - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season, after scoring 1 run or less are 53-7 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. 

HOUSTON is 16-3 against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons at home in Houston. 

Play on Houston to win 

The Phillies will go with Zack Wheeler (10-5, 2.69 ERA) on the hill  Tuesday. In his last start against the Atlanta Braves, Wheeler allowed five hits and one run in seven innings.Wheeler is 9-4 with a 2.45 ERA in 18 career starts against the Marlins and gives the explosive Phillies an edge. 

The Phillies clubbed 14 home runs in their four-game weekend sweep over the Washington National and are in top form offensively making them viable runline candidates here today vs the usually light hitting Marlins. 

MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (PHILADELPHIA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 107-18L/5 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.2 which qualifies on runline action. 

Play on Philadelphia to win -1.5 runline