Phillies starter Wheeler is 0-3 with a 6.53 ERA in his last three starts and in his current form is fade material. His young pitching opponent from the Nationals Gray has worked at least five innings and allowed more than three runs only once in five starts in the month of August.

PHILADELPHIA is 16-22  against the money line as a road favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons.

MLB team (WASHINGTON) - average hitting team (AVG .255 to .269) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better ) -NL, with a starting pitcher who is winless after 5 or more starts are 29-14 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on The Washington Nationals to win 

Cincinnati's grasp on the National League's second wild-card slot is not a strong one and they need to get going here or fall by the way side as the post season stretch continues. With that said, Im expecting a big effort from the Reds here at home where they play their best baseball ( averaging 5.5 rpg in offense). 

The Cardinals are 0-19 L/19  as a road dog of more than +130 when facing a starter they lost to in their last same-season meeting. Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.Reds are 24-7 in their last 31 games as a home favorite.

CINCINNATI is 36-22 against the money line against division opponents this season.

Cardinals are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.Cardinals are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win

Yankees left-hander Jordan Montgomery (5-5, 3.69) and A's righty Paul Blackburn (0-1, 4.09) are the scheduled starters in the season-series finale. Yesterday the As snapped the NY Yankees 13 game win streak, and Im betting they find a way tonight to spilt this series with a victory. 

Note: NYY starter Montgomery  is over rated  according to my power rankings and has problems vs  righty batters  (.306 wOBA), and his career statistics  provide the same metrics of comparison( .310 vs. righties- vs.246 vs Lefty hitters). Considering the Athletics have been one of the most successful offenses in baseball against southpaw hurlers over the last few seasons we have some value here with the As.

Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 4 of a series.

MLB Home teams (OAKLAND) - ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 10 games, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 99-60 L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the AS to win 

Astros: Zack Greinke (11-4, 3.41 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 109 strikeouts) Rangers: Taylor Hearn (3-4, 3.82 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 71 strikeouts)

Astros starting hurler GREINKE is 18-2 UNDER   as a road favorite of -110 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GREINKE is 9-0 UNDER in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GREINKE is 10-1 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) The Astros pitching staff  has been solid this season garnering a  3.61 team ERA, fifth overall. Grienke owns a 1.42 ERA in his L/3 starts.

Meanwhile, southpaw Taylor Hearn  the Rangers starter has recorded a 3.69 ERA in his L/3 starts and is in good form in the moment and a viable pitcher to slow down the bats of the Astros.   

The last series between these side saw  the Rangers  held to only five runs in the three-game sweep against Houston late last month and in two games in this series now the Rangers have mustered only 6 total runs and Im expecting more futility today.

TEXAS is 30-19 UNDER in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season.TEXAS is 16-5 UNDER in home games in day games this season.

Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 games as a road favorite.

Under is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.

Play UNDER 

 Tigers starting hurler Boyd (3-6, 3.44 ERA) completed a rehab assignment with Triple-A Toledo on Tuesday, and despite of being deemed healthy will have a short leash here because of what could end up being a rusty return to the hill vs a dangerous Blue Jays offence. Boyd  is 0-2 with a 4.46 ERA in six career starts against Toronto . BOYD is 5-19  against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

The Blue Jays are 10-0 L/10 on the ML as a road favorite off a road game in which they scored 3 runs or less and won.

MLB Home teams (DETROIT) - AL team with a low on-base percentage (.320 or better ) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), with a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season are 98-198 L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Blue Jays to win 

Philadelphia is off a 7-0 2in vs Arizona yesterday but this has not been a profitable situation form  Phillies supporters in follow up game. Note; The Phillies are 0-10  L/10 as a favorite off a home win by 5+ runs. With that said, I like the pitching matchup here enough for me tp grab the value with the underdog. 

Phillies starter Suarez is 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA in his career against the Diamondbacks.

Madison Bumgarner (7-8, 4.17 ERA) is scheduled to start for the Diamondbacks. Bumgarner is 6-3 with a 2.89 ERA in 12 career starts against the Phillies.

Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League East. Diamondbacks are 12-4 in the last 16 meetings in Philadelphia.

PHILADELPHIA is 3-9 against the money line when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. of 28% or less) 

Play on the Arizona DBacks to win 

Cards starter KIM is 18-9  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) KIM is 11-3   against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

PITTSBURGH is 11-31 against the money line in home games vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons.

PITTSBURGH is 3-16 against the money line revenging 2 straight home losses vs opponent this seasons.

ST LOUIS is 19-3   against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons in Penn. 

Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (PITTSBURGH) - revenging 2 straight home losses vs opponent, off a loss by 10 runs or more to a division rival are 5-36  L/24 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the St.Louis Cards to win

NYMets starter STROMAN is 19-4 UNDER  in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season. (Team's Record) STROMAN is 10-1 UNDER  in home games this season. (Team's Record) STROMAN is 8-1 UNDER as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season. (Team's Record)

The Nationals are 0-10 UNDER L/10 on the road after their opponent left fewer than 10 men on base individually last game.

 Under is 37-16-3 in Nationals last 56 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

 NY Mets have gone under in 9 of the L/10 seasons .

Play UNDER

Astros starter Valdez (8-4, 2.94 ERA) ,  is currently in top form posting a 1.83 ERA with six total walks in  his last three outings and gets the nod here tonight vs a inconsistent Texas side . 

MLB Road teams (HOUSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose are 33-5 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Astros to win 

Tigers starter URENA is 9-26  against the money line in home games in night games in his career. (Team's Record) TORONTO is 13-1  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 20% over the last 3 seasons. TORONTO is 13-2  against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.90 or worse over the last 3 seasons. Urena (2-8, 6.19 ERA) has not pitched for the Tigers since July 17 due to a groin injury and Im betting his rust will be evident in this spot. 

Tigers are 24-61 in their last 85 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

Blue Jays are 23-9 in their last 32 vs. a team with a losing record.

MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 33-5 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate.

Play on the Blue Jays to win 

Cleveland  righty starter QUANTRILL is 3-17  against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) CORA is 101-57  against the money line in road games against right-handed starters in all games he has managed in his career. 

Meanwhile, Boston right-hander Nathan Eovaldi (10-8, 3.72 ERA) is in form strong and gets my support in this spot ( Eovaldi owns a 1.42 ERA in his L/3 starts)

 Indians are 9-23 in their last 32 vs. a team with a winning record. Indians are 8-23 in their last 31 games as a home underdog.

MLB team (BOSTON) - with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 45-74 L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate.

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win 

The Rockies are 0-15 UNDER L/15  when Kyle Freeland starts as a road dog of at least +140 after throwing a quality start last outing. FREELAND is 14-2 UNDER  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better ) in his career. (Team's Record) FREELAND is 11-1 UNDER  vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

On the flip side, LAs pitching and defence are in top form and have allowed more than 3 runs just once in 10 games. 

Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 games as an underdog.

Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Play UNDER 

The White Sox are 15-0 L/15 on the ML as a home favorite after they left fewer than 10 men on base individually last game.

The Braves are 16-0 L/16 on the ML when Max Fried starts in August.  FRIED is 25-7 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)  Fried has a 0.67 ERA in his four starts in August. In three career appearances, two starts, against San Francisco, he is 2-0 with 2.03 ERA.

Giants starter GAUSMAN is 17-33  against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 in his career. (Team's Record)

The Braves lost two games to the New York Yankees this week after nine consecutive victories  and have the edge according to my projections in this spot. 

Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series. Braves are 20-6 in their last 26 games as a favorite.

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win 

The Royals are scheduled to start right-hander Brad Keller (8-12, 5.43 ERA) in the series opener against left-hander Yusei Kikuchi (7-7, 4.22), the Mariners' lone All-Star representative. My projections giver the edge to Kikuchi. 

 The Mariners are 16-0 L/16 on the ML as a favorite of more than -130 off a road game when they won their last two games and their opponent has lost their last two games.

SEATTLE is 10-3   against the money line in home games after a win by 4 runs or more this season which was the case last time out. 

Royals are 24-64 in their last 88 vs. American League West.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (KANSAS CITY) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or better ) -AL, with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games are 33-89 L/5 seasons for a 73% go against conversion rate.

Royals are 2-10 in the last 12 meetings.

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win 

NYY starter TAILLON is 14-4 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) Taillon  is  7-0 with a 3.21 ERA in his past 14 starts. 

The Yankees are streaking having won 11 straight games  and are  finding new ways to win on a consistent basis . This is a team on a mission and they must be respected on a short offering here even on the road . 

Play on the Yankees to win 

Right-hander Carlos Carrasco (0-2, 8.82 ERA) is slated to start for the Mets against Giants left-hander Alex Wood (10-4, 4.11 ERA). The edge goes to wood according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. Thus Im betting the Giants get the sweep here. The Giants,  own  the best record in baseball at 82-44 and are 2 1/2 games ahead of the Los Angeles Dodgers and keep rolling into September. 

AN FRANCISCO is 33-12  against the money line vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game this season

The Mets are 0-11 L/11  past the first game of a series after they allowed 0-1 walks last game.

MLB Home teams (NY METS) - with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.00 or worse over his last 5 starts, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 5 games are 21-45 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the SF giants to win

Left-hander Jake Latz will make his major-league debut on Wednesday. Latz, recorded a 1-1 record with a 4.69 ERA in 15 appearances (13 starts) with Double-A Frisco and 0-0 mark with a 7.00 ERA in two starts with Triple-A Round Rock and according to my investigation of this kid Ive come to the conclusion he needs to faded here in a unfriendly road environment. I know the Rangers won yesterday, but Im betting they don't get the job done tonight. The Rangers are 0-20  L/20 on the ML as a road underdog of more than +165 after they held a multiple-run lead last game.

Rangers are 11-40 in their last 51 road games vs. a right-handed starter. 

CLEVELAND is 13-1 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -200 this season.

TEXAS is 7-31  against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better over the last 2 seasons. TEXAS is 15-42 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (TEXAS) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games are 39-81 L/5 seasons for a 74% go against conversion rate.

Play on Cleveland to win 

Rays starter YARBROUGH is 13-3 against the money line in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Wheeler.

TAMPA BAY is 34-16 (+15.6 Units) against the money line after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season which was time case last time out.  ]

Tampa Bay has won the L/6 meetings in this series. Phillies are 0-5 in their last 5 games as a favorite.

Play on the Rays to win 

Right-hander Tylor Megill (1-2, 3.21 ERA) is scheduled to start for the Mets against left-hander Sammy Long (1-1, 5.72 ERA) in a battle of rookies. Giants extended their lead over the Dodgers in the National League West to 2 1/2 games by edging the host Oakland Athletics, 2-1 and Im betting they keep their legs and bats going as they look to clinch a play off spot.

Mets are 1-7 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series. NY METS are 5-16  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.40 or worse over the last 3 seasons.

Giants are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League East.Giants are 21-8 in their last 29 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Giants are 38-15 in their last 53 games vs. a right-handed starter.Giants are 5-2 in their last 7 games as an underdog.Giants are 5-2 in their last 7 games as a road underdog.Giants are 25-10 in their last 35 during game 1 of a series.

Giants are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

MLB team (SAN FRANCISCO) - team with a good SLG (.430 or more ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less ) -NL, cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games 97-51 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate.

Play on the SF Giants to win 

The Orioles have lost 18 straight games, the most since the Kansas City Royals dropped 19 in a row in 2005 and Im betting on that run continuing tonight. 

HYDE is 31-91  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) as the manager of BALTIMORE like Dylan Bundy the Angles starter.

The Orioles are 0-12 L/12 as a dog off a home game. BALTIMORE is 1-19  against the money line in August games this season.

BALTIMORE is 0-9  against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a batting average of .260 or worse in the second half of the season this season.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.500 to 1.600 on the season-AL, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 15-39 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate.

Play on the LAA to win 

Astros starter Greinke has pitched well lately but he Astros are 8-0 OVER L/8  when Zack Greinke starts at home after he gave up no walks in his last start with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored. (This was the case last time out) GREINKE is 23-11 OVER  in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GREINKE is 24-11 OVER  in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Meanwhile, Daniel Lynch goes for the Royals.  This is his 2nd straight vs the Astros and their vaunted offense knows him well.   Lynch as a road starter this season has garnered a sub par 4.61 ERA and 1.61 WHIP this season and night tilts during this current campaign he has register a ugly 6.10 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in six trips to the hill. He will be backed by a Royals bullpen that has accumulated 4.92 ERA and 1.42 WHIP.

Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Houston.

Play OVER

The Yankees have now erupted and are in top form and are on a extensive  winning streak at 9 wins . New York has also won 10 of its last 11 games and is 31-11 record since winning the second game of a doubleheader on July 4. With that said Im backing Montgomery who is 1-0 with a 4.50 ERA in one career start against the Braves, which came last season to deliver us the cash.

The Yankees are 12-0 L/12 on the ML after a game as a home favorite in which they held a multiple-run lead.

MLB Road teams (NY YANKEES) - with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 120-78 L/24 seasons for a 61% conversion rate.

Play on the NY Yankees to win

NYM starter STROMAN is 2-9  against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

NY METS are 13-24  against the money line against left-handed starters this season like the Dodgers Price.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (NY METS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) are 15-100 L/24 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. 

Dodgers are 5-0 this season vs the Mets. 

Play on the Dodgers to win

.

Kansas City won the series opener 6-2 and followed with a 4-2 victory on Saturday. The Royals are looking for their first sweep since July 23-25 against the Detroit Tigers and Im betting they get it vs a tanking Cubs team have lost 14 of 16 games .  CHICAGO CUBS are 4-21  against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season. Note:  KC starter HERNANDEZ is 3-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.99. 

Play on the Royals to win

Atlanta will start right-hander Touki Toussaint (2-2, 4.01 ERA) Sunday against Baltimore left-hander John Means (5-5, 3.44).Means will be making his first start against Atlanta. Toussaint lost his only career start against Baltimore last Sept. 14, when he allowed eight runs (five earned) on seven hits in 2 2/3 innings of a 14-1 loss and my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest he will get lit up again vs the Orioles offence. Meanwhile, the red hotBraves who are on a 12 game road win streak will also have a big output of production vs Means and the Orioles sub par bullpen, which will help us see a combined score that eclipses this total.

BALTIMORE is 13-2 OVER  vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season. BALTIMORE is 12-3 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season this season. 

Over is 3-0-1 in Braves last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Over is 7-1 in Braves last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 3-0-1 in Braves last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Play OVER

The Padres are struggling mightily at this time and yesterday they  stranded 12 runners while losing for the eighth time in nine games.The Padres are batting .213 over that nine-game span, during which they've been held to three or fewer runs on six occasions. In their current form they are fade material. Note:The Phillies  expect t Rhys Hoskins back from a groin injury tonight.  Hoskins, who leads Philadelphia with 24 homers and 68 RBIs, is batting .394 (13-for-33) over his past 10 games, with three homers and 11 RBIs will add to the value here on backing the Phillies in this spot play. 

PHILADELPHIA is 17-9 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better this season.Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.

Padres are 0-4 in their last 4 games as a favorite.

Phillies are 38-17 in the last 55 meetings in San Diego.

Play on the Phillies to win 

Astros starter ODORIZZI is 0-6   against the money line in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) SEATTLE is 31-18  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season. Mariners are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Seattle starter GILBERT is 8-3  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 6-1   against the money line in road games this season. GILBERT is 7-1  against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season. (Team's Record) Mariners starters had allowed no more than three runs in 17 of 18 outings before Kikuchi surrendered seven runs on seven hits and three walks over just 2 2/3 innings in the series opener.(Im betting on a Bounce back in this spot)

SEATTLE is 47-38 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season

MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (SEATTLE) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 8 runs or more, off a loss by 6 runs or more to a division rival are 33-16 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. (Astros won 12-3 last night in game 1 of this series)

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win 

 Giants starter GAUSMAN is 18-36   against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in his career. (Team's Record)GAUSMAN is 17-33  against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 in his career. (Team's Record

Athletics starter MANAEA is 10-0 against the money line in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

OAKLAND is 15-2  against the money line in home games in August games over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Home teams (OAKLAND) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a good NL starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or better), starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or more home runs last outing are 32-12 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the As to win

Jays starter RYU is 54-17  against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in his career. (Team's Record)

MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (DETROIT) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better on the season (AL), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games are 10-57 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +200 or more (DETROIT) - poor offensive team - scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 1 run or less are 2-39 L/5 seasons for a go against 95% conversion rate for bettors.

Jays to win

MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (NY METS) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less ) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 2.70 or better) -NL, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts are 42-9 OVER L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. (Todays starting pitchers Carrasco/Buehler fit these parameters and my projections also signal a 9 or more combined score . 

ROBERTS is 33-17 OVER  vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season as the manager of LA DODGERS with a combined average score of 9.3 rpg going on the scoreboard. 

Play over

 Today I expect the Halos to get a win behind Kikuchi .SEATTLE is also 22-8 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better this season like Mccullers. Note:McCullers has posted consecutive losing decisions, allowing six runs on 14 hits and four walks  over 10 1/3 innings with a .903 OPS allowed against the Twins and Angels.SEATTLE is also 31-17   against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season.SEATTLE is 37-28  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. 

Mariners are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League West.

Mariners are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Mariners are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Play on the Mariners to win 

According to my projections based on my pitcher vs batting order power rankings a total combined score of  9+ runs scored. 

The Mariners are 14-0 OVER L/14 on the road when they are off two straight wins in which they never trailed.

Over is 16-7 in Astros last 23 vs. American League West.

Over is 39-17 in Astros last 56 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

MLB  teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (SEATTLE) - after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs, playing on Friday are 57-21 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Play OVER

The Halos have proven resilient this season, after allowing big run outputs. Yesterday they beat  the Tigers by a 13-10 count and now a strong situation is at hand, Note:LA ANGELS are 8-0  against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more this season.

S.Hentges the Indians starter tonight was clobbered by the Angels on May 17, permitting six runs on five hits -- including a three-run homer to Ohtani -- with three walks in 1 2/3 innings of a 7-4 loss. He does not matchup well here and could easily find himself on the bench early on today. 

LA ANGELS are 13-3 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.

Play on the LAA to win 

Chicago WS starter GIOLITO is 10-0   against the money line in road games in August games since 1997. (Team's Record) and  is 17-4  against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GIOLITO is 1-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 2.02 and a WHIP of 0.862.

The White Sox are 11-0 L/11 on the ML after a loss as a home favorite in which they held the lead.

Rays starter Michael Wacha (2-4, 5.91 ERA),  is bad form of late going  0-2 with an 11.57 ERA  -- over his last three starts. Opposition hitters have crushed  the 30-year-old Wacha with a .435 average and a 1.176 OPS. He is fade material at the moment.

Play on the White Sox to win

The Braves are 15-0 L/15 on the ML when Max Fried starts in August games.

BALTIMORE is 9-37 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.

MLB team (ATLANTA) - after sweeping a 3 game series against a division rival, in an inter-league game are 42-17 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Braves to win

  Dbacks veteran starter  Bumgarner (6-7, 4.30 ERA) has pitched well in six starts since returning from a shoulder injury that sidelined him for six-plus weeksHe allowed two or fewer earned runs in each of the starts while going 2-2 with a 2.09 ERA.Phillies BUMGARNER is 12-1 UNDER   as a home underdog of +125 or more  in his career (Team's Record)

Phillies starter Wheeler,  leads the majors in strikeouts (187) and innings pitched (162) while making 24 starts.The All-Star has struck out 10 or more batters six times. He fanned 11 on Aug. 8 when he tossed a two-hit shutout against the Mets. That was his second shutout and third complete game of the season, tying him for the major league lead in both categories.NYM WHEELER is 13-5 UNDER vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. (Team's Record) 

Im betting on a pitchers duel here this afternoon. 

Under is 9-1-1 in Phillies last 11 overall.Under is 8-2 L/10 meetings in Arizona.

Play UNDER

Royals starter MINOR is 10-1 UNDER  vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) MINOR is 11-1 UNDER as an underdog of +150 or more over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) MINOR is 31-13 UNDER  when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Under is 7-3 in Astros last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter. My projections estimate no more than 8 runs here giving us value with a under wager. 

Under is 7-1-1 in Astros last 9 games following a loss.(Astros lost last time out) Under is 9-3-1 in Astros last 13 vs. a team with a losing record.

KANSAS CITY is 23-9 UNDER  vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season this season. MATHENY is 16-4 UNDER  in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game in the second half of the season in all games he has managed since 1997.

MLB Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL), with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games are 34-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

Mariners starter FLEXEN is 7-0   against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 11-3 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. (Team's Record)  FLEXEN is 13-2   against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 4-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 2.88 and a WHIP of 1.040.

The Mariners are 10-0 on the ML in the last game of a series as a favorite after a win as a road favorite in which they never trailed.

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win 

Astros starter GREINKE is 69-26  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season. (Team's Record) GREINKE is 121-43 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more in his career (Team's Record)

KANSAS CITY is 1-14  against the money line with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. KANSAS CITY is 4-17  against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game this season.

HOUSTON is 34-16  against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season.

Astros are 66-32 in their last 98 vs. American League Central.

MLB Home teams (KANSAS CITY) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a top level starting pitcher (ERA 3.60, WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 32-4 L/5 seasons for a 89% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Houston Astros to win 

GREINKE is 8-0 UNDER  in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GREINKE is 17-2 UNDER  ) as a road favorite of -110 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

The Astros are 0-11-1 UNDER L/12 when Zack Greinke starts as a road favorite of at least -130.

MLB Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL), with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games are 33-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER

Seattle starter GONZALES is 21-12   against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Gonzales has recently looked very effective and owns a miniscule 0.83 ERA in his L/3 starts and looks like a viable option here to back vs the Rangers. 

Texas starter  Foltynewicz,  is 0-5 with a 5.03 ERA in eight career appearances against the Mariners, with three of those losses coming this season and is fade material once again tonight. note: Foltynewicz has allowed a major-league-high 33 home runs this season.

MLB Home teams (TEXAS) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 5-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win 

On Wednesday, the Brewers will start right-hander Freddy Peralta (9-3, 2.26 ERA), who has a 1.85 ERA in his past 15 starts. St.Louis right-hander Jack Flaherty (9-1, 2.65) in his second start since he missed 2 1/2 months will go to the hill for the Cards. Flaherty scattered two hits over six innings in a 6-0 victory over the Kansas City Royals on Friday. Im betting both thee hurlers go ling and strong here today and along with bullpen support help keep this tilt on the low side of the totals number being offered.

Cards starter FLAHERTY is 11-1 UNDER   vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season . (Team's Record) MILWAUKEE is 22-8 UNDER  in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better over the last 3 seasons

ST LOUIS is 12-1 UNDER in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better over the last 3 seasons like Peralata. SHILDT is 21-8 UNDER in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better as the manager of ST LOUIS.

Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.

MLB  teams where the total is 7 or less (MILWAUKEE) - after a combined score of 2 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 40-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate.

Play on the UNDER

As starter BASSITT is 15-4  against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season. (Team's Record) BASSITT is 3-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 2.64 and a WHIP of 1.174. In his past 15 outings, Bassitt is 9-1 with a 2.61 ERA. He is coming off a Thursday victory at Cleveland, where he scattered three hits, two walks and six strikeouts in six shutout innings and he gets my support here tonight vs the White Sox. Note: Bassitt (12-3, 3.06 ERA) has fanned 153 batters in an American League-leading 150 innings this season.

Athletics are 8-1 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter like Lopez.Athletics are 53-16 in their last 69 vs. American League Central. 

Athletics are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Chicago.

Athletics are 17-6 in the last 23 meetings.

 White Sox are 8-24 in their last 32 games as an underdog.

MLB Road teams (OAKLAND) - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70%, with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) are 30-16 L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oakland to win 

Tuesday's starting hurlers will be  Tyler Anderson (5-8, 4.24 ERA) for Seattle and Spencer Howard (0-3, 5.61 ERA) for Texas.

Slight edge to Seattle on the hill, and from a motivational factor the Mariners also get high grades as they are still in the hunt for a wildcard birth. 

 Mariners are 17-6 in the last 23 meetings.

The Rangers are 0-11 L/11 on the ML in the first game of a series with rest as a dog after they scored 6+ runs last game.

SERVAIS is 30-17 against the money line in road games when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 38% or worse) as the manager of SEATTLE.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TEXAS) - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 4.70) -AL, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 12-51 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Seattle to win

  SFG starter GAUSMAN is 22-35  against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record)GAUSMAN is 0-3 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.320.

NYM starter HILL is 8-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.23 and a WHIP of 1.101.

 . 

Play on the Mets to cover +1.5 

Tribe starter QUANTRILL is 2-13  against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) QUANTRILL is 0-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 12.47 and a WHIP of 1.617.(Includes 1 start) Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.

The Indians are 0-12 L/12 on the ML on the road after they scored 6+ runs last game. Indians are in a natural letdown spot giving us value with the home side. 

Play on the Twins to win 

The Reds are 8-0 L/8 on the ML when Wade Miley starts as a home favorite.  MILEY is 16-1 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)

The Reds are 10-0 L/10 on the ML  a team that has lost at least their last four games.

CHICAGO CUBS are 1-12 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.CHICAGO CUBS are 3-17   against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 6.50 or worse this season.

The Cubs are in tank mode, while Cincinnati continues to play hard. 

Advantage Reds to win 

Angels starter SUAREZ is 1-14  against the money line vs. poor base-running teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Yankees starter COLE is 6-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 1.041.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (LA ANGELS) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.50) (AL), cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 10 games are 7-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NYY to win 

These teams bullpens in Major League Baseball  and despite of how hot the dodgers are Im betting we have value with the Mets on the run-line in this spot. I know  Dodgers Scherzer is hotter than Carrasco the Mets starter but from a matchup perspective , and how both pitchers approach hitters my projections tell me this will be a closer game than many might expect. 

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA DODGERS) - on a good fielding streak, 15 straight games with one or less errors against opponent after a game where they had 4 or less hits are 11-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate . 

Play on the Mets to cover +1.5 

Lucas Giolito goes to the hill vs the Yankees here this afternoon  The righty does not seem to like pitching in days games in 2021 . In 10 daytime starts he has garnered a bloated   5.01 ERA and allowing 11 home runs  in 55 2/3 innings of shabby work including 21 walks.  With that said,  Im betting on a Yankees team that has won 5 straight series dating back to July 27 to find a way to generate enough offence vs Giolito to get them to the promised land here today. 

GIOLITO is 1-5 against the money line in home games vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record)GIOLITO is 1-5   against the money line as a home favorite of -150 or more this season. (Team's Record)

BOONE is 48-19  against the money line after a game where their bullpen blew a save as the manager of NY YANKEES which was the case yesterday. 

Play on the NY Yankees to win 

The Red Sox are 24-0 L/24 on the ML when Eduardo Rodriguez starts as a favorite of more than -180.

MLB Home teams (BOSTON) - terrible speed team - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season against opponent starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings are 47-17 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Red Sox Big chalk blowout 

 Philadelphia  hurlers own a  1.38 ERA (six earned runs, 39 innings) from its starting pitchers in the past eight outings and get the nod with Nola on the hill. The Phillies have owned the Reds over the last few seasons especially at home garnering a 35-16 record. NOLA is 3-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.92 and a WHIP of 1.122.GIRARDI is 26-9  against the money line in home games in day games as the manager of PHILADELPHIA.

Play on the Phillies to win 

The Yankees will send right-hander Jameson Taillon (7-4, 3.82 ERA). to the hill He is coming off back-to-back quality starts, including his last outing when he allowed one unearned run on four hits in six innings against the Kansas City Royals.  In two career starts against the White Sox, Taillon is 0-0 with a 1.69 ERA and Im betting on him coming uo big again and limiting the potent White Sox attack here. Meanwhile, Chicago will counter with right-hander Dylan Cease (9-6, 3.99 ERA) who is in top form recently a nd off striking out 10 batters in 5 innings last time out, and overall On the season, Cease has  punched out  159 strikeouts in 119 2/3 innings. Im betting for both to long anf strong and to provide us with a top tier effort that sees this combined score stay on the low side of the offered number. 

The Yankees are 0-12 UNDER L/12  as a road dog after their bullpen allowed multiple runs last game. NY YANKEES are 19-9 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season.

MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (NY YANKEES) - with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts, after a game where their bullpen blew a save are  50-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

WASHINGTON is 20-8 OVER  vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season this season.

Washington is 10-2 OVER L/12 games overall.  Over is 5-0-1 in Nationals last 6 games a home underdog.Over is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

Atlanta has gone over in 6 of their L/8 games overall. Over is 5-1 in Braves last 6 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Over is 5-1 in Braves last 6 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Over is 20-5-2 in Braves last 27 Friday games.

MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (ATLANTA) - after 4 straight games where they had 7 or less hits against opponent after 2 straight games with no home runs are 27-9 OVER L/23 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. 

Play on the OVER 

Braves are playing well right now , but that has not always been a formula to continue with that momentum and tonight Im betting they fall flat. ATLANTA is 4-13   against the money line after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season. 

WASHINGTON is 17-2  against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

The Braves are 0-8 L/8  on the ML on the road vs a team that has lost at least their last three games.

MLB Home teams (WASHINGTON) - average hitting team (AVG  .255 to .269) against a good starting pitcher (ERA  3.70) -NL, cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games. are. 40-19 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Washington to win 

Astros starter GREINKE is 23-11 UNDER in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GREINKE is 35-18 UNDER  in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in his career. (Team's Record) GREINKE is 16-2 UNDER  as a road favorite of -110 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) The Astros are 0-10-1 UNDER l/11  Zack Greinke starts as a road favorite of at least -130. Meanwhile, angels starer PATRICK SANDOVAL  owns a 1.86 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill and matches up well here vs the Astros batting order according to my pitcher vs offence power rankings. Pitchers duel is my call. 

Under is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Under is 6-1-1 in Astros last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.

Under is 6-2-1 in Angels last 9 games as a home underdog.

Play UNDER 

Royals starter MINOR is 30-13 UNDER  when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

St.Louis has scored more than 4 runs just once in their L/9 games. Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 during game 1 of a series.Under is 8-1 in Cardinals last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing record. ST LOUIS is 17-6 UNDER in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 3 seasons.

KANSAS CITY is 15-3 UNDER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 3 seasons (Flaherty qualifies) Under is 6-1 in Royals last 7 during game 1 of a series. Under is 5-1 in Royals last 6 interleague games.

MLB Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL), with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games are 33-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for 85% conversion rate.

Play UNDER

Tampa Bay is on fire offensively and in their current form are a good bet racking up no. less than 12,10, 9, 8, 8, 8, runs respectively in their L/6 games and have averaged 5.8 rpg on the road this season. 

Left-hander Shane McClanahan (6-4, 3.75 ERA), who has 99 strikeouts in 84 innings, will pitch against the Twins and gets my support here. 

MLB team (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 1 run or less against opponent after scoring 8 runs or more 3 straight games are 9-31 L/23 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. 

Play on the Rays to win 

Cincinnati struggles against lefties like Muller. ( Reds batters wRC+ against southpaw pitching, striking out 23.7% of the time.

TLANTA is 21-6  against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 2 seasons. Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.

Reds are 3-7 in their last 10 games as an underdog.Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 road games.Reds are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Atlanta. 

Play on the Atlanta Braves 

The Cubs are in a complete funk having lost 7 straight and are fade material in their current form no matter who goes to the hill for them. 

MILWAUKEE is 9-1 against the money line in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities this season. MILWAUKEE is 22-6 against the money line in road games against division opponents this season.

CHICAGO CUBS are 1-11 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHICAGO CUBS) - revenging 2 straight home losses vs opponent, off a loss by 10 runs or more to a division rival are 5-34 L/5 seasons for a 87% go against conversion rate. 

The Brewers are 0-8  UNDER L/8 when Brandon Woodruff starts on the road in an afternoon game.WOODRUFF is 8-0 UNDER in road games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WOODRUFF is 8-1 UNDER  in road games this season. (Team's Record)

Cubs starter HENDRICKS is 37-18 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in his career. (Team's Record)

CHICAGO CUBS are 31-18 UNDER   in day games this season.

Under is 27-7-2 in the last 36 meetings in Chicago.

Play UNDER

The Phillies are 0-16-1 UNDER L/17  in the last game of a series as a dog after they allowed at least 12 hits last game.

LA DODGERS are 20-8 UNDER  after having won 4 of their last 5 games this season.

Under is 5-1-1 in Dodgers last 7 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Under is 9-2-1 in Dodgers last 12 games following a win.

MLB Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 5 games against opponent starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 64-35 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

Jays starter Manoah (4-1, 2.58 ERA) has continued to put up solid numbers snd gets my support here today to help the Blue Jays to a victory. 

Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road favorite. Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.

Angels are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Angels are 30-62 in their last 92 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Angels are 3-9 in their last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.

MLB Home teams (LA ANGELS) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a top level starting pitcher (ERA 3.60, or less  WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 4-31 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate.

MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 32-5 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Blue Jays to win 

Orioles are tanking  and have lost 6 straight and are fade material. 

BALTIMORE is 1-22 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 7.00 or worse this season.

The Tigers are 7-0 L/7 on the ML past the first game of a series after they won by 5+ runs last game.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.500 to 1.600 on the season-AL, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 15-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Tigers to win 

 Cubs starter Arrieta is 0-6 with a 9.00 ERA in his L/6 starts. He has given up 43 runs (35 earned) in his last 35 innings, and he has walked 21. Needless to say he looks like cannon fodder here and could easily get lit up for enough runs to help us over this total. Meanwhile,  Brewers right-hander Corbin Burnes (6-4, 2.39) will oppose Arrieta and the Cubs and according to my projections does not matchup all that well vs the Cubs offense. 

CHICAGO CUBS are 8-1 OVER revenging 2 straight home losses vs opponent this season.

MILWAUKEE is 17-8 OVER  in road games vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. Over is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 6-1-2 in Brewers last 9 games as a road favorite.  

MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (CHICAGO CUBS) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA  2.70 or better ) -NL, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.00 or more  over his last 3 starts are 42-9 OVER  L/24 seasons for a 82% conversion rare for bettors. 

Play OVER

WAINWRIGHT is 108-57 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997. (Team's Record)The Cardinals are 12-0 L/12 on the ML when Adam Wainwright starts on the road when their opponent is on a 4+ losing streak.

Cardinals are 10-4 in their last 14 games as a road favorite.

Pirates are 16-45 in their last 61 vs. National League Central.Pirates are 8-23 in their last 31 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Pirates are 2-6 in their last 8 games as a home underdog.

Play on the Cards to win 

The Marlins will start right-hander Sandy Alcantara (6-10, 3.70 ERA), a hurler who has looked a little tired of late, as is evident by a 7.02 ERA in his L/3 starts and is fade material in his current form.

Marlins are 0-5 in their last 5 games as an underdog.Marlins are 0-5 in their last 5 games on grass.Marlins are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. National League West.MIAMI is 19-44 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season like Weathers.

Padres are 20-9 in their last 29 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MIAMI) - cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 10 games against opponent starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings are 6-33 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the San Diego Padres to win 

As starting pitcher Manaea , has fared well in four career starts against Cleveland, posting a 3-0 record with a 2.39 ERA and gets my support here again today . Meanwhile,  Cleveland right-hander Triston McKenzie (1-5, 5.89 ERA) will oppose the A's on Tuesday and is fade material in his current overall form. 

Indians are 3-9 in their last 12 games as a home underdog.

OAKLAND is 15-6 against the money line in road games with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Home teams (CLEVELAND) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a top level starting pitcher (ERA 3.60, WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 4-30 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road teams (OAKLAND) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 31-5 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Oakland As to win 

Luis Patino ha only one victory in  7 starts this season along with a ugly 8.36 ERA in his 3 road appearances and is fade material in his current form. Meanwhile, BoSox starter Eduardo Rodriguez has seen his team win 14 of his 21 starts this  season and  has seen his side cash 5 of 7 home starts.  This has been a homer series between these two teams with the BoSox having won 3 straight at Fenway while the Rays have won 5 in row at home. Only one of the L/9 meetings has seen the visitor win, and Im betting that trend stays alive here tonight in the shadow of the Green Monster. 

RODRIGUEZ is 24-6  against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) is 32-9  against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Play on the Red sox to win 

The series opener is expected to feature two left-handed starters, St. Louis' J.A. Happ (5.6, 6.62 ERA) against Pittsburgh's Steven Brault (0-0, 2.25). I know the Pirates are struggling an are off being swept by the Reds this past weekend, but they have an edge here today in the pitching matchup and hold home field advantage. MLB Home teams (PITTSBURGH) - after 5 or more consecutive losses, in August games are 41-21 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. 

PITTSBURGH is 10-4 against the money line in home games after scoring 4 runs or less 5 straight games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 17-30  against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons

MLB Home teams (PITTSBURGH) - with a slugging percentage of .370 or worse over their last 10 games against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 6.50 or worse  over his last 10 starts are 32-9 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. 

Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win 

Phillies starter NOLA is 20-9 OVER   when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) NOLA is 12-3 OVER  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

The Dodgers are 11-0 OVER L/11 off a home game in which they allowed 5+ walks.ROBERTS is 20-8 OVER in road games revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite as the manager of LA DODGERS.

PHILADELPHIA is 11-2 OVER  in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11 rpg scored. 

Over is 8-1-1 in the last 10 meetings in Philadelphia.

Play OVER

San Diego right-hander Joe Musgrove (7-7, 2.87 ERA) goes to the hill. He will be matched up with Marlins right-hander Zach Thompson (2-4, 2.53 ERA).

Padres are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Padres are 30-13 in their last 43 home games.

Marlins are 16-37 in their last 53 road games.Marlins are 3-8 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Marlins are 7-19 in their last 26 games as a road underdog.Marlins are 7-19 in their last 26 during game 1 of a series.The Marlins are 0-11 L/11 off a road game in which they scored first.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (SAN DIEGO) - with a rested bullpen - threw  2 or less innings in each of the last 2 games against opponent after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings are 57-5 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate. 

Play on the  San Diego Padres 

White Sox starter GIOLITO is 16-4  against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GIOLITO is 9-0   against the money line in road games in August games in his career. (Team's Record)

With the White Sox are rocking right now and the team is as healthy as it was early on in the season and  is becoming a very dangerous opponent for all comers at the moment. Considering how well this explosive Pale Hose lineup can be the struggling  Burrows (6.23 ERA) and the Twins are in trouble.White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

White Sox are 13-4 in the last 17 meetings.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win 

  Rookie Carlos Hernandez (3-1, 4.58 ERA) will take the hill against the Yankees' Jameson Taillon (7-4, 4.04 ERA) in a battle of right-handers. The Royals  inexperienced staff  Im betting will get lit up by the  Yankees, who saw their five-game winning streak end Sunday with a 2-0 loss to the Seattle Mariners. New York averaged 7.2 runs during the five victories.

NYY starter TAILLON is 23-7  against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season  in his career. (Team's Record) TAILLON is 11-3 against the money line in road games after giving up 2 or  less earned runs in his last 2 outings in his career. (Team's Record) TAILLON is 1-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 0.68 and a WHIP of 0.900.

The Yankees are 14-0 L/14 as a favorite of at least -140 after a game as a home favorite in which they were shutout.Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss. (Yankees were shutout yesterday)

Yankees are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Kansas City.

Play on the NYY 

The Indians are expected to have a bullpen game with left-hander Sam Hentges (1-4, 7.86 ERA) serving as the opener and Im betting the Reds do some damage here against him. Despite of Reds Castillo being in top form my projections estimate the Indians can and will get enough production from him and his bulllpen to help see this number eclipsed. 

Over is 8-1-2 in Reds last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 7-3-1 in Reds last 11 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 34-16-2 in Reds last 52 vs. a team with a losing record.

The Indians are 8-0 OVER L/8 as a dog of at least +140 off a comeback win as a favorite which was the case yesterday.Over is 12-5 in Indians last 17 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.

Play OVER

Cubs DAVIES is 18-7 UNDER  as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Cease (8-6, 3.92 ERA) is scheduled to face the Cubs. 

Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 interleague home games. Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 vs. American League Central.

CHI WHITE SOX are 19-8 UNDER as a favorite of -175 to -250 this season. Under is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 during game 3 of a series.Under is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Under is 7-1-1 in White Sox last 9 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Under is 6-1-2 in White Sox last 9 road games.Under is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games as a road favorite.Under is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.

 15 mph breezes are expected at Wrigley Field in Chicago for White Sox vs. Cubs tonight and that Im betting effects scoring. 

Play UNDER

Tampa Bay will try to complete the three-game sweep with Michael Wacha (2-3, 5.26 ERA) going versus fellow right-hander Jorge Lopez (3-12, 5.91)

The Tampa Bay Rays have banged out 22 runs while taking the first two games of their series against the host Baltimore Orioles and Im betting on more of the same action here today.

TAMPA BAY is 30-13 against the money line in day games this season.

BALTIMORE is 7-21  against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.

HYDE is 8-33  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start as the manager of BALTIMORE.

MLB Home teams (BALTIMORE) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 34-5 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the TB Rays to win 

Orioles starter LOPEZ is 8-1 UNDER (+7.0 Units) as an underdog of +150 or more this season. (Team's Record)

Under is 4-1 in Rays last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. (Lopez qualifies)

Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like the Rays Wacha. 

Windy weather today in Baltimore dictates a lower scoring game according to my projections. 

Play UNDER

Woodruff (7-6, 2.26 ERA) will be opposed by right-hander Aaron Sanchez (1-1, 2.97), making his first start since coming off the injured list. This will be the first career start for both pitchers against the opponent. Woodruff  has gone 0-3  in his L/5 starts and not won since June 29 and does not deserve this kind of favoritism from a line perspective giving us value with a viable SF side. 

KAPLER is 41-27  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher like Woodruff whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start as the manager of SAN FRANCISCO.

MILWAUKEE is 0-5  against the money line after a game where they committed 3 or more errors this season.

MILWAUKEE is 4-11  against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game this season.

MLB Home teams (MILWAUKEE) - team with a poor OBP (.310 or lesss) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or better ) -NL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100  or less over his last 10 games are 16-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on SF Giants to win 

Anderson will be up against a former teammate on Saturday when left-hander Cole Irvin (7-10, 3.50) gets the ball for the A's.

The prospects played together for Triple-A Lehigh Valley in the Phillies' organization in 2019, from where Irvin was promoted that May to make his major-league debut.

Irvin went 6-1 for Lehigh Valley that season, while Anderson was 0-6.

Athletics are 11-5 in their last 16 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

The Athletics are 26-0 L/26 on the ML past the first game of a series as a home favorite of at least -200 after a game as a home favorite in which they scored in more innings than their opponent.

TEXAS is 4-22  against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons.TEXAS is 1-14  against the money line in road games after 4 or more consecutive losses this season.Rangers are 2-8 in their last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter.Rangers are 2-10 in their last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.Rangers are 1-6 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series.

Rangers are 8-27 in the last 35 meetings in Oakland.

Play on Oakland to win 

NYY starter HEANEY is 0-6  against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) this season. (Team's Record) HEANEY is 3-6 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 4.40 and a WHIP of 1.269. 

Seattles starter FLEXEN is 10-2  against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 12-2  against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) 

Mariners are 6-2 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

The Mariners reside only 3.5 games out of the second wild card and will be more than motivated to grab a win here vs a very hittable hurler in Heaney. 

Play on the Mariners 

Right-hander Corbin Burnes (6-4, 2.46 ERA) starts for the Brewers on Friday, while right-hander Logan Webb (5-3, 3.33) gets the nod for San Francisco. Webb has been in top form of late, but my projections and pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest the Brewers matchup well here. 

Brewers are 22-7 in their last 29 games vs. a right-handed starter.Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.Brewers are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. MILWAUKEE is 20-7  against the money line vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. MILWAUKEE is 19-6  against the money line against NL West opponents this season. MILWAUKEE is 23-6  against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.

The Giants are 0-14 L/14 as a road dog after a game as a road favorite in which they used 5+ pitchers.

Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.

Play on Milwaukee to win 

Detroit rookie right-hander Matt Manning (2-4, 5.59 ERA) will make his ninth career start and second this season against Cleveland. Manning,   was blasted by the Indians on June 28, allowing  nine runs on as many hits -- including two homers -- in 3 2/3 innings in a 13-5 setback.He allowed five runs (two earned) on seven hits in 5 2/3 innings in a 5-2 defeat to the Baltimore Orioles on Saturday and is fade material here today. 

The Indians are 11-0L/11 on the ML at home off a road game in which they had 6 or fewer hits which happened yesterday in a 3-0 loss. 

Tigers are 2-8 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing record.

Tigers are 29-70 in their last 99 road games vs. a right-handed starter like Quintral. 

DETROIT is 7-31   against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Cleveland to win 

Means Baltimores starter looked good  in his most recent trip to the hill  this past Saturday, allowing one ER in six innings of a 5-2 win at Detroit. He started this season very strongly also going 4-0 along with a 1.37 ERA before being side lined by an injury. After the injury he started out looking rusty but now looks to have come back to life, and viable pitching option for the Orioles to slow the offence of the Rays here today. Meanwhile, Yarbrough the Rays starter  is 4-2 with a 3.94 ERA in 11 career appearances (six starts) against Baltimore and matches up well here according to my projections along with a bullpen that must be considered elite. 

The Orioles are 0-9 UNDER L/9 when John Means starts after he had a WHIP of less than 1 in as win last start. 

Under is 5-2 in Rays last 7 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

Under is 7-3 in Rays last 10 games as a favorite.Under is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.

MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (TAMPA BAY) - with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start are 53-19 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

LYNCH is 0-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 107.46 and a WHIP of 11.940.  KEUCHEL is 7-2 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.74 and a WHIP of 1.195.

The Royals are 0-16 L/16  as a road dog off a road win by at least five runs. CHI WHITE SOX are 12-1  against the money line in home games after scoring 2 runs or less this season.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (KANSAS CITY) - bad offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70)-AL, after allowing 2 runs or less are 7-46 L/24 seasons for a 87% conversion rate.

Play on the White Sox to win 

The Indians lost yesterday despite of coming back from a 8-0 deficit to almost tie the game late. Im betting on the momentum of the late inning surge to continue on into today.

CLEVELAND is 11-5  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start this season like Stripling. 

MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CLEVELAND) - team with a terrible OBP (.310 or less) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 to 1.350) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start are 34-25 L/24 seasons for a 58% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Cleveland Indians to win 

Angels starter Bundy (1-8, 6.66 ERA) and despite of a few flashes of brilliance has been sub par, and has been hit hard by todays opponent the Rangers in the past. Brock Holt, Isiah Kiner-Falefa, Adolis Garcia and Nathaniel Lowe are a combined 22 for 40 off Bundy.

MLB Home teams (TEXAS) - with a slugging percentage of .370 or worse over their last 10 games against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  6.50 or more  over his last 10 starts are 31-8 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Texas Rangers to win 

Astros starter ODORIZZI is 1-14  against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) Jake Odorizzi is struggling as is evident in  his last few starts, allowing 10 earned runs over his last three trips to the hill spanning  13 1/3 innings. Today against a LA team off a rare shut out loss last night, Im betting the Dodgers bounce back and keep up with their 5 rpg average output at home. With that said Im also betting on Scherzer and his usually strong bullpen to get the nod here and help the Dodgers get  into the winners circle. 

LA DODGERS are 211-63  against the money line as a home favorite of -200 or more since 1997.

MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (LA DODGERS) - after a game without an extra base hit are 55-5 L/24 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the LA Dodgers to win 

The Braves are 0-10 L/10  2020 on the road off a road game in which they scored 6+ runs which was the case last time out. 

 HAPP is 13-3 UNDER in home games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) 

Rangers starter ALLARD is 0-9  against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season. (Team's Record) ALLARD is 0-10  against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  ALLARD is 3-16  against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

TEXAS is 0-14  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher  like Ohtani whose winning percentage is better than 70% over the last 3 seasons. 

MLB team (TEXAS) - with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games, starting a pitcher who was rocked for 6+ runs in his last 2 outings are 6-33 L/5 seasons for go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. (Allard qualifies)

Play on the LA Angels to win 

The Red Sox are 15-0-1 L/16 when Eduardo Rodriguez starts as a favorite of at least -137 when they lost in his last start.RODRIGUEZ is 11-3   against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. (Team's Record) RODRIGUEZ is 4-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 2.91 and a WHIP of 1.176. 

BOSTON is 41-26   against the money line against right-handed starters this season like Mize. 

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win 

 Orioles starter HARVEY is 11-5  against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) HARVEY is 9-2  against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Harvey is 2-0 with a 1.60 ERA in five career starts against the Yankees. On April 26 in Baltimore, he allowed one run on three hits in six innings of a 4-2 win.

NYY starter TAILLON is 0-7 against the money line in home games after giving up no earned runs last outing in his career. (Team's Record)

The Orioles were clobbered yesterday 13-1 but are more than capable of bouncing back , as has been evident lately as they have shown alot of life as is evident by winning 7 of their L/11 overall. 

The Yankees are 0-11 L/11 after Aaron Judge hit a home run last game.

NY YANKEES are 6-11 against the money line vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse this season.

Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win 

Right-hander Luis Castillo (5-10, 4.22 ERA), who is 0-1 with a 16.20 ERA in two career starts against Minnesota gets the start today.  Meanwhile, the Twins will return fire with  left-hander Charlie Barnes (0-1, 1.93 ERA), who will be making just his second major league appearance and very inexperienced and could easily get lit up here vs a Reds team that averages 5.4 rpg at home.

Over is 5-0-1 in Reds last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 3-0-2 in Reds last 5 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 21-8-1 in Twins last 30 games as an underdog.

MINNESOTA is 10-1 OVER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 20-6 OVER as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season.

Over is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Play on the OVER 

Rockies starting pitcher FREELAND is 16-4 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse . (Team's Record) 

Cubs are 1-8 in their last 9 road games vs. a left-handed starter.CHICAGO CUBS are 7-21 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season

The Cubs are 0-11 L/11 as a dog off a loss as a dog win which they held the lead which was the case last time out. 

Play on Colorado to win 

The Braves are 12-0 L/12  when Max Fried starts in the month of August. FRIED is 24-7   against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  FRIED is 24-6   against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) FRIED is 2-0 in his career when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 0.66 and a WHIP of 0.805. Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.

Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.

MLB Home teams (ST LOUIS) - with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 1.50 the last 5 games are 60-100 L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 63% for bettors.

Braves are 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in St. Louis.

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win 

The Cardinals won 5-1 in the series opener on Friday. The Twins responded with an 8-1 victory the following night and now Im expecting the Cards to answer back with a victory today. Twins are 0-5 in their last 5 games following a win. Cardinals are 6-1 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.The Twins are 0-15 L/15 on the ML past the first game of a series as a dog after a game as a road dog in which they scored 6+ runs Right-hander Adam Wainwright (8-6, 3.51) will get the start for the Cardinals coming off back-to-back strong starts against the Chicago Cubs and Cleveland Indians, respectively.

Cards starting hurler WAINWRIGHT is 49-19 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) WAINWRIGHT is 16-7 ( against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Play on the St.Louis Cards to win 

The Rockies upset the Padres 9-4 in the first game of this series, but now Im expecting a wide awake Padres team to come back swinging for the proverbial fences and get a win here tonight. The Rockies are 0-11 L/11 on the road off a game as a dog in which they scored 6+ runs.

COLORADO is 2-17 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season like Padres hurler Darvish. 

MLB Road teams (COLORADO) - after a game they hit 4 or more home runs, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are 14-33 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate.

Play on San Diego to win 

Triston McKenzie (1-4, 5.61 ERA) is set to start for the Indians . The righty   is 0-1 with a 3.71 ERA in three starts this month.McKenzie is also 0-1 with an 8.78 ERA in four career appearances against the White Sox, including three starts, with 25 strikeouts in 13 1/3 innings and according to my projections does not matchup well against the White sox batting lineup. CHI WHITE SOX are 28-9  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start over the last 2 seasons. 

The White Sox are 9-0 L/9 when Dallas Keuchel starts as a home favorite.KEUCHEL is 10-2  against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL), with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL) are 57-15 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

MLBt eam (CLEVELAND) - with a starting pitcher with poor control (more than 2.75 BB's/start) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) are 15-35 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate.

Play on the White Sox to win