Adam Wainwright and Yadier Molina will try to become the winningest pitcher-catcher combo of all time when the St. Louis Cardinals host the San Francisco Giants on Sunday night. Im betting they and their teammates will be primed and extremely motivated to do this on tonight at home and on a  national tv broadcast. 

Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter like the Giants Rodon. 

Cardinals are 16-5 in their last 21 games vs. a left-handed starter.

WAINWRIGHT is 92-46  against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record)

SAN FRANCISCO is 1-7 against the money line after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (SAN FRANCISCO) - with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 5 games against opponent with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games are 9-25 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Giants are 3-10 in the last 13 meetings in St. Louis.

Play on St.Cards to win 

The Royals will send Daniel Lynch (2-2, 4.01 ERA) against Colorado's Austin Gomber (2-3, 4.36) in a matchup of left-handers.

Colorado has averaged 6.2 rpg at home this season and are starting to heat up offensively and have scored 20 runs in the first two game of this series vs KC . Meanwhile, the Royals have averaged 4.4 rpg on the road this season  and have scored 18 runs in 2 games here in Coors Field in the first two games in this series.Kansas City has allowed 10 runs in each of the first two games of the series. Im expecting a continuation of the current scoring  trends. 

Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 interleague games.Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 home games.Over is 10-2 in Rockies last 12 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Colorado.

Play on the OVER 

In the series finale, Cincinnati right-hander Hunter Greene (1-5, 7.62 ERA) is scheduled to oppose Pittsburgh left-hander Jose Quintana (1-1, 2.70 ERA). My projections estimate that both batting orders matchup well vs their pitching adversaries , giving us an edge on a over wager. 

In 33 games this season the Reds and their opponents have combined to average 10.1 rpg. 

CINCINNATI is 10-2 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season with a combined average of 12.7 rpg scored. 

Over is 10-1 in Reds last 11 games following a loss.Over is 11-2-1 in Reds last 14 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 11-2 in Reds last 13 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Over is 5-1 in Reds last 6 games as a road underdog.Over is 5-1-2 in Reds last 8 Sunday games.Over is 14-3-1 in Reds last 18 overall.Over is 14-3-1 in Reds last 18 on grass.Over is 9-2-1 in Reds last 12 vs. National League Central. Over is 11-5 in Reds last 16 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

 Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Pittsburgh.Over is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings.

Over is 6-2 in Pirates last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-2 in Pirates last 7 games following a win.Over is 5-2 in Pirates last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (CINCINNATI) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less ) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 2.70 or less) -NL, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts are 42-12 OVER L/25 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the OVER 

JOE MUSGROVE (R) vs. KYLE WRIGHT (R)

I know the Padres Musgrove have pitched well this season so far, but my matchup stats suggest the Braves bats matchup well against him and they will do enough damage for us to see this combined score eclipsed. Note: 

SAN DIEGO is 7-0 OVER  in road games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less  errors/game this season with a combined average of 12.5 rpg scored.SAN DIEGO is 10-1 OVER  in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored. Over is 8-1 in Padres last 9 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Over is 11-3 in Padres last 14 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

ATLANTA is 20-9 OVER  in home games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.6 rpg scored.ATLANTA is 10-2 OVER  after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season with a combined average of 10.2 rpg scored. 

Play OVER 

Colorados offensive struggles  came to an abrupt end  with the 10 runs going on the scoreboard  on Friday night despite of losing 14-10.    Im betting on the offensive momentum continuing today as they find a way past the Royals in game 2 of this series. 

Royals are 3-14 in their last 17 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Royals are 1-6 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (COLORADO) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL, with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP  2.000 or more  over his last 5 starts are 84-29 L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Colorado Rockies to win 

Mets starter BASSITT is 15-1 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

With Bassitt on the hill, Im betting the Mets bounce back from yesterdays loss. NY METS are 11-1  against the money line after a loss this season.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SEATTLE) - with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 26-101 L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the NY Mets to win 

The Astros will send out right-hander Cristian Javier (2-0, 0.83 ERA) on Saturday and according to my power rankings matches up well vs the Nationals Meanwhile, Washington will counter with righty Erick Fedde (2-2, 3.90 ERA), who has allowed just one run across 12 innings in two starts this month. Im betting on both pitchers going deep and to be key to this combined score failing to eclipse of the offered totals number.

Houston is 8-0 UNDER   vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game this season.HOUSTON is 8-0 UNDER vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season.

Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 interleague games as a favorite.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-0 in Astros last 6 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.

Under is 20-8 in Nationals last 28 home games.

MLB Home teams (WASHINGTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 47-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

In two career starts against the Brewers (both last season) Miamis starter Rogers is 2-0 with an ERA of 0.82 and 13 strikeouts in 11 innings. He is off a scoreless appearance last time out vs San Diego and has momentum going into this tilt. 

Meanwhile , Brewers starter Lauer's  previous  three outings against Miami, including two starts, he is 0-2 with a 7.71 ERA.

Advantage Marlins -

Marlins are 10-4 in their last 14 games as a home underdog.

Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 road games.Brewers are 4-10 in their last 14 games vs. a left-handed starter.Brewers are 4-10 in their last 14 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

MLB Road teams (MILWAUKEE) - good offensive team (4.7 or more  runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.000 or better  over his last 5 starts are 10-26 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MIAMI) - team with a terrible SLG (.390 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start are 57-26 L/25 seasons for a  69% conversion rate.

Play on Miami to win 

Orioles starting  left-hander Bruce Zimmermann (2-1, 2.67), who has allowed two earned runs or less in five of his six starts gives us an edge here vs a very inconsistent Detroit Tigers team .  

Tigers are 3-9 in their last 12 during game 2 of a series.Tigers are 2-6 in their last 8 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Tigers are 1-5 in their last 6 games as a home favorite. Tigers are 3-10 in their last 13 games vs. a left-handed starter.

MLB Road teams (BALTIMORE) - with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season, stranding 7.5 or more runners on base per game on the season are 80-42 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Baltimore to win 

The San Francisco Giants have now won 6 straight games and  look like. viable investment option to  extend their win streak to seven games as they get prepared for game two of their series vs. the St. Louis Cardinals who have lost 5 of their L/6.

The Giants explosive batting order also matches up well vs Cards starter Hudson who owns a sub par 5.02 FIP at home .Giants are 43-15 in their last 58 road games vs. a right-handed starter like Hudson and get the nod again today. 

Play on SF Giants to win 

Dodgers starter Clayton Kershaw (4-0, 1.80 ERA  has given up one run or none in four of his five starts.  In three lifetime appearances (two starts) against the Dodgers, Phillies starter  Gibson is 0-3 with a 9.00 ERA. Advantage Dodgers in bounce back mode from a loss yesterday.

MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 90-10 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with a rpg diff clicking in at +3.7 which qualifies on a run-line betting option. 

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA DODGERS) - very good offensive team (5.0  or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less) (NL), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) are 31-1 L/25 seasons  with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.8 which qualifies on the run-line. 

Play on LA Dodgers on the Runline -1.5 

Left-hander Drew Smyly (1-3, 3.04 ERA), who the Diamondbacks roughed up last year in his only career start against Arizona, will get the start for the Cubs. According to my power rankings he doe snot matchup well here and is fade material. The Diamondbacks, who are 11-4 in  their last 15 games, will answer back  with veteran right-hander Zach Davies (1-1, 3.34). Davies will be making his 20th career start against the Cubs, carrying a 7-7 record and 3.61 ERA. ....Advantage DBacks. 

Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.

Cubs are 25-62 in their last 87 games as an underdog.Cubs are 4-10 in their last 14 vs. National League West.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 32-5 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Arizona to win 

Astros are red hot  as is evident by having won 9 straight games and deserve respect here as viable  favorites. Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road favorite and  are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter like Gray. Astros are 12-1 in their last 13 games following a win. Astros are 14-2 in their last 16 overall. 

Nationals are 1-5 in their last 6 inter-league games as an underdog.WASHINGTON is 1-10   against the money line in home games after 2 or more consecutive home games this season.WASHINGTON is 10-39 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the Astros to win 

Dodgers left-hander Tyler Anderson (3-0, 2.78 ERA) will enter his Thursday start coming off consecutive victories and gives an edge to a Dodgers team with the best win % at home in MLB so far this season. Meanwhile, Philadelphia will send right-hander Zack Wheeler (1-3, 4.10 ERA) to the mound on Thursday in his return from the COVID-19 injured list. My pitcher vs batting order power ranking suggest the Dodgers powerful lineup matches up well against the Phillies  righty. 

Phillies are 1-8 in their last 9 road games vs. a left-handed starter like Anderson. Phillies are 3-13 in their last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Phillies are 4-12 in their last 16 games as an underdog.

PHILADELPHIA is 7-15  against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season.PHILADELPHIA is 1-13  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 4 walks or more/game over the last 3 season.

Play on LA Dodgers to win 

Kansas City has really struggled with offensive production so far this season, and are averaging just .197 vs LHP like Texas starter Hearn scoring an average of just 2.7 rpg . Meanwhile, the Rangers batting order goes against an inexperienced MLB starter  Heasley who is being called up  from Triple-A Omaha for the start. Heasley made three major-league starts in 2021, going 1-1 with a 4.91 ERA. Advantage Rangers.

Royals are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

Rangers are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.Rangers are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

MLB team (KANSAS CITY) - sub par offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 6.20 or more ) (AL), with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season are 15-39 L/26 seasons for a go against  72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Royals are 8-27 in the last 35 meetings.

Play on the Texas Rangers to win 

Astros pitching has been in top form, and if it were not for their hurlers, things could have been alot worse considering they are averaging just .217 BA as a team and a even uglier .205 vs LH starters like the Twins Winder. I know the Astros are on a 8 game win streak, but their Texas sized horse shoe Im betting wont get them over the hump today.

BAKER is 18-30  against the money line in road games after allowing 1 run or less 2 straight games in all games he has managed since 1997. Houston is just 6-5 in day games this season.

Astros are 5-11 in their last 16 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Astros are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Twins are 9-1 in their last 10 home games. Twins are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Houstons starter Garcia.  Twins are 5-2 in their last 7 games as an underdog.Twins are 7-3 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Minnesota is 11-5 in day games this season. 

MINNESOTA is 9-0  against the money line in home games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season.MINNESOTA is 16-6  against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season.

MLB Home teams (MINNESOTA) - after 2 straight games with no home runs, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games are 37-12 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Home teams (MINNESOTA) - good team, outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season, after getting shut out are 87-30 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Road teams (HOUSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start, with a rested bullpen that pitched one inning or less last game are 27-57 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Minnesota to win 

The Cardinals have lost three straight games but will be ready to bounce back behind Miles Mikolas (2-1, 1.53 ERA)  and will primed for a strong effort here vs a side that they can handle.  

 BALTIMORE is 7-24  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons with the rpg diff clicking in at -2.1. 

MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 55-5 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicks in at +3.7 which qualifies on a runline wager. 

Play on Cardinals -1.5. 

The Rockies will send right-hander Antonio Senzatela (2-1, 3.75 ERA) to face San Francisco left-hander Alex Wood (2-2, 4.38).Senzatela is 5-1 with a 4.24 ERA in 10 career outings, including eight starts, against the Giants and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well again, and gives us a value line opportunity for profits. Note: Giants are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter. 

COLORADO is 33-24 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Rockies are 13-3 in their last 16 during game 2 of a series.Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Rockies are 6-2 in their last 8 road games vs. a left-handed starter like Wood.

Play on Colorado to win 

Former Cy Young award winner Right-hander Corey Kluber (1-1, 2.36 ERA) will make his sixth start of the year for the Rays. The veteran hurler  is  coming off two top tier  outings.  Rays starter KLUBER is 13-2 UNDER in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.7 rpg scored and Im betting he sklows down the Halos bats in this spot play which will contribute to a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse this total. 

Note: Under is 8-3 in Rays last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Detmers whoa] also owns a .3.21 ERA at home, along with a 0.857 WHIP. 

 Under is 5-1-1 in Angels last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 9-4-2 in Angels last 15 home games. Under is 7-3-1 in Angels last 11 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (LA ANGELS) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a good starter (ERA 4.20 or better ) (AL), playing on Tuesday are 29-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

The Guardians  rallied Monday night  to beat the White Sox in the first game of this series, and now a embarrassed Pale Hose side will be out looking for redemption. I'm betting on right-hander Lucas Giolito (1-1, 3.20 ERA) getting the  White Sox back on track as he makes the start Tuesday.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (CHI WHITE SOX) - where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season against opponent starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing are 53-7 L/25 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. 

Two strong starting pitchers will go head to head today, with Twins right-hander Joe Ryan (3-1, 1.63) go to the hill and Astros veteran hurler   and right-hander Justin Verlander (3-1, 1.93 ERA) going to the mound. Both are supported by solid bullpens. Im betting the difference maker here today will be the Twins home field advantage a more consistent batting order. 

 Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League West.Twins are 7-0 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like the Astros starter Verlander .Twins are 9-0 in their last 9 home games. Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.

Astros are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like the Twins starter Ryan.

MINNESOTA is 10-0  against the money line in home games vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season.  MINNESOTA is 9-0  against the money line in home games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (HOUSTON) - with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 1.50 the last 5 games are 13-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Minnesota to win 

Hard-throwing Noah Syndergaard will be on the mound for the Los Angeles Angels on Monday night when they host the Tampa Bay Rays. The top tier hurler gives the Halos in edge at home here in game 1 of this series. Syndergaard (2-1, 2.63 ERA) has been steady in his four starts. He's lasted at least 5 1/3 innings in every start and has not allowed more than three runs in any of them and Im betting that type of continued pitching will get us to the promised land in this one. 

MADDON is 64-30  against the money line in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62%) or better  in all games he has managed since 1997

Angels are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home favorite.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TAMPA BAY) - with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 100-24 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Home teams (LA ANGELS) - in a game involving two top-level teams (62% or better ), playing on Monday are 31-12 L/25 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the LA Angels to win 

Two teams on losing streaks try to break out here and grab a win. Detroit has lost 5 straight and the As 9 straight. Futility is something both have been good at so far this season. From a pitching standpoint the As Blackburn matches up very well vs the Tigers batting order, and so far he has been the one bright spot in the As lineup both offensively and defensively and deserves respect here against an offense that has generated a total of 8 runs during their current 5 game losing streak  .  The As right-hander,  gave up three runs on six hits in 4 1/3 innings against Tampa Bay in his last outing on Tuesday. He had four five-inning starts in April and only gave up three earned runs in totally. Blackburn has also  fanned 23 in 24 1/3 innings while  allowing just 3 walks.

Tigers are 3-7 in their last 10 home games.

Athletics are 90-37 in their last 127 vs. American League Central.Athletics are 17-4 in the last 21 meetings in Detroit.

Play on Oakland to win 

The Dodgers won the first two games of this series quite handily with 7-0 and 6-2 victories , but this has not been a good omen for success lately for the LAD and tonight Im going to bet against them as they try to make it 3 victories a row in this series.  Note: LA DODGERS are 2-8  against the money line in road games after 2 straight wins by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.I know the Cubbies have looked horrid at times this season, but are much more capable than current trends might indicate and are value based underdog at home tonight with some pride on the line. 

MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CHICAGO CUBS) - team with a poor SLG (.400 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or better) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 on the season (NL) are 27-11 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA DODGERS) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20) -NL, starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 11-22 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago to win 

Cardinals starting pitcher Dakota Hudson (2-2, 3.16 ERA) is coming off a 7-1 loss to the Kansas City Royals. After throwing 12 2/3 scoreless innings in his previous two starts. Today Im betting the under rated hurler bounces back vs a banged up Giants side that previous to yesterdays win in this series had lost 6 of their L/7 overall.Hudson is 2-0 with a 1.98 ERA in four career appearances against the Giants, including two starts and gets my support here today vs a lineup my power rankings suggest he matches up well against.Giants are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Cardinals are 12-5 in their last 17 games as a road underdog and  are 7-3 in their last 10 games following a loss. Cardinals are 37-16 in their last 53 overall.

 Cardinals are 16-7 in their last 23 games as an underdog. Cardinals are 9-4 in their last 13 vs. National League West.

Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win 

Im betting the focused Twins will  complete a three-game sweep Sunday afternoon when they host the Oakland Athletics in Minneapolis. Twins right-hander Chris Paddack (1-2, 3.15 ERA) is scheduled to make his fifth start of the season.P addack is favored to get   back-to-back victories after a strong performance Monday in which he allowed one run on four hits in 5 1/3 innings. Meanwhile, Athletics right-hander Daulton Jefferies (1-4, 4.81 ERA) is set to  go the hill.  Jefferies earned a victory in his season debut April 10 against the Philadelphia Phillies but sicnce than been on a downhill trajectory notching  with four losses in a row  and is fade material in his current form. Considering the pitching matchup and the fact the Twins seem to genrally take care of business vs lower tier sides that are struggling they are a viable wager here laying a little extea lumber. Twins are 45-21 in their last 66 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400

Athletics are 0-7 in their last 7 games as an underdog.

Twins are 8-0 in their last 8 games as a home favorite.Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League West.Twins are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter. 

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less are 46-4 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. 

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (OAKLAND) - with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 8-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Twins to win 

Braves starter FRIED is 21-7  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) FRIED is 22-7 against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) It must be noted that the Brewers offense has struggled vs LHP this season batting just .195 overall while generating just 2.7 rpg in production.  

Meanwhile, the Braves  are 15-5   against the money line in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons like the Brewers starter Burnes. 

MILWAUKEE is 1-7  against the money line after a game where they committed 3 or more errors over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - after a game where they had 4 or less hits, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 10 games are 29-10 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win 

Astros are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a favorite and  are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter like the tigers Rodriguez.  Astros are  also 6-0 in their last 6 home games and generally take care of business vs less talented teams than themselves as is evident by going  23-9 in their last 32 games vs. a teams with a .400 or less record. Advantage Astros laying extra lumber. 

Tigers are 1-6 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series and are 1-8 in their last 9 games as a road underdog.Tigers are also 1-8 in their last 9 road games.

HOUSTON is 27-8  against the money line after 5 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 season.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (HOUSTON) - after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less are 45-4 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Home teams (HOUSTON) - struggling  offensive team - scoring 3.9 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 31-7 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (HOUSTON) - after allowing 3 runs or less 4 straight games against opponent after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 44-7 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Houston to win 

Athletics have lost 7 straight and  are 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter like Gray. Meanwhile, the Twins  are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a home favorite and are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.

Twins are also 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter like J. Kaprielian .Twins have also taken care of business vs struggling teams going  5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record

MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (OAKLAND) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 22-105 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (OAKLAND) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 11-76 L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Minnesota to win 

Oakland is fade material in their current form as they currently in the midst  of having lost 6 straight games. Meanwhile, the Twins, are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite and are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter like As starter Irvin. 

Twins are also  5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record. While the Athletics are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.

MINNESOTA is 13-4  against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season

MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (OAKLAND) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 21-104 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Minnesota to win 

Marlins stater LUZARDO is 7-1  against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SAN DIEGO is 9-26  against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen like the Marlins whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 2 seasons. Luzardo own s a 1.81 ERA in 2 road outings this season and deserves respect here in the starters role vs the Padres batting order. 

Meanwhile, MIAMI is 20-11 L/31 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher with poor control (more than 2.75 BB's/start) like Padres starter  Martinez. 

I know the Marlins  just had a disastrous series against the DBacks after winning 6 straight games, but this pitching matchup favors them in this spot play as underdogs.Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Padres are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. National League East.

Padres are 7-21 in their last 28 vs. a team with a winning record and have lost 5 of 6  at home vs a side that is above .500 on the season. 

Play on the Marlins to win 

BoSox starter Hill has pitched scoreless ball in consecutive four-inning starts, and despite of not getting a win is now ready to help his team bust out of a early season slump. I know he is opposed by media darling Ohtani, but the Japanese phenom has been hampered with hamstring issues and may have problems going deep here today or being consistent. 

I know the Halos erupted for 10 runs yesterday in a 10-5 win , but that has not been a good omen going forward for them, as they are  just 15-23 against the money line after a win by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. Also overall the Angels bats despite of finding ways to win some games have batting just .209 in their L/7 overall. 

Angels are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League East.Angels are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings in Boston.

MLB Home teams (BOSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 51-18 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Red Sox to win 

The Yankees are red hot as is evident by having won 14 of their L/15 games. They are finding new ways to win every night, behind a explosive veteran lineup. More of the same winning action is my call here tonight in Toronto as we back the stripes to come through again as manageable chalk. Note: Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.

.Yankees are 14-3 in their last 17 games as a favorite.

Yankees are 13-3 in their last 16 road games vs. a left-handed starter like Jays starter Kikuchi. 

Yankees are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Toronto.

Play on the NY Yankees to win 

Oakland As starter MONTAS is 4-10  against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) TAMPA BAY is 15-6  against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better over the last 3 seasons like Montas.

Athletics are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Kluber.

and  are 0-5 in their last 5 home games and are fade material in their current form. 

Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League West.

Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 road games. Rays are 23-8 in their last 31 road games vs. a team with a losing record.

TAMPA BAY is 8-1 against the money line in road games vs. poor fielding teams - averaging 0.75+ errors/game over the last 2 seasons.

CASH is 12-0  against the money line in road games vs. sub par fielding teams - averaging 0.9+ errors/game as the manager of TAMPA BAY.

Rays are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Oakland.

Play on Tampa Bay to win 

Two former Padres' first-round picks, right-hander Cal Quantrill (1-1, 3.27) of the Guardians and rookie left-hander MacKenzie Gore (2-0, 1.76) of the Padres will be on the mound in the first game of todays double header between these two sides.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN DIEGO) - good NL offensive team (4.7 or more  runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or more ), cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games are 8-33 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. 

The White Sox bats are slumping averaging 2.6 runs per game , via a  .206 BA  and have homered  just 10 times in their L/14 games winning just 3 times and do not matchup well according to my pitcher vs power rankings vs Cubs starter Drew Smyly (1-2, 2.79 ERA). Meanwhile, the Pale Hose will trot out Michael Kopech (0-0, 1.42 ERA) . The right-hander has allowed three earned runs and struck out 18 with nine walks over 19 innings of his four starts and should do well vs a Cubs team that is hitting just the Mendoza line at  .246 on the season. Advantage under. 

CHICAGO CUBS are 34-17 UNDER  after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival over the last 2 seasons. Under is 6-1-1 in Cubs last 8 during game 1 of a series.

Under is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 during game 1 of a series. Under is 9-4-3 in White Sox last 16 interleague road games.

MLB teams where the total is 7 or less (CHICAGO CUBS) - after a combined score of 2 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 44-9 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

MLB teams where the total is 7 or less (CHICAGO CUBS) - after a combined score of 2 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 4 runs or less are 45-10 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite and have won 9 of their L/10 overall.Twins are 7-0 in their last 7 games on grass.Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter like Zimmerman and have an edge here according to my power rankings. 

Twins are 42-19 in their last 61 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

MINNESOTA is 11-2  against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season. MINNESOTA is 12-3 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season.

BALTIMORE is 7-36  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (BALTIMORE) - with a team on base percentage .320 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 22-109 L/5 seasons for a  go against 83% conversion rate. 

Play on Minnesota to win 

Left-hander Max Fried (2-2, 3.00 ERA) is scheduled to start for Atlanta against New York right-hander Chris Bassitt (3-1, 2.25 ERA). Fried is 4-3 with a 2.78 ERA in 16 career games (11 starts) against the Mets. Bassitt has never faced the Braves. My power rankings suggest southpaw Fried has the ability to slow down the Mets offense which gives the Braves the edge here in game 1 of this series.

Braves are 22-8 in their last 30 vs. a team with a winning record. Braves are 20-8 in their last 28 vs. National League East.

Mets are 4-10 in their last 14 games vs. a left-handed starter.Mets are 1-5 in their last 6 Monday games.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - team with a poor OBP (.310 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or better ) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.20 or worse on the season (NL) are 37-15 L/25 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors, 

Braves are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

Play on Atlanta to win 

The Blue Jays send  right-hander Ross Stripling (0-0, 3.60 ERA) to the hill Monday. New York will start left-hander Jordan Montgomery (0-1, 2.70).Stripling went against the Yankees twice last season, going 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA. In five career games (2 starts) against the Yankees, he is 0-4, 4.50 and is fade material here vs a Yankees team that has won 11 of their L/12 games. 

Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.

I know the Jays have played well, but so have the Yanks.Yankees are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Toronto. I like the way the entire Yankees team is contributing and that Im betting will be the difference maker here at least in game 1 of this series. 

Play on NYY to win 

Marlins had a seven-game winning streak   broken Sunday with a 7-3 setback against the visiting Seattle Mariners. Now Im betitng this under rated team rebounds vs Arizona in this spot play.The Diamondbacks own a ugly  (.181 BA ) and one of the worst fielding percentages and are fade material. 

Arizonas starter GALLEN is 1-10   against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

ARIZONA is 1-21  against the money line in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher like Lopez  whose WHIP is 1.150 or better over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Miami to win 

Zach Eflin (1-1, 3.20 ERA) is expected to start for the Phillies against the Mets' Max Scherzer (3-0, 1.80) in a battle of right-handers. Eflin is 3-4 with a 4.70 ERA in 13 starts against the Mets. Scherzer is 15-4 with a 2.47 ERA in 26 career starts against the Phillies. Advantage NYM. 

Mets starter SCHERZER is 19-3  against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Phillies qualify. PHILADELPHIA is 8-20 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons.

SCHERZER is 12-1  against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  SCHERZER is 25-6 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Phillies starter. EFLIN is 1-9 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Mets qualify. 

Phillies are 2-9 in their last 11 games as a road underdog.Phillies are 2-10 in their last 12 games as an underdog.Phillies are 1-7 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Phillies are 0-7 in their last 7 Sunday games.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (NY METS) - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season, after scoring 1 run or less are 45-5 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Mets to win 

Marlins will start right-hander Sandy Alcantara (2-0, 1.78 ERA). Seattle will counter with right-hander Logan Gilbert (3-0, 0.40), who leads the American League in ERA.

Miami starter SANDY ALCANTARA is 9-0 UNDER  at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons with a. combined average of 5.1 rpg scored. ALCANTARA is 14-3 UNDER   when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.6 rpg scored. With another strong hurler on the hill for the Mariners ( Gilbert) Im expecting a pitchers duel and lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse the total. 

MIAMI is 14-4 UNDER  vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

Play UNDER 

The Marlins will start right-hander Sandy Alcantara (2-0, 1.78 ERA). Seattle will fire back with right-hander Logan Gilbert (3-0, 0.40), who leads the American League in ERA.  Gilbert will enter Sunday's game on a streak of 17 1/3 scoreless innings. 

GILBERT is 13-2 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  GILBERT is 10-0  against the money line after giving up 2  or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

ALCANTARA is 2-12 against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

With the Mariners top hurler on the hill they have an edge, via. value moneyline offering. 

Play on the Mariners to win 

On Sunday, the Twins will start rookie right-hander Josh Winder (0-0, 3.48), who has never faced the Rays. Im betting the kid is in over his head here according to pitcher vs batting order power rankings. 

Twins are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. American League East.Twins are 2-5 in their last 7 road games.

TAMPA BAY is 34-12  against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons. Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.

MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - after a game where they had at least 10 more hits than their opponent against opponent after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base are 33-10 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the TB Rays to win 

Brewers lefty starter Lauer has gone 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA in four previous outings against the Cubs, including three starts . Meanwhile, Cubs starter Steele (1-2, 5.40 ERA) pitched the controversial second game of the season, a 9-0 home victory over the Brewers. Needless to say Milwaukee has a semblance of revenge on board, and will be prepared to light up the Cubbies hurler at home today. After popping 11 runs on the board yesterday another onslaught with momentum is a good bet.  Considering the starting pitching matchup and both bullpens abilities vs these batting orders, a over wager on my projections is a viable option. 

Over is 7-3 in Brewers last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 3-1-2 in Brewers last 6 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

Over is 8-0 in Cubs last 8 Saturday games. Over is 7-2 in Cubs last 9 games as a road underdog.Over is 10-3 in Cubs last 13 during game 2 of a series.Over is 18-8-1 in Cubs last 27 games as an underdog.Over is 11-5 in Cubs last 16 vs. a team with a winning record.

Over is 9-1-2 in the last 12 meetings.Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.

Play on the OVER 

The Mariners batting order has done their best work against southpaws like Luzardo this season averaging 5.8 rpg .  Mariners are 8-3 in their last 11 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Meanwhile, the Marlins  are 0-6 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter like Ray. The Marlins have average just 2.7 rog via a lowly .180 BA vs lefty starters and are fade material here in this spot according to my early season power rankings. 

MIAMI is 2-15 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 4-19  against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Road teams (SEATTLE) - with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season, stranding 7.5 or more runners on base per game on the season are 45-17 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Mariners to cover 

After starting the season 6-2, the defending American League Central champs have lost 10 of 11 and in no shape or form playing a decent enough brand of baseball to easily upend a red hot Angels side that has won 6 straight and that also owns a 8-2 record here in Southside Chicago . According to my power rankings the Halos matchup well Right-hander Vince Velasquez (0-2, 6.75 ERA)  who prepares to  make his fourth start of the season for the Pale Hose. VELASQUEZ is 14-4 OVER in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record)

Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.Angels are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a road underdog.Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.Angels are 20-7 in their last 27 vs. American League Central.

Play on LAA to win 

Astros bats woke up late night and took a 11-7 win. Now with momentum on their sides Im betting on another Astros win here today. Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 overall and  are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.Astros are also 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Toronto.

Astros starter GARCIA is 1-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 4.85 and a WHIP of 0.923. With Vlad Guerrero not 100% with a foot injury the Astros have an edge on the hill. 

Right-hander Jose Berrios (1-0, 4.91 ERA) will make his fifth start of the season for Toronto on Saturday. the righty is  3-3 with a 5.46 ERA over six career starts against the Astros and according to my batting order vs pitching power rankings does not matchup well vs this current Houston roster. 

Play on Houston to win 

ARIZONA is 0-16 against the money line in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better over the last 2 seasons. Cards starting right-hander Miles Mikolas (1-0, 1.21).  Advantage St.Louis. 

Note:  Arizona stater Kelly has pitched against the Cardinals twice in his career, both times in 2019. He is 1-1 with an ERA of 4.91 against St. Louis, giving up nine runs (six earned) in 11 innings.

ARIZONA is 46-109  against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons.

MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (ST LOUIS) - with an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) are 94-25 L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rare for bettors.

Play on Cardinals to win 

Cleveland is faltering of late but this is a great opportunity for them to get back into the win column vs a Oakland side that has almost no offensive consistency . Note: Guardians starter CIVALE is 10-3  against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Athletics are 1-6 in their last 7 games as a home favorite.

FRANCONA is 105-65  against the money line after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games as the manager of CLEVELAND.

Play on Cleveland to win 

The Yankees will hand the ball to Nestor Cortes (0-0, 1.15 ERA), while Kris Bubic (0-1, 14.14) will start for the Royals in a matchup of left-handers. One pitcher is in good form the other is not, and the same goes for the Yanks or hot and the Royals who are not, Advantage Yanks. 

KANSAS CITY is 9-23 against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35  or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (KANSAS CITY) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less ), with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP  2.000  or worse over his last 3 starts are 6-33 L/26 seasons. 

Play on NYY to win 

Phillies starter NOLA is 2-11 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) NOLA is 3-12  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) NOLA is 7-15  against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Mets matchup well here and Im betting on a bounce back performance here after yesterdays loss. 

Phillies are 1-8 in their last 9 games as a road underdog.Phillies are 1-9 in their last 10 games as an underdog.Phillies are 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series. Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Mets are 8-0 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss.

Play on the Mets 

Marlins starter Hernandez throws his fastball 49% of the time and it has been beaten around like a rag doll as is evident by a opposition .323 batting average. The Mariners matchup very well here. Meanwhile, Matt Brash the Mariners starter has some vicious action on his curveball and breaking stuff, and deserves respect here against a inconsistent Marlins batting order. 

MIAMI is 1-15   against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 3-19  against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.

MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (SEATTLE) - with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season, starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings are 49-10 L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Seattle to win 

 The Braves won the first game of the series 3-1 and the Cubs rebounded to win the second game 6-3 in 10 innings. Im now betting the  Braves  get their first series win of the season. 

Note: Braves starter Wright (2-0, 1.06) has allowed only two runs this season  . He's KOd 26 batters in 17 innings and walked only two. Wright struck out a career-high 11 batters in his last start against the Marlins on Friday. This kid is magic and gets my support to help his team garner a victory. 

Cubs are 7-20 in their last 27 games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 5-15 in their last 20 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.Cubs are 5-16 in their last 21 vs. National League East.Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Cubs are 21-53 in their last 74 games as an underdog.

Braves are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. National League Central.

Braves are 19-7 in their last 26 during game 3 of a series.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (ATLANTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), after a game where the bullpen threw 7 or more innings are 49-8 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

Cubs are 1-7 in the last 8 meetings in Atlanta.

Play on Atlanta to win 

The Tigers southpaw starter Skubal (1-1, 2.30 ERA) matches up well against the Twins batting order according to my pitcher vs offense power rankings. Twins are 11-24 in their last 35 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Twins are also just  7-18 in their last 25 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. I know the Twins have won the first two games of this series, but the under rated Tigers have proven resilient in the recent past when losing the first two games of a series going  5-0 in their last 5 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.

DETROIT is 11-4 against the money line after 4 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (DETROIT) - cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 3 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 10 games are 47-31 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (DETROIT) - terrible speed team - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season, after a game where they had 2 or less hits are 32-11 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Tigers to win 

Bruce Zimmermann (1-0, 1.20 ERA), who shut out the Yankees in five innings of four-hit ball on April 17 in Baltimore, takes the hill for the Orioles here today and gives his team an edge on this ML offering. 

BOONE is 29-31 against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game as the manager of NY YANKEES.

NY YANKEES are 27-36 against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons

MLB Road teams (BALTIMORE) - with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season, stranding 7.5 or more runners on base per game on the season are 77-38 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Baltimore Orioles to win 

Right-hander Zach Plesac (1-1, 1.53 ERA) will make his fourth start of the year for , coming off his best start of the season last Thursday and today Im betting on the sleepy streaky bats of the Guardians to wake up and support him vs a inconsistent and overly propagandized arm belonging to Japanese duel threat phenom Ohtani..

Note: Plesac is 2-0 with a 2.81 ERA in two starts against the Angels in his career.

Ohtani went 1-for-4 with a run scored and one strikeout on Tuesday and is now hitting .213 with a .645 OPS. 

Guardians are 9-4 in their last 13 during game 3 of a series.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CLEVELAND) - after 4 straight games where they had 7 or less hits, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 52-36 L/5 seasons for a 59% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Cleveland to win 

Mets are playing top tier baseball heading onto the this 3rd game of their series at St.Louis and deserve respect on a value money line offering . Note: Cards starter  MATZ is 6-12   against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile,The Mets will counter with Carlos Carrasco (1-0, 1.47 ERA), who took down the San Francisco Giants 6-2 in his latest start. He allowed the two runs on just four hits in 7 2/3 innings on Thursday, striking out seven with no walks  and an edge vs a St.Louis side, that has scored just 14 runs in their past seven games.

Mets are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in St. Louis. Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.

Play on NY Mets to win.

Angels southpaw starter  Patrick Sandoval (0-0, 0.00 ERA) will make his third start of the season Tuesday, opposing McKenzie.Sandoval is 0-1 with a 6.14 ERA in two career starts vs. Cleveland and according to my power rankings does not matchup well vs this current Guardians batting order. I know the Guardians are struggling at the moment losing for straight games and were shut out yesterday but this is a under rated team, that offers us value on this money line offering  in this spot play.CLEVELAND is 12-2  against the money line after getting shut out over the last 2 seasons. Note: Cleveland starter MCKENZIE is 1-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.429 and has pitched relatively well this season and is a viable hurler to back as a starter. 

Guardians are 7-3 in their last 10 vs. American League West.

Angels are 4-9 in their last 13 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Angels are 4-9 in their last 13 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Angels are 7-15 in their last 22 home games.Angels are 6-13 in their last 19 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Play on the Cleveland Guardians to win 

Todays itching matchup features Phillies starter Eflin who has struggled in five career starts against the Rockies, going 1-3 with a 6.49 ERA. Meanwhile, Rockies starter Marquez, a first time All-Star last season, is 3-1 with a 3.21 ERA in seven career starts against the Phillies. My pitcher vs batting order projections estimate a rinse and repeat situation here giving us an edge with the road dog. The Rockies lost game one of this series but are 4-1 L/5 after a loss and  are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.Rockies are also 8-3 in their last 11 games as an underdog and get my support in this series spot play in the city of Brotherly love. 

MARQUEZ is 20-9 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MARQUEZ is 16-9    against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MARQUEZ is 18-7 against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

COLORADO is 21-8  against the money line when playing against a sub .500 team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Colorado to win 

Mariners  enter this game with a  6-1 record  in their last 7 overall and  are 10-2 in their last 12 during game 1 of a series and offer value here on this line vs a very inconsistent Tampa Bay side. 

Mariners man on the hill Gilbert (2-0, 0.54),  has allowed one earned run over his first three starts covering 16 2/3 innings. Note: GILBERT is a perfect 9-0  against the money line after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

GILBERT is 8-1    against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)ILBERT is 7-1  against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League West.

Rays are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.

MLB Road teams (SEATTLE) - with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season, stranding 7.5 or more runners on base per game on the season are 45-17 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Mariners are 16-6 in the last 22 meetings in Tampa Bay.

Mariners are 20-7 in the last 27 meetings.

 Play on Seattle on the ML

The Guardians were humbled in a 3 game sweep at Yankee Stadium this past weekend and were also physically attacked by Yankee fans. Now bruised and battered emotionally , Im now betting on their PTSD to be used as a spring board to a bounce back effort against the Angels here in game 1 of this series. With Shane Bieber starting today for the Guardians Im expecting they have the needed edge to get the job done.BIEBER is 3-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.08 and a WHIP of 0.831. 

Guardians are 20-8 in their last 28 games as a favorite.Guardians are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.

Angels are 2-10 in their last 12 during game 1 of a series.Angels are 2-8 in their last 10 games as a home underdog.

Play on the Cleveland Guardians to win 

The Brewers have won five of their last six tilts and are off, sweeping Pittsburgh  earlier this  week despite of below average offensive numbers. They succumbed to the  Phillies in game 1 of this series on Friday night, but they bounced back with a 5-3 victory on Saturday afternoon and have momentum entering this tilt and according to my power rankings  are being vastly under rated tonight. I know the Phillies have a load of offense, but its hardly been consistent, and their pitching on all levels has alot to desired. I know big things are expected from the Phillies this season because of upgrades, but that guarantees nothing. Look for the Brewers to find a way to sneak out a victory in prime time Sunday night. 

Phillies starter NOLA is 3-11  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) NOLA is 7-14  against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

MILWAUKEE is 12-2 against the money line in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons.MILWAUKEE is 22-7 (against the money line in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.Brewers are 22-9 in their last 31 road games vs. a team with a losing record.

Phillies are 0-6 in their last 6 Sunday games.

Phillies are 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Lauer. 

Play on Milwaukee to win 

Cole Irvin the As starting hurler has seen a combined score of 14,14, and 15 runs go on the board in his last 4 tilts vs the Rangers. Meanwhile, Richards the Rangers starter has seen 13 and 9 combined runs go on the board in his L/2 trips to the hill vs the As. 

I know both these offenses have been inconsistent to start their seasons, but from a matchup standpoint my projections estimate a total of 8+ or more runs scored in this spot play.

As starter IRVIN in his L/19 starts vs  division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) has seen a combined average of 9.9 rpg scored. 

 OAKLAND is 10-1 OVER  off 2 straight home losses against division rivals over the last 2 seasons.

Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

Over is 4-1 in Athletics last 5 games as an underdog.Over is 4-1 in Athletics last 5 vs. American League West.

Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Oakland.

Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.

Play OVER 

The Cleveland Guardians are a team that is pretty angry right now after losing yesterday as their bullpen blew a 4-3 9th inning lead.  To add insult to injury the Guardians had to take abuse from Yankee fans that prompted media attention after the game,  and now you have a motivated group to back. With Yankees starter Garret Cole(0-0 6.35 ERA) struggling out of the gate this season, the former Tribesman will be ready to come out here and put forth a motivated effort in an attempt to get some revenge and to halt a possible 3 game sweep by the Yanks. COLE is 5-8  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)COLE is 4-8 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Guardians pitcher Civale is 1-1 with a 2.08 ERA in three career starts against the Yankees. He took the win again them Sept. 18 in New York when he allowed four hits in six scoreless innings of an 11-3 victory.CIVALE is 10-2  against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CIVALE is 8-1  against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record

Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series. 

Play on the Cleveland Guardians to win 

White Sox starter VELASQUEZ is 6-16  against the money line in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record)

Twins starter  BUNDY is 4-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 4.22 and a WHIP of 0.969.

CHI WHITE SOX are 4-16  against the money line in road games vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.CHI WHITE SOX are 7-21  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 36-120 L/5 seasons for a go against  77% conversion rate.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MINNESOTA) - after a one run win against opponent after scoring 3 runs or less 4 straight games are 27-9 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. 

MLB Home teams (MINNESOTA) - terrible offensive team - scoring 3.9 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 28-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Giants are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

Play on the Minnesota Twins to win 

Cleveland lost 4-1 in game 1 of this series and now Im betting on a rebound performance from the Guardians offense tonight. Note: CLEVELAND is 21-6  against the money line after scoring 1 run or less over the last 2 seasons.

Yankees are 2-7 in their last 9 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a favorite.

Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a win.

NY YANKEES are 2-10  against the money line in home games after a 3 game span with an OBP of .260 or worse over the last 2 season.

Play on Cleveland to win 

Giants starter WOOD is 16-2  against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)WOOD is 21-7  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

SAN FRANCISCO is 61-25  against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. SAN FRANCISCO is 17-4  against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. Giants are 42-12 in their last 54 games as a favorite.

Giants are 39-12 in their last 51 vs. a team with a losing record.

SAN FRANCISCO is 27-5  against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 9-32  against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Nationals are 15-36 in their last 51 games as a home underdog.Nationals are 5-12 in their last 17 games vs. a left-handed starter.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (SAN FRANCISCO) - NL team with a low on-base percentage (.350)or less  against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better ), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games are 220-94 L/25 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the SF Giants to win 

Cleveland has scored double-digit runs four times and scored 19 runs in a three-game sweep of the visiting Chicago White Sox and are more than capable of pulling of an underdog win for us here at Yankee stadium, where they took out the Bronx Bombers in a two game set late last season via 20-4 combined output. My power rankings also suggest Guardians starting batting order matches up well vs Yanks starting pitcher  Taillon who is 0-2 with a 4.91 ERA in two career starts against Cleveland. Note:Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 road games and in 6 road games this season Cleveland offense has averaged 7.5 rpg. Yankees are 3-8 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a favorite.

Play on Cleveland to win 

The Cubs offense has looked viable of late scoring 34 runs in their L/6 games ( 5.66 rpg avg) , and Im betting they once again show their offensive capabilities vs Pirates starting pitcher B.Wilson and company.Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. . Over is 24-7-3 in Cubs last 34 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Meanwhile, the Cubs starter Mark Leiter JR  is a very hi-table pitcher  who owns a 3-8 career record and  a  bloated 5.91 ERA and a -1.8 WAR.  Im betting the Pirates do enough damage against him and a average at best bullpen to get us over the mark here tonight in windy Wrigley. 

Over is 20-6-1 in Cubs last 27 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 11-3 in Cubs last 14 vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 9-4 in Cubs last 13 vs. National League Central.

 Over is 10-1 in Cubs last 11 games as a home favorite.Over is 19-6-1 in Cubs last 26 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Over is 2-0-2 in Pirates last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 7-2 in Pirates last 9 during game 1 of a series.Over is 3-1-2 in Pirates last 6 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Over is 10-4-2 in Pirates last 16 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 9-4-2 in Pirates last 15 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Over is 13-6-2 in Pirates last 21 games as a road underdog.

Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.

Play OVER 

St.Louis has now won 8 straight meetings vs the Marlins, and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here today. I know Pablo Lopez has pitched well for the Marlins so far , but its not about the Cards pitching that puts them at a disadvantage  its their extremely inconsistent offense and that will generally continue to be their downfall until they address that situation. Today against an over powering fastball pitcher in Hicks the Marlins look to be in trouble again. 

 ST LOUIS is 19-9 against the money line in road games vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.

Cardinals are 11-2 in their last 13 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Cardinals are 21-5 in their last 26 games following a win. Cardinals are 12-3 in their last 15 games as an underdog.Cardinals are 26-8 in their last 34 road games.

Play on St.Louis to win 

New York will give the ball to Jordan Montgomery (0-0, 3.24 ERA), while Detroit will counter with Michael Pineda (2021 stats: 9-8, 3.62 ERA)

The Yankees won the first two games of this series, but the tigers  have proved them selves resilient in these types of situations in the recent past as is evident by Motowns  4-0  record in their last 4 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.Tigers are also 6-1 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series. Here today the Tigers have a pitcher in Montgomery that according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings that they match up well against. Meanwhile, Pineda, the former Twin and now Tiger hurler, will go against a Yankees side that has not faired all that well against him overall . Plus with 7  of 9 New York regulars batting below .260 this season, Pineda should be a viable pitcher to support in the starting role. 

Note: Heres an interesting anomaly -  MONTGOMERY is 1-8  against the money line in road games when playing on Thursday in his career. (Team's Record) BOONE is 40-46 against the money line in road games in day games as the manager of NY YANKEES.

Yankees are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in Detroit.

MLB team (DETROIT) - American League team who had a slugging percentage .410 or worse last season, ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 10 games are 25-9 L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit Tigers to win 

Rangers: Dane Dunning (0-0, 5.40 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, four strikeouts); Mariners: Logan Gilbert (1-0, .90 ERA, .80 WHIP, 11 strikeouts)

Gilbert the Mariners starting  hurler has pitched lights out early on in this camapaign and gets my support here again tonight vs the Rangers. Note: GILBERT is 8-0 against the money line after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

TEXAS is 9-31  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 3 seasons.TEXAS is 6-25  against the money line in road games after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span over the last 2 seasons.TEXAS is 1-20  against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. TEXAS is 4-24  against the money line in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win 

The Arizona Diamondbacks have scored a major-league-low 22 runs through 11 games, and. averaged 1.4 rpg of offense in 5 road games  Im betting that  their lack of offensive consistency will be their downfall again today. I know Dbacks starter Kelley has been lights out so far, but in the past despite flashes of brilliance has had some major lapses . Just to many other variables at play that make Arizonas starting pitcher a less dangerous factor than the linesmakers might project. 

ARIZONA is 3-31  against the money line after scoring 1 run or less over the last 2 seasons.Diamondbacks are 11-55 in their last 66 games as a road underdog.Diamondbacks are 2-10 in their last 12 vs. National League East.Diamondbacks are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Diamondbacks are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Washington.

WASHINGTON is 9-0  against the money line in home games after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs over the last 3 seasons. als are 15-6 in their last 21 games as a home favorite.

Play on Washington to win 

St.Louis has now won 7 straight meetings against Miami dating back to last season, and matchup well against their ace Alacantara .

ALCANTARA is 0-3 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 1.40, and despite of pitching well never seems to get run support when he has faced the Cards. Now Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here again today in Miami as the inconsistent bats of the Marlins makes them vulnerable as favs.Cardinals are 10-2 in their last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Cardinals are 17-4 in their last 21 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Cardinals are 11-3 in their last 14 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cardinals are 11-3 in their last 14 games as an underdog.Cardinals are 21-6 in their last 27 games following a win.Cardinals are 25-8 in their last 33 road games.

Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a home favorite. Marlins are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.

Play on St.Louis to win 

Since opening the season on April 8, the Rays have not had a day off. They will get one Thursday , and now knowing that Im betting the Rays  play a invigorated/motivated game, and grab a 2-1 win in this series vs the Cubs and even their trip into Chicago at 3-3 after losing 2 of 3 to the Southsiders. 

Note: Cubs righty starter STROMAN is 5-12  against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)STROMAN is 5-7 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 4.57 and a WHIP of 1.408. In the  only game he faced Tampa Bay last season, Stroman gave up five runs on six hits in six innings during a 7-1 loss on May 16. My pitcher vs batting order once again suggests the Rays have the edge. 

Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 interleague games.Rays are 8-2 in their last 10 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague road games. (TAMPA BAY is 22-10  against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 2 seasons). 

Cubs are 8-19 in their last 27 during game 3 of a series.Cubs are 21-52 in their last 73 games as an underdog.Cubs are 4-10 in their last 14 interleague games as an underdog.Cubs are 8-21 in their last 29 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 4-11 in their last 15 interleague games.Cubs are 4-11 in their last 15 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 4-12 in their last 16 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Cubs are 6-22 in their last 28 games as a home underdog.Cubs are 3-11 in their last 14 home games.Cubs are 2-12 in their last 14 interleague home games.Cubs are 1-10 in their last 11 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.Cubs are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Play on Tampa Bay to win 

The Angels have averaged 6.4 rpg on the road this season, while, the Astros have averaged 8 rpg at home (1 game) but their bats generally thrive here and Im betting they light up their opponents the Halos in this spot play.  It must be noted the Angels have taken part in some high scoring tilts of late with a combined average of 12.2 rpg scored in their L/5 overall. 

Halos starting hurler Sandoval is  0-3 with a 9.77 ERA in five career games (four starts) against the Astros and Im betting he gets lit up again today. Meanwhile, Valdez the Astros starter despite of being a capable hurler does not matchup well against this current group of Halos, according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings and could easily give higher than expected numbers here which favors an over wager . 

Over is 4-0-1 in Angels last 5 overall and are 4-0 in Angels last 4 games as an underdog.Over is 4-0 in Angels last 4 games as a road underdog.Over is 4-0-1 in Angels last 5 on a natural surface .Over is 4-0-1 in Angels last 5 vs. American League West. Over is 6-0-1 in Angels last 7 road games.Over is 5-1-1 in Angels last 7 during game 2 of a series.Over is 4-0 in Angels last 4 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Over is 3-1-1 in Astros last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 9-4-1 in Astros last 14 games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 33-16-3 in Astros last 52 vs. American League West.Over is 43-21 in Astros last 64 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Play on the OVER 

The Tampa Bay Rays, lot the first game of this series  4-2 Monday night in the opener of a three-game set in  Chicago. The starting pitcher for the Rays is a little banged up, but I expect a joint effort from this group tonight and an effort that evens this 3 game series. I know the Rays bats have not been firing on all cylinders yet, but it must be noted that TAMPA BAY is 30-13  against the money line after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span over the last 2 seasons.

Rays are 24-7 in their last 31 interleague games as a favorite.Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague games. TAMPA BAY is 21-10 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 2 seasons

Cubs are 1-8 in their last 9 interleague home games.Cubs are 3-8 in their last 11 during game 2 of a series.Rays are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

Play on Tampa Bay to win 

San Francisco has won 5 straight games, and after a day off yesterday will be fresh and motivated to continue their current positive run that has seen them average 5.2 rpg in road production on the road this season vs their hosts the NY Mets. SAN FRANCISCO is 20-6   against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.

SAN FRANCISCO is 25-14 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons.SAN FRANCISCO is 17-9 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.

Giants are 39-12 in their last 51 road games vs. a right-handed starter. (Scherzer is a RHP)

Mets are 4-13 in their last 17 vs. National League West.

Giants are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Play on the SF Giants to win 

The Padres have generally struggled offensively early on this season but have  averaged 5.3 rpg vs LHP  , and once again look like they are capable of exploding vs Lodolo the Reds starter tonight.  Meanwhile, the Reds have also struggled getting runs across the plate, but when they have struggled in the past for an extended period of time, they have taken part in some high scoring affairs as is evident by a 12-1 OVER mark after batting .175 or worse over a 3 game span over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 12.1 rpg going on the board. I know the Padres starter Manaea has looked strong to start his season, but my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest he could project to give up 3 or more hits more than anticipated with a 1 run accumulated diff  giving us an edge on a over wager. 

Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 during game 1 of a series.Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Play OVER 

The Rockies will send Chad Kuhl (0-0, 2.08 ERA) to the mound against the Phillies' Aaron Nola (1-1, 6.75).Kuhl is 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA in five games -- three starts -- in his career against Philadelphia and despite of the ace of the Phillies taking to the hill today I still like the Coors field advantage for the home side. Note:Phillies are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.

NOLA is 7-13  against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

KUHL is 7-2  against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Rockies are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.Rockies are 21-5 in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter and are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.Rockies are also 7-2 in their last 9 vs. National League East

MLBt team (PHILADELPHIA) - National League team with an excellent starting pitcher whose WHIP was 1.150 or better last season, with a tired bullpen - throwing 13+ innings over the last 3 games are 31-49 L/25 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win 

Rays starter MCCLANAHAN is 13-1 UNDER   when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.6 rpg scored. 

Cubs starter HENDRICKS is 45-25 UNDER  at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. 

We all know how the wind has a tendency to blow in from center field at Wrigley, and no matter what the weather forecast says its a generally  predictable factor. 

Under is 6-1 in Rays last 7 during game 1 of a series.Under is 7-3 in Rays last 10 on grass.Under is 8-3-2 in Rays last 13 road games.Under is 8-2-2 in Rays last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Under is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 during game 1 of a series.Under is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.

Play UNDER 

Darvish the Padres starter opened his season in good form but was blasted last time out, giving up 9 runs and 1 2/3 innings of work. He looked off with his delivery, which is not a good omen against a Atanta side he has not had much luck against in the past as is evident, by his  0-4 record  when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 5.78 and a WHIP of 1.714.. DARVISH is also just  8-12  against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record).....  Advantage Atlanta.

The San Diego offense expected to struggle without injured star Fernando Tatis Jr. Padres manager Bob Melvin has said as much and that Im betting continues tonight. After exploding for 12 runs in the home opener Thursday against the Braves, the Padres have scored four runs on 10 hits in two straight defeats. Note: In their past five games, the Padres have scored more than two runs only once.

Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.

Braves are 22-9 in their last 31 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road underdog.Braves are 20-6 in their last 26 vs. a team with a winning record. Braves are 13-4 in their last 17 vs. National League West.

ATLANTA is 27-9  against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less  SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 16-6  against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN DIEGO) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 11+ losses in last 15 games against opponent first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 20+ wins in last 30 games are 8-31 L/25 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Braves are 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in San Diego.

Play on Atlanta to win 

 Hernandez has been an average at best MLB pitcher, but here has had quality  performances against the Phillies. In six career appearances versus Philadelphia -- including four starts -- Hernandez is 3-0 with a 4.24 ERA and gets my support here on a value ML offering.  I know Zach Wheeler the Phillies starter is a top tier hurler, but with the way the Phillies inconsistencies at the plate getting enough support here maybe an issue. 

Phillies are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.

PHILADELPHIA is 1-10  against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 3.5 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. GIRARDI is 2-11   against the money line in road games when playing against a struggling  team (Win Pct. 38% or lower ) as the manager of PHILADELPHIA.

MIAMI is 21-10  against the money line in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.Marlins are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.Marlins are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League East.Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.

Phillies are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Miami.

Play on Miami to win 

 The Boston Red Sox look for their fourth win in five games as they host the Minnesota Twins on Sunday afternoon and Im betting they have a positive lost and found event here this afternoon in Fenway.  BoSox starter Michael Wacha (0-0, 2.08 ERA) is set for his first Red Sox home start. He allowed one run on two hits and three walks while striking out four in a 4 1/3-inning no-decision last Monday in Detroit and according to my power rankings matches up well here against the Twins batting order. 

Twins are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series. Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.

Red Sox are 81-36 in their last 117 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Red Sox are 36-17 in their last 53 vs. a team with a losing record.

BOSTON is 41-18  against the money line after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs over the last 2 seasons

MLB team (BOSTON) - American League team with a good starting pitcher whose ERA was 4.20 to 4.70 last season, with a tired bullpen - throwing 13+ innings over the last 3 games are 26-9 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Twins are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings.

Play on the Boston Red sox to win 

The Angels exploded for 9 runs yesterday in a win , but that has not been a recipe for success in the past for the Halos, as is evident by Manager MADDONs   8-16 run against the money line after scoring 9 runs or more as the manager of LA ANGELS. Angels are also 1-7 in their last 8 games following a win and 3-9 in their last 12 during game 3 of a series.MADDON is also just  29-40  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 as the manager of LA ANGELS.

Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.Rangers are 6-2 in their last 8 games following a loss.

Angels starter Noah Syndergaard is off having Tommy John surgery and is vulnerable. 

Play on the Texas Rangers to win 

The Twins ruined the BoSox home opener yesterday but now the home side will be ready for a rebound against a starting right handed  pitcher  Gray who has struggled in his career against Boston, as is evident by a  1-6 record and a 6.64 ERA in 42 career innings in 10 outings and nine starts . Note: Red Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 2 of a series. Red Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 2 of a series.

Twins are 5-12 in their last 17 vs. American League East.Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games as an underdog.

Play on Boston Red Sox to win 

Ryu the ace of the Toronto staff goes to the hill today for the Jays , but it must be noted that the As have done well against southpaw pitchers in the recent past as is evident by a 24-10 record against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

In his first start of the season on Sunday, Ryu (0-0, 16.20 ERA) allowed six runs, five hits and two walks in 3 1/3 innings in Toronto's 12-6 loss to the Texas Rangers and once again looks vulnerable in this spot. RYU is just  9-13  against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

The Athletics will start right-hander Paul Blackburn (1-0, 0.00 ERA) who was the  winning pitcher Monday against the Tampa Bay Rays at St. Petersburg, Fla., allowing three hits and one walk while striking out seven in five innings. Oakland won 13-2

Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (TORONTO) - American League team with a good starting pitcher whose ERA was 4.20 to 4.70 last season are 34-51 L/26 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oakland to win 

Royals starter KELLER is 20-8 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 in his career. (Team's Record)KELLER is 25-9 UNDER  against division opponents in his career with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. (Team's Record) Keller has seen 7 of his L/8 appearances vs the Tigers go under the total. 

T Skubal the Tigers starter matches up well against the Royals batting order according to my early season projections. Under is 42-18-2 in Royals last 62 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 4-1-2 in Royals last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 4-1-1 in Royals last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and  is 4-1  UNDER in Royals last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 4-1 in Royals last 5 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Under is 9-3-1 in Royals last 13 games as a favorite.Under is 3-1-1 in Royals last 5 during game 2 of a series.

DETROIT is 17-4 UNDER  vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. Under is 10-2 in Tigers last 12 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 12-3-1 in Tigers last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 15-4-2 in Tigers last 21 during game 2 of a series.Under is 9-4-1 in Tigers last 14 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Under is 21-7-1 in the last 29 meetings.

Play UNDER 

After 3 game series against a Toronto Blue Jays side that is highly touted Im betting on the Yankees suffering a letdown situation in game 1 of this series vs the Baltimore Orioles. The Yanks took the finale vs the Jays yesterday 3-0. Note: Yankees are 0-5 in their last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Orioles starter LYLES is 7-1 against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) LYLES is 1-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.167. Dating back to last season, the Yankees are 3-9 in their last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter like Lyles.

NY YANKEES are 2-8  against the money line in road games after allowing one run or less in a win over a division rival over the last 3 seasons.NY YANKEES are 10-12  against the money line as a road favorite of -175 or more over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Baltimore to win 

This is the home opener fro the Red Sox so I expect them to be motivated today and supported by a packed house. Meanwhile, the visiting Twins were swept by the Dodgers in two games to finish 2-4 on their opening home-stand and their current lack of momentum in this type of an environment will be a negative factor for them today.Joe Ryan, who is the No. 4 prospect in the Twins organization, will be making his seventh MLB start which is another situation that favors the BoSox, as the intimidation factor of being on the hill on Fenway wont help the Twins cause. 

Red Sox are 37-17 in their last 54 games as a home favorite.

MINNESOTA is 10-19 against the money line after 5 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games as an underdog.Twins are 5-12 in their last 17 vs. American League East.

Twins are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings.

Play on the BoSox to win 

Padres starter MORTON is 6-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.09 and a WHIP of 1.036. He has allowed the Padres only 35 hits and 23 walks while striking out 52 in 56 innings. Add to that he is  a perfect 3-0 with a 2.08 ERA in three starts covering 17 1/3 innings at Petco Park. Im betting on more of the same top tier pitching action for the defending champs here tonight. Note: Padres starter Musgrove is 2-1 with a 5.52 ERA in six starts spanning 29 1/3 innings.

Braves are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in San Diego.

Padres are 3-14 in their last 17 during game 1 of a series.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN DIEGO) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 11+ losses in last 15 games against opponent first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 20+ wins in last 30 games are 8-31 L/26 seasons for a go against  86% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Atlanta to win 

Seattle starter  GILBERT is 7-1 against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 11-5  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 11-2  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 5-0  against the money line in road games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 9-3  against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Mariners are 8-1 in their last 9 games as a road favorite.

MLB team (SEATTLE) - American League team who had a slugging percentage .410 or worse last season, with a slugging percentage of .350 or worse over their last 5 games are 26-7 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win 

With a strong outing on Opening Day, Ray (1-0, 1.29 ERA) gives credence to me taking the Mariners as underdogs today in South side Chicago. Meanwhile,  Pale Hose starting pitcher  Dallas Keuchel (9-9, 5.28 in 2021) is a thrower that looks vulnerable after posting  a 6.82 mark in 14 games (13 starts) in the second half of last season. 

Mariners are 8-1 in their last 9 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

Mariners are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.Mariners are 8-3 in their last 11 games as an underdog.Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.

White Sox are 3-7 in their last 10 during game 2 of a series.

MLB team (SEATTLE) - American League team who had a slugging percentage .410 or worse last season, with a slugging percentage of .350 or worse over their last 5 games 26-7 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Seattle to win 

National League Cy Young Award recipient Corbin Burnes is obviously a top tier hurler, but my pitcher vs batting order  power rankings suggest the Orioles matchup well here. After a strong outing last time out where Burnes struck out 14 , Im betting on a natural regression here .  Meanwhile, the Orioles starting southpaw pitcher  Means is a quality thrower as well, and as long as he can get into the 5th inning which I believe he can , we have value with this underdog ticket. 

Brewers are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.Brewers are 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.Brewers are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

MILWAUKEE is 3-8   against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Baltimore to win 

The Giants bats exploded yesterday and in a 13-2 win and Im betting they continue to build on that momentum here in game 3 of this series. 

Giants are 43-16 in their last 59 vs. National League West and  are 24-9 in their last 33 during game 3 of a series. Giants are 37-14 in their last 51 games as a favorite.

Padres are 8-20 in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning record and  are 14-37 in their last 51 games as an underdog.

Padres are also  3-8 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter  like Webb and are 8-22 in their last 30 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Padres are 4-11 in their last 15 during game 3 of a series.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN DIEGO) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 11+ losses in last 15 games against opponent first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 20+ wins in last 30 games are 8-31 L/25 seasons for a go against  80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Giants to win 

BoSox stater EOVALDI is 14-27  against the money line when playing against a below .500 side(Win Pct. 38% to 46%) . (Team's Record) Nathan Eovaldi is scheduled to start for the Red Sox. Eovaldi (0-0, 5.40) gave up three runs on five hits in five innings while striking out seven New York Yankees in his season debut and looks vulnerable here. 

Meanwhile, Motowns starter RODRIGUEZ is 17-2  against the money line in April games in his career (Team's Record) Advantage Tigers . 

Tigers are 6-2 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series.

Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 road game.

Play on Detroit to win 

The Kansas City Royals are in a bounce back mode after allowing 27 runs in their previous two games. Im betting they come through here with a concerted team effort and pull off the underdog win. 

Cardinals are 7-15 in their last 22 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Cardinals are 4-9 in their last 13 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record

Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague road games. Royals are 12-3 in their last 15 during game 1 of a series.

KANSAS CITY is 17-10  against the money line in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. MATHENY is 14-9   against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  62% or better ) as the manager of KANSAS CITY.

Play on KC Royals to win 

LHP Andrew Heaney (8-9, 4.71 ERA in 2021) vs. RHP Chris Archer (3-9, 5.19 in 2021)

Archer only pitched in 6 games last season because of forearm issues, and looks like he could get crushed here tonight.Archer's lifetime stats vs the Dodgers tell me a story of a hurler who get crushed by the volcanic bats of this LA crew.   Archer has allowed 23 hits 68 at-bats and has also walked 16 of batters.  Dodgers explode for runs is my call helping this combined score eclipse the offered number. On the flip side, Andrew Heaney the dodgers hurler does not matchup well here vs the Twins batting order. Yes, I know the Twinkies have struggled a bit with their batting average but still rank 3rd in slugging percentage at .484 along with 9 HRs and could easily tee off here and get us to the promised land. 

Over is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings in Minnesota.

Over is 8-2-2 in the last 12 meetings.

Play OVER