NOAH SYNDERGAARD (R) vs. AARON NOLA (R)

The Mets embarrassed the Phillies at home in their first game of the double header yesterday putting 26 runs on board, and then the 2nd game saw the Phillies bounce back with a 9-6 win, and now Im betting on the Phillies getting it done here in what could easily be a pitchers duel with Syndergaard and Nola on the hill with Nola according to my power rankings having the edge here at home where he has been unbeatable this season.

NOLA is 11-0  against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. (Team's Record) NOLA is 11-0 (against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record) NOLA is 14-1 against the money line in home games when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

 PHILADELPHIA is 23-9  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season . PHILADELPHIA is also 13-2 against the money line in home games vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse this season. PHILADELPHIA is 16-3  against the money line in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.

The Mets have lost 26 straight on the moneyline as a road dog of more than 135 after a game as a road dog in which they left 18+ men on base and it is post All-Star break, which happened in the night cap.

MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (PHILADELPHIA) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a good starter (ERA 3.70) (NL), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) are 69-17 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline 

Nix the Padres starter is coming off an top tier effort in his  major-league debut as he permitted just  four hits in  six scoreless innings in a victory vs Philadelphia on Friday.  I was impressedd by this kids 95 mph fastball, and his robot like perfect delivery.  Nix went 2-3 with a 2.05 ERA in nine starts for Double-A San Antonio this season and pitched  six scoreless innings in an impressive win in his lone outing with Triple-A El Paso before being recalled to the Big leagues. This kid has what it takes to succeed in the big leagues, and expect he will be in good form here again tonight vs a inconsistent D backs offence. Note:In 58.2 innings of Double-A and Triple-A in 2018,  he garnered a  1.84 ERA. . Meanwhile,Buchholz has been a key pickup for the D-backs after being signed to a Minor League deal on May 5. Over his last six starts, he is 4-1 with a 2.25 ERA. The right hurler has allowed two runs or fewer in five of his last six starts. He faced the Padres at Petco last month and allowed three runs over 5 2/3 innings of work, and I'm betting on another quality start here today.

Im also betting on this being a pitchers duel with each teams bullpens doing enough late to keep this game from climbing over the total. 

SAN DIEGO is 12-4 UNDER  vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better this season with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored.

Under is 6-2-1 in Diamondbacks last 9 overall.Under is 5-2-1 in Diamondbacks last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Under is 5-2 in Buchholzs last 7 road starts.Under is 17-7-1 in Padres last 25 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Play UNDER 

FRANCISCO LIRIANO (L) vs. ERVIN SANTANA (R)

Detroit enters this tilt against Minnesota hitting only .228 on the road this season while averaging just 3.3 rpg. Meanwhile, Minnesota does their best work at home offensively where they are hitting at a solid .261 clip and averaging 4.7 rpg and own a viable 33-23 record. Both of todays pitchers are far from in solid form, but the difference maker will come via the home teams ability to put runs on the board as compared to their opponents consistent lack of run support for their pitchers. 

MINNESOTA is 11-1 against the money line in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season.MINNESOTA is 18-3  against the money line in home games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. 

DETROIT is 6-26 against the money line in road games in night games this season.DETROIT is 15-40 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season.

The Tigers have lost 18 straight on the moneyline after the All-Star break in the first game of a series with no rest when they are off a game as a dog and facing a divisional opponent with more wins.The Tigers have also lost 15 straight on the moneyline by multiple runs in the first game of a series with no rest when they lost by one run in their starter's last start and it is post All-Star break losing by an average of 3.4 rpg.

MLB team (DETROIT) - terrible offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 6.20 or worse (AL), with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season are 13-34 L/21 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on the Minnesota Twins  to win on the moneyline 

JON GRAY (R) vs. JULIO TEHERAN (R)

These two teams are playing some important baseball right now as both vie for play off. spots. These kind of games have a tendency to be low scoring tightly contested affairs, as both managers are more willing to use up top tier resources especially out of the bullpen. 

Teheran the Braves starter has shown some viable improvement, of late allowing three earned runs or fewer in three straight starts. He has a 0.71 ERA in his past four starts against the Rockies. The Braves overall in their L/14 games have allowed an average of 3.42 RPG, and held opponents to 3 runs or less in 8 of those tilts. Meanwhile, Jon Grey the Rockies starter owns a stable 3.00 ERA in his L/3 starts overall, allowing just 7 ERS in 21 innings of work while averaging 7 innings per tilt. Grey in 4 career starts vs the Braves owns a stingy 1.04 ERA . Both these hurlers Im betting contribute to this being a fairly low scoring affair that fails to eclipse the number.


TEHERAN is 14-3 UNDER vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) TEHERAN is 12-3 UNDER against NL West opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored. Under is 4-0 in Teherans last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-0 in Teherans last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-0 in Teherans last 4 starts vs. Rockies.

Under is 8-1 in Braves last 9 vs. National League West.
Under is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings.

The Rockies have gone UNDER 16 straight times as a road dog in the first game of a series vs a team that has won at least their last four games with the average combined score clicking in at 4.88 rpg, with no game seeing more than 7 runs scored.


Play UNDER

Rockies LH Tyler Anderson (6-4, 3.94 ERA) vs. Astros RH Gerrit Cole (10-5, 2.75)

The Rockies have chance for a two game interleague road sweep vs a Astros team in a vicious slump. The Astros have lost 5 straight overall and 9 straight at home  and look to be fade material vs a Colorado team playing great ball at the moment winning 4 straight while allowing an average 2.5 rpg.

Anderson the Rockies starter  has lost just one of his last six trips to the hill  . The  southpaw hurler  took a no-decision against the Los Angeles Dodgers in his last appearance  after giving up just one run and four hits over six innings. Anderson  in his one career start against Houston on July 24,   up two runs - one earned - and three hits over 7 1/3 innings of quality work and matches up well vs the Astros 9.HOUSTON is 9-14 against the money line in home games against left-handed starters this season.

Meanwhile, Cole the Astros starter has lost three straight starts, while recording a sub standard 4.26 ERA .  Cole has had a career year to date, but is now levelling back off to his average marks that he has produced during his career.  COLE is 0-6  against the money line in home games in August games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Astros are 1-4 in Coles last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

 The Rockies are a perfect 6-0 L/6 as a road 170+ underdog vs a team that has lost at least their last four games. Some of the pitchers that the Rockies beat were: Kershaw, Darvish, Syndergaard, and Verlander so Cole starting for the Astros does not mean a whole a lot. 

Rockies are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League West.Rockies are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games.Rockies are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.HOUSTON is 27-27 with dime player supporters losing in excess of 31000.00 against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline 

Indians RH Shane Bieber (6-2, 4.24 ERA) vs. Reds RH Robert Stephenson (0-1, 6.75)

Bieber the Tribes starter tonight vs the Reds, haas looked very good recently as is evident by his last two starts allowing just 2 ERs runs over 12 innings of quality work. Bieber has done his best work on the road this season where he has garnered 2-0 record along with a 3.82 ERA in five road starts. Im betting the Indians have the edge with Bieber. facing the Reds Stephensen. 

Reds are 1-7 in Stephensons last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

Cincinnati won the first two games against the Indians this season but have since been outscored 37-8 in the last three  contests in the Battle  of Ohio. More of the same one side action looks to be on tonights agenda. 

Reds are 4-17 in their last 21 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.Reds are 1-9 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.Reds are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.Indians are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Cincinnati

CLEVELAND is 52-17 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less  errors/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. 

The Reds have lost 27 straight on the moneyline  as a dog of more than 145 after a game as a home dog in which they did not hit a home run and struck out more than six times, which happened last night in their 8-1 loss to the Tribe.

Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline 

Red Sox RH Nathan Eovaldi (5-4, 3.74 ERA) vs. Phillies RH Vince Velasquez (8-9, 3.98)

Bostons on fire and are beating the heck out of all comers, and always finding new ways to win, as has been the case in 14 of their L/16 games overall, which puts them at 52 games over .500. 

Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Boston’s Nathan Eovaldi (5-4, 3.74 ERA) has shown an ability to bounce back in a big way after a rough outing which happened vs lowly Baltimore, as team he may have had problems getting up for. Prior that down effort, he owned the Twins and Yankees  It must be noted that Eovaldi has not permitted  more than one run after his last three starts where he allowed at least two runs , which happened against the Orioles last time out. This guy has some of the most electric stuff in all of MLB, and must be respected here as a short favorite.  Here against a slumping Philadelphia offence scoring just 4 runs in 4 games,  he should have a terrific outing and help us garner a wining ticket.Note: Eovoldi is backed by the 4th best bullpen via FIP stats.

VELASQUEZ the Phillies starter tonight is 0-10 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Phillies are 8-20 in Velasquezs last 28 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Red Sox are 28-9  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season and is 19-6 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. 

Red Sox are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Philadelphia.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (PHILADELPHIA) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less ) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are along term bad bet going 23-64 L/21 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.  

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline 

 Mariners RH Mike Leake (8-7, 4.11 ERA) vs. Athletics LH Brett Anderson (2-3, 4.53)

Leake has a 2.84 ERA in two starts this year vs. Oakland. Anderson’s one start at Seattle this year was his season debut May 2 was on the road where he allowed  just two earned over 6+ innings of solid work. Both these pitchers have been strong in day games this season, Anderson garnering a  3.60 ERA in two day time starts and Leake recording a  3.63 ERA in his afternoon trips to the hill.

ANDERSON in 16 games starting against SEATTLE has an  ERA of 1.89 and a WHIP of 1.130. LEAKE in 5  career starts against OAKLAND has garnered an ERA of 3.13 and a WHIP of 1.295.

Im betting these hurlers go far and long today and that the final score fails o eclipse the total.

Under is 4-0 in Leakes last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Leakes last 5 starts on natural surface.Under is 4-1 in Leakes last 5 road starts.Under is 4-1 in Leakes last 5 starts overall.Under is 4-1 in Leakes last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 10-4 in Mariners last 14 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 5-0 in Andersons last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Andersons last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-1 in Andersons last 8 starts overall.Under is 6-1 in Andersons last 7 starts on grass.

OAKLAND is 12-2 UNDER in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season with a combined average of 5.8 rpg scored. OAKLAND is 21-12 UNDER  as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season with a combined average of 7.1 rgg scored. 

Under is 7-1 in Athletics last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 6-1 in Athletics last 7 home games.Under is 12-2 in Athletics last 14 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 8-2 in Athletics last 10 overall.Under is 8-2 in Athletics last 10 on grass.

Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Oakland

MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (SEATTLE/OAKLAND ) - in a game involving two good teams (54% to 62%), in August games are 32-8 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored.

Play UNDER 

Diamondbacks LH Patrick Corbin (9-4, 3.15 ERA) vs. Rangers RH Yovani Gallardo (7-1, 6.11)

The Rangers  have won 11 of their last 17 and scored 11 or more runs six times during that positive span. I know Corbin the Backs starter is in top form, but Texas in their current form can light up the best of pitching staffs and today I'm betting on them doing exactly that.  Meanwhile, the Rangers go with the red hot Yovani Gallardo who is 7-1 on the season, thanks to getting a whopping 9.78 per game in run support.  Gallardo has also had a great deal of success in his long career vs the Backs garnering a 7-2 record and a stingy 2.37 ERA, and gets my support here in this spot today as a hefty dog. 

Rangers are 7-0 in Gallardos last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Rangers are 6-0 in Gallardos last 6 home starts.Rangers are 16-5 in their last 21 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. Diamondbacks are 5-16 in their last 21 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Diamondbacks are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings in Texas.GALLARDO is 8-0  against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. (Team's Record).GALLARDO is 16-4 against the money line when the total is 10 or higher since 1997. (Team's Record) 

TEXAS is 38-16  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better.

Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline .

The Rangers have won 11 of their last 17 and scored 11 or more runs six times during that positive span. I know Corbin the Backs starter is in top form, but Texas in their current form can light up the best of pitching staffs and today I'm betting on them doing exactly that. It must also be noted that  Rangers starter  Yovani Gallardo is getting a whopping 9.78 per game in run support.  Meanwhile, Arizona has not always been able to get runs on the board easily this season, but with an extra hitter in the lineup in an AL park, Im expecting they do some damage here today, against a pitcher in Gallardo , who despite of notching wins behind amazing run support still owns a 4.97 ERA in 9 starts. Gollardos last 3 wins have been by 11-7, 17-8 and 11-2, with each easily eclipsing the number.

GALLARDO is 16-4 OVER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 13.2 rpg scored. GALLARDO is 13-4 OVER in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.9 rpg scored.

Over is 13-5-2 in Rangers last 20 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 during game 2 of a series.Over is 5-1-1 in Rangers last 7 games vs. a left-handed starterOver is 5-0 in Gallardos last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.Over is 5-0-1 in Gallardos last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 5-0-1 in Gallardos last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 8-1 in Gallardos last 9 starts on grass.Over is 8-1-1 in Gallardos last 10 starts overall.Over is 4-1 in Gallardos last 5 home starts.

Over is 25-6-1 in Corbins last 32 road starts vs. a team with a losing recordOver is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.CORBIN is 17-6 OVER  when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.3 rpg scored. 

Play OVER 

 Indians RH Corey Kluber (14-6, 2.74 ERA) vs. Reds RH Sal Romano (7-9, 4.94)

Kluber the Tribes starter has put up some great numbers this season, but has also gotten good run support, which has added the OVER on the Totals scoreboard.Meanwhile, Romano the Reds starter despite of some decent efforts of late, still showed his inconsistencies by posting a 6.23 ERA through to early and middle part of June and according to my matchup stats, and power rankings does not matchup well vs the Indians 9. Im betting he is in trouble vs a Tribes offence that  has produced 19 runs and 32 hits the last two contests. 

Over is 4-0 in Klubers last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 10-0-1 in Klubers last 11 starts with 4 days of rest.Over is 5-0 in Klubers last 5 road starts.Over is 5-0-1 in Klubers last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 10-1 in Klubers last 11 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 5-1-1 in Klubers last 7 starts during game 2 of a series

KLUBER is 8-0 OVER  vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.6 rpg scored.

KLUBER is 10-1 OVER  when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.4 rpg going on the score board. 

ROMANO is 7-0 OVER  as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season. (Team's Record with a combined average of 12.2 rpg scored.CINCINNATI in 31 games when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season have seen a combined average of 10.3 rpg go on the board.CINCINNATI is 20-9 OVER (+9.8 Units) as an underdog of +175 to +250 over the last 2 seasons with a combine average of 11.2 rpg going on the board.CINCINNATI is 8-0 OVER vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 13.2 rpg scored.CINCINNATI is 12-1 OVER  vs. a team with a bullpen that averages less than 2.75 innings per game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 12.9 rpg scored.

Over is 16-7-1 in Reds last 24 home games.Over is 13-6-1 in Reds last 20 games following a loss.Over is 69-33-8 in Reds last 110 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 5-0 in Romanos last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Over is 3-0-2 in Romanos last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 4-0 in Romanos last 4 interleague starts.Over is 4-0-2 in Romanos last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 5-0-2 in Romanos last 7 home starts.Over is 4-0 in Romanos last 4 starts vs. American League Central.Over is 6-1-1 in Romanos last 8 starts on grass.Over is 6-1-1 in Romanos last 8 starts overall.Over is 4-1-2 in Romanos last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1-2 in Romanos last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 7-0 in Reds last 7 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 7-1 in Reds last 8 interleague games.Over is 7-1 in Reds last 8 vs. American League Central.Over is 10-2-1 in Reds last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Over is 4-1 in Reds last 5 on grass.Over is 4-1 in Reds last 5 overall.

Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Cincinnati.

The Reds are 21-1 OVER as a 170+ dog after a game in which they used 5+ pitchers with a combined average of 13.41 RPG scored , with just one game seeing less than 9 total runs scored. ( they got shellacked yesterday by a 10-3 count and used a lot of arms in the process)

Play OVER 

Giants LH Madison Bumgarner (4-4, 2.69 ERA) vs. Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (5-5, 2.58)

This will be the 11th matchup all time between the top tier left-handers Bumgarner and Kershaw. 

The Dodgers Kershaw has a 2.00 ERA with an 0.81 WHIP. Bumgarner has a 2.56 ERA, with a 1.14 WHIP 71 strikeouts. All time, Bumgarner is 15-20 with a 2.60 ERA against the Dodgers, and Kershaw is 22-10 with a 1.60 ERA against the Giants. Kershaw enters Monday's game with a stingy 2.58 ERA this season and Bumgarner a solid 2.69 ERA. In both starters most recent outing they have come close to averaging around 7 innings a game. With that said, Im betting on a pitchers duel here tonight and a combined score that fails to eclipse this total. 

BUMGARNER last 6 games when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) have seen a combined average of 4.3 rpg scored.BUMGARNER is 12-3 UNDER against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.9 rpg scored. 

Under is 8-1 in Bumgarners last 9 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-1-1 in Bumgarners last 9 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 12-3-1 in Bumgarners last 16 starts vs. National League West.Under is 19-7-1 in Bumgarners last 27 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 18-7-3 in Bumgarners last 28 starts on grass.Under is 18-7-3 in Bumgarners last 28 starts overall.Under is 5-2-1 in Bumgarners last 8 road starts.

 Under is 4-0 in Bumgarners last 4 road starts vs. Dodgers.

LA DODGERS are 29-12 UNDER against left-handed starters this season.

Under is 4-1 in Kershaws last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 4-1 in Kershaws last 5 starts on grass.Under is 4-1 in Kershaws last 5 starts overall.

Under is 25-7-2 in Kershaws last 34 starts vs. Giants.Under is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings in Los Angeles.Under is 11-4-1 in Kershaws last 16 home starts vs. Giants.

MLB Road teams where the total is 7 or less (SAN FRANCISCO) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.00 or less ) (NL), in the second half of the season are 74-33 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

 Indians RH Mike Clevinger (7-7, 3.38 ERA) vs. Reds RH Homer Bailey (1-9, 6.19)

Cincinnati Reds starter BAILEY is 1-13  against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season.Team's Record) and is 2-15 against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BAILEY  is 1-10 against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and is 0-9  against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. (Team's Record)

CLEVELAND is 50-17  against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. 

Reds are 9-23 in their last 32 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.

The Reds have lost 26 straight on the moneyline as a dog of more than 145 after a game as a home dog in which they did not hit a home run and struck out more than six times.

Cleveland has won 5 of the L/ 6meetings in this series in Cincinnati and get the nod here again. 

Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline 

Athletics RH Trevor Cahill (4-2, 3.12 ERA) vs. Angels RH Taylor Cole (0-2, 1.59)

Cahill the As starter has won three consecutive starts and gone unbeaten in eight straight and has done well against the Angels in his career, going 5-3 with a 2.07 ERA in 10 starts and one relief appearance. He will face a relief pitcher in Taylor Cole  who is making his first MLB start.

OAKLAND is 35-18 against the money line after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season

OAKLAND is 13-3  against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season this season.LA ANGELS are 8-23  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better this season.

Athletics have won 17 straight on the moneyline as a favorite in the last game of a series after a road win in which they had 12+ hits.

Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline 

 Phillies RH Jake Arrieta (9-6, 3.11 ERA) vs. Padres LH Joey Lucchesi (5-6, 3.70)

Arrieta enters this tilt unbeaten in seven starts. He did not get the win last time out because his teams bull pen blew a two-run lead after he threw eight scoreless innings.   Arrietta  is 4-0 with a 2.28 ERA since the beginning of July and has not allowed more than three runs six times over that span. I like Arrieta against any pitcher the Padres trot out here this afternoon.

SAN DIEGO is 13-33  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. SAN DIEGO is 7-27 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season..

Padres are 4-17 in their last 21 home games.

The Phillies have won 15 straight on the moneyline  in the last game of a series as a favorite after a game in which they struck out at least ten times and it is post All-Star break.

Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline 

Mets RH Noah Syndergaard (7-2, 3.17 ERA) vs. Marlins LH Wei-Yin Chen (4-8, 5.48)

Syndergaard the NY Mets starter gave up four runs over 6 1/3 innings of a rare victory against Cincinnati on Monday, ending a amazing run  of 13 straight starts in where he allowed three runs or fewer. I'm betting on him bouncing back here and holding the light hitting Marlins to limited run production in this spot.The hard throwing righty   owns  a 1.62 ERA in six career starts against the Marlins.

Meanwhile, Chen his pitching opponent from the Marlins , permitted just one hit in 5 2/3 scoreless innings in a victory vs St. Louis in his last trip to the hill, and is 2-2  along with a stingy 1.52 ERA over his last five home starts. Chen has pitched his best ball at home this season and owns a stingy 1.94 ERA in 9 starts.

 I expect both hurlers to once again provide us with a low scoring affair that fails to eclipse this total.

SYNDERGAARD is 8-0 UNDER vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored. 

The Marlins have gone under 12 straight times as a home 140+ dog off a home game in which their starter went less than eight innings and their bullpen did not allow a run and it is post All-Star break. the average score of these tilts was 4.33 rpg, with no game seeing more than 7 runs scored ( 1 game). The other 11 games had no more 5 combined runs scored. 

Play on the UNDER 

Mets RH Noah Syndergaard (7-2, 3.17 ERA) vs. Marlins LH Wei-Yin Chen (4-8, 5.48)

Syndergaard the NY Mets starter gave up four runs over 6 1/3 innings of a rare victory against Cincinnati on Monday, ending a amazing run  of 13 straight starts in where he allowed three runs or fewer. I'm betting on him bouncing back here and holding the light hitting Marlins to limited run production in this spot.The hard throwing righty also owns  a 1.62 ERA in six career starts against the Marlins.

Meanwhile, Chen his pitching opponent from the Marlins , permitted just one hit in 5 2/3 scoreless innings in a victory vs St. Louis in his last trip to the hill, and is 2-2  along with a stingy 1.52 ERA over his last five home starts. Chen has pitched his best ball at home this season and owns a stingy 1.94 ERA in 9 starts.

 I expect both hurlers to once again provide us with a tightly contested low scoring affair that makes taking the runline a very viable option. 

MLB Road favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +160 to +115) (NY METS) - with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season, with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (NL) are 17-56 L/21 seasons for a go against  77% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +130 to -255) (NY METS) - ice cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 20 games, starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 29-70 L/5 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Miami on the runline +1.5 

Rangers LH Martín Pérez (2-4, 6.15 ERA) vs. Yankees LH CC Sabathia (6-4, 3.49)

New York has scored at least five runs in 13 straight home games and I'm betting they equal or eclipse that number here today, vs a hurler in Perez that they matchup well against. Perez owns a bloated 5.68 ERA on the road this season, and in three starts versus the Yankees as garnered a bloated 8.53 ERA. Meanwhile, the Yankees starter Sabathia, despite of pitching decently has not been able to make it past the 6th inning of late, ( 5 straight starts) and maybe starting to show some late season fatigue, which makes his susceptible  to being lit up by what has been a fairly hot hitting Texas team of late scoring an average 8 rpg in their L/10 trips to the diamonds. In 23 career starts vs the Rangers he owns a less than impressive 5.46 ERA . I'm betting we see this total eclipsed today, by two viable offences.

Over is 10-1-2 in Perezs last 13 starts vs. American League East.Over is 12-2-2 in Perezs last 16 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 4-0-1 in Sabathias last 5 home starts vs. Rangers.Over is 9-1-1 in Sabathias last 11 starts vs. Rangers.Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.TEXAS is 21-10 OVER  vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities this season with the combined average score of those games clicking in at  11.2 rpg.

The Yankees have gone OVER 12 straight times  in the last game of a series as a 175-plus favorite after a game in which they scored in more innings than their opponent and it is post All-Star break. The average combined score clicked in at 14.4 rpg.

Play on the OVER 

Rockies    left-hander starter Freeland  is 7-2 with a 2.81 ERA in 10 starts at Coors Field this season and is a viable underdog pitcher to back here vs the Dodgers. FREELAND is 8-2 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Rockies are 4-0 in Freelands last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Rockies are 5-0 in Freelands last 5 home starts.Rockies are 6-1 in Freelands last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Rockies are 6-1 in Freelands last 7 starts.Rockies are 6-1 in Freelands last 7 starts on grass.Rockies are 5-1 in Freelands last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Rockies are 5-1 in Freelands last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.

Meanwhile, the Dodgers starter Buehler does not have a decision against the Rockies in six appearances over the past two seasons (two starts) but has garnered a hefty  5.71 ERA against Colorado in 17 1/3 innings of work and is fade material , as he could be in a huge letdown situation after defeating Houston in his last effort. 

MLB Road teams (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start, after 2 straight games where their bullpen blew a save are 55-112 L/21 seasons for a long term 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Rockies to cash on the moneyline 

Indians RH Trevor Bauer (11-6, 2.25 ERA) vs. White Sox RH James Shields (4-13, 4.50)

The Cleveland Indians offence has been streaky this season and are off their  sixth shutout loss of the season yesterday to the White Sox. Im betting that they will once again exhibit problems getting runs across the plate and for their own pitching to keep a White Sox offence that averages 4 rpg vs a batting average below the Mendoza line to be equally inept. 

Clevelands starting pitcher Bauer is 10-1 UNDER  on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.7 rpg scored.BAUER is also  on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored.

Under is 40-9-6 in Bauers last 55 road starts.Under is 11-1-1 in Bauers last 13 starts during game 2 of a series.CLEVELAND is 15-4 UNDER in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.5 rpg scored. Bauer has started two games against the White Sox this season and is 1-1 with a 1.84 ERA in those games.

Meanwhile Shields the White Sox starter in his only start against the Indians this season, allowed just one run in seven innings and picked up the win in Chicago's 5-1 victory on June 12. My power rankings suggest me matches up well vs the Tribes 9. 

Under is 4-0 in Shields' last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.Under is 6-1-1 in Shields' last 8 starts vs. American League Central.Under is 9-2 in Shields' last 11 home starts.Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.Under is 4-0 in Shields' last 4 starts vs. Indians.Under is 5-1 in Bauers last 6 road starts vs. White Sox.MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (CLEVELAND) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, good team, winning 54-62% or more of their games on the season are 148-85 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play UNDER 

Twins RH Kyle Gibson (5-9, 3.60 ERA) vs. Tigers LH Francisco Liriano (3-6, 4.37)

Gibson the Twins starter is under rated according to my power rankings, and matches up well vs the Tigers. It must be noted the righty is 3-4 with a 3.23 ERA in 12 road starts  keeping  opponents guessing as is evident by permitting  a .210 batting average.GIBSON is 12-5 in his career against the money line in road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season .Team Record) and is 12-5 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record(

Meanwhile, Liriano is winless in his last 13 appearances and I'm betting against him here again today. 

The tigers ended a 6 game win streak, yesterday vs the Twins with a 5-3 win but are 0-8 in their last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

The Tigers have lost 19 straight as a home dog after they had fewer team-left-on-base than their opponent and it is post All-Star break.

Play on the Twins to win on the moneyline 

Rangers RH Drew Hutchison (1-2, 6.29 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Lance Lynn (8-8, 4.58)

Insults were flying, after the Rangers hammered the Yankees last night in their own diggs. Here a sample of the dialogue: "I want to kill them every time I go out there, to be honest," Guzman said regarding the Yankees after becoming the youngest player to homer three times in the Bronx since a 23-year-old Mickey Mantle did it on May 13, 1955. "I never liked the Yankees growing up." END QUOTE: Im sure the Yanks are aware of the kids statements, and also will be looking for a quick turnaround here in redemption vs a over confident Rangers group. Note: NY YANKEES are 18-3 against the money line after allowing 9 runs or more over the last 2 seasons winning by an average of almost 3 rpg. 

The Yankees have won 18 straight  as a favorite of more than 130 when they are off a game as a favorite in which they allowed 12+ hits with 16 of those games coming by multiple runs with the average margin of victory clicking in at 4 rpg. 

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline 

Rangers RH Drew Hutchison (1-2, 6.29 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Lance Lynn (8-8, 4.58)

After getting clobbered yesterday by the Rangers, 12-7 Im betting the Yankees respond with some offensive fireworks of their own and could come close to eclipsing the this Total all by themselves . The Rangers bats have been hot for a while, and I'm betting they also do some damage, and for this  combined score to eclipse the Total. It must be noted that the Yankees have averaged 5.6 rpg at home this season.

HUTCHISON the Rangers starter is 21-6 OVER  in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse in his career. (Team's Record). HUTCHISON is 21-6 OVER in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse in his career   (Team's Record) with the combined average scores averaging out above 11 rpg and just under 12 rpg.

Note:The Rangers have gone OVER 8 straight times  when their opponent's starter has a strikeout-per-walk ratio less than 2 on the season with a combined average of 15.9 rpg scored. Lance Lynn the Yankees starter qualifies. 

Play OVER 

Phillies RH Zach Eflin (8-3, 3.61 ERA) vs. Padres RH Jacob Nix (NR)

Nix the Padres 22 year old starter looked good in the minors this season with 10 starts split between Double-A San Antonio and Triple-A El Paso, but now he's in the big leagues, and the learning curve is steep, and can be dangerous to a young hurlers mind set. With that said Im expecting he learns a few lessons here today vs a sometimes explosive Philadelphia batting order. Meanwhile, the Padres bats are on fire of late, scoring 33 runs in theirL/4 titsl overall and Eflin despite of looking viable on the hill, has given up some long balls, and is susceptible to being lit up in this spot. Eflin owns a 5.62 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill, and has allowed 6 HRs.

EFLIN is 11-0 OVER  against NL West opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.2 rpg scored. 

SAN DIEGO is 27-17 OVER  in home games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season with a combined average of 9.2 rpg scored. 

Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 4-0-1 in Padres last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 Friday games.Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 games following a win.Over is 6-0 in Padres last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 6-1-1 in Padres last 8 home games.Over is 5-1 in Padres last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 13-3 in Padres last 16 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 4-1 in Padres last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 8-2-2 in Padres last 12 during game 1 of a series.Over is 7-2 in Padres last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 15-5-1 in Padres last 21 overall.Over is 6-2-1 in Padres last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 15-5-1 in Padres last 21 on grass.

Over is 15-3 in the last 18 meetings in San Diego.

Play OVER 

Red Sox RH Nathan Eovaldi (5-4, 3.38 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Dylan Bundy (7-10, 4.38)

Nathan Eovaldi the BoSox starter is in top form and  was dominant in his first two starts, throwing 15 shutout innings while walking one and Striking out nine.He's the first Boston starter since the late Vaughn Eshelman in '95 to have turn in consecutive scoreless starts to begin his Sox career. QUOTE: "His stuff is probably some of the best in the big leagues. The fact that he can use his stuff on the edges of the strike zone is impressive," manager Alex Cora :END QUOTE.

Meanwhile, Bundy the Orioles starter tonight vs the Red Sox loves to pitch against them, as is evident by posting a 2.29 ERA in three starts against Boston this season. He enters this game in good form and off a quality start last time out, holding a formidable Rangers offence to two runs (one earned) over six innings this past Saturday.

Under is 5-1-1 in Bundys last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 7-1-2 in Bundys last 10 starts vs. Red Sox.Under is 4-1 in Bundys last 5 home starts vs. Red Sox.

BALTIMORE is 19-4 UNDER vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less  SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 8 rpg scored.

MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (BOSTON) - average hitting team (AVG  .265 to .279) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 59-29 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play UNDER 

Rangers LH Mike Minor (8-6, 4.53 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Masahiro Tanaka (9-2, 3.76)

Tanka the Yankees starter is in top form and has held his L/3 opponents to 1 ER on 12 hits in 19.7 innings of stellar work for a minuscule 0.46 ERA. Needless to say he is sharp and will be a handful for a streaky Texas nine that could be slowing down scoring just 3 runs yesterday after a torrid offensive run. Note:  Texas 3B Adrian Beltre was hitless in four at-bats on Thursday and is 2-for-20 over his last five contests., Minor the Rangers starter despite of pitching well of late, has  struggled on the road this season as he is 3-4 with a 6.50 ERA in nine trips to the hill. 

TANAKA is 17-2 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with average margin of victory coming by 3 rgg. 

TANAKA is 15-2  against the money line in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average margin of victory coming by 3 rpg.

MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (NY YANKEES) - with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less  over his last 10 games are 37-4 L/5 seasons with the average victory coming by 3.1 rpg making this a viable runline investment option. 

Play on the NY Yankees on the runline -1.5

Dodgers RH Ross Stripling (8-3, 2.68 ERA) vs. Rockies LH Tyler Anderson (6-4, 4.05)

Colorados offence has been very inconsistent this season, and have struggled to bring runs across the plate of late as evident by scoring three or fewer in 11 of the past 16 games, including each of their last three tilts, which included yesterdays 4-3 loss to visiting Pittsburgh. I know that the Dodgers bats are slumbering as well right now, but they have shown a lot more consistency on offence then the Rockies. Also from a head to head pitching perspective my power rankings suggest that Ross Stripling has the edge over Tyler Anderson.

ANDERSON is 0-6 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season. (Team's Record) .COLORADO is 3-10 against the money line in home games vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season this season.

Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Dodgers are 17-4 in their last 21 during game 1 of a series.Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League West.Dodgers are 58-26 in their last 84 games vs. a left-handed starter.Dodgers are 24-11 in their last 35 road games.Dodgers are 5-0 in Striplings last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.Dodgers are 4-0 in Striplings last 4 starts vs. National League West.Dodgers are 4-1 in Striplings last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Dodgers are 4-1 in Striplings last 5 starts.

Rockies are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Rockies are 2-7 in Andersons last 9 home starts.Rockies are 1-4 in Andersons last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Rockies are 1-4 in Andersons last 5 starts. Rockies are 1-5 in Andersons last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.Rockies are 0-4 in Andersons last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

Dodgers are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Colorado.Dodgers are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.Rockies are 1-6 in Andersons last 7 starts vs. Dodgers.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA DODGERS) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 to 4.20) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL are 79-33 L/21 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the moneyline 

Yankees RH Luis Severino (14-5, 3.08 ERA) vs. White Sox RH Lucas Giolito (7-8, 5.97)

Severino the Yankees starter hit a season-high pitch count vs. the Red Sox lsat time out , with a high pitch count of 115 while allowing four runs on seven hits over 5 2/3 innings. Severino has looked ragged of late   as is evident by a  8.28 ERA his last five starts. Meanwhile White Sox Giolito despite of pitching decently of late , has had problems at home where he owns a ugly 7.76 ERA. Today I expect both hurlers problems will continue and the total combined score of this tilt will be eclipsed.

SEVERINO is 14-3 OVER L/17 vs. an AL team with a batting average of .265 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average or 11.1 rpg scored.

CHI WHITE SOX are 16-4 OVER in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored.

MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a starting pitcher with poor control (more than 2.75 BB's/start), where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season are 89-41 OVER L/5 seasons and 6-0 OVER this season.

Play OVER 

Red Sox LH Brian Johnson (2-3, 3.74 ERA) vs. Blue Jays RH Mike Hauschild (1-0, 0.00)

Boston came from behind to defeat the Blue Jays yesterday and are on a roll entering this game. It must also be noted that the the Red Sox have won 12 straight as a road favorite after a comeback win and it is post All-Star break.

Johnson the BoSox hurler is a left hander, which is a disadvantage for a Blue Jays side, that is  14-26 against the money line against left-handed starters this season.Johnson owns a 2-0 mark with a 3.94 ERA in three career starts at Toronto.

Red Sox are 4-0 in Johnsons last 4 starts vs. American League East.

 BOSTON is 17-6 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 this season.

Blue Jays are 4-17 in their last 21 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

BOSTON is 24-5 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season.

BOSTON is 25-9 against the money line in road games vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Boston has won 11 of the 14 games these teams have played this season, and another win I'm betting on todays agenda.

Red Sox are 20-7 in the last 27 meetings in Toronto.

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline 

Pirates RH Chris Archer (3-5, 4.40 ERA) vs. Rockies RH German Marquez (9-8, 4.70)

 A blown save with 2 outs in the ninth on Friday in Milwaukee cost Marquez his fifth consecutive victory after the right-hander pitched well once again. In 7 innings, he allowed 2 runs and struck out 9, lowering his ERA to 2.95 over his last 6 starts.Marquez is 3-0 with a 2.50 ERA in three career starts versus Pittsburgh.He is in top form and gives the Rockies the advatangte here on the mound .Meanwhile, the Pirates starter Archer allowed five runs (four earned) with six strikeouts in 4 1/3 innings on Friday, in Pirates debut. He looked tired in that game and here in the high altitude of Coors Field exhaustion may rear its ugly head.

The Pirates won yesterday but are recently just 1-4 after a victory. 

Pirates are also 21-47 in their last 68 road games vs. a team with a winning record.PITTSBURGH is 3-17 against the money line in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 2 seasons. 

The Rockies have won 10 straight on the moneyline by multiple runs at home off a game as a dog in which they did not hit a home run and it is post All-Star break.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline 

Cubs LH Mike Montgomery (3-4, 3.90 ERA) vs. Royals RH Brad Keller (4-4, 3.39)

Brad Keller KCs starting hurler has done some very good work at home this season going 2-0 along with a stable 3.11 ERA at home, in five starts, allowing just 11 hits in 27 plus innings of solid work. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent from the Chicago cubs Montgomery , has seen his team lose his L/5 home starts and not score more than 3 runs in any of them.

MONTGOMERY is 3-8  against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and is 7-14  against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the Cubs scoring 4.5 runs and their opposition 4 rpg. 

I know their is more to baseball than starting pitching but there is an advantage here, at least on the runline  considering the matchup ,for me to back KC +1.5. I've also isolated a viable situation listed below.

The Royals are 15-1 on the moneyline and perfect 16-0 L/16 on the run line  as a home dog after a game as a home dog in which they struck out their opponent at least ten times and it is post All-Star break. which. happened in their last trip to the diamonds. 

Play on the KC Royals +1.5 on the runline 

Mariners RH Felix Hernandez (8-9, 5.49 ERA) vs. Rangers RH Bartolo Colon (5-10, 5.18)

Hernandez has struggled a bit of late, and their are rumours the former ace of the staff could be put into the bullpen and pulled from the starting rotation. With that said, I'm betting the former Cy Young award winner will be primed to prove his detractors wrong and come out here on fire. Meanwhile,Colon the Rangers starter despite of looked a little ragged of late himself, has pitched well against the Mariners this season and matches up well against them as is evident by his 1-0 record and very stable 2.70 ERA in two outings this year. I'm betting both these maligned pitcher do just enough to help keep this game on the low side of the number.

SEATTLE is 12-4 UNDER  after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season.

Under is 6-0 in Mariners last 6 games following a win.Under is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Under is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 Tuesday games.Under is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 6-2 in Mariners last 8 during game 2 of a series.Under is 35-16-1 in umpire Hamaris last 52 games behind home plate.

Play UNDER 

Twins LH Adalberto Mejia (1-0, 2.60 ERA) vs. Indians RH Carlos Carrasco (13-5, 3.66)

Mejia the Twins starter will be pitching for the third time in the last 10 days, the last of which resulted in five scoreless innings against Cleveland on Wednesday. But be warned with this much work, and the revenge minded Tribes ability to adjust to opposing hurlers Im betting he won't have  the same success in the rematch . Meanwhile,   Carrasco the Indians starter despite of a solid record has not performed all that well at home despite of a positive W/L record as is evident by garnering a 5.10 ERA. It must be noted that despite of Carrasco pitching well vs Minnesota last week, he was  was lit up by Twins for 10 runs in five combined innings back in June. These starters are backed with sub par bullpens, and both have sometimes explosive offences. The above combinations I'm betting result in a fairly big scoring affair that eclipses this Total. 

Over is 3-1-1 in Mejias last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.Over is 3-1-1 in Mejias last 5 road starts.Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-1 in Carrascos last 6 starts overall.Over is 4-1 in Carrascos last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 7-2-1 in Carrascos last 10 starts during game 2 of a series.Over is 6-2 in Carrascos last 8 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 36-14-1 in Carrascos last 51 home starts.

CARRASCO is 8-0 OVER  in home games after giving up 1 or less  earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 14.5 rpg scored. CARRASCO is 9-1 OVER in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average score of 12.5 rpg going on the board.

CLEVELAND is 13-3 OVER  at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season with a combined average of 116 rpg going on the board. 

 Over is 5-1 in Indians last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Over is 9-2-1 in Indians last 12 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 19-6-1 in Indians last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

Play OVER 

Astros RH Charlie Morton (12-2, 2.90 ERA) vs. Giants RH Dereck Rodriguez (5-1, 2.59)

Rodriguez has entered the National League Rookie of the Year discussion after going 3-0 with a 1.49 ERA over his last seven games (six starts) Houston can be intimidating for most pitcher in this league, but this kid looks stoic and not easily intimidated. I'm betting he continues his fine work here in this spot. Meanwhile,Morton the Astros starter is 5-1 with a 3.02 ERA in his past eight starts, allowing 37 hits and striking out 63 batters in 47 2/3 innings. Since joining the Astros prior to last season, he’s 26-9 with a 3.29 ERA in 46 regular-season starts. Needless to say this hurler is consistent and should once again provide quality work here on the road in AT& T Park. 

Under is 10-1-1 in Astros last 12 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 8-1-1 in Astros last 10 interleague road games.Under is 7-1-1 in Astros last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 7-1 in Astros last 8 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 12-3-2 in Astros last 17 road games.

Under is 8-2-1 in Astros last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 15-4-2 in Astros last 21 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 6-2-1 in Astros last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 6-2-1 in Astros last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 28-10-1 in Astros last 39 Monday games.Under is 18-7-2 in Astros last 27 interleague games.Under is 5-2 in Astros last 7 on grass.Under is 25-10-3 in Astros last 38 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 10-4-2 in Astros last 16 games following a loss.Under is 5-2 in Astros last 7 overall.Under is 25-10-2 in Astros last 37 vs. National League West.Over is 14-6-2 in Astros last 22 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 7-3-1 in Astros last 11 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 35-16-2 in Astros last 53 during game 1 of a series.Under is 5-0 in Mortons last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Mortons last 4 interleague starts.Under is 4-0 in Mortons last 4 starts vs. National League West.Under is 6-1 in Mortons last 7 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Mortons last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 4-1 in Mortons last 5 road starts.Under is 5-2 in Mortons last 7 Monday starts.Under is 5-2 in Mortons last 7 starts overall.Under is 9-4 in Mortons last 13 starts with 5 days of rest.

HOUSTON is 8-1 UNDER  vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season with a combined average of 5.8 rpg scored.HOUSTON is 10-2 UNDER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season with a combined score of 6.5 rpg scored.HOUSTON is 10-2 UNDER against NL West opponents this season with a combined average of 6.5 rpg scored.

Under is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 8-2-2 in Giants last 12 games following a win.Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning recordUnder is 5-1 in Rodriguezs last 6 starts on grass.Under is 5-1 in Rodriguezs last 6 starts overall.Under is 4-1 in Rodriguezs last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.

Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in San Francisco.Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Play UNDER 

Pirates RH Joe Musgrove (4-5, 3.63 ERA) vs. Rockies LH Kyle Freeland (9-7, 3.20)

Colorado snapped a 4 game losing streak last time out, and enter this game having won 9 straight off a win when playing at home. The Rockies are also 13-3 in their last 16 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days and are 12-2 in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

 The Rockies starter Freeland being one of the few pitchers in this league that has flourished in the launching pad known as Coors Field as is evident by his  6-2, 2.45 record in nine starts at Coors Field this season, I'm betting we have a viable pitcher to back. It must also be noted that Freeland last bad start this season came against Pittsburgh, but since that game his catcher Chris Iannetta, determined that Freeland wasn't throwing his four-seam fastball inside enough to right-handed hitters. Since that loss to the Bucks Freeland  has gone 9-4 2.73 in 18 starts and should be primed to keep things going with revenge on his mind here. 

PITTSBURGH is 8-24  against the money line in road games against left-handed starters  like Freehand over the last 2 seasons.

Meanwhile, Musgrove the Pirates young starter despite of pitching well of late has never pitched at Coors Field in could easily find himself over whelmed vs a Colorado Rockies team scoring 5.3 rpg at home this season via a hefty .283 team batting average. 

The Pirates have lost 12 straight on the moneyline as a road 130-plus dog off a home game in which they had more strikeouts than hits.Which happened yesterday.  In the last 9 losses the Pirates have scored 1 or less runs 7 times and scored 3 and 2 runs in the other 2, with a combined 10 runs crossing the plate for the Pirates in those 9  tilts. The average deficit of defeat for the Pirates in the 12 games comes in at just under 4rpg. 

PITTSBURGH is 8-18 against the money line against NL West opponents this season.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline 

Yankees RH Masahiro Tanaka (9-2, 3.84 ERA) vs. Red Sox LH David Price (11-6, 3.97)

Price the BoSox stater is just 2-6 with an 8.43 ERA in nine starts against the Yankees since he joined the Red Sox in 2016 and is 0-2 with a 24.52 ERA this season. The Yankees have his number, and I'm betting nothing changes here tonight. Meanwhile,Tanaka (9-2, 3.84) the Yanks starter has not lost since April 17, going 7-0 with six no-decisions since. In his last two starts, he has worked 15 scoreless innings, yielding six hits while striking out 17.He is 8-4 with a 4.18 ERA lifetime against the Red Sox, 4-2 with a 4.09 ERA at Fenway, and despite of some struggles this season vs the Red Sox won his only start and is well equipped to turn things around in this spot and notch another win. BOSTON is a below .500 team at 15-19  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season. 

NY YANKEES are 11-1 against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse this season. 

NY YANKEES are 86-56  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Yankees are 5-1 in Tanakas last 6 starts vs. American League East.Yankees are 17-4 in Tanakas last 21 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Yankees are 7-2 in Tanakas last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Yankees are 17-5 in Tanakas last 22 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Yankees are 8-3 in Tanakas last 11 road starts.Yankees are 20-8 in Tanakas last 28 starts.Yankees are 45-21 in Tanakas last 66 starts on grass.Yankees are 53-26 in Tanakas last 79 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline 

Astros RH Gerrit Cole (10-3, 2.55 ERA) vs. Dodgers RH Walker Buehler (4-4, 3.65)

A UCLA product, Cole the Astros starter today  makes his first start at Dodger Stadium since Aug. 13, 2016, while he was with the Pirates. In five starts in July, Cole recorded a very stable 2.73 ERA, striking out 43 batters and allowing  just 23 hits in 29 2/3 innings. I'm betting he will primed to pitch well here and continue his current top form performances.

COLE is 19-6 UNDER  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.4 rpg scored in those 25 tilts. COLE is 24-9 UNDER in road games in his career . (Team's Record) with a combined 7.4 rpg scored.

 Buehler the Dodgers starter tossed seven innings of one-run ball in his last trip to the hill, striking out seven and walking none. He's owns a solid 2.70 ERA in eight appearances (seven starts) at Dodger Stadium this year. 

LA DODGERS are 13-5 UNDER vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 6.6 rpg scored. 

Under is 9-1-1 in Astros last 11 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 7-1-1 in Astros last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-1-1 in Astros last 9 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-1-1 in Astros last 9 interleague road games.Over is 7-1-1 in Astros last 9 during game 3 of a series.Under is 6-1-1 in Astros last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-1 in Astros last 7 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 12-3-2 in Astros last 17 interleague games.Under is 12-3-2 in Astros last 17 vs. National League West.Under is 11-3-2 in Astros last 16 road games.Under is 7-2-1 in Astros last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 3-1-1 in Astros last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 5-2-1 in Astros last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-2-1 in Astros last 8 vs. a team with a winning recordUnder is 3-0-1 in Coles last 4 road starts.Under is 4-1-1 in Coles last 6 starts overall.Under is 4-1-2 in Coles last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 3-1-1 in Coles last 5 starts on natural surface.

Under is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 interleague games vs. a right-handed starterUnder is 7-2 in Dodgers last 9 interleague games.Under is 7-2 in Dodgers last 9 vs. American League West.Under is 6-2 in Dodgers last 8 interleague games vs. a team with a winning recordUnder is 10-4-1 in Dodgers last 15 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 6-1 in Buehlers last 7 home starts.

Play UNDER 

It seems like it does not matter who will be on the hill today for both teams as both consistently exhibit bouts of offensive inconsistency. The As at home have averaged just 3.9 rpg at home this season via a lowly .230 BA, with the combined average score of home games clicking in at 7.8 rpg scored. . Meanwhile, the visiting Tigers are averaging just 3.4 rpg on the road this season via a BA of .231 with them in their opponents combining to average 8.1 rpg. With both teams hitting well below the Mendoza line it won't be difficult to expect a total score that does not eclipse number.

LIRIANO the Tigers well rested starter is 31-15 UNDER in his career on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 8 rpg scored. DETROIT is 14-5 UNDER  vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better this season with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored.

OAKLAND is 11-1 UNDER  in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season with a combined average of 5.3 rpg scored.OAKLAND is 11-3 UNDER in home games vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season with a combined average of 6.4 rpg scored.DETROIT is 23-11 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 this seasonDETROIT is 14-2 UNDER  on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season with a combine average of 5.5 rpg scored

Under is 3-1-1 in Tigers last 5 road games.Under is 23-9 in Tigers last 32 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 23-9 in Tigers last 32 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 5-2 in Tigers last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 10-4-1 in Tigers last 15 vs. American League West.Under is 36-16 in Tigers last 52 games following a loss.Under is 20-9 in Tigers last 29 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 35-17-2 in Tigers last 54 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-2-1 in Lirianos last 9 road starts

Under is 4-1-1 in Cahills last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1-2 in Cahills last 7 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 3-1-1 in Cahills last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 25-9-4 in Cahills last 38 home starts.Under is 5-0 in Athletics last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Under is 3-0-1 in Athletics last 4 vs. American League Central.Under is 5-1 in Athletics last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Athletics last 5 games following a win.Under is 8-2 in Athletics last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 17-5 in Athletics last 22 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 10-3-1 in Athletics last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 6-2 in Athletics last 8 overall.Under is 6-2 in Athletics last 8 on grass.Under is 8-3 in Athletics last 11 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Play UNDER 

Royals LH Danny Duffy (7-9, 4.50 ERA) vs. Twins RH Ervin Santana (0-0, 6.10)

Duffy the ace of the KC Royals rotation  will close out the Royals' road trip in Minnesota.  In his last outing 5 days ago he became the first AL pitcher in the live-ball era to allow one run or fewer in six straight starts on the road.  The veteran has won three of his last four trips to the hill and held the opposition without a run in six of his L/ 23 outings overall. Duffy permitted one run over seven innings of quality work  to grab  the victory versus the Twins back In late July, which gives him a 1-0 record along with a 0.95 ERA in three meetings this season. Needless today he matches up well vs the Twins 9 and gives them a great chance for a underdog victory here today. Royals are 5-1 in Duffys last 6 road starts .

Royals are 11-4 in Duffys last 15 starts vs. Twins.

Duffy is 24-13  against the money line vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game in his career. (Team's Record)

Meanwhile, Santana the Twins starter despite of pitching a little betterin his second start of the season than his first, he still gave up four runs in 5 1/3 innings against the Indians. His average fastball velocity remains around 90 mph and very seeable and hittable.  Santana, is just 7-10 with a 4.71 ERA in 25 career starts versus Kansas City.

Twins are 1-4 in Santanas last 5 home starts vs. Royals.Twins are 2-9 in Santanas last 11 starts vs. Royals.

MINNESOTA is 10-15  against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. 

Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.

Play on the KC Royals to win on the moneyline 

Blue Jays RH Marco Estrada (4-8, 4.90 ERA) vs. Mariners LH James Paxton (9-4, 3.49)

James Paxton tossed a no-hitter when he faced Toronto earlier this season and matches up well vs this group and Im expecting another top tier effort from him here. Meanwhile, Estrada the Jays starting hurler seems to being his best stuff against winning sides, as is evident by going  21-7 UNDER in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in his career (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. 

Under is 21-10-1 in Estradas last 32 starts during game 3 of a series.

.Under is 15-7-1 in Mariners last 23 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 5-1 in Paxtons last 6 starts on grass.Under is 5-1 in Paxtons last 6 starts overall.Under is 4-0 in Paxtons last 4 starts vs. Blue Jays.

Under is 7-2 in Paxtons last 9 starts vs. American League East.

SEATTLE is 20-10 UNDER  in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. SEATTLE is 11-2 UNDER after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season. 

Play on the UNDER 

 Tigers RH Jordan Zimmermann (4-3, 4.44 ERA) vs. Athletics RH Edwin Jackson (2-2, 3.32)

Yesterday the As took out the Tigers by a 1-0 score, and today Im betting on another lower scoring affair.  

 Zimmermann the Tigers starter today has shown sign of brilliance this season, as well as looking a little putrid. But overall according to my power rankings matches up well vs the Athletics 9 and should do just fine today. The Righty hurler is 1-0 with a 2.60 ERA in three career starts against Oakland, including a no-decision on June 25 where he allowed just  four hits over five scoreless innings of top quality work. Meanwhile, Jackson the As starter  is off a top tier scoreless effort last time out, and is  4-2 with one shutout and a 3.23 ERA in 11 starts and five relief appearances against the Tigers in his career, including a no-decision at Detroit in his first outing with Oakland on June 25  where permitted just  up one run and six hits over six innings.

The As are hitting just .232 at home this season while averaging just under 4 rpg. Meanwhile, Detroit is averaging just 3.5 rpg on the road vita  lowly .233 BA.

JACKSON is 11-2 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average 7.6 rpg scored. 

DETROIT is 12-2 UNDER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season with a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored. OAKLAND is 9-1 UNDER  in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season wit a combined average of 5.8 rpg scored. OAKLAND is 21-12 UNDER  vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season with a combined average of 8.3 rpg scored.  DETROIT is 18-6 UNDER  as a road underdog of +125 to +175 this season with a combined average of 7.5 rg scored. 

Under is 12-4-1 in Tigers last 17 during game 2 of a series.Under is 22-9 in Tigers last 31 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 22-9 in Tigers last 31 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 21-9-1 in Tigers last 31 road games.Under is 18-8-2 in Tigers last 28 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 9-4-1 in Tigers last 14 vs. American League West.Under is 11-5 in Tigers last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 35-16 in Tigers last 51 games following a loss.Under is 19-9 in Tigers last 28 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous gameUnder is 5-2 in Zimmermanns last 7 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 9-4 in Zimmermanns last 13 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Under is 4-0 in Athletics last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Under is 4-0-1 in Athletics last 5 Saturday games.Under is 4-1 in Athletics last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 16-5 in Athletics last 21 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 9-3-1 in Athletics last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 6-2-1 in Athletics last 9 vs. American League Central.Under is 5-2 in Athletics last 7 overall.Under is 5-2 in Athletics last 7 on grass.Under is 5-2-1 in Athletics last 8 during game 2 of a series.Under is 7-3 in Athletics last 10 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1-2 in Jacksons last 7 starts on grass.Under is 4-1-2 in Jacksons last 7 starts overall

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

Play UNDER 

Braves RH Kevin Gausman (5-8, 4.43 ERA) vs. Mets RH Zack Wheeler (5-6, 4.11)

Gausman makes his Braves debut after being acquired from Baltimore at Tuesday’s trade deadline, after 6 years with the  Orioles during which he posted a 4.22 ERA in 150 career appearances. Coming over to the NL should give him the opportunity for a fresh start, and opposing batters should  of balance against him , especially a struggling inconsistent group of Mets batters that are deal last in the league with a ugly .228 BA. Meanwhile the Mets starter Wheeler has steadily got better as the season has progressed, and has held opponents to a .234 batting average while going 3-3 with a 3.28 ERA in 13 trips to the hill. Everything points to a lower scoring affair here today.

GAUSMAN is 34-12 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GAUSMAN is 23-7 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)NY METS are 31-14 UNDER  at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season.

Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 games following a loss.Under is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-1-1 in Mets last 7 overall

Under is 19-7 in Mets last 26 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 15-6-1 in Mets last 22 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 9-4-1 in Mets last 14 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 4-0 in Wheelers last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Under is 21-8 in Braves last 29 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game

Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in New York.

Play UNDER 

Marlins RH Jose Urena (3-10, 4.40 ERA) vs. Phillies RH Zach Eflin (7-3, 3.64)

Urena  pitched  six scoreless innings against Washington on Sunday and shutout Philadelphia through seven innings  earlier in the year and I'm betting he does just fine here today. Meanwhile, Eflin the Phillies starter owns a 4-1 record with a 3.18 ERA at home  this season  and frustrated  the Marlins through six innings in his season debut and will once again be a hand full for a Miami side that has averaged just 3.8 rpg and hit under the Mendoza line for the entire season. 

URENA is 12-2 UNDER  as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.6 rpg scored. 

PHILADELPHIA is 14-3 UNDER  in home games vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season over with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored.PHILADELPHIA is 18-6 UNDER vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.7 rpg. 

Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 overall.Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 on grass.Under is 5-1-1 in Marlins last 7 Saturday games.Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. National League East.Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 during game 3 of a series.Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.

Play UNDER 

White Sox LH Carlos Rodon (3-3, 3.24 ERA) vs. Rays LH Blake Snell (12-5, 2.27)

Snell the Pirates starter  has been brilliant in eight home starts, while garnering  a 6-1 record and a minuscule  0.87 ERA - and the only loss via  a 1-0 setback on May 8. He lost his last start, but previous to that during a four start run,  he allowed  a combined two runs while striking out 35 in 28 2/3 innings. I'm expecting he will frustrate the Pale Hose hitters today. Meanwhile, Rodon the ChiSox stater has pitched into the 8th inning in 3 straight starts, and  has now made  four quality starts in row - where he has  permitted just  six runs. More of the same action from Rodon is on board for this tilt. 

SNELL is 9-1 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.7 rpg scored. 

TAMPA BAY is 18-6 UNDER  after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games this season with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored. 

Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 vs. a team with a winning recordUnder is 5-2-1 in Rodons last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 23-11-2 in Rodons last 36 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Under is 18-6-2 in Rays last 26 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 11-4 in Rays last 15 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 18-7-1 in Rays last 26 during game 2 of a series.Under is 5-2-1 in Rays last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 10-4-1 in Rays last 15 home games vs. a left-handed starter

Under is 5-1 in Snells last 6 starts overall.

Play UNDER 

Reds RH Anthony DeSclafani (4-3, 5.47 ERA) vs. Nationals LH Gio Gonzalez (6-7, 3.78)

Gonzalez has pitched his best baseball at home this season, where he has garnered a 3.09 ERA . The southpaw is coming off his best effort during in a while this past Saturday when he limited Miami to one run and three hits in a no-decision. Gonzalez has been a streaky pitcher on career and I expect he picks up where he left of last time out. 

GONZALEZ is 10-2 UNDER with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6 rpg going on the board.

Under is 4-0 in Gonzalezs last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Gonzalezs last 5 starts overall.Under is 4-0 in Gonzalezs last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 15-3 in Gonzalezs last 18 starts on grass.Under is 4-1 in Gonzalezs last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 4-1 in Gonzalezs last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.Under is 4-1 in Gonzalezs last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 14-4-1 in Gonzalezs last 19 starts with 5 days of rest.Under is 6-2 in Gonzalezs last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

Meanwhile, DeSclafani, has struggle of late but is 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA in six career appearances (three starts) against Washington and according to my power rankings matches up well vs the Nats 9 and should once against provide his side with stability vs this group. In three career starts vs the Nats he has seen all three stay under with a combined average of 5.3 rpg scored in those tilts. 

Under is 8-3-1 in DeSclafanis last 12 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.

WASHINGTON is 32-19 UNDER vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season with a combined average of 8 rpg scored. WASHINGTON is 32-19 UNDER vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season with a combined average of 8 rpg scored.

Under is 6-2 in Nationals last 8 vs. National League Central.Under is 24-8 in Nationals last 32 during game 2 of a series.Under is 19-7 in Nationals last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 43-18-3 in Nationals last 64 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Under is 3-0-1 in umpire Gonzalezs last 4 starts with Gonzalez behind home plate.

.The Nationals have gone under 11 of the L/12 times as a favorite after a game as a home favorite in which they hit more home runs than their opponent and it is post All-Star break with none of the game seeing more than 8 runs scored , with the average combined score clicking in at 5.75 rpg.

Play UNDER 

RYAN BORUCKI (L) vs. MARCO GONZALES (L)

Marco Gonzales has notched a victory in each of his last five starts, pitching to a 1.57 ERA over 34 1/3 innings in that span. The righty pitched six viable innings last time out after the Mariners put up seven runs in the first inning. He gets my support here again today vs a poor travelling Toronto Blue Jays side that has gone 12-26 against the money line against left-handed starters this season.

It must noted that the   Mariners are a perfect 11-0 on the moneyline in franchise history with Marco Gonzales on the hill when he went at least five innings gave up fewer that three runs in his last start. 

GONZALES is 10-1 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. (Team's Record)GONZALES is 9-0  against the money line after giving up 2or less  earned runs in his last 2 outings this season.(Team Record)

TORONTO is 8-23  against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season

MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.400 to 1.500 on the season-AL, starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 30-71 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline 

Giants LH Madison Bumgarner (3-4, 3.06 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Zack Greinke (12-5, 2.96)

Greinke a former Cy Young award winner is currently in top form as is evident by striking  out 48 while issuing just 5 walks in his last seven starts.His current run is at  6-0 in those 7 trips to the hill along with a minuscule 1.16 ERA . When this top tier hurler is hitting on all cylinders he's a night mare for opposing batters. GREINKE is 98-27 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more in his career.(Team's Record)GREINKE is 12-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.31 and a WHIP of 1.043.

This line has steamed form around -149 on the opener and rightly so.

Meanwhile, Bumgarner the Giants starter is off a loss last time out, and despite of looking better since coming of the DL has not done well against the Backs  from a W/L perspective as his team is 0-5 in his last five battles with Arizona.

Diamondbacks 1B Paul Goldschmidt is 18-for-43 with three homers, nine RBIs and eight runs scored versus the Giants this season and Im betting he will be a key proponent in them winning here tonight.

The Giants have lost 19 straight on the moneyline  as a 140+ underdog after they allowed 5+ walks and it is post All-Star break and are also 0-15 on the moneyline on the road after the All-Star break when they score three or less runs and still won which happened yesterday. 

MLB Road teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start, after 2 straight games where their bullpen blew a save are 51-111 L/21 seasons for a 69% go against conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/star are 37-100 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Arizona Backs to win on the moneyline 

Reds RH Tyler Mahle (7-8, 4.53 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Max Scherzer (15-4, 2.30)

Mahle the Reds starter is in a funk right now and is  0-2  his last three trips to the hill while permitting 16 runs on 20 hits , including five homers . His ERA in his L/3 overall starts is a ugly 14.00 , along with a nasty looking 2.889 WHIP. The way Mahle is pitching, and the way the Nats are hitting having scored 30 runs in their L/2 games, I won't be surprised if the Nats eclipse this number all by themselves. Meanwhile, Scherzer the Nats ace, is in top form at the moment, but despite of winning his L/3 games, has still seen each game go over the number, as his team continually backs him with run support, something that I'm betting happens again today.  Note: SCHERZER is 9-1 OVER  with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average score of 10.9 rpg scored.

 Over is 8-0 in Reds last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 9-1 in Reds last 10 road games.Over is 9-1-1 in Reds last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 4-1-1 in Mahles last 6 starts overall.Over is 4-1-1 in Mahles last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 home games.Over is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 during game 1 of a series.

Over is 4-0 in Scherzers last 4 starts overall.Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Washington.Over is 11-5-1 in the last 17 meetings.

The Reds are 21-1 OU as a 170+ dog after a game in which they used 5+ pitchers.The only game in the L/21 that finished under was their last game, where a total of 7 runs were scored. Previous to that tilt no game had seen less than 9 runs scored. The average combined score of the 21 games clicks in at 13.38 rpg.

Play OVER 

Brewers RH Chase Anderson (7-7, 3.69 ERA) vs. Dodgers LH Rich Hill (4-4, 3.82)

Anderson the Brewers starter is off a win last time out and has allowed fewer than three runs in seven straight outings and is a viable pitcher to back here in this spot in his current form. It must also be noted that the Dodgers have lost 3 straight and have scored just 3 runs and look to be in a down mode at the moment , making them fade material vs a side that matches up well agains them. Meanwhile, the Dodgers starter Hill has seen his team lost 4 of his L/5 home starts.

Milwaukee is 17-5 playing against the NL West this season, including a 3-2 record vs the Dodgers.

The Dodgers have lost 12 straight on the moneyline at home after a game in which they had more strikeouts than hits and it is post All-Star break. LA scored an average of 1.17 runs per game in those above mentioned games. 

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline 

Astros LH Dallas Keuchel (8-9, 3.60 ERA) vs. Mariners LH Wade LeBlanc (6-1, 3.51)

Keuchel is currently a below .500 pitcher, off a loss in his last game and this season is 0-2 against Seattle accumulating a 5.52 ERA.Astros are 2-5 in Keuchels last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Meanwhile, the Mariners have won all 15 games in franchise history when Wade LeBlanc starts at home and look like viable underdogs vs a Houston team that has lost 5 of their L/6 overall. 

Anomaly or not Im going to ride Wade LeBlanc here at home behind a Seattle team that is 35-20 at home this season and that have won 26 of their L/36 on their own field.

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline 

Blue Jays RH Marcus Stroman (4-7, 5.20 ERA) vs. Athletics LH Sean Manaea (9-7, 3.46)

The As 29-10 L/39 overall are for the most part playing some great ball , especially against lower tier teams like Toronto. OAKLAND is 9-0 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.OAKLAND is 13-2   against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season.OAKLAND is 30-9  against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. Today Im betting they have the edge on the struggling Blue Jays behind their starter MANAEA who is 9-0  against the money line in day games this season. (Team's Record). the southpaw  is also 14-4  against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Blue Jays are 2-14 in their last 16 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Blue Jays are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Athletics are 4-0 in Manaeas last 4 home starts.Blue Jays are 0-6 in the last 6 meetings.

Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline 

 Last night the Yankees beat the Orioles 6-3 but previous to that game, the Os bats were on fire scoring 15,11,11 runs in the last three consecutive games of their series vs the TB Rays. They did not matchup all that well against Tanaka yesterday, but todays pitching matchup vs Gray suits this current Os batting lineup much better and my projections estimate they should flourish this afternoon offensively. Gray the Yankees starter has pitched his very worst at home this season as is evident by his 6.80 ERA at Yankees stadium over 10 starts . Meanwhile, the Yankees have been consistent all season long with their offence, and have scored 5 runs or more in 7 of their L/9 including 4 straight, and have averaged 5.6 rpg at home this season, and here today vs Cobb the Orioles struggling righty and bullpen the Yanks  should once again come close to putting at least that many runs on the board. Cobb has pitched his worst ball on the road this season where he has garnered a ugly 6.20 ERA. Over is 5-2 in Cobbs last 7 starts vs. American League East.Everything points to this Total be eclipsed. 

GRAY is 15-4 OVER in home games vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game since 1997. (Team's Record).GRAY is 18-8 OVER  in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Over is 7-1 in Grays last 8 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 10-3 in Grays last 13 home starts.Over is 25-4-1 in the last 30 meetings.Over is 18-3 in the last 21 meetings in New York.Over is 20-7-1 in Yankees last 28 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

The Yankees have gone OVER 12 straight times  in the last game of a series as a 175-plus favorite after a game in which they scored in more innings than their opponent and it is post All-Star break with a combined average of 14.5 rpg going on the board with no game seeing less than 10 combined runs go on the scoreboard. 

Play OVER 

 Indians RH Trevor Bauer (9-6, 2.32 ERA) vs. Twins RH Kyle Gibson (5-7, 3.42)

Bauer registered his ninth quality start in 10 outings last time out and according to my power rankings matches up very well vs the Twins 9 despite getting roughed by them the last time they met. The righty hurler is 2-0 with a 1.87 ERA in four starts this month . I know the Twins  have won seven of their 10 meetings with Cleveland this season after recording a walk-off 5-4 victory in the series , but now in a bounce back situation and a surge towards the play offs of ultimate importance I expect we see the Tribe at their best tonight in Minnesota. 

The Indians have won 20 straight on the moneyline as a 140+ favorite after All-Star break when they are facing an AL opposition and they are off a one-run loss with the average margin of victory coming by more than 5.5 rpg. 

Indians are 51-18 in their last 69 vs. American League CentralIndians are 4-1 in Bauers last 5 starts.Twins are 0-5 in Gibsons last 5 starts during game 2 of a seriesTwins are 1-7 in Gibsons last 8 home starts vs. Indians.

MINNESOTA is 9-24  against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season.

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CLEVELAND) - good offensive team (5.1 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL are 43-9 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline 

Phillies RH Jake Arrieta (8-6, 3.45 ERA) vs. Red Sox LH Drew Pomeranz (1-4, 6.91)

Neither of these pitchers inspire me, but both are capable hurlers that can do their part in help keep this tilt on the low side of the number.

PHILADELPHIA is 8-0 UNDER vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start this season with a combined average of 4.3 rpg going on the scoreboard.

POMERANZ is 28-9 UNDER vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.5 rpg scored. 

Note:Red Sox starting pitchers have allowed just 11 earned runs over 70 1/3 innings (1.41 ERA) in their last 12 contests.

Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 6-0-1 in Phillies last 7 interleague games.Under is 6-0-1 in Phillies last 7 vs. American League East.Under is 8-2 in Phillies last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 8-2 in Phillies last 10 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous gameUnder is 10-4-1 in Phillies last 15 road games.

Under is 35-15-4 in Phillies last 54 games following a loss.Under is 9-4 in Phillies last 13 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 32-15-5 in Phillies last 52 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Under is 4-1 in Arrietas last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 3-1-1 in Arrietas last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 3-1-1 in Arrietas last 5 road starts.Under is 5-2 in Arrietas last 7 starts on grass.Under is 5-2 in Arrietas last 7 starts overall.Under is 6-2 in Red Sox last 8 games following a win.Under is 9-3 in Red Sox last 12 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 18-7-1 in Red Sox last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 5-2-1 in Red Sox last 8 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 9-4 in Red Sox last 13 interleague gamesUnder is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 12-2 in Red Sox last 14 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-1 in Red Sox last 7 home games.Under is 9-2 in Red Sox last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 on grass.Under is 4-1-1 in Red Sox last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Boston.

Under is 4-0-2 in the last 6 meetings.

Under is 12-3 in umpire Nelsons last 15 games behind home plate and his last 4 games behind home plate have gone under. 

BOSTON is 9-1 UNDER at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 this season and is 22-7 UNDER  at home when the total is 10 or higher over the last 2 seasons.

Play UNDER 

JON LESTER (L) vs. JAMESON TAILLON (R) 

The Cubs starter tonight John Lester has struggled a bit of late, but Im expecting a bounce back by the veteran hurler here today. The Cubs southpaw has pitched his best ball on the road this season where he has garnered a 7-1 record along with a solid 3.16 ERA in in 10 trips to the hill and repeat performance vs Pittsburghs up and down 9 according to my power ranking pitcher vs offence numbers. 

Cubs are 6-0 in Lesters last 6 road starts.

Cubs are 6-0 in Lesters last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.Cubs are 5-0 in Lesters last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Cubs are 23-4 in Lesters last 27 starts during game 1 of a series.

LESTER is 12-1 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. (Team's Record) LESTER is 11-2 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. (Team's Record)

The Cubs have won 15 in a row on the moneyline  when Jon Lester starts as a favorite and he gave up no walks in his last start.

Meanwhile, Taillon despite of pitching well of late, has not pitched well enough at home to get wins, as the Pirates are 1-4 in Taillons last 5 home starts and where he has allowed 8 of the 11  HRs he has given up this season.

MLB Home teams (PITTSBURGH) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 61-95 L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline 

STEVEN MATZ (L) vs. TANNER ROARK (R)

The Nationals starter Roark  has lost all three of his starts against the Mets this season, with the right-hander allowing 11 runs in 17 innings of sub par work and is fade material here in this spot as a over valued favorite.

ROARK is 0-5 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record) The Nationals have lost 6 straight on the moneyline with Tanner Roark as a home favorite when they scored more than six runs in his last start.ROARK is 0-6 against the money line at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record)

Nationals are 0-4 in Roarks last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Nationals are 0-5 in Roarks last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.Nationals are 0-5 in Roarks last 5 starts vs. National League East.Mets are 8-1 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Matz from the Mets has allowed six earned runs in 15 innings of three starts against Washington this season. Matz is only 1-3 vs the Nats in his career but has posted a solid 2.64 ERA in seven starts against the Nationals.

Mets are 4-1 in Matzs last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.

WASHINGTON is 4-11 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season.

Play on the NY Mets to win on the moneyline 

FREDDY PERALTA (R) vs. KENTA MAEDA (R)

Freddy Peralta is a good young pitcher but consistently has his issues with control as was the case in his last start against the Nationals, Peralta walked four batters and struck another, and all five of those free baserunners scored. Thats not a good omen, going into face a hot veteran team like the Dodgers that have won that is 43 of their L/64 overall and have defeated above .500 teams on a regular basis going 27-13 for ,675 win %. 

The Dodgers were upset as favs last time out against Atlanta, but are 17-4 in their last 21 games following a loss and are also 17-4 in their last 21 during game 1 of a series.

Meanwhile, Dodgers are 9-3 in their starters Maedas last 12 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Brewers are 3-7 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Brewers are 4-10 in their last 14 road games.
Brewers are 3-9 in their last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (MILWAUKEE) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start are 25-102 L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the moneyline

MARCO ESTRADA (R) vs. EDWIN JACKSON (R)

Estrada is set to return after missing the last four weeks with a strained glute and I won't be surprised if he exhibits some rust here in this spot vs the Athletics. 

Blue Jays are 1-7 in Estradas last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Blue Jays are 0-4 in Estradas last 4 starts vs. American League West.The Jays did win yesterday, by a 7-4 count, but in the recent past have not done well after garnering a victory as is evident by a 2-7 mark after a win, and when they scored 5 or more runs in a previous game they are a lowly 8-23 so  expecting another negative outcome here tonight in Oakland is likely considering the pitching matchup and overall play both teams over the long haul. Meanwhile, the As lost yesterday, and will now be primed to recover quickly, after also being swept in their previous series vs the red hot Rockies. Athletics are 11-2 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Athletics are 8-2 in their last 10 games following a loss.

JACKSON the As starter is 15-4  against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the second half of the season JACKSON is 11-2 against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) 

OAKLAND is 23-9  against the money line vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this .OAKLAND is also 12-2  against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season and is 32-11  against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.OAKLAND is 29-9  against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.

Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline 

Rockies LH Tyler Anderson (6-3, 3.57 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Carlos Martinez (6-6, 3.39)

Anderson  Colorados starter enters this tilt vs St.Louis in top form, as is evident by permitting   just four earned runs while recording  27 strikeouts in 27 1/3 innings spanning four starts. The   southpaw hurler is also riding a five-start unbeaten streak and is a good candidate to , help us cash a  nice underdog ticket tonight. Anderson is 4-0 (3.48 ERA) on the road this season.

 Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Martinez, has lost his last two starts, and despite of a 3-1 record vs the Rockies in his career owns a nasty looking 6.35 ERA in 5 starts and 4 relief appearances.  Note:Martinez has allowed nine runs (eight earned) on 13 hits his past couple starts and is not looking like an ace right now, and may also not be 100% healthy. 

Cardinals are 1-4 in Martinezs last 5 home starts.Cardinals are 1-6 in Martinezs last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.

TYLER ANDERSON is  a perfect 7-0 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season.

COLORADO is 16-4 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season.COLORADO is 22-13  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline 

SHANE BIEBER (R) vs. ERVIN SANTANA (R

Ervin Santana (0-0, 5.40 ERA) is scheduled to make his second start of the season -  - when he goes against the Indians' rookie Shane Bieber (5-2, 4.80 ERA) in a battle of right-handers.  My own  power ranking suggest we have  value with the visiting Tribe and Bieber.Santana is 7-11 with a 3.70 ERA in 25 career starts against the Indians. Bieber is 1-0 with a 3.97 ERA in two career starts against the Twins.

MINNESOTA is 9-24  against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. 

MLB teams like (CLEVELAND) - after a game where they had at least 10 more hits than their opponent, starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 80-40 L/21 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline 

MARCO GONZALES (L) vs. FELIX PENA (R)

The Angels have looked explosive offensively of late and have scored 14, 11, 11, 12 runs in 4 of their 7 games, and roughed up the visiting Mariners yesterday by a 11-5 count. The way the Halos are swinging the bats of late, it does not matter who the Mariners send to the hill. Yes, I know Gonzales the Ms starter has been in good form but, Angels center fielder Mike Trout is 7-for-15 in his career against Gonzales, shortstop Andrelton Simmons is 6-for-13, and backup first baseman Jefry Marte is 3-for-10 with two home runs and I'm betting on them continuing to heat up here.

The Angels have won 21 straight on the moneyline  as a favorite in the last game of a series when they are off a five-plus run win as a favorite and they are not on a wining streak of more than five games.The Mariners have lost 14 straight on the moneyline  after the All-Star break as a dog in the last game of a series when they are off a game in which their opponent scored first.

Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline 

RYAN BORUCKI (L) vs. CARLOS RODON (L)

These teams have struggled against LHP starters this season, with the Blue Jays averaging 3.8 rpg via a lowly .234 BA, while the White Sox have averaged 3.6 rpg via a ugly .226 BA vs southpaws. I'm betting their struggles continue today vs two viable hurlers Rodon and Borucki, which help keep this combined score on the low side of the Total.

CHI WHITE SOX are 30-14 UNDER after a win by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.8 rpg scored.  WHITE SOX are 25-11 UNDER  after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. 

Under is 4-1 in Boruckis last 5 starts overall.Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 8-2 in Rodons last 10 Sunday starts.Under is 4-1 in Rodons last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous gameUnder is 17-8-2 in White Sox last 27 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Rodons last 6 starts during game 3 of series. 

Play UNDER 

The Astros have had their hands full with the Texas Rangers this weekend and lost the first two games of this 3 game series. I know the Astros will be primed to avert a embarrassing sweep at home but I'm betting that won't be an easy proposition vs vs a Rangers teams playing loose. It must also be noted that Astros starter McCullers has struggled of late , permitting 11 runs on 10 hits and 10 walks with only four strikeouts over 8 1/3 innings in consecutive losses . McCullers is also just  1-3 with a 5.72 ERA over six career starts against the Rangers and is far from being a solid pitcher to back in this spot play. 

MCCULLERS JR. is 2-9  against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .265 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team Record) MCCULLERS JR. is 1-6  against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

The Rangers have won 9 in a row as a 170-plus underdog after All-Star break when seeking same-season revenge vs their opponent's starting pitcher for a loss in which they had at least five hits.

MLB team (HOUSTON) - off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -200 or higher, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 19-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (HOUSTON) - off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -200 or higher, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 18-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline 

ZACK WHEELER (R) vs. JOE MUSGROVE (R)

New York right-hander Zack Wheeler (4-6, 4.33 ERA) is scheduled to face righty Joe Musgrove (4-4, 3.90 ERA).

The Pirates after yesterdays shut out win vs the Mets have won 13 of their past 15 games after picking up their league-leading 12th shutout . It must be noted that the Mets have lost 22 of their L/26 when they have failed to score at least 2 runs. The momentum is very much on the Pirates side, and I'm betting they feed off what have been packed houses in Pittsburgh this weekend. 

Mets are 0-4 in Wheelers last 4 starts vs. National League Central.Mets are 4-12 in Wheelers last 16 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Pirates are 11-1 in their last 12 games following a win.Pirates are 9-1 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.Mets are 4-9 in the last 13 meetings in Pittsburgh.

The Pirates have won 11 straight on the moneyline in the last game of a series as a home 135-plus favorite after a game in which they struck out their opponent at least ten times and it is post All-Star break.

Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline 

Pittsburgh recent resurgence has been predicated on strong two way play, but their defense has really stood out, as was the case yesterday when they shutout the Mets. The Pirates have allowed 2 runs or less in 5 of their L/9 games and have only allowed more than 4 runs , one time during their L/9 tilts. Today Im betting on the Mets offence struggling vs a hurler in Musgrove that my own current power rankings suggest matches up well vs the Mets current 9, and for Wheeler the Mets hurler to do just enough vs the Pirates offence to help keep this total combined score on the low side of the number.  Add to that we have a home plate umpire in Bellinno that has only seen 13 of his L/53 games eclipse the Total. 

Under is 6-1-1 in Pirates last 8 vs. National League East.Under is 6-1 in Pirates last 7 during game 4 of a series.Under is 3-1-1 in Pirates last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 3-1-1 in Pirates last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 6-2 in Pirates last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 3-1-1 in Pirates last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Under is 6-0 in Mets last 6 during game 4 of a series.Under is 6-1-2 in Mets last 9 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 7-2-2 in Mets last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Play UNDER 

Stripling has been a quality hurler for the Dodgers , but was  kicked around  in the All-Star game and in his first start after the break his confidence looked wobbly as he suffered in that game as well, giving up 5 runs in less than 5 innings of sub par work. I know it might seem like the Braves won't be able to take advantage of any issues Stripling might have right now because of their recent offensive struggles it must be noted the Braves are 7-0  against the money line after batting .175 or worse over a 3 game span over the last 2 seasons. On the flip side Newcombe the Braves starter is looking better of late, after some recent struggles, and took a 12-1 win allowing 4 hits in his last start.Newcombe has also pitched well at home this season , garnering a stable 3.19 ERA and should once again keep his team in this tilt and help us cash a value line underdog ticket.  

Braves Manager SNITKER is 11-4 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 80% as the manager of ATLANTA. 

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline 

ZACH EFLIN (R) vs. LUIS CASTILLO (R)

Phillies RH Zach Eflin (7-2, 3.41 ERA) vs. Reds RH Luis Castillo (5-8, 5.30)

The Philadelphia Phillies are in first place in the  National League East, but  have struggled against lower tier teams away from home this season, and have lost consecutive series to the Mets and Marlins on the road and are fade material in this spot play. I know the Phillies starter Eflin is a strong hurler, but Reds starter Castillo has allowed a total of seven runs over his last four trips to the hill and must be respected in his ability to slow the Phillies here.

  PHILADELPHIA is 25-41 against the money line when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons.PHILADELPHIA is 22-37 (-14.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CINCINNATI) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or worse), playing on Sunday are 98-39 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Cincinnati Redsto win on the moneyline 

COREY KLUBER (R) vs. JORDAN ZIMMERMANN (R)

Cleveland ace right-hander Corey Kluber (12-6, 2.88 ERA) pitches on an extra day of rest Sunday and will extremely dangerous in this spot.Kluber beat the Tigers in his two starts against them this year, allowing two runs in 16 innings.Meanwhile, Right-hander Jordan Zimmermann (4-2, 3.97 ERA) makes his second post All-Star game start for Detroit,  Over his career, Zimmermann is 0-4 with a 10.57 ERA when facing the Indians . Im betting Zimmerman and the Tigers are big time fade material in this spot. 

The Indians have won 21 straight in franchise history when Corey Kluber starts as a 160-plus favorite in an afternoon game. with the average margin of victory coming by more than 6 rpg.

Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the run-line

Twins RH Jose Berrios (10-7, 3.48 ERA) vs. Red Sox RH Nathan Eovaldi (3-4, 4.26)

The Twins enter this game losing 12 of their L/14 vs an above .500 team, and have lost 15 of their L/21 on the road with Barrios on the hill. The Twins have also lost 14 of their L/19 road games overall, and are in a bad spot vs a hot hitting BoSox crew.  The Red Sox have been solid finishing off opponents as well, and are 6-0 in game 4 of series, and have cashed in 16 of their L/21 at home vs a below .500 team like Minnesota.  These two teams are playing with different emotional mind sets, and at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, giving us an advantage with the home side.

MINNESOTA is 8-21 against the money line in road games vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season.BOSTON is 22-8 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season.BOSTON is 51-19  against the money line with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) this season.BOSTON is 23-8 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season.BOSTON is 25-5   against the money line in day games this season. HC MOLITOR is 8-33 L/41 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season . 

 favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (BOSTON) - good offensive team (5.1 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or better) (AL), with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL are 42-9 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline 

JHOULYS CHACIN (R) vs. JOHNNY CUETO (R)

The Brewers beat the Giants yesterday 3-1 and have now lost 7 of their L/8 games, but it must be noted that SAN FRANCISCO is 11-1against the money line after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season.

SAN FRANCISCO is also 27-16  against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. 

With San Francisco hurler Johnny Cueto 11-1 at home in his career team starts against the Brewers, including 11-0 the last eleven overall I'm betting on the Giants bouncing back here and getting us a win.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00or less) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start 62-156 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less ) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start are 37-100  L/5 seasons for go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the SF Giants to win on the moneyline 

FELIX HERNANDEZ (R) vs. JAIME BARRIA (R)

Barria the Angels starter has gone 0-6 L/6 in seven starts and his team has lost all 7 starts .Barria has made three of his last seven starts against Seattle, losing all three despite allowing three runs or fewer in each outing.

Meanwhile, Hernandez the Mariners veteran starter owns a solid 2.99 career ERA at Angel Stadium and is the best ERA among pitchers who haven't played for the Halos and gets my support in this road spot. 

The Angles beat the Mariners yesterday 4-3, but the Mariners have proven resilient after a 1 run loss.SEATTLE is 11-1 against the money line after a one run loss this season and once again look like viable investment proposition. Note: Angles have lost 7 of their L/10 after a victory.

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline 

MARCUS STROMAN (R) vs. REYNALDO LOPEZ (R)

STROMAN Toronto's starter  is 1-3 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.303 and his team has lost 5 of his lifetime appearances. Meanwhile, Lopez, the Pale Hose starter  loves pitching in Southside Chicago and has recorded a a 3.17 ERA and .209 batting average against as opposed to 4.95 and .275 on the road.  

The Blue Jays have really been going  deep into their bullpen of late and this I'm betting that  will effect them going forward. Note:

 TORONTO is 2-10 against the money line after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings this season.TORONTO is 18-32  against the money line after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more over the last 2 seasons. 

Blue Jays are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.White Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.

The Blue Jays have lost 11 straight on the moneyline  on the road off a game as a dog in which they scored in at least four separate innings and it is post All-Star break.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline 

Kershaw despite of throwing the ball well still does not look 100% as was evident against Milwaukee this past  Saturday .Kershaw pitched six innings and gave up four runs. He only threw 88 pitches and struck out five. The Dodgers lost the game 4-2  and I'm betting he won't lead his team to victory here as well. 

Kershaw has battled injuries all season. He missed 21 games with left biceps tendinitis in May and missed 18 games with a lower back strain in June, so he's far from healthy as he try to adjust to nagging injuries. 

KERSHAW is 0-5  against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. (Team's Record) ATLANTA is 16-9  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season.

MLB Home teams (ATLANTA) - average hitting team (AVG. 255 to .269) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) are 163-87 L/5 seasons for a long 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline 

JASON VARGAS (L) vs. IVAN NOVA (R)

Pittsburghs starter Nova is 4-1 with a 3.40 ERA in eight starts since being reinstated from the DL (right ring finger sprain) and I'm betting he helps deliver the cash to us this Friday night as New York returns fire with inconsistent left-hander Jason Vargas (2-6, 8.60 ERA).

The Mets won a 12-6 slugfest yesterday vs the Pirates , but are just 1-8 against the money line after a game with a combined score of 15 runs or more this season and 9-23 following a win.

NOVA is 9-2 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. NY METS are 9-22 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.

The Mets have lost 23 straight on the moneyline as a road dog of more than 135 after a game as a road dog in which they left 18+ men on base and it is post All-Star break.

MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (PITTSBURGH) - with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL are 46-14 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline

Athletics RH Trevor Cahill (1-2, 2.95 ERA) vs. Rangers RH Bartolo Colon (5-8, 4.85)

Cahill the As starter tonight vs the Texas Rangers is 10-4 with a 2.81 ERA in 18 career starts against the Rangers, including a no-decision at Texas this season, with the 10 victories he has earned are the most versus any MLB team.

Meanwhile, Rangers starter Colon is a down turn as is evident by a  0-3 record along with a slightly bloated 5.30 ERA in three starts this month . He looked like a tired 45 year old middle aged man in his last effort , allowing  five runs and eight hits over 4 2/3 innings in a loss to Cleveland on Saturday. With that said Im betting the starting pitching matchup favours the As in this tilt.

From a offensive perspective it must be noted that the Athletics have averaged 5.7 rpg on the road this season, and have scored 19 runs in the last two games of this series, and are in top form now and hitting on all cylinders and must be respected here as short favorites. The As look like a viable investment option to sweep this 4 game series with a victory here. Note: The Athletics have won 16 straight on the moneyline  as a favorite in the last game of a series after a road win in which they had 12+ hits.

Athletics are 24-8 in their last 32 road games.Athletics are also 26-7 in their last 33 overall.

Rangers are 1-8 in their last 9 home games.Rangers are 0-8 in their last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Rangers are 6-21 in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600

OAKLAND is 10-3  against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season.OAKLAND is 33-21 against the money line in road games this season.OAKLAND is 41-26 against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

TEXAS is 7-21 against the money line vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasonsTEXAS is 5-18  against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.

Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline 

Twins RH Kyle Gibson (4-7, 3.57 ERA) vs. Red Sox LH Brian Johnson (1-3, 3.81)

The Twins play their best ball at home, but here on the road where they are tonight, their poster boys for futility as is evident by losing 20 of their L/28 away games. Tonight against a rested Boston team off a cancelled game yesterday I'm betting their in trouble. Note: BOSTON is 13-1 against the money line in home games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons. The Red Sox have also won 15 straight on the moneyline as a rested favorite in the first game of a series after a loss as a road favorite in which they held the lead. (Which happened the day before yesterday in a 7-6 loss to Baltimore as -155 chalk)

 The Twins starting pitcher Gibson despite of a being in good form , immolates his teams lack of success on the road as is evident by the Twins going 1-4 in Gibsons last 5 road starts.

Twins are 1-4 in Gibsons last 5 starts vs. Red Sox.

Meanwhile, the RedSox starter Johnson has seen his team win his last 5 home starts.

The Twins have lost 20 straight on the moneyline  in the first game of a series with no rest as a dog of more than 120 after a game in which they scored more runs off the bullpen than they did off the starter. 

MINNESOTA is 1-11  against the money line in road games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season.MINNESOTA is 7-20 against the money line in road games vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season.

JOHNSON is 9-1  against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (MINNESOTA) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 3.20 or better) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start are 40-129 L/21 season for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline 

 Milone Nats vs Marlins RH Dan Straily (4-4, 4.02)

WASHINGTON is 21-9 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. WASHINGTON is 21-9 UNDER in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7 rpg scored.

Meanwhile, Straily the Marlins man on the hill improved to 1-1 with a 2.42 ERA in his last four starts . One of his recent efforts also includes a quality start at Washington, where he allowed just two runs on five hits in six innings of a no-decision. Im also betting he holds down the fort here and keeps the Nationals struggling bats at bay. 

Under is 4-0 in Strailys last 4 starts vs. National League East.

Under is 20-8 in Nationals last 28 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 51-21-6 in Nationals last 78 road games..Under is 33-15 in Nationals last 48 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in Strasburgs last 5 road starts.

The Marlins have gone UNDER 12 straight times as a home 140+ dog off a home game in which their starter went less than eight innings and their bullpen did not allow a run and it is post All-Star break.

Play on the UNDER

Alex Cobb has been a good pitcher most of his career, but this season in Baltimore has been night mare as it has been for the entire team. Cobb has however, pitched well of late , and has garnered a stable 3.86 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill despite of losing all 3 games. His close but no cigar outings, Im betting come to an end today vs a TB side in a letdown situation and now using to their bullpen to start,  after taking the finale of a 3 game set vs the Yankees last time out which cliched the series. Im betting they will now over look this downtrodden opponent to their own detriment. 

QUOTE:"I know that there's a lot of discussions about wins and losses and how they don't matter," Cobb said after the game. "But I worked really hard my whole career to try and have a real nice-looking record because whether you're a casual fan or real in-depth into the numbers, the first thing you see on the back of your (baseball) cards is your win-loss. I've always taken pride in that in my whole career. I think I've always had a winning record. It sucks. END QUOTE:

Rays are 4-15 in their last 19 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Note:The Rays have lost 26 straight  on the road after a game as a home dog in which they had more strikeouts than hits , which happened against the Yankees last time out. 

The Rays have also lost 14 straight on the road after a game as a home dog in which they had fewer than five team-left-on-base.

Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the moneyline 

Covey (4-5, 4.95 ERA) the Pale Hose Hurler should be primed and ready to pitch well in front of family and friends,  after coming off the best effort of his short career. The young right hander  took a no-hitter into the sixth inning against the Seattle Mariners on Saturday  going into the 9th inning. The White Sox went on to win 5-0.

LA ANGELS are 5-14 (against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season.

Meanwhile, Halos right-hander , Tropeano (3-5, 4.58) will make his second start since missing nearly six weeks with inflammation in his throwing shoulder and I'm betting he is still not 100%.  In his L/3 starts overall he owns a ugly looking 7.07 ERA  and is fade material here this afternoon.

Note: The White Sox have won 6 straight on the moneyline after they had six or fewer hits and it is post All-Star break.  The Pale hose were a +200 underdog on average.

MLB Road teams (CHI WHITE SOX) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less ) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP=1.300 to 1.350) -AL, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.00 or worse over his last 5 starts are 35-22 L/21 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline 

CHARLIE MORTON (R) vs. JON GRAY (R)

Morton is 2-2 with a 4.53 ERA in eight career starts against the Rockies and 1-1, 6.97 in four starts at Coors Field and is fade material according to my power rankings in this spot. In his last start before the All-Star break on July 12, Morton allowed six hits and three runs in 4 1/3 innings against Oakland and ended up with a no-decision in Houston's 6-4 loss and overall allowed 8 runs and 11 hits  in his L/2 starts before the break spanning just 10 innings.

Astros are 1-4 in Mortons last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Gray, the Rockies starter permitted the Mariners to just five hits and one run in a season-high 7 1/3 innings with one walk and six strikeouts last time out in comes in this tilt brimming with confidence and has the added incentive of facing the defending world champs.

 That above mentioned effort was an efficient outing for Gray, who threw 64 of 93 pitches for strikes. 

GRAY is 8-2  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)GRAY is 7-0 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Gray has recorded a 5-1 record and 3.42 ERA in nine career interleague starts.

Rockies are 5-0 in Grays last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.

The Rockies have won 10 straight on the moneyline at home off a game as a dog in which they did not hit a home run and it is post All-Star break with all 10 victories coming by multiple runs. 

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline 

MATT BOYD (L) vs. DANNY DUFFY (L)

The Royals grabbed a win this series vs the Tigers yesterday, and have proven to be a solid side to back in this situation as they are  14-2  against the money line in home games off a one run win over a division rival over the last 3 seasons.

 The Tigers will start left-hander Matthew Boyd, who is 4-9 with a 4.62 ERA in 19 starts. He went 6-11 with a 5.27 ERA in 25 starts last season and is one of the Tigers least consistent options for victory. Boyd has made 11 career starts against the Royals, recording a 2-6 record with a bloated 6.79 ERA. He is 0-2 with a 3.46 ERA in two starts this season against Kansas City.

Tigers are 0-6 in Boyds last 6 starts.Tigers are 2-12 in Boyds last 14 road starts.

Meanwhile, KCs starter Duffy's  is currently in top form garnering aminsucle 0.45 ERA in his L/3 starts. After beginning the season 1-6 with a 6.88 ERA in his first 10 starts, Duffy is 5-2 with a 2.58 ERA in his past 11 starts and is a dangerous opponent for a inconsistent Tigers batting order. 

Royals are 5-1 in Duffys last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

The Royals are 11-0 L/11 on the moneyline in the last game of a series as a home favorite off a game as a dog in which they hit more home runs than their opponent.The Royals are also  14-1 L/15 on the moneyline  when Danny Duffy starts at home when they won his last two starts.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (DETROIT) - after a one run loss against opponent after scoring and allowing 5 runs or less last 4 games are 49-120 L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 71% for bettors on the blind.

Play on the KC Royals to win on the moneyline 

JAMESON TAILLON (R) vs. TREVOR BAUER (R)

Pittsburgh enters this game on fire, having won 11 straight games, while putting up huge offensive numbers in the process. Instead of going against the flow like the lines makers are suggesting Ill ride the wave until it crashes and suggest we back them in this spot play vs the Cleveland Indians. 

Meanwhile, Pirates starter Taillon has been in top form  in his last two trips to the hill ,  as is evident by giving up two runs on 10 hits and three walks over 11 1/3 innings with 16 strikeouts .   The Bucks hurler has also limited 16 opponents to three or fewer runs in his 20 starts this season  and  has garnered a 3.02 ERA since the beginning of June.

 Meanwhile, the Indians starter Bauer struggled in his first appearance after the All-Star break, allowing four runs on nine hits and five walks across just  four innings of a no-decision at Texas and in his L/3 starts overall has shown sudden command issues permitting 10 walks during that span.  He has good numbers but currently looks vulnerable at the worst possible time vs a Pittsburgh batting order that is seeing the ball very well at the moment. Note:Bauer has been the Tribes version of  a hard-luck starter when it comes to run support. In his six losses, the Indians have scored a total of seven runs.Indians are 2-9 in Bauers last 11 interleague starts.

PITTSBURGH is 9-1  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better over the last 3 seasons. 

PITTSBURGH is 12-2  against the money line in an inter-league game this season .

Indians are 2-6 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

Pirates are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Cleveland.

Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline 

The Cards lost a heartbreaker yesterday, 2-1 as the Reds rallied late to win, but it must be noted that ST LOUIS is 12-2  against the money line after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less this season.

Bailey the Reds starter vs the cards tonight is a ugly  1-7 with a 6.68 In his L/9 starts, and has  allowed16 earned runs in 13 2/3 innings over his last three starts, the last coming May 28. He was then sent to Triple-A Louisville to rehabilitate a right knee injury and get himself back on track , but only looked average recording a  2-2 record with a slightly bloated 4.78 ERA in seven games, six of them starts. Whatever his issues were, they still don't look fixed and is fade material here in this spot. BAILEY is 1-9  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

The Cardinals haven 20 straight as a moneyline favorite off a game as a dog when their opponent's starter has a strikeout-per-walk ratio less than 2.15 on the seasons and it is post All-Star break.

 CINCINNATI is 8-21  against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game this season and 8-21 against the money line in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. 

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CINCINNATI) - with a slugging percentage of .350 or worse over their last 5 games, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts 36-91 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the St.Louis Cards to win on the moneyline 

Red Sox LH Drew Pomeranz (1-3, 6.81 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Yefry Ramirez (0-3, 3.09)

Pomeranz the BoSox starter comes off the disabled list fresh and ready to get back on track this Tuesday vs the lowly Baltimore Orioles. Pomeranz  owns a 1.80 ERA in four career games (two starts) at Camden Yards.The Orioles are 0-4 since trading away All-Star shortstop Manny Machado. and Boston is perfect 9-0 L/9 games played at Camden Yards. The negative trends I'm betting continue for the Orioles tonight. 

BALTIMORE is 6-32  against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season.

Red Sox are 17-4 in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.

The Red Sox have cashed 22 straight times as a road 140+ favorite off a contest as a chalk when their oppositions starter has a strike-per-ball ratio less than 1.62 on the season and it is post All-Star break and not a series opener. Also 20 of those 22 victories came by multiple runs. 

MLB Road teams (BOSTON) - with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are  42-15 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline 

Red Sox LH Drew Pomeranz (1-3, 6.81 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Yefry Ramirez (0-3, 3.09)

Pomeranz the BoSox starter comes off the disabled list fresh and ready to get back on track this Tuesday vs the lowly Baltimore Orioles. Pomeranz owns a 1.80 ERA in four career games (two starts) at Camden Yards. meanwhile, Orioles rookie Ramirez, despite of being a hard luck pitcher and not garnering enough support for wins, is a solid hurler who began his career in the majors with 4 1/3 innings of three-run ball against  the  BoSox on June 13 this season.  Ramirez is allowing opposition batters to a .224 average and has 24 strikeouts through his first 23 1/3 innings. I'm betting the kid does just enough to limit the explosive Boston offence from bombing away and  embarrassing him in this spot. With that said, look for a combined score that fails to eclipse the bloated number.

POMERANZ is 11-1 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored.POMERANZ is 13-2 UNDER vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored.

BOSTON is 23-8 UNDER  when the total is 10 or higher over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.8 rpg scored. .BALTIMORE is 18-3 UNDER vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.7 rpg scored. 

Under is 3-0-1 in Orioles last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 3-1-2 in Orioles last 6 on grass.Under is 9-3 in Orioles last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Under is 3-1-2 in Orioles last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 14-5 in Orioles last 19 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 19-7-3 in Orioles last 29 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 18-7-3 in Orioles last 28 home games.Under is 25-10-2 in Orioles last 37 games following a loss.Under is 35-16 in Orioles last 51 during game 2 of a series.Under is 33-16-2 in Orioles last 51 Tuesday games.

Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games following a win.Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games vs. a right-handed starterUnder is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 overallUnder is 5-2 in Pomeranzs last 7 road starts.Under is 5-2 in Pomeranzs last 7 starts overall.

Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.Under is 4-1-1 in Pomeranzs last 6 starts vs. Orioles.

MLB Home teams (BALTIMORE) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less ) against a terrible starting pitcher (WHIP 1.700 or better ) -AL, starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing are 31-7 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road teams (BOSTON) - average hitting team (AVG .265 to .279) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.800 or worse on the season-AL are 52-18 UNDER L/21 season for a 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play UNDER 

Braves LH Sean Newcomb (8-5, 3.51 ERA) vs. Marlins RH Jose Urena (2-9, 4.39)

Newcomb struggled just before the All-Star break by losing each of his last three outings, posting a 9.75 ERA with 12 walks and four homers allowed in 12 innings of sub par work. I originally thought he should be refreshed after the break, but reports out of Atlanta ...accurate or not have suggested he already has some dead arm issues, and or some discomfort in his throwing arm. Whether their is accuracy to these reports I don't know but their question marks, that could get answered today vs a Miami team that on occasion have proven golden in this role when playing with same season revenge for a walkoff loss which happened the last time these teams met. The Marlins have won 12 straight on the moneyline in the first game of a home series when seeking same season revenge for a walk-off loss.. 

Braves are 0-5 in Newcombs last 5 starts.Marlins are 4-0 in Urenas last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MIAMI) - horrible team, outscored by opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season against opponent starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 39-20 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the moneyline

Cardinals RH Daniel Poncedeleon (ML debut) vs. Reds RH Luis Castillo (5-8, 5.49 ERA)

Poncedeleon the Cards starter is 9-3 with a 2.15 ERA and 103 strikeouts in 92 innings at Triple-A Memphis. He has worked 20 frames over his last three outings without allowing an earned run. This hurler underwent  brain surgery this past year, after being hit in the temple by a line drive , since than it looks like a miraculous situation unfolded. I'm betting on more wow , action in his big league debut vs a Reds team that was destroyed Reds,  ( outscored ) by a 27-5 count during a three-game sweep at the hands of Pittsburgh over the weekend.

Castillo the Reds starter  is 0-3 with a 5.24 ERA in four career starts against St. Louis in his career.

iThe Cardinals have won 12 straight on the moneyline  in the first game of a road series with no rest when they are off a loss in which they held the lead and it is post All-Star break. Which was the case yesterday.

Cardinals are 11-1 in the last 12 meetings in Cincinnati.Play on the St.Louis Cards to win on the moneyline 

Play on the St.Louis Cards on the moneyline 

ROSS STRIPLING (R) vs. ZACH EFLIN (R)

Ross Stripling owns a 4-2 record along with a stingy 1.81 ERA on the road while allowing   opposition batters to a .235 batting average. He and the Dodgers get my backing here today.

EFLIN the Phillies starter despite of a good season is 0-2 in 3 career starts when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 1.500. His team lost all three of his trips to the hill vs the Dodgers, including a 8-2 blasting earlier this season.

The Phillies have lost 17 straight as a 125+ dog off a home game in the first game of a series when their opponent is seeking same-season revenge for a loss.

Dodgers are 14-2 in their last 16 during game 1 of a seriesDodgers are 20-6 in their last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter.Dodgers are 19-7 in their last 26 road gamesDodgers are 14-3 in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Dodgers are 13-3 in their last 16 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Dodgers are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Phillies are 1-5 in Eflins last 6 starts vs. National League West.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (PHILADELPHIA) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start are 61-154 L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 72% for bettors.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the moneyline 

LANCE MCCULLERS JR. (R) vs. ANDREW HEANEY (L)

The Astros pitchers have dominated the Angels batting order in the first two games of this series, and I'm betting on more of the same here as the explosive Astros look to sweep this series. Im betting they do that behind their starting pitcher McCullers (10-4, 3.77) who has pitched well against the Angels in his short career, especially over the past three seasons. He's 2-0 in seven starts in that span, gardening a minuscule 1.47 ERA in 36 2/3 innings. Overall, he's 3-2 in 10 career starts against Los Angeles along with a very sting 1.90 ERA and gets my support here.

HOUSTON is 23-4 against the money line in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. LA ANGELS are 2-13 (against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season this season.LA ANGELS are 4-12 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.A ANGELS are 9-22 against the money line after a loss by 6 runs or more over the last 3 seasons.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (HOUSTON) - with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or better over his last 10 games, after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs. are 67-32 L/5 for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

The Houston Astros have won 16 straight as a road favorite in the last game of a series after a win in which they never trailed.

Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline

Braves RH Mike Foltynewicz (7-5, 2.66 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Max Scherzer (12-5, 2.41)

Both teams decided not to go with Saturday's starters after yesterdays cancellation/postponement -- Atlanta's Sean Newcomb (8-5, 3.51 ERA) and Washington's Gio Gonzalez (6-6, 3.72) -- and instead stay with Sunday's scheduled pitchers.All-Stars Mike Foltynewicz (7-5, 2.66 ERA) of the Braves and Max Scherzer (12-5, 2.41) of the Nationals. Scherzer the Nationals starter today is 1-1 against the Braves this season and has allowed two earned runs in 14 innings. Meanwhile, Foltynewicz the Braves man on the hill owns a decent achievement chart against the Nationals this season, allowing three earned runs in 10 1/3 innings for a stingy 1.40 ERA . The Braves righty ranks fourth in the NL in ERA and fifth in strikeouts per nine innings (10.6), pitched to a 0.87 ERA while holding opposition batters to a .146 average in nine tries. I expect after yesterdays day off, that the offences could find themselves starting slow while the pitchers dominate, as they are well rested and rejuvenated after the break.

Under is 7-2-3 in Foltynewiczs last 12 starts vs. National League East.Under is 7-2 in Scherzers last 9 starts overall.Under is 6-1 in Scherzers last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 4-1 in Scherzers last 5 home starts.Under is 6-2 in Braves last 8 vs. National League East.Under is 22-6 in Nationals last 28 during game 2 of a series.Under is 7-2 in Nationals last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 20-7 in Nationals last 27 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 40-15-3 in Nationals last 58 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game . WASHINGTON is 21-9 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season with a combined average of 7.5 rpg going on the board.

Under is 11-1 in umpire Bucknors last 12 games behind home plate vs. Washington.

Under is 16-4-1 in umpire Bucknors last 21 games behind home plate vs. Atlanta.

The Nationals have gone under 10 straight times as a favorite after a game as a home favorite in which they hit more home runs than their opponent.

Play UNDER 

 MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ (R) vs M.SCHERZER

Foltynewicz the Braves starter had a couple of down efforts before the all star break, but Im expecting he will be  refreshed after the break and ready return to the form that has him ranked 4th fourth in the NL in ERA and fifth in strikeouts per nine innings (10.6), pitched to a 0.87 ERA while allowing opposition batters to hit  a lowly .146 average in nine tries before his final two outings. Foltynewicz is 2-1 with a 1.40 ERA in three starts against the Nationals this season and matches up very well against them. I'm betting on his out duelling Nats starter Scherzer today. 

The Braves have defeated Washington five times in the last six meetings and from a team to team matchup perspective are the superior side according to my power rankings. 

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline

KYLE FREELAND (L) vs. ZACK GODLEY (R)

These teams took part in a 11-10 slugfest yesterday with Colorado winning. I'm betting on more of the same action in this spot. 

Arizona's starter Godley (11-6, 4.61 ERA) has been ingot form of late, but has been inconsistent this season, as is evident by his slightly bloated ERA.   His 1.56 WHIP is the highest among the 39 NL qualifiers, but he has been supported by 4 1/2 runs per game. I expect Colorado's sometimes explosive bats to do some damage against him here today. 

Freeland the Rockies starter  is 1-2 with a 4.07 ERA in five career starts against Arizona and despite of being a quality pitcher my own power rankings suggest the Backs should do well against him here today in the desert heat. He is backed by a bullpen that owns a bloated 5.82 ERA and a 4.58 ERA away from Coors Field. 

The Diamondbacks have gone OVER 11 straight times after a game as a home favorite in which they struck out at least ten times and it is post All-Star break with a combined average of 15.08 rpg scored, with no game seeing less than 10 runs scored.

MLB Home teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (ARIZONA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 10 or more runs, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 37-12 OVER L/21 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 

KYLE FREELAND (L) vs. ZACK GODLEY (R

Godely is a decent pitcher but it must be noted COLORADO is 8-2 against the money line in road games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season averaging 5.6 rpg .With Colorado heating up winning 11 of their L/14 their  a dangerous opponent for all comers and a value option on a underdog line.  FREELAND is 9-3  against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

The Rockies are 11-0 L/11 on the moneyline  as a UNDERDOG off a road game in which they left 18+ men on base , which happened yesterday and were an average of 148 + dogs on the line in those 11 tilts.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline 

JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. NICK TROPEANO (R)

Verlander the Astros starter after some bad breaks before the all star game, and some down efforts compared to his usual self should be revitalized by the break and continue his domination of the Angels. Verlander owns a 2-0 record with a shutout and a 1.13 ERA in two turns this year vs the Halos and gets the nod here in this spot play. Astros are 4-0 in Verlanders last 4 starts vs. American League West.Astros are 4-0 in Verlanders last 4 starts vs. Angels.

The Astros have won 10 of their L/14 and I'm betting they will also capture their 4th straight road win vs a inconsistent and banged up Angels team.

Angels are 7-21 in their last 28 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

LA ANGELS are 1-11  against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose throws more than 6.5 innings per start over the last 2 seasons.LA ANGELS are 2-12 against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better over the last 2 seasons.

The Astros have won 13 straight on the moneyline  as a favorite off a road game in which they did not score after the third inning and it is post All-Star break and not a series opener.

HOUSTON is 21-4 against the money line in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. LA ANGELS are 1-7  against the money line in home games when playing on Saturday this season.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (LA ANGELS) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75or less), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.50or worse over his last 3 starts are 10-46 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettorsHOUSTON is 20-3  against the money line in road games against division opponents this season

Play on Houston to win on the moneyline 

BRIAN JOHNSON (L) vs. MICHAEL FIERS (R)

Johnson makes his fourth start on Saturday, coming off strong showing against the Blue Jays during which he held Toronto to two runs over 4 1/3 innings.

Red Sox are 9-0 in Johnsons last 9 starts and get my support again in this spot. 

BOSTON is 14-1 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. 
 JOHNSON is 7-0 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 
 JOHNSON is 8-0 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) DETROIT is 1-13 against the money line in home games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 21-4  against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season and is 14-2  against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season.

The Red Sox have won 15 straight as a favorite off a game as a 130-plus favorite in which their opponent left 18-plus men on base.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (DETROIT) - with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 5 starts, with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 18-53 L/5 seasons for a 82% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline 

JAMESON TAILLON (R) vs. TYLER MAHLE (R)

Reds right-hander Tyler Mahle (7-7) was 4-0 with a 2.04 ERA in his previous seven starts before making his worst start of the season, a 19-4 loss to the Cleveland Indians on July 11 in which he gave up five earned runs and six hits in 2 1-3 innings. Im betting on him rebounding here vs the Pittsburgh Pirates tonight. Note:

The Reds have won 16 in a row when their line is within 20 cents of pickem after playing as a road dog when their starter went less than four innings in his last start.

Reds are 4-0 in Mahles last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Meanwhile, the Reds batting order matches up well vs Pirates starter Taillon.  The Pirates right-hander   (6-7), who   was roughed up for six runs and eight hits in six innings the last time he faced the Reds, in May and is my go against hurler in this spot. 

Pirates are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Cincinnati.PITTSBURGH is 21-45  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the moneyline 

Orioles RH Dylan Bundy (6-9, 4.35 ERA) vs. Blue Jays RH Sam Gaviglio (2-3, 4.58)

 Bundy the the Orioles starter  Is  0-2 in his L/2 trips to the hill along with a ugly 12.27 ERA and is fade material here vs a Toronto side that outscored Baltimore 27-11 while sweeping four game series at home back in June.

Orioles are 1-10 in Bundys last 11 starts vs. American League East

Meanwhile,Gaviglio,  the Jays starter, has a 1.97 ERA in seven games (five starts) at home and looks like a viable pitcher to back here this evening. 

Note:The Orioles have lost 15 straight on the moneyline in the first game of a series with rest on the road after they scored in at most two separate innings, which happened before the break. 

Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the moneyline 

JACK FLAHERTY (R) vs. JON LESTER (L)

The Cubs have won 13 of their last 16 games and own a  three-game lead over Milwaukee in the National League Central. Meanwhile, the Cards have lost 4 of their L/5 , and 8.5 games behind the Cubs, and once again look like fade material, as they go with Flaherty on the hill who is winless in his last six starts. 

Cardinals are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.

, Cubs sud starter Lester hasn’t lost since May 23, and has recorded  8-0 record along with a 2.80 ERA in nine starts over that stretch and once again I'm betting on nothing changing here vs the Cards.

Cubs are 5-0 in Lesters last 5 home starts vs. Cardinals.

LESTER is 11-0 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. (Team's Record)LESTER is 11-1 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record)LESTER is 16-3 against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)

MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (ST LOUIS) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.00 or better ) (NL), after allowing 9 runs or more are 19-61 L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of  76% for bettors. 

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline 

MIKE LEAKE (R) vs. TYLER ANDERSON (L)

The Mariners starter LEAKE is 7-2  against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) I know Colorado bats have been on fire of late, but in the past they have proven less than productive going forward, as is evident by the following trend  that shows COLORADOs won loss futility as being 4-16 against the money line after batting .333 or better over a 5 game span over the last 2 seasons. It also seems the Rockies start to get a little to comfortable when playing on extended home stands, as they are  is 9-21 against the money line in home games after 5 or more consecutive home games over the last couple seasons. 

Meanwhile, Anderson the Rockies starter is in good form, but lost his last trip to the hill, 5-3 to Arizona, and in his career is just  0-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 10.80 and a WHIP of 2.600 in his career.

COLORADO is 10-16  against the money line in home games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season.

SEATTLE is 17-3  against the money line after 5 or more consecutive road games this season.SEATTLE is  also 9-1 against the money line in road games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SEATTLE) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a decent NL starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 to 4.20), with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL are 28-12  L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (COLORADO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL is 19-37 L/22 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline 

MASAHIRO TANAKA (R) vs. TREVOR BAUER (R)

We have two strong pitchers on the mound today, but we also have two sometimes explosive offences going against these hurlers Tanka of the Yankees and Bauer of the Indians.I'm betting on the offences finding a way to so some damage here today and for this Total to be eclipsed.

TANAKA is 13-2 OVER  in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.6 rpg scored. 

CLEVELAND is 23-8 OVER  in home games against right-handed starters this season with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. 

 Cleveland is 15-4 OVER  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 11.6 rpg being scored. 

CLEVELAND is 10-2 OVER in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 12.3 rpg scored.CLEVELAND is 11-1 OVER  at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. 

The Yankees have gone OVER 6 straight times on the road with Masahiro Tanaka when their starter went fewer than six innings in each of their last two games. The average final score in these six games was 15 rpg , with none of those tilts failing to hit the 9 run plateau. 

MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (NY YANKEES) -  (AVG or less .260) against a top level starting pitcher (ERA 3.60 or better, WHIP 1.300 or better) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL are 82-44 OVER  L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER