Happ has been dominant since the Yankees got him -- he's 7-0 with a 2.69 ERA . That includes a six-inning, four-run win over the Red Sox at Fenway on Sept. 28 and six innings of one-run ball against them in New York on Sept. 18. He was brought over by the Yankees partly because of his ability to deal with the BoSox batting order well, and Im betting he does just that here today in Fenway. It must be noted that Chris Sale the Red Sox pitcher has also pitched well against the  Yanks this season, but that was before he went on the DL. Since than his velocity has diminished and he just does not look as dominant and could easily get in trouble with a power hitting Yankees lineup that leads MLB in Home Runs. If Sale falters, he is backed by a bullpen that is slumping heading into the post season, as BoSox  relievers owna cumulative 4.84 ERA in their last  126 1/3 innings.The Boston bullpen had a 6.75 ERA in 19 games against New York this season.

Play on the Yankees to win on the moneyline 

Houston’s Justin Verlander (16-9, 2.52 ERA) has allowed one run or fewer in four of his past five outings.In his  postseason starts his  ERA was 2.21 last season. Verlander also loves to pitch during the day  where his career ERA is 3.15 as  compared to 3.53 at night time ERA. Cleveland batters are slugging only .357 against him and Im betting they have a heck of a time getting across the plate today.

 Meanwhile. Cleveland starter  Kluber  owns a stellar  (20-7, 2.89 ERA) and  has him in the hunt for a third career AL Cy Young Award, Kluber will take the ball for the Tribe in the opener against Houston. The ace is 4-2 with a 3.54 ERA in eight career playoff starts but that ERA rose because of having a bad post season last year, the season before that he garnered  one  run or less in 4 of his 6 starts.  Only three Astros batters   are batting above .250 against hime. 

Houston  is slumping at the worst possible time and have manufactured just  12 runs in its last five games. Because of a lack of hitting and quality pitching the Astros have seen 7 straight games stay under and Im betting on another miserly output here in a tilt Im betting stays under the total. 

CLEVELAND is 16-4 UNDER in October games over the last 3 seasons. with combined average of 6 rpg.HOUSTON is 8-0 UNDER  in home games revenging a loss vs opponent as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.8 rpg scored.

Play UNDER 

MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ (R) vs. HYUN-JIN RYU (L)

Both these pitchers have been decent this season, but Foltynewicz has struggled a bit of late and garnered a fairly hefty 4.76 ERA in his L/3 starts. When the Braves hurler pitched here back in late July 9 totals runs were scored in a Braves victory. Actually all 3 games in that series eclipsed the number, and Im betting on more of same here today. The home plate umpire , Adrian Johnson,  has seen a lot of over bets cash, as he went 20-8-2 OVER this season.

Braves starter FOLTYNEWICZ I in his L/6 starts in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) has seen a combined average of 10.1 rpg scored.

ATLANTA is 15-2 OVER  in road games vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.2 rpg scored. ATLANTA is 16-4 OVER in road games in the division series since 1997 with a combined average of 9.6 rpg scored. 

MLB Home teams where the total is 7 or less (LA DODGERS) - with an on base percentage of .393 or better over their last 3 games, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 57-22 OVER L/21 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (ATLANTA) - ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games are 39-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play OVER 

Both teams come into the series in good form . Milwaukee won seven straight games to finish the regular season tied atop the NL Central with the Cubs, then made it eight straight by knocking off the Cubs for the division title Monday at Wrigley Field. But Im betting the Brewers are much fresher after a couple days of rest as they waited for Colorado ,. The Rockies after  two exhausting emotional games that have them in this play off series their now at a disadvantage . Also Rockies starter Antonio Senzatela (6-6, 4.38 ERA)  despite of pitching well of late has gotten tired quickly as is evident In his last five starts,  where he’s averaging less than six innings per outing.  With the Brewers bullpen fresher than the Rockies bullpen they have the advantage as this game progresses. 

Note:Look for Christian Yelich, who is slugging an insane 1.294 in the last week. Milwaukee also matches up well vs the Rockies and have won 5 of 7 meetings this season.

Play on Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline 

 Oakland manager Bob Melvin has a top tier  bullpen and may use it from the outset of this Wild card tilt. But no matter what the Yanks offence enters this Wild card game on fire having won 9 of their L/13 games behind an attack that has exploded for 33 runs in their L/4 games overall. In three games vs the As the Yanks also scored 18 runs and must not be underestimated here. Add to that the  Yankees are slugging .526 against L.Hendriks the As starter and you have a good situation for Yankees run production. Giancarlo Stanton is slugging 1.000  and  Andujar,  is slugging .654  this past week with  Aaron Judge looking forward to facing a Athletics side that has seen him slugging .846 .The Yankees are the first MLB team ever with 20+ home runs from every spot in the order. Their dangerous and able to produce here which will help the over cause.

Meanwhile, NYY starter . Severino  according to my numbers does not matchup well vs the As current lineup and in last years  wild-card game  he was smashed by the Twins and gave up three runs in 0.1 innings of nervous looking work. The As are one of the ALs most explosive offensive teams, and not matter what Im betting they do enough damage here to get us over the total and into the promised land of profits.

SEVERINO is 10-2 OVER  vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 11.2 rpg scored.

NY YANKEES are 10-1 OVER after 9 consecutive games versus division rivals this season with a. combined average of 13 rpg scored. 

OAKLAND is 7-1  against the money line in road games after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span this season with a combined average f 13.8 rpg scored.

MLB Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (OAKLAND) - after a loss by 2 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 12 runs or more 4 straight games are 32-9 OVER L/21 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 

Lester (18-6, 3.32) the Cubbies starter is a solid experienced pitcher who is a reliable hurler  in this kind of sudden death situation. In 22 playoff  starts he owns a brilliant  2.55 ERA over 148  innings of top tier work. Meanwhile, the Rockies go with Kyle Freeland (17-7 2.85) a pitcher with a live arm who deserves our respect here vs a Chicago team that has been highly inconsistent offensively this season. Im betting on a Low scoring tilt that fails to eclipse the total.

Under is 11-3 in Cubs last 14 home games.Under is 6-2 in Cubs last 8 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 3-1-1 in Cubs last 5 playoff games.Under is 11-4 in Cubs last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 8-3 in Cubs last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 23-9 in Cubs last 32 during game 1 of a series.

Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 playoff home games.Over is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 games following a loss.Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.

Under is 10-4 in Rockies last 14 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Freelands last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.Under is 5-0 in Freelands last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 6-1 in Freelands last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 13-3 in Freelands last 16 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 21-7-2 in Freelands last 30 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 21-7-1 in Freelands last 29 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 42-16-3 in Freelands last 61 starts on grass.Under is 42-16-3 in Freelands last 61 starts overall.

Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 4-1-1 in Rockies last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1-1 in Rockies last 6 road games.Under is 13-4 in Rockies last 17 games following a loss.Under is 9-3 in Rockies last 12 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Play on the UNDER 

L.A won a 15-0 laugher vs the Giants yesterday day and could easly experince a  wide regression offensively in this sudden death playoff tilt as they face  Rockies right-hander German Marquez (14-10, 3.76) who enters this game off a briliant  seven shutout innings vs. the Phillies allowing just three hits while striking out  11. Marquez’s 221 strikeouts are a franchise record. He’s 2-0 with a 2.57 ERA in three starts this year vs. the Dodgers and will be a handfull for them again today. Meanwile, the Rockies alos mashed their opponent the Washington Nationals yesterday by a  12-0 count and Im betting they also regress greatly offensively in this matchup, as they face quality hurler Walker Buehler (7-5, 2.76). who in five starts vs. the Rockies owns a solid 2.61 ERA. Buehler has also been his best at home this season garnering a 2.12 ERA. Everything points to a low scoring pitchers duel.Under is 5-1 in Marquezs last 6 road starts.Under is 10-1 in Buehlers last 11 home starts.Under is 5-0 in Buehlers last 5 starts vs. National League West.Under is 6-0 in Buehlers last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Buehlers last 5 starts vs. Rockies.Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.Under is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings in Los Angeles
Play on the UNDER

 Buehler the Dodgers pitcher is in top form as is evident by allowing two runs or fewer in 10 of his last 11 outings. He yielded two earned runs and only nine hits while striking out 26 over 20 innings in his last three trips to the hill, and threw five innings of quality two-run ball at San Francisco on April 28. Meanwhile, Suarez the Giants stater has been a viable hurler despite of not getting a lot of wins of late . His one start against the Dodgers was a quality effort  in LA a month and half ago when he went out and pitched six scoreless innings in a 2-1 Giants win.

Under is 4-0 in Buehlers last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.Under is 5-0 in Buehlers last 5 starts overall.Under is 4-0 in Buehlers last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Buehlers last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Buehlers last 5 starts vs. National League West.

Under is 20-5-2 in Giants last 27 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 20-5-1 in Giants last 26 home games.Over is 4-1 in Giants last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 20-6-1 in Giants last 27 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 20-7-1 in Giants last 28 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 29-11-2 in Giants last 42 vs. National League West.Under is 21-8-1 in Giants last 30 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 18-7-1 in Giants last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 20-8-2 in Giants last 30 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-2 in

Giants last 7 games following a loss.Under is 21-9-1 in Giants last 31 overall.Under is 21-9-1 in Giants last 31 on grass.Under is 7-3 in Giants last 10 during game 3 of a series.Under is 5-0 in Suarezs last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 7-1-1 in Suarezs last 9 starts vs. National League West.Under is 4-1-1 in Suarezs last 6 starts on grass.Over is 4-1 in Suarezs last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.Under is 4-1-1 in Suarezs last 6 starts overall.Under is 4-1-1 in Suarezs last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

Detroit’s  starter Daniel Norris (0-5, 5.22 ERA) is having a horrendous time trying to find a win. Meanwhile, Milwaukee’s Wade Miley (5-2, 2.32 ERA) has won three straight decisions and has been hot for a while now allowing two runs or less in seven of his last eight trips to the hill and is 6-0 in his last six starts overall. Needless to say Milwaukee has the edge here with Miley on the hill. Add to that the Brewers are brewing big time right now, winning four in a row while scoring at least 6 runs in three of those tilts, and should be ready to unload here and keep the gravel train flowing towards the play offs. 

Note:Detroit manager Ron Gardenhire said earlier this month that his team was focused more on building for the future than it was playing a potential spoiler role, so Im not looking for a lot of effort from the manager to try to derail Milwaukee in this spot. 

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers on the runline 

  Kershaw (9-5, 2.53 ERA) hang pitched some of his best back here at AT&T Park as is evident by owning a 1.30 ERA in 22 games, including 21 starts here.

The Giants have been a target of the former Cy Young winner in the past as he has garnered a stingy 1.58 ERA in 44 career meetings (43 starts).The last time  Kershaw faced them n Aug 13 he gave up just one run in his eight innings in that game.

Kershaw has dominated many of the Giants regulars over his career, including Hunter Pence (.186), Evan Longoria (.154) and Brandon Crawford (.125).Im betting the  southpaw hurler will continue his dominance here vs a Giants team that has been held to two runs or fewer in 10 of its last 12 home games. Meanwhile, the Giants will respond, with Dereck Rodriguez  who has a chance   to become the first rookie since Jose Fernandez (2.19) in 2013 to record an ERA of 2.50 or lower with 15 or more starts. Im betting this being his last start of the season he will be primed to perform.

Everything points to this being a low scoring game. 

SAN FRANCISCO is 11-1 UNDER  in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 3.7 rpg scored. SAN FRANCISCO is 11-1 UNDER  in home games in September games this season.SAN FRANCISCO is 13-3 UNDER as an underdog of +200 or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.8 rpg scored.

Play on the UNDER

Play UNDER 

The Rockies enter this tilt against Washington with a half-game lead in the NL West and are rumbling towards the playoffs as they are currently on a 6 game win streak behind a red hot offence that has accumulated at least 10 runs or more  in their last three trips to the diamonds. Im betting Freeland the Rockies starter (16-7, 2.84 ERA) who has won seven straight decisions gets his team to the promised land in what Im betting will be a one side affair that features a hot team looking for a play off spot and a team that is just playing out the string. 

FREELAND is 14-2 SU in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average margin of victory coming by 2.3 rpg. 

Pitching matchup discrepancy : Freeland is 1-0, 3.72 in two starts against Washington. Ross is 0-0, 9.64 in one four-inning relief appearance against the Rockies on April 25, 2017, at Coors Field.

The Nationals have lost 17 straight in the first game of a series with rest as dog of more than 130 vs a team that has won at least their last two games with the last 7 coming by multiple runs , as they have been outscored 53 to 13, which is a 5.71 rpg average deficit. 

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the runline 

Every time southpaw JA Happ goes to the hill for his team they have a chance to win. I know the BoSox have a tremendous record at home this season. But NYY needs just one more win to clinch home-field for the AL Wild Card matchup with the Athletics and with with Happ  on the hill this could easily be their best chance to get a win here in Fenway. You can bet we are on a very motivated team here tonight. 

HAPP is 11-2 against the run line  in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) 

HAPP is 7-4 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 2.84 and a WHIP of 1.270.

The Red Sox have lost 18 straight as a dog vs a lefty when they are off a game as a favorite and faced righties in each of their last three games.

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline 

Chicago right-hander Kyle Hendricks (13-11, 3.49)  has been a Dr.Jekyll Mr Hyde pitcher this season but he has been in top form for a while now and has allowed , two earned or less in his last seven trips to the hill. He is 2-0 against the Cards this season, and his team has won his L/7 starts against them overall, and he gets my support here in this critical opener in this series. Meanwhile, Wainwright, who is still feeling the effects of some injuries this season, and suffering something what  I call jokingly Vampire anxiety syndrome asis evident by his   0-2 recored along  with a 5.17 ERA in three day starts this season.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ST LOUIS) - good NL offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), after scoring 2 runs or less are 33-95 L/5 seasons for a 73% go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Chicago to win on the moneyline 

Vargas (6-9 6.25 ERA) the Mets starter is not as bad as his numbers might suggest , as a few ugly starts have contributed to horrendous looking ERA.In six of his last seven starts, Vargas allowed two runs or less. When he is at home like he is tonight, a lot of unders have gone on the board, as 6 of his 7 starts have stayed below the Total. He has also pitched well agains the Braves in his L/2 starts procuring a 3.00 ERA with both staying under the total. Meanwhile, Julio Teheran (9-6 4.03 ERA) the Braves starter has struggled in his L/couple of trips to the hill, but he's a inconsistent pitcher with a lot of talent, that when he is focused is a hard hurler to deal with. Also from a matchup perspective he  matches up well vs the Mets as is evident by delivering solid outing in 3 of 4 starts against them this season ,allowing either two runs or NO runs in seven solid innings of quality work. In the other game he allowed 3 runs. His lifetime ERA vs the Mets is 2.42 with with active batters  averaging a lowly .196 BA vs the righty. He goes against aMets team that has averaged just 3.5 rpg at home this season, via lowly .216 BA.

Everything points to this being a lower scoring game. 

VARGAS is 14-3 UNDER in his career in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse of 6.3 rpg scored.. (Team's Record) Teheran is 20-6 UNDER in his career when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) . (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.8 rpg scored. 

Play UNDER 

Oakland’s Edwin Jackson (6-3, 3.18 ERA) has been in top form for a while as is evident by allowing two runs or less in four of his last five starts.  Since last July he has permitted  more than two runs only twice, with both  coming against Texas.  The last time he started against  Seattle he allowed one run against them and matches up very vs their batting order.  Oakland is 7-1 in his starts against division rivals and he once again looks like a viable pitcher to back in the spot play Jackson is 5-0 with a 1.30 ERA in five career starts against Seattle. meanwhile, former Cy Young award winner, Felix Heranadez continues to struggle  and has not won since June 30, going 0-7 with a 6.14 ERA in his past 10 games. He's o my current fade list and gets  the X marks the spot here tonight at home. 

ACKSON is 6-0 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. (Team's Record)JACKSON is 7-0 (+7.3 Units) against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. (Team's Record) 

Play on the As to win on the moneyline 

The Mets' Noah Syndergaard (12-4, 3.36 ERA) is scheduled to oppose Braves rookie Touki Toussaint (2-1, 4.30 ERA) in a battle of right-handers. with the Mets playing a lot better ball since the all star break, and their top hurler on the hill tonight, I expect we will see them at their best. Mets are 6-0 in Syndergaards last 6 home starts.

The Mets are a perfect 6-0 when their opponent's starter has a strike-per-ball ratio less than 1.6 on the season which Toussaint has. 

NY METS are 9-1 against the money line after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals this season. 

SYNDERGAARD is 9-0  against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. (Team's Record) 

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (NY METS) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games, after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings are 88-27 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the NY Mets to win 

Skoglund the Royals starter is winless in his L/8 outings and is fade material here today vs the Reds.  I know the Reds struggled with their offence during their recent 10 game road trip, but here at home in the friendly confines of Great American ballpark I'm betting they rebound enough to notch a victory. Note: The Reds have averaged 4.9 rpg at home this season. Meanwhile, Harvey the Reds starting hurler despite of being highly inconsistent this season, owns a 5-2 record at home and stable 1.096 WHIP and gets my support in this spot play.

Royals are 0-6 in Skoglunds last 6 starts.Reds are 4-1 in Harveys last 5 home starts.

The Reds are 29-0 as a home 135-plus favorite off a game as a favorite in which they allowed six-plus runs.

MLB Home teams (CINCINNATI) - with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL), after 2 straight losses by 4 runs or more are 86-52 L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the moneyline 

Keuchel  did not look good in his most recent trip to the hill, as  loss as well as taking a first-inning comebacker to the head , which ended in a 9-0 loss to Seattle. Keuchel lasted five innings, giving up five runs and six hits.KEUCHEL the Astros starter  is 7-12 against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record) 

Meanwhile, Estrada despite of dealing with some back problems recently has looked good on the hill. In his last outing, he battled through his pain to allow just one run over six innings during a start vs. Baltimore.ESTRADA is 7-2 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Im betting on the Jays to be competitive here today and to cover on the runline.

Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (TORONTO) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  6.50 or worse over his last 10 starts is 37-13 on the RL last 21 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

The Astros are 0-15 straight up on the road off a home game in which they left 16-plus men on base and it is post All-Star break.

Play on the Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 runline 

Freeland the Rockies starter has not lost since Aug. 1 and owns a 7-1 record and 2.69 ERA in 12 trips to the hill since the All Star break.Meanwhile, Arizonas starter Godley  has lost three straight  and has allowed13 runs - 12 earned - and 16 hits over 12 2/3 innings of non quality work  during that span for a ugly 9.23 ERA.

FREELAND is 7-0 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) GODLEY is 2-9 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) 

Rockies are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.Rockies are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Arizona.Rockies are 4-1 in Freelands last 5 starts vs. Diamondbacks.

 MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ARIZONA) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.00 or less ) (NL), in September games are 10-36 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline 

De Jong will make his third start of the season after giving up five runs (three earned) in his last start against the Royals and owns a 8.11 road ERA. The 24-year-old was recalled from Triple-A Rochester on Sept. 3. Im betting the welcome wagon won't be a friendly one here today as the As light him up and notch a win behind their starter Fiers (12-7, 3.38) a hurler who has done best work at home for the A's. He's gone 3-0 with a 3.21 ERA in five home starts since being acquired last month from Detroit.Fiers is 6-1 with a 2.91 ERA in 10 career head-to-heads, including nine starts, against the Twins.

FIERS is 9-0  against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) by a average of 3.1 rpg. MINNESOTA is 2-18  against the money line in road games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season losing by an average of 2.9 rpg.

OAKLAND is 25-7  against the money line against AL Central opponents this season by an average of 2.2 rpg.

 Twins have not won a series at Oakland since 2011, and have gone just 4-17 at the Northern California site since the start of the 2012 season.

The Athletics have won 16 in a row as a moneyline favorite off a game as a favorite in which they struck out at least ten times and it is post All-Star break and not a series opener and 14 of those games on the runline. 

Play on the Oakland As to win on the runline 

Wainwright turned back the clock with six shutout innings in his most recent start, cementing a spot in the end-of-season rotation. This could be his final start at Busch Stadium before his contract expires. I expect the Cards veteran hurler will be at his best today. He faces a strong looking rookie pitcher in Rodrigues, but the Cards have the edge here playing at home and with a superior batting order that is more consistent.

 Mike MIKE is 25-9 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better as the manager of ST LOUIS.

ST LOUIS is 11-1 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season.

WAINWRIGHT is 14-3  against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. 

The Cardinals have won 19 straight on the moneyline and 10 straight on the runline  when Adam Wainwright starts as a 135-plus favorite in September or later.

Play on the Cardinals to win on the monyeline 

JHOULYS CHACIN (R) vs. IVAN NOVA (R)

The Brewers are keeping Chacin on a five-day schedule to keep him in line to start a potential NL Wild Card Game. He’s allowed three or fewer earned runs in each of his last eight starts.Chacin will be making his team-leading and career-high 33rd start of the season, sixth against the Pirates. He owns a 2.51 ERA in his first five 2018 starts against Pittsburgh. Meanwhile,Nova the Pirates starter cruised through six strong innings on 76 pitches and led the Pirates to a 3-1 win on Saturday at Miller Park, his second straight quality start. Since coming off the disabled list on June 10, Nova  owns a stable 3.46 ERA in 16 starts and looks to be getting stronger as the season winds down. Overall, Nova has garnered a solid 2.81 ERA in seven career starts against the Brewers. With both teams showing solid bullpens both starting pitchers have the backup needed to keep this tilt on the low side of the Total. 

NOVA is 10-1 UNDER in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.8 rpg scored. NOVA is 8-1 UNDER (+6.9 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.5 rpg going on the scoreboard. 

Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 overall.Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 on grass.Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 vs. National League Central.Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 during game 1 of a series.Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 games following a win.Under is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 road games.Under is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 38-17 in Brewers last 55 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 41-20-1 in Brewers last 62 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Chacins last 4 road starts.Under is 4-1 in Chacins last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.

Under is 7-0 in Pirates last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 8-0 in Pirates last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 19-6-1 in Pirates last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 19-7 in Pirates last 26 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 24-9-1 in Pirates last 34 overall.Under is 24-9-1 in Pirates last 34 on grass.Under is 18-7-1 in Pirates last 26 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 7-3-1 in Pirates last 11 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 11-5-1 in Pirates last 17 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 3-0-1 in Novas last 4 Friday starts.Under is 4-0-1 in Novas last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 5-0 in Novas last 5 starts on grass.Under is 5-0 in Novas last 5 starts overall.Under is 13-2-1 in Novas last 16 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Novas last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 21-6-1 in Novas last 28 home starts.Under is 6-2 in Novas last 8 starts vs. National League Central.Under is 19-7-1 in Novas last 27 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 18-7-2 in Novas last 27 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 10-1 in Pirates last 11 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 13-2-1 in Pirates last 16 home games.

Under is 5-0 in Novas last 5 starts vs. Brewers.Under is 12-4-1 in the last 17 meetings in Pittsburgh.

The Pirates have gone under 21 straight times off a home victory in which they had at least three times as many hits as runs and it is post All-Star break with the average combined score of 4.76 rpg scored with no game seeing more than 8 total runs scored. The L/15 games have not seen more than 6 combined runs scored. 

MLB Road teams (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record are 57-24 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Atlanta salvaged the last game of their series vs the Cards yesterday with a 7-3 win and now have some momentum and confidence entering this tilt vs the Philadelphia Phillies. Now with the Phillies sending the slumping Velasquez to the hill the Braves have a edge. The Philly starter has been abysmal recently recording a 9.82 ERA with 16 hits allowed in 11 innings in three September starts  and  has lost all four starts against the Braves this season, posting a 7.41 ERA with 29 hits allowed in 17 innings of ugly work. Meanwhile, Atlantas starter Gausman  has looked very good since coming over from  Baltimore in a trade  on July 31, as is evident by his solid 5-2 record in eight starts  along with a stable 2.61 ERA and 1.10 WHIP.

Braves are 10-2 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 games following a win.

PHILADELPHIA is 5-11  against the money line in September games this season.

The Phillies have lost 19 straight as a 125-plus dog off a home game in the first game of a series when their opponent is seeking same-season revenge for a loss.

Play on the. Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline 

Price the BoSox starting hurler is in top form, and as always a dangerous opponent for all comers. But unfortunately he takes on a NY Yankees team in a place Yankee Stadium that has not beenkind to him, as is evident by  allowing 8 runs in just 3.1 innings of work back in July and previous to that in 2016 and 2017 allowed 6 runs each time. Price has  defintely struggled at Yankee Stadium since joining the Red Sox, going 0-5 with a 10.44 ERA in five starts . It must also be noted that  active Yankee batters are hitting .307 and slugging .530 in their career against Price. Yes, he is a star hurler, but has been unable to show his light here in the new Bronx Zoo. Meanwhile Luis Severino after a tough stretch after the all star break is now getting his 2nd wind and has  permitted two runs or less in three of his last five starts and gets my support tonight behind a top tier bullpen that will back him efficiently.The Yanks  have won 15 of his L/17 starts at  Yankee Stadium and 14-1 when he goes head to head with a southpaw hurler. 

Red Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Red Sox are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in New York.

MLB Home teams when the opening money line is +125 to -125 (NY YANKEES) - ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 3 starts are 33-14 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline 

The Cards have now won 8 straight games at Atlanta and I see no reason for this streak to end now as they send out Flaherty to the mound.Flaherty  in 26 starts had held opposition hitters to a .193 batting average on the season and gets my respect and backing here to continue his hot hand this afternoon vs a Braves team that has lost 14 of their L/18 home games.

Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East.Cardinals are 9-1 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Cardinals are 13-3 in their last 16 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Cardinals are 13-3 in their last 16 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win.Cardinals are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.Cardinals are 17-5 in their last 22 road games.Cardinals are 14-5 in their last 19 vs. a team with a winning record.Cardinals are 19-7 in their last 26 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Cardinals are 10-4 in their last 14 during game 3 of a series.

Braves are 17-35 in their last 52 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.Braves are 4-9 in their last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 2-5 in their last 7 games following a loss.Braves are 7-19 in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 5-17 in their last 22 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Braves are 3-13 in their last 16 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Braves are 1-6 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the moneyline 

The Cards enter this game against the Braves having owned this series here in Atlanta of late winning 7 straight meetings . Im betting Gomber (5-1, 3.78 ERA)  the Cards starter who has seen his team win 5 of his L/6 road starts to be enfuego again tonight.

Braves are 1-6 in their last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

I know Gomber is off a down effort, last time out, but overall he permitted  just eight earned runs in his previous six starts and more than capable of bouncing back. Note: Atlanta has lost 17 of their L/23 games vs a winning team and have lost 9 of their L/12 home games overall. Cards have also cashed in 13 of their 23 as road dogs.

Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the moneyline 

Happ has been one of the Yankees' top hurlers since his acquisition in late July from the Blue Jays. In eight starts for New York, Happ is 6-0 with a 2.70 ERA. More of the same top tier pitching action is on board here this afternoon vs the Red Sox. Meanwhile, Eovaldi the BoSox starter has seen his team lose his last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

The Yanks were off yesterday and are ready and fresh for a win here vs their long time rivals. Note: Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 games following an off day.Red Sox are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings in New York.

The Red Sox have lost 17 straight as a dog vs a lefty when they are off a game as a favorite and faced righties in each of their last three games.

HAPP is 29-7  against the money line after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)  is 29-13  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) 

NY YANKEES are 28-9 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 season.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 (BOSTON) - after having won 3 of their last 4 games, a top-level team (62% or more ) playing a team with a winning record are 84-171 L/21 seasons for a 67% go against conversion rate. 

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline 

Gray the Rockies starter hasn't lost since June 12 at Philadelphia  which has seen him record a  14-start unbeaten streak. Meanwhile, Ryu the Dodgers  starter tonight vs the visiting Rockies  has lost back-to-back starts. Considering the current form of both pitchers, and the fact that the Dodgers are coming home off a road trip and on tired legs , after playing last night out in St.Louis, it will be an easy decision to recommend we wager on the Rockies. Note:RYU has lost his L/4 starts vs the Rockies. RYU is 0-7 against the money line in September games over the last few seasons. (Team's Record).RYU is 4-12  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)RYU is just 3-6 with a 5.77 ERA in nine career starts vs the Rockies .

GRAY is 10-3  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) 

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA DODGERS) - on a streak where they have hit a home run in 15 consecutive games are just 18-33 L/21 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to won on the moneyline 

Mikolas the Cards starter is currently in top form and has held opponents to fewer than three runs 11 times in his last 15 starts . That not good news for a Braves offence that has  really struggled vs the righty  starter ,recording no extra base hits in  32 at-bats against him. 

Meanwhile, Atlanta’s Mike Foltynewicz (11-9, 2.66 ERA) is currently in top  form,  and has allowed 1 run or less in 6 of his L/7 trips to the hill.  Foltynewicz   last start against St. Louis, saw him allow just one hit and record nine strikeouts over five scoreless innings on July 1 and Im betting in his current form will be a hard target to score against again tonight.

ATLANTA is 13-3 UNDER  in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season with a combined average of 6.5 rpg scored.ATLANTA is 23-11 UNDER  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored.

Under is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 10-2 in Cardinals last 12 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 10-4 in Cardinals last 14 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 17-8-2 in Cardinals last 27 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Play UNDER 

LUCAS GIOLITO (R) vs. DAVID HESS (R)

Giolito the White Sox starter has six quality starts in his past eight trips to the mound. Meanwhile, his young pitching opponent Hess The 25-year-old has struggled for most of the season, compiling a 3-10 record, 5.17 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 58/30 K/BB ratio over 87 innings of work. Hess will make his first start since Sept. 8’s loss to the Rays and is fade material here in this spot play.

GIOLITO is 7-1 against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) this season. (Team's Record)GIOLITO is 6-1 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)

BALTIMORE is 23-76 against the money line against right-handed starters this season.The White Sox have won 13 straight  as a road favorite after a victory in which they drew one or fewer walks.

MLB team (BALTIMORE) - bad offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a below average starting pitcher (ER 5.70 to 6.20)-AL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 on the season (AL) are 13-38 L/21 seasons for a go against for a 75% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline 

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline

Lynn the Yankees hurler is an average at best pitching option and  is just 0-2 with a 6.88 ERA in four career appearances (three starts) against the Blue Jays.  He and Yankees team that is  just 8-10 on the moneyline  since Aug. 26  look to be viable fade material here today.

The Yankees have lost 7 straight  after a game in which they drew 5+ walks, which happened yesterday. 

TORONTO is 10-4 against the money line in road games after having lost 4 of their last 5 games this season. 

MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 152-102 L/21 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the moneyline 

Right-hander Zack Godley (14-9, 4.67 ERA)  goes against the Astros on Saturday. He has allowed two or fewer earned runs in six of his last nine road starts since June 10 and more than capable of another top tier effort. Meanwhile,Astros right-hander Charlie Morton (14-3, 3.15 ERA) will start on Saturday against Arizona.In his first start off the 10-day disabled list, he limited the BoSox explosive offence to two runs on seven hits and two walks with three strikeouts over five innings in a 5-3 win on Sept. 8. He allowed three runs on three hits and four walks with three strikeouts over five innings in a 4-3 loss at Arizona on May 5 and owns. a stable 3.77 ERA over eight starts against the Diamondbacks In his career. MORTON is 14-5 UNDER  in night games this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. 
 I expect both hurlers to go long and strong and for this tilt to stay under the total. 

Under is 2-0-2 in Diamondbacks last 4 interleague road games.Under is 8-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 during game 2 of a series.Under is 11-2 in Diamondbacks last 13 road games.Under is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-1-2 in Diamondbacks last 8 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 interleague games.Under is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 vs. American League West.Under is 11-3-2 in Diamondbacks last 16 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-1 in Godleys last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.Under is 12-3-2 in Godleys last 17 starts during game 2 of a series.

Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 home games.Under is 19-5-2 in Astros last 26 vs. National League West.Under is 19-6-2 in Astros last 27 interleague games.Under is 6-2 in Astros last 8 interleague home games.Under is 11-4-1 in Astros last 16 games following a loss.Under is 8-3 in Astros last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 18-7-1 in Astros last 26 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 17-7-1 in Astros last 25 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 33-15-3 in Astros last 51 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 13-6-2 in Astros last 21 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-0 in Mortons last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.Under is 7-0 in Mortons last 7 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Mortons last 5 interleague starts.Under is 6-0 in Mortons last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Mortons last 5 starts vs. National League West.Under is 7-1 in Mortons last 8 starts on grass.Under is 7-1 in Mortons last 8 starts overall.Under is 7-1 in Mortons last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-1 in Mortons last 6 Saturday starts.Under is 13-5 in Mortons last 18 home starts.Under is 7-3 in Mortons last 10 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.

ARIZONA is 11-1 UNDER  in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season with combined average of 5.6rpg going on the board.HOUSTON is 9-0 UNDER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse this season with a combined average of 4.8 rpg scored. HOUSTON is 14-3 UNDER in an inter-league game this season with. combined average of 6.5 rpg scored. 

Play UNDER 

WALKER BUEHLER (R) vs. JACK FLAHERTY (R)

The game  and series has play off implications attached to it, and will be played like a post season affair, which means no one will be rested especially out of the bullpen. Both these rookie  hurlers showed their top tier abilities when they went head to head almost  three weeks ago with the Cards taking a closely contested low scoring  3-1 victory .  Dodgers hurler  Buehler went seven scoreless innings with nine strikeouts and Cards starter Flaherty struck out  10 in six innings of quality work.Flaherty is 4-0 over his last seven starts and has allowed fewer than two runs in five of those outings.Im expecting another sleeper here, and a continuation of a trend that has seen three straight meetings at  Dodger Stadium stayed ‘under’ totals with similar posted totals attached to those tilts. 

Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 12-2 in Dodgers last 14 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 10-2 in Dodgers last 12 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1-1 in Dodgers last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 9-2 in Dodgers last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 during game 2 of a series.

Under is 4-0 in Buehlers last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Buehlers last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Buehlers last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 6-1 in Buehlers last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Under is 5-0 in Flahertys last 5 starts overall.Under is 12-3-1 in Flahertys last 16 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Flahertys last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.Under is 10-3-1 in Flahertys last 14 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 10-3-1 in Flahertys last 14 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 6-2 in Flahertys last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 11-4-1 in Flahertys last 16 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-2 in Flahertys last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-2 in Flahertys last 7 home starts.

Play UNDER 

Anderson owns  a stingy 2.15 ERA and did not allow a run in three of his five appearances in the month of August. I'm betting he shuts down this struggling Baltimore offence that is averaging just 2.7 rpg in their L/7 and shutout last night again tonight.  I know Bundy his Os pitching opponent has not faired well of late, and their bullpen is tired, but it must be noted that Baltimore in their   L/17 with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined score of just 6.7 rpg scored. Look for the As to do a majority of the damage and for Baltimore to do very little scoring in a game that remains on the low side of the total. 

The Athletics  have also gone under in 10 straight games in franchise history with Brett Anderson as chalk when he gave up no walks in his last start. The average  combined score was 5.5 rpg. 

Play UNDER 

Tropicana Field is not a hitters park despite of being in a dome, and has seen a combined average of 7.8 rpg scored with visiting teams averaging just .215 BA as team. With two top tier hurlers on the hill, Im expecting an even more stingy score to go on the board.

Snell the Rays starter , owns a , 18-5 record along with a 2.06 ERA on the season, and is 6-0 with a 1.42 ERA in seven starts since coming off the disabled list.Carrasco, the Tribes starter is also I good from and comes into this game off recording 14 strikeouts in his last start. He’s posted a 2.31 ERA since the All Star break, third best for qualified American League starters.He is also 4-0 with a 1.11 ERA in five games (four starts) at Tropicana Field in his career.

TAMPA BAY is 9-0 UNDER after a game with a combined score of 2 runs or less this season with a combined average of 4.7 rpg scored. (Cleveland won yesterdays game 2-0).TAMPA BAY is 14-4 UNDER revenging a shutout loss to opponent over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of 6.2 rpg scored.

Play UNDER

HYUN-JIN RYU (L) vs. LUIS CASTILLO (R)

Ryu the Dodgers starter is still not 100% and has made only 11 starts because of an ongoing problem with a groin injury that sidelined him from May 2 until Aug. 15. Ryu  look completely out of sync last time out, giving up five runs (only one earned) and an alarming 10 hits in six innings of a 7-3 Dodgers loss to the New York Mets on Wednesday.In his current form he is suceptiavbleto be lit up. Dodgers are 2-5 in Ryus last 7 road starts.

LA DODGERS are 12-16 against the money line against NL Central opponents this season.

Dodgers are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.

Reds are 9-3 in their last 12 vs. National League West.Reds are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

The Dodgers have failed consistently against weak defences and pitching staffs. LA DODGERS are 4-13 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 5 or more runs/game on the season this season.The Dodgers have lost 7 straight with Hyun Jin Ryu after August.

Dodgers are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings.

 Road teams (LA DODGERS) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game. are just 62-87 L/5 seasons for a go against 59% conversion rate for bettors. Considering hr value here attached to this tilt, we will take the Reds in this spot to deliver a nice underdog ticket. 

Play on the CincinnatiReds to win on the moneyline 

In five career outings against the Royals, Giolito the White Sox starter is 3-0 with a 2.01 ERA. He picked up his first win against Kansas City in 2017 and has two victories in three starts against the club in 2018 with his team winning all his outings.  Junis the White Sox starter is 1-1 with a 6.48 ERA in three career starts against the White Sox. He pitched well in his L/2 starts but has proven himself in the past to be less than consistent. 

White Sox are 5-0 in Giolitos last 5 road starts.White Sox are 7-0 in Giolitos last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.

White Sox are 5-0 in Giolitos last 5 starts vs. Royals.

Royals are 2-7 in Junis' last 9 home starts.Royals are 1-5 in Junis' last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Royals are 0-6 in Junis' last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.

LUCAS GIOLITO is 6-0 against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) this season.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline 

Williams the Pirates starter (12-9, 3.15 ERA) continued a top tier run on Labor Day, pitching 6 2/3 scoreless innings in a 5-1 win over Cincinnati at PNC Park. In his last nine starts, Williams has allowed only four runs in 54 2/3 innings, pitching scoreless ball six times and post an absurd 0.66 ERA.One of those six scoreless trips to the hill  happened two weeks ago, when he snatched a 2-0 victory over the Cardinals at Busch allowing just 3 hits. Im betting Williams hot arm to continue to mow down batters in this spot. Meanwhile,  Adam Wainwright, the Cards starter for St. Louis will start . The righty  is  now healthy and fresh since being out since May 13, when he suffered right elbow inflammation during the third inning of a 5-3 defeat in San Diego. Wainwright in his return has pitched 17 scoreless innings in six rehab outings and in his current form will be a hand full for inconsistent Pirates offence.  

WILLIAMS is 14-1 UNDER vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6 rpg scored.WILLIAMS is 10-1 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more /game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.7 rpg scored.WILLIAMS is 11-0 UNDER after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 4.2 rpg scored.

Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 road games.Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 Monday games.Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Under is 3-0-1 in Wainwrights last 4 starts overall.The L/4 meetings in St.Louis went under. Williams is 4-1-1 UNDER L/6 in this series.Play on the UNDER 

Two quality hurlers go here tonight for the visiting Brewer and host Cubs, but what is notable is that after pitching only one inning in a game that was rained out on Friday night in Washington, Lester  is well rested and motivated as his team opens up a crucial three-game series against the Brewers at Wrigley Field. He threw six scoreless innings in an 8-0 win at Milwaukee on April 5.and gets the nod over Miley and the Brewers in this spot .

Cubs are 5-0 in Lesters last 5 starts vs. Brewers.

Cubs are 7-0 in Lesters last 7 starts with 7 or more days of rest.Cubs are 11-0 in Lesters last 11 Monday starts.Cubs are 7-1 in Lesters last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Cubs are 25-5 in Lesters last 30 starts during . Brewers are just 1-5 L/6 meetings in Chicago. 

CHICAGO CUBS are 12-4  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better this season. (Brewers starter Miley owns a 2.12 ERA on the season)

The Cubs have won 16 straight on the moneyline when Jon Lester starts as a favorite and he gave up no walks in his last start.

MLB Home teams (CHICAGO CUBS) - good offensive team (4.7  or moreruns/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better ) (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing are 84-43 L/21 seasons for a 66% long term conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline 

OAKLAND is 13-4 UNDER as a home favorite of -150 or more this season with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored. TEXAS is 17-7 UNDERin road games against division opponents this season with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored and have gone under in 13 of 18 day games this season with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored.

The Rangers have gone under 15 straight times in the last game of a series as a road dog of more than 135 after a game as a road dog in which they drew one or fewer walks, which happened yesterday. The average combined score of these tilts rings in at just 5rpg with the highest output coming in at 8 runs.

MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (TEXAS) - starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest, ice cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 20 games are 90-37 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

MLBteams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (OAKLAND) - good power team - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season against opponent starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 98-48 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Under is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings in Oakland.

Play UNDER

Clevinger  the Indians stater worked at least six innings in each of his last four starts while permitting  a total of four earned runs in that period, and gets my support here vs a very inconsistent Toronto Blue Jays team that is just playing out the string. The Cleveland bats are humming and have produced 9 runs in 3 of their L/5 games 4 of them wins. 

Blue Jays are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 4 of a series.

The Blue Jays have lost 20 straight on the moneyline in the last game of a series as a 130-plus dog when they are off a loss in which they held the league, which happened yesterday.

Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline 

The Mets lost last night, but have proven resilient of late winning 11 of their L/14 after defeat. 

NY Mets starter Syndergaard  pitched a  gem last time out , allowing the San Francisco Giants to one run and two hits with 11 strikeouts in his first career complete game. He has gone six straight starts spanning 40 innings without allowing a home run and is my pitching choice tonight vs the Philadelphia Phillies and Z. Eflin who looks exhausted coming into this start as is evident by allowing  14 runs (10 earned) and 25 hits along the way in his L/3 starts spanning just 13 2/3 innings of ugly work. 

Phillies are 0-4 in Eflins last 4 road starts.Phillies are 0-6 in Eflins last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Mets are 5-0 in Syndergaards last 5 home starts

New York has won 20 of its last 26 series against Philadelphia.

The Mets are 19-1 L/20 as a home favorite off a game as a dog in which they used five-plus pitchers and it is post All-Star break. The only loss came 2-1 with hard luck super star pitcher DeGrom on the hill. 

Play on the NY Mets to win on the moneyline 

Houston has played their best baseball on the road this season, as is evident by a 47-21 record away from home. They have also been hard to stop when facing LHP like Price the BoSox top tier hurler as is evident by a  20-6  record against the money line in road games against left-handed starters this season. Price might be in top form, and the BoSox hitters and are also heating up but the Astros pitching staff on the whole including the bullpen has been on fire and have allowed a total 12 runs in their L/6 games and deserve our respect and backing here on the road in their current form. Note:Teams that have allowed less than six total runs  like Houston in their last three games against opponents who have scored more than 20 runs in their last three games like Boston are 97-76 showing us that hot pitching trumps hot hitting a majority of the time. With that said, lets take the Astros to deliver the cash.

Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline 

The Reds usually don't inspire many bettors, but tonight they have an edge vs visiting San Diego, behind their starter  DeSclafani who is the Reds  most consistent pitcher . The right-hander has a stingy 2.75 ERA in his last 36 innings of work, and he lasted at least six innings in five consecutive starts until he had a rocky outing last time out.DeScalfani  however is a bounce back type hurler who has helped the Reds win 10 of the 16 games he's started and gets my support here tonight. DESCLAFANI is 18-7 against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Rec

SAN DIEGO is 2-17  against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start over the last 2 seasons.

The Reds have won 28 straight as a home 135-plus favorite off a game as a favorite in which they allowed six-plus runs.

MLB team (SAN DIEGO) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against an average starting pitcher (ER 4.20 to 5.20) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 7 or more hits/start are 13-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the moneyline 

Greinke Arizona's starter today vs the Braves today had one of his best outings of the season in the first series, when he gave up four hits in 7 2/3 innings of a 3-0 victory at Sun Trust Field on July 14. He struck out seven without a walk and according to my power rankings matches ups well vs this Braves side. Greinke won his only start against the Braves last season and  Is 4-1 with a 2.56 ERA in nine career starts.He is 6-3 with a 2.16 ERA in 14 home starts this season after going 13-1 at Chase Field in 2017 and gets my support tonight. 

The Diamondbacks have won 27 straight times  as a 120+ home favorite off a home game when their starter went more than seven innings and struck out at least five in his last start and in the L/6 games in this trend set has won by a combined 45-9 count. 

MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (ARIZONA) - with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 38-5 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Arizona to win on the moneyline

Leake the Mariners starter does not have a decision with a 7.36 ERA in two career starts against the Orioles while Cashner is 2-4 with a 4.09 ERA in 10 appearances (nine starts) against Seattle. Both pitchers are in sub par form and very hittable in their current form. Leake owns a 5.40 ERA in his L/3 starts, while Cashner has recorded a 5.89 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill.  With the Mariners trying to make up 5 1/2 runs on the Athletics you can bet they will be focused and ready to show very little mercy here even if their up at some point by a wide margin. Meanwhile, Baltimore with nothing to play for other than padding stats Willalso be primed to light up their opponents. This I'm betting leads to a high scoring affair.

CASHNER is 11-1 OVER in road games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team Record) with a combined average of 11.7 rpg scored.CASHNER is 11-2 OVER in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 13.4 rpg scored. 

The Mariners have gone over 10 straight times 140+ favorite off a home game in which Robinson Cano hit a home run with a combined average of 13 rpg scored. 

Play OVER 

LUIS SEVERINO (R) vs. MICHAEL FIERS (R)

Oakland starter Fiers, has seen the A's  go unbeaten in his starts since being acquired from Detroit last month. He's 3-0, with Oakland with his team going  5-0 with the new staff ace on the mound. I'm recommending we back him to help us convert this ticket into a profitable outcome tonight vs the Yankees.Yankees are 1-7 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

FIERS is 8-2  against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)FIERS is 7-0 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record)

NY YANKEES are 7-12  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season. Athletics are 24-9 in their last 33 home games.

The Athletics have won 22 straight on the moneyline after a game in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs and it is post All-Star break, with 12 of those victories coming this season. 

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (NY YANKEES) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 15 games are 23-39 L/5 seasons for a 63% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Left-hander Jose Quintana (11-9, 4.21 ERA), owns a  2.63 ERA in four starts against the Brewers this season but was knocked around the last time he faced Milwaukee, allowing five runs on six hits in five innings of a 7-0 loss at Wrigley Field last month. I am expecting him to bounce back as he is currently in top form as is evident by having allowed four total runs since tha tilt, spanning three starts, including only one over six innings of three-hit ball his last time out against Philadelphia. Quintana has garner a 1.67 ERA in eight career starts versus Milwaukee. Meanwhile, Chacin the Cubs starter went head to head with Quintana in that meeting last month and produced a gem by striking out a season-high 10 over seven scoreless innings -- his second shutout effort against the Cubs this season.The Cubs righty owns a solid 2.84 in nine games (eight starts) versus Chicago. With that said, Im expecting both pitchers to long and strong tonight and for this final score to stay on the low side of the Total.

Under is 11-2 in Cubs last 13 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 8-2 in Cubs last 10 vs. National League Central.Under is 7-2 in Cubs last 9 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 11-4 in Cubs last 15 road games.Under is 19-7 in Cubs last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-2 in Cubs last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 9-4 in Cubs last 13 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Quintanas last 5 road starts.Over is 8-1 in Quintanas last 9 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Quintanas last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 4-1 in Quintanas last 5 starts on grass.Under is 4-1 in Quintanas last 5 starts overall.Under is 4-1 in Quintanas last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Quintanas last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Under is 20-6 in the last 26 meetings.Under is 34-15-2 in the last 51 meetings in Milwaukee.Under is 5-1 in Quintanas last 6 starts vs. Brewers

QUINTANA is 10-1 UNDER in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)QUINTANA is 14-4 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)QUINTANA is 12-3 UNDER in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.9 combined runs scored. 

MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (CHICAGO CUBS) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record are 55-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER 

The Dodgers bats woke up last night and put 11 runs on the board, and Im betting their momentum will continue tonight vs Zach Wheeler a hurler who has pitched well of late, but who has never shown long term consistency. Wheeler is 0-2 vs the Dodgers along with a ugly looking 11.00 ERA in 2 starts. The Mets as a team have allowed an an average of 5.1 rpg on the road this season behind a bullpen that has garnered a bloated 5.56 road ERA. Meanwhile, HJ Ryu, the Dodgers starter has also been stable, but the Mets offence have not been easy to deal with lately, and have averaged 5 rpg on the road this season. Considering the matchup data options I'm betting on this total being eclipsed. 

Over is 5-2-1 in Wheelers last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 11-5-1 in Wheelers last 17 starts during game 3 of a series.Over is 8-1-1 in Dodgers last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing.NY

METS are 16-1 OVER as a road underdog of +175 to +250 over the last 2 seasons. WHEELER is 23-9 OVER  after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing since 1997. (Team's Record) 

Play on the OVER 

The fresher bullpen today Im betting will be a big difference maker in this tilt between Miami and visiting Philadelphia. 

Philadelphia's relievers have pitched 8 innings in the last 3 games.Miami's relievers have pitched 15.2 innings in the last 3 games.

The Marlins have lost 19 straight in franchise history as a 150-plus underdog when they off a game as a underdog in which Starlin Castro had multiple hits. losing by an average of more than 5 rpg. .The Phillies have won 8 straight in  franchise history as a favorite with Nick Pivetta when he averaged more than four pitches per batter in his last start. The Phillies have won these eight tilts by an average  5.5 rpg. 

Phillies are 4-0 in Pivettas last 4 starts vs. Marlins

Miami is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Philadelphia and 1-5 ATS L/6 overall. 

Play on the Phillies on the runline -1.5

Mikolas' the cards starter's unbeaten streak ended at 10 starts last timeout,   despite permitting  just two runs over five innings.  In those 10 tilts he allowed fewer than three runs in seven games and is a viable pitcher to back in the underdog role here tonight vs the Washington Nationals. ROARK the Nationals tarting hurler  is 2-8 against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)ROARK is 2-2 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 6.16 and a WHIP of 1.789.

Cardinals are 4-0 in Mikolas' last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Cardinals are 7-0 in Mikolas' last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.Cardinals are 5-0 in Mikolas' last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Cardinals are 6-1 in Mikolas' last 7 starts.Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Cardinals are 9-2 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Cardinals are 13-3 in their last 16 road games.Cardinals are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 3 of a series.

Cardinals are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

Nationals are 5-14 in Roarks last 19 starts with 4 days of rest.Nationals are 2-6 in Roarks last 8 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Nationals are 2-8 in Roarks last 10 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Nationals are 1-5 in Roarks last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL) are a bankroll expanding 80-38 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

MLB Home teams (WASHINGTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 38-90 L/5 seasons for. go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the moneyline 

Jason Vargas the Mets starter in top form  and 3-0 with a 1.99 ERA over his last four starts. With the Mets as a team suddenly playing better, Vargas looks like a viable pitcher to back in the underdog role. Meanwhile, the LA Dodgers send out Hill (6-5, 3.59) a pitcher that has gone against the Mets seven times in his career, with five of those as a starter. He however  is just  1-2 against New York with a nasty looking  7.83 ERA over 23 innings of ugly work.

The Mets have won 10 straight as a road 170+ dog when their opponents starter has a strike-per-ball ratio greater than two on the season and it is post All-Star break and have won 3 times this season under those perimeters by multiple runs.

CALLAWAY is 8-3  against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +200 as the manager of NY METS. 

Play on the NY Mets to win on the moneyline 

Rookie pitcher  Lucchesi, the Padres starter hoas shown himself to be equality hurler this far and  sports a 3.59 ERA in 21 starts, However he has not matched  up well vs Arizona as his  last two losses have come against the Diamondbacks. He has  a less than pretty 0-4 record along  with a bloated 7.71 ERA in four starts, two at home and two on the road. Arizona has five homers and 16 runs off him in 18 2/3 innings. Today the kid is fade material here in Arizona. Meanwhile, Ray the Dbacks starter  is a inconsistent commodity on the mound , but in his last two starts has allowed a total of 2 ERs , 1 in each game. RAY is 15-2 against the money line after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Yes, San Diego has been playing well of late but it must be noted that they are just 6-21 against the money line after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons.

The Diamondbacks have won 13 straight  as a favorite in the last game of a series after a game in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs and it is post All-Star break. 

MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (ARIZONA) - cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 3 games, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 earned runs or less in his last 2 outings are 50-9 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on Arizona to win on the moneyline

RICK PORCELLO (R) vs. SEAN NEWCOMB (L)

The former Cy Young Award winner Porcello the BoSox starter today has not pitched very well of late, but an interleague start could be just what the doctor ordered for his recent ills.Porcello has also pitched much better on the road than at home this season, going 9-3 with a 3.88 ERA compared with 6-4 with a 4.74 ERA at Fenway.

ParRed Sox are 5-0 in Porcellos last 5 starts vs. National League East.Red Sox are 12-0 in Porcellos last 12 interleague starts.Red Sox are 6-2 in Porcellos last 8 road starts.Red Sox are 19-7 in Porcellos last 26 starts on grass.Red Sox are 22-9 in Porcellos last 31 starts during game 2 of a series.Red Sox are 9-4 in Porcellos last 13 starts.BOSTON is 28-7 against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.

Meanwhile, Newcombe the Braves starter is also struggling, asa evident by having  allowed five or more runs in three of his last four trips to the hill including an interleague loss to Tampa Bay last time out.Newcomb had a 6.35 ERA in August.

Red Sox are 7-1 in their last 8 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.Red Sox are 12-3 in their last 15 interleague games vs. a team with a winning recordBraves are 1-4 in Newcombs last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.Braves are 0-4 in Newcombs last 4 starts vs. American League East.Braves are 0-4 in Newcombs last 4 interleague starts.

ATLANTA is 6-21 L/27 against the money line in home games vs. AL teams scoring 5.4 or more runs/game on the season.

Red Sox are 13-3 in the last 16 meetings in Atlanta.Red Sox are 26-9 in the last 35 meetings.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ATLANTA) - good NL offensive team (4.7 runs/game or more ) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), after scoring 2 runs or less are 33-94 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline 

Plutko the Tribes starter will take the mound for the first of three games against the Royals at Progressive Field. Last time out, he allowed two runs, five hits and struck out five in 5 1/3 innings against the Twins.Junis'  KCs starter last start against Cleveland was a 9-3 loss on July 2. He pitched 5 1/3 innings, allowing nine runs (eight earned). In two starts against the Indians this year, Junis is 0-2 with a 9.82 ERA. In four career appearances (three starts) vs. Cleveland, he is 0-2 with an 8.05 ERA he is a candidate to take part in a one sided loss vs the Indians again today.

KC is 12-50 SU vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season with the combined average loss coming by 2.2 rpg.CLEVELAND is 34-8 SU  in home games vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average win coming by 2.9 rpg.KANSAS CITY is 4-25 SU in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with the losses coming by an average of 2.2 rpg.

The Indians have won 20 straight as a home 130-plus favorite off a home game when they lost by one run in their starter's last start and it is post All-Star break. Cleveland has outscored their opposition by an average of 4.75 runs per game.The Indians have also  won 8 straight in the first game of a home series when they are off a home series and they are facing a team that is seeking same season revenge. Cleveland has won these eight tilts by an average of more than  7 runs per game.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (KANSAS CITY) - hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games, with a rested bullpen - threw 5 innings or less over last 3 games are 13-64 L/5 seasons. Teams 6.4 Opponent 3.5.

Play on the Cleveland Indians on the runline -1.5 

MICHAEL FULMER (R) vs. REYNALDO LOPEZ (R)

The Tigers enter this game having allowed 6 or more runs in 7 of their L/8 games (8.64 RPG). Yesterday their offence also came to life winning by an 11-7 count. Meanwhile. the White Sox their opponents today scored 8 runs in a shutout win vs BoSox yesterday. Both teams offence have momentum entering this game, and as mentioned above the Tigers are allowing runs by the boatload. Thus an over wager here considering the starting pitcher and bullpen options is according to my projections a high probability event. 

LOPEZ the White Sox starter  is 16-4 OVER  vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored.LOPEZ is 11-2 OVER vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.3 rpg scored. 

CHI WHITE SOX are 11-2 OVER  when playing against a lower tier team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 11.8 rpg scored.RENTERIA is 25-9 OVER vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season as the manager of CHI WHITE SOX with a combined average of 10.8 rpg scored. 

Over is 9-3 in White Sox last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 5-2 in White Sox last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Over is 5-0 in Lopezs last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 4-0 in Lopezs last 4 starts vs. American League Central.Over is 4-0 in Lopezs last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Lopezs last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 10-3 in Lopezs last 13 starts on grass.Over is 10-3 in Lopezs last 13 starts overall.Over is 3-1-1 in Lopezs last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Over is 5-2 in Lopezs last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.

Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Over is 2-0-2 in Tigers last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Over is 5-1-1 in Tigers last 7 overall.Over is 5-1-1 in Tigers last 7 on grass.Over is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Over is 9-2-2 in Tigers last 13 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 9-2-2 in Tigers last 13 vs. American League Central.Over is 4-1-1 in Tigers last 6 road games.Over is 4-1-1 in Tigers last 6 games following a win.Over is 4-1-1 in Tigers last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1-1 in Tigers last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 4-1-1 in Tigers last 6 during game 1 of a series.Over is 9-3-2 in Tigers last 14 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 3-1-1 in Tigers last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-2-1 in Tigers last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

The White Sox have gone over 11 straight times after the All-Star break in the first game of a series with no rest as a favorite off a game as a dog in which they hit more home runs than their opponent with a. combined average of 13.46 rpg scored with no game seeing less than 9 runs scored.

Over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Play OVER 

Hernandez (8-12, 5.49 ERA) is having a down season and  has faced todays opponent the A's four times already this season and lost three of them. Meanwhile, Jackson the as starter has started four games in his career against the Mariners and won all four, compiling a 1.26 ERA in the process.Jackson lost last time out, but I'm betting he bounces back vs a team he matches up well against. JACKSON is 6-0  against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record) JACKSON is 9-1 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season. (Team's Record)JACKSON is 6-0 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. (Team's Record) 

OAKLAND is 29-12 against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season

The third-place Mariners  took a nerve racking , 8-7 victory Saturday night vs the As, but now I expect them to bounce back and notch a victory. Note:The Athletics have won  21 straight on the moneyline after a game in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs and it is post All-Star break.

Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline 

Hernandez (8-12, 5.49 ERA)   14-year veteran has pitched well vs Oakland in his career and despite of losing 3 of 4 games against them this season, he continues to keep his team competitive, as the 3 losses were all low scoring affairs, 2-1, 4-3, 3-2.

Hernandez has faced the A's 50 times in his career, starting on 49 of those occasions and garner a very stable 2.71 ERA in this tilts. In Oakland he owns a a 2.89 ERA in 26 games, including 25 as a starter.

Under is 5-1 in Hernandezs last 6 starts vs. Athletics.

Meanwhile, Jackson the As starter has started four games in his career against the Mariners compiling a stingy 1.26 ERA in the process and should once again be dominating vs a team he matches up well against. JACKSON is 10-1 UNDER  when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average combined score clicking in at 7.8 rpg. average.JACKSON is 8-0 UNDER  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.6 rpg. JACKSON is 15-2 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record).JACKSON is 15-2 UNDER  when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)Under is 9-1-2 in Jacksons last 12 starts overall.

MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (OAKLAND) - after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals, playing on Sunday 86-36 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

The Rockies will be starting right-hander Jon Gray (10-7, 4.67 ERA) to the mound Saturday night  against Padres' left-hander Robbie Erlin (3-4, 3.69). Gray had a no-decision last Monday in Colorado's 10-7, interleague loss to the Angels in Anaheim.  that ended a streak of nine straight victories by the Rockies in games started by Gray dating back to June 22. Gray was 4-0 with a 3.02 ERA in those starts. Gray has had alot  success when pitching against the Fathers. He is 7-3 with a 2.67 ERA in 14 career starts against the Padres, and is 3-1 this season along with a stable 3.33 ERA in four starts vs SD.  

The Padres have been playing well of late, and are on a 4 game win streak, but have proven disappointing when looking like they are about to go on a roll. SAN DIEGO is 4-21  against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

The Rockies have won 16 in a row as as a opening line 140+ favorite vs a team that has won at least their last four games. The Rockies have averaged more than 8 rpg and won by an average of more than 5 rpg. 

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (COLORADO) - NL team with a low on-base percentage (.350 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better, with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 92-34 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline 

HOMER BAILEY (R) vs. AUSTIN GOMBER (L)

Veteran right-hander Homer Bailey (1-12, 6.17 ERA) will start the series opener, for the Reds vs the steaming hot St.Louis Cardianls.  BAILEY is 0-11  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)with the average margin of defeat coming by 3.4 rpg which qualifies this trend as a runline edge. 

The Cardinals counter with rookie left-hander Austin Gomber (4-0, 2.79), who has allowed just  four runs in his last four starts, covering 22 innings.GOMBER is 6-0 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) with the average win coming by 4.4 rpg which qualifies under a runline premier wager.

The Reds have lost 28 straight on the moneyline  as a dog of more than 145 after a game as a home dog in which they did not hit a home run and struck out more than six times with 20 of those games won by multiple runs.  

MLB Chalk with a money line of -175 to -250 (ST LOUIS) - after allowing 2 runs or less against opponent after 2 straight one run losses are 71-14 L/21 seasons with the average margin victory coming by 2.3 rpg. 

Play on the St.Louis Cards to win on the runline -1.5 

The Dodgers will have left-hander Rich Hill on the mound while the Diamondbacks will counter with a southpaw of their own in Robbie Ray.

Hill looked good last Time out, but it must be noted that going against Arizona has been a nightmare for him in the recent past as is evident, via his 0-5 record in seven starts against Arizona as a member of the Dodgers. The veteran has a 1.29 WHIP in those seven trips to the hill. Hill is just 0-1 with a 12.00 ERA in two starts against the Diamondbacks this season. Note: The Dodgers have gone over 11 straight times  with Rich Hill as a favorite when he went 6+ innings and allowed fewer than six hits in his last start. The average combined score of those games was  11.46 RPG with none of the games seeing less than 9 runs scored. Meanwhile Ray, the Backs starter despite of being an adequate hurler of late, is far from over powering, and has garnered a 3.66 ERA, but all of those ended in no-decisions. The Diamondbacks are just 1-7 in Ray's last eight starts and he hasn't picked up a victory since June 27. Needless to say he is susceptible to being lit up as is Hill. 

HILL is 11-1 OVER vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average score of 10.3 rpg scored. 

MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (LA DODGERS) - good NL offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), after allowing 1 run or less are 88-44 OVER L/21 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play OVER 

JOE MUSGROVE (R) vs. JOHN GANT (R)

Musgrove  looked a little tired last Friday at Milwaukee, when he allowed four runs in four innings of sub par work.Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Gant despite of some strong efforts recently, does not matchup well vs the Pirates batting order, according to my power rankings , and asa matter of fact his worst outing was vs the Bucks on Aug. 3, when t he was pounded  for six runs and eight hits in four innings of ugly work. My estimates today project both teams to score 4 runs or more and for this tilt to eclipse the total.

The Pirates have gone over 15 straight times  as a road dog after a win in which they scored 3 runs or fewer, with no game seeing less than 8 combined runs scored, and the average combined score clicking in at 10.75 rpg.( Pirates won 2-0 yesterday vs Cards)

MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (PITTSBURGH) - a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a winning team, playing on Thursday are 47-17 OVER L5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the OVER 

REYNALDO LOPEZ (R) vs. C.C. SABATHIA (L)

The Yankees starter tonight, vs the White Sox owns a 19-6 career record along with a 3.73 ERA in 36 starts against Chicago. His .760 winning percentage against Chicago is Sabathia's highest against any American League team. He had a couple sub par efforts vs them recently but is rated after coming off the DL a week ago and primed to finished he is season strong. The White Sox have struggled vs lefties this season going just 11 -22 and have been outscored by an a average of 2.1 rpg in those tilts. Yankees are 23-6 in Sabathias last 29 home starts.

Meanwhile, Reynaldo Lopez (4-9, 4.66)  the Pale Hose starter is  winless for the White Sox. Since winning at Texas on July 1, he is 0-4 with a 6.70 ERA in his last nine starts and is fade material here today.Yankees are 14-3 in their last 17 games vs. a right-handed starter.

The Yankees have won 17 straight as a moneyline favorite of 200+  after they had a comeback victory  and it is post All-Star break and not a series opener. The Yankees have won  all 17 games  by  multiple runs which makes this a viable run-line wagering situation. 

Play on the NY Yankees on the runline -1.5 

MICHAEL FULMER (R) vs. DANNY DUFFY (L

Duffy (7-11, 4.85 ERA) made a quick return from the disabled list after dealing with shoulder tendinitis. Duffy's fastball velocity returned to the usual 93-95 MPH range after dipping toward 90 in his previous outing and he is ready to roll over a team that might be even worse than his own. He also has revenge on board, for two losses he suffered to the Tigers earlier this season. FULMER  Motowns stater is 8-20 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Fulmerhas lost his L/2 starts going opposite Duffy and KC. 

MLBHome favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (KANSAS CITY) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less ) -AL, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.50  or more over his last 3 starts are 57-16 L/21 seasons. 

Play on KC Royals to win on the moneyline 

TREVOR CAHILL (R) vs. DALLAS KEUCHEL (L)

Oakland squeaked out 4-3 win in game 2 of this series, yesterday, but Im betting on a now healthy Houston team rebounding in a big way here this afternoon. The Athletics have lost 19 straight in the last game of a series as a 170+ opening line  dog after a game in which they used five-plus pitchers. Look for a explosive Astros batting order to take advantage of the As Trevor Cahill, a hurler who has struggled away from home this season, as is evident by his bloated 6.92 road ERA in eight starts , as he has allowed 30 ERs in 39 innings of work. Meanwhile, the Astros   are 7-1 in Keuchels their starters  last 8 home starts vs. Athletics.

HOUSTON is 15-2 against the money line after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals this season.

MLB team (OAKLAND) - having won 18 or more of their last 25 games, in a game involving two good teams (54% to 62%) are just 22-44 L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline 

The Mariners are 4 1/2 games behind the Athletics in the race for the second AL wild card and motivated to keep winning. Meanwhile, the Padres are off being swept by the Dodgers on the weekend and have now lost 8 of their L/10 and look like they have very little fight in them at the moment.MLB  Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN DIEGO) - after being swept on the road in a 3 game series by a division rival are 12-35 :/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Hernandez will make his second start since returning to the rotation after a brief stint in the bullpenHernandez is 6-3 with a 2.90 ERA in 12 career starts against San Diego.HERNANDEZ is 15-4  against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Nix the Padres starter after a winning MLB debut  allowed a  total of eight runs and 10 hits in 5 2/3 innings over his next two trips to the hill and no longer looks as formidable as he did in that first game, and is fade material here in this spot.  

Padres are 5-22 in their last 27 home games.Padres are 1-7 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.

SAN DIEGO is 1-11  against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season.SAN DIEGO is 3-16  against the money line in home games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season.SAN DIEGO is 9-32  against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season.SAN DIEGO is 3-15  against the money line in home games after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games this season. 

 Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Mariners are 4-1 in Hernandezs last 5 starts with 7 or more days of rest.Mariners are 12-4 in their last 16 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.Mariners are 18-6 in their last 24 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Padres are 17-38 in their last 55 vs. American League West.Padres are 17-38 in their last 55 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.Padres are 16-39 in their last 55 interleague games.Padres are 8-20 in their last 28 games following a loss.Padres are 8-20 in their last 28 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Padres are 10-25 in their last 35 interleague home games.

The Mariners are 20-1 on the moneyline  as a 135-plus favorite off a road game vs a team that has lost at least their last two games.

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline 

The As started strong vs the Astros in game 1 of this series, and than fell apart and lost 11-4. But the As in the past have proven resilient in a rebound mode, going 14-3 after a loss, and 25-6 after allowing 5 runs or more. Athletics are also 20-8 in their last 28 during game 2 of a series.

Jackson the As starter struggled through 4 1/3 innings last time out, yielding four runs on seven hits vs. the Rangers on Wednesday. Before that he had a  stellar August garnering a stingy  2.35 ERA on the month.Morton the Astros starter  is off one of his worst starts of the season, tying a season high in earned runs (six) against the Mariners on Wednesday.  Astros are 1-5 in Mortons last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.

.Athletics are 5-0 in Jacksons last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Athletics are 4-0 in Jacksons last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.Athletics are 5-1 in Jacksons last 6 starts.Athletics are 5-1 in Jacksons last 6 starts on grass.Athletics are 4-1 in Jacksons last 5 road starts.

OAKLAND is 5-0 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70% this season.HOUSTON is 2-7  against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season this season. 

The Athletics have won 20 straight on the moneyline  after a game in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs and it is post All-Star break. The Astros have lost 7 straight on the moneyline  when they are off a home game and they are a 140+ favorite over a divisional opponent that is behind them in the standings and it is post All-Star break.

Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline 

TB has allowed a total of 12 runs in their L/8 games all victories. Atlanta has allowed a total of 6 runs including 3 shutouts wins in their L/6 trips to the diamonds. Needless to say both teams defences and pitching are clicking on all cylinders, and Im betting nothing changes today. 

Since the beginning of June, Ryan Stanke the Rays starter has been in top form and garnered a solid   2.06 ERA and .182 opponents' average in 35 appearances (19 starts), lowering his ERA from 4.66 to 2.53. His average fastball velocity is 98 mph with a max velocity of 100.5 mph, according to Statcast. He is in very good from and deserves my backing here. Meanwhile, Teheran has been in great form of late, allowing two runs or less in each of his last three starts. This past  Wednesday against the Pirates, Teheran permitted just two hits and one run over seven brilliant innings of top tier work. 

TEHERAN is 12-3 UNDER  in night games this season. (Team's Record)with a. combined average of 7.5 rpg scored.ATLANTA is 17-4 UNDER  after a game with a combined score of 4 runs or less this season with a combined average of 6.6 rpg scored. 

TAMPA BAY is 12-2 UNDER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6 rpg scored. 

Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 8-1 in Rays last 9 road games.Under is 6-1-1 in Rays last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Rays last 6 on grass.Under is 20-5-1 in Rays last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-2 in Rays last 9 games following an off day

Under is 19-7 in Rays last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 21-8-1 in Rays last 30 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Rays last 7 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-2 in Rays last 7 during game 1 of a series.Under is 35-15-4 in Rays last 54 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 16-7 in Rays last 23 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 13-6 in Rays last 19 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.

Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-0 in Braves last 6 games following a win.Under is 6-0 in Braves last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 11-1 in Braves last 12 on grass.Under is 11-1 in Braves last 12 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 11-1 in Braves last 12 overall.Over is 11-1 in Braves last 12 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter

Under is 4-0 in Teherans last 4 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 9-1-1 in Teherans last 11 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-1 in Teherans last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.Under is 5-1-1 in Teherans last 7 interleague starts.Under is 5-1 in Teherans last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Teherans last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 8-2 in Teherans last 10 starts on grass.Under is 8-2 in Teherans last 10 starts overall.Under is 4-1 in Teherans last 5 starts vs. American League East.Under is 15-5-1 in Teherans last 21 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 6-2 in Teherans last 8 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 19-7-1 in Teherans last 27 home starts.Under is 39-19-2 in Teherans last 60 starts during game 1 of a series.

BRETT ANDERSON (L) vs. GERRIT COLE (R)

Cole despite of a impressive overall record  has worked at least seven innings only once of his last 11 starts after opening the season with five consecutive   7+ inning appearances. The Astros are 1-4 in his last five starts and he is susceptible to a down effort vs a top tier team. Meanwhile, Anderson the As starter has produced consecutive scoreless starts, allowing six hits and one walk with eight strikeouts in 14 2/3 innings against the Seattle Mariners and the Texas Rangers. He is 1-0 with a 0.68 ERA this month and gets my backing as a solid value based underdog in this spot. 

COLE is 3-11  against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) HOUSTON is 1-7 against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season.

OAKLAND s 27-8 against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .265 or worse in the second half of the season this season.HOUSTON is 8-17 against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.

The Athletics have won 6 straight  as a dog off a game as a dog in which they scored in at least four separate innings. The Athletics have also won 12 straight on the moneyline on the road after they hit multiple home runs and it is post All-Star break.

MLB Home teams (HOUSTON) - off 4 straight wins vs. division rivals, starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 17-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline 

STEPHEN STRASBURG (R) vs. ZACH EFLIN (R)

Strasburg makes his second start since returning from the DL, after allowing five runs in four innings Wednesday against the Phillies in D.C. Strasburg threw 84 pitches in that game and blamed a lack of endurance for a velocity dip in the fourth .With that said,  I Still think the righty  needs a another start or two before he gets back into a groove which makes him and his team susceptible to defeat here in this spot.I know his pitching opponent from the Phillies Eflin has been struggling of late, but the inconsistent bats of the Nats are just 7-19 L/26 vs a right handed starter this season . Yes, they blasted out 15 runs yesterday in a shutout win vs the lowly Mets, but prior to that were shutout 3 straight times. Feast or famine for Washington. I'm taking famine here and recommending we back a Phillies team that is 41-22 at home this season.

Also Eflin has pitched his best at home where he owns a 6-1 record along with a 3.51 ERA at home this season, in 8 starts.

Nationals are 1-5 in Strasburgs last 6 starts during game 1 of a series. Nationals are 3-9 in their last 12 road games.Phillies are 11-4 in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Nationals are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Philadelphia.

The Phillies have won 15 straight on the moneyline post All-Star break in the first game of a series with no rest off a road game when facing a divisional opponent with fewer wins.  The L/13 wins were by multiple runs.

Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline

LUIS SEVERINO (R) vs. ANDREW CASHNER (R)

Luis Severino the Yankees starter is  2-4 with a 7.26 ERA in six starts since the All-Star break.Bundy Baltimore's starter will look to snap a three-game stretch in which he’s allowed seven earned runs in each of his past three outings. He’s recorded just two quality starts and posted a 9.08 ERA since the start of July. More down efforts by both hurlers today are expected, as is a combined score that eclipses this Total.

Over is 8-1 in Severinos last 9 starts overall.Over is 5-1-1 in Bundys last 7 starts overall.Over is 12-3-2 in Bundys last 17 starts vs. American League East.

Over is 5-0 in Severinos last 5 starts vs. Orioles.

SEVERINO is 16-3 OVER  vs. an AL team with a batting average of .265 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average with a combined average of 10.8 rpg going on the scoreboard. SEVERINO is 7-0 OVER vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average 13 rpg on the board. SEVERINO is 9-1 OVER vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  with a combined average of 11.8 rpg scored.SEVERINO is 8-1 OVER  in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 21.1 rpg scored. 

BOONE is 21-9 OVER  when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 38% or less) as the manager of NY YANKEES with the combined average score clicking in at 10.9 rpg.

The Yankees are 15-1 on the OVER in the last game of a series as a 175-plus favorite after a game in which they scored in more innings than their opponent and it is post All-Star break None of the games in this set has seen less than a combined 9 runs go on the board with the average combined score clicking in at 13.68 rpg.

Play OVER 

FRAMBER VALDEZ (L) vs. FELIX PENA (R)

The Astros are as healthy as they have been a while, and are dangerous opponents to any MLB no matter who goes to the hill from they're pitching  rotation. Meanwhile,Pean the Angels starter  who was converted to a starter earlier this season, is winless in his last eight starts, and is fade material again in this spot. Im betting on the Astros getting this game and sweeping the series.

HOUSTON is 19-4  against the money line in road games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season. HOUSTON is 29-8  against the money line in road games against division opponents this season. ANGELS are 4-17 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season this season.

 The Astros have gone 17-5 in 22 games in California this season – including 6-2 against the Angels.

The Astros  have won 21 straight on the moneyline as a 130-plus road favorite when facing a team they just beat by five-plus runs, with 20 of those games coming by multiple runs.

Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline

Erlin the Padres stater is 1-2 with a 3.00 ERA in five career appearances (three starts) against Los Angeles - with one of the losses coming in a start on April 16, when he was tagged for six runs in three innings of sub par work. The Dodgers 9 see this guys stuff well, and now with another look could easily light him up again. Ryu his Dodgers pitching opponent is 5-1 with a 2.63 ERA in eight career starts versus the Padres, including a victory at San Diego opposite Erlin in April when he gave up just two runs and three hits with a season-high nine strikeouts over six innings.

LA DODGERS are 24-3 SU in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons with the average combined margin of victory coming by 3.8 rpg. 

The Dodgers have won 30 of their L/31 in the last game of a home series as a 200+ favorite off a game in which they scored first and have won 26 of those games by multiple runs . All 7 of the games they played vs the Padres in this above mentioned trend have been won by multiple runs each time. 

Play on the Dodgers -1.5 runline

NATHAN EOVALDI (R) vs. BLAKE SNELL (L)

Snell the TB starting hurler today is on fire having allowed a total of just 2 runs in his L/3 starting spanning 23.5 innings of work, garnering a minuscule 0.56 ERA. Im betting on him once again providing the Rays with quality work. Meanwhile, his Boston Red Sox pitching opponent Eovaldi After a spectacular first two starts for the Red Sox (no runs in 15 innings), he hasn’t been as sharp the last three times, But I'm betting  he will very motivated to get his mojo back  against the team that traded him in July to the BoSox, and show them what they have lost. Eovaldi went 1-0 with a 2.12 ERA in three starts at Tropicana Field prior to the trade.

Under is 7-0 in Snells last 7 starts overall.Under is 6-1-1 in Rays last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

SNELL is 12-1 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.5 rpg scored.SNELL is 7-0 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 4.7 rpg scored.SNELL is 11-3 UNDER  after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings this season. (Team's Record) for a combined average 6.6 rpg scored. 

TAMPA BAY is 23-8 UNDER vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 6.6 rpg scored.

The Rays have gone under 14 straight times  as a home favorite in the last game of a series vs a divisional opponent that is ahead of them in the standings with none of the games seeing more than 6 runs score with the combined average score clicking in at 3.67 rpg.

Play UNDER 

Detroit right-hander Jordan Zimmermann (6-5, 4.18 ERA),has not done well against Chicago in three starts this season (0-1, 9.42) and is fade material here in this spot. Meanwhile, his Pale Hose pitching opponent, Kopech has 174 strikeouts in 128 1/3 innings between Triple-A and the majors and when he's in the zone, can be over powering to say the least. Against a struggling Motown offence he should do just fine.

The Tigers have lost 21 straight on the moneyline as a home dog after a game in which they had fewer team-left-on-base than their opponent and it is post All-Star break.

CHI WHITE SOX are 8-2  against the money line in road games in August games this season. 

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more), after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games are 61-33 L/21 seasons for a long term 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline 

JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. JAIME BARRIA (R)

Verlander the Astros starter has won all five starts against the Angels since he was acquired from the Detroit Tigers on Sept. 1 of last season, allowing two earned runs in 36 innings of magnificent work.He has thrown 23 consecutive scoreless innings over his past three starts at Angel Stadium.QUOTE: "I like the aesthetic of pitching here," Verlander said after shutting out the Angels on five hits over six innings in a 7-0 win on July 21. END QUOTE. Im betting he leads his team to a conclusive victory here today behind what I expect will be solid run support behind a offense that is finally almost 100% healthy. 

HOUSTON is 33-10 against the money line in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season winning by an average of 2.4 rpg. LA ANGELS are 1-9 against the money line in home games vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game, losing by an average of 4.2 rpg. HOUSTON is 12-1 against the money line after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals this season winning by an average of 3.8 rpg. 

HOUSTON is 21-4  against the money line in road games after batting .333 or better over a 3 game span over the last 2 seasons winning by an average of 4.1 rpg. 

The Angels have lost 34 straight on the moneylline as a dog of more than 135 when they are off a game as a dog and their opponent's starter has a strike-per-ball ratio better than 1.89 on the season and it is not a series opener and have lost 11 of their L/12 games in this trend by multiple runs.

Play on Houston Astros on the Runline -1.5

JOHN GANT (R) vs. GERMAN MARQUEZ (R)

Marquez the Rockies stater today vs the Cards is in very good form as he goes for his  third straight victory after allowing three runs and eight hits over 14 innings in victories vs Houston and Atlanta.Marquez has made two career starts against St. Louis and cashed both times   permitted three runs and 12 hits over 10 2/3 innings of quality work. Yes, I know how hot St.Louis is but I'm betting they show us their not invincieble and take it on the chin here today vs Marquez and company.

Cards starter Gant has seen his team go 3-8 in his last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

The Rockies have won 15 straight on the moneyline as a 140+ favorite vs a team that has won at least their last four games. ( The Cards have won the first 4 games of their current 6 game road trip)

COLORADO is 26-10  against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season and won have also cashed in 19 of their L/24 under the same perimeters .

MLB team (ST LOUIS) - having won 18 or more of their last 25 games, in a game involving two good teams (54% to 62%) are just 20-42 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline 

RICK PORCELLO (R) vs. RYAN YARBROUGH (L)

TBs home games have seen an average of 7.5 rpg scored entering Fridays action. They did take a 10-3 win last time out, but that offensive output from the Rays was an anomaly, and I'm betting they revert back to the norm here in tilt.

Yarbrough a quality young hurler goes to the hill for TB .Last time out he did not allow a run in 5 1/3 innings out of the bullpen against Kansas City in his last start, retiring 12 of his final 13 batters. His 12 victories are the most among Major League rookies and are the best by a Rays rookie hurler  since in 2011. He is more than capable of slowing down the BoSox offence here today. He is also backed by a solid bullpen that owns a 2.89 ERA at home this season. Meanwhile, Bstons starter Porcello was steaming after three mistake pitches led to his downfall last time out and will be primed for a big time comeback. He gave up three homers in a 5-4 loss to the Indians. However, in his career at Tropicana Field, Porcello is 8-4 with a 2.72 ERA in 14 starts. I expect we will see these two hurlers go long and strong today in a score that remains on the low side of the number.

Note: TB will be without  leading hitter Mallex Smith (.307 batting average) after he was placed on the 10-day disabled list Friday  .

Under is 5-0-1 in Rays last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 7-1-1 in Rays last 9 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 8-2-1 in Rays last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 4-1 in Rays last 5 Saturday games.Under is 8-2 in Rays last 10 vs. American League East.Under is 8-2 in Rays last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 10-3-1 in Rays last 14 overall.Under is 20-6 in Rays last 26 during game 2 of a series.Under is 3-1-1 in Rays last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Under is 25-9-1 in Rays last 35 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 5-2-1 in Rays last 8 on astroturf.

Under is 4-1-2 in Porcellos last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

The Rays has gone UNDER in 17 in a row  off a game as a dog in which they hit more home runs than their opponent and it is post All-Star break. Whcih happened last night  The L/12 games have not seen more than 6 runs scored in total and none of the 17 have seen more than 8 combined runs scored. The average score of all games rings in at 4.89 runs per game.

Play on the UNDER 

SEAN MANAEA (L) vs. JAKE ODORIZZI (R)

 Manaea is his teams wins leader, and despite of down effort last time out, is a prime candidate to bounce back. As a matter of fact Manea has not lost back to back games since May and must be respected here a short road favorite.  MANAEA is 10-2  against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record)

The Athletics own a four-game lead over AL West-rival Seattle for the wild-card spot but fell behind 1 1/2 games to division-leading Houston with  a 6-4 loss on Thursday and are now  desperate for a win and with that said I expect to see them very focused and motivated here today vs the Twins. 

MINNESOTA is 7-23 against the money line in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons.OAKLAND is 24-7  against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .265 or worse in the second half of the season this season.OAKLAND is 15-2 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.

The Athletics. have won 14 straight on the moneyline  as a favorite off a game as a favorite in which they struck out at least ten times and it is post All-Star break and not a series opener which happened in last nights 6-4 loss to the Twins. Twelve of the 14 straight wins came by multiple runs. As 6.36 Opp 2.64

Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline 

SEAN NEWCOMB (L) vs.  

Newcombe the Braves starter has pitched his best baseball on the road this season, where he owns a 6-3 record and stable 3.39 ERA in 13 starts. He won his last trip to the mound on the road in Washington, and once again looks like a viable hurler to back here vs the light hitting Marlins. NEWCOMB has won his L/3 efforts vs the Marlins allowing just 5 runs in 18 innings of quality work. 

.NEWCOMB is 7-0 against the money line in road games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season. (Team's Record)

Interesting anomaly in play today...MIAMI is 0-12 against the money line when playing on Thursday this season.

ATLANTA is 17-4 against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing  0.35 or less SB's/game this season.

The Braves have won 17 in a row on the moneyline as a 135+ road favorite vs a righty when they won the last three times they faced a righty with 16 of those games coming by multiple runs. Average margin of victory came by 4.65 rpg. 

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline 

 ADAM PLUTKO (R) vs. DAVID PRICE (L)

Plutko the Indians starter today is 4-3 with a 4.62 ERA in 10 games -- including seven starts and looks very hittable in his current form.The Boston offense  after a short drought woke up against 15-game winner Carlos Carrasco and the Cleveland bullpen yesterday and took a 10-4 win and I'm betting they will honed in on doing some repeat damage in this spot. It must be noted that the Indians have lost 21 straight on the moneyline as a 110+ dog in the last game of a road series after a game in which they had multiple multiple-run innings, as long as they did not win by 7-plus runs which obviously not the case yesterday as they lost in a big way. The Tribe lost 19 of those 21 games by multiple runs, with the average margin of defeat coming by 3.9 rpg. 

Meanwhile, Price the BoSox Starter is 8-1  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) with the average margin of victory coming by 1.9 rpg. Price is currently in top form and has won 2 straight outings while garnering a stingy 1.89  ERA on his L/3 starts.PRICE is 10-3 in his career when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 2.63 and a WHIP of 1.202.Red Sox are 6-0 in Prices last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.

BOSTON is 28-6 SU in day games this season with the average margin of victory coming by 2.2 rpg.

Red Sox are 9-0 in their last 9 during game 4 of a series.

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the runline -1.5 

CARLOS CARRASCO (R) vs. BRIAN JOHNSON (L)

Carrasco is having a good season, but is just  1-2 with a 6.83 ERA in seven games -- five starts -- lifetime against the Red Sox, 0-1 in four games -- three starts -- at Fenway.My own power ranking matchup stats also say he does not matchup particularly well against an explosive BoSox batting order, that will be primed to bounce back after last nights 6-3 home loss to this same Cleveland team. MeanwhileJohnson his pitching opponent has won all three starts in August and getting good run support, and will my support here tonight as well. JOHNSON is 12-2 against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

BOSTON is 71-27 against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

The Red Sox have won 16 straight on the moneyline  after a game as a home favorite in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs and it is not a series opener.

MLB team (CLEVELAND) - having won 18 or more of their last 25 games, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record are just 56-91 L/5 seasons for a go against  62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline 

JULIO TEHERAN (R) vs. TREVOR WILLIAMS (R)

Teheran has been inconsistent this season, but he has allowed three runs or fewer in each of his past four starts. He credits his recent success to improved fastball command and more comfort with his slider. He goes against a team that has been shutout in 3 of its L/6games. Meanwhile, the Pirate starter Williams continued his dominant run on Friday night at PNC Park, holding the Cubs to one run over seven innings, but lost as the Bucs were shut out. Williams has allowed three runs in 36 innings over his past six starts, for an amazing 0.75 ERA. I'mbetting on a pitcher duel here this evening as both teams offences stall. 

WILLIAMS is 8-0 UNDER after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings this season with a combined average of 4.4 rpg scored.. (Team's Record) and   is 11-1 UNDER  vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.4 rpg scored. WILLIAMS is 19-4 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.1 rpg scored.

TEHERAN is 15-3 UNDER  vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average of 7.7 rpg scored. (Team's Record)TEHERAN is 11-3 UNDER  in night games this season. (Team's Record)

Under is 5-0-1 in Teherans last 6 Wednesday starts.Under is 5-1 in Teherans last 6 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Teherans last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.Under is 4-1 in Teherans last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Teherans last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Teherans last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Teherans last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 7-2 in Teherans last 9 starts on grass.Under is 7-2 in Teherans last 9 starts overall.Under is 6-2-1 in Teherans last 9 starts during game 3 of a series.Under is 11-5-1 in Teherans last 17 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance

Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 overall.Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 on grass.Under is 6-0 in Braves last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-1 in Braves last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Braves last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 games following a win.Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 3-1-1 in Braves last 5 road games.Under is 3-1-1 in Braves last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 5-2 in Braves last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 10-4 in Braves last 14 Wednesday games.

Under is 11-0 in Williams' last 11 starts during game 3 of a series.Under is 4-0 in Williams' last 4 home starts.Under is 5-0 in Williams' last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 9-1-1 in Williams' last 11 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-1 in Williams' last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 16-4-1 in Williams' last 21 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 4-1 in Williams' last 5 starts vs. National League East.Under is 11-3 in Williams' last 14 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 18-5-1 in Williams' last 24 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 16-5 in Williams' last 21 starts with 4 days of rest.Under is 30-10-1 in Williams' last 41 starts overall.Under is 9-3 in Williams' last 12 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 29-10-1 in Williams' last 40 starts on grass.Under is 19-7 in Williams' last 26 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Williams' last 7 Wednesday starts.

Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 overall.Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 on grass.Under is 7-0 in Pirates last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-0 in Pirates last 7 home games.Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games following a loss.Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 during game 3 of a series.Under is 7-0 in Pirates last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 9-1-1 in Pirates last 11 vs. National League East.Under is 6-1 in Pirates last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Play UNDER 

KYLE GIBSON (R) vs. CARLOS RODON (L)

The White Sox enter this game playing some good baseball of late winning 5 of their L/7 overall. With Rodon their starting pitcher currently in top tier form, as is evident by garnering a 1.23 ERA and 3 straight wins , Im betting the Pale Hose have the edge vs a poor travelling Minnesota Twins teams with a 22-39  against the money line record road games this season.

RODON is 9-1 against the money line in home games when working on 5 or 6 days rest since 1997. (Team's Record) 

Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

MINNESOTA is 8918  against the money line in road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season. 

Twins are 2-7 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.

The White Sox have won 13 straight on the moneyline as a favorite off a home game in which their starter pitched three or fewer innings and it is post All-Star break.

MLB Home teams (CHI WHITE SOX) - team with a terrible OBP (.310 or worse) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less ) -AL, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 168-138 L/5 seasons for a 55% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the White Sox to win on  the moneyline 

ROBERT STEPHENSON (R) vs. FREDDY PERALTA (R)

The first inning remained a problem for Peralta in his most recent start against the Cardinals, when he allowed two runs to bump his ERA to 9.00 in 12 opening innings this season. The rookie allowed three runs in five innings on July 1 vs. the Reds. I'm betting on more of same down action in here in this statrt. Meanwhile, Stephenson has room to improve from his first two starts of 2018. He’s issued nine walks over a combined 5 2/3 innings and has had trouble commanding his fastball, especially in the 1 2/3 innings he lasted in Wednesday’s no-decision vs. Cleveland. He is showing very little advancement as he learns to pitch on the job in the big leagues. 

MILWAUKEE I in 18 games  vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season have seen a combined average of 10.2 rpg scored. 

CINCINNATI is 19-6 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season with a combine average of 10.9 rpg scored. CINCINNATI is 19-7 OVER  as an underdog of +200 or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. 

Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 Wednesday games..Over is 12-3 in Reds last 15 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 20-6 in Reds last 26 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 15-5-1 in Reds last 21 vs. National League Central.Over is 20-7 in Reds last 27 during game 3 of a series.Over is 8-3 in Reds last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 18-7-1 in Reds last 26 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 5-2 in Reds last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 22-10-3 in Reds last 35 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 24-11-1 in Reds last 36 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 13-6 in Reds last 19 road games.Over is 4-0 in Stephensons last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-0 in Stephensons last 4 road starts.Over is 4-0 in Stephensons last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-0 in Stephensons last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 9-2 in Stephensons last 11 starts vs. National League Central.Over is 6-2 in Stephensons last 8 starts during game 3 of a series.Over is 6-2 in Stephensons last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 7-3 in Stephensons last 10 starts on grass.Over is 7-3 in Stephensons last 10 starts overall.

Over is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 Wednesday games.Over is 8-1 in Brewers last 9 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 7-1 in Brewers last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 7-1 in Brewers last 8 during game 3 of a series.Over is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 home games.Over is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Over is 16-6-1 in Brewers last 23 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Over is 6-1 in Peraltas last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 5-1 in Peraltas last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Peraltas last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.Over is 4-1 in Peraltas last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 6-2 in Peraltas last 8 starts on grass.Over is 6-2 in Peraltas last 8 starts overall.

Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.

The Reds are 21-1OVER as a 170+ dog after a game in which they used 5+ pitchers with a combined average of 13.22 rpg going on the scoreboard with only one game seeing less than 9 runs scored.

Play OVER 

DANIEL PONCEDELEON (R) vs. HYUN-JIN RYU (L)

After  missing three months with a strained groin, Ryu (3-0, 1.77)the Dodgers starter tonight vs the Cards showed us all  how good he can be when healthy with six scoreless innings against the Giants on Wednesday. He owns an extremely solid 0.92 WHIP in three career games against the Cardinals and gets my support here tonight. 

Dodgers are 8-2 in Ryus last 10 home starts. 

Poncedeleon is being inserted into  the rotation in place of Luke Weaver, who has been moved to the bullpen after losing four of his past five decisions. This hurler looks solid in the stats sheet but according to my cross reference pitcher vs Batting order power rankings looks to be at a disadvantage here this evening despite of LAs hitters never having faced him before. Dodgers are 9-3 in their last 12 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Dodgers are 20-8 in their last 28 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

The Cardinals have lost 23 straight on the moneyline as a road 130-plus dog when playing a team that has a worse record and it is post All-Star break and not a series opener.The Cardinals have lost 12 of 13 on the moneyline as a road dog of more than 135 after a game in which they hit at least one home run which happened last night in a 5-3 9th inning win.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the moneyline 

MASAHIRO TANAKA (R) vs. PABLO LOPEZ (R)

Masahiro Tanaka (9-4, 4.03) the NYY starter today has looked a little tired of late as his team has lost his last three trips to the hill. Meanwhile, Lopez the Marlins start makes his second interleague start. The righty won at Tampa Bay on July 21, permitting  one run on two hits and a walk, with six strikeouts, over 6.0 innings of quality ball. With Didi Gregorius injured  .270 / 22 homers/  74 RBIs and super star Aaron Judge still on the DL, the Yanks are not as formidable offensively, so Lopez looks like who could have a solid outing. 

Miami already shocked the Marlins this season by a 9-1 count, the last time Tanaka faced them, and the Japanese right  hander is just 0-2 in 2 career starts vs the Marlins, and must not be over estimated here vs a young team playing with very little to lose.

NY YANKEES are 14-15  against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season and are are 14-17  against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season. The Yankees have lost 11 straight on the road after playing as a home favorite when they scored two or fewer runs for their starter in his last start and it is post All-Star break.

MLB underdogs against a 1.5 run line.(Money Line +100 or higher) (MIAMI) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start are 39-16 L/21 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Miami Marlins on the RUNLINE +1.5

SHANE BIEBER (R) vs. NATHAN EOVALDI (R) 

The power pitching righty looks to  continue his dominance at Fenway, where he won his first two starts for the Red Sox while allowing no runs over 15 innings. Eovaldi is 2-1 with a 2.70 ERA in his career against Cleveland  and looks like a strong candidate for a BoSox victory in this spot. Meanwhile,Cleveland’s starter Shane Bieber (6-2, 4.37 ERA) has  not performed well on the road as is evident by  allowing three or four runs in three of his last four road starts. The kids really not very effective at the moment, and telegraphs his pitches, making everything seem like a beach ball crossing the plate for opposing batters, as is evident by opponents slugging .540 vs his fast ball. 

Red Sox are 11-3 in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

The Indians have lost 21 of their L/22 as a road dog after they had a comeback win and it is post All-Star break.

BOSTON is 23-4 against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season and is 33-8 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season.BOSTON is 71-25  against the money line against right-handed starters this seasonBOSTON is 18-3  against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season. 

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline 

VINCENT VELASQUEZ (R) vs. TANNER ROARK (R) 

After struggling for more than a month, Roark the Nats starter tonight vs the Phillies has become one of the teams most consistent starters . In his last five starts he has posted a minsucle  1.77 ERA with 28 strikeouts and just five walks and gone a perfect  5-0. Meanwhile,Phillies Right-hander Vince Velasquez (8-9, 4.13) is in a bit of a funk of late, lasting just  four innings in a tilt vs  Arizona, and then just 2.1 innings last Wednesday vs. Boston in allowing  three runs and walking four. I really like Roarkes current form, and Im expecting the Nats to stand tall here tonight and garner the victory.

Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.Phillies are 0-5 in Velasquez’s last 5 road starts.

The Phillies have lost 18 in a row as a 125-plus dog off a home game in the first game of a series when their opponent is seeking same-season revenge for a loss.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (WASHINGTON) - team with a poor SLG (.400 or less) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 to 1.300) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 to 1.350 on the season-NL are 35-10 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the moneyline 

 Dodgers - A. Wood -L vs Cardinals - A. Gomber -L

Wood has held four straight opponents to two or fewer runs and in his current form looks like a very viable pitcher to back. Meanwhile, Gomber, his pitching opponent despite of doing well in limited major league baseball work   has allowed opponents a .246 batting average on the road compared to a  .188 at home and looks more susceptible to being lit up as a visitor. 

Dodgers are 8-1 in Woods last 9 starts vs. National League Central.Dodgers are 11-2 in Woods last 13 starts during game 1 of a series.Dodgers are 17-4 in Woods last 21 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Dodgers are 20-6 in their last 26 during game 1 of a series.

The Cardinals have lost 14 straight on the moneyline  as a road dog after a game as a home favorite in which they had more strikeouts than hits with 13 of the 14 games coming by multiple runs. The Cardinals have lost 11 straight on the moneyline as a road dog of more than 135 after a game in which they hit at least one home run which happened yesterday.

MLB team (ST LOUIS) - having won 18 or more of their last 25 games, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record are 53-89 L/5 seasons for a go against  62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the moneyline 

Lopez had a rough outing last time out, mostly because of one big hit a grand slam, but has a lot of promise. Before he arrived in KC, form Milwaukee he recorded a 2.75 ERA in 10 relief appearances (19 2/3 innings). It’s the fourth start of his 4-year career and he must not be underestimated vs a TB team that has a averaged 2.62 rpg in offense in their L/8 overall. Meanwhile, Hunter Wood, continues to learn on the job in the big leagues for the Rays , and in 26 plus innings of work has 31 strikeouts, and is also a pitcher who has shown promise. TB has allowed 1 run or less in 5 of their L/10 games, and a combined average of just 2.5 rpg during that stretch.

 Under is 6-2 in Royals last 8 during game 1 of a series.Under is 5-2-1 in Royals last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 3-1-1 in Royals last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 8-1 in Rays last 9 overall.

Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. 

The Rays have gone UNDER 16 straight times off a game as a dog in which they hit more home runs than their opponent and it is post All-Star break with a combined average of 5.12 rpg scored, with the L/11 not seeing more than 7 combined runs scored.

Play UNDER 

ANDREW CASHNER (R) vs. MARCO ESTRADA (R)

Toronto has owned Baltimore this season winning 9 of their 10 meetings including all 7 here in Toronto. I'm betting the Jays will notch another victory here tonight behind their starting pitcher ESTRADA who is 8-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.44 and a WHIP of 1.146 in 15 starts with his team winning 11 of those15 games. Estrada has been in good form registering a 0.895 WHIP in his L/3 trips to hill, allowing just 12 hits in the process, 4 of which were unfortunate long balls. 

Blue Jays are 5-0 in Estradas last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Blue Jays are 7-0 in Estradas last 7 home starts vs. Orioles.Blue Jays are 21-8 in their last 29 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Meanwhile, the Orioles are 0-5 in their starters  Cashners last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Orioles are 18-60 in their last 78 road games.

BALTIMORE is 8-24  against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.BALTIMORE is 7-26 (against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 this season.

The Blue Jays have won 20 straight on the moneyline as a favorite after a game as a road dog in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs and it is post All-Star break.The Orioles are  3-20 L/23 vs the moneyline  as a dog with no rest in the first game of a series when they are off a road game and facing a divisional opponent that is ahead of them in the standings.

Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the moneyline 

KEVIN GAUSMAN (R) vs. CHRIS ARCHER (R) 

  Archer the Pirates starter since coming over in a trade from the Rays is taking his time getting acclimated the NL, but he is a quality hurler when he can get in a groove, andI'm betting today vs a struggling Pittsburgh offence that is averaging just  2.3 rpg in their L/7 overall, he will start to get back into top form. 

ARCHER I in his L/12 games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) have seen a combined average of 6.8 rpg scored.

Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-1-1 in Braves last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 overall.Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 overall.

Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 on grass.Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 home games.Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-1-1 in Pirates last 9 vs. National League East.Under is 6-1 in Pirates last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 games vs. a right-handed starte

The Pirates have gone UNDER 19 straight times off a home win in which they had at least three times as many hits as runs and it is post All-Star break with an average of 6.05 rpg scored during that span , with no contest seeing more than 8 runs scored. The L/13 have not seen more than 7 rpg scored, with a combined average of just 3.76 rpg scored.

Play on the UNDER

JASON VARGAS (L) vs. NICK PIVETTA (R)

The banged up Mets pitching rotation will force Jason Vargas (2-8, 8.10 ERA).  on to the hill to face a capable Philadelphia batting order. Vargas has seen his opponents smash him for a  .329 batting average and .397 OBP, and Im betting on him getting lit up here again tonight. When Vargas exits , the Phillies will also be able to tee off on the NL 13th ranked bullpen. Meanwhile, Nick Pivetta (7-9, 4.37)despite of being a good looking hurler, has shown inconsistencies and concentration issues as games have progressed, this season. He goes against a sometimes explosive Mets offence that put up 46 runs earlier this week during a 3 game explosion. Im betting both these teams do some damage in this prime time game this Sunday night in a tilt that eclipses the total. 

NY METS are 23-8 OVER as a road underdog of +150 or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.7 rpg scored. 

Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 8-3 in Pivettas last 11 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.

MLB team (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a bad team (38% to 46%) are 71-35 OVER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. SEAN MANAEA (L)

Oakland’s Sean Manaea (11-8, 3.44 ERA) will make his fourth consecutive home start this Sunday afternoon in Oakland    . He has permitted two runs or less in his last four home outings and gone deep in each one. Opponents are batting just .206 vs the lefty. Im betting he does well here this afternoon, vs a Houston  mired in a offensive slump scoring three runs or less in 5 of their L/6 games as they play  without  injured BA leader Jose Altuve . Meanwhile,Houston’s Justin Verlander (11-8, 2.52 ERA) will go to the hill for the Astros. Recently Verlander has pitched better on the road than at home in Minute Maid park , as is evident by allowing one run or less in  his last two road starts    Verlander has seen 70% of his away  appearances stay under  and 75% of his day games do the same. Verlander  likes  the scenery in Oakland like his pitching opponent Manaea, where he has garnered a stingy 2.52 ERA in 11 starts . The As as a team have a BA of .210 vs the veteran in his career. Everything points to a pitching duel here this afternoon. 

HOUSTON is 11-2 UNDER in road games after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span this season with a combined average score of 6.4 rpg scored.OAKLAND is 16-6 UNDER in home games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season with a combined average of 6.4 rpg scored. 

Under is 9-3 in Verlanders last 12 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 8-3-1 in Verlanders last 12 starts with 4 days of rest.Under is 8-3-1 in Verlanders last 12 road starts.Under is 5-2-1 in Verlanders last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous gameUnder is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 vs. American League West.Under is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 overall.Under is 15-3-3 in Astros last 21 road games.Under is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 on grass.Under is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 3-1-1 in Astros last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 15-5-3 in Astros last 23 games following a loss.Under is 6-2-1 in Astros last 9 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 11-4-1 in Astros last 16 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 5-2 in Astros last 7 Sunday games.Under is 5-2 in Astros last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-2-1 in Astros last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Under is 3-0-1 in Athletics last 4 home games.Under is 3-0-1 in Athletics last 4 vs. American League West.Under is 6-1 in Athletics last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Athletics last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in Athletics last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 7-2-1 in Athletics last 10 games following a win.Under is 15-5-1 in Athletics last 21 overall.

Play UNDER 

 Blue Jays starter Borucki  has not performed very well in his  the last two  trips to the hill and is fade material here according to my power rankings.  Boroucki allowed four runs and six hits in four innings of a no-decision Tuesday in Kansas City, and was said to be dealing with a toe blister and that probably still has not healed and could effect his delivery .  Meanwhile, The Yankees starter Happ faces his former Toronto teammates for the first time since the trade and is coming off a superb outing last time out vs the Rays.  The veteran southpaw allowed just one hit over seven scoreless innings of top quality work in the 4-1 victory. He has won all 3 of his starts with the Yankees since coming over in the trade and is perfect 3-0 on the RL with his team winning those games by multiple runs.He knows the Jays batting order well, and definitely has an advantage here in this spot. 

TORONTO is 7-24 SU vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season with the average margin of defeat coming by 2.3 rpg .

The Blue Jays have lost 22 straight SU in the last game of a series as a road dog of more than 130 after they lost by three-plus runs losing by ana average of 2.46 rpg, with 7 of the L/8 losses coming by 2 or more runs.The Yankees are 21-1 SU as a favorite after a game as a home favorite in which they allowed 12+ hits winning 17 of the L/20 on the runline and 11 of the L/13. The average margin of victory was by 3.11 rpg.

Play on the NY Yankees on the runline 

RICH HILL (L) vs. ERASMO RAMIREZ (R)

LA’s Rich Hill (5-4, 3.57 ERA)  Is currently in top form as is evident by allowing  two runs or less in his last five starts.  Hill is 8-1-1UNDER in its last 10 trips to the hill.HILL is 15-4 UNDER  vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse in his career. (Team's Record)with a combined average of 6.4 dog scored. HILL in 4 career  starts against SEATTLE has garnered  an ERA of 1.30 and a WHIP of 1.012 with all 4 tilts staying under the total.

 Meanwhile, the Mariners starter   Erasmo Ramirez (0-2, 6.75 ERA)  started his season off with ugly start this season and then mores bad luck as he went on the DL, until he started on  August 12 vs the defending World Series Champs allowing  just three hits, and no runs allowed , and no walks issued in five impressive innings of work. The Mariners righty  looks fresh and strong  , and I'm betting on him holding down the fort here vs a struggling Dodgers offense that has scored just 16 runs in their L/6 hames overall. Dodgers offensive star  All Star Matt Kemp  Is currently in a.big time slump going 3-for-19 (.158) the last week of action. Ramirez is 12-1 UNDER in home games when working on 5 or 6 days rest in his career.(Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.8 rpg scored.

SEATTLE is 20-9 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored.

Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-0-1 in Dodgers last 7 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 7-1 in Dodgers last 8 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-1-1 in Dodgers last 7 on grass.Under is 5-1-1 in Dodgers last 7 overall.Under is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 interleague road games.Under is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 during game 2 of a series.Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 8-2 in Dodgers last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 8-2 in Dodgers last 10 road games.Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 games following a win.Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 8-2 in Dodgers last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 10-3 in Dodgers last 13 interleague games.Under is 10-3 in Dodgers last 13 vs. American League West.Under is 9-3 in Dodgers last 12 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 6-2 in Dodgers last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Dodgers last 7 Saturday games.Under is 9-4 in Dodgers last 13 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Under is 8-3 in Mariners last 11 during game 2 of a series.Under is 18-7-1 in Mariners last 26 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 5-2 in Mariners last 7 on grass.Under is 5-2 in Mariners last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-2 in Mariners last 7 overall.Under is 7-3-1 in Mariners last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-0-1 in Ramirezs last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 3-0-1 in Ramirezs last 4 home starts.Under is 7-1-1 in Ramirezs last 9 starts with 5 days of rest.Under is 3-1-1 in Ramirezs last 5 Saturday starts.Under is 5-2 in Ramirezs last 7 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Play UNDER 

ANTONIO SENZATELA (R) vs. MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ (R)

Foltynewicz, the Braves starter is 0-4 lifetime with a 5.14 ERA against Colorado in five starts and two relief appearances. His team lost all 5 appearances  He went 0-2 with a 9.72 ERA against Colorado last season and according to my power rankings does not matchup well vs the Rockies 9. Meanwhile, COLORADO is 24-10 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season and have value here on the moneyline vs a team that they beat 11-5 yesterday for their 7th win and 8 games.Colorados Manager BLACK is 15-5  against the money line in road games after scoring 8 runs or more as the manager of COLORADO.

Meanwhile, Colorado's stater Senzatela,  pitched a simulated game on Tuesday in Houston, is 4-3 with a 4.56 ERA in 15 overall appearances this year after going 10-5 with a 4.68 ERA in 20 starts and 16 relief appearances a season ago as a rookie. He a quality young pitcher who could  easily help his team to the promised last here today vs the Braves in Atlanta.

Braves are 0-5 in Foltynewiczs last 5 starts vs. National League West.Rockies are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Atlanta.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline 

ALEX COBB (R) vs. ADAM PLUTKO (R)

The Orioles starter today Alex Cobb is a much better hurler than his record might indicate, and the   right-hander has been a viable pitcher for most of his career and under rated . He has not allowed more than three earned in any of his last six trips to the hill while garnering   a 1.35 ERA in his last three starts  . Unfortunately for Cobb he is backed by a very inconsistent of offense,  that has supported Cobb with an average of just 3.5 rpg this season. He will also have the luxury of facing a Indians line up that will not have DH Edwin Enarnacion (Injury) in the lineup. Meanwhile, the Tribe will respond with a rookie hurler Plutko that replaces , possible Cy Young candidate Trevor Bauer. Plutko is still learning on the job and  has made nine big-league appearances this season the last one a couple of weeks ago. The right-hander is 4-2 with a 4.67 ERA in his six starts for the Indians, and  since he has  never faced the Orioles, should keep their hitters off balance because of the Os lack of experience against him. 

COBB is 17-4 UNDER in August games in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.4 dog scored.

CLEVELAND is 14-4 UNDER  in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.4 rpg scored. 

Under is 5-1 in Cobbs last 6 starts overall.Under is 5-1 in Indians last 6 during game 2 of a series.Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 38-18-5 in Indians last 61 Saturday games.

Under is 20-6-1 in the last 27 meetings.

Play on the UNDER 

DANIEL STRAILY (R) vs. MAX SCHERZER (R)

Scherzer the Nationals starter is a top quality hurler, but from a totals perspective here vs the Marlins today it must be noted that in three starts against them this season, he has had tremendous run support, with his team scoring 37 runs . With Straily the Marlins starter struggling of late, with walks being his main issue,  with nine free passes in 10 innings through his first two starts this month more explosive offensive backing looks to be on this agenda fro Scherzer. The Marlins righty has also garnered a bloated 6.58 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill, and could easily get lit up the Nats in his current form, which bodes well for Washington being able to eclipse this total all by themselves.

Over is 8-1 in Strailys last 9 starts during game 1 of a series.Over is 4-0 in Scherzers last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 6-1 in Scherzers last 7 starts vs. National League East.

SCHERZER is 10-1 OVER with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.2 rpg scored. 

STRAILY is 19-7 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  with the average combined score clicking in at 10.7 rpg. 

WASHINGTON is 16-4 OVER  vs. lower tier power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.9 rpg scored.

MIAMI is 9-0 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) this season with a combine average of 13 rgg scored.MIAMI is 16-5 OVER on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10 rpg going on the board.

The Nationals have gone OVER 14 straight times  in the first game of a series with no rest as a favorite off a road game in which they had at least five more team-left-on-base than their opponent. The average combined score of these tilts rings in at 10.6 rpg , with not game seeing less than 8 runs scored.

MLB team (MIAMI) - team with a terrible OBP (.300 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less ) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season-NL are 111-69 OVER L/21 seasons for a long term 62% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play OVER