TREVOR WILLIAMS (R) vs. CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R)

There is bad blood between these two teams, after 5 batters were plunked yesterday. The Pirates looked pretty furious , and this I'm betting has them pumped up to play today and get revenge for yesterdays blown loss where they were up 5-0 before unceremoniously imploding and losing 9-5.

Williams the Pirates starting hurler a Arizona State alum won his only career start in Arizona, allowing one run in five innings and will be primed to perform here in a State  he knows well. Pirates are 7-1 in Williams' last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.

BUCHHOLZ Arizona's starter is 4-14   against the money line in the first half of the season over the last few seasons. (Team's Record)

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (PITTSBURGH) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better) -NL, ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 10 games are 31-11 L/21 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline

CHRIS STRATTON (R) vs. TREVOR RICHARDS (R)

SF had won 8 of their L/10 before their loss on Monday to the Marlins, but today I'm betting they will be focused and ready to bounce back vs the Marlins starting hurler Richards who has given up 29 hits and 14 walks across 28 2/3 innings overall.

Giants are 8-0 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Meanwhile, the Giants starter Stratton actually has been steadier on the road (3.86 ERA) than at home (5.45). Opponents are batting .206 off him on the road and .316 at AT&T Park and he gets the nod as road chalk tonight in South Florida.

STRATTON is 10-2  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record). STRATTON is 11-2   against the money line in night games dating back to last season.

STRATTON is 11-0  against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Giants are 5-0 in Strattons last 5 starts.

Marlins are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Road team is 17-4 in umpire Wegners last 21 games behind home plate.

Play on the SF Giants to win on the moneyline

JON GRAY (R) vs. AARON NOLA (R)

Early on this season, Colorado put up some nice numbers in the win loss column thanks to some strong pitching. Their offense was inconsistent during the first part of their season,  but   now suddenly  their defense and pitching is going down hill quickly as is evident by allowing an average of just over 8 rpg in their L/11 tilts overall. Needless to say in their current form they are fade material according to my power rankings.

Gray todays starting pitcher for the Rockies , is having motion problems, and looks ready to implode at any time. Note: GRAY is 1-13 against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5 in his career. (Team's Record)

Meanwhile, the Phillies return fire with what I'm betting will be an all star pick for the NL this season.   Nola has allowed more than three runs just once this season as he is establishing himself as one of the best starters in the National League.Phillies are 14-3 in Nolas last 17 home starts.

NOLA is 11-1  against the money line in home games when working on 5 or 6 days rest dating back to last season.

MLB All favorites with a money line of -150 or more (PHILADELPHIA) - with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games, in June games are 81-24 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline  

EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. DAVID HESS (R)

The Red Sox Southpaw is currently  in top form, going 4-1 with a 2.14 ERA in his last six starts. In seven career starts at Camden Yards, Rodriguez is 3-2 with a 2.75 ERA. Opponents are hitting just .228 against him this season. RODRIGUEZs team when he starts  is 21-5   against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher dating back to last season.RODRIGUEZ is 15-1 (+13.2 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more  dating back to last season.(Team's Record)

Meanwhile, Hess the Orioles starter is also pitching well, but the difference is that he does not have a consistent offense or bullpen behind him , while Rodriguez does. BALTIMORE is 1-20   against the money line after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games this season which has just happened.

BALTIMORE is 6-25  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.BALTIMORE is 4-17   against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season.BALTIMORE is 1-15  against the money line after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span this season.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (BOSTON) - ice cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 5 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 10 games. are 36-8 L/21 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (BOSTON) - good offensive team (5.1 or more  runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL are 37-9 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline

ANDREW HEANEY (L) vs. WADE LEBLANC (L)

The up trending Mariners (41-24) have won 17 of their last 22 games to pull into a tie with the defending World Series champion Houston Astros atop the American League West. The Ms are a side  familiarizing itself with finding ways to win. That's become obvious by snatching 21 of 30 1 run  affairs. With Mariners left-hander Wade LeBlanc (1-0, 2.95 ERA), on the hill for them here tonight the Mariners once again look like a solid option vs a banged up Angels team missing Japanese super star Ohtani,  and stalwart shortstop Andrelton Simmons.

Mariners are 10-0 in LeBlanc's last 10 home starts. LEBLANC is 9-0  against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons and is 9-0   against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons. Angels are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.

Meanwhile, Heaney the Halos starter despite of some strong efforts this season, including in his last start, has a average at best on the road mark, recording a 0-2 record along with a 4.43 ERA. Note:Angels are 1-7 in Heaneys last 8 road starts.Angels are 1-6 in Heaneys last 7 starts following a Quality Start his last appearance.

Mariners are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.SEATTLE is 15-7   against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season.

MLB team (LA ANGELS) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.50 or less ) (AL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are just 87-138 L/5 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline

JOE MUSGROVE (R) vs. PAT CORBIN (L)

Musgrove’s nearly perfect start with the Pirates came to an end on Tuesday, when the Dodgers scored four runs (three earned) during his five innings on the mound. Despite of the that sub par effort he still owns a 1.89 ERA and .670 opponents’ OPS in three starts this season and must not be underestimated vs a Arizona side hitting a ugly .214 vs RHP pitchers this season. I know Pittsburgh in their current form, does not inspire bettors, but in this league anything can happen, and the DBacks are far from infallible with a sub ,500 record this season vs orthodox throwers ( 19-21)

Meanwhile Arizona starter Corbin despite of some decent numbers, and a win in his last road game,   is a inconsistent, thrower, and lost his L/home start to Cincinnati  ( 7-4) .It must also be noted that the  D-backs are 0-9 on the moneyline  with Patrick Corbin on the hill at home when they won both his last start and his last start against today's opponent.  He beat the Pirates last time he faced them but is just 1-2 in his career vs the Bucks while recording a bloated 5.32 ERA.

Diamondbacks are 2-6 in Corbins last 8 starts vs. National League Central.Diamondbacks are 4-9 in Corbins last 13 starts during game 1 of a series.

Pirates are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Arizona.

Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates on the moneyline

JOSE QUINTANA (L) vs. JUNIOR GUERRA (R)

Quintana the Cubs starting thrower  struck out a season-high 10 batters over 5 2/3 innings in his last start against Philly, but got a no-decision. He's pitched his best ball on the road where he is  4-2 with a 2.62 ERA , and will be making his second start at Miller Park this season.. Quintana has been dominant against the Brewers, going 4-1 along  with a microscopic 0.63 ERA in six meetings - including two wins this season in which he has allowed only five hits over 13 scoreless innings. Under is 4-0 in Quintanas last 4 starts vs. Brewers.Under is 5-1-1 in Quintanas last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record

Meanwhile, the Brewers starting hurler Guerra surrendered a total of just five runs in his last three starts combined (18 IP). Guerra is 1-1 with a 1.80 ERA in seven games (four starts) against the Cubbies, and  on April 28 at Chicago gave up one run and three hits over six frames but still lost.Under is 4-0 in Guerras last 4 starts overall.Under is 5-1-1 in Guerras last 7 home starts.Under is 18-3 in Guerras last 21 starts following a team loss in their previous game. ( Brewers lost 4-3 to Philly yesterday)

The Brewers have struggled against LHP this season and own a sub par below the Mendoza line  .233 BA  vs southpaws. The Brewers inconsistent offense has contributed to them seeing 17 of their 27 home games stay on the low side of the Total.  The Cubs have also been sub par at vs right handers producing just 4.7 rpg and a 391 strike outs and have been particularly unproductive on the road averaging just 4.2 rpg in offense. This has attributed to them going under in 18 of their 29 road games this season.

Both these pitchers are backed by very viable bullpens. Chicago owns a stingy 1.99 road ERA, while the Brewers own a 2.54 home ERA.

Considering the starting pitching matchup and the bullpen and offensive power rankings we have value with an under wager in this spot. Add to that both teams are in race for division supremacy and you have a post season type atmosphere at Miller Park that could translate into a play off style low scoring affair. I-94 rivalry = low scoring.

QUINTANAs team when he starts is 12-1 UNDER   on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 5.4 rpg scored and is 9-1 UNDER   in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.4 rpg gong on the board.QUINTANA is 15-3 UNDER  L/18 on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 5.8 rpg going on the scoreboard.

GUERRA is 13-3 UNDER L/16 at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last few seasons with a combined average of 6.1rpg scored and is 18-6 UNDER  when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.7 rpg going on the board.

MILWAUKEE is 27-10 UNDER   vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game on the season dating back to last season with a combined average score of 7.6 rpg going on the board.

Under is 34-15-2 in Cubs last 51 road games vs. a team with a winning record..Under is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 during game 1 of a series.Under is 16-5 in the last 21 meetings.

MLB Road teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season-NL, in June games are 31-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

LUIS SEVERINO (R) vs. SETH LUGO (R)

Severino continued to pitch like an ace his last time out, striking out 10 over 8 innings of 2-run, 4-hit ball to beat the Tigers. Severino is also 7-0 with a 1.85 ERA in his last 10 starts and the Yankees are 12-1 in his 13 starts I'm betting he keeps rolling here vs a struggling NY Mets offense, that have scored just 11 runs in the last eight games overall. Severino is 2-0 against the Mets and has not allowed a run in two appearances (one start) spanning 10 2/3 innings.

SEVERINO team when he starts is 32-9 SU vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons with the average margin of victory coming 2.8 RPG.

Meanwhile, Seth Lugo the Mets starter despite of being a stable hurler, will go against an explosive Yanks batting order that has lit up RHP this season averaging 5.8 rpg with 59 HRS.


The Mets have lost 16 straight on the moneyline and 11 straight on the Runline as a home dog after a game as a home dog in which they had 6 or fewer hits and it is not a series opener.NY METS are 0-9 against the money line in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better) dating back to last season with the average margin of defeat coming by 4.2 RPG.
NY METS are 0-9 against the money line in home games after batting .200 or worse over a 5 game span over the last 2 seasons losing on average by 2 rpg. NY METS are 1-22 SU as an underdog of +175 to +250 over the last 3 seasons losing SU by a whopping 4.4 rpg.


MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (NY METS) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 7-39 for a 85% go against conversion rate for bettors with average margin loss coming by 2.2 rpg.

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the RL -1.5

JAMES PAXTON (L) vs. NATHAN EOVALDI (R)

Mariners starter Paxton is a top tier hurler in good form , but I;m betting the Rays do enough damage today vs him and his bullpen to get us over the number. PAXTON team when he starts  is 11-1 OVER   on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5 in his career, with the combined average score of 10.5 rpg scored. Meanwhile, Eovaldi the Rays starter back in the rotation after Tommy John surgery looked off in his second start and gave up four runs on four hits and a walk across five innings to take the loss at Washington. Today I'm betting a Mariners offense  that has done its best work on the road this season averaging 4.9 rpg lights this vulnerable hurler up and possibly eclipse this total all by themselves.

Over is 4-1 in Paxtons last 5 road starts and  is 4-1 OVER  in Paxtons last 5 starts overall.Over is 8-3-2 in Paxtons last 13 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.

The Rays have gone OVER 13 straight times by an average of 1.73 RPG as a dog off a home game in which they had multiple multiple-run innings.

SEATTLE is 30-17 OVER   in road games vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game dating back to last season with a combined average score of 11 rpg going on the board.SEATTLE is 14-5 OVER  on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season with a combined average of 9.6 rpg scored.

Over is 3-0-1 in umpire Gucciones last 4 games behind home plate and

MLB Home teams (TAMPA BAY) - revenging 5 or more straight losses vs opponent in last 2 years, starting a pitcher who walked 1or less  hitters each of his last 2 outings are 50-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play OVER

ALEX COBB (R) vs. MARCO ESTRADA (R)

Estrada  is coming off his best start this season and looks to be forming into top gear entering this tilt vs the Orioles. He took a scoreless outing into the 7th vs. the Yanks, but came away with a no-decision , because his bullpen let him down vs a strong offense. It was the second time over the last five starts Estrada has allowed three runs or fewer. I'm betting Estrada will do just fine in this spot vs a Os team that is struggling vs RHP , averaging just 3.1 rpg on a lowly .217 team BA. Blue Jays are 4-1 in Estradas last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record
BALTIMORE is 4-23 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last couple of  seasons.ESTRADA is 7-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.47 and a WHIP of 1.169 and Estrada has seen his team win his L/6 starts at home vs the Orioles. He gets my support again.

Meanwhile, Alex Cobb the Orioles starter owns a bloated 6.43 road ERA and a massive 1.743 WHIP in 7 road starts and despite of the occasional decent outing, is a pitcher that does not matchup well vs the Blue Jays batting order according to my pitcher vs offense power rankings charts.

BALTIMORE is 3-13 L/16  against the money line in road games when playing against a struggling  team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%).BALTIMORE is 9-30
 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season.

The Orioles have lost 20 straight on the money-line off a road extra inning game and it is not a series opener.( Which happened yesterday )

Play on the Blue Jays to win on the moneyline

DOMINGO GERMAN (R) vs. STEVEN MATZ (L)

The Mets continue to struggle and have lost 7 straight games including yesterdays opener vs the Yankees and are fade material in their current form. Their woes I'm betting will continue tonight vs a pinstripe crew that has won 8 of their L/9 overall and in top form.

Mets are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter like DOMINGO GERMAN the Yankees starter.

Mets are 2-14 in their last 16 interleague games

Note: Steven Matz the Mets pitcher despite of some decent efforts of late, has had very little success against the Yankees over the years, going 1-2 with a 7.63 ERA in three career outings.Mets are 2-8 in Matzs last 10 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Yankees are 20-8 in their last 28 games vs. a left-handed starter.

It must also be noted that Matz has had problems with giving up HRS at home giving up 8 in 6 appearances. This is not a good omen for him and his teams chances as the Yankees have smacked 51 HRs in 29 road games this season.

Yankees are 8-1 in their last 9 interleague games and 7-1 in their L/9 interleague road games.

NY METS are 0-7 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season and are 4-13 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season this season. NY METS are 8-20 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. NY METS are 2-16 against the money line as a home underdog of +125 or more over the last 2 seasons. Yankees Manager BOONE is 18-3 against the money line after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games as the manager of NY YANKEES.

Yankees are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline

MICHAEL WACHA (R) vs. LUIS CASTILLO (R)  

Wacha the Cards starter today vs the Reds, is in top form as is evident by a  5-0  record along with a 1.60 ERA over a span of nine starts, which started with 6 2/3 innings of one-run ball against Cincinnati on April 20. My own power rankings also suggest he matches up very well vs the Reds and he and the Cards get my back here in this spot play.ST LOUIS is 8-0 against CINCINNATI this season including yesterdays extra innings 7-6 victory. Note: The Reds have lost 14 straight as a home dog after they played extra innings last game. 

CINCINNATI is 2-18  against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game this season. CINCINNATI is 16-34  against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season.

 MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, with a team batting average of .245 or worse on the season (NL) are 67-25 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the St.Louis Cards to win on the moneyline

NICK KINGHAM (R) vs. JON LESTER (L)

 My own projections estimate that the total of this tilt should be closer to 9 to 9.5 runs thus giving us value according to my data on a over wager.

 I know Cubs starter John Lester is a stable fixture in the Cubs rotation, but the Pirates have done some of their best offensive work vs lefty starters this season averaging 5.1 rpg of production behind a solid .274 BA.Over is 11-4 in Pirates last 15 games vs. a left-handed starter and they have gone over in 4 of their L/5 vs LHP on the road. Over is 5-0 in Lesters L/5 home start vs a team with a below .500 record and he is 5-0 in his L/5 starts vs the Pirates and 9-2 OVER in his L/11 home starts overall. The Cubs have gone OVER when Jon Lester starts as a home favorite when they won in his last start against the current opponent, going over by an average of 9.56 runs per game. The  combined average score of those tilts clicked in at a whopping 18.3 rpg. 

Meanwhile, Nick Kingman the Pirates starter owns a bloated 6.10 ERA in 10 innings of road action this season, and almost always has looked to be on the verge of imploding, and is not in good overall form and very susceptible to being lit up by the Cubs today. Everything points to this being a fairly high scoring affair. 

Play OVER

BRANDON MCCARTHY (R) vs. WALKER BUEHLER (R)

The Braves starter McCarthy (5-2, 4.83 ERA)  has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four outings. He is a former Dodgers and would love nothing more than to take them down here tonight in Chez ravine.MCCARTHY is 6-0  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher dating back to last season. (Team's Record) Dodgers are just  3-10 in their last 13 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

I know the the Dodgers are going with Buehler a pitcher who has faired well a home this season, but Atlanta must  not be underestimated behind a the  high octane offense  that leads the National League with 312 runs and is second in OPS at .759. ATLANTA is 7-1  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better this season and is  11-3  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season. Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.

The Braves lost to San Diego last time out, but have shown a great deal of resiliency after a defeat as is evident by the following trends.  Braves are 21-6 in their last 27 games following a loss.ATLANTA is 9-1  against the money line after a loss by 2 runs or less this season. The Braves have 6 straight on the moneyline  in the first game of a series with rest as a 170+ dog off a road game where they struck 10 times or more.

MLB team (ATLANTA) - after scoring 1 run or less against opponent after scoring and allowing 6 runs or more 2 straight games in which they struck out at least ten times are 49-25 L/21 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline

MARCO GONZALES (L) vs. WILMER FONT (R) 

The Tampa Bay Rays enter this game in a major funk having lost 7 straight games, after the Mariners beat them 5-4 yesterday. I'm betting things wont get better today for the Rays as their inconsistent offense that has scored just 16 total runs during their current losing streak goes head to head with top tier Seattle starter Marco Gonzalez who is currently in top form as is evident by his 3-0 record in this L/3 starts which includes a microscopic 0.44 ERA  and .0.934 WHIP . Overall the righty has allowed  just 1 ER in more than 26 innings of quality work spanning 4 starts.Mariners are 6-0 in Gonzales' last 6 starts during game 2 of a series and beat the Mariners the last time he faced them.Mariners are 4-0 in Gonzales' last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. 

Meanwhile, Seattle will face a reliever in Wilmer Font, who despite of pitching well since arriving in TB , has shown a propensity to implode, as is evident by  being smashed around  for 24 runs over 17 innings of work with  Oakland As  and the Los Angeles Dodgers earlier this season.

The righty thrower has also allowed a troubling 11 HRS in just 30 innings of work this season. Mariners are 20-7 in their last 27 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Mariners are 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Seattle has owned the Rays of late winning 11 of the l2 meetings. Seattle is 15-4 L/19 overall. Rays are 9-23 in their last 32 games following a loss.Rays are 1-7 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Rays are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. American League West.

 Seattle to win on the moneyline

TYLER ANDERSON (L) vs. TYLER MAHLE (R)

After starting their season with inconsistent offensive results the Colorado Rockies are now hitting on all cylinders and averaging 6.7 rpg over their L/11 .Their saving grace earlier on the season, was their pitching but now suddenly that has gone in reverse as well, as is evident by allowing 9.8 rpg in their L/5 overall. They have not seen less than 9 combined runs scored in any of their L/11 overall, and I'm betting nothing changes this afternoon in Cincinnati. Meanwhile, the Reds are also partaking in a some high scoring affairs and only one of their L/11 has seen less than 9 runs scored. The Reds have allowed 6.7 rpg in their L/11 overall, and have averaged 5 rpg in offense in their L/5 overall and have shown some offensive explosive this season behind a under rated group of hitters.

Over is 5-0-1 in Reds last 6 overall.Over is 5-0-1 in Reds last 6 vs. National League West.Over is 6-0-2 in Rockies last 8 overall.

Considering todays pitching matchup featuring Tyler Anderson and Tyler Mahle, and their sub par supporting bullpens  another high scoring tilt is not out of the question and   offers up a viable over wagering investment option.

Over is 6-1-2 in Reds last 9 games vs. a left-handed starter. Over is 4-1 in Andersons last 5 road starts.Over is 3-0-2 in Rockies last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.CINCINNATI is 14-3 OVER  in home games against NL West opponents over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 12.5 rpg.

Anderson is off a non quality start  going five innings and allowing seven hits and five runs  and owns a bloated 7.16 ERA in his L/3 overall starts and a overall 5.07 ERA on the season. Meanwhile, Mahle the Reds starter is off a good effort, but that was his best start since April 2nd and according to my power rankings is not a stable nor consistent hurler at the moment and vulnerable to being lit up vs a Rockies batting order in red hot form coming into this tilt. Hs last two starts have seen 11 and 9  combined runs go on the board.

Over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings in Cincinnati.

Play OVER

BLAINE HARDY (L) vs. EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L)

Boston's  southpaw starter tonight Eduardo Rodrguez is currently in top form and has settled into a nice rhythm  , allowing three earned runs or less in his last five starts.  He gets the nod from me tonight vs a very inconsistent Detroit Tigers offense

These below straight up trends correlate to my -1.5 runline stance.

RODRIGUEZ team when he starts  is 14-1   against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more dating back to last season with the average margin of victory coming by 2.4 rpg. BOSTON is 32-6  against the money line as a favorite of -200 or more over the last 2 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by 2.2 rpg. DETROIT is 57-179   against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 since 1997 with the average loss coming by more than 2.4 rpg.

The Boston Red Sox have won 20 straight games as a home 200+ favorite when they are off two victories in which they never trailed, with the last one coming as chalk, with the average margin of victory clicking in at 5.3 rpg.The Detroit Tigers have lost 28 straight times  as a 125-plus underdog when they are off a game as a dog in which Miguel Cabrera was hitless losing SU with the average loss coming by 3.6 rpg ( 5-23 on the Runline)

MLB Home favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+135 to -190) (BOSTON) - good offensive team (5.1 or more  runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), playing on Wednesday are 39-14 L/21 seasons for a 74% conversion rate on the blind with the average margin of victory coming by 2.8 rpg.

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the -1.5 runline

PAT CORBIN (L) vs. MADISON BUMGARNER (L)

Corbin the DBacks starter pitched a one-hit shutout in a 1-0 home win over the Giants in April and matches up well vs this current Giants batting order. He will be opposed by what I'm betting will be a rusty Madison Bumgarner who is coming off the disabled list to make his first start of the season. I know the DBacks have struggled offensively this season, but the Giants veteran hurler has seen his team go 0-5   against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game on the season  dating back to last year and is 1-9 against the money line against division opponents over the last couple of seasons. Note: ARIZONA is 11-5  against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. BUMGARNER is 0-6 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the moneyline

I did not expect the Braves to be in such a letdown situation yesterday, as they lost 11-4 in their first game out West after taking out the Nationals in 3 of 4 games on the weekend. The good news though for us is that we have an opportunity to now cash on the braves in a bounce back situation this evening. It must be noted that the Braves are 20-6 L/26 after a loss and are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a starter like  with a WHIP less than 1.15. Meanwhile, I know SD has been playing well but they have had a recent history of sudden catastrophic failure as is evident by  a  3-20 record  against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last few seasons. and are just  5-16  against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season.

ATLANTA is 10-2  against the money line in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 10 or more runs (lost 11-4 yesterday).

Coming off a top tier  May, the Atlanta Braves starter  Newcomb will attempt to enhance what currently stand as strong All-Star credentials. The young southpaw has allowed two earned runs or fewer over at least six innings in seven of his 11 starts and get the nod here tonight against the San Diego Padres in the 2nd game of this series.Newcomb has the 10th-best ERA in the National League and is tied for fifth in wins. He is also riding a six-game winning streak, which is tied for the third longest in the National League this season. Newcomb also ranks among the league leaders in several other categories -- like seventh in opponents' batting average (.204), sixth in road ERA (2.06), third in winning percentage (.857) 

Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a starter lie Lyles with a WHIP less than 1.15

MLB Home teams (SAN DIEGO) - with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (NL), with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 5 games are 14-37 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline

BRAD KELLER (R) vs. ANDREW HEANEY (L)

Heaney the Angles starter gave up three earned runs over five innings, with seven strikeouts, against Kansas City on April 13 and matches up well vs the very inconsistent KC batting order. It must be noted despite of a few struggles of late, Heaney (2-4, 3.66) allowed two earned runs or less in six consecutive starts from April 27 to May 25. . The southpaw gets my backing tonight vs a KC Royals team that ha scored 3 runs or less in 7 of their L/11 overall games.

LA ANGELS are 15-2   against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season this season. with by an average  margin of 3.3rpg game going on the board .LA ANGELS are 12-2    against the money line when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 38% or less ) this season winning by an average of 3 rpg.

Play on the LA Angels on the runline -1.5

ZACH EFLIN (R) vs. KYLE HENDRICKS (R

Zach Eflin has struggled of late and could be replaced in the rotation if he does not turn things around quickly. Its not like this pitcher does have the tools to succeed, and is more than capable of a big performance to save his starting job. Pitchers in these situations have a tendency of giving it their all, and I constantly keep an eye out for these kinds of opportunities,. With that said, I am recommending we take a  Phillies side with capabilities to pull an upset on exceptional value line. Note: Cubs are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

It must also be noted that Chicago starter Hendricks (4-4, 3.19 ERA) has struggled with inconsistency this season, and has shown a susceptibility  to be smashed around. HENDRICKS is 1-7  against the money line after a win this season (team record) and is just is 3-7  against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season.

 Phillies are 10-2 in their last 12 vs. National League Central and are 10-4 in their last 14 vs. a team with a winning record.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (PHILADELPHIA) - starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games are 42-25 L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline

JUNIOR GUERRA (R) vs. COREY KLUBER (R)

Kluber the Indians starter tonight pitched  six brilliant shutout innings against the White Sox on Wednesday, piling up 10 strikeouts with zero walks. The Tribe ace is riding a streak of 112 batters faced with zero walks and has a 0.68 ERA in his past four turns and get the nod here on the -1.5 run line. I know the Tribe have struggled a little bit of late, but it must be noted that CLEVELAND is a perfect 11-0  against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by a whopping 4.1 rpg. ( Indians 7.6 Opp 3.5 which gives credence to my -1.5 runline call this evening.

I know Guerra the Brewers starter is in good form but this Cleveland offense when motivated can put a beat down on the best of hurlers. The Indians are the only team in the majors with five players with 10 or more home runs, and five with 30 or more RBIs: Jose Ramirez (18 homers, 41 RBIs), Encarnacion (16 and 40), Francisco Lindor (14 and 35), Yonder Alonso (11 and 33) and Michael Brantley (10 and 38).

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (CLEVELAND) - with a bullpen that averages less than 2.75 innings per game against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL are 50-7 L/21 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with the average margin of victory coming by an average of 2.8 rpg.

Play on the Cleveland Indians -1.5 runline

C.C. SABATHIA (L) vs. MARCO ESTRADA (R) The Yankees will start left-hander CC Sabathia (2-1, 3.73 ERA) against Blue Jays right-hander Marco Estrada (2-6, 5.68). Sabathia is who I'm backing  as he is in  better form and has an offense backing him that is more consistent than the Blue Jays attack. Eastrada the Jays starter in his last  seven starts   is 0-5 with a 5.89 ERA.Yankees are 20-8 in their last 28 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. 

The Yankees did have a 5 game winning streak snapped in the second game of a Double header vs the Tigers last time out, but are a very good bounce back candidate as is evident by their  36-16 record in their last 52 games following a loss. 

 SABATHIA team  is 23-9 when he starts   against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons. NY YANKEES are 16-3   against the money line after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season and are  13-3 against the money line rested bullpen - threw  2 innings or less in each of the last 2 games over the last 2 seasons. 

 The Blue Jays  have lost 14 straight   as a home dog vs a southpaw when they lost the last three times they faced a left handed pitcher.

 Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline

JULIO TEHERAN (R) vs. CLAYTON RICHARD (L)

The Braves just took 3 of 4 games in a weekend series from the Nationals, and are now flying out west feeling pretty good about themselves, standing in first place in the NL East and  and brimming with confidence. Sometimes situations like this can have a team in a letdown spot, but this Braves team has good chemistry and leadership and is taking nothing for granted, especially when they ponder how many struggles the organization has dealt with over the last few seasons. With that said, I'm going to ride the momentum of the Braves from East to West and bet on them to bring home the cash to their backers in the first game of this series.

Tonight's pitching matchup features pitchers in good form, but not getting the support they need to get wins of late. But Teheran according to my power rankings matches up better vs the Fathers batting order than Richards does vs the Braves clutch hitters.

Teheran is 4-2 with a 3.76 ERA in eight career starts against San Diego, including a win in his lone start against the Padres last season. SD starter Richard  has never beaten the Braves and is 0-6 with a 6.75 ERA in nine career games - six starts.

Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Braves are 8-3 in Teherans last 11 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Braves are 9-2 in the last 11 meetings. Braves are  9-3  against the money line in road games against left-handed starters this season doing their best offensive work producing 5.6 rpg and 26 HRS.

 Padres are 5-21 in Richards last 26 starts vs. National League East.Padres are 7-23 in their last 30 during game 1 of a series.Padres are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

ATLANTA is 23-14  against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season and is s 15-9   against the money line vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season.

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline

  ALEX WOOD (L) vs. CHAD BETTIS (R)

The Dodgers (28-30) have won 12 of their past 16 games and are currently in good from, and get the nod here today according to my pitcher vs pitcher vs batting order power rankings. it must be noted that the Dodgers starter Bettis has yet to win or have a decision at home this season, going 0-0, 7.06 in four starts. His form has gone down hill of late despite of solid early season numbers,  as is evident by his last four consecutive no-decisions covering 22 innings, Bettis has a 6.95 ERA, and opposing hitters are batting .315 with a .869 OPS during that time frame and is fade material in his current form. Meanwhile, Alex Wood the Dodgers starter has pitched his best ball away from home this season, garnering a solid 2.88 ERA , and despite of pitching here at the launching pad known as Coors Field should do enough to hold the Rockies very inconsistent offense in check.

COLORADO is 9-18 L/27  against the money line in home games after 5 or more consecutive home games .

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA DODGERS) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), playing on Sunday ae 95-35 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Dodgers  to win on the moneyline

The Cards starter Wacha hasn’t lost since his season debut way back in March. He’s completed at least five innings in each of his 10 starts since. Cardinals are 5-0 in Wachas last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Meanwhile, Kingman the Pirates starter  since taking a perfect game into the seventh inning in his debut against the Cardinals, he has allowed three or more earned runs in each of his past three starts.

Pirates are 6-13 in their last 19 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Pirates are 15-36 in their last 51 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

ST LOUIS is 16-3 L/19  against the money line in home games after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games  dating back to last season, which happened yesterday.PITTSBURGH is 19-39   against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 dating back to last season.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (ST LOUIS) - with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL), after a one run win are 97-38 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the moneyline

JEREMY HELLICKSON (R) vs. ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R)

Hellickson the Nats  starter continues to be a pleasant surprise  since taking over as their No. 5 starter. In his last five outings, he owns a 1.30 ERA and Washington is undefeated in those five games.. In five career starts against Atlanta, Hellickson is 2-0 with a 3.21 ERA. HELLICKSON team when he starts is 11-5   against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%).

Nationals are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Sanchez.

Atlanta won the first two games of the series between the National League East frontrunners, but Washington won the four-hour marathon Saturday and pulled to within a half game of the Braves and are now my choice to get a split of this 4 game series set.

WASHINGTON is 30-15  against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 dating back to last season.Nationals are 14-3 in their last 17 road games.

MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (WASHINGTON) - allowing 3.5 or less runs/game on the season (NL) against opponent top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season are 41-13 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the moneyline

AARON SANCHEZ (R) vs. MICHAEL FULMER (R)

Neither one of these two pitchers inspire me, but baseball is more than a pitching matchup. With that said, and even though the Tigers are in good form and the Jays in a slump, my own power rankings suggest a favorable matchup situation for the desperate Jays here in the final game of this series. The Tigers have struggled against RHP this season like the Jays Sanchez, and are averaging just 3.9 rpg via a below the Mendoza line .244 BA. The Jays are 15-4 L/19 after having lost 6 or 7 of their L/8 games.

DETROIT is 61-99 against the money line against right-handed starters  dating back to last season.

The Tigers took the first two games of this series Note: Blue Jays are 23-10 in their last 33 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.

Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the moneyline

JON LESTER (L) vs. STEVEN MATZ (L)

Lester is coming off a win vs. the Bucs in which he not only struck out 6 over 6 innings but collected 2 hits himself. Even better, the lefty didn't walk a batter. He's 5-1 with a 3.83 ERA in 7 career starts vs. the Mets, including 5 quality starts. . Jon Lester is 17-0  L/17 a favorite of 120+ off a start in which he did not allow a walk. He goes against a  Mets team that has shown no clutch capabilities of late at all as they  stranded 11 runners and left the bases loaded in the 13th and landed their eighth loss in 10 games yesterday.

LESTER team when he starts is 36-9  against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse dating back to last season.

Meanwhile, Matz the Mets starter left his last trip to the hill after three innings due to a strained left index finger and is less than 100% here, but the Mets need him to start. He went through a throwing program over the week , but that tells me a lot about what could be expected of his here today. Matz is 0-1 with a 6.10 ERA in two starts against the Cubs

NY METS are 2-15  L/17  against the money line as a home underdog of +125 or more .

MLB  underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (NY METS) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), playing on Sunday are 19-78 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline

CHRIS ARCHER (R) vs. MARCO GONZALES (L)

TBs starter tonight  Archer has notched three consecutive quality starts. On Monday, he held the A's scoreless on four hits in six innings, but he came away with a no-decision. Opposition batters are hitting just .204 against Archer in his last six starts. Under is 4-0 in Archers last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 5-1 in Archers last 6 starts overall.Under is 8-1 in Mariners last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Meanwhile, Gonzalez his Mariners pitching opponent has allowed just two unearned runs over 19 1/3 innings in his last three starts and is 4-1 with a 2.08 ERA over his last seven, while going six-plus innings in six of those outings.  Under is 4-0 in Gonzales' last 4 starts overall.Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 3-0-1 in Rays last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

I'm expecting both these pitcher to long and strong and for this Total not to be eclipsed.

MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (SEATTLE) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or worse) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP p1.300 to 1.350) -AL, starting a pitcher who gave up 2 earned runs or less in his last 2 outings are 52-21 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

MASAHIRO TANAKA (R) vs. KEVIN GAUSMAN (R)

Tanaka has won back-to-back starts, and he's coming off an outing against the Angels where he allowed a run on three hits over six innings. Tanaka struck out eight, including Shohei Ohtani twice. He did  lose to the Orioles on April 5. and will now be primed for a big bounce back here vs an offense that has averaged just 3.3 rpg vs righties this season via a ugly .217 BA. I'm betting the Os having a hard time getting runs on the board in this spot.Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.

 Meanwhile, Gausman  is off his worst start of the season on Sunday against the Rays, going a season-low 2 2/3 innings and allowing a season-high seven runs. Still, Gausman has been one of the Orioles’ most consistent arms this season.. I'm expecting he will bounce back in this spot and does his part in holding this total combined score to stay on the low side of the /Total. Note: Under is 5-1 in Gausmans last 6 home starts.Under is 40-16-2 in Gausmans last 58 starts vs. American League East.

Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 vs. American League East.Under is 6-0 in Orioles last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

BALTIMORE is 8-1 UNDER  in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.BALTIMORE is 9-1 UNDER  as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season.

Play UNDER

CHAD KUHL (R) vs. LUKE WEAVER (R)

 Kuhl the Pirates starter has pitched decently of late, but is one of those pitchers that just cant find consistent positive results even when he's in a groove.  The righty has given up one run or fewer in three of his last five trips to the hill overall but has only one win to show for it.Pirates are also just 2-7 in Kuhls last 9 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Meanwhile, Weaver after a strong run, has struggled of late, and is on the verge of losing his spot in the rotation. Because of this however, I expect we see him out to prove his detractors wrong and be hell bent on mowing down the Pirates inconsistent offense. Note: The Pirates have  given up 59 runs and have lost 9 of their L/11 and own a  lowly.285 OBP in their L/7 games overall.

Pirates are 0-4 in Kuhls L/4 starts vs the Cardinals .Pirates are 17-35 in the last 52 meetings in St. Louis.

Cardinals are 8-2 in Weavers last 10 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

PITTSBURGH is 18-38   against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150  dating back to last season.

MLB Road teams (PITTSBURGH) - good offensive team ( 4.7 ror more uns/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game are not long term good bets going just 44-77 L/5 seasons for a 64% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the moneyline

JHOULYS CHACIN (R) vs. JAMES SHIELDS (R)

I went with the Brewers yesterday , and they did start fast ripping out a 3-0 lead , but faded as the game went on, and were eventually beaten 8-3. Today I'm coming right back with the Brewers as my choice in spot vs an inconsistent White Sox side,  that is 1-9 in their L/10 home games vs a team with a road winning record of .600 or better. note: Brewers are 20-6 in their last 26 games following a loss and are obviously adapt at bouncing back with ferocity.

Brewers are 40-15 in their last 55 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. The White Sox have lost 8 of their L/10 after scoring 5 runs or more.
The White Sox starter -Shields has seen his team go 0-7 L/7 when he starts against a team with an above .500 record. Meanwhile, the Brewers starter Chacin has seen his team go 4-0 in his L/4 road starts vs a losing team and 4-0 vs a below .500 team overall. Brewers are 7-1 in Chacins last 8 starts.

CHI WHITE SOX are 4-22 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season. The Brewers  have won 12 straight as a road favorite off a road game in which they had more strikeouts than hits, winning by an average of 4.4 rpg.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better ), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) are 42-85 L/21 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline

CHASE ANDERSON (R) vs. HECTOR SANTIAGO (L)

These are two teams are playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum. Milwaukee consistently keeps finds ways to win, and the Chicago White Sox keep finding interesting new ways to lose. The Brewers have won 20 of their L/28 overall and  10 of their L/13 away tilts and the Pale hose have now lost 4 straight and are off being swept by the Cleveland Indians.

Chase Anderson the Brewers starter today has pitched his best ball away from home this season, garnering a stingy 2.19 ERA and 2-1 record in 4 road starts this season and is my choice today on what my own projections estimate to be a Brewers victory. He will be backed by a top tier bullpen that has registered a equally stingy 2.35 ERA on the road this season.

Brewers are 11-4 in Andersons last 15 starts.Brewers are 4-0 in Andersons last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Brewers are 6-1 in Andersons last 7 road starts.White Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Meanwhile, the Southsiders return fire with Hector Santiago a southpaw that has not liked pitching in Chicago this season, as is evident by his nasty looing 10.61 ERA.

Brewers are 9-4 in their last 13 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.White Sox are 0-5 in Santiagos last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.White Sox are 0-6 in Santiagos last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.

CHI WHITE SOX are 3-22 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6  or less errors/game this season. White Sox are 0-9 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

MILWAUKEE is 9-0   against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 this season.MILWAUKEE is 9-2  against the money line in road games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season. MILWAUKEE is 20-8  against the money line vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season. MILWAUKEE is 19-7   against the money line when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 38% or less ) dating back to last season.

MLB Home teams (CHI WHITE SOX) - after being swept on the road in a 3 game series by a division rival, with a losing record are 18-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHI WHITE SOX) - after being swept on the road in a 3 game series by a division rival are 11-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline

AARON NOLA (R) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L)

Phillies RH Aaron Nola (6-2, 2.27 ERA) vs. Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (1-4, 2.86)

Kershaw the Dodgers ace struggled earlier this season before going on the disabled list, allowing 7 HRS and offenses to hit .234 against him. He is said, to be healthy and strong again, and I expect he gets back to the form that saw the southpaw  hold  opponents below .200 in four straight seasons and a career .206 BA .Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said there isn't a definitive pitch limit for Kershaw, saying, "I think he's fine to go deep, depending on how he's throwing."

I know the Phillies starter Nola is a top quality pitcher, and right now looks like one of the betters hurlers in MLB, but he has a recent history of sub par road efforts, and not getting the support he needs from his teams inconsistent offense  as is evident by the following trends.Phillies are 1-7 in Nolas last 8 road starts. Phillies are 1-4 in Nolas last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.

KERSHAWs team when he starts  is 31-7   against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last few seasons. KERSHAWs starts have seen his team go  69-24    against the money line in day games in his career. Dodgers are 15-2 in Kershaws last 17 starts during game 4 of a series.

Phillies are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 games  umpire Little behind home plate.

MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (LA DODGERS) - with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP = 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 35-5 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the moneyline

ANDREW HEANEY (L) vs. RYAN CARPENTER (L)

The Halos starter Hanley has pitched quite well of late, but it must be noted  the Angels  southpaw has seen his team go  1-5 in his  last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance .  He lost a 2-1 decision to the Yanks, last time out and could easily find himself in a natural letdown spot. The Angels are also 1-6 in Heaneys last 7 road starts. He has also walked 9 batters in his L/3 starts which has  a way of manifesting itself over time in a negative outcome  scenario algorithm according to my power rankings charts.  I know Carpenter his Tigers  pitching opponent may not inspire bettors, but the Angles have been inconsistent of late offensively, scoring 1, 1, 3, 1 runs in 4 of their L/6 games. From my perspective there is enough value here for us to take the underdog on the +1.5 runline based on SU data.

DETROIT is 9-3   against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season and is 7-2   against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better this season.DETROIT is 11-5   against the money line in home games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season.DETROIT is 10-4  against the money line in home games in May games this season.

MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA ANGELS) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs are not quality bets, going just 60-66 L/21 seasons.

Play on the Detroit Tigers to win on the RUNLINE +1.5

DALLAS KEUCHEL (L) vs. LUIS SEVERINO (R)

Keuchel is the only Astros starter with a losing record but he leads the American League with a groundball rate of 57.7 percent and never an easy pitcher face for any offense. .The southpaw is also 2-2 with a 2.73 ERA in his last five outings, including May 2 when he was on the losing end of a 4-0 decision to the Yankees in Houston. Meanwhile, the Yankees  return fire with starter Luis Severino (7-1, 2.28) who   pitched lights out vs the  Astros four weeks ago in Houston. In that tilt he pitched a five-hitter with 10 strikeouts on 110 pitches.
Severino tossed his first career complete game by averaging 98.3 mph on his 60 four-seam fastballs, 88.7 mph on his 34 sliders and 88.6 mph on his 16 changeups. Severino's top tier outing  in Houston is part of a run of eight straight starts without a loss that continued when he allowed one run on four hits in six innings of a 2-1 win over the Los Angeles Angels. Since his loss in Boston on April 10, Severino is 5-0 with a 1.87 ERA.I 'm expecting more top quality work here this afternoon.

The Yankees and Astros took part in a higher scoring game yesterday, which saw the Yanks win 6-5, but this one has the ear markings of a much lower scoring affair. Note: HOUSTON is 7-0 UNDER  revenging a one run loss to opponent this season with a combined average of 5.7 rpg scored ,  , and overall  9-0 UNDER  after a one run loss this season with a combined average of 5.8 rpg scored.

Under is 7-1 in Keuchels last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 9-2-2 in Keuchels last 13 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 9-3 in Astros last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 5-0 in Keuchels last 5 starts vs. Yankees.

Under is 5-0 in Severinos last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

HOUSTON is 12-4 UNDER vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season with a combined average 6 rpg scored.

MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (NY YANKEES) - after a game where they committed 4 or more fielding errors, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games are 35-7 UNDER  L/21 seasons for 83% conversion rate for bettors on the blind with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored.

Play UNDER

KYLE GIBSON (R) vs. DANNY DUFFY (L)

Gibson a usually reliable hurler, who owns  a 2.61 ERA on the road this season, but  has struggled a little bit in has last few efforts. However, it must be noted that the Royals  are less than capable of taking advantage of pitchers in a funk as they are just  3-23 in their last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 plus they struggle vs orthodox pitchers as is evident by a  2-15 record in their last 17 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Meanwhile, the Royals starter Duffy despite of a quality effort in his last trip to the hill has seen his team go 0-5 in his followups  after a quality start and  0-5 in his L/5 home starts overall, and is  4-17 in his last 21 starts vs. American League Central . Needless to say Duffys numbers should not inspire anyone, and give credence to me fading him and a KC team that has lost 20 of their L/27 home games.

Twins are 6-0 in Gibsons last 6 starts vs. Royals.Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Twins are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. American League Central Twins are 19-3 in Gibson's last 22 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.GIBSONs team when he starts  is 9-1  against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last few seasons and is  9-1  against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game during the same time period. GIBSONs team when he starts  is  also 11-2 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse dating back to last season. GIBSON is  also 25-8 in his career against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season .GIBSON is 11-1  against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last few seasons.

DUFFY is 3-13  against the money line against division opponents dating back to last season.KANSAS CITY is 8-25  against the money line against right-handed starters this season.KANSAS CITY is 2-14  against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season.KC has lost Duffys L/3 starts vs the Twins.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.70 to 6.20 on the season (AL), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.00or more over his last 3 starts are 5-34 L/5 seasons for a go against  87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the moneyline

LUCAS GIOLITO (R) vs. MIKE CLEVINGER (R)

My own power ranking suggest this is a huge pitching mismatch, and the runline is a very viable option here in this spot play. I know that the Tribes starting hurler  Clevinger has been a hard luck hurler in his last few efforts, despite of some decent  work, but I look for his team mates to back him up and  buoy him to victory here. It must be noted that the Tribe are a perfect  25-0 on the money-line  as a 120-or more  favorite when they are off a game as home chalk and they lost the last two games their starter started, as long as that thrower went a combined 8-plus innings in those two defeats. It must be noted that the  average  margin of victory has come  by a WHOPPING  5.02 rpg  and Indians have  cashed 11 straight  for their backers on the -1.5 runline under those above mentioned parameters.

Lucas Giolito the Pale Hose starter owns a ugly 8.31 ERA in his L/3 starts, which is not a good omen for him and his team as the Tribe are heating up offensively and scored 8 and 10 runs vs the vaunted Houston Astros pitching staff this past weekend and scored 9 runs yesterday and the first game of this series in a victory. The Indians are now averaging around 6 rpg this season, at home.

CHI WHITE SOX are 3-19 SU vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less  errors/game this season with the average margin loss coming by 2.4 ppg.

MLB  Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+100 or higher) (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start are 8-37 L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 82% for bettors, with the average margin loss coming by 3.5 rpg.

Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the -1.5 runline

JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. DOMINGO GERMAN (R)

Verlander the Astros starter has allowed one earned run or less in all five starts this month and gets the nod today for me vs  Yankees starting hurler Domingo German who   has given up six runs in each of his last two trips to the hill. I know the Astros blew a 5 run lead yesterday and succumbed to the Tribe in extra innings, but that I'm betting makes this top tier team even hungrier and anxious for redemption. Yes, the Yankees are also a hot team, but the veteran Verlander according to my power rankings is a viable matchup for the pinstripe 9. Note: HOUSTON is 36-14    against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 dating back to last season and is 47-18  against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 during the same time parameters.

 Astros are 8-2 in Verlanders last 10 road starts.Astros are 6-1 in Verlanders last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.Astros are 20-7 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (NY YANKEES) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA  3.75 or better ), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts are 12-50 L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline

MATT HARVEY (R) vs. GERMAN MARQUEZ (R)

Harvey the Mets starter is 1-2 with a 5.49 ERA overall. He went 0-2 with a 7.00 ERA in eight games (four starts) with the New York Mets and is 1-0 with a 2.57 ERA in three starts for the Reds and is fade material here today in Colorado. Harvery is 0-1, 7.94 in one start at Coors Field in May 2016.COLORADO is 7-2  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season.

The Reds have had a hard time vs RHP like Marquez, going  14-31 in their last 45 games vs. a right-handed starter and have lost 12 of 17 on the road vs orthodox pitchers.Rockies are 5-0 in Marquezs last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.

The Reds took out the Rockies yesterday by a 6-5 count ,coming from behind for the win, but it must be noted that the Rockies have won 19 straight games as a favorite of more than 125 when they are off a loss as a favorite in which they led the lead, winning by an average of more than 5 runs per game.Reds are also 0-5 in their last 5 games following a win.

Reds are 17-35 in the last 52 meetings in Colorado.

MLB  favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (COLORADO) - team with a poor SLG (.400 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less ) -NL, ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 10 games are 51-16 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline

Astros RH Gerrit Cole (5-1, 1.86 ERA) vs. Indians RH Trevor Bauer (4-3, 2.35)

Gerrit Cole the Astros starter today is getting all the headlines, because of his top tier start to this campaign (5-1 1.86 ERA), but his pitching opponent and former UCLA teammate Bauer is no pushover and has garnered a stingy 1.93 ERA in his L/3 starts and is every bit as strong looking as Cole is at the moment. Bauer has not allowed  a run in his last two outings, permitting just  11 hits on just two walks  and  16 strikeouts  in 14 innings of quality work. Yesterday, the Indians showed some positive energy by blasting 4 HRs in a 8-6 win vs the Astros, and I;m betting on them feeding off that today and notch a win.

Indians are 29-13 in their last 42 home games vs. a right-handed starter and are 35-16 in their last 51 during game 4 of a series and are also 47-21 in their last 68 home games.

BAUERs team  is 14-2 in his starts  against the money line in home games against AL West opponents in his career.

BAUER is perfect  7-0  in his career when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.076.

Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline

 JORDAN LYLES (R) vs. ALEX WOOD (L)

The Dodgers are finally getting over last seasons,  play off hangover, and starting to notch wins (7-1 L/8). They were hard luck recipients of a lot of bad breaks earlier this season, as was evident by  the Dodgers  plus-19 run differential but a below .500 23-27 record.

Today the pitching matchup I'm betting favors the Dodgers as Alex  Wood  as he  goes to the hill in top form. Wood has garnered  a very viable 3.32 ERA over 10 starts during the season's first two months. He  is 4-2 in 13 appearances (nine starts) over his career against the Padres, while posting a 2.39 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP. Meanwhile, the Padres return fire with Lyles who despite of decent starts of late  is just  0-3 with a 6.97 ERA in 15 career appearances against the Dodgers, six of them starts. My own power rankings suggest that the Dodgers nine matchup well vs the righty hurler. Note: LYLES when he starts has seen his team go 2-18 L/20 against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +200 losing SU by an average of 3.1 rpg.

LA DODGERS are 13-0 SU in  line in home games after allowing one run or less in a win over a division rival over the last 2 seasons. which happened last time out, with the average margin of victory coming by 3.3 rpg.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (SAN DIEGO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start are 8-68 L/21 seasons for a 90% go against conversion rate over the L/21 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by 2.7 rpg , which makes the runline option here a tangible proposition.

Play on the LA Dodgers on the runline -1.5

LANCE MCCULLERS JR. (R) vs. CARLOS CARRASCO (R)

Houston has won the first two games of the series by a combined score of 19-4 and once again look like they matchup very well against the Tribe.On May 20 in Houston, McCullers and the Astros beat Carrasco and the Indians 3-1 and a repeat type performance is a strong possibility. Note: HOUSTON is 15-3  against the money line in road games after a win by 8 runs or more over the last 3 seasons which happened yesterday.

CLEVELAND is 4-12 against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game this season.

The Cleveland Indians are 0-9 on the moneyline  in franchise history with Carrasco at home when their bullpen gave up 3+ runs yesterday.  Carrasco has six straight non-quality starts as the Indians lost by multiple runs.

CARRASCO is 1-7  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons

MLB Road teams (HOUSTON) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA  4.50 or less ), with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 5 games are 37-14 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Houston Astros on the moneyline

CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R) vs. DANIEL MENGDEN (R)

Losers of seven straight and 13 of 14 before making the trip to Oakland, Arizona was in a full nose dive  entering play here in Oakland yesterday, until a miraculous complete team effort buoyed them to a win yesterday in the the opening game in this series. However, their inconsistency remains an issue, and I'm doubting they have suddenly found their way out of this slump just yet and I'm betting against them here in this spot.

The DBacks will send former Boston Red Sox starter  out for his  10th career start against the A's. He has a winning record ( 4-2 ) vs the As but has a troubling  6.85 ERA in the first nine.He has not enjoyed pitching at the Coliseum in Oakland, going 1-2 with a 9.58 ERA in three starts. Meanwhile, As starter Mengden (4-4, 3.30) has never faced the Diamondbacks, but h has gone 3-3 with a 3.74 ERA in seven interleague starts. The righty hurler has looked to be in top form in May, allowing just four earned runs in 24 2/3 innings over four starts and get the nod again here.

Diamondbacks are 1-10 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter. Diamondbacks are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Athletics are 5-1 in Mengdens last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

OAKLAND is 21-10   against the money line after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more over the last couple of seasons.

MLB All favorites with a money line of -150 or more (OAKLAND) - starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings, cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 3 games are 45-7 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline

JULIO TEHERAN (R) vs. EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L)

After a pair of scoreless outings to start May, Teheran has given up 10 runs in his last two starts (11 innings), and his ERA jumped, from 3.14 to 4.17. He allowed a season-worst six runs in five innings against the Marlins during his previous start.He has not been great in two career outings against the Red Sox, one of them at Fenway, going 0-2 with a 4.73 ERA and yielding 19 hits in 13 1/3 innings. His ERA at Fenway is 8.53.The current Red Sox are a collective 14-for-40 (.350) with two homers against Teheran. Mookie Betts is 4-for-8 (.500), Brock Holt 3-for-6 (.500) with a homer and Xander Bogaerts 3-for-7 (.429).  look for the BoSox do some damage here in this spot and come close by themselves to eclipsing this Total. 

TEHERAN  in 6 games with  when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season has seen a combined average of 13.4 rpg scored.

Rodriguez  I believe is very over rated as was evident  last time out, giving up nine hits but no runs over 5 2/3 innings while throwing 110 pitches. He's not efficient, and teams like Atlanta I'm betting can take advantage of him. The lefty walked none and struck out  just seven. In 37 career starts at Fenway, Rodriguez is 10-9 with a 4.64 ERA. Atlanta has done their best offensive work vs LH starters this season averaging 6.3 rpg on a strong .288 team BA which includes 19 HRs and overall vs all pitching 37 HRS on the road so far this season. I'm betting The fans standing on the  Green Monster will get a workout here tonight.

Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 5-1-1 in Braves last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 4-0 in Teherans last 4 starts on grass

Over is 4-0 in Rodriguezs last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.Over is 5-2 in Rodriguezs last 7 home starts.Over is 7-3 in Red Sox last 10 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
SNITKER is 42-18 OVER  vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of ATLANTA with a combined average of 10.4 rpg scored.

The Red Sox have gone OVER 10 straight imes by an average of 6 rpg as an unrested home favorite in a series opener after a loss as a road favorite in which they never led which happened yesterday .

Play on the OVER

SAM GAVIGLIO (R) vs. ZACH EFLIN (R)

Eflin  since being placed in the Phillies rotation has done well , but he showed some chinks in armour last time out as he struggled  vs the Cardinals. The Blue Jays have been inconsistent offensively , but according to my power rankings matchup well vs Eflin . Note: The Jays have averaged 5 rpg vs RHP like Eflin this season. It must also be noted that Eflin gave up eight earned runs, nine hits (three homers) and three walks against the Blue Jays on June 14, 2016 in MLB debut. Some of the effects of the PTSD he suffered after that set back might come into his head here this evening. Meanwhile, Gaviglio the Jays pitcher, has to small a sample size to really get a grasp of his overall form, but from scouting reports he is average at best and susceptible to being lit up by a Phillies offense that has scored an average of 5.1 rpg at home this season.

Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 14-2 in Blue Jays last 16 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 13-3 in Blue Jays last 16 vs. National League East.Over is 16-5 in Blue Jays last 21 interleague road games.

Over is 6-0 in Eflins last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia.

The Phillies have gone over 14 straight times in the first game of a series with rest off a game as a favorite in which they had a higher team-left-on-base than their opponent.The Blue Jays have gone OVER 12 straight times  as a dog with no rest in a series opener when they are off a game as a dog and facing a team with a better record. Both trends went over by just under 5rpg.

TORONTO is 8-0 OVER L/8  in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.9 rpg scored.TORONTO is 9-1 OVER  against NL East opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 12.3 rpg scored.TORONTO is 10-1 OVER   in road games after 5 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.9 rpg scored.

Play OVER

DYLAN BUNDY (R) vs. LUCAS GIOLITO (R)

Baltimore enters this tilt vs the White Sox experiencing a disappointing season to this point, while the Pale Hose have been exhibiting  an uptick in their performance date as they shake themselves out a funk off their own after having won 4 of their L/5 games and are off a 11-1 smash down of the O's yesterday. Baltimore will now send the supposed ace of their pitching staff right-hander Dylan Bundy (2-6, 4.70 ERA)  out to the hill to make his  11th start of the season. The  power pitcher  has really struggled of late as he mimics his teams lack of success. Since April 26, Bundy is 1-4 with a 9.41 ERA in five starts. He has allowed 23 earned runs in 22 innings, including  12 home runs and he  has given up at least three home runs in three of his past four starts. His mechanics are way off and he is  telegraphing his pitches, and once again looks like fade material vs a team that feeling a lot more confident of late and starting to heat up offensively.

BALTIMORE is 0-11  against the money line after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games this season.BALTIMORE is 0-10  against the money line after a 3 game span with an OBP of .260 or worse this season. BALTIMORE is 0-9  against the money line after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span this season. BALTIMORE is 8-23(against the money line against right-handed starters this season like White Sox Starter right-hander Lucas Giolito .
BALTIMORE is 1-10  against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 dating back to last season.BALTIMORE is 1-14  against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons.

MLB All underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a decent starting pitcher (ER 4.20 to 4.70 or less) -AL, in May games are 44-28 L/5 seasons  for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Any team (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (AL), after a win by 10 runs or more are 33-15 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline

Freeland the Rockies starter held the Giants to one run in 6 2/3 innings and notched his fifth straight quality start. He has a 1.59 ERA over that stretch.Freeland has won all three of his starts in May, posting a 1.35 ERA in that stretch. Freeland 4 lifetime starts vs the /dodgers have all gone under the total. FREELAND is 9-1 UNDER L/10 vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse with the average combined score clicking at 6.5 rpg. FREELAND is 7-0 UNDER  L/7 vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season with a combined average of 5.2 rpg scored.FREELAND is 16-2 UNDER  with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7 rpg scored. LA DODGERS are 12-3 UNDER  against left-handed starters this season with a combined average of 5.5 rpg scored.

Meanwhile,  the Dodgers starting hurler Maeda gets an extra day of rest for Wednesday night’s start against the Rockies and Kyle Freeland.  He now well rested and fresh and he is coming off his best start of the year -- eight scoreless innings on two hits against Miami. Maeda (3-3, 3.89) and has had plenty of success against the Rockies in seven appearances (five starts), going 4-2 with a 2.56 ERA.  Maeda faces a Colorado offense that despite of looking good on paper before the season began, are hitting just .217 on the road as a team. Under is  4-1 in Maedas last 5 starts vs. Rockies.Under is 5-1 in Maedas last 6 home starts.

Under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings.

I'm betting for both of these hurlers to go long and strong tonight and to help keep this score on the low side of the Total.

Play UNDER

LUIZ GOHARA (L) vs. JAKE ARRIETA (R)

Braves starter Gohara, is a big strong 6-foot-3, 265 pounds hurler ,  that made five starts for Atlanta at the end of the 2017 season . In those efforts he registered  31 strikeouts in 29 1/3 innings. The Phillies thrower is under rated according to my own power rankings and matches up well vs this Philly lineup. Meanwhile, Arietta the Phillies starting pitcher, is in top form of late, but  has seen his team lose 12 of his L/19 starts vs divisional opposition and his L/4 starts overall . ARRIETA is 3-10 L/13  against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 .

ATLANTA is 7-1  against the money line in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. ATLANTA is 9-3  against the money line in road games vs. poor fielding teams - averaging 0.75+ errors/game over the last 2 seasons.ATLANTA is 15-5   against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season and is  11-2   against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season.

Atlanta has won seven of its first 11 games against the Phillies this season, and the team is 20-10 against divisional opponents. Braves a perfect 8-0 this season in the rubber game of a three-game series  this seasons and are 12-1 in their last 13 during game 3 of a series.

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline

Right-hander Aaron Sanchez (2-4, 4.47 ERA) will start for the Blue Jays against Angels left-hander Tyler Skaggs (3-3, 2.88).

The Jays enter this game struggling thanks to their pitching rotation. Their last two wins, one of which came yesterday were with hurler AJ Happ on the hill. Now back in the rotten part of the rotation the Jays are fade material in this spot behind, Aaron Sanchez who finished his last outing tied for the third-most walks in the Majors with 29 walks. He's had difficulty repeating his mechanics after missing all of last year with a blister issue, and command has been the first thing to suffer. I know the Angels are struggling offensively of late, but I'm betting Sanchez will not do himself any favors here thanks to his wild ways vs a Angels side that is still doing their best offensive work on the road this season averaging 5.8 rpg. Meanwhile Skaggs the Halos starter gave up one run over six innings in his last start Thursday against the Rays. The left-hander is 2-2 with a 3.86 ERA in four career starts against the Blue Jays and get the nod in this spot play. Angels are 4-1 in Skaggs' last 5 road starts.

TORONTO is 12-22 L/33 against the money line in home games against left-handed starters like Sakggs.

LA ANGELS are 11-3 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season.Angels are 10-2 in their last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Blue Jays are 0-6 in their last 6 games following a win.Blue Jays are 1-7 in Sanchezs last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Angels are 13-6 in the last 19 meetings in Toronto.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (LA ANGELS) - ice cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 5 games, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 58-20 L/21 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline

CHAD BETTIS (R) vs. BROCK STEWART (R)

Despite of finding ways to win the Colorado Rockies offense, has really struggled, especially on the road, averaging 3.8 rpg on a lowly .218 BA, and  ranks 26th in K% against RHP (24%), 25th in RPG on the road (3.8), and 27th in WOBA over the last 2 weeks (.269) . the Rockies team OPS of .703 was 23rd in baseball before todays tilt.  I'm betting who ever starts for the Dodgers will find a way to keep their very inconsistent offense from unloading in any big way. Their only saving grace is a pitching staff that has been in top form on the road,  and todays starter for the Rockies Bettis is part of this qualifying data as he owns a stingy 1.83 ERA in 6 games a visitor. He will face a Dodgers nine, that owns a equally ugly   .222 BA while scoring an average of 3.6 rpg at home in Chez Ravine. Everything points on a low scoring sleeper that fails to eclipse the number.

Under is 4-0-1 in Bettis' last 5 road starts. Under is 20-5-1 in Bettis L/26 starts.

Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

Rockies starter CHAD BETTIS is 11-0 UNDER  L/11 when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%).  

Play UNDER

BRANDON MCCARTHY (R) vs. VINCENT VELASQUEZ (R)

I said it before this  season started, that the Atlanta Braves would be a dark horse possibility, and I'm now saying that their recent top tier play is not an anomaly, but their opponents the Phillies, strong performance to this point in the season might be. The Braves have been especially strong on the road where they have recorded 17 wins in 26 games. They lost yesterday to the Phillies, by a 3-0 count, but today I expect the Braves to bounce back.

Note:Braves are 4-0 in their starters McCarthys last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game . Braves are also 5-1 in McCarthys last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Meanwhile, the Phillies starter Velasquez has seen his team lose 15 of his last 22 starts vs. a team with a winning record like the Braves

.Phillies are also just 5-12 in Velasquezs last 17 home starts.VELASQUEZ is 0-8 L/8 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season dating back to last season.Phillies are 1-5 in Velasquezs last 6 starts vs. Braves. ATLANTA is 6-1 against the money line in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. ATLANTA is 10-2 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season. ATLANTA is 8-2  against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season.

 Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline

 GERMAN MARQUEZ (R) vs. WALKER BUEHLER (R)

The Dodgers are on a 5 game win streak, after finishing off a east coast road trip by sweeping the Nationals . But now after travelling all the way back  out to  the West coast last night and now tired and in the precarious situation of having to get acclimated to being home again.  I  now expect the Dodgers will be prone to a let down situation against a Colorado team that travels well as is evident by their 18-11 away record and  are  13-4 record   against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season Note: LA DODGERS are 7-13  against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season

The Rockies will send right-hander German Marquez to the mound Monday . He has pitched his best ball away from the launching pad known as Coors field posting a 2.25 ERA in his five road starts.  He is an under rated hurler who gives the Rockies a great opportunity for a outright underdog victory. Dodgers are 0-6 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter .

LA DODGERS are 7-15  against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. COLORADO is 8-0  against the money line after 2 or more consecutive overs this season.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline

 ALEX WOOD (L) vs. STEPHEN STRASBURG (R)

Strasburg the Nats starter today is in top form of late, going 3-0 along with garnering a stingy 2.61 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill and gets my support here today vs a LA Dodgers team tht has  lost 19 of their L/27 games vs a RHP starter. Meanwhile, Alex Wood the Dodgers starter is a off a good effort last time out, but that has not been a recipe for continued success as his team is 0-4 when he is  off a quality outing.

STEPHEN STRASBURG is 14-0  against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons. WOOD is 6-18  against the money line in day games in his career.

Someone seems to like Sunday baseball. STRASBURG teams when he starts are  28-4 against the money line when playing on Sunday .Nationals are 58-18 in Strasburgs last 76 starts. Nationals are 14-3 in game 3 of a series.

MLB All favorites with a money line of -150 or more on the opening line (WASHINGTON) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a good starter (ERA 3.70 or less) (NL), with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) are 88-21 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the moneyline

DYLAN BUNDY (R) vs. RICK PORCELLO (R)

Baltimore enters this game as poster boys for road futility in Major League Baseball having garnered 13 straight losses. Tonight I'm betting on their tourist visas getting cancelled again and for the O's to end up on the wrong side of the lopsided score.

After three rough starts in a row, Bundy the Os starter rebounded to limit the inconsistent Rays to two hits in seven scoreless innings on Sunday.  That I'm betting was an anomaly and he will revert back to his previous form in this spot vs a much more explosive BoSox offense. The righty is 3-5 with a 4.66 ERA in 13 appearances against Boston. Meanwhile, Porecello started his season 5-0 , but has had a couple of down games, but I'm betting he will respond here at Fenway where his  is 2-1 with a 3.54 ERA this season.

BUNDY the Orioles starter is 3-12  against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons with the average margin deficit clicking in at Opp 6.4 Balt 4

BALTIMORE is 1-12 SU  in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons with a combined average loss coming of 2.7 rpg.BALTIMORE is 4-20 SU vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better with the combined average victory coming by 2.2 rpg.BALTIMORE is 7-34 L/31 against the money line as an underdog of +150 or more with the average combined loss coming by a whopping 3.3 rpg.

The Red Sox are 10-0 SU as a home favorite off a game as a favorite in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs and have won these ten games by an average of 4.90 runs, scoring an average of 7.90 runs per game in those tilts.

Play on Boston Red Sox on the -1.5 on the RL

MIKE CLEVINGER (R) vs. CHARLIE MORTON (R)

Clevinger the Indians starter is in top form, as is evident by his 3-0 record and stingy 2,70 ERA.  He has pitched some of his best ball on the road recording a 10-5 record along with a 3.22 ERA in 24 appearances (19 starts) . The Tribes right hander will now face a Houston team that has been futile at home from a offensive perspective scoring just 3.9 rpg on a nasty looking  .223 team BA. Clevinger, is 1-1 along with a minuscule  1.04 ERA in two starts versus the Astros. It must be noted that HOUSTON is 0-6   against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season and is is 0-5   against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season. Clevinger qualifies under both these trends.

Meanwhile, the Astros will return fire with Charlie Morton who is also in top from with a 5-0 record along with a 2.03 ERA. He is looking good , but according to my cross reference pitcher vs Batting order power rankings, does not matchup excessively well vs the Tribes hitters.Edwin Encarnacion  and  Jason Kipnis  have Homered in a combined nine at-bats versus Morton, who is a lowly  0-2 with a 5.56 ERA in two starts versus Cleveland.

Cleveland has won 24 of the 34 meetings since the Astros joined the AL in 2013, including five of six during this campaign. Indians are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Houston.

HOUSTON is 9-16 L/25  against the money line in home games after allowing 3 runs or less 3 straight games.

MLB Any team (HOUSTON) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), with an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season are 43-75 L/5 seasons for a go against  64% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Home teams (HOUSTON) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a good starter (ERA 4.20 or less ) (AL), cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 3 games are 21-43 L/5 seasons for a 67% go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline

JON LESTER (L) vs. HOMER BAILEY (R)

Bailey the supposed ace of the Reds  is  struggling , with a 5.59 ERA and a .285 opponent batting average. He's allowed  12 homers in 48 1/3 innings of sub par work. He got a win last time but gave up 10 hits and is fortunate . Bailey last faced the Cubs in successive starts last season Aug. 16 and 22, allowing six runs in 8 2/3 innings. According to my own cross reference pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well vs the Cubs, and could easily get blasted again. Note: Chicago has drawn 47 walks over the past 10 games after earning only 18 free passes in its previous 11 contests and they should continue to get base runners in scoring positon here vs this type of pitcher and score above their season average of 5 rpg, and help eclipse this total.Over is 8-2 in Baileys last 10 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 13-3-1 in Baileys last 17 starts vs. Cubs.

I also expect the Reds capable hitters to do just enough damage vs Lester a Cubs hurler that must be respected, but that has also shown some inconsistencies over the last couple of seasons especially against sub par teams.  Over is 7-0 in Lesters last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 12-5 in Lesters last 17 starts overall. Over is 5-0-1 in Lesters last 6 road starts vs. Reds. Over is 5-0 in Lesters L/5 starts overall vs Reds.

CINCINNATI is 16-5 OVER    in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.9 rpg scored.CINCINNATI is 20-7 OVER (+12.9 Units) as a home underdog of +150 to +200 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored.

MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (CINCINNATI) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 2.70 or less ) -NL, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.00 or worse  over his last 3 starts are 36-8 OVER  L/21 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 11.8 rpg scored.

Play OVER

CHAD BETTIS (R) vs. JEFF SAMARDZIJA (R)

Right-handers Chad Bettis (4-1, 3.12 ERA) of the Rockies and Jeff Samardzija (1-2, 6.94) of the Giants  are the two starting pitchers in this series opener.

Bettis in 5 road starts owns a stingy 1.35 ERA and that is where his 4-1 record has been garnered. Meanwhile, his Giants pitching opponent SAMARDZIJA has not liked pitching at home in AT &T this season as is evident by  recording a ugly 8.30 ERA in two starts, and recently has notched a equally nasty 7.36 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill, allowing 12 ERS spanning 14.7 innings of sub par work. Needless to say Bettis is in better form and gets my backing here tonight.

Giants are 1-5 in Samardzijas last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Giants are 1-4 in Samardzijas last 5 starts vs. Rockies.

BETTIS is 30-19   against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. SAMARDZIJA when he starts has seen his team go   15-32 L/47  against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125.

COLORADO is 14-1   against the money line after a game where they stranded 3 or less runners on base dating back to last season, which happened vs SD last time out in a 4-0 loss.   COLORADO is 11-4   against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. COLORADO is 10-4   against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.

Giants are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Giants are 3-7 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.SAN FRANCISCO is 18-33  against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less  errors/game over the last couple of seasons.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline

ERIC LAUER (L) vs. CHAD KUHL (R) 

 To open the series Thursday, the Padres will send out rookie left-hander Eric Lauer (1-2, 8.27 ERA) against Pirates right-hander Chad Kuhl (4-2, 4.17).    I don't regularly lay a lot of lumber, but the averages according to my head to head power rankings  are on our side in this spot, and worth the extra outlay. The Pirates have clobbered southpaws like Lauer this season, for an average 5.9 rpg via powerful .286 team BA.  Yes, I know the Padres have been playing decently of late, but that has not been a recipe for success for this  team In the past as is evident by their   8-25 record against the money line after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last  couple of seasons.

SAN DIEGO is 20-51  against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 dating back to last season. Padres are 0-6 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series . Padres are 18-40 in their last 58 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Pirates are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Pirates are 5-1 in Kuhl's L/6 home starts. Pirates are 20-8 vs a road team with a below .500 record.

MLB  Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (PITTSBURGH) - good NL offensive team (4.7  or more runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), after a game where they had 4 or less hits are 44-11 L/21 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (SAN DIEGO) - with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities, in May games are just 18-59 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate  for bettors on the blind. 

Play on Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline

JACOB FARIA (R) vs. JASON HAMMEL (R)

Hammel the KC Royals starting pitcher today is currently struggling as is evident by having allowed 20 ERS in L/3 starts spanning 15 innings on 24 hits and 5 HRS.
HAMMEL team when he starts is  is 0-9  against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season dating back to last season and in his current form is fade material.

Meanwhile, 
Faria the TB starter today had a five-game unbeaten streak came to an end last time out when he allowed seven runs on eight hits  in six innings of sub par work in a loss at Baltimore. Prior to that Faria had allowed one run or fewer in five of his first seven starts and is more than capable of bouncing back here vs a struggling Royals offense that has scored just 5 runs in their L/3 games and are averaging just 3.7 rpg at home via a team BA under the Mendoza line ( .249).

I know the Rays are dealing with some nagging injuries, but I'm betting they still have enough offensive weapons to get the job done this afternoon vs a Royals team that  are ranked  last in the majors with a 5.48 ERA, including 5.64 from the bullpen - the second-highest average in mlb..

KANSAS CITY is 5-20  against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

KANSAS CITY is 4-13  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.

Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
Rays are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. American League Central.
Rays are 9-3 in their last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Rays are 7-3 in their last 10 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.Rays are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.70 to 6.20 on the season (AL), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.00 or more over his last 3 starts are 33-5 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA  5.00 or worse), starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 47-17 L/21 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the TB Rays to win on the moneyline

TYLER MAHLE (R) vs. TY BLACH (L)

After yesterdays 10-7 slugfest that the Giants won in game 1 of this series, I expect both teams to take part in a more muted effort this time around. Previous to yesterday the Reds had allowed a total of 12 runs in 6 games ( 2 rpg) and I'm betting they get their defensive and pitching mojo back tonight in earthquake friendly SF behind starter Mahle who owns a 44-to-15 strikeout-to-walk ratio through his first eight starts across 44 1/3 innings. . The Reds despite of an uptick in offense of late, have performed their worst vs LHP like Blach this season averaging just .232 BA as a team and a .438 slugging percentage.

These key combination of factors will I'm betting help keep this combined score on the low side of the number.

MAHLE is 7-0 UNDER with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) dating back to last season with a combined average of 4.5 rpg scored. BLACH is 9-1 UNDER with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 7.1 rpg scored.BLACH is 13-3 UNDER after a win over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7 RPG scored.

Under is 9-2-1 in Mahles last 12 starts overall.Under is 5-1-1 in Mahles last 7 road starts.Under is 5-0 in Blachs last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 5-0 in Blachs last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.Under is 6-1 in Blachs last 7 starts overall.

The Giants have gone UNDER 11 straight times in franchise history with Ty Blach on the hill when they lost the last time he started against their opponent.

Play UNDER

JAIME GARCIA (L) vs. NOAH SYNDERGAARD (R)

Right-hander Noah Syndergaard (2-1, 3.09 ERA) is scheduled to oppose Blue Jays left-hander Jaime Garcia (2-2, 5.40 ERA). These pitchers are being a little over rated here by the linesmakers here tonight, and despite of both the Mets and Jays struggling a bit with their offenses of late , my own power rankings suggest these batting  lineups should under nominal circumstances to do well enough to be breach this total. The Blue Jays have scored an average of 5.2 rpg vs RHP this season, and the Mets have averaged 4.1 rpg overall, but should up these numbers vs a Jays pitcher in Garcia that has garnered a 8.36 road ERA this season, and a ugly 8.10 ERA in his L/3 starts overall allowing 13 runs in 13 unlucky innings.

Market moved this Totals line from a 7 to 7.5 very quickly after opening. I'm betting the market has it right. I know we are now dealing with having to win by  more run , but in the recent past Toronto  is 21-3 OVER  when the total is 7 or less .

Note: The Blue Jays entered Monday ranked fourth in the majors with 56 homers.

TORONTO is 9-1 OVER    in road games after 5 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.7 rpg scored.

 Over is 12-2 in Blue Jays last 14 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 9-2 in Blue Jays last 11 interleague road games.Over is 6-2-2 in Blue Jays last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Over is 17-5 in Mets last 22 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 13-6 in Mets last 19 vs. American League East.

MLB  teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (TORONTO) - starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing, ice cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 20 games are 55-28 OVER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate on the blind.

Play on the OVER

 ALEX WOOD (L) vs. WEI-YIN CHEN (L)

  It seems everyone in the media and baseball circles continues to keep crapping on the Marlins . I'm not arguing that  their not bad, but sometimes there is value attached to their games because of these perceptions presented us by the media propagandists. Today is one of those games, as an equally disappointing team the LA Dodgers are being pegged as big favorites. The LA DODGERS are just 3-16 SU as chalk of -125 to -175 this season and are far from viable favorites against any team in MLB in their current form. Meanwhile, Chen the Marlins starter despite of his struggles  is 15-6 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher in his career and seems to wake up just long enough to perform at optimal strength before going back to sleep under these types of circumstances. Chen goes against a Dodgers team that struggles against southpaws like him, as is evident by their 3.3 rpg game output and nasty looking .220 team BA. CHEN is 2-0 in his career when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.13 and a WHIP of 1.105 and gets the nod today on a value  +1.5 RUNLINE situation.
LA DODGERS are 1-8  against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season.  

MLB Home teams (MIAMI) - very bad NL offensive team (  3.5 or less  runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or worse), with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season are  75-33 L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate .

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (LA DODGERS) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, a bad team (38% to 46%) playing against a terrible team (38% or worse) are 17-34 L/21 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (MIAMI) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a team with a below avg bullpen (ERA 4.50 or worse), with a terrible bullpen whose ERA is 5.50 or worse on the season are 42-9 L/21 seasons for a massive 83% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Miami Marlins on the RUNLINE +1.5

TYLER ANDERSON (L) vs. JOEY LUCCHESI (L)

Anderson the Rockies starter  has a eight-game unbeaten streak come to an end Wednesday, when he allowed four runs over five innings in an 8-0 set back to the Los Angeles Angels. I'm expecting he will bounce back here today.Anderson is 1-1 with a 1.80 ERA in five career starts versus San Diego, including a 1.50 ERA with no-decisions in two outings this season.Rockies are 4-0 in Andersons last 4 road starts. Anderson goes against Padres team off a win yesterday, but in the recent past this has not necessarily been a good omen for the Fathers  as they have lost 7 of their L/9 after notching a victory.

Rockies are 5-0 in their last 5 road games.Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.Padres are 4-9 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Rockies are 15-7 in the last 22 meetings and 4-1 L/5 here in beautiful San Diego.

COLORADO is 12-3  against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) this season. COLORADO is 13-5  against the money line in road games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season. COLORADO is 11-4  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season.COLORADO is 5-0   against the money line in road games in May games this season.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to cash on the moneyline

JEREMY HELLICKSON (R) vs. ZACK GODLEY (R)

Jeremy Hellickson, the Nationals starter is currently in top form, and owns a minuscule 1.02 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill, and I once again expect he will provide his team, with a another strong effort vs a struggling Arizona offense, that has only twice in their L/9 games scored more than 3 runs, and have averaged just 3.7 rpg at home this season. Hellickson has seen his L/5 starts vs the DBacks stay under the total. HELLICKSON is 20-7 UNDER  when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last few seasons. Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 overall.

Meanwhile, the DBacks starter Zack Godely has pitched his best ball at home this season where has garnered a stingy 1.96 ERA in 3 starts, allowing just 4 ERs in more than 18 innings of work. He goes against a Nationals offense that has a .246 BA that registers under the Mendoza line . Under is 3-1-1 in Godleys last 5 home starts..Under is 5-0 in Godleys last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.

ARIZONA is 15-1 UNDER   in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season.   ARIZONA is 13-0 UNDER   in home games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season.   ARIZONA is 12-0 UNDER  in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season.   .ARIZONA is 10-0 UNDER  in home games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors this season.

ARIZONA is 15-4 UNDER  in home games this season. ARIZONA is 7-0 UNDER in home games in May games this season . Arizona games have seen a combined average 6.8 rpg scored this season.

WASHINGTON is 32-14 UNDER against NL West opponents over the last couple seasons. WASHINGTON in 14 games against the   vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season have seen a combined average of 6.2 rpg scored.

Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Arizona. Home plate umpire Foster has seen 5 of his L/7 appearances go under the set total. 

MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (WASHINGTON) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 0.800 or better over his last 3 starts are 48-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R) vs. CLAYTON RICHARD (L)

Wainwright comes off the DL for his first  start since April 17 when he looked great vs the Cubs. His surgically repaired elbow was sore but his effort was a quality one. Wainwright is 6-3 in his career against the Padres with a 2.07 ERA and a .238 opponents' batting average.  . His ERA against the Padres is the second lowest among active starters to Clayton Kershaw's 1.94.He is only 1-3 against the Padres at Petco Park, but he does own a stingy 2.63 ERA in those games.

Under is 4-0 in Wainwrights last 4 starts vs. National League West.

Under is 9-2 in Cardinals last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 8-2-2 in Cardinals last 12 overall.

Meanwhile, the Padres starter. Richards despite of a tepid start to his season, has produced top tier results vs the Cards going  3-0 with a miniscule  0.95 ERA in his three starts against the Cardinals at Petco Park. Richards numbers may not be inspirational overall, but  the hurler has pitched well outside of the National League West as was evident vs the Washington Nationals when he allowed  three runs on seven hits and no walks with eight strikeouts over eight innings Tuesday for his longest outing the of the season and his best performance since Opening Day. Note: RICHARD is 17-4 UNDER  in his career at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 . RICHARD  in his L/25 games overall  when the total is 8 to 8.5 has seen a combined average score of 6.8 rpg scored. Richards L/4 games vs a winning team have gone under.

These teams have gone UNDER in 4 of the L/5 meetings here and I'm betting another low scoring affair that fails to eclipse the number.

MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (ST LOUIS) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, good team, winning 54-62% or more of their games on the season are 125-68 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on UNDER

DANNY DUFFY (L) vs. COREY KLUBER (R)

Kluber the Indians starter had a 4 game winning streak snapped last time out, and will be very ready to bounce back in this spot vs the KC Royals. In two starts against Kansas City last year, Kluber was 2-0 with a 0.73 ERA.
The Tribe are 7-0 SU at home with Kluber on the hill when they lost as an away favorite in his last start . Kluber in the L/3 starts under these perimeters allowed a TOTAL of one run.

Meanwhile, Duffy KCs starter  . In three starts against the Indians last year, he was 0-3 with a 4.60 ERA. His team has also lost his L/6 starts vs the Tribe. DUFFY is 3-12 L/15 against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons losing by an average of 2.2 rpg.

KANSAS CITY is 5-19 against the money line against right-handed starters this season losing SU by an average of 2 rpg.

MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (CLEVELAND) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA=4.70 to 5.70)-AL are 101-20 L/21 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by 3 rpg.

Play on the Indians on the RUNLINE -1.5

DOUG FISTER (R) vs. CHARLIE MORTON (R)

The Astros entered their three-game series with the Texas Rangers at Minute Maid Park averaging just 3.8 runs at home compared with 5.9 runs on the road. Texas has enough offensive fire power to take out a team like the Astros that is struggling with run production at home, making them dangerous underdogs in this spot. Last season, the Astros averaged 4.9 runs at home with an .812 OPS while scoring 6.2 runs per game on the road with an .834 OPS, so their is definitely an issue , and something that must be examined. Tonight I'm betting that Rangers Right-hander Doug Fister (1-3, 4.02) is a capable of giving his team a chance to cash as underdogs in this spot.  Fister is 2-1 with a 3.09 ERA in his four career starts against the Astros.

TEXAS is 8-2 L/10 against the money line in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) .
Astros are 0-4 in their last 4 home games.Rangers are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Houston.
HOUSTON is 0-5  against the money line in home games after allowing 4 runs or less 6 straight games over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 2-8  against the money line in home games after allowing 3 runs or less 4 straight games which has just happened.
MLB  team (HOUSTON) - off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -200 or higher, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are just 15-31 L/5 seasons for a 68% go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

There is value here on the moneyline but I'm recommedning we take the bonus +1.5 runs for what will still be a plus payday if my betting assumptions on this game are correct .

Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the Runline +1.5

 Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (4-3, 3.52 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Troy Scribner (2017: 2-1, 4.18)

Strasburg the Nationals starter has recorded back-to-back  quality starts after going 0-2 over his previous three trips to the hill. Strasburg owns a 3.59 ERA in 10 career starts. He goes against , a Arizona team that has scored more than 3 runs only twice in their L/8 games, and that averages just 3.8 rpg at home this season. Meanwhile, Scribner the DBacks expected starter at  Triple A-Reno this season has struck out 24 in 25 1/3 innings of work. "I'm anxious to show everybody what I can do," Scribner told reporters, "and hopefully I can show them why I belong here and can stay here to help the team." He will be primed to perform, and should provide a decent deterrent to a struggling  group of hitters that are not accustomed to his stuff. With that said, I'm expecting a total combined score to remain on the low side of the total.

ARIZONA is 14-1 UNDER in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season.   ARIZONA is 12-0 UNDER   in home games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season.   ARIZONA is 12-0 UNDER  in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season.   ARIZONA is 11-0 UNDER   in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. ARIZONA is 9-0 UNDER  in home games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors this season.

Under is 5-1-1 in Nationals last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Under is 5-1 in Strasburgs last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Under is 7-3 in Strasburgs last 10 road starts. Under is 24-11-3 in Nationals last 38 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Under is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 7-2-1 in Diamondbacks last 10 overall.

Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Arizona.

Play UNDER

Athletics RH Andrew Triggs (3-1, 4.41 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Domingo German (0-1, 2.66)

These starters today have looked capable this season, but both according to my power rankings  are susceptible to being lit up by two explosive offenses. Yesterday, the Athletics smashed  out 14 hits - four home runs - to romp to a 10-5 win in the series opener. I'm expecting more fireworks this afternoon. Note: Oakland has averaged 5 rpg on the road this season , while the Yankees have scored an average of 6.4 rpg at home.

The Athletics are 8-0 OVER in franchise history with Triggs on the hill when he had more K's than hits allowed in his last start which happened last time out.

NY YANKEES are 9-1 OVER  as a home favorite of -150 to -200 this season with a combined average score of 12.4 rpg scored. NY YANKEES are 8-0 OVER after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with a combined average of 12.8 rpg scored.NY YANKEES are 13-4 OVER  in home games against right-handed starters this season with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored.

Play OVER

Nationals RH Max Scherzer (6-1, 1.74 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Matt Koch (2-0, 2.13)

Koch the DBacks starter tonight vs the Washington Nationals made his season debut in relief but has made four starts since, allowing fewer than three earned runs in each while working at least six innings three times.  Meanwhile, Three time Cy Young award winner Scherzer is in top form and continues to be a strike out king,  as is evident by reaching double digits in strikeouts in five of his eight trips to the hill this year, and should once again give his opposition the DBacks fits here tonight. With that said, I'm expecting a pitcher duel in the desert tonight and for this combined score to stay on the low side of the number.

ARIZONA is 13-1 UNDER   in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season.   ARIZONA is 11-0 UNDER   in home games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season.   ARIZONA is 10-0 UNDER  in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season.   ARIZONA is 10-0 UNDER   in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season.ARIZONA is 8-0 UNDER  in home games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors this season.

Under is 4-0 in Kochs last 4 home starts.Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 9-1 in Nationals last 10 during game 2 of a series.Under is 34-16-6 in Nationals last 56 road games.Under is 23-11-3 in Nationals last 37 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings including last nights 2-1 Nationals 11 inning  win.

Play UNDER

JASON HAMMEL (R) vs. TREVOR BAUER (R)

Hammel the Royals hurler has been what is regarded as a inning filler for his team of late.  The right handers performances are less than respectable and in his L/3 trips to the hill he has garnered a bloated 7.00 ERA. Add to that he's backed by a bullpen that owns a ugly 7.37 road ERA and you have a recipe for Cleveland's offense to feast . Meanwhile, Cleveland's starter Bauer has been a steading presence in his teams rotation and owns a 2.52 ERA , and a stingy 1.91 home ERA. He will be backed by a offensive attack that has done his best work at home this season averaging 5.4 rpg via a solid .272 BA. With that said, I'm recommending we lay the lumber with a value -1.5 RL situation here this evening in Ohio with the Indians.

HAMMEL is 0-9 L/9  against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game losing by an average of 3.5 rpg  and is 1-10   against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse dating back to last season with the average loss coming by 2.6 rpg. (Team's Record) HAMMEL is  also 1-19  against the money line as an underdog of +175 to +250 in his career with the combined average deficit clicking in at 3.5 rpg (Team's Record)

MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (CLEVELAND) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA=4.70 to 5.70)-AL, after a win by 4 runs or more are 41-3 L/21 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with the average margin of victory coming by 3.7 rpg.

Play on the Cleveland Indians -1.5 runline

JASON HAMMEL (R) vs. TREVOR BAUER (R)

Jason Hammel the Royals starter is in struggling form and has garnered a 7.00 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill.  He faces a Indians side that has done its best offensive work at home this season, averaging 5.4 rpg via  stable .272 BA .It must be noted that the Indians are 7-0 OVER at home after a game in which Francisco Lindor had multiple hits.( He had two vs the Brewers last time out in a 6-2 road win) The Tribe have gone over the total by an average of 7 runs per game in this situation. I'm betting the Indians will do some damage here tonight and almost single handily eclipse this number.

CLEVELAND is 31-10 OVER  vs. a starting pitcher who is winless after 5 or more starts with a combined average of 11.3 rpg scored.

Over is 7-0 in Indians last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 12-1 in Indians last 13 home games.Over is 5-2 in Royals last 7 road games.

MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (CLEVELAND) - with a starting pitcher whose throws more than 6.5 innings per start, with a team on base percentage .320 or worse on the season (AL) are 50-22 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. C.C. SABATHIA (L)

Sabathia the Yankees starter  is 2-0 with a 0.39 ERA in four starts since coming off the disabled list April 19, and that includes a top tier effort in his last trip to the hill as threw six scoreless innings and a season-high seven strikeouts against Cleveland on Friday. Sabathia, owned the BoSox last season going  4-0 with a 1.04 ERA in four starts and is my choice tonight vs another strong pitcher in Rodriguez, who despite a s strong start to his campaign has given up 5 runs in back to back trips to the hill. It must be noted that after a strong start to their season , Boston has lost  9 of their L/17 and not operating at a high level , while the Yankees are red hot winning 7 straight and look to be run away freight train that you want to ride and not  stand in front of in their current form.

BOSTON is 3-8   against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season. NY YANKEES are 20-4  against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. NY YANKEES are 12-0 against the money line after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season. NY YANKEES are 9-1  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season.

SABATHIA team when he starts is  21-9   against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game. SABATHIA when he starts has seen his   team go 8-0 L/8 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 .

Red Sox are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League East.

Yankees are 10-2 in their last 12 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Yankees are 40-13 in their last 53 home games.Yankees are 4-0 in Sabathias last 4 starts.Yankees are 17-4 in Sabathias last 21 home starts.Yankees are 42-17 in Sabathias last 59 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Yankees are 5-0 in Sabathias last 5 starts vs. Red Sox.

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyliine

Pirates RH Trevor Williams (4-2, 2.63 ERA) vs. White Sox RH Reynaldo Lopez (0-2, 2.43)

Pirates starter Williams  has held opposition hitters to a .193 batting average, and he also owns a viable 3-1 record and an ERA of 1.69 in interleague play, and must be respected here as a short favorite. The Pirates currently own a 7-2 record in interleague play this season, and have the edge vs a struggling  White Sox team has lost 4 straight games and 8 of their L/9 overall. Pittsburgh also owns a  23-9 against the AL Central dating to June 15, 2015. I know the Pale Hose starter Lopez has been very capable this season, but with a offense that is capable of very little run support he is currently fade material. Note: HURDLE is 34-18  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better as the manager of PITTSBURGH.

The White Sox are a team that rarely takes advantage of any teams weaknesses because of a inconsistent offense as is obvious by their  4-16 record  against the money line vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season and struggle against strong defensive teams like the Pirates as they are 2-13   against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season. CHI WHITE SOX are 1-9  against the money line in home games in day games this season.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHI WHITE SOX) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against a very good NL starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less), with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game are 10-41 L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 81% for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline

COREY KLUBER (R) vs. WADE MILEY (L)

The Indians have a recent history of not playing well enough to win consistently in interleague play .  The reasons are complex but the results are obvious. note: Indians are 2-9 in their last 11 interleague road games. Indians are 3-12 in their last 15 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Indians are 1-4 in Klubers last 5 interleague starts.Indians are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.

Not only have the Indians struggled in interleague play in the past,  but so far this season, they have had issues garnering road wins, losing 9 of their 15 games. Needless to say, even though the Indians have a top tier hurler on the mound a win is not a guaranteed thing.  With that said, we have  value  taking +1.5 runs on the RL with the Brewers , and that's what I'm recommending we do.

MILWAUKEE is 24-14   against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start .Brewers are 7-3 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 home games.MILWAUKEE is 9-0 L/9 against the money line off a loss to a division rival as a home favorite which was the case vs the Pirates last time out on Sunday.

CLEVELAND is 0-7  against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35  or less SB's/game this season. CLEVELAND is 1-7 L/8  against the money line after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs which happened vs the Yankees in their last game.

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers on the RL +1.5

JAKE ODORIZZI (R) vs. CARLOS MARTINEZ (R)

Martinez the Cards starter this afternoon vs the visiting Minnesota Twins has allowed just three runs over 40 2/3 innings in his L/6 starts, and currently is in top form. Meanwhile, Ordizzi the Twins starter despite of some inconsistent efforts is a stable pitcher that can produce quality starts.Odorizzi is 1-1 with a 3.24 ERA in three career starts versus the Cardinals. I'm betting both these starting pitchers go long enough and strong enough to help keep this combined score on the low side of the Total.

MARTINEZ is 13-3 UNDER  after giving up 1or less  earned runs in his last 2 outings.ST LOUIS is 63-33 UNDER   in home games against AL Central opponents

Under is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Under is 3-0-1 in Martinezs last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 6-1 in Martinezs last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.

Under is 5-2 in Twins last 7 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-2 in Twins last 7 interleague road games.

Under is 9-0 in the last 9 meetings in St. Louis. Under is 11-0 in the last 11 meetings.

Play UNDER

JEFF SAMARDZIJA (R) vs. ZACH EFLIN (R)

I'm betting the San Francisco Giants will continue their dominance against the National League East this week in Philadelphia at least from a offensive output perspective. They just beat up on the Braves scoring 24 runs in a 3 game sweep, and have scored , 9,9, 11, 4 respectively in their L/4 games overall. They go against a starter in Eflin that has looked good in 6 innings of work sicne being recalled from the minors, but Eflin in 22 major league starts before this season as been sub par at best. Three of those games were against the Giants. Eflin is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.438 WHIP in those trips to the hill, and I'm betting he gets beat up on today. Meanwhile, the giants starter Samardzija  who has been injured this season, and still getting 100% healthy has a negative history in this park,  as is evident by a  15.43 ERA in four career appearances (one start) at Citizens Bank Park, allowing 12 hits and 12 runs in seven innings. Samardzija also has an 8.18 ERA against the Phillies in 11 career appearances and could also get roughed up in this spot.

Over is 11-4 in Eflins last 15 starts overall.Over is 8-3 in Giants last 11 overall.Over is 8-0 in Eflins last 8 starts vs. National League West.Over is 6-0 in Eflins last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Philadelphia.

Play OVER

ROSS STRIPLING (R) vs. ERIC LAUER (L)

Lauer, 22, was the third of the Padres three first-round picks (25th overall) in the 2016 draft out of Kent State University where he was named college baseball's Pitcher of the Year off a 10-2 record and 0.69 ERA.
 He was 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA in three starts for Triple-A El Paso this April before being promoted to the Padres.Lauer’s career got off to an less than favorable start when he allowed 7 runs in cold and rainy Colorado and 3 in the first inning on Monday in SF. But, he blanked the Giants for four innings after that, and the Padres see lots of potential for the 22-year-old lefty to build on. I think this kid is under rated and gives us a good opportunity for cashing an underdog ticket here today. Meanwhile, Stripling the Dodgers starter gets the spot start after management decided not to activate Rich Hill from the DL. Stripling,, started in Hill’s spot five days earlier and allowed four runs on eight hits in 4 IP vs. Arizona and lost to the Padres the only other time he started against them.

Dodgers Manager ROBERTS is 14-23  against the money line after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs  which happened yesterday vs the Padres In a loss. LA DODGERS are 6-12 against the money line after a loss this season. LA DODGERS are 3-11 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season.

MLB team (LA DODGERS) - off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -200 or higher, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 15-30 L/5 seasons for a for a go against conversion rate of 68% on the money-line.

Play on the SD Padres to win on the moneyline

TYLER CHATWOOD (R) vs. LUKE WEAVER (R)

The Chicago Care struggling to score, and just because they are going against a pitcher in Weaver that is currently not in top form in no way guarantees much in the run production from their end. The Cubs are hitting just under the Mendoza line with a .249 BA vs righty starters this season.  Meanwhile, Tyler Chatwood (2-3, 2.83) takes the ball for the Cubs. He goes against a Cards offense that  hasn't scored more than three runs in five straight games. Note:ST LOUIS is 15-4 UNDER  L/19  in home games after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games and  is 16-3 UNDER (  in home games after scoring 3 runs or less 5 straight games .

Chatwood is backed by an bullpen that owns a solid 1.57 ERA in road games this season. Everything points to a combined score that should stay below the posted total.

CHICAGO CUBS are 38-19 UNDER  on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons.

Under is 4-0-1 in Cardinals last 5 overall. Under is 4-0-1 in Cardinals last 5 on grass.Under is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 home games.Under is 3-0-2 in Cardinals last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-1-1 in Cardinals last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-1-2 in Cardinals last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Under is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 vs. National League Central.Under is 6-0 in Cubs last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 during game 2 of a series.Under is 8-1 in Cubs last 9 overall.Under is 8-1 in Cubs last 9 on grass.Under is 7-1 in Cubs last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1-2 in Cubs last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 27-12-2 in Cubs last 41 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Under is 9-4-1 in the last 14 meetings in St. Louis.Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.Under is 17-4 in umpire  Hernandezs last 21 games behind home plate.

MLB Road teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (CHICAGO CUBS) - ice cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 5 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 10 games. are 51-21 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB team (CHICAGO CUBS) - good NL offensive team (4.7 runs/game or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less ), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 earned runs in his last 2 outings and are 45-19 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

RICK PORCELLO (R) vs. BARTOLO COLON (R)

There were some offensive fireworks in the first game of this series , as Texas took a
11-5 victory last night. I'm expecting some more explosive offensive work by both teams again tonight. The BoSox Porcello despite of a strong start owns  a slightly bloated  5.52 ERA in 11 career starts versus the Rangers, who are hitting a collective .336 against him. Meanwhile, Colon the Rangers designated senior citizen starter , despite of some decent outings was clobbered in his one start at home  this season,  registering a 6.35 ERA in 4 innings of sub par work. I'm expecting a Red Sox offense, that posts an average of 6.2 rpg vs RH starters to do more than enough damage tonight to raise this combined score over the total. Colon is backed by a bullpen that owns a 5.93 ERA at home this season. Note: COLON is 10-2 OVER when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 12.7 rog scored.

TEXAS is 20-6 L/26 OVER  in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season with an average of 12 rpg scored.TEXAS is 43-20 OVER L/63 in home games when playing against a team with a winning record with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored.TEXAS is 17-8 OVER  as an underdog of +100 or higher this season with a combined average of 9.8 rpg scored.

Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.Over is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Over is 6-0-1 in Rangers last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 6-0-1 in Rangers last 7 overall.

Over is 8-3 in Red Sox last 11 vs. American League West.Over is 7-2 in Red Sox last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (TEXAS) - team with a terrible SLG (.400 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better on the season-AL are 33-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored.

Play OVER

MICHAEL FIERS (R) vs. ERIC SKOGLUND (L)

Skoglund KCs starter  is 1-2 with a 6.23 ERA this season, allowing 15 earned runs in 21 2/3 innings.  His opponents today the  Detroit Tigers have done their best offensive work vs southpaws like himself this season, as is evident by averaging 7.7 rpg vs LHP. Skoglund is backed by a struggling bullpen that owns a bloated 6.33 ERA on the season. Meanwhile, In three career starts at Kauffman Stadium, Fiers the Tigers  starter is 1-1 with a 6.28 ERA, giving up 10 earned runs over 14 1/3 innings.FIERS is 20-8 OVER  L/28 when playing against a team with a losing record with a combined average of 10.6 rpg scored.

The tigers have struggled to score of late, but their is just to much offensive talent on this team for them to stay down for long. Note:DETROIT is 8-0 OVER L/8  after scoring 3 runs or less 4 straight games with a combined average of 13 rpg scored.

MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (KANSAS CITY) - team with a terrible SLG (.400 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better on the season-AL are 33-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

HYUN-JIN RYU (L) vs. ZACK GODLEY (R)

The Arizona Diamondbacks are off to the best start in franchise history, and must be respected a viable investment option on the money-line in this tilt vs the LA Dodgers. Arizona (21-8) has won seven of eight against the Dodgers this season and 13 of the last 14 regular-season games and are my choice again tonight. The Dodgers starter is
HYUN-JIN RYU is 0-11  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record dating back to last season and is 2-9 L/11 against the money line in road games in night games.Diamondbacks are 24-7 in their last 31 games vs. a left-handed starter.

GODLEY is 12-4  against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season .Diamondbacks are 9-4 in Godleys last 13 home starts.Dodgers are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in Arizona

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games are 15-46 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the moneyline

MARCUS STROMAN (R) vs. FERNANDO ROMERO (R)

The Twins are in a horrendous slump and have lost 12 of their L/13 games. They have lost 8 of their 9 vs a right handed starter like Stroman. I know the Twins have called upon their top minor league pitching prospect Romero, but facing a potent Blue Jays lineup in his first big league start does not look like a viable situation for the kid.

The Blue Jays have averaged 5.6 rpg on the road this season, and their bull pen has been in good form as is evident by a 2.23 road ERA. I'm betting Stroman who has struggled so far this season gets enough run support and bullpen support for the Jays to come out of this with a win this afternoon.

Twins are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Blue Jays are 6-0 L/6 vs Central Division teams.

MINNESOTA is 4-20  against the money line in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities dating back to last season.MINNESOTA is 46-76 against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons  and is  26-44  against the money line in home games in day games during the same time period.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TORONTO) - AL team with a low on-base percentage (.320 or less ) against a team with a bad bullpen (WHIP 1.550 or better ), with an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season are 34-10 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the moneyline

: Rockies RH Jon Gray (2-4, 5.79 ERA) vs. Cubs RH Kyle Hendricks (2-1, 3.10)

Cubs starting pitchers have not allowed an earned run in 33 2/3 innings – and I'm betting on Kyle Hendricks who owns  a1.38 ERA at home this season to be in top form here today vs a Colorado Rockies team, that has scored just 4 runs in their L/4 games. I know the Cubs bats have not been much better, but its just a matter of time before they tee off on a pitcher, and today looks like a good opportunity as Jon Gray remains very inconsistent. Note: GRAYs team in his starts is  is 2-15  against the money line in road games when working on 5 or 6 days rest .

CHICAGO CUBS are 14-3 L/17  against the money line after 2 straight games with no home runs.

MLB Road teams (COLORADO) - after scoring 2 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 5 runs or less 4 straight games are 13-38 L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 76% for bettors.

MLB Home teams (CHICAGO CUBS) - poor power team - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game on the season, after a combined score of 5 runs or less 4 straight games are 36-8 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the money-line

MARTIN PEREZ (L) vs. J.A. HAPP (L)

The Rangers will be going for a three-game sweep of the Blue Jays Sunday afternoon at the Rogers Centre as they try to dig themselves out of a hole created by a 4-11 start.The Rangers now on  a huge momentum swing have won three games in a row for the first time this season. The Blue Jays meanwhile, are playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum and  have lost four straight for the first time since Aug. 27-30 and have dropped seven of their past nine games. I know the Jays go against a struggling pitcher in Perez, but the way their swinging the bat right now  especially in clutch situations makes them fade material as nothing comes easy for this group.

PEREZ is 7-0 against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.

TEXAS is 11-4 against the money line in road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.TORONTO is 9-17  against the money line in home games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game.

MLB favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line -120 to +115) (TORONTO) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less ) against a terrible starting pitcher (WHIP 1.700 or more) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better on the season (AL) are 8-34  L/21 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the RUNLINE +1.5

MASAHIRO TANAKA (R) vs. GARRETT RICHARDS (R)

Tanaka is coming off his best outing of the season, allowing one run and three hits in 6 2/3 innings of a 14-1 win against the visiting Minnesota Twins on Monday and his team is 4-0 in his career vs the Angels when starts against them and gets the nod here tonight. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Richards in 0-3 in his career vs the Yankees along with a bloated 6..73 ERA, and goes against a hard hitting group this time around that is averaging 6.1 rpg vs right handers. Richards in fade material in this spot despite of his current early seasons successes.

TANAKA is 33-15 against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Yankees are 7-0 in their last 7 overall. Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Angels are 0-7 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Angels are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY YANKEES) - team with a good SLG (.440 or better ) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP=1.300 to 1.350) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start are 41-21 L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline

Diamondbacks LH Patrick Corbin (4-0, 1.89 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Jeremy Hellickson (0-0, 4.50)

Patrick Corbin the DBacks starting hurler today has been excellent at home, but has not looked good in his one road start this season, allowing 3 runs in 5 1/3 innings of work, while accumulating a 5.07 ERA. He h  history of sub par road performances, even against struggling offensive sides like the Nationals. Corbin,is 1-1 with a 5.31 ERA in four career starts against Washington. Meanwhile, Hellickson the Backs starter looked good in his last start, but despite of his vast MLB experience, is highly inconsistent and  is just 0-3 with a 5.32 ERA in four career starts against the Diamondbacks.

ARIZONA is 9-1 OVER    in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse this season with a combined average of 9.6 rpg scored. CORBIN is 20-6 OVER    in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 with a combined average of 10.3 rg scored.

Over is 23-4-1 in Corbins last 28 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 7-0 in Diamondbacks last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 6-0 in Diamondbacks last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 15-6 in the last 21 meetings. team

MLB teams like  (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher who is undefeated after 5 or more starts, excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season are 45-14 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the OVER

HYUN-JIN RYU (L) vs. DEREK HOLLAND (L)

Dodgers starter Ryu is coming off one of his best starts in years, having shut out the Nationals for seven innings on two hits. He is 4-3 with a 3.40 ERA at AT&T Park. He owns a tiight 0.95 ERA in his L/3 starts and is looking good. Ryu has a history of pitching well against the Dodgers but has got little run support in his outing , especially last season where he went 0-2 vs SF along with a stingy 1.17 ERA. Note: RYU is 29-13 UNDER when the money line is -100 to -150 with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. Meanwhile, I know, Holland the Giants starter today is still trying to capture his first win with the his new team and has struggled, but he goes against a Dodgers lineup that has also averaging just 3.1 rpg vs southpaws this season via a ugly looking .202 team BA.

SF Manager BOCHY is 31-16 UNDER after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored.

Under is 4-1 in Ryus last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 9-3-1 in Ryus last 13 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 9-3 in Giants last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.

MLB Road teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (LA DODGERS) - after a game where they committed 3 or more errors, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP or less 1.000 over his last 3 starts are 50-15 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 6.6 rpg score.

Play UNDER

CHRIS ARCHER (R) vs. DYLAN BUNDY (R)

TB is producing on offense of late and have scored 8 runs or more in 4 of their L/6 games and should be able to do some offensive damage vs the Orioles starting pitcher Bundy.  Baltimore has been struggling to score of late, but they go against a pitcher in Archer that is struggling as is evident by a 6.58 ERA on the season. He is backed by a bullpen that owns a 6.11 ERA. I expect they should do enough damage here to help our OVER cause in this spot.
ARCHER is 5-7 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 5.01 and a WHIP of 1.418.BUNDY is 1-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 7.03 and a WHIP of 1.603.

Over is 6-2 in Bundys last 8 starts vs. American League East.Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Over is 4-0 in Bundys last 4 starts vs. Rays.

Over is 5-0 in Rays last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-0 in Archers last 5 starts overall.Over is 7-1 in Rays last 8 overall.
Over is 3-1-1 in Archers last 5 road starts vs. Orioles.

ARCHER is 9-0 OVER L/9 as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last couple of seasons with the combined average of 11.9 rpg scored. ARCHER is 15-5 OVER L/19 in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse  with a combined 10.1 rpg scored.

TAMPA BAY is 18-5 OVER L/23 on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5 with a combined average of 9.6 rpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 14-4 OVER L/18 vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season with a combined average of 9.9 rpg scored.

MLB  teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (BALTIMORE) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (AL) are 66-30 OVER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

NOAH SYNDERGAARD (R) vs. CARLOS MARTINEZ (R)

The NY Mets are averaging 5.1 rpg on the road this season, and the Cardinals are doing their best work on offense vs righties this season 5 rpg vs right starters. My own projections considering offenses vs pitching and bullpen power rankings suggests we have an edge with a over bet on the total.


Over is 6-1-1 in Syndergaards last 8 starts during game 3 of a series.Over is 4Over is 25-9-2 in Mets last 36 road games vs. a team with a winning record.-1 in Mets last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Over is 4-0 in Martinezs last 4 starts vs. National League East.Over is 4-0 in Martinezs last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 vs. National League East.

Over is 4-1-1 in Martinezs last 6 starts vs. Mets.
Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in St. Louis.

NY METS are 24-9 OVER in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season 11.7 rpg. NY METS are 20-9 OVER L/29 in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start with combined average of 10.3 rpg. NY METS are 33-12 OVER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 with a combined average of 10.7 rpg. NY METS are 55-32 OVER in road games the last couple of seasons with a combined average of 10.5 rpg. NY METS are 12-3 OVER L/15 in road games against NL Central opponents with a combined average of 12 rpg scored.


MLB Home teams (ST LOUIS) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less ), with a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season 46-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate.

Play OVER

  Nationals LH Gio Gonzalez (2-1, 2.49 ERA) vs. Giants RH Chris Stratton (1-1, 2.22)

Stratton in just his third career start,   shut out the Nationals on five hits over 6 2/3 innings in a 4-2 win while striking out 10 batters the last time he faced them. I'm betting he turns the trick here again this Monday.STRATTON is 6-0 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game dating back to last season. STRATTON is 6-0 against the money line in home games over the last couple of  seasons.

WASHINGTON is 1-7 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season.WASHINGTON is 6-11 L/17 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season.

MLB Road teams (WASHINGTON) - in a game involving two bad teams (38% to 46%), in April games are 13-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the SF Giants to win on the money-line 

BRYAN MITCHELL (R) vs. CHAD BETTIS (R)

Chad Bettis is in top form and has compiled a minuscule 0.90 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill and gets the nod here again in this spot.Rockies are 5-2 in Bettis' last 7 starts vs. Padres.

Padres are 0-4 in Mitchells last 4 starts.

MITCHELL is 0-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.200.

Padres are 2-9 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.Padres are 8-20 in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Rockies are 23-8 in Bettis' last 31 home starts.

BETTIS team when he starts  is 15-3  against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record. BETTIS is 17-4 against the money line when the total is 10 or higher over the last few seasons. 

MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (SAN DIEGO) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better) -NL, ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 10 games are 14-80 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. 

MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (SAN DIEGO) - below average hitting team (AVG or less .255) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or better ) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start are 19-91 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (COLORADO) - with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL are 41-7 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Colorado Rockies to win on the money line 

JEREMY HELLICKSON (R) vs. ALEX WOOD (L)

The Nationals offense has averaged 5.9 rpg  on the road this season., while the bullpen has registered a hefty 7.50 ERA. Alex Wood the Dodgers starter owns a bloated 6.00 ERA in his last three trips to the hill and looks like cannon fodder in his current from.  Meanwhile the Dodgers offense has done their best work vs right handed starters like Hellickson averaging 5.4 rpg . Hellickson (1.713 WHIP) has had limited work this season but his L3 starts dating back to last season have seen 14,15,12 combined runs scored in his starts and this tilt looks to be another high scoring affair . 

LA DODGERS are 9-0 OVER vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse this season with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored.WOOD is 13-1 OVER with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.6 rpg scored.LA DODGERS are 10-2 OVER against right-handed starters this season with a coined 11.2 rpg scored.

PLAY over 

CLAYTON RICHARD (L) vs. ZACK GODLEY (R)

I have this game pegged as an easy high probability win for the Dbacks. The Padres just alloeed 30 runs in a 3 game st vs the Dodgers. ARIZONA is 8-1against the money line against left-handed starters this season with average victory coming by 2.2 rpg. Clayton Richard the Padres starter owns a ugly 7.80 ERA in his last 3 starts and is fade material in this spot. 

Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (SAN DIEGO) - with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) are 6-54 L5 seasons with the average loss coming by 2.6 rpg.

Play on the Arizona Dbacks to win on the runline

MARCO ESTRADA (R) vs. SONNY GRAY (R)

The Yankees have averaged 6.4 RPG at home this season, could eclipse this number all by themselves. Meanwhile Toronto has scored an average 6.1 runs per game on the season and 6.3 runs per game versus left handed starters like Gray. With that's said I'm betting on another high scoring Yankees Blue Jays game.

NY YANKEES are 9-1 OVER vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this season. 
NY YANKEES are 9-1 OVER vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season. 
NY YANKEES are 19-7 OVER in home games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better over the last NY YANKEES are 9-1 OVER vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this NY YANKEES are 51-34 OVER vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. GRAY is 24-11 OVER in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse.
GRAY is 8-0 OVER in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons.-GRAY is 12-3 OVER in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage.



NY YANKEES are 11-1 OVER in April games this season.

Play over