Phillies RH Aaron Nola (6-0, 4.18 ERA) vs. Padres LH Eric Lauer (4-4, 4.45)

Nola is top tier form entering this tilt vs the Padres. He allowed one run in seven innings Wednesday against the Cardinals. After a slow start, he is 4-0 with a 2.50 ERA in his last seven starts. He has not allowed more than three runs in any of those outings and gets my support today vs a Fathers team he matches up well against according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings.Nola, shutout  the Padres over six innings in a win last year.

NOLA is 17-2  against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

SAN DIEGO is 7-14  against the money line in home games in night games this season.

Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the ML

 Astros RH Gerrit Cole (5-5, 4.02 ERA) vs. Athletics RH Chris Bassitt (3-1, 3.27)

Cole the Astros starter  is one of five pitchers with two games of at least 12 strikeouts, and he leads the AL with 112. He also has recorded double-digit strikeouts in six of his 12 starts and has walked three batters in his last five starts (28 1/3 innings). In his current form he is a very viable pitcher to back vs a team my power rankings suggest he matches up well against.  Cole has garnered a 3-1 record and 3.38 ERA with 50 strikeouts over 37 2/3 innings  in six starts vs Oakland.  Cole is 11-1  against the money line in road games in June games in his career. (Team's Record) 

HOUSTON is 6-1  against OAKLAND this season.

HOUSTON is 12-2 against the money line in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on the Houston Astros to win on the ML

 Indians RH Zach Plesac (0-0, 1.69 ERA) vs. White Sox RH Lucas Giolito (7-1, 2.85)

Plesac the Tribes earns his second career start after an impressive Major League debut in which he held the Red Sox to one run in 5 1/3 innings on Tuesday. The right-hander, who is from Crown Point, Ind., will be pitching close to home. He is an under rated hurler who deserves support here vs the Chicago White sox on the ML.Plesac was 4-1 with a 1.41 ERA in nine minor league starts this year, between Triple-A Columbus and Double-A Akron, accumulating 56 strikeouts and seven walks in  57 1/3 innings of quality work.

MLBf avorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or better  over his last 3 starts are 64-87 L/5 seaons for a go against 58% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the ML

 Giants RH Jeff Samardzija (2-4, 3.83 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Gabriel Ynoa (0-1, 5.40)

Ynoa gets another turn through the Orioles' rotation in place of Dan Straily, who piggybacked Ynoa to great success on Memorial Day. Ynoa allowed two runs over four innings in that outing, his first start of the season and gets my backing here this afternoon. Meanwhile, the Giants starter Samardzija  posted  a 5.55 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in five May starts and is down trending and fade material in his current form. Note: The righty is 1-3 with a bloated 5.46 ERA away from home. The Giants tarting rotation posted the worst ERA in the majors at 7.32 in May- and the highest mark since the franchise moved to the Bay Area in 1958. 

The Giants won yesterday, but a are 9-24 in their last 33 during game 3 of a series and are 7-19 in their last 26 games following a win.

Home team is 6-0 in umpire Segals last 6 interleague games behind home plate.

Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the ML

Blue Jays RH Marcus Stroman (3-6, 2.74 ERA) vs. Rockies RH Jon Gray (4-4, 4.52)

These teams are playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum with the Jays having lost 13 of their L/17 overall and the Rockies having won 7 of their first 8 games in a 10 game home stand, With said, Im betting on the Rockies momentum to carry into this game and for them to bring us home the cash on a hefty but mathematically acceptable chalk line.  

The Blue Jays are 0-14 L/14 on the ML with Marcus Stroman on the hill as a underdog when they won his last start.

The Rockies are 9-0 L/9 on the ML as a home 140+ chalk when they came back from a deficit to win in their starter's last start, winning by an average of 6.9 rpg. 

TORONTO is 3-18 against the money line after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more this season.

MLB team (COLORADO) - with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games, with a tired bullpen - throwing 13+ innings over the last 3 games are 130-68 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML

DANIEL NORRIS (L) vs. MIKE SOROKA (R)

Tigers left-hander Daniel Norris (2-3, 4.18 ERA) goes to the hill for the Tigers this Saturday against the Braves. Detroit has lost six of his last seven starts. Meanwhile Mike Soroka (5-1, 1.07 ERA, 46 SO) Atlanta's rookie hurler continues to build a strong All-Star resume, as he has allowed one earned run or less in each of his first eight starts. He posted a 0.79 ERA and limited opponents to a .145 batting average over five May starts and get my support here on the runline. 

Detroit has averaged just 3 rpg vs righty hurlers like Soroka this season via a lowly .220 BA. 

MLB  favorites with a money line of -200 or more (ATLANTA) - after a game without an extra base hit are 50-5 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking  in at +2.9 rpg which qualifies on a runline wager. 

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the RL

JEFRY RODRIGUEZ (R) vs. IVAN NOVA (R)

The up-trending  White Sox have won five games in a row for the first time since April 2017. They have pulled into a tie for second place in the American League Central and have a boatload full of momentum on their sides . The south siders have scored at least a 6 runs in each of the last three games and are looking confident. Im betting the White Sox have the edge today vs a slumping Cleveland side that has lost two straight games, five of seven and nine of 12 overall.

The White Sox are 5-0 L/5 on the ML off a five-plus run win as a dog. 

CHI WHITE SOX are 10-2 against the money line in home games against division opponents this season. 

CLEVELAND is 2-7  against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season.CLEVELAND is 7-12  against the money line against division opponents this season. 

Nova the Pale Hose starter vs the Tribe today will be fresh after throwing only 59 pitches during his five-inning start on Monday in a game eventually suspended by unplayable field conditions. The White Sox are 5-1 in Nova’s last six starts. In five career starts against the Indians, Nova is 3-1 with a 3.16 ERA. He has tallied 25 strikeouts in 31 1/3 innings. He is 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA (two earned runs in 14 innings) in two starts against Cleveland this season.

MLB team (CHI WHITE SOX) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (46 to 49%) are 45-17 L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the ML

Blue Jays RH Edwin Jackson (0-2, 9.00 ERA) vs. Rockies RH German Marquez (5-2, 3.56)

These teams the Rockies and the Blue Jays  are operating at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum entering this game  with Colorado having won 6 of their L/7 with  4 walk off victories.  The Jays meanwhile, have lost 12 of their 16 overall. From a cursory look at this matchup Colorado looks to be a viable favorite. But the RL offering does not take into consideration, what could easily be a letdown scenario for a Rockies team vs a sub par side that has spent alot of energy with hard fought victories. We have a tremendous amount  of hedging power here as compared to what fair value should be considering the outliner circumstances, especially on the runline . Note: There is value laying both the runline and moneyline , but our best aggregated investment option sits with a run-line proposition. 

Blue Jays are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

Rockies are 12-26 in their last 38 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.Rockies are 21-46 in their last 67 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.Rockies are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

I know the Blue Jays starting veteran hurler Edwin Jackson is struggling, but he  9-2  against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and is  14-6  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. JACKSON is 9-1 against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (COLORADO) - with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL), after scoring 10 runs or more are 25-39 L/5 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - after being swept in a 3 game series by a division rival, starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings re 60-38 L/22 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Toronto Blue Jays on the +1.5 runline 

JOSE BERRIOS (R) vs. RYAN STANEK (R)

Jose Berrios (7-2, 3.20 ERA) will start for the Twins while Ryne Stanek (0-1, 2.97) will be used as an opener for the Rays. 

Jose Berrios thanks to the Twins' rotation being given two extra days of rest, will be able to pitch on six days' rest. He has fared well on extra rest in his career, with a 9-5 record and 3.20 ERA and his ability to help a strong Minnesota team notch a win here should not be underestimated. Meanwhile, his pitching opponents data might look good from a cursory look , but a closer look it shows us that Stanek has struggled as a reliever this season, posting a 8.53 in eight appearances and been fortunate to have decent starts which has tainted his numbers. With that said, Im betting he  is very over rated in his current form and is fade material vs a Twins team averaging 6.8 rpg on the season.

Twins are 7-1 in Berrios' last 8 starts.Twins are 4-1 in Berrios' last 5 road starts.Twins are 4-1 in Berrios' last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Twins are 4-1 in Berrios' last 5 starts vs. American League East.Twins are 7-3 in Berrios' last 10 starts during game 2 of a series.Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.Twins are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the ML

 Red Sox LH Chris Sale (1-6, 4.19 ERA) vs. Yankees LH J.A. Happ (4-3, 5.09)

Happ (4-3, 5.09 ERA) will make his 12th start of the season and second against the Red Sox. He allowed three runs in 6 1/3 innings against Boston at Yankee Stadium on April 17 in a game the Yankees would go on to win, 5-3. 

Red Sox are 3-8 in Sales last 11 starts.Red Sox are 3-8 in Sales last 11 starts on grass.Red Sox are 3-8 in Sales last 11 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Red Sox are 1-4 in Sales last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Red Sox are 0-6 in Sales last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.Red Sox are 0-4 in Sales last 4 starts with 6 days of rest. Meanwhile, Sale after a slow start is pitching well, but did falter in his most recent outing and still does not look his usual over powering self. SALE is 3-8 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. (Team's Record)

 Red Sox are 2-6 in their last 8 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Red Sox are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.

New York heads into Friday 13-3 in its last 16 games and has scored at least five runs in 10 its last 11 games. Since their 6-9 start, the Yankees are 30-10 in their last 40 games and hold a 7 1/2-game lead over third-place Boston and one game over second-place Tampa Bay and deserve respect each and every time they take to the field including tonight against a  publicly perceived pitching super star. 

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (BOSTON) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70) -AL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 5 starts are 14-29 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Yankees to win vs the ML

Tropicana Field is not a hitters park,  being in a dome and having poor sight lines makes this a pitchers park, which sits well with the Rays/ With two uptrending hurlers(Martin Perez 7-1, 2.95 ERA vs. Charlie Morton 5-0, 2.54 ERA) in top form on the hill the under looks like a viable wager here ,as two strong teams go head to head in what should be a hard fought battle. 

Under is 5-1 in Perezs last 6 starts overall. Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 overall.

Under is 4-1 in Rays last 5 vs. American League Central.Under is 34-15-4 in Rays last 53 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 9-4-1 in Rays last 14 Thursday games.Under is 5-1 in Mortons last 6 starts overall.

MINNESOTA is 8-1 UNDER  vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better this seaso with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. .TAMPA BAY is 12-4 UNDER against left-handed starters this season with a combined average 6 rpg scored. 

Play UNDER 

CHASE ANDERSON (R) vs. JOE MUSGROVE (R)

In Thursday's series opener, Milwaukee right-hander Chase Anderson (2-0, 3.25 ERA) is scheduled to start against Pittsburgh righty Joe Musgrove (3-5, 4.27 ERA).

Musgrove the Pirates starter is off a  rough start vs. the Dodgers in which he allowed six runs on 10 hits over five innings.To begin May, he gave up a total of 15 runs in two outings that, combined, lasted 5 2/3 innings. Then he won two straight starts. Saturday, he gave up six runs and 10 hits, with one strikeout and no walks, over five innings in a 7-2 loss to the Dodgers, and is as is evident is highly inconsistent and according to my power projections does matchup well vs this Brewers batting order. Musgrove has no decisions and a 6.94 ERA in two career starts against Milwaukee and is fade material here tonight .

MILWAUKEE is 12-3 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 5 or more runs/game on the season this season. 

PITTSBURGH is 0-8 against the money line in home games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season. PITTSBURGH is 1-11  against the money line in home games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. 

Pirates manager HURDLE is 16-40  against the money line vs. excellent power teams - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game in all games he has managed since 1997. 

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - with a team batting average of .250 or worse on the season (NL), playing on Thursday is 51-18 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MILWAUKEE) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less ) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or better ), playing on Thursday are 32-13 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate! 

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the ML

Phillies starter Eickhoff  started his season very strongly , but has struggled of late as is evident by his massively bloated  9.75 ERA over his last three starts and will be hard pressed to lead his team to a sweep of the Cardinals  in his current form. Note: Phillies are 0-4 in Eickhoffs last 4 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance.

Meanwhile, the Cards starter Hudson has four quality starts in May, including three straight, and a 3.07 ERA over his last five games and looks like a viable hurler to back on a value line.

The Cards thrive in situations like this where they seem down and out. Note: ST LOUIS is 20-4  against the money line after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons and are  26-10 against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. ST LOUIS is 23-9 against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse over the last 2 seasons. 

MIKE is 33-17 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better as the manager of ST LOUIS

Cardinals are 38-15 in their last 53 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.Cardinals are 10-4 in their last 14 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Play on the St.Louis Cards to win on the ML

Snell, the American League Cy Young Award winner in 2018, will be facing the Blue Jays for the second time this season.

The left-hander was on the hill in the  Blue Jays' 3-1 victory on April 13 at Toronto. Snell pitched six scoreless innings, allowing only a walk and a single.Snell has had success vs the Jays in the recent past and is  4-2 with a 2.63 ERA in nine career starts against the Blue Jays and 2-0 with a 0.40 ERA in his last four starts against them.  Today against a Jays team that has loss 19 of 26 in May and struggling to find ways to win look to be at a big time disadvantage tonight. 

THORNTON the Jays starter  is 0-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 15.00 and a WHIP of 3.333.

TORONTO is 12-35  against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  62% or better over the last 2 seasons with the average diff clicking in at -2.7 rpg. TORONTO is 3-16 (against the money line after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at 2.8 rpg.

MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - terrible offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or better ) (AL), with an on base percentage of .285 or worse over their last 5 games are 15-52 L/5 seasons for a  go against 78% conversion rate for bettors with the average margin diff clicking in at 2.1 rpg. 

Play on TB Rays on the -1.5 runline 

  Mariners LH Wade LeBlanc (2-2, 7.33)

The Rangers enter this game having struggled against LHP for quite a while now, especially on the road as is evident by going 9-26 L/35 overall vs southpaws. I know the Mariners themselves and starting hurler LeBlanc has struggled a bit of late, but he is still a viable pitcher to support and should be back in form after suffering an oblique injury earlier this season . Note:Mariners are 14-3 in LeBlancs last 17 starts with 4 days of rest.Mariners are 7-3 in LeBlancs last 10 starts during game 3 of a series.

LEBLANC is 16-7 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Play on the Seattle Mariners

STEVEN MATZ (L) vs. RICH HILL (L)

After allowing five runs in his season debut, although only one was earned, the Dodgers starter  Hill has continued to get better as the season progresses. In his past two starts, Hill has allowed just one run with 17 strikeouts across 12 innings and gets my support here tonight on the  1.5 runline. 

LA DODGERS are 23-4  against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more this season by an average of 2.9 rpg. 

NY METS are 0-8  against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season with the losses coming by an an average of 2.3 rpg. NY METS are 0-7  against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season losing by an average of 2.8 rpg. 

Mets are 4-17 in their last 21 road games.Mets are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Mets are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

Play on the LA Dodgers -1.5 runline

MERRILL KELLY (R) vs. ANTONIO SENZATELA (R)

The Rockies have recorded three walk-off wins in their last four games snd enter this game with confidence and momentum making them a viable team to back here at home where they have produced an average offensive output of 6 rpg, and 

Diamondbacks are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings in Colorado.Diamondbacks are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ARIZONA) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or more) (NL), after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games are 6-32 L/22 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML

 Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (4-3, 3.25 ERA) vs. Braves LH Max Fried (7-2, 2.88)

Fried will be working with an extra day of rest and continues his upward momentum on his way to what Im betting will be his fourth straight victory in his  fourth straight start. He has surrendered six hits over 12 innings since  a May 9 win in Arizona. The Braves southpaw hurler has posted a 2.96 ERA in 10 starts since becoming part of the rotation garnering 51 strikeouts, and a 1.12 WHIP over 54 2/3 innings of top tier work. Meanwhile, Strasburg his pitching opponent is also in top form, but his team keeps finding ways to lose, and lack consistency makes them fade material in their current form. I also know the Nats have played a little better lately, but their far from a consistent bunch , as is evident by  going  0-6  against the money line after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season. WASHINGTON is  also 4-13 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season.  WASHINGTON is 2-14  against the money line after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season.

Nationals are 1-7 in their last 8 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Nationals are 0-5 in their last 5 road games.

Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League East.Braves are 8-1 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.

Nationals are 1-4 in Strasburgs last 5 starts vs. Braves.

MLB team (WASHINGTON) - with a terrible bullpen whose ERA is 5.50 or worse on the season, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 start are 25-58 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB team (WASHINGTON) - with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 5 games, with a struggling bullpen whose WHIP is over 2.000 the last 5 games are 17-43 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML

ERIC LAUER (L) vs. MASAHIRO TANAKA (R)

NYY starter Tanaka will look to finish up a strong month of May on the right foot. He has a 2.15 ERA in five starts this month, including just two combined runs allowed in his last three starts, a span of 19 innings and matches up well vs the Fathers batting order.  Meanwhile, Padres starter Lauer is coming off one of his best starts in the Majors as he threw seven innings of one-run ball in a win against the D-backs with seven strikeouts and zero walks. He's now reached the 100-pitch plateau in back-to-back starts .Note:Under is 5-0-1 in Lauers last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

NY YANKEES are 12-3 UNDER  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 2 seasons with an average of 6.8 rpg scored.BOONE is 22-10 UNDER in home games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better as the manager of NY YANKEES with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored in those 32 games. 

Play UNDER 

LANCE LYNN (R) vs. TOM MILONE (L)

The Mariners are in a nasty slump, but all good and bad things must come to aned and tonight Im betting the Mariners getting back into the win column. I know Lance Lynn the Rangers starter has won two straight vs Seattle, but  after numerous looks Im betting they start to catch up to him today here at home tonight. 

The Mariners are 12-0 L/12 on the ML  when they are off a game as a road dog and they are hosting aa team that has lost at least their last two games.

MLB  underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TEXAS) - after 2 straight losses by 2 runs or less against opponent after a loss by 6 runs or more are 17-57 L/22 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the ML

ZACK GREINKE (R) vs. JON GRAY (R)

 Arizona's Zack Greinke is a top tier hurler, but he will have his hands full with a Rockies  batting order that my power rankings suggest he does matchup well against.

Diamondbacks are 2-5 in Greinkes last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.Diamondbacks are 2-9 in Greinkes last 11 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Rockies are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. 

Diamondbacks are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings.

Meanwhile, Colorados starting hurler Jon Gray has looked over powering recently as was evident in a seven-inning, seven-strikeout performance in a win at Pittsburgh in his last start, Gray averaged 97.1 mph on his fastball. That's the first time the heater averaged such velocity in two years  and gives his team a great shot at a ml win here in Coors Field. 

Rockies are 4-0 in Grays last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.Rockies are 5-0 in Grays last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Rockies are 13-3 in Grays last 16 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game

COLORADO is 22-6 against the money line after scoring and allowing 6 runs or more 3 straight games since 1997. COLORADO is 60-33 against the money line after a game with a combined score of 12 runs or more 4 straight games since 1997.

BLACK is 38-16  against the money line in home games after a 3 game span with an OBP of .393 or better in all games he has managed since 1997. 

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (COLORADO) - allowing 5.0 or more runs/game on the season (NL) against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts are 39-17 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML

HOMER BAILEY (R) vs. IVAN NOVA (R)

The White Sox lost the veteran right-hander’s first five starts of the year, but in Nova’s last five, the team has a 4-1 record. He has made three quality starts in that stretch and gets . my support here this afternoon. 

Meanwhile, KCs starter Bailey struggled Wednesday against the Cardinals, giving up five runs and four hits in 1 2/3 innings and in his current form is fade material. Note:BAILEY is 5-22 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BAILEY is 2-11 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

KANSAS CITY is 2-18 against the money line in road games after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

The Royals are 0-17 L/17 on the ML as a road underdog off a home game in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs which happened yesterday.

CHI WHITE SOX are 5-0 against the money line after a 3 game span with an OBP of .260 or worse this season. 

  MLB team (CHI WHITE SOX) - bad offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a below average starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 to 6.20)-AL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start are 47-16 L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the ML

Tigers LH Daniel Norris (2-2, 4.30 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Gabriel Ynoa (0-1, 5.60)

Detroit just cant find ways to win no matter who their starter is, as  they have lost 11 of their L/12 . I know Baltimore has not faired much better, after suffering losses in 8 of their L/9, but they are lesser of two evils here and get my support on the ML this afternoon  at home in Camden Yard where the visiting Tigers have lost 4 of their L/5. 

DETROIT is 24-42  against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons. 

Tigers are 1-5 in Norris' last 6 road starts.Tigers are 1-6 in Norris' last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.Tigers are 1-8 in Norris' last 9 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Tigers are 0-4 in Norris' last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Tigers are 8-21 in their last 29 games vs. a right-handed starter.Tigers are 15-41 in their last 56 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Tigers are 14-40 in their last 54 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Tigers are 7-21 in their last 28 overall.

Tigers are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Baltimore.

Play on Baltimore to win on the ML

MIKE LEAKE (R) vs. BRETT ANDERSON (L)

After winning his first two games, Leake the As starter is 1-5 with a 5.21 ERA over his last eight. Meanwhile, Mariners starter Anderson is dealing with a neck strain and may not be 100% here. Anderson did not look good at Seattle when he opposed Leake on May 14 and served up three homers including six hits in six innings  of sub par work. Today Im  betting todays starting pitcher will effect a energy surge to the over as will a home plate umpire that has taken part in alot of high scoring affairs. Note:Over is 21-8-3 in Gucciones last 32 games behind home plate.

The Mariners dating back to last Sept are 43-19-3 OVER with a combined average score of 10.9 rpg scored. 

Over is 20-8 in Mariners last 28 games vs. a left-handed starter.

SEATTLE is 7-0 OVER  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) this season with a combined average of 12 rpg scored. SEATTLE is 11-3 OVER  in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season for a 12.1 rpg. SEATTLE is 15-4 OVER  in day games this season with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored.

Over is 7-2 in Andersons last 9 starts overall.Over is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Oakland.

MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (SEATTLE) - cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 40-13 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the OVER 

ARIEL JURADO (R) vs. ANDREW HEANEY (L)

Los Angeles Angels left-hander Andrew Heaney is expected to make his season debut against the visiting Texas Rangers on Sunday afternoon.Heaney, who threw a team-high 180 innings last season, missed the past two months with inflammation in his throwing elbow. He is 1-3 with a 6.57 ERA in seven career meetings with the Rangers.Today Im betting the Rangers take advantage of his rust in this spot play. 

TEXAS is 6-0 against the money line revenging a one run loss to opponent this season. Note: Angels won yesterdays game 3-2.

LA ANGELS are 3-12 against the money line vs. teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game this season. LA ANGELS are 6-15 against the money line against division opponents this season. 

TEXAS is 13-5 against the money line after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more this season.

Rangers are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.Rangers are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.Rangers are 5-1 in their last 6 overall. Rangers are 5-1 in their last 6 games on a natural surface.Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League West.

Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the ML

DOMINGO GERMAN (R) vs. DANNY DUFFY (L)

NYY starter German became the Majors' first nine-game winner last time out in Baltimore, though he completed just five frames. German has won his last six starts since April 23, posting a 2.72 ERA and limiting opponents to a .210 average over that span. Im laying a little bit outside my value borders here but they .10c extra outlay is worth it according to my expectations on this line.

Yankees are 6-0 in Germans last 6 road starts.

Royals are 0-6 in their starter Duffys last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Yankees are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Kansas City.Yankees are 88-39 in the last 127 meetings.

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML

EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. JUSTIN VERLANDER (R)

Verlander despite of his great record is only a .500 pitcher ( 12-12 ) against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) RODRIGUEZ the BoSox starter despite of some struggles and a defeat last time out  is 21-7 against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

I know Boston lost the first two games of this series, but they have proven resilient in the past under these circumstances,  going 26-6 against the money line with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent over the last 2 seasons.The Red Sox are also  16-0 L/16 on the Moneyline in the last game of a series vs a team that has won at least their last two games and it is before the All-Star break. The Red Sox are 8-0 on the ML as a 170+ underdog after a contest in which they scored more runs off the bullpen than they did off the starter which was the case yesterday. 

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (HOUSTON) - excellent power team - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game on the season are just 42-62 L/5 seasons for a go against 57.4 % conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the ML

Tigers RH Spencer Turnbull (2-3, 2.68 ERA) vs. Mets RH Zack Wheeler (3-3, 4.74)

Wheeler the Mets starter is 4-4 with a 5.05 ERA in 14 interleague startsWHEELER is 5-15  against the money line in home games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Meanwhile, Turnbull the Tigers starter matches up well vs the Mets batting order according to my cross reference power rankings. NY METS are 6-20 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons. I know the Mets have been playing a little better, but todays matchup does not favor them as compared to the value we have with this line.

DETROIT is 7-1  against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 this season. 

CALLAWAY is 3-9 against the money line in home games after having won 4 of their last 5 games as the manager of NY METS. 

Play on the Detroit Tigers to win on the ML

Red Sox LH David Price (2-2, 3.29 ERA) vs. Astros RH Brad Peacock (5-2, 3.59)

Price returned from the injured list for his most recent start in Toronto, and looked comfortable over five shutout innings. His pitch count will be worth monitoring, as he threw just 67 in that outing and will be very fresh here vs Houston tonight and gets my backing.Price is 6-2 with a 2.94 ERA in 12 career regular-season appearances (10 starts) PRICE is 18-6  against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% ro better in his career. (Team's Record) Note: Houstons starting hurler Peacock is 1-2 with an 8.36 ERA in five career appearances (four starts) versus the BoSox. 

MLB  Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (HOUSTON) - hot hitting team - batting .280 or better over their last 20 games, in May games are 14-33 L/5 seasons for go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB  team (HOUSTON) - average hitting team (AVG .265 to .279) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) -AL, with an on base percentage of .360 or better over their last 15 games. are 12-40 L/5 sesaons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the ML

Rays RH Charlie Morton (4-0, 2.65 ERA) vs. Indians RH Carlos Carrasco (4-4, 4.30)

Rays Righty Charlie Morton according to my cross reference pitcher vs batter power rankings Im betting wlll have have success against a lineup of Indians hitters that struggle big time against righties.Note:  Morton, who was 2-0 with a 2.08 ERA in two starts against the Indians last year. Meanwhile, Carrasco the Tribes starter can be dominate when hes on his game, and Im betting he will be. Last time out, Carrasco had his streak of 13 consecutive scoreless innings snapped, as he gave up three runs in five innings, and looks like a mortal coming in this tilt vs a tough TB side. Note: Carrasco was 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA in two games versus Tampa Bay in 2018. 

Rays are 25-11 in their last 36 road games.Indians are 2-5 in Carrascos last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Indians are 1-4 in Carrascos last 5 starts vs. American League East.Rays are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Cleveland.

Play on the TB Rays to win on the ML

Jackson struggled a bit in his first start for the Blue Jays last time out, and took a loss but Im betting on him bouncing back this afternoon and leading the Jays to the promised land. JACKSON is 8-0  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) JACKSON is 9-0 against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) JACKSON is 9-1  against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Padres are 9-19 in their last 28 interleague road games.Padres are 11-25 in their last 36 during game 2 of a series.Padres are 3-8 in their last 11 vs. American League East.Padres are 3-9 in their last 12 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.Padres are 5-15 in their last 20 Saturday games.Padres are 2-8 in their last 10 games on astroturf.Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Blue Jays are 8-3 in their last 11 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.Blue Jays are 11-5 in their last 16 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.

GREEN is 8-26  against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins as the manager of SAN DIEGO.

Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the ML

ROBBIE RAY (L) vs. DREW POMERANZ (L)

SF starter Pomeranz gave up two runs over 4 2/3 innings against the D-backs on Sunday in his first start since returning from the injured list and should be even stronger here as he grades back into game shape. He goes against a struggling Arizona side on a 5 game losing streak and losses in 6 of their L/7 on the road. I know the DBacks will start their ace Ray, but The DBacks have lost 10 of the L/14 in this series and in their current form fade material in this spot . 

Arizona will be without manager Torey Lovullo, who will be attending his son Connor's high school graduation.

MLB  Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (ARIZONA) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a below average starter (ERA 5.20 to 5.70)-NL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start are 19-36 L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate!

Play on the SF Giants to win on the ML

DREW SMYLY (L) vs. GRIFFIN CANNING (R)

Angels starter Canning is coming off the best start of his career, throwing seven scoreless innings against the Royals. He scattered just three hits and a walk while striking out five and Im betting on him going long and strong in this outing vs a batting order he matches up well against according to my power rankings. Meanwhile,  Rangers starter Smyly is in two starts and one relief appearance since returning from the injured list on May 5 has held opponents to a .191 batting average and is more than capable of having a decent start here again.

TEXAS is 11-2 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive wins this season. 

Under is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 overall.Under is 18-7-1 in Angels last 26 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 18-7-2 in Angels last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 34-15-2 in Angels last 51 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 38-18-4 in Angels last 60 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 3-0-1 in Cannings last 4 starts on grass.Under is 3-0-1 in Cannings last 4 starts overall.

Under is 2-0-2 in Angels last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0-1 in Angels last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Under is 3-0-2 in Angels last 5 during game 1 of a series

Under is 14-3 in the last 17 meetings in Los Angeles.Under is 20-8 in the last 28 meetings.

MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (LA ANGELS) - on a good fielding streak, 15 straight games with one or less errors, after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs are 37-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate!

Play on the UNDER 

BLAKE SNELL (L) vs. SHANE BIEBER (R)

Cleveland starter Bieber became the fourth-youngest pitcher since at least 1908 to record 15 strikeouts without a walk in a complete-game shutout against the Orioles and is my choice today to buoy the Indians to a victory vs TB. 

 TAMPA BAY is 5-16 against the money line in road games after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. 

FRANCONA is 63-30  against the money line after 2 straight losses by 4 runs or more in all games he has managed since 1997.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CLEVELAND) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better on the season-AL are 31-18 L/22 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the ML

JOEY LUCCHESI (L) vs. TRENT THORNTON (R)

The Padres will start left-hander Joey Lucchesi (3-3, 4,28 ERA) Friday night against Toronto right-hander Trent Thornton (1-4, 4.41). LUCCHESI has struggled on the road this season where he has garnered a 8.10 ERA. Meanwhile, Thornton will head to the mound to open a three-game Interleague set against the Padres, looking for his second win of the season. The rookie right-hander is coming off one of his best starts of the year, allowing one run on three hits with four strikeouts over six innings against the White Sox last time out, and gets my support here tonight. 

San Diego is playing well and on a 3 game winning streak, but it must be noted that GREEN is 7-26 against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins as the manager of SAN DIEGO.

MLB Home teams (TORONTO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL), after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs are 43-20 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the ML

PABLO LOPEZ (R) vs. KYLE MCGOWIN (R)

The Nationals are struggling entering this series vs Miami and are 12 games under .500, after losing 20 of their L/28 games and are fade material in their current  vs a up trending Marlins team on a 5 game win streak. 

WASHINGTON is 2-13 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season like the Marlins starter Lopez.WASHINGTON is 9-21  against the money line in night games this season

Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the ML

 Tampa Bays starter tonight Yarbrough was recalled from the minors for this game . The righty was 2-1 with an 8.10 ERA in five relief outings for the Rays earlier this season. Hes been brought up because TB is resting starters. This is a good opportunity for the Tribe to get out of a current offensive funk and get back to winning after getting swept at home. Meanwhile, Cleveland right-hander Adam Plutko, who will get the start on Thursday, allowed just one hit in six innings in his season debut Saturday during a 4-1 win over the Baltimore Orioles and looks very strong and fresh entering this tilt and gets my support in this spot situation. Plutko (1-0, 1.50 ERA) will be making his 21st career appearance (14th start) overall and first versus Tampa Bay which is an advantage for him, as their batters will take few turns to catchup with this viable hurler.

TAMPA BAY is 2-11  against the money line after a game where the bullpen threw 7 or more innings this season. FRANCONA is 63-27 against the money line in home games after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games as the manager of CLEVELAND. 

Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the ML

AARON NOLA (R) vs. JON LESTER (L)

Cubs starter Lester is 2-1 with a 1.88 ERA in four May starts, with 23 strikeouts and three walks in 24 innings.Lester has a brilliant record against the Phillies, going 8-0 against them with a 1.49 ERA in 10 career starts and gets my support here today. Note: LESTER is 19-3 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

PHILADELPHIA is 11-27  against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. 

CHICAGO CUBS are 23-8 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (CHICAGO CUBS) - very good offensive team (5.0  or more runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, on a good fielding streak, 10 straight games with one or less errors are 138-50 L/22 seasons for a 74% conversi 

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML

STEPHEN STRASBURG (R) vs. STEVEN MATZ (L)

There are two key negative issues hampering the Nationals this season, No.1 being their bullpen, which is MLB worst as is evident by garnering a ERA of 6.89 , and secondly their offense which is batting.230 as a team on the road. Today the Nats have a top tier hurler to start this game in Stephen Strasburg, but odds are he cant get this done on his own, and will have to rely on run and bullpen support which is not a likely scenario if current trends stay in place. it must also be noted that the Nats are just  2-12  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher like the Mets (Matz) with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season and 4-11 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season.

I know the Nats are desperate to avoid being swept here in this the final game of this 4 game series, but their needs may well be outweighed by their ugly performance factors.

WASHINGTON is 11-21  against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 7.00 or worse over the last 2 seasons and have failed to win 15 of 25 games this season when listed as a fav or -110 or more.

MLB Road teams (WASHINGTON) - ice cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 20 games, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 10-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Mets to win on the ML

JOSE URENA (R) vs. DANIEL NORRIS (L

The victories may not be there for Urena, but the performances have been quality,  in his last six starts. Despite being 1-3, he has a 2.77 ERA over that span, working at least six innings in each of them and is a value selection here tonight. URENA is 12-4  against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Marlins are 10-3 in Urenas last 13 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Tigers have lost 7 straight games while the Marlins have won 4 straight. 

NORRIS  the Tigers starter is 1-9  against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)NORRIS is 9-20  against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record) Tigers are 1-10 in Norris' last 11 starts during game 2 of a series. 

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.

Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the ML

RICK PORCELLO (R) vs. AARON SANCHEZ (R)

After a rough first three starts of the season, Porcello has been stellar ever since, going 3-1 with a 2.97 ERA in his last six starts and gets my support here today as the Boston Red Sox bounce back off yesterdays loss to the Jays.

Red Sox are 5-1 in Porcellos last 6 starts.Red Sox are 9-3 in Porcellos last 12 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Red Sox are 10-4 in Porcellos last 14 starts during game 3 of a series.

Note:  Blue Jays starter Aaron Sanchez RHP 3-4, 3.88 ERA, 50 SO, exited his last game early with a blister, and may still not be 100%.

Blue Jays are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.Blue Jays are 0-6 in their last 6 games following a win.Blue Jays are 0-5 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

BOSTON is 20-8  against the money line in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on the Boston RedSox to win on the ML

Frankie Montas ...RHP5-2, 2.67 ERA, 52 SO....Montas is emerging as the A's top pitcher, coming off a career-best performance of 8 2/3 innings and 10 strikeouts in a win over the Tigers. He allowed just two earned runs over six innings in a start against Cleveland at the Oakland Coliseum earlier this month and gets my support here today. CLEVELAND is 3-14 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better over the last 2 seasons.

Athletics are 8-1 in their last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.Athletics are 4-0 in Montas' last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Athletics are 5-1 in Montas' last 6 starts vs. American League Central.

OAKLAND is 32-9  against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on the Oakland As to win on the ML

MICHAEL PINEDA (R) vs. TREVOR CAHILL (R)

These two pitchers give the assumption to public bettors that this looks like and easy slam dunk for the over.  Truth is the number is frothy at this number, and offers us value on the under in contrarian fashion. 

Angels have eclipsed the total only one time in their L/10 games. 

Under is 3-1-1 in Twins last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 overall.Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 on grass.Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 home games.Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 vs. American League Central.Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 Tuesday games.

MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (MINNESOTA) - hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.00 or more over his last 5 starts are 43-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (LA ANGELS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 10 games are 51-20 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

ERICK FEDDE (R) vs. ZACK WHEELER (R)

NY Mets starter today Wheeler faces the Nats for the second straight start and fourth time already this season  and the results have not been good as is evident by a 9.77 ERA. Last Thursday,  Meanwhile,Fedde the Nats starter will make his first start of the season, joining the Nationals' rotation in place of the injured Anibal Sanchez. Four of Fedde's five outings from the bullpen have been scoreless, and is a viable pitcher with value attached to his performance results.

Mets are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Mets are 2-7 in Wheelers last 9 home starts vs. Nationals.

The Mets ended a 5 game losing streak last time out, but it must be noted that the NY METS are 1-9  against the money line in home games off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the ML

EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. MARCUS STROMAN (R)

Blue Jays stater Marcus Stroman is off to a hot start this season with a 2.95 ERA over 10 starts. The problem is that he has just one win to show for it because of a lack of run support. Because of this he is less than a desirable hurler to back vs a BoSox team with a viable offence. Meanwhile, Bostons starter RODRIGUEZ is 16-1 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)RODRIGUEZ is 21-4  against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

CORA is 16-8 L/24 against the money line in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better as the manager of BOSTON. 

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the ML

Diamondbacks RH Luke Weaver (3-2, 3.16 ERA) vs. Padres RH Chris Paddack (3-2, 1.99)

Weaver has recorded three straight quality starts, going 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 19 strikeouts in 20 innings and has been a road warrior for the D-backs this year, going 3-0 with a 0.98 ERA in his last three starts away from Chase Field. In four career starts against the Padres, he is 2-2 with a 2.28 ERA. Meanwhile, the Fathers starter Paddack's ERA sits below 2, and opponents have a .146 batting average against him, the lowest mark in the Majors. The young hurler owns a 49-to-11 strikeout-to-walk ratio over 45 1/3 innings in his first eight starts. The linesmakers expect a pitchers duel and Im on board, with a key number 7 offering value to the under according to my projections.

SAN DIEGO is 12-4 UNDER as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season with a combined average of 6.5 rpg scored. 

Under is 16-7-1 in Diamondbacks last 24 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 5-0 in Paddacks last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.Under is 4-0 in Paddacks last 4 home starts.Under is 5-1 in Paddacks last 6 starts on grass.Under is 5-1 in Paddacks last 6 starts overall.

Play on UNDER 

The Mariners starter Leake's worst outing of the year came against the Rangers on April 27 when he allowed 10 hits and 9 runs (5 earned) in 5 innings in a 15-1 loss in Seattle and according to my cross reference pitching vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well vs Rangers. Meanwhile, Minor beat the Mariners, 15-1 in that above mentioned April 27 tilt, by holding them to one run in seven innings. He allowed three hits and struck out 13. Minor earned a victory  in his last start last Wednesday, when he allowed one run over five innings as the Rangers cruised past the Royals 6-1 and has momentum and confidence entering this tilt vs Seattle team that has the worst record in baseball since April 27 . He entered Sunday ranked among the AL's top 10 in both ERA and strikeouts (tied for 10th with 56).

SEATTLE is 1-13  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season.

TEXAS is 8-3 against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (SEATTLE) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 7 or more hits/start, starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 7-43 L/5 seasons for a 86% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Texas to win on the ML

Darvish the Cubs starter is 1-0 with a 0.73 ERA in two career starts against the Phillies and gets the nod and my support in this spot situation.Meanwhile, Phillies starter Arrieta got off to a solid start this season and was 3-1 with a 2.25 ERA after four outings, but has dropped his past two starts and is winless since April 27. Note: Phillies are 0-4 in Arrietas last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Phillies are 4-9 in their last 13 vs. National League Central.Phillies are 3-7 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series.

Phillies are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Chicago.

CHICAGO CUBS are 17-6 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.CHICAGO CUBS are 21-7 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season.

Cubs are 9-1 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Cubs are 11-2 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.

The Phillies are 0-17 L/17 on the ML in the first game of a series with no rest off a game as a favorite in which they left 18+ men on base.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML

Rockies LH Kyle Freeland (2-5, 5.68 ERA) vs. Phillies RH Jerad Eickhoff (2-2, 2.65)

Freeland won against the Phillies on April 18, when he struck out seven and allowed only two hits in six scoreless innings. In two games against the Phillies, Freeland is 1-0 with a 0.0 ERA. also did not allow a walk. The lefty is 1-1 with a 3.71 ERA in three day games this season and despite of some recent struggles is a quality hurler that matches up well vs thePhillies batting order according to my power rankings and  offers us a viable chance to cash a value line ticket.

EICKHOFF  the Philies stater is 1-3 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 7.43 and a WHIP of 1.826.

Phillies are 6-15 in Eickhoffs last 21 starts with 4 days of rest.Phillies are 2-6 in Eickhoffs last 8 starts vs. National League West.

FREELAND is 6-0 against the money line in road games against NL East opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Rockies are 8-0 in Freelands last 8 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.

 Colorado is 14-4  against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) FREELAND is 12-5 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Colorado to win on the ML

Jose Berrios RHP 6-2, 3.05 ERA, 54 SO.......Berrios the Twins starter struggled for the first time in 2019 on Monday against the Angels, when he was tagged for a career-high 12 hits and a season-high five runs in 5 2/3 frames. It marked the first time in 10 starts that he did not complete at least six innings and gets my support here to bounce back and get us to the promised land.

MINNESOTA is 10-0  against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season.The Twins are 11-0 on the ML as a road favorite when playing a team that has a worse record. 

MINNESOTA is 8-0 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. 

The Twins are 19-0 on the ML as a road favorite after a five-plus win if that was not a complete game by their starter which was the case in last nights 7 -1 win vs Seattle.

SEATTLE is 0-12 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season.

Play on Minnesota Twins to win on the ML

Dakota Hudson the Cards starter has shown some promise but his hard-hit rate of 45.8 percent is a concern, especially against a Texas team seeing the ball very well at the moment. In . his current form the kid is fade material in this spot. 

The Rangers cruised to a 7-3 victory Friday night vs the Cards and dating back to Wednesday have outscored their opposition by a 26-5 count. Considering how much struggling the Cards have suffered through of late, as is evident by having been outscored 21-6 in their L/3 games.

Cardinals are 1-7 in their last 8 road games.Cardinals are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Cardinals are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.Cardinals are 0-7 in the last 7 meetings.TEXAS is 5-0 against the money line in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season.

The Texas Rangers are 18-0 L/18 on the ML in the second game of a home series when they were a dog in the opener and they are facing a starter with a strike-per-ball ratio of 2.05 or less.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - hot hitting team - batting .333 or better over their last 3 games, in May games are 155-100 L/22 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the ML

Rockies RH Antonio Senzatela (3-2, 5.35 ERA) vs. Phillies RH Aaron Nola (3-0, 4.86)

This contest today features a rematch of Philadelphia’s 8-5 victory on April 20 in Denver. Citizens Park in Philadelphia is also a hitters park like Coors is , and today Im expecting some offensive fireworks in a notorious hitters park .Nola has not pitched as well overall as he did last season, but thanks to an explosive offence is receiving superior run support to remain in the  unbeaten column. Nola only has three quality starts in nine starts this season.NOLA is 8-1 OVER as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. (Team's Record)  with a combined average of 12.1 rpg going on the board. . Meanwhile, Rockies stater Senzatela has pitched well overall but of late has produced a 7.04 ERA in his last 3 starts, and according to my cross reference pitcher vs batting order power rankings the Phillies matchup well against him and and project do adequate damage to get us over the set total this afternoon. 

Over is 5-0 in Senzatelas last 5 starts overall.Over is 9-2 in Rockies last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 8-1 in Nolas last 9 starts overall.Over is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings in Philadelphia. Colorado is average 5.2 rpg this season and Philadelphia is averaging 5.3 rpg at home.

COLORADO is 11-1 OVER in May games this season with an average of 14.7 rpg scored. 

Play OVER 

MARTIN PEREZ (L) vs. MARCO GONZALES (L)

Twins starter Perez (5-1,3.11 ERA 46 SOs) suffered a contusion after taking a line drive off his left foot in his last outing, but he is expected to make his next scheduled start in Seattle here tonight. His 15-inning scoreless streak was snapped vs. Detroit, but he allowed only four hits in five innings and comes into this tilt looking very sharp and qualifies for an investment option on the money-line  . His pitching opponentGonzales started strongly this season, but he's been roughed up of late after two rough outings in his past three with short stints and high pitch counts against the Cubs and Red Sox. According to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings he just does matchup well here tonight vs the Twinkies and considering his current form is fade material. 

Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.Twins are 11-0 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Twins are 12-1 in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Twins are 6-1 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League West.

SEATTLE is 3-17  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.SEATTLE is 0-11 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season. 

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  0.800 or better over his last 3 starts are 63-33 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or worse), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.000 or better over his last 3 starts are 32-14 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Twins to win on the ML ( Best Bet of the Day)

There is more to baseball than just pitching, and while I do focus on starting pitching and bullpen support, sometimes a pitching matchup that might look like it favors a certain team is void. Thats the situation here tonight as the Brewers Chacin, is in better form than Fried the Braves starter, but despite of this I like the home team to come out of this with a victory based on the teams overall form of late that has seen them go 5-1 L/6 and how they matchup vs the Brewers from an array of head to head power rankings that I use. As you can see the lines-makers and  market agree with my assessments. There is public support for the Brewers , but the smarter money win or lose is on the Braves here and rightly so.

Brewers are 0-4 in Chacins last 4 road starts.Brewers are 0-4 in Chacins last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Brewers are 9-19 in the last 28 meetings in Atlanta.

Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML

GERRIT COLE (R) vs. RICK PORCELLO (R)

The opener of the three-game series will see Houston right-hander Gerrit Cole (4-4, 3.88 ERA) take the mound opposite Boston righty Rick Porcello (3-3, 5.15).Cole is coming off a start in which he allowed one run on four hits with a season-high 12 strikeouts against the Rangers last Saturday. Over his last four starts, Cole has a 2.39 ERA across 26 1/3 innings, with 42 strikeouts and six walks and gets my support here on the road tonight behind a batting order that has produced 8.1 rpg and a .316 BA in their L/7 overall (wins). 

HOUSTON is 18-5  against the money line in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 3 seasons. HOUSTON is 12-1  against the money line in road games when playing with a day off over the last 2 season.

HINCH is 32-11  against the money line in road games after batting .315 or better over a 5 game span as the manager of HOUSTON. HINCH is 41-17 against the money line in road games after a 5 game span with an OBP of .375 or better as the manager of HOUSTON. 

The Astros are 18-0 L/18 on the ML with rest in the first game of a road series when their opponent's starter has an ERA of higher than 3.4 on the season and it is before the All-Star break.

MLB Road teams (HOUSTON) - red hot hitting team - batting .333 or better over their last 5 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 0.800 or less over his last 3 starts are 38-10 L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Houston Astros to win on the ML

Thursday's pitching matchup features St. Louis right-hander Adam Wainwright (3-3, 4.15 ERA) against right-hander Julio Teheran (2-4, 4.26).Wainwright made his first seven-inning start in 13 months his last time out and generated a season-high 23 called strikes. Key to his early-season success has been his curveball and with that confidence is a dangerous hurler at the moment.Wainwright is 9-3 with a 3.29 ERA in 18 career games (13 starts) against the Braves and gets my support again tonight in Georgia. Braves are 2-6 in their last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Wainwright! 

Cardinals are 5-1 in Wainwrights last 6 road starts vs. Braves.Cardinals are 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Atlanta.Cardinals are 4-1 in Wainwrights last 5 starts vs. Braves

Atlantas starter Teheran has not notched a win in 5 starts and is lacking support in his appearances. 

ST LOUIS is 14-4  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. MIKE is 35-16  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 as the manager of ST LOUIS.

MLB Road teams (ST LOUIS) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more  runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games are 42-18 L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the St.Louis Cards to win on the ML

ZACH DAVIES (R) vs. ZACH EFLIN (R)

 Brewers starter Davies at 4-0 is in top form entering this afternoon tilt. The light throwing righty has allowed  two or fewer runs in each of his eight starts. Only five times this season has a Brewers starter worked into at least the seventh inning. Davies has three of them. With that said, he gets my backing on a value line this afternoon in Philadelphia. 

Phillies are 1-4 in Eflins their starters last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record like the Brewers. 
Brewers are 14-6 in the last 20 meetings in Philadelphia

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (PHILADELPHIA) - good offensive team ( 4.7 or less runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less) (NL), starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 18-44 L/22seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

MLB Home teams (PHILADELPHIA) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 2.70 or better) -NL, starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 17-39 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Milwaukee Bewers to win on the ML

MICHAEL WACHA (R) vs. MIKE SOROKA (R)

Right-hander Mike Soroka (3-1, 1.21) will face St. Louis right-hander Michael Wacha (3-0, 5.35) in the second game of the three-game series in Atlanta.Last time out, Soroka became the first MLB pitcher since earned runs became official in both leagues in 1913 to allow one or fewer earned runs as a starter in eight of his first 10 career games. Im expecting both hurlers to hold their own here against batting orders that my projections suggest they matchup well against.  

Under is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Under is 9-4-1 in Cardinals last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Under is 4-0 in Sorokas last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-0 in Sorokas last 4 home starts.Under is 5-1 in Sorokas last 6 starts on grass.Under is 4-1 in Sorokas last 5 starts overall.Under is 4-1 in Sorokas last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Sorokas last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

ATLANTA is 20-9 UNDER  in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined 7.5 rpg scored. 

Play UNDER

YU DARVISH (R) vs. SONNY GRAY (R)

Cubs starter Darvish (2-3, 5.40 ERA) leads the majors with 33 walks in 36 2/3 innings. He has 11 walks and 11 strikeouts in eight innings this month, the main reason he is winless in his first two starts in May with a 6.75 ERA. In his current form he is fade material. Meanwhile, GRAY the Reds starter is  is 14-4 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 in his career. (Team's Record) 

Cubs are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Cincinnati.

Road teams (CHICAGO CUBS) - good NL offensive team (4.7 or more  runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better ), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities are 7-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the ML

FELIX PENA (R) vs. KYLE GIBSON (R) 

 Gibson struck out a career-high 11 hitters on Wednesday, when he allowed only one run and two hits to the Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. He is 3-1 with a 2.25 ERA, 28 strikeouts and three walks in his last four appearances and gets my support here tonight. 

LA ANGELS are 1-12 against the money line vs. teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game over the last 2 season.LA ANGELS are 11-33  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

Minnesota is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home.

Play on Minnesota to win on the ML

JACK FLAHERTY (R) vs. MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ (R)

Atlanta's starter today vs St.Louis Foltynewicz hasn't had a quality start in his first three outings of the season, going 0-2 with a 5.94 ERA. Now the right-hander faces the Cardinals, against whom he owns an 8.06 ERA in five career starts and is fade material in this spot play.FOLTYNEWICZ is 3-13  against the money line in home games when working on 5 or 6 days rest since 1997. (Team's Record) I know the Card sin their current struggling form dont inspire bettors, but it must be noted that ST LOUIS is 24-10  against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons and get my support today to get us the win.

MIKE is 34-16 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 as the manager of ST LOUIS. 

Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the ML

Woodruff is 5-1 with a 4.25 ERA in eight starts this season. He has allowed just three earned runs over the last 16 innings in three previous starts and enters this game looking like he has top tier momentum, and a viable pitcher to back here tonight in Philadelphia. Note:Woodruff has struck out at least six batters in each of his last seven starts, the most by a Milwaukee pitcher since Zack Greinke had seven in a row in 2011.

 MILWAUKEE is 20-6 against the money line after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons

MLB team (PHILADELPHIA) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20) -NL, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 33-60 L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the ML

 NICK KINGHAM (R) vs. ROBBIE RAY (L)

Arizona starter Ray took a no-decision in his last outing against the Rays when he threw 5 2/3 shutout innings while striking out 11 batters. He is six strikeouts away from 800 for his career and would be the second fastest lefty in terms of games pitched to reach that mark and gets my support today to over power this Pirates batting order. RAY is 19-4 against the money line after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Arizona has won all 4 meetings in this series this season outscoring the Pirates by a 30-7 count and matchup well vs this Pirates side.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (ARIZONA) - with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games are 43-9 L/22 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the ML

TYLER SKAGGS (L) vs. JOSE BERRIOS (R)

Skaggs is 1-0 with a 2.08 ERA in two career starts against Minnesota with 15 strikeouts in 13 innings and gets y support here today vs a batting order that my pitcher vs power ranking suggest he matches up well against. 

Angels are 6-2 in Skaggs' last 8 starts with 4 days of rest.Angels are 7-3 in Skaggs' last 10 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Angels are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Angels are 10-2 in their last 12 vs. American League Central.Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a loss.Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.

MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (MINNESOTA) - after 4 straight games where they stranded 8 or more runners on base, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.000 the last 5 games are 18-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Angels to win on the ML

BRAD PEACOCK (R) vs. MATT BOYD (L)

Boyd  Detroits  left-handed starter has won his last two starts and hasn't allowed more than three earned runs in any of his eight outings, becoming Detroit's most reliable starter in the process and is a viable underdog in this spot.

Astros are 5-16 in their starters Peacocks last 21 starts with 4 days of rest.

Tigers are 14-3 in Boyds last 17 home starts.Tigers are 4-1 in Boyds last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.Tigers are 4-1 in Boyds last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Tigers are 4-1 in Boyds last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.Tigers are 6-2 in Boyds last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Tigers are 9-3 in Boyds last 12 starts on grass.Tigers are 5-2 in Boyds last 7 starts vs. American League West.Tigers are 5-2 in Boyds last 7 starts.

BOYD is 7-0 against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)BOYD is 8-0  against the money line in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

HOUSTON is 3-8 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this season.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (DETROIT) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better on the season-AL are 31-17 L/22 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Detroit Tigers to win on the ML

Brewers RH Jhoulys Chacin (3-3, 5.03 ERA) vs. Cubs LH Jon Lester (2-1, 1.41)

Lester has been stellar since returning from the IL, allowing just one earned run over 18 innings (three starts) with 19 strikeouts and one walk. The southpaw has not faced the Brewers this year, but went 1-1 with a 2.31 ERA in two starts (11 2/3 IP) in '18 and gets my support here this Sunday night. CHICAGO CUBS are 15-2  against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start over the last 2 seasons. 

LESTER is 23-7 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Cubs are 5-1 in Lesters last 6 starts vs. Brewers. 

Brewers are 1-4 in Chacins last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.

Cubs are 7-1 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cubs are 10-2 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cubs are 8-2 in their last 10 games following a win.Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.Cubs are 17-5 in their last 22 games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 20-6 in their last 26 overall.Cubs are 20-6 in their last 26 games on grass.Cubs are 16-5 in their last 21 vs. a team with a winning record.Cubs are 13-5 in their last 18 Sunday games.Cubs are 43-19 in their last 62 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Cubs are 38-17 in their last 55 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 6-1 in Lesters last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.Cubs are 5-1 in Lesters last 6 Sunday starts.Cubs are 10-3 in Lesters last 13 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cubs are 11-4 in Lesters last 15 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Cubs are 38-14 in Lesters last 52 home starts.Cubs are 36-15 in Lesters last 51 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cubs are 36-15 in Lesters last 51 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cubs are 37-16 in Lesters last 53 starts on grass.Cubs are 36-16 in Lesters last 52 starts with 4 days of rest.Cubs are 37-17 in Lesters last 54 starts.Cubs are 39-18 in Lesters last 57 starts vs. National League Central.Cubs are 19-9 in Lesters last 28 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML

Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (3-2, 3.71 ERA) vs. Dodgers LH Hyun-Jin Ryu (4-1, 2.03)

Dodgers starter Ryu’s last trip to the hill was a 93-pitch, four-hit shutout of the Braves. It was another walk-less start for the Korean hurler , who has 45 strikeouts and only two walks and in his current form is a viable chalk call here. Note: Ryu owns a 1.93 ERA in three career starts versus the Nationals.

Dodgers are 21-6 in Ryus last 27 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.

The Dodgers are 11-0 L/11 on the ML when Hyun Jin Ryu starts as a favorite and they scored more than 6 runs in his last start.The Dodgers are 16-0 L/16 on the ML in the last game of a home series when their starter went at least eight innings in his last start.

Nationals are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

Nationals are 1-4 in Strasburgs last 5 starts vs. National League West.

WASHINGTON is 0-6  against the money line when playing with a day off this season.

ROBERTS is 36-8 against the money line in home games when playing on Sunday as the manager of LA DODGERS.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the ML

 Reds RH Tyler Mahle (0-5, 3.69 ERA) vs. Giants LH Madison Bumgarner (2-4, 3.99)

Reds starter Mahle, has  allowed only one run in each of his last two appearances and despite of not showing it with his record is a viable hurler on a value line here today in SF. The Reds have outscored their opponents 15-4 during their three-game winning streak and are showing the upward momentum needed for them to sweep this series and notch a victory in this spot. 

BUMGARNER the Giants starter is 3-11 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Reds are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.Giants are 1-7 in their starts Bumgarners last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance which was the case vs Colorado last time out.Giants are 0-5 in Bumgarners last 5 starts vs. National League Central.

Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the ML

RH Griffin Canning (1-0, 4.66 ERA) Vs. Orioles LH John Means (4-3, 2.48)

Means a long shot to make this roster is a key component in the  Baltimore rotation and held the Boston Red Sox to one run and three hits over seven innings on Monday to earn his third victory in his last four trips to the hill. The rookie has only allowed one or no earned runs in eight of his nine appearances and has garnered  29 strikeouts in 32 2/3 innings of quality work. Means is 2-1 with a 1.56 ERA in five outings at home this season and gets the nod today on a value line. Note: The Orioles are 5-0 L/5 on the ML as a 150-plus pup against a team that has won at least their last three games like the Halos. 

Angels are 17-35 in their last 52 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Angels are 3-8 in their last 11 games vs. a left-handed starter.

LA ANGELS are 8-26  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better over the last 2 seasons

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA ANGELS) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL) against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.000 or less over his last 3 starts are 12-28 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the ML

LH Nick Margevicius (2-3, 3.47 ERA) vs. Rockies RH Antonio Senzatela (2-2, 5.67)

After beginning the year on the injured list with an infected right heel blister, Senzatela  the Rockies starter faced the Padres in his season debut and gave up one run and six hits -- and fanned four -- in 6 2/3 innings of a win at Petco Park and gets the nod again in this spot.

SAN DIEGO is 1-12  against the money line in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.40 or worse over the last 3 seasons.SAN DIEGO is 3-18  against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start over the last 3 seasons. 

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (COLORADO) - with a team batting average of .250 or worse on the season (NL), hot hitting team - batting .280 or better over their last 20 games are 56-28 L/22 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to . win on the ML

Reds RH Anthony DeSclafani (2-1, 3.65 ERA) vs. Giants RH Jeff Samardzija (2-1, 3.16)

Samardzija will be primed to bounce back after a down effort last Sunday in Cincinnati, during which he gave up four runs over five innings, including three homers on consecutive pitches in the first. Prior to that, he had a 2.53 ERA over his first six starts and Im betting he bounces back.

Reds are 1-7 in DeSclafanis last 8 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.DESCLAFANI is 2-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 6.23 and a WHIP of 1.384.

Reds are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in San Francisco.

The Reds are 0-15 on the ML after a game as a road favorite in which they scored in more innings than their opponent.

Play on the SF Giants to win on the ML

IVAN NOVA (R) vs. MARCUS STROMAN (R)

Blue Jays are 2-5 in Stromans last 7 starts vs. White Sox

Toronto's Opening Day starter Stroman has allowed 11 runs over his last eight innings while registering just five strikeouts and in his current form is fade material. Nova is one of only two White Sox starters to work at least seven innings this season, accomplishing that goal for a second time on Monday in Cleveland. Nova, who allowed one run in the victory, feels as if his velocity is climbing. Im betting he has upward momentum, while his opponent does not making this a value line situation 

Blue Jays are 2-8 in Stromans last 10 starts.Blue Jays are 1-5 in Stromans last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Blue Jays are 1-5 in Stromans last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.Blue Jays are 1-5 in Stromans last 6 home starts.

 WHITE SOX are 13-8  against the money line in road games against AL East opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TORONTO) - below average hitting team (AVG .265or less ) against a terrible starting pitcher (ERA 6.70 or better) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start are 14-27 L/22 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the ML

In his past four starts,Twins starter Odorizzi is 4-0 with a 1.11 ERA and 23 strikeouts in 24 1/3 innings. He has a 3-1 record and 3.77 ERA in eight career starts against the Tigers and gets the nod tonight on this runline wager. Meanwhile,Tigers starter Tyson Ross (1-4, 5.34 ERA), gave up five runs on seven hits in 1 1/3 innings in a 15-3 loss to Kansas City this past Saturday, will make his second start of the season against the Twins. Ross, is 0-4 with a 5.30 ERA in six games and four career starts against Minnesota and is fade material in his current form. 

JAKE ODORIZZI is 13-5  against the run line in home games over the last 2 seasons.

The Twins are in top form and 11 games over .500 (23-12) and swept the Tigers in an abbreviated 2 game sweep earlier this season, and matchup well vs Motown , especially here tonight in a game that Im betting ends in a 2+ run or more positive deficit for them. 

Play on the Minnesota on the -1.5 RL

PABLO LOPEZ (R) vs. ZACK WHEELER (R)

New York lost five of six on a road trip to San Diego and Milwaukee and is 4-10 since its last back-to-back wins, so going against them even with under rated Miami is not an issue for me here today. I know the Marlins dont inspire confidence after having lost 10 of 12, but they  have taken become more competitive over the last week. Miami ended a home stand Sunday by losing to the Atlanta Braves 3-1 in 10 innings before beating the Cubs on Monday and suffering walk-off defeats Tuesday and Wednesday. Note: Miami's starter Lopez's only start against the Mets came in his major league debut last June 30, when he started and earned the win by allowing two runs over six innings as Miami earned a 5-2 victory and gets my support in this spot on a value line.

WHEELER the Mets starter  is 1-10  against the money line in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Mets are 4-11 in Wheelers last 15 starts during game 1 of a series.Mets are 1-4 in Wheelers last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

NY METS are 5-20 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Road teams (MIAMI) - poor power team (0.9 or less HR's/game) against a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.000 or better over his last 3 starts are 63-38 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the ML

 GIO GONZALEZ (L) vs. JOSE QUINTANA (L)

Chicago left-hander Jose Quintana (4-1, 3.40 ERA) will make his second start against Milwaukee this season.   Quintana is 6-2 owns a  1.62 ERA vs the Brewers. Last year alone, Quintana was 4-1 with a 2.13 ERA  vs Milwaukee and Im betting on him having a quality start today. Meanwhile, Gonzalez the Brewers starter has made two starts for the Brewers  each against the New York Mets  and he has a 2.61 ERA with no decisions in 10 1/3 innings. He has gone at least five innings in each start and has allowed nine hits, just one walk and no homers.

Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Quintanas last 4 home starts vs. Brewers.Under is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings in Chicago.MILWAUKEE is 23-9 UNDER in road games vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons with an average of 7.2 rpg scored. MILWAUKEE is 11-2 UNDER in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.5 rpg.

MADDON is 32-13 UNDER  after allowing 2 runs or less 3 straight games as the manager of CHICAGO CUBS with a combined 7.4 rpg scored. 

The wind is blowing in from center field today at Wrigley Field. In the recent past , the under 105-72-8 L/185  record at Wrigley when the wind is blowing in , and we once again have value on the under here today. 

MLB Road teams (MILWAUKEE) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record and are 46-19 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

MIKE SOROKA (R) vs. LUKE WEAVER (R)

Weaver the DBacks starter has allowed more than three runs just once this season, and he's 3-0 with a 1.99 ERA in his past four starts. The righty over powered the Rockies over seven innings his last time out, allowing one earned run on three hits and striking out eight and gets my support here tonight in the desert. 

 ATLANTA is 3-11  against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. ARIZONA is 11-4 against the money line vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent as a favorite of -150 or more, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 12-31 L/22 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ARIZONA) - ice cold hitting team - batting .175 or worse over their last 3 games, with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 34-19 L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Arizona to win on the ML

 KC Right-hander Jorge Lopez (0-3, 5.09 ERA) will make his first career appearance against the Astros in the series finale. Lopez is 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA on the road this season and does not matchup well according to my power rankings vs this Houston batting order. Note:HOUSTON is 53-14 SU vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons winning by an average of 2.7 rpg. 

KANSAS CITY is 9-33  SU against AL West opponents over the last 2 seasons losing by an average of 1.8 rpg. KANSAS CITY is 2-17 SU in road games after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons losing by an average of 2.3 rpg.

Houston is in revenge mode today after being embarrassed by the Royals yesterday losing by a 12-2 count. Note: MLB chalk of more than -200 coming off a 10+ run loss are 22-3 SU in their followup game winning by an average of 3 rpg .  

Play on Houston Astros RL -1.5 to win and  cover 

TYLER SKAGGS (L) vs. MATT BOYD (L)

Angles starter Skaggs has been solid since missing two weeks with an ankle sprain, allowing two runs and striking out 10 over his last 11 innings. Both runs came in his six-inning outing against Toronto on Thursday, which was  a win. In his current form he is hard to face, especially against a inconsistent offence like the Tigers own.

 LA ANGELS are 18-3 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 3.9 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.LA ANGELS are 25-6  against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.LA ANGELS are 41-13  against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the LA Angels to win on the ML

Giants LH Madison Bumgarner (1-4, 3.92 ERA) vs. Rockies RH Antonio Senzatela (2-1, 4.03)

Colorados stater Senzatela,  is 5-0 with a 3.35 ERA in eight games (six starts) against San Francisco. His team won all 6 starts, and he gets the nod again today vs a batting order he matches up well against according to my pitcher vs batter power rankings. The Giants have lost six straight tilts at  the launching pad knows as Coors Field and are 2-17 on the ML in the Mile High City since 2017  , winning one game in each of the last two campaigns and Im betting on the Giants losing another one in this spot.

Rockies are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Rockies are 9-3 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

BOCHY is 9-27 against the money line after allowing 12 runs or more as the manager of SAN FRANCO. (SF lost 12-4 to the Reds on Monday.)

BUMGARNER the Giants starter is 0-7 against the money line in road games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Giants are 0-7 in Bumgarners last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Giants are 0-7 in Bumgarners last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.Giants are 0-4 in Bumgarners last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.

SAN FRANCISCO is 4-21  against the money line on the road when the total is 10 or higher over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML

Yankees starter  Masahiro Tanaka goes to the hill  Tuesday on five days' rest,  and looking fresh enough to continue his dominance over Seattle. The Japanese hurler is 7-0 with a 2.02 ERA in eight career starts against Seattle and has lasted at least seven innings in seven of those starts.It must be noted that Tanaka is among four active pitchers with an ERA of 2.50 or less and a 7-0 record or better against one opponent. Dominance is the name of the game here and confidence that is carries , as Tanaka's ERA against the Mariners is his lowest against any American League team, as is evident by holding Mariners hitters to a .199 average (42-for-211). He also owns a 12.80 strikeout-to-walk ratio (64 strikeouts, five walks) vs. Seattle, the fourth highest against any opponent by any pitcher with at least 50 strikeouts since 1913.

The Yankees are 17-0  on the ML in franchise history with Masahiro Tanaka as chalk of more than 135 when they used five pitchers yesterday and their starter had at least three more strikeouts than their bullpen.

GONZALES Seattle start is 0-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 8.53 and a WHIP of 1.422.

Mariners are 1-6 in their last 7 road games. Mariners are 1-7 in their last 8 overall.

NY YANKEES are 31-7  against the money line in home games after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better over the last 3 seasons. 

Lay the lumber here with the NY Yankees on the ML

White Sox RH Lucas Giolito (2-1, 5.32 ERA) vs. Indians RH Jefry Rodriguez (0-1, 2.13)

Cleveland has been steamrolled in back to back games by 10-0 and 9-1 counts and look in disarray as injuries eat away at their starting pitching core and lineup. I know the White Sox dont inspire bettors , but their catching the Tribe at a perfect time, and knocked them around last night and  look like viable investment options on a value ML here again this evening.

White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.White Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Indians are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Indians are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. American League Central.

Note: GIOLITO  the Pale Hose starter is 11-7 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the ML

MAX SCHERZER (R) vs. JHOULYS CHACIN (R)

Chacin worked six scoreless innings against the Rockies earlier on this homestand that he delivered a scoreless start and looks to be finally rounding into form after a mediocre start. Meanwhile,Max Scherzer (1-4, 4.08) will start for the Nationals, who played with a mix-and-match lineup Sunday against Philadelphia due to the assorted injuries.The Nationals have lost six of Scherzer’s seven starts on the season, and him and his team are fade material in their present form. 

SCHERZER is 0-5  against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record) 

CHACIN is 20-9 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

MILWAUKEE is 18-1  against the money line after 2 straight wins by 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (WASHINGTON) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a below average starter (ERA 5.20 to 5.70)-NL, with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 21-50 L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the ML

Kelly the Dbacks starter tonight has proven to be a valuable pickup for the D-backs, who signed him in December after he spent four years in Korea. Kelly allowed one run on five hits over 5 1/3 innings in his last start against the Yankees and is my value choice here this Monday vs the Tampa Bay Rays. Note:The Rays have won eight of 11 series this season but are only 7-8 in their last 15 games following a 14-4 start and do not look as strong as they did earlier this season. Snell TBs starter the defending AL Cy Young Award winner, gave up a career-high seven runs in his last start, when he went three-plus innings in an 8-2 loss to Kansas City on Wednesday and looks vulnerable at the moment.It's the first time in his career he has gone 3 1/3 innings or fewer in back-to-back starts. 

MLB team (TAMPA BAY) - after getting shut out against opponent after scoring 7 runs or more 2 straight games are 18-44 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Arizona has scored 26 runs in their L/3 while TB has scored 3 runs or less in 6 of their L/9 overall. 

Play on Arizona to win on the ML

Martin Perez takes the mound in search of his fourth straight victory after holding the Astros scoreless over eight innings in his last start. Perez is 3-0 with a 2.08 ERA since joining the Twins' who  have won seven of 10 and 11 of 16. Perez and the Twinkies  get my support here again in this start vs the inconsistent Blue Jays. Note:TORONTO is 18-32  against the money line in home games against left-handed starters like Perez over the last 3 seasons. 

Twins are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Twins are 8-1 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Twins are 11-2 in their last 13 games following a loss.Twins are 10-2 in their last 12 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.Twins are 7-2 in their last 9 vs. American League East.Twins are 17-5 in their last 22 vs. a team with a losing record.Twins are 10-3 in their last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter.Twins are 19-7 in their last 26 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Twins are 7-3 in their last 10 overall.

Blue Jays are 17-41 in their last 58 games vs. a left-handed starter.Blue Jays are 12-30 in their last 42 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Blue Jays are 3-8 in their last 11 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Blue Jays are 3-8 in their last 11 Monday games.Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.Blue Jays are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Blue Jays are 2-5 in Stromans last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Blue Jays are 2-5 in Stromans last 7 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Blue Jays are 3-8 in Stromans last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Blue Jays are 2-7 in Stromans last 9 starts.Blue Jays are 1-4 in Stromans last 5 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance.Blue Jays are 1-4 in Stromans last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Blue Jays are 1-4 in Stromans last 5 home starts.Blue Jays are 2-8 in Stromans last 10 starts with 4 days of rest.Blue Jays are 1-4 in Stromans last 5 starts on astroturf.

Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the ML

 Giants LH Drew Pomeranz (1-3, 4.08 ERA) vs. Reds RH Anthony DeSclafani (1-1, 3.48)

DeSclafani is 1-0 with a 0.51 ERA over his last three starts, including back-to-back outings in which he has not allowed a run and deserves our support here as chalk. 

Giants are 19-40 in their last 59 overall.Giants are 11-24 in their last 35 games vs. a right-handed starter.Giants are 17-40 in their last 57 games on grass.Giants are 5-16 in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Giants are 5-17 in their last 22 vs. National League CentralGiants are 1-8 in the last 9 meetings in Cincinnati.

SAN FRANCISCO is 19-51  against the money line after 3 or more consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - team with a terrible OBP (.300 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or better ) -NL, with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities 50-126 L/5 seasons for go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the ML 

Cubs - J. Quintana-L vs Cardinals - A. Wainwright-R

 Cub starter Wainwright is 15-10 with a 4.01 ERA in 45 career appearances (36 starts). This will be his 21st career start at Wrigley Field, where he has a top tier record garnering a  11-3 record along  with a 3.78 ERA.The Cardinals are 12-0 on the ML since 2008 with Wainwright on the hill when he won his last start and they are facing a NL team like the Cubs that has won at least 4 straight. In his last 4 starts under these premiers  he averaged 7 + innings  of work and allowed a total of just one run.WAINWRIGHT is 30-19  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher since 1997. (Team's Record) 

I know the Cards have lost three straight, but this is strong situation for them, as they have shown resiliency of late when on a 3 game losing streak cashing 23- of the 32 times . 

ST LOUIS is 11-4  against the money line vs. excellent power teams - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game this season. WAINWRIGHT is 16-5  against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

MLB  team (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a team on base percentage of .340 or better on the season (NL), with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games are 22-44 L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the ML

 THOMAS PANNONE (L) vs. LANCE LYNN (R)

LYNN the Rangers starter  is 36-13  against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997. (Team's Record)Lynn has won three of his last four starts and gets my support here today vs the Jays. 

Blue Jays are 4-9 in their last 13 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Blue Jays are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.

The Blue Jays defeated the Texas Rangers yesterday by a 1-0 count, but the the Rangers have proven resilient in this situation recently cashing at  a 12-0 ML clip as a home 140+ favorite when they were shutout yesterday, winning by an average of 7.33 runs per game .

 MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - struggling offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games are 26-61 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the ML

CHRIS BASSITT (R) vs. TREVOR WILLIAMS (R)

As starter Bassitt has been brilliant  in two starts since coming off the injured list,  The right-hander has allowed just one run over his first two starts with an impressive 16-4 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 12 innings. The  righty owns a 2.87 ERA in three previous interleague trips to the hill and gets my support here today. 

OAKLAND is 46-18  against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons/

Pirates are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Pirates are 2-9 in their last 11 overall.Pirates are 2-9 in their last 11 games on grass.Pirates are 1-5 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Pirates are 1-6 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Pirates are 1-7 in their last 8 games following a loss.Pirates are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Pirates are 0-6 in their last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Pirates are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Pirates are 0-6 in their last 6 home games.

Note: American League teams have won +126 + units in interleague play dating back 14 seasons.

MLB team (OAKLAND) - average AL offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a good NL starter (ERA 3.70 or less), with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season are 36-15 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Oakland As to win 

Cardinals RH Michael Wacha (2-0, 4.78 ERA) vs. Cubs RH Yu Darvish (2-3, 5.02) 

Darvish is coming off his best start of the season, one run allowed on two hits over six solid frames against the D-backs on Saturday. After a slow start Im betting he continues to round into form and gets my support here today vs the visiting Cards. Note: His pitching opponent Wacha is 4-8 with a 6.65 ERA in 18 outings (16 starts) against the Cubs, including a 1-4 record and a 5.98 ERA in eight appearances (seven starts) at Wrigley Field. Cardinals are 3-8 in Wachas last 11 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Cardinals are 5-16 in the last 21 meetings in Chicago

MLB eam (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher with poor control (more than 2.75 BB's/start), with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL) are 29-59 L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML

Athletics LH Brett Anderson (3-2, 4.35 ERA) vs. Pirates RH Joe Musgrove (1-2, 1.54)

After looking like the A's best pitcher through his first four starts, Anderson has not completed five innings in his past two outings. He has pitched well at PNC Park, though: 1-0 with a 1.38 in two career starts and Im betting on him bouncing back here today. Meanwhile, Pirates starter Musgrove is winless in his last four outings despite recording a quality start in each tilt. He is just not getting support from his team, and Im also betting nothing changes here today.MUSGROVE is 1-8  against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record).MUSGROVE is 4-14 against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)  

Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Pirates are 2-8 in their last 10 overall.Pirates are 2-8 in their last 10 games on grass.Pirates are 0-5 in their last 5 home games.Pirates are 4-1 in Musgroves last 5 home starts.Pirates are 1-4 in Musgroves last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.Pirates are 2-11 in Musgroves last 13 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Pirates are 0-4 in Musgroves last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

Athletics are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Pittsburgh.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (OAKLAND) - with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL) are 35-11 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB team (OAKLAND) - average AL offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a good NL starter (ERA 3.70 or less), with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oakland to win on the ML

Mariners - Y. Kikuchi-L vs Indians - S. Bieber-R 

Indians are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.Indians are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

Seattle after a fast start to their campaign ,have struggled of late , but tonight Im betting this matchup vs Cleveland is favorable for them. Note: SEATTLE is 13-3  against the money line in road games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons. 

Mariners are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Mariners are 6-0 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Mariners are 9-2 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Mariners are 9-3 in their last 12 road games.

SEATTLE is 8-1 against the money line in road games in night games this season. SEATTLE is 29-13 against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 2 seasons. SEATTLE is 22-9  against the money line in road games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons.

MLB team (SEATTLE) - very good AL offensive team (5.4  or more runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start. 

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the ML

James Paxton struck out eight and scattered five hits over 5 2/3 solid innings against the Giants for the win in his last outing. He walked two batters in the 106-pitch effort and continues to be in top form and deserving of my backing here tonight. Meanwhile, Gibson  the Twins starter, despite of pitching better of late, after a slow start, does not matchup well against the Yankees current batting order. Note :Twins are 0-6 in Gibsons last 6 starts vs. Yankees. 

Twins are 2-5 in Gibsons last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Twins are 1-4 in Gibsons last 5 starts during game 1 of a series. 

MINNESOTA is 19-43  against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. 

NY YANKEES are 35-13 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. 

Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.Yankees are 9-2 in their last 11 Friday games.Yankees are 9-3 in their last 12 overall.Yankees are 9-3 in their last 12 games on grass.Yankees are 8-3 in their last 11 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Yankees are 41-16 in their last 57 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Yankees are 57-23 in their last 80 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Yankees are 7-3 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.Yankees are 64-28 in their last 92 games following a loss.Yankees are 59-26 in their last 85 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Yankees are 55-26 in their last 81 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Yankees are 35-17 in their last 52 during game 1 of a series.Yankees are 4-1 in Paxtons last 5 starts.Yankees are 4-1 in Paxtons last 5 starts on grass.

Twins are 19-56 in the last 75 meetings.Twins are 13-44 in the last 57 meetings in New York.

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML

AARON SANCHEZ (R) vs. TYLER SKAGGS (L)

Skaggs returned from the injured list to throw five scoreless innings last Friday at Kansas City. Skaggs allowed just three hits  and matches up well according to my estimates vs this Toronto lineup. Meanwhile,  Blue Jays starter Sanchez despite of a good record, has completed six innings only twice during that span and continues to pile up a high pitch count early in starts, and is my opinion in a downward regression slot. This is at the outer limits of the amount of lumber I like to lay, but its a viable enough opportunity to cash a ticket that the outlay outweighs the risk.

Blue Jays are 16-39 in their last 55 games vs. a left-handed starter.Blue Jays are 2-5 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Blue Jays are 7-21 in their last 28 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Blue Jays are 2-6 in their last 8 Thursday games.Blue Jays are 3-11 in their last 14 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.Blue Jays are 2-9 in their last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass.Angels are 9-2 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.Angels are 17-5 in their last 22 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Angels are 19-7 in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Blue Jays are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles.Blue Jays are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings

LA ANGELS are 40-17  against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. 

MLB Home teams (LA ANGELS) - with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start), after a game where the bullpen threw 8 or more innings are 66-24 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Angles to win on the ML

Rockies RH Jon Gray (2-3, 3.65 ERA) vs. Brewers RH Freddy Peralta (1-0, 7.13)

Gray gave up five runs, eight hits (two home runs) and three walks in 4 2/3 innings of un inspiring work in Colorado's 9-5 victory at Atlanta on Saturday. His mechanics just did not look right, and according to my cross reference pitching vs batting order power rankings suggest he does not matchup well vs this current Brewers lineup.  Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Peralta made a rehab start Saturday with Double-A Biloxi, striking out seven over 4 2/3 innings and 75 pitches and a key 52 throws for strikes and looked strong and worth my support here today. Peralta allowed one hit and two walks with a career-high 13 strikeouts in 5 2/3 shutout innings of his major league debut - a 7-3 victory at Colorado back in May of 2018. 

Rockies are 3-7 in their last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.

Brewers are 9-3 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Brewers are 57-23 in their last 80 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Brewers are 20-9 in their last 29 games following a loss.Brewers are 11-5 in their last 16 vs. a team with a losing record.Brewers are 54-25 in their last 79 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Brewers are 37-18 in their last 55 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Brewers are 5-2 in Peraltas last 7 home starts.

Play on Milwaukee Brewers on the ML

Indians RH Corey Kluber (2-2, 5.81 ERA) vs. Marlins LH Caleb Smith (2-0, 2.17)

In his last three trips to the hill, Smith has allowed just 2 runs in 18 innings along  with 22 strikeouts. The Marlins  have won all three of those starts. The southpaw also is a difficult hurler to make solid contact off of. His hard contact rate, per Statcast, is 21.5 percent, in the top 6 percent in the Majors. Lots of value here backing him against Kluber and company tonight. Note: KLUBER is 17-26  against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)

CLEVELAND is 4-11  against the money line with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 3 seasons. 

Indians are 3-7 in their last 10 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Indians are 7-17 in their last 24 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.Indians are 6-15 in their last 21 games vs. a left-handed starter.Indians are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Indians are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.

Marlins are 4-0 in Smiths last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Marlins are 4-0 in Smiths last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Marlins are 7-1 in Smiths last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.Marlins are 4-1 in Smiths last 5 home starts.Marlins are 7-2 in Smiths last 9 starts.

MLB team (MIAMI) - NL team with a poor SLG (.400 or less ) against a poor AL starting pitcher (WHIP 1.600 to 1.700), with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) are 29-9 L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CLEVELAND) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL) against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.000 or less over his last 3 starts are just 12-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the ML

JAMESON TAILLON (R) vs. SHELBY MILLER (R

Miller is 1-0 with a 6.10 ERA in his last two starts after allowing four runs in five innings against the Mariners on Friday. He is 2-7 with a 4.88 ERA in 10 career starts against the Pirates and is fade material here this afternoon. TAILLON  the Pirates starter is 13-5  against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) TAILLON is  also 10-2  against the money line in road games when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

PITTSBURGH is 18-5  against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.HURDLE is 14-3  against the money line in road games against AL West opponents as the manager of PITTSBURGH.

Play on Pittsburgh to win on the ML

 C.C. SABATHIA (L) vs. ZACK GREINKE (R)

The Yankees have won 11 of 13 since sweeping a two-game series from Boston on April 16-17 and have won four straight series. Arizona has won 10 of 14. However, I like the home team here today behind their starter Greinke  who has made five straight quality starts, winning four, and has 13 scoreless innings in his last two games. GREINKE is 15-4  against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

ARIZONA is 11-5  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

NY YANKEES are 1-11  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. 

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (NY YANKEES) - hot hitting team - batting .333 or better over their last 3 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are just 8-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Arizona to win on the ML

MLB team (NY YANKEES) - hot hitting team - batting .333 or better over their last 3 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  0.800 or less over his last 3 starts are just 11-36 for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors.

ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R) vs. ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R

Washington right-hander Anibal Sanchez (0-3, 6.00 ERA),  has struggled this season, and it must be noted that current St. Louis hitters are 21-for-72 (.292) with four homers against Sanchez and he could find himself struggling again today.The Cardinals have won nine of 11 and exploded Monday for six runs in the top of the fifth against Corbin and won 6-3 and could get us over the total here all by themselves or at least get us close enough for Washington to do enough offensive damage of their own to help us over the proverbial fence here. 

ST LOUIS in their L/33 games  against NL East opponents over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 10 rpg scored. 

Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Over is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 road games.Over is 11-3-1 in Cardinals last 15 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 14-4 in Cardinals last 18 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 7-2-1 in Cardinals last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.

Over is 4-1-1 in Wainwrights last 6 Tuesday starts.Over is 12-3-2 in Wainwrights last 17 starts vs. National League East.Over is 6-2-1 in Wainwrights last 9 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 3-1-3 in Wainwrights last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Over is 14-5-1 in Wainwrights last 20 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 13-5-2 in Wainwrights last 20 road starts.

Over is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 overall.Over is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 on grass.Over is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 Tuesday games.Over is 12-3-1 in Nationals last 16 games following a loss.Over is 18-6 in Nationals last 24 during game 2 of a series.Over is 19-7-1 in Nationals last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Over is 20-8-1 in Nationals last 29 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-2 in Nationals last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 35-15-2 in Nationals last 52 home games.Over is 7-3 in Nationals last 10 vs. National League Central.

Play OVER 

Orioles LH John Means (3-2, 1.74 ERA) vs. White Sox LH Manny Banuelos (1-0, 2.51)

Banuelos gets a second starting opportunity after performing very well in spot duty in Baltimore, working four scoreless innings. He threw 71 pitches in that one. Prior, he had allowed two runs over 9 1/3 innings in three long relief appearances and he gets my support here in this spot. 

Orioles are 10-43 in their last 53 during game 1 of a series.Orioles are 0-8 in their last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter like Banuelos. 

BALTIMORE is 2-17 against the money line in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons. BALTIMORE is 15-53 against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. 

MLB team (BALTIMORE) - with a terrible bullpen whose ERA is 5.50 or worse on the season, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts are 22-44 L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago White Sox to win on the ML

Yankees RH Domingo German (4-1, 1.75 ERA) vs. Giants RH Dereck Rodriguez (3-2, 3.54)

 Yankees right-hander Domingo German (4-1, 1.75 ERA) and Giants righty Dereck Rodriguez (3-2, 3.54) will warm up for the series finale.The Yankees are 8-4 on the road this season, outscoring opponents 76-60 while hitting 25 home runs and have the edge again and look like . viable bets to complete a 3 game sweep of the Giants despite of the their injury woes. 

NY YANKEES are 26-9  against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY YANKEES) - with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL are 51-25 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML