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MLB Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
08-23-20	Rockies v. Dodgers -220		3-11	Win	100	5 h 57 m	Show
The Rockies are 0-8 L/8 on the ML when Antonio Senzatela starts on the road when their opponent is on a 3+ game win streak. The Dodgers are 23-0 L/23 on the ML in the last game of a series as a favorite of more than -180 after they won by one run last game. MLB Home teams (LA DODGERS) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less) (NL), starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 38-11 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LA Dodgers to win
08-23-20	Blue Jays v. Rays -132		4-5	Win	100	2 h 4 m	Show
Trent Thornton (0-0, 13.50) will have a quick turnaround after a 32-pitch start over two-thirds of an inning against Philadelphia on Thursday in a first inning that saw the Phillies score seven runs - six charged to Thornton.The right-hander is 1-1 with a 6.43 ERA in five career starts against the Rays.In his current form he is fade material. The Blue Jays are 0-16 L/16 on the ML on the road when their opponents starter has an ERA of less than 2.50 on the season. Play on TB Rays to win
08-22-20	Rockies v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5		3-4	Win	100	10 h 14 m	Show
Freeland (2-1, 2.56 ERA) has five quality starts in five tries this season and looks much more like the pitcher who finished fourth in National League Cy Young Award voting two seasons ago. FREELAND is 9-0 UNDER vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more rpg. Kyle Freeland is 0-10 OU in his career starting against the Dodgers .FREELAND is 9-0 UNDER as a road underdog of +150 to +200 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Play UNDER
08-22-20	Rangers v. Mariners OVER 8.5		1-10	Win	100	10 h 4 m	Show
Lyles has allowed 10 earned runs over nine innings in his last two starts. He also started against the Mariners on Aug. 12, allowing four runs in five innings and he is 1-2 with a 5.17 ERA in his career against Seattle. Meanwhile,Sheffield (1-2, 4.12 ERA), winless in his first nine major-league starts, pitched decently of late, but according to my pitcher vs batting order projections does matchup well here, giving credence to the over.He's 0-0 with a 6.00 ERA in one career relief appearance against the Rangers. TEXAS is 7-0 OVER after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse this season. SERVAIS is 8-0 OVER in home games vs. good baserunning teams - averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game as the manager of SEATTLE MLB Road teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (TEXAS) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or worse), with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games are 34-7 L/5 UNDER seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER
08-22-20	Angels v. A's -134		4-3	Loss	-134	5 h 23 m	Show
The Angels will start Griffin Canning (0-3, 4.70 ERA), who is looking for his first victory since Aug. 18, 2019.He has faced the A's twice this season among his five starts, losing both while yielding seven runs and 10 hits in 8 2/3 innings and is fade material here again today. OAKLAND is 9-0 against the money line in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season. OAKLAND is 9-0 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. OAKLAND is 16-2 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start over the last 3 seasons. The Angels are 0-14 L/14 on the ML as a road dog off a game as a favorite where they did not hit a HR. Play on the Oakland As
08-21-20	Angels v. A's +107		3-5	Win	107	8 h 41 m	Show
The Athletics are 9-0 L/9 on the ML when their starter today vs the Angels Mike Fiers starts at home after they used 5+ pitchers yesterday. FIERS is 12-2 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, The Angels are 1-4 in Heaney's five starts, including a 6-5 loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers his most recent time out. OAKLAND is 24-5 against the money line in home games vs. AL teams allowing 5.4 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. LA ANGELS are 4-14 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. MLB Road teams (LA ANGELS) - with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 7 runs or more 3 straight games 6-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Oakland As to win
08-21-20	Phillies +100 v. Braves		2-11	Loss	-100	8 h 13 m	Show
Phillies starting hurler Nola has enjoyed great success against the Braves throughout his career, going 11-5 with a 2.82 ERA in 19 career starts against Atlanta. He was excellent against the Braves on Aug. 10 when he allowed only one run on two hits over eight innings, striking out 10. Rinse and repeat here as the Phillies get my support. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less ) (NL), after a game where they committed 3 or more errors are 7-31 L/23 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate. Play on the Phillies to win
08-21-20	Marlins +180 v. Nationals		3-2	Win	180	7 h 16 m	Show
Marlins starter Hernandez has struck out 19 batters in just 14 2/3 innings and is over powering his opposition entering this game, and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well here today vs the Nationals. I know the Marlins have lost 5 straight and look like fade material, but Im betting they go against public bettors and give us a underdog win here. Note: Marlins Manager MATTINGLY is 19-9 against the money line after 5 or more consecutive losses as the manager of MIAMI. WASHINGTON is 1-6 against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season. MLB team (MIAMI) - starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing, after 3 straight games where the bullpen gave up 3 or more earned runs is 49-20 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami
08-20-20	Reds v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5		4-5	Loss	-105	8 h 29 m	Show
Veteran Sonny Gray (4-1, 2.05 ERA) goes to the hill for Reds. Gray has allowed one run or fewer in four of his five starts this season. He beat the Pittsburgh Pirates 8-1 in his most recent outing.veteran Sonny Gray (4-1, 2.05 ERA) to lead the Reds past the distraction.Gray is 1-1 with a 1.08 ERA in three career starts against the Cardinals. Meanwhile, the Cardinals will start Adam Wainwright (2-0, 1.64 ERA) Thursday. Considering the pitching matchup taking an under stance here is a viable wagering opportunity. ST LOUIS is 15-4 UNDER in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 2 seasons. The Cardinals are 0-11 UNDER L/11 when Adam Wainwright starts as a home dog with no combined score eclipsing 7 runs. Play UNDER
08-20-20	Rangers v. Padres -166		7-8	Win	100	9 h 36 m	Show
The season finale between the Padres and Rangers will feature a pair of right-handers -- Dinelson Lamet (2-1, 1.59 ERA) for the Padres and Kyle Gibson (1-2, 3.74 ERA) for the Rangers. In his first four starts this season, the 6-foot-6, 215-pound Gibson gave up 12 runs (nine earned) on 25 hits and seven walks with 17 strikeouts in 21 2/3 innings and is fade material here. The Rangers are 0-20 L/20 on the ML 170+ dog off a road game when playing a team that has a better record. MLB team (SAN DIEGO) - with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL), cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games are 265-160 L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Diego Padres to win
08-20-20	Tigers v. White Sox -156		0-9	Win	100	3 h 31 m	Show
Tigers starter Spencer Turnbull is off a a rough outing Saturday against Cleveland, when he allowed three runs on six hits in 4 2/3 innings with four walks and three strikeouts. In two career starts against the White Sox, Turnbull is 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA and 14 strikeouts in 8 1/3 innings and is fade material here today against a Pale Hose lineup that matches up well against him. Turnbull is 0-13 L/13 on the ML when facing AL Central opponents. Play on the White Sox to win
08-19-20	Astros v. Rockies +1.5		13-6	Loss	-111	9 h 26 m	Show
Rockies starter Castellani threw four scoreless innings in his debut at Seattle on Aug. 8, and allowed just one run in 4 2/3 innings against the Texas Rangers on Friday. Castellani (0-0, 1.04 ERA) has struck out 10 and walked three in his two starts. He gets my support here to keep his team in this game, and for us to cash a ticket on the runline. MLB Road favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +160 to +115) (HOUSTON) - good team, outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season, after allowing 1 run or less 2 straight games are 5-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate! Play on the Rockies on the runline
08-19-20	Tigers v. White Sox -153		3-5	Win	100	1 h 37 m	Show
The White Sox have won three in a row and five of seven and are looking like contenders with Minnesota and Cleveland for the American League Central crown. This might be the highly anticipated start for young phoneme Mize, but he will face a challenge from the get-go, as White Sox leadoff man Tim Anderson has homered to begin the first two games of the series and went 4-for-5 with three RBIs Tuesday. Considering Motown has lost 7 in a row, it will be easy decision to fade them again here tonight. MLB Road teams (DETROIT) - with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 6-35 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate. Play on Chicago White sox to win
08-18-20	Cardinals v. Cubs -178		3-6	Win	100	1 h 38 m	Show
Cubs right-hander Yu Darvish (3-1, 1.88 ERA) is scheduled to make his fifth start of the season and his first against St. Louis. In his past three outings, Darvish has allowed two runs in 20 innings for a 0.90 ERA. He has four walks and 27 strikeouts in 24 innings on the season. Value with Darvish on the hill. Play on the Cubs to win
08-18-20	Blue Jays v. Orioles +112		8-7	Loss	-100	1 h 12 m	Show
On Tuesday, the Jays will give the ball to Nate Pearson (0-0, 5.11 ERA) a right-hander who has pitched in just three major league game. Advantage Baltimore. MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a terrible starting pitcher (ERA 6.70 or more) -AL, with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games 8-26 L/23 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore Orioles to win
08-18-20	Mets -155 v. Marlins		8-3	Win	100	1 h 52 m	Show
New York snapped a three-game losing streak on Monday with an 11-4 win. Miami has lost six of its past eight games, including the past three in a row. With Mets gaining a little bit of confidence and the Marlins continuing to slump I like the Mets in this spot. MIAMI is 25-57 against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. MATTINGLY is 11-31 against the money line vs. teams who strand 7.5 or more runners on base per game as the manager of MIAMI. Play on NY Mets
08-17-20	Rockies v. Astros UNDER 9.5		1-2	Win	100	7 h 34 m	Show
Astros Rookie right-hander Brandon Bielak (2-0, 1.76 ERA) will open the series for Houston. Bielak has , posting a 1.80 ERA and 1.20 WHIP while issuing four walks and recording five strikeouts over 10 innings. Meanwhile, Left-hander Kyle Freeland (2-0, 2.45 ERA) will start for Colorado. The Rockies are 4-0 this season with Freeland on the mound, although Freeland has not recorded a decision in his last two starts despite allowing five earned runs over 13 2/3 innings. Freeland, 7-3 with a 3.46 ERA over 13 career interleague starts.Today Im betting these two viable hurlers do enough to help keep this game on the low side of the total. FREELAND is 26-9 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) COLORADO is 23-11 UNDER as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. The Rockies are 0-16 UNDER L/16 in a series opener as a road dog with no rest vs a team that has won at least their last four games. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (COLORADO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL), with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season (NL) are 50-16 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER
08-17-20	Padres v. Rangers +124		14-4	Loss	-100	9 h 50 m	Show
The Rangers are still 7-2 over their last nine games after a 3-8 start and get my support here today. On the other hand, the Padres are 4-8 in their last 12 games and have fallen below .500 for the first time in 2020. They've also tumbled to fourth in the National League West. Rangers starterL YLES is 11-1 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Padres are 0-9 L/9 on the ML as a favorite off a road game in which they had 6 or fewer hits. Play on the Texas Rangers to win
08-17-20	Royals +157 v. Twins		1-4	Loss	-100	9 h 46 m	Show
Kansas City, which is 4-2 against the Twins this season are undervalued in this spot play. MINNESOTA is 8-13 against the money line in home games after a win by 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons which was the case yesterday vs the Royals. MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (KANSAS CITY) - poor offensive team - scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after scoring and allowing 5 runs or less last 4 games are 28-16 L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Royals to win
08-16-20	Red Sox v. Yankees -149		2-4	Win	100	8 h 15 m	Show
The Yankees are 11-0 \on the ML when JA Happ starts when they lost in his last start. Which is the case here today. The veteran left-hander is 11-4 with a 3.00 ERA in 25 career appearances (24 starts) against Boston, including 4-0 with a 3.06 ERA against the Red Sox with the Yankees. Note: The Bosox T own a 6.10 ERA this season and a 9.90 ERA during their losing streak. They have used 10 starters. Bostons starter today Mazza made nine appearances and had a 5.51 ERA for the New York Mets last season and is fade material here today vs an explosive NYY batting order. MLB Road teams (BOSTON) - with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 19-65 L/5 seasons for a 78% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NYY to win
08-16-20	Mariners v. Astros -215		2-3	Win	100	3 h 29 m	Show
Right-hander Lance McCullers Jr. (2-1, 6.10 ERA) will start the series finale for the Astros on Sunday.In McCullers' most recent start, on Tuesday against the San Francisco Giants, he carried a no-hitter into the seventh inning, ultimately allowing one hit over seven scoreless innings.McCullers is 7-2 with a 2.93 ERA over 12 career starts against the Mariners, amassing 80 strikeouts over 67 2/3 innings and gets my support here as a favorite. HOUSTON is 37-7 against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SEATTLE) - team with a terrible OBP (.310 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or better) -AL, ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 15 games are 57-12 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros to win
08-15-20	Rangers v. Rockies -160		6-4	Loss	-160	10 h 14 m	Show
German Marquez (RHP2-2, 2.08 ERA, 27 SO) The last time he faced the Rangers on Opening Day, Márquez limited Texas to two hits and one run in 5 2/3 innings. He hasn't given up more than two earned runs in any of his three starts since and gets my support here today as a favorite. MARQUEZ is 18-2 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 or more since 1997. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Kyle Gibson (RHP 0-2, 4.11 ERA, 15 SO)Gibson is making his first career start against the Rockies. He has made 20 career starts against National League teams and is 4-11 with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP. Play on Colorado to win
08-15-20	A's v. Giants +156		7-6	Loss	-100	9 h 52 m	Show
The Giants right-hander Kevin Gausman (0-1, 4.05), a former American Leaguer who has had his fair share of success against the A's goes to the hill today for the Giants.The first-year Giant is coming off his best of three starts this season, having limited the Los Angeles Dodgers to one run and three hits in 6 1/3 innings in a 6-2 loss last Saturday and more than capable of a top tier effort here.The 29-year-old has fashioned a fine 2.77 ERA in four career starts against the A's. SF manager KAPLER is 26-11 against the money line revenging a one run loss to opponent in all games he has managed since 1997. Play on the SF Giants to win
08-15-20	Braves v. Marlins +176		2-1	Loss	-100	8 h 1 m	Show
Fried the Braves starter has been in top form this season, but he had problems vs the Marlins on the past as is evident in four starts against Miami , going 0-1 along with a bloated 6.16 ERA, allowing 29 hits, including four homers, in 19 innings. Look for the upstart Marlins to get to Fried again and to deliver a nice underdog moneyline win. MLBHome teams (MIAMI) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better) (NL), starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 36-10 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play on Miami to cover
08-14-20	Nationals v. Orioles UNDER 9		15-3	Loss	-123	12 h 42 m	Show
Tommy MiloneLHP1-1, 3.21 ERA, 16 SOThe veteran lefty was excellent his last time out, firing six shutout frames to beat the Nationals on the road. Since his disappointing Opening Day start, Milone has held opponents to one run over 11 innings.Washington starter Stephen StrasburgRHP0-0, 10.38 ERA, 2 SOStrasburg is dealing with the lingering effects of a nerve issue in his right hand that held him out of his first two scheduled starts of the season. He had a less tahn stellar first outing, but Im betitng alot of the rust will come off here in his 2nd start against a Baqltimore lineup he matches up well against. BALTIMORE is 11-2 UNDER in home games against NL East opponents over the last 3 seasons. WASHINGTON is 17-7 UNDER in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (BALTIMORE) - hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games, in August games are 42-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER
08-12-20	Padres +141 v. Dodgers		0-6	Loss	-100	8 h 23 m	Show
Gonsolin will make a spot start, following the Dodgers' decision to give everyone in their rotation an extra day of rest. Gonsolin threw four scoreless innings in his lone outing at Arizona on July 31, yielding one hit and a walk, with one strikeout. He gets my support here today behind a Fathers offence that is uptrending. Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA DODGERS) - starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 1.50 the last 5 games are 14-29 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Diego to win
08-12-20	Royals +102 v. Reds		5-4	Win	102	5 h 18 m	Show
Cincinnati starters have given up 32 runs (26 earned) in 93 1/3 innings through 17 games, while the relievers have allowed 50 (44 earned) in 52 2/3 innings and are fde material . MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (KANSAS CITY) - with an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings are 77-51 L/23 seasons for a 60%+ conversion rate. Play on the KC royals to win
08-12-20	White Sox -125 v. Tigers		7-5	Win	100	4 h 15 m	Show
Tigers starer Matthew Boyd has allowed 15 runs over his first 14.2 innings of work this season, and very much looks like fade material. On the flip side , the tigers offence now has a big hole to fill with key N0.4 Hitter Cron injured which makes them less than dependable offensively. The Pale Hose have a definite edge here today.DETROIT is 15-50 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Note: White Sox hurler CEASE is 3-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.438. Play on the Chicago White sox to win
08-11-20	A's +149 v. Angels		0-6	Loss	-100	9 h 29 m	Show
The Athletics are 12-0 L/12 on the ML when Mike Fiers starts in August. Halos starter BUNDY is 1-18 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on the As to win
08-10-20	Padres v. Dodgers -159		2-1	Loss	-159	14 h 6 m	Show
Dodgers May has dazzling tools, and he harnessed them in his last start against the Padres, striking out eight in six innings and leaving Manny Machado grimacing over a sinker that defied physics. He gets the Padres again in a test of adjustments. Rinse and repeat situation favoring the dodgers. Padres starting hurler RICHARDS is 1-15 against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997. (Team's Record) MLB Road teams (SAN DIEGO) - good NL offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better ), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities are 9-39 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. MLB (LA DODGERS) - very good NL offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or more ), cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 10 games are 28-8 L/5 seasons for a 79%. conversion rate. Play on LA Dodgers to win
08-10-20	White Sox -147 v. Tigers		1-5	Loss	-147	11 h 26 m	Show
Dallas Keuchel Pale Hose southpaw became the first White Sox starter to work into the seventh inning in 2020, fanning eight, walking one and allowing one run over seven innings on Wednesday vs. the Brewers Im betting on his momentum to carry into this tilt. Tigers starter FULMER is 0-11 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) DETROIT is 2-19 against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better over the last 2 seasons. Play on the White Sox to cover
08-09-20	Indians -129 v. White Sox		5-4	Win	100	10 h 35 m	Show
Bieber will look to continue his scorching hot start. He's fanned 35 batters over 21 2/3 innings through his first three starts, which is the third-most through three starts in MLB history, behind only Nolan Ryan and Gerrit Cole and gets my support here today. GIOLITO the Pale Hose starter is 0-8 against the money line in home games after July 1 st over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The White Sox are 0-12 SU since Sep 12, 2012 in the last game of a series as a home dog when they won the last two games their starter started. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win
08-08-20	Marlins v. Mets -142		4-8	Win	100	8 h 51 m	Show
With solid showings in each of his first two starts, Peterson is making a case to remain in the Mets' rotation even after Marcus Stroman returns from the injured list and gives the Mets a solid precense on the mound here and an advantage on a vlue line. MLB Home teams against a 1.5 run line (NY METS) - off a loss to a division rival as a home favorite, a stuggling team (38% or less) playing a team with a winning record are 29-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (MIAMI) - off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 14-44 L/5 seasons for go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Mets to win
08-08-20	Orioles v. Nationals -174		5-3	Loss	-174	10 h 11 m	Show
Voth has faced the Orioles once in his career, taking the win with six innings of one-run ball and four strikeouts last July 16. He is making his second start of the 2020 season since earning the fifth rotation spot. is 1-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.833. BALTIMORE is 4-25 against the money line in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 3 seasons. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -190 or more (WASHINGTON) - in an inter-league game, in August games are 56-5 L/23 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Nationals to win
08-08-20	Astros v. A's UNDER 9		1-3	Win	100	8 h 3 m	Show
As starter Montas looks to build off his dominant performance last time out, when he racked up nine strikeouts over seven innings of one-run ball against the Mariners. HOUSTON is 9-0 UNDER vs. an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 2.70 or better over the last 3 seasons. As after their L/game at home and went into to extra innings and it was before the 100 game of the season, the AS of 0-11 L/12 with the average combined score of 5.54 rpg going on the board. Play on the Under
08-07-20	Astros v. A's UNDER 8.5		2-3	Win	100	8 h 19 m	Show
Bassitt (1-0, 0.93) is the As starter here.The 31-year-old has pitched brilliantly this season, shutting out the Los Angeles Angels over four innings in Oakland's opening series before allowing one run in 5 2/3 innings last week at Seattle. He has struck out 12 and walked just one in his two starts. Bassitt has gone 2-1 with a 3.97 ERA in six games (five starts) against the Astros in his career. Meanwhile, the schedule says the game is on the road for the Astros, but Greinke has been right at home in previous visits to the San Francisco Bay Area to face the A's and San Francisco Giants. The 36-year-old has gone a career 21-5 against the A's and Giants, including 10-1 on the road. He's 8-2 with a 2.78 ERA in 18 games (14 starts) against the A's in his career. Im betting on a pitcherd duel. The Athletics are 0-10 on the UNDER L/10 as a dog off a home game in which they scored 6+ runs.HOUSTON is 8-0 UNDER vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better over the last 3 seasons Play under
08-07-20	Yankees +101 v. Rays		0-1	Loss	-100	6 h 37 m	Show
Tanaka is building stamina after sustaining a concussion on July 4. He tossed 51 pitches in his season debut, allowing two runs (one earned) in 2 2/3 innings to the Red Sox on Saturday. Tanaka should be in the 65-to-70 pitch range for this start and gets my support here today against a lineup he matches up well against. TANAKA is 10-4 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.20 and a WHIP of 0.928.SNELL is 3-6 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.41 and a WHIP of 1.4. Play on NYY on the ML
08-06-20	Cubs -160 v. Royals		2-13	Loss	-160	5 h 51 m	Show
Chicago's Thursday starter, Tyler Chatwood (2-0, 0.71 ERA), has opened the season in fine form and gets my backing again today as his team is also int top form having won 6 straight. KANSAS CITY is 1-13 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 3 seasons. The Royals are 0-5 L/5 on the ML when Brad Keller starts as a home dog, being outscored 42-9 in those tilts for a 6.6 rpg game loss average. Play on the chicago Cubs to win
08-06-20	Rangers v. A's -150		4-6	Win	100	4 h 32 m	Show
Oakland starter Fiers went head-to-head twice last September with Rangers hurler Minor, with the A's prevailing both times.The batters ruled the day in their Sept. 14 matchup in Texas, with the A's pulling out an 8-6 win. Minor took the loss in that one while Fiers got a no-decision.Minor struggled again in a rematch in Oakland six days later, but Fiers continued his home-field dominance with eight innings of two-hit, no-walk, no-run ball in an 8-0 triumph, while Minor took the loss in that one, too. Rinse and repeat with the As getting the edge.FIERS is 23-8 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record). Play on the Oakland As to win
08-05-20	Dodgers -122 v. Padres		7-6	Win	100	14 h 13 m	Show
Padres starter RICHARDS is 3-19 against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997. (Team's Record) SAN DIEGO is 10-32 against the money line as a home underdog of +125 or more over the last 3 seasons. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN DIEGO) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 11+ losses in last 15 games against opponent first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 20+ wins in last 30 games are 8-30 L/23 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win
08-05-20	Giants v. Rockies -160		4-3	Loss	-160	6 h 18 m	Show
Rockies are red hot having won 8 of their L/9 and four straight. Considering Colorados form and the fact the Rockies are 12-0 L/12 on the ML when Jon Gray starts as a home favorite when they lost in his last start Im betting we have an edge riding their momentum in this spot play. COLORADO is 21-6 against the money line at home when the total is 12 to 12.5 over the last 3 seasons. Colorado to win on the ML
08-04-20	Indians -148 v. Reds		4-2	Win	100	9 h 45 m	Show
Cincinnati starterTyler Mahle (0-0, 4.50 ERA), who has struggled against the Indians in two starts over the past two seasons. He's allowed 10 runs, eight earned, on 12 hits and five walks over 6 1/3 innings while losing both outing. He is fade material here today vs the Cleveland Indians. MAHLE is 0-9 against the money line in home games after July over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) MAHLE is 4-16 ( against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (CLEVELAND) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games, well rested bullpen - threw 2 innings or less in each of the last 3 games are 35-4 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to win on the ML
08-03-20	Dodgers -130 v. Padres		4-5	Loss	-130	10 h 42 m	Show
Dodgers to BUEHLER is 4-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 0.64 and a WHIP of 0.643. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN DIEGO) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 11+ losses in last 15 games against opponent first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 20+ wins in last 30 games are 7-30 L/23 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LA Dodgers to win
08-03-20	Pirates v. Twins -205		4-5	Win	100	9 h 41 m	Show
Left-hander Derek Holland (0-0, 3.18) will start Monday's opener for the Pirates. Holland is 3-7 with a 5.56 ERA in 14 appearances (13 starts) against the Twins but has really struggled at Target Field in his career, compiling an 0-5 record and a 7.98 ERA in six starts while allowing six home runs in 29 1/3 innings. ( He is fade material here today vs the Twins) MLB Home favorites with a money line of -200 or more (MINNESOTA) - in an inter-league game, in August games are are 53-5 L/23 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Twins to win
08-02-20	Pirates v. Cubs -185		1-2	Win	100	3 h 6 m	Show
Cubs starter Lester went 3-0 with a 3.16 ERA in five starts against the Pirates last season and Im betting he helps get his team to the promised land again. His pitching opponent Brault has struggled against the Cubs, serving up 10 homers in 38 1/3 innings over 14 appearances (five starts). He is 0-2 with an 8.22 ERA.Brault is 0-1 with a 10.29 ERA in nine appearances (three starts) at Wrigley Field. LESTER is 102-37 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 or more since 1997. (Team's Record) MLB team (CHICAGO CUBS) - starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing, after 3 straight games where the bullpen gave up 3 or more earned runs are 48-16 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win
08-02-20	Pirates v. Cubs OVER 9		1-2	Loss	-107	3 h 1 m	Show
Brault has struggled against the Cubs, serving up 10 homers in 38 1/3 innings over 14 appearances (five starts). He is 0-2 with an 8.22 ERA.Brault is 0-1 with a 10.29 ERA in nine appearances (three starts) at Wrigley Field. Bryant (8-for-16) and catcher Willson Contreras (5-for-11) each have smacked two homers off the 28-year-old.Im betting that the Cubs do enough damage here vs Brault to easily help see this total eclipsed. Note:The Cubs are 8-0 OVER L/8 since Jun 15, 2018 when Jon Lester starts after he had a WHIP of less than 1 in his last start with a combined average of 11.6 rpg scored. Play OVER
08-02-20	Indians v. Twins UNDER 9.5		1-3	Win	100	3 h 47 m	Show
Clippard is 1-0 with a 0.87 ERA in 12 career appearances against Cleveland and will be making his first career start against the Indians. Right-hander Aaron Civale (1-0, 3.00), who is 0-0 with a 1.64 ERA in two career starts against the Twins both at Target Field -- will try to help the Indians garner a split of the series. Im betting on a lower scoring affair this afternoon. The Twins are 0-12 UNDER L/12 at home off a game as a favorite in which they shut out their opponent with a combined average of 6.67 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (CLEVELAND) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 102-49 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER
08-02-20	White Sox v. Royals +110		9-2	Loss	-100	3 h 33 m	Show
Dylan Cease (0-1, 15.43 ERA) to the mound for Sunday's finale. Cease is one of three White Sox starters with a double-digit ERA and kis fade material in this pot. The White Sox are 0-7 while attempting to win three straight against the same opponent. Play on the Royals to win ML
08-01-20	A's -138 v. Mariners		3-2	Win	100	10 h 35 m	Show
The Athletics are 9-0 on the ML when Mike Fiers starts as a favorite when their starter went fewer than 6 innings in each of their last two games with the L/6 having come by multiple runs. FIERS is 33-14 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) FIERS is 11-0 against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (SEATTLE) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or worse) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better), with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 109-33 L/23 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oakland to win
08-01-20	Pirates v. Cubs -158		3-4	Win	100	9 h 42 m	Show
The Cubs have scored a total of 38 runs in their L/5 games which is 7.6 rpg. Considering their offensive flow it is my recommendation that we back them here vs a Pittsburgh side that has allowed an average of 5+ rpg in their L/4 trips to the diamond. The Pirates are 0-16 L/16 on the ML on the road after they allowed 5+ walks last game , which was the case in their loss vs the Cubs last night. MLB team (CHICAGO CUBS) - starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing, after 3 straight games where the bullpen gave up 3 or more earned runs are 47-16 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. CHICAGO CUBS are 40-14 against the money line when the total is 10 or higher over the last 3 seasons. Play on chicago Cubs to win
08-01-20	Padres -105 v. Rockies		1-6	Loss	-105	9 h 35 m	Show
Rockies starter FREELAND is 2-11 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Rockies are 0-14 L/14 on the ML in the second game of a series when their opponent win at least two straight games. San diego qualifies under those peremiters and also fits in to my projections of Fathers win. San diego Padres to win on the ML
08-01-20	Astros -160 v. Angels		4-5	Loss	-160	8 h 36 m	Show
The Astros are 10-0 L/10 on the ML past the first game of a series on the road after they drew 5+ walks last game which was the case yesterday in their win. Astros batting order and pitching staff matchup well vs the Angels. Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (LA ANGELS) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 24-95 L/23 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Astros to win
07-31-20	Astros -165 v. Angels		9-6	Win	100	9 h 5 m	Show
The Angels are 0-11 when their opponent is on a 2 game losing streak. Thats not a good omen tonight against a hungry AStros team that needs a win badly. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (HOUSTON) - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season, after a loss by 2 runs or less are 72-20 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Astros to win
07-31-20	Mets v. Braves -127		10-11	Win	100	7 h 30 m	Show
The series opener features New York right-hander Rick Porcello (0-1, 27.00 ERA) against Atlanta lefty Sean Newcomb (0-0, 2.70) in a rematch of the third game of the season, which Atlanta won 14-1. Im betting this a rinse and repeat situation. The Braves are 11-0 on the ML on the road off a home win where they never trailed which was the case yesterday. NEWCOMB is 10-0 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record) Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML
07-30-20	Mariners v. Angels -195		8-5	Loss	-195	9 h 13 m	Show
Under rated Angels hurler Bundy is 1-1 with a 2.70 ERA in four career appearances against the Mariners, including two starts -- one of which was a shutout and gets my support here today. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (SEATTLE) - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 3-36 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Angels to win on the ML
07-30-20	Rays v. Braves OVER 8.5		1-2	Loss	-107	7 h 45 m	Show
Rays Yarbrough has made one career appearance against the Braves. He worked five innings and allowed five runs on six hits against Atlanta in 2018. He is 1-4 with a 5.74 ERA in eight career interleague appearances, three of them starts and Im betting he gets tagged here for enough runs for this total to be eclipsed. TAMPA BAY is 11-2 OVER vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.1 rpg going on the board. FRIED the Braves starter is 8-0 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's RecordThe Rays are 11-0 OVER L/11 as a dog off a road game in which they allowed 12+ hits. Play OVER
07-30-20	Royals -129 v. Tigers		5-3	Win	100	6 h 20 m	Show
Detroits Nova is 2-3 with a 5.70 ERA in eight career appearances, including seven starts, at Comerica Park.DETROIT is 5-21 against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.The Tigers are 0-10 L/10 after they were tied at the end of 6 innings last game which was the case. Four of the L/6 losses in this subset saw them get shutout. Play on Kansas City to win
07-30-20	Yankees -218 v. Orioles		8-6	Win	100	10 h 31 m	Show
The Yankees dropped two of the first three to the Orioles last season, and then rolled to 16 head-to-head victories in a row in this series. Yesterday the Yanks smashed the Orioles by a 9-3 count in Baltimore in the teams' first meeting of the current season, running the streak to 17 games ahead of the series finale today. With the Orioles starter Means having recorded a horrendous 7.62 career ERA versus the Yankees in five games (two starts) against them in previous meetings, I look at this as another situation to bet on the Yankees to win on the ML. Note:BOONE is 30-12 against the money line in road games against left-handed starters as the manager of NY YANKEES. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML
07-30-20	Nationals +145 v. Blue Jays		6-4	Win	145	4 h 31 m	Show
The Nationals are 12-0 L/12 on the ML off a game as a favorite in which they held a multiple-run lead. Great value here on the Nationals vs Ryu, and who is getting to much respect here. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TORONTO) - with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL), in July games are 19-38 L/5 seasons for a 68% go against conversion rate! Play on the Nationals to win on the ML
07-29-20	Mariners +193 v. Angels		10-7	Win	193	11 h 46 m	Show
The Angels are 0-10 on the ML vs a team like the Mariners that has lost at least their last two games. With Angles starter Heaney who is 1-4 with a 4.32 ERA in nine career starts against Seattle on the hill the Halos are fade material. LA ANGELS are 3-7 ( against the money line in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the ML
07-28-20	Mariners +1.5 v. Angels		2-10	Loss	-123	13 h 47 m	Show
Im not liking the way the Angels have looked early on this season, and Im fading them here today, with a +1.5 runline cushion. The Angels lost yesterday to the As and were shutout 3-0 . The Halos have a nasty history off a shutout loss and are 0-12 on the ML first game of a series, after being held scoreless yesterday. LA ANGELS are 2-7 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. SERVAIS is 26-10 against the money line in road games vs. AL teams scoring 3.9 or less runs/game on the season as the manager of SEATTLE. Play on Seattle to cover on the runline +1.5
07-28-20	Dodgers v. Astros OVER 9		5-2	Loss	-113	12 h 16 m	Show
The Astros enter this game with a tired bullpen that has pitched 11 and 2/3rds innings over the past two games. Meanwhile, the dodgers bullpen is equally tired, after having to trott out their relievers in 10 innings over the past two days. With two viable offenses on the filed here, and two tired pitching staffs Im going to back the over. HOUSTON is 10-1 OVER in home games with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.9 rpg scored.HOUSTON is 12-2 OVER (+9.8 Units) in home games in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons with 11.6 rpg scored. Play OVER
07-28-20	Dodgers v. Astros +124		5-2	Loss	-100	11 h 48 m	Show
The Astros are 17-0 on the ML dating back 3 seasons with no rest in the first game of a series vs a team that has lost at least their last two games which is the case with the Dodgers. My own projections which factor in the starting pitching matchup and the batting orders has me look for Houston to come out on top here in this spot play between top tier teams. LA DODGERS are 5-13 (against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Astros to win on the ML
07-27-20	Royals +115 v. Tigers		14-6	Win	115	11 h 25 m	Show
The Tigers have lost 9 straight after they were tied at the end of 6 innings last game which was the case yesterday before they pulled out a 3-2 win vs the Reds. Now in a let down situation Im betting on the Royals having the edge.DETROIT is 1-13 against the money line in home games after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span over the last 2 seasons. DETROIT is 4-20 (against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons Play on the Royals to win on the ML
07-27-20	Blue Jays v. Nationals -121		4-1	Loss	-121	11 h 34 m	Show
Washingtons right-hander Anibal Sanchez, who was 11-8 with a 3.85 ERA last season has an edge here vs the Blue Jays according to my projections. The Nationals are 12-0 L/12 on the ML as a home favorite vs a team that has lost at least their last two games. Play on the Nationals to win on the ML
07-26-20	Angels v. A's UNDER 9		4-6	Loss	-105	4 h 55 m	Show
Halos starter Ohtani went 4-2 with a 3.31 ERA in 10 starts in 2018, his rookie season in MLB. He's 2-0 in his career against the A's with a 2.08 ERA in 13 innings, striking out 18. Meanwhile, Fiers, his pitching opponent from the As owned 20-6 record along with a 3.86 ERA since joining the A's in 2018 and is a viable starter. Considering both sides pitching and bullpen strengths Im betting on a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse this total. Note:The Athletics are 0-8 UNDER L/8 dating back to last season after they scored in at most two separate innings last game.Home teams (OAKLAND) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 20+ wins in last 30 games, team that had a winning record last season are 39-15 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER
07-26-20	Pirates v. Cardinals -138		5-1	Loss	-138	3 h 23 m	Show
The Pirates have lost 9 straight on the road off a road game in which they had 6 or fewer hits which was the case yesterday. It must also be noted that the Pirates have not won the last game of a series on the road in division since June 9th of last season, and I once again am betting against them here today . Pirates starter Mitch Keller (1-5, 7.13 ERA last season) will face the Cardinals for the first time in his career. Advantage Cards. Play on the Cardinals to win on the ML
07-26-20	Twins -139 v. White Sox		14-2	Win	100	4 h 55 m	Show

07-26-20	Tigers v. Reds -1.5		3-2	Loss	-100	3 h 20 m	Show
The Cinncinnati Reds lineup was up- graded in offseason with the additions of Nick Castellanos, Mike Moustakas and Shogo Akiyama and are a dangerous group that matchup well vs the Detroit Tigers pitching staff. Tigers are 16-36 in their last 52 interleague games. Tigers are 9-45 in their last 54 vs. a team with a winning record. Play on the Cincinnati Reds -1.5
07-25-20	Diamondbacks +117 v. Padres		1-5	Loss	-100	13 h 36 m	Show
RAY the Dbacks starter is 16-6 against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Padres starter LAMET is 0-7 against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SAN DIEGO is 4-15 against the money line after a win by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.( The Padres won yesterday 7-2) Expecting a Padres brand that has continually shown signs of up-trending and inconsistency to plague the team once again here tonight. Play on the Diamondbacks on the ML
07-25-20	Rockies v. Rangers -120		3-2	Loss	-120	6 h 30 m	Show
Texas cashed as a short favorite in a 1-0 game yesterday vs the Rockies. Im betting that Colorado once again struggles to score. The Rangers starter Minor has seen his team win his last 2-0 two interleague starts .Minor likes pitching during the day as he went 5-2 with a 3.2 ERA last season.Meanwhile, his Colorado pitching opponent Gray, was a .500 (4-4) pitcher during the day with a 4.59 ERA.The Rockies did not fair well vs southpaws last season going a sub par 25-36 on the ML. Meanwhile, Rockies hitters have also struggled against Minor as is evident by a .138 BA with a .175 (OBP) and .293 (SLG). Meanwhile, Rangers hitters in the lineup that have gone against Gray,have a combined .300 BA average and .391 OBP. Advantage Texas. COLORADO is 4-21 against the money line in road games after scoring 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons. Play on Texas on the ML
07-24-20	Angels v. A's -138		3-7	Win	100	11 h 21 m	Show
Southpaw Andrew Heaney (4-6, 4.91 ERA ) vs A's righty Frankie Montas (9-2, 2.63) is a mismatch that does not correlate to the actual line. Thus giving us value with the chalk Oakland As. ( Montas has gone 2-0 with a 2.96 ERA in seven career outings (including four starts) against the Angels and gets my support here. OAKLAND is 77-33 against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher over the last 3 seasons.OAKLAND is 34-13 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. Play on the As to win vs ML
07-24-20	Twins -104 v. White Sox		10-5	Win	100	12 h 47 m	Show
White Sox Lucas Giolito really made strides last season . He’s got a big arm and can dominate with his fastball . However today he will go against what is an elite group of fast ball hitters on the Twins that can do offensive damage in a hurry. Note: GIOLITO is 0-7 L/7 against the money line in home games after July. Meanwhile, the Twins Berrios , is looked at a possible ace for this team, and must be respected here in this spot. Note: BERRIOS is 11-2 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 2.40 and a WHIP of 1.014. Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the ML
07-24-20	Rockies +100 v. Rangers		0-1	Loss	-100	10 h 3 m	Show
Lance Lynn the Rangers starter is fast ball pitcher with. pinpoint control, but the top half of the Rockies batting order crushed these kind of pitchers last year, and Im betting at least for today that will be the case again. With that said, Im betting the Rangers are over rated here against a Colorado pitcher in Marquez who was 7-3 with a 3.67 ERA in 15 road starts last season. Advantage Colorado. Play on Colorado to win on the ML
07-24-20	Marlins +173 v. Phillies		5-2	Win	173	9 h 16 m	Show
Sandy Alcantara is one of baseballs under rated hurlers . Alcantara made 32 starts last season and posted a 3.88 ERA / 1.32 WHIP. . In his four career starts against the Phillies, the Marlins are 3-1 (2.80 ERA) with 2 wins coming last season, and Im betting he matches up well here again. Meanwhile, the Phillies starting pitcher Nola is 3-6 with a 3.28 ERA in 13 career outings against the Marlins.NOLA is 3-8 ( against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Phillies are also winless in Nola’s last seven starts dating back to August 25, when he lost to todays opponents the Miami Marlins. Value, Value and more Value here with the Marlins . Play on Miami to win on the ML
07-24-20	Blue Jays v. Rays UNDER 7.5		6-4	Loss	-110	8 h 53 m	Show
Morton the Rays starter here in their home opener , was 8-3 with a 2.59 ERA in 17 starts at home last year. The veteran hurler in three starts against Toronto last season registered a 3.06 ERA. Meanwhile, Left-hander Hyun-Jin Ryu will make his first career appearance against Tampa Bay after coming over from the Dodgers in the off season via free agency. The 2019 National League ERA title holder with a (2.32) ERA is an obvious elite hurler who should give the Rays inconsistent batting order some issues here today. Considering both bullpens look viable, according to projections a total score that does not eclipse the number will make for a viable wager. Under is 7-3 in Blue Jays last 10 games as a road underdog. Play UNDER
10-30-19	Nationals v. Astros UNDER 7.5		6-2	Loss	-110	11 h 8 m	Show
World Series - Best of 7 - Game 6 - Tied 3-3 Both teams will pull out all the stops tonight in the deciding game 7 of the World Series. Both will also be conservative in their approaches, as one mistake could be disastrous. This Im betting results in a low scoring tilt. GREINKE the Astros starter is 6-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 1.32 and a WHIP of 0.929. In 10 starts the under is 9-1. SCHERZER the Nats starter is 4-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.065. Under is 9-2 in Scherzers last 11 interleague starts. Under is 4-1 in umpires Wolfs last 5 interleague games behind home plate. WASHINGTON is 17-6 UNDER in road games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (WASHINGTON) - average NL hitting team (AVG .255 to .269) against a very good AL starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or better ), playing on Wednesday are 35-11 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER
10-29-19	Nationals v. Astros OVER 7		7-2	Win	100	14 h 10 m	Show
World Series - Best of 7 - Game 6 - HOU leads 3-2 After going down 2 games -0 the Astros, have come roaring back with 3 straight wins as the Houston offence has also suddenly come back to life, and will be a difficult assignment for Nats starter Strasburg. Houston has averaged 5.7 rpg vs RHP this season. Note: Stasburgs four career starts vs the Astros have gone over the total. Meanwhile, Verlander the expected Astros starter has allowed exactly four runs in three of his last four trips to the hill and comes into this game at 0-5 with a 5.73 ERA in six career World Series starts and could easily get beaten around by a desperate Washington team looking to avoid elimination. Verlanders 3 career starts vs the Astros have gone over the total. Over is 5-1 in Strasburgs last 6 interleague starts.Over is 5-1-1 in Nationals last 7 playoff games. Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 6-0 in Astros last 6 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 6-1-1 in Astros last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 13-3 in Astros last 16 interleague home games. HOUSTON is 11-3 OVER vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. HOUSTON is 10-2 OVER in home games in an inter-league game this season with a combined average of 12.2 rpg. MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (WASHINGTON) - with a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 71-40 OVER L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER
10-26-19	Astros v. Nationals OVER 8.5		8-1	Win	100	10 h 58 m	Show
Washington's bats were silent last night in game 3 of this series as the club went 0-for-10 with runners in scoring position and stranded 12 for the game. Now tonight Im betting on a rebound by what has become a consistent offence, and much better run production. Note: WASHINGTON is 19-7 OVER in home games after scoring 1 run or less over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.5 rpg going on the board in those 26 tilts. MARTINEZ is 36-16 OVER in home games after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs as the manager of WASHINGTON with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. Meanwhile, Houston after that 4-1 win last night now has momentum, and Im betting they continue upward in offensive production here today against starter Patrick Corbin who owns a 6.91 ERA and that according to my cross reference power rankings does not matchup well vs this power Astros batting order. Over is 3-0-1 in Corbins last 4 home starts. Over is 6-1 in Nationals last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 6-1 in Nationals last 7 interleague games.Over is 5-2 in Astros last 7 vs. National League East. Over is 14-6 in the last 20 meetings in Washington. Play OVER
10-26-19	Astros -105 v. Nationals		8-1	Win	100	10 h 38 m	Show
Im betting the explosive bats of the Astros do some real damage vs Washingtons Patrick Corbin (6.91 ERA) tonight and even this series at 2-2 games a piece. HOUSTON is 43-14 against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 51-13 against the money line vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse this season.WASHINGTON is 9-20 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.WASHINGTON is 8-17 against the money line in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or more) over the last 2 seasons. Astros are 7-1 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.Astros are 10-2 in their last 12 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Astros are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 4 of a series.Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Astros are 40-11 in their last 51 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Astros are 40-12 in their last 52 games vs. a left-handed starter.Astros are 44-14 in their last 58 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Astros are 40-13 in their last 53 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Astros are 38-13 in their last 51 Saturday games.Astros are 14-5 in their last 19 vs. National League East.Astros are 11-4 in their last 15 road games. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (HOUSTON) - very good AL offensive team (5.4 or more runs/game) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or worse), with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 30-15 L/22 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the ML
10-25-19	Astros -135 v. Nationals		4-1	Win	100	13 h 49 m	Show
Houston is in desperation mode here tonight after a travel day yesterday, and luckily for them they have the guns on offence to get the job done and notch a win, and subsequently get back into this series. Note: Since the 2005 campaign , visiting favorites are 12-9 on the ML in the World Series. HOUSTON is 21-4 against the money line in road games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons. WASHINGTON is 8-16 against the money line in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better ) over the last 2 seasons. Greinke the Astros starter takes to the hill in his first World Series start after allowing one run, three hits and four walks with five strikeouts over 4 1/3 innings in Houston's 8-3 win versus New York in Game 4 of the ALCS . My pitcher vs batting order power ranking suggest that the veteran hurler has an edge vs this type of lineup. GREINKE is 6-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 1.27 and a WHIP of 0.830. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the ML
10-23-19	Nationals v. Astros UNDER 7		12-3	Loss	-102	9 h 9 m	Show
Strasburg the Nats starter for Game2 of theWorld Series has been over powering with 33 strikeouts and just one walk in 22 innings in the play offs, allowing just four runs on just 18 hits and Im betting for him to long and strong here tonight. Meanwhile, Astros starterJustin Verlander, with alot to prove after getting alot of bad reviews for his previous post season failures, will Im betting be very ready to go and provide his team with a strong effort behind some strong veteran experience and tools. Note: VERLANDER is 20-5 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. (Team's Record) VERLANDER is 13-3 UNDER (+9.9 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored.VERLANDER is 20-5 UNDER in night games this season. (Team's Record) with an average of 6.4 rpg scored. HOUSTON is 13-2 UNDER in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season. MLB Road teams (WASHINGTON) - after 7 or more consecutive wins, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 44-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (WASHINGTON) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record are 79-52 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER
10-22-19	Nationals v. Astros -1.5		5-4	Loss	-100	10 h 22 m	Show
The Astros will send starter Gerrit Cole to the hill to face the Nationals in game one of this series. Cole (20-5, 2.50 ERA, 326 SO)who has been near-unhittable this postseason, with a 0.40 ERA and 32 strikeouts in his three starts has a big edge vs this Nats batting order according to my power rankings. His 358 strikeouts entering the World Series are the most by anyone in a single year since Randy Johnson in 2001 (419). Im betting on More of the same here today, while the Astros over powering batting order does more than damage against Nats starter Scherzer and his bullpen accomplices. Note: Nationals are 2-8 in Scherzers last 10 starts during game 1 of a series. MLB home favorites since the 2005 season are 16-3 SU in Games 1 and 2 of the World Series, winning by an average of 2.5 runs per game. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the ML
10-19-19	Yankees v. Astros -140		4-6	Win	100	7 h 42 m	Show
L Championship Series - Best of 7 - Game 6 - HOU leads 3-2 The Yankees likely will open Game 6 with Chad Green, JA Happ two hurlers that my power rankings suggest the Astros matchup very well against. Overall this a bullpen day, and from a statistical matchup , yes the Yanks look to have an edge if using regular season stats, but from a tactical standpoint the use of key Astros pitchers Im betting will be the difference maker. Also Urquidy a hurler who has rebounded well from Tommy John surgery is a guy that has the ability to go long here as is evident by a 40:5 strikeout-to-walk ratio in his first 33 MLB innings of work. This Astros hurler has some nasty stuff that the Yanks have not seen , which is an obvious advantage. HOUSTON is 52-13 against the money line in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. Note: Since the 2005 season MLB playoff series (games 5-7), home teams have an edge, going 45-36 (55.6%). MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (HOUSTON) - ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 10 games against opponent ice cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 20 games are 52-18 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the ML
10-18-19	Astros v. Yankees UNDER 7.5		1-4	Win	100	10 h 35 m	Show
Yankees starter James Paxton (15-6, 3.82 ERA, 186 SO)exited after just 2 1/3 innings in Game 2 in Houston, even though he allowed only one run on four hits. Neither Paxton nor manager Aaron Boone believed the lefty was giving his pitches away. It was simply time to get the starter out of the game. Paxton went 7-3 with a 3.35 ERA in 15 home games this season and Im betting he has another top tier effort here tonight in desperation mode. Meanwhile,Astros starter Justin Verlander (21-6, 2.58 ERA, 300 SO) looked to back in top form after his last ALCS start, allowing just two runs on an Aaron Judge homer in 6 2/3 innings as the Astros won, 3-2. In three playoff starts against the Yankees as an Astro, Verlander has a 1.19 ERA and 28 strikeouts. More of the same here today in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. Under is 4-1 in Verlanders last 5 starts vs. Yankees. Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 playoff games.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 vs. American League West.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 League Championship games. Under is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 playoff games.Under is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 vs. American League East. Under is 15-2 in umpire Danleys last 17 games behind home plate vs. Houston including 6 straight unders in Astros games.Under is 19-5-3 in Danleys last 27 games behind home plate.Under is 9-4-1 in Danleys last 14 games behind home plate vs. New York. MLB team (NY YANKEES) - after a game where they committed 4 or more fielding errors, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings are 32-10 L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER
10-17-19	Astros v. Yankees UNDER 8		8-3	Loss	-117	31 h 14 m	Show
It looks like two top tier hurlers will go to the hill Grienke ( Astros) vs Tanaka ( NYY) . But I once again expect some bullpen action and top tier pitching to out duel the explosive offences of both teams. Tanka owns a 1.32 ERA over 41 career postseason innings spanning seven starts, dating to the 2015 AL Wild Card Game against Houston. GREINKE is 13-4 UNDER in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7 rog scored. Under is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 overall.Under is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 on grass.Under is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 playoff games.Under is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 vs. American League East.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 League Championship games.Under is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 Wednesday games.Under is 11-4-1 in Astros last 16 road games.Under is 5-2 in Astros last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Astros last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 overall.Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 on grass.Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 playoff games.Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 League Championship games.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 3-1-1 in Yankees last 5 Wednesday games.Under is 15-5-1 in Yankees last 21 vs. American League West. Under is 16-5-2 in umpire Bellinos last 23 games behind home plate vs. New York.Under is 14-5-3 in umpire Bellinos last 22 games behind home plate vs. Houston. Play UNDER
10-15-19	Astros -154 v. Yankees		4-1	Win	100	7 h 38 m	Show
Astros starter Gerrit Cole (20-5 2.50 ERA, 326 SO) is coming off an ALDS for the ages -- he beat the Rays twice, including in the winner-take-all Game 5, allowing just one run in 15 2/3 innings with a DS-record 25 strikeouts. Cole has 10-plus strikeouts in 11 consecutive starts and needless to say after watching him dominate is my choice here tonight vs the Yankees in game 3. Astros are 7-0 in Coles last 7 road starts.Astros are 7-0 in Coles last 7 starts vs. American League East.Astros are 4-0 in Coles last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. COLE is 29-9 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 in his career. (Team's Record) Astros are 9-0 in their last 9 games with umpire Nelson behind home plate. MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (HOUSTON) - cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 3 games, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 59-9 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the ML
10-14-19	Cardinals v. Nationals -125		1-8	Win	100	9 h 17 m	Show
Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg (18-6, 3.32 ERA, 251 SO)hung in after a pair of early homers to give the Nats six solid innings in their comeback win in the winner-take-all Game 5 of the NLDS. He now has a 1.32 postseason ERA in six career games, and has struck out 45 in 34 innings and gets my support here again today. STRASBURG is 19-3 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) WASHINGTON is 17-1 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season this season. ST LOUIS is 3-10 against the money line revenging 2 straight home losses vs opponent this season MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (WASHINGTON) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less ) (NL), after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 68-17 L/22 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Nationals to win vs the ML
10-13-19	Yankees v. Astros UNDER 7.5		2-3	Win	105	8 h 25 m	Show
AL Championship Series - Best of 7 - Game 2 - NY Leads 1-0J James Paxton (15-6, 3.82 ERA, 186 SO) In his first career postseason start, battled through 4 2/3 innings, striking out eight but allowing three runs. The Yanks left-hander allowed five runs to in Houston on April 10 but held to one run in New York on June 21 and is more than capable of holding down the fort here.Meanwhile, Astros starter Justin Verlander (21-6, 2.58 ERA, 300 SO) had a rare postseason down effort last time out pitching on short rest in his last start against the Rays, lasting only 3 2/3 innings. But Verlander still has a 2.92 ERA in the playoffs as an Astro, including two dominant wins over the Yankees in 2017. Verlander (1-1, 3.38 ERA in the ALDS) has made six career postseason starts against the Yankees, producing a 4-0 record with a 2.33 ERA and 41 strikeouts over 38 2/3 innings.VERLANDER is 10-2 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record)with a combined average of 6.6 rpg scored. Im betting on these two dominant hurlers to help keep this game on the low side of the total. Under is 5-1-1 in Yankees last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 League Championship road games.Under is 12-3 in Yankees last 15 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 playoff road games. MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (HOUSTON) - very good offensive team (5.4 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better ) (AL), after a game where they stranded 3 or less runners on base are 38-14 L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER
10-12-19	Nationals v. Cardinals OVER 7		3-1	Loss	-120	5 h 32 m	Show
NL Championship Series - Best of 7 - Game 2 - WAS leads 1-0 Scherzer is 0-2 with a 5.27 ERA in two starts this season against St. Louis - his hometown team - and Im betting he gets roughed up a little bit here today. Over is 4-0-1 in Scherzers last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Over is 5-2-1 in Scherzers last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Meanwhile, I know Wainwright has done well at home during the regular season, registering a 2.56 ERA over 16 starts, but the Nats offence matches up well from a metrics standpoint against righty hurlers like him, and Im betting they do more damage than the linesmakers are expecting. We saw a low scoring game yesterday with the Nationals squeaking out a 2-0 win, However it must be noted that ST LOUIS is 32-17 OVER in home games after a loss by 2 runs or less over the last 3 seasons with the combined average score of those 49 games clicking in at 9.3 rpg. (Over is 5-0-1 in Nationals last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game) Over is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 games following a loss. Over is 3-0-1 in Conroys last 4 games behind home plate. .Play on the OVER
10-11-19	Nationals v. Cardinals UNDER 8		2-0	Win	100	9 h 45 m	Show
Anibal Sanchez (0-0, 1.80 ERA) has been named to start Game 1 for the Nats. The right-hander started Game 3 against the Dodgers and held them to one run and four hits in five innings while posting nine strikeouts. Meanwhile, the Cards starter Miles Mikolas (1-0, 1.50) will start the first game on regular rest. Mikolas started Game 1 against the Braves, allowing one run in five innings, and also pitched an inning of scoreless relief to earn the victory in Game 4. Im betting n both these pitchers and bullpens keeping this total on the low side of the number. Both teams are off key game 5 winning situations and will now be in a bit of an emotional let down spot which Im betting has both offences starting slowly. Under is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 vs. National League Central.Under is 6-1 in Nationals last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1-1 in Nationals last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 playoff road games.Under is 4-1-1 in Nationals last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 7-3 in Cardinals last 10 playoff home games.Under is 35-16 in Cardinals last 51 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 13-6-1 in Cardinals last 20 League Championship home games.Under is 5-0-1 in Mikolas' last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 8-3-1 in Mikolas' last 12 home starts. Under is 3-0-2 in the last 5 meetings in St. Louis.Under is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings. Play UNDER
10-10-19	Rays v. Astros -1.5		1-6	Win	100	7 h 1 m	Show
ALDS - Best of 5 - Game 5 - Tied 2-2 Gerrit Cole the Astros starter (20-5, 2.50 ERA, 326 SO)A third straight trip to the ALCS for Houston hinges on Cole, who was historically dominant in Game 2 when he struck out 15 -- an Astros franchise playoff record -- in his 118-pitch outing across 7 2/3 inning. Im betting on Cole to shut down the upstart Rays and for the Astros to make a statement here.Cole is , unbeaten over his last 23 starts. Note: Eight different pitchers have worked at least three innings for the Rays in the ALDS, four out of the bullpen and fatigue may play a factor here vs an explosive Houston team that has alot of pent up energy to get rid of here tonight. It was interesting while it lasted, but now with their backs up against the wall Im betting on Houston keeping their World Series hopes alive in convincing fashion. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (HOUSTON) - excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season, after scoring 1 run or less are 50-5 SU L/5 seasons with the average run per game diff clicking in at +3 runs per game. MLB Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +100 or higher) (TAMPA BAY) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start are 17-57 on the +RL for a go against 77% conversion rate fro bettors over the L/22 seasons. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the -1.5 RL
10-09-19	Cardinals v. Braves OVER 7.5		13-1	Win	100	5 h 57 m	Show
Jack Flaherty Flaherty the Cards starter was nearly unhittable in the second half of the season, but the explosive Braves were on him in his first postseason start, touching him up for eight hits in Game 2 and Im betting they pick up where they left off here today. Meanwhile, Foltynewicz the Braves starter submitted one of the best starts of his career in Game 2, despite of previous play off failures. After that last effort Im betting on a letdown situation here and a return to his previous post season inadequacies. Note: Over is 5-2 in Foltynewiczs last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. ST LOUIS is 16-5 OVER in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.9 rpg scored. Over is 9-3 in Cardinals last 12 playoff games.Over is 15-7-1 in Braves last 23 Divisional Playoff games. Over is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings in Atlanta.Over is 6-2 in Foltynewiczs last 8 starts vs. Cardinals. Over is 8-3 in Hallions last 11 games behind home plate. Play on the OVER
10-08-19	Astros v. Rays +210		1-4	Win	210	3 h 42 m	Show
ALDS - Best of 5 - Game 4 - HOU leads 2-1 Rays manager Kevin Cash announced after the Monday win that Game 4 would be a "bullpen day" for his club, starting with right-hander Diego Castillo (0-0). Rays start off with Diego Castillo but It’s all hands on deck for the Rays. Castillo opened six games during the second half. Castillo tossed 1 2/3 scoreless innings against Houston in Game 2. Was that fear I saw in the eyes of the Astros yesterday in a lopsided loss. There is still some fight in the Rays and at times this season Houston has looked vulnerable. To much value to pass on this one. MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (HOUSTON) - excellent power team - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game on the season are 223-394 for a lowly 36% conversion rate. Play on the TB Rays to win on the ML
10-07-19	Dodgers v. Nationals OVER 8		1-6	Loss	-110	9 h 39 m	Show
NLDS - Best of 5 - Game 4 - LAD leads 2-1 This LA Dodgers team is downright offensively explosive as was the case last night when they blasted out 8 runs in one inning to break the game open and win 10-4. It does not matter who the Nats send to the hill here Im betting the Dodgers do some damage and help this contest to eclipse the total. Over is 7-3-3 in Scherzers last 13 starts vs. National League West. Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Washington.Over is 3-1-2 in Scherzers last 6 starts vs. Dodgers Over is 22-9-1 in Dodgers last 32 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 4-0-1 in Hills last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 5-0-1 in Hills last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 12-3-1 in Hills last 16 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1-1 in Hills last 6 starts during game 4 of a series.Over is 8-2-2 in Hills last 12 road starts.Over is 4-1 in Hills last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. HILL the Dodgers starter is 25-11 OVER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 9.6 rpg scored during that 36 game sample size.HILL is 24-7 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 9.8 rpg scored and s 16-4 OVER (+11.6 Units) when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)with a combined average of 10.1 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (WASHINGTON) - with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or better over his last 5 starts are 54-25 OVER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER
10-07-19	Braves v. Cardinals -124		4-5	Win	100	3 h 30 m	Show
Cards starter Dakota Hudson(16-7, 3.35 ERA, 136 SO)Hudson led rookie starters in wins (16) this season and he had a 9-2 record and a stingy 2.75 ERA at Busch Stadium compared to a 4.13 ERA on the road. He faced the Braves once this season, allowing two runs on five hits in 6 1/3 innings in a no-decision on May 25 and gets my support in this spot. Cardinals are 5-0 in Hudsons last 5 starts vs. National League East. Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 Divisional Playoff road games. MLB Road teams (ATLANTA) - with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL), after a combined score of 4 runs or less 2 straight games are 17-41 L/22 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the ML
10-07-19	Astros v. Rays UNDER 7.5		3-10	Loss	-100	7 h 6 m	Show
ALDS - Best of 5 - Game 3 - HOU leads 2-0 Astros starter Zack Greinke(18-5, 2.93 ERA, 187 SO) was 8-1 with a 3.02 ERA in 10 starts after being acquired from the D-backs in a July trade, going 18-5 with a 2.93 ERA for the season. He carried a no-hitter into the ninth inning of his final regular-season start on Sept. 25 in Seattle and enters this tilt well rested and with top tier momentum. Meanwhile, TB Rays start Charlie Morton(16-6, 3.05 ERA, 240 SO)remade himself as a pitcher during his 2017-18 tenure with the Astros, and the right-hander has developed a knack for clutch October outings. The 35-year-old allowed an unearned run in five innings in the AL Wild Card Game to become the first pitcher in MLB history to win three winner-take-all postseason games (he also won Game 7 of the 2017 ALCS and World Series with Houston). With two top tier hurlers, and bull pens Im betting on this being a low scoring affair. Under is 5-0 in Greinkes last 5 road starts.Under is 12-1-3 in Astros last 16 on astroturf. GREINKE is 10-0 UNDER as a road favorite of -110 or higher this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.8 rpg scored and 11-0 UNDER as a road favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored. GREINKE is 11-1 UNDER after giving up no earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.1 rpg scored. Under is 10-1 in Rays last 11 playoff home games.Under is 7-1 in Rays last 8 Divisional Playoff home games. MORTON is 10-0 UNDER as a home underdog of +125 or more since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.7 rpg scored. MLB Home teams (TAMPA BAY) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 15 games are 37-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 21-4-2 in the last 27 meetings in Tampa Bay. Play UNDER
10-06-19	Dodgers -130 v. Nationals		10-4	Win	100	8 h 14 m	Show
Ryu was in the running for the NL Cy Young award after having recorded a stingy 1.45 ERA before a few non quality starts, but he finished the season with three consecutive top tier trips to the hill and comes into this play off game with plenty of momentum. Im betting on him buoying the Dodgers to a win here today. WASHINGTON is 8-18 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons and is 7-15 against the money line in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or more) over the last 2 seasons. Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (LA DODGERS) - very good NL offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing are 45-26 L/22 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. LA Dodgers to win on the ML WASHINGTON is 8-18 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons and is 7-15 against the money line in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or more) over the last 2 seasons. Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (LA DODGERS) - very good NL offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing are 45-26 L/22 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. LA Dodgers to win on the ML
10-05-19	Twins v. Yankees UNDER 9.5		2-8	Loss	-120	7 h 44 m	Show
Masahiro Tanaka (11-9, 4.45 ERA), the most successful postseason pitcher on New York's active roster, will start Game 2. He owns a stingy 1.50 ERA in five postseason starts. Meanwhile, the Twins will respond with Dobnak who made nine appearances in the regular season and posted a 1.86 ERA in his five starts. He last pitched on Sept. 25 in Detroit, when he allowed an unearned run on one hit in six innings. Dobnak's last three appearances were as a starting pitcher. Im betting on these solid pitchers and their respective bullpends to hold serve over the offences and for this tilt to stay on the low side of the total. TANAKA is 12-1 UNDER in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.3 rpg scored. NY YANKEES in 34 games at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season the average combined score clicked in at 8.7 rpg. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (NY YANKEES) - top level team, winning 62% or more of their games on the season, in October games are 36-11 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (MINNESOTA) - in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 88-44UNDER L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER
10-04-19	Cardinals v. Braves UNDER 8.5		0-3	Win	100	7 h 39 m	Show
Flaherty enters the playoffs with back-to-back scoreless trips to the hill and has garnered an amazing 0.91 ERA in his last 15 starts, and Im betting he goes deep here today for the Cardinals and help limit the Braves overall offensive production in game 2. He faced the Braves twice this season, going 1-0 with 2.25 ERA. FLAHERTY is 7-0 UNDER in road games in day games this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 4.6 rpg scored. Meanwhile, Foltynewicz the Braves starter here in game two of this series, enters this tilt in sizzling form since being recalled on Aug. 5 where over his last seven starts, he has recorded a very stingy 1.73 ERA. ATLANTA in their L/123 home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better have seen a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (ATLANTA) - after 3 or more consecutive losses, in October games are 77-37 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams (ATLANTA) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or better ) (NL), after 4 straight games where they committed no errors. are 83-38 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (ST LOUIS) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, in October games are 114-55 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER