Lynn the Rangers starting hurler today vs the Twins has allowed only one earned run and four hits in each of his last four starts while recording  32 strikeouts in 25 innings of top tier work. Lynn, has been his best at home this season recording a  9-1 record along  with a 3.94 ERA in 12 starts and gets my support here today to salvage a win in this series vs the hot hitting Twins.

TEXAS is 12-5 against the money line in home games in day games this season.

The Rangers are 8-0 on the ML in the last game of a series as a home favorite after they hit at least one home run.  

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MINNESOTA) - hot hitting team - batting .333 or better over their last 3 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are 8-41 L/5 seasosn for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the ML

 Dodgers starter Tony Gonsolin will be recalled to make the start against the Braves and Max Fried. Although Gonsolin will start, fellow rookie Dustin May is scheduled to make his relief debut, but could also start. Both are trying out for a postseason role and will be primed to compete here for a future roster job. Meanwhile, Atlanta's starter Fried has struggled against the Dodgers. In an earlier start in Los Angeles this season, he was knocked out after one inning, giving up four runs on four hits and one walk. In two career starts against the Dodgers, Fried is 0-2 with a 7.50 ERA.

Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Dodgers are 39-14 in their last 53 Sunday games.Dodgers are 39-15 in their last 54 vs. a team with a winning record.Dodgers are 5-2 in their last 7 road games.Dodgers are 51-21 in their last 72 during game 3 of a series.Dodgers are 40-17 in their last 57 vs. National League East.Dodgers are 42-18 in their last 60 games following a loss.Dodgers are 15-7 in their last 22 games vs. a left-handed starter.Dodgers are 73-34 in their last 107 games on grass.Dodgers are 74-35 in their last 109 overall.Dodgers are 29-14 in their last 43 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Braves are 6-13 in their last 19 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Dodgers are 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Atlanta.Dodgers are 35-16 in the last 51 meetings.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the ML

Cleveland Indians starter Mike Clevinger,  has been in top form since July 1 as is evident by a  perfect 6-0 record along  with a stingy  2.39 ERA  in 8 quality starts. He goes against a banged up Yankees team, that despite of some clutch hitting looks to be in a regression phase.

Indians are 4-0 in Clevingers last 4 road starts. 

Meanwhile, the Yankees will go with veteran  CC Sabathia who was  0-2 in July along with a bloated 7.17 ERA in four starts and is now coming of the IL and could easily show some rust. With the added pop in the Tribes batting lineup ie Yasiel Puig and Franmil Reyes and a packed righty batting order, Sabathia looks like cannon fodder. 

Indians are 37-17 in their last 54 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the ML

Twins starter Berrios (10-6, 3.29 ERA) is 2-1 with a 5.63 ERA in three career starts against Texas. He lost his only start at Globe Life Park last season when he allowed five runs on three hits, all of them home runs, in four innings of a 7-4 loss and is fade material here in this spot according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. Note: BERRIOS is 1-9 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BERRIOS is 3-10  against the money line against AL West opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

TEXAS is 11-6 against the money line as a home underdog of +125 or more this season. 

MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (TEXAS) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.500 to 1.600 on the season-AL are 34-23 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the ML

The Giants will start a rookie hurler (L.Webb) in his first ever outing in the big leagues. Im betting despite of his top tier designation as a prospect ,that being here in a unfriendly environment on the road will not serve him well in his debut.

Giants are 16-36 in their last 52 during game 3 of a series.Giants are 3-7 in their last 10 games following a win.

The Giants are 0-10 on the ML when their opponent is seeking immediate revenge for a loss as a home chalk in which they held the lead.( The DBacks lost 10-9 last night)

ARIZONA is 26-11 against the money line revenging 2 straight home losses vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the ML

Nationals starter Anibal Sanchez (7-6, 3.75 ERA, 99 SO) is on a run mirroring the roll he went on in 2018 to help lead the Braves to a division title. Sanchez has won his last seven decisions and has a 2.93 ERA over his last 14 starts. Im betting he buoys a Nats team that has won 5 straight and 7 of their L/8 overall to another win vs Brewers here in this spot. I know his pitching opponent from the Brewers Lyles has pitched well since his trade from the Pirates , but prior to that trade , he registered a nasty 9.57 ERA in his final nine starts and could easily get nailed her vs a side that matches up well against him according to my power rankings.

Nationals are 10-4 in Sanchezs last 14 starts.

rewers are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.

Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the ML

Miles Mikolas (7-12, 4.13 ERA, 101 SO)After a consistent start to the second half, Mikolas regressed on Sunday against the Pirates, allowing five runs on seven hits in five innings. He struggled with command which is not a good omen as he exasperates fthe same problems he exhibited earlier this season. I know the Cards are playing well, and the pitching staff has looked strong, but ST LOUIS is just 1-13 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season. 

The Cards crushed the Reds yesterday, 13-4, but in the past that kind of output has not been kind in their followup game, as they have gone  10-20 against the money line after scoring 9 runs or more over the last 2 seasons while scoring an average of just 3.5 rpg over that 30 game sample size. Meanwhile, CINCINNATI is 11-3 against the money line after allowing 8 runs or more this season with margin out put of 5.0 to 2.9. 

ST LOUIS is 7-18 against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL) this season. 

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ST LOUIS) - off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 8-34 L/22 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the ML

Jays starter Trent Thornton (4-8, 5.34 ERA, 110 SO) is coming off one of his best starts of the season, where he held the Yankees to just one run on three hits over six innings while striking out six. Thornton's biggest problem in 2019, though, has been consistency between starts. Note: The Blue Jays are 0-7 on the ML with Trent Thornton when he went six-plus innings in his last start. Meanwhile,Reggie McClain (0-0, 4.50 ERA, 5 SO)The 26-year-old rookie has risen from Class A ball to the big leagues this season and now gets his first MLB start, as the Mariners will go with a bullpen game. McClain is a converted starter who has pitched 3 games in relief since being called up and according to scouts deserves a mlb start. 

Blue Jays are 3-9 in Thorntons last 12 starts on astroturf.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SEATTLE) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 91-47 L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the ML

Dodgers starter Kenta Maeda(8-8, 4.12 ERA, 128 SO) is coming off arguably his best start of the season, when he scattered three hits over seven scoreless innings in a win over the D-backs last Saturday. Maeda struck out six batters and didn't issue a walk for the first time in four starts. The right handed hurler is looking confident and deserves my backing here tonight on the road vs the Braves.   MAEDA is 2-0 in two outings when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 0.68 and a WHIP of 0.825.

I know Soroka the Braves rookie hurler has looked tremendous this season, but according to my power rankings the Dodgers batting order matches up well against him.

ATLANTA is 9-21 against the money line in home games against NL West opponents over the last 2 seasons. 

Dodgers are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Atlanta.Dodgers are 36-17 in the last 53 meetings. 

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70% are 44-21 L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the ML

The Phillies will send right-hander Vince Velasquez (4-7, 4.30 ERA).Velasquez opened the season in the rotation before moving to the bullpen. He returned in June and is 2-4 with a 4.50 ERA in nine starts since then. He has pitched more than 5 2/3 innings just once in that stretch and is fade material here tonight vs the under rated San Diego Padres.  Meanwhile,San Diego will send 23-year-old Chris Paddack to the hill. Paddack is 7-5 with a 3.26 ERA and owns a devastating changeup that pitchers have been laying off on lately, but that good prove fatal as strike zone efficiency could easily increase here down the stretch for Paddock. 

PHILADELPHIA is 3-15 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season and  9-28 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season.  

SAN DIEGO is 22-14  against the money line in road games with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on the San Diego Padres to win on the ML

Oakland has an edge here tonight  with top tier  starter Mike Fiers (11-3, 3.30 ERA). Fiers will take the mound Thursday riding a 17-start unbeaten streak. He has gone 9-0 with a 2.12 ERA in that run. He  goes against Astros starter  Aaron Sanchez (5-14, 5.60 ERA allowing 74 hits in 60.1 innings ) and never inspires me, making the As my choice in this spot play.

Fiers, own a very solid  home ERA of 2.54 this season, including a 1.66 ERA since the first of May.

Astros are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

This has been a fairly grueling road trip with a couple of marathons  so far for the Astros and Im sure fatigue is taking its toll in them.

MLB team (HOUSTON) - average hitting team (AVG = .265 to .279) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) -AL, with an on base percentage of .360 or better over their last 15 games are 21-50 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the As to win on the ML

Atlanta's starter Teheran has recorded a quality start in five of his past seven outings and has the ability to keep his team in all matchups especially here at home. Note: Teheran has been pitching at a high level for most of the season, but he has been especially tough on opposition batting orders in his last seven starts -- all in July and August. During that run, he is 2-1 with a 1.91 ERA.In his latest trip to the hill this past Friday, Teheran gave up one run and struck out seven in seven innings in an 8-4 vcitory at Miami., his pitching opponent, Stroman In two starts since joining the Mets from the Jays, has a bloated 6.10 ERA.  He is a quality hurler, but could easily get picked apart by one of baseballs most consistent offences. 

I know the Mets have been hot, but I still strongly believe they are over rated, especially offensively, and are also being over valued by the public thanks to the media , who has failed to recognize that much of their current hot run has come against losing teams. Note: 

Mets are 8-21 in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

 METS are 8-22  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season. 

The Mets are 0-21 on the ML as a dog after they had 12+ hits and were not a 150-plus dog and it is not a series opener.

Mets are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta.

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML

Hamels the Cubs starter is 6-3 with a 3.09 ERA in 19 starts this season. He strained an oblique in late June and missed more than a month. Hamels struggled a bit in his last start , but now should be getting the rust off and ready to go deeper and be fresher.In the  southpaws seven previous starts, he was phenomenal , producing a minuscule 1.07 ERA.HAMELS is 18-8 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 8.2 rpg scored.

Meanwhile, the Phillies will hand the ball Wednesday to right-hander Aaron Nola (10-3, 3.67 ERA). NOLA is 9-1 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.2 rpg scored. 

The Cubs have gone under 13 straight games as a road dog off a game as a favorite when seeking same season revenge vs their opponent's starting pitcher with the average combined sore of 4.9 rpg scored with no one game seeing more than 8 combined runs scored. 

Play UNDER 

Bieber beat the Red Sox on May 29 despite getting smacked around for six runs on eight hits, three of which were home runs, in  a sub par five innings. He's 2-1 with an 8.44 ERA in three games (two starts) lifetime versus Boston and Im betting he gets lit up here today by a now desperate Boston Red Sox teams that needs wins badly.  Meanwhile, the BoSox starter Johnson will make his fourth straight start for Boston, having been crunched for three runs in 2 2/3 innings against the Los Angeles Angels his last time out. He's pitched more than three innings once in nine appearances this season and once again looks like cannon fodder in this spot. 

Over is 9-2 in Johnsons last 11 starts overallOver is 8-2 in Red Sox last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 6-2 in Red Sox last 8 vs. American League Central.Over is 20-7 in Red Sox last 27 vs. a team with a winning record.

Over is 5-2 in Indians last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Over is 9-2 in Indians last 11 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 4-1 in Indians last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Cleveland.Over is 12-3-3 in the last 18 meetings.

Over is 5-1 in  umpire Barretts last 6 games behind home plate.

Play on the OVER 

The LA Dodgers travelled from the West Coast to the East coast yesterday, and after a gruelling overall schedule should show some jet lag here tonight in Miami and be at a disadvantage. It must be noted that over the L/5 seasons , teams travelling from west coast or mountain west and than playing in the visitors role in Miami have not been a very bad bet going just 3-15 (SU/ML).  

 

MLB Home teams against a 1.5 run line (MIAMI) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (NL), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.50 or worse over his last 3 starts are 177-122 for a 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Marlins to cover +1.5 RL

Jose Quintana(10-7, 4.23 ERA, 110 SO)Qu beat the A's on Wednesday at home behind seven strong innings. He struck out seven, walked none and allowed one run on two hits. The Cubs are 7-0 in his last seven starts. Quintana is 6-0 with a 3.67 ERA in that span and gets the nod here today vs their hosts the Philadelphia Phillies. 

Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.

Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.Phillies are 2-6 in their last 8 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Phillies are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.

PHILADELPHIA is 7-23  against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. 

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML

 Merrill Kelly (7-12, 4.52 ERA, 104 SO) After allowing seven runs in each of his previous two starts,  allowed four runs (three earned) on eight hits over six innings in a 7-3 loss to the Phillies at Chase Field and in his current form is fade material entering this tilt vs the Colorado Rockies.

Diamondbacks are 0-4 in Kellys last 4 road starts.Diamondbacks are 0-4 in Kellys last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Diamondbacks are 0-4 in Kellys last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Diamondbacks are 0-7 in Kellys last 7 starts.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (COLORADO) - good offensive team ( 4.7 or more  runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.70 or worse on the season (NL) are 34-15 L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML

This young and talented Toronto team continues to be undervalued  and tonight we have more the same value . The Blue Jays are 23 games below .500 but are 20-20 over their past 40 games.

Rangers are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings in Toronto.

TEXAS is 4-16 against the money line in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

MLV as a whole is 0-18 on the ML L/18 in the first game of a road series with no rest when they are off a game as a dog in which their starter pitched at least eight innings. The Rangers qualify under these perimeters.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TORONTO) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games are 94-150 L/22 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Toronto Blue Jays on the ML

Anthony DeSclafani( 7-6, 4.20 ERA, 120 SO) has faced the Nationals seven times over his career, with four of them starts. He's 2-0 with a 2.17 ERA, nine walks and 21 strikeouts over 29 innings against them. Meanwhile, Nats starter Erick Fedde (2-2, 4.20 ERA, 32 SO)is coming off his best start of the season and one of the best in his young career: six shutout innings with a pair of strikeouts against the Giants on Monday. This will be his third start filling in for Max Scherzer in the Nats' rotation. According to my pitcher vs batting order projections these two pitchers should be able to go fairly deep and limit offensive output vs their respective opposition. 

CINCINNATI is 11-3 UNDER vs. a team with a terrible bullpen whose ERA is 5.20 or worse this season with a combined average of 6.2 rpg scored. CINCINNATI in 24 games on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10.5 this season have seen a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. 

 WASHINGTON is 12-3 UNDER  vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 74 rpg scored. 

WASHINGTON is 9-0 UNDER vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 5.7 rpg scored. 

MLB Road teams where the total is 10 or higher (CINCINNATI) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a winning team are 79-33 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Arrieta's has bone Spurs and his  ailing elbow makes it difficult to know when to pull him from a game. Thats a dangerous recipe for disaster, and I wont be surprised if he had an unhappy ending to this game here in SF tonight.The veteran  has now gone six straight starts without a win, recording a 0-2 record and 4.34 ERA.

SAN FRANCISCO is 16-8  against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season this season. 

Giants are 9-4 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Phillies are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in San Francisco.

KAPLER is 9-24 against the money line in road games against NL West opponents as the manager of PHILADELPHIA. 

Play on the SF Giants to win on the ML

RYU the Dodgers starter is 17-2 SU in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  Dodgers 5.2 Opp 1.9 ...3.3 rpg average deficit diff. RYU is 18-2  SU in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a average rpg diff of 3.5 rpg scored. Meanwhile, Mike Leake(9-8, 4.24 ERA, 103 SO) pitched around a lot of traffic on the bases in his D-backs debut. He allowed 11 hits and walked one in 5 1/3 innings and to me looks like cannon fodder vs a sometimes explosive Dodgers batting order making this a viable runline wagering opportunity.

Dodgers are 7-0 in Ryus last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Dodgers are 4-0 in Ryus last 4 starts vs. Diamondbacks.

The Diamondbacks are 0-17 SU a road dog of more than 160 off a loss as a underdog in which they never led and it is not a series opener losing by an average of 2.78 rpg.

The Dodgers are 28-0 SU in the last game of a series as a 200+ chalk after they won and never trailed winning by an average of 4.4 rpg.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the -1.5 RL

Leake gave up 11 hits and three runs (two earned) while receiving no-decision in his Arizona debut, an 8-4 victory over Philadelphia on Tuesday, but he dealt with alot of traffic in that game, and now today Im betting he feels the brunt of the Dodgers offensive attack in this spot, which will help this score get over the set total. I know Ryu the dodgers  lefty hurler is in top form, but Im betting the dbacks do just enough damage to get us over the set total. Note: ARIZONA is 13-4 OVER in road games against left-handed starters this season with a combined average of 12.6 rpg scored.

MLB teams where the total is 8 to 10 (LA DODGERS) - after shutting out a division rival, a top-level team (62% or more ) playing a team with a winning record are 36-13 OVER L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the OVER 

Aaron Civale(1-1, 0.75 ERA, 13 SO)will make back-to-back starts for the first time in his Major League career. He allowed one run on three hits in six innings against the Rangers on Monday. Civale threw six scoreless innings in a June 22  start in his only other big league trip to the hill and gets my support here today vs the host Twins. Meanwhile, Twins stater Jose Berrios(10-6, 3.24 ERA, 140 SO)Berrios was crushed for a first-pitch homer by Ronald Acuna Jr. on Tuesday, setting the tone for one  an ugly  outing  in which he allowed a career-high nine earned runs and a season-high four walks in 5 2/3 frames. There were signs of control issues to which could easily signify arm fatigue here late in the season, which could easily  continue to translate in excessive offensive production vs opposition batting orders and the Tribe this Sunday. 

Twins are 0-5 in Berrios' last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

MINNESOTA has lost 13 of 21 games  against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season.

Indians are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Indians are 9-2 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Indians are 13-3 in their last 16 road games.

Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the ML

White Sox starter Lucas Giolito had a decent outing last time out , but in July was struggling, and in his L/3 overall starts owns a bloated 5.50 ERA and at home this season record a 4.10 ERA . Im betting that the As do some damage against him today.

Over is 4-1 in Giolitos last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Over is 7-2 in Giolitos last 9 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Meanwhile, the Pale Hose offence has come to life of late , averaging 5.7 rpg in their L/7 games, and according to my power rankings matches up well vs the As starter Bassit who owns a a 4.32 ERA in three outings vs the White Sox . 

Over is 5-1 in Bassitts last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

CHI WHITE SOX are 21-9 OVER  in home games after a one run win over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored.( Yesterday the White Sox upset the As 3-2)

Over is 10-4-1 in Bassitts last 15 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (CHI WHITE SOX) - team with a terrible SLG (.400 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better on the season-AL are 90-48 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road teams (OAKLAND) - with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games against opponent with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 5 games are 115-63 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

There is a battle cry being put out by the Manager of the Nats before this game vs the Mets as a post season spot is being battled for "We're fighting to get in the playoffs, they're fighting to get in the playoffs," Martinez said. "I believe in those boys in that clubhouse. People kicked us, we were down and you saw what they can do. Not by any means are we down." END QUOTE: 

The Mets, who were tied for 13th place in the NL and eight games out of the second wild card on July 24, have won 15 of their last 16 games to move within a half-game of the Nationals and Milwaukee Brewers, who are tied for the two wild-card spots and are now huge public favs, giving us value with a Nationals team that is  5-0 on the ML in the last game of a series as a dog off a game as a dog when they are off a loss in which they held the lead. Im betting the Nats do not get swept today, and do enough damage vs DeGrom to get a win here as hefty underdogs. 

Nationals are 8-3 in their last 11 during game 3 of a series.Nationals are 22-9 in their last 31 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.

DEGROM is 1-9  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) 

Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the ML

Norris the Tigers starter has never found much success in Comerica Park. He's 4-16 there in his career with a 5.20 ERA in 34 appearances, including 31 starts. Against Kansas City, Norris is 1-2 with a 3.95 ERA in 11 career outings, including 10 starts and is fade material here today. Meanwhile,Jakob Junis (7-10, 4.88 ERA, 130 SO) has thrown at least six innings in six straight starts. In his last outing on Tuesday against the Red Sox, he pitched six innings with seven hits, one run, one walk and four strikeouts and gets my support here today.

NORRIS is 0-7  against the money line in home games vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) 

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (KANSAS CITY) - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against an average starting pitcher (ER 4.70 to 5.70) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 on the season (AL) are 31-9 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the KC Royals to win on the ML

Adam Plutko (4-2, 4.55 ERA, 36 SO) was plugged back into the Indians' starting rotation last Saturday after the club traded Trevor Bauer to the Reds. Plutko earned the win after holding the Angels to one run on five hits with four strikeouts over 5 1/3 innings and will be primed to help his team get us to the promised land on a value line here tonight in Minnesota. Meanwhile, Twins stater Jake Odorizzi(12-5, 3.61 ERA, 120 SO)struggled with an elevated pitch count on Monday against the Bravesand Im betting that messes with his effectiveness and freshness in this spot vs and  Indians side  that is  8-0 on the ML as a dog after a game in which they left more than fifteen men on base and it is not a series opener. 

CLEVELAND is 7-0 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season this season. 

MINNESOTA is 7-13 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season

Cleveland is 41-16 since June 2 while Minnesota is 30-28 and its obvious to me the  Indians in their current form are the superior team and offer rare true value tonight. 

Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the ML

Tanner Roark 7-7, 4.14 ERA, 114 SORoark's A's debut on Sunday was a success, as he tossed five innings of one-run ball in a win over the Cardinals and now I look for him to have positive results here again today against a group that has never faced him. 

The Athletics are 21-0 on the ML as a road 130-plus favorite off a game as a favorite when their opponent's starting pitcher is seeking same-season-revenge. ( Lopez)

OAKLAND is 21-2 against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.OAKLAND is 35-8  against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.OAKLAND is 24-3  against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.OAKLAND is 15-4 against the money line against AL Central opponents this season. 

Play on the As on the ML

 The Yankees have won their last eight games, and have momentum entering this tilt vs the Jays. The Jays can explode with some offence, and must not be underestimated, but the Yanks are even more explosive and have a deeper bullpen making them viable favs here tonight. Note: The Yankees have average 6.7 rpg on the road this season via a 2.80 team BA. 

HAPP is 13-1  against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) HAPP is 13-1  against the money line in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) HAPP is 24-8 against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

NY YANKEES are 28-8  against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TORONTO) - with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL) are 14-49 L/22 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML

Madison Bumgarner(6-7, 3.92 ERA, 142 SO) the Giants starter has seen his team win seven of his past eight starts, including his past four and gets my support here tonight. I know his starting pitching opponent from the Phillies Nola is also in top form, but Im betting home filed advantage for the Giants will be the difference maker.

PHILADELPHIA is 7-25 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. PHILADELPHIA is 12-34 against the money line in road games against NL West opponents over the last 3 seasons.

SF are 5-0 in Bumgarners last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Giants are 6-0 in Bumgarners last 6 home starts. Phillies are 3-12 in the last 15 meetings in San Francisco.

MLB Home teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - team with a poor SLG (.400 or less) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 to 1.300) -NL, in August games are 121-76 L/22 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the SF Giants to win on the ML

Yusei Kikuchi (4-8, 5.49 ERA, 84 SO)After a solid start to his season, the rookie from Japan has gone 1-7 with a 7.65 ERA over his last 12 starts, with opponents posting a .347/.406/.677 line with 24 walks, 35 strikeouts and 20 home runs and is fade material here vs the Padres tonight. Meanwhile, Padres starter Lucchesi is 2-0 with a 3.09 ERA in two career starts against Seattle in his career and gets my support here tonight.

The Mariners are 0-22 on the ML in the second game of a series as a dog of more than 130 when they are off a game as a dog in which they scored in at most two separate innings.

SEATTLE is 11-39 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. SEATTLE is 1-10 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. SEATTLE is 0-8  against the money line in home games after batting .175 or worse over a 3 game span over the last 3 seasons

MLB Home teams (SEATTLE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 5 games. are 10-30 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the San Diego Padres to win on the ML

St. Louis right-hander Jack Flaherty (5-6, 3.93)   is coming off his best outing of the season, allowing no runs and one hit over seven innings in an 8-0 win against the visiting Chicago Cubs on Thursday.He has been red hot since just before the All-Star break. His record is just 1-1 in his past five starts, but he has registered a minuscule  ERA of 1.15 in that span and gets my support here on a value line. Note:Flaherty beat Los Angeles on April 10 as part of a four-game sweep against the visiting Dodgers. He allowed one run and three hits in six innings of the 7-2 win, which earned him his first victory of the season.The Cars righty is now 1-1 with a 1.50 ERA in three career starts against the Dodgers.

I know the Cards are struggling at the moment but it must be noted that they are pretty resileint group, as MIKE is 24-13 against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse as the manager of ST LOUIS. 

Cardinals are 5-0 in Flahertys last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.Cardinals are 40-16 in their last 56 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.

ST LOUIS is 39-26 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.

Play on the St.Louis Cards to win on the ML

Max Fried(12-4, 4.07 ERA, 112 SO) recorded a strike with nearly 70 percent of the 76 pitches he threw over six strong innings against the Reds on Thursday. His curveball induced a 33.3 percent (7 of 21) swing-and-miss rate during this rain-shortened complete game effort and remains a solid hurler to back for now in this current winning  form. Meanwhile,Martin Perez( (8-4, 4.58 ERA, 100 SO) struggled with the long ball in his last start, when he matched a season high with three homers allowed for five runs in five innings. His current form has yielded eight HRs in his last four starts making him fade material vs this explosive Atlanta squad. The lefty hurler also own s a very bloated 7.80 ERA in his L/3 starts.

Twins are 15-31 in their last 46 vs. National League East.Twins are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.Twins are 1-9 in their last 10 during game 3 of a series.Twins are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.Twins are 0-7 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.

MLB team (MINNESOTA) - after 5 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or more over his last 3 starts are 89-160 L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML

Brendan McKay(2-1, 4.38 ERA, 25 SO) will be making his sixth career start at the big league level and his first against the Blue Jays. The left-hander is 1-1 with a 5.65 ERA in three home starts this season and and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings could be in trouble today vs a hot hitting Blue Jays team, Meanwhile, Jays starter  Wilmer Font  after being  converted to a starter by the New York Mets after he was acquired from Tampa Bay in May went 0-1 with a 7.84 ERA in three turns and according to my projections could easily get hammered here today vs a team with top notch scouting report on him. 

Over is 5-0 in Rays last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 8-1 in Rays last 9 overall.Over is 7-1 in Rays last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 6-1 in Rays last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 6-1 in Rays last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 6-1 in Rays last 7 games following a win.Over is 6-1 in Rays last 7 vs. American League East.Over is 5-1 in Rays last 6 on astroturf.Over is 5-1 in Rays last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 12-3-1 in Rays last 16 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Rays last 5 Wednesday games.Over is 4-1 in Rays last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Over is 5-2 in Rays last 7 home games.

Play OVER 

Mike Leake9-8, 4.27 ERA, 100 SO was acquired from the Mariners just a couple of minutes before the Trade Deadline. This will be Leake's first start for the D-backs. His last start was on July 30 against the Rangers when he allowed three earned runs in 5 2/3 innings. Meanwhile,Jake Arrieta 8-8, 4.44 ERA, 100 SO is limited because of a bone spur in his right elbow, meaning he typically hits a wall around the fourth or fifth inning, losing velocity and command of his pitches and is fade material in current state of health.

LEAKE is 17-8  against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

PHILADELPHIA is 7-21 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season.

Phillies are 3-7 in their last 10 during game 2 of a series.Phillies are 7-19 in their last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the ML

Atlantas starter Mike Foltynewicz(2-5, 6.37 ERA, 50 SO) returns to the Majors for the first time since being demoted to Triple-A Gwinnett on June 23. Foltynewicz has a 1-0 record and 8.74 ERA in three career appearances, including two starts, against the Twins.Meanwhile, Twins starter Jose Berrios(10-5, 2.80 ERA, 133 SO) was over powering  in his last start against the Marlins, striking out a season-high 11 batters without issuing a walk as he allowed just two singles -- including an infield hit -- in seven scoreless innings to lower his season ERA to 2.81 and gets my support here today. 

MINNESOTA is 20-6 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season. MINNESOTA is 25-11 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season.

Braves are 29-14 in their last 43 games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 19-40 in their last 59 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 4-9 in their last 13 interleague games.Braves are 7-18 in their last 25 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 4-11 in their last 15 Tuesday games.Braves are 2-6 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 2-6 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Braves are 4-9 in Foltynewiczs last 13 starts.Braves are 4-9 in Foltynewiczs last 13 starts on grass.Braves are 4-11 in Foltynewiczs last 15 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Braves are 3-9 in Foltynewiczs last 12 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Braves are 3-10 in Foltynewiczs last 13 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Trends  -  Atlanta at MinnesotaRed - Hot trends are trends 80% or higher.  Blue - Cold trends are trends 20% or lower. W/L TRENDSAtlantaBraves are 19-8 in their last 27 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Braves are 13-6 in their last 19 games following a loss.Braves are 15-7 in their last 22 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 29-14 in their last 43 games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 19-40 in their last 59 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 4-9 in their last 13 interleague games.Braves are 7-18 in their last 25 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 4-11 in their last 15 Tuesday games.Braves are 2-6 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 2-6 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Braves are 4-9 in Foltynewiczs last 13 starts.Braves are 4-9 in Foltynewiczs last 13 starts on grass.Braves are 4-11 in Foltynewiczs last 15 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Braves are 3-9 in Foltynewiczs last 12 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Braves are 3-10 in Foltynewiczs last 13 starts vs. a team with a winning record.MinnesotaTwins are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 games following a win.Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Twins are 40-12 in their last 52 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Twins are 19-7 in their last 26 during game 2 of a series.Twins are 5-2 in their last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Twins are 41-18 in their last 59 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Twins are 47-23 in their last 70 games vs. a right-handed starter.Twins are 6-0 in Berrios' last 6 Tuesday starts.Twins are 5-1 in Berrios' last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.Twins are 25-9 in Berrios' last 34 home starts.Twins are 11-4 in Berrios' last 15 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Twins are 9-4 in Berrios' last 13 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the ML

Anthony DeSclafani (6-6, 4.07 ERA, 115 SO) has one win to show for his past five starts despite allowing only 10 earned runs in 27 2/3 innings,  for a 3.25 ERA. He has racked up 31 strikeouts in those starts and is the type of hurler that can really slow down a struggling offence like the Angels own at this time. Meanwhile, Suarez the Halos starter, despite of some inconsistent starts this season in limited action, actually matches up well vs the light hitting Reds according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. 

The Angels have scored 3 or less runs in 5 of their L/6 and as a teaming are hitting just .221 over a 7 game span. Meanwhile, the Reds have not seen more than 10 combined runs scored in 7 of their L/9 games.

CINCINNATI is 18-3 UNDER  vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start this season with the combined average score of 7 rpg going on the board.

A ANGELS are 11-3 UNDER  in an inter-league game this season with an average of 8.1 rpg scored. 

 Under is 11-2 in Angels last 13 during game 2 of a series. Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 5-2 in Angels last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-2 in Angels last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 9-4 in Angels last 13 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 9-4-1 in Angels last 14 vs. National League Central.Under is 33-15-4 in Angels last 52 interleague games.Under is 15-7-1 in Angels last 23 interleague road games.

Under is 8-1 in Reds last 9 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 10-2-1 in Reds last 13 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 4-1 in Reds last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 14-4-1 in Reds last 19 interleague games.Under is 10-3 in Reds last 13 Tuesday games.Under is 19-7-1 in Reds last 27 vs. American League West.Under is 24-9 in Reds last 33 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 8-3-1 in Reds last 12 interleague home games.Under is 5-2 in Reds last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 27-13-2 in Reds last 42 during game 2 of a series.Under is 4-0-1 in DeSclafanis last 5 starts on grass.Under is 5-0 in DeSclafanis last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.Under is 4-0-1 in DeSclafanis last 5 starts overall. Under is 5-1-1 in DeSclafanis last 7 home starts.

Under is 14-6 in umpire Tumpanes last 20 interleague games behind home plate and 4 of his L/5 overall. 

 Road teams where the total is 10 or higher (LA ANGELS) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (46 to 49%) are 36-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER

Tuesday, Milwaukee right-hander Chase Anderson (5-2, 3.73 ERA) is scheduled to start against Pittsburgh left-hander Steven Brault (3-1, 4.15) in a tilt I have pegged to go over the set total.Brault has been on the injured list since July 6 because of a left shoulder strain but is expected to be activated for the start with rust being the main concern that could easily see him get roughed up which will result in Milwaukee scoring a projected 1.5 runs more than expected by the linesmakers according to my estimates. These teams have gone over in 7 of the L/8 meetings here in Pittsburgh and Im betting on nothing changing tonight.

MILWAUKEE is 20-7 OVER in road games vs. NL teams allowing 5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.5 rpg scored. COUNSELL is 26-12 OVER  as a road favorite of -125 or more as the manager of MILWAUKEE with a combined average of 12.3 rpg scored. 

PITTSBURGH is 16-5 OVER in home games against division opponents this season with a combined average of 11.9 rpg scored.PITTSBURGH is 25-6 OVER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season with a combined average of 12.9 rpg going on the score board.

HURDLE is 15-4 OVER  in home games after allowing 9 runs or more 2 straight games in all games he has managed with a combined average of 13.1 rpg scored.

Pittsburgh has gone over in 7 of their L/8 games and in their L/7 games an average of 13.1 rpg have scored.

Play OVER 

The Phillies are 0-9 on the ML in franchise history with starter Vince Velasquez on the road when he averaged more than four pitches per batter in his last start and the Phillies lost. He is off back to back quality starts , but that has not been a recipe for success going forward for his team when he starts .

Phillies are 7-19 in Velasquezs last 26 starts with 4 days of rest.Phillies are 5-14 in Velasquezs last 19 road starts.Phillies are 1-4 in Velasquezs last 5 starts vs. National League West.Phillies are 1-4 in Velasquezs last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Phillies are 2-9 in Velasquezs last 11 starts during game 1 of a series.

Phillies are 4-12 in the last 16 meetings.Phillies are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Arizona.

Play on Arizona to win on the ML

Chicago has captured 11 of its last 13 home games since June 27 and 22 of its last 31 after completing a three-game sweep over Milwaukee with Sunday's 7-2 win. The Cubs are now an impressive 39-18 overall at home and get my support here tonight vs the Athletics.

Kyle Hendricks(8-8, 3.07 ERA, 107 SO) logged seven shutout innings in a win over the Cardinals on Wednesday, giving him a 2.25 ERA with 32 strikeouts vs. nine walks in 32 innings in July. The righty has gone 4-2 with a 1.89 ERA in nine home starts this year and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well vs the As.Hendricks' only previous start against the Athletics was Aug. 7, 2016, in Oakland when he allowed one run on three hits in 7 1/3 innings.  .HENDRICKS is 16-3 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 since 1997. (Team's Record) 

CHICAGO CUBS are 22-5  against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. CHICAGO CUBS are 8-0  against the money line after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals this season. CHICAGO CUBS are 24-7 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games are 50-11 L/L/22 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML

Lucas Giolito(11-5, 3.39 ERA, 150 SO) bounced back from his worst start of the season by allowing just one run over seven innings Wednesday vs. the Mets. This kid has proven his consistency and is a quality pitcher that deserves our support here tonight. Note: 

White Sox are 7-2 in Giolitos last 9 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.

Meanwhile, Spencer Turnbull (3-9, 3.65 ERA, 88 SO)is expected to be limited to around 75 pitches in his return from the injured list, having been shelved since July 18 with an upper back strain and rust maybe an issue here making him fade material in this spot. 

GIOLITO is 10-2 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season. (Team's Record) 

DETROIT is 4-23  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season.  DETROIT is 4-19 against the money line in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. DETROIT is 2-15 against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season this season. 

DETROIT is 1-16 (against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 this season. DETROIT is 4-24  against the money line as a home underdog of +125 or more this season. 

MLB  underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (DETROIT) - terrible offensive team - scoring 3.9 or less runs/game on the season (AL), in August games are 6-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the ML

Brewers starter Lyles will be facing his former club and will have something to prove after they traded him away. Im expecting a top tier effort from a pitcher the Pirates deemed ineffective and expendable. 

The Pirates are 0-15 on the ML in the history of this database in the first game of a series with no rest when their line is within 20 cents of pickem after a game as a home dog in which they drew one or fewer walks.

MILWAUKEE is 22-9 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 5 or more runs/game on the season this season. 

MLB Road teams (MILWAUKEE) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season-NL, with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 2.000 or more over his last 5 starts are 32-16 L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the ML

David Price(7-4, 3.86 ERA, 123 SO)Price has struggled since the All-Star break, going 0-2 with a 6.52 ERA in four starts. The lefty won at Yankee Stadium on June 2, holding the Yankees to two runs over 6 1/3 innings ad now primed fora bounce back effort I look for Price to limit the pinstripes offence tonight. Meanwhile,J.A. Happ(8-6, 5.19 ERA, 89 SO) returns from the paternity list for his 22nd start of the season. He took the loss his last time out, though he logged a quality start by holding the D-backs to three runs and eight hits over six innings and according to my pitcher vs batting order lineup matches up well vs the BoSox offence.He is 9-4 with a 3.00 ERA in 23 career appearances (22 starts) against Boston.

Under is 6-1 in Prices last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Under is 5-1-1 in Yankees last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 8-2 in Yankees last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.

MLB Road teams (BOSTON) - good offensive team (5.1 or more runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, with a slugging percentage of .330 or worse over their last 3 games are 76-39 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

Sonny Gray(6-6, 3.45 ERA, 130 SO) acknowledged not having his best stuff during Monday's 11-6 win over the Pirates. His streak of five straight quality starts ended, but he's still 3-1 with a 2.42 ERA over his last six games and is . viable underdog option this afternoon in Atlanta.  

GRAY is 10-3  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) GRAY is 11-2 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) 

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - NL team with a high slugging percentage (.430 of more) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350or less), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts are 130-73 L/22 seasons fo a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the ML

Cardinals rookie right-hander Dakota Hudson (10-5, 3.88 ERA) goes against  A's righty Mike Fiers (9-3, 3.54) this Saturday.Fiers will take the mound riding a 15-game unbeaten streak in which he's gone 7-0 with a 2.30 ERA. He's gone 4-0 in his last eight home starts, not allowing more than three runs in any of them and gets my support here today.

Hudson has a 4.63 ERA in his last seven games, allowing 18 earned runs in 35 innings, but he has a 5-2 record in that span.

. FIERS is 17-6 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) FIERS is 23-6  against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

OAKLAND is 17-4 against the money line in home games vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. 

ST LOUIS is 0-11   against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season

MLB teams (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 100-148 L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Oakland As to win on the ML

Bauer the Reds newly acquired starter  is leading the majors in innings pitched (156 2/3) and ranks fifth in strikeouts (185). The Reds are hopeful that Bauer can bolster a starting rotation that already ranks third in the National League in ERA. Bauer did have a bad outing last time out, but  however overall comes in hot, having allowed three or fewer runs in seven of his past 10 starts. Meanwhile, Keuchel the Braves starter  a former Cy Young Award winner has allowed a season-high four earned runs in two of his past three starts, but those Im betting are anomalies, and today against a top tier hurler should have his juices flowing and ready to perform, which Im betting helps this total stay on the low side of the number.

BAUER is 26-8 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.1 rpg scored. BAUER is 10-1 UNDER  in road games when playing on Saturday since 1997. (Team's Record)  with a combined average of 7 rog scored. 

KEUCHEL is 8-0 UNDER  vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. KEUCHEL is 8-0 UNDER  when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) 

ATLANTA is 22-6 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored.ATLANTA is 11-2 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored.

CINCINNATI is 22-8 UNDER  as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored.CINCINNATI is 14-4 UNDER against NL East opponents this season with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. CINCINNATI is 17-5 UNDER  on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season with a combined average of 7.7 rpg scored.

Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 during game 3 of a series.Under is 9-2-1 in Reds last 12 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Reds last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 8-2 in Reds last 10 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Reds last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 22-6 in Reds last 28 vs. National League East.Under is 6-2-1 in Reds last 9 Saturday games.Under is 24-8 in Reds last 32 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 20-7 in Reds last 27 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 45-18-1 in Reds last 64 road games.Under is 17-7-1 in Reds last 25 games following a win.Under is 38-16-1 in Reds last 55 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 52-24-4 in Reds last 80 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 34-16-1 in Reds last 51 overall.Under is 34-16-1 in Reds last 51 on grass.Under is 40-19-1 in Reds last 60 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 7-1 in Grays last 8 starts during game 3 of a series.Under is 5-2 in Grays last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-3 in Grays last 10 road starts.

Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 7-0-1 in Braves last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 9-1-1 in Braves last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 15-2 in Braves last 17 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Braves last 6 during game 3 of a series.Under is 13-3-1 in Braves last 17 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 overall.Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 on grass.Under is 12-3-1 in Braves last 16 home games.Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 vs. National League Central.Under is 4-1-1 in Braves last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 3-1-1 in Braves last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 9-3-1 in Braves last 13 games following a loss. Under is 4-0 in Keuchels last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.Under is 8-0 in Keuchels last 8 starts on grass.Under is 8-0 in Keuchels last 8 starts overall.Under is 4-0 in Keuchels last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Keuchels last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Play UNDER

 The Phillies send  their ace on Saturday when Aaron Nola takes the mound. Nola is 9-2 with a 3.72 ERA and over his past eight starts, he is 3-1 with a 1.99 ERA. He has never faced the White Sox , however , my power rankings suggest he matches up vs well vs this inconsistent Pale Hose batting order that is averaging just 3.8 rpg vs righty pitching this season and that overall has scored two runs or less in 9 of their L/13 games.

NOLA is 11-1 SU when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) with the average score deferential clicking in at 2.9 rpg. 

CHI WHITE SOX are 9-33 SU after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more over the last 2 seasons with a rpg differential of 2.8 rpg registering on the final scoreboard. 

Home favorites with a money line of -200 or more (PHILADELPHIA) - in an inter-league game, in August games are 42-4 SU L/22 seasons with a +3 rpg score differential making this a viable RL trend. 

Play on the Philadelphia Phillies on the -1.5 RL

BoSox starter Sale faced the Yankees last Sunday, striking out seven and allowing six runs (two homers) in 5 1/3 innings at Fenway Park and was very unhappy after that effort and now with immense talent to back him Im betting he rebounds to limit the Red Sox offence here . Meanwhile,Domingo German(13-2, 4.08 ERA, 107 SO) "was on a mission" in his last outing, according to catcher Austin Romine, as he halted the Yanks' slide by limiting the Red Sox to three runs in 5 1/3 innings at Fenway Park. German tied his season high with nine strikeouts and is capable of limiting the Red Sox offence again. Im expecting a pitchers duel, and not a shootout, and score that stays on the low side of the total.

Under is 7-0 in Sales last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 8-1-1 in Sales last 10 road starts.

 Under is 7-0 in Germans last 7 home starts.Under is 5-1 in Germans last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.

  Five of the L/6 games here in NY have gone under.

Under is 47-23-4 in umpire Estabrooks last 74 games behind home plate and 7-1 UNDER in his L/8 in Yankee games.

Play UNDER @ 10 or more

Rangers starter Lance Lynn (13-6, 3.83 ERA, 160 SO) has pitched at least six innings in 17 straight starts, going 11-4 with a 3.18 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP. He has pitched 113 innings in that stretch, striking out 136 and walking just 25 and Im betting he remains on track here limits the Tigers offensive production in this spot. Meanwhile, tigers southpaw  starter Tyler Alexander(0-1, 3.86 ERA, 14 SO)After a couple of solid outings to open his Major League career, the rookie was roughed up a bit in his third career start, getting clipped for four runs on eight hits and one walk in 4 1/3 innings against the Mariners on Saturday. However despite of the regression Alexander still showed his prowess with nine strikeouts and has the ability to limit damage here in this spot , which Im betting will help keep this score on the low side of the total.

Under is 9-2-1 in Tigers last 12 vs. American League West.Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1-1 in Tigers last 6 overall.Under is 4-1-1 in Tigers last 6 road games. Under is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Under is 7-3-1 in Rangers last 11 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Lynns last 5 Friday starts.Under is 5-0 in Lynns last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Lynns last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.Under is 4-1 in Lynns last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 7-2 in Lynns last 9 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 10-3 in Lynns last 13 starts overall.Under is 9-3 in Lynns last 12 starts on grass.Under is 7-3 in Lynns last 10 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. 

Under is 17-5 in Rangers last 22 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 23-9 in Rangers last 32 games following a win.Under is 8-2 in Rangers last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

Under is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings.

Play UNDER 

Zach Davies(8-4, 3.56 ERA, 76 SO)has allowed 14 runs (13 earned) over his last two starts, including a loss to the Cubs on Sunday in which he allowed seven earned runs in five innings and is fade material here in this spot in his current form.

Brewers are 4-10 in their last 14 during game 1 of a series. Brewers are 3-10 in their last 13 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.  Brewers are 4-11 in Davies' last 15 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Cubs are 19-7 in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Cubs are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Cubs are 48-21 in their last 69 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 69-32 in their last 101 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Cubs are 41-19 in their last 60 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Cubs are 35-17 in their last 52 home game

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games are 63-17 L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Cubs to win on the ML

Right-hander Andrew Cashner (10-5, 4.18 ERA) gets the nod for Boston opposite Tampa Bay rookie left-hander Brendan McKay (1-1, 3.72). Despite of McKays inexperience, Im still betting he does enough to thwart a  BoSox team the Rays have played well against of late.Tampa Bay has won five of its last six games and is 8-6 against the Red Sox this season, with seven of those wins coming in Boston, matching a franchise record (2011).  Im betting on more TB Rays positive momentum action in this spot.

Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League East.Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series. 

Rays are 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Boston.

Red Sox are 3-8 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Red Sox are 2-6 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

MLB team (BOSTON) - team with an excellent SLG (.450 or more) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, hot hitting team - batting .300 or better over their last 15 games are 17-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB team (BOSTON) - average hitting team (AVG .265 to .279) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) -AL, with an on base percentage of .360 or better over their last 15 games are 19-49 L/22 seasons for a 72% conversion rate.

Play on the TB Rays to win on the ML

Trent Thornton (3-7, 5.45 ERA) gets the start for the Jays in Thursday's game. He is coming off of the injured list (elbow inflammation) and could be rusty today and in the process allow this underrated Baltimore offence to unload on him offensively. In his last three starts Thornton garnered a bloated 7.34 ERA .Thornton owns a 1.54 WHIP and .270 batting average against in 21 starts this season.Meanwhile, Os starter Wojciechowski  despite of two recent quality starts, was 0-3 with a 5.74 ERA in his first four games (three starts) with Baltimore after he was acquired from the Cleveland organization July 1 and according to my power rankings does not matchup well vs this sometimes explosive Toronto offence that is loaded full of young top tier talent.

 Over is 5-0 in Thorntons last 5 road starts.Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 overall.

MLB team (TORONTO) - a bad team (38% to 46%) playing a team with a losing record, in August games are 220-132 OVER for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

The Phillies are my choice to extend their 2 game winning streak,  behind right-hander Vince Velasquez. In Velasquez's last start, he thew 5 2/3 scoreless innings in a 4-0 win against the Detroit Tigers last Wednesday .

Phillies are 5-0 in Velasquezs last 5 starts with 6 days of rest.Phillies are 7-2 in Velasquezs last 9 home starts.

Meanwhile, Giants starter SAMARDZIJA is 1-11  against the money line against NL East opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Giants are 4-22 in Samardzijas last 26 starts during game 2 of a series.

Philadelphia is 7-1 L/8 vs the SF Giants and gets my backing to win again.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN FRANCISCO) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a team with a below avg bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or better over his last 5 starts are 26-52 L/22 seasons for go against 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the ML

 Anibal Sanchez(6-6, 3.63 ERA, 87 SO)will make his  fourth start this season against the Braves, after spending last season with Atlanta, and he is 2-0 with a 3.71 ERA in his first three outings against them. He has won six straight decisions since May 29. Meanwhile, Mike Soroka (10-2, 2.44 ERA, 91 SO)was cruising against the Phillies on Friday before his night ended early thanks to a 37-pitch fifth inning in which he recorded only two outs. Still, he allowed just one run over 4 2/3 innings and is 6-0 with a 1.19 ERA on the road. 

The recency of yesterday high scoring game that saw these teams combined for 19 runs, had a bloated line attached to this tilt. Note: WASHINGTON is 13-4 UNDER after a game with a combined score of 15 runs or more this season with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored. 

Under is 12-3-1 in Braves last 16 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

SANCHEZ is 21-8 UNDER  vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record) ATLANTA is 12-4 UNDER vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 8.8 rpg. 

WASHINGTON is 12-4 UNDER vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season. 

Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 Wednesday games.Under is 8-1 in Nationals last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 6-1 in Nationals last 7 during game 3 of a series.Under is 10-2 in Nationals last 12 vs. National League East.Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 9-3-1 in Nationals last 13 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 18-7 in Nationals last 25 overall.Under is 18-7 in Nationals last 25 on grass.Under is 9-4 in Nationals last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts on grass.Under is 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts overall.Under is 7-1 in Sanchezs last 8 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Sanchezs last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.Under is 4-1 in Sanchezs last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 8-3 in Sanchezs last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-2 in Sanchezs last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.

Under is 6-2 in Sorokas last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-2-1 in Sorokas last 8 road starts.

Play on the UNDER 

The Royals will start left-hander Mike Montgomery (1-3, 6.09). It will be his third start for the Royals since being obtained from the Chicago Cubs. Both his past two outings were against the Cleveland Indians, and he went 0-1 with a 7.71 ERA and Im betting he gets hammered by a under rated Toronto offence.

MONTGOMERY the Royals pitcher  is 2-9 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)MONTGOMERY is 6-17 ( against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record) MONTGOMERY is 0-7  against the money line in home games in July games since 1997. (Team's Record) 

MONTOYO is 13-5  against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game as the manager of TORONTO.

MLB All favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (KANSAS CITY) - terrible team, winning 38% or less of their games on the season, playing on Tuesday are 41-23 L/5 seasons for a 64% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the ML

Price the BoSox starter tonight vs TB comes in off a hard-luck loss against the Rays his last time out, allowing three runs and striking out eight over six innings. However, the Red Sox are also 9-0 on the ML in the first game of a series with rest as a favorite off a game as a favorite when seeking same season revenge vs their opponent's starting pitcher.

The Red Sox are 21-0 on the ML with David Price as a home favorite when he went six-plus innings and gave up three or fewer runs in his last start and gets my support here tonight vs the Rays. 

MLB Home teams (BOSTON) - very good offensive team (5.4 or more  runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) (AL), after a game where they committed 3 or more errors are 33-8 L/22 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 8 runs or more are 33-82 L/22 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Boston Red sox to win on the ML

Tyler Beede (3-4, 4.85 ERA, 62 SO) allowed career highs of 10 hits and three homers vs. the Cubs last time out, surrendering four runs in 5 2/3 innings and looks unstable entering this game and could easily get lit up vs a batting order Im betting he does matchup well against. Meanwhile, the Phillies starter Drew Smyly  (1-5, 7.69 ERA, 60 ) despite a decent effort in his debut with his new team, has still been very inconsistent this season and according to my power rankings does not matchup well against the Giants batting order.

Over is 6-0-1 in Giants last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 6-1 in Giants last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 11-2-2 in Giants last 15 games following an off day.Over is 15-3 in Giants last 18 Tuesday games.Over is 9-2-1 in Giants last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 7-2-1 in Giants last 10 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 9-3-1 in Giants last 13 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 13-5-1 in Giants last 19 road games.Over is 18-7-4 in Giants last 29 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 7-3 in Giants last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter.

Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 home games.Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 8-2 in Phillies last 10 vs. National League West.

Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Philadelphia.

Play OVER 

Dodgers starter Maeda has pitched well against Colorado , including three starts this season in which he is 1-0 with a 2.76 ERA. Overall against the Rockies, he's 6-3 with a 2.41 ERA in 18 games (13 starts), with seven of those starts coming in Denver. In 10 career games at Coors Field, he is 5-1 with a 3.12 ERA and he gets my support here on the road vs the Rockies. Meanwhile, Jon Gray (9-7, 4.05 ERA, 128 SO) has struggled a bit of late and been unfortunate .Gray, left his last start with a left calf contusion after being struck by a line drive, was cleared to start Monday's series opener against the Dodgers. The Rockies have lost three of his last four start and is fade material here today.

Dodgers are 25-10 in their last 35 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Rockies are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Rockies are 7-19 in their last 26 overall.Rockies are 7-19 in their last 26 games on grass.Rockies are 2-6 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series.Rockies are 7-23 in their last 30 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Rockies are 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.Rockies are 2-8 in their last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Rockies are 2-8 in their last 10 games following a loss.Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Rockies are 0-8 in their last 8 vs. National League West.Rockies are 0-6 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 home games.

Dodgers are 21-8 in the last 29 meetings.Dodgers are 5-2 in Maedas last 7 starts vs. Rockies.Dodgers are 5-2 in Maedas last 7 road starts vs. Rockies

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (COLORADO) - after 2 straight losses by 2 runs or less against opponent after a loss by 6 runs or more are17-59 L/22 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the ML

Toronto's Thomas Pannone(2-4, 6.39 ERA, 43 SO) is being promoted  for Monday's start and return to a full five-man rotation. The lefty allowed four runs over 4 1/3 innings against Boston his last time out, and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings could easily give up alot of production the Royals in this spot. Meanwhile, Brad Keller is currently throwing hard, but the Jays are a explosive fast ball hitting team, that I have projected for a  positive output .

Over is 10-4 in Blue Jays last 14 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 13-6 in Blue Jays last 19 during game 1 of a series.Over is 17-8-1 in Blue Jays last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. 

Over is 5-1-1 in Royals last 7 home games.Over is 5-1 in Royals last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Over is 4-1-1 in Royals last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Over is 4-1 in Royals last 5 vs. American League East. KANSAS CITY is 12-3 OVER  at home when the total is 10 or higher this season with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored. 

Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

Play on the Over

Nats starter Corbin (8-5, 3.25 ERA) has enjoyed plenty of success against the Braves, going 5-1 with a 1.84 ERA in 10 games (eight starts) in his career against Atlanta. He gave up two runs on eight hits in five innings on July 19 at SunTrust Park. Corbin's 1.68 ERA at Nationals Park is the second-best home ERA in the Majors.CORBIN is 10-1 UNDER vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.6 rpg scored.

Meanwhile, Braves starter Keuchel is coming off a dominant 12-strikeout performance Tuesday against the Royals. The heavy dose of strikeouts were one shy of his career high and his most in a game since Sept. 6, 2015  the year he went on to win the AL Cy Young Award with Houston.KEUCHEL is 7-0 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored.

Im expecting a pitcher duel here today.

MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (WASHINGTON) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 100-43 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

Astros starter Wade Miley (8-4, 3.18 ERA, 100 SO) carried a shutout into the ninth inning of his previous start Tuesday against Oakland before getting a no-decision. In his last five starts, he's 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 0.88 WHIP as  opposing hitters owns a ugly .159/.236/.295 slash line during that stretch. The southpaw gets my support here today vs the Cardinals vs anyone the Cards can send to the mound.

HOUSTON is 27-11 against the money line in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 3 seasons. HINCH is 20-7 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of HOUSTON.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (HOUSTON) - after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base, playing on Sunday are 133-53 L/22 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Houston Astros to win on the ML

Colorado's starter Peter Lambert(2-2, 5.93 ERA, 31 SO)fastball-changeup combination kept him competitive in his last start, when he struck out eight and gave up three runs in 5 1/3 innings at Washington and has momentum entering this game vs the Reds , making his team a viable underdog investment option. Meanwhile, the Reds starte Alex Wood 0-0, -.-- ERA, 0 SOis scheduled to start vs. the Rockies in his season debut. Wood has been on the Reds' injured list all season with a lower back injury. The rust Im betting shows itself here today. Note: In 10career outings vs the Rockies Wood owns a 6.30 ERA.

Reds are 18-38 in their last 56 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Reds are 5-11 in their last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter.

WOOD is 6-12 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)WOOD is 3-8 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)WOOD is 9-20 against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record) 

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML

Gausman the Braves starter has had little success in his career against the Phillies, going 0-2 with a 5.51 ERA in three career starts against the club. Meanwhile, Nola the Phillies starter has done well vs the Braves as is is evident In 15 career starts against the Braves, he is 9-3 with a 2.26 ERA. In three starts against them this season, he's 2-0 with a 2.95 ERA including a  eight-inning scoreless effort on July 2 when he outdueled Atlanta's Dallas Keuchel in a 2-0 win. In five starts in July, Nola is 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA and gets my support here today in the favorite role. 

NOLA is 18-5  against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) 

GAUSMAN is 18-30  against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - very good NL offensive team (5.0 or more  runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  of 7.00 or more over his last 5 starts. 

Play on the Philadelphia Phillies 

Zach Eflin (7-10, 4.25 ERA, 91 SO goes to the hill tonight. )The Phillies say Eflin is healthy and everything is fine, but Eflin has complained about a "heavy" body recently. He is 1-3 with a 9.38 ERA in his last five starts, and is fade material in his current form. Meanwhile, southpaw Max Fried of the Braves(10-4, 4.08 ERA, 102 SO)will return from the injured list to start for the first time since developing a blister during a July 15 win in Milwaukee. The young lefty's arm should be fresh. He's totaled just 10 innings in two starts this month.

EFLIN is 0-9  against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

ATLANTA is 29-10 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. 

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML

 Sabathia had a rough outing last time out, but was in top form for a long stretch before that and also notched a quality start vs. Boston on June 2, completing six innings of three-run ball while striking out eight in an 8-5 Yankees loss and gets my support in a contrarian spot here this after vs the BoSox in Fenway. I know Rodriguez has pitched well for the BoSox of late, but my own pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest the Yankees hitters matchup well against him.

BOSTON is 13-16 against the money line against left-handed starters this season.

Yankees are 17-5 in their last 22 during game 3 of a series.Yankees are 67-26 in their last 93 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Yankees are 28-11 in their last 39 vs. a team with a winning record.Yankees are 40-16 in their last 56 Saturday games.Yankees are 67-27 in their last 94 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Yankees are 53-22 in their last 75 games on grass.Yankees are 36-15 in their last 51 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Yankees are 52-22 in their last 74 vs. American League East.Yankees are 80-36 in their last 116 games following a loss.Yankees are 35-16 in their last 51 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Yankees are 58-27 in their last 85 overall.Yankees are 92-45 in their last 137 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML

Asher Wojciechowski( 1-3, 3.91 ERA, 31 SO) is coming off the best start of his career. The 30-year-old righty threw 7 1/3 scoreless innings vs. Boston on Sunday, striking out 10 and taking a no-hitter into the seventh. His innings pitched and strikeouts were career highs and has momentum coming into this tilt and gets backing .  

LA ANGELS are 13-33  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better over the last 2 seasons.

MLB team (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start), after a game where the bullpen threw 8 or more innings are 121-81 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Baltimore to win on the ML

Jose Urquidy (1-0, 5.54 ERA, 17 SO ) will make his fourth career start .He earned his first win on Saturday vs. the Rangers, when he allowed one run in seven innings. He's the second Astros pitcher to strike out at least nine with no walks within his first three games. This kids the real deal. Meanwhile, Jack Flaherty the Cards starter despite of pitching decently of late has not garnered a win since May 14 against the Braves and is fade material vs the Astros tonight. He is also just  1-2 with a 5.59 ERA over seven career interleague starts, including a 7.63 ERA over three appearances against the American League this season.Note: The Cardinals are 3-15 L/18 on the ML when Jack Flaherty starts and he threw more strike out than hits allowed in his last start.

I know the Cards have been hot, but playing against upper tier competition seems to ignite the Astros to playing their best ball.  

HOUSTON is 29-10 against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 15-1 against the money line in road games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons. HINCH is 19-6 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of HOUSTON with the average margin of victory coming by 3.1 rpg.

Play on the Houston Astros to win on the ML

When I first looked at this game, I was not sold on the Cubs with Hendricks on the hill as he has struggled a bit on the road this season. But after really running the numbers, my projections and power rankings say we do have some value here with the Cubbies vs the Brewers. Note: Hendricks despite of being winless in July still garnered a 3.60 ERA. In 20 career starts against Milwaukee, Hendricks is 8-6 with a 3.22 ERA. Meanwhile the Brewers starter Gio Gonzalez will make his second start since a stint on the injured list for left shoulder inflammation and in his first start after the injury threw just 74 pitches, and could easily experience rust. 

Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League Central.Cubs are 9-2 in their last 11 games following an off day. 

CHICAGO CUBS are 30-17  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. 

Brewers are 0-5 in their last 5 games following an off day.Brewers are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.MILWAUKEE is 2-9  against the money line revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less this season. 

MLB team (CHICAGO CUBS) - very good offensive team - scoring 5.0 or more runs/game on the season (NL), after scoring and allowing 5 runs or less last 4 games are 37-16 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML

BoSox starter Rick Porcello (8-7, 5.61 ERA, 87 SO)  just cant get himself in a groove . Though Porcello is 3-1 in his last five starts, he has a 10.57 ERA over that span. Porcello's last start against the Yankees was a rough outing on June 29 in London, when he retired just one batter and gave up six runs and Im betting against him and home side today vs the explosive Yankees. Meanwhile, Tanaka is undefeated in his L/7 starts, and is more than capable of getting us to the promised land here in this spot even though he will be backed by a tired bullpen. 

NY YANKEES are 28-8  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season

Yankees are 44-14 in their last 58 games vs. a right-handed starter.Yankees are 28-9 in their last 37 vs. a team with a winning record.

Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Red Sox are 1-6 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

Yankees are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML

Miles Mikolas(6-10, 4.17 ERA, 82 SO) gem got away from him on  Saturday against the Reds with a three-run seventh inning, but he threw six scoreless innings prior to that to continue his good start to the second half. He allowed just three hits before the seventh and struck out four and is rounding into top form and has momentum entering this game. Meanwhile, Musgrove his Pittsburgh pitching opponent, is off a strong effort last time out vs the Phillies, but that has proven to be a negative in the past, as the Pirates are just  5-15 in last 20 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.

MIKOLAS is 10-1 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Cardinals are 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Pittsburgh.Pirates are 0-4 in Musgroves last 4 starts vs. Cardinals.

PITTSBURGH is 1-13 against the money line in home games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season. 

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ST LOUIS) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or worse), playing on Thursday are 38-14 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on St.Louis to win on the ML

The Indians will send out right-hander Shane Bieber (9-3, 3.69 ERA) in the rubber match Wednesday against Blue Jays right-hander Marcus Stroman (6-10, 3.06). Stroman is the ace of the Blue Jays rotation, and won his last start , but that has not been a good omen for his team in his career as the following trend indicates. Note: The Blue Jays are 0-17 on the ML as a dog with Marcus Stroman when they won his last start.

TORONTO is 8-35 against the money line after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more this season which was the case .

Play on the Indians to win on the ML

Chris Bassitt 7-4, 3.96 ERA, 83 SO  The right-hander pitched well in a June 2 loss to Houston, holding the Astros to three runs over six innings and according to my power rankings matchup well vs the Astros batting order and offers substantial value as an underdog in this spot play. BASSITT is 6-0  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

The As found a way to win yesterday, and Im betting they stymie the Astros here.

Verlander the Astros starter  is top tier hurler but OAKLAND is 10-3 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70% over the last 2 seasons.

MLB team (HOUSTON) - average hitting team (AVG  .265 to .279) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or worse) -AL, with an on base percentage of .360 or better over their last 15 games are 17-46 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the As to win on the ML

The Yankees took it on the chin yesterday losing to the Twins in game 1 of this series, but they have proven resilient in the past  under the following perimeters. Note: The NY Yankees are 25-0 L/25 on the ML in the second game of a series when they allowed six-plus runs as a 110-plus favorite in the series opener which was the case yesterday in a 8-6 loss to the Twins in game 1 of this series.

D. German of the starter for the Yankees has won three straight starts since coming back from the injured list, giving up just three runs and striking out 18 batters in 18 innings pitched and is my choice to silence the Twins here tonight. Meanwhile, Twins starter Kyle Gibson allowed five runs at Yankee Stadium earlier this year, though three were unearned and according to my power rankings does not matchup well vs this current NYY batting order.

Yankees are 6-0 in Germans last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Yankees are 6-0 in Germans last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.Yankees are 5-0 in Germans last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.NY YANKEES are 41-14 against the money line after allowing 8 runs or more over the last 3 seasons. 

Twins are 0-7 in Gibsons last 7 starts vs. Yankees.Twins are 0-5 in Gibsons last 5 home starts vs. Yankees.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (NY YANKEES) - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season, after a loss by 2 runs or less are 73-22 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML

 Sampson the Rangers starter today 2-0 with a 3.18 ERA versus the Mariners in 2019, and according to my power rankings matches up well vs the Mariners inconsistent offence. Meanwhile, Mariners starter Gonzales allowed three runs or less in six straight starts before he was reached for six runs in six frames of a loss at Oakland on Tuesday, but Im betting he bounces back today and gets back to his usual consistent form.

Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games. Under is 13-3 in Rangers last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 Monday games.Under is 12-4 in Rangers last 16 during game 1 of a series.Under is 19-7 in Rangers last 26 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Under is 14-6-1 in Rangers last 21 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

TEXAS is 17-5 UNDER in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored. SEATTLE is 15-5 UNDER (+9.7 Units) in home games in July games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored. 

MLB eams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (TEXAS) - ice cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 20 games, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 45-17 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate!

Play UNDER 

CC Sabathia (5-4, 4.06 ERA, 77 SO) will make his 16th start of the season in the series opener on the road against AL Central-leading Minnesota. He has gone at least six innings in each of his last four outings and hasn't allowed more than three runs in any of them and gets my support here tonight in Minnesota. SABATHIA is 22-9 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.08 and a WHIP of 1.211. 

  Meanwhile, my power ranking suggest his pithing opponent form the Twins is over rated.Martin Perez (8-3, 4.10 ERA, 89 SO) Perez’s results finally caught up to his stellar hard-hit rate and exit velocity allowed Wednesday against the Mets, when he allowed two runs (one earned) on five hits in six frames before the defense and bullpen imploded in a blowout loss.

Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Twins are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.

NY YANKEES are 21-9  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.NY YANKEES are 26-7 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. SABATHIA is 21-8  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record).NY YANKEES are 19-4 against the money line when the total is 10 or higher this season. 

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML

Homer Bailey (8-6, 4.69 ERA, 87 SO) was sharp in his A’s debut, allowing just two runs over six innings in a win against the Mariners. The right-hander returns to his home state of Texas for a matchup with the Astros, whom he’s 4-0 against with a 1.46 ERA in eight career starts. Meanwhile, Astros starter Gerrit Cole (10-5, 3.12 ERA, 194 SO)has put himself in the American League Cy Young race, going 6-0 with a 2.11 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in his last 10 starts. He has struck out 94 batters in 64 innings in that span. Cole leads the Majors with 194 strikeouts and 13.47 strikeouts per nine innings.

COLE is 24-10 UNDER  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6 rpg scored. COLE is 24-10 UNDER  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 8.1 rpg scored.  HOUSTON is 23-11 UNDER  when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season for a combined average of 7.3 rpg going on the board.

OAKLAND is 9-1 UNDER in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better this season with a combined average 8.4 rpg scored.OAKLAND is 21-9 UNDER  vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 8 rpg scored. 

Under is 5-1 in Athletics last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 8-3 in Athletics last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 13-5 in Athletics last 18 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 5-2 in Athletics last 7 road games.Under is 10-4 in Athletics last 14 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Athletics last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Athletics last 7 games following a loss.

Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 overall.Under is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 on grass.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games following a win.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 vs. American League West.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 home games.Under is 39-17-2 in Astros last 58 Monday games. Under is 4-1 in Coles last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.

Play UNDER 

Atlanta starter Kevin Gausman (2-5, 6.21 ERA, 64 SO) will return from the injured list to make his first start since June 10. The veteran right-hander has spent the past couple weeks expanding his two-pitch mix with the development of a cutter and curveball and reports say hes come a long way and is my choice here tonight against the Nationals. Meanwhile, Nats starter Joe Ross (0-1, 11.05 ERA, 12 SO) to start Sunday’s series finale to pitch for the injured Austin Voth and Max Scherzer. Ross appeared in 17 games for Washington this year during a failed experiment as a reliever before being sent to Triple-A work as a starter again andvery much looks like cannon fodder here tonight in Georgia. Note:Ross is 1-2 with a 7.40 ERA in six games (five starts) against Atlanta. Current Braves hitters are 19-for-57 (.333) against him. 

Braves are 4-1 in Gausmans last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 9-3 in Gausmans last 12 home starts.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (WASHINGTON) - good offensive team (4.7 or more  runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or worse) (NL), after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games are 6-33 L/22 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML

Both these pitchers have not faired overly well vs current batting orders.  Washingtons batting order has gone 33-for-100 (.333) versus the Braves starter  Gausman and Braves hitters are 19-for-57 (.333) Nats starter against Ross.  Gausman's splits are better overall, but all in all both pitchers in tandem should support this total going over the total.

GAUSMAN is 8-1 OVER  vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record)  with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored. 

We have a high total attached to this game , but rightly so. It must be noted that the last six Sunday Night Baseball games with an over/under of 10 or higher have seen the OVER cash 6 straight times  season eclipsing the  number  by  3.3 rpg. (dating back 13 seasons)

Play on the OVER 

Marlins rookie starter Jordan Yamamoto(4-0, 1.59 ERA, 34 SO)is the third pitcher in franchise history to open his career with a streak of at least four wins. Yamamoto also has 34 strikeouts in 34 innings and WHIP of 0.94. He has not allowed more than four hits in any of his six starts and Im betting on his momentum to remain intact here today vs the Dodgers.Note: The southpaw owns a 34-to-17 strikeout-to-walk ratio with 15 hits allowed over 34 innings of quality work. , the dodgers top tier hurler,Walker Buehler (8-1, 3.44 ERA, 120 SO) had a ugly start and struggled early on Tuesday, allowing six runs (two earned) in the first two innings against the Phillies. He eventually bounced back and turned a nasty beginning into a quality start (two earned runs over six innings), while taking a no-decision.The Dodgers righty has garnered a 5-1 record along with a stingy 2.79 ERA over his last 12 outings and is more than capable of slowing down a very inconsistent Marlins offence .

Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 6-1 in Marlins last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-1-1 in Marlins last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 12-3-1 in Marlins last 16 road games.Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1-1 in Marlins last 6 games following a loss.Under is 5-2 in Marlins last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 9-4-1 in Marlins last 14 overall.Under is 9-4-1 in Marlins last 14 on grass.

Under is 5-2 in Dodgers last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Under is 7-3-1 in Dodgers last 11 during game 3 of a series.Over is 11-5-2 in Dodgers last 18 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-1-1 in Dodgers last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 home games.

BUEHLER is 10-1 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.7 rpg scored. BUEHLER is 9-1 UNDER in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6 rpg going on the board. BUEHLER is 14-4 UNDER at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.4 rpg clicking in on the scoreboard. 

MIAMI is 23-9 UNDER in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 7.3 rpg going on the board.MIAMI is 25-9 UNDER as a road underdog of +150 or more this season with a combined average of 7.3 rpg going on the board. 

Under is 4-1 in umpire Wegners last 5 games behind home plate.Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

Play UNDER

As starter Daniel Mengden (5-1, 4.21 ERA, 34 SO) has gone 5-0 in six starts since losing to Cleveland in his season debut, allowing fewer than two runs in four of the outings and more than three just once. Mengden picked up a win against the Twins on July 2 in Oakland despite allowing five runs over 5 2/3 innings the one time he struggled so far.  MENGDEN is 7-1  against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 in his career. (Team's Record) OAKLAND is 15-3  against the money line against AL Central opponents this season. MENGDEN is 8-0  against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

MINNESOTA has lost 12 of 18 games against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. 

 .Athletics are 44-11 in their last 55 vs. American League Central.Athletics are 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Athletics are 20-6 in their last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter.Athletics are 16-5 in their last 21 during game 4 of a series.Athletics are 21-7 in their last 28 road games.Athletics are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.Athletics are 7-3 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Athletics are 36-16 in their last 52 games on grass.Athletics are 38-17 in their last 55 overall.

PINEDA the Twins starter has pitched well of late as well but  is just 13-23  against the money line after giving up  2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings in his career. (Team's Record)

Athletics are 5-0 in Mengdens last 5 road starts.Athletics are 5-0 in Mengdens last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Athletics are 7-0 in Mengdens last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Athletics are 4-0 in Mengdens last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.Athletics are 6-1 in Mengdens last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Athletics are 5-1 in Mengdens last 6 starts vs. American League Central..Athletics are 4-1 in Mengdens last 5 starts during game 4 of a series.Athletics are 4-1 in Mengdens last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Athletics are 22-8 in Mengdens last 30 starts.Athletics are 21-8 in Mengdens last 29 starts on a natural surface.

Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 games on grass.Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 home games.Twins are 0-5 in their last 5 Sunday games.

Play on the Oakland As to win on the ML

Saturday, Philadelphia right-hander Zach Eflin (7-9, 4.16 ERA) is scheduled to face Pittsburgh righty Joe Musgrove (6-8, 4.31).

Pirates starter Joe Musgrove( .  6-8, 4.31 ERA, 90 SO ) is coming off an odd trip to the hill in which he worked only 4 2/3 innings on 104 pitches as the Cardinals annoyed him with foul balls. He's put together a 3.89 ERA with 39 strikeouts and seven walks in eight starts since the beginning of June and is up trending in my power rankings and gets the nod here today. Meanwhile, Phillies starting thrower Zach Eflin ( 7-9, 4.16 ERA, 88 SO) is 2-6 with a 5.73 ERA in his last 10 starts. He has allowed six or more runs in three of his last four starts. He was beaten up on  in a six-run fourth inning on Monday against the Dodgers.

Pirates are 4-0 in Musgroves last 4 home starts.

Phillies are 5-11 in the last 16 meetings in Pittsburgh.

Phillies are 2-11 in Eflins last 13 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Pirates are 9-2 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

PHILADELPHIA is 6-18 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. 

HURDLE is 12-3 against the money line when the total is 11 or higher as the manager of PITTSBURGH.

Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the ML

Jose Quintana (7-7, 4.21 ERA, 88 SO)  picked up a win vs. Pittsburgh on Sunday after logging a quality start (three runs in six innings). He has gone 3-0 with a 2.84 ERA in his past three appearances and gets my support here this afternoon vs the Fathers. The southpaw hurler has a 1-0 record against the Padres with a 2.77 ERA in two starts. Note: 

  CHICAGO CUBS are 21-6 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season.

SAN DIEGO is 1-7  against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season this season. 

CHICAGO CUBS are 28-9  against the money line in home games vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. 

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL are 63-19 L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML

Hyun-Jin Ryu 10-2, 1.78 ERA, 105 SOthe Dodgers starter tonight has bounced back nicely from his rocky June 28 outing at Coors Field, allowing just two earned runs over 13 innings in his last two starts (1.38 ERA). Aside from allowing seven runs to the Rockies, Ryu has allowed two earned runs or fewer in each of his 17 other starts. . The Marlins will counter with right-hander Zac Gallen (0-1, 4.24), who will be making his fifth career start. The rookie has never faced the Dodgers and is coming off an outing Saturday against the New York Mets when he gave up two runs on four hits over five innings in a no-decision and capable of slowing this Dodgers offence that is not acquainted with his decent stuff. 

Under is 8-3-1 in Marlins last 12 overall.Under is 8-3-1 in Marlins last 12 on grass.Under is 5-2-1 in Marlins last 8 during game 1 of a series.Under is 5-0-1 in Marlins last 6 road games.Under is 5-0-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Under is 7-3-1 in Dodgers last 11 Friday games.Under is 4-0 in Ryus last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-1 in Ryus last 5 home starts.Under is 16-5-2 in Ryus last 23 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 21-8-3 in Ryus last 32 starts with 4 days of rest.Under is 5-2 in Ryus last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.

Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 home games.Under is 5-0-1 in Dodgers last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

LA DODGERS are 9-1 UNDER in home games vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse this season with a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored.

MIAMI is 22-8 UNDER  in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored. 

Play UNDER

Wainwright  the Cards starter tonight against the Reds despite of pitching well of late   has struggled mightily in eight road starts, garnering a  1-5 record along with a highly bloated  6.20 ERA and according to my batting order vs pitching power rankings does not matchup well vs the Reds.  Meanwhile,Tyler Mahle the Red Starter (2-10, 4.82 ERA, 101 SO)  took the loss in his last start as he allowed a season-high-tying six earned runs against the Rockies in 4 1/3 innings of work . He did not look right in that game, and Im betting that effort extends into this tilt. In his L/7 starts he is 0-5 with a 5.80 ERA. 

WAINWRIGHT is 16-4 OVER vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) 

Over is 16-7-1 in Wainwrights last 24 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 5-2-1 in Cardinals last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Over is 4-1 in Wainwrights last 5 starts vs. Reds.

MAHLE is 9-1 OVER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 14.1 rpg scored.

Play OVER 

Rays starter Brendan McKay 1-0, 1.69 ERA, 13 SO in his  fourth career start comes after a seven-strikeout performance against Baltimore on July 13. In two of his three starts, he held the opposing lineup scoreless. Meanwhile, Pale Hose starter Lopez is 0-2 with a 9.58 ERA in two career starts against the Rays, with four home runs allowed in 10 1/3 innings.

Also after being swept by the Yankees in a double header yesterday to team will have a sense of urgency here and come out and play hard for us im betting vs a White Sox team on an ugly 7 game losing streak. 

MLB  favorites with a money line of -200 or more (TAMPA BAY) - excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season, after scoring 1 run or less are 465-3 L/5 seasons with the average run differential clicking in at 3.4 rpg which qualifies under my perimeters for a value run line selection in this spot play. 

Play on TB Rays on the RL -1.5

Danny Duffy 3-5, 4.64 ERA, lasted only two-plus innings on Friday against the Tigers after being struck by a line drive on the pitching hand. Duffy faced three more hitters -- all of whom reached -- before exiting with numbness in his left hand. He is said to be healthy, but Im betting he is still not 100%. Note:  Royals are 0-9 on the ML when Danny Duffy starts at home and he had a WHIP of at least two in his last start.

Meanwhile, Nova  despite of struggling earlier this season is up trending and could easily   have a strong second half Since posting a 7.42 ERA in his first nine starts, he has compiled a 4.14 ERA in his past 10 appearances and showed his abilities by blanking the Chicago Cubs in 5 2/3 innings on July 7 for a win. He gets my support here tonight. 

White Sox are 7-2 in Novas last 9 starts following a team loss in their previous game.White Sox are 7-2 in Novas last 9 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

KANSAS CITY is 4-16  against the money line after scoring 9 runs or more over the last 2 seasons which was the case in a 11-0 win last night. 

Royals are 17-59 in their last 76 during game 3 of a series.Royals are 6-21 in their last 27 games following a win.Royals are 0-7 in their last 7 Wednesday games.Royals are 2-5 in Duffys last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Royals are 2-5 in Duffys last 7 starts on grass.Royals are 2-5 in Duffys last 7 Wednesday starts.Royals are 9-23 in Duffys last 32 starts vs. American League Central.Royals are 4-12 in Duffys last 16 starts during game 3 of a series.Royals are 2-6 in Duffys last 8 starts.Royals are 1-4 in Duffys last 5 home starts.Royals are 0-4 in Duffys last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Royals are 0-4 in Duffys last 4 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance.Royals are 0-5 in Duffys last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the ML

Indians starter Mike Clevinger(2-2, 3.99 ERA, 46 SO)After a slow start coming off the injured list, Clevinger said he has felt more like himself on the mound in his past two outings. In that span, he's pitched to a 0.82 ERA with 15 strikeouts in 11 innings and in his current form will be a nightmare for Tigers hitters. Meanwhile,Spencer Turnbull(3-8, 3.59 ERA, 85 SO)Turnbull’s return from the injured list on Friday in Kansas City showed a rejuvenated arm , and is more than capable of at least slowing the Tribes offence here today to some extent , which Im betting translates into a combined score that remains on the low side of this total.TURNBULL is 10-3 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record)  with a combined average of 7 rpg scored. TURNBULL is 11-4 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored. 

CLEVELAND is 21-8 UNDER  in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored.CLEVELAND is 21-11 UNDER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season.

Under is 23-10-5 in Tigers last 38 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-0-1 in Turnbulls last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.Under is 3-0-1 in Turnbulls last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-0 in Turnbulls last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1-1 in Turnbulls last 7 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-1-1 in Turnbulls last 7 starts vs. American League Central.Under is 4-1-1 in Turnbulls last 6 starts on grass.Under is 4-1-1 in Turnbulls last 6 starts overall.Under is 4-1-1 in Turnbulls last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 8-2 in Turnbulls last 10 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 7-2 in Turnbulls last 9 road starts.Under is 3-1-1 in Turnbulls last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.

Under is 4-1 in Clevingers last 5 starts on grass.Under is 4-1-1 in Clevingers last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.Under is 4-1 in Clevingers last 5 starts overall.Under is 21-8-2 in Clevingers last 31 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 23-9-2 in Clevingers last 34 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 on grass.Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 vs. American League Central.Under is 7-2-1 in Indians last 10 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 3-1-1 in Indians last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 39-15-2 in Indians last 56 Wednesday games.Under is 7-3 in Indians last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Under is 35-16-1 in Indians last 52 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-1 in Indians last 6 home games.

Play UNDER 

Pittsburgh's Chris Archer (3-6, 5.42 ERA) is scheduled to face St. Louis' Daniel Ponce de Leon (1-0, 1.99) in a battle of right-handers.

Archer the Pirates starter had his best stuff in his second-half debut on Friday vs. the Cubs. He leaned on his four-seamer and slider to strike out a season-high 10 batters and comes into this tilt with momentum.Archer is 0-0 with a 2.20 ERA in three career starts against the Cardinals. Meanwhile, Cards starter Ponce de Leon gets another opportunity after allowing one run in 6 2/3 innings in an emergency start Friday against the D-backs. Note: Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 overall.Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 on grass.Under is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 vs. National League Central.Under is 8-2 in Cardinals last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-1-1 in Cardinals last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 11-3 in Cardinals last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 21-6-1 in Cardinals last 28 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 3-1-1 in Cardinals last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 15-5-1 in Cardinals last 21 games following a loss.Under is 20-7 in Cardinals last 27 home games.Under is 10-4-1 in Cardinals last 15 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 35-15-2 in Cardinals last 52 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 55-25-3 in Cardinals last 83 during game 3 of a series.Under is 5-0 in Ponce de Leons last 5 home starts.Under is 4-0 in Ponce de Leons last 4 starts vs. National League Central.Under is 7-1 in Ponce de Leons last 8 starts on grass.Under is 7-1 in Ponce de Leons last 8 starts overall.Under is 4-1 in Ponce de Leons last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

ST LOUIS is 16-7 UNDER  in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. ST LOUIS is 30-17 UNDER  at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. 

PITTSBURGH is 18-6 UNDER in road games after scoring 3 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons  with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. 

Play under 

LAA starterHeaney, who was the late Tyler Skaggs' best friend, is coming off an emotional outing in which he allowed two runs over five innings in Houston. His start began with a slow curveball to honor Skaggs and will prepared to honor his close friend again here vs Astros this evening. 

Angels are 9-4 in Heaneys last 13 home starts.

Note: Mike Trout is not 100% and suffering with a calf injury and may miss this game.

 MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (HOUSTON) - excellent power team (1.5 or more  HR's/game) against a starting pitcher who gives up 1or more HR's/start, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts are 17-35 for a go against 67% conversion rate.

Play on the LA Angels to win on the ML

Under rated Dario Agrazal(2-0, 2.81 ERA, 7 SO)has earned an extended look in the Majors, going 2-0 with a 2.81 ERA over 16 innings in his first three starts for the Pirates and is a viable underdog in this spot play.

The Cardinals are 0-8 on the ML when Jack Flaherty starts and they won in his last start against their opponent. St Louis was the favorite in five of the eight games as they are here tonight.Cardinals are alsoe 0-4 in Flahertys last 4 starts and are fade material here tonight against the Pirates. FLAHERTY is 4-9  against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)ST LOUIS is 4-15  against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more this season.

I know these teams are operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum of late with the Pirates on a 4 game losing streak and the Cards on a 3 game wining run, but all good a bad things must come to end, and thats what Im betting on here. Note: HURDLE is 31-19  against the money line in road games after 4 or more consecutive losses as the manager of PITTSBURGH.

MLB Road teams (PITTSBURGH) - with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 52-21 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the ML

Lynn has owned the Diamondbacks in his career. He is 6-0 with a 2.80 ERA in 12 career appearances (10 starts) vs. Arizona, including a victory in Phoenix this season. He gave up just one run in six innings on April 10 in a 5-2 victory and gets the nod again here this evening. Note: Rangers are also 5-0 in Lynns last 5 starts and he has garnered a minuscule 0.82 ERA in his L/3 starts overall. LYNN is 15-2 against the money line in home games after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) LYNN is 9-1 against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record) LYNN is 17-3 against the money line in home games in July games in his career. (Team's Record) 

Diamondbacks are 1-5 in their last 6 road games.Diamondbacks are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Diamondbacks are 0-9 in their last 9 Tuesday games.

Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the ML

The Yankees lost to the Rays yesterday but Im betting on a bounce back here behind veteran starting hurler CC Sabathia. When the Yanks have lost at home against Tampa, they are 11-1 L/12  in their follow up at  home  and when Sabathia has taken to the hill at Yankee Stadium off a team defeat the NYY have proven resilient going  14-3 on the ML. 

SABATHIA is 15-3  against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)NY YANKEES are 15-3  against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season.NY YANKEES are 26-6  against the money line after a game where their bullpen blew a save over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML

Two struggling young pitchers will attempt to get their teams off on a win column in the series opener when Braves left-hander Max Fried (9-4, 4.29 ERA) goes against Brewers righty Adrian Houser (2-3, 4.01). Despite of both hurlers struggling one hurler Fried has shown the abilities needed to win on the road as is evident ,by the following trends: Braves are 4-0 in Frieds last 4 starts vs. National League Central.Braves are 4-0 in Frieds last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 5-1 in Frieds last 6 road starts.

The Braves are 13-0 L/13 on the ML in the first game of a series with no rest as a favorite after a game in which they scored first.The Braves are 9-0 L/9 on the ML in the first game of a series with no rest as a favorite off a game as a favorite when their opponent's starter has an ERA of higher than 4.00 on the season., winning convincingly  by an average of 5.65 runs per game.
 

ATLANTA is 15-3  against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season. ATLANTA is 16-4 against the money line when the total is 10 or higher this season. 

MILWAUKEE is 3-10 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 7.00 or worse this season.

Brewers are 2-7 in their last 9 during game 1 of a series.Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 games on grass.Brewers are 2-10 in their last 12 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Brewers are 1-7 in their last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML

Norris  is in the midst of a  10-game winless stretch after giving up six runs on eight hits and three walks over five innings in a 7-5 loss at the Chicago White Sox on July 3. My power rankings suggest he will once again struggle against a up trending Tribe offence. Meanwhile, Plutko the Indians starter has gone three starts without a decision and did not complete five innings in any of them and also looks like cannon fodder in a game that Im betting goes over the set total.

Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 road games.Over is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 vs. American League Central.Over is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games following a win.Over is 7-2 in Tigers last 9 overall.Over is 7-2 in Tigers last 9 on grass.Over is 9-3-1 in Tigers last 13 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-2 in Tigers last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 10-4-3 in Tigers last 17 during game 1 of a series.Over is 11-5-2 in Tigers last 18 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 12-3-1 in Norris' last 16 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Over is 4-0 in Indians last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

Over is 36-14-2 in the last 52 meetings in Cleveland.

DETROIT is 16-7 OVER  as an underdog of +175 to +250 this season with the combined average of 10.6 rpg scored. 

Play OVER

The Giants starter Jeff Samardzija is set to start the first game for the Giants.

Samardzija (6-7, 4.01 ERA) is coming off seven shutout innings in a 1-0 win against the Cardinals on July 7 and enters this game up trending and pitching very well of late and value dog investment option this afternoon in Colorado vs a struggling Rockies side that has lost 7 of their L/9 overall.

Giants are 5-2 in Samardzijas last 7 road starts.Giants are 5-2 in Samardzijas last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.

Rockies are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Rockies are 2-7 in their last 9 overall.Rockies are 2-7 in their last 9 games on grass.Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a win.Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. National League West.

Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League West.Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 road games.Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Giants are 8-2 in their last 10 overall.Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Giants are 9-3 in their last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Giants are 8-3 in their last 11 during game 1 of a series.

MLB team (COLORADO) - hot hitting team - batting .333 or better over their last 3 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 0.800  or better over his last 3 starts are 17-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.  

Play on the SF Giants to win on the ML

 BoSox starter David Price(7-2, 3.24 ERA, 95 SO) beat the Dodgers twice in last year’s World Series, including in the decisive Game 5. He has carried that into 2019, leading the Boston rotation with a 3.24 ERA and gets my support here tonight in Fenway. 

RYU the Dodgers top tier starter  is just 3-12  against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. RYU is 1-10  against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  BOSTON is 11-1 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better over the last 2 seasons. 

PRICE is 17-3   against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Dodgers are 1-4 in Ryus last 5 starts vs. American League East.

LA DODGERS are 2-9 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

BOSTON is 13-1 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. 

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA DODGERS) - very good NL offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less), with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) are 19-40 L/22 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Home teams (BOSTON) - average AL hitting team (AVG  .265 to .279) against an excellent NL starting pitcher (ERA  2.70 or less) are 57-26 L/22 seasons  for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Boston Red sox to win on the ML

SF Giants starter Beede is coming off the best start of his nascent career after firing seven innings of one-run ball against the Padres on July 2 and Im betting he holds down the Brewers to limited production this afternoon. 

CHACIN the Brewers starter  is 31-19 UNDER  vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. MILWAUKEE is 24-12 UNDER as a home favorite of -150 to -200 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored during that 50 game sample size. 

Under is 7-0 in Chacins last 7 starts vs. National League West.Under is 5-1-1 in Brewers last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

MLB Road teams where the total is 10 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a winning team are 79-32 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

Play UNDER 

N. Syndergaard posted a 5.94 ERA with eight walks in 16 2/3 innings over his last three starts before the break and enters this game in struggling form and is fade material here tonight in Miami against a Marlins side that is 21-8  against the money line in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. 

NY METS are 17-35 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season.

Mets are 2-10 in their last 12 vs. National League East.Mets are 1-9 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.Mets are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.

Mets are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Miami.Mets are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.

Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the ML

Pittsburghs starting hurler Lyles surrendered season highs of seven runs, 10 hits and three homers against the Cubs in his final start before the break on July 4 in Pittsburgh. That ballooned his ERA from 3.71 to 4.36 and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well vs the Cubs.LYLES is 18-7 OVER when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.5 rpg scored in those 25 games.

Meanwhile, Lester lasted only two innings vs. the Pirates on April 8 due to injury and in my power rankings also suggest the Pirates matchup well against him.LESTER is 17-7 OVER  when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.3 rpg scored.LESTER is 24-11 OVER (+12.0 Units) in day games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)  with a combined average of 11.2 rpg scored in those 35 games. 

Over is 7-1-1 in Pirates last 9 games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 vs. National League Central.Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 21-5 in Pirates last 26 games following a loss.

Over is 18-7-1 in Pirates last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Over is 42-18-3 in Pirates last 63 overall.Over is 42-18-3 in Pirates last 63 on grass.Over is 9-4-2 in Pirates last 15 during game 2 of a series.

Over is 5-1 in Lesters last 6 starts with 6 days of rest.Over is 12-3-1 in Lesters last 16 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 6-2 in Lesters last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Over is 6-2-1 in Lesters last 9 starts on grass.Over is 18-6-2 in Lesters last 26 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 6-2-1 in Lesters last 9 starts overall.Over is 3-1-1 in Lesters last 5 home starts.Over is 20-7 in Lesters last 27 starts during game 2 of a series.

Play OVER 

Jon Gray (9-6, 3.92 ERA, 115 SO)Coors Field  does not seem to bother this viable Rokis hurler as  Gray maintained a 4-1 record and 3.35 ERA at home in eight games (seven starts). One key is his 44:17 strikeout-to-walk ratio at home. Jon Gray is 4-0 with a 4.37 ERA in four career outings against the Reds and gets the nod again in this spot at home. Note: The Rockies are 10-0 L/10 on the ML when Jon Gray starts as a home favorite when they lost his last start, winning by an average of 6.5 rpg. 

Reds starter the other GRAY is 1-8 against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

CINCINNATI is 4-19  against the money line in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons. 

COLORADO is 16-4  against the money line at home when the total is 12 to 12.5 over the last 2 season. 

Colorado is averaging 6.9 rpg at home this season while Cincinnati is averaging 4 rpg as visitors via a lowly .224 BA.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML