15* NBA Monday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Golden State Warriors -12

The Golden State Warriors are back to playing as well as they did in the first half of the season.  They are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games with wins by 15 at home over the Clippers, by 11 on the road at the Nuggets and by 13 at home over the Bucks.  And now they are expected to get Draymond Green back tonight.

The Washington Wizards are 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall.  They lost to the short-handed Clippers by 6, to the struggling Lakers by 13 and to the short-handed Blazers outright by 9 as 6.5-point favorites.  They won't be able to hang with the Warriors given their lack of talent on their current roster after the trade deadline.

Golden State is 7-0 ATS in its last seven home games following two straight wins by 10 points or more.  Washington is 0-7 ATS vs. Pacific Division opponents this season.  The Wizards are 5-18 ATS in non-conference games this season.  Washington is 16-35-2 ATS in its last 53 games overall.  Take the Warriors Monday.

20* NBA Monday No-Doubt Rout on Minnesota Timberwolves -3.5

The Minnesota Timberwolves are playing as well as anyone in the NBA right now.  They have gone 7-1 SU & 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall with six wins by 9 points or more.  They should be more than 3.5-point favorites against the lowly San Antonio Spurs tonight.

The Spurs are just 2-6 SU & 3-5 ATS in their last eight games overall.  They are coming off an upset home loss to the Indiana Pacers by double-digits and are dealing with a bunch of injuries right now.  The Timberwolves have their Big 3 healthy in Towns, Russell and Edwards and are a force when these three are on the court together.

Minnesota beat San Antonio 115-90 at home in their lone meeting this season.  The Timberwolves are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  The Spurs are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games as home underdogs.  San Antonio is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games vs. a team with a winning record.  Minnesota is 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings.  Bet the Timberwolves Monday.

15* NBA Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Orlando Magic +12.5

The Orlando Magic are one of the most underrated teams in the NBA right now. They are as healthy as they have been all season and starting to show what they are capable of with all of their young talent.

Indeed, the Magic are 5-3 SU & 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall. They are coming off two huge upset wins over the Pelicans are 8.5-point dogs and the Timberwolves as 8.5-point dogs. They also recently upset the Raptors on the road as 7-point dogs.

The Magic should not be catching 12.5 points from the 76ers tonight. Philadelphia is 1-3 ATS in its last four games overall with losses to Miami by 17 and Brooklyn by 29. The Magic will be playing with triple-revenge after losing all three meetings with the 76ers this season by 5, 10 and 13 points. They were competitive in all three and will give the 76ers a run for their money today in their 4th and final meeting. Roll with the Magic Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Detroit Pistons +4.5

The Detroit Pistons are the most underrated team in the NBA right now. They have gone 10-0 ATS in their last 10 games overall with six outright wins as underdogs. They've been competitive in all their losses, too.

I'll continue to back the Pistons today catching 4.5 points at home to the Los Angeles Clippers. The Clippers are 1-3 SU in their last four games overall with two losses by 23 points to the Knicks and by 15 points to the Warriors. Their lone win came by 6 points at home against Washington.

The Clippers cannot be trusted to go on the road and lay a number to a Pistons team playing this week. The Clippers are without George and Leonard and have been for a while, but they are also without a couple more key players in Norman Powell and Robert Covington. They don't have enough talent without these guys to be trusted on a nightly basis. Take the Pistons Sunday.

20* NBA Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Sacramento Kings +9.5

This is a very tough spot for the Utah Jazz today. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days. It's no wonder they lost outright to the Spurs last night and are just 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.

The Jazz should not be 9.5-point favorites against the Kings tonight given the spot. Asking them to win by double-digits to beat us is asking too much on tired legs. That's especially the case with the Kings rested and ready to go playing on two days' rest.

The Kings have played some of their best basketball on the road of late. They only lost by 1 at Dallas at the buzzer as 5-point dogs in their lsat road game. They upset the Spurs as 6.5-point road dogs in their previous road game. They are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games overall.

Sacramento is 6-0 ATS in its last six Saturday games. the Kings are 5-0 ATS in their last five games when their opponent allowed 100 points or more in their previous game. Sacramento is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games vs. a team with a winning record. The Jazz are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a loss. Bet the Kings Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Indiana Pacers +5.5

San Antonio just pulled the upset over the Utah Jazz yesterday to give Greg Popovich his record-setting win. Now they will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days. This is a clear letdown spot for the Spurs.

Meanwhile, the Pacers come in on three days' rest and will be by far the fresher team. The Pacers have been very competitive of late with only one loss by more than 10 points in their last 11 games. They can certainly hang with the Spurs given the spot.

San Antonio is 8-27 ATS in its last 35 home games following a win. Indiana is 19-7 ATS in its last 26 road games vs. Western Conference opponents. The Pacers are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 Saturday games. The Spurs are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS win. Indiana is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings, including 5-0 ATS in its last five trips to San Antonio. Take the Pacers Saturday.

15* NBA Friday No-Doubt Rout on Charlotte Hornets -1.5

The New Orleans Pelicans were playing well with four straight wins and covers and forming some chemistry with CJ McCollum and Brandon Ingram. They have gone 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS since.

The Pelicans blew a massive lead in a 130-138 loss at Denver to start the skid. They followed it up with a 111-132 loss at Memphis. And they capped it off with a 102-108 upset home loss to the Orlando Magic as 8.5-point favorites.

Things have gone from bad to worse for the Pelicans now. They will be without their two best players in Ingram (22.8 PPG, 5.7 RPG, 5.5 APG) and McCollum (22.2 PPG, 5.1 APG). They simply don't have enough talent on the roster to make up for the losses of their top two scorers.

This is a great time to 'buy low' on the Hornets after losing back-to-back games to two of the best teams in the East in Brooklyn and Boston. Now they face a team they can handle in the short-handed Pelicans and should do just that.

The Hornets are 24-10-1 ATS in their 35 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Charlotte is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games as a road favorite. Roll with the Hornets Friday.

20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on Detroit Pistons +14

The Detroit Pistons are 6-3 SU & 9-0 ATS in their last nine games overall. They have won six games outright as underdogs during this stretch and are the single-most underrated team in the NBA right now.

Now here they are catching 14 points against the Boston Celtics Friday. This is a Celtics team they just beat 112-111 as 12.5-point road underdogs on February 16th. The Celtics had their revenge in a 113-104 road win as 12.5-point favorites, but they needed a 4th quarter comeback to get it.

I fully expect Detroit to hang again in their 3rd meeting in less than a month. The Celtics are getting too much love due to winning four straight and 15 of their last 17 games overall. It's a great time to 'sell high' on them today.

Boston is 1-12 ATS vs. poor rebounding teams that get outrebounded by 3-plus boards per game this season. The Celtics are 9-25-1 ATS in their last 35 games following a win by more than 10 points. Bet the Pistons Friday.

15* NBA Friday Total DOMINATOR on Pistons/Celtics UNDER 216.5

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games. Well, the Pistons and Celtics will be meeting for a 3rd time since February 16th. It's safe to say these teams are very familiar with one another, and points will be hard to come by as a result.

The Pistons won 112-111 on February 16th for 223 combined points with a total set of 213. The Celtics won 113-104 on February 26th for 217 combined points and a total of 216.5. This 3rd meeting will be the lowest scoring yet and will stay UNDER this 216.5-point total.

Detroit is 18-4 UNDER in Friday games over the last two seasons. The UNDER is 4-0 in Pistons last four games overall. The UNDER is 8-2 in Celtics last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Take the UNDER in this game Friday.

20* NBA Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Raptors -1

I like the spot for the Toronto Raptors tonight. They will be highly motivated for a victory after losing three straight coming in.

The Raptors are rested and ready to go playing on two days' rest. A big reason for their struggles is they have been without their best player in Fred VanVleet, but he is expected to make his anticipated return tonight and makes all the difference for this team.

The Spurs are just playing out the string at 25-40 on the season. They aren't doing a very good job of it as they have gone just 1-4 SU in their last five games overall. They are a team that is going to be hard to trust to show up on a nightly basis the rest the way.

San Antonio is 8-26 ATS in its last 34 home games following a win. Toronto is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games following a loss. The Spurs are 0-6 ATS in their last six games as home underdogs. Bet the Raptors Wednesday.

15* NBA Western Conference ANNIHILATOR on Minnesota Timberwolves -14

The Minnesota Timberwolves have no problem beating teams by margin. They have cashed for me a couple games recently as roughly 14-point favorites. And I'm back on them again today.

The Timberwolves have won their last two meetings with the Thunder by 30 and 37 points. One of those a 138-101 win at Oklahoma City on March 4th just a few days ago. They have now won four straight games by 14 points or more coming in.

The Thunder are banged up right now playing without almost all of their key players with the exception of Gilgeous-Alexander, but he can't do it all. The Thunder are 0-3 in their last three games overall losing to the Timberwolves by 31, the Jazz by 13 and the Bucks by 27. Now they will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days after that loss to the Bucks last night.

Minnesota is a perfect 8-0 ATS in home games with a total of 230 or higher this season. The Timberwolves are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall. Minnesota is 7-1-1 ATS in its last nine games as a home favorite. Take the Timberwolves Wednesday.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Orlando Magic +6.5

The Orland Magic are playing some of their best basketball of the season right now.  They are 3-2 SU & 3-2 ATS in their last five games overall.  Their two losses were explainable as they lost to the Pacers in OT after beating them by 16 the game prior in a revenge spot.  And they lost on the road at Memphis in the 2nd of a back-to-back after upsetting Toronto on the road the night before.

Now the Magic are rested and ready to go coming in on two days' rest having last played on Saturday.  A big reason they are playing so well right now is they are as healthy as they have been in a long time, and this is a young team with a ton of talent.  They are forming chemistry with Cole Anthony, Franz Wagner, Wendell Carter Jr., Jalen Suggs, Gary Harris, Mo Bamba, Terrance Ross, Markelle Fultz and Chuma Okeke.  They will have all of these guys available tonight with the exception of perhaps Suggs, who is questioable.

The Suns are decimated by injuries right now that they cannot possibly overcome.  They are without three of their top five scorers in Devin Booker (25.6 PPG), Chris Paul (14.9 PPG, 10.7 APG) and Cameron Johnson (12.8 PPG).  It's no wonder they are just 2-3 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall with their only wins coming at home against the short-handed Blazers and the struggling Knicks on a buzzer-beater.  They should not be 6.5-point road favorites with these three guys out tonight.  Bet the Magic Tuesday.

15* NBA Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Cavs/Pacers OVER 222.5

The Indiana Pacers are a dead nuts OVER team.  They are 15-4 OVER in their last 19 games overall.  They have scored 112 or more points in 15 of those 19 games.  They have allowed 110 or more points in 18 of their last 21 games.

The Pacers are forming some chemistry with newcomers Tyrese Haliburton and Buddy Hield and now have Malcolm Brogdon healthy.  They are great on offense with these guys, but they remain terrible on defense and don't have a rim protector.  They rank 26th in defensive efficiency this season.

Speaking of rim protectors, the Cavaliers will be without center Jarrett Allen tonight.  That's a big blow for them defensively as Allen averages 10.8 rebounding and 1.3 blocks per game and is one of the best defenders in the NBA.  They will have to go small ball tonight, which will help us cash this OVER ticket.

These teams just played on February 11th with the Cavaliers winning 120-113  for 233 combined points.  The OVER is 6-0-1 in Cavaliers last seven games as road favorites.  The OVER is 6-0 in Pacers last six games as home underdogs.  The OVER is 20-6 in Pacers last 26 home games.  Take the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* NBA Monday No-Doubt Rout on Minnesota Timberwolves -14.5

The Minnesota Timberwolves are 12-4 SU & 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games overall and quietly playing some of the best basketball in the NBA right now.  They have won three straight by 14 points or more coming in and I think they win by 15-plus tonight against the Portland Trail Blazers.

They take on a struggling Blazers team that is getting blown out on a regular basis.  Indeed, the Blazers are 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall losing at home to the Warriors by 37, at home to the Nuggets by 32 and on the road to the Suns by 30 despite the Suns playing without both Chris Paul and Devin Booker.  They also lost to the Timberwolves by 14 last time out.

The problem for the Blazers right now is injuries and they might just be tanking.  They are without Damian Lillard, Nassir Little, Joe Ingles, Jusuf Nurkic, Josh Hart, Justise Winslow and Eric Bledsoe.  The only decent player they had healthy was Anfernee Simons, but he just suffered a quad injury against the Timberwolves and is out for this rematch.  He had 38 points in that game and they are going to be completely lost without him.

Portland is 1-11 ATS when playing 6 or less games in 14 days this season.  Minnesota is 7-0 ATS in home games with a total of 230 or higher this season.  The Timberwolves are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 home games.  Minnesota is 4-0 ATS in its last four home meetings with Portland.  Take the Timberwolves Monday.

25* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE YEAR on Detroit Pistons +7.5

The Detroit Pistons are 5-2 SU & 7-0 ATS in their last seven games overall.  I have been riding them for most of this streak, and I'm going to continue riding them tonight.  They are one of the most underrated teams in the NBA right now.  They are a young, talented team that is forming chemistry with Grant, Cunningham, Bey and Bagley all playing well.

The Pistons upset the Celtics as 12.5-point road underdogs, upset the Cavaliers as 6-point home underdogs, upset the Hornets as 10-point road underdogs, upset the Raptors as 8-point road underdogs and upset the Pacers as 3-point home underdogs.  They nearly beat the Celtics again as 12.5-point home underdogs and only lost to the Wizards by 3 as 3.5-point road underdogs.

Now the Pistons are catching 7.5 points at home against an Atlanta Hawks team that plays no defense.  The Hawks rank 27th in the NBA in defensive efficiency.  That's why they cannot be trusted to lay numbers like this, and it's also why they have been a huge disappointment this season with a losing record after making the Eastern Conference Finals last year.

Atlanta is 10-21 ATS in road games this season.  The Hawks are 1-8 ATS in road games after winning two of their last three games this season.  The Hawks are 18-42 ATS in their last 60 games following a road win by 3 points or less.  Atlanta is 1-6 ATS in its last seven road games.  Detroit is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games as an underdog.  Bet the Pistons Monday.

20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Pelicans/Nuggets UNDER 229

The New Orleans Pelicans are playing elite defense which has been key to their 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS run with four straight blowout victories.  They have allowed 102 or fewer points in all four games and an average of just 95.5 points per game.  This total is set way too high with how well they are playing defensively.

The Nuggets are a solid defensive team that has allowed 111 or fewer points in seven of their last nine games overall.  These are two teams that play at slow tempos too as the Pelicans rank 22nd in pace while the Nuggets rank 21st.  We've seen that play out in recent meetings between these teams.  

The UNDER is 7-1 in the last eight meetings as the Nuggets and Pelicans have combined for 226 or fewer points at the end of regulation in all eight meetings.  They have combined for 210, 218 and 221 points at the end of regulation in three meetings this season.  So this will be their 4th meeting this season, and familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.

The UNDER is 9-1-1 in Pelicans last 11 road games.  The UNDER is 7-0 in Pelicans last seven games vs. a team with a winning record.  The UNDER is 6-0 in the last six meetings in Denver.  Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday.

20* 76ers/Heat NBA No-Brainer on Miami -1.5

The Miami Heat are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games overall with their lone losses coming to the Mavericks by 8 at home and the Bucks by 1 on the road.  They managed to beat the Nets and Kevin Durant without Jimmy Butler and PJ Tucker.  Both should be back tonight after resting on the 2nd of a back-to-back in that game.

While the Heat come in on one days' rest, the 76ers will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a comeback 125-119 home win over the Cleveland Cavaliers as 7.5-point favorites last night.  Now they have to travel to Miami and will be a tired team playing their 3rd game in 4 days.  Joel Embiid, Tobias Harris, Tyrese Maxey and James Harden all played more than 35 minutes last night.

Miami is 4-1 SU & 3-1-1 ATS in its last five home meetings with Philadelphia.  The Heat are 20-5 ATS after going under the total in their previous game this season.  Miami is 24-7 ATS vs. poor pressure teams that force 13 or fewer turnovers per game this season.  The Heat are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Take the Heat Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Minnesota Timberwolves -13.5

The Minnesota Timberwolves will have no problem putting away the Portland Trail Blazers by 14-plus points to cover this big number Saturday.  The Timberwolves will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, but they were allowed to rest their starters in the 4th quarter due to their 138-101 blowout of the Thunder.  They could get Anthony Edwards back tonight as well.

Either way, the Timberwolves should roll tonight and still be fresh after having two days off prior to that Thunder game.  They take on a struggling Blazers team that is getting blown out on a regular basis.  Indeed, the Blazers are 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall losing at home to the Warriors by 37, at home to the Nuggets by 32 and on the road to the Suns by 30 despite the Suns playing without both Chris Paul and Devin Booker.

The problem for the Blazers right now is injuries and they might just be tanking.  They are without Damian Lillard, Nassir Little, Joe Ingles, Jusuf Nurkic, Josh Hart, Justise Winslow and Eric Bledsoe.  The only decent player they have healthy right now is Anfernee Simons, and he cannot carry this team by himself.

Portland is 1-10 ATS when playing 6 or fewer games in 14 days this season.  The Blazers are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following a loss.  The Timberwolves are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as favorites, including 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games as home favorites.  Portland is 1-5 ATS in its last six trips to Minnesota.  Roll with the Timberwolves Saturday.

15* NBA Friday UPSET SHOCKER on New Orleans Pelicans +4.5

The New Orleans Pelicans have been a different team since the All-Star Break.  They are starting to form chemistry with newcomer CJ McCollum along with Brandon Ingram and Jonas Valanciunas.  They are coming off three of their best games of the season and are fully capable of upsetting the Jazz tonight.

Indeed, the Pelicans are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall.  They beat the Suns 117-102 as 6.5-point road dogs, the Lakers 123-95 as 1-point road dogs and the Kings 125-95 as 6.5-point home favorites.  They will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days tonight so they'll be rested and ready to go.

The Utah Jazz just needed overtime to beat the Rockets last time out as 15-point favorites.  They squeaked by the short-handed Suns by 4 and the Mavericks by 5 while also getting upset by the Lakers by 5 in their last four games.  They are vulnerable right now, and I expect the Pelicans to upset them at home, but we'll take the points for some insurance.

Utah is 5-16-1 ATS in its last 22 Friday games.  The Jazz are 8-21-2 ATS in their last 31 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.  New Orleans is 8-1 ATS in its last nine Friday games.  The Pelicans are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall.  Take the Pelicans Friday.

15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on Oklahoma City Thunder +9.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder have gone 35-17-4 ATS in their last 56 games overall.  They have been a consistent money maker this season no matter who has been in the lineup.  They overcame injuries in a 129-125 win at Indiana as an 8-point dog and a 119-107 win at Denver as a 14.5-point dog in two of their last three games.

The Minnesota Timberwolves should not be 9.5-point road favorites over the Thunder tonight.  They were 9-point home favorites and 5.5-point road favorites in their first two meetings this season, so we are getting some value with the Thunder.  And it's worth noting the Timberwolves will be without Anthony Edwards (21.4 PPG), who scored 24 and 22 points in those two meetings with the Thunder earlier this season.

Oklahoma City is 20-8 ATS when playing with double revenge and two straight losses against an opponent this season.  The Timberwolves are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games.  The Thunder are 23-8-3 ATS in their last 34 games following an ATS win.  Oklahoma City is 5-0-1 ATS in its last six games following a win by more than 10 points.  Roll with the Thunder Friday.

20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Orlando Magic +8.5

I faded the Raptors last night with the Pistons +9 in their outright upset.  I'm fading the Raptors again tonight in this 2nd of a back-to-back and their 6th game in 9 days as this will be their third 2nd of a back-to-back situation since the All-Star Break.

It's safe to say the Raptors are fatigued right now and it's showing in their play.  They are just 2-3 SU & 1-4 ATS since the break with blowout losses by 32 to the Hornets and by 27 to the Hawks as well as that upset loss to the Pistons.  They also only beat the short-handed Nets by a single point as 9-point favorites.  Their only win and cover also came against the short-handed Nets.

The Magic have been much more competitive since the break in going 2-1 SU & 2-1 ATS with their only loss coming to the Pacers in OT after beating the Pacers by 16 the game prior, so it was a letdown spot for them.  They also beat the Rockets by 8 as 3.5-point favorites.  And while the Magic are mostly healthy, the Raptors are without OG Anunoby (17.5 PPG, 5.5 RPG) and could be without Fred VanVleet (21.4 PPG, 6.9 APG) again tonight.

Toronto is 1-7 ATS in its last eight home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.  The Raptors are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  The Magic are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss.  Toronto is 0-7 ATS in home games vs. poor teams that are outscored by 3-plus points per game this season.  Bet the Magic Friday.

20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on Detroit Pistons +9

The Detroit Pistons are 3-2 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall.  They have upset wins at Boston as 12-point dogs, at home against Cleveland as 5-point road and on the road at Charlotte as 10-point dogs.  They only lost by 9 as 12.5-point dogs in the rematch with the Celtics and by 3 at Washington as 3.5-point dogs.

I like the talent on this Detroit team and they are one of the few teams with a poor record that shows up every night, which has made them a money maker for me and my clients and other backers alike here down the stretch.  I'm certainly grabbing the 9 points with them with how poorly the Raptors are playing right now.

Indeed, the Raptors are 3-4 SU & 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall.  They lost to the Pelicans by 30, the Hawks by 27 and the Hornets by 32.  They only beat the Nets by a single point as 8-point favorites last time out, and that was a Nets team missing all their key players.  They do have a win at Minnesota, but the Timberwolves were playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and they were not.  Both Fred VanVleet (21.4 PPG, 6.9 APG) and OG Anunoby (17.5 PPG, 5.5 RPG) are questionable for the Raptors tonight.

The Pistons simply own the Raptors.  They have gone 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings with five outright upsets as underdogs with three of those wins coming by 14 points or more.  Detroit is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 trips to Toronto.  The Raptors are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.  Detroit is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing 5 or fewer games in 14 days.  Bet the Pistons Thursday.

15* NBA Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago Bulls PK

I like the spot for the Chicago Bulls tonight.  They had won six straight before running into two of the best teams in the NBA in losses to the Grizzlies and Heat in their last two games.  Now they have had the last two days off and will be rested and ready to go, plus motivated to get back on track.

They take on a struggling Atlanta Hawks team that is 5-7 SU & 5-7 ATS in their last 12 games overall.  The Hawks are without John Collins, and they could be without Trae Young, who suffered an ankle injury in their 98-107 loss to the Celtics on Tuesday.  He was able to return, but he was limping and not the same after coming back in.  He will still be hobbled even if he decides to play tonight.

The Bulls simply own the Hawks.  They have gone 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their three meetings with Atlanta this season with two wins by double-digits.  It should be more of the same tonight and I know the Bulls won't be overlooking them since they are coming off two straight losses.

Chicago is 40-18-1 ATS in its last 59 games as a favorite.  The Bulls are 36-16-1 ATS in their last 53 games vs. a team with a losing record.  Chicago is 6-1-1 ATS in its last eight games following an ATS loss.  Atlanta is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  The Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as underdogs.  Chicago is 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings.  Take the Bulls Thursday.

15* NBA Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Utah Jazz -13

The Houston Rockets are 0-10 SU & 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  They have lost 14 of their last 15 as well.  You just can't trust them to show up on a nightly basis, and that's especially the case tonight given this horrendous spot for them.

The Rockets will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 4th game in 6 days.  They just lost 100-113 at home to the Clippers last night, and now I expect them to get routed by the Utah Jazz just as they have been twice already this season.  They Jazz have beaten them by 34 at home and by 31 on the road in two of their three meetings this season.

Utah is playing some of its best basketball of the season right now since getting Rudy Gobert back from injury to go along with Donovan Mitchell.  The Jazz are fully healthy and dangerous.  They are 8-1 SU & 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games overall.  They are also rested and ready to go coming in on two days' rest after last playing on Sunday.

The Jazz are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games following a SU win.  Utah is 4-0 ATS in its last four trips to Houston.  The Rockets are 21-53 ATS in their last 74 games following a loss by more than 10 points.  Houston is 16-44 ATS in its last 60 home games.  The Rockets are 0-6 ATS in their last six games playing on zero rest.  Houston is 1-9 ATS in home games off a home loss this season.  Take the Jazz Wednesday.

20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Indiana Pacers -1

The Indiana Pacers are starting to form some chemistry with the newcomers in Tyrese Haliburton, Buddy Hield and company.  They have been competitive in six of their last seven games only once losing by double-digits.  They played close games against Cleveland, Minnesota and Milwaukee and also beat Boston outright by 21.

Of course, the Pacers followed up that upset win over the Celtics by losing 103-119 in Orlando the next night in a predictable letdown spot on the 2nd of a back-to-back.  Now the Pacers get their shot at revenge on the Magic here just two days later, and I expect them to get it.

Malcolm Brogdon rested in that 2nd of a back-to-back but is expected to be back in the lineup tonight.  He leads the team in scoring at 18.5 points per game and also averages 5.8 assists and 5.1 rebounds per game.  He and Haliburton will make a formidable duo in the backcourt for the Pacers the rest the way provided they are healthy and playing together.

Orlando is 10-26-1 ATS in its last 37 home games.  The Magic are 19-47-3 ATS in their last 69 games as home underdogs.  Indiana is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 trips to Orlando.  The Magic are 0-8 ATS in after covering three of their last four ATS this season.  I'll gladly back the more motivated Pacers tonight at basically a pick 'em price.  Bet the Pacers Wednesday.

15* NBA Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Clippers/Rockets UNDER 229

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games, and boy are the Clippers and Rockets familiar with one another right now.  This will be their 3rd meeting in two weeks tonight and they will be playing each other for a 2nd consecutive time and their 3rd time in 4 games.

The first meeting was a shootout as both teams played little defense just wanting to get to the All-Star Break in a 142-111 win by the Clippers.  But they came back for just 197 combined points on Sunday in a 99-98 win by the Clippers.  That game was played at a much slower tempo, and this one will be too.

Plays on the UNDER on road teams with a total of 220 to 229.5 (LA Clippers) - after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 38-13 (74.5%) over the last five seasons.

The UNDER is 6-0-1 in Clippers last seven road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.  The UNDER is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Houston.  Take the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

20* Hawks/Celtics TNT No-Brainer on UNDER 227.5

This total has been inflated due to the Celtics going over the total in five straight and the Hawks going over the total in three of their last four and seven of their last 10.  There's definitely value with the UNDER tonight.

That's especially the case considering familiarity favors defense and low scoring games, and the Hawks and Celtics will be meeting for the 2nd time in just over two weeks here.  Boston won 105-95 for just 200 combined points on February 13th with a total of 223.  Now they have set the total even higher in the rematch, which makes zero sense.

In fact, the UNDER is 3-0 in the last three meetings with combined scores of 200, 198 and 209 points.  All three meetings took place this season, so this will be the 4th and final meeting.  Again, familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.

Boston ranks 23rd in pace while Atlanta ranks 16th.  Boston ranks 2nd in defensive efficiency, making them a great UNDER candidate moving forward.  The Hawks have been much better defensively since Clint Capela has been available.  The UNDER is 12-5 in Celtics last 17 games as home favorites.  Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

15* NBA Monday PLAY OF THE DAY on Bulls/Heat UNDER 224.5

The Miami Heat and Chicago Bulls have the two best records in the Eastern Conference.  First place is on the line tonight when the Bulls travel to face the Heat.  I usually look to back the UNDER in this big games between two of the top teams in the NBA because the intensity level is higher, thus the defensive effort is stronger.

Recent head-to-head history also favors the UNDER in a big way.  Indeed, the Bulls and Heat have combined for 215 or fewer points in six consecutive meetings.  They have also combined for 224 or fewer points in 11 consecutive meetings, making for an 11-0 system backing the UNDER pertaining to this 224.5-point total.

Kyle Lowry will be out for the Heat tonight, which will hurt them on offense as he runs the show.  Look for the Heat to slow it down a lot and run the offense through Jimmy Butler, which will help our UNDER.  The Heat have been a much better defensive team since getting Butler and Bam Adebayo back healthy to go along with PJ Tucker.  Those are three of the best defenders in the NBA today.  They have allowed 111 or fewer points in nine of their last 10 games overall.

The UNDER is 13-6-1 in Bulls last 20 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  The UNDER is 4-1 in Bulls last five games overall.  Plays on the UNDER in all teams where the total is 220 or higher (Miami) - a well rested team playing 4 or less games in 10 days in a game involving two good teams that win between 60% & 75% of their games are 111-47 (70.3%) since 1996.  Roll with the UNDER in this game Monday.

20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Indiana Pacers +8.5

I faded the Boston Celtics yesterday with success and I'm fading them again today for many of the same reasons.  The Celtics are now 6-0 in their last six road games while outscoring opponents by a combined 157 points.  They set an NBA record in their five-game road winning streak outscoring opponents by 148 points.

Simply put, the Celtics are overvalued on the road right now after making history.  They are also a tired team playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd road game in 4 days.  That's going to make it hard for them to go on the road and put Indiana away by 9-plus points, which is what it is going to take to cover this inflated number.

The Pacers will be playing just their 2nd game since the All-Star Break.  They formed some chemistry over the break with their new players in Tyrese Haliburton and Buddy Hield joining a now healthy Malcolm Brogdon and company.  They have been competitive in five straight games as all five were decided by 9 points or fewer, and they will be competitive tonight given the poor spot for the Celtics.

Indiana is 9-1-1 ATS in its last 11 games after allowing more than 125 points in its previous game.  Bet the Pacers Sunday.

20* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK on Detroit Pistons +11.5

The Detroit Pistons have won outright as underdogs in their last two games and I've been on them for both.  They beat the Celtics 112-111 as 12.5-point road underdogs and the Cavaliers 106-103 as 6-point home underdogs.  I'm certainly backing them again here catching 11.5 points against the Celtics at home this time around.

Oddsmakers have only adjusted this game a single point.  The Pistons go from being 12.5-point road dogs on February 16th in Boston to 11.5-point home dogs in the rematch.  Keep in mind they were also 10-point home dogs to the Celtics when they lost by 9 and covered on February 4th earlier this month as well.

Simply put, the Celtics are getting too much respect from oddsmakers due to a 5-0 run on the road in which they have set an NBA record by outscoring opponents by a combined 148 points.  It is an incredible run, but now it's time for us to take advantage of this publicity and take the value with the Pistons at home today.

Boston is 1-11 ATS in its last 12 games vs. poor rebounding teams that get outrebounded by 3-plus boards per game.  The Celtics are 11-25 ATS in their last 26 games when revenging a loss as a favorite.  Boston is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games after scoring more than 125 points in its previous game.  The Celtics are 8-24-1 ATS in their last 33 games following a win by more than 10 points.  Detroit is 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings, including 4-0 ATS in the last four home meetings.  Bet the Pistons Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Celtics/Pistons UNDER 216.5

I always like backing NBA UNDERS in morning/early afternoon games.  Players aren't use to playing at these early start times, and they tend to be sleep walking through these games.  This is a 12:10 EST start time in Detroit this afternoon as the Pistons host the Celtics.

But what I really like about this UNDER bet is the Celtics and Pistons are very familiar with one another.  In fact, it will be their 3rd meeting since a 102-93 road win by the Celtics on February 4th for just 195 combined points.  Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games, and these teams met against in the final game prior to the All-Star Break.  They combined to make 29-of-62 from 3-point range in that game and combined for 223 points and that's not going to happen again.

Boston is a great UNDER team because they rank just 24th in pace this season and 2nd in defensive efficiency.  They are 12th in offensive efficiency and struggle on that end at times.  They face a Pistons team that ranks 29th in offensive efficiency.

The UNDER is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings in Detroit.  The UNDER is 13-3 in Celtics last 16 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.  The UNDER is 38-18-1 in Celtics last 57 games following a win by more than 10 points.  Take the UNDER in this game Saturday.

15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on New Orleans Pelicans +7.5

The Phoenix Suns beat the Thunder 124-104 last night, but it was much closer than the final score would indicate.  It was a single-digit game in the closing minutes before a huge run by the Suns to put the game away.  That was a short-handed, terrible Thunder team as well.

Now the Suns will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after four of their five starters played at least 30 minutes last night.  They are without Chris Paul and Cameron Payne, their top two points guards.  They won't be better off in the long run without these two, and certainly not in this 2nd of a back-to-back situation.

The Pelicans went into the break playing some of their best basketball of the season.  They went 5-4 SU in their final nine games.  They made the trade for CJ McCollum, and he is teaming up well with Brandon Ingram and Jonas Valanciunas to make them far from pushovers here down the stretch.  Herbert Jones and Jaxson Hayes are also two underrated players for the Pelicans that are playing well.

Phoenix is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 home games after covering four or five of its last six against the spread this season.  New Orleans is 6-0 ATS in its last six road games.  Take the Pelicans Friday.

20* Heat/Knicks ESPN No-Brainer on Miami -5

The Miami Heat are 0.5 games behind the Chicago Bulls for first place in the Eastern Conference.  They have put themselves in this position despite battling injuries to key players all season.  But now they are as healthy as they have been in a long time and it's starting to show with their play on the court.

Indeed, the Heat are 6-1 SU in their last seven games overall with four wins by double-digits.  They should make easy work of the struggling New York Knicks, who are just 3-13 SU & 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games overall with eight losses by 9 points or more.

The Kemba Walker signing did not work as he has now been ruled out for the rest of the season and not because of an injury, but because of chemistry issues.  They are also without Derrick Rose and could be without both RJ Barrett and Nerlens Noel.

The Heat simply own the Knicks.  They have gone 8-1 SU & 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings with seven of those wins coming by 6 points or more.  This is clearly a terrible matchup for the Knicks, and it will continue to be tonight with who they are missing and how healthy the Heat are coming out of the break.

Miami is 44-21 ATS in its last 65 games when playing on three or more days' rest.  The Heat are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games as road favorites.  The Knicks are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  Miami is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 road games following a win by 6 points or less.  Bet the Heat Friday.

20* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Chicago Bulls -3

The Chicago Bulls are tied for 1st in the Eastern Conference coming out of the All-Star Break despite battling through injuries.  They come out of the break healthier with both Zach LaVine and Ayo Dosunmu expected to play as well as new acquisition Tristan Thompson.

The Bulls went into the break on a five-game winning streak without LaVine thanks to the play of DeMar DeRozan, who has made a great case for MVP this season.  They also got great play from Coby White and Nikola Vucevic.  With these three plus LaVine healthy coming out of the break, the Bulls are a force.

The Atlanta Hawks have been a huge disappointment this season at 28-30 after making the Eastern Conference Finals last year.  They continue to get too much respect from the books here coming out of the break as only 3-point road underdogs.  The Hawks are 11-17 SU & 10-18 ATS on the road this season.

Atlanta is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.  Chicago is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 home games.  The Bulls are 27-10 ATS in their last 37 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  Chicago won 131-117 at home and 130-118 on the road in its two previous meetings with Atlanta this season.  Bet the Bulls Thursday.

20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on Detroit Pistons +7

The Detroit Pistons are fully healthy coming out of the All-Star Break.  They are going to be a sneaky competitive team down the stretch and went into the break with an upset road win at Boston as 12.5-point underdogs.

The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the surprise of the NBA this season at 35-23 SU & 34-22-2 ATS.  The word is out on them now and you aren't going to get many bargains backing the Cavaliers moving forward.

Injuries have caught up with the Cavaliers as they lost their final two games going into the break.  Now they come out of the break missing their most important player in All-Star Darius Garland (20.3 PPG, 8.0 APG) along with key acquisition Caris LeVert (18.2 PPG).  Those are their two leading scorers currently.

Cleveland is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games vs. poor offensive teams that score 108 or fewer points per game in the 2nd half of the season over the last two seasons.  The Cavaliers are 16-40-2 ATS in their last 58 games following an ATS loss.  Cleveland is 2-5-1 ATS in its last eight road games.  Bet the Pistons Thursday.

15* NBA Thursday PLAY OF THE DAY on Heat/Hornets UNDER 226.5

This will be the 3rd meeting between Miami and Charlotte this season.  Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games, and I look for these teams to struggle to score points tonight just as they have in their first two meetings this season.

Miami beat Charlotte 114-99 for just 213 combined points in their first meeting back on October.  Then they just met a few weeks ago with Miami winning 104-86 on the road for just 190 combined points on February 5th.  There's no way this total should be set as high as 226.5 points tonight given those two results.

Miami recently got Bam Adebayo back from injury and he's one of the best defenders in the NBA.  That has been on display of late as the Heat have allowed 100 or fewer points in four of their last six games overall while going 5-1 during that stretch.  He makes all the difference for this team defensively.

The Hornets have been held to 109 or fewer points at the end of regulation in seven of their last nine games overall and are struggling on that end.  The UNDER is 6-3 in their last nine games overall and would be 7-2 if not for an OT game against Minnesota last time out that was tied 108-108 at the end of regulation.

The UNDER is 23-9 in the last 32 meetings in Charlotte.  The UNDER is 12-3 in Hornets last 15 games as underdogs.  The UNDER is 5-1 in Hornets last six home games.  The UNDER is 7-0 in Hornets last seven Thursday games.  Take the UNDER in this game Thursday.

15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Pistons +12.5

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Detroit Pistons.  They are 0-8 SU & 1-7 ATS in their last eight games overall.  But they have been through the gauntlet against mostly playoff teams during this stretch.

Their lone cover came in a 93-102 home loss to the Boston Celtics on February 4th.  Now they will be out for revenge from that defeat, and I really like their chances of staying within this inflated number given the terrible spot for the Celtics.

It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Celtics, who are have won nine consecutive games coming in.  That includes their blowout road win at Philadelphia last night.  Now the Celtics will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 4th game in 6 days.  They will be without Marcus Smart, who was injured against the 76ers.  They could also be without Robert Williams, who is questionable with a calf injury.

Boston is 0-8 ATS in its last eight games following two consecutive covers as a favorite.  The Celtics are 1-10 ATS vs. poor rebounding teams that get outrebounded by 3-plus boards per game this season.  Boston is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games after scoring more than 125 points in its previous game.  The Pistons are 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.  These four trends combine for a 32-2 system backing Detroit tonight.  Roll with the Pistons Wednesday.

20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Orlando Magic +6.5

The Atlanta Hawks are just 2-4 SU & 2-4 ATS in their last six games overall.  That includes 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their three road games during this stretch with losses at Toronto by 11, at Dallas by 9 and at Boston by 10.  They also lost by 15 at home to the Spurs during this stretch.  Their two wins both came at home against the Pacers and Cavaliers.

Now the Hawks will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 4th game in 6 days after a 124-116 home win over the Cavaliers last night.  All five starters played more than 30 minutes last night, so they won't have much left in the tank for the Orlando Magic tonight.

The Magic are as healthy as they have been in a long time and are playing competitive basketball.  Each of their top nine scorers are healthy right now.  They have gone 3-3 SU in their last six home games with upset wins over the Mavericks and Bulls.  They are prepared to give the Hawks a run for their money at home here tonight given the spot.

Atlanta is 10-17 SU & 9-18 ATS on the road this season.  The Hawks are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games.  The Magic are 5-1 ATS in their last six games when playing on one days' rest.  Bet the Magic Wednesday.

20* Celtics/76ers TNT No-Brainer on UNDER 210.5

Two teams that prefer to play at slow tempos square off tonight when the Boston Celtics visit the Philadelphia 76ers.  The 76ers rank 26th in pace this season while the Celtics rank 21st.  Both teams get after it defensively as the Celtics rank 2nd in defensive efficiency while the 76ers rank 8th.

Familiarity favors defense and low-scoring games.  Well, this will be the 4th and final meetings between the Celtics and 76ers tonight.  These teams combined for 210, 211 and 175 points in their first three meetings this season.

The Celtics have really been shutting teams down defensively.  They have allowed 108 or fewer points in 11 consecutive games, including 97 or fewer in nine of those.  The 76ers have held their last two opponents to 93 and 87 points, respectively.  They have scored 103 or less in four of their last six contests.

Philadelphia is 8-1 UNDER off a home win by 10 points or more this season.  Boston is 11-3 UNDER as a road favorite this season.  The UNDER is 19-7 in 76ers last 26 games as underdogs.  Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

15* NBA Monday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Oklahoma City Thunder +8.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been one of the most undervalued teams in the NBA all season.  They are 34-16-3 ATS in their last 53 games overall.  They continue to remain competitive despite some injuries throughout the season and of late.

The Thunder should not be catching 8.5 points on the road to the New York Knicks.  The Knicks are 3-11 SU in their last 14 games overall and coming off a bad 103-112 loss to the short-handed Blazers.  They are also just 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.

Injuries are starting to add up for the Knicks as they are without Derrick Rose and RJ Barrett, and they could be without Cameron Reddish, Mitchell Robinson and Nerlens Noel, who are all questionable.  They have no business laying 8.5 points tonight given their current state.

Oklahoma City is 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in its last six meetings with New York.  The Thunder are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games.  Oklahoma City is 7-0 ATS in road games with a total of 200 to 209.5 this season.  The Thunder are 10-1 ATS in road games vs. Eastern Conference opponents this season.  New York is 3-14 ATS in its last 17 games vs. teams that score 104 points per game or fewer.  Roll with the Thunder Monday.

20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Detroit Pistons +4.5

The Detroit Pistons have been through the gauntlet.  They have lost seven straight games with each of the last six coming against playoff contenders.  It's a great time to 'buy low' on them as they take a big step down in class here against the New York Knicks.

The Pistons are healthy right now and have talent.  Jerami Grant and Cade Cunningham are both healthy.  They get Marvin Bagley III from the Kings and he should contribute the rest of the way and is probable tonight.  The only key player they are missing is 5th-leading scorer Frank Jackson (10.9 PPG).

The Wizards were sellers at the trade deadline and probably cannot be trusted much the rest of the way.  Bradley Beal is out with a season-ending injury, and they traded for Kristaps Porzingis, who remains out with a knee injury.  Daniel Gafford is out as well.  I think the Pistons have the better talent when comparing the current players available tonight.

Washington is 2-15-1 ATS in its last 18 games overall.  The Wizards are 0-8 ATS in their last eight home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  Take the Pistons Monday.

15* Hawks/Celtics ABC ANNIHILATOR on Atlanta +7.5

It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Boston Celtics.  They have gone 9-1 SU in their last 10 games overall against a pretty weak schedule.  The one loss?  A 92-108 road loss against these Atlanta Hawks.

I like the Hawks catching 7.5 points in the rematch.  They won't be taking the Celtics lightly after going 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS in their last four games overall.  And they simply have owned the Celtics in recent meetings.

Indeed, the Hawks are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in the last three meetings with wins by 15, 11 and 16 points.  The Hawks are also 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  Atlanta is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games playing on one days' rest.  The Celtics are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as home favorites.  Take the Hawks Sunday.

20* NBA Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Raptors -3.5

The Toronto Raptors are 8-0 SU & 8-0 ATS in their last eight games overall and playing their best basketball of the season.  All eight wins have come by 4 points or more, including four straight wins by double-digits.  Toronto is also 23-6 ATS in its last 29 games overall.

The Raptors are rested and ready to go after having yesterday off.  The same cannot be said for the Nuggets, who will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back following a 102-108 loss in Boston last night.  The Nuggets are now 0-3 SU in their last three road games with all three losses by 4 points or more.

Home-court advantage has been big in this series as the home team is 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings with all five wins coming by 8 points or more.  The Nuggets are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games playing on zero rest.  Denver is 9-19 ATS in its last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  Toronto is 9-0 ATS in its last nine home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  Take the Raptors Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on New York Knicks -4.5

The Portland Trail Blazers just traded away all of their top players outside of Damian Lillard and Anfernee Simons.  They traded away Norman Powell and CJ McCollum among others.  They are clearly punting on this season after a stretch in which they have gone 1-6 SU & 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall with four losses by 14 points or more.

The Knicks stood pat at the deadline and like their team.  They are coming off an impressive 116-114 win as 9.5-point road underdogs at Golden State.  They will be highly motivated to cap off this five-game road trip with one final victory here at Portland against the short-handed Blazers tonight.

The Knicks are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as favorites, including 4-1 ATS in their last five games as road favorites.  New York is 5-1 ATS in its last six meetings with Portland.  Roll with the Knicks Saturday.

20* NBA Friday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago Bulls -3

This is a tough spot for the Minnesota Timberwolves.  They will be playing their 3rd road game in 4 days after an upset loss in Sacramento last time out.  The injury report is ugly for the Timberwolves with Russell, Edwards, Beverly, Prince, Reid and Okogie all questionable.

The Bulls have Zach LaVine and Coby White back now to go along with DeRozan and Vucevic.  With these four healthy, they can beat anyone.  The Bulls went on the road and topped the Hornets 121-109 last time out Wednesday and now should cover as only 3-point home favorites against the Timberwolves tonight.

Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is 8-1 SU & 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings.  The Timberwolves are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games.  The Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games.  Chicago is 24-9 ATS in its last 33 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  The Bulls are 36-17-1 ATS in their last 54 games as favorites.  Take the Bulls Friday.

15* Bucks/Suns TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on UNDER 233.5

This total has been inflated because both the Bucks and Suns have been going over the total with regularity here of late.  The Bucks are 5-1 over in their last six games, while the Suns are 4-1 over in their last five games.  So we are getting some value with the UNDER tonight because of that.

The Bucks and Suns are familiar with one another after meeting in the NBA Finals last season.  This will be their first meeting this season, and I think that familiarity will lead to a low-scoring game.  I also like taking UNDERS in games between two of the top teams in the NBA because they are more motivated to win and play harder defensively.

Five of the six meetings between Milwaukee and Phoenix in the NBA Finals saw 226 or fewer combined points.  The UNDER is 37-18-2 in Bucks last 57 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Plays on the UNDER on all teams where the total is 230 or higher (Milwaukee) - off a road win, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 52-15 (77.6%) since 1996.  Plays on the UNDER on all teams where the total is 210 or higher (Phoenix) - a hot team having won 12 or more of its last 15 games against another hot team that has won eight or more of their last 10 games are 44-13 (77.2%) over the last five seasons.  Take the UNDER in this game Thursday.

20* NBA Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Washington Wizards -2.5

The Brooklyn Nets are broken right now.  They are 0-9 SU & 1-8 ATS in their last nine games overall with seven losses by double-digits.  That includes five straight losses by double-digits, and their last three losses have come by 35, 20 and 23 points, respectively.

The problem for the Nets is they are missing almost all their key players.  Kevin Durant, Joe Harris, James Harden, Paul Millsap and LaMarcus Aldridge are all out tonight.  Nicolas Claxton is questionable.  They will have Kyrie Irving since this is a road game, but it won't be enough to get them a win in Washington.

The Wizards are pretty much fully healthy outside of Bradley Beal.  I like the talent on this team overall and the depth.  They are better even without Beal than the Nets are without all the guys they are missing.  And the Wizards come in rested and ready to go playing on two days' rest and just their 3rd game in 8 days.  This is a big step down in clash for Washington after their last five games have come against the Grizzlies, Bucks, 76ers, Suns and Heat.

Plays on home favorites (Washington) - after a loss by 10 points or more against an opponent that is off four straight losses by 10 points or more are 32-10 (76.2%) ATS since 1996.  Brooklyn is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games following two consecutive losses by 10 points or more.  The Nets are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 trips to Washington.  Roll with the Wizards Thursday.

15* NBA Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Nets/Wizards OVER 217.5

Two teams that aren't getting many stops of late square off in the Brooklyn Nets and Washington Wizards.  This is a pretty low total for two teams that don't get stops and like to push the pace.

The Nets are 0-9 SU in their last nine games overall while allowing 110 or more points in eight of those nine losses.  They will get Kyrie Irving back for this game, but that only helps the OVER because he is a big plus on offense and a big negative on defense.

Washington has allowed 109 or more points in seven of its last nine games overall.  The offense has been held in check but a lot of that has been the competition.  They take a big step down in class here against the Nets and should hang a big number.

The Nets and Wizards just combined for 237 points in a 119-118 Brooklyn victory on January 19th in the first and only meeting this season.  In fact, the Wizards and Nets have combined for 219 or more points in five of their last six meetings and 219 or more points in eight of their last 10 meetings as well.

Brooklyn is 11-2 OVER in road games with a total of 210 to 219.5 over the last two seasons.  The Nets are 17-5 OVER in their last 22 games following three consecutive losses by 10 points or more.  Brooklyn is 10-1 OVER in its last 11 road games vs. poor 3-point shooting teams that make 33% or less.  The OVER is 5-0 in Wizards last five games as home favorites.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* Warriors/Jazz ESPN No-Brainer on Utah -1

The Utah Jazz are playing much better since getting Donovan Mitchell back from injury, which is no surprise.  The Jazz are 3-0 SU & 2-0-1 ATS in their last three games overall.  They come in rested and ready to go playing just their 2nd game in 5 days tonight.

Now the Jazz want revenge on the Warriors after dropping each of the first two meetings with them this season.  But Mitchell missed their 92-94 road loss at Golden State on January 23rd in their last meeting.  Having him back and playing at home will make all the difference tonight.

The Warriors are getting a lot of respect due to their current nine-game winning streak.  But it has come against weak competition with the Rockets (twice), that 2-point win over the Mitchell-less Jazz, the Mavericks, the Timberwolves, the Nets, the Spurs, the Kings and the Thunder.  This is their toughest test in nearly a month.

The Warriors will be without Draymond Green, Klay Thompson and Andre Iguodala tonight and could be without Kevon Looney.  Utah is 21-10 ATS in its last 31 home games following a home game.  Bet the Jazz Wednesday.

15* NBA Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Pistons +11.5

The Detroit Pistons have been feisty despite their poor record.  They are just 2-8 SU but 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games overall as they have been a difficult team to get margin on.  And I fully expect them to stay within 11.5 points of the Mavericks as they have only lost two of their last 10 games by more than 11 points.

This is the ideal letdown spot for the Mavericks.  They are coming off two straight huge home wins over the Philadelphia 76ers and Atlanta Hawks.  But remember, they were upset by the Thunder as 12-point home favorites and by Orlando as 5-point road favorites in their previous two games.  They will have a hard time getting margin here in this letdown spot.

Detroit is a perfect 8-0 ATS after failing to cover the spread in three of its last four games this season.  Dallas is 5-15 ATS in its last 20 games as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points.  The Pistons are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games following an ATS loss.  Detroit is 4-1-1 ATS in its last six trips to Dallas.  Bet the Pistons Tuesday.

15* NBA Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Celtics -7.5

The Boston Celtics are playing their best basketball of the season right now.  They are 7-1 SU in their last eight games overall with six of those wins coming by 9 points or more.  Now they should crush the short-handed Brooklyn Nets tonight.

The Nets are 0-8 SU & 1-7 ATS in their last eight games overall with six of those losses coming by double-digits.  Not only are they without Kevin Durant, but they are also without Joe Harris, Paul Millsap, LaMarcus Aldridge and Kyrie Irving.  They could also be without James Harden, who is questionable with a nagging hamstring injury.

Brooklyn is 5-19 ATS in all home games this season.  The Nets are 0-8 ATS in home games after playing a road game this season.  It's a bad spot as they return home following a five-game road trip and will be playing in their 5th different city in eight days.  Take the Celtics Tuesday.

15* NBA Monday PLAY OF THE DAY on Golden State Warriors -12.5

The Golden State Warriors have won eight consecutive games coming in.  They will be motivated to keep this winning streak alive, and they shouldn't have much trouble against the short-handed Oklahoma City Thunder tonight.

The Warriors are rested and ready to go coming in on three days' rest having last played on Thursday.  They take on an Oklahoma City team that is just 4-13 SU in their last 17 games overall.  Of course, the Thunder are so short-handed right now it has been hard for them to even be competitive.

Oklahoma City is without Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jeremiah Robinson-Early, Aaron Wiggins and Mike Muscala right now.  They could also be without Luguentz Dort, who is questionable.  They don't have the horses to even keep this game competitive against the Warriors tonight.

Golden State is 8-1 ATS vs. horrible offensive teams that score 104 or fewer points per game this season.  They are winning by 17.9 points per game in this spot.  The Warriors are 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.  They have won five straight meetings with the Thunder with four of those wins coming by 21 points or more.  Bet the Warriors Monday.

15* NBA Eastern Conference ANNIHILATOR on Orlando Magic +9.5

It's time to 'sell high' on the Boston Celtics today.  They have gone 6-1 SU & 4-3 ATS in their last seven games overall against a pretty easy schedule.  Now they find themselves laying 9.5 points on the road to the Orlando Magic.  Asking them to win by double-digits to beat us is asking too much.

The Magic have been feisty of late as they have gotten healthy.  They have gone 3-2 SU & 3-2 ATS in their last five games overall with their only losses coming to Memphis and Boston.  This line is adjusted too much for the Magic having to play the 2nd of a back-to-back after a home loss to Memphis last night.

But the Magic had two days off prior to that Memphis game.  They got blown out by 20 so they could rest their starters in the 4th quarter against a Grizzlies team that is playing as well as anyone.  And there won't be any travel involved as they remain at home.  The Magic will have plenty left in the tank to stay within 9.5 points of the Celtics today.

Boston is 0-10 ATS vs. poor rebounding teams that get outrebounded by 3-plus boards per game this season.  The Magic are 5-0 ATS in their last five Sunday games.  Take the Magic Sunday.

20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on Detroit Pistons +12

I love the spot for the Detroit Pistons today.  They will be out for revenge from a 117-128 home loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves on Thursday.  Now they get to face them just three days later in a rematch and will be clearly the more motivated team in this one.

I fully expect the Timberwolves to take the Pistons lightly, which is going to make it difficult for them to cover this massive 12-point spread.  Minnesota is getting a lot of love lately due to going 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall.  It's time to 'sell high' on them.

The Pistons have been quietly a great team to back for weeks.  They are 6-3 ATS in their last nine games overall.  They just got their best player in Jerami Grant back from injury, and they could have Cade Cunningham back today.  Either way, they have enough to keep this game competitive given the quick revenge spot.

Minnesota is 0-8 ATS in its last eight home games when playing against a team that wins 25% or less of their games on the season.  The Timberwolves are 1-9 ATS in home games vs. poor offensive teams that score 108 or fewer points per game this season.  Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last five trips to Minnesota.  This number has gotten out of hand today.  Bet the Pistons Sunday.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Washington Wizards +9

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Washington Wizards.  They have gone 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games overall.  Now they are catching 9 points at home against the Phoenix Suns, which is simply too much.

The Wizards flashed their potential last time out winning 106-103 as 10.5-point road underdogs at Philadelphia.  They previously lost road games against the Grizzlies and Bucks, so they have been through the gauntlet.  Now they are back home here after three straight on the road.

This is a terrible spot for the Phoenix Suns.  They just had their 11-game winning streak snapped with a 115-124 road loss at Atlanta as 4-point favorites.  I always like fading teams the game after their winning streak comes to an end because they tend to be flat in this spot.  I think that will be the case for the Suns, and asking them to win by double-digits to beat us is asking too much.  Take the Wizards Saturday.

15* 76ers/Mavericks ESPN ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 212.5

The Philadelphia 76ers and Dallas Mavericks are two great UNDER teams.  They both play at slow tempos as the Mavericks rank 27th in pace while the 76ers rank 26th.  These are also two of the best defensive teams in the NBA as the Mavericks rank 5th in defensive efficiency while the 76ers are 9th.

Injuries will help us cash this UNDER as well as the Mavericks are without Kristaps Porzingis and Tim Hardaway Jr, while Philadelphia is without Frank Korkmaz and could be without Seth Curry, who is questionable.

The UNDER is 3-0 in the last three meetings between the Mavericks and 76ers with combined scores of 208, 208 and 200 points.  The UNDER is 7-0 in 76ers last seven games as road underdogs.  The UNDER is 19-7 in 76ers last 26 games as underdogs overall.  The UNDER is 36-14-1 in Mavericks last 51 home games.  The UNDER is 10-2 in Mavericks last 12 games as home favorites.  Dallas is 11-1 UNDER in home games after playing a home game this season.  Take the UNDER in this game Friday.

20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Pelicans/Nuggets UNDER 225

Familiarity favors defense and low-scoring games.  The Pelicans and Nuggets just played on January 28th with Denver winning 116-105 on the road.  Now they face a week later here and are clearly familiar with one another.  These teams were tied 105-105 at the end of regulation for 210 combined points in their first meeting this season as well.

The UNDER is 9-4 in Pelicans last 13 games overall.  They have combined with their opponents for 225 or fewer points in 11 of their last 13 games.  They have been a great UNDER bet all season because they rank 20th in pace and 25th in offensive efficiency.  The Nuggets rank 22nd in pace.

New Orleans is 8-0 UNDER as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season.  The UNDER is 24-9 in Pelicans last 33 games as road underdogs.  The UNDER is 6-0 in Pelicans last six games vs. a team with a winning record.  The UNDER is 8-1 in Nuggets last nine vs. a team with a losing record.  The UNDER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.  The UNDER is 5-0 in the last five meetings in Denver.  Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

20* NBA Friday No-Doubt Rout on Charlotte Hornets -4.5

The injuries are piling up for the Cleveland Cavaliers.  They've already been without Collin Sexton (16.0 PPG) and Ricky Rubio (13.1 PPG, 6.6 APG).  But now they are without Darius Garland (19.8 PPG, 8.2 APG) and Lauri Markkanen (13.6 PPG, 5.3 RPG), too.  They don't have a true point guard right now and it is hurting them.

The Cavaliers are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall.  Now they have to travel to face an improved Charlotte Hornets team that could be back to full strength tonight with Gordon Hayward upgraded to questionable.  They have enough to win and cover against the Cavaliers with or without Hayward.

The Hornets are 9-5 SU & 9-5 ATS in their last 14 games overall.  Charlotte is 8-1 ATS in its last nine home games after losing two of its last three games.  The Hornets are 10-0 ATS when playing against a team that wins 51% to 60% of their games this season.  Charlotte is 18-5 ATS in its last 23 games vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the Hornets Friday.

15* NBA Thursday PLAY OF THE DAY on Toronto Raptors -3.5

The Toronto Raptors are fully healthy right now and playing some of their best basketball of the season.  They are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall with wins over the Heat (twice) and the Hawks on the road.

Now the Raptors want revenge from a 105-111 road loss at Chicago on January 26th just over a week ago.  But the Raptors were playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 125-113 home win over Charlotte the previous night.  The Bulls had the previous day off and were in a great spot, and I cashed in the Bulls as 3.5-point favorites in that game.

Chicago has been shaky in its last three road games.  The Bulls lost outright as 3.5-point favorites 95-114 at Orlando.  They went on to beat Oklahoma City 111-110 as 1.5-point road favorites.  And they lost 122-131 at San Antonio as 1-point road dogs in their last game away from home.  This is a much stiffer test for them tonight.

Toronto is 26-10 ATS in its last 36 games following a win by 6 points or fewer.  The Bulls are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine road games.  The Raptors are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games.  Toronto is 8-0 ATS in its last eight home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  Roll with the Raptors Thursday.

20* Grizzlies/Knicks ESPN No-Brainer on Memphis -3.5

Nobody is playing better than the Memphis Grizzlies right now.  They are 16-4 SU & 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games overall.  They are coming off an upset loss at Philadelphia in overtime.  Well, the Grizzlies are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games off a loss and haven't dropped two in a row since before Christmas.

They will get back on track tonight against a struggling New York Knicks team that is just 2-6 SU in thier last eight games overall with their only wins coming against the lowly Kings and Clippers at home.  When they have stepped up in competition they have been crushed with four of their last six losses coming by double-digits to the Bucks, Heat, Pelicans and Hornets.

The Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss.  Memphis is 6-0 ATS in its last six games vs. a team with a losing record.  The Grizzlies are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 road games.  The Knicks are 1-7 ATS in their last eight home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  Bet the Grizzlies Wednesday.

20* NBA Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Detroit Pistons -2

The Detroit Pistons have quietly gone 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall and have been a money maker for weeks. The betting public wants nothing to do with this team, providing us value to continue backing them.

I especially like the spot for the Pistons tonight. They are rested and ready to go playing just their 3rd game in 7 days. They are coming off a 115-105 upset home win over the Cleveland Cavaliers as 7.5-point dogs. They also recently upset the Raptors as 9-point dogs and the Jazz as 11-point dogs at home.

This is a terrible spot for the New Orleans Pelicans. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 4th game in 5 days after a 90-93 road loss at Cleveland last night. They are banged up right now with several key players questionable, making the spot even worse.

The Pelicans are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 road games. The Pistons are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games. Bet the Pistons Tuesday.

20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Warriors/Rockets OVER 229

The Houston Rockets are the perfect team for OVERS.  They rank 1st in pace this season and 30th in defensive efficiency.  Golden State also likes to push the tempo ranking 9th in pace.  And the Warriors are without arguably their three best defenders in Draymond Green, Otto Porter Jr. and Andre Iguodala tonight.

The Rockets and their opponents have combined for 230 or more points in 11 of their last 15 games overall.  The Warriors have gotten their offense going in scoring 130 against the Mavericks, 124 against the Timberwolves and 110 against the Nets in their last three games coming in.  They will likely hang 120-plus on the Rockets to lead the way to cashing this OVER ticket.

Plays on the OVER on all teams where the total is 220 or higher (Golden State) - off two or more consecutive home wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 26-3 (89.7%) over the last five seasons.

The OVER is 21-8 in Rockets last 29 games overall.  The OVER is 13-3 in Rockets last 16 home games.  Take the OVER in this game Monday.

15* NBA Monday Undervalued Underdog on Memphis Grizzlies +3.5

The Memphis Grizzlies are playing better than any other team in the NBA right now.  They are 16-3 SU & 15-4 ATS in their last 19 games overall.  And here they are catching points again tonight to the Philadelphia 76ers.  Look for them to win this game outright.

While the Grizzlies have done their damage against a brutal schedule in the West, the 76ers have had the luxury of a much softer schedule during their recent run of 14-3 SU in their last 17 games overall.  They are the team getting respect for their run unlike the Grizzlies.  The wrong team is favored here.

Memphis crushed Philadelphia 126-91 at home in their lone meeting this season.  The Grizzlies are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in the last three meetings also winning 116-100 in their lone trip to Philadelphia.  Memphis is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 road games.  Roll with the Grizzlies Monday.

15* NBA Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Spurs/Suns UNDER 228

The San Antonio Spurs have decided to rest three of their top four scorers in Dejounte Murray (19.4 PPG, 9.1 APG), Derrick White (14.2 PPG, 5.7 APG) and Jakob Poeltl (13.2 PPG) tonight.  The losses of Murray and White will really hamper them offensively and points will be hard to come by.

Now they will be up against a Phoenix Suns team that ranks 2nd in the NBA in defensive efficiency this season.  The Suns are big favorites, so there's a good chance this one gets out of hand by the 4th quarter and we don't have to sweat the foul game.  The Suns also have some key defenders upgraded to questionable today in Ayton, McGee and Crowder that would help the UNDER if they played.

The Suns aren Spurs have combined for 228 or fewer points in each of their last three meetings.  The UNDER is 7-0 in Spurs last seven games following an ATS win.  The UNDER is 13-5-2 in Spurs last 20 games as road underdogs.  The UNDER is 8-1 in Suns last nine games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.  Roll with the UNDER in this game Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Pistons +8.5

I've made a lot of money off the Cleveland Cavaliers this season.  But the verdict is out on them now, and they are starting to be overvalued.  That's definitely the case today as they are 8.5-point road favorites over the Detroit Pistons, which is out of control.

The Cavaliers are in a big letdown spot here off their upset home win over the Milwaukee Bucks last time out.  They are getting too much respect after winning eight of their last nine games overall.  In their last six road games, they have only won once by more than 5 points.

Now they take on an undervalued Detroit Pistons team that is 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.  The Pistons are rested playing just their 2nd game in 5 days here.  They will give the Cavaliers a run for their money tonight.

The Cavaliers are 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing record.  The Pistons are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games.  Detroit is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 games following an ATS loss.  Take the Pistons Sunday.

20* Nets/Warriors ABC No-Brainer on OVER 230.5

We have both James Harden and Kyrie Irving listed as probable tonight for the Nets.  They are an OVER team when these two are in the lineup because they are elite on offense and terrible on defense.  Then you have the two best defenders out for the Warriors in Draymond Green and Andre Iguodala.  So this game sets up as an OVER.

The Warriors are really clicking right now with Curry, Thompson, Poole and Wiggins all healthy.  They followed up a 130-point performance against a good Mavericks defense with 124 points against the Timberwolves last time out.

The Nets are also on fire on that end right now.  They have scored 117 points or more in four of thier last five games.  But they are atrocious defensively, allowing 112 or more points in 12 of their last 15 games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Dallas Mavericks -9.5

The Dallas Mavericks are rolling right now having gone 12-3 SU & 10-5 ATS in their last 15 games overall with nine wins by double-digits.  They will rack up another one today considering they are rested and ready to go while the Indiana Pacers are not.

Indeed, the Mavericks come in on two days' rest after beating the Blazers 132-112 on the road Wednesday.  The Pacers will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 113-110 (OT) win at Oklahoma City last night.  It will also be the 7th game in 11 days for the Pacers.

If playing the 2nd of a back-to-back off an OT game isn't bad enough, the Pacers are short-handed right now.  They are playing without Malcolm Brodgon and Myles Turner and could be without both Goga Bitadze and Chris Duarte, who have both been downgraded to questionable after both suffered injuries last night.  This is too tough of a spot for the Pacers to even keep this game competitive tonight.  Roll with the Mavericks Saturday.

15* NBA Friday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Chicago Bulls ML -105

The Chicago Bulls just got Zach LaVine back and DeMar Derozan is back from resting.  Now they have these two to go along with Nikola Vucevic.  They are still missing some role players, but as long as they have these three healthy they are a dangerous team.

They should be favored over a San Antonio Spurs team that is in rebuilding mode.  The Spurs are just 4-13 SU & 6-11 ATS in their last 17 games overall despite being mostly healthy during this stretch.  The four wins came against the Rockets, Thunder, Clippers and Celtics.

A big reason for the Spurs' struggles is they are tired right now playing their 15th game in 25 days.  San Antonio is 0-6 ATS in its last six games vs. a team with a winning record.  Roll with the Bulls on the Money Line Friday.

20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Celtics/Hawks OVER 218

The Atlanta Hawks are finally at full strength right now after being without guys all season.  It's no surprise they have gone 5-0 SU & 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games overall while playing their best basketball of the season.

The Hawks have gotten back to being an offensive juggernaut.  They have scored at least 110 points in all five games.  In fact, they have scored at least 108 points in 13 of their last 15 games overall.  They will hang a big number on the Celtics tonight.

Boston is also playing well scoring at least 102 points in six straight including 116 points against the Wizards and 128 points against the Kings in back-to-back victories.  They are basically at full strength as well after battling injury all season.

The Celtics and Hawks have combined for at least 219 points in five of their last six meetings.  They have combined for at least 218 points in eight of their last 10 meetings as well.  The OVER is 11-5-1 in the last 17 meetings.  The OVER is 5-0 in Celtics last five games as underdogs.  The OVER is 5-0 in Hawks last five Friday games.  Take the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Timberwolves/Warriors TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 228.5

The Minnesota Timberwolves are an offensive juggernaut when De'Angelo Russell, Karl-Anthony Towns and Anthony Edwards have all been on the court at the same time.  It's no wonder they are playing their best basketball of the season right now with these players all healthy for several weeks now.

Indeed, the Timberwolves are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games overall.  They have been winning with offense, scoring at least 108 points in nine consecutive games while averaging 123.0 points per game in those nine games.  They have allowed 107 or more points in seven of their last eight games, so they are not doing it with defense.  The OVER is 7-2 in their last nine games overall.

The Warriors are missing their two best defenders in Draymond Green and Andre Iguodala.  They have had to play more small ball, and they got their offense going last time out by scoring 132 points against Dallas.  With an lineup that boasts Curry, Thompson, Poole and Wiggins, the Warriors are definitely a potent offensive team that cannot be held back for long.

The OVER is 5-0 in the last five meetings in this series with combined scores of 233 or more points in four of those five.  The OVER is 6-0 in Timberwolves last six games vs. a team with a winning record.  The OVER is 9-1 in Timberwolves last 10 games following an ATS loss.  The OVER is 40-19 in Timberwolves last 59 games as road underdogs.  Roll with the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* NBA Eastern Conference ANNIHILATOR on Chicago Bulls -3.5

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Chicago Bulls.  They have been banged up and have gone just 2-6 SU & 3-5 ATS in their last eight games overall.  But they are getting healthier now as Zach LaVine just returned last game, and DeMar DeRozan will be back after resting last game against the Thunder.

While the Bulls had yesterday off, the Raptors will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 125-113 home win over the Hornets last night.  It will also be the 8th game in 13 days for the Raptors, which is a very difficult spot.  The fatigue is stating to show as the Raptors are 3-5 SU in their last eight games overall.  They could be without two of their best players in Fred VanVleet and Scottie Barnes, who are both questionable and they may be wise to rest them.

The Bulls are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings with the Raptors.  Chicago is 20-7 ATS in the last 27 meetings.  Toronto is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games following a win by more than 10 points.  Take the Bulls Wednesday.

20* NBA Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Orlando Magic ML -105

This is a great spot for the Orlando Magic and a terrible one for the Los Angeles Clippers.  The Magic will be playing on two days' rest after last seen beating the Bulls 114-95 at home on Sunday.  They will be rested and ready to go tonight against the Clippers.

The Clippers just completed a remarkable comeback last night down 30 at halftime to the Wizards and won 116-115 after a 3-pointer at the buzzer on an And-1.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 11th game in 18 days.

Making the spot even more difficult for the Clippers is it will be their 5th straight road game, so there has been a lot of travel involved.  It will be their 8th different city since January 13th as well.  The Clippers are already short-handed missing Paul George and Kawhi Leonard and could be without Marcus Morris.  This is a spot they will fall flat on their faces.

Los Angeles is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games following an upset win as an underdog.  The Clippers are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games vs. poor teams that are outscored by 3-plus points per game.  Los Angeles is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games following an ATS win.  Bet the Magic Wednesday.

15* NBA Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Sacramento Kings +9

It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Boston Celtics coming off their 116-87 road win over the Washington Wizards thanks to a 50-point game from Jayson Tatum.  Now they come back as 9-point home favorites against the Sacramento Kings tonight.

The Kings are playing to well to be catching 9 points, and asking the Celtics to beat them by double-digits to beat us is asking too much.  The Kings have played six straight games where they haven't lost once by more than 6 points.  That includes a 6-point road loss at Milwaukee, and upset win over the Lakers and a 1-point home loss to the Cavaliers.

The Kings simply have the Celtics' number.  The Kings are 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings with three outright wins and their two losses coming by 1 and 6 points.  IN fact, they haven't lost any of their last six meetings with the Celtics by more than 6 points.

Sacramento is rested and ready to go playing just its 2nd game in 6 days.  The Kings are 5-1 ATS in their last six games playing on two days' rest.  The Celtics are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following an ATS win.  Boston is 6-20-1 ATS in its last 27 games following a win by more than 10 points.  Take the Kings Tuesday.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Detroit Pistons +7.5

I love the spot for the Detroit Pistons tonight.  They will be out for revenge from a 111-117 road loss at Denver on Sunday.  Now they get to face the Nuggets at home here just two days later.  Look for them to easily cover this 7.5-point spread and possibly win outright.

The Pistons have been very good here of late in going 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall with an upset win at Sacramento, a 10-point loss as 13-point dogs at Utah and a 6-point loss at 12-point dogs at Denver.  Now they are back home here where they have gone 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five home games with upset wins over the Spurs as 7-point dogs, the Jazz as 11-point dogs and the Raptors as 9-point dogs.

While the Pistons will be motivated for revenge, the Nuggets won't be all that interested in beating them for a 2nd time in 3 days.  And motivation is everything in the NBA.  Plus, the Nuggets have a huge game on deck tomorrow night at Brooklyn.  They will be looking ahead to that game and overlooking the Pistons.

Plays against road teams (Denver) - after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games against an opponent that has covered the spread in three or more consecutive games are 57-27 (67.9%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Bet the Pistons Tuesday.

15* NBA Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Hornets/Raptors OVER 222.5

This total has been set too low tonight due to recent low-scoring games by both the Toronto Raptors and Charlotte Hornets.  The under is 7-1 in Raptors last eight games overall.  The under is also 7-1 in Hornets last eight games overall.

Charlotte has been a great OVER team all season until recently and so have the Raptors.  Now the oddsmakers have been forced to set this total lower than it should be, and we will take advantage here and back the OVER in a game between two teams with great offenses and suspect defenses.

The Hornets rank 2nd in the NBA in pace, 6th in offensive efficiency and 24th in defensive efficiency, which is why they are such a great OVER team.  The Raptors rank just 17th in defensive efficiency and have been a much more efficient offensive team since they have gotten healthy.

The OVER is 10-3-1 in the last 14 meetings.  The OVER is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Toronto.  The OVER is 11-1 in Hornets last 12 games following a loss by more than 10 points.  The OVER is 7-1 in Raptors last eight games as home favorites.  The OVER is 8-2 in Raptors last 10 home games.  Roll with the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* NBA Monday PLAY OF THE DAY on Oklahoma City Thunder +2

The Chicago Bulls are banged up right now and missing six key players.  It's a big reason they have gone just 1-6 SU in their last seven games overall.  They should not be favored on the road over the Oklahoma City Thunder given the terrible spot for them.

The Bulls will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 95-114 loss in Orlando last night.  They will also be playing their 9th game in 14 days and in their 6th different city in 10 days.  The injuries, lack of rest and travel is really catching up to this team.

The Oklahoma City Thunder will be highly motivated for a victory after dropping five straight coming in including three losses by 7 points or fewer to Cleveland (twice) and Dallas.  They had yesterday off and are back home now after playing six of their last seven on the road.  Look for a big effort from them tonight as they are fully healthy while the Bulls remain short-handed.

Oklahoma City is 8-0 ATS in its last eight games after a combined score of 185 points or less.  The Thunder are 10-1 ATS after allowing 100 points or less this season.  Oklahoma City is 7-1-1 ATS in its last nine games as home underdogs.  Take the Thunder Monday.

20* NBA Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Charlotte Hornets -3

The Charlotte Hornets are fully healthy and rolling right now. They are 7-1 SU & 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall with si wins coming by 8 points or more.

The Atlanta Hawks are struggling in going 6-11 SU & 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall. They have been terrible on the road all season in going 9-14 SU & 8-15 ATS away from home.

Charlotte is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 home games with a total of 230 or higher. Atlanta is 0-8 ATS in its last eight road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Hornets are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 home games. The Hawks are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 trips to Charlotte. Bet the Hornets Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday UPSET SHOCKER on Washington Wizards ML +109

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Washington Wizards today hosting the Boston Celtics. The Wizards are just 1-8 ATS in their last nine games overall and now find themselves as home underdogs to the Celtics.

Well, the Wizards haven't been healthy for most of this run, but now they are back to full strength. They should be a profitable bet moving forward starting with an upset home win over the Celtics today.

Boston is coming off two straight upset home losses to the Hornets and Blazers and they haven't been playing well for weeks. The Celtics are just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall despite being mostly healthy.

The Celtics are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as favorites. Boston is 2-6 ATS in its last eight road games. The Wizards are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as home underdogs. Washington is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings. Take the Wizards Sunday.

15* NBA Saturday PLAY OF THE DAY on Kings/Bucks OVER 230.5

The Sacramento Kings have been a great OVER team all season because they play at a fast pace, can score and play no defense. The Kings rank 3rd in pace and 27th in defensive efficiency this season.

We've seen a ton of high-scoring Kings' games here of late. They have played four straight games that have seen 230 or more combined points including 240 or more in three of them. Now they take on a Bucks team that ranks 9th in pace and 8th in offensive efficiency, and those numbers would be even higher if they were healthy all season.

Now the Bucks are fully healthy with the exception of Brook Lopez. They should continue their trend of playing high-scoring games against the Kings. Amazingly, the OVER is 17-0 in the last 17 meetings. They have combined for 233 or more points in six consecutive meetings. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* Rockets/Warriors NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Houston +11

This is a terrible spot for the Golden State Warriors tonight. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 117-121 (OT) loss to the Indiana Pacers last night. It will also be the 6th game in 9 days for the Warriors, which is about as tough a spot as there is in the NBA.

This spot has made the Warriors decide to rest both Klay Thompson and Otto Porter Jr. tonight. They are already without Draymond Green and could decide to rest more. Stephen Curry played nearly 44 minutes last night and Andrew Wiggins over 38 minutes.

The Rockets are rested and ready to go playing just their 2nd game in 5 days. They are also playing some of their best basketball of the season in going 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last four games all coming on the road. They upset the Spurs as 7-point road dogs, the Kings as 4.5-point road dogs and the Jazz as 13.5-point road dogs.

Plays on road underdogs (Houston) - an average 3-point shooting teams (33-36.5%) against an average 3-point defense (33-36.5%) after 42-plus games, after two straight games making 16 or more 3-pointers are 24-6 (80%) ATS over the last five seasons. Bet the Rockets Friday.

15* NBA Friday UPSET SHOCKER on San Antonio Spurs ML +110

The San Antonio Spurs want revenge from a recent 119-121 (OT) loss at Brooklyn in which they were short-handed and the Nets were pretty healthy with Kevin Durant. Now the Nets don't have Durant tonight, and the Spurs are almost fully healthy.

That return to health showed in their 118-96 home win over the Oklahoma City Thunder last time out. The Spurs are pretty rested right now as this will be their 6th straight home games. This is simply a great spot for them to win outright in revenge mode.

The Nets have been struggling for weeks in going 5-7 SU & 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall. This will be their 8th game in 13 days so they are a tired team right now as well as missing their best player in Durant.

San Antonio is 22-11 ATS in its last 33 games when revenging a road loss. Brooklyn is 7-19 ATS in its last 26 games as a favorite. The Nets are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games following an ATS win. The Spurs are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. San Antonio is 7-2 ATS in its last nine home meetings with Brooklyn. Roll with the Spurs on the Money Line Friday. 

15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on Portland Trail Blazers +8.5

Anfernee Simons is playing like an All Star in the absence of Damian Lillard to keep the Blazers competitive. They have gone 4-2 SU & 4-2 ATS in their last six games overall with three outright upsets as underdogs.

Now Simons has the luxury of having CJ McCollum back, who just returned a few games ago. He is going to continue to get stronger and better and get back to his old self with each passing game. And I fully expect the Blazers to give the Celtics a run for their money tonight.

The Celtics aren't playing well enough to warrant being an 8.5-point favorite here. They are 7-7 SU & 5-9 ATS in their last 14 games overall. They are coming off an upset home loss to the Charlotte Hornets and will now be playing their 10th game in 16 days.

Boston is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games as a favorite. Take the Blazers Friday.

20* NBA Thursday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on New York Knicks -2.5

The New York Knicks will be highly motivated for a victory following two straight home losses against two teams that are surging in Charlotte and Minnesota.  Now they take a big step down in competition here against the New Orleans Pelicans and should handle their business.

The Pelicans are just 16-28 this season, including 6-17 SU & 7-16 ATS on the road this season and getting outscored by 8.4 points per game.  We are getting the Knicks at a great value as only 2.5-point home favorites.  They had won five of their previous six games prior to these two losses in a back-to-back situation against the Hornets and Timberwolves.

New Orleans is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 road games when revenging a loss where opponnent scores 100 points or more.  The Pelicans are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games after covering the spread in four or five of their last six games.  New York is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games following a loss.  The Knicks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games.  Bet the Knicks Thursday.

15* Suns/Mavs TNT ANNIHILATOR on Phoenix -2.5

It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Dallas Mavericks after going 10-1 SU & 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.  This is where they fall flat on their faces as it's a terrible spot for them.

Indeed, the Mavericks will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back following a 102-98 home win over the Toronto Raptors last night.  It gets even worse as it will be the 5th game in 7 days for the Mavericks.  Doncic played 42 minutes last night, Finney-Smith 35 and Porzingis and Brunson 33 each.

The Mavericks won't have much left in the tank for the Phoenix Suns, who come in on two days' rest and playing some oof their best basketball of the season.  The Suns are 7-1 SU & 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games overall with six wins by 13 points or more.  Teams haven't even been competitive with them, and the Mavericks won't either given the spot.

The Suns simply own the Mavericks, going 8-0 SU & 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings.  The Suns are 20-8 ATS in the last 28 meetings, including 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings in Dallas.  The Suns are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.  Take the Suns Thursday.

15* NBA Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Rockets/Jazz UNDER 231

The Utah Jazz just got the best defensive player in the NBA back in Rudy Gobert.  They were struggling mightily on defense without him, losing four straight games while allowing 111 or more points in all four.

Since his return, the Jazz held the Nuggets to 102 points and the Lakers to 101 points in his first two games back.  Now the Jazz take a huge hit on offense losing their best scorer in Donovan Mitchell (25.5 PPG).  They will be without him due to a concussion tonight, and I think the oddsmakers have set this total way too high.

The Rockets are definitely an over team with their lack of defense and decent offense.  But even this is too high of a total for them.  The UNDER is 5-1 in the last six meetings in this series with combined scores of 230 or fewer points in five of them.  That includes the 213 combined points in their first and only meeting this season.

The UNDER is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Utah.  The UNDER is 5-1 in Rockets last six vs. a team with a winning record.  The UNDER is 4-1 in Jazz last five games vs. a team with a losing record.  Plays on the UNDER on any team (Utah) - a good team (+7 PPG or better) against a bad team (-7 PPG or worse) after 42-plus games are 24-5 (82.8%) over the last five seasons.  Roll with the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

20* NBA Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Washington Wizards ML -105

The Brooklyn Nets are 4-7 SU & 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall.  Things just got worse with the loss of their best player in Kevin Durant and they are already without several other key players.  This team continues to get too much respect tonight as a PK at Washington.

The Wizards just got Bradley Beal back from injury last time out and crushed the 76ers 117-98 as 2-point home underdogs.  They are fully healthy for basically the first time all season and will be a dangerous team moving forward.  They will take down the Nets tonight.

Washington is 9-1 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season.  The Wizards are 17-2 ATS in their last 19 games following a win by 10 points or more.  Washington is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 home meetings with Brooklyn.  Bet the Wizards on the Money Line Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Orlando Magic +12

It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Philadelphia 76ers.  They have gone 9-2 SU & 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.  They won't be very motivated to beat an Orlando Magic team for a 3rd time this season.  They won 101-96 as 14-point home favorites on November 29th and 116-106 as 8.5-point road favorites on January 5th after a late surge in the final two minutes.

The Magic will be out for revenge and they have been getting healthier by the day.  The Magic have been very competitive of late, losing just once by more than 10 points in their last nine games.  They have Cole Anthony, Jalen Suggs and Mo Bamba back healthy and could get Wendell Carter Jr. back from injury tonight.

Orlando is 7-0 ATS in road games against Atlantic Division opponents this season.  The Magic are 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games.  The 76ers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games.  Take the Magic Wednesday.

20* Timberwolves/Knicks NBA TV No-Brainer on Minnesota -2.5

The Minnesota Timberwolves are playing their best basketball of the season with De'Angelo Russell, Karl Anthony-Towns and Anthony Edwards all healthy.  They have gone 5-2 SU in their last seven games overall with the five wins coming by an average of 18.8 points per game.  Their only losses coming on the road to the Pelicans at the buzzer and the Grizzlies by 8.

The Timberwolves are rested and ready to go tonight playing just their 2nd game in 5 days.  The same cannot be said for the Knicks, who will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days after an 87-97 loss to the Charlotte Hornets on Monday.

While the Timberwolves are basically at full strength, the Knicks are missing four key players in Solomon Hill, Derrick Rose, Cameron Reddish and Nerlens Noel and could be without Kemba Walker, who is questionable.  That makes the spot even worse for the Knicks tonight behind short-handed.

Plays against underdogs (New York) - off a home loss by 10 points or more with a winning percentage between 45% and 55% on the season are 70-37 (65.4%) ATS over the last five seasons.  The Timberwolves are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games as road favorites.  Minnesota is 7-1-1 ATS in its last nine road games vs. a team with a losing home record.  The Knicks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as underdogs.  Bet the Timberwolves Tuesday.

20* NBA Monday Undervalued Underdog on Oklahoma City Thunder +11.5

It's time to 'sell high' on the Dallas Mavericks.  They have gone 8-1 SU & 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall.  Now they find themselves laying double-digits against an Oklahoma City Thunder team that has been feisty all season.

Indeed, the Thunder are 27-11-1 ATS in their last 39 games overall, including 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games.  They have only lost by double-digits once in their last eight games.  They are as healthy as they have been all season and more than capable of giving the Dallas Mavericks a run for their money tonight.

The Thunder are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 road games following two consecutive non-conference games.  Dallas is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points.  Bet the Thunder Monday.

15* NBA Monday Total DOMINATOR on Blazers/Magic OVER 216

The Portland Trail Blazers have been a good OVER team no matter who has been on the court.  In fact, nine of their last 10 games have seen 215 or more combined points, with eight of those seeing 222 or more combined points.  So there's value with the OVER 216 here.

Andernee Simons has averaged 24.3 points per game in his last seven games in the absence of Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum.  But now McCollum (20.6 PPG) is expected to make his much anticipated return to the lineup tonight after being out since December 4th.  So the offense gets an added punch, and Portland's defense ranks 29th in efficiency giving up 112.6 points per 100 possessions.

The Magic have gotten both Cole Anthony and Jalen Suggs back healthy recently and are a much better offensive team.  They have scored at least 100 points in 11 of their last 15 games and can hang with the Blazers on the offensive end.

The OVER is 5-1 in the last six meetings with combined scores of 217 or more points in five of the six.  The OVER Is 24-9 in Blazers last 33 Monday games.  The OVER Is 8-1 in Magic last eight games playing on one days' rest.  The OVER is 5-1 in Magic last six home games.  Take the OVER In this game Monday.

15* NBA Monday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Cavaliers -3

The Cleveland Cavaliers have been one of the most underrated teams in the NBA all season.  They are 26-18 SU & 28-14-2 ATS.  As long as they have had Darius Garland (19.7 PPG, 7.8 APG), Jarrett Allen (16.6 PPG, 11.0 RPG) and Evan Mobley (15.0 PPG, 8.0 RPG) healthy they have been dangerous.

Now the Cavaliers will take down a Brooklyn Nets tam that is missing their best player in Kevin Durant (29.3 PPG, 7.4 RPG, 5.8 APG).  They will have James Harden and Kyrie Irving, but they aren't as good of a team on defense with those two in the lineup, and the loss of Durant hurts them quite a bit on that end too.

The Nets have been grossly overvalued for weeks even with Durant in the lineup.  They have gone 4-6 SU & 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  The Nets are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games following a win by 10 points or more.  Brooklyn is 3-15 ATS in its last 18 games following an ATS win.  Cleveland is 9-2-1 ATS in its last 12 home games.  Take the Cavaliers Monday.

15* NBA Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Suns/Pistons UNDER 215.5

Early afternoon Sunday UNDERS have been a great bet in the NBA for years.  The number is right to pull the trigger on this UNDER today between the Phoenix Suns and Detroit Pistons.  This game will be played at a snail's pace and both teams will be getting after it defensively.

The Suns just got back DeAndre Ayton and JaVale McGee.  It's no surprise their defense has picked up their play with these two in the lineup.  The Suns allowed 95 points to the Raptors and 94 points to the Pacers in their last two games.  They rank 2nd in the NBA in defensive efficiency this season.

Now they take on a Detroit Pistons team that ranks dead last (30th) in offensive efficiency this season.  The Pistons have been held to 103 or fewer points in four of their last five games.  But they are playing better defensively, holding two of their last four opponents to 92 points or fewer.

Cameron Johnson has missed the last couple games for the Suns and is questionable to return, which is a big reason their offense has struggled in scoring 106 points or fewer in three of their last four.  The Pistons will be without three guards in Jerami Grant, Frank Jackson and Rodney McGruder today.

The UNDER is 7-2-1 in Suns last 10 road games.  The UNDER is 4-1 in Pistons last five games overall.  Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday.

15* NBA Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Orlando Magic +10.5

I cashed in the Magic last night as 11-point underdogs in a 116-109 outright win at Charlotte.  I'm back on them again tonight as this team is getting healthier now and has covered three straight as a result.

In fact, the Magic have been extremely competitive of late against good teams as each of their last seven games have been decided by 10 points or fewer.  They just got both Cole Anthony and Jalen Suggs back from injuries and could get a couple more big men back tonight.

It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Mavericks, who have won seven of their last eight including a win at Memphis last night to put an end to the Grizzlies' 11-game winning streak.  But Memphis was playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and it was a bad spot for them.  Now the Mavericks will have their letdown after ending the Grizzlies' winning streak.

Dallas is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 games as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points.  Orlando is 7-0 ATS in its last seven road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  The Magic are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games overall.

Plays against home favorites (Dallas) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division opponent, with a winning percentage between 45% and 55% on the season are 36-11 (76.6%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Take the Magic Saturday.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Oklahoma City Thunder +5.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder are one of the most underrated teams in the NBA this season.  They have gone 27-11 ATS in their last 38 games and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games.  They had yesterday off and are fully healthy and ready to go tonight.

The same cannot be said for the Cleveland Cavaliers, who will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th road game in 7 days after a 114-109 win in San Antonio last night.  I really like this Cleveland team and have backed them with success all season, but this is a terrible spot for them and they need faded tonight because of it.

The Thunder are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games.  Bet the Thunder Saturday.

15* Mavs/Grizzlies ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on UNDER 216.5

The UNDER is 7-1 in Mavericks last eight games overall.  They have combined with their opponents for 212 or fewer points in seven of those eight games, including 193 or fewer in five of those.  The lone exception came against Houston which is an over team.

Memphis is tired playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and its 5th game in 7 days.  That will affect them more on offense than it will on defense.  They won't be looking to push the tempo tonight, and the Mavericks will gladly play at a snail's pace with them.

This will already be the 3rd meeting between these teams this season, and familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.  They combined for just 187 points in their first meeting and 200 points in their second meeting.  It should be more of the same tonight as the books have set this number way too high.

Memphis is 10-1 UNDER in its last 11 home games following four or more consecutive wins.  The UNDER is 16-5 in Mavericks last 21 games overall.  The UNDER is 32-14 in Mavericks last 46 games as underdogs.  The UNDER is 6-1 in Grizzlies last seven home games.  The UNDER is 6-0 in Grizzlies last six games as home favorites.  Take the UNDER in this game Friday.

20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on Orlando Magic +11

The betting public wants nothing to do with the Orlando Magic right now.  They have lost 10 straight games, but they clearly have not quit as each of their last six losses have come by 10 points or less.  And I think they make that seven in a row here as they keep this game competitive against the Charlotte Hornets.

This is a terrible spot for the Hornets and a great time to 'sell high' on them.  They have gone 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall including two wins over the Bucks.  They just ended their 16-game losing streak to the 76ers in their head-to-head series last time.  This is the ultimate letdown spot for the Hornets now as they feel like they can just show up and beat the Magic.

A big reason the Magic have been more competitive of late with six straight losses by 10 points or fewer is because they have gotten healthier.  They recently got their best player in Cole Anthony (19.8 PPG, 5.9 APG) back, and now they are expected to get another key player in rookie Jalen Suggs (12.3 PPG, 3.6 APG)  back from a thumb injury tonight.  Five of their top six scorers are back healthy.

These teams have already met twice this season with the Hornets winning both games by single-digits.  In fact, Charlotte hasn't won any of its last nine meetings with the Magic by more than 9 points, making for a 9-0 system backing the Magic pertaining to this 11-point spread.  The Magic are 6-0 ATS in their last six road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  Bet the Magic Friday.

15* Blazers/Nuggets TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on Denver -10.5

The Denver Nuggets are getting healthier and ready to blow out the Portland Trail Blazers tonight as they return home following an upset road loss to the Clippers.  Look for them to win this game by double-digits and cover this spread against a Blazers team whose health situation just keeps getting worse.

The Blazers were able to stay competitive in recent games without Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum due to Anfernee Simons stepping his game up.  He has averaged 27.8 PPG and 7.6 APG in his last five games.  But now Simons is out tonight for personal reasons, so the Blazers will be without their top four scores in Lillard (24.0 PPG), McCollum (20.6 PPG), Powell (18.6 PPG) and Simons.  That stand zero chance of keeping this game competitive against the Nuggets without them.

Denver is 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in its last three home meetings with Portland with the three wins coming by an average of 18.3 points per game, and that was with much healthier Blazers teams and much shorter spreads.  Portland is 3-14 ATS in its last 17 road games.  Take the Nuggets Thursday.

20* NBA Western Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Timberwolves/Grizzlies OVER 230.5

Two teams lighting up the scoreboards recently square off tonight in the Minnesota Timberwolves and Memphis Grizzlies.  This one has shootout written all over it folks.  Shootouts have been standard in this head-to-head series as the OVER is 3-0 in the last three meetings with combined scores of 233, 243 and 274 points.

The key for the Timberwolves is having De'Angelo Russell healthy as it has flourish when he, Towns and Edwards are on the floor at the same time.  Indeed, the Timberwolves have scored 122 or more points in four of their last five games overall and 125 or more in three straight.  None of those games went to overtime, either.

The Grizzlies just got JA Morant back and that's a big reason they are on a 10-game winning streak.  They have  scored 110 or more points in seven straight games coming in and in nine of the 10 games during this winning streak.  I see both teams pushing for 120-plus points in this one.

Minnesota is 9-1 OVER in its last 10 games after winning four of its last five games.  The Timberwolves are 8-0 OVER vs. good rebounding teams averaging 3 or more boards than their opponent this season.  The OVER is 10-1 in Timberwolves 11 road games vs. good defensive teams that allow 108 or fewer points this season.  The OVER is 13-3 in Timberwolves last 16 road games.  The OVER is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Memphis and 5-1 in the last six meetings overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* NBA Wednesday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Cleveland Cavaliers +6

The Utah Jazz have been grossly overvlaued for weeks.  They are just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games overall.  They have been without Rudy Gobert in each of their last three games and it has hurt them as they lost by 14 at Toronto, by 12 at Indiana and by 10 at Detroit.

Utah is a terrible defensive team without Gobert, who helps clean up their mistakes.  The Jazz allowed 122 points to the Raptors, 125 to the Pacers and 126 to the Pistons.  This is a tough spot for them as they will be playing their first home game following a five-game road trip.  It will also be their 8th game in 13 days.

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Cavaliers after going 1-6-1 ATS in their last nine games overall.  But they were missing several key players during this stretch and are as healthy as they have been in a while tonight.  It will also be just their 4th game in 8 days.

Plays on road underdogs (Cleveland) - revenging a close loss by 3 points or less against an opponent that is off an upset loss as a favorite are 32-8 (80%) ATS over the last five seasons.  The Cavaliers are 22-5-1 ATS in their last 28 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.  The Jazz are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven home games.  Roll with the Cavaliers Wednesday.

20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Orlando Magic +6.5

This is a great time to 'buy low' on the Orlando Magic.  They have lost eight straight coming in but a lot of them have been competitive losses.  Indeed, four of their last five losses have come by 5 points or less, so getting 6.5 points with them here is a nice value.

That's especially the case considering the terrible spot for the Wizards and the great one for the Magic.  Orlando will be out for revenge from a 100-102 home loss to the Wizards as 7-point underdogs last time out on Monday.  Now they have had two days off since that defeat and will be the fresher, more motivated team.

Meanwhile, the Wizards will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days after a 122-118 home win over Oklahoma City last night.  They won't have their best player in Bradley Beal, who is doubtful with COVID.  They should not be 6.5-point favorites here without Beal and in this terrible spot.

The Magic are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.  Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last five road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  Washington is 0-7-1 ATS in its last eight games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  The Wizards are 1-11-1 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a losing record.  Orlando is 4-0 ATS in its last four trips to Washington.  Bet the Wizards Wednesday.