7* NBA Situational GAME OF THE MONTH on Denver Nuggets -1

The Key: The Denver Nuggets want revenge from a 110-116 loss at Sacramento on February 19, which was their first game back from the break.  I expect them to get it tonight at home against the Kings this time around, and as only 1-point favorites, so they essentially just have to win the game to cover.  Bets on home teams with a line of +3 to -3 who have failed to cover the spread in 2 of their last 3 and are playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 26-7 ATS over the last 5 seasons.  Take Denver.

6* SEC Game of the Week on Ole Miss -10

The Key: At 17-10 on the season, the Ole Miss Rebels have some work to do if they want to make the NCAA Tournament.  They have won four of their last six games overall to put themselves in position.  Now they really need to win out the rest of the way.  I like their chances of a double-digit victory tonight at home against the worst team in the SEC in the Missouri Tigers.  This line should be bigger than it is, but the Tigers have gone 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall to start getting some respect from oddsmakers.  But they have lost their 3 road games during this stretch by 9, 15 and 12 points, so it's not like they have been all that competitive.  The Tigers are 0-12 on the road this season, losing by 16.0 points per game.  The Rebels are 10-2 at home this year.  Take Ole Miss.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Detroit Pistons +9

The Key: I really like this situation for the Pistons.  We are buying low on the Pistons, who have lost 5 straight games while failing to cover the spread in 5 straight as well.  We are selling high on the Cavaliers, who are coming off five straight victories, including a 23-point win at Oklahoma City yesterday.  That win over the Thunder on National TV sets the Cavs up for a letdown here today.  After all, the Cavs are 6-15-2 ATS in their last 23 vs. a team with a losing record.  Detroit is 17-6 ATS in its last 23 off an upset loss as a favorite.  Take Detroit.

7* Texas/K-State Big 12 *HEAVY HITTER* on Texas +1.5

The Key: The Texas Longhorns are showing excellent value today as underdogs to the Kansas State Wildcats.  While the Longhorns are a team fighting for their NCAA Tournament lives, the Wildcats are out of that mix.  Texas will be motivated for a win after a 1-3 stretch with losses to Oklahoma, Iowa State and Baylor.  Now the Longhorns get to take a step down in competition against the Wildcats, who are just 4-10 in Big 12 play this season.  Kansas State is coming off a deflating loss to Kansas, and I don't expect it to show up tonight.  The Longhorns are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games when playing their 2nd game in 3 days.  Take Texas.

7* ACC GAME OF THE MONTH on Boston College +8

The Key: The Boston College Eagles should not be 8-point underdogs to the Wake Forest Demon Deacons Sunday.  This is a matchup between two teams who have little to play for at this point in the season, and I like siding with the dog in these situations.  The Demon Deacons have lost 11 straight and should not be favored by 8.  Wake Forest is 1-8 ATS in all home games this season.  The Demon Deacons are 0-7 ATS off a loss by 6 points or less over the last 2 years.  Take Boston College.

6* NBA Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Memphis Grizzlies +7.5

The Key: Everyone is writing the Grizzlies off now that Mark Gasol may be out for the season, but this team is having none of it.  The Grizzlies came out of the All-Star Break with a win over the Timberwolves, and now I look for them to give the Raptors a run for their money tonight as 7.5-point dogs.  The Grizzlies are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.  The Grizzlies are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.  Take this combined 15-0 angle backing the Grizzlies straight to the bank.  Take Memphis.

6* Kentucky/Texas A&M SEC *CA$H COW* on Texas A&M PK

The Key: The Texas A&M Aggies have one of the best home-court advantages in the country.  They are 14-1 at home this season with an average margin of victory of 18 points per game.  Kentucky is just 5-6 SU & 4-7 ATS in all road games this season.  The Aggies will have a big advantage in rest today as they last played on Tuesday while Kentucky last played on Thursday, getting only one day to prepare for the Aggies.  Kentucky is 0-7 ATS off three straight wins this season.  Take Texas A&M.

7* Pitt/Syracuse ACC *HEAVY HITTER* on Syracuse -3

The Key: The Syracuse Orange are 14-4 with Jim Boeheim on the sidelines, and 4-5 without him.  He has made all the difference for this team as he has turned the Orange from an NCAA Tournament afterthought into a real contender to make the big dance.  The Orange have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games overall with their only losses coming on the road to Virginia and Louisville.  Pitt has lost 3 of its last 4 games coming in and its last two wins have come against VA Tech and Wake Forest, including an overtime victory at home over the Demon Deacons.  The Panthers are 1-4 in their last 5 road games with their only win coming by 2 points at Florida State.  Pitt is 6-24 ATS following a win over the last 2 seasons.  The Panthers are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games following a conference win.  Take Syracuse.

7* Pacers/Thunder ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Indiana +8.5

The Key: The Indiana Pacers won 5 of their final 8 games heading into the All-Star Break with two of their losses coming by 5 points to Cleveland and 6 points at Atlanta.  I believe they are catching too many points tonight on the road against the Oklahoma City Thunder, who have been overvalued all season.  The Thunder are just 21-32 ATS in all games this season.  Oklahoma City is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games after outrebounding its last opponent by 15 or more.  Indiana is 8-1 ATS versus teams who average 56 or more rebounds per game this season.  The Pacers are 18-6 ATS vs. teams with winning records this season.  The Pacers are 19-7-2 ATS in their last 28 games playing on 3 or more days rest.  The Thunder are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win.  Take Indiana.

6* NBA Eastern Conference *CA$H COW* on Milwaukee Bucks +1.5

The Key: The Milwaukee Bucks won their final two games before the All-Star Break and need more where that came from if they want to make a run at the playoffs and get back like last year.  They have the talent to do so, and it starts with tonight's home game against the Charlotte Hornets.  The Hornets made a move to acquire Courtney Lee from the Grizzlies, but he won't be playing tonight, and they'll be short-handed after trading away starter PJ Hairston.  Milwaukee has won 15 of its last 19 home meetings with Charlotte.  The Bucks are 10-1 ATS in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season.  Milwaukee is 13-2 ATS versus teams who average 83 or more shots per game this season.  Take Milwaukee.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Pacific +18

The Key: The Gonzaga Bulldogs will be overlooking the Pacific Tigers and looking ahead to their game against the St. Mary's Gaels on Saturday in just two days.  That game will be for 1st place in the WCC, and the Bulldogs desperately want revenge on the Gaels after blowing a late lead to lose at Saint Mary's in their first meeting this season.  They won't be giving Pacific the focus they need to put the Tigers away by more than 18 points tonight.  Pacific has played Gonzaga tough in recent meetings with a 10-point loss as 11.5-point dogs and a 12-point loss as 17-point dogs in their last two meetings.  The Tigers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall, which includes a 3-point loss to St. Mary's as 11.5-point favorites and a 5-point win at BYU as 17-point dogs.  Pacific has just one loss by more than 18 points in 24 games this season, which equates to a 23-1 angle backing the Tigers.  Take Pacific.

7* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Jazz/Wizards UNDER 198

The Key: The Utah Jazz play at the league's slowest pace by a wide margin, averaging just 92.9 possessions per game.  They win their games with defense as they rank 14th in defensive efficiency and only yielding 96.4 points per game on the season.  Washington and Utah are used to low-scoring games.  IN their two meetings last season, they combined for 172 points in Utah and 177 points in Washington.  As you can see, those two outputs were 26 and 21 points less than this 198-point total.  The UNDER is 11-3 in Jazz last 14 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.  The UNDER is 11-4 in Wizards last 15 home games.  The UNDER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Washington.  Take the UNDER.

7* Pac-12 *HEAVY HITTER* on Arizona -12

The Key: The Arizona Wildcats have simply owned the Arizona State Sun Devils in Tucscon in this rivalry in recent years.  The Wildcats are 5-0 in their last 5 home meetings with the Sun Devils with 4 of those 5 victories coming by 15 points or more and by an average of 17.2 points per game.  The last two have come by 24 and 23 points.  The Wildcats already beat the Sun Devils by 12 on the road in their first meeting this season.  Take Arizona.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Loyola-Chicago +5

The Key: The Northern Iowa Panthers are in the ultimate letdown spot tonight.  They are coming off arguably their biggest win of the season, a 53-50 road victory over the Wichita State Shockers.  They now will have a hard time getting up for Loyola-Chicago tonight, and they'll be ripe for the upset as a result.  Loyola is playing very well of late, going 3-2 SU & 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games overall.  It has beaten Southern Illinois by 14 and Bradley by 11 on the road, as well as Indiana State by 8 at home.  Its only losses came by 8 at home to Illinois State and by 1 at home to Evansville.  Loyola already beat Northern Iowa 51-41 as 12.5-point road dogs in their 1st meeting this season.  Loyola is 9-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons.  Take Loyola-Chicago.

7* Big Ten GAME OF THE MONTH on Rutgers +15

The Key: The Rutgers Scarlet Knights want revenge on the Illinois Fighting Illini tonight.  These two teams played in one of the most thrilling games of the season in their first meeting.  Illinois ended up walking away with a triple-overtime victory at Rutgers.  I can't see the Illini being too motivated for the rematch, especially with the awful season they are having.  They are just 11-14 on the season and 3-9 within the conference.  That's why they have no business being favored by 15 points against anyone, not even Rutgers.  Bets on road underdogs of 10 or more points when revenging a same season loss, who are off 2 consecutive losses by 10 or more points to conference opponents are 212-133 ATS since 1997.  The Fighting Illini are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 Tuesday games.  Illinois is 0-6-1 ATS in its last 7 games following an ATS win and 0-4 ATS in its last 4 home games.  Take Rutgers.

6* Florida/Georgia ESPN National TV *Annihilator* on Georgia +1.5

The Key: The Georgia Bulldogs are 12-3 at home this season and will upset the Florida Gators tonight.  The Gators are just 2-6 in true road games this season and should not be favored here.  The home team is 7-1 SU & 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in this series, so home-court advantage has clearly been crucial.  The Bulldogs are 44-21-1 ATS in their last 66 conference games.  Take Georgia.

6* Vanderbilt/Mississippi State SEC *CA$H COW* on Vanderbilt -3

The Key: At 15-10 on the season, the Vanderbilt Commodores still have a lot of work to do if they want to make the NCAA Tournament.  They have turned their season around to at least give themselves a chance, going 7-3 in their last 10 games overall with wins over Florida and Texas A&M.  Now they get to face one of the worst teams in the SEC in Mississippi State, which is just 10-14 on the year.  The Bulldogs are 3-9 in conference play this season and are coming off a 9-point home loss to Georgia.  The Commodores are 39-15 ATS in their last 54 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.  The Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.  Take Vanderbilt.

7* Oklahoma State/Kansas Big 12 *HEAVY HITTER* on Oklahoma State +15

The Key: The Kansas Jayhawks are in a prime letdown spot tonight.  They are coming off their biggest win of the season, a 76-72 triumph at Oklahoma on Saturday to move into a first-place tie with West Virginia in the Big 12.  It's only human nature for them to suffer a letdown after such a big win, which is going to make it hard for them to cover this 15-point spread against Oklahoma State.  After all, Oklahoma State already beat Kansas 86-67 at home in their first meeting this season on January 19.  The Cowboys have played the Jayhawks very tough in recent meetings. They haven't lost by more than 12 points to Kansas in any of the last 9 meetings, and they haven't lost by more than 15 in any of the last 12 meetings.  Take Oklahoma State.

7* Minnesota/Iowa Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Minnesota +20

The Key: The Minnesota Golden Gophers have not won a single game in Big Ten play this season, but it certainly hasn't been for a lack of trying here of late.  In fact, the Gophers have lost 6 of their last 7 games all by 8 points or less.  That includes road losses at Indiana by only 6 and at Michigan by only 5.  They are certainly capable of staying within this massive 20-point spread tonight.  Iowa is in a hangover spot here off its tough loss at Indiana on Thursday.  The Hawkeyes are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games following a loss.  Iowa is also 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games after allowing at least 80 points.  The Gophers are 10-4-1 ATS in in their last 15 road meetings at Iowa.  Take Minnesota.

6* Gonzaga/SMU ESPN2 National TV *Annihilator* on Gonzaga +6

The Key: The Gonzaga Bulldogs are squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament right now.  A signature road win over SMU would go a long way to helping their cause.  SMU won't be playing in the postseason either way, and that realization seems to have really hampered this team of late mentally.  The Mustangs are just 2-3 in their last 5 games overall with road losses to Temple and Houston, as well as a home loss to Tulsa.  Gonzaga is better than all 3 of those teams and can pull off the upset tonight, so getting the 6 points is just an added bonus.  The Bulldogs are 57-37 ATS in their last 94 games as an underdog.  SMU is 13-30 ATS in its last 43 home games vs. good offensive teams that score 77 or more points per game.  The Mustangs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.  Take Gonzaga.

6* MAC Game of the Week on Northern Illinois +2

The Key: The Northern Illinois Huskies have been a tough out at home all season.  They are 13-1 at home while winning by an average of nearly 17 points per game.  Now they get to face the top team in the MAC in Akron, and I believe they'll be up to the task tonight and pull off the upset here.  Helping matters is the fact that Akron is expected to be without its best player in Isaiah Johnson.  How important is Johnson to this team?  Well, he leads them in points, rebounds and blocks, so he's clearly the best player the Zips have, and going without him today will be tough for them.  NIU is 22-11 ATS when revenging a loss over the last 3 seasons.  The Huskies are 7-0 ATS vs. good offensive teams who score 77 or more points per game over the last 3 years.  Take Northern Illinois.

7* ACC GAME OF THE MONTH on Clemson -5.5

The Key: The Clemson Tigers are 11-3 at home this season.  They have gone 5-1 at home in ACC play alone with huge wins over Louisville, Duke, Miami, Pitt and Florida State.  Those are five of the better teams in the ACC.  Now the Tigers get to face once of the worst teams in the conference in Georgia Tech tonight.  The Yellow Jackets are 2-5 in road games this season and 3-8 in ACC games.  Clemson is 11-1 in its last 12 meetings with Georgia Tech, so it has clearly had the Yellow Jackets' number.  This series mismatch will continue this afternoon.  Take Clemson.

7* USC/Arizona State Pac-12 *HEAVY HITTER* on USC -1

The Key: I expect the USC Trojans to put a similar beat down on the Arizona State Sun Devils to the one they did in their first meeting this season in early January.  The Trojans won that game 75-65 at home on January 7th in a game that was a much bigger blowout than the final score would indicate.  USC is 18-5 on the season and 7-3 in Pac-12 play, while ASU is just 13-11 SU & 3-8 in conference action.  Two of the Sun Devils' conference victories have come against Washington State, too.  Arizona State is coming off a win over WSU, but it is just 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games after a conference win.  Meanwhile, USC is 12-1 ATS after playing a home game this year.  Take USC.

6* Wizards/Bucks Eastern Conference *CA$H COW* on Milwaukee -1

The Key: The Milwaukee Bucks have been a sneaky good home team this season.  They've gone 14-8 SU & 13-9 ATS at home, but unfortunately they've played a road-heavy schedule up to this point.  They are going to be a great team to back going forward.  The Bucks come in well-rested and ready to go as this will be just their 2nd game in 6 days, and knowing that the All-Star Break starts tomorrow, I look for them to put their best foot forward tonight.  That's especially the case considering they want revenge on the Wizards after losing each of their first 3 meetings this season, including two by exactly 5 points.  They don't want to get swept.  Washington is 0-7 ATS off a road win where it scored at least 110 points this season.  Milwaukee is 9-1 ATS in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of its last 6 games this season.  Take Milwaukee.

7* FSU/Syracuse ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Syracuse -2.5

The Key: Syracuse comes in red hot and looking for more tonight when it hosts the Florida State Seminoles.  The Orange have gone 6-1 in their last 7 games overall, and they've won 4 straight home games by 22, 15, 3 and 8 points.  Look for them to continue to roll tonight against the Seminoles, who they have owned the past two seasons.  Syracuse won 70-57 over FSU at home last year and 74-58 on the road in 2014.  The The Orange are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Take Syracuse.

6* Big 12 Game of the Week on Kansas State -1

The Key: The Kansas State Wildcats have one of the most underrated home-court advantages in college basketball.  They have gone 11-2 SU & 7-3 ATS at home this season with their only two losses coming to West Virginia and Iowa State.  They just beat Oklahoma 80-69 at home on Saturday to prove what they are capable of at home.  Now they take on a Baylor team that has been way overvalued here of late, going 0-5-1 ATS in its last 6 games overall.  The Wildcats want payback from a 72-79 (OT) loss at Baylor in their first meeting on January 20.  If they can take the Bears to overtime on the road, they can certainly beat them at home.  Kansas State is 9-1 ATS in home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 of their last 3 coming in.  The Wildcats are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Take Kansas State.

7* NBA Situational GAME OF THE MONTH on New Orleans Pelicans -2.5

The Key: This is an excellent opportunity to fade the Utah Jazz.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after their 121-119 (OT) win at Dallas last night.  Since the Jazz were forced to go an extra five minutes with OT, they will be even more tired than they normally would in a back-to-back situation.  Look for the New Orleans Pelicans to run them out of the gym tonight.  The Pelicans are 13-12 at home this season, while the Jazz are 9-15 on the road.  The home team is 8-3 SU in the last 11 meetings.  The Jazz are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  The Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Northwest opponents.  Take New Orleans.

6* NBA Eastern Conference *CA$H COW* on Indiana Pacers -3

The Key: The Indiana Pacers have been a tremendous home team this season.  They are 17-8 at home and have won 5 of their last 7 games overall coming in.  The Charlotte Hornets are just 7-17 on the road, yet they are only 3.5-point underdogs in this game.  Furthermore, the Pacers are 12-0 in their last 12 home meetings with the Hornets, including a 93-74 win in their last home meeting.  They are holding the Hornets to an average of 87.4 points per game during this 12-0 run.  Take Indiana.

7* NBA Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Dallas Mavericks -1.5

The Key: The Utah Jazz are simply getting too much respect from oddsmakers right now due to their 6-game winning streak.  However, you have to consider that five of those wins have come at home against suspect opponents, and the only road win came at Phoenix, which is playing worse than anyone in the NBA right now.  Now the Jazz must go up against a Mavericks team that has had their number to say the least.  The Mavs have won 9 of their last 10 meetings with the Jazz.  They are 10-0 in their last 10 home meetings, and 22-2 in their last 24 home meetings dating back further.  Take Dallas.

6* Big Ten Game of the Week on Ohio State -5

The Key: To say this has been a one-sided series would be a gross understatement.  Ohio State is 11-0 in its last 11 meetings with Northwestern.  Its latest victory came 65-56 at Northwestern in early January this season.  The Buckeyes are 14-0 in their last 14 home meetings with Northwestern as well.  Given this history, it's easy to see why there is some value in backing the Buckeyes as only 5-point favorites tonight.  Take Ohio State.

6* NBA *Total* Annihilator on Thunder/Suns UNDER 215.5

The Key: The Phoenix Suns are a mess right now, having lost 13 of their last 14 games overall.  Their biggest problem is that they are getting no offensive production due to injuries to three of their best scorers.  Eric Bledson, Brandon Knight and TJ Warren are all out.  The Suns have scored 98 or fewer points in 11 of their last 14 games.  Knowing that fact alone, it's easy to see why there is value with the UNDER 215.5 points in this game against the Thunder Monday night.  The Suns are 9-1 UNDER off 2 or more consecutive home losses over the last 2 seasons.  Take the UNDER.

7* Texas/Oklahoma ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Texas +8

The Key: Shaka Smart has shown that he's among the best head coaches in the country with what he's been able to do with Texas this year.  After a slow start, the Longhorns have really turned it on in Big 12 play and currently sit at 16-7 on the season.  The Longhorns have gone 7-1 SU & 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall with their only loss coming by 9 points at Kansas as 12-point dogs in a game they actually led most of the way.  They have road wins over Baylor (67-59) and West Virginia (56-49) during this stretch.  I look for them to go on the road and keep this game close against Oklahoma for 40 minutes, possibly pulling out the upset in the end.  The Longhorns are 10-0 ATS in road games off 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.  The Sooners are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite.  Oklahoma has a big game on deck against Kansas that it could be looking ahead to as well.  Take Texas.

7* Broncos/Panthers Super Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Denver +6

The Key: The betting public and all of the money has been pouring in on the Carolina Panthers over the past two weeks.  This line opened at -3.5 at most books and has been driven up to +6 in some places.  There's no question that the Panthers are overvalued coming in as my numbers indicate that they should only be 3-point favorites on a neutral field over the Broncos.  That means we are getting 3 points of value here with the Broncos.  I'll gladly support Denver given it has the best defense in the NFL and one that will slow down this Carolina offense.  Oddsmakers are expecting a pretty low-scoring game here, too, and so am I, which favors getting 6 points with the dog in what is likely to be a close game from start to finish.  Denver is 17-4 ATS in its last 21 games when playing on 2 or more weeks of rest.  Take Denver.

6* Baylor/WVU Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Baylor +7

The Key: The Baylor Bears present a matchup nightmare for the West Virginia Mountaineers.  Their zone defense plays right into West Virginia's biggest weakness, which is its lack of consistent 3-point shooting.  The Mountaineers only shoot 31% from 3-point range this season.  As a result, the Bears have owned the Mountaineers, going 7-1 straight up in the last 8 meetings.  They have beaten WVU by 10, 12, 18 and 13 points in their last 4 meetings over the past two seasons.  They are obviously 4-0 ATS in those 4 meetings as well.  Getting 7 points here with the Bears is simply too much.  Take Baylor.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Houston Rockets -5

The Key: The Portland Trail Blazers are overvalued right now because they have won five of their last six games overall.  But they are coming off a 7-game homestand, which was the biggest reason for their success.  Now the Blazers have to hit the road, where there are just 9-16 away from home this season.  They should be much heavier than only 5-point road dogs to the Houston Rockets here.  Houston is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 home games off a road win.  The 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  The Rockets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.  Take Houston.

7* Pac-12 GAME OF THE YEAR on California -7.5

The Key: Off back-to-back road losses to Utah and Colorado, it's safe to say that the Cal Bears won't be lacking any motivation today at home against Stanford.  Adding to their motivation is the fact that they already lost 71-77 at Stanford in their first meeting, so they'll be out for revenge here.  I expect them to win going away because they are back home, where they are a perfect 13-0 on the season and winning by 15.8 points per game.  Stanford is just 1-4 in true road games this season.  The Cardinal are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games and 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 conference games.  The Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.  The home team is 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings.  Stanford is 0-7 ATS off one or more consecutive overs this season.  Take California.

6* NBA *Total* Annihilator on Bucks/Jazz UNDER 189.5

The Key: The Utah Jazz and Milwaukee Bucks really prefer to play at a slow tempo.  The Jazz rank dead last in the NBA in pace at 93.0 possessions per game.  The Bucks rank 25th in pace at 96.1 possessions per game.  We saw this on display when these teams last got together.  The Jazz beat the Bucks 82-75 at home for 157 combined points.  While I don't expect this game to be that low scoring, I do see it easily going under this 189.5-point total.  The UNDER is 6-1 in Bucks last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  The UNDER is 7-2 in Bucks last 9 road games overall.  The UNDER is 25-11-1 in Jazz last 37 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  The UNDER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Utah.  Take the UNDER.

7* NBA Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland Cavaliers -7

The Key: The Cleveland Cavaliers had won 5 straight games with 4 of those wins coming by at least 8 points prior to their loss at Charlotte on Wednesday.  That was only a small blip on the radar, and I look for them to get back on track with a win going away tonight at home against the Boston Celtics.  The Cavaliers are 19-3 at home this season and have one of the best home-court advantages in the NBA.  They also create matchup problems for the Celtics, which has been evident in recent meetings.  The Cavs are 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with the Celtics. In fact, all 5 victories have come by at least 8 points.  Cleveland is 10-3-1 ATS in its last 14 vs. a team with a winning record.  Boston is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  Take Cleveland.

7* Big Ten GAME OF THE MONTH on Minnesota +8.5

The Key: The Minnesota Golden Gophers are still winless in Big Ten play.  But it's not for a lack of trying.  Their last 5 losses have come by 7, 5, 5, 4, and 6 points.  That includes narrow road losses to both Indiana and Michigan.  They are fighting for that first conference win and will continue to tonight.  They should have a good chance of getting it against a Northwestern team that is not very good.  The Wildcats are 0-5 in their last 5 games overall with three straight losses by at least 14 points coming in.  Home-court advantage has meant nothing in this series as the road team is 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.  The Golden Gophers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  The Wildcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.  Northwestern is 0-6 ATS after playing a game as an underdog this season.  Take Minnesota.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on New York Knicks +4.5

The Key: This is a bad spot for the Detroit Pistons.  They are coming off a hard-fought 95-102 road loss at the Boston Celtics last night.  So not only will they be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, they'll also be playing their 5th game in 7 days.  They are simply running on fumes right now and won't have much left to give against the Knicks, who had yesterday off and will be playing just their 2nd game in 4 days.  New York is 9-1 ATS vs. teams who outrebound their opponents by 3-plus boards per game this season.  The Knicks are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 1 days rest.  The Knicks are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 meetings with the Pistons.  Take New York.

7* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on New Orleans Pelicans +13.5

The Key: The New Orleans Pelicans haven't been 13.5-point underdogs or more the entire season.  That fact alone shows that there's value with the Pelicans tonight, especially with the way they have been playing.  They are 7-3 in their last 10 games overall and have been competitive in 12 of their last 13 games, only once losing by more than 5 points during that stretch.  Adding to my love for the Pelicans tonight is the fact that they are 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings with the San Antonio Spurs.  They may not pull off the upset tonight, but they certainly aren't going to lose by more than 13.5 points.  Take New Orleans.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Dallas Mavericks -3.5

The Key: The Miami Heat are in a tough spot tonight.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days after losing 102-115 at Houston last night.  They will also be playing their 13th road game in their past 15 games, so they have been on the road a ton here of late.  The Dallas Mavericks check in on one days' rest and will be motivated for a victory following their 97-112 loss at Atlanta on Monday.  The Mavs are 15-8 SU & 16-7 ATS at home this season, while the Heat are just 11-13 on the road.  Miami is 3-15 ATS after covering 3 of its last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.  Dallas is 7-0 ATS in home games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season.  The Heat are 7-18 ATS in their last 25 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  The Mavericks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.  Dallas is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 home games.  Take Dallas.

6* ACC Game of the Week on Boston College +23

The Key: The Boston College Eagles are 0-8 SU & 1-6-1 ATS in ACC play, so the betting public clearly doesn't want anything to do with them right now.  That's why they are catching a ridiculous 23 points to the Virginia Cavaliers tonight.  But they have faced a tougher ACC schedule than anyone, so they are battle-tested and ready to go tonight.  The Cavaliers are in a huge letdown spot off their improbable 63-47 win at Louisville on Saturday where everything went right for them.  They have another big game at Pittsburgh on deck Saturday, so this is a sandwich game for them, and I don't expect their best effort here.  Because the Cavaliers play at such a slow pace, it makes it tough for them to cover these massive spreads.  Virginia hasn't won any of its last 15 games by more than 16 points, making for a 15-0 angle backing the Eagles.  Take Boston College.

7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Phoenix Suns +9.5

The Key: The Toronto Raptors are in a tough spot here tonight.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days after losing 93-112 at Denver last night.  That loss snapped an 11-game winning streak which has had them overvalued for a few games now.  The Raptors are 0-3 ATS in their last 3 games overall and they are once again laying too many points to the Phoenix Suns here.  Yes, the Suns are struggling and injured, but they have played tough at home.  They only lost by 3 to Indiana as 5.5-point dogs and upset Atlanta by 3 as 10-point dogs in two of their last three home games.  They have only lost one of their last 11 home games by double-digits, which was against the Spurs.  That's a 10-1 angle supporting the Suns.  Take Phoenix.

6* Mountain West Game of the Week on New Mexico -2.5

The Key: The New Mexico Lobos are one of the best teams in the Mountain West this season.  They have gone 6-2 in conference play, and they are coming off an impressive 88-83 road win at Boise State as 8-point dogs.  The Lobos now return home where they have one of the best home-court advantages in the country.  They are 9-2 at home this seaosn, winning by an average of 15.8 points per game.  The UNLV Rebels are just 2-5 in true road games this year. New Mexico is 10-2 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.  The Lobos are 6-0 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.  The Rebels are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. Take New Mexico.

6* ACC Game of the Week on Florida State -5.5

The Key: The Florida State Seminoles are playing great basketball right now.  They are 4-2 in their last six games overall with all four victories coming by 7 points or more, and one of their losses coming by just 2 points to Pitt.  The NC State Wolfpack are 2-7 in their last 9 games and clearly one of the worst teams in the ACC this season.  Yes, they are coming off an upset home win over Miami, but the Hurricanes were in a big letdown spot off their win over Duke in their previous game.  Florida State already beat NC State 85-78 on the road in their first meeting this season.  Now they get the Wolfpack at home in the rematch and should cover this 5.5-point spread with ease.  The Seminoles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  Take Florida State.

7* NBA Non-Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington Wizards +9.5

The Key: The Washington Wizards are one of those rare teams that plays better on the road than at home.  They are 10-15 at home compared to 11-9 on the road this season.  They just upset the Houston Rockets on the road in their last game on Saturday night, and I look for them to give the Oklahoma City Thunder a run for their money tonight.  The Thunder have been overvalued quite a bit recently.  They are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.  They won 4 of the 5, but all 4 wins came by 8 points or less over Dallas (by 3), New York (by 6), Minnesota (by 3) and Houston (by 8).  I look for the Wizards to stay within double-digits tonight as well.  Washington is 12-4 ATS as an underdog if 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.  Oklahoma City is 0-7 ATS vs. good 3-point shooting teams who make 36% or more of their shots this season.  The Thunder are 1-11 ATS vs. teams who allow 46% or better shooting to their opponents this season.  Take Washington.

7* Warriors/Knicks Non-Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on New York +10.5

The Key: I'll gladly fade the Golden State Warriors tonight.  They are overvalued due to having the best record in the NBA.  They needed a last-second 3-pointer to beat the lowly 76ers on the road 108-105 last night.  Now, they'll be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, putting them in a tough rest situation.  The New York Knicks have been undervalued all season and continue to be as double-digit dogs here.  They are 29-20 ATS in all lined games this season and on the verge of making the playoffs in the East.  New York is 7-0 ATS when playing against a team with a winning percentage of greater than 70% this season.  Golden State is 3-13 ATS when playing against a losing team in the 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.  Take New York.

6* Big Ten Game of the Week on Illinois +2.5

The Key: The Wisconsin Badgers should not be favored on the road against the Illinois Fighting Illini today.  The Badgers have won three in a row coming in, which is why they are overvalued, but two of those victories came at home and the other was against Penn State.  The Fighting Illini has been playing better of late with recent wins over both Purdue and Minnesota, and a narrow loss to Ohio State.  The Badgers are just 2-3 in true road games this season.  The Fighting Illini are 6-0 ATS in home games after playing a game as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.  Take Illinois.

6* Spurs/Cavs ABC National TV *Annihilator* on Cleveland +2

The Key: A lot has been made of the Cavs' poor record against the elite teams in the Western Conference this season.  They are 0-3 against the Spurs and Warriors, and they certainly want to help their reputation with a win Saturday.  They already nearly beat the Spurs in a 95-99 road loss at 6-point dogs on January 14.  Now they get their chance at revenge just two weeks later, but the difference is that they'll be at home this time around.  The Cavs are 18-3 at home this season, while all seven of the Spurs' losses this year have come on the road.  The Spurs were torched 90-120 at Golden State in their last road game.  They're still expected to be without Tim Duncan Saturday, which is a big blow.  The Cavaliers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Take Cleveland.

7* MAC GAME OF THE YEAR on Western Michigan -2

The Key: The Western Michigan Broncos are simply a superior team to the Eastern Michigan Eagles and should be favored by more Saturday.  They have crushed the likes of Northern Illinois (83-69) and Buffalo (91-71) at home recently, and another blowout can be expected here.  Eastern Michigan is 0-4 in its last four games overall,  The Eagles are 3-7 on the road this season with their only wins coming at Nebraska-Omaha, Coppin State and Central Michigan.  But the biggest reason I like the Broncos is the fact that they are 17-2 SU in their last 19 home meetings with the Eagles.  They simply do not lose at home to little brother, Eastern Michigan.  Take Western Michigan.

6* Big 12/SEC Challenge *CA$H COW* on Texas -1

The Key: Shaka Smart has the Texas Longhorns playing as well as anyone in the Big 12 right now.  They have won 4 of their last 5 games overall with a 94-91 home win over Iowa State, a 74-69 home win over Oklahoma State, a 56-49 upset road win at West Virginia, and a 71-54 home win over TCU.  The Longhorns' only loss during this stretch came at Kansas by a final of 67-76 in a game they led most the way until the final few minutes.  Vanderbilt is just 1-5 in true road games this season and shouldn't only be a 1-point dog here.  Texas is 10-1 at home this season.  It just has to win to cover this slim 1-point spread.  Take Texas.

7* NBA Non-Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Dallas Mavericks -8.5

The Key: The Dallas Mavericks are in need of a win after losing 3 of their last 4.  Their 3 losses during this stretch have come against the Thunder, Rockets and Warriors.  Now the schedule softens up as they host the Nets and look to improve upon their 14-7 ATS record in home games this year.  I expect the Mavs to roll by double-digits against a Nets team that is just 2-11 SU & 2-10-1 ATS in its last 13 games overall.  The Nets have lost 7 of their last 9 games by at least 12 points, so they have been blown out on the regular.  The Mavs are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring 105 points or more.  Take Dallas.

6* Atlantic 10 Game of the Week on George Washington -5

The Key: The George Washington Colonials are one of the biggest contenders to win the Atlantic 10 this season.  One reason for that is their sensational home-court advantage.  The Colonials are 11-0 at home this season with wins over the likes of Virginia and Rhode Island.  They last played on January 22, getting five days off in between games.  Now they take on a mediocre 10-8 Richmond team that last played on January 25 in a 70-78 home loss to Davidson, getting only two days off in between games.  That extra rest will be a big reason the Colonials roll to victory tonight.  Richmond is 0-7 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.  The Spiders are 1-8 ATS off a home loss over the last 3 years.  The Colonials are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 home games.  Take George Washington.

7* Knicks/Raptors TNT National TV *Annihilator* on New York +10

The Key: The Toronto Raptors have won 9 straight games coming into this showdown with the New York Knicks.  As a result, they are more overvalued than they've been at any other point this season.  They have no business laying 10 points to the New York Knicks tonight.  The Knicks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 1 days' rest and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games vs. teams who win at least 60% of their games.  The Raptors are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games.  The Knicks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings with the Raptors.  Take New York.

6* Missouri Valley Game of the Week on Southern Illinois +2.5

The Key: The Southern Illinois Salukis are the most underrated team in the Missouri Valley Conference this season.  They are 18-3 and legitimate contenders to win the conference.  They have won 10 of their last 11 games overall with their only loss coming to Wichita State.  Evansville is an MVC contender as well, but it should not be favored on the road here.  That's especially the case considering it's coming off a 17-point loss at Indiana State.  The Purple Aces are also in a lookahead spot here as they have a huge home game coming up against Wichita State on Sunday, and they will certainly be overlooking the Salukis tonight as a result.  The Salukis are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  The Salukis are 36-16 ATS in their last 52 games following a straight up win.  The home team is 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings.  The Salukis are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 home meetings with Evansville.  Take Southern Illinois.

7* Rockets/Spurs ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston +10

The Key: The San Antonio Spurs are coming off a deflating 90-120 loss at Golden State on Monday.  I fully expect them to suffer a hangover from that defeat as it was their biggest game of the season.  They are still expected to be without Tim Duncan, which is a huge blow.  Now they have to take on a Rockets team that is playing its best ball of the season coming in.  The Rockets should not be 10-point dogs in this game considering they have gone 9-3 in their last 12 games overall.  Houston always plays San Antonio tough, going 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings.  The Rockets are 40-20 ATS in their last 60 games off a road win by 3 points or less.  Take Houston.

6* SEC Game of the Week on Arkansas +3

The Key: It's like night and day for the Arkansas Razorbacks when it comes to playing home and away.  They are a dominant home team at 8-2 on the season, but awful on the road with a 1-8 record.  But they've even been more competitive on the road of late as they lost to Dayton by 4, LSU by 2 and Georgia by 3 while also beating Missouri by 33 in 4 of their last 5 road games.  But now they get Texas A&M at home, and I like their chances of pulling off the upset.  The Aggies could be looking ahead to their showdown with highly-ranked Iowa State on Saturday.  They have opened 7-0 in conference play and are clearly overvalued as a result.  The Aggies are 0-9 ATS in road games when playing just their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 3 seasons.  The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.  Take Arkansas.

6* ACC Game of the Week on Clemson -1.5

The Key: The Clemson Tigers keep winning but they keep getting no respect from oddsmakers.  I like the value we are getting with them as only 1.5-point home favorites tonight.  They have gone 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall.  They are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games with their only loss coming by 7 points at Virginia.  They have beaten Florida State, Louisville, Duke and Miami at home during this stretch, and those four results alone show that they are the real deal.  The Tigers also won at Syracuse on the road.  Pitt has lost two of its last four in blowout fashion with a 17-point home loss to NC State and an 18-point loss at Louisville.  Pitt is 0-6 ATS after covering 2 of its last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.  Pitt is 1-8 ATS off a conference win over the last 2 years.  The Panthers are 6-22 ATS in their last 28 games following a win.  The Tigers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Take Clemson.

6* Xavier/Providence Big East *CA$H COW* on Xavier -1.5

The Key: The Providence Friars are in the ultimate letdown spot tonight.  They are coming off their biggest win of the season, an 82-76 (OT) victory at Villanova on Sunday.  Now they must play just 2 days later and will be mentally and physically fatigued.  The Xavier Musketeers last played on Saturday, so they have had 3 days to get ready for Providence, which is a big advantage given the short turnaround for both teams.  Xavier is 17-2 on the season and one of the most underrated teams in college basketball.  The Musketeers will have a couple key advantages in this one.  They shoot 36.1 percent from 3-point range, while Providence shoots just 31.1 percent.  The Musketeers have a plus-9.6 rebounding margin on the season, while the Friars are plus-2.2.  The Musketeers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  The Friars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  Take Xavier.

7* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Indiana Pacers +1.5

The Key: It's safe to say that the Indiana Pacers won't be lacking any motivation tonight when they host the Los Angeles Clippers.  That's because they have lost 5 of their last 6 games overall, which isn't surprising considering 5 of their last 6 games were on the road.  Now they have had 2 days off since a loss to the Kings on Saturday.  That's important because the Pacers are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 2 days' rest.  The Pacers are 13-6 at home this season and 13-5 in their last 18 home meetings with the Los Angeles Clippers.  I really like getting them as home underdogs tonight in a game I have them winning outright with ease.  Take Indiana.

6* K-State/WVU Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Kansas State +10.5

The Key: Kansas State is a much better team than its 2-5 record in Big 12 play would suggest.  Four of its five losses have come by 10 points or fewer with a 4-point loss to WVU, a 3-point loss at Texas, a 10-point loss at Oklahoma, and a 7-point loss at Baylor.  As you can see, the Wildcats played three of the best teams in the Big 12 in Oklahoma, Baylor and Texas all tough on the road.  They also played WVU tough at home, and now will be out for revenge from that 4-point loss.  That factor will have them staying within this massive 10.5-point spread.  The Mountaineers have not played well since back-to-back games against Oklahoma and Kansas took a lot out of them.  They lost at home to Texas by 7, and then trailed by 4 with just under a minute remaining at Texas Tech, only to miraculously pull out a 4-point win.  Kansas State has not lost to West Virginia by more than 10 points in any of their last 8 meetings, making for an 8-0 angle backing the Wildcats.  Take Kansas State.

7* Spurs/Warriors Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Golden State -5

The Key: The Golden State Warriors are already the best team in the NBA at 40-4.  They are also healthy coming into this huge showdown with the San Antonio Spurs tonight.  The same cannot be said for the Spurs, who are expected to be without Tim Duncan due to a knee injury.  LaMarcus Aldridge is also battling a back injury that kept him out last game, though he's expected to play tonight.  I just don't give the Spurs much of a chance at all in this game without Duncan.  The Warriors are 20-0 at home this season, outscoring opponents by 15.8 points per game.  All six of the Spurs' losses have come on the road this year.  Golden State is 20-7 ATS when playing on two days' rest over the last three seasons.  Bets against road underdogs who score 99+ points/game on the season against opponent after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half are 54-14 ATS over the last 5 years.  Take Golden State.

6* Sun Belt Game of the Week on Appalachian State -3.5

The Key: This is a battle between two of the worst teams in the Sun Belt in Georgia Southern (6-11) and Appalachian State (5-13).  But I like what I've seen from Appalachian State a lot more this season.  The Mountaineers have played a much tougher schedule with just 6 home games compared to 12 road games.  They have played much better since Sun Belt play started.  They are 3-1 in their last 4 games overall with blowout home wins over Texas State (76-56), and Georgia State (76-67), plus a big road win at Arkansas State (86-72).  This is a team that only lost by 4 to Texas-Arlington the game prior to this 3-1 straight, which may be the best team in the Sun Belt.  Georgia Southern is 1-8 in all road games this season, getting outscored by 13.4 points per game.  The home team has won 9 of the last 11 meetings.  The Mountaineers have won 9 of their last 12 home meetings with the Eagles.  Georgia Southern is 0-6 ATS after playing a road game this season.  The Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.  The Mountaineers are 36-17-1 ATS in their last 54 Monday games.  Take Appalachian State.

7* NFL Playoffs GAME OF THE YEAR on Arizona Cardinals +3

The Key: The Arizona Cardinals are the best team in the NFL, period.  They should not be underdogs to the Carolina Panthers in the NFC Championship in a game that I fully expect them to win outright.  For starters, the Cardinals are 7-1 on the road this season, outscoring teams by a whopping 14.0 points per game.  They actually play better on the road because they use a silent count offensively.  The Cardinals are 1st in the NFL in total offense and 5th in total defense.  They are 2nd in passing offense at 289 yards per game.  Their passing attack will be the difference in this one because Carolina does not defend the pass well.  The Panthers have a make-shift secondary now with all of the injuries they have suffered, and they have two of the worst safeties in the NFL.  Carson Palmer and company will take advantage of a Carolina defense that has allowed 310 passing yards per game in its last 3 contests.  The Cardinals are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 of their last 3 games coming in.  Take Arizona.

6* Patriots/Broncos AFC Championship *CA$H COW* on Denver +3

The Key: The Broncos are home underdogs to the New England Patriots when they shouldn't be.  We're getting some great value here with the Broncos catching a full field goal at home.  After all, the home team has dominated this series.  The home team is 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.  The Broncos beat the Patriots 30-24 at home earlier this season in overtime.  But that game never should have went to OT as the Broncos outgained the Patriots 433 to 301 and by 132 total yards.  The Broncos have the best defense in the NFL and that defense will lead them to the Super Bowl.  Don't underestimate Peyton Manning, either, as he had a better game against the Steelers than his numbers showed due to 7 dropped passes from his receivers.  The Broncos have the better running game as well.  I'll side with the better defense, the better running game, and home-field advantage in this one.  Take Denver.

6* Pac-12 Game of the Week on USC -2

The Key: The USC Trojans have opened 15-4 this season and have beaten some very good teams along the way, including Arizona State, Arizona and UCLA.  They have gone 10-2 in their last 12 games, but they are coming off a tough loss at Oregon, so they'll want to get back in the win column today to avoid a second consecutive defeat.  The Oregon State Beavers are just 11-6 on the season and 0-3 in their last three games overall.  The Beavers have dropped to 5-14 ATS in their last 19 conference games.  The Trojans are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS loss, and 16-6-1 ATS in their last 23 games overall.  Take USC.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Sacramento Kings -3

The Key: The Sacramento Kings have won a season-high four straight games while going a perfect 4-0 ATS in the process to grab ahold of the 8th and final playoff spot in the Western Conference.  They have gone on the road and beaten the Jazz, Clippers and Lakers, while also topping the Hawks at home during this stretch.  Look for them to get their 5th straight win tonight as only 3-point home favorites over the Indiana Pacers.  The Pacers will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 110-122 loss at Golden State last night.  After playing the defending champs, they won't be able to get up for the Kings one night later.  The Pacers are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 0 days rest.  Indiana is 1-8 ATS revenging a home loss against an opponent this season.  The Kings have won three straight meetings with the Pacers.  Take Sacramento.

7* WCC GAME OF THE YEAR on Gonzaga -11

The Key: The Gonzaga Bulldogs are pissed off after blowing a big lead late against St. Mary's on Thursday.  They will respond in a big way Saturday on the road at lowly Pacific, which is just 6-12 on the season.  Gonzaga has owned Pacific, going 5-0 SU & 3-2 ATS in the last 5 meetings with all 5 victories coming by 12 points or more.  The Bulldogs have won those 5 meetings by 12, 31, 17, 22 and 18 points.  Take Gonzaga.

6* Vanderbilt/Kentucky SEC *CA$H COW* on Vanderbilt +5

The Key: The Vanderbilt Commodores may very well be the best team in the SEC.  Oddsmakers setting this line at only 5 points shows that as Kentucky has owned the SEC since John Calipari took over.  But I look for the Commodores to get a signature win today on the road.  They are back on track with three straight blowout victories over Auburn (75-57), Alabama (71-63) and Tennessee (88-74).  Kentucky is 1-9 ATS vs. teams who force 12 or fewer turnovers per game over the last 2 seasons.  Take Vanderbilt.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on New York Knicks +2

The Key: This is a very tough spot for the Los Angeles Clippers.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after losing to the Cleveland Cavaliers 102-115 on the road last night.  Now they have to travel out for New York.  After facing the top team in the Eastern Conference in the Cavs, the Clippers will have a very hard time getting motivated to face the Knicks.  But these Knicks have been playing about as well as anyone in the Eastern Conference over the last few weeks.  They are 7-3 SU & 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  All three losses came on the road to the Spurs by 1, the Nets by 6 and the Grizzlies by 8.  The Knicks are 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.  New York is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 vs. a team that wins more than 60% of his games.  Take New York.

7* NBA Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Orlando Magic -4

The Key: The Orlando Magic are desperate for a victory tonight after losing 8 of their last 9 games overall to fall below .500 at 20-21 on the season.  It's safe to say that they'll be extremely hungry for a win tonight given the situation.  They should be able to get it against a Charlotte Hornets team that has struggled just as much, going 2-10 in their last 12 games overall.  The Hornets have a plethora of injuries as they are missing three starters in Al Jefferson, Nicolas Batum and Cody Zeller, so it's understandable that they are struggling right now.  They may also be without Jeremy Lamb, who is questionable after missing the last five games.  The Hornets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games.  The Magic are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Friday games.  Take Orlando.

6* Sun Belt Game of the Week on South Alabama +16

The Key: The UL-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (7-8) have no business being favored by 16 points over the South Alabama Jaguars (7-10) Thursday.  South Alabama just beat the best team in the Sun Belt in Texas-Arlington 88-85 at home as 12-point underdogs to show what they are capable of.  The Jaguars have only lost two games by more than 15 points this season.  Six of Lafayette's eight losses have come by double-digits.  South Alabama owns Lafayette, going 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS in its last seven meetings with the Ragin' Cajuns.  The underdog is 10-3-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings.  The Jaguars are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.  Take South Alabama.

7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on New Orleans Pelicans -2

The Key: The New Orleans Pelicans have won 3 of their last 4 games coming into this one.  Now that they're healthy, they have been playing better and will be motivated to make a push for that final playoff spot in the Western Conference.  I love getting them as only 2-point home favorites here against the Detroit Pistons.  The Pistons will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a draining 123-114 win at Houston last night.  They won't have much left in the tank here, while the Pelicans had yesterday off and will be the fresher team.  The Pelicans are 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings with the Pistons, and 6-0 SU in their last 6 home meetings with Detroit as well.  This has simply been a bad matchup for the Pistons in recent years.  Take New Orleans.

7* Warriors/Bulls ESPN *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 215

The Key: The oddsmakers have set a very big total for this game between the Warriors and Bulls tonight.  I believe the value to be on the UNDER at 215 points in this one.  For starters, this game will be played on National TV, so the defensive intensity will be higher than normal.  Both teams are coming off high-scoring games that have inflated this total with the Warriors scoring 132 against Cleveland and the Bulls scoring 111 against Detroit.  But the real key here is that the Bulls and Warriors have combined for 214 or fewer points at the end of regulation in 13 straight meetings. That's a 13-0 system backing the UNDER when factoring in this total set of 215.  Take the UNDER.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Charlotte Hornets +10

The Key: This is an awful spot for the Oklahoma City Thunder, who will be playing the second of a back-to-back after beating Denver 110-104 on the road last night.  They will also be playing their 6th game in 9 days tonight.  The Hornets are getting healthier and playing better of late as a result.  They've gone 3-1 ATS in their last three games overall with a 23-point win over Atlanta and a 5-point win over Utah highlighted.  Bets on road underdogs after allowing 105 points or more in 3 straight games against opponent off a win by 6 points or less are 26-5 ATS over the last 5 seasons.  The Thunder are 5-15 ATS vs. teams with losing records this season.  Take Charlotte.

6* Missouri Valley *CA$H COW* on Northern Iowa +7

The Key: The Northern Iowa Panthers are just the type of team that can upset the Wichita State Shockers.  They play lock-down defense, and their home-court advantage is absolutely enormous.  Remember, this is a Northern Iowa team that upset then-No.1 North Carolina at home.  It also knocked off then-No. 3 Iowa State on a neutral court, so it has proven it can hang with the big boys.  Wichita State is only 5-5 in all road games this season.  The home team is 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings, which includes a 70-54 win by the Panthers last season as 2-point home dogs.  Northern Iowa is 17-5 ATS versus good defensive teams that allow 64 or fewer points per game over the last 2 seasons.  The Panthers are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 home games.  Take Northern Iowa.

7* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Milwaukee Bucks +5

The Key: The Milwaukee Bucks have really picked up their play here of late.  They have gone 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.  They have beaten the likes of Dallas, Chicago and Atlanta during this stretch, while also winning on the road in Charlotte by 13 points.  This is a team to be reckoned with going forward.  The Miami Heat are not playing well at all as they've lost 4 of their last 5 games.  Yes, they are coming off a 6-game road trip, so that has a lot to do with it.  But that first home game back from a long road trip is always a difficult spot.  Players are more concerned about family obligations when they get back from the trip rather than playing basketball.  The Heat are 7-22 ATS in their last 29 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.  Milwaukee has Miami's number, going 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.  The Bucks are 17-4 ATS after playing a game as a road underdog this season.  Take Milwaukee.

6* Kansas/Oklahoma State ESPN2 National TV *Annihilator* on Oklahoma State +9.5

The Key: The Oklahoma State Cowboys aren't as good as they have been in year's past, but they are good enough to stay within single-digits of the Kansas Jayhawks in Stillwater tonight.  After opening with a 69-48 home win over TCU in Big 12 play, the Cowboys have gone 0-4 in their last four conference games, which has them undervalued here.  But three of those were on the road against Baylor, WVU and Texas, while the other was only a 2-point home loss to top-ranked Oklahoma.  So the Cowboys are actually +19 in point differential in their two Big 12 home games.  They have given Kansas fits in Stillwater in recent years, too.  They won 67-62 as 1-point home dogs last season and 72-65 as 1.5-point home favorites two years ago.  Kansas hasn't beaten Oklahoma State by more than 10 points in any of the last 7 meetings.  The Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.  The Jayhawks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 Big 12 games.  The Cowboys are 6-0 ATS in home games after playing a game as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.  The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.  Take Oklahoma State.

6* Oklahoma/Iowa State Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Iowa State -1.5

The Key: The Iowa State Cyclones rarely lose at home, which is why they are showing good value as only 1.5-point home favorites against the Oklahoma Sooners tonight.  The Cyclones only lost by 4 at Oklahoma in their first meeting this season, and they should have no problem returning the favor at home this time around.  After all, the home team is 8-0 straight up in the last 8 meetings.  The Cyclones are 24-4 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less in their last 28 tries as well.  Take Iowa State.

7* Warriors/Cavs TNT *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 209

The Key: Oddsmakers have set the bar too high tonight in this NBA Finals rematch between the Golden State Warriors and Cleveland Cavaliers.  It's clear that the intensity level will be very high in this game, and that will favor the defenses.  These teams are obviously familiar with one another after playing in the NBA Finals last season and once already this year, so that also favors the defenses.  The first meeting between these teams on Christmas Day was very low-scoring as well.  The Warriors beat the Cavs 89-83 for 172 combined points.  They have combined for 208 or fewer points in all 7 meetings since Game 1 of the NBA Finals, and 195 or fewer points in five of those.  Cleveland is 12-0 UNDER off a non-conference game this season.  Take the UNDER.

7* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Oklahoma City Thunder -9.5

The Key: The Oklahoma City Thunder are absolutely rolling right now and should continue their solid play Sunday with a double-digit victory over the Miami Heat.  They are 5-1 in their last six games overall with three wins by 18, 19 and 20 points.  Those three blowout wins all came at home.  Now they get to face a Heat team that is banged up right now.  The Heat are without starting PG Goran Dragic, and they could be without Dwyane Wade, who is listed as questionable.  The Thunder won their last home meeting with the Heat 93-75 as 4-point favorites.  Miami is 4-17 ATS in its last 21 games off a road win.  The Heat are 14-38-2 ATS in their last 54 games following a straight up win.  Take Oklahoma City.

6* Seahawks/Panthers NFC *CA$H COW* on Seattle +2.5

The Key: Seattle did not look good against Minnesota, but that had everything to do with the below zero temperatures.  The weather is expected to be great in Carolina this weekend, so look for Russell Wilson to get back on track.  All he's done is throw 25 touchdowns and only 2 interceptions in his last 8 games overall.  Now he gets to go up against a Carolina secondary that is decimated by injuries right now.  He'll be chomping at the bit at a chance at revenge on Carolina, which overcame a 9-point deficit in the final 4 minutes to beat the Seahawks 27-23 in Seattle in their first meeting this year.  That was a rare win for Carolina in this series.  The Seahawks are still 5-1 SU & 4-2 ATS in their last 6 meetings with the Panthers.  They had held Carolina to just 11.8 points per game in their previous 5 meetings.  The Seahawks have been ridiculous defensively on the road of late, giving up just 7.2 points per game in their last 6 road games.  They have only allowed one touchdown to opposing offenses in those 6 road games.  The Panthers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games vs. teams who commit 1 or fewer turnovers per game in the second half of the season.  Take Seattle.

6* NCAAB Saturday Night *BAILOUT* on Boise State -4

The Key: I believe the Boise State Broncos are the best team in the Mountain West.  They are off to a 13-4 start this season, which includes a perfect 9-0 home record.  They are outscoring opponents by nearly 20 points per game at home this year.  The Broncos are 10-0 in their last 10 games overall as well.  San Diego State isn't as good as it has been in year's past, sitting at just 11-6 on the season.  The Broncos won 61-46 and 56-46 in their two meetings with the Aztecs last season, and now they have most of their team back from last year.  The Broncos are 16-3 ATS versus teams who commit 14 or fewer turnovers per game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.  SDSU is 2-13 ATS in its last 15 games when playing just its 2nd game in 8 days.  The Broncos are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 vs. Mountain West.  Boise is 23-10 ATS in its last 33 games overall.  The Aztecs are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.  Take Boise State.

7* Packers/Cardinals NFC Playoffs GAME OF THE YEAR on Green Bay +7

The Key: It's so tough to beat a team like the Packers twice in the same season.  That's what the Cardinals are tasked with doing in the NFC Divisional Round.  They just crushed the Packers 38-8 in Week 16, but I think that result has them laying too many points here in the rematch.  The Packers figured something out against the Redskins that worked, which was the hurry-up offense.  It led to a 35-7 run by the Packers to close out that game, and I think it's going to work against the Cardinals as well.  The Packers are healthier along the offensive line now than they were when they played the Cardinals three weeks ago.  Aaron Rodgers was under duress all game, but he won't be now with improved O-line play and the help of the hurry-up offense.  The Cardinals are just 1-5 ATS in their last six home games, and they're only outscoring opponents by 2.0 points per game on average in those six contests.  The Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 playoff road games.  Arizona is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.  Take Green Bay.

6* NBA *Total* Annihilator on Nets/Hawks UNDER 205.5

The Key: Based on the recent history between the Nets and Hawks, it's clear that oddsmakers have inflated this total tonight.  Both teams are coming off high-scoring games last night, but the Hawks only went over the total against the Bucks due to overtime.  Those two high scoring games have forced oddsmakers to inflate this total as well.  The UNDER is 3-0 in the last 3 meetings with combined scores of 178, 188 and 198 points.  That's an average of 188.0 combined points per game, which is 17.5 points less than this 205.5-point total.  Take the UNDER.

6* Chiefs/Patriots AFC *CA$H COW* on New England -5

The Key: The two weeks off have done the Patriots wonders.  They did not finish the season the way they wanted to, but a lot of that had to do with injuries.  I think that poor finish has them actually undervalued at home for once as only 5-point favorites over the Chiefs.  The Chiefs are obviously overvalued right now because they have won 11 straight games coming in.  But they've only beaten 3 playoff teams during this 11-game winning streak.  One was Pittsburgh without Ben Roethlisberger, one was Denver in a game Peyton Manning got injured, and another was Houston and the worthless Brian Hoyer, who committed five turnovers on his own.  The Chiefs have been winning the turnover battle, which has been the key to their success.  But now they must face a team that doesn't turn it over in the Patriots, and they aren't going to have this game go their way as a result.  The Patriots have only committed 14 turnovers in 16 games this year.  Julian Edelman, Sebastian Volmer, Chandler Jones and Dont'a Hightower are all expected to be ready to go this week thanks to the extra time off.  Meanwhile, Kansas City could be without its top target in Jeremy Maclin, who suffered a nasty high ankle sprain in the win over Houston.  The Chiefs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 playoff games.  The Patriots are 36-17-1 ATS in their last 54 games following a loss.  The Patriots are 12-3-2 ATS in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  Take New England.

7* NBA Situational GAME OF THE YEAR on Dallas Mavericks -1.5

The Key: The Chicago Bulls could not be in a worse spot tonight.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 4th game in 5 days.  They went to overtime against the 76ers last night before pulling out a 115-111 victory.  I don't see them having much left to give tonight against the Dallas Mavericks.  The Mavs will be the more energized team in this one considering they've had essentially two days' rest in between games.  Rick Carlisle rested his starters against the Thunder on Wednesday, and now those starters should respond by out-hussling the Bulls for four quarters.  The Mavs are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games after trailing their previous game by 15 points or more at the half.  The Bulls are 8-24 ATS in their last 32 games following a road win.  Take Dallas.

6* Cavs/Spurs TNT National TV *Annihilator* on San Antonio -5.5

The Key: The San Antonio Spurs are the best home team in the NBA.  They are 22-0 SU & 16-6 ATS at home this season, outscoring opponents by a ridiculous 16.1 points per game.  I look for them to continue to roll tonight as reasonable 5.5-point home favorites over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  Cleveland will be playing its 5th road games on a 6-game trip, making this a very tough spot.  The Spurs are 16-3 ATS in their last 19 home games after playing a game as a road favorite.  Cleveland is 4-16 ATS in its last 16 road games vs. good rebounding teams who outrebound their opponents by 3 or more boards per game.  The Spurs are 10-1 ATS versus teams who make 36% or more of their 3-point attempts this season.  The Cavs are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.  The Spurs are 44-19 ATS in their last 63 games overall, including 25-9 ATS in their last 34 home games.  Take San Antonio.

7* Pac-12 GAME OF THE MONTH on Arizona State -8.5

The Key: The Arizona State Sun Devils are going to be hungry for a victory tonight when they host the Washington State Cougars.  They have lost three straight coming into this game to open 0-3 within the conference.  But those three losses came to three of the best teams in the Pac-12 with a home loss to Arizona, and road losses to both USC and UCLA.  They were competitive in all three games as all three losses came by 12 points or less.  Now they get the opportunity to get on track against one of the worst teams in Pac-12 in Washington State.  The Cougars are 1-2 in conference play despite playing three games at home.  They will now be playing just their second true road game of the season.  Their first was ugly as they were upset at Idaho 74-78 despite being 8.5-point favorites.  Arizona State is 12-5 SU & 13-4 ATS in its last 17 home meetings with Washington State.  The Cougars are 9-21-4 ATS in their last 34 road games.  The home team is 15-3 ATS in the last 18 meetings.  The Cougars are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 visits to ASU.  Take Arizona State.

6* SEC Game of the Week on Ole Miss +10.5

The Key: The LSU Tigers have been overvalued ever since beating the Kentucky Wildcats at home a week ago.  They are went on the road and lost at Florida on Saturday, and now they're being asked to lay 10.5 points to a very good Ole Miss team, which is too much.  Ole Miss is 12-3 this season and has won nine of its last 10 games coming in.  That includes home wins over Alabama and Georgia as well as a road win at Memphis.  Ole Miss is 12-4 ATS in all road games over the last two seasons.  The Rebels are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 road games vs. teams who commit 14 or fewer turnovers per game.  Take Ole Miss.

7* NBA Western Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH on T'Wolves/Rockets OVER 204.5

The Key: When the Timberwolves and Rockets get together, it usually results in a high-scoring affair.  In fact, the OVER is 6-0 in the last six meetings between these teams with six straight combined scores of 214 or more points.  They have combined for 230, 215, 226, 214, 222 and 235 points in their last 6 meetings, respectively.  That's an average of 223.7 combined points per game, which is 19.2 points more than this posted total of 204.5.  Take the OVER.

7* NBA Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Cavs/Mavs OVER 198

The Key: With Kyrie Irving back in the lineup, the Cleveland Cavaliers are hitting on all cylinders offensively.  They have scored 104, 122, 121, 125 and 95 points in their last 5 games overall.  That 95-point effort was the result of a poor shooting night in which they shot just 38.9% against the 76ers, but that's not likely to happen again.  The Mavs have scored at least 100 points in 6 of their last 10 games coming in.  Recent meetings between these teams indicate that this total has been set too low.  The Mavs and Cavs have combined for at least 199 points in 4 straight meetings.  They are averaging 212.5 combined points/game over their last 4 meetings.  That's 14.5 points more than this 198-point total.  Take the OVER.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Boston Celtics -1

The Key: The Boston Celtics have lost 5 of their last 6 games.  They clearly want a win to end this skid, especially after blowing a 20-point lead in a loss at Memphis on Sunday.  They now get to take on a hot Knicks team that has gone 4-1 in its last 5 games, but one that is getting too much respect from the books now.  The Celtics are 4-0 in their last four meetings with the Knicks with an average victory of 11.3 points per game.  Boston is 13-1 ATS in its last 14 road games after two straight games where it allowed at least 100 points.  Take Boston.

6* Big East Game of the Week on DePaul +18.5

The Key: Xavier is finally starting to get the respect it deserves from oddsmakers.  It opened 9-3 ATS in its last 12 lined games and was undervalued.  But now the reverse is true as the Musketeers are overvalued after that start, and it's shown with a 1-2 ATS mark in their last three games.  They lost 64-95 at Villanova as 6.5-point dogs, and only won 74-66 at St. John's as 15-point favorites in their two non-covers.  Now they are being asked to lay 18.5 points to DePaul tonight, which is simply too much.  DePaul has opened 0-4 in Big East play, but its losses have come by 12, 4, 5 and 11 points.  It has been competitive, and it will hang with the Musketeers four 40 minutes tonight to stay within this spread.  The Musketeers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.  Take DePaul.

7* Alabama/Clemson NCAAF Championship *HEAVY HITTER* on Clemson +7

The Key: The Clemson Tigers are the No. 1 ranked team in the country and have been for most of the season.  Yet they are underdogs in both of their playoff games.  They made a statement with their 37-17 blowout of Oklahoma, and now they'll make another statement now that they've been listed as 7-point dogs to the Crimson Tide.  These players are fully aware that they are underdogs and used that as motivation against Oklahoma, and they'll do so again here.  Clemson is outgaining teams by 209.7 yards per game this season, which is the top mark in the country, and shows that it is the best team as well.  Alabama is outgaining teams by 167.1 yards per game, which is impressive, but still a far cry from Clemson.  Deshaun Watson is going to be the difference as he has rushed for 100-plus yards in three straight games coming in.  The Crimson Tide have not done well against dual-threat quarterbacks in the past, and they'll struggle to contain Watson here.  The Tigers have won each of their last four bowl games outright as underdogs, and they're 6-0 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.  Take Clemson.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Washington Wizards +8

The Key: One of these teams has struggled of late while the other is rolling.  That has forced the oddsmakers to shade the line toward the team that is rolling, creating some value on the team that is struggling.  The Wizards have lost 5 of their last 7 games, while the Bulls have won 6 of their last 7.  The Bulls may win again tonight, but asking them to do so by 8-plus points is asking too much.  The Wizards have actually played their best basketball on the road this season as they are 8-8 SU & 9-7 ATS.  They just won 105-99 at Orlando, and I like them to stay with the Bulls tonight, possibly pulling off the upset.  After all, the Wizards are 6-3 SU & 6-3 ATS in their last 9 meetings with the Bulls, so they clearly match up well with them.  The Wizards are 41-23 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.  The Bulls are 3-11 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season.  The Wizards are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 vs. Eastern Conference teams and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games.  The Wizards are also 8-1 ATS in their last 9 trips to Chicago.  Take Washington.

6* Big Ten Game of the Week on Illinois +9

The Key: The betting public wants nothing to do with Illinois after it was crushed 54-79 at Michigan State last time out.  The betting public is quick to back the Purdue Boilermakers after they throttled Michigan 87-70 at home last time out.  Well, I think it's now time to get the Fighting Illini at a discount as 9-point home dogs to the Boilermakers.  For starters, Kendrick Nunn, who leads the team at 18.5 points per game this season, missed the Michigan State game.  But Nunn is expected to return today and will help the Illini stay within this number and possibly pull off the upset.  Five of last six meetings were decided by 9 points or less, and Illinois has not lost to Purdue by more than 8 points in the last six meetings.  Add it all up, and the value is clearly on the Fighting Illini at home Sunday.  Take Illinois.

7* Packers/Redskins NFC *HEAVY HITTER* on Green Bay +1

The Key: The Washington Redskins won one of the worst divisions in football in the NFC East.  They played 14 teams that didn't make the playoffs and only 2 teams that did, and they were blown out by 28 points by Carolina and by 17 points by New England in those two contests.  The Packers played 7 playoff teams this season to compare, yet still managed to win 10 games.  Yes, they have lost their last 2 games coming in, but that is why they are showing good value here as underdogs to the Redskins.  They are the better team, and they will prove that on the field Sunday.  The Redskins have actually been outgained in 4 of their last 5 games and rank 23rd in yardage differential (-26.8 yards/game) on the season.  The Packers are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings with the Redskins, outscoring them by 15.0 points per game.  Take Green Bay.

6* Seahawks/Vikings NFC *CA$H COW* on Seattle -4

The Key: Recent meetings between the Seahawks and Vikings have been dominated by Seattle, and I see no reason that's going to change Sunday.  The Seahawks have gone 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 meetings with the Vikings, outscoring them by 20.7 points per game in the process.  That includes the 38-7 win at Minnesota earlier this season in which the Seahawks outgained the Vikings by a whopping 308 total yards.  The offense put up 433 while the defense limited the Vikings to just 125.  The Seahawks have given up 13 or fewer points in four of their last five games and are allowing only 11.0 points per game over this stretch.  Russell Wilson has thrown 24 touchdowns and only one interception in his last 7 games, putting up video game-like numbers.  The Seahawks are 8-0 ATS when they have won 4 of their last 5 games coming in over the last 2 years.  Take Seattle.