6* GoDaddy Bowl *CA$H COW* on Arkansas State -3.5
The Key: Kent State is one of the worst pass-defending teams in the country. It ranks 110th in the nation against the pass with 276.5 yards allowed per game, and that doesn't bode well considering it will be up against an explosive Arkansas State offense that ranks 15th in the land with 481.8 yards per game. 262.8 of the Red Wolves' yards come through the air, and they are 7-0 ATS versus poor pass defenses that allow 250 or more passing yards per game over the last 2 seasons. They are also 6-0 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons. Lay the points.

6* NFC Wild Card *CA$H COW* on Seahawks -3
The Key: Defense wins games this time of year, and Seattle definitely has the better defense. The Seahawks finished the season ranks No. 1 in the NFL in scoring defense with 15.3 points allowed per game. They ranked No. 4 in total defense with 306.2 yards allowed per contest. The Redskins, meanwhile, ranked 22nd in scoring defense (24.2 ppg allowed) and 28th in total defense (377.7 ypg allowed). Washington was one of the top offensive teams in the league, but just look at what the Seahawks have done to good offenses lately. Seattle is 6-0 ATS versus good offensive teams that average 24 points or more per game over the last 2 seasons. They have defeated these teams by an average of 7.5 points. The Seahawks are also 7-0 ATS versus good passing teams that average 7 or more passing yards per attempt over the last 2 seasons. They have defeated these foes by an average of 6.4 points. Furthermore, the Seabirds are 7-0 ATS versus good rushing teams that average 4.5 yards or more per carry over the last 2 seasons and have defeated these teams by an average of 10.0 points. Lastly, Seattle is 6-0 ATS all-time in the second half of the season under Pete Carroll versus poor defensive teams that give up 24.0 points or more per game. The Seahawks have won these contests by an average of 20.5 points. Lay the field goal.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Raptors +8
The Key: The Raptors were embarrassed by 20 points at Oklahoma City in the season's first meeting, but they are an impressive 9-1 ATS the last 2 seasons in home games when out for revenge for a road loss of 10 points or more. They have won these contests by an average score of 96.4 to 84.2. The Raptors lost at home to the Kings in their last game but are also an impressive 11-2 ATS in home games following a home loss over the last 2 seasons. They have won by an average score of 98.1 to 92.6 in these spots. Take the points.

7* NFL Wild Card *HEAVY HITTER* on Ravens -6.5
The Key: Hats off to the Colts for a fantastic bounce back season, but the playoffs are a different animal. The Colts are very inexperienced. Nine of their starters have no postseason experience at all. Baltimore, meanwhile, has a roster stacked with playoff experience. Plus, we're talking about a team that is 4-0 in its opening playoff game the past 4 seasons and won each of them by at least 7 points. The Colts will depend on their rookie QB (Luck) in this one. And while he's had a good season, it shouldn't go unnoticed that he's thrown 18 picks and has a passer rating of just 76.5. The Baltimore pass defense has been outstanding down the stretch. It has held each of its last 3 and 5 of its last 7 foes below 200 yards passing. It is very significant that it has held its last 2 opponents below 150 yards passing because the Ravens are 6-0 ATS all-time under coach Harbaugh after giving up 150 or less passing yards in 2 straight games. The Ravens have won by an average of 10.2 points in this situation. Lay the points.

7* NCAAB Game of the Week on Tennessee Tech +14
The Key: Belmont can't be trusted laying this many points on the road with only one day of rest and preparation time. That's because it is 0-7 ATS the last two seasons when playing with one or no days of rest. It has won these games on average but only by 5.8 points. Belmont is being overvalued here because it enters off a double-digit win over a Jacksonville State team that defeated Tennessee Tech by 21 points. Belmont is 0-6 ATS all-time under coach Rick Byrd following a road win of 10 points or more. It has won these games on average but only by 6.6 points. Take the points.

6* Sun Belt *CA$H COW* on Troy +3
The Key: Arkansas-Little Rock can't be trusted on the road where it is 0-5 SU and ATS this season. Troy has lost its last three games but is 16-5 ATS all-time under coach Don Maestri following three or more consecutive losses. The Trojans are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games versus teams that have a winning record. Troy has won or lost by three points or less in five of the last six meetings so I feel it is showing nice value catching three here. Also, the underdog is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Take the points.

6* NFC Wild Card *CA$H COW* on Packers -7.5
The Key: Historically speaking, the numbers aren't in Minnesota's favor. Plays against any team off an upset win over a division rival at home, as long as it has a winning record and is playing another winning team, are 37-13 ATS since 1983. This system is a perfect 3-0 ATS the last 3 seasons. Also, plays on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that are out for revenge for a loss to an opponent and are coming off an upset loss are 61-28 ATS since 1983. This system is 10-1 ATS the last 5 seasons and 2-0 ATS this season. The Packers are 7-1 at home and won this season's home meeting against the Vikes by 9 points despite giving up 240 yards rushing. The Vikings are just 3-5 on the road this season and are 0-3 SU and ATS in their last 3 visits to Lambeau, losing them by an average of 17.0 points. Green Bay was gashed for 217 yards on the ground in Week 17 but is a perfect 6-0 ATS after allowing 175 or more rushing yards in their last game over the last 3 seasons. Lay the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Magic +6.5
The Key: The Magic have lost seven in a row but four of these defeats came by four points or less so they have been competitive. The Knicks are coming off a big win over the Spurs but are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win and 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. They are also 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games versus teams that have a losing record. Take the points.

7* Wild Card Game of the Year on Texans -4.5
The Key: The Bengals closed the season strong but only beat two playoff teams all season. One of those wins came against Washington early in the year before it had rounded into form. The other came in Week 17 versus a Baltimore team that rested its starters the majority of the game. Houston crushed Cincy 31-10 in a wild-card matchup last season and did so without Matt Schaub under center. The Bengals are improved, but so are the Texans. This is one of the most talented teams in the NFL, one a lot of folks picked to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl. I still like its chances. Houston is 4-0 SU and ATS in its last 4 meetings with Cincy dating back to 2008 and has won these by an average of 15.5 points. Houston's running game was way too much for the Bengals to handle in last season's playoff meeting as the Texans rushed for 188 yards. I expect it to be too much again. The Bengals are 9-18 ATS under coach Marvin Lewis versus strong running teams that average 130 yards or more per game on the ground. Lay the points.

7* Bowl Game of the Year on Ole Miss -3
The Key: Pitt took Notre Dame down to the wire but was outgained 522-308 and benefited from 3 turnovers. Overall, Ole Miss played the much tougher schedule and still managed to post as many wins as Pitt. The Rebels played Alabama, Georgia, LSU and Texas A&M and took the latter two right down to the wire. Pitt posted solid defensive numbers but did so against weaker competition. It will have a tough time slowing down an Ole Miss offense that averages 30.9 points and 426.8 ypg. Hugh Freeze's teams are 19-5 ATS all-time at the FBS level and 12-3 ATS in the favorite role. Basically, I feel Ole Miss is showing great value laying a small number against a Pitt team that is being overvalued because of its performance at Notre Dame. A closer look at that one shows it wasn't as close as what the final score looks. Lay the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee Bucks pk
The Key: I'm not hesitating to get behind the Bucks at home in this highly motivated spot. Milwaukee has lost its last 2 but is an impressive 33-16 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses under coach Skiles. It has won these contests by an average of 5.6 points. The Rockets are just 5-8 on the road and 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Bet the Bucks.

7* Cotton Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Oklahoma +3.5
The Key: Johnny Manziel is the Heisman Trophy winner, but I like the experience of Landry Jones in this game. Plus, I don't expect "Johnny Football" to be as effective against a defense that has had over a month to prepare for him, especially without offensive coordinator Kliff Kingsbury calling the plays. The Texas A&M pass defense is suspect as it ranked 84th in the country with 248.4 ypg allowed. Oklahoma, which ranked 5th in passing offense with 340.5 ypg, has the passing attack to take advantage. The Aggies are on a 6-17 ATS slide in road/neutral field games versus excellent passing teams that average 275 or more passing yards per game. The Aggies are also 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games versus a team with a winning record, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 bowl games and 1-9 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games. The Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games. Also, Oklahoma has won each of its last 3 bowl games and 8 of its last 9 matchups against Texas A&M. Take the points.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Rhode Island -9
The Key: Motivated by an 82-59 loss at St. Mary's in its last game, and further fueled by a 65-56 loss at Brown last season, expect Rhode Island to take care of business at home this evening. The Bears are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 road games while the Rams are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games. Also, Rhode Island is 9-1 ATS the last 3 seasons versus teams that carry a winning percentage of 20% to 40%. It has defeated these teams by an average of 10.2 points. Rhode Island is on a 7-0 run at home versus Brown with these wins coming by an average of 13.6 points. Lay the points.

7* Fiesta Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Oregon -7.5
The Key: The Ducks lost one game this season to a very good Stanford team that won the Rose Bowl. They defeated their other 11 opponents by at least 11 points. Oregon is the superior team. K-State will need the Ducks to cough up the football several times to have a chance, and I don't see it happening. Oregon has only committed 3 turnovers in its last 5 games while forcing 17. The fact it has forced at least 2 turnovers in each of its last 5 games is significant. That's because the Ducks are 6-0 ATS all-time under coach Kelly when playing away from home after 5 consecutive games of forcing 2 or more turnovers. They are also 8-0 ATS in road/neutral field games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The Ducks are on a 6-0 ATS run versus teams like K-State that commit 1 or less turnovers/game. They are also 6-0 ATS when playing away from home versus excellent offensive teams that average 6.25 yards or more per play over the last 2 seasons. They have defeated these teams by an average of 17.5 points. Lay the points.

7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Arkansas Little Rock pk
The Key: Motivated by 3 consecutive defeats and hungry to end an 8-game losing streak to Western Kentucky, expect the Trojans to take care of business on their home floor tonight. Arkansas Little Rock is an impressive 18-7-1 ATS in its last 26 games versus a team with a winning S.U. record and 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. Even more impressive is the fact that it is a perfect 6-0 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons. It has won these contests by an average of 3.3 points. Take the Trojans.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on New York Knicks pk
The Key: I'm on the Knicks as a pk but still like them laying a point, which is currently the line at some books, because the edge they have in terms of freshness. Plays on home favorites that are well rested - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days - and are up against an extremely tired team - playing their 4th game in 5 days - are 32-9 ATS the last 5 seasons. The "play on" team has won by an average of 12.7 points in this situation. It is also worth noting that NY is 23-10 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons and has won these games by an average of 6.4 points. The Knicks are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games following a loss and 30-11 ATS in their last 41 home games. The Spurs are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. The Knicks have really made strides defensively under Woodson. As a result, they are even 8-0 ATS under his watch versus good passing teams like the Spurs that averaging 23 assists or more per game. They have defeated these teams by an average 8.7 points. Take the Knicks.

6* NCAAB Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Miami (Florida) -5.5
The Key: Off back-to-back losses on a neutral floor, I expect Miami to bounce back in a big way at home where it is 5-0 on the season with an average winning margin of 15.6 points. The Hurricanes are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games and an amazing 41-17-1 ATS in their last 59 non-conference games. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. Atlantic 10 foes and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games versus teams with a winning percentage above .600. Lay the points.

7* Sugar Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Louisville +14
The Key: Oddsmakers are asking too much of a Florida offense that finished the season ranked 103rd in the nation in total offense with 338.0 yards per game. A Louisville stop unit that ranks a respectable 24th in the country in total defense with 344.8 yards allowed per game should be up for the challenge. The Cardinals have never lost against the spread under coach Strong when matched up against a top-level team that carries a winning percentage greater than 75%. They are a perfect 6-0 ATS versus these foes and have defeated them by an average of 0.4 points. Take the points as Louisville keeps this one closer than the oddsmakers think.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Hornets +10
The Key: Oddsmakers are undervaluing the Hornets here. New Orleans lost by 9 to Atlanta last night, but it has played the Pacers, Spurs, Warriors and Thunder to within 7 points recently. Plus, it has defeated the Rockets or lost to them by 7 points or less in 11 straight meetings. Now, that's an 11-0 trend I can get behind. New Orleans is 29-15 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons and 22-9 ATS in road games when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent over the last 2 seasons. Take the points.

6* Missouri Valley Conference *CA$H COW* on Northern Iowa -6
The Key: The Panthers are tough as nails on their home floor and will be extremely motivated here after getting embarrassed at Wichita State in their last game. Northern Iowa is 6-0 at home this season and has won these games by an average of 19.7 points. It is 11-0 in its last 11 home games dating back to last season and has won these by an average of 15.5 points. The Panthers won last season's home meeting against Indiana State by 17 points as a 5.5-point favorite. Lay the points.

6* NBA Bailout on 76ers +9
The Key: Motivated by back-to-back defeats and an embarrassing 13-point home loss to the Lakers last month, expect the 76ers to give the Lakers all they want and more tonight. The Lakers are a poor 11-22 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. They have won by only 3.3 points on average in these games. They are also 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games following a SU win and 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 games following an ATS win. It is also worth noting that the road team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Take the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Nuggets pk
The Key: Expect LA's 17-game winning streak to come to an end in Denver where the Nuggets are 9-1 this season. The Nuggets will be the fresher team having had 2 days to gear up for this one. I also expect them to be the hungrier team as they look to end a 3-game skid in the series. The Nuggets check in off a loss at Memphis but have been terrific in bounce back spots. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss. They are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games versus teams that have a winning road record. Take Denver.

7* Rose Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Stanford -6
The Key: Take away Wisconsin's running game, and they don't have much to work with offensively. Stanford has the ability to do just that as it ranks 3rd in the country against the run with just 88.0 ypg allowed. The Cardinal are 6-0 ATS all-time under coach Shaw in games played outside Palo Alto versus good offensive teams that average 5.9 yards per play or more. They have defeated these foes by an average of 9.6 points. They are also a perfect 6-0 ATS under Shaw when playing away from home in the second half of the season. They have won these contests by an average of 16.7 points. The Badgers cruised in the Big Ten title game, racking up 70 points on Nebraska, but are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. They are also 0-5 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Lay the points.

6* Capital One Bowl *CA$H COW* on Nebraska +9.5
The Key: Nebraska will be the more motivated team as it looks to save face following an embarrassing loss to Wisconsin in the Big Ten title game. Georgia will have a tough time fully investing in this game knowing how close it came to playing for it all. "We spent ourselves in a worthy cause," coach Mark Richt said in reference to the SEC title game. "We, of course, wanted to play for a national championship. We knew we were just a few yards or a tipped ball, or however you want to say it away from winning it. It was heartbreaking, no doubt. We were highly hurt by it. ... So you have to kind of get over the heartbreak of that." Getting over heartbreak is easier said than done. Nebraska has a formidable running game which ranks 8th in the nation with 254.5 ypg. It poses problems for a Georgia defense that was shredded for 350 yards on 6.9 per carry against Alabama. The Cornhuskers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 20 points and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. The Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Take the points.

6* Outback Bowl "Total" *CA$H COW* on Michigan/South Carolina Under 48
The Key: I'm expecting a relatively low-scoring game here. We have a matchup of two elite defenses that have had over a month to prepare. S. Carolina ranks 12th in the country in scoring defense with 17.4 ppg allowed and Michigan ranks 16th with 18.8 ppg allowed. Neither offense has been that strong as both rank outside the top 79 in total offense. The Under is 4-0 in the Gamecocks' last 4 bowl games and 10-4 in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning record. The Under is 5-2 in the Wolverines' last 7 non-conference games and 12-5 in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning record. Bet the Under.

7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Saint Louis -4
The Key: This is a letdown spot for New Mexico which is coming off a big upset win at Cincinnati. This is a revenge spot, meanwhile, for Saint Louis, which lost by 4 at New Mexico last season. The Billikens are an impressive 14-4 ATS the last 2 seasons versus good teams that outscore their opponents by 4 or more points per game. St. Louis has defeated these foes by an average score of 8.2 points. Lay the points.

7* Liberty Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Tulsa +1.5
The Key: Tulsa lost at Iowa State clear back on Sept. 1, but I expect it to have its revenge in this neutral field battle. The Iowa State defense has struggled this season and those struggles should continue against an explosive Tulsa offense that averages 461.6 yards and 35.0 points per game. It also doesn't help matters that Iowa State is expected to be without star linebacker Jake Knott, who is recovering from a shoulder injury. Tulsa is balanced enough offensively to torch the Cyclones on the ground and through the air. ISU is just 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games played away from home versus teams that average 230 rushing yards or more per game. It has lost these games by an average of 28.8 points. Tulsa ranks 11th in the country in rushing with 241.1 ypg. The Golden Hurricane are also 7-0 ATS the last 3 seasons in games played away from home versus teams that allow their opponents to complete 58% or more of their passes. They have defeated these foes by an average of 13.4 points. ISU has given up a 61.3% completion percentage this season. Take Tulsa.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Pacers +2
The Key: The Grizzlies have struggled on the road of late. They have lost 4 of their last 6 road contests and are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5. It is significant that Memphis checks in with 2 losses in its last 3 games. That's because it is 1-9 ATS in road games after having lost 2 of its last 3 games over the last 2 seasons and has lost by an average of 5.2 points in this situation. The Pacers have been playing well at home where they have won 4 in a row. They check in off a loss but are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a defeat. Take the points.

6* Sun Bowl *CA$H COW* on Georgia Tech +7.5
The Key: USC does not want to be here. It opened the season ranked No. 1 in the AP poll and had aspirations of playing for a national title. It is a big letdown for the Trojans to be playing in this game. To make matters worse, they won't have the services of star QB Matt Barkley, who will miss the contest with a shoulder injury. They could also be without Marqise Lee, who is listed as questionable because he is dealing with an undisclosed issue. Georgia Tech's running game is the real deal. It even managed 183 yards on the ground versus a Florida State defense that ranks 5th in the country against the run. The Yellow Jackets average 312.5 rushing yards per game, and I expect them to be able to run the football on a USC defense that allowed four of its last five foes to run for at least 172 yards. It lost all four of those games. Take the points.

6* Sunday Night Football *CA$H COW* on Cowboys +3.5
The Key: The Cowboys have been a solid investment on the road where they are 5-2 ATS this season. They lost the season's first meeting but had won 3 in a row and 6 of 7 against the Redskins prior. The road team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings, and the underdog is 23-6 ATS in the last 29 meetings. It is also worth noting that Washington is on a lousy 34-58 ATS slide as a home favorite. I'll grab the points with the Cowboys in this winner-take-all matchup.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on USC -1.5
The Key: I know Dayton has the better record both SU and ATS but it is getting too much respect here because of it. Consider that the Flyers are on an 8-22 ATS slide in road games after covering the number in 4 of their last 5 games. They have lost by an average of 5.3 points in this situation. It is also worth noting that the Flyers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400. Neither team has played since Dec. 22, but the time off will hurt Dayton more as it slows its momentum. It has given USC a chance to regroup. Lay the points.

7* NFC West Game of the Year on Rams +11
The Key: Plays against home favorites that are out for revenge for a loss to an opponent, provided they check in off 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, are 23-5 ATS the last 10 seasons. The Rams are 10-3 ATS in the underdog role this season and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. They are also a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. NFC West foes. Seattle rolled San Francisco last week but is a pathetic 2-17 ATS in its last 19 games following a home blowout win of 21 points or more. The Seahawks' chances of capturing the NFC West are slim as they need to win and have the 49ers lose at home to Arizona. The chances of that happening aren't very good. There will be some scoreboard watching so Seattle could be resting some players before the game is through. Take the points.

6* NFL *CA$H COW* on Buccaneers +5.5
The Key: The Buccaneers will be the more motivated team. They have lost five in a row and don't want to end the season with another lengthy losing streak. They have also lost their last two against the Falcons so they would love to bring an end to that two-game slide as well. Win or lose, the Falcons will own the best record in the NFC. In other words, they don't have anything to play for. The most important thing for them is to head into the playoffs healthy, which means there

6* NBA Bailout on Celtics +3.5
The Key: I'm expecting the Celtics to bounce back strong following Thursday's embarrassing loss to the Clippers when in managed only 77 points. Boston is 23-7 ATS in road games off an embarrassing road loss in which it was held to less than 80 points. It is 15-5 ATS in this situation under coach Doc Rivers and has bounced back to win these games by an average of 2.8 points. Also, plays on road teams off a road loss where they were held to less than 80 points, provided they are a well rested team playing 6 or less games in 14 days, are 24-5 ATS the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting into this situation have been underdogs of 3.8 points on average but have won by an average of 2.2 points. Lastly, the underdog is 18-4 ATS in the last 22 meetings. Take the points.

7* Bowl Game of the Week (Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl) on Michigan State +3
The Key: I really like Michigan State catching points here because of its defense. The Spartans were in every game this season behind a stop unit that ranked 4th in total defense and 10th in scoring defense. Sparty has wins over Boise State and Wisconsin and also took Ohio State and Michigan right down to the wire. BCS Championship-bound Notre Dame is the only team to beat the Spartans by more than four points this season. Michigan State is 8-1 ATS when playing away from the last two seasons versus teams that have a winning record. TCU is 0-7 ATS when playing away from home the last three seasons versus non-conference opponents. It is also 0-5 ATS in its last 5 neutral site games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 bowl games. Take the points.

7* NBA Western Conference Game of the Month on Grizzlies -6.5
The Key: The Grizzlies will be hungry tonight as they have lost their last two and each of the season's first two meetings with Denver. Besides being the more motivated side, Memphis will also be the fresher team as it has had two days off while Denver will be playing its second game in as many nights and fourth in five days. The Grizzlies are 10-2 ATS when playing against a team that has a winning record this season. It is also 30-13 ATS in home games when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent over the last three seasons. Lay the points.

7* NCAAB Game of the Week on Bradley -6
The Key: As if back-to-back losses aren't enough motivation, Bradley will also be fueled by losses in all three of last season's meetings with Drake. The Bulldogs are just 6-17 ATS in road games versus teams that have a winning record over the last 3 seasons and have lost these contests by an average of 14.8 points. They are 2-10 ATS when playing against good teams (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons and have lost to these teams by an average of 8.9 points. Lay the points.

6* Pinstripe Bowl *CA$H COW* on Syracuse +4
The Key: The Mountaineers can't be trusted laying points here with as poorly as they have performed on defense. WVU is among the worst defensive teams in the country, ranking 116th in scoring defense (38.1 ppg allowed) and 111th in total defense (469.6 ypg allowed). WVU ranks 123rd in the country against the pass with 327.1 ypg allowed and that doesn't bode well for the Mountaineers as they go up against a strong Syracuse passing attack that ranks 22nd in the country with 300.6 ypg. Senior quarterback Ryan Nassib outperformed Geno Smith in last season's meeting when the Orange won 49-23. Syracuse also won 19-14 the year before that. The Mountaineers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 neutral field games as a favorite and have lost these by 3.3 points on average. Take the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Jazz +3
The Key: The Jazz lost the season's first meeting to the Clippers at home but only by 1 point. Dating back to 1996, Utah has won 29 of 33 home games against the Clippers. 3 of these four losses came by fewer than 3 points. In other words, the Jazz have won or lost by less than 3 points in 32 of their last 33 home games against the Clipps. Now, that's a 32-1 trend I can get behind. Take the points.

7* Russell Athletic Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Virginia Tech -2
The Key: I can't imagine Rutgers is completely invested in this game. It lost its last two games of the regular season and an opportunity to play in a BCS bowl along with it. Virginia Tech, meanwhile, has to be very excited about this opportunity considering it looked like it could miss out on the postseason all together when it was 4-6. The Hokies are the more talented team, and I believe the month of preparation time will serve them very well in this game. Their advantage in the level of talent has long been on display as they are 11-0 in their last 11 meetings versus Rutgers and have won these by an average of 29.3 points. Lay the points.

7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rider +11
The Key: Rutgers can't be trusted laying this many points. It is just 5-15 ATS all-time as a favorite under coach Mike Rice and has won these games by only 1.9 points on average. Rutgers is even 2-9 ATS as a home favorite or pickem over the last 2 seasons and has won these games by only .1 points on average. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Celtics +8.5
The Key: Boston has defeated the Clippers or lost to them by 5 points or less in each of the past 9 meetings. With this in mind, I'll gladly take the points. It is also worth noting that the underdog is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The Clippers have won 14 in a row and are being overvalued because of it.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* (ESPN2) on New Mexico +6.5
The Key: Oddsmakers have overreacted to New Mexico's loss to South Dakota State. NM is 11-3 ATS in road games versus very good teams that outscore their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. Cincy enters off a double-digit win at home over Wright State but is 0-7 ATS in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Take the points.

7* Belk Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Duke +9.5
The Key: The Blue Devils struggled defensively in the last quarter of the season but have had over a month to get things sorted out and to gear up for one opponent. Besides, the Bearcats are 0-7 ATS when playing outside Cincinnati the last two decades versus teams that give up 34 or more points/game. They lost these seven contests by an average of 9.5 points. Duke will be the more focused team as it has retained its coach while Cincy is dealing with the departure of Butch Jones. Take the points.

6* Military Bowl *CA$H COW* on Bowling Green +7.5
The Key: I'll gladly grab the 7.5 points here considering Bowling Green is 7-1 SU and ATS in its last 8 games and the lone loss came by only 7 points. San Jose State has been a poor investment when playing with extended time off. It is on a 4-15 ATS skid in games after a week or more off and has lost these by an average of 15.8 points. Take the points as Bowling Green's top 10 defense keeps this one closer than the oddsmakers think.

7* Pizza Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on W. Kentucky -5
The Key: The Chipps haven't been a good underdog as they are on a 5-16 ATS slide in the role. They are 1-5 ATS as an underdog this season and never should have beat Iowa as they were down by 8 points with 2 minutes remaining. Central Michigan has been exposed against worthy competition as it is on a 0-7 ATS skid when matched up against teams with a winning record. It has lost to these teams by an average of 20.1 points. Lay the number with the Hilltoppers.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Bobcats +10.5
The Key: This one has letdown written all over it for Miami, which checks in off yesterday's big win over the Thunder. Home underdogs that have failed to cover the number in four of their last five games, provided they are up against a team that has covered the spread in six or seven of their last eight contests, are 29-5 ATS the last 5 seasons. This system is a perfect 3-0 ATS this season. Take the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Lakers -3.5
The Key: This is a statement game for the Lakers. They have won each of their last four games and will be out to prove that they are going to be a force to be reckoned with this season. The Knicks won the first meeting at home just over 2 weeks ago, but the Lakers didn't have Steve Nash on the floor. They are a much better team with him orchestrating the offense. The home team has won each of the past three meetings by 7 points or more and covered the number in each. Also, the favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Lay the points.

6* Hawaii Bowl *CA$H COW* on Fresno State -12
The Key: The Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 and 11-1 ATS in all games this season, and I expect them to continue their covering ways against against SMU. Fresno State is 9-0 ATS as a favorite this season and 6-0 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63 this season. SMU is 0-7 ATS the last 3 seasons when checking into a matchup with 4 or 5 wins in its last 6 games. It is also 0-7 ATS in games played away from home following an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog of 6 points or more. The Mustangs are just happy to be here as they needed a big upset win in their season finale just to become bowl eligible. Fresno State will be out to prove that it's one of the best non-BCS teams in the country. Lay the points.

6* Sunday Night Football *CA$H COW* on Seahawks +1
The Key: The Seahawks are a perfect 6-0 SU and ATS at home this season. They are also 7-0 ATS in home games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons and 6-0 ATS in home games when looking for revenge for a road loss to an opponent over the last 3 seasons. In addition, Seattle is 6-0 ATS vs. good passing teams that average 7 or more passing yards per attempt over the last 2 seasons and 6-0 ATS versus good rushing teams that average 4.5 rushing yardsor more per carry over the last 2 seasons. The Seahawks have been tough as nails at home all season. Plus, it will be tough for San Francisco to bounce back emotionally following such an emotional win at New England last week. Seattle only lost by 2 points to the 49ers in last season's home meeting, and I believe it has what it takes to get the job done this time around.

6* NFL Late Afternoon *CA$H COW* on Browns +13.5
The Key: The Browns are being undervalued here considering they have lost just one road game by more than 13 points this season. That was a 14-point setback to the defending Super Bowl champion NY Giants. Their other 4 road defeats have all come by 7 or less points. They are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 road games. The Browns check in off a 17-point loss to Washington but are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss of at least 15 points. They are also 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss. Take the points.

7* CBB Game of the Month on Northern Iowa +2.5
The Key: As if back-to-back losses to Iowa and UNLV aren't enough motivation, the Panthers will also draw from last season's disappointing 57-41 loss at Saint Mary's. Beating Northern Iowa on its home floor is no easy task. The Panthers have won each of their first five home games and are on a 10-0 run at home dating back to last season. Plus, this is a tough situational spot for the Gaels as their Thursday flight was postponed due to bad weather, and they had to take a private charter Saturday. These kinds of distraction make it difficult to focus. Take the points.

7* NFL Game of the Week on Eagles +6.5
The Key: The Eagles were whacked by the Bengals in last week's Thursday night game, but with the extra time to prepare and extremely motivated to avenge last month's ugly loss at Washington, I expect a strong performance by Philly this week. The Eagles are an awesome 9-0 ATS off a home blowout loss of 21 points or more over the last two decades. They have bounced by from such defeats to win by an average of 7.2 points in these spots. It is also to our benefit that RG3 isn't at full strength. It's likely that he'll play Sunday, but I don't expect him to be the same player he has been throughout his rookie season. Take the points.

7* NFL *HEAVY HITTER* on Lions +4.5
The Key: The Lions were embarrassed in Arizona last week but played the Packers (twice), Texans and Colts very tough before that (3 of the losses came by 4 points or less). A matchup with arguably the best team in the NFC should get Detroit's juices flowing again. Atlanta shutout the Giants last week but is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games after allowing less than 15 points in its previous game. The Lions, meanwhile, are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after being held to less than 15 points in their previous game. Detroit is also on a 15-5 ATS run following a loss of 28 or more points. The Lions are a much better team than their record shows, and I expect them to prove it here.

6* CBB *CA$H COW* on Louisiana-Lafayette -3
The Key: I'll gladly fade the Dukes here as they are 0-8 ATS in road contests the last two seasons when they enter them with victories in two of their last three games. They have been crushed by an average of 17.4 points in these spots. Duquesne is just 1-4 when stepping off its home floor this season. It will have its work cut out for itself against a hungry ULL squad that will be out to avenge last season's loss at Duquesne. Lay the points.

7* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month on Hawks -3
The Key: Atlanta fits into an awesome wagering situation: home teams when the line is +3 to -3 that check in off an upset loss, provided they and the opponent they are matched up against both carry winning percentages of 60-75%, are 53-20 ATS since 1996. Also, the Hawks have been an outstanding play in the second game when playing on back-to-back nights. They are on a 17-5 ATS run in these games and have won them by an average of 6.1 points. The Bulls are just 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a win. Lay the points.

7* Las Vegas Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington +6
The Key: The Huskies aren't getting the respect they deserve here. We're talking about a team that defeated Pac-12 Champion Stanford. Boise State is a good defensive team, but it has struggled offensively, especially against good defenses. The Broncos lost to Michigan State and beat BYU by a point. They have their work cut out for themselves trying to cover this number against a Washington defense that ranks 30th in the country with 353.0 ypg allowed. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Cavaliers +3.5
The Key: The Pacers have struggled on the road, and I believe they'll have a tough time getting the job done against a Cleveland team that will be hungry to end a 5-game skid and to avenge a loss at Indiana earlier this month. The Pacers are just 6-20 ATS the last 2 seasons after covering the spread in 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. This trend represents how oddsmakers adjust the lines on teams that are covering often. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The underdog is 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Also, the Pacers are just 4-10-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Cleveland. Take the points.

7* Beef O Brady's Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Central Florida -7
The Key: UCF's only losses have come to a very good Tulsa team (twice) and to BCS conference foes Ohio State and Missouri. The Knights have won each of their other 9 games by 7 points or more. With this is mind, I have no problem laying the points with UCF this evening. It is the far superior defensive team and defense matters the most this time of year. That was evident last night when BYU held San Diego State to 263 yards and forced 5 turnovers. Lay the number.

7* Pre New Year's Bowl Game of the Year on BYU -3
The Key: I really like BYU laying a small number tonight because of how dominant it has been on defense. The Cougars rank 3rd in the country in total defense (266.3 ypg allowed) and 5th in scoring defense (14.7 ppg allowed). BYU is on a 7-0 ATS run in neutral field or road games after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games. It is 8-0 ATS after having won 3 out of its last 4 games over the last 3 seasons. It is also 8-0 ATS in road or neutral site games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or higher over the last 3 seasons. Lastly, the Cougars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 vs. the MWC. BYU has won 5 straight over SDSU with each of those wins coming by at least 3 points. Lay the number.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Timberwolves +4
The Key: Oddsmakers are begging for the money to roll in on the Thunder, but I'm not gonna bite. The T-Wolves have covered the spread in each of the past five meetings. Plus, they have covered the number in 5 of the last 6 home meetings in the series. Since Adelman took over as head man, the Wolves have been very competitive, even against good teams. In fact, they are 15-4 ATS under his watch versus teams that outscore the opposition by 3+ points/game. 4 of the last 6 meetings between these two in Minnesota have been decided by 4 points or less. Take the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on 76ers +7.5
The Key: The 76ers are being undervalued here as oddsmakers have overreacted to their four-game losing streak and the fact they played last night. Philly has won or lost by 7 point or less to the Rockets in each of the last 9 meetings. The 76ers are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Houston. It is also worth mentioning that the road team is 13-5 ATS in the last 18 meetings, and the underdog is 16-6 ATS in the last 22 meetings. Take the points.

6* CBB *CA$H COW* on Miami Ohio +7
The Key: Hungry to end a 3-game losing streak and having had a week-and-a-half to prepare for this game, look for Miami Ohio to give Wright State all it wants and more. The Red Hawks will be further motivated by the fact they have lost to Wright State each of the past two seasons. I'm counting on the Miami Ohio defense really getting after it tonight. After all, the Red Hawks are on a 9-1 ATS run after allowing 75 points or more in 2 straight games and have won by an average of 12.2 points in these spots while holding the opposition to just 66.0 points on average. Also, the underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Take the points.

6* CBB *CA$H COW* on South Dakota +4.5
The Key: I'll gladly grab the points with the home team considering each of the last two meetings between these two have been decided by 2 points or less. Morehead State is 0-4 on the road this season while South Dakota is 3-2 at home. The Coyotes are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 lined home games dating back to last season. Take the points as the Coyotes will have an excellent opportunity to win this one outright.

6* NBA Bailout on Bobcats +12
The Key: The Lakers can't be trusted laying big points as they are just 9-21 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Timberwolves +9
The Key: The Timberwolves aren't getting the respect they deserve from oddsmakers tonight, and I'll gladly grab the points as they are 11-2 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons.

6* CBB *CA$H COW* on Purdue -15.5
The Key: I'll gladly lay this big number with the Boilermakers as they are an impressive 16-5 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons. They have won these contests by 21.2 points on average.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Sacramento Kings +6
The Key: The Kings are a strong underdog play tonight with the Suns coming off a game in which they allowed less than 85 points after a combined score of 215 or more in two straight games. This situation has been very profitable for the opposing team, going 85-50 (63%) since 1996.

7* NFL *HEAVY HITTER* on NY Jets +2
The Key:The Jets fall under a great situation tonight playing against favored home teams with terrible defenses. Trend has hit consistently at 66% since 1983 (51-26). Tennessee is also one of the worst home teams in the NFL this year, going just 2-4 both ATS and straight up. Their home defense also ranks among the worst in recent memory, allowing visiting teams to rack up 422 yards per game for 32 points per game so far this season.

6* CBB *CA$H COW* on Bradley -10
The Key: Bradley has played extremely well coming off of a win over the past several seasons, going 51-29 ATS in those situations. They are matched up well against a Georgia Southern team who is very poor offensively, averaging just 58 points per game in their road games this season. Bradley is favored by double-digits for good reason and has already covered the spread twice this season when favored by ten points or more.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on LA Clippers -6.5
The Key: This plays is as much against the Pistons as it is on the Clippers. NBA teams off of a poor home loss in which they scored less than 80 points have been terrible in their next game historically, going just 38-71 against the spread in similar situations. The Clippers also fall into a sweet spot having just won in blowout fashion where teams in similar situations have rolled to a 44-17 record (72.1%) since 1996.

6* CBB *CA$H COW* on Valparaiso -3.5
The Key: Valpo returns all five starters this season and has excelled defensively thus far, allowing just 57.6 points per game through their first ten games. This game also falls under a very successful situation for road favorites against poor teams that has hit 71.4% over the last five seasons (50-20).

6* *NBA Cash Cow* get in on part of an awesome 30-17 ATS trend backing the Hornets tonight!

6* Sunday Night Football *CA$H COW* on 49ers +6
The Key: analysis coming...

6* NBA Ca$h Cow on Denver Nuggets -4.5

6* NCAABB *CA$H Cow!* There's no better bet this weekend than the absolute certainty that is Dave Price's magical winning prediction this week@

7* NFL Game of the Month on Ravens +3
The Key: Baltimore dominates versus divisional oppnenets, going 14-3 against them since 1992.

6* NFC North *CA$H COW* on Bears +3
This game falls into a great situation where the bears are a solid 77-40 against the spread!

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Grizzlies +2
The Key: The Grizzlies have played exceptionally well over the last two seasons against teams that score over 99 points per game, going 13-4 against the spread against those teams in that time frame. They are also one of the best teams in the NBA versus good free throw shootings teams, posting a 60-33 ATS record against them over the past three season combined. Because of their defense, this Memphis team is going to be a tough win all season. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Clippers -4
The Key: The Clippers play thier best against up-tempo teams, in fact, they are 16-6 against the spread versus teams averaging more than 83 shots per game over the last two seasons. They also play extremely well against poor foul-drawing teams like the Bucks (less than 24 free throw attempts per game), going 10-2 against the spread in that situation. This LA team is build on athleticism and the high tempo of this game should lead to an easy victory by the Clippers.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Bulls -5
The Key: Play against teams off of an overtime game (the Nets), on no rest against opponents on two days of rest. This very profitable situation has gone 29-17 over the last several years ATS and is one that is worth following in the right situations. In addition to playing in back-to-back nights off of an overtime game, the Nets are also playing their 4th game in 5 days, another great situation that has gone 24-11 in recent seasons in similar situations. Take the Bulls as the best NBA bet of the day.

6* CBB *CA$H COW* on Iowa State -7
The Key: This Drake team has not played well against good offensive teams like Iowa State whose average scoring margin is better than +4. In fact, in similar situations over the last two sesaons the Bulldogs are just 5-13 ATS. They Cyclones have excelled on Saturday games under head coach Fred Hoiberg, posting an impressive 11-3 ATS record in their Saturday games over the last two seasons.

6* NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Toledo +10.5
The Key: Utah State's 10-2 record is a bit deceptive considering the teams that they've played this year. In fact, there is a lot not to like about the Aggies numbers coming into this game, and a lot of that has to do with their strength of schedule. Toledo has been impressive on offense this season, posting 32.9 points per game on 456 yards of total offense per game. Toledo has been superb in the underdog roll this season, going 5-0 in that situation throughout the regular season. This line has been adjusted far too high, likely due to Utah State's 10-1 ATS record in the regular season. Between this spread being inflated and the fact that Toledo comes in with a better strength of schedule, I'll gladly take the double-digits.

6* CBB *CA$H COW* on Elon +8.5
The Key: UMASS has been overrated all season and it shows with their 1-6 ATS record so far. Elon has been playing great defense and, situationally, they have been great off of good defensive performances. As for situations that fit this game, they are 13-2 ATS after allowing 55 points or less in a game and 9-1 ATS after holding any opponent to less than 33% shooting from the floor since 1997.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Boise State -5.5
The Key: The Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games while the Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Boise State was crushed in its last game but is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games following a loss of more than 20 points. It will be further motivated by last season's poor showing against LSU. The Broncos defeated Creighton on the road and gave Michigan State all it wanted and more. LSU has played a soft schedule to this point and hasn't stepped off its home floor yet. It will struggled in its first road games against a motivated opponent.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Cavaliers +3
The Key: The Bucks have won 3 in a row but are on a 45-73 ATS slide after 3 or more consecutive wins. They are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games following a win and 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games following a win of more than 10 points. The Cavs played them to a 3-point game on the road in the first meeting, and I expect them to get the job done at home tonight.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Magic +5.5
The Key: The Warriors are being overvalued following a string of 5 straight wins that included a win over the Heat. Orlando defeated the Warriors on the road earlier this month and will have at excellent shot at doing so against here. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings, and the Warriors are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Orlando.

7* NFL *HEAVY HITTER* on Bengals -4
The Key: The Bengals have cleaned up against poor teams in the second half of the season under coach Marvin Lewis, even on the road. In fact, they are 6-0 ATS in road games under their current coach when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the second half of the season and have won these games by an average of 14.3 points. The Bengals are also a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 versus the Eagles. Cincy desperately needs this game to keep pace for the final AFC wild-card slot. That's all the motivation it should need to get the job done against a Philly squad that has lost 8 of 9. Lay the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Lakers +6.5
The Key: I'll gladly grab the points with the Lakers as they head to New York off three straight losses looking to show the NBA that they ARE a contender. Kobe loves the big stage, and I fully expect him to deliver in this national TV affair. The Lakers have won or lost by less than 7 points in 17 of their last 18 games against the Knicks. I also believe coach D'Antoni will coach the heck out of this game against his former team and former assistant coach. Teams headed up by D'Antoni are 30-13 ATS lifetime in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses. D'Antoni knows the Knicks and their personnel well and should be able to devise a solid game plan. Take the points.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Tennessee +1
The Key: The Vols have been money at home, going 14-3 ATS in all home lined games since the beginning of last season. They should especially be focused as they return home tonight following back-to-back poor performances on the road. Tennessee is on a 6-0 ATS run in home games off a road loss in which it was held to less than 60 points. It has won by an average of 8.3 points in these spots. The Volunteers are also on a 6-0 ATS run in home games after being held to 25 points or less in the 1st half last game. It has won by an average of 10.0 points in these spots. Bet the Vols.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Hornets +13.5
The Key: Plays on road underdogs, a cold team that has lost 8 or more of its last 10 games against a hot team that has won 8 or more of its last 10 games, are 58-25 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Hornets are a terrific 41-26 ATS as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons and 19-9 ATS in road games when looking for revenge for a loss to an opponent. Take the points.

7* NBA Game of the Week on Bobcats +8
The Key: The Clippers are being overvalued because they have won 7 in a row and are coming off a big win over the Bulls. They are on a 19-38 ATS slide after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games and a 37-60 ATS slide in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins. The Clippers covered the number by a point last night but are still only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. LA has especially been overvalued on the road versus teams that have sub .500 records at home. In fact, it is 6-13-1 ATS in its last 20 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Bobcats played the Knicks to a 2-point game as an 8-point dog last Wednesday, and I like them to give the Clippers a game tonight.

6* NCAAB Bailout on Cal Poly SLO +6.5
The Key: I successfully played against Cal Poly following its big upset win over UCLA as it was crushed by St. Mary's. Now, I'm playing against Nevada following its big upset win over Washington as it comes in overvalued because of it. The Wolf Pack are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall, 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games, 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. the Big West. Cal Poly's style of play works in our favor as well considering Nevada is just 8-19 ATS in its last 27 home games versus slow-down teams that average 53 or less shots per game. Take the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Pistons +5.5
The Key: The Pistons aren't getting the respect they deserve here considering they are 14-1 in their last 15 home games against the Nuggets and considering the Nuggets are 1-5 in their last 6 road games. Detroit has been an outstanding home dog in recent seasons at 32-18 ATS in its last 50 games in the role. Also, the Nuggets are 6-15 ATS in the last 21 meetings and 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Detroit. Take the points.

7* MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Patriots -4
The Key: I love the Pats at home tonight considering how good they have been late in the season. They are 20-0 in regular season games played in the second half of the season since 2010 and have won their last 12 December contests. Also, plays against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning record on the season that are coming off 2 straight road wins and are matched up against a winning team are 30-9 ATS since 1983, including a perfect 6-0 ATS the last 5 seasons. Lay the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Rockets +5.5
The Key: The Rockets have been solid at home where they have won 7 of their last 9 games. They are also 3-0 in their last 3 and 7-3 in their last 10 home games against the Spurs. Also, Houston is a perfect 8-0 ATS as a home underdog since the start of last season. It has won by an average of 6.3 points in these games.

6* Sunday Night Football *CA$H COW* on Lions +7
The Key: With the playoffs out of the picture, this game becomes Detroit's Super Bowl. There's nothing the Lions want more than to win in Green Bay, where they have lost 20 in a row. 6 of Detroit's losses have come by 7 points or less. Also, 4 of the last 5 meetings between these 2 have been decided by 4 points or less. The Packers are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing record, and I expect this negative trend to continue as they are being overvalued against a team that is capable of knocking them off. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Suns -4
The Key: The Magic started off their road trip strong with a pair of wins but have since dropped their last two and I have them going down again here. The Suns got home at a good time yesterday as they played in LA in the afternoon, and they'll be very focused here knowing they have lost 4 straight to Orlando. 3 of those losses, including the last 2, were on the road so home court should make a big difference. The Suns have won 8 of their last 9 home games in the series, and the home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. It's also worth noting that the favorite is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings. This trend hasn't lost since Dec. 2008. Lay the points.

7* NFL *HEAVY HITTER* on Panthers +3.5
The Key: The Carolina Panthers gave up 30 points in a 2-point loss at Atlanta in the first meeting, but they are 28-11 ATS all-time when out to avenge a loss to a foe that they allowed to score 28 points or more. The Panthers have won by an average of 0.4 points in these spots. Carolina is also 9-1 ATS all-time in home games in the 2nd half of the schedule versus good offensive teams that rack up 375.0 ypg or more. It has won by an average of 3.7 points in these spots. The Panthers are a better team than their record indicates. They don't have anything left to play for other than pride, and that will be enough Sunday. The Falcons were fortunate to win the first meeting, and they won't be as fortunate this time around. Take the points.

6* NFL *CA$H COW* on Titans +6
The Key: The Titans took the Colts to OT in the first meeting, and I expect them to give Indy all it wants and more again Sunday. Plays on road teams that are looking to avenge a loss to an opponent that held them to 14 points or less are 160-101 ATS the last 10 seasons. The "play on" side has been valued as an underdog of 5.4 points on average but has lost by just 2.9 points on average. Also, the Colts are just 10-23 ATS in their last 33 home games in the 2nd half of their schedule versus teams that have a losing record. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Take the points.