6* Big 12 Game of the Week (ABC) on Missouri -3
The Key: The Tigers are an impressive 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a road favorite and have had K-State's number, winning the last 5 in the series.

7* SEC Game of the Year (CBS) on Florida +14.5
The Key: The books have overcompensated for John Brantley's absence with this line, and we'll take full advantage. The Gators are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings at LSU, which is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or more points.

6* ACC Game of the Week on Boston College +21
The Key: The Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. BC pulled off the upset over Clemson last year, and I like the Eagles to keep this one easily within the number.

7* Friday Night Lights (ESPN) on Boise State -20.5
The Key: The Bulldogs are 16-34-3 ATS in their last 53 home games and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog. The Broncos are 28-13-1 ATS in their last 42 games overall, 21-7 ATS in their last 28 road games and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 10.5 or more points. The Broncos are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in this series and the favorite is 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Take Boise State.

6* NLDS CA$H COW on Brewers -150
The Key: The Diamondbacks are 15-40 in their last 55 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, 1-5 in their last 6 road games overall and 0-4 in their last 4 playoff road games. The Brewers are 49-18 in their last 67 home games, 47-13 in their last 60 games as a home favorite and 20-6 in Gallardo's last 26 home starts. The Brewers have won each of his last 4 starts, and he's 6-0 in his career against the D-backs. Take Milwaukee.

7* Pac-12 Game of the Week (ESPN) on Oregon -24
The Key: The Ducks have had a bye week to prepare for this one and they'll be chomping at the bit to get on the field against a Cal team that gave them a major scare last season. The last time Cal visited in 2009, Oregon handed the Bears a 42-3 beatdown. I'm expecting a similarly dominant performance this evening. Plays on home favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (OREGON) - excellent offensive team (>=6.2 YPP) against a team with an average defense (4.8 to 5.6 YPP), after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games, are 23-3 ATS the last 10 seasons. This system is winning by an average of 37.4 points. Also, this system is a perfect 11-0 ATS the last 5 seasons. Lay the number.

6* ALDS CA$H COW (TBS) on Yankees -159
The Key: The Yankees are 9-2 in their last 11 playoff games as a favorite of -151 to -200 and 6-0 in Nova's last 6 starts as a home favorite of -151 to -200. New York has also won 9 of its last 12 at home against the Tigers. We'll bet the Yankees.

7* NLDS Game of the Year on Brewers -101
The Key: I'm on the Brewers in this bounce back spot as they are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a defeat. Plus, Milwaukee has the edge on the hill. Saunders is 0-2 on the money line in 2 career starts versus Milwaukee with an ERA of 5.68. Wolf is 7-1 in his last 8 starts at Arizona and has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in 7 of those starts. Plays on any team (MILWAUKEE) in the 4th game of a playoff series, after having won 3 of their last 4 games, are 40-16 since 1997. This system is a near-perfect 17-1 the last 5 seasons. Take the Brewers.

7* ALDS Game of the Year on Yankees +100
The Key: Great spot for the Yankees, who are 39-19 in their last 59 road games after 2 or more consecutive losses. They're winning by an average score of 5.1 to 3.5 in this spot. Take the Yanks.

7* MNF *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Colts +11
The Key: A Colts team that just took the Steelers down to the wire isn't getting enough respect here. The Bucs are just 4-12 ATS in home games under coach Morris. The Colts are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Monday Night Football games and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog of 10.5 points or more. Take the Colts and the points.

6* MLB Playoffs CA$H COW (TBS) on Rangers +124
The Key: The Rays are 0-5 in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite. Plus, Price is 0-5 lifetime with a 5.48 ERA in 8 career starts versus Texas. Take the Rangers showing good value in the underdog role here.

6* MLB Playoffs CA$H COW on Brewers -158
The Key: The Brewers are 15-0 in Greinke's home starts this season.

7* NFL Underdog Game of the Week on Cardinals +2
The Key: The Cardinals are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog. The Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.0 points or less.

6* Bengals +3
The Key: Bengals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog.

7* NFL Blowout Game of the Week on Eagles -9
The Key: The Eagles have won 5 straight over the 49ers by an average of 16.8 points.

6* Cowboys -1
The Key: The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in this series. The Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.0 or less.

6* Under the Radar Blowout on Middle Tennessee State -22.5
The Key: Memphis is the worst team in the country, and it won't get any sympathy from a MTSU team it upset last year. MIDDLE TENN ST is 6-0 ATS in home games vs. poor passing defenses allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or higher over the last 3 seasons. The Blue Raiders are winning by 26.3 on average in this situation. Lay the points.

6* Non-Conference Game of the Week on WVU -18
The Key: The Mountaineers will be chomping at the bit to take out their frustration over last week's loss to LSU on the lowly Falcons. The Falcons are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.

7* Pac-12 Game of the Year on Arizona +13
The Key: The last 4 meetings between these teams have been decided by 7 points or fewer. Also, the underdog is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Really believe the Wildcats are of the same class as USC, which means they'll have an excellent opportunity to win this game.

6* SEC Game of the Week on Kentucky +30.5
The Key: Fading LSU when it is valued as a favorite of 10.5 points or more has produced 17 ATS winners the last 22 times the Tigers have been in this situation.

6* Big Ten Game of the Week (ESPN2) on Northwestern +8.5
The Key: Illinois is 0-8 ATS in its last 8 home games as a favorite of 3.5 to 10.0 points and will have a difficult time bringing this negative trend to an end with QB Persa set to return for the Wildcats.

7* Friday Night Lights (ESPN) on Utah State +8
The Key: After 10 consecutive losses to BYU, Utah State broke through with a 31-16 victory in last season's meeting. I'll take the points with the Aggies tonight as they have an excellent chance to make it 2 in a row over their in-state rivals. Utah State is 9-2 ATS all-time as a road underdog under coach Andersen. We'll take the points.

7* Big East *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Pitt +3
The Key: Teams under the watch of coach Graham are a tremendous 7-0 ATS all-time when listed as an underdog of 7.0 points or less at home. These teams are winning by an average score of 35.9 to 27.4. Off back-to-back tough-to-swallow losses, expect Pitt to explode on a USF squad it's defeated 3 straight times.

6* C-USA CA$H COW on UTEP +17
The Key: Fading Houston in this spot has never lost. The Cougars are 0-9 ATS all-time under coach Sumlin when playing on the road following 2 or more consecutive straight up wins. The Cougars are losing by an average score of 41.6 to 34.2 in this situation.

7* MLB Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on Red Sox -1.5 -123
The Key: Expect a gem from Lester in this must-win spot and for Boston's bats to do the rest. Boston has won Lester's last 13 starts against the Orioles, and those wins have come by an average of 4.7 runs. Take the Red Sox on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Cardinals -172
The Key: We missed with the Cards last night as they lost in extras, but I won't hesitate to come right back with them here in this must-win spot against the worst club in the bigs. The Cardinals are 39-16 in their last 55 road games as a favorite of -151 to -200 while the Astros are 3-8 in their last 11 home games as an underdog of +151 to +200. The Astros are 25-61 in their last 86 overall as an underdog of +151 to +200.

7* MNF Game of the Month on Cowboys -3
The Key: The Cowboys have won 4 of the last 5 in this series. Dating back to 1992, they have won 25 of 38 against Washington, including 16 of 19 at home. It's also worth noting that the Redskins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Monday Night games. The Cowboys are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games versus a team with a winning record. We'll confidently lay the points with Dallas.

6* MLB CA$H COW on Cardinals -133
The Key: Just 1 game back in the NL wild card race, the Cards can almost taste the postseason. Expect them to rise to the occasion against the MLB-worst Astros. The Cards have won 14 of their last 18 games, and they are 4-0 in Garcia's last 4 starts. The Cardinals are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in this series and 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Houston. Take St. Louis.

6* NFC championship rematch on Bears +4.5
The Key: The value is clearly with the Bears catching more than a field goal at home in this revenge spot. They are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after being held to less than 15 points in their previous game. Expect Chicago to bounce back strong against a Green Bay team it defeated at home in last year's regular season.

6* Ravens -5
The Key: The Ravens are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. The Rams are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0 points.

6* Dolphins +3
The Key: The Dolphins are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog and 6-0-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 3.0 points or less.

7* NFL Underdog Game of the Month on Vikings +3.5
The Key: Detroit is 0-8 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less since 1992, losing these games by an average of 13.5 points. Plus, Minne has won 13 straight at home in this series. Take the Vikes and the points.

6* Pac-12 Power Play (ESPN2) on Arizona +16.5
The Key: The Wildcats are on a 6-0 ATS run at home when catching 10.5 points or more.

6* Pac-12 Power Play (ESPN) on Arizona State -2.5
The Key: Look for the Trojans to struggle in their first road game of the year against an ASU squad that will be hungry to avenge last year's 1-point loss at USC. The Sun Devils are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 home games.

6* Big 12 Game of the Week (ABC) on Texas A&M -4
The Key: Oklahoma State is just 7-25 ATS in its last 32 games as an underdog of 3.5 to 10.0 points. Expect the Aggies to avenge last year's heartbreaking defeat in Stillwater.

7* NCAAF Blowout Game of the Month (ABC) on Notre Dame -7
The Key: Even with Notre Dame coming to town, it will be tough for Pitt to recover from last week's crushing loss at Iowa in which it blew a 21-point lead. The Irish are playing with momentum for the first time this season following last week's blowout win over Michigan State. Plays on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (NOTRE DAME) off a home win by 17 points or more, with a losing record, are 35-11 ATS the last 10 seasons. Teams fitting into this situation are winning by an average of 14.4 points.

6* Friday Night Lights (ESPN) on BYU pk
The Key: The Cougars are 9-2 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) under Coach Mendenhall. They're defeating these teams by an average of 7.7 points. Also, UCF's coach O'Leary is 0-7 ATS in road games against teams who commit 2.75 or more turnovers/game on the season since 1992. His teams are losing by an average of 14.3 points in these contests. Take BYU.

7* NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on NC State +8
The Key: The Wolfpack are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 games as an underdog and 27-10-1 ATS in their last 38 games as a road underdog. NC ST is also 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points. It's only losing these contests by an average of 2.9 points. We'll take the points.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rays -127
The Key: We'll fade the Yanks this evening as they are susceptible to a letdown following a big division-clinching victory. The Rays, meanwhile, have every reason to win every game down the stretch as they try to win the AL wild card. The Rays are 22-8 in their last 30 games as a favorite, 7-3 in their last 10 games as a road favorite and 8-2 in their last 10 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Take Tampa.

7* AL Blowout Game of the Month on Red Sox -1.5 -140
The Key: Every game is a must win for the Red Sox with Tampa Bay hot on their tail. Expect Beckett to shut down the O's tonight and for the Boston offense to do the rest. Beckett is 6-1 (11-2 on the money line) with an ERA of 2.30 at home. Baltimore's Hunter is carrying an ERA of 5.54 on the road and has an 8.30 ERA against Boston. He's also very susceptible to the long ball. That bodes well for us as Bean Town is 23-6 since the beginning of last season vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 1 or more HR's/start. The Red Sox are winning in this situation by an average score of 6.4 to 3.9. Bet Boston on the run line.

7* National League Game of the Month on Cardinals -172
The Key: Pelfrey has been a green light fade on the road where he's 4-8 (6-11 on the money line) with an ERA of 5.28. The Mets are only 2-13 this season in his starts against teams with a winning record. The Mets are also 0-7 in Pelfrey's last 7 starts when he's working on 5 days' rest. The Cards have won 10 of 12 overall and 4 of Jackson's last 5 starts. We'll pound St. Louis.

7* MNF *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Rams/Giants UNDER 45.5
The Key: Rams will have trouble getting anything done offensively tonight because of key injuries. Not having running back Steven Jackson in the backfield will especially hurt. While the offense struggles, the defense should be good enough to make the Giants work for their points. Steve Spagnuolo, who coached the Giants' defense when they won the Super Bowl in 2007, knows all of Eli Manning's tendencies extremely well. St. Louis is 10-2 UNDER in its last 12 road games against NFC foes. We've seen just 32.6 points scored on average in this situation. Pound the under.

6* MLB CA$H COW on Brewers -141
The Key: The Brewers are 4-0 in Narveson's last 4 road starts, 5-0 in his last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record, 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150, 8-0 in his last 8 starts vs. the National League Central and 5-0 in his last 5 starts vs. the Cubs. The Cubs are 0-8 in Coleman's last 8 starts, 0-7 in his last 7 starts as an underdog, 0-5 in his last 5 starts vs. the National League Central and 0-4 in his last 4 home starts. The Brewers are also 6-0 in their last 6 against the Cubs.

6* Sunday Night Football CA$H COW (NBC) on Falcons +3
The Key: The Falcons will be ready to go at home tonight after laying an egg on the road last week. I'll gladly take them catching a field goal here considering they have won 20 of their last 24 regular season home games. Take the points.

6* AFC Game of the Week on Chargers +7
The Key: The Chargers are far too deadly a dog to pass them up at this price. They are 22-6-3 ATS in their last 31 games as an underdog and the underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in this series. Take the points.

7* NFC Game of the Month on Cowboys -3
The Key: The 49ers are a miserable 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win and 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of a field goal or less. Lay the number.

6* Non-Conference Game of the Week on Chiefs +9
The Key: KC is an impressive 21-6 ATS in its last 27 road games after a loss by 10 or more. It's winning by an average score of 22.5 to 21.7 in this situation. Take the points.

7* NCAAF Game of the Week (NBC) on Notre Dame -4.5
The Key: Notre Dame would be 2-0 if it weren't for 10 turnovers in their first 2 games. Instead, the Irish are 0-2, and I expect their disappointing start to fuel them Saturday. Don't expect a Michigan State squad which has opened with a pair of patsies to be ready for the level of talent and intensity it will see in this one. Sparty is 3-9 ATS in its 12 in the underdog role and 1-5 ATS in its last 6 on the road when catching 3.5 to 10.0 points. Lay the number.

6* Afternoon CA$H COW (ABC/ESPN) on Nebraska -17
The Key: This is a game Nebraska has had circled since losing to the Huskies in the Holiday Bowl last season. Expect Nebraska to have its revenge here. The Huskies are just 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 10.5 points or more. Lay the points.

5* Georgia Tech -14.5
The Key: This is a big revenge spot for Georgia Tech which was stunned at Kansas last year. Plays against any team (KANSAS) after allowing 37 points or more last game against an opponent after 2 straight wins by 28 or more points, are a perfect 10-0 ATS the last 3 seasons.

6* Early CA$H COW (ABC) on Clemson -3
The Key: After back-to-back thrilling home wins, look for Auburn, which lost nearly all of its starters from last year's BCS championship team, to get smacked in its first road game against a hungry Clemson squad. Clemson has not forgotten last year's overtime loss to Cam Newton and company. That defeat is all the motivation the Tigers need here.

6* Early CA$H COW (ESPN2) on Iowa -3
The Key: Under coach Ferentz, Iowa is an incredible 25-10 ATS off a road loss. It's winning by an average of 4.9 points in this situation. We'll lay the field goal with the Hawkeyes.

6* National TV CA$H COW (ESPN) on Toledo +21
The Key: Toledo gained a lot of confidence last week by giving Ohio State all it wanted and more. Plus, it will be lacking no motivation against a Boise State team that won last year's meeting by 43 at Boise. Toledo is 44-26 ATS in its last 70 home lined games and 12-3 ATS in its last 15 home games in the first month of the season. We'll take the points.

7* Friday Night Lights (ESPN2) on Connecticut -4
The Key: This is huge letdown spot for Iowa State following such an emotional upset win over in-state rival Iowa. The Cyclones are only 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0. Lay the points.

6* MLB CA$H COW on Red Sox -138
The Key: The Rays are 33-70 in the last 103 meetings in Boston and 1-8 in Shields' last 9 road starts vs. the Red Sox. The Red Sox are 6-2 in Beckett's last 8 home starts vs. the Rays. Take Bean Town.

6* MLB Underdog of the Week on A's +107
The Key: The Tigers are due for a major letdown following Wednesday's improbable comeback victory. The A's are in good hands with McCarthy. They are 8-3 in his last 11 starts and 5-1 in his last 6 home starts. Scherzer has struggled on the road all season (5.09 ERA) and the Tigers are 0-4 in his last 4 starts when he pitches on 4 days' rest. Take the A's.

7* NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Mississippi State +4.5
The Key: The last time these two met in Starkville, Mississippi State played the Tigers to a 4-point game. Despite 5 turnovers, the Bulldogs had a chance to win in the final minutes but LSU came up with a goal line stand. That loss gives the Bulldogs a whole bunch of confidence and motivation tonight. The Tigers are so often overvalued, especially in SEC play where they are 10-21-1 ATS in their last 32 conference games. Look for the Bulldogs to pull off the upset tonight.

7* MLB Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on Rays -139
The Key: The Rays have been getting it done with Davis on the mound. They've won 7 of his last 8 and 11 of his last 14 starts. Also, the Rays are an impressive 13-3 this season when Davis gets the ball against a club with a losing record. We'll back the Rays.

7* 2011 American League Game of the Year on Red Sox -138
The Key: Back home following a 7-game trip with Tampa Bay breathing down its neck, expect Boston to bring its 5-game losing streak to an end tonight. The Blue Jays are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record and 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Boston. The Red Sox are 37-14 in Wakefield's last 51 starts as a home favorite. We'll pound Bean Town.

6* MNF Bailout (ESPN) on Broncos -3
The Key: The Broncos will be extremely hungry and focused tonight as they look to avenge a pair of embarrassing losses to Oakland last season. We'll lay the points with Denver here as the Raiders are only 4-21-2 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog of 3 or fewer points.

7* MNF *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) Dolphins +8
The Key: Motivated by a pair of blowout defeats in this matchup last season, look for the Phins to take the Pats down to the wire tonight. The Dolphins are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog and the underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

6* MLB CA$H COW on Reds -157
The Key: Willis has pitched well, allowing 3 earned runs or less in 9 of his 11 starts, but doesn't have a "W" to show for it. Expect that to chance tonight as he takes on a Chicago club that is 3-12 in its last 15 road games versus a southpaw starter.

7* NFL Game of the Week (NBC) on Cowboys +6
The Key: The Cowboys are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games when valued as an underdog. Take the points tonight as Dallas gives New York a run for the money.

6* Bills +5.5
The Key: The Bills have covered 4 straight in this series, winning 3 of the 4 outright. They took KC to overtime at Arrowhead last year.

6* NFL CA$H COW on Ravens pk
The Key: This game is all about revenge for the Ravens, who were bounced from the playoffs by Pittsburgh last season. Baltimore opened as a favorite and is still a small fave at many shops. This is significant because the Ravens are 45-22-1 against the spread in their last 68 games as a home favorite.

6* Bengals +7
The Key: The underdog has covered the spread in 7 of the last eight meetings in this series.

7* NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Notre Dame -3
The Key: The Irish are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games while the Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Michigan is also 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games as a home underdog.

7* NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Vandy -130
The Key: The Huskies are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a victory of more than 20 points, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.0 points or less.

5* USC -8.5
The Key: The Utes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win.

5* Ball State +20.5
The Key: Big letdown spot for S. Florida after last week's win at Notre Dame. Plus, the Cardinals are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as a road underdog.

6* National TV Annihilator (ESPN) on Georgia +3
The Key: Georgia leads the all-time series with S. Carolina 46-15-2 and holds a 26-7 advantage in Athens. The Gamecocks haven't beaten Georgia in back-to-back seasons since 2000-01.

6* Wake Forest +1.5 -105
The Key: The Demon Deacs are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games against NC State.

5* Oregon -26.5
The Key: Oregon is 19-7-1 ATS in its last 27 home games as a favorite of 10.5 points or more.

7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights (ESPN) on Arizona State -9.5
The Key: ASU is an impressive 8-2-1 against the number in its last 11 home games. It's also 5-0-1 against the spread in its last 6 games versus a school with a winning record. In addition, the Sun Devils are 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 games following a victory of more than 20 points. The Tigers are 3-7 against the number in their last 10 games as an underdog, 5-13 against the spread in their last 18 games vs. a team with a winning record and 1-5 against the spread in their last 6 non-conference games. Lay the points.

6* Friday Night MLB CA$H COW on D-backs -158
The D-backs are on fire, going 14-2 in their last 16. The Padres, meanwhile, are 2-12 in their last 14. Arizona is also 18-6 in its last 24 home games in this series, including 5-1 this year. We'll ride the red-hot D-backs tonight.

6* NCAAF CA$H COW (ESPN) on Florida International +4
The Key: The Cardinals are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 Friday games, 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0 points. The Golden Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. They're also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. the Big East. Take the points.

6* MLB CA$H COW on D-backs -170
The Key: The D-backs have the decisive edge on the mound with NL Cy Young candidate Ian Kennedy. He's 18-4 with a 2.96 ERA on the season, and the Snakes have won 10 of his last 11 starts. Take Arizona.

6* NFL "Total" Massacre on Saints/Packers UNDER 48.5
The Key: Plays Under the total on any team when the line is between 42.5 and 49 points, if the team had a good record last season (won 60% to 75% of its games) and is playing a team that had a winning record last season, are 32-10 the last 10 seasons. We'll ride this 76.2% system tonight.

7* NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Arizona +14
The Key: Arizona is a perfect 4-0 against the number in its last four games as an underdog of 10-and-a-half points or more. It's also 4-1 against the spread in its last 5 games following a victory of more than 20 points. Oklahoma State is just 1-5 in its last six home contests when laying 10-and-a-half points or more. Take Zona.

7* Wednesday Night Baseball Game of the Year (ESPN) on Angels -189
The Key: The Angels are 38-13 in their last 51 home games against the Mariners, 26-10 in their last 36 home games, 22-8 in their last 30 games following a loss and 7-1 in their last 8 games as a favorite of -151 to -200. Expect the Halos to bounce back strong tonight against a club they have dominated.

6* CA$H COW (ESPN) on Phillies -130
The Key: Atlanta's Beachy is 0-3 (0-5 on the money line) in 5 career starts against the Phillies with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.625. Oswalt, meanwhile, has won his last 2 and 4 of his last 5 starts against the Braves while allowing 1 or no runs in 3 of his last 4 starts against them. Take the Phillies.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on White Sox -126
The Key: The White Sox are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings with the Twins and 5-0 in the last 5 meetings at Minnesota. They are 8-0 in their last 8 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150, 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road favorite period and 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The White Sox are also 6-1 in Peavy's 7 road starts this season. Take the South Siders.

7* MLB Labor Day *HEAVY HITTER* on Angels -1.5 -129
The Key: Seattle is 1-11 after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals this season, losing these contests by an average score of 6.0 to 2.8. The M's are also 1-10 off 3 straight losses against division rivals this season, losing these matchups by an average score of 6.0 to 2.5. In addition to these near-perfect trends, the Halos have a huge edge on the mound with Haren. They've won his last 6 home starts by an average of 2.7 runs. Take the Angels on the run line.

6* National TV CA$H COW (ESPN) on Maryland -4
The Key: The Terps are out for revenge at home after losing a close one in the closing seconds at Coral Gables last year. They also catch a break with Miami losing 8 players (6 starters) to suspension. The Terrapins are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games and 19-8 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0 points. Lay the number.

6* Sunday Night Baseball CA$H COW (ESPN2) on White Sox +123
The Key: After losing the first 2 game of this series, I expect the White Sox to bounce back strong behind ace Mark Buehrle. The White Sox are 15-5 in Buehrle's last 20 starts and 4-1 in his last 5 starts vs. the Tigers. The Tigers, meanwhile, are 2-5 in Scherzer's last 7 starts vs. the White Sox. Take the Sox.

7* NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on SMU +16
The Key: Odds makers have inflated this line to trap a betting public that is pounding the highly rated Aggies. We'll go against the grain with an SMU team that has the personnel to give A&M some serious problems through the air. Kyle Padron is a good quarterback and he has June Jones' run-n-shoot offense mastered. The Aggies struggled in pass defense last year, and I don't expect any major improvement after losing top pass rush Von Miller. It will be a tall order for the Mustangs to get the "W", but look for them to keep this one within 2 scores. The Mustangs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.

6* NCAAF Bailout on Hawaii -6
The Key: Colorado's pitiful pass defense (ranked 110th in the nation last year) doesn't stand a chance against Bryant Moniz, who led the country in passing yards (5,040) and touchdown passes (39) in 2010. Hawaii was a perfect 7-0 ATS in home games last season. Expect their home dominance to continue tonight.

7* NCAAF Non-Conference Game of the Year on BYU -2
The Key: Jacksonville State took down the Rebels in last year's season opener and I expect a way more talented BYU squad to do the same. Look for Jake Heaps to pick the Ole Miss apart through the air. The Rebs were one of the worst teams in the nation against the pass and Heaps enters the season full of confidence after putting up big numbers the second half of last season. BYU is a perfect 5-0 against the spread in its last 5 non-conference tilts. Ole Miss is 2-6 against the number in its last 8 home games. Take BYU.

6* Houston -2.5
The Key: Houston is a very dangerous team with Case Keenum under center. We're talking about a potential Heisman finalist if he can steer clear of the injury bug. Look for him to torch the UCLA secondary in this one. The Cougars are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite. The Bruins are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.

6* MLB Friday Night Bailout on Angels -150
The Key: The Halos are in hot pursuit of Texas, and they're not going to blow this opportunity against a Minnesota club that has dropped 20 of its last 26. The Twins won their last game but are 1-10 in their last 11 games following a win. We'll take the Angels.

7* Friday Night Lights (ESPN) on Baylor +4
The Key: Really like Baylor catching better than a field goal on its home field tonight. Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BAYLOR) playing in the first month of the season, bowl team from prior season who lost their last 2 games, are 40-13 ATS the last 10 seasons. This system is an impressive 13-2 ATS over the last 3 seasons. We'll take the points.

7* NCAAF Opening Night Blowout on Mississippi State -31
The Key: The Bulldogs punished Memphis 49-7 last year for their fifth straight win and cover in the series, and I have no reason to believe they won't make it 6 in a row tonight. The Tigers are 6-15-1 ATS in their last 22 games as an underdog, 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater, and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games. Mississippi State returns 15 starters from a team that finished 9-4 last season. The dogs will be hungry. Lay the points.

6* MLB CA$H COW on Red Sox -1.5 +103
The Key: Enormous mismatch on the mound tonight. Burnett has been lit up for 16 runs in his last 2 starts and he's only 2-7 on the money line in his last 9 outing against the Red Sox. Lester is one of the best Yankee killers out there. He's won 5 of his last 6 starts in the series. Take Boston on the run line.

6* NFLX CA$H COW on Bengals -3.5
The Key: Indy puts absolutely no stock in the preseason at all. They have lost their last 9 preseason games and 24 of their last 28. The last time they visited Cincy in the preseason (2009), they were blown out by 31 points. It's also worth noting that Indy is 0-7 ATS since 1993 in preseason road games after playing 2 straight home games. It's losing by an average score of 23.5 to 14.8 in this situation. Lay the points.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Red Sox -165
The Key: Look for Boston to bounce back behind Beckett this evening. The Red Sox have won 10 of 13 against the Yankees in 2011. They are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss, 9-2 in their last 11 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200, 5-0 in Beckett's last 5 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200, 6-0 in his last 6 starts vs. the American League East and 5-0 in his last 5 starts vs. the Yankees. The Yankees are 2-10 in their last 12 games as an underdog of +151 to +200 and 0-6 in Hughes' last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. We'll bet Boston.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on D-backs -134
The Key: The D-backs are hitting on all cylinders. They've won 7 in a row overall and 10 straight at home. They'll have an excellent chance to build on these trends considering their dominance against Cook. Colorado's scheduled starter is 1-6 on the money line in his last 7 starts against the D-backs. We'll take the red-hot D-backs at a nice price.

7* Monday Night Baseball Game of the Year (ESPN) on Phillies -145
The Key: Philly scheduled starter Hamels is 8-0 (9-0 on the money line) with an ERA of 1.23 in 9 career starts against the Reds. Cincy scheduled starter is 0-2 (0-4 on the money line) with an ERA of 7.00 in 4 lifetime starts against the Phillies. We'll take the Phillies in this one.

6* Big Apple Battle (NFL Network) on Giants +3
The Key: Rex Ryan doesn't game plan on the defensive side of the football in the preseason, and that puts his Jets at a disadvantage tonight against a Giants' squad with superior quarterback depth (Jets aren't expected to have Mark Brunell available). We'll take the points.

6* Sunday Night Baseball CA$H COW (ESPN) on Rangers -112
The Key: Weaver has owned the Rangers at home but the Halos are just 2-8 in his last 10 road starts in the series. Plus, Weaver will be pitching on just 3 days' rest for the first time in his career. In addition, the Angels are 1-6 in Weaver's last 7 starts as a road underdog. We'll take Texas.

7* NFLX *HEAVY HITTER* (NBC) on Raiders +4.5
The Key: This is a statement game for the Raiders, who are looking to prove to themselves that they can contend with a team of the caliber of New Orleans. I fully expect Oakland to hang with the Saints in the first half with both teams playing their starters. Then, I expect the Raiders to create separation in the second half with experienced signal callers Trent Edwards and Kyle Boller getting the job done. It is to our benefit that Tyrelle Pryor isn't expected to see action until next game. NFLX home underdogs, or picks, (Oakland in this case) are an impressive 25-7 against the number dating all the way back to 1993 after two or more consecutive defeats against the point spread. That's a 78.1% success rate over the long haul. Take the points.