7* CMU/EMU MAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Eastern Michigan +1.5

The Key: Eastern Michigan is looking to get to its first bowl game since 1987.  The Eagles are 6-5 this season, but they may need another victory to secure their spot in the postseason.  And after blowing a 21-0 lead and losing to Northern Illinois last week, they will come back very hungry on Senior Night here against Central Michigan.  The Chippewas are also 6-5, but with their win over Oklahoma State earlier this season, they're probably going to a bowl either way.  They had lost 3 straight before winning 27-20 over Ohio last week, but Ohio pretty much gave that game away by committing four turnovers.  CMU was held to just 286 total yards in that game and outgained by 71 yards.  EMU is 6-0 ATS off one or more consecutive unders this season.  The Eagles are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.  The Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.  Take Eastern Michigan.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Northwestern +4

The Key: The Northwestern Wildcats won 20 regular-season games for the first time in school history last year.  They  returned G Bryant McIntosh, who averaged 13.8 points and finished 9th in the nation in assists at 6.7 per game.  Forward Aaron Falzon is back after nailing 63 3-pointers as a freshman last year.  Forward Vic Law missed last season because of a shoulder injury, but he's back after averaging 7 points and 4.8 rebounds while shooting 35.5 percent from 3-point range as a freshman in 2014-15.  Northwestern is 3-1 this season with a 31-point win over Miss Valley State, a 14-point win over Eastern Washington, a 2-point loss as 7.5-point dogs at Butler, and a dominant 19-point win over Texas yesterday as 3-point dogs.  I like the value here with the Wildcats as I feel they are a better team than Notre Dame this year and will win outright.  Notre Dame is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games as a neutral court favorite of 3.5 to 6 points.  The Wildcats are 10-1 ATS in road games versus good rebounding teams who outrebound their opponents by 4-plus per game over the last 3 seasons.  The Wildcats are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games.  The Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.  Take Northwestern.

7* HOU/OAK AFC *Total* Annihilator on OVER 45

The Key: The OVER is 7-2 in all Raiders games this season.  Oakland has an elite offense that puts up 27.2 points and 401 yards per game, but a terrible defense that gives up 24.8 points and 398 yards per game.  I look for a shootout in Mexico City tonight.  The altitude will be a huge issue here as both of these teams will get fatigued in the second half.  I expect the offenses to continue to roll in the second half, while the fatigue will hurt the defenses a lot more.  You know the NFL wants to put on a show in Mexico City, so expect plenty of offensive fireworks in this game. Oakland is 10-1 OVER off one or more ATS wins over the last 2 seasons.  Houston is 8-1 OVER in road games vs. teams who commit 60 or more penalty yards per game over the last 3 seasons.  Take the OVER.

6* NBA Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Phoenix Suns +8

The Key: The Washington Wizards have only one win by 8 points or more this season in 12 games.  I like the Suns for that reason alone.  Plus the Suns have gone 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in Washington.  They haven't lost to the Wizards by more than 7 points in any of their last 6 meetings.  The Suns are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games following an ATS loss, and 16-4 ATS in their last 20 games following a loss by 10 points or more.  Take Phoenix.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Georgia -4

The Key: The Georgia Bulldogs have won 20-plus games in 3 consecutive seasons.  They are loaded with talent this year.  Guard J.J. Frazier is the SEC's leading returning scorer at 16.9 points per game.  Forward Yante Mate is the SEC's third-leading returning score at 16.5 points per game, and its second-leading returning rebounds are 8.0 boards per game.  George Washington won the NIT last year, but lost 3 starters from that team that combined to average 35 points per game.  The Colonials are 3-0 this season but all 3 games were at home, and they barely beat both Siena (77-75) and MD-East Shore (75-71).  This team is clearly rebuilding now.  Georgia is 8-0 ATS vs. teams who outrebound their opponents by 7-plus boards per game over the last 3 seasons.  George Washington is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 road games vs. SEC opponents.  Take Georgia.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Denver Nuggets -3.5

The Key: The Denver Nuggets have been one of the more underrated teams in the NBA as they are 8-4 ATS in their 12 games this season.  They had yesterday off following an OT loss to the Raptors, and they'll be hungry to bounce back and get a win at home against the Jazz.  And the Jazz have been overvalued, going 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last 3 games.  They are dealing with a plethora of injuries right now as starters George Hill and Derrick Favors are out, while key role player Boris Diaw is questionable.  Now the Jazz are playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days after a run-and-gun 102-111 loss at Houston last night.  They won't have much left in the tank for the Nuggets, who also like the push the pace like Houston.  The Nuggets are 8-0 ATS after allowing 100 points or more in 5 straight games over the last 2 seasons.  Take Denver.

6* Northern Iowa/Xavier NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Xavier -4.5

The Key: Xavier is 4-0 this season and ranked as one of the top teams in the country.  I really think they are capable of giving Villanova a run for its money in the Big East this season.  Northern Iowa is off to a surprising 3-0 start, upsetting both Arizona State and Oklahoma.  Off a huge OT win over Oklahoma, I believe this team is in a letdown spot tonight.  And they are also overvalued because of that win, only catching 4.5 points against Xavier here.  Northern Iowa actually trailed by 18 points in the second half against Oklahoma.  But the Sooners miraculously went like 11 straight minutes without a field goal in the 2nd half to allow the comeback.  That's not going to happen again. The Musketeers are 7-0 ATS vs. good 3 point shooting teams who make 37% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.  Xavier is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 neutral site games.  The Musketeers are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 non-conference games.  Take Xavier.

6* Dolphins/Rams Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Los Angeles +1

The Key: The Dolphins are getting way too much respect from oddsmakers after winning each of their last 4 games.  But those are the only 4 games where they have had a completely healthy, intact starting 5 offensive line.  They were down a few starters before that run, and now they'll be down a few starters again this week as both C Mike Pouncey and T Branden Albert are expected to miss this game.  That's bad news for the Dolphins, who will be up against arguably the best defensive line in the league in the Rams.  Jared Goff will give the Rams' offense a spark this week as he can't be any worse than Case Keenum was.  And the Dolphins stayed out West after playing the Chargers last week and probably haven't been all that focused leading up to this contest with so many distractions.  Miami is 1-8 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record in the 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.  The Dolphins are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 vs. a team with a losing record.  The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.  Take Los Angeles.

7* NFC Game of the Month on Arizona Cardinals +2.5

The Key: The Arizona Cardinals remain one of the best teams in the NFL.  Just look at the numbers they have put up this season.  They are 1st in the NFL in yardage differential as they average 382.0 yards per game on offense and only give up 295.2 yards per game on defense, outgaining opponents by 86.8 yards per game.  They face a Minnesota Vikings team that is 0-4 in its last 4 games overall with no signs of turning it around soon due to an offense that ranks as the worst in the NFL, averaging just 302.3 yards per game.  This is a mismatch on paper and it will be a mismatch on the field, too.  Take Arizona.

6* Sunday NFL *UPSET SPECIAL* on Jacksonville Jaguars +6

The Key: The Detroit Lions cannot be trusted to lay this kind of weight against anyone in the NFL.  They may be 5-4 this season, but all 5 wins have come by 6 points or less.  The only 6-point win came in overtime against the Vikings as the other 4 wins came by 4 points or fewer.  Matthew Stafford has had plenty of late-game heroics to save this team, masking a defense that ranks 23rd in giving up 366.3 yards per game and 5.9 per play.  The Jaguars have been better than their record, and they have the league's 8th-ranked defense in yielding 327.7 yards per game and 5.0 per play.  They just have to quit turning the ball over, which has been their biggest problem.  They are actually outgaining teams by 15.6 yards per game this season, while the Lions are getting outgained by 28.5 yards per game.  Bets on dogs of 3.5 to 10 points off a loss by 3 points or less to a division opponent, winning 25% or fewer of their games playing a team with a winning record are 28-8 ATS since 1983.  The Lions are 27-50 ATS in their last 77 games as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points.  Take Jacksonville.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Detroit Pistons -3.5

The Key: The Detroit Pistons are 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS at home this season, outscoring opponents by 17.4 points per game.  The Pistons are 24-8 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.  Both the Celtics and Pistons played yesterday, but while the Pistons are relatively healthy, the Celtics are not.  They are expected to be without Al Horford and Jae Crowder again tonight, and those are two of their best players.  The Pistons are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 0 days' rest.  Detroit is 37-17-2 ATS in its last 56 home games.  Take Detroit.

7* Pac-12 Game of the Month on Stanford -10.5

The Key: The Stanford Cardinal have won three straight games by double-digits, including a 24-point win at Arizona and a 25-point win at Oregon.  They should keep this streak going against the Cal Bears, who have lost three straight games by at least 21 points each while getting outscored by an average of 31.7 points per game.  Their defense has given up 662 yards per game during this stretch.  Stanford will have its way rushing the football in this game as the Golden Bears allow 283 yards per game on the ground, and frankly I don't know how they are going to ever stop Stanford from scoring.  The Cardinal have owned this series with 6 straight victories over Cal and 5 of those coming by 13 points or more.  The Cardinal are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 when favored by 10.5 to 21 points.  Take Stanford.

6* NCAAB Saturday Afternoon *CA$H COW* on St. Mary's -2.5

The Key: St. Mary's returned all 5 starters from a team that went 29-6 last season and barely missed out on the NCAA Tournament.  They even beat Gonzaga twice during the regular season, but lost to them in the WCC Tournament.  This team is going to be dynamite this year.  Dayton returned 4 starters, but have 2 key players out now due to injury in Kendall Pollard (10.3 PPG, 4.9 RPG last year) and Josh Cunningham (7.9 PPG, 7.5 RPG).  St. Mary's is 13-2 ATS off a game with 24 or more assists.  The Gaels are 8-0 ATS off a home blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons.  The Gaels are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games after scoring 95 points or more. Take St. Mary's.

6* Ohio State/Michigan State Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Michigan State +22

The Key: Michigan State is coming off a 49-0 shutout win over Rutgers in its best performance of the season.  This team is not just going to lay down as Mark Dantonio will have them ready.  Remember, they put up 401 yards on Michigan's defense in a 9-point loss as 24.5-point dogs.  In fact, Dantonio is 11-2 ATS the last 13 times he has been an underdog, and 8 of those have been outright upsets.  Ohio State will be looking ahead to its huge showdown with Michigan next week.  Urban Meyer is 1-5 ATS the week before playing Michigan.  The Buckeyes are way overvalued right now after back-to-back 62-3 wins over Nebraska and Maryland.  It's time to fade them this week in this rivalry game.  Take Michigan State.

6* Oklahoma State/TCU Big 12 *CA$H COW* on TCU -5

The Key: TCU head coach Gary Patterson is a ridiculous 14-1 ATS at home off a bye.  And TCU is off a bye this week following its best performance of the season, a 62-22 road win at Baylor as 7-point underdogs.  The Horned Frogs racked up 688 total yards in the win, including 431 rushing.  And they held Baylor to a respectable 417 total yards.  Oklahoma State is extremely fatigued right now off back-to-back barnburners in a 43-37 win at Kansas State two weeks ago, and a 45-44 home win over Texas Tech last week.  The Cowboys are ripe for the picking, especially since their have their rivalry on deck against Oklahoma and could be looking ahead to that.  Take TCU.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Denver Nuggets +4

The Key: The Toronto Raptors are in a very tough spot mentally here.  They just played two huge games on back-to-back nights against the Golden State Warriors and Cleveland Cavaliers, the two teams who played in the NBA Finals each of the past two seasons.  And now they face the Denver Nuggets and won't be able to emotionally get up for this game tonight.  The Nuggets want revenge from a 102-105 road loss at Toronto in their first meeting this season. The Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.  The underdog is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings.  The Nuggets are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.  Bets against favorites in a game involving two bad defensive teams who allow at least 102 points per game, after scoring 110 points or more in 4 straight games are 27-6 ATS since 1996.  The Nuggets are 14-1 ATS after allowing 100 points or more in 5 straight games over the last 3 seasons.  Take Denver.

7* UNLV/Boise NCAAF Friday Night Lights on UNLV +28.5

The Key: The UNLV Rebels just beat Wyoming in Triple Overtime last Saturday.  That gives these teams a common opponent at Boise State actually lost to Wyoming 30-28.  And UNLV gained 653 yards against Wyoming and outgained them by 168 yards.  Boise State was actually outgained by 2 yards by Wyoming in that loss.  UNLV averages 253 rushing yards per game this season and will find success on the ground against Boise State.  After all, the Broncos have allowed 215 or more rushing yards in 3 straight games to Wyoming, San Jose State and Hawaii.  The Broncos haven't won by more than 14 points at home this season, and they are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games at home dating back to last season.  Take UNLV.

6* NCAAB Friday Night *CA$H COW* on Siena +23

The Key: The Kansas Jayhawks are in a prime letdown spot here.  After losing to Indiana and then beating top-ranked Duke to open the season, there's no way they're going to be able to get up for Siena tonight.  They will just be going through the motions and won't win by more than 23 points.  Sienna is a very good team that went 21-13 last season with its only loss this season coming by 2 points at George Washington, which won the NIT last year and barely missed the NCAA Tournament.  Siena has all five starters back from last season and each of its top five scorers.  I love the experience on this team, and they won't be intimidated by Kansas.  They have five players back who averaged double-digits scoring last year.  Saints coach Jimmy Patsos is 9-1 ATS in road games after a road game where both teams scored 75 points or more in all games he has coached.  Take Siena.

7* NO/CAR Thursday NFL *HEAVY HITTER* on Carolina Panthers -3

The Key: The Carolina Panthers had won 3 straight meetings with New Orleans by an average of 13 points per game before losing 38-41 to them on the road earlier this season.  I think they get their revenge here Thursday night to hold on to slim hopes of making the playoffs.  This is the make-or-break game for the Panthers, who blew a 17-0 lead to the Chiefs last week and lost despite dominating that game.  Bets on favorites revenging a loss by 7 points or less while also coming off an upset loss as a favorite are 27-6 ATS over the last 10 seasons.  Take Carolina.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Minnesota Timberwolves -11

The Key: The Philadelphia 76ers are playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days.  They will be missing two key players tonight in Jahlil Okafor and Nik Stauskas, who combined for 34 points last night against Washington.  I think the 76ers will show their fatigue here and fail to keep this game against the Minnesota Timberwolves competitive.  The 76ers are 0-4 on the road this season and getting outscored by 17.7 points per game.  The 76ers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win.  Philadelphia is 0-4 ATS in its last four games playing on zero rest.  Take Minnesota.

6* Louisville/Houston ESPN National TV *Annihilator* on Houston +15

The Key: The Houston Cougars have kind of just been going through the motions over the past month.  Because they've had upset losses to Navy and SMU, they are clearly undervalued right now.  But you can bet that Houston will get up for this game against Louisville.  Let's not forget that Houston beat Oklahoma 33-23 and it is fully capable of beating Louisville when it brings its 'A' game.  And this will be a hostile atmosphere at home.  Louisville's 44-12 win over Wake Forest was very misleading last week.  It actually trailed 12-3 midway through the 3rd quarter.  The Cardinals scored 34 points in the 4th quarter of that game.  I think that 'blowout' win has provided us with some line value here.  Bets on home dogs of 14.5 or more points off 2 or more consecutive wins, with a winning record on the season are 38-10 ATS since 1992.  The Cougars are 7-0 ATS as underdogs over the last 3 seasons.  Take Houston.

6* NCAAB Thursday Afternoon *CA$H COW* on Arizona State -4

The Key: Bobby Hurley is now in his second season at Arizona State and big improvements can be expected.  Two key starters return from last year's team in Tra Holder (14.2 PPG) and Obinna Oleka (9.6 PPG, 6.4 RPG).  Guard Shannon Evans followed Hurley from Buffalo, sitting out last season due to transfer rules.  But he was Arizona State's best player in practice at times and will make significant contributions this season.  The Suns Devils are 2-0 SU & 1-0-1 ATS this season, winning by 18 over Portland State as 18-point favorites and by 22 over Cal Poly as 14.5-point favorites.  They are clearly undervalued in the early going.  Northern Iowa is overvalued after making the NCAA Tournament last season and showing well.  But the Panthers lost 3 starters and 3 of their top 4 scorers from that team.  They can be expected to get out to a slow start this season as a result.  Northern Iowa is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games off a win by 30 points or more.  Bets against neutral court underdogs in the first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season with 8 or more wins in their last 10 games, good team from last season that won 60% to 80% of their games are 22-4 ATS over the last 5 seasons.  Take Arizona State.

7* NBA Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Oklahoma City Thunder -2

The Key: The Oklahoma City Thunder will be hungry for a win following 4 consecutive losses.  I like the price we are getting here as they basically just have to win to cover the spread.  I like the fact that the home team has won 7 of the last 9 meetings between OKC and Houston, and the home team went 4-0 straight up at home in their 4 meetings last season as well.  The Thunder are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss by double-digits.  Take Oklahoma City.

6* Ball State/Toledo MAC *CA$H COW* on Ball State +20.5

The Key: The Toledo Rockets finally put an end to a 7-game losing streak to Northern Illinois with a 31-24 victory last Wednesday.  Now they have an even bigger game on deck against unbeaten Western Michigan next week.  That makes this a sandwich game for the Rockets, and I don't expect them to put forth the kind of effort it's going to take to beat Ball State more three or more touchdowns to cover this 20.5-point spread.  Ball State is still alive for a bowl at 4-6 this season and will keep fighting until the end.  Five of Ball State's six losses this season have come by 10 points or less with the only exception being Western Michigan.  The Cardinals haven't lost by more than 20 points to Toledo in any of the last 11 meetings.  Take Ball State.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Marshall -2.5

The Key: Dan D'Antoni has his best team yet as he enters year 3 at Marshall.  They managed a 17-16 record last season and should be even better in 2016-17.  That's because they return 4 starters in Stevie Browning (12.8 PPG), Ryan Taylor (14.2 PPG), Jone Elmore (15.2 PPG) and Austin Loop (9.4 PPG).  Morehead State only has 2 starters back this year and loses three key players in Corban Collins (11.0 PPG), Brent Arrington (10.2 PPG) and Anthony Elechi (8.3 PPG).  I like the Thundering Herd to cover this small number and beat Morehead State tonight.  The Thundering Herd are 9-1 ATS in home games off a win over the last 3 seasons.  Marshall is 8-1 ATS off a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.  Take Marshall.

6* Bulls/Blazers Non-Conference *BAILOUT* on Portland -3

The Key: The Portland Trail Blazers are 7-4 this season with two of their losses coming to the Los Angeles Clippers, who are the best team in the NBA right now.  The Blazers are 5-1 in their last 6 games overall.  But they have failed to cover the spread in 4 straight, which has them undervalued right now as only 3-point favorites over the Chicago Bulls.  With wins and covers in 3 of their last 4 games against the Magic, Heat and Wizards, the Bulls come into this game overvalued.  I think the Blazers are the far superior team on a neutral court, and home-court advantage should be worth more than 3 points for them here.  This is a discount.  Take Portland.

6* Kansas/Duke ESPN National TV *Annihilator* on Kansas +2

The Key: The Duke Blue Devils are title favorites for good reason.  However, they aren't at full strength right now or even close to it as they are basically letting 6 players play all their minutes.  That's because they are without three McDonald's All-Americans in Jayson Tatum, Henry Giles and Marques Bolden.  Because of these losses, Kansas is actually the better team right now and shouldn't be underdogs.  The Jayhawks will also be motivated to avoid opening 0-2 after losing to Indiana in overtime in their opener.  The Blue Devils are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games. The Jayhawks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games.  Kansas is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 neutral site games.  The Jayhawks are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games following a loss.  Take Kansas.

7* Ohio/CMU MAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Central Michigan PK

The Key: The Central Michigan Chippewas need a win to get bowl eligible as they sit at 5-5 on the season.  They will be motivated here at home.  I question the motivation of the Ohio Bobcats, who can lose tonight and still win the MAC East with a home win over Akron next week.  The Bobcats have played one of the easiest schedules in the country up to this point and are extremely overrated.  Central Michigan went on the road and beat Oklahoma State.  Ohio is coming off 3 straight ATS covers, while CMU is coming off 3 straight ATS losses.  That has put the value squarely on the home team in this contest tonight.  Take Central Michigan.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Auburn -7

The Key: The Auburn Tigers are in Year 3 under Bruce Pearl and primed for their best season yet.  They are revitalized with an influx of new, talented players joining key contributors from an injury-riddled 2015-16 campaign.  Pearl has done an excellent job in recruiting, and he now has his deepest, most talented team yet.  The Tigers beat North Florida 83-66 in their opener while forcing 28 turnovers.  This seems like a cheap price to back them at home against overmatched Georgia State as only 7-point favorites.  Georgia State is 2-12 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.  The Panthers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games.  Georgia State is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 vs. SEC opponents.  The Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Sun Belt foes.  Take Auburn.

7* MNF Game of the Year on Cincinnati Bengals PK

The Key: The Cincinnati Bengals are coming off their bye week after tying the Washington Redskins in London.  They are now as healthy as they have been at any point this season.  Tyler Eiffert returned against the Redskins, and he and AJ Green both had over 100 yards receiving.  This Bengals' offense should thrive now with Eiffert back in the fold because they already have a strong running game.  The Giants cannot say the same as they average just 68 rushing yards per game.  The Giants have been outgained in 4 of their last 5 games.  Their 3-game winning streak comes to an end tonight against the superior Bengals.  Cincinnati is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 road games.  Take Cincinnati.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Detroit Pistons -2.5

The Key: The Oklahoma City Thunder are a tired team right now.  They have lost 3 straight games coming in and now will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 8th game in 12 days.  I don't expect a very good effort from them here tonight off their 117-119 home loss to the Magic last night.  The Pistons are 4-0 at home this season.  Not only are they winning, they are dominating, beating opponents by over 17 points per game.  The Pistons are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 games as a home favorite.  Take Detroit.

6* Sunday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on UTSA +17.5

The Key: The UTSA Road Runners really impressed me in their opener.  They only lost 66-69 at Fresno State as 15-point dogs, covering the spread by 12 points.  They outrebounded the Bulldogs by 25 boards and only lost the game because they committed 20 turnovers.  This is a team that returned 4 starters from last year and hired Steve Henson, Lon Kruger's right-hand man at Oklahoma.  Oregon State is a team that lost 4 key players from last year, including star PG Gary Payton II, who averaged 16 points and 7.8 boards last year.  I wasn't impressed with Oregon State's 78-58 home win over Prairie View A&M in the opener as the Beavers shot just 41.3% and committed 20 turnovers.  That's really bad when you consider they had only 46 shot attempts.  Take UTSA.

6* Cowboys/Steelers Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Pittsburgh -3

The Key: The Pittsburgh Steelers will be playing with a sense of urgency today.  They have lost 3 straight games coming in, and Ben Roethlisberger hasn't been healthy for any of them.  But now Roethlisberger should be closer to full strength at today against the Dallas Cowboys in a game the Steelers are looking at like a must-win.  After all, the Steelers are 7-0 in Roethlisberger's last 7 home starts.  The Cowboys are 7-0-1 ATS this season and getting too much respect from oddsmakers now.  It's time to fade them.  Mike Tomlin is 9-1 ATS off 3 or more straight ATS losses as the coach of the Steelers.  Take Pittsburgh.

7* NFL Non-Conference Game of the Month on Green Bay Packers -2.5

The Key: The Packers are just .500 at this late in the season for the first time since Aaron Rodgers' rookie year.  Off two straight losses, it's clear that the Packers will be playing with a sense of urgency.  Tennessee's Nissan Stadium will be turned into Lambeau Field South today as the Titans just have no home-field advantage at all.  The only team they can beat at home is the Jaguars over the past couple seasons.  Oh yeah, they also beat the winless Browns 28-26 earlier this season at home.  The Titans are 12-36-3 ATS in their last 51 games overall and 15-34-3 ATS in their last 52 home games.  Tennessee is 4-15 ATS in home games over the past 3 seasons alone, losing by an average of 8.1 points per game.  The Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.  Take Green Bay.

6* NFC *CA$H COW* on Philadelphia Eagles +1.5

The Key: The Philadelphia Eagles will be playing with a sense of urgency today.  After their 3-0 start, they have lost 4 of their last 5 games by a touchdown or less, and all 4 losses were on the road.  So they have had a chance to win every game they've played this season, but they have just come up short in 50/50 games.  At home though, there has been no such thing as a 50/50 game for the Eagles.  They have absolutely dominated at home this season, going 3-0 while winning by an average of 20.3 points per game.  They are holding opponents to just 7.7 points per game in their 3 home contests, which includes a 34-3 win over the Steelers.  Look for the Eagles to right the ship today.  The home team has won 7 of the last 9 meetings.  Take Philadelphia.

6* NBA Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Phoenix Suns -4.5

The Key: The Phoenix Suns have been competitive in almost every game this season.  They have won three of their last five overall and were competitive in the other two in road losses to the Lakers and Blazers.  The Brooklyn Nets have lost three of their last five with blowout losses to Chicago by 30 and New York by 14.  All three of the Nets' wins this season have come at home, but they are 0-3 on the road.  I look for the supremely talented Suns to put them away early and win this one going away.  The Nets are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games.  Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 home games.  The Suns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Take Phoenix.

6* USC/Washington FOX National TV *Annihilator on Washington -7.5

The Key: Washington is easily one of the Top 5 toughest places to play in the country.  I look for the unbeaten Huskies to feed off of their home crowd and improve to 10-0 with a blowout win over USC this weekend.  Everyone is making a big deal about USC winning 5 straight games coming in, but 4 of those came at home and they were mostly against soft competition.  I like using common opponents to compare team.  USC is 3-2 while winning by 11.8 points per game against common opponents of Washington this season.  Washington is 5-0 against those 5 and winning by 28.0 points per game.  There's no doubt in my mind that the Huskies are by far the superior team, and those numbers prove that.  USC is 0-6 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons, losing by 19.3 points per game.  USC is 0-7 ATS in road games after winning 4 or 5 of its last 6 games coming in over the last 3 seasons.  Take Washington.

6* Stanford/Oregon Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on Stanford -3

The Key: The Oregon Ducks are just 3-6 SU & 1-7-1 ATS this season, but they still continue to get too much respect from the books here as only 3-point underdogs to the Stanford Cardinal.  Stanford is by far the superior team.  While the slight edge on offense goes to Oregon, the massive edge on defense goes to Stanford.  The Cardinal have held their last four opponents to an average of 11.2 points per game.  Oregon is allowing 49.0 points and 601.5 yards per game in conference play this season.  The Ducks give up 239 rushing yards per game and 5.5 per carry.  Christian McCaffrey is primed for perhaps the biggest game of his career.  The Cardinal have rushed for 301 yards per game in their last two contests.  Stanford wants revenge from a 36-38 home loss to Oregon last season that likely cost the Cardinal a spot in the four-team playoff.  They would love nothing more than to hand Oregon its 7th loss and assure that the Ducks won't be going to a bowl game.  The Cardinal are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.  The Ducks are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.  Take Stanford.

7* Mountain West Game of the Year on Wyoming -7.5

The Key: Wyoming is 5-0 in conference play with a win over Boise State to boot.  With wins in 2 of their final 3 games, the Cowboys will be going to the conference championship game.  But they still have tough games coming up at home against San Diego State and on the road at New Mexico.  They really need to win this game against UNLV if they want to reach their goals.  I look for them to continue playing well against the Rebels here.  UNLV has lost 3 of its last 4 with its only win coming against Hawaii, and I don't expect it to put up much of a fight here. That includes a 23-42 home loss to Colorado State, which is the same team Wyoming beat 38-17 on the road earlier this season.  UNLV is a one-dimensional running team that only completes 45.2% of its passes for 163 yards per game.  Wyoming has been great against the run, giving up just 139 rushing yards per game and 4.1 per carry.  Bets on favorites on of 3.5 to 10 points after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last seven games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 25-3 ATS over the last 5 seasons.  Take Wyoming.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Portland Trail Blazers -6.5

The Key: The Sacramento Kings are in the midst of the toughest early schedule in the NBA.  They are being asked to play an 11th game in 17 days to open the season tonight.  This will be their 5th game in 7 days and the 2nd of a back-to-back after a home loss to the Lakers last night.  The Blazers have owned the Kings, going 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in the last 6 home meetings while winning 5 times by at least 11 points.  Given the tough spot for the Kings, another blowout win for the Blazers can be expected tonight.  Take Portland.

7* BC/FSU NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Boston College +20.5

The Key: The Florida State Seminoles have already suffered 3 losses this season and are merely playing for bowl positioning.  They're not concerned at all about this game against Boston College.  They were flat last week in their 24-20 win over NC State, and I don't see them putting forth a much better effort here.  Keep in mind that Boston College also beat NC State 21-14 on the road as 14-point dogs two weeks ago.  Speaking of 14, the Eagles haven't lost by more than 14 points to Florida State in any of the past 3 meetings.  The Eagles are 7-0 ATS in road games off an ATS loss over the last 3 seasons.  After failing to cover in a blowout loss to Louisville last week, the Eagles are undervalued here.  Take Boston College.

6* Michigan State/Arizona ESPN National TV *Annihilator* on Arizona +1

The Key: Arizona has four new starters, including two true freshman starters in guard Rawle Alkins and power forward Lauri Markkanen, a 3-point shooter and NBA lottery prospect who was the team's leading scorer with 21 points in its final exhibition game against Chico State on Sunday.  Sophomore post player Chance Comanche should be good to go after serving a suspension due to academics. Comanche (6-11) joins a front line that includes 7-footer Markkanen, 7-foot center Dusan Ristic and 6-9 forward Keanu Pinder, a junior college transfer.  Michigan State also replaces 4 starters from last season, and they'll be without big men Ben Carter and Gavin Schilling due to knee injuries.  That leaves Nick Ward, at 6-8, as the team's tallest player tonight.  The Wildcats should own the Spartans on the glass in this game, which will be the key to victory.  Take Arizona.

7* Browns/Ravens AFC North Game of the Month on Cleveland +8

The Key: The Baltimore Ravens can't be trusted to lay this kind of weight.  Not when they haven't blown anyone out over the past two seasons.  The Ravens haven't won a game by more than 8 points in any of their last 24 games.  They have been the kings of close games as 22 of those 24 games were decided by 8 points or fewer.  Plus, the Ravens are coming off a huge win over the rival Steelers on Sunday, so they could come out flat here against the Browns.  The Browns have at least been competitive in the majority of their games, and they will be again here tonight against the offensively-challenged Ravens.  The Ravens are 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 home games.  The road team is 12-3-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings.  The Browns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 trips to Baltimore.  Take Cleveland.

6* NBA Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Milwaukee Bucks -5.5

The Key: The Milwaukee Bucks have won 3 of their last 4 games coming in.  They throttled the Pacers 125-107 and the Kings 117-91 in the process.  Their only loss came on the road in overtime at Dallas while playing the 2nd of a back-to-back.  But the Bucks have had the last 3 days off to get ready for the Pelicans, who they already beat 117-113 on the road just over a week ago.  The Pelicans are a mess as they are 0-8 SU & 2-6 ATS this season.  They should be much bigger underdogs here to the Bucks on the road.  The Pelicans are 10-22 ATS in their last 32 vs. Eastern Conference.  Take Milwaukee.

6* UNC/Duke ESPN National TV *Annihilator* on North Carolina -11

The Key: The North Carolina Tar Heels are 5-1 in conference play with their only loss coming to Virginia Tech in the slop left over by Hurricane Matthew.  They have a great chance to win the Coastal for a second consecutive season.  They have won their last 3 games in impressive fashion with a 7-point win at Miami, a 21-point win at Virginia, and a 28-point home win over Georgia Tech.  I look for this blowout streak to continue as they put Duke away early.  The Tar Heels have blown out the Blue Devils each of the last 2 seasons.  They won 45-20 on the road in 2014 and 66-31 at home in 2015.  Bets against home teams who have lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games against opponents who have won 3 of their last 4 games are 34-7 ATS over the last 5 seasons.  Take North Carolina.

7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Los Angeles Clippers -9.5

The Key: The Portland Trail Blazers are in a very tough situation here.  They are playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 6th game in 9 days.  They used up a lot of energy in a 124-121 home win over the Phoenix Suns last night as Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum combined for 71 points.  The Clippers are 6-1 this season and outscoring teams by 14.9 points per game.  They have been the best team in the NBA thus far in point differential.  And they want revenge on the Blazers after getting knocked out of the playoffs by them last year once Chris Paul and Blake Griffin were lost to injury.  Los Angeles is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 home games.  That includes 20 and 21-points wins over the Blazers in Game 1 and 2 of the playoffs last year when they were healthy.  Take Los Angeles.

6* Bowling Green/Akron MAC *CA$H COW* on Akron -10.5

The Key: One thing is certain, and that is the fact that the Akron Zips will show up to play tonight.  It is Senior Night for the Zips, and sitting at 5-5 on the season, they need another win to get bowl eligible.  The same cannot be said for Bowling Green, which at 1-8 on the season, may not show up tonight.  The Falcons lost by 14 at home to Miami Ohio and by 25 on the road to Northern Illinois in their last two games.  Another double-digit blowout loss can be expected here against the Zips.  Bowling Green is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games overall.  The Zips are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.  Take Akron.

7* NBA Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Phoenix Suns +7.5

The Key: The Phoenix Suns, with their terrific guard trio of Eric Bledsoe, Devin Booker and Brandon Knight, match up very well with the Portland Trail Blazers and their superb guard duo of Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum.  That probably helps to explain why the Suns have had so much success against the Blazers recently.  Dating back to last season, the Suns have won 3 of their last 4 meetings with the Blazers outright.  Bets on road underdogs after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a win by 6 points or less are 24-3 ATS over the last 5 seasons.  I think the Suns are catching too many points tonight.  Take Phoenix.

6* EMU/Ball State MAC *CA$H COW* on Eastern Michigan PK

The Key: Eastern Michigan can get bowl eligible with a win tonight over Ball State, which is huge for a program that hasn't played in the postseason since 1987.  The Eagles are one of the most improved teams in the country.  They easily covered against both Toledo and Western Michigan in competitive games, and playing those two teams tough is no small feat.  Ball State just lost to Western Michigan 20-52 last week, while EMU only lost 31-45 on the road to WMU a couple weeks ago.  EMU QB Brogan Roback has thrown 10 touchdowns and only 3 interceptions this season as the Eagles are averaging 282 passing yards per game.  Ball State gives up 296 passing yards per game, so Roback should have a big day.  The Eagles only give up 3.9 yards per carry, and the Cardinals rely heavily on the run as they run it 46 times per game.  Eastern Michigan is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 road games, while Ball State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 home games.  Take Eastern Michigan.

7* Bills/Seahawks MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Buffalo +6.5

The Key: The Buffalo Bills are 4-4 this season and catching too many points here against the Seattle Seahawks.  They have only lost one game by more than 6 points this season, and that was last week against the New England Patriots, who just cannot be stopped right now.  But the Bills get back LeSean McCoy this week and add in Percy Harvin.  Seattle is 4-2-1 this season, but two of its wins came by exactly 2 points at home against the Dolphins and Falcons.  The Seahawks are broken offensively.  They rank 29th in points per game (18.7) and 23rd in total offense.  Their defense is missing DE Martellus Bennett and S Kam Chancellor as well.  The Bills are averaging 29.3 points per game in their last 7 games since changing offensive coordinators.  Buffalo is 6-0 ATS off 2 or more consecutive losses over the past 3 seasons, coming back to win by 14.6 points per game.  Take Buffalo.

6* NBA Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Oklahoma City Thunder -5

The Key: The Oklahoma City Thunder aren't missing Kevin Durant too much.  They are 5-1 this season with their only loss coming to Durant's Warriors on the road.  They also have a road win over the Clippers, and they are 3-0 at home this season with an average margin of victory of 13.4 points per game.  The Miami Heat are clearly taking a step back this season as their roster is one of the worst in the NBA now.  They have lost 3 of their last 4 with all 3 losses coming by at least 6 points.  The Thunder have won their last 2 home meetings with the Heat by 25 and 18 points.  Take Oklahoma City.

6* Sunday NFL *TOTAL* Annihilator on Titans/Chargers UNDER 47.5

The Key: The Titans have gone over the total in five straight games, while the Chargers have gone over the total in four of their last five games.  Because of these recent over streaks, I think there is a ton of value with the UNDER this week as the Titans face the Chargers.  Both of these teams like to control time of possession and they have this season.  The Titans have done it with their running game, while the Chargers have done it with their short passing game.  Both teams have been stout against the run, so it's going to be hard to get points in the red zone.  The Titans only give up 82 rushing yards per game while the Chargers allow just 86 per game.  The Chargers are 11-2 UNDER in home games after the first month of the season over the last 3 seasons.  Take the UNDER.

6* Panthers/Rams NFC *CA$H COW* on Carolina -3

The Key: The Carolina Panthers are poised to make a run.  They opened the season 1-5 but were clearly better than their record as they lost a few games they obviously shouldn't have.  But then they had their bye week, and they returned with a dominant 30-20 home win over the Cardinals.  Now they go on the road against a Los Angeles Rams team that simply isn't very good.  The Rams have lost three straight coming in.  Their offense is one of the worst in the NFL as they average just 17.1 points and 308 yards per game.  The Panthers average 27.3 points and 388 yards per game, and some of that has even been without Cam Newton due to injury.  But they just put up 30 points on a very good Arizona defense last week and even had to settle for three field goals.  Newton and Jonathan Stewart are back now and rushed for 141 yards on Arizona last week.  The Rams love to run the ball with Todd Gurley, but the Panthers only give up 80 rushing yards per game and 3.3 per carry.  The Panthers are 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.  Take Carolina.

7* NFC East Game of the Year on New York Giants -3

The Key: The New York Giants are showing great value as 3-point favorites over the Philadelphia Eagles today.  They should be much bigger favorites here.  They enter on a 2-game winning streak and are coming off their bye week to get healthy.  The Eagles have lost 3 of their last 4 and just aren't playing well right now.  They are also coming off an overtime game against the Cowboys, and it's going to be tough to bounce back from that against a Giants team off their bye.  The Giants are 2-1 at home this season and outgaining teams by 76 yards per game.  The Eagles are 1-3 on the road and getting outgained by 81 yards per game.  This is a very short price for the Giants at home given the situation.  Take New York.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Houston Rockets +3

The Key: The Atlanta Hawks will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days after playing a road game against the Washington Wizards last night.  Meanwhile, the Houston Rockets come in on 2 days' rest and chomping the bit to hit the court.  The Rockets' up-tempo style will test the legs of the Hawks as they have to be tired right now.  The Rockets are scoring 110.2 points per game on 47.2% shooting.  Houston is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 games when playing on 2 days' rest.  Take Houston.

6* Oregon/USC ESPN National TV *Annihilator* on Oregon +17

The Key: The USC Trojans have won four in a row, but now they're starting to get a little too much love from oddsmakers.  It's time to sell on them and buy on the Oregon Ducks, who are just 1-6-1 ATS this season, thus they are getting to love from the betting public.  But the Ducks are coming off their best performance of the season in a 54-35 win over Arizona State behind 734 yards of total offense.  They have found their QB of the future in freshman Justin Herbert, who has thrown for 747 yards and 10 touchdowns against 1 interception in the last two games alone. Oregon is 8-0 ATS in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.  USC is 0-6 ATS after winning 5 or 6 of its last 7 games over the last 3 seasons.  The Ducks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 November games.  The Trojans are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.  Take Oregon.

7* SEC Game of the Year on Arkansas +4

The Key: The Arkansas Razorbacks are fresh off their bye week.  They needed it after playing the likes of Alabama, Ole Miss and Auburn in consecutive weeks.  Quarterback Austin Allen is now healthy and ready to lead his troops at home against 11th-ranked Florida.  The Gators may be the most overrated team in their country because their 6-1 start has come against a very easy schedule.  They best team they've played is Tennessee, and they lost 38-28 on the road.  They also barely beat Vanderbilt 13-6 in their other true road game.  The Razorbacks are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games off a loss by 21 points or more.  The Gators are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a cover against the spread.  The wrong team is favored in this game.  Take Arkansas.

6* ACC Game of the Week on Wake Forest -3

The Key: The Wake Forest Demon Deacons had a chance to become bowl eligible last week.  They couldn't do it as they lost to a pesky Army team.  I expect them to take advantage of this opportunity this week at home against Virginia as they'll be extremely motivated to do so.  And Virginia is getting way too much respect from the books for playing Louisville tough last week.  That was a huge effort, but now I expect them to suffer a hangover after falling just short.  They won't get up to play Wake Forest this week.  The Demon Deacons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.  The Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.  Take Wake Forest.

7* SJSU/Boise State NCAAF Friday Night Lights on San Jose State +30

The Key: The Boise State Broncos just had their dreams crushed of playing in the Cotton Bowl.  They lost 28-30 at Wyoming last week as 14.5-point underdogs.  I expect them to come out flat tonight against the San Jose Spartans, which is going to make it extremely difficult to cover this 30-point spread.  The Broncos have been one of the worst bets in college football, yet they still keep getting a ton of respect from oddsmakers.   They are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.  They only won by 1 at home over BYU, by 5 at home over Colorado State, by 11 at home over Utah State and by 3 at home over Washington State in their four home games, where they've gone 0-4 ATS.  The Spartans come in with confidence after winning 2 of their last 3 games while not committing a single turnover in that stretch, which has made the biggest difference.  The Broncos are 0-7 ATS vs. teams who give up 8 or more yards per pass attempt over the last 3 seasons.  They are only beating these teams by 4.8 points per game.  Take San Jose State.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on San Antonio Spurs -4.5

The Key: I really like this spot for the San Antonio Spurs.  It's a home and home situation for them after losing to the Jazz at home on Tuesday night.  Now they've had two days off and will get their shot at revenge against the Jazz here on the road.  The Jazz don't have that same luxury as they came back and played the Mavs on Wednesday, so this will be their 3rd game in 4 days.  And the Jazz are short-handed right now playing without Alec Burks, Gordon Hayward and Boris Diaw.  The Spurs have still won 4 of their last 5 meetings with the Jazz with 3 of those wins coming by 18-plus points.  San Antonio is 19-6 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite of 10 points or more since 1996.  Utah has only covered in 3 of its last 15 games vs. a team with a winning record.  Take San Antonio.

7* ATL/TB Thursday NFL *HEAVY HITTER* on Atlanta -3.5

The Key: The Atlanta Falcons are outgaining teams by 1.2 yards per play this season, which is the best mark in the entire NFL.  The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are getting outgained by 0.9 yards per play on the year, which is the second-worst mark in the NFL.  I think this is an absolute mismatch, especially with the Bucs' top 3 running backs out due to injury.  The Oakland Raiders put up 626 yards of offense on the Bucs last week.  The Bucs' defense was on the field for a long time in the OT loss, which works against them on this short week.  The Falcons have the league's top scoring offense and total offense and should shred the Bucs just as the Raiders did.  Tampa Bay is 18-43-1 ATS in its last 62 home games, and 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS at home this season.  Take Atlanta.

6* NBA Eastern Conference *CA$H COW* on Boston Celtics +10

The Key: I know the Boston Celtics will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back here, but this is one of the deepest teams in the NBA.  That depth allows the Celtics to play well on no rest.  They are actually 35-15-1 ATS in their last 51 games playing on 0 days' rest.  The city of Cleveland is down right now after losing the World Series.  I think that will carry over to their basketball team here tonight.  Either way, it's going to be hard for the Cavs to win by double-digits against these pesky Celtics.  Take Boston.

6* Oklahoma/Iowa State ESPN National TV *Annihilator* on Iowa State +20.5

The Key: The Iowa State Cyclones have had some weekday magic over the years.  They beat previously unbeaten and national title contender Oklahoma State as 27-point underdogs in 2011.  They only lost to Texas 30-31 in 2013 and should have won that game as the refs blew a fumble call in the final minutes.  Now they take on Oklahoma and should give the Sooners are run for their money.  The Sooners are down to one scholarship running back, and he's a freshman.  That's because Samaje Perine is hurt, and Joe Mixon is suspended.  The Cyclones are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.  They only lost to Baylor by 3 at home and to Kansas State by 5 at home.  Iowa State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 home games overall, while Oklahoma is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games following an ATS win.  Take Iowa State.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Dallas Mavericks +4

The Key: The Dallas Mavericks are hungry for their first win of the season.  They are 0-3 with an overtime loss to the Pacers and a 1-point loss to the Rockets.  But they've had two days in between games, which has helped Dirk Nowitzki get over his illness, and he should be good to go tonight.  This is an awful spot for the Jazz, who will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and 3rd game in 4 days.  They beat the Spurs on the road last night and will likely be in a letdown spot here.  The Mavs are 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games against a team with a winning home record.  Take Dallas.

7* Cubs/Indians World Series *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago -115

The Key: The Chicago Cubs send ace Kyle Hendricks to the mound tonight to finish off this series, just as he did in Game 6 against the Dodgers by pitching an absolute gem.  Hendricks is on full rest, while his counterpart Corey Kluber is only on 3 days of rest.  Since this is the Cubs' third time seeing Kluber, I think they'll have their most success against him.  They did get a base runner on in all but one inning against Kluber in Game 4, but they didn't do much with it.  They will do more damage this time around.  I look for Hendricks to depart with the lead and for the bullpen to finish it off.  Take Chicago.

6* Toledo/Akron MAC *CA$H COW* on Toledo -10

The Key: The Toledo Rockets have been very impressive this season.  They are 6-2 on the season with their two losses coming by a combined 7 points.  Off their first conference loss, I look for them to come out hungry tonight against Akron, which just lost by 21 to lowly Buffalo last week.  The Rockets have outgained all 8 foes this season and by an average of 167 yards per game.  Akron has been outgained in 6 of 9 games this season and by an average of 82 yards per game.  This looks like an obvious mismatch on paper and should be on the scoreboard as well.  The Rockets are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 road games.  Take Toledo.

7* World Series Game of the Year on Chicago Cubs -144

The Key: The Chicago Cubs feel like they can pull off the comeback from a 3-1 deficit.  After winning Game 5, they now have Jake Arrieta back on the mound in Cleveland.  The last time he was there in Game 2 he took a no-hitter into the 6th inning in a 5-1 victory for the Cubs.  I expect Arrieta to come up big, and for the Cubs to tee off on Josh Tomlin, who has been pitching above his head thus far in the postseason and is due to get knocked around a little bit here.  Take Chicago.

6* Western Michigan/Ball State MAC *CA$H COW* on Ball State +17.5

The Key: The Ball State Cardinals are one of the most improved teams in the MAC this season.  They have gone 4-4 this season and what impresses me most is that they have been in every game they have played.  All four of their losses have come by 10 points or less.  That includes a 3-point loss at Central Michigan and a 10-point loss at Indiana in their two toughest games this season.  They are capable of keeping up with Western Michigan.  The Broncos are clearly overvalued right now due to their 8-0 SU & 6-2 ATS start this season.  They haven't covered in 2 of their last 3 games as their lines have simply been too big, similar to this one tonight.  I'll take all the points I can get with the Cardinals here.  Take Ball State.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Miami Heat -3.5

The Key: The NBA schedule makers did the Kings no favors to start the season.  They have to be gassed right now considering they will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days.  I look for the Miami Heat to take advantage and put away the Kings early in a blowout victory.  The Heat have been solid this season with a 12-point win over the Magic on the road, and narrow 6 and 7-point home losses to the Hornets and Spurs, respectively.  The Kings showed signs of wearing down last night as they were outscored 14-27 in the fourth quarter in a 95-106 loss at Atlanta.  The Heat are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games, 21-7 ATS in their last 28 meetings, and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 home meetings.  Take Miami.

7* MIN/CHI NFC North *TOTAL* Annihilator on UNDER 40.5

The Key: The Minnesota Vikings are an UNDER machine.  The UNDER is 18-7-1 in Vikings last 26 games overall, 12-3-1 in Vikings last 16 road games, and 7-0 in Vikings last 7 games following an ATS loss.  The UNDER is 5-1 in Bears last 6 division games, and 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in this series.  The Vikings lead the NFL in scoring defense and total defense.  But the Vikings are just No. 31 in total offense.  And the Bears are last in the NFL in scoring offense.  This game sets up to be an ugly, low-scoring defensive battle once again.  Take the UNDER.

6* NBA Eastern Conference *CA$H COW* on Brooklyn Nets +6.5

The Key: The Brooklyn Nets are a perfect 3-0 ATS in three games this season.  They are just 1-2 straight up, but they only lost by 5 on the road to the Celtics, and by 2 on the road to the Bucks.  They won their only home game, beating the Pacers by 9 as 6-point dogs.  I think they will give the Chicago Bulls a run for their money here tonight with a chance to win outright as 6.5-point dogs.  The Nets are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Bulls are 1-11 ATS in road games after scoring 105 points or more over the past 2 seasons.  Take Brooklyn.

6* Sunday NFL *TOTAL* Annihilator on Chargers/Broncos UNDER 43.5

The Key: These teams just played two weeks ago in a 21-13 home win for the Chargers and 34 combined points.  With their familiarity with one another, it's simply hard for either team to score points.  The Broncos still have one of the best defenses in the NFL.  The Chargers' defense has been better ever since Joey Bosa entered the lineup, and now corner Brandon Flowers is expected to return this week to give them a boost.  The UNDER is 20-6-1 in Chargers last 27 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. The UNDER is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 games overall.  The UNDER is 11-4-1 in Broncos last 16 home games.  The UNDER is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.  Take the UNDER.

7* NFL Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Carolina Panthers -2.5

The Key: The Carolina Panthers are coming off their bye week and are in must-win mode now.  They are just 1-5 on the season, though I still believe they are one of the best teams in the NFL, and that will show on Sunday.  The Arizona Cardinals are coming off an overtime tie against the Seahawks and are clearly not in the best shape right now mentally and physically after that contest.  The Panthers are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 home games following a road game.  Cam Newton is 7-1 ATS in his last 8 home starts.  The Cardinals are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing 9 points or fewer in their previous game.  Take Carolina.

6* Sunday NFL *UPSET SPECIAL* on Cleveland Browns +2

The Key: This is the best chance for the Browns to win this season.  I think they get that first victory here against the awful New York Jets.  I just don't like the Jets' locker room right now after Ryan Fitzpatrick called out coaches and management for benching him.  Meanwhile, Hue Jackson has the Browns playing hard every week.  And now Josh McCown, their best quarterback, returns to the lineup this week.  He will make a big difference for this team and I upgrade the Browns a couple points with him at QB for sure.  The Jets are 1-4 ATS as a road favorite under Todd Bowles, losing three of those games outright.  Take Cleveland.

6* T'Wolves/Kings Saturday NBA *BAILOUT* on Timberwolves/Kings UNDER 206

The Key: Tom Thibodeau has installed a defensive mindset into this Minnesota team that has been missing over the past couple seasons.  The Timberwolves held opponents to just over 94 points per game in the preseason.  They started the season with a 98-102 loss at Memphis, and I look for them to lock in defensively tonight against the Kings.  The Kings have shown defensive improvement under Dave Joerger as well as they are going all-out on that side of the court in the early going.  They held Phoenix to just 94 points in the opener and San Antonio to a respectable 102 points in their second game of the season.  The UNDER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings with combined scores of 202, 217, 194 and 192 points.  Take the UNDER.

6* Indians/Cubs World Series *CA$H COW* on Chicago -127

The Key: The Chicago Cubs are 21-6 in their last 27 games following a loss.  They have shown a ton of resiliency already in this postseason, winning three straight games after falling behind to the Dodgers 2-1 in the NLCS.  Look for them to be much better at the plate against Corey Kluber tonight after seeing him already in Game 1.  The Indians are taking a big gamble here starting Kluber on short rest.  They lost the last time he started on short rest against the Blue Jays in Game 4 last series.  The Cubs are 5-0 in John Lackey's last 5 starts, and I expect him to come up big for them once again tonight.  Take Chicago.

6* Northwestern/Ohio State Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Northwestern +27.5

The Key: The Northwestern Wildcats are playing their best football of the season right now and are clearly capable of giving Ohio State a run for its money.  The Wildcats are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games overall.  They won 38-31 at Iowa as 11-point dogs, 54-40 at Michigan State as 6-point dogs, and 24-14 at home against Indiana as 3-point favorites.  Their offense is hitting on all cylinders.  Clayton Thorson is the third-leading passer in the Big Ten at 240.9 yards per game and 14 touchdowns.  Justin Jackson is the conference's leading rusher with 792 yards, and Austin Carr is the conference's leading receiver with 50 catches for 720 yards and nine scores.  Ohio State's offense just hasn't been the same of late,  They only managed 383 yards against Indiana, scored 23 points in regulation against Wisconsin, and were held to 21 points against Penn State.  They're going to need to score close to 50 to cover this 27-point spread, but I don't think they're capable of it against this Northwestern defense, which gives up 21.9 points per game.  Ohio State is 0-6 ATS in home games off one or more straight unders over the last 2 seasons.  Take Northwestern.

7* Miami/ND Non-Conference Game of the Month on Notre Dame +1.5

The Key: This is the start of a new season for the Notre Dame Fighting Irish.  They have started 2-5 this year and will have to get four wins in their last five games to make a bowl.  There's no question this team is shooting for that target, and the next four games are all winnable against Miami, Navy, Army and Virginia Tech.  Now they've had a bye week to catch their breath and should play one of their best games of the season this week.  It's worth noting that all five of Notre Dame's losses have come by 8 points or less, so they are better than their record.  Maimi has been overmatched in three straight losses to FSU, UNC and VA Tech.  They have been outgained in 4 straight games, while Notre Dame has actually outgained 4 of 7 opponents this season.  The Hurricanes are 0-6 ATS vs. teams who pass for 250 or more yards per game over the last 2 seasons.  They are losing by 17.2 points per game on average.  Take Notre Dame.

6* NCAAF Rivalry Game of the Week on Michigan State +24.5

The Key: The Michigan State Spartans haven't been this big of home underdogs since 1991.  And this is a rivalry game, so I don't believe the Spartans should be catching this many points.  I understand that Michigan wants revenge considering the Spartans are 7-1 SU & 8-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings in this series.  But they will gladly take a win, even if its by 24 points or fewer, which is likely going to be the case in this game.  This will only be Michigan's second road game of the season with the first coming at lowly Rutgers.  The schedule has been rather soft for the Wolverines to say the least, and I believe them to be overvalued because of it.  Take Michigan State.

7* Warriors/Pelicans ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Golden State -10.5

The Key: The Golden State Warriors have been steaming mad since their 100-129 loss to the San Antonio Spurs in the opener.  Look for them to take it out on the hapless New Orleans Pelicans, who are the worst team in the Western Conference to open the season.  The Pelicans are missing two starters in Tyreke Evans and Jrue Holiday, and their lineup is one of the worst in the NBA as a result right now.  Even the Denver Nuggets beat them 107-102 in the opener despite committing 24 turnovers.  The Warriors should roll from start to finish and easily win this game by double-digits.  The Pelicans are 0-9 ATS after a game with 30 or more assists over the last 3 seasons.  Take Golden State.

6* Indians/Cubs World Series *CA$H COW* on Chicago -1.5 (+109)

The Key: The Chicago Cubs should win by multiple runs tonight.  Their offense is hitting on all cylinders in scoring at least 5 runs in four of their last five games overall.  They should feast on Josh Tomlin, who sports a 4.31 ERA in 31 starts this season.  Kyle Hendricks should continue to dominate.  He's 10-3 with a 1.31 ERA in 17 home starts this year and 1-1 with a 1.65 ERA in 3 postseason starts.  The Cubs have owned right-handed starters, going 43-13 in their last 56 games against them.  Take Chicago on the Run Line.

6* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on San Diego State -5

The Key: The San Diego State Aztecs are one of the best non-power 5 teams in the country.  They are 6-1 this season and coming off a 42-3 win over San Jose State.  They went undefeated in conference play last year, and they're 3-0 in conference play this year, winning by 24.0 points per game on average.  Utah State is just 1-3 in conference play this season with its only win coming at home over Fresno State, which is probably the worst team in the Mountain West.  All three of Utah State's conference losses have come by 7 points or more.  SDSU beat Utah State 48-14 last year and outgained them by 190 yards thanks to 336 rushing yards.  The Aztecs are 24-9-2 ATS in their last 35 conference games and 9-1 ATS int heir last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.  The Aztecs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a win.  Take San Diego State.

6* Cal/USC ESPN *BAILOUT* on USC -16

The Key: The USC Trojans come into this game fresh and ready to go.  They haven't played in almost two weeks.  They are 3-0 in their last 3 games overall, winning by an average of 19.7 points per game and outgaining foes by 206 yards per game.  Cal doesn't have the same luxury.  It played a double-OT game last Friday against Oregon and will not be fresh at all for this contest.  The Cal defense, which gives up 41.3 points per game this season, might give up 60 to the Trojans in this one.  I look for USC to score at will and to get enough stops to easily cover this 16-point spread given the situation.  After all, the Trojans have won 12 straight meetings in this series, and they're 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.  Take USC.

7* Jags/Titans AFC South *HEAVY HITTER* on Jacksonville +3.5

The Key: Both of the Jaguars' wins this season have come on the road.  One was against the Colts in London in a game they dominated.  That's the same Colts team that just beat the Titans 34-26 in Tennessee last week.  The Titans are awful at home as they are 1-3 with their only win coming by 2 points over the Browns.  They are 2-9 ATS at home over the past 2 seasons and 14-34-3 ATS in their last 51 home games.  The Titans are also 1-12 ATS in their last 13 division games.  The Jags give up just 4.9 yards per play on defense while the Titans allow 5.9 yards per play.  I'll back the better defense here catching 3.5 points.  Take Jacksonville.

6* Celtics/Bulls TNT *CA$H COW* on UNDER 211

The Key: Because the Celtics played a shootout against the Nets last night in a 122-117 win, this total has been inflated tonight.  The Celtics won't be playing with the same energy as they did last night, and the Bulls are a much better defensive team than the Nets.  The Bulls have plus-defenders in Jimmy Butler, Taj Gibson, Robin Lopez, Rajon Rondo and Dwayne Wade in their starting lineup.  They will be a great defensive team this year.  I worry about their offense, though, as they lack shooting in their starting 5.  This may be one of the worst 3-point shooting teams in the NBA this season.  All 3 meetings between these teams last season saw 211 or fewer combined points.  They combined for 211, 193 and 205 points in them.  The UNDER is 14-3 in Celtics last 17 games following a straight up win.  The UNDER is 40-18-3 in Celtics last 61 Thursday games.  Take the UNDER.

6* Rockets/Lakers ESPN *BAILOUT* on OVER 222

The Key: Mike D'Antoni was a perfect fit for Houston's roster.  That has proven to be the case in the preseason as the Rockets led the league with an average of 118.6 points per game, which was 6 points more than second-place Golden State.  Their defense leaves a lot to be desired as they gave up 108.1 points per game in the preseason.  The Lakers are going to be improved offensively this season with their young nucleus in Luke Walton's system, which he brings over from Golden State.  They average a solid 105.9 points per game in the preseason to finish in the Top 10.  But they had the fourth-worst scoring defense in allowing 107.2 points per game, and that will be the case all season.  Look for plenty of points in this opener as the combined scored of this game sails way OVER 222 points.  Take the OVER.

7* NBA Non-Conference *BLOWOUT* on Indiana Pacers -6.5

The Key: The Indiana Pacers made some nice moves this offseason in adding Jeff Teague, Thaddeus Young and Al Jefferson.  They already have their star in Paul George and an emerging star in Myles Turner.  Look for the Pacers to get off to a fast start in their opener and not let up at home against the Dallas Mavericks.  The Mavericks went just 2-5 in the preseason and were outscored by nearly 9 points per game.  They spent too much money on Harrison Barnes, and the rest of their roster are far past their primes.  The Mavs will be a mess this season as they finish as one of the worst teams in the West, while the Pacers finish among the East's elite.  Take Indiana.

6* Cubs/Indians World Series *CA$H COW* on Chicago -132

The Key: The Cubs have a big advantage on the mound tonight with Jake Arrieta over Trevor Bauer.  They also have the motivational advantage after losing Game 1.  The Cubs are 36-16 in Arrieta's last 52 road starts and 39-15 in his last 54 starts overall.  They are also 14-1 in his last 15 road starts with a price range of -100 to -150.  Take Chicago.

7* Spurs/Warriors TNT *BAILOUT* on Golden State -8

The Key: The Golden State Warriors should hit the ground running tonight at home against the San Antonio Spurs in front of a hostile home crowd.  The Warriors are far and away the best team in the NBA, and they showed signs of that in the preseason by going 6-1, clearly not taking long at all to adjust to some new faces in Kevin Durant and Zaza Pachulia.  The Warriors will be favored by double-digits in most games this season.  They have gone 33-15 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 3 years.  I think we are getting a discount on them in the opener against the Spurs, who will take a few steps back this season.  Take Golden State.

6* Cubs/Indians World Series *CA$H COW* on Chicago -111

The Key: Jon Lester is 8-6 with a 2.05 ERA in his postseason career, which spans 17 starts and 2 relief appearances. He has been even better this postseason, going 2-0 with a 0.86 ERA in 3 starts while yielding only 2 earned runs in 21 innings.  Look for the veteran lefty to shut down the Indians in this one.  The Cubs got their bats going with 23 runs on 33 hits over their final 3 games in the NLCS.  That should carry over into Game 1 of the World Series as well.  Take Chicago.

7* HOU/DEN AFC *TOTAL* Annihilator on UNDER 40.5

The Key: Both offenses are terrible and both defenses are borderline elite in this game.  The Broncos rank No. 28 in total offense while the Texans are No. 27 in total offense.  Denver ranks No. 4 in total defense while Houston ranks No. 7 in total defense.  Houston's offense is averaging less than 5 yards per play and Denver's defense gives up 4.7 yards per play.  The Texans only average 5.4 yards per pass play while the Broncos rank 1st in the NFL against the pass, giving up only 183 yards per game.  Points will be at a premium tonight.  The UNDER is 5-1 in Texans last 6 games following a win.  The UNDER is 5-0 in Broncos last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.  The UNDER is 10-4-1 in Broncos last 15 home games.  Take the UNDER.

7* NFL Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1

The Key: The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are primed for a big performance Sunday against the San Francisco 49ers.  They are coming off their bye week following a 17-14 win at Carolina that could have turned their season around.  Now they get to face the lowly 49ers, who have just kept getting crushed week after week.  The 49ers are 0-5 SU & 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall, losing all five games by at least 7 points, and losing four times by at least 12 points.  Their defense just gave up 491 total yards, including 312 rushing, in a 16-45 loss at Buffalo last week.  San Francisco is 0-6 ATS after allowing 35 points or more last game over the past 3 seasons.  It is losing by 12.3 points per game on average.  Take Tampa Bay.

6* Chargers/Falcons Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on San Diego +6.5

The Key: All four of San Diego's losses this season have come by 6 points or less, so that fact alone shows that the Chargers are undervalued.  The Falcons have gone 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games, so they are getting too much respect from oddsmakers now.  Keep in mind that all 5 of those wins were as underdogs, but now the Falcons are 6.5-point favorites over the Chargers.  That's important because the Falcons are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorites, while the Chargers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games.  The Chargers also get extra time to prepare for this game after beating the Broncos 21-13 last Thursday.  Take San Diego.

6* Bills/Dolphins AFC East *CA$H COW* on Miami +3

The Key: The Miami Dolphins had their starting five offensive linemen for the first time last week against Pittsburgh.  That's why it is no surprise that they put forth their best performance of the season offensively.  They beat the Steelers 30-15 behind 474 yards of total offense, including 222 rushing.  Their defense also played very well, limiting the Steelers to just 297 total yards and forcing two turnovers.  But the Dolphins aren't getting any love from oddsmakers this week as home underdogs to the Bills, who are getting too much respect due to winning four straight games coming in.  They beat the Cardinals thanks to 5 turnovers from Arizona, the Patriots with 3rd-string QB Jacoby Brissett, the Rams without 3 of their top defensive linemen, and the hapless 49ers and Colin Kaepernick.  So, they've simply benefited from an easy schedule, but now they face a Dolphins team that is as healthy as they've been all season.  Buffalo is 5-15 ATS in its last 20 games following four or more consecutive wins.  The Bills are expected to be without two key players in RB LeSean McCoy and DT Marcell Dareus, who are both doubtful.  Rex Ryan is 1-9 ATS in road games vs. good rushing teams who average 4.5 or more yards per carry as a head coach.  Take Miami.

6* Washington State/ASU Pac-12 *BAILOUT* on Washington State -7.5

The Key: After losing to Eastern Washington and Boise State by a combined 6 points to open the season, the Washington State Cougars have gone 4-0 since with four straight dominant victories against some really good competition.  They beat Idaho 56-6, Oregon 51-33 and Stanford 42-16 on the road.  They 'only' beat UCLA 27-21 at home last week, but that game was played in a downpour, and it was a bigger blowout than the final score as the Cougars led 24-7 in the second half.  Arizona State is clearly one of the worst teams in the Pac-12.  The Sun Devils have been outgained badly in four straight games.  They were outgained by 183 yards by Cal, by 220 yards by USC, by 168 yards by UCLA, and by 381 yards in a 16-40 loss to Colorado last week.  The Cougars are legitimate contenders to win the Pac-12 and will continue their mission this week with a dominant victory against the overmatched Sun Devils.  The Cougars are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 conference games and 9-0 ATS in their last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.  Take Washington State.

7* Big 12 Game of the Year on TCU +6.5

The Key: The TCU Horned Frogs are fresh off their bye after an uninspiring 24-23 win at Kansas two weeks ago.  Gary Patterson has gotten the attention of his players, and I look for the Horned Frogs to put forth their best effort of the season Saturday.  Patterson is the king of using the bye week to his advantage.  His teams are 12-1 SU & 13-0 ATS in their last 13 off regular season bye weeks.  It's time to sell high on the West Virginia Mountaineers, who are 5-0 but struggled to put away both BYU and Kansas State, beating those two teams by a combined 4 points.  TCU will be the best opponent that WVU has faced this season.  The Mountaineers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.  Take TCU.

6* Indiana/Northwestern Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Northwestern -2.5

The Key: The Northwestern Wildcats are 3-3 on the season and desperately need this win if they want to get to a bowl game.  That's because they have games against Ohio State and Wisconsin on deck, so if they lose this game, they would have to go 3-0 in their final three games to make a bowl.  The Wildcats are getting no respect despite back-to-back road wins over Iowa and Michigan State in which they scored 38 and 54 points, respectively.  Indiana is in a tough scheduling spot here after three straight games against Michigan State, Ohio State and Nebraska in which they went 1-2.  Northwestern has won the last four meetings, including the last two years where the Wildcats scored 44 and 59 points.  Their offense should continue to play at a high level here, and the Wildcats should be much bigger home favorites in this one.  The Wildcats are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.  Take Northwestern.

7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on San Jose State +23

The Key: The San Jose State Spartans have played much better in Mountain West play.  They lost by a touchdown to New Mexico, beat Nevada and lost to Hawaii as a favorite.  San Diego State lost at South Alabama by 18 a few weeks ago, ruining their perfect season.  They came back with flat efforts in a 26-7 win over UNLV and a 17-3 win over Fresno State the past two weeks.  The Aztecs have an elite defense, but their offense simply isn't good enough to lay big numbers like this 23-point spread.  They have no passing game, and Donnel Pumphrey may be wearing down.  He has 167 carries already, including 69 in the past two games.  San Diego State is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 home games after gaining 275 or more rushing yards in its previous game.  Take San Jose State.

6* BYU/Boise State ESPN *BAILOUT* on Boise State -6.5

The Key: BYU couldn't have played a tougher schedule to this point and it has yet to have a bye week.  It is coming off a double-overtime win against Mississippi State last week.  I can't help but think the Cougars are going to be fatigued heading into this showdown with 6-0 Boise State.  The home team has won 5 straight meetings in this series, including a 25-point win by the Broncos over the Cougars in 2016.  The Broncos are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record.  Take Boise State.

7* Bears/Packers NFC North *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago +7.5

The Key: There's no way the Packers should be this big of favorites when you consider the injuries they are dealing with right now.  They will be without their top 3 cornerbacks, and Eddy Lacy and James Starks are both expected to miss this game.  It's no wonder they lost to the Cowboys by 14 points Sunday with all the guys they were missing.  And the Packers haven't beaten anyone by more than 7 points this season.  The Bears are better than their 1-5 record as they are outgaining teams by 34 yards per game and have outgained their last 3 opponents by 343 combined yards.  Brian Hoyer has thrown for at least 300 yards in 4 straight games.  He will have a big day against this beat-up Packers' secondary, and the Bears will have a great shot to pull off the upset because of it.  The road team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings, including a 17-13 outright win as 7.5-point road dogs by the Bears last season.  Take Chicago.