7* Spurs/Pelicans ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on New Orleans -3.5 

The Key: The Pelicans are 10-4 SU & 12-1-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall.  And their 4 losses came to the Lakers, Clippers (by 3), Jazz (by 2) and Celtics.  And now the Pelicans get Zion Williamson making his season debut in what will be a tremendous atmosphere in New Orleans.  Plus Jrue Holiday just returned and scored 36 points in his first game back from injury in a 126-116 win at Memphis last time out.  The Spurs are 7-13 on the road this year.  San Antonio is 7-22 ATS in its last 29 games off a win.  The Pelicans are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games.  Take New Orleans. 

6* Mountain West Game of the Night on Colorado State -4.5 

The Key: Colorado State is 6-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in its last 7 games overall with its only loss coming at Nevada by 6 as 7-point dogs.  The Rams are playing too well right now to only be laying 4.5 points at home to Fresno State.  The Bulldogs are 6-12 this season and 2-8 in all games played on the highway.  Colorado State is 6-1 SU & 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 home meetings with Fresno State.  The home team is 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings.  Take Colorado State. 

6* Atlantic 10 Game of the Night on Rhode Island -3 

The Key: Duquesne is 15-2 this year and getting too much respect from oddsmakers for that record.  But the Dukes have done it against the 301st-ranked schedule in the country out of 353 teams.  Rhode Island is 12-5 this year against the 58th-ranked schedule.  The Rams are 8-1 at home this year and should be a bigger favorite tonight.  The Dukes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.  Duquesne is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games as an underdog.  Take Rhode Island. 

6* Miami/Duke ACC *CA$H COW* on Duke -18.5 

The Key: Duke has managed to lose 2 straight to Clemson and Louisville as 10.5 and 8.5 points favorites, respectively.  They’ll be playing with a chip on their shoulder tonight to say the least.  And they’re up against a Miami team they will make their punching bag.  The Hurricanes are 1-4 in their last 5 games with 3 losses by 16 points or more.  That includes their 62-95 home loss to Duke, a 33-point win by the Blue Devils.  Now Duke only has to win by more than 18 to cover the spread at home this time around.  Duke is 148-103 ATS in its last 251 games as a home favorite of 12.5 points or more.  Miami is 4-15 ATS against good offensive teams that score 77 PPG or more over the last 2 years.  The Blue Devils are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a loss.  Take Duke. 

6* Texas A&M/Missouri SEC *CA$H COW* on Texas A&M +10 

The Key: Texas A&M has won 6 of its last 9 games.  They upset Oregon State and Ole Miss at home.  In their 2 road games they covered both, only losing by 10 at Arkansas catching 14.5 and upsetting Vanderbilt by 19 as 3.5-point dogs.  Missouri is 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games and should not be laying double-digits to the Aggies.  The 4 losses have all come by 10 points or more.  Texas A&M is 6-0 ATS in road games off a conference loss over the last 2 years.  The Aggies are 6-0 ATS off 2 straight conference losses over the last 2 years.  The Aggies are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as underdogs.  The road team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 matchups.  Take Texas A&M. 

7* Big Ten Game of the Month on Purdue -5.5 

The Key: Purdue is 15-0 in its last 15 Big Ten home games and 6-0 in its last 6 home games against ranked teams.  The Boilermakers have had this game circled for a few weeks now because they already lost 37-63 at Illinois in their worst performance of the season.  Now they get the Fighting Illini at home where they have been unbeatable.  They just beat Michigan State by 29 in their last home game to flash their potential.  Purdue has won its last 7 home matchups with Illinois by 12.1 PPG.  The Boilermakers are 9-1-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a defeat.  Take Purdue. 

6* Oklahoma/Baylor Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Oklahoma +10.5 

The Key: I like the price we are getting with the Oklahoma Sooners catching double-digits on the road to the Baylor Bears.  Baylor just moved into the #1 ranking in the AP Polls this week, and that has been a curse for every team this season.  I think it will have gone to their heads and they won’t put forth their best effort tonight.  The Bears were fortunate to escape with a win at Oklahoma State on Saturday.  Oklahoma beat TCU by 20 and should still have fresh legs for this game now.  The road team has gone 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 matchups in this series.  Take Oklahoma. 

6* NC State/Virginia ACC *CA$H COW* on Virginia -4.5 

The Key: The Virginia Cavaliers have lost 3 of their last 4 and are hungry for a victory.  They lost all 3 games by single-digits including a 4-point loss at Florida State.  They won at Georgia Tech and now are back home here where they are 8-2 this season.  NC State is coming off 2 straight home wins over Miami and Clemson and is back on the road now.  The Wolfpack are 0-3 SU & 1-2 ATS in their last 3 road games losing by 6 at Auburn, by 11 at Clemson and by 14 at VA Tech.  Virginia is 8-0 SU & 5-3 ATS in its last 8 meetings with NC State.  Take Virginia. 

7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Charlotte Hornets +4.5 

The Key: The Hornets have had the last 4 days off having last played on Wednesday.  The Magic will be playing their 4th game in 6 days and their 6th straight road game.  The situation really favors the Hornets, who needed the break after a very difficult schedule that has seen them be a dog of 6.5 points or more in 6 of their last 7 games.  Bets against any team that’s off an upset loss as a favorite against an opponent that’s off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 38-14 ATS over the last 5 years.  Take Charlotte. 

6* Pacers/Nuggets NBA *BAILOUT* on Denver -1 

The Key: We’re getting the Nuggets cheap at home tonight because they are without 3 players in Murray, Harris and Millsap.  But this line has been adjusted too much for those injuries.  The Nuggets have arguably the deepest team in the NBA so they can survive some injuries.  They had six players score in double figures last game without this trio, including three off the bench in Beasley (27), Porter Jr. (18) and Plumlee (15).  Will Barton had 31 points and took on a bigger role as well.  The Nuggets are 17-5 at home this year.  The Pacers are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 road games against a team that wins more than 60% of their home games.  Take Denver. 

6* Packers/49ers NFC *CA$H COW* on San Francisco -7.5 

The Key: The 49ers got 3 defensive starters back last week and held the Vikings to just 10 points and 147 total yards.  They have the best defense in the NFL and that was on display in the 1st meeting.  They beat the Packers 37-8 and held them to 198 total yards including 81 passing.  Green Bay has a terrible offensive line, especially up the middle where they will be overmatched by Armstead and Thomas.  And then you have Bosa and Ford on the outside as arguably the best pass rushing tandem in the NFL.  Not even a QB the caliber of Aaron Rodgers can overcome this elite San Francisco defense.  Take San Francisco. 

7* NFL Playoffs Game of the Year on Kansas City Chiefs -7 

The Key: The Chiefs dominated the first meeting with the Titans but found a way to lose 32-35.  That won’t happen again in the rematch, especially since it’s being played at Arrowhead Stadium.  And now the Chiefs feel invincible after coming back from 24-0 down to win 51-31 over the Texans last week.  The Chiefs outgained the Titans 530 to 371 in their first meeting.  Those kinds of numbers would usually result in a double-digit blowout.  The Chiefs are 7-0 SU & 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall winning by 17 PPG.  Take Kansas City. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Detroit Pistons -2 

The Key: The Hawks are in a letdown spot off their first win in San Antonio since 1997 last night.  They came back from 14 down to win in the 4th quarter and obviously used up a lot of energy making that comeback.  It will take its toll tonight as they will now be playing for a 2nd consecutive night against the Detroit Pistons.  The Pistons have had the last 2 days off since knocking off the Celtics by 13 as 9.5-point road underdogs on Wednesday.  The situation really favors the Pistons in this matchup.  Take Detroit. 

6* Richmond/George Mason A-10 *CA$H COW* on Richmond -2 

The Key: The Richmond Spiders are far and away the superior team over George Mason and we are getting them cheap today as only 2-point road favorites.  Richmond is 13-4 on the year against a much tougher schedule than George Mason (12-5) has faced.  George Mason is the 2nd-most lucky team in all of college basketball to have the record that they do.  George Mason has faced the 286th-ranked schedule out of 353 teams.  They have come back down to reality of late going 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall with losses to TCU by 34, VCU by 13, St. Bonaventure by 12 and George Washington by 6.  Richmond’s 4 losses have come to Auburn, Alabama, Saint Louis and Radford.  They have beaten Wisconsin by 10 and Boston College by 20 while also pulling road upsets of Rhode Island and Davidson.  George Mason is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 home games off a road game.  The Patriots are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 home games against a team with a winning road record and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games against a team that wins more than 60% of their road games.  Take Richmond. 

7* Ohio State/Penn State Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Penn State +2 

The Key: Big Ten home teams have dominated.  The home teams are 36-6 SU and Penn State is a home underdog to Ohio State when they shouldn’t be today.  The Buckeyes are 0-3 in Big Ten road games while losing by 12.5 PPG.  Ohio State beat Penn State at home earlier this season, so that means the Nittany Lions are out for revenge.  They are also hungry for a win because they are coming off 3 straight losses.  Ohio State shot 54% from 3 in that first meeting with Penn State and that’s not going to happen again.  The Buckeyes are only shooting 29% from 3 in Big Ten road games this year.  The Buckeyes are 1-10 ATS in January games over the last 2 years.  The Nittany Lions are 14-3 ATS off 2 straight games with 12 or fewer assists over the last 3 years.  The Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.  The Nittany Lions are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a dog.  Take Penn State. 

6* UNC/Pitt ACC *CA$H COW* on Pittsburgh -3.5 

The Key: The UNC Tar Heels are a train wreck with all their injuries and lack of talent.  They are just 8-8 this season.  The Tar Heels are 2-7 SU & 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall with their only two wins coming against UCLA and Yale.  They already lost to Pitt 65-73 at home.  And now they are only catching 3.5 points on the road in the rematch.  It’s once again a case of the Tar Heels getting too much respect from oddsmakers due to the name on their jerseys.  Pitt will be hungry for a win off 2 straight tough losses at Miami by 8 and to Louisville in OT at home by 5.  The Tar Heels are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as favorites.  Take Pittsburgh. 

6* Baylor/Oklahoma State Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Baylor -5.5 

The Key: Baylor is the 2nd-ranked team in the country for good reason.  The Bears are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in Big 12 play beating Texas by 15 and Iowa State by 13 at home.  They also went on the road and upset Texas Tech by 5 as 3.5-point dogs and Kansas by 12 as 7.5-point dogs.  Oklahoma State is 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in Big 12 play.  They have lost those 4 games by an average of 18.3 PPG and are scoring just 48.7 PPG on 32.6% shooting in Big 12 action.  They won’t be able to score against Baylor’s patented zone defense because they only shoot 29% from 3 on the year.  Baylor only allows 57.9 PPG and 38% shooting, including 30.3% from 3.  The Bears are 11-0 ATS in January games over the last 2 years.  Take Baylor. 

7* NBA Total of the Week on Heat/Thunder OVER 216 

The Key: With Stephen Adams knocked out of their last game with a knee injury in the first quarter, the Oklahoma City Thunder went on to lose to the Toronto Raptors 121-130 in a game that saw 251 combined points.  They have to go small ball without Adams, which favors the OVER.  The Heat are 8-0 OVER off a win by 6 points or less this year.  The OVER is 2-0 in the last 2 meetings with combined scores of 223 and 220 points.  Take the OVER. 

6* Dayton/Saint Louis Atlantic 10 *CA$H COW* on Saint Louis +7 

The Key: Saint Louis is 14-3 this year and a threat to win the Atlantic 10.  It will be a great atmosphere for the Billikens tonight at home with 13th-ranked Dayton coming to town.  The Billikens are 10-1 at home this year.  Dayton is 3-11 ATS off a conference home win over the last 3 years.  Saint Louis is 8-2 ATS against teams with a winning record this year. The Flyers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 Friday games.  The Billikens are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games against a team with a winning record.  The Billikens are 37-18 ATS in their last 55 games as underdogs.  Take Saint Louis. 

6* Wisconsin/Michigan State Big Ten *CA$H COW* on UNDER 131.5 

The Key: Defensive battles have been the norm when Michigan State and Wisconsin get together.  The UNDER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings with the Spartans and Badgers not once combining for more than 131 points.  The Badgers are 38-13 UNDER int heir last 51 games as road underdogs.  Take the UNDER. 

6* Oregon State/Washington Pac-12 *BAILOUT* on Washington -3.5 

The Key: The Washington Huskies have had unreal bad luck in close games this year.  They are 11-6 with each of their last 5 losses all coming by 7 points or less.  They have lost 4 of their last 5 all by 6 points or fewer coming in.  But the Huskies are 9-2 at home this year and they’ll handle the Oregon State Beavers tonight.  Oregon State lost by 15 at Texas A&M and by 12 at Utah recently, which are 2 teams that aren’t as good as Washington.  The Huskies are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite.  Take Washington. 

7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on New Orleans Pelicans +5 

The Key: The Pelicans are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.  The Jazz have won 10 straight, but their closest win was a 128-126 victory at New Orleans just 10 days ago.  The Pelicans haven’t forgotten and will be hungry to avenge that defeat and end Utah’s winning streak.  Take New Orleans. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Charlotte Hornets +11.5 

The Key: The Charlotte Hornets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.  They upset the Mavericks and Cavaliers on the road and lost by single-digits to the Blazers by 3 and Suns by 8 to cover those 2 numbers.  The Nuggets are in a letdown spot off their big win over the Clippers.  They have fallen victim to upset home losses to the Cavs as 12.5-point favorites and the Pelicans as 9-point favorites recently.  They seem to play to the level of their competition.  And the Nuggets could be without 3 of their better players in Paul Millsap, Jamal Murray and Gary Harris tonight.  The Hornets are 11-2 ATS off 2 or more straight road losses over the last 2 years.  The Hornets have 4 days off after this game so they will be All In tonight.  Take Charlotte. 

7* Missouri Valley Game of the Month on Missouri State -2 

The Key: Bradley is without its best player in Elijah Childs.  The Braves have been able to weather the storm without him against a weak schedule by going 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.  I think it’s time to fade them now in this tough situation on the road at Missouri State.  The Bears are 18-4 SU in their last 22 home matchups with Bradley.  The Bears are 14-4-2 ATS in their last 20 games off a loss by more than 20 points.  Take Missouri State. 

6* Wednesday NCAAB *Total* Annihilator on Indiana/Rutgers UNDER 130 

The Key: The UNDER Is 5-0 in Indiana’s last 5 games and the UNDER is 5-0 in Rutgers’ last 5 games.  Rutgers has gone UNDER in its last 5 games by a total of 98.5 points.  Indiana has gone UNDER in its last 5 games by a total of 51.5 points.  The UNDER is 2-0 in the last 2 meetings at Rutgers.  Rutgers is 9-1 UNDER in Wednesday games over the last 2 years.  Rutgers is 7-0 UNDER in home games off 2 straight covers over the last 2 years.  Take the UNDER. 

6* Maryland/Wisconsin Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Wisconsin -2 

The Key: Wisconsin is 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in its last 5 games overall with its only loss coming by a single point to Illinois.  The Badgers have 3 upset wins during this stretch with a 68-48 win at Tennessee as 4-point dogs, a 61-57 win at Ohio State as 7.5-point dogs and a 58-49 win at Penn State as 4-point dogs.  This team is for real.  The Badgers are 7-1 at home this year.  Maryland is 1-3 in true road games with its only win coming by 7 at Harvard.  They lost at Penn State, at Seton Hall without 2 of its best players, and at Iowa by 18.  Wisconsin is 4-1 SU & 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 home matchups with Maryland.  The home team is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 matchups.  The Terrapins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.  Take Wisconsin. 

6* Missouri/Mississippi State SEC *CA$H COW* on Mississippi State -2.5 

The Key: The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last 5 home meetings with Missouri.  They beat the Tigers by 19 at home last year.  The Bulldogs are hungry for their first SEC victory after starting 0-3 with losses to Auburn at home and Alabama and LSU on the road.  Missouri is just 2-4 SU in all road games this year.  Take Mississippi State Tuesday. 

7* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month on Brooklyn Nets +3.5 

The Key: The Brooklyn Nets are healthy for basically the first time this season.  It’s not wonder they have won impressively in their last two games to end a 7-game losing streak.  They upset the Heat as 4-point home underdogs and crushed the Hawks by 22 as 9-point home favorites.  Now they welcome the hot Utah Jazz, who have won 9 straight and 14 of their last 15.  This just feels like a spot where the Jazz go down.  They were down by double-digits at halftime to the Wizards on the road last time out and came back.  They won’t be so fortunate against the Nets tonight.  Bets against road teams with a line of +3.5 to -3.5 after beating the spread by 54 or more points in their last 10 games against an opponent that went under the total by more than 24 points in their last game are 25-6 ATS since 1996.  The Nets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog.  Take Brooklyn. 

7* Clemson/LSU NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on LSU -5 

The Key: The LSU Tigers have an unstoppable offense and one of the best offenses we’ve ever seen in college football.  And their defense has been lights out down the stretch.  Clemson was fortunate to beat Ohio State and has played a much easier schedule than LSU this year.  The Tigers will have the home field edge with this game being played in New Orleans.  They cap off a tremendous season with a win and cover over Clemson Monday.  Take LSU. 

7* Seahawks/Packers NFC *HEAVY HITTER* on Green Bay -4 

The Key: No write up Sunday. On vacation. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Brooklyn Nets -7.5 

The Key: No write up Sunday. On vacation. 

6* Michigan/Minnesota Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Minnesota -1.5 

The Key: No write up Sunday. On vacation. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Cleveland Cavaliers +13 

The Key: No write up.  On vacation. 

6* Florida/Missouri SEC *CA$H COW* on Florida -2 

The Key: No write up.  On vacation. 

6* Oklahoma/Iowa State Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Iowa State -3.5 

The Key: No write up.  On vacation. 

7* NFL Playoffs Total of the Year on Vikings/49ers OVER 44 

The Key: No write up.  On vacation. 

6* FIU/Rice Conference USA *CA$H COW* on FIU +2 

The Key: No write up.  On vacation. 

7* NBA Situational Game of the Month on Phoenix Suns -3 

The Key: The Phoenix Suns are hungry for a win.  They had the last 2 days off and are primed for a big effort tonight against the Orlando Magic.  The Magic will be playing their 9th game in 15 days.  Now they are without D.J. Augustin, Jonathan Isaac and Al-Farouq Aminu and could also be without Aaron Gordon, who is questionable with a calf injury.  The Suns are fully healthy outside role player Kaminski.  The Suns are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games when revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 points or more.  Take Phoenix. 

6* BYU/St. Mary’s WCC *CA$H COW* on St. Mary’s -4 

The Key: St. Mary’s has one of the best home-court advantages in the nation.  The Gaels are 7-1 at home this year.  The Gaels are 8-1 SU & 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home meetings with BYU.  The favorite is 10-2 ATS in the last 12 matchups.  Take St. Mary’s. 

6* ASU/Oregon State Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on Oregon State -5 

The Key: Oregon State is 11-3 this year and 7-0 at home where they are winning by 16.4 PPG.  Arizona State has failed since stepping up in class of late.  The Sun Devils are 1-3 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.  They lost by 40 to St. Mary’s on a neutral, by 7 at home to Creighton and by 28 at Arizona.  They aren’t even in the same class as Oregon State and that will show tonight.  The Beavers are 9-2 ATS as favorites this year and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.  Take Oregon State. 

7* Celtics/76ers Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Philadelphia -2 

The Key: The Celtics will be playing for a second straight night and their 5th game in 7 days.  They are starting to wear down as they lost at Washington as 9-point favorites and lost to the Spurs by 15 as home favorites.  The 76ers come in on 2 days rest and are 2-0 SU & 2-0 ATS against the Celtics this year with wins at home and on the road.  The 76ers are 17-2 at home this season I like the price we are getting with them as only 2-point favorites.  Take Philadelphia. 

6* Wednesday’s NCAAB *UNDERDOG* on Tulane +11.5 

The Key: Tulane just took Memphis to the wire on the road and upset Cincinnati at home.  The Green Wave can’t be double-digit underdogs to a UConn team that is coming off a 16-point loss to Cincinnati and a 15-point loss to USF.  The Green Wave are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games against a team with a winning record.  The Green Wave are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.  The Green Wave are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games against a team that wins more than 60% of their home games.  Take Tulane. 

7* Nuggets/Mavs ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Dallas -3 

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Dallas Mavericks as a short home favorite over the Denver Nuggets tonight.  The Nuggets have lost by 26 at Houston and by 14 at Washington as 13-point favorites in recent road games.  And I don’t expect them to hang with the Mavericks for four quarters tonight.  The Nuggets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games off a win.  The Mavericks are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games against a team that wins more than 60% of their games.  The Mavericks are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 matchups.  The Mavericks are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 home matchups.  Take Dallas. 

6* Wednesday NCAAB *BLOWOUT* on Wofford -5 

The Key: Wofford has been a great mid-major program in recent years and should make easy work of this mediocre Samford team tonight.  Wofford has a road win over UNC and a 1-point loss at ETSU as 8.5-point dogs.  Samford lost 3 straight games to Hawaii, Alabama and Georgetown all by 18 points or more before a pair of unimpressive wins over The Citadel and VMI by a combined 4 points.  They don’t stand much of a chance of keeping this one close.  Wofford is 16-3 SU in its last 19 meetings with Samford and 8-2 SU in its last 10 meetings at Samford.  Wofford is 11-1 ATS in road games of 2 consecutive conference games over the last 2 years.  Samford is 1-9 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 years.  Take Wofford. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on New York Knicks +13 

The Key: The Lakers haven’t won any of their last 12 games by more than 13 points.  The Knicks have only lost twice by more than 8 points in their last 12 games.  The Knicks are 8-4 ATS in those 12 games and should be able to hang around with the Lakers for 4 quarters tonight.  The Knicks are 8-0 ATS when playing their 2nd straight road game this year.  They only lost by 3 on the road to the Clippers on Sunday.  Take New York. 

6* Missouri Valley *CA$H COW* on Indiana State +8 

The Key: Northern Iowa is getting too much love for their 12-2 record.  They can’t be 8-point favorites tonight over a quality Indiana State team that is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games overall with its only loss coming by 4 points at Drake.  Northern Iowa only beat Bradley by 5 and Marshall by 8 at home surrounded by a 6-point loss at Illinois State as 6-point favorites.  Indiana State is better than all 3 of those teams.  The Panthers are 13-33-1 ATS in their last 47 games against teams that win at least 60% of their games.  The underdog is 26-11-1 ATS in the last 38 meetings.  Take Indiana State. 

7* Ohio State/Maryland Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Maryland -2.5 

The Key: I like the price we are getting with the Maryland Terrapins are only 2.5-point home favorites over the Ohio State Buckeyes.  The Terrapins are 9-0 at home this year and just beat Indiana by 16 and Notre Dame by 21 recently at home.  Ohio State is not playing well. They lost by 8 on a neutral to West Virginia and were upset by Wisconsin as 7.5-point home favorites in their last 2 games.  Maryland won both meetings with Ohio State by 14 on the road and by 10 at home last year.  The favorite is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.  The Terrapins are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 home meetings with Ohio State.  Take Maryland. 

6* Warriors/Kings NBA TV *BAILOUT* on Golden State +10.5 

The Key: The Golden State Warriors get D’Angelo Russell back tonight and should take the Sacramento Kings down to the wire.  It’s a Kings team that will be without both Marvin Bagley III and Bogdan Bogdanovic.  The Kings are just 1-9 SU & 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall and shouldn’t be laying doubles to anyone.  The Warriors are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 road games when revenging a same-season loss.  The Kings are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games.  Take Golden State. 

7* Miami (OH)/Lafayette Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Miami Ohio +14 

The Key: The Miami Ohio Redhawks are playing in just their 2nd bowl game in the last 9 years.  They only lost 16-17 to SEC power Mississippi State as 14-point dogs in their last bowl game in 2016.  And Chuck Martin really thrives in the role of the dog as the coach of Miami Ohio.  They came out of nowhere to win the MAC after upsetting Central Michigan in Detroit.  And Martin is 9-1 ATS off an upset win as a dog as the coach of Miami.  Martin is 32-17 ATS as a dog as the coach of Miami overall.  Take Miami. 

6* USC/Washington Pac-12 *BAILOUT* on Washington -4.5 

The Key: The Washington Huskies are coming off 2 straight tough losses to UCLA and Houston by a combined 6 points.  They will be hungry for a win to bounce back against USC at home tonight.  Their other 2 losses came to Tennessee and Gonzaga this year.  Washington is 287th in the luck factor while USC is 27th in the luck factor, which figures in how fortunate a team is to have the record that they have.  USC is fortunate to be 12-2 when you consider they have 8 wins by 11 points or fewer.  They have come out smelling like a rose in their close games this year.  But they also lost by 22 to Marquette and by 9 to Temple against 2 of the best teams they have faced.  Washington has won 3 straight meetings with USC.  The Trojans are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games as road underdogs.  The favorite is 19-9 ATS in the last 28 meetings.  Take Washington. 

7* NFL Wild Card Total of the Year on Seahawks/Eagles UNDER 45 

The Key: It’s hard to believe the books have set this total this high when you look at all the injuries to both offenses.  The Seahawks had Gordon suspended, are missing at least their top 2 running backs and could be without 2 starting offensive linemen.  Their offense has been broken in recent weeks because of it.  They scored 12 on the Rams, 13 on the Cardinals and 21 on the 49ers in 3 of their last 4 games.  The Eagles’ injury situation is worse.  They are without Lane Johnson, DeSean Jackson, Alshon Jeffery, Nelson Agholor and could be without Zach Ertz again this week.  I think we see a similar game to the 17-9 final for 26 combined points that the Eagles and Seahawks just played earlier this season.  I like that they’ve already played each other this year because that familiarity favors the defenses.  The Eagles are 9-1 UNDER vs. good passing teams that average 235 or more yards per game over the last 10 seasons.  The Eagles are 7-0 UNDER in home games against poor defensive teams that allow 350 or more yards per game over the last 2 years. The Eagles are 7-0 UNDER in home games off a division game over the last 3 years.  The UNDER is 8-1-1 in Eagles last 10 playoff home games and 16-5 UNDER int heir last 21 home games overall.  The UNDER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.  Take the UNDER. 

6* St. John’s/Xavier Big East *CA$H COW* on St. John’s +8 

The Key: New head coach Mike Anderson is getting the most out of St. John’s in his first season.  The Red Storm are 11-3 this year and very close to being 13-1.  They have a 2-point loss to Butler and a 2-point loss to Vermont, a very good mid major program.  They beat West Virginia and Arizona outright as underdogs so they have been tested this season.  I think they are getting too many points today against Xavier and I like the price with them.  Xavier has been one of the most overrated teams in the nation with a 4-10 ATS record and a 1-6 ATS record at home.  St. John’s is 8-1 ATS after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games over the last 2 years.  Take St. John’s. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Charlotte Hornets +12 

The Key: The Dallas Mavericks have too many injuries to be laying 12 points to the Hornets tonight.  They are going to be without Porzingis, Hardaway Jr. and Broekhoff tonight and could be without Wright.  The Hornets are 100% healthy and will give the Mavericks everything they want tonight.  The Hornets are 10-1 ATS after allowing 105 points or more in 3 straight games this year.  Bets on road dogs of 10 or more points who are playing 6 or less games in 14 days who win between 25% and 40% of their games when playing a team with a winning record are 44-15 ATS over the last 5 years.  The Mavericks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games off an ATS win.  Take Charlotte. 

6* Bradley/Northern Iowa MVC *CA$H COW* on Northern Iowa -7 

The Key: Northern Iowa wants revenge from blowing a 20-point lead to Bradley in the MWC Championship Game last year that cost them a trip to the NCAA Tournament.  Now the Panthers are probably the best team in the MWC this year and they want to prove it tonight.  They returned 4 starters while Bradley returned just 2 starters and is now without leading scorer and rebounder Elijah Childs (14.5 PPG, 9.4 RPG) indefinitely with a hand injury suffered in mid-December.  The Braves are 9-19 ATS in their last 28 road games, including 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.  The Panthers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games.  The home team is 11-5-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings.  Take Northern Iowa.

7* Bills/Texans AFC *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston -2.5 

The Key: We’re getting the Houston Texans pretty cheap here in a game they basically just have to win to cover at home.  The Bills haven’t done well when they have stepped up in class.  They are 1-4 against playoff teams this year with their only win coming against the Titans when Marcus Mariota was their quarterback.  The Texans have gone 3-3 against playoff teams with wins over the Chiefs, Patriots and Titans.  One of their losses was to the Titans when they rested their starters in Week 17.  They should be fresh and ready to go, plus they get back JJ Watt and a few others from injury that makes them a stronger team going into the playoffs.  Bets on teams when the line is +3 to -3 who are a good passing team at 6.7-7.3 YPA against an average passing team 5.9-6.7 YPA after gaining 5.5 or fewer passing yards per attempt last game are 24-5 ATS over the last 10 years.  Take Houston. 

6* Auburn/Mississippi State SEC *CA$H COW* on Mississippi State +1 

The Key: We’ve seen a bunch of Top 5 teams go down this season.  No. 4 ranked Auburn will be the latest today.  Their unbeaten 12-0 season will come to an end today at the hands of Mississippi State.  The Bulldogs upset Auburn as identical 1-point home underdogs last year, 92-84.  And they are a stronger team this season while Auburn isn’t as good as the squad that made the Final Four last year.  Mississippi State is 40-21 ATS in its last 61 games as a home dog or PK.  The Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.  The Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games.  The underdog is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings.  Take Mississippi State. 

7* Big East Game of the Month on Seton Hall -6.5 

The Key: Suspensions and injuries have really decimated the Georgetown Hoyas.  It showed up in their 16-point loss against Providence last time out as they were without Mac McClung and his 15.5 PPG and could be without him again.  Seton Hall just got Myles Powell back from injury, a National Player of the Year candidate.  The Pirates swiftly beat DePaul 74-66 on the road.  They also recently beat Maryland as 7-point dogs at home without Powell, so they’ve shown they are more than just a one-trick pony.  The Pirates are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games.  The Pirates are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.  Take Seton Hall. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Orlando Magic +2 

The Key: The Miami Heat will be playing for a 2nd consecutive night after beating the Raptors at home last night.  The Orlando Magic haven’t played since Wednesday.  The Magic have covered 4 of their last 5 matchups with the Heat.  The Magic are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after scoring 120 or more points.  Take Orlando. 

6* Pistons/Clippers NBA TV *BAILOUT* on Los Angeles -12.5 

The Key: The Detroit Pistons are in a world of hurt right now with injuries to Blake Griffin, Reggie Jackson, Luke Kennard and Markieff Morris.  That’s basically 4 of their top 7 scorers they are without.  It’s no wonder the Pistons are 1-7 SU & 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall with all 7 losses coming by 12 points or more.  That trend will continue tonight as the Pistons can’t be competitive against one of the best teams in the NBA in the Clippers on the road tonight.  Detroit is 2-10 ATS against a team with a winning record this year.  The Pistons are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 road games.  The Pistons are 15-36-3 ATS in their last 54 games as an underdog.  The Clippers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against a team with a losing record.  Take Los Angeles. 

6* Illinois/Michigan State Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Illinois +10 

The Key: I like this Illinois team that returned 4 starters this year and is off to a 9-4 start with 3 of its losses coming by 7 to Missouri, 2 to Miami and 1 at Maryland.  I think they can hang with the Michigan State Spartans who are 10-3 but 5-8 ATS this year.  The Spartans have had trouble putting decent teams away.  Michigan State is 1-7 ATS off 2 consecutive non-conference games this year.  Illinois is 8-0 ATS against good passing teams that average 16 or more assists per game over the last 2 years.  The Spartans are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a winning record.  Take Illinois. 

7* Tennessee/Indiana Gator Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Tennessee -3 

The Key: There’s a huge difference in this game that should have Tennessee favored by more than 3 over Indiana.  The Vols have gone 4-5 against teams that are 6-6 or better this season.  The Hoosiers have gone 0-4 against teams that are 6-6 or better.  So as you can see, Tennessee played a very tough schedule compared to Indiana and actually beat 4 teams that were bowl eligible while Indiana went 0-4 against those teams.  The Vols are 21-4 ATS in their last 25 road games off 2 consecutive games where they forced one or fewer turnovers.  The Vols are 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall with that one loss coming on the road at Alabama.  Take Tennessee. 

6* Wednesday NCAAB *BAILOUT* on Nevada -5 

The Key: Nevada has gone 6-2 SU & 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games overall.  The only losses were to BYU on the road and a 5-point loss to a very good St. Mary’s team on a neutral.  The Wolf Pack have had 10 days off since last playing and will be ready for this conference game against Colorado State, which just played on December 28th.  Colorado State has gone just 3-3 SU & 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games with a 22-point loss to San Diego State at home, an 8-point loss to Colorado at home and an 11-point loss at Boise State.  Nevada should be able to cover this short number at home.  The Wolf Pack are 8-1 ATS against teams that are called for 17 or fewer fouls per game over the last 2 years.  The Wolf Pack are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as favorites.  Take Nevada. 

7* Baylor/Georgia Sugar Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Georgia -4 

The Key: This line has dropped enough to where there’s value on Georgia laying this small number.  They have the talent edge.  And I think they will learn from last year’s loss to Texas where they were upset as 13.5-point favorites in the Sugar Bowl.  They didn’t want to be playing in that game last year.  I think the fact that they were blown out by LSU in the SEC Championship makes it easier for them to accept their fate in the Sugar Bowl this year.  Baylor went to OT against Oklahoma with a chance to make the 4-team playoff.  I think that loss is a loss harder to get over than Georgia’s loss to LSU.  And we saw Oklahoma lose by 35 points and give up 7 straight touchdowns to open the game against LSU last week.  The Big 12 has not looked good with a 1-4 record in bowls thus far.  Georgia is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 neutral site games and 8-1 ATS in its last 9 neutral site games as a favorite.  Georgia is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games off an ATS loss.  This will feel like a home game for the Bulldogs being played in SEC country in New Orleans.  Take Georgia. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Cleveland Cavaliers +9.5 

The Key: The Cleveland Cavaliers are 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games and are catching too many points here against a struggling Toronto Raptors team that is battling injury right now.  The Raptors have lost 3 of their last 4 coming in.  They are playing without Siakam, Gasol and Powell right now.  Bets on road dogs off a road win who win between 25% and 40% of their games when playing a team with a winning record are 50-19 ATS over the last 5 years.  Take Cleveland. 

7* Georgia State/Wyoming Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Wyoming -7 

The Key: The difference between these 2 teams defensively is about as big a difference as you will see in bowl season.  Wyoming only gives up 17.8 PPG and Georgia State gives up 36.1 PPG.  I usually like to back the better defensive team in bowl games.  Wyoming is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games against Sun Bel Teams.  Georgia State hasn’t been the same since QB Dan Ellington tore his ACL.  Give him credit for playing through it, but he hasn’t been the same dual threat QB he was before the injury.  They lost 3 of their last 4 games by an average of 23.7 PPG.  Their only win was at home against South Alabama.  Georgia State is 2-8-2 ATS in its last 12 games against a team with a winning record.  Take Wyoming. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Brooklyn Nets -3 

The Key: The Minnesota Timberwolves are 1-12 SU & 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall.  Now they could be without both Karl-Anthony Towns and Andrew Wiggins tonight, and they’re already without Jake Layman.  Minnesota is just 2-11-1 ATS at home this season.  The Nets are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games off an ATS loss.  The Timberwolves are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games against a team with a losing road record.  Take Brooklyn. 

6* Yale/UNC NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Yale +8 

The Key: Yale is 10-3 this season with all 3 losses coming by 7 points or less at Penn State, Oklahoma State and San Francisco.  UNC is 7-5 and this is one of the worst Tar Heel teams I can remember, largely because they are without their 2 best players in Anthony and Manley.  They have lost 4 of their last 5, including a home loss to Wofford as 12-point favorites.  Yale will be able to hang with UNC.  Take Yale. 

7* WMU/WKU Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Western Michigan +3.5 

The Key: The Western Michigan Broncos are hungry for a bowl win after losing 4 of their last 5 bowl games.  But keep in mind they played a tough bowl schedule losing to the likes of Wisconsin, BYU, Purdue and Air Force.  The only bowl game they won during this stretch was against Middle Tennessee 45-31, which is a fellow Conference USA team to Western Kentucky.  I’ll side with WMU’s offense, which averages 34.2 PPG and 457 YPG this year.  WKU only puts up 25.6 PPG and struggles to get margin due to their poor offense.  I like the price we are getting with the Broncos are 3.5-point dogs.  The Hilltoppers are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite.  The Broncos are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games off an ATS loss and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games off a SU loss.  Take Western Michigan. 

6* 49ers/Seahawks NFC West *BAILOUT* on San Francisco -3 

The Key: The 49ers are an elite team and a Super Bowl contender, while the Seahawks are a pretender.  The 49ers are +164 in point differential on the season while the Seahawks are only +12.  It’s a minor miracle the Seahawks even have a chance to win the division.  That chance will go by the wayside this week as the 49ers handle their business.  They have a healthy George Kittle and Emmanuel Sanders now, which they didn’t have in their 1st meeting with the Seahawks.  And Seattle will be playing with a lot of different players than they did in that 1st meeting with the 49ers due to their plethora of injuries up and down their roster.  I mean, they even had to sign Marshawn Lynch off the street they are so desperate.  Take San Francisco. 

7* NFC East Game of the Year on New York Giants +4 

The Key: The New York Giants are playing well here in their last 3 games and would like to knock the NFC East rival Eagles out of the playoffs.  The Giants are 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games overall.  They won 36-20 at home over the Dolphins and 41-35 on the road at the Redskins.  Daniel Jones was great as the Giants had 552 total yards on the Redskins last week.  And now the Giants want to avenge their only loss here down the stretch, a 17-23 (OT) loss at Philadelphia.  Now the Giants get the Eagles at home and are catching 4 points.  It’s a depleted Eagles team that will be without Zach Ertz, Nelson Agholor and several others.  Bets against favorites who are off an upset win as a home dog that win 51% to 60% of their games when playing a losing team are 26-5 ATS since 1983.  Take New York. 

6* Sunday NFL *UPSET SPECIAL* on Cincinnati Bengals +3 

The Key: The Bengals want to avenge their 19-27 loss at Cincinnati earlier this month.  The Browns have a lot more injuries since that meeting, and the Bengals are a lot healthier plus they have gone to Andy Dalton at QB.  Plus the Bengals should have won that game, anyway.  They had 451 yards in that game and outgained the Browns by 118 yards.  The Browns haven’t shown much interest in finishing the season strong at all after losing by 14 at Arizona and by 16 at home to Baltimore.  They were dominated in the stat department in both those games.  Take Cincinnati. 

7* Bowl Total of the Year on Clemson/Ohio State UNDER 63.5 

The Key: Clemson and Ohio State have arguably the 2 best defenses in the country.  Ohio State gives up 12.5 PPG while Clemson allows 10.6 PPG this year.  There’s no way this total should be set this high with these 2 defenses.  Ohio State and Clemson have great offensive numbers, but they have done most of their damage against bad defenses, especially in Clemson’s case.  Texas A&M held Clemson to 24 points and Ohio State can do the same.  Penn State and Wisconsin held Ohio State to 38 or fewer points in all 3 of those games.  Clemson can hold Ohio State below 30.  Clemson is 6-0 UNDER with 2 or more weeks rest over the last 3 years and we’re only seeing 40.9 PPG in this situation.  The UNDER is 4-0 in Clemson’s last 4 semifinal playoff games.  The UNDER is 4-1 in Buckeyes last 5 bowl games.  The UNDER is 5-1 in Buckeyes last 6 games against a team with a winning record.  Take the UNDER.

6* NBA Eastern Conference *CA$H COW* on New York Knicks -3 

The Key: The Knicks are 4-4 SU & 5-3 ATS in their last 8 games and playing good basketball.  Now they get a chance to avenge one of those losses as they fell 115-121 at home to the Wizards on December 23rd.  While the Knicks are now healthy, the Wizards have a ton of injuries.  They are without Bertans, Wagner, Hachimura and Bryant and both Beal and Thomas are banged up and may sit tonight.  The Knicks will beat the short-handed Wizards on the road tonight.  Take New York. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on New Orleans Pelicans +1 

The Key: The Pelicans are 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall with all 3 wins coming in upset fashion on the road.  They are playing well and will take down a Pacers team in a difficult situation for them.  The Pelicans come in on 2 days rest since their upset 112-100 win at Denver as 9-point dogs.  The Pacers are coming off a 112-113 dog fight loss at Miami last night and will now be playing on the road for a 2nd consecutive night.  Malcolm Brogdon is questionable for the Pacers.  This situation really favors the Pelicans.  Take New Orleans. 

6* Iowa State/Notre Dame Bowl *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 54.5 

The Key: Two teams with great defenses square off in the Camping World Bowl between Iowa State and Notre Dame.  The Fighting Irish hold opponents to 10.3 PPG and 77 YPG less than their season averages this year.  The Cyclones have one of the best defenses in the Big 12, holding foes to 5 PPG & 50 YPG less than their season averages.  Notre Dame actually runs the ball more than they throw it, attempting 36 rushes per game.  Iowa State runs it more than most Big 12 teams with 32 attempts per game.  The UNDER is 21-10-2 in Iowa State’s last 33 games overall.  The UNDER is 6-0-1 in Iowa State’s last 7 bowl games.  The UNDER is 8-2 in Notre Dame’s last 10 neutral site games as a favorite.  The UNDER is 13-2 in Iowa State’s last 15 games on turf.  The UNDER is 9-0 in Iowa State’s last 9 games after a game where they committed zero turnovers.  Take the UNDER. 

6* Memphis/Penn State Bowl *CA$H COW* on Penn State -7 

The Key: The Memphis Tigers had a great year in the AAC.  But this is a big step up in class against Penn State, which will be the best opponent they have faced yet this year.  And Memphis just lost head coach Mike Norvell to Florida State.  The Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 bowl games and 1-10 ATS in their last 11 December games.  Penn State’s defense gives up only 14.1 PPG and will have an answer for Memphis’ offense.  It will be men amongst boys with their defensive line up against Memphis’ offensive line.  Take Penn State. 

6* USC/Iowa Bowl *CA$H COW* on USC +2.5 

The Key: I’ll side with USC’s athletes and explosive offense over Iowa’s physicality and poor offense in the Holiday Bowl.  USC is loaded at receiver, and senior WR Michael Pittman will play in this game.  Freshman QB Kedon Slovis is completing 72% of his passes with 28 touchdowns and only 9 interceptions.  Slovis threw for over 400 yards in each of his final 3 games to close out the season with 12 touchdowns and only 1 pick.  He faced 2 great defenses too in ASU and Cal.  Iowa hasn’t faced an offense as good as USC all season.  And I don’t think the Hawkeyes can keep up if they get behind.  Iowa is averaging just 19 PPG in their final 8 games this year.  The underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 Holiday Bowls.  Clay Helton has retained his job and offensive coordinator Graham Harrell will stay, giving USC some continuity and some motivation to build for next year.  Helton is 9-2 ATS after gaining 525 or more yards last game as the coach of USC.  Take USC. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Atlanta Hawks +11.5 

The Key: The Atlanta Hawks have played the Bucks tough.  They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings with the Bucks not once losing by more than 8 points.  They lost both meetings this season by 8 and 9 points.  I like the price we are getting with the Hawks tonight considering they are on 3 days rest and the Bucks just played on Christmas.  Bets against road favorites of 10 or more points who have won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games who are winning more than 75% of their games against a team that wins 25% or less are 43-17 ATS since 1996.  Take Atlanta. 

7* Michigan State/Wake Forest Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Michigan State -3.5 

The Key: It could be Mark Dantonio’s final game at Michigan State.  The Spartans won their final 2 games to make a bowl game, so they clearly want to be here.  Michigan State played a much tougher schedule than Wake Forest with all 6 losses coming to bowl teams.  Their schedule ranked 34th while Wake played the 69th schedule.  Wake has lost 3 of its last 4 games and a big part of that is losing WR Sage Surratt to injury.  Surratt had 66 receptions for 1,001 yards and 11 touchdowns in 9 games this year.  Michigan State will win the battle of the line of scrimmage on both sides and that will be key to victory.  Big Ten teams are 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS against ACC teams in the Pinstripe Bowl.  Bets on teams who have been beaten by the spread by 49 or more points in their last 5 games in December games are 44-18 ATS since 1992.  Take Michigan State. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Oklahoma City Thunder -6 

The Key: The Oklahoma City Thunder are playing their best basketball of the season to get over .500 at 15-14 on the year.  They have won 4 straight and 7 of their last 9 coming in.  The Memphis Grizzlies won’t be able to hang tonight.  The Grizzlies gave up 145 points and 67.4% shooting to the Spurs last time out.  The Thunder are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.  The Grizzlies are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road matchups with the Thunder.  Take Oklahoma City. 

7* Eastern Michigan/Pitt Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Eastern Michigan +13 

The Key: The Pitt Panthers are 7-5 this year, but all 7 wins have come by 10 points or less. That’s a 12-0 angle supporting the Eastern Michigan Eagles with this 13-point spread.  Pitt doesn’t have a good enough offense to put away Eastern Michigan.  The Panthers are scoring just 20.1 PPG on the season and 18.0 PPG in road games.  I’d argue EMU has the better offense.  The Eagles are scoring 29.1 PPG and they throw for 280 yards per game as QB Mike Glass is certainly an underrated signal caller.  The Eagles are 21-7 ATS in their lsat 28 games as an underdog.  Eastern Michigan is 17-5 ATS in its last 22 non-conference games.  Take Eastern Michigan. 

7* Clippers/Lakers ABC *HEAVY HITTER* on Lakers -2 

The Key: The Los Angeles Lakers lost to the Clippers 102-112 in their opener in their first and only meeting this year.  Now it’s revenge time for the Lakers.  This team has come a long way since that loss as they sit at 24-6 on the season.  But they are coming off 3 straight losses, so they are very hungry right now for a win.  Lebron James and Anthony Davis are both expected to play in this game after LeBron sat out last game.  The Clippers are just 8-8 on the road this season.  Bets against road teams with a line of +3 to -3 who outscore their opponents by 6 or more points per game after allowing 105 points or more in 3 straight games are 24-4 ATS since 1996.  Take the Los Angeles Lakers. 

7* BYU/Hawaii Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on BYU -2 

The Key: BYU played a tougher schedule than Hawaii and I trust them more to win this game from what I’ve seen from both teams.  BYU went 2-2 against Top 30 teams with wins over USC and Boise State, while Hawaii went 0-3 against Top 30 teams.  BYU also beat Tennessee on the road and thumped Utah State 42-14 on the road.  That’s a Utah State team that is probably just as good as Hawaii in the Mountain West.  Hawaii is 1-9 ATS off a road loss over the last 3 years.  Nick Rolovich is 0-7 ATS off a conference road loss as the coach of Hawaii.  Take BYU. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Sacramento Kings +6 

The Key: The Kings beat the Rockets 119-118 on the road on December 9th.  Now they get them in Sacramento 2 weeks later.  They are in need of a win after dropping 3 straight on the road, and I look for the Kings to be hungry tonight as a result.  The Rockets are fat and happy off 3 straight wins and nearing Christmas.  They won’t be playing with the same sense of urgency as the Kings will be tonight.  The Kings are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games as a dog and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 against a team with a winning record.  Take Sacramento. 

7* Packers/Vikings NFC North *HEAVY HITTER* on Minnesota -4.5 

The Key: The numbers show the Vikings are the better team than the Packers despite having the worse record.  Well, the Vikings can pull even with the Packers for 1st place in the NFC North with a win.  They would still need some help next week, but first things first, and I think they handle their business at home tonight.  The Packers are 21st in offense while the Vikings are 10th in offense.  The Packers are 22nd in defense and the Vikings are 14th in defense.  The Vikings have outscored the opposition by 119 points this year, while the Packers have only outscored their opponents by 47 points.  Minnesota is 36-15-1 ATS in its last 52 home games and 22-8 ATS in its last 30 games as a home favorite of 7 or less.  The home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 matchups.  Take Minnesota. 

6* Nuggets/Lakers NBA *BAILOUT* on Denver +3.5 

The Key: The Denver Nuggets have won 5 straight and want to avenge an earlier 96-105 home loss to the Lakers on December 3rd.  They shot 40.7% in that game and 20.7% from 3-point range.  They won’t shoot that poorly again.  And they won’t have to deal with Lebron James this time around as he is sitting with a back injury.  The Lakers are in an awful situation returning home following a 5-game road trip and playing 12 of their last 15 on the road.  It’s a tired team that will be dealing with a lot of distractions at home, especially since it’s nearly Christmas.  Take Denver. 

7* AFC West Game of the Year on Oakland Raiders +7.5 

The Key: The Chargers can’t be trusted to lay 7.5 points to the Raiders.  The Chargers aren’t a team that wins or loses many blowouts.  Though they did get worked 10-39 by the Vikings last week.  The Raiders had a bad loss to the Jaguars that they deserved to win.  But that has gotten us some extra value on them this week.  The Chargers have zero home-field advantage and I wouldn’t be surprised at all if the Raiders have more fans attend this game.  The Chargers are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 home games.  Los Angeles is 0-5-1 ATS in its last 6 games as a home favorite.  The Raiders are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 trips to Los Angeles.  The underdog is 16-5 ATS in the last 21 meetings.  Take Oakland. 

6* Sunday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Loyola-Chicago -2 

The Key: Davidson has been a huge disappointment as they are just 5-5 this year despite returning all 5 starters.  They have been upset by Wake Forest and Charlotte and they have double-digit losses to Auburn, Marquette and Temple.  All 5 of their losses have been by double-digits.  Loyola-Chicago is 5-1 at home this year and outscoring opponents by 20 PPG.  Davidson is 0-6 ATS in road games off 2 straight ATS wins over the last 2 years.  The Wildcats are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 non-conference road games.  Take Loyola-Chicago. 

6* NFL Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Jacksonville Jaguars +7.5 

The Key: The Falcons are off a massive upset win as 10-point dogs at San Francisco.  This is an obvious letdown spot for them now as they return home to host the Jaguars.  The Falcons have been awful at home this season.  They are just 2-5 at home this year.  The Jaguars showed some fight in coming back from a 16-3 deficit to beat the Raiders last week.  They clearly have not quit.  And now that the hated Tom Coughlin was just fired, players can breathe a sigh of relief.  I look for a great effort from them today.  Jacksonville gets back leading receiver DJ Chark from injury this week to help out the offense.  Atlanta has lost 7 straight and 12 of its last 13 to AFC opponents.  The Falcons are 0-14 ATS in their last 14 against AFC foes.  Take Jacksonville. 

6* Sunday NFL *Total* Annihilator on Panthers/Colts OVER 46.5 

The Key: Two teams who have been eliminated from the playoffs square off today in Indianapolis.  I don’t think the defenses of either of these teams will be too interested.  And the injuries to both defenses favors the OVER.  The Colts are missing potential 3 starters in the secondary.  The Panthers are missing a handful of guys along their front 7.  The Panthers have allowed 29 or more points in 5 straight games.  Carolina will let rookie Will Grier throw the ball as much as possible in this game to see what he can do, which also favors the OVER.  Carolina is 10-2 OVER in games played on turf over the last 3 years and 36-14-1 in the last 51 games on turf.  The OVER is 21-8 in Panthers last 29 games as a road dog.  Take the OVER. 

6* UAB/Appalachian State Bowl *BAILOUT* on Appalachian State -17 

The Key: Appalachian State went 12-1 this season and lost their head coach for a 2nd straight year.  Last year they went on to beat Middle Tennessee 45-13 after losing head coach Scott Satterfield to Louisville.  And now they will crush this UAB team.  UAB was blasted 6-49 by FAU in the C-USA title game.  They were also blasted by Tennessee and Southern Miss earlier this year.  Their only wins came against bad teams as they played the 138th-ranked schedule in the country.  App State is outscoring opponents by 19.2 PPG on the year, so they have no problem winning by margin.  Sun Belt teams are 11-3 ATS in the New Orleans Bowl since 2005.  Take Appalachian State. 

6* Saturday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Arizona State -3 

The Key: The Arizona State Sun Devils are coming off a stunning 56-96 loss to St. Mary’s.  That game was an aberration as only 3 players scored, and one bench player scored 43 of their 56 points.  It’s safe to say the Sun Devils will come back hungry for a win today against Creighton.  The Blue Jays are 9-2, but their 2 losses both came on the road where they are losing by 20.5 PPG on the season.  Arizona State is 5-1 at home and winning by 18.1 PPG.  The Sun Devils are 11-2 ATS when playing against a team that wins more than 80% of their games over the last 3 years.  Take Arizona State. 

7* Rams/49ers NFC West *HEAVY HITTER* on San Francisco -6.5 

The Key: The Rams lost all hope of making the playoffs last week with their 44-21 loss to the Cowboys.  Now they’ll be officially eliminated after getting blasted by the 49ers for a 2nd time this year.  The 49ers won 20-7 on the road and held the Rams to just 165 total yards.  Now they’ll win by more than a touchdown at home today.  The 49ers will be hungry after their upset loss to the Falcons last week, which was predictable given the spot off 3 straight huge games and with the Rams and Seahawks on deck.  Now the 49ers can’t afford a loss if they want to get the #1 seed in the NFC.  Take San Francisco. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Sacramento Kings -1 

The Key: The Memphis Grizzlies are running on fumes right now.  They’ll be playing for a 2nd consecutive day, their 3rd game in 4 days, and their 6th game in 9 days.  The Grizzlies are just 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games when playing for a 2nd consecutive day.  The Kings will only be playing their 2nd game in 4 days and they are a young, deep team that won’t be phased by this situation.  The Kings are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games when coming off 2 or more consecutive road losses.  Take Sacramento. 

6* Bills/Patriots AFC East *Total* Annihilator on OVER 37 

The Key: This is a sneaky good OVER bet with a very low total of 37 points.  It’s sneaky because you wouldn’t think it, but both Buffalo and New England have been pushing the pace offensively.  The Patriots are 1st in the NFL since Week 10 in amount of seconds between snaps, playing faster than anyone.  They will use some no-huddle here to try and negate Buffalo’s pass rush.  Buffalo is 7th in the NFL in offensive pace since Week 10, which coincided with OC Dabol moving to the booth to call plays.  My math model shows 42 points in this game, giving us 5 points of value on the OVER.  Take the OVER. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Portland Trail Blazers -3.5 

The Key: The Orlando Magic are a tired team.  They just played the toughest situation in the NBA with a back-to-back at Utah and Denver on Tuesday and Wednesday.  And now they’ll be playing their 3rd game in 4 days tonight.  The Blazers should take advantage and run them out of the gym.  Portland will be playing just its 3rd game in 8 days and will be the fresher team.  The Blazers are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.  Take Portland. 

7* Kent State/Utah State ESPN 2 Friday Night Lights on Kent State +7 

The Key: Teams that had 3 or fewer wins the previous season and made a bowl game have gone 16-2 ATS in their bowl games over the last 3 years.  Kent State is a qualifier.  The Golden Flashes overcame the odds and pulled out 3 straight upsets to close the season to get to 6-6.  They obviously want to be here.  I don’t think the same can be said for Utah State, which won 11 games last year and dropped to 7 wins this year.  6-6 teams in general have gone 60% ATS since 2000 in bowls and 6-6 teams off a win as an underdog have gone 70% ATS since 2000.  Take Kent State. 

6* Rockets/Clippers TNT *BAILOUT* on UNDER 236 

The Key: This will be the 3rd meeting already between the Rockets and Clippers this year, so they are familiar with one another.  The first meeting saw Houston win 102-93 for 195 combined points.  The 2nd meeting saw the Clippers win 122-119 for 241 combined points.  But that game was on pace to go well UNDDER the total before a huge 77-point 4th quarter.  That total was set at 227, and now this total is set at 236, a 9-point adjustment.  I think the price is right to pull the trigger on the UNDER here.  The Rockets are 14-4 UNDER in road games with a total of 230 or higher over the last 2 years.  The Rockets are 27-12 UNDER as an underdog over the last 3 years.  The Rockets are 22-6 UNDER when playing against a team that wins more than 70% of their games over the last 3 years.  The UNDER is 9-4 in Clippers last 13 games as a home favorite.  Take the UNDER. 

7* Lakers/Bucks TNT *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee -4 

The Key: The Bucks are 24-4 and 13-2 at home this year.  The Lakers will be without Kyle Kuzma and could be without Anthony Davis tonight.  It’s a tough situation for the Lakers, who have will be playing their 5th straight road game and their 12th road games in their last 15 games overall.  It is starting to wear on them as they barely escaped with a win at Atlanta before losing at Indiana in their last 2 games coming in.  The Bucks are 18-6 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 years.  The Bucks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.  The Bucks are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games off a loss.  The Bucks are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home meetings with the Lakers and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings overall.  Take Milwaukee.

7* NBA Situational Game of the Month on Denver Nuggets -9.5 

The Key: The situation could not possibly be worse for the Orlando Magic tonight.  They’ll be playing in altitude for the second straight night after losing 102-109 in Utah last night.  Now they’ll have nothing left in the tank for the Denver Nuggets tonight.  Denver comes in on 2 days’ rest and having won three straight home games to improve to 11-3 at home this year.  They had the best home record in the NBA last year.  The Magic are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 trips to Denver.  The Nuggets are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games against a team with a losing record.  Take Denver.