7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Pistons +2.5
The Key: With David Lee out due to an illness and Andrew Bogut expected to miss again with a shoulder injury, the Pistons will have a significant edge on the interior this evening. I expect Josh Smith, Greg Monroe and Andre Drummond to give the Warriors big problems in the paint tonight. The Warriors were last in action Saturday, earning a home win and cover against Brooklyn. However, they are 6-15-1 ATS in their last 22 games following an ATS win and 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU win. The win over Brooklyn was their second straight at home, significant because the Warriors are just 4-14 ATS under Mark Jackson following two or more consecutive home wins. They have lost by an average score of 103.6 to 98.5 in this spot. The Pistons are off a double-digit loss to Dallas, but they are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a loss of more than 10 points. They're also 5-2 ATS in their last seven games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. Lastly, the underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings. Take the points.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on NC-Greensboro -1.5
The Key: Chattanooga has lost its mojo. It is 2-4 since winning 10 straight from Dec. 29 to Jan. 25, including 0-3 on the road. While a 77-61 home loss to Georgia Southern last game should have the Mocs motivated, I believe NC-Greensboro will want this game just a little bit more. This is the final home game for the Spartans. With challenging games at Davidson and Wofford to conclude the season, the Spartans will go after this one with all they've got in hopes of ending a two-game losing streak. Greensboro lost 77-67 at Chattanooga in the first meeting, and that loss only adds fuel to the fire. Prior to that loss, Greensboro had won five straight in the series by an average of 10.0 points so they won't be lacking any confidence today. You want to fade road teams that suffered an ATS loss of 18 points or more in their previous game if they carry a win percentage of 51-60% and are playing a team with a win percentage of 40-49%. Doing so has produced a 33-9 ATS mark since 1997. This system is a perfect 7-0 ATS the last five seasons. Lay the number.

6* NCAAB Saturday Night *CA$H COW* on NC-Wilmington +3
The Key: I was on College of Charleston -2.5 Wednesday as my CAA Game of the Year, and the Cougars came through with an 87-54 win over William & Mary. That big win sets them up for a letdown here. C of C is a soft 9-22 ATS the last three seasons following a conference win. It is also on a 7-18 ATS slide following a home win of 20 points or more. We also can't ignore C of Cs struggles on the road where it has lost four straight. NC-Wilmington hasn't played since Monday when it was kicked at William & Mary. The Seahawks also lost the season's first meeting at C of C by five points so they will be after some revenge. Buzz Peterson has had no problem motivating his teams following a bad loss. In fact, teams he's headed up are 9-1 ATS all-time in home games following a loss of 20 points or more in conference play. They have won these games by an average score of 70.6 to 65.9. Take the points.

6* NCAAB Situational Slam Dunk on Niagara +4
The Key: This is a tough situation for Quinnipiac. The Bobcats are playing a second road game in three days, one of the toughest scheduling spots in college basketball. Off a big win at Canisius, they are in a letdown spot, especially since they handled Niagara by 14 last month. They'll have a very difficult time getting up for this game the way they got up for Thursday's game. Niagara has lost seven in a row, but it's the last home game of the season for the Purple Eagles, which means we can expect them to go all out. The seniors always come with a little extra on Senior Day. Purple Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games versus a team with a winning road record. Niagara is also 6-0 ATS the last two seasons in home games versus teams outscoring opponents by 4.0 ppg or more on the season. The Purple Eagles have defeated these teams by an average of 3.0 points. Take the points.

7* Big East Game of the Year on Georgetown -2
The Key: Motivated by back-to-back double-digit defeats on the road and further fueled by a double-digit loss at Xavier last month, Georgetown will take care of business at home this morning. While the true road has been unkind to the Hoyas, they are 4-0 ATS in their last four home/neutral court battles (three of these were at home). Two of these covers came against Villanova and Michigan State. In addition, Georgetown is 7-0 ATS the last two seasons when seeking revenge for a road loss to an opponent. It has won these contests by an average of 7.8 points. Take Georgetown.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Suns +1.5
The Key: You want to fade teams like San Antonio that are off two consecutive upset wins or more when they are up against a team off two consecutive covers as a favorite. Doing so has produced a 41-17 ATS mark since 1996. In addition, you want to back teams like Phoenix when the line is +3 to -3 that are playing three games or less in a 10-day span and are seeking revenge for a home loss to an opponent. Doing so has produced a 48-19 ATS mark since 1996. This system is 3-0 ATS this season. Off back-to-back satisfying wins on the road against the Clippers and Blazers, the Spurs won't be as hungry as the Suns tonight. Phoenix has lost the season's first two meetings with the Spurs so it will be extremely focused. Both teams are playing a third game in four days, but the Suns should be able to handle this situation better than the Spurs. Phoenix is 13-4 ATS when playing a third game in four days this season, winning these contests by an average score of 108.1 to 101.9. The Suns are also an impressive 20-9 ATS in the underdog role this season. The Spurs have covered the spread in three of their last four, including three straight, but are 1-8 ATS this season after covering the spread in three of their last four. Take Phoenix.

7* MAAC Game of the Year on Siena +6
The Key: This is a difficult spot for Manhattan, which is playing its second road game in three days. In addition, this is Manhattan's third game in six days. Fatigue will be an issue for the Jaspers tonight. Manhattan is 1 1/2 games out of first with a showdown against first-place Iona up next. Although that game is still a week away, the Jaspers won't be able to keep themselves from looking ahead because they handled Siena so easily (90-68) the first time around. Siena has had four days between games so it will be the fresher and more prepared side. I also believe it will be the hungrier side as it seeks revenge for the beating it received by Manhattan last month. Siena has been very competitive at home where it is 8-3 in its last 11. Two of these losses came in OT to very good Quinnipiac and Canisius squads. Quinnipiac is tied with Manhattan for second in the MAAC and Canisius is third. Home court has been huge in this series with the home team going 8-0 in the last eight meetings. Siena is 9-0 in its last nine home meetings against Manhattan, winning these by an average of 12.2 points. Take the points.

7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on UNC-Charlotte +4
The Key: Expect a letdown from Middle Tennessee State as it hits the road following a huge blowout win over So. Miss. There is no shortage of trends going against MTSU here. The Blue Raiders are 0-11 ATS in road games the last two seasons when they check in with six or seven wins in their last eight games. They are 0-8 ATS the last two seasons in road games following a home win against a conference foe, 0-6 ATS the last two seasons in road games after two consecutive covers as a favorite, 0-7 ATS in road games the last two seasons following two or more consecutive home wins, 0-7 ATS in road games the last two seasons after successfully covering the spread in two or more consecutive games and 0-12 ATS in road games the last two seasons after playing a game as a home favorite. MTSU is 0-6 ATS in road games this season after a win of 15 points or more, 0-6 ATS in road games this season after playing two consecutive games as favorite and 0-7 ATS in road games this season after one or more consecutive wins. Charlotte has lost three in a row and will be highly motivated as a result. And, it will be lacking no confidence considering it has big wins over Kansas State and Michigan on its resume. Take the points.

6* NBA Situational Slam Dunk on Celtics +7
The Key: This is a tough situation for the Suns, who are off an emotionally and physically draining overtime win in Denver last night. They have big games against the Spurs and Rockets on deck so I don't see them giving Boston their full attention here. The Suns are 0-4 ATS in their last four games when their starting five combines for more than 160 minutes the previous day. Boston will be the fresher side having had last night off. Plus, we can't ignore what the Celtics have done on the road lately. They are 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games, including 4-0 ATS in their last four road games versus teams that have winning home marks. These teams were the Heat, Trail Blazers, Warriors and Clippers. Take the points.

7* CAA Game of the Year on College of Charleston -2.5
The Key: Motivated by an ugly upset loss to Northeastern and further fueled by an 11-point loss at William & Mary last month, College of Charleston will take care of business tonight. The Cougars are on an impressive 19-6 ATS run when seeking revenge for a road loss of 10 points or more to an opponent, winning by an average of 7.3 points in this spot. In addition, the Tribe is on a 3-17 ATS slide in road games occurring 15 games or more into the season versus teams with a win percentage of 40-49%. They have lost these contests by an average of 7.3 points. Lay the points.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Citadel +16
The Key: Davidson is getting a little too much respect on the road tonight. The Wildcats are 0-3 ATS this season when laying 15 points or more. Citadel, on the other hand, is 4-0 ATS in its last four games when catching more than 10 points. In addition, Davidson hasn't won by more than 15 points in its last five road matchups in the series. The Wildcats are 0-5 ATS in their last five games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400. The Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games versus a team with a winning road record. Take the points.

7* AAC Game of the Year on Temple +9
The Key: You want to fade favorites that are off two consecutive covers as chalk when they're up against a team that's off a home blowout loss of 20 points or more. That's because doing so has produced a 26-6 ATS mark the last five seasons. Temple is off an 82-58 loss to Louisville, and it loss 75-52 in the season's first meeting with SMU. However, the Owls are on a 15-4 ATS run at home following a loss of 15 points or more. They are 11-2 ATS when seeking revenge for a loss over the last three seasons and 9-1 ATS when seeking revenge for a road loss over the last three seasons. Temple is 17-3 ATS under coach Fran Dunphy in home games occurring 15 games or more into the schedule versus teams carrying a win percentage of 60-80%. Playing a second road game in three days is one of the most difficult situations in college basketball, and that's the spot SMU finds itself in here. What makes the situation even more difficult is the fact that it will have an extremely tough time getting up for a team it blew out last week. Temple will undoubtedly be the more motivated side as it goes after a measure of revenge. Take the points.

6* Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Baylor -4.5
The Key: It will be a tough encore for Kansas State following a huge overtime win against rival Kansas, especially on the road where the Wildcats have dropped four straight by an average of 11.3 points. Baylor enters with some momentum and confidence after destroying TCU, and it will be lacking no motivation as it tries to end a four-game home losing streak. The Bears lost both meetings with K-State last season so this game is also about revenge. Baylor is 4-0 ATS in its last four home games versus a team with a losing road record. Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points 15 games or more into the season in a game where both teams average 14.5 turnovers or less are 70-38 ATS provided they shoot 45-47.5% and are up against a team that holds opponents to 40% shooting or worse. Lay the points.

7* NCAAB Line Mistake of the Week on San Jose State +9.5
The Key: This is a letdown spot for Wyoming, which is off a big win over San Diego State. The books have drastically overvalued the Cowboys here as a result of the win. Consider that they are just 3-7 in games played away from home this season with none of the wins coming by more than 7 points. The Cowboys are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games versus a team with a losing record. They are also 0-6 ATS after a win by six points or less over the last two seasons, losing by an average score of 66.1 to 59.3 in this spot. In addition, teams headed up by coach Larry Shyatt are 1-9 ATS in road games off an upset win in conference play and have lost by an average score of 74.5 to 54.5 in this situation. Take the points.

7* NCAAB Situational Slam Dunk on Texas-San Antonio +4.5
The Key: This is a very difficult situation for Florida Atlantic following Thursday's big upset win at UTEP. Now, it plays a second road game in three days, which is very tough, and it has been a struggle for the Owls on the road this season. They are just 3-11 in games played away from home. And, they are on a 1-11 ATS slide in road games following a road win, losing by an average of 7.9 points in these contests. In addition, FAU is on a 0-6 ATS slide following two consecutive wins against conference opponents, losing by an average of 4.0 points in this spot. Take the points.

6* AAC Annihilator on Rutgers +8
The Key: SMU is being overvalued following a streak where it has won three in a row and eight of nine. And, it doesn't do the Mustangs any favors that they are off a big win over Cincinnati and now find themselves ranked in the AP for the first time since 1985. This game has letdown written all over it for SMU, which hasn't been nearly as strong on the road. In 11 games played on road/neutral floor venues this season, SMU has only one win of more than eight points. Rutgers has been competitive at home where it is 5-1 ATS in its last six, and it will be out for revenge after falling at SMU last month. Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a win percentage of 40-49% that are off a road win in conference action are 17-4 ATS the last three seasons. Take the points.

6* NCAAB Bailout on Cal-Riverside +6
The Key: This game is all about revenge for Cal-Riverside, which was absolutely crushed 100-69 at Hawaii Jan. 18. I expect a much different result this time around considering Riverside has won by 17 and lost by only 4 the last two times its hosted the Warriors. The Highlanders were unable to build on a win over Fullerton and lost to Long Beach State last game, but they are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following defeat. They are also on a 6-0 ATS run in these Thursday games while the Warriors are on a 1-7 ATS slide on Thursday night. Take the points.

7* C-USA Game of the Year on UAB +4.5
The Key: With a big showdown at Middle Tennessee Saturday, I expect Southern Miss to get caught looking right past a team it defeated in each of last season's three meetings. Those defeats, as well as a three-game skid, assure us UAB will be ready to go this evening. Now is the time to fade the Golden Eagles on the highway. They are 0-6 ATS in February road games the last three seasons, losing them by an average score of 75.1 to 70.9. They are 0-7 ATS under coach Donnie Tyndall in road games after five or more consecutive wins, losing these contests by an average score of 68.0 to 63.1. You also want to back home teams that return four starters when they are off two or more consecutive upset losses on the road. Doing so has produced a 30-8 ATS mark since 1997. The Blazers are a strong 11-2 at home this season, and they have won or lost by fewer than 4.5 points in 11 straight home meetings against So. Miss. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings. Take the points.

7* Ohio Valley Conference Game of the Year on Jacksonville State +3.5
The Key: Off a big upset win at Eastern Kentucky to move into sole possession of second place in the East division of the Ohio Valley, Morehead State will look right past a Jacksonville State squad it just defeated 65-54 on Feb. 1. The Gamecocks, on the other hand, will be hungry to avenge that loss as well as end a three-game losing streak. The Eagles haven't been a good investment on the road where they are 2-6 ATS in their last eight. They have also been a lousy investment in Ohio Valley play at 5-15 ATS in their last 20. In addition, they are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU win and 1-5 ATS in their last six games following an ATS win. Morehead State scored 86 points on a ridiculous 58.3% shooting last game, and that actually bodes very well for us. Consider that the Eagles are 1-7 ATS this season after scoring 80 points or more. They are 5-16 ATS in road games since 1997 after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better. Jacksonville State is an impressive 19-6 ATS in home games occurring 15 games or more into the season against teams that have a winning record since 1997. The home team has been the play in this matchup as it has gone 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings. Jacksonville State won 70-59 when it last hosted the Eagles last season, and I expect another solid win from the home team here.

6* NBA Line Mistake on 76ers +8
The Key: This is the most points Utah has laid all season, and it is too many. This line is an overreaction to the back-to-back beatings Philly took, but those were to really good, explosive offensive teams. No one likes getting buried like that, and I fully expect the 76ers to have a performance that saves face here. You want to back road teams that give up 103.0 ppg or more if they trailed by double digits at the half in their last two games. Doing so has produced a 79-34 ATS mark since 1996, and this system is 4-0 ATS this season. Utah has won back-to-back games for the fifth time this season, and it is 0-4 ATS following the previous four times with an average losing margin of 10.3 points. Take the points.

7* Pac-12 Game of the Year on Washington +3.5
The Key: Motivated by three consecutive road defeats and a 79-67 loss at Stanford, Washington will be ready to rock and roll when it hits its home floor tonight. Teams headed up my coach Lorenzo Romar are on a 14-4 ATS run following three consecutive losses to conference opponents. His teams are on a 22-5 ATS run at home following a road loss in conference play. In addition, his Washington squads are 9-2 ATS at home following three consecutive road games, winning by an average score of 84.7 to 69.5 in this spot. It is also worth noting that Romar's squads are on a 21-9 ATS run as a home underdog or pickem. You want to fade road favorites or pickems that are off a double-digit road victory if they carry a 60-80% win percentage and are playing a team with a 51-60% win rate. Doing so has produced a 30-8 ATS mark the last 5 seasons. Take the points.

6* Mid-major Massacre on Northern Iowa -10.5
The Key: Northern Iowa has lost its last three games. Two of the losses have come at home where it was previously 8-0 so it will be very hungry tonight. Adding fuel to the fire is a 93-87 loss at Loyola in the first meeting. The Ramblers are off a nice win over Illinois State (we were on them in that game), but now they go out on the road where they are 0-10 this season. The Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games versus teams that have a losing road record. Northern Iowa's aforementioned home losses were to good Indiana State and Wichita State teams, and there's no shame in losing to either of them. While I like the motivational aspect of those defeats, I also like that the Panthers have proven themselves at home against good competition. They defeated VCU by 9 points at home earlier this season. Northern Iowa isn't an overly aggressive defensive team. It likes to pack it in and make opponents wind down the shot clock. This strategy often leads to teams forcing bad shots late in the clock. The Panthers don't come up with a lot of steals because of the way they play. However, Loyola is 0-7 ATS in road games under coach Porter Moser versus teams that average 6.0 or fewer steals per game. Northern Iowa's strategy should work well against a Loyola squad that has shot the ball rather poorly on the road.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Mavericks +9.5
The Key: We went against the Mavericks last night as we expected them to get caught looking ahead to this game, and that's exactly what happened. This is a game Dallas wants badly because it was brutally embarrassed by the Pacers in both of last season's meetings. The fact it was brutally embarrassed last night only adds to its level of motivation. The Dallas defense was non-existent last night, but here's the good news - the Mavs respond. They are 8-0 ATS in road games this season after allowing 110 points or more, winning these games by an average score of 103.4 to 94.9. The Pacers have been extremely overvalued following high point outputs and are 0-5 ATS in their last five after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game as a result. In addition, the Mavericks are 23-6 ATS in their last 29 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 15-3 ATS after a blowout loss by 15 points or more over the last two seasons. The Mavs are 38-14 ATS in their last 52 road games and 28-14 ATS when playing a second road game in as many nights under coach Carlisle. Take the points.

6* MWC Bailout (ESPNU) on Wyoming +4.5
The Key: San Diego State is extremely fortunate to have its winning streak still intact. The Aztecs were very fortunate to win at San Diego clear back in their first true road game of the season, and they lucky to win in each of their last two road trips to Utah State and Boise State. They might find a way to squeak by again, but it won't be easy. And if they do, I don't see it by more than a field goal. The Cowboys won last season's home meeting 58-45 as their methodical pace and stifling defense gave SDSU fits. Consider that SDSU is 0-6 ATS in road games the last two seasons versus slow-down teams like Wyoming that average 53 shots or fewer per game. The Aztecs have lost these games by an average score of 62.8 to 60.2. The Cowboys enter off a close loss at UNLV but are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following defeat. They are also 5-0 ATS in their last five games versus teams carrying a win percentage greater than .600. You want to fade road teams at the 15-game mark or the season or later if they've shot 50% or better the last two games, and if they hold opponents to 40% shooting or worse and are playing a team that holds foes to 40-42.5% shooting. Doing so has produced a 34-9 ATS mark the last 5 seasons. This system is a perfect 3-0 ATS this season. Take the points.

7* NBA Situational Slam Dunk of the Month on Bobcats +3.5
The Key: This is a great situation for the Bobcats, who have had the last two days off and will be playing for just the third time in 10 days. They will be far fresher than a Dallas team playing its fifth game in nine days. The fact the Mavericks have had to travel following every one of these games has made it an even more difficult stretch. In addition, the Mavs are at Indiana tomorrow night, and they have been absolutely embarrassed the last two times they've faced the Pacers so they will be looking ahead to that game, especially since they already recorded a seven-point victory over Charlotte earlier this season. You want to back home underdogs in non-conference action that are playing three games of less in 10 days as doing so has produced a 48-21 ATS mark since 1996. These teams have been underdogs of 3.6 points on average but have won by 0.7 points on average. This system is 12-4 ATS the last five seasons. Take the points.

6* SEC *CA$H COW* (ESPN) on Tennessee +2
The Key: Tennessee was crushed 67-41 at Florida in the first meeting, but I expect the Vols to deliver a much different result at home where they have won seven of their last eight in the series. The Vols have been an outstanding home dog over the years. In fact, they are 24-5 ATS as a home underdog of 6.0 points or less or pickem since 1997, winning these games by an average score of 69.9 to 66.7. Zooming in, Tennessee is 8-1 ATS as a home dog or pickem over the last three seasons, winning these contests by an average score of 66.4 to 59.8. Tennessee has also been strong in revenge spots. In fact, it is 13-2 ATS under coach Martin when out for revenge for a road loss to an opponent, winning these contests by an average score of 72.7 to 61.6. The Vols are 9-1 ATS under Martin when seeking revenge for a loss where they were held to less than 60 points, winning these contests by an average score of 73.4 to 65.4. Take Tennessee.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on North Carolina-Wilmington +4.5
The Key: Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off three consecutive conference wins are 0-5 ATS this season provided that carry a win percentage of 60-80% and are playing a team with a win percentage of 20-40%. In addition, Towson State is on a 0-7 ATS slide in road games following three straight games of attempting 10 shots or fewer than its opponents. The Tigers have gotten away with their slower pace of play because they've been efficient, but now they hit the road where the shots don't fall as easily. NC-Wilmington has struggled offensively, but its defense has been pretty good at home where it is holding opponents to 63.4 points. Towson State's defense has been terrible away from home where it is giving up 76.5 points. These schools have played a lot of close games over the years, and the underdog is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings as a result. The Seahawks have won seven of their last nine home meetings with Towson, and the two defeats came by just five points so they'll have an excellent opportunity to cover this number. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Nets -5
The Key: Look for the Nets to respond following Friday's embarrassing 111-95 loss to Detroit. The Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 10 points, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400 and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games when playing on 1 days' rest. The Pelicans are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games versus a team with a winning home record and 1-4-1 ATS in the last 6 road meetings in the series. Lay the points.

7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Loyola-Chicago -1
The Key: Motivated by three consecutive defeats, including a bad home loss to Bradley last time out, and further fueled by a 59-50 loss at Illinois State in season's first meeting, Loyola-Chicago will be ready to go this afternoon. The Ramblers are on a 5-1-1 ATS run in Missouri Valley play, and they are 4-0 ATS in their last four games versus winning teams. In addition, they are 12-3 ATS under coach Porter Moser when they check in with losses in six or seven of their last eight games. They are 13-5 ATS under Moser when out for revenge for a same-season loss to an opponent. The Redbirds have struggled on the road where they are 1-5 SU and ATS in their last six. Take Loyola.

6* A-10 Annihilator on Rhode Island +4
The Key: UMass hasn't been the same team on the road where it is 0-3 SU and 0-2-1 ATS in its last three. It is 2-4 SU and 1-4-1 ATS in its last six games played away from home. The Minutemen started the season on a covering tear, going 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games, but the books have adjusted, and they are just 3-8-1 ATS since. The Minutemen are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a win, and they are on a 2-10 ATS slide in road games if they check in with at least 15 wins in their last 20 games. Rhode Island has been competitive at home where it is 8-3 on the season. One of the losses came by a single point to Saint Louis. The Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss and 6-2 ATS in their last eight games versus a team with a winning record. It is also worth noting that the underdog is 18-7 ATS in the last 25 meetings. Take the points.

6* Missouri Valley Conference *CA$H COW* on Northern Iowa +7
The Key: Northern Iowa is one tough cookie at home where it is 8-1 on the season, and it will be lacking no confidence when it goes up against the Shockers this evening. The Panthers won last season's home meeting with Wichita State 57-52, and they have won or lost by fewer than seven points in 7 of the last 8 and 12 of the last 14 home meetings. UNI has had no problem getting up for big games over the years. In fact, it is 30-16 ATS since 1997 versus teams that are outscoring opponents by an average of 12.0 ppg or more and are losing to these teams by just 1.4 points on average. The Panthers are also 28-16 ATS under coach Ben Jacobson when matched up against a team carrying a win percentage of 80% or higher, and they have lost these games by just 1.4 points on average. You also want to fade February road favorites or pickems off six consecutive wins or more as doing so has produced a 97-54 ATS mark the last five seasons. Last but not least, the home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings. Take the points with the home team.

7* Atlantic 10 Conference Game of the Year on La Salle +4.5
The Key: La Salle has an excellent shot at knocking off St. Louis this evening. The Billikens haven't been the same team on the road where they were fortunate to beat Valpo, Rhode Island and Duquesne. La Salle has been terrific at home where it has won seven of its last eight, and the fact it has gone seven straight games without a cover adds to its value. St. Louis is off a big win and cover at St. Joe's, but it is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games following a cover. You also want to fade February road favorites or pickems off six consecutive wins or more as doing so has produced a 97-54 ATS mark the last five seasons. Fading favorites off a double-digit win in conference play has produced a 101-66 ATS mark the last five seasons, provided they carry a win percentage of 80% or greater and are playing a team with a 51-60% win percentage. The Billikens are on a 5-15 ATS slide in road games against teams with a 51-60% win rate, losing to these teams by an average score of 69.3 to 64.0. The underdog is 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meetings. Take the points.

6* Mountain West Conference Line Mistake on Air Force +3
The Key: Colorado State should be laying three points on the road considering it is 1-6 on the road this season with the lone win coming by only two points. The Rams check in off a big 75-57 home win over UNLV, and that's certainly worth noting because they are 0-6 ATS under coach Larry Eustachy in road games off a home win against a conference foe. They have lost these six contests by an average score of 69.5 to 67.5. Colorado State is 0-7 ATS off any home win this season. The Rams took exceptional care of the basketball last game, committing only seven turnovers. However, they are 0-7 ATS this season after a game committing 8 or less turnovers. Air Force hasn't been able to create many turnovers lately, but it is 6-0 ATS in home games the last three seasons after five straight games of forcing 14 or less turnovers. These turnover numbers are worth while because they factor into the line, and we are getting better line value as a result. Take the points.

6* NBA Situational Slam Dunk on Jazz +9
The Key: This isn't a good situation for Dallas. The odds are stacked heavily against the Mavs here. Consider that fading Friday night home favorites after one or more consecutive wins has produced a 257-170 (60%) ATS mark the last five seasons. The Mavs are off a big division win at Memphis Wednesday and will have a difficult time giving a Utah team they defeated by double digits earlier this season their full attention. After three consecutive defeats, the Jazz will have no problem getting up for this one. Plus, they have three days of rest and preparation time on their side. Dallas has been a much better investment on the road as it is just 6-13 ATS in its last 19 home games. The Jazz are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a double-digit loss at home. You want to fade home teams 42 games or more into the season if they average 45.5-47.5% shooting from the field and have shot 50% or better from the field in their last two games when they're up against a team that allows 45.5-47.5% shooting. Doing so has produced a 65-28 ATS mark since 1996. This system is a perfect 7-0 ATS the last three seasons. It is also worth noting that the Jazz are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings. Take the points.

7* NCAAB Situational Slam Dunk of the Week on Niagara +8
The Key: This is a tough situation for Iona because it has a big game at Canisius Sunday that will likely determine sole possession of first place in the MAAC. That is also a revenge game as Iona lost at home by two points to Canisius in the first meeting. The Gaels defeated Niagara 118-92 Jan. 4 so it will be easy for them to look right past the Purple Eagles and on to Canisius. Niagara hasn't played since Saturday so it has had nearly a week to prepare. Iona has had just two days of preparation time. The Gaels check in off an easy win at Monmouth, but they are 1-9 ATS off a road win of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. The Gaels are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games while the Purple Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 at home. Take the points.

6* SEC Annihilator (ESPN2) on Georgia +3
The Key: Off three consecutive losses, Georgia will be extremely motivated to get back in the win column tonight. Consider that the Bulldogs are 7-0 ATS under coach Fox in home games off three straight losses to conference foes. They haven't just won these seven contests, they've won them by an average score of 70.4 to 58.1. It is also worth noting that teams headed up by Johnny Jones are just 5-19 ATS as a road favorite of 6.0 points or less or pickem, and they have lost these games by an average score of 71.5 to 69.9. LSU is 2-3 in true road games with neither of the two wins coming by more than three points. Georgia has won its last two home games against the Tigers by 20 and 9 points, respectively. Take the points.

7* Horizon League Game of the Year on Oakland +2.5
The Key: You want to back teams like Oakland that have failed to cover the spread in consecutive games or more when they're up against an opponent that has covered the number in four consecutive games or more. That's because doing so has produced a 124-71 ATS mark the last five seasons. Oakland has been strong on its home floor this season where it is 8-2 with one of the losses coming by just two points in overtime. The Golden Grizzlies are a better team than their record leads you to believe as they have taken losses against North Carolina, Cal, UCLA, Gonzaga, Indiana and Michigan State. They played Cal, who is responsible for Arizona's only loss, to a four-point game on the road. And, they played Michigan State to a four-point game on a neutral floor. This Oakland team has shown flashes of being really good, and they'll be lacking no incentive tonight after getting buried at Wisconsin-Milwaukee last game. They'll also be extremely motivated by a loss at Cleveland State last month. Oakland is 17-7 ATS under coach Kampe in games when the line is +3 to -3, and it has won these contests by an average score of 77.0 to 74.7. Take the points.

7* Mountain West Conference Game of the Year on Utah State -6
The Key: You want to back teams that have failed to cover the spread in three consecutive games or more when they are up against an opponent that has covered the number in four consecutive games or more because doing so has produced a 123-71 ATS mark the last five season. I don't think you'll see a more motivated spot for Utah State the rest of the season. The Aggies have lost five in a row so they will be looking to stop the bleeding. They have also lost three in a row to Nevada, including a 62-54 loss last month, since rattling off five straight wins in the series by an average of 12.8 points. So they will also be out for cold hard revenge. The Aggies have been a terrific investment at home where they are on an 11-4-2 ATS run. They are 8-2 ATS as a home favorite or pickem this season with an average winning margin of 11.1 points in thee games. They are also on a 24-10 ATS run under coach Morrill in home games following a road loss, winning these contests by an average of 15.7 points. The Wolf Pack are just 3-11 ATS in the last 14 meetings, including 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings at Utah State. Lay the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Grizzlies -3
The Key: Motivated by an 86-77 loss to Oklahoma City that ended a six-game win streak, and further fueled by double-digit losses to Dallas in the season's first two meetings, Memphis will be hungry tonight. The Grizzlies are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a loss. They are also 23-10 ATS the last three seasons when seeking revenge for a loss where they allowed 100 points or more. Dallas is one of the better offensive teams in the league, but we can't ignore the fact Memphis is 15-5 ATS the last three seasons in games played in the second half of the season versus teams that average 103.0 ppg or more. The Memphis defense has been outstanding of late, and I expect it to be the difference against Dallas. Lay the number.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on TCU +8.5
The Key: You want to fade February road favorites or pickems that check in with six consecutive wins or more. Doing so has produced a 96-50 ATS mark the last five seasons. This system is a perfect 4-0 ATS this season. Texas' last four wins have come against teams ranked in the AP Top 25, including a big win over Kansas Saturday. It was easy for Texas to get up for those games knowing it would have to be at its best to come out on top. But, it will be difficult for it to get up for the lowly Horned Frogs on the road in the wake of Saturday's accomplishment, especially with a much bigger showdown at K-State up next. The Longhorns have gone from being an underdog in four of their last five games to laying nearly double-digits, and I believe the huge swing is an overreaction. Texas has struggled as chalk, going just 15-27 ATS in the role the last three seasons. The Longhorns are also just 2-12 ATS after successfully covering the number in two or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. TCU is still looking for its first conference victory, and it will also be out to snap a seven-game losing streak to Texas so it will be lacking no motivation. Plus, the Horned Frogs have a lineup full of kids from Texas that would love to take down the mighty Longhorns. I'm expecting an inspired performance from the home team here. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Nuggets +2.5
The Key: Off back-to-back losses at home and fueled by a 112-91 loss in L.A. in the season's first meeting, Denver will be extremely motivated when it takes the floor tonight. The home team has had the advantage of late, going 4-0 SU and ATS with an average winning margin of 15.5 points. The Nuggets earned two of these wins by 14 and 15 points, respectively. Looking back, the Nuggets are 11-2 in their last 13 home games versus the Clippers. L.A. sports a 34-16 record overall and a 14-13 road mark, but the Nuggets are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600 and 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The Clippers are off a blowout win over Utah, but they are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS win and 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a win of more than 10 points. Take the points.

7* Super Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Seahawks +3
The Key: I'm a firm believer in the saying defense wins championships. I'll gladly take the points with the far superior defensive team in this matchup, especially since the game is being played outdoors with temperatures in the 20s likely according to extended forecasts. Winds of 10-20 mph are also likely, and they should aid Seattle's No. 1 pass defense against Peyton Manning, who has typically struggled throughout his career in cold weather games. Even if the weather doesn't end up being much of a factor, I like the chances of Seattle's No. 1 defense getting more stops and coming up with more big plays than a Denver stop unit that ranks 19th in total defense and 22nd in scoring defense with 24.9 ppg allowed. Consider that the Seahawks are 10-0 ATS under coach Pete Carroll in games played in the second half of the season versus teams that give up 24.0 ppg or more. The Seahawks have won these games by an average score of 32.0 to 12.0. Seattle is also 6-0 ATS in the second half of the season the last three seasons versus teams with a winning percentage higher than 75%. It has defeated these teams by an average score of 27.7 to 17.2. While these trends are enough proof for me to back Seattle, it is also worth noting that the Seahawks are 8-1 ATS the last two seasons as an underdog and 9-1 ATS the last two seasons versus good passing teams like Denver that average 7.0 yards or more per pass attempt. It's the Super Bowl, which means the officials are going to let these teams play. That means the Seattle D-backs will likely get away with being very physical with the Denver receivers. Because of this, I expect Manning to make a costly mistake or two in this game. All the pressure is on Manning here. This ball-hawking Seattle team seems to feel no pressure. Take the points.

6* NBA Situational Slam Dunk on Trail Blazers -7
The Key: This is a really tough situation for Toronto, which is playing its second road game in as many nights against a Portland team that has had the last three days off. The Blazers have lost their last two in blowout fashion so they will be extremely motivated here. They needed overtime to win the season's first meeting in Toronto so there's no chance they'll get caught overlooking the Raptors. The Blazers are a perfect 5-0 SU and ATS in their last five home games against Toronto, winning these by an average of 12.0 points. Lay the points.

6* Pac-12 Powerhouse of the Week in Washington State +3
The Key: You want to fade favorites off two straight wins in conference play when they are up against an opponent off two straight double-digit defeats at home. That's because doing so has produced a 55-25 ATS result since 1997. Washington has been a terrible investment against losing teams. In fact, it is 1-11 ATS in its last 12 games versus teams that have a losing record. The Huskies are 0-6 ATS when playing against losing teams this season, defeating them by just 0.5 points on average. They are also 0-6 ATS the last two seasons when playing against teams carrying a win percentage of 20-40%. The Cougars have lost six straight to their in-state rivals with five of the losses coming by five points or less, including two by just two points. Look for Washington State to finally break through here.

6* NCAAB Situational Slam Dunk on South Alabama -5
The Key: This is a tough situation for Arkansas-Little Rock, which has had just one day to prepare following Thursday's win over Louisiana-Lafayette. South Alabama has had a week to prepare, giving it a significant edge in terms of fresh legs and game-plan execution. The Jaguars also hold a motivational edge having lost the season's first meeting 65-60. The Trojans haven't been the same team on the road where they are on a 6-15 ATS slide as an underdog or pickem, losing these games by an average score of 77.3 to 61.7. They are also just 3-12 ATS in road games after a game where they covered the spread over the last two seasons. The Jags are 3-0 in their last three home games against ALR and 8-2 in their last 10. Their last two home wins in the series have come by 15 and 13 points. Lay the number.

7* Big 12 Game of the Year on Iowa State -8
The Key: Iowa State has lost four of five since starting the season 14-0, and the funk started with an 87-82 loss at Oklahoma. I was on the Sooners catching points in that spot, but I love Iowa State in the rematch. Consider that the Cyclones are on a 21-9 ATS run in home games when out for revenge for a same-season loss to an opponent. Also consider that they are on a 10-2 ATS run in home games when seeking revenge for an upset loss to an opponent and have won by an average score of 74.8 to 59.6 in this spot. Iowa State has been a terrific investment at home where it is 21-9 ATS in its last 30. It is even 39-19-3 ATS in its last 61 home games versus teams like Oklahoma that have a winning road record. The Sooners have struggled in Ames, going 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings there and losing the last two meetings by 19 and 11 points. Lay the points.

6* NBA Bailout (ESPN) on Jazz +5
The Key: Golden State manhandled the Clippers last night, but the Warriors have been incredibly inconsistent of late. They are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a win, and they'll have their work cut out for themselves trying to pull away from a fresher Utah team that has had the last three days off. The Jazz are 4-0 ATS in their last four games versus a team that has a winning record. The Warriors won the season's first two meetings with one of the wins at home and the other in Salt Lake City. However, they haven't won multiple regular season games in Utah in the same season since the 1980-81 campaign. You want to back home underdogs with a losing record that are playing five games or less in 14 days as doing so has produced a 42-18 ATS mark the last five seasons. This system has gone 21-6 ATS over the last three seasons. Take the points.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Austin Peay +3.5
The Key: This is a game the Governors want badly. They have lost six straight to Murray State and were embarrassed 89-67 on the road in the season's first meeting. I like Austin Peay's chances of revenge tonight considering how poorly the Racers have performed on the road, where they are 2-7 on the season. In addition, the Governors are a perfect 9-0 ATS all-time under coach David Loos when out for revenge for a blowout loss of 20 points or more. Take the points.

6* NBA National TV *CA$H COW* (ESPN) on Nets +4.5
The Key: Oklahoma City is 9-0 straight up and 8-1 against the spread in its last nine games and is coming off a big 112-95 win in Miami against the defending champs, and it is being overvalued as a result. The Thunder lost at home 95-93 to the Nets Jan. 2 for their second straight loss in the series. Oklahoma City had no answer for Deron Williams in the first meeting, and I expect him to be the difference tonight. While the Thunder would love a little revenge, I don't see them having enough in the tank to get it on the road against a team playing its best ball of the season, especially since they are playing a second road game in three days and the Nets have had three days off. You want to fade teams that are out for revenge for a loss to an opponent if the opponent if off an upset loss to a division rival. Doing so has produced a 107-56 ATS mark the last five seasons, including an 8-2 ATS mark this season. Take the points.

6* Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Purdue +12
The Key: Following three consecutive big wins over ranked Wisconsin, Iowa and Michigan State teams, the Wolverines will have a tough time getting up for Purdue. The Boilermakers will have no trouble getting up for Michigan and have shown they can rise to the occasion against good teams. They played then-No. 5 Oklahoma State to a 10-point game Nov. 28 and then No. 3 Ohio State to a nine-point game Dec. 31. Purdue is 14-5 ATS under coach Painter when catching 10 points or more. It is also 25-9 ATS under its current head man following a loss of 10 points or more in conference play. Take the points.

6* WCC *CA$H COW* on BYU -13
The Key: Off back-to-back losses on the road, BYU will be ready to run up the score in its return to Provo. This may seem like a lot of points to be laying, but Pacific is 0-10 ATS since 1997 as a road underdog of 12.5 to 15 points, losing these games by an average of 20.3 points. Furthermore, BYU is 6-0 ATS in home games the last two seasons versus teams like Pacific that carry a win percentage of 51-60%. It has defeated these teams by an average of 25.2 points. Lastly, the Cougars are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games versus teams with a losing road record. Lay the number.

7* Southern Conference Game of the Week on Elon -4.5
The Key: Elon has dropped three in a row following its impressive upset win at Davidson. One of these losses was to a very good UMass team, but the last two were upset defeats on the road. Motivated by these three losses and further fueled by a 74-62 loss at Western Carolina in the season's first meeting, Elon will be ready to bounce back strong tonight. Home favorites or pickems off two or more consecutive upset losses on the road are 78-38 ATS since 1997. Teams fitting these parameters have won by an average of 12.0 points. Lay the number.

6* NBA Situational Slam Dunk on Kings +5
The Key: This is a poor situation for Memphis, which is riding high off last night's big win in Portland. It's tough enough to play road games in consecutive nights, but it's especially challenging following a satisfying win as it makes it tougher to get up for the next one, especially when the next one is against a team you have already defeated twice in the season. The Grizzlies also have a revenge game at Minnesota up next, making this a look-ahead spot. The Kings have been banged up, but they will be the fresher team tonight following a day of rest. There's also a good chance they'll get Rudy Gay back. But, regardless, I like them in this spot. They took Indiana to OT at home recently without Gay and DeMarcus Cousins. You want to fade favorites following a blowout win of 15 points or more in a game involving two teams that both have +/- 3.0 ppg differential. Doing so has produced a 73-33 ATS mark the last five seasons and a 9-1 ATS mark this season. It's also worth noting that the Kings are 9-0 ATS in their last nine home games versus a team with a winning road record. Take the points.

6* SEC Annihilator on Tennessee -7.5
The Key: You want to fade road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are off a win of 15 points or more if they average 74-78.0 ppg and are up against a team that averages 67-74.0 ppg. Doing so has produced a 112-61 ATS mark since 1997. The Vols were smoked at Florida last game, but they are 9-1 ATS in home games following a loss of 20 points or more to a conference opponent since 1997. Ole Miss won both of last season's matchups while handing the Vols an 18-point defeat in Knoxville. Those losses add fuel to Tennessee's fire tonight. Look for the Vols to have their revenge in a big way. Lay the points.

7* NCAAB Situational Slam Dunk on Central Florida +9
The Key: This is a difficult situation for Memphis as it hits the road for the first time since Jan. 11. Plus, the Tigers have had only two days to prepare while Central Florida has had five. Memphis is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 road games that follow three or more consecutive home games. The Tigers are also 3-17 ATS under coach Pastner following two or more consecutive home wins. Nothing has come easy for Memphis when it has visited UCF. The Tigers haven't won by more than nine points in any of their last four visits with two of the games being decided by a single point. Take the points.

6* ACC *CA$H COW* (ESPNU) on Notre Dame +3.5
The Key: Virginia hasn't been on the road for over two weeks, and now it finds itself on what has been one of the toughest home courts in the country in recent years. After back-to-back losses on the road, Notre Dame is happy to be home where it is 10-3 on the season and has a win over Duke. Virginia is off back-to-back blowout wins over North Carolina and Virginia Tech, but get this: Tony Bennett's Cavaliers are 2-10 ATS all-time in road games following two or more consecutive home wins. They have lost these games by an average score of 64.8 to 58.9. Take the points.

6* NBA *Motivational Mismatch* on Cavaliers -1.5
The Key: I'll lay the small number with a Cleveland squad that will be highly motivated tonight. The Cavs lost 99-90 to Phoenix last game despite leading the contest by 20 points just before halftime. They were outscored 56-29 over the final two quarters, including 25-6 in the third. "It's embarrassing for us, to the fans, to the organization to come out like that," forward Tristan Thompson said. "We have to take that personally..." I expect Sunday's monumental collapse to prompt a huge response from the Cavs tonight. Adding to their motivation is a 104-100 loss at New Orleans in the season's first matchup. The Pelicans are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a win while the Cavaliers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss. The Cavs are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 home games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400 and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games versus a team with a losing record. The home team is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings, including 3-0 in the last 3.

7* NCAAB Situational Slam Dunk of the Month on South Florida +7.5
The Key: SMU finds itself in a very difficult situation tonight as it is playing its second road game in three days. The fact it defeated South Florida 71-54 Jan. 15, and the fact it has Memphis on deck, makes this situation even more difficult because it will be looking right past the Bulls tonight. USF has been crushed in its last two games by very good Louisville and Memphis teams, and those embarrassing losses will have it very motivated here. The Bulls will be further motivated by the earlier loss to SMU. Stan Heath's teams are 10-2 ATS all-time following two straight losses of 15 points or more, and they have won by an average score of 70.6 to 66.3 in this situation. Take USF.

6* NCAAB Situational Slam Dunk on Georgetown +6
The Key: This is a tough spot for Villanova, which is being asked to play a second road game in a span of three days. This is a big issue for a team that has looked fatigued, especially on the defensive end, in recent games. The Wildcats have allowed their last two opponents, Creighton and Marquette, to shoot 50.0 percent or better from the floor. Villanova is 2-10 ATS the last three seasons when playing two games in three days, losing by an average score of 70.9 to 66.3 in these contests. College teams are used to playing Wednesday or Thursday and then again on Saturday or Sunday so playing on Monday usually means a quick turnaround, and the Wildcats are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six Monday games while the Hoyas are 4-1 ATS in their last five Monday games. Georgetown also played Saturday but is in a much better spot because it's home. The Hoyas are 3-0 in their last three home games versus Villanova. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings, and the Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings at Georgetown. Take the points.

6* NBA Anti-public Annihilator on Bucks +10
The Key: The public will be all over the Clippers playing the lowly Bucks, but I don't see L.A. covering this hefty number. This is the last game of grueling seven-game road trip, and since it's against the worst team in the NBA the road-weary Clippers will have a very hard time getting up for this contest. The Bucks were completely embarrassed by 25 points by Atlanta in front of their home fans last game, and that should motivate them to show up tonight knowing the Clippers are better than the Hawks. The Clippers have struggled in Milwaukee where they have won by more than 8 points just once in the last 14 meetings. That's a 13-1 trend we'll be playing here. Take the points.

7* NBA Situational Slam Dunk on 76ers +6
The Key: This is a tough situation for Phoenix as it is playing its second road game in as many days against a Philadelphia squad that had yesterday off. The 76ers will be the fresher team, and they should also be more prepared in terms of their scouting report. Phoenix has struggled in the City of Brotherly Love, losing three of its last four visits with the line win coming by only four points. The Suns are a poor 1-10 ATS the last two seasons in games taking place in the second half of the schedule versus teams like Philadelphia that have a win percentage of 25-40%. Phoenix has lost these games by an average score of 103.1 to 91.6. Take the points.

7* NBA Situational Slam Dunk on Warriors -5
The Key: This is a tough situation for the Trail Blazers, who are playing their second game in as many days, their third game in four days and their seventh game in 10 days. Golden State, on the other hand, is playing just its second game in six days. The Warriors will be the fresher side, and they should also be more motivated. Golden State has lost its last two games, both at home, while giving up over 100 points in each. The poor defensive efforts prompted head coach Mark Jackson to call out his team. "We've done a bad job

6* NCAAB Situational Slam Dunk on Temple +6.5
The Key: This isn't the best situation for Cincinnati, which has had just two days to prepare for this game. Plus, it defeated Temple 69-58 Jan. 14 and has a big showdown at Louisville on deck, so there's a good chance the Bearcats will be lacking focus. Cincy check in off a 69-51 win over UCF, but it is 0-6 ATS off a win of 10 points or more over a conference foe over the last two seasons, losing these contests by an average score of 61.0 to 60.7. The Bearcats are also 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games. They are 1-8 ATS under coach Mick Cronin in games that occur 15 games or more into the schedule versus teams carry a win percentage of 20-40%. They have won these games on average, but only by 0.1 points. Temple will be motivated by its recent loss to Cincy and further fueled by the beating it took versus Louisville last game. The Owls have had four days since their last contest so they should be fresher and more prepared in addition to being more motivated. The Owls are 9-2 ATS after a loss of 15 points or more under coach Dunphy, winning these games by an average score of 70.5 to 62.7. Temple is 33-18 ATS in all revenge spots under Dunphy, including 24-11 ATS when out for revenge for a road loss. The Owls are 11-1 ATS under their current head man at home in games occurring 15 games or more into the schedule versus teams that are outscoring their opponents by an average of 8.0 ppg or more. Take the points.

6* NCAAB Under the Radar *CA$H COW* on Saint Peter's +6
The Key: Expect a letdown from Iona following Friday's big 95-73 win over Quinnipiac that has the Gaels sitting tied atop the conference standings. Iona is a poor 2-10 ATS the last three seasons following a win of 20 points or more, winning these contests by just 0.3 points on average. St. Peter's is just 7-11 on the season, but it has played a road-heavy schedule. 12 of these games have been played on road/neutral venues. Returning home should do the Peacocks some good as they are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games following three or more consecutive road games. The Gaels are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games. Saint Peter's has lost by more than six points in just one of its six home games this season, and it beat Iona on this floor last season. Take the points.

6* NCAAB Saturday Night Bailout (ESPNU) on Utah State +3.5
The Key: I'll take the points with a Utah State team that has an excellent opportunity to pull the upset tonight. The Aggies check in off back-to-back losses on the road. However, they are 12-4 ATS under coach Steve Morrill following two or more consecutive road losses. They have won by an average score of 75.7 to 61.4 in this spot. Utah State is 11-2 ATS in home games off two or more consecutive road losses since 1997, winning these contests by an average score of 79.0 to 61.1. The Aggies have also been a tremendous investment at home where they are 8-1 ATS in lined games this season. Utah State is much more efficient than San Diego State on the offensive end. The Aggies are also very good defensively at home, and I look for them to really frustrate the Aztecs tonight. Take the points.

6* NBA Situational Slam Dunk on Nuggets +2.5
The Key: Indiana bounced back from a blowout defeat to Phoenix with a win in Sacramento last night, but it wasn't easy. They needed overtime to get it done and had to expend a lot of energy to erase a big deficit. All five starters logged over 36 minutes. Now, the Pacers have to play on the road again tonight in Denver's high altitude against a Nuggets team that has had a day of rest. I see fatigue being a major issue for the Pacers, who are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games when playing without a day of rest and 0-5 ATS in their last five games when their starting five players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. It is the second half of the season in terms of games played for both of these teams, and this is when fatigue has really set it for teams playing the run-and-gun Nuggets. Consider that Denver is 9-0 ATS in the second half of the season the last two seasons versus good teams that outscore opponents by an average 3.0 ppg or more. Denver has won these nine by an average score of 106.9 to 98.1. Take the points.

7* ACC Game of the Year on Maryland +4
The Key: Pitt came storming back and blasted Clemson at home after losing a tough one to Syracuse. Now it heads out on the road to face a team it defeated by 20 points earlier this month, and I believe motivation will be a huge issue, especially with a big showdown against Duke just two days from now. Maryland will have no problem getting up for this game following a poor showing against NC State and with revenge in mind. You want to fade favorites off a blowout win of 20 points or more over a conference foe if they carry a win percentage of 80% or higher and are up against a team with a 51-60% win rate. Doing so has produced a 37-13 ATS mark the last five seasons. Maryland is 16-6 ATS off a loss against a conference foe over the last three seasons. It is also on a 14-4 ATS run in home games off an upset loss. The Terrapins are 39-17-1 ATS in their last 57 games following a loss, period, so they have been extremely impressive in bounce back spot. In addition, they are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games. Maryland is also on an 18-7 ATS run at home in games occurring 15 games or more into the schedule versus top-caliber opponents that are outscoring the opposition by an average of 12.0 ppg or more. The Terps have won these contests by an average score of 82.1 to 77.6. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Wizards +4
The Key: Expect a letdown from Phoenix following Wednesday's huge win over Indiana. Washington will be ready to bounce back strong following Wednesday's tough-to-swallow overtime loss to Boston. The Wizards have been terrific lately on the road where they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10, and they have been especially nasty in this specific spot, going 9-0 ATS this season in road games after playing a home game. They have won these nine contests by an average score of 100.2 to 96.0. It's also worth noting that fading Friday night home favorites off a win has resulted in a 254-170 (60%) ATS mark the last five seasons. Take the points.

7* NBA Situational Slam Dunk on Grizzlies +6
The Key: This is a good situation for Memphis as it has had three days to rest up and prepare for this game. Houston has had only one day. Not only will the Grizzlies be the fresher team, but they'll be the more motivated side. Memphis is 0-10 in divisional games this season, including 0-2 against Houston, so it will be looking to remove the goose egg while getting some cold hard revenge. The Grizzlies check in off a loss that ended a five-game win streak, but they are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following defeat. They are also 4-0 ATS in their last four games versus teams carrying a win percentage above .600. Memphis has been favored in its last six games and is now catching six points, and I think that's too big of a shift considering how well the Grizzlies are playing, how much preparation time they've had and their level of motivation. Memphis is 10-0 ATS in road games after playing five consecutive games as favorite over the last two seasons, winning by an average score of 95.3 to 87.6 in this spot. Take the points.

6* Pac-12 Powerhouse on Arizona State -4.5
The Key: Off back-to-back blowout losses to UCLA and Arizona, Arizona State will be lacking no motivation this evening. The Sun Devils are 9-1 ATS under coach Sendek following 2 consecutive losses of 10 points or more to conference foes. ASU is also 6-0 ATS under their current head coach after allowing 75 points or more in 2 straight games. Utah is 0-3 on the road this season, but it has been competitive in those games, losing each by 3 points or less. It also played the Sun Devils to a 1-point game in this building last season. Yet, it is catching 4.5 points? The books clearly want the money on Utah following its big win over UCLA knowing that ASU is ready to explode. The home team is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings with an average winning margin of 10.7 points. Lay the number.

7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Ball State +7
The Key: Odds makers have made a mistake with this line. Consider that Buffalo is 1-5 in games played away from home this season with the lone win coming by only 3 points. This creates a 6-0 trend in our favor given the line. In addition, Ball State is 4-1 in its last 5 home games against Buffalo with the lone loss coming by just 3 points. This creates a 5-0 trend in our favor given the line. Ball State finished last season by winning 7 of its last 8, including 5 in a row, and had hopes of making a run in the MAC Tournament. Buffalo won that game, and the Cardinals haven't forgotten. It's been a rough season thus far for Ball State, but it will get up for this contest. Backing any team that has failed to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games when they are up against a team that has successfully covered the spread in 4 or more consecutive games has produced a 118-66 (64.1%) ATS mark the last 5 seasons. Take the points.

6* NCAAB Oddsmaker Trap on Elon -3
The Key: Elon has a worse record than Chattanooga, it is coming off a loss while Chattanooga has won 8 in a row, it is on the road and it lost by 4 points in this building in the most recent matchup. Yet, the Phoenix are laying points? Odds makers clearly want the more coming in on the home dog, but we won't oblige them. Elon is the better team and is more battled tested having played the likes of Colorado, Georgetown, Duke and UMass. Chattanooga has benefited from a soft schedule with UCLA being the only really good teams it's played. Elon was favored by 5.5 points in this building last season after winning the home meeting by 24 points, but it was upset as it was caught looking ahead to a showdown with Davidson. All five starters return from last year's team, and they won't get caught looking ahead this time around. Lay the points.

6* Pac-12 Bailout (ESPNU) on USC +7.5
The Key: Cal is being overvalued on the road because of its 6-0 SU and ATS run and because it is up against a USC team that is on a 0-5 SU and ATS skid. Cal has won by more than 7.5 points just one time in its last seven games played away from home. Plus, teams like USC that have failed to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games are 116-66 ATS the last 5 seasons when they are matched up with a team that has covered the number in 4 or more consecutive games. The Golden Bears are just 3-8-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Take the points.

6* NCAAB Situational Slam Dunk on Washington State +2.5
The Key: This is a tough situation for Oregon State. I look for the Beavers to suffer a letdown as they hit the road, where they are 0-4 in their last four, following a big win over rival Oregon. After all, they are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win. In addition, they have had one day fewer to prepare for this contest than Washington State. I have no doubt the Cougars will be the more motivated side following back-to-back blowout losses on the road. They also lost by a single point to Oregon State on this floor last season so they will be out for revenge. The Cougars are 6-0 ATS in home games the last 3 seasons after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. They have won by an average score of 73.1 to 60.4 in this spot. Washington State isn't a good free throw shooting team, but it shot well from the line last game and that's a positive sign. The Cougars are 7-0 ATS after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better over the last 2 seasons. Oregon State shoots the ball well from 3-point range (41.1%), but Washington State defends the 3 well, especially at home where it is holding opponents to 4 3-point makes on 30.9% shooting. Consider that teams headed up by coach Ken Bone are 7-0 ATS versus teams that make 41% or more of their 3-points attempts. His teams have won these games by an average score of 76.2 to 64.4. Take the points.

6* SEC Annihilator on Vanderbilt -1
The Key: Vandy will be the more motivated team tonight as it looks to bounce back from Saturday's ugly 81-58 loss at LSU. The Commodores will be further motivated by losses to Ole Miss in both of last season's meetings. Despite getting blasted last game and losing by 10 points on this floor to Ole Miss last season, Vandy has been installed as the favorite. That's significant because the favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. It is also worth noting that the Commodores have been tremendous in bounce-back spots, going 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU loss and 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games following an ATS loss. The Rebels check in off a 1-point victory at S. Carolina but are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win. Take Vandy.

7* NBA Situational Slam Dunk of the Week on Spurs -5.5
The Key: This is a very tough situation for the Thunder, who are playing their second game in as many nights and their and fifth game in seven days. The Spurs have had two days off prior to this contest, and they are 19-8 ATS the last three seasons when playing on 2 days' rest. They have won by an average of 10.7 points in this situation. San Antonio has lost the season's first two meetings with Oklahoma City so it will be highly motivated tonight. The home team is 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Lay the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Jazz +3.5
The Key: The Jazz had won five straight over the Timberwolves before getting smacked 98-72 in Minnesota Saturday. At home and motivated by that defeat, I expect the Jazz to have their revenge. The Jazz are 7-0 in their last seven home games against the T-Wolves, winning them by an average of 12.9 points. The Jazz have won or lost by fewer than three points in nine straight home meetings in the series, creating a 9-0 trend in our favor. Minnesota is a poor 0-4 ATS in its last four games following an ATS win, 9-25-1 ATS in its last 35 games following a SU win and 17-37-3 ATS in its last 57 games following a win of more than 10 points. The Jazz are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games following a SU loss and 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a loss of more than 10 points. The Jazz are also 5-1 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss and 3-1-1 ATS in their last five home games. Take the points.

6* NCAAB Situational Slam Dunk on Florida Atlantic +10.5
The Key: I usually look to take advantage of situations where teams are fatigued, but there's such a thing as getting too much rest as well. Harvard hasn't played since Jan. 11, and I expect the Crimson to be rusty as a result. The numbers support this expectation as Harvard is 1-10 ATS under coach Amaker when playing with 7 days of rest or more, losing by an average score of 72.6 to 67.8 in these contests. FAU is off a loss to Old Dominion, but it is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games following an ATS loss. Take the points.

6* NBA Situational Slam Dunk on Hawks +5.5
The Key: This is a tough situation for Miami, which is playing its third road games in four days and was pushed to overtime its last time out. This will be just the third game in 10 days for Atlanta so it will be the far fresher side. The Hawks should also be the more motivated team as they look to bounce back from back-to-back losses and avenge losses to the Heat in the season's first two meetings. Home underdogs that have failed to cover the spread in two of their last three games and are playing three games or less in 10 days are 63-30 ATS since 1996. Miami is 3-13 ATS off 2 or more consecutive road wins over the last 2 seasons while Atlanta is 10-0 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons, winning by an average of 10.4 points in this situation.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on DePaul +6
The Key: I'm not ready to trust Xavier laying this many points on the road considering it has only one win of more than six points away from home this season in six games. It has played just two true road games this season, going 1-1 with the victory coming by only three points. DePaul was embarrassed at Villanova Saturday so it will be looking to bounce back strong at home where it is 7-3 on the season. You want to fade road teams like Xavier that are holding opponents to 40.0-42.5 percent shooting on the season if they are up against a team like DePaul that is allowing 45.0-47.5 percent shooting on the season and have shot 47.0% or better from the field in four straight games. Doing so has produced a 40-12 ATS mark since 1997 that tightens up to 13-1 ATS the last five season and 7-0 ATS the last three seasons. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Kings +8
The Key: Off back-to-back win wins over the Rockets and Warriors where the Thunder had to expend a lot of energy, and with big games against Portland and San Antonio on deck, they will come out flat here. Sacramento is quietly playing very well, especially against good teams. The Kings are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 with outright wins over the Heat, Rockets and Trail Blazers during this stretch. They played the Thunder to a two-point game at home Dec. 3 so they will enter this contest believing they can win. The Kings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Sunday games, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 versus Western Conference foes, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games versus a team with a winning record. The Thunder are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following an ATS win. The road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Kings are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings overall and 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Oklahoma City. Take the points.

7* NFL Playoffs Game of the Year on 49ers +3.5
The Key: This is not the same San Francisco 49ers that were crushed 29-3 in Seattle clear back in Week 2. These 49ers are beaming with confidence, having won eight in a row, a streak that includes a win over Seattle. The 49ers are 8-0-1 ATS in their last nine games played away from home with back-to-back wins at Green Bay and Carolina so I have no doubt they can win in Seattle. The Niners are also 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games versus teams that have a winning home record. The 49ers and Colin Kaepernick are playing their best football of the season while Seattle is not. The Seahawks were actually pretty fortunate to come out on top against New Orleans last week considering they were outgained 409-277. Russell Wilson is struggling, which is a bad sign considering San Francisco has the run defense to make Wilson try to win this game with his arm. I don't see it happening. In two of Seattle's last three games against the Cardinals and Saints, Wilson threw for just 108 yards and 103 yards, respectively, while completing only 40.7% and 50% of his passes. Kaepernick has been outstanding of late, throwing 12 TDs and just 2 INTs during the 49ers' win streak. He's thrown for at least 175 yards in all eight wins while also hurting teams with his legs. A big part of this success can be attributed to the return of Michael Crabtree. The 49ers are 7-0 this season with him in the lineup. The 49ers are 10-1 ATS under coach Harbaugh versus teams that carry a win percentage greater than .750, defeating these teams by an average score of 29.0 to 17.5. Take the points.

6* AFC Championship *CA$H COW* on Broncos -4
The Key: Tom Brady and Bill Belichick have had Peyton Manning's number. However, they have also had the better team in the majority of the matchups. That's not the case this time around. The Broncos clearly looked to be the better team in the regular-season matchup while playing on the road despite blowing a 24-0 lead and losing in OT. I expect the Broncos to jump out fast again, and this time they'll hold on. Manning is having a special season, and he knows this may be his last chance to win another Super Bowl so I expect a very strong game from him. With Manning at the controls, the Broncos are on a 12-4 ATS run versus teams like New England that give up 235.0 passing yards per game or more. They have defeated these teams by an average score of 33.8 to 20.9. The Broncos are also 15-5 ATS under coach Fox as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. In addition, you want to back favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers if they are up against an opponent that forced 4 or more turnovers last game. Doing so has produced a 4-0 ATS mark the last three seasons, a 10-2 ATS mark the last five seasons and a 24-5 ATS mark the last 10 seasons. The Patriots are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 playoff games and 0-4 ATS in their last four Conference Championship games. Lay the points.

6* NCAAB Situational Slam Dunk on Monmouth +3.5
The Key: Off a big upset win Friday at Iona, Canisius will have a tough time getting up for a Monmouth squad it defeated by 20 a week ago. In addition, this is the second road game in three days for the Golden Griffins, and they have struggled on the road where they are 3-5 this season. Monmouth hasn't played since Thursday so it has had an extra day of preparation time. The thing to note about the first meeting is Canisius was 14 of 30 from three-point range while Monmouth was 4 of 17. That's a 30-point disparity. The Golden Griffins average just seven three-point makes per game on the road. Plus, Monmouth will place a bigger emphasis on defending the perimeter shot this time around. Monmouth averages seven three-point makes per game at home so I expect it to shoot the ball much better this afternoon. Given the situational elements and the change of venue, the three-point disparity should shrink considerably, giving Monmouth an excellent opportunity to cover this number. The Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss and 9-1 ATS after having lost two of their last three games since 1997. Teams headed up by Jim Baron are 17-32 ATS off a road win against a conference rival since 1997. Take the points.

6* Big Ten Powerhouse on Illinois +5
The Key: Illinois has lost 3 in a row. It let a blowout loss at Wisconsin turn into a bad loss at Northwestern and a bad loss at Northwestern turn into a bad loss at Purdue. Despite this disappointing stretch, the Fighting Illini will have no trouble getting up for the 4th-ranked Spartans. While Illinois is one of those teams that seem to underachieve most years given the talent it has, the point is it has talent, the kind of talent that has given Michigan State big problems in recently. Illinois is 3-0 in its last 3 home games against the Spartans, and it hasn't lost by more than 5 points in any of the past 5 meetings. Because Illinois has played Michigan State so tough, the Spartans are 0-5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Look for this trend to continue tonight as the Fighting Illini fight hard to give Sparty a game.

7* Big 12 Game of the Week on TCU +3
The Key: Texas Tech shot out of its mind (57.1%) and upset Baylor last time out, but don't expect an encore performance. The Red Raiders are 0-6 ATS after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better over the last 3 seasons, losing these games by 9.0 points on average. TCU has taken it on the chin in 3 straight games, but it will have no trouble getting up for this one as it is likely its most winnable game the rest of the way. While offense has let the Horned Frogs down at times this season, the defense has been there for the most part, especially at home where they are holding opponents to 40.5% shooting. They are holding foes to 41.4% shooting in all contests, which is very significant because Texas Tech is only 3-11 ATS in road games the last 2 seasons versus good defensive teams that hold opponents to 42% shooting or less. The Red Raiders have lost by an average score of 75.3 to 58.1 in these contests. The Red Raiders are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games following an ATS win and 5-17 ATS in their last 22 road games. Take the points as TCU gets the job done behind a strong defensive effort.

6* SEC Late Afternoon Annihilator on Auburn +8.5
The Key: You want to fade favorites like Florida that check in off a win of 20 points or more over a conference foe, provided they have a win percentage of 80% or higher and are playing a team with a 51-60% win rate. Doing so has produced a 36-13 ATS mark the last 5 seasons. In addition, Florida is just 1-9 ATS the last 2 seasons when it checks into a contest with 2 covers in its last 3 games. Also, the Gators are a soft 7-16 ATS as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points under coach Donovan. Auburn was brutally embarrassed at home by Florida last season to the tune of 83-52. It was a 17.5-point dog in that contest and now it is getting just 8.5 points. The books clearly expect the Tigers to give Florida a game this time around, and I completely agree. Take the points.

6* WCC *CA$H COW* on Loyola Marymount +9.5
The Key: Loyola has lost 5 in a row, with the last 2 defeats coming by double digits, and it has lost 4 straight to Gonzaga by double digits, yet it is catching less than 10 points? The books clearly want the money on the Bulldogs, but we won't oblige them. The Lions are a perfect 6-0 ATS as a home underdog of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons. They are also 11-2 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%) over the last 3 seasons and 12-2 ATS the last 3 seasons versus teams like Gonzaga that are outscoring opponents by an average of 12.0 points per game or more. The Lions know they must bring their "A" game to have a chance. I expect them to do so in this highly motivated spot, getting us the cover in the process.

6* SEC Early Annihilator on Georgia +2.5
The Key: It's going to be mighty tough for Arkansas to get up for this game following a big overtime win against Kentucky. In addition, the Razorbacks haven't been even close to the same team on the road. Arkansas is 6-15 ATS in road games over the last 3 seasons, 8-19 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pickem since 1997 and 13-37 ATS in road games when the line is +3 to -3 since 1997. The Razorbacks are also 5-15 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons, 1-9 ATS in road games off a home win while scoring 85 or more points over the last 3 seasons, 1-9 ATS in road games after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons and 4-15 ATS in road games off a home win over the last 3 seasons. Georgia checks in off a 22-point loss at Florida, but it is 12-3 off a road loss by 10 points or more under coach Fox and 19-6 ATS off a road loss to a conference opponent under Fox. Georgia slower pace of play has given Arkansas fits. The Bulldogs have won 3 of the past 4 meetings with the lone loss coming by just 2 points. Georgia won 81-59 the last time it hosted Arkansas. The Razorbacks are 4-14 ATS in road games versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots per game since 1997. Take the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Spurs -6
The Key: The Spurs have lost three straight to Portland, including a 136-106 beat down the last time they hosted the Trail Blazers, and they will be extremely motivated as a result. Portland hasn't been the juggernaut that it was early in the season and is just 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games, including 1-5 ATS in its last 6 road games, as a result. The Trail Blazers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a win, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a win of more than 10 points and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games versus a team with a winning record. Portland is 6-17 ATS in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. The Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a winning record. They are also 44-25 ATS in home games after 6 or more consecutive wins under coach Popovich. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Lay the points.

6* NCAAB Bailout on Loyola Marymount -3
The Key: Look for a letdown from Portland as it plays a true road game for the first time since Dec. 7 after a huge upset win over Gonzaga. Loyola has dropped four in a row but all four were on the road. Now the Lions are back home where they are 5-0 this season. The Pilots are 8-19-1 ATS in their last 28 games following a win and 16-35 ATS in their last 51 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600. The Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games versus a team with a losing road record. Portland has been a terrible underdog investment. In fact, it is 49-76 ATS as an underdog under coach Reveno. Lay the points.

7* NCAAB Blowout Game of the Week on Denver -7.5
The Key: Denver has been an outstanding investment at home over the years as teams haven't been able to deal with playing at the mile-high altitude. In fact, the Pioneers are 69-45 ATS as a home favorite or pickem since 1997 and 67-44 ATS in home games against conference opponents since 1997. Denver checks in off an upset loss at South Dakota, which is significant because it is 14-4 ATS in home games following a road loss to a conference foe under coach Joe Scott. It is also 10-1 ATS under Scott in home games after playing a game as a road favorite, including 6-0 ATS in this spot the last 3 seasons. It has won these six games by an average of 20.7 points. The Pioneers got no favors from the refs in their last two road games, which actually bodes well for us here as they are 6-0 ATS in home games the last 3 seasons after 2 straight games where their opponents were called for 15 or less fouls. They have won these contests by an average score of 71.1 to 55.4. IUPU Ft. Wayne relies on shooting a high percentage from 3-point range. It averages 8 3-point makes per game on 40.4% shooting. It takes fresh legs to knock down perimeter shots and teams experience more fatigue when playing in Denver. Plus, the Pioneers have done an excellent job defending the three this season, holding opponents to an average of just 4 makes per game. Denver is an awesome 9-0 ATS under coach Scott in home games versus teams who make an average of 8 or more 3 point shots per game. It has defeated these foes by an average score of 74.9 to 60.3. Lay the points.

6* Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Texas Tech +4
The Key: Baylor checks in off a 26-point beatdown of TCU, but it is 1-11 ATS under coach Drew after a cover as a double digit favorite and has lost by an average score of 73.6 to 73.2 in this spot. So clearly Baylor has not been immune to letdowns following blowout victories. Baylor absolutely destroyed Texas Tech in last season's meetings so it will be much more concerned about upcoming games against Oklahoma and Kansas. This is a game Texas Tech had circled entering the season, and the Red Raiders are playing with a ton of confidence under Tubby Smith. They are 0-3 in Big 12 play but have been in all 3 games. Take the points.

6* NBA Letdown Game of the Week on Bucks +5.5
The Key: Look for the Grizzlies to come out flat tonight following last night's big win over Oklahoma City. This is also Memphis' first road game since Jan. 5 so a change in venue should contribute to a flat performance. Memphis is a soft 54-78 ATS in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days. Milwaukee is on a 64-40 ATS run after 4 or more consecutive losses. It has also won or lost by fewer than 5.5 points in six of its last eight home games against the Grizzlies. The underdog is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Milwaukee catches Memphis at the right time and keeps this one close. Take the points.

6* NBA Line Mistake on Celtics +4.5
The Key: Toronto has covered the spread in 10 straight and is being overvalued as a result. The Celtics have lost nine in a row and will go after this game with all they've got to try to get off the snide. Boston will be lacking no confidence given the success it's had at home against Toronto. It is 10-0 at home against the Raptors since the start of the 2008-09 season, winning these games by 16.3 points on average. Take the points as Boston gives the Raptors a game tonight.

7* NBA Situational Slam Dunk of the Week on 76ers +1
The Key: This is a bad situation for the Bobcats. It is a letdown spot for them following a big win over the Knicks. It is also a fatigued spot as they are playing their second game in as many nights and their fourth game in six days. The Bobcats are 17-37 ATS the last three seasons in the second game of a back-to-back. This is a good spot for the 76ers, who have had three days to gear up for this game. The 76ers should also be the more motivated team having lost the season's first meeting. Philly is the more explosive offensive team, averaging 9.1 points per game more than Charlotte. Odds makers have set a total of 207.0 and that number favors Philly. Consider that the Bobcats are just 1-10 ATS in road games when the total is greater than or equal to 200 over the last 2 seasons. They have lost these games by an average score of 114.3 to 90.8. The 76ers are 5-0 in their last five home games against Charlotte, winning them by an average of 11.6 points. Take the 76ers.

6* ACC *CA$H COW* on Virginia Tech +2.5
The Key: Clemson upset Duke last game, but it is 0-7 ATS off an upset win of 10 points or more at home since 1997. It hasn't just lost in this situation, it has lost by an average score of 78.3 to 59.1. The home team has had the decisive edge recently, winning each of the last 6 matchups by an average of 6.5 points. The Tigers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings, and the underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take VA Tech.

6* MVC *CA$H COW* on Southern Illinois +6.5
The Key: Northern Iowa isn't the same team outside Cedar Falls. The Panthers are just 3-7 in games played away from home this season. They are just 13-23 ATS as a road favorite or pickem under coach Jacobson. They are also 0-6 ATS in road games the last two seasons when checking in with three wins in their last four games. They have lost by an average score of 68.0 to 58.3 in this situation. The home team has had the edge in this series, going 6-1 in the last seven meetings with the lone loss coming by only four points. Take the Salukis.

7* NBA Situational Slam Dunk on Bobcats -109
The Key: This is a bad situation for the Knicks, who are playing their third game in four days and were pushed to overtime last night. Charlotte will be the fresher side as it has had the last two days off. This is also a look-ahead situation for New York, which has a big game at Indiana Thursday. The Bobcats have lost three in a row so they will be extremely focused on the task at hand. They were also defeated on this court the last time they faced the Knicks so they will be out for revenge. The Bobcats are an impressive 12-2 ATS in their last 14 Atlantic division foes and 4-1 ATS in their last five versus the Knicks. Take Charlotte.

7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on George Washington +2.5
The Key: This experienced George Washington team has been taking excellent care of the basketball and that gives it an excellent opportunity to take care of business tonight. VCU relies on forcing turnovers to create points. That's why it is 0-6 ATS the last two seasons in games played 15 games or more into the schedule versus teams like GW that average 12 turnovers or less per game. The Rams have lost these games by an average score of 74.7 to 65.0. It is also worth noting that GW is on a 10-1 ATS run in home games versus high-pressure defensive teams like VCU that force an average of 18 turnovers per game or more. The Colonials have won by an average score of 84.8 to 76.7 in these contests. In addition, GW is a perfect 8-0 ATS in January home games under coach Lonergan. VCU is just 1-8 ATS the last two seasons as a road favorite or pickem. Take the points.