All Sports Archive |
Date |
Match Up |
Rating |
Score |
Result |
Profit |
Lead Time |
Analysis |
08-26-11 |
Green Bay Packers v. Indianapolis Colts +9 |
Top |
24-21 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 27 m |
Show
|
7* NFLX *HEAVY HITTER* on Colts +9 The Key: Preseason teams listed as an underdog or pick (Indy in this case) that are coming off a home loss by 10 points or more and have a losing record are 44-21 ATS since 1993. If the team is winless in the preseason, this system tightens up to 20-6 ATS the last 10 seasons. We'll ride this powerful super situation to another cover tonight. Take the points.
|
08-25-11 |
Arizona Diamondbacks v. Washington Nationals -133 |
|
8-1 |
Loss |
-133 |
7 h 57 m |
Show
|
6* MLB CA$H COW on Nationals -133 The Key: The Nationals are 14-3 in their last 17 home games vs. a left-handed starter, and I like their chances of building on this trend tonight. Wade Miley was shelled in his debut, and I expect another rough one out of him this evening. The Nats are in much better hands with Lannan. They're 7-3 in his last 10 home starts, 5-1 in his last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record and 8-3 in his last 11 starts when he gets the ball following a team loss in the previous game. The Diamondbacks are 1-6 in their last 7 games as a road underdog. Take Washington.
|
08-25-11 |
Carolina Panthers v. Cincinnati Bengals -2.5 |
Top |
13-24 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 53 m |
Show
|
7* NFLX *HEAVY HITTER* on Bengals -2.5 The Key: The Bengals haven't started 0-3 in the preseason since 2007, and I expect them to show up tonight in their first home game. Odds makers are tipping their hand here, favoring Cincy after it has looked awful in its first 2 preseason games. The public money is coming in on Carolina and that's where the books want it. People can't forget that Carolina was the worst team in the NFL last season, and I expect it to look like it tonight as Cam Newton gets the majority of the snaps against a very good Cincy secondary. He is yet to lead the offense to a touchdown. Andy Dalton has had struggles of his own but should be a lot more comfortable playing on his home turf tonight. We'll lay the points.
|
08-24-11 |
Baltimore Orioles v. Minnesota Twins -125 |
Top |
6-1 |
Loss |
-125 |
8 h 43 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on Twins -125 The Key: The Twins are 26-10 in Slowey's last 36 home starts while the Orioles are 8-22 in Guthrie's last 30 road starts. The Twins are an insane 82-38 in their last 120 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150, 4-1 in their last 5 games after losing the first 2 games of a series and 7-3 in their last 10 in the 3rd game of a series. The Orioles are 2-8 in their last 10 in game 3 of a series and 3-13 in their last 16 games following a win. Pound the Twins.
|
08-23-11 |
San Diego Padres v. San Francisco Giants -133 |
Top |
7-5 |
Loss |
-133 |
10 h 15 m |
Show
|
7* NL West Game of the Year on Giants -133 The Key: Arizona's current losing streak has enabled the Giants to stay in the NL West race. They are only a game back. Arizona plays earlier and the Giants will be motivated whether the D-backs win or not. Back at home following a length road trip, I expect the reigning World Series champs to take advantage of the opportunity. I have no problem fading San Diego's Latos here as the Padres have lost his last 5 starts against the Giants. The Padres are 2-7 in Latos' last 9 starts and 1-7 in his last 8 series-opening starts. The Giants are 38-17 in Cain's last 55 home starts, 10-2 in his last 12 starts on 5 days' rest and 15-4 in his last 19 starts vs. the National League West. The Giants have won 5 of the last 6 meetings in the series. Take San Fran.
|
08-22-11 |
Los Angeles Dodgers v. St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 |
|
2-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 46 m |
Show
|
6* Monday Night MLB Blowout on Cardinals -1.5 +132 The Key: Plays against road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) - are 52-4 since 1997 with an average losing margin of 2.7 runs. This system is a perfect 13-0 the last 3 seasons. Also, the Cards have won each of Carpenter's 5 home starts against the Dodgers with all of those wins coming by at least 2 runs. Take St. Louis on the run line.
|
08-22-11 |
Chicago Bears v. New York Giants -4.5 |
Top |
13-41 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 22 m |
Show
|
7* NFLX Game of the Week on NY Giants -4.5 The Key: Chicago's offensive line was a major issue when it went up against the Giants in the 2010 regular season. It was also a major issue last week when it allowed nine sacks against Buffalo. Expect New York's top-notch pass rush to be the difference in this one. Also, keep in mind that Chicago is just 3-12 ATS off a home win in the preseason since 1993. Lay the points.
|
08-21-11 |
St.Louis Cardinals -135 v. Chicago Cubs |
Top |
6-2 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 51 m |
Show
|
7* Sunday Night Baseball *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Cardinals -135 The Key: The Cubs are a poor 5-13 off 2 straight home wins against division rivals over the last 3 seasons. Plus, the Cards are a perfect 4-0 in their last 4 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. Take St. Louis.
|
08-21-11 |
Cincinnati Bengals +6.5 v. New York Jets |
|
7-27 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 46 m |
Show
|
6* NFLX CA$H COW on Bengals +6.5 The Key: The Bengals are being undervalued here because they were blown out in Week 1. They'll put a much larger emphasis on winning this game tonight with the starters expected to play the first half. Plus, I really like what Bruce Gradkowski and Jordan Palmer bring to the table. They'll quarterback the 3rd and 4th quarters, giving Cincy an edge in the second half over Greg McElroy, who's expected to get the majority of the snaps again for New York.
|
08-20-11 |
New Orleans Saints v. Houston Texans +2 |
|
14-27 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 9 m |
Show
|
6* NFLX CA$H COW on Texans +2 The Key: The Saints were 0-2 on the road in the preseason last year, and their preseason road woes will continue tonight as injuries force them to play their reserves the large majority of the game. Expect Matt Leinart, who should again see the bulk of the action under center, to torch the Saints' second-team defense in this one.
|
08-20-11 |
San Francisco Giants -164 v. Houston Astros |
Top |
5-7 |
Loss |
-164 |
9 h 15 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -164 The Key: The Astros are 1-12 in Lyles' last 13 starts, 0-7 in his last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record and 0-7 in his last 7 starts as an underdog of +151 to +200. The Giants are 6-0 in Bumgarner's last 6 starts as a favorite and 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200. Take San Fran.
|
08-19-11 |
Arizona Cardinals +5.5 v. Green Bay Packers |
|
20-28 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 10 m |
Show
|
6* NFLX CA$H COW on Arizona Cardinals +5.5 The Key: I expect Kevin Kolb to improve on his solid debut with the Cardinals now that he has a few more practices with the team under his belt and a better understanding of the offense. Plus, backups John Skelton and Max Hall, who got some nice experience last season, should do just fine against Green Bay's reserves. The Packers, who have nothing to prove in the preseason, are being overvalued here because they are the defending Super Bowl champs. We'll take the points as Arizona takes the Pack down to the wire.
|
08-19-11 |
Cleveland Indians v. Detroit Tigers -138 |
Top |
1-4 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 17 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -138 The Key: Detroit is 17-3 in its last 20 home games against Cleveland and 10-4 in Scherzer's last 14 home starts. The Tigers will be very motivated here after losing a series at Cleveland last week. Look for Detroit to continue its home dominance over the Tribe.
|
08-18-11 |
Texas Rangers v. Los Angeles Angels -138 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 58 m |
Show
|
7* AL West Game of the Year on Angels -138 The Key: Weaver has been money at home against AL West foes. In fact, the Angels are 12-0 in his home starts against division opponents the last 2 seasons. Also, the Angels are a perfect 8-0 in his last 8 home starts against the Rangers. We'll take the Halos.
|
08-18-11 |
Philadelphia Eagles v. Pittsburgh Steelers -3 |
|
14-24 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 53 m |
Show
|
6* NFLX National TV CA$H COW (FOX) on Steelers -3 +100 The Key: Coach Mike Tomlin doesn't like to lose any time so you can bet last week's 16-7 loss at Washington isn't sitting well. Tomlin is an impressive 13-5 in the preseason as Pittsburgh head man and hasn't lost more than 1 NFLX game in any of his seasons on the job. Andy Reid typically doesn't place near the emphasis on the preseason, as evidence by his 19-30 record. We'll lay the points with the Steelers at home tonight.
|
08-17-11 |
Los Angeles Dodgers v. Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 |
|
1-3 |
Win
|
115 |
8 h 38 m |
Show
|
6* Brewers -1.5 +115 The Key: The Brewers are 10-0 in Greinke's home starts this season, winning them by an average of 2.5 runs. Take Milwaukee on the run line.
|
08-17-11 |
St. Louis Cardinals -130 v. Pittsburgh Pirates |
Top |
7-2 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 34 m |
Show
|
7* Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on Cards -130 The Key: Pittsburgh is 0-6 in Maholm's last 6 starts and 16-35 in his last 51 starts. Opponents are hitting .354 off him since the All-Star break. Take St. Louis.
|
08-17-11 |
Arizona Diamondbacks v. Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 |
|
2-9 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 34 m |
Show
|
6* Phillies -1.5 -114 The Key: The Phillies have won 11 of Lee's last 15 starts and 10 of those wins have come by at least 2 runs. Lee hasn't allowed a run in his last 2 starts. Take the Phillies on the run line.
|
08-16-11 |
St. Louis Cardinals -138 v. Pittsburgh Pirates |
Top |
4-5 |
Loss |
-138 |
7 h 9 m |
Show
|
7* NL Central Game of the Month on Cardinals -138 The Key: The Cards are 15-2 in Carpenter's 17 career starts against the Bucs, and they have won his last 6 starts on the road in this series. We'll take the Cards tonight.
|
08-15-11 |
New York Jets v. Houston Texans -2.5 |
Top |
16-20 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 25 m |
Show
|
7* NFLX Game of the Week (ESPN) on Texans -2.5 The Key: The Texans have a huge edge at the all-important quarterback position tonight with veteran Matt Leinart expected to get the majority of the snaps. The Jets won't be able to keep up with 7th-round draft pick Greg McElroy and undrafted free agent Drew Willy seeing the bulk of the action. Kubiak is 3-2 in Week 1 preseason games with Houston while Ryan is 0-2 in Week 1 preseason games with New York. We'll lay the points with the home team.
|
08-15-11 |
San Francisco Giants +1.5 v. Atlanta Braves |
|
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 39 m |
Show
|
6* Monday Night Baseball CA$H COW (ESPN2) on Giants +1.5 -165 The Key: The reigning World Series champs aren't getting the respect they deserve at this price. The Giants are 7-2 in Bumgarner's last 9 starts, 5-1 in his last 6 road starts and 6-0 in his last 6 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150. We'll take San Francisco on the run line.
|
08-14-11 |
Colorado Rockies v. St. Louis Cardinals -152 |
Top |
2-6 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 44 m |
Show
|
7* Sunday Night Baseball *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Cardinals -152 The Key: Motivated by Saturday's loss and looking to keep pace in the NL Central race, expect the Cards to rise to the occasion at home this evening. The Rockies are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings with the Cards and 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in St. Louis. They are also on a poor 6-23 slide in the 3rd game of a series. The Cardinals are 15-6 in their last 21 games as a favorite of -151 to -200. Take the Redbirds.
|
08-13-11 |
Green Bay Packers v. Cleveland Browns -2.5 |
Top |
17-27 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 47 m |
Show
|
7* NFLX *HEAVY HITTER* on Browns -2.5 The Key: With new coach Pat Shurmur and the Browns looking to get the fans of Cleveland excited and also looking to build some confidence and momentum, they'll go after a win against the Super Bowl champs. Green Bay really only cares about evaluating some of its young talent. It's biggest goal during the preseason is to avoid injury to key players. Green Bay gave Aaron Rodgers quite a few snaps when these two teams met in last year's preseason and the Browns still won by 3 on the road. He won't get as many tonight, not after the 2 concussions he suffered last season. Green Bay can't afford to take any chances. Take Cleveland.
|
08-13-11 |
Kansas City Royals v. Chicago White Sox -143 |
|
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 27 m |
Show
|
6* MLB CA$H COW on White Sox -143 The Key: The Sox are in good position to make a run at the AL Central, but they need to take care of business at home to do so. After 7 straight home losses, I expect them to be extremely focused tonight. They are 48-21 in their last 69 home games against the Royals. Peavy appears to have turned a corner. He followed up a solid outing against the Yankees with a gem against Minnesota. The White Sox are 6-2 in his last 8 starts when he takes the ball on 5 days' rest and 8-3 in his last 11 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Take Chi Town.
|
08-12-11 |
Colorado Rockies v. St.Louis Cardinals -150 |
Top |
1-6 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 27 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Blowout Game of the Week on Cardinals -150 The Key: The Cards have won 6 of their last 7 against the Rockies. Those 6 wins have come by an average of 3.7 runs. The Rocks have lost 4 straight in St. Louis by an average of 3.5 runs. Colorado has lost 8 of Cook's last 10 starts. Those 8 losses have come by an average of 4.0 runs. Take St. Louis on the money line.
|
08-12-11 |
Miami Dolphins +2 v. Atlanta Falcons |
|
28-23 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 40 m |
Show
|
6* NFLX CA$H COW on Dolphins +2 The Key: Miami is an amazing 24-12-2 ATS in its last 38 preseason games in the underdog role. This trend tightens up to an unbelievable 16-2-2 ATS if the Phins are valued as a dog in the first two games of the preseason. The Fish clearly place an emphasis on the preseason. In fact, they are 9-3 in NFLX action the last 3 years. Take the points.
|
08-11-11 |
Arizona Cardinals v. Oakland Raiders -3 |
Top |
24-18 |
Loss |
-120 |
10 h 8 m |
Show
|
7* NFLX *HEAVY HITTER* on Raiders -3 The Key: Arizona is just 5-12 SU and 6-11 ATS in its last 17 NFL Preseason contests. We'll lay the points with Oakland on its home field.
|
08-11-11 |
Milwaukee Brewers v. St.Louis Cardinals -125 |
Top |
2-5 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 23 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Cardinals -125 The Key: The Redbirds have won 7 in a row with ace Chris Carpenter on the hill and valued as a favorite of -110 to -150. Take the Cards.
|
08-11-11 |
Chicago White Sox -119 v. Baltimore Orioles |
|
6-3 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 13 m |
Show
|
6* White Sox -119 The Key: The South Siders have won 7 of their last 8 on the road and 13 of their last 16 with Buehrle on the bump.
|
08-10-11 |
Boston Red Sox v. Minnesota Twins +1.5 |
|
2-5 |
Win
|
110 |
8 h 16 m |
Show
|
6* Twins +1.5 +110 The Key: The Twins are showing good value catching 1.5 runs at this price when you consider they are 19-6 in Blackburn's last 25 home starts vs. a team with a winning record and 9-3 in his last 12 starts as a home underdog.
|
08-10-11 |
Seattle Mariners v. Texas Rangers -1.5 |
|
4-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 12 m |
Show
|
6* Rangers -1.5 +100 The Key: The Mariners have lost Vargas' last 6 starts with 5 of those losses coming by 2 or more runs.
|
08-10-11 |
Colorado Rockies v. Cincinnati Reds -160 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 18 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on Reds -160 The Key: Fading Millwood in his season debut. An ERA above 4.30 in the minors is nothing to celebrate. He was lit up while pitching for Baltimore last year, going 4-16 with a 5.10 ERA. The Rocks have won the first two games of this series, but the Reds are 7-1 in their last 8 games following defeats in the first two games of a series. Pound the Reds in this bounce back spot.
|
08-10-11 |
San Diego Padres +125 v. New York Mets |
|
9-5 |
Win
|
125 |
7 h 17 m |
Show
|
6* Padres +125 The Key: Padres have the edge on the mound here. Harang is 5-0 on the road while Dickey is 1-7 at home this season.
|
08-10-11 |
Detroit Tigers +120 v. Cleveland Indians |
|
3-10 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 13 m |
Show
|
6* Tigers +120 The Key: The Tigers have the edge on the mound with Porcello. They are 6-0 in his last 6 starts.
|
08-10-11 |
Oakland A's v. Toronto Blue Jays -102 |
|
4-8 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 12 m |
Show
|
6* Blue Jays -102 The Key: Gio Gonzalez is struggling for the A's. He's 0-3 with an ERA of 8.82 in his last 3 starts. Plus, the A's have dropped 8 of his 10 home starts this season.
|
08-09-11 |
Los Angeles Angels v. New York Yankees -113 |
Top |
6-4 |
Loss |
-113 |
8 h 45 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Yankees -113 The Key: Following back-to-back losses to their biggest rival (Boston), expect the Yankees to be extremely motivated when they take the field tonight. The Angels are just 3-11 in their last 14 road games in this series. Plus, Burnett, who will be very focused following one of his worst outings of the season, is 3-0 in 3 career home starts against the Halos. Lastly, plays on home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (NY YANKEES) - hot hitting team batting .290 or better over its last 20 games against an opponent with a hot starting pitcher (ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts) are 31-5 the last 3 seasons and 6-1 this season. Take the Yanks at a great price.
|
08-08-11 |
Boston Red Sox v. Minnesota Twins +1.5 |
Top |
8-6 |
Loss |
-150 |
7 h 53 m |
Show
|
7* Monday Night Baseball *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Twins +1.5 -150 The Key: The Red Sox have lost their last 4 series openers, and they are just 7-15 in their last 22 meetings in Minnesota. The Twins have the big edge on the mound with Baker, who's 5-1 at home this season with an ERA of 1.78. The Twins are 35-17 in Baker's last 52 home starts and 20-7 in his last 27 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Take the Twins on the run line.
|
08-07-11 |
New York Yankees +1.5 v. Boston Red Sox |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 37 m |
Show
|
7* Sunday Night Baseball *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Yankees +1.5 -133 The Key: The Yankees are showing good value in the underdog role today, and we'll take them on the run line at a nice price. The Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 games following a loss and 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog. NY scheduled starter Freddy Garcia is 11-4 on the money line in his last 15 starts as a road underdog of +125 to +150. Take the Yanks on the run line.
|
08-06-11 |
Washington Nationals v. Colorado Rockies -166 |
Top |
7-15 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 32 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rockies -166 The Key: Hernandez is 0-6 on the money line in his last 6 starts against the Rockies, losing these starts by an average of 2.7 runs. Plus, the Rockies are 7-2 in their last 9 home games against the Nats.
|
08-05-11 |
Seattle Mariners v. Los Angeles Angels -1.5 |
|
0-1 |
Loss |
-115 |
9 h 46 m |
Show
|
6* Bailout on Angels -1.5 -115 The Key: Weaver has owned Seattle. The Angels have won 15 of his 21 career starts against the M's and 12 of those victories have come by at least 2 runs. Plus, Seattle is 0-5 in Vargas' last 5 starts, losing them by an average of 5.2 runs. Take LAA on the run line.
|
08-05-11 |
Los Angeles Dodgers v. Arizona Diamondbacks -132 |
Top |
7-4 |
Loss |
-132 |
8 h 20 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on D-backs -132 The Key: The Snakes have the decisive edge on the hill with Collmenter, who is carrying an ERA of 2.47 and a WHIP of 0.800 at home this season. Billingsley, meanwhile, has an ERA of 5.63 and a WHIP of 1.588 on the road. The Dodgers are 1-10 since the beginning of last season in road games after scoring 1 or less runs in a loss to a division rival. They are losing by an average of 2.4 runs/game in this situation. Take the Snakes.
|
08-05-11 |
New York Yankees +1.5 v. Boston Red Sox |
|
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 3 m |
Show
|
6* CA$H COW on Yankees +1.5 -140 The Key: A red hot Yankees club that has won 7 in a row is showing tremendous value catching 1.5 runs at this price with first place in the AL East on the line. Take the Yanks on the run line.
|
08-04-11 |
Chicago Cubs v. Pittsburgh Pirates -142 |
Top |
7-6 |
Loss |
-142 |
8 h 60 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Blowout Game of the Month on Pirates -142 The Key: The odds are in Pittsburgh's favor tonight. Hurdle's track record gives the Bucs an excellent chance to bounce back. Consider that his teams are an impressive 59-39 in home games following 3 straight losses to an opponent. His teams are exploding for an average 5.8 runs in this situation. Lopez's clubs have only won 10 of his last 36 starts, and he is even 0-14 on the money line in his last 14 road starts versus National League clubs with an on-base percentage of .325 or less. These clubs have touched him for an average of 6.4 runs and his club has only supported him with an average of 2.4 in this situation. Bet the Bucs.
|
08-03-11 |
Cincinnati Reds -131 v. Houston Astros |
|
4-5 |
Loss |
-131 |
7 h 17 m |
Show
|
6* Reds -131 The Key: The Astros, who have lost 26 of their last 36 against the Reds, are 0-10 in Lyles' last 10 starts. Take Cincy.
|
08-03-11 |
Chicago Cubs v. Pittsburgh Pirates -101 |
|
1-0 |
Loss |
-101 |
6 h 17 m |
Show
|
6* Pirates -101 The Key: The Pirates are 7-1 in Morton's last 8 starts against the National League Central this season. The Cubs are 9-23 in their last 32 road games and 1-5 in Garza's last 6 road starts. Take Pittsburgh.
|
08-02-11 |
Arizona Diamondbacks v. San Francisco Giants -148 |
|
6-1 |
Loss |
-148 |
10 h 59 m |
Show
|
5* Giants -148 The Key: Lincecum is 7-2 lifetime with an ERA of 2.42 against Arizona. The Giants have won his last 3 starts against the Snakes.
|
08-02-11 |
Baltimore Orioles v. Kansas City Royals -130 |
|
8-2 |
Loss |
-130 |
8 h 52 m |
Show
|
5* Royals -130 The Key: The Royals are 8-1 in Chen's last 9 home starts, and he is 3-0 on the money line in 3 career starts against Baltimore.
|
08-02-11 |
Cincinnati Reds -121 v. Houston Astros |
Top |
5-1 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 49 m |
Show
|
7* 2011 MLB Game of the Year on Reds -121 The Key: Love the Reds, who have won 25 of their last 35 against the Astros, in this bounce back spot with Bailey on the bump. He is 11-0 on the money line in the 2nd half of the season the last 2 seasons when matched up against clubs with a losing record. The Reds are winning these starts by an average score of 5.7 to 2.5. Take the Reds.
|
08-02-11 |
Toronto Blue Jays v. Tampa Bay Rays -145 |
|
3-1 |
Loss |
-145 |
7 h 43 m |
Show
|
5* Rays -145 The Key: Tampa Bay is 9-0 in Price's 9 career starts against the Blue Jays. He is carrying an ERA of 1.99 in those games.
|
08-02-11 |
Atlanta Braves -111 v. Washington Nationals |
|
3-9 |
Loss |
-111 |
7 h 49 m |
Show
|
6* Braves -111 The Key: The Braves are 10-4 in their last 14 games following a loss, and 4-0 in Lowe's last 4 starts against the Nationals.
|
08-02-11 |
Texas Rangers v. Detroit Tigers -105 |
|
5-6 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 40 m |
Show
|
6* Tigers -105 The Key: The Tigers have won 14 of their last 17 home games against the Rangers.
|
08-02-11 |
Chicago Cubs v. Pittsburgh Pirates -146 |
|
11-6 |
Loss |
-146 |
7 h 39 m |
Show
|
5* Pirates -146 The Key: The Cubs are a pathetic 15-36 in their last 51 games following a win and 1-6 in Wells' last 7 starts.
|
08-01-11 |
Cincinnati Reds -117 v. Houston Astros |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-117 |
8 h 45 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Reds -117 The Key: The Reds have dominated the Astros to the tune of 25-9 in the last 34 meetings, and the domination figures to continue with Houston trading away two of its best players. Cincy has plenty of momentum after sweeping the reigning champs, and Arroyo has owned the Astros. He's won his last 7 starts against them, holding Houston to a single run in 5 of those outings while never giving up more than 3. Bet the Reds.
|
08-01-11 |
Chicago Cubs v. Pittsburgh Pirates -138 |
|
5-3 |
Loss |
-138 |
7 h 45 m |
Show
|
6* Pirates -138 The Key: Off 3 straight defeats to the best team in the NL, the Pirates will be hungry to get back in the win column against one of the worst teams in the NL. They are 7-2 in their last 9 home games against Chicago, and 5-0 in Maholm's 5 career home starts against the Cubs. Take Pittsburgh on the money line.
|
08-01-11 |
Atlanta Braves -142 v. Washington Nationals |
|
3-5 |
Loss |
-142 |
7 h 44 m |
Show
|
5* Braves -142 The Key: The Nats have lost each of Hernandez's last 5 starts. The Braves, meanwhile, have won Jurrjens' last 7 starts and 15 of his 19 starts on the year. Take Atlanta on the money line.
|
07-31-11 |
Chicago Cubs v. St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 |
Top |
6-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 35 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Runline of the MONTH on Cardinals -1.5 +154
|
07-30-11 |
Arizona Diamondbacks +123 v. Los Angeles Dodgers |
|
6-4 |
Win
|
123 |
12 h 23 m |
Show
|
6* Saturday Night Bailout on D-backs +123 The Key: The D-backs are showing excellent value in the underdog role in this bounce back spot against an LA club that is just 1-8 the last 2 seasons in home games after scoring 9 runs or more. It is losing by an average score of 6.3 to 3.1 in this situation. Plus, the Dodgers are just 8-14 in Billingsley's last 22 home starts when priced between -125 and -175. The Dodgers are losing these outings by 2.0 runs/game on average. Take the Snakes.
|
07-30-11 |
Boston Red Sox -147 v. Chicago White Sox |
Top |
10-2 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 22 m |
Show
|
7* AL Game of the Week on Red Sox -147 The Key: Boston is flat out due against Chicago. I really like the Red Sox in this spot as they welcome Adrian Gonzalez back to the lineup and they bring ace Jon Lester to the mound. Lester is 7-1 on the road with an ERA of 2.80 and enters in top form with an ERA of only 0.55 over his last 3 starts. Humber has been lit up in his last 2 starts, giving up 10 earned on 18 hits in just 9 1/3 innings of work. The White Sox have lost 5 of Humber's last 7 home starts. The Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 games following a loss, and I fully expect them to bounce back strong this evening.
|
07-30-11 |
Houston Astros v. Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 |
|
2-6 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 22 m |
Show
|
6* Brewers -1.5 -120 The Key: The Brewers have a huge edge on the mound with Gallardo facing off against Happ, and that edge is even bigger now that Gallardo won't have to face Pence, who has been traded to Philly. Happ is a lowly 1-7 on the road with an ERA of 8.02. Gallardo is an impressive 7-1 at home with an ERA of 3.23. Take the Brew Crew on the run line.
|
07-29-11 |
Arizona Diamondbacks -109 v. Los Angeles Dodgers |
Top |
5-9 |
Loss |
-109 |
10 h 16 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on D-backs -109 The Key: The D-backs have the big edge on the hill with Collmenter, who enters this contest in great form. He's only allowed a total of 3 earned runs in his last 3 starts spanning 21 innings. That adds up to an awesome 1.29 ERA. Lilly hasn't been nearly as good. The Dodgers have lost 5 of his last 7 starts, and he checks in with an ERA of 5.94 over his last 3 starts. Take the Snakes.
|
07-29-11 |
Chicago Cubs v. St. Louis Cardinals -132 |
|
2-9 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 20 m |
Show
|
6* Cardinals -132 The Key: The Cubs are 0-4 in their last 4 games against the Cardinals, 6-21 in their last 27 road games and 0-7 in their last 7 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. Take St. Louis.
|
07-29-11 |
Texas Rangers -124 v. Toronto Blue Jays |
|
2-3 |
Loss |
-124 |
7 h 4 m |
Show
|
6* Rangers -124 The Key: The reigning AL champs are a perfect 7-0 in their last 7 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. They have won 16 of their last 21 overall and 17 of their last 22 series openers. The Blue Jays are just 4-11 in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Take Texas.
|
07-28-11 |
Houston Astros v. St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 |
|
5-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 12 m |
Show
|
6* Run Line Rout on Cardinals -1.5 +115 The Key: The Cardinals have won 8 of Garcia's 9 home starts in 2011, during which he has posted an ERA of only 1.14. It is worth nothing that 6 of those wins have come by 2 or more runs. Take St. Louis on the run line.
|
07-28-11 |
Minnesota Twins v. Texas Rangers -155 |
Top |
1-4 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 2 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rangers -155 The Key: Texas is 17-2 in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. It is winning by an average score of 6.9 to 3.6 in this spot. Also, plays on home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (TEXAS) - hot hitting team batting .290 or better over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher - ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts - are 55-12 the last 5 seasons. This system is a perfect 4-0 this season. Take Texas.
|
07-28-11 |
Arizona Diamondbacks v. San Diego Padres -105 |
|
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 33 m |
Show
|
6* Afternoon Annihilator on Padres -105 The Key: After back-to-back losses to Arizona, expect San Diego to bounce back strong this afternoon. The Diamondbacks are only 4-11 in their last 15 meetings in San Diego. Latos has pitched well in both career starts against Arizona and enters this contest having allowed 3 earned runs or less in 5 straight and 9 of his last 11 starts. Take the Padres.
|
07-27-11 |
Tampa Bay Rays -127 v. Oakland A's |
|
4-13 |
Loss |
-127 |
11 h 43 m |
Show
|
6* Rays -127 The Key: The A's are only 2-12 in Cahill's last 14 starts, including 1-6 in his last 7 home starts. Take the Rays in this double revenge spot.
|
07-27-11 |
New York Mets v. Cincinnati Reds -138 |
Top |
8-2 |
Loss |
-138 |
8 h 49 m |
Show
|
7* National League Game of the Week on Reds -138 The Key: The Reds have been money in the third game of a series, winning 11 of their last 12 Game 3's. In addition, they are on a perfect 6-0 run in the third game of a series if they check in with losses in the first two games. Plus, the Reds are 5-1 in Arroyo's last 6 starts vs. the Mets, and the Mets are 5-17 in Pelfrey's last 22 road starts. Take Cincy.
|
07-27-11 |
Baltimore Orioles v. Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 |
|
0-3 |
Win
|
126 |
8 h 43 m |
Show
|
6* Blue Jays -1.5 +126 The Key: Expect the Blue Jays to bounce back strong from yesterday's embarrassing defeat. Toronto is 19-3 at home against Baltimore the last 3 seasons, winning these games by an average of 3.0 runs. Plus, the Jays have won each of Romero's last 4 home starts against the O's. Those wins have come by an average of 3.8 runs.
|
07-26-11 |
Tampa Bay Rays -126 v. Oakland A's |
Top |
1-6 |
Loss |
-126 |
10 h 55 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rays -126 The Key: The Rays are 39-19 in Price's last 58 starts, 11-4 in his last 15 road starts and 11-1 in his last 12 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150. Plus, the Rays are 25-5 in Price's last 30 starts when they give him the ball following a loss in their previous game. Take Tampa.
|
07-26-11 |
Chicago Cubs v. Milwaukee Brewers -141 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 1 m |
Show
|
6* Brewers -141 The Key: Dempster has pitched well against the Brewers throughout his career, but Narveson has never lost to the Cubs. He is 4-0 with an ERA of 2.28 in 4 starts against the Cubbies.
|
07-26-11 |
Detroit Tigers -151 v. Chicago White Sox |
|
5-4 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 60 m |
Show
|
5* Tigers -151 The Key: The Tigers have won 10 of Verlander's last 12 starts overall and 7 of his last 8 starts against the White Sox.
|
07-26-11 |
New York Mets v. Cincinnati Reds -142 |
|
8-6 |
Loss |
-142 |
7 h 1 m |
Show
|
5* Reds -142 The Key: The Reds have the edge on the mound with Cueto, who is 6-3 with an ERA of 1.98.
|
07-26-11 |
Los Angeles Angels -135 v. Cleveland Indians |
|
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 56 m |
Show
|
5* Angels -135 The Key: The Halos have the edge on the mound with Weaver, who is 13-4 with an ERA of 1.81.
|
07-25-11 |
Kansas City Royals v. Boston Red Sox -1.5 |
|
3-1 |
Loss |
-132 |
7 h 3 m |
Show
|
5* Red Sox -1.5 -132 The Key: The Red Sox have scored 10 or more runs 14 times since May 20 and lead the major with 541 runs. No other team can come close to touching that production. Expect Beat Town to keep swinging hot bats against Davies, who is 1-5 with an ERA of 9.35 on the road this season. Take Boston on the run line.
|
07-25-11 |
Seattle Mariners v. New York Yankees -1.5 |
Top |
3-10 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 58 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Month on Yankees -1.5 +100 The Key: I have no problem fading Seattle here. It has lost 15 in a row with 13 of those losses coming by at least 2 runs. Plus, the M's have lost each of Vargas' last 3 starts against the Yanks with all 3 of those defeats coming by at least 2 runs. Take New York on the run line.
|
07-24-11 |
Atlanta Braves -121 v. Cincinnati Reds |
|
3-4 |
Loss |
-121 |
10 h 21 m |
Show
|
6* Sunday Night Baseball CA$H COW (ESPN) on Braves -121 The Key: Expect a Braves club that is 8-1 in its last 9 games following defeat to bounce back strong from yesterday's 11-2 loss. The Reds have dropped 6 in a row in the underdog role and scheduled starter Dontrelle Willis is 0-6 on the ML in his last 6 starts. Take Atlanta.
|
07-24-11 |
Tampa Bay Rays -102 v. Kansas City Royals |
Top |
5-0 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 27 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Public Opinion Game of the Year on Rays -102 The Key: I'm extremely confident the public has this one right. KC hasn't swept the Rays in a three-game series at home in a decade and the Rays are a near-perfect 7-1 in their last 8 games following defeats in the first two games of a series. Also confident the Rays have the edge on the mound with Cobb, who is carrying a tiny 1.85 ERA over his last 4 starts. Pound the Rays.
|
07-24-11 |
San Diego Padres v. Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 |
|
3-5 |
Win
|
106 |
4 h 49 m |
Show
|
6* MLB Run Line Rout on Phillies -1.5 +106 The Key: The Phillies have won 8 in a row against the Padres by a minimum of 2 runs. With Halladay out to atone for his shortest performance of the season, the Padres have their work cut out for themselves. Take Philly on the RL.
|
07-23-11 |
Milwaukee Brewers v. San Francisco Giants -133 |
|
2-4 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 18 m |
Show
|
5* Giants -133 The Key: The 2010 World Series champs have the definite edge on the hill with Vogelsong, who is 4-1 at home with an ERA of 1.15 on the season. The Brew Crew, meanwhile, have dropped 6 of Wolf's last 8 road starts. Take Frisco.
|
07-23-11 |
Tampa Bay Rays -118 v. Kansas City Royals |
Top |
4-5 |
Loss |
-118 |
8 h 24 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rays -118 The Key: The Royals are 0-6 in Francis' last 6 starts and 0-4 in his last 4 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Rays are 4-0 in Niemann's last 4 road starts, 7-0 in his last 7 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150 and 9-0 in his last 9 Saturday starts. Take the Rays behind this 30-0 angle.
|
07-23-11 |
Atlanta Braves v. Cincinnati Reds -125 |
|
2-11 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 22 m |
Show
|
6* Reds -125 The Key: One thing you don't want to make a habit of is going against the Reds when Bailey takes the mound at home. That's because they are 17-5 in his last 22 starts at home. Take Cincy.
|
07-22-11 |
Toronto Blue Jays v. Texas Rangers -1.5 |
|
2-12 |
Win
|
106 |
9 h 60 m |
Show
|
6* Rangers -1.5 +106 The Key: The Rangers have lost 2 in a row after rattling off 12 straight wins, so you can bet they'll be hungry in this spot. Lewis' teams are a perfect 9-0 lifetime when they have given him the ball at home following 2 or more consecutive losses. His teams have won by an average score of 8.1 to 3.7 in this spot. Take Texas on the run line.
|
07-22-11 |
New York Mets v. Florida Marlins -128 |
Top |
7-6 |
Loss |
-128 |
8 h 5 m |
Show
|
7* NL East Game of the Year on Marlins -128 The Key: Pelfrey won his major league debut against the Marlins but hasn't defeated them since. He is 0-7 with a 5.35 ERA in his last 13 starts against them, including 0-3 with a 6.10 ERA at Miami. Plus, Pelfrey has been atrocious on the road this season, going 2-8 with an ERA of 5.77. The Mets have lost 7 of their last 9 with the Marlins and 9 of their last 12 in Florida. Pound the Fish.
|
07-22-11 |
San Diego Padres v. Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 |
|
1-3 |
Win
|
125 |
8 h 59 m |
Show
|
6* Phillies -1.5 +125 The Key: The Phillies are showing solid value on the run line at this price when you consider how dominant Hamels has been against the Padres. The Phillies have won each of his last 2 starts against the Pads by at least 2 runs while Hamels has gone 8 innings in each without giving up a single run. Take Philly on the run line.
|
07-21-11 |
Milwaukee Brewers v. Arizona Diamondbacks -109 |
Top |
0-4 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 50 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Diamondbacks -109 The Key: I won't hesitate to get behind Kennedy here. Greinke may have a Cy Young to his name, but he's carrying an ERA of 6.19 on the road. The Diamondbacks are 11-4 in Kennedy's last 15 home starts versus a team with a winning record. Take Arizona.
|
07-21-11 |
Detroit Tigers -152 v. Minnesota Twins |
|
6-2 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 19 m |
Show
|
5* Tigers -152 The Key: The Tigers have won 9 straight against the Twins, and they are 4-1 in Verlander's last 5 starts in the series. The Tigers are 8-1 in Verlander's last 9 starts on 5 days' of rest. Take Detroit.
|
07-21-11 |
Atlanta Braves +107 v. Colorado Rockies |
|
9-6 |
Win
|
107 |
3 h 18 m |
Show
|
6* Braves +107 The Key: The Braves are showing excellent value in the underdog role when you consider that they are 7-0 in Hanson's last 7 road starts. Take Atlanta.
|
07-20-11 |
St. Louis Cardinals +101 v. New York Mets |
|
5-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 27 m |
Show
|
6* Wednesday Night Baseball CA$H COW (ESPN) on Cardinals +101 The Key: Off back-to-back defeats and looking up at Milwaukee and Pittsburgh in the NL Central, the Cards will come to play tonight. Consider that the Mets are 0-7 in Dickey's last 7 starts as a favorite and 0-6 in his last 6 starts vs. the NL Central. Take the Cards.
|
07-20-11 |
Oakland A's v. Detroit Tigers -125 |
Top |
7-5 |
Loss |
-125 |
8 h 26 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -125 The Key: The A's have been a dead fade on the road. They are 5-24 in their last 29 road games and 15-43 in their last 58 games as a road underdog. They are also 1-5 in McCarthy's last 6 starts and 0-4 in his last 4 road starts. Take Detroit.
|
07-19-11 |
Cleveland Indians v. Minnesota Twins -124 |
|
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 45 m |
Show
|
6* Twins -124 The Key: This game is all about revenge for Minnesota after it dropped both games to Cleveland yesterday. The Indians are still just 2-6 in their last 8 meetings in Minnesota and 3-9 in the last 12 meetings overall. The Twins are 16-6 in their last 22 home games and 4-1 in Liriano's last 5 home starts.
|
07-19-11 |
Philadelphia Phillies -141 v. Chicago Cubs |
|
4-2 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 41 m |
Show
|
5* Phillies -141 The Key: Expect the Phillies to respond in a big way after a poor showing last night. Cliff Lee will lead the revenge mission as he is 4-0 all-time with an ERA of of 1.59 when starting against the Cubs.
|
07-19-11 |
San Diego Padres v. Florida Marlins -141 |
|
4-0 |
Loss |
-141 |
7 h 44 m |
Show
|
5* Marlins -141 The Key: We'll catch the Marlins, who have won 9 of 10, on an upswing against a Padres club that has dropped 8 of its last 9.
|
07-19-11 |
Seattle Mariners v. Toronto Blue Jays -115 |
Top |
5-6 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 39 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Super System Game of the Month on Blue Jays -115 The Key: Plays against road underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 (SEATTLE) - poor power team averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game on the season, after scoring 2 runs or less 4 straight games, are 41-9 since 1997. Pound the Jays.
|
07-18-11 |
Los Angeles Dodgers v. San Francisco Giants -127 |
|
0-5 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 46 m |
Show
|
6* Giants -127 The Key: The Dodgers are 5-12 in Billingsley's last 17 road starts and 3-11 in his last 14 starts road starts in the underdog role. The Giants are 5-1 in Vogelsong's last 6 starts as a favorite and 6-0 in his last 6 starts against a team with a losing record. Take San Fran.
|
07-18-11 |
Atlanta Braves v. Colorado Rockies -125 |
Top |
7-4 |
Loss |
-125 |
9 h 13 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rockies -125 The Key: The Braves are 2-6 in Lowe's last 8 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150 while the Rockies are 16-6 in Hammel's last 22 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. The Braves are also 0-4 in their last 4 meetings in Colorado. Take the Rocks.
|
07-18-11 |
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 v. Chicago Cubs |
|
1-6 |
Loss |
-117 |
9 h 34 m |
Show
|
6* Phillies -1.5 -117 The Key: The Phillies are 16-1 with Halladay on the mound this season provided they are valued as a favorite of -150 or more. They are winning these games by an average of 2.0 runs. Take the Phillies on the run line against the struggling Cubs.
|
07-08-11 |
Detroit Tigers -113 v. Kansas City Royals |
|
6-4 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 42 m |
Show
|
5* Tigers -113 The Key: The Royals are 0-7 in Kyle Davies' last 7 starts. They are 3-8 in Davies' last 11 starts vs. the Tigers and 1-4 in his last 5 home starts vs. the Tigers. Fade Davies and the Royals.
|
07-08-11 |
Chicago Cubs v. Pittsburgh Pirates -122 |
Top |
4-7 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 44 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Pirates -122 The Key: Chicago scheduled starter Rodrigo Lopez is just 7-20 on the money line in his last 27 starts. 15 of those defeats came by at least 2 runs. The Cubs came back to win last night, but they are a lousy 28-61 in their last 89 games following a win. They are also 5-16 in their last 21 road games and 1-5 in their last 6 games at Pittsburgh.
|
07-07-11 |
New York Mets v. Los Angeles Dodgers -139 |
|
0-6 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 41 m |
Show
|
6* Dodgers -139 The Key: The Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 in the 4th game of a series and 4-0 in Kershaw's 4 career starts vs. the Mets. Kershaw is 6-1 with an ERA of 2.09 at home this season. Expect him to stop the bleeding for LA.
|
07-07-11 |
Cincinnati Reds v. Milwaukee Brewers -113 |
|
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 40 m |
Show
|
6* Brewers -113 The Key: The Brewers are 35-16 in their last 51 home games and 5-1 in Narveson's last 6 starts. The Reds are 1-5 in their last 6 in the 1st game of a series, 0-7 in their last 7 games following a win and 4-12 in Bailey's last 16 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Bet the Brewers.
|