All Sports Archive |
Date |
Match Up |
Rating |
Score |
Result |
Profit |
Lead Time |
Analysis |
04-21-12 |
Philadelphia Phillies -142 v. San Diego Padres |
|
1-5 |
Loss |
-142 |
13 h 27 m |
Show
|
6* MLB CA$H COW on Phillies -142 The Key: The Phillies have won 13 in a row at Petco Park while outscoring the Padres 51-17. The Phillies are 41-12 in Halladay's last 53 starts and 20-6 in his last 26 road starts. The Doc is also 3-0 liftime with an ERA of 1.90 versus San Diego.
|
04-21-12 |
Atlanta Braves v. Arizona Diamondbacks +116 |
|
3-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
13 h 12 m |
Show
|
6* MLB Dog of the Day on D-backs +116 The Key: D-backs showing great value at this price with Saunders on the bump. He is 1-0 (2-0 on the ML) against Atlanta with an ERA of 0.68. The Diamondbacks are 5-1 in Saunders' last 6 home starts and 4-1 in his last 5 starts as an underdog. Saunders is also 14-4 on the money line in his career as a home underdog of +125 or less. Zona is also 6-1 in its last 7 games following losses in the first 2 games of a series and 7-2 in its last 9 home games as an underdog. Atlanta is 1-7 in its last 8 on the road when facing a a left-handed starter.
|
04-20-12 |
Baltimore: B Matusz v. LA Anaheim: J Williams -144 |
|
3-6 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 45 m |
Show
|
6* MLB Bailout on Angels -144 The Key: The Orioles are 0-12 in Matusz's last 12 starts and 0-7 in his last 7 road starts. The Angels are 5-0 in Williams' last 5 starts as a favorite and 4-0 in his last 4 starts when getting the ball following a team loss in their previous game.
|
04-20-12 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. San Antonio Spurs -6.5 |
Top |
97-121 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 15 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Spurs -6.5 The Key: Kobe Bryant returns to the lineup for the Lakers tonight, but I don't expect him to play big minutes and I expect him to show some rust. The Spurs have rattled off 5 straight wins, including a 21-point victory over the Lakers Tuesday, and I like them to keep rolling as they look to strengthen their position for the top seed in the West. The Spurs are 34-14-3 ATS in their last 51 games overall, 23-6-3 ATS in their last 32 games as a favorite, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and 4-0-2 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 10 points.
|
04-20-12 |
SF GIANTS v. New York Mets -135 |
|
4-3 |
Loss |
-135 |
9 h 0 m |
Show
|
6* MLB CA$H COW on Mets -135 The Key: We'll grab the Mets at home at a nice price in the first game of their series with the Giants as they are 4-0 in their last 4 series starters. Yesterday's travel day doesn't figure to treat the Giants well as they are 0-4 in their last 4 games following an off day. San Fran is also 0-5 in its last 5 road contests vs. teams with a winning record and 0-5 in its last 5 games period vs. teams with a winning record. The Giants are even 0-7 in their last 7 away games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
|
04-19-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Phoenix Suns -2 |
Top |
90-93 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 0 m |
Show
|
7* NBA on TNT *HEAVY HITTER* on Suns -2 The Key: This is a game the Suns have to have as they sit a half game out of the final playoff spot in the West. They match up well with the Clippers and have won 2 of 3 against them this season as a result. Phoenix has won 9 in a row at home against the Clippers with those 9 wins coming by an average of 15.7 points. Expect the Suns to make it 10 in a row at home versus LAC.
|
04-19-12 |
Texas: Y Darvish v. Detroit: A Wilk +114 |
|
10-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 19 m |
Show
|
6* MLB CA$H COW on Tigers +114 The Key: Detroit is showing excellent value at this price at home, where it has won 21 of its last 27 games. This is a game the Tigers want badly after getting bounced out of the playoffs by Texas last year. Darvish has struggled out of the gate, issuing 8 walks and 17 hits in 11 1-3 innings of work. The Rangers have won both of his starts, but those came against the Mariners and Twins. He'll see much better bats tonight. The Rangers are just 7-19 in their last 26 meetings in Detroit. Take the Tigers.
|
04-18-12 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Sacramento Kings +4 |
|
127-102 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 23 m |
Show
|
6* Kings +4 The Key: This is a letdown spot for the Spurs following a big win over the Lakers last night and with another showdown with the Lakers on deck. The Kings have had 2 full days of rest and are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days' rest. I'll grab the points with the fresher side.
|
04-18-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Denver Nuggets -3 |
|
104-98 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 23 m |
Show
|
6* Nuggets -3 The Key: This is a letdown spot for the Clippers following a double-digit win over the Thunder. L.A. is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 contests following a victory of more than 10 points.
|
04-18-12 |
Toronto Raptors +10 v. Miami Heat |
|
72-96 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 28 m |
Show
|
6* Raptors +10 The Key: Expect Miami to get caught looking ahead to tomorrow night's contest with the Bulls. The Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 10 points.
|
04-18-12 |
Tampa Bay Rays +105 v. TOR B-JAYS |
Top |
12-2 |
Win
|
105 |
7 h 30 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Underdog Game of the Week on Rays +105 The Key: The Rays are showing excellent value at this price with David Price on the hill. The southpaw is 9-2 (10-2 on the money line) with an ERA of 2.06 lifetime against the Jays, including a perfect 4-0 on the ML in 4 career starts in Toronto.
|
04-17-12 |
Philadelphia Phillies v. San Francisco Giants -135 |
|
2-4 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 42 m |
Show
|
6* MLB Bailout on Giants -135 The Key: The Giants are a perfect 9-0 in Bumgarner's last 9 starts as a home favorite and 5-0 in his last 5 home starts period. The Phillies are 5-11 in their last 16 games as an underdog.
|
04-17-12 |
Indiana Pacers v. Philadelphia 76ers -3 |
Top |
102-97 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 25 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month on 76ers -3 The Key: Philly dropped into an 8th-place tie with the Knicks in the East following Monday's 113-100 loss to Orlando. The 76ers allowed the Magic to shoot 53.3% in that game. Following that disappointing performance, and needing every win it can get down the stretch, I fully expect the 76ers to roll in their home finale. Philly is the No. 1 defensive team in the league, holding its foes to just 88.8 ppg. It also ranks No. 2 in field goal percentage defense, holding its opponents to just 42.5% shooting. I'm confident Philadelphia will be very dialed in on the defensive end here. The 76ers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Lay the points and best of luck.
|
04-16-12 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Utah Jazz -3.5 |
|
121-123 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 19 m |
Show
|
6* Jazz -3.5 The Key: The Mavericks are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games and 4-11-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Utah. The Jazz are 34-15-2 ATS in their last 51 games as a home favorite of less than 5.0 points and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of less than 5.0. Utah will be the much fresher team with Dallas playing its 4th game in 5 days.
|
04-16-12 |
Baltimore Orioles v. Chicago White Sox -119 |
|
10-4 |
Loss |
-119 |
10 h 59 m |
Show
|
6* White Sox -119 The Key: The White Sox saw their 4-game winning streak come to an end Sunday but are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss. The Orioles are 0-5 in Arrieta's last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record, 0-4 in his last 4 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150 and 0-4 in his last 4 starts on 4 days' rest. We'll take the South Siders.
|
04-16-12 |
Denver Nuggets v. Houston Rockets -4.5 |
Top |
105-102 |
Loss |
-107 |
10 h 19 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Rockets -4.5 The Key: Houston is 8-0 ATS at home this season when playing the 2nd game game of a back-to-back. It has won by an average score of 98.9 to 90.8 in these games. The Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of less than 5.0 points and the Rockets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Monday games. Houston knows it must get back on track here as its lead for the 8th position in the West is just 1 game. We'll lay the points.
|
04-16-12 |
Miami Heat v. New Jersey Nets +8.5 |
|
101-98 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 50 m |
Show
|
6* Nets +8.5 The Key: Expect a letdown from Miami after Sunday's Southeast Division clinching-win over the Knicks. The Heat are banged up and worn down and I expect them to give their starters plenty of rest down the stretch with the No. 1 seed in the East likely out of the equation. The Heat are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win while the Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss.
|
04-15-12 |
Chicago Bulls v. Detroit Pistons +9.5 |
Top |
100-94 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 12 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Pistons +9.5 The Key: The Pistons, who were crushed by Milwaukee last game, are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss of more than 10 points. They are also an impressive 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 home games in the underdog role. Detroit has lost 6 straight home games to the Bulls but 4 of those losses have come by 7 points or fewer.
|
04-15-12 |
Baltimore: B Matusz v. Toronto: K Drabek -156 |
Top |
2-9 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 55 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Blue Jays -156 The Key: Really like the Blue Jays here. The Orioles are 0-11 in Matusz's last 11 starts, 0-6 in his last 6 road starts and 0-9 in his last 9 starts as an underdog. The Orioles are also 23-47 in the last 70 meetings in the series and 13-40 in the last 53 meetings in Toronto. The Blue Jays are 32-15 in their last 47 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.
|
04-14-12 |
Phoenix Suns +9.5 v. San Antonio Spurs |
|
91-105 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 46 m |
Show
|
6* Suns +9.5 The Key Phoenix is 19-9 since Feb. 19 and has won six of its last eight. It is fighting hard to avoid missing the playoffs for the third time in four years. It will be further motivated here as it has lost the season's first two meetings with San Antonio. The Suns are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games overall, 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 0 days rest and 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings with the Spurs.
|
04-14-12 |
Indiana Pacers v. Milwaukee Bucks -3 |
Top |
105-99 |
Loss |
-103 |
12 h 16 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Bucks -3 The Key: The Bucks are in must-win mode as they try to play their way into the final playoff spot in the East. As if that isn't enough motivation, they were embarrassed at home by Indiana last month. It's payback time. Both teams just played last night but the Bucks have been better in the 2nd game of back-to-backs. Indiana is just 11-28 ATS in its last 39 games when playing without a day of rest. Bet the Bucks.
|
04-14-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Minnesota Timberwolves +11.5 |
|
115-110 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 46 m |
Show
|
6* T-Wolves +11.5 The Key: Minnesota always gets up for Oklahoma City. The T-Wolves have lost 11 in a row in the series but only one of those losses came by more than the number we have here. Plus, each of the last 7 meetings have been decided by 10 points or less.
|
04-14-12 |
Cleveland Indians v. Kansas City Royals -135 |
|
11-9 |
Loss |
-135 |
11 h 1 m |
Show
|
6* Royals -135 The Key: The Indians have not been a worthy underdog at just 23-56 in their last 79 in the role. They are 23-47 in their last 70 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150.
|
04-13-12 |
Oakland: B Colon v. Seattle: F Hernandz -153 |
Top |
4-0 |
Loss |
-153 |
11 h 9 m |
Show
|
7* AL Game of the Month on Mariners -153 The Key: The Mariners are 7-0 in Hernandez's last 7 starts against the A's. They are also 5-0 in his last 5 home starts versus Oakland. The Mariners have already defeated the A's twice this season with King Felix on the mound and neither of those games was in Seattle, where he has a 2.07 career ERA against the A's.
|
04-13-12 |
Milwaukee Bucks -5 v. Detroit Pistons |
|
113-97 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 54 m |
Show
|
6* Bucks -5 The Key: This is basically a must-win game for the Bucks as they try to remain in the hunt for the 8th and final playoff spot in the East. They have played very well on the road of late, as evidenced by their 7-1 ATS mark in their last 8 away games, and they'll be very motivated following consecutive losses.
|
04-13-12 |
Cleveland Cavaliers v. Indiana Pacers -11.5 |
|
83-102 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 54 m |
Show
|
6* Pacers -11.5 The Key: With this big of a number the books clearly want the money on the Cavs, who have covered 5 straight and took Indiana to OT Wednesday. We won't oblige them. The Cavs have dropped 6 of their last 7 on the road with losses to the Magic, 76ers and Knicks during this stretch coming by 13, 18 and 16 points. The Pacers, meanwhile, have won 5 of their last 6 at home with a pair of wins over the Heat and Thunder during this stretch. The win over the Heat came by 15 points.
|
04-13-12 |
New Jersey Nets +11.5 v. Philadelphia 76ers |
|
95-89 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 2 m |
Show
|
6* Nets +11.5 The Key: The Nets were embarrassed by Philly Tuesday, enduring a 19-point loss. That loss is all the motivation they will need to give the 76ers a game this evening. The 76ers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a win of more than 10 points and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win. The Nets are 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Philadelphia.
|
04-12-12 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Golden State Warriors +6.5 |
|
112-103 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 41 m |
Show
|
6* Warriors +6.5 The Key: The Mavericks are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a losing record, 12-26-1 ATS in the last 39 meetings with the Warriors and 5-15-1 ATS in the last 21 meetings at Golden State. The Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning record and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 0 days rest.
|
04-12-12 |
Arizona: I Kennedy -132 v. San Diego: A Bass |
Top |
3-1 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 4 m |
Show
|
7* NL Game of the Month on D-backs -132 The Key: Arizona is 15-1 in Kennedy's last 16 starts against NL West foes, defeating these teams by an average of 2.5 runs/game. It is 3-0 in his starts versus San Diego during this stretch, winning those games by an average of 3.0 runs. Look for Kennedy to continue his dominance against division opponents.
|
04-12-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. San Antonio Spurs -5.5 |
|
97-107 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 32 m |
Show
|
6* Spurs -5.5 The Key: The Spurs are 18-6-3 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite, 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 home games and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a defeat.
|
04-12-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Minnesota Timberwolves +6.5 |
Top |
95-82 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 2 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on T-Wolves +6.5 The Key: The Clippers have lost all 3 meetings with Minnesota, but, riding high off a big win over the Thunder, I expect them to look right past a T-Wolves squad that has lost 7 in a row and will be without Kevin Love. The underdog is a perfect 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Also, the Clippers are 13-30 ATS in their last 43 road games when out to avenge a close loss to an opponent of 3 points or less. They have lost by an average score of 101.8 to 92.1 in this situation. Take the T-Wolves.
|
04-11-12 |
San Francisco Giants -118 v. Colorado Rockies |
|
8-17 |
Loss |
-118 |
9 h 40 m |
Show
|
6* MLB CA$H COW on Giants -118 The Key: The Rockies are 0-8 in their last 8 home games, 0-5 in their last 5 games as a home underdog of +110 to +150 and 0-5 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series. The Giants are 18-6 in the last 24 meetings and 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Colorado. Take the Giants.
|
04-11-12 |
Atlanta Hawks +3 v. Boston Celtics |
|
86-88 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 53 m |
Show
|
6* Hawks +3 The Key: Expect a letdown from Boston following a huge win in Miami last night. The Celtics are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day and 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games when playing without a day of rest.
|
04-11-12 |
Phoenix Suns v. Memphis Grizzlies -5.5 |
Top |
93-104 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 53 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Grizzlies -5.5 The Key: Double revenge is the angle here as Memphis has lost both of this season's matchups with Phoenix. Both of those, however, came in Phoenix, and I'm expecting a much different result in Memphis tonight. The Grizz are on a terrific 52-31 ATS run when out for revenge for 2 consecutive losses to a foe.
|
04-11-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers +8 v. Oklahoma City Thunder |
|
100-98 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 48 m |
Show
|
6* Clippers +8 The Key: The Clippers won the season's first meeting by 12 at home but were embarrassed to the tune of 114-91 in OKC last month. Expect the Clipps to save face tonight as they are a rock solid 33-20 ATS when out for revenge for a road loss to an opponent over the last 2 seasons. The Clippers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 meetings on the road in this series, and the underdog is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
|
04-10-12 |
New York Knicks v. Chicago Bulls -8.5 |
|
86-98 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 35 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Bailout on Bulls -8.5 The Key: I fully expect Chicago to avenge Sunday's overtime loss to the Knicks. Under coach Thibodeau, the Bulls are 21-7 ATS off an upset loss. They are winning by an average of 10.4 points in this situation.
|
04-10-12 |
Atlanta: T Hanson -176 v. Houston: K Weiland |
|
6-4 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 15 m |
Show
|
6* MLB CA$H COW on Braves -176 The Key: The Braves are 8-2 in Hanson's last 10 road starts and 4-0 in his last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Braves are 11-3 in their last 14 meetings with the Astros and 4-0 in Hanson's last 4 starts against them. The Astros are 26-63 in their last 89 games as an underdog of +151 to +200 and 4-10 in their last 14 games as a home underdog of +151 to +200. We'll bet the Braves.
|
04-10-12 |
Philadelphia 76ers -5 v. New Jersey Nets |
|
107-88 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 30 m |
Show
|
6* 76ers -5 The Key: The Nets are 10-25 ATS in their last 35 home games and 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games as a home underdog.
|
04-10-12 |
Boston Celtics v. Miami Heat -7 |
Top |
115-107 |
Loss |
-109 |
8 h 6 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Heat -7 The Key: Plays against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BOSTON) off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival and up against an opponent off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 32-7 ATS since 1996. This system is a perfect 9-0 ATS the last 5 seasons. Expect Miami to avenge the 91-72 loss they endured at Boston in impressive fashion.
|
04-09-12 |
Houston Rockets v. Portland Trailblazers -3.5 |
|
94-89 |
Loss |
-103 |
13 h 33 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Bailout on Trail Blazers -3.5 The Key: The Rockets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games as an underdog of less than 5.0 points.
|
04-09-12 |
Golden State Warriors v. Denver Nuggets -8 |
|
84-123 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 34 m |
Show
|
6* Nuggets -8 The Key: The Nuggets have won 13 of their last 15 at home against the Warriors with those 13 wins coming by an average of 13.6 points.
|
04-09-12 |
Phoenix Suns v. Minnesota Timberwolves +3 |
|
114-90 |
Loss |
-106 |
12 h 34 m |
Show
|
6* Timberwolves +3 The Key: The Suns, who lost at home to the T-Wolves last month, are 14-27 ATS when looking for revenge for a same season loss over the last 2 seasons.
|
04-09-12 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Utah Jazz +1 |
|
84-91 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 33 m |
Show
|
6* Jazz +1 The Key: Duncan, Parker and Ginobli will likely sit this one out but I like Utah at home regardless. The Jazz are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games versus a team with a winning road mark.
|
04-09-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Memphis Grizzlies -4.5 |
Top |
85-94 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 34 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Grizzlies -4.5 The Key: The Grizzlies are 21-10 ATS in their last 31 games as a favorite of less than 5.0 points. Expect them to avenge their 2 earlier losses to the Clippers, both of which came in L.A., in impressive fashion.
|
04-09-12 |
Milwaukee: S Marcum -131 v. Chicago (N): C Volstad |
|
7-5 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 58 m |
Show
|
6* Monday Night Baseball CA$H COW (ESPN) on Brewers -131 The Key: I like the Brewers, who have won 7 of their last 9 against the Cubs, with Marcum on the mound. The Brewers are 6-1 in his last 7 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150.
|
04-08-12 |
Chicago (A): G Floyd v. Texas: M Harrison -178 |
|
0-5 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 28 m |
Show
|
6* Sunday Night Baseball CA$H COW on Rangers -178 The Key: The Rangers are 8-1 in Harrison's last 9 starts as a home favorite and 7-1 in his last 8 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200. Also, the White Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 games as an underdog of +151 to +200. I'm confident the Rangers are worth the price tonight.
|
04-08-12 |
Utah Jazz +10 v. San Antonio Spurs |
Top |
104-114 |
Push |
0 |
12 h 27 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Jazz +10 The Key: The Spurs are being overvalued following 10 straight wins and a 128-103 beatdown of New Orleans last game. The Spurs are just 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Plus, the road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Spurs have won 7 of the last 11 meetings in this series but only 2 of those wins have come by more than 10 points. Take the points.
|
04-07-12 |
Dallas Mavericks +4 v. Memphis Grizzlies |
Top |
89-94 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 12 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Mavs +4 The Key: System play. Plays against home favorites (INDIANA) playing the second game of a back-to-back in the month of April are 170-106 (62%) ATS since 1996. This system is 6-1 ATS already this season. Also, the Grizzlies are a terrible 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. The Mavericks are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games as a road underdog of less than 5.0 points.
|
04-07-12 |
Miami: R Nolasco +145 v. Cincinnati: M Latos |
|
8-3 |
Win
|
145 |
10 h 13 m |
Show
|
6* MLB CA$H COW on Marlins +145 The Key: I like the Marlins to record their first win of the season today. Cincy is 5-15 in its last 20 games after allowing 1 run or less last game and 9-18 in its last 27 games after a win by 4 runs or more. Also, the Marlins are 19-11 in Nolasco's last 30 road starts.
|
04-07-12 |
Boston Celtics +2 v. Indiana Pacers |
|
86-72 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 12 m |
Show
|
6* Celtics +2 The Key: System play. Plays against home favorites (INDIANA) playing the second game of a back-to-back in the month of April are 170-106 (62%) ATS since 1996. This system is 6-1 ATS already this season. Also, Indiana is only 14-27 ATS in the second game of a back-to-back since the beginning of last season.
|
04-06-12 |
Seattle: J Vargas +135 v. Oakland: B Mccarthy |
|
7-3 |
Win
|
135 |
10 h 2 m |
Show
|
6* MLB Bailout on Mariners +135 The Key: The Mariners are 4-1 in Vargas' last 5 starts while the Athletics are 1-4 in McCarthy's last 5 starts. The A's are also just 3-8 in McCarthy's last 11 starts as a favorite. The M's are showing good value at this price against an Oakland club I expect to bring up the rear in the AL West.
|
04-06-12 |
New Orleans Hornets +11.5 v. San Antonio Spurs |
|
103-128 |
Loss |
-103 |
11 h 53 m |
Show
|
6* Hornets +11.5 The Key: The Hornets are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 11.0 points or more.
|
04-06-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies +7.5 v. Miami Heat |
Top |
97-82 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 57 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Game of the Week on Grizzlies +7.5 The Key: Memphis is 20-6 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) over the last 2 seasons, including 12-1 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) in the 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. It has won by an average of 3.2 points in this situation. Look for the Grizzlies to take Miami right down to the wire.
|
04-06-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder -3.5 v. Indiana Pacers |
|
98-103 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 27 m |
Show
|
6* Thunder -3.5 The Key: The Thunder are 55-25-1 ATS in their last 81 games following a loss and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of less than 5.0 points.
|
04-05-12 |
Washington Wizards +8 v. Detroit Pistons |
Top |
94-99 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 28 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Wizards +8 The Key: This is a system play on the Wizards. Plays on road teams (WASHINGTON) that have failed to cover the spread in 3 of their last 4 games, extremely tired team playing 9 or more games in 14 days, are 39-14 (74%) ATS the last 5 seasons. Teams in this situation are only losing by an average of 0.6 points. Also, the Pistons are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Take Washington.
|
04-05-12 |
Miami: M Buehrle v. Cincinnati: J Cueto -141 |
|
0-4 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 10 m |
Show
|
6* MLB CA$H COW (ESPN2) on Reds -141 The Key: The Marlins are 0-4 in their last 4 road games, 0-4 in their last 4 versus the NL Central and 0-4 in their last 4 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. The Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150, 4-0 in Cueto's last 4 home starts, 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 6-0 in his last 6 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. The Marlins are 4-14 in their last 18 meetings in Cincinnati. Bet the Reds.
|
04-04-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Dallas Mavericks -6 |
|
85-95 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 36 m |
Show
|
6* Mavs -6 The Key: The Mavericks are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 home games when listed as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
04-04-12 |
Cleveland Cavaliers +11.5 v. Milwaukee Bucks |
|
98-107 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 7 m |
Show
|
6* Cavs +11.5 The Key: The Cavaliers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog of 11.0 or greater while the Bucks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater.
|
04-04-12 |
Denver Nuggets v. New Orleans Hornets +4.5 |
|
92-94 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 6 m |
Show
|
6* Hornets +4.5 The Key: The Nuggets have lost 14 of their last 19 ATS as chalk. They are also just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of less than 5.0 points.
|
04-04-12 |
Indiana Pacers v. Washington Wizards +6 |
Top |
109-96 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 7 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Wizards +6 The Key: The Pacers have been a poor investment in the 2nd game of a back-to-back, going just 10-27 ATS in their last 37 games in this situation.
|
04-04-12 |
St Louis: K Lohse v. Miami: J Johnson -175 |
|
4-1 |
Loss |
-175 |
8 h 5 m |
Show
|
6* MLB CA$H COW on Marlins -175 The Key: Josh Johnson is one of the best right handers in baseball, and the Marlins have won 29 of his last 39 home starts. He gives them the edge tonight.
|
04-03-12 |
Golden State Warriors +7.5 v. Memphis Grizzlies |
Top |
94-98 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 28 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Warriors +7.5 The Key: Plays against home favorites (MEMPHIS) in the 2nd game of a back-to-back in the month of April are 168-105 (61.5%) ATS since 1996. These teams have been favored by an average of 6.6 points but have only won by an average of 3.6 points. This system is a perfect 4-0 ATS on the season and 24-10 (70.5%) the last 3 seasons. Basically, this system shows how fatigued teams are when playing on consecutive days this time of the year. We'll take the Warriors.
|
04-03-12 |
New York Knicks v. Indiana Pacers -5.5 |
|
104-112 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 28 m |
Show
|
6* Pacers -5.5 The Key: Indiana will be out for some serious revenge here after losing to the Knicks on consecutive days last month. The Knicks are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games.
|
04-03-12 |
Charlotte Bobcats v. Toronto Raptors -9 |
|
87-92 |
Loss |
-109 |
9 h 27 m |
Show
|
6* Raptors -9 The Key: The Bobcats are a poor 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. The Raptors are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 home games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Raptors are the more talented team, they're playing better basketball and they'll be lacking no motivation having lost 6 in a row in the series.
|
04-02-12 |
Utah Jazz +2.5 v. Portland Trailblazers |
|
102-97 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 21 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Bailout on Jazz +2.5 The Key: The Portland Trail Blazers cannot be trusted following Sunday's double-digit win over the T-Wolves as they 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU win of more than 10 points.
|
04-02-12 |
Kansas v. Kentucky -6 |
|
59-67 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 29 m |
Show
|
6* NCAA Championship CA$H COW on Kentucky -6 The Key: Kansas is extremely fortunate to be here while Kentucky has been dominant, defeating its 5 tournament opponents by an average of 12.6 points. The Wildcats are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of less than 7.0 points and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big 12 foes.
|
04-02-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Dallas Mavericks -4 |
|
94-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 44 m |
Show
|
6* Mavs -4 The Key: Dallas is 10-0 in its last 10 home games versus the Clippers, winning those games by 10.7 points on average.
|
04-02-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies +8 v. Oklahoma City Thunder |
Top |
94-88 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 14 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Grizzlies +8 The Key: Memphis is 11-1 ATS the last 2 seasons when matched up against a team with a winning percentage above 70% in the second half of the season. It has won by an average of 3.0 points in this spot.
|
04-01-12 |
Golden State Warriors +10.5 v. Los Angeles Lakers |
|
112-120 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 1 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Bailout on Warriors +10.5 The Key: The Warriors are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 vs. Pacific division opponents, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings with the Lakers. The Lakers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games.
|
04-01-12 |
Indiana Pacers +4 v. Houston Rockets |
|
104-102 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 41 m |
Show
|
6* Pacers +4 The Key: This is a system play. Road teams (INDIANA) that have failed to cover in 3 of their last 4, an extremely tired team playing 9 or more games in 14 days, are 37-14 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have been underdogs of 5.7 points in average but have only lost by an average of 0.8. Look for the Pacers to take Houston down to the wire.
|
04-01-12 |
Denver Nuggets v. Orlando Magic -5 |
Top |
104-101 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 42 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Game of the Week on Magic -5 The Key: The Magic are a team capable of beating anybody or losing to anybody, but I love them at home today. Off consecutive defeats, we can be assured that they'll leave it all on the floor. Plus, the Magic are 13-1 in their last 14 home contests against the Nuggets and those wins have come by over 11.0 points on average. Denver is coming off a win but hasn't won consecutive games since early last month. It is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 contests following a victory.
|
03-31-12 |
Ohio State -2.5 v. Kansas |
Top |
62-64 |
Loss |
-104 |
104 h 35 m |
Show
|
7* Final 4 *HEAVY HITTER* on Ohio State -2.5 The Key: We can throw Kansas' 11-point home win over Ohio State in December out the door because Sullinger didn't play in that contest. With arguably the best big man in the country operating down low this time around, I love Ohio State's chances. The Buckeyes are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games as a favorite and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 NCAA Tournament games. The Jayhawks are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win. Take Ohio State.
|
03-31-12 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Philadelphia 76ers -6 |
Top |
90-95 |
Loss |
-108 |
12 h 36 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on 76ers -6 The Key: The Hawks are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. The 76ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite and 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Also, the Hawks are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The 76ers have won the last 4 meetings in this series by an average of 16.0 points and will be very hungry tonight after getting embarrassed by Washington last night.
|
03-31-12 |
Louisville +8.5 v. Kentucky |
|
61-69 |
Win
|
100 |
100 h 30 m |
Show
|
6* Final 4 CA$H COW on Louisville +8.5 The Key: The Cardinals are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games overall, 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU win, 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games following an ATS win and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog. The Wildcats are only 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 non-conference games. Louisville lost to Kentucky by 7 points in the season's first meeting, and I believe it has what it takes to keep this one even closer.
|
03-30-12 |
New Jersey Nets v. Golden State Warriors -3.5 |
|
102-100 |
Loss |
-111 |
16 h 59 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Bailout on Warriors -3.5 The Key: The Warriors are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. The Nets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall, 5-21-1 ATS in their last 27 road games vs. a team with a losing home record, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings and the favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
|
03-30-12 |
New York Knicks v. Atlanta Hawks -3 |
Top |
90-100 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 60 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Hawks -3 The Key: Expect the Knicks to struggle tonight on the road without Amar'e Stoudemire against a physical Atlanta squad that ranks 5th in the NBA in scoring defense with 93.1 ppg allowed. The Knicks have dropped 7 of their last 9 on the highway while the Hawks have won 7 of their last 10 at home. We'll lay the points as I expect the Hawks to be extremely focused after the whoopin' Chicago gave them Wednesday.
|
03-30-12 |
Milwaukee Bucks v. Cleveland Cavaliers +5 |
|
121-84 |
Loss |
-107 |
13 h 59 m |
Show
|
6* Cavs +5 The Key: The Cavs have lost 5 in a row and both meetings with Milwaukee this season, so they'll be playing some inspired ball tonight in hopes of stopping the bleeding. The Bucks are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 versus division foes. Also, they are 5-13 ATS this season after failing to cover the number in 2 of their last 3 games. They have lost by an average score of 100.6 to 96.4 in this situation.
|
03-29-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Los Angeles Lakers -105 |
|
102-93 |
Loss |
-105 |
14 h 24 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Bailout on Lakers -105 The Key: The Lakers have won 11 of their last 12 at home in this series by over 10.5 ppg on average. The Thunder enter off a double-digit win and cover in Portland but are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a win of more than 10 points and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win. The Thunder have lost 2 of their last 4 on the road to lesser teams (Hawks, Jazz). This is their toughest road contest to date (in my opinion), and I have them coming up short against an LA squad that is 20-4 at home on the season.
|
03-29-12 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Miami Heat -8 |
Top |
85-106 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 55 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Heat -8 The Key: After consecutive double-digit losses, the Heat will be out for blood against the team that took them down in the Finals. History is on our side in a big way as home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) off a road loss by 10 points or more, a good team (winning 60% to 75% of their games) playing a team with a winning record, are 41-17 (71%) ATS the last 5 seasons. It must be noted that the Heat are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a defeat of more than 10 points. The Mavs have dropped 8 of their last 10 on the highway with those 8 defeats coming by an average of 10.8 points. Their last 3 road losses have come by an average of 19.0 points. We'll bet Miami.
|
03-28-12 |
Phoenix Suns v. Los Angeles Clippers -7 |
|
86-103 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 53 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Bailout on Clippers -7 The Key: The Clippers, who have endured a pair of narrow defeats to Phoenix this month, will be out for some serious revenge tonight. The Suns are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
03-28-12 |
Indiana Pacers v. New Jersey Nets +5.5 |
|
84-100 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 53 m |
Show
|
6* Nets +5.5 The Key: The Pacers are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
03-28-12 |
Denver Nuggets v. Toronto Raptors +4 |
Top |
96-105 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 24 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Raptors +4 The Key: The Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of less than 5.0 points and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU victory. The Raptors are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of less than 5.0 points.
|
03-27-12 |
Minnesota v. Washington -1 |
|
68-67 |
Loss |
-102 |
11 h 12 m |
Show
|
6* NIT CA$H COW (ESPN2) on Washington -1 The Key: Washington, the only conference champion from a major conference ever not to receive an NCAA Tournament berth, is on a mission to prove it was more than deserving. The Gophers have covered the spread in 7 straight games but history tells us to look the other way at this point. In fact, plays against underdogs that have successfully covered the spread in 6 or more consecutive games, playing with 5 or 6 days rest, are 32-12 ATS since 1997. The Huskies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. Take Washington.
|
03-27-12 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Milwaukee Bucks -1.5 |
Top |
101-108 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 33 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Bucks -1.5 The Key: The Hawks can't be trusted as a small dog considering they are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of less than 5.0 points. The Bucks have dropped consecutive games but are an awesome 30-15 ATS in their last 45 home contests following 2 or more consecutive defeats. They haven't just covered the number in these games, they've won outright on average by a score of 101.9 to 96.3. We'll grab the Bucks at home in this bounce back spot.
|
03-26-12 |
Denver Nuggets +8 v. Chicago Bulls |
|
108-91 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 20 m |
Show
|
6* Nuggets +8 The Key: The Nuggets are 26-10 ATS in their last 36 games as an underdog and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games as a road underdog of 5.0 to 10.5 points.
|
03-26-12 |
Utah Jazz v. New Jersey Nets -118 |
Top |
105-84 |
Loss |
-118 |
9 h 1 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Nets -118 The Key: This is a nightmare of a situation for Utah, which is playing the 2nd game of a back-to-back following a brutal 4-overtime loss Sunday. The Jazz, who have struggled on the road, are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of less than 5.0 points and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of less than .400. Also, the home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. We'll take New Jersey.
|
03-26-12 |
Boston Celtics v. Charlotte Bobcats +7 |
|
102-95 |
Push |
0 |
9 h 33 m |
Show
|
6* Bobcats +7 The Key: The Celtics are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings with the Bobcats and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games when valued as a favorite of 5.0 to 10.5 points.
|
03-25-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies +7 v. Los Angeles Lakers |
Top |
102-96 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 52 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Grizzlies +7 The Key: Teams playing the second game of a back-to-back are often undervalued due to the fatigue factor. This young Memphis team, however, hasn't looked fatigued in back-to-backs. In fact, it is 25-6 ATS when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 99.3 to 95.5. Also, the Lakers 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
03-25-12 |
Kansas v. North Carolina +2 |
|
80-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 12 m |
Show
|
6* North Carolina +2 The Key: The Tar Heels are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 NCAA Tournament games while the Jayhawks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 NCAA Tournament games. Also, the Jayhawks are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 vs. ACC foes.
|
03-25-12 |
Phoenix Suns v. Cleveland Cavaliers +3.5 |
|
108-83 |
Loss |
-102 |
5 h 10 m |
Show
|
6* Cavs +3.5 The Key: The Cavaliers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of less than 5.0 points. Also, the Suns are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in this series.
|
03-24-12 |
Dallas Mavericks +3.5 v. Houston Rockets |
|
101-99 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 29 m |
Show
|
6* Mavs +3.5 The Key: The Mavericks are 17-6-1 ATS in their last 24 games as an underdog.
|
03-24-12 |
Charlotte Bobcats +6 v. New Jersey Nets |
|
89-102 |
Loss |
-105 |
12 h 59 m |
Show
|
6* Bobcats +6 The Key: The Nets are 7-23 ATS in their last 30 home games, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
|
03-24-12 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Washington Wizards +3.5 |
|
95-92 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 28 m |
Show
|
6* Wizards +3.5 The Key: The Wizards are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
|
03-24-12 |
Ohio State v. Syracuse +3 |
Top |
77-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 24 m |
Show
|
7* Elite 8 *HEAVY HITTER* on Syracuse +3 The Key: The Buckeyes are a lousy 1-8 ATS in their last 9 NCAA Tournament games when listed as a favorite of less than 7 points.
|
03-24-12 |
Florida -1 v. Louisville |
|
68-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 48 m |
Show
|
6* Elite 8 CA$H COW on Florida -1 The Key: The Gators are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 NCAA Tournament games when listed as a favorite while teh Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games when listed as an underdog.
|
03-23-12 |
NC State v. Kansas -8 |
|
57-60 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 5 m |
Show
|
6* Kansas -8 The Key: The Jayhawks are 18-7 ATS lifetime in games played away from Lawrence following a win of 3 or fewer points under coach Bill Self.
|
03-23-12 |
Ohio +10.5 v. North Carolina |
|
65-73 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 14 m |
Show
|
6* Ohio +10.5 The Key: The Bobcats are 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog.
|
03-23-12 |
New Jersey Nets +8 v. Atlanta Hawks |
|
84-93 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 7 m |
Show
|
6* Nets +8 The Key: The Hawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs. Atlantic division opponents.
|
03-23-12 |
Miami Heat v. Detroit Pistons +8.5 |
|
88-73 |
Loss |
-103 |
8 h 6 m |
Show
|
6* Pistons +8.5 The Key: The Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. The Pistons are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 home games and 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
03-23-12 |
Xavier +6.5 v. Baylor |
|
70-75 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 45 m |
Show
|
6* Xavier +6.5 The Key: The Musketeers are 16-4-2 ATS in their last 22 NCAA Tournament games and 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 NCAA Tournament games as an underdog. The Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 7 points or less and 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS win.
|