All Sports Archive |
Date |
Match Up |
Rating |
Score |
Result |
Profit |
Lead Time |
Analysis |
12-17-11 |
Dallas Cowboys v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7.5 |
Top |
31-15 |
Loss |
-120 |
29 h 23 m |
Show
|
7* NFL *HEAVY HITTER* on Buccaneers +7.5 The Key: Recent trends stack the odds heavily against Dallas here. The Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0 points, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. the NFC and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Bet the Bucs.
|
12-17-11 |
Temple -7 v. Wyoming |
Top |
37-15 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 3 m |
Show
|
7* Bowl Game of the Week on Temple -7 The Key: The Owls have been nothing short of awesome against non-conference foes the last two seasons, posting a perfect 7-0 ATS record and winning by an average score of 31 to 17.4. Despite winning 8 games last season, Temple didn't receive a bowl bid. Getting one this time around is a huge deal for this team, and I expect it to make the most of it. Lay the points.
|
12-16-11 |
Cal Santa Barbara +7.5 v. Washington |
Top |
80-87 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 17 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on UC Santa Barbara +7.5 The Key: Washington is just 9-19 ATS versus good defensive teams holding their opponents to 42% shooting or worse since the beginning of the 2009 season. The Huskies are only defeating these teams by an average of 1.8 ppg. The Gauchos are holing the opposition to 39.4% shooting on the season. Also, the Huskies are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite. Take the points.
|
12-15-11 |
Jacksonville Jaguars +12.5 v. Atlanta Falcons |
Top |
14-41 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 59 m |
Show
|
7* NFL Thursday Night Side & Total *POWER PARLAY* on Jaguars +12.5/Under 42.5 The Key: Atlanta has only defeated 2 teams by more than 12 points this season and one of those teams was the Colts. The Jaguars have a win over a Baltimore team that is arguably the class of the AFC. They have also played 10-win Pittsburgh and Houston teams to single-digit games. The Jaguars are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 10.5 or more points while the Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or more.
The total is elevated because both teams are coming off high-scoring affairs. This gives us an opportunity to cash in on the under. The Jags have finished under the number in 10 of 13 games this season and the Falcons have come in under the total in 8 of their last 9.
|
12-15-11 |
Jacksonville Jaguars v. Atlanta Falcons UNDER 42.5 |
Top |
14-41 |
Loss |
-107 |
9 h 59 m |
Show
|
7* NFL Thursday Night Side & Total *POWER PARLAY* on Jaguars +12.5/Under 42.5 The Key: Atlanta has only defeated 2 teams by more than 12 points this season and one of those teams was the Colts. The Jaguars have a win over a Baltimore team that is arguably the class of the AFC. They have also played 10-win Pittsburgh and Houston teams to single-digit games. The Jaguars are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 10.5 or more points while the Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or more.
The total is elevated because both teams are coming off high-scoring affairs. This gives us an opportunity to cash in on the under. The Jags have finished under the number in 10 of 13 games this season and the Falcons have come in under the total in 8 of their last 9.
|
12-14-11 |
DePaul v. Northern Illinois +11 |
Top |
75-52 |
Loss |
-107 |
9 h 15 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAB Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on NIU +11 The Key: NIU is still searching for its first win of the season so it will be lacking no motivation tonight. Plus, it won't be a bit intimidated by this DePaul team it played to a 2-point game on the road last year. The Huskies are a red hot 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games as an underdog of 7 to 12.5 points. The Blue Demons, meanwhile, are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 7 to 12.5 points. Take the points!
|
12-13-11 |
Central Michigan +17.5 v. Minnesota |
Top |
56-76 |
Loss |
-111 |
9 h 21 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAB Line Mistake Massacre on Central Michigan +17.5 The Key: The Golden Gophers are being largely overvalued here as I believe C. Mich is capable of keeping this one to single digits. The Golden Gophers are a poor 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games as a favorite and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 13.0 or more points. Plus, it has been wise to stay away from Minnesota on Tuesday nights as it is just 4-12 ATS in Tuesday night tilts under coach Smith, including 0-8 ATS in its last 8 Tuesday games. Normally playing on Saturday, this tells us that 2 days to rest and prepare hasn't been enough for this team. Just last week we saw the Gophers crush USC by 15 on a Saturday for an easy cover but failed to cover the spread against Appalachian State on Tuesday. Take the points.
|
12-12-11 |
St Louis Rams +10.5 v. Seattle Seahawks |
Top |
13-30 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 47 m |
Show
|
7* MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Rams +10.5 The Key: The Seahawks are being overvalued following a big 17-point win over the Eagles last week. Seattle benefited from a +4 turnover margin in that game but shouldn't enjoy the same advantage tonight versus a St. Louis team that hasn't had worse than a -2 margin all season. The Seahawks are a poor 3-24-2 ATS in their last 29 games following a SU win of more than 14 points. Bet St. Louis.
|
12-11-11 |
Chicago Bears +3.5 v. Denver Broncos |
|
10-13 |
Win
|
100 |
51 h 54 m |
Show
|
6* Bears +3.5 The Key: The Broncos are 16-35-3 ATS in their last 54 games as a home favorite and 2-14 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0 points.
|
12-11-11 |
San Francisco 49ers v. Arizona Cardinals +4 |
|
19-21 |
Win
|
100 |
51 h 54 m |
Show
|
6* Cardinals +4 The Key: The 49ers are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a road favorite and 7-23-4 ATS in their last 34 games following a win of more than 14 points. The Cardinals are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0 points.
|
12-11-11 |
Houston Texans v. Cincinnati Bengals -1.5 |
Top |
20-19 |
Loss |
-130 |
48 h 51 m |
Show
|
7* AFC Game of the Month on Bengals -1.5 The Key: The Texans, who are riding a 6-game winning streak, are getting points against a Cincy team that was blown out last week. Something smells fishy. The Texans are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. Also, Cincy is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 vs. good offensive teams scoring 24 or more points/game. With Houston's third-string QB making his first road start against one of the best defensive teams in the NFL, this one won't end well for the Texans.
|
12-11-11 |
New Orleans Saints v. Tennessee Titans +4 |
|
22-17 |
Loss |
-105 |
48 h 50 m |
Show
|
6* Titans +4 The Key: The Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0 points while the Titans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0 points.
|
12-11-11 |
Philadelphia Eagles +3 v. Miami Dolphins |
|
26-10 |
Win
|
100 |
48 h 49 m |
Show
|
6* Eagles +3 The Key: The Dolphins are 20-48-1 ATS in their last 69 home games and 9-29 ATS in their last 38 games as a home favorite. The Eagles are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games as a road underdog.
|
12-10-11 |
Miami (Fla) +6.5 v. West Virginia |
Top |
66-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 28 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Miami (Florida) +6.5 The Key: The Hurricanes are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home and 32-11-1 ATS in their last 44 non-conference games. Miami beat WVU by 3 points last season and has either won or lost by 5 points or less in 8 straight in the series. Take the points.
|
12-10-11 |
Army +7 v. Navy |
Top |
21-27 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 39 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* (CBS) on Army +7 The Key: Navy has won 9 straight in this series but Army has narrowed the gap the last 2 years and I fully expect the Black Knights to take the Midshipmen down to the wire. Not only is Army undervalued here because it has lost 9 in a row in the series, it's last impression on the public was a poor performance against Temple in which it gave up 42 points and 335 yards rushing. This actually bodes well for us considering the Black Knights are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Take Army.
|
12-09-11 |
Iowa +9 v. Iowa State |
Top |
76-86 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 59 m |
Show
|
7* In-state Rivalry Game of the Year on Iowa +9 The Key: The underdog has dominated this series covering the spread in 7 of the last 10 meetings. Plus, plays on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (IOWA) off a road loss by 20 points or more, in December games, are 69-33 ATS (67.6%) the last 5 seasons. Teams in this situation have lost by just 3.2 points on average. Take the points.
|
12-08-11 |
Cleveland Browns +14.5 v. Pittsburgh Steelers |
Top |
3-14 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 44 m |
Show
|
7* NFL Thursday Night Parlay of the Year on Browns +14.5/Under 39 The Key: The Steelers are just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring 35 points or more last game. They have only won by an average of 1.5 points in this situation. Also, they are only 10-22 ATS in their last 32 games when laying 10 or more points. They have only won by an average of 8.9 points in this situation.
The Under is 4-1 in the Steelers' last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater and 6-2 in the Browns' last 8 games overall. Both of these teams are very solid defensively with the Browns ranking 8th in the NFL in both total and scoring defense and the Steelers ranking No. 1 in total defense and 4th in points allowed. We'll take the points and the under.
|
12-08-11 |
Cleveland Browns v. Pittsburgh Steelers UNDER 39 |
Top |
3-14 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 44 m |
Show
|
7* NFL Thursday Night Parlay of the Year on Browns +14.5/Under 39 The Key: The Steelers are just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring 35 points or more last game. They have only won by an average of 1.5 points in this situation. Also, they are only 10-22 ATS in their last 32 games when laying 10 or more points. They have only won by an average of 8.9 points in this situation.
The Under is 4-1 in the Steelers' last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater and 6-2 in the Browns' last 8 games overall. Both of these teams are very solid defensively with the Browns ranking 8th in the NFL in both total and scoring defense and the Steelers ranking No. 1 in total defense and 4th in points allowed. We'll take the points and the under.
|
12-07-11 |
Wichita State v. Tulsa +3 |
Top |
77-67 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 47 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAB Underdog Game of the Month on Tulsa +3 The Key: Tulsa is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games versus teams that are outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game on the season. Off a big win over UNLV and playing its first true road game of the season, look for Wichita State to fall flat on its face.
|
12-06-11 |
Long Beach State +12.5 v. Kansas |
Top |
80-88 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 32 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPNU) on Long Beach State +12.5 The Key: The Jayhawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning record and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win. The 49ers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points and 14-2 ATS in their 16 games when checking in having lost 2 of their last 3 games. Take Long Beach State.
|
12-05-11 |
San Diego Chargers -3 v. Jacksonville Jaguars |
Top |
38-14 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 14 m |
Show
|
7* AFC Game of the Week on Chargers -3 The Key: The Jaguars are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Monday Night Football games. San Diego, which crushed the Jags by 25 points last season, is 18-3 ATS in its last 21 games versus AFC South foes, defeating them by an average of 10.7 points. Lay the number.
|
12-04-11 |
Detroit Lions +9 v. New Orleans Saints |
|
17-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 57 m |
Show
|
6* Sunday Night Football Bailout (NBC) on Lions +9 The Key: The Lions are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog and 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games following a loss of 10 points or more at home. Take the points.
|
12-04-11 |
Green Bay Packers v. NY Giants +7 |
Top |
38-35 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 41 m |
Show
|
7* NFC Game of the Year on Giants +7 The Key: The Giants need this game badly, and they haven't forgotten about the beating they were handed at Green Bay last season. The Packers are good, there's no doubt, but they are extremely lucky to still be undefeated because their defense is so poor (30th in the NFL with 393.4 ypg allowed). Look for this hungry New York squad to take Green Bay right down to the wire with a chance to win outright for an easy cover. The Giants are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. Take the points and best of luck.
|
12-04-11 |
Dallas Cowboys v. Arizona Cardinals +5 |
|
13-19 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 35 m |
Show
|
5* Cardinals +5 The Key: The Cowboys are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite. We'll fade Dallas laying more than a field goal in Arizona, where it lost last year.
|
12-04-11 |
Kansas City Chiefs v. Chicago Bears -7 |
|
10-3 |
Loss |
-106 |
5 h 23 m |
Show
|
5* Bears -7 The Key: The Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
|
12-04-11 |
Oakland Raiders v. Miami Dolphins -3 |
|
14-34 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 20 m |
Show
|
6* Dolphins -3 The Key: The Raiders are 7-21-2 ATS in their last 30 games as an underdog of 3.0 points or less and 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 3.0 points or less.
|
12-03-11 |
Michigan State v. Wisconsin -9.5 |
|
39-42 |
Loss |
-105 |
27 h 37 m |
Show
|
6* Big Ten Championship (FOX) on Wisconsin -9.5 The Key: The Spartans are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0 points. The Badgers are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite.
|
12-03-11 |
Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State -3 |
|
10-44 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 21 m |
Show
|
6* Bedlam Bash on Oklahoma State -3 The Key: Motivated by a loss at Iowa State and with an extra week to prepare, look for the Cowboys to end their 8-game skid in this series. The home team is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings and the favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6.
|
12-03-11 |
Georgia +14 v. LSU |
|
10-42 |
Loss |
-105 |
22 h 22 m |
Show
|
6* SEC Championship (CBS) on Georgia +14 The Key: The Dawgs get this one close to home in the Georgia Dome, and they have been lethal when catching this many points, going 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 10.5 or more.
|
12-03-11 |
Utah State v. New Mexico State +15 |
Top |
24-21 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 52 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAF Game of the Month on New Mexico State +15 The Key: New Mexico State beat Utah State by 3 points at home as a 10.5-point underdog in 2009. It was an 18.5-point underdog at Utah State last season and only lost by 5 points. I know New Mexico State is coming off a pair of bad losses on the road, but it is expected to get QB Matt Christian back and it will be jacked up for this game on senior day. The underdog is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Take the points.
|
12-03-11 |
Southern Mississippi +14.5 v. Houston |
|
49-28 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 24 m |
Show
|
6* C-USA Championship (ABC) on So. Miss +14.5 The Key: Houston is clearly overvalued here against a team it lost to by double digits last season. The Golden Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 points or more.
|
12-02-11 |
Washington v. Nevada +4.5 |
|
73-76 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 36 m |
Show
|
6* Nevada +4.5 The Key: The Huskies are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 6.5 or fewer points.
|
12-02-11 |
UCLA +32 v. Oregon |
Top |
31-49 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 48 m |
Show
|
7* Pac-12 *HEAVY HITTER* (FOX) on UCLA +32 The Key: The Ducks are 0-2-2 ATS in their last 4 home games. Also, plays on road underdogs (UCLA) off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival that return 6 or more starters than their opponent are 55-24 (70%) ATS since 1992. We'll take the points.
|
12-02-11 |
Iona v. Canisius +14 |
|
69-57 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 37 m |
Show
|
6* Canisius +14 The Key: Canisius is 8-1-1 ATS in the last 10 in this series, including 4-0 ATS in the last 4 at home.
|
12-02-11 |
Fairfield -7.5 v. Niagara |
|
79-75 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 35 m |
Show
|
6* Fairfield -7.5 The Key: The favorite is 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings in this series. The Purple Eagles are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
|
12-01-11 |
Philadelphia Eagles -3 v. Seattle Seahawks |
|
14-31 |
Loss |
-103 |
10 h 31 m |
Show
|
6* NFL CA$H COW on Eagles -3 The Key: The road team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings in this series. Also, the Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games. Seattle doesn't have quite enough offense to keep pace tonight. Lay the number.
|
12-01-11 |
West Virginia -2.5 v. South Florida |
Top |
30-27 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 28 m |
Show
|
7* Big East Game of the Month (ESPN) on West Virginia -2.5 The Key: Under coach Holtz, USF is 0-6 ATS in home games against conference opponents, 0-7 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record and 0-6 ATS in home games in the second half of the season. We'll lay the number with the Mountaineers.
|
11-30-11 |
Wisconsin v. North Carolina -7 |
Top |
57-60 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 48 m |
Show
|
7* Big Ten/ACC Challenge Game of the Year (ESPN) on N. Carolina -7 The Key: The Tar Heels are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 vs. the Big Ten and 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. Wisconsin is yet to play anyone with even close to as much talent as it will face tonight. Plus, UNC will be out for blood after enduring its first loss of the season. Lay the points.
|
11-30-11 |
Wake Forest v. Nebraska -12.5 |
|
55-53 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 33 m |
Show
|
6* Nebraska -12.5 The Key: Wake Forest is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 road games as an underdog of 7 to 12.5 points. It's also 1-10-1 ATS in its last 12 matchups following a victory against the point spread.
|
11-30-11 |
Idaho State +21.5 v. New Mexico |
|
41-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 8 m |
Show
|
6* Idaho State +21.5 The Key: The Bengals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Lobos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
|
11-29-11 |
Duke v. Ohio State -6 |
Top |
63-85 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 20 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Ohio State -6 The Key: Duke is incredibly reliant on the 3-point shot. That likely doesn't bode well for the Blue Devils here in their first true road game of the season against a team that typically defends the 3-point line well. The Buckeyes are 9-0 ATS in home games the last 3 seasons versus good 3 point shooting teams that make 37% or more of their attempts. We'll lay the points with the home team.
|
11-28-11 |
NY Giants +7.5 v. New Orleans Saints |
Top |
24-49 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 40 m |
Show
|
7* Monday Night Football Game of the Month on Giants +7.5 The Key: The Giants are an impressive 30-14 ATS in their last 44 road games and a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Monday Night Football games. It is also important to note that New York is 8-0 ATS in road contests under coach Coughlin when matched up against good passing teams that average 260.0 passing yards or more per game. Take the points.
|
11-27-11 |
Pittsburgh Steelers v. Kansas City Chiefs +11 |
|
13-9 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 19 m |
Show
|
6* Sunday Night Football Bailout on Chiefs +11 The Key: The Steelers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite of 10.5 or greater and 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. The Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
|
11-27-11 |
Denver Broncos v. San Diego Chargers -5 |
|
16-13 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 3 m |
Show
|
6* AFC West CA$H COW on Chargers -5 The Key: The Chargers are 8-1-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings with the Broncos. The favorite is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings, and the Chargers are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0 points. This team is disappointed by its losing streak but knows it can get right back in the division hunt with a win here.
|
11-27-11 |
Washington Redskins v. Seattle Seahawks -3 |
Top |
23-17 |
Loss |
-103 |
7 h 46 m |
Show
|
7* NFL Letdown Game of the Year on Seahawks -3 The Key: After 5 consecutive SU and ATS losses, which all came by at least 7 points, the Redskins found a way to get up for their biggest rivals (Dallas) only to fall in overtime. I believe that loss was the knockout punch for this disappointing team. The Seahawks are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
|
11-26-11 |
UCLA Bruins +16.5 v. USC |
|
0-50 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 10 m |
Show
|
6* Pac-12 Game of the Week on UCLA +16.5 The Key: Big letdown spot for Southern Cal following its upset win over Oregon. UCLA is playing its best football of the season and should keep this one easily within the number.
|
11-26-11 |
Notre Dame +7.5 v. Stanford |
|
14-28 |
Loss |
-115 |
13 h 10 m |
Show
|
6* National TV CA$H COW (ABC) on Notre Dame +7.5 The Key: The Irish are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
|
11-26-11 |
Texas Tech +14 v. Baylor |
|
42-66 |
Loss |
-115 |
12 h 11 m |
Show
|
6* Texas Tech +14 The Key: The Red Raiders have won 15 in a row over Baylor and are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
|
11-26-11 |
Virginia Tech v. Virginia +5.5 |
|
38-0 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 43 m |
Show
|
5* National TV CA$H COW (ABC/ESPN2) on Virginia +5.5 The Key: The Hokies are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall while the Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
|
11-26-11 |
Vanderbilt -1.5 v. Wake Forest |
Top |
41-7 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 42 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAF Game of the Week on Vanderbilt -1.5 The Key: Vandy is the more talented team from a tougher conference, and I like it to roll here with a chance to become bowl eligible. The Commodores are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
|
11-26-11 |
Penn State v. Wisconsin -14.5 |
|
7-45 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 41 m |
Show
|
6* National TV CA$H COW (ESPN) on Wisconsin -14.5 The Key: The Nittany Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater while the Badgers are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
|
11-26-11 |
Michigan State v. Northwestern +6 |
|
31-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 13 m |
Show
|
5* Northwestern +6 The Key: With a spot in the Big Ten title game already reserved, look for the Spartans to get caught looking ahead. The underdog is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 in this series and the Wildcats are 24-9 ATS in their last 33 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0 points.
|
11-25-11 |
California v. Arizona State -5.5 |
|
47-38 |
Loss |
-110 |
23 h 10 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAF Bailout (ESPN 10:15 ET) on Arizona State -5.5 The Key: ASU is 6-0 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. Plus, the Home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
|
11-25-11 |
Arkansas +12.5 v. LSU |
Top |
17-41 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 28 m |
Show
|
7* SEC Game of the Week (CBS 2:30 ET) on Arkansas +12.5 The Key: Arkansas is 7-0 ATS in November games over the last 2 seasons and 9-0 ATS when checking into a game off 2 or more consecutive overs the last 2 seasons. Arkansas is 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in this matchup.
|
11-25-11 |
Houston v. Tulsa +3.5 |
|
48-16 |
Loss |
-115 |
13 h 55 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAF CA$H COW (12 ET) on Tulsa +3.5 The Key: Houston is 0-8 ATS all-time under coach Sumlin as a road favorite of 7 points or less. It's losing these games by an average score of 38.3 to 31. Also, the underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
|
11-24-11 |
San Francisco 49ers v. Baltimore Ravens -3 |
Top |
6-16 |
Win
|
100 |
35 h 47 m |
Show
|
7* NFL *HEAVY HITTER* (NFL Network) on Ravens -3 The Key: Baltimore is 6-0 ATS after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons, 8-0 ATS after being outgained by 100 or more total yards last game over the last 3 seasons and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 3.0 points or less.
|
11-24-11 |
Texas +8 v. Texas A&M |
Top |
27-25 |
Win
|
100 |
34 h 15 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Texas +8 The Key: Motivated by back-to-back defeats, and further motivated by last year's 7-point loss to the Aggies, expect the Longhorns to give A&M all it wants and more here. The Aggies are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. The Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0 points.
|
11-24-11 |
Miami Dolphins v. Dallas Cowboys UNDER 44.5 |
|
19-20 |
Win
|
100 |
31 h 34 m |
Show
|
6* NFL Total of the Week (CBS) on Dolphins/Cowboys UNDER 44.5 The Key: Under coach Sparano, Miami is 7-0 Under lifetime in road contests versus good teams with winning percentages between 60% and 75%. We have seen an average of just 37 total points scored in these games.
|
11-24-11 |
Green Bay Packers -6 v. Detroit Lions |
|
27-15 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 57 m |
Show
|
6* CA$H COW (FOX) on Packers -6 The Key: The Packers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. The Lions are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.
|
11-22-11 |
Michigan +7 v. Duke |
|
75-82 |
Push |
0 |
7 h 58 m |
Show
|
6* National TV CA$H COW (ESPN) on Michigan +7 The Key: MICHIGAN is 14-4 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons, and 6-0 ATS during this span as a neutral court underdog or pick. The Wolverines lost to Duke by 2 points in the second round of the Big Dance last March. That defeat is all the motivation Michigan needs here.
|
11-22-11 |
Miami (OH) +9 v. Ohio |
Top |
14-21 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 21 m |
Show
|
7* MAC Game of the Week (ESPN2) on Miami Ohio +9 The Key: With nothing to play for after clinching a spot in the MAC title game last week, look for the Bobcats to come out flat this evening. Miami Ohio is 4-3 in its last 7 games and 2 of those defeats came by only 3 points. Look for the Redhawks to take Ohio down to the wire with a chance to win in the end.
|
11-21-11 |
Kansas City Chiefs +17.5 v. New England Patriots |
Top |
3-34 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 3 m |
Show
|
7* MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Chiefs +17 The Key: I know the Chiefs are playing without starting QB Matt Cassel, but this too many points for them to be catching, especially against a team that ranks dead last in the NFL with 412 yards allowed per game. The Pats have only won by a margin greater than this once this season. Their other double digit wins came by 14 points or less. The Chiefs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog and 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. The Patriots are 3-15 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite of 10.5 points or more. We'll take the points.
|
11-21-11 |
Louisiana-Monroe +20 v. Mississippi State |
Top |
63-78 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 36 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Louisiana-Monroe +20 The Key: After consecutive upset wins over Texas A&M and Arizona, expect a letdown from Mississippi State this evening. UL Monroe, meanwhile, will be hungry as it looks to break into the win column for the first time this season. While it isn't likely that ULM will be able to pull off the upset, I don expect the Warhawks to keep this one within the number rather easily. After all, the Bulldogs have dropped 5 in a row ATS when laying points at home and 8 in a row ATS when laying 13 or more points on their home floor.
|
11-20-11 |
San Diego Chargers +4 v. Chicago Bears |
Top |
20-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
71 h 41 m |
Show
|
7* NFL Underdog Game of the Year on Chargers +4 The Key: The Chargers are 22-8-3 ATS in their last 33 games as an underdog and 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0 points. The Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0 points.
|
11-20-11 |
Arizona Cardinals +10 v. San Francisco 49ers |
|
7-23 |
Loss |
-110 |
70 h 30 m |
Show
|
6* Cardinals +10 The Key: The road team is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Arizona is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games versus elite teams with a winning percentage better than 75%.
|
11-20-11 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +14.5 v. Green Bay Packers |
|
26-35 |
Win
|
100 |
67 h 25 m |
Show
|
6* Buccaneers +14.5 The Key: The Buccaneers are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 road games and 11-1 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
|
11-20-11 |
Cincinnati Bengals v. Baltimore Ravens -7 |
|
24-31 |
Push |
0 |
67 h 24 m |
Show
|
6* Ravens -7 The Key: The Ravens are 48-23-1 ATS in their last 72 games as a home favorite and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0 points.
|
11-19-11 |
California +18.5 v. Stanford |
Top |
28-31 |
Win
|
100 |
53 h 12 m |
Show
|
7* PAC-12 Game of the Month on Cal +18.5 The Key: The Cardinal are just 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games when coming off an upset loss to a conference foe. Stanford has actually lost these games by an average of 4.3 points. Expect a letdown from the Cardinal after having their national championship hopes crushed by Oregon last Saturday.
|
11-19-11 |
Kansas State v. Texas -8 |
|
17-13 |
Loss |
-105 |
51 h 57 m |
Show
|
6* Texas -8 The Key: The Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite. The Wildcats are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
|
11-19-11 |
SMU +20 v. Houston |
|
7-37 |
Loss |
-105 |
46 h 28 m |
Show
|
6* SMU +20 The Key: The Mustangs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. The Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
|
11-19-11 |
Colorado State +34 v. TCU |
|
10-34 |
Win
|
100 |
46 h 28 m |
Show
|
5* Colorado State +34 The Key: The Rams are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. The Horned Frogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win.
|
11-19-11 |
Texas Tech +18.5 v. Missouri |
|
27-31 |
Win
|
100 |
46 h 20 m |
Show
|
6* Texas Tech +18.5 The Key: The Red Raiders are 45-20-1 ATS in their last 66 games following a loss and 5-2-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a double-digit loss at home.
|
11-19-11 |
Arkansas State v. Middle Tenn State +11.5 |
|
45-19 |
Loss |
-110 |
46 h 45 m |
Show
|
5* MTSU +11.5 The Key: The Red Wolves are a lousy 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games as a road favorite and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings at Middle Tennessee.
|
11-19-11 |
Wisconsin v. Illinois +15 |
|
28-17 |
Win
|
100 |
43 h 56 m |
Show
|
6* on Illinois +15 The Key: The Badgers are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games as a road favorite of 10.5 or greater while the Fighting Illini are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
|
11-19-11 |
Iowa -3 v. Purdue |
|
31-21 |
Win
|
107 |
43 h 54 m |
Show
|
5* Iowa -3 The Key: The Hawkeyes are 32-12-1 ATS in their last 45 games following a loss while the Boilermakers are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a win.
|
11-18-11 |
Winthrop +18 v. Marquette |
|
73-95 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 35 m |
Show
|
6* Winthrop +18 The Key: Winthrop is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 neutral site games as an underdog while Marquette is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 neutral site games as a favorite.
|
11-18-11 |
Oklahoma State v. Iowa State +28 |
Top |
31-37 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 3 m |
Show
|
7* Big 12 Game of the Month (ESPN) on Iowa State +28 The Key: Iowa State needs to win 1 of its final 3 games to become bowl eligible so it will be leaving it all on the field each week. The Cyclones have had an off week to gear up for this one, and it's senior night. In other words, a nice combination of extra preparation and extreme motivation are in our favor. It's been a short week for Oklahoma State, and its biggest task right now is to make sure it's healthy for Oklahoma. The Cyclones are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater, and the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take the points.
|
11-18-11 |
Cal State Fullerton v. Nicholls State +10 |
|
73-63 |
Push |
0 |
5 h 4 m |
Show
|
5* Nicholls State +10 The Key: The CS Fullerton Titans are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite.
|
11-18-11 |
Ball State +6 v. Indiana St |
|
50-57 |
Loss |
-103 |
4 h 3 m |
Show
|
5* Ball State +6 The Key: Ball State has defeated Indiana State each of the last two seasons and returns 4 starts from last year's team, which won by 15 points. Also, the underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in his series.
|
11-17-11 |
Arizona -2 v. St John's |
|
81-72 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 23 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB CA$H COW (ESPN2) on Arizona -2 The Key: The Wildcats are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite and 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 6.5 points or less.
|
11-17-11 |
NY Jets v. Denver Broncos +7 |
|
13-17 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 33 m |
Show
|
6* NFL CA$H COW on Broncos +7 The Key: Tough spot for the Jets as they hit the road on a short week following a deflating loss to division rival New England. The Broncos are playing their best football of the season, and they'll be lacking no confidence against a Jets squad they played to a 4-point game at home last year. Bet the Broncos.
|
11-17-11 |
North Carolina +10.5 v. Virginia Tech |
Top |
21-24 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 13 m |
Show
|
7* ACC Game of the Year (ESPN) on UNC +10.5 The Key: The road team has been the play in this series as it is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 matchups. Plus, VA Tech is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or more points. UNC, meanwhile, is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. Take the points.
|
11-16-11 |
Ohio v. Bowling Green +7 |
Top |
29-28 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 46 m |
Show
|
7* MAC Game of the Week on Bowling Green +7 The Key: Bowling Green is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings in this series. It's also 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games following a loss of 10 points or more at home.
|
11-16-11 |
Princeton +10 v. North Carolina State |
|
58-60 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 46 m |
Show
|
6* Princeton +10 The Key: The Tigers are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 road games and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games as an underdog of 7.0 to 12.5 points.
|
11-16-11 |
Louisiana-Monroe +21.5 v. Tennessee |
Top |
62-85 |
Loss |
-107 |
7 h 46 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Louisiana-Monroe +21.5 The Key: The Volunteers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games when laying points.
|
11-16-11 |
Georgia Southern +13 v. Wake Forest |
|
72-81 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 39 m |
Show
|
5* Georgia Southern +13 The Key: The Demon Deacons are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5 points and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points.
|
11-15-11 |
Florida v. Ohio State -10 |
Top |
74-81 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 42 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN2) on Ohio State -10 The Key: Ohio State crushed Florida by 18 on the road last year, and I like the Buckeyes big again playing at home this time around. Plays against underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (FLORIDA) after a win by 10 points or more, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 5 games of the season, are 34-11 ATS the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting into this situation are losing by an average of 17.6 points. Take Ohio State.
|
11-15-11 |
Ball State +17.5 v. Northern Illinois |
|
38-41 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 39 m |
Show
|
6* National TV CA$H COW (ESPNU) on Ball State +17.5 The Key: The Cardinals are 30-11 ATS in their last 41 road games and 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater. With a MAC West title still within reach, the Cards will leave it all on the field and keep this one closer then the odds makers think.
|
11-15-11 |
Michigan State +6.5 v. Duke |
|
69-74 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 43 m |
Show
|
6* National TV CA$H COW (ESPN) on Michigan State +6.5 The Key: Michigan State is 24-11 ATS as a neutral court underdog or pick under coach Izzo. It has lost these games by just 1.0 point on average.
|
11-14-11 |
Detroit +7.5 v. Notre Dame |
|
53-59 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 27 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB CA$H COW (ESPNU) on Detroit +7.5 The Key: No Tim Abromaitis for Notre Dame tonight spells bad news for the Irish as they are up against an experienced Detroit team that has a lot of talent. The Titans are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 versus Big East schools. Take the points.
|
11-14-11 |
Minnesota Vikings +14 v. Green Bay Packers |
Top |
7-45 |
Loss |
-115 |
11 h 56 m |
Show
|
7* Monday Night Football *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Vikings +14 The Key: This is just too many points for a Minnesota team that runs the ball well and gets after the quarterback to be catching. The Vikes, who played the Packers to a 6-point game the first time around, have been defeated by more than 14 points just once this season. They have only been beaten by more than 14 points two times by Green Bay dating back to 1998. That's only two times in 28 matchups. We'll take Minnesota.
|
11-13-11 |
Baltimore Ravens v. Seattle Seahawks +7 |
|
17-22 |
Win
|
100 |
33 h 27 m |
Show
|
6* Seahawks +7 The Key: The Ravens are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0 points. The Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0 points.
|
11-13-11 |
Washington Redskins +4 v. Miami Dolphins |
|
9-20 |
Loss |
-103 |
30 h 23 m |
Show
|
5* Redskins +4 The Key: The Dolphins are 17-48-1 ATS in their last 66 home games, 6-29 ATS in their last 35 games as a home favorite and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win.
|
11-13-11 |
Pittsburgh Steelers -3 v. Cincinnati Bengals |
Top |
24-17 |
Win
|
100 |
30 h 23 m |
Show
|
7* AFC North Game of the Year on Steelers -3 The Key: The Steelers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS loss and 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Cincinnati.
|
11-13-11 |
Houston Texans -3 v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
|
37-9 |
Win
|
100 |
30 h 22 m |
Show
|
6* Texans -3 The Key: The Buccaneers are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games as a home underdog and 1-8 ATS as a home underdog of 7 points or less under coach Morris.
|
11-13-11 |
Buffalo Bills v. Dallas Cowboys -4.5 |
|
7-44 |
Win
|
100 |
30 h 21 m |
Show
|
6* Cowboys -4.5 The Key: The Bills are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Cowboys are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
|
11-12-11 |
Oregon +3.5 v. Stanford |
|
53-30 |
Win
|
100 |
53 h 48 m |
Show
|
5* Oregon +3.5
|
11-12-11 |
Central Florida +9 v. Southern Mississippi |
Top |
29-30 |
Win
|
100 |
53 h 47 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAF Game of the Year on Central Florida +9 The Key: Love the Knights catching more than a TD as they have either won or lost by 7 points or less in 8 of 9 games this season. The Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0 points. Plus, the road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in this matchup. UCF is one of the best defensive teams in the nation (4th in total D and 5th in scoring D). This defense has kept the Knights in nearly every game this season, and it will give them an opportunity to win this game outright. Take the points.
|
11-12-11 |
Alabama v. Mississippi State +19 |
|
24-7 |
Win
|
100 |
52 h 29 m |
Show
|
5* Mississippi State +19
|
11-12-11 |
Michigan v. Illinois +1 |
|
31-14 |
Loss |
-110 |
49 h 47 m |
Show
|
5* Illinois +1
|