7* NFLX *HEAVY HITTER* on Titans +2.5
The Key: The Titans were upset at home by Washington in their preseason opener, but that actually bodes well for us here. Consider that preseason underdogs or pickems with a losing record that are coming off an upset defeat at home are 20-6 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Titans are on an 18-7 ATS run in the preseason when listed as a road underdog. It is also worth noting that Cincinnati is on a 10-22 ATS slide in the preseason when coming off 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread. The Titans have played to win in the preseason, going 6-3 under coach Mike Munchak. They are the team with more to prove and will be hungry following last week's 1-point loss.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Pirates -162
The Key: I'll fade Arizona as it sends Cahill to the hill for the first time in nearly seven weeks. He was awful on the road, where he carried a 5.44 ERA, before going on the DL. The Diamondbacks are 0-5 in Cahill's last 5 road starts. The Pirates, who are 6-0 in their last 6 at home, are in good hands with Locke set to get the ball. The southpaw is 9-3 with a 2.43 ERA on the season. The Pirates are 4-0 in Locke's last 4 starts as a home favorite. The Pirates are 23-6 in their last 29 games as a home favorite, and they've won 8 of their last 11 home games versus Arizona. Take Pittsburgh.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on A's -127
The Key: The A's are showing value at home at this price with A.J. Griffin on the hill. They are 16-4 in his last 20 home starts and 6-1 in his last 7 starts as a favorite. Griffin has a 3.63 ERA at home and a 1.131 WHIP. His WHIP is significant because the Indians are 0-4 in their last 4 games versus a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The Indians are also 0-4 in their last 4 series openers and 0-4 in their last 4 versus teams with a winning record. Cleveland's Justin Masterson has been hit hard in his last two outings, and he has a 4.37 road ERA on the season. The Indians are 0-5 in his last 5 road starts versus teams with a winning record. He has a 9.08 ERA in 7 career starts versus the A's, and the Indians are 0-4 all-time in his road starts against them. The Indians are 0-4 in their last 4 meetings in Oakland. Take the A's.

6* NFLX National TV *CA$H COW* (FOX) on Buccaneers +3
The Key: The Bucs are supported by a pair of strong preseason systems. You want to take preseason underdogs or pickems that have a losing record and are checking in off an upset loss at home. Doing so has produced a 43-18 ATS record the last 10 seasons. This system tightens up to 19-5 ATS the last 5 seasons. In addition, you want to fade preseason home teams with a winning record when the line is +3 to -3 if they are coming off 1 or more consecutive straight up wins. Doing so has produced a 73-37 ATS record over the last 10 seasons. This system is 15-6 ATS the last 3 seasons. The Bucs are 6-1 SU and ATS in their last 7 preseason games versus New England. Take the points.

7* NFLX *HEAVY HITTER* on Vikings +3.5
The Key: Minnesota fits neatly into a very lucrative preseason system. You want to take underdogs or pickems that were held to 14 points or less in their last preseason game if they are matched up against an opponent that scored 30 points or more in its last game. Doing so has produced a 24-6 ATS mark since 1993. This system is a perfect 5-0 ATS the last 3 seasons. In addition, Minnesota has had two extra days of preparation time as it last played Aug. 9 while Buffalo last played Aug. 11. The Vikings didn't give their starters much time at all in Week 1, but that is expected to change tonight. Minnesota is 2-0 in Week 2 of the preseason under coach Frazier. Take the points.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Brewers +1.5 -133
The Key: I'll gladly take the Brewers catching 1.5 runs at a pretty nice price with Lohse on the hill. The Brewers are 5-0 in his last five starts, and he's posted a 1.74 ERA during this stretch. They are also 7-0 in his last seven home starts, and he's recorded a 2.56 ERA during this span. Lohse has a 1.95 ERA over his last eight starts against the Reds, and his clubs are 4-0 in his last four home starts against them. It is also worth mentioning that the Brewers are 4-0 in Lohse's last four starts as an underdog of +110 to +150 and 5-0 in his last five series-opening starts. The Brewers check in off a loss but are 4-0 in their last four games following defeat. The Reds are just 1-5 in their last six meetings in Milwaukee. Take the Brew Crew on the run line.

7* NFLX *HEAVY HITTER* on Falcons +5
The Key: The Falcons apply to two awesome preseason systems. You want to take underdogs or pickems that were held to 14 points or less in their last game if they are matched up against an opponent that scored 30 points or more in its last game. Doing so has produced a 23-6 ATS mark since 1993, and this system is a perfect 4-0 ATS the last 3 seasons. In addition, you want to fade home teams coming off a win by 14 points or more if their opponent was held to 3 points or less in the first half of its last game. Doing so has produced a 21-5 ATS record since 1993. This system is a perfect 5-0 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the points.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rockies -134
The Key: I love the Rockies at home at this price with De La Rosa getting the ball. They are 10-0 in his home starts against division opponents since the start of the 2011 season. They are also 7-0 this season when he gets the start in a day game. Colorado lost yesterday, but it is 9-0 this season in De La Rosa's starts following a loss in its previous game. This trend speaks to the type of competitor De La Rosa is and how confident the Rockies are with him on the mound. In addition, the Rocks are 10-0 in De La Rosa's last 10 starts against the Padres. Take Colorado.

6* AL *CA$H COW* on Tigers -153
The Key: The White Sox are 0-5 in Danks' last 5 starts. They are 0-5 this season in his starts versus division opponents. They are also 0-5 in his last 5 starts versus teams that have a winning record and 0-4 in his last 4 starts as an underdog. He's 0-2 in a pair of starts against the Tigers this season. Detroit doesn't run much. It has beat teams with timely hitting and power hitting. This is significant because the White Sox are 0-11 in Danks' starts since the beginning of the 2011 season versus teams that average 0.35 stolen bases per game. The Tigers are 4-0 in Porcello's last 4 starts as a favorite. They are also 3-0 in his starts against the White Sox this season. Take Detroit in this bounce back spot.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -123
The Key: The Dodgers are 8-0 in the second half of the season versus NL clubs with a batting average of .245 or worse. They are 10-0 in the second half of the season versus NL teams with an on-base percentage of .315 or worse. The Mets have won five of seven but are 0-14 this season when checking into a contest with five or six wins in their last seven games. New York's Harvey has had a spectacular season, but LA's Ryu has been every bit as good. The Dodgers are 8-0 in Ryu's last eight starts while the Mets have lost two of Harvey's last three and four of his last seven. The Dodgers are 8-0 this season in Ryu's starts versus teams that have a losing record. The Mets are 1-7 in the last 8 meetings with the Dodgers. Take LA.

7* Monday Night Baseball Game of the Year on Yankees -155
The Key: The Yankees enter this series with plenty of momentum after winning a series against the reigning AL champion Tigers. They should get a gem from Kuroda, who owns the best home ERA (1.74) in the AL. The Yankees are 7-0 in Kuroda's last 7 home starts versus teams with losing records. Kuroda has a 2.67 career ERA against the Angels with his clubs going 3-0 in his last 3 starts against them. LA's Richards was shelled in his only previous start against the Yankees, giving up 6 runs in 5 innings of a 9-3 loss. He's really struggled on the road where the Angels are 0-4 in his last 4 starts. He has a 6.11 road ERA this season. The Angels are 0-9 in their last 9 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. Take New York.

6* NL *CA$H COW* on Pirates -139
The Key: Pittsburgh has the edge on the mound with Jeff Locke, who's 9-3 with a 2.47 ERA in 22 starts. He's been at his best on the road where he has a 1.83 ERA. The Rockies haven't been able to breakthrough against good NL starters as they are 6-19 this season versus NL starting pitchers that have an ERA of 3.00 or better. They have lost by an average score of 4.5 to 2.7 in these contests. It is also worth noting that the Rockies are 17-39 in their last 56 games versus a left-handed starter. Take Pittsburgh.

7* AL Game of the Week on Indians -1.5 +111
The Key: The Angels are at a disadvantage with Jerome Williams on the hill. They are 0-5 in his last 5 starts with an average losing margin of 3.4 runs. Williams has a 5.46 ERA on the season. Cleveland's Justin Masterson, meanwhile, has a 3.46 ERA. His home ERA is 2.82, and his day game ERA is 1.98. Williams has a 6.33 ERA in day starts. The Indians are 9-3 in Masterson's last 12 home starts. Masterson's clubs are 5-1 in his last 6 starts versus the Angels, and he has a 1.35 ERA in 7 career starts against LA. The Angels are 0-7 in their last 7 games as an underdog of +151 to +200 while the Indians are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite of -151 to -200. Take Cleveland on the run line.

7* Interleague Game of the Month on Dodgers -146
The Key: Greinke has been an incredible investment at home where he has a 2.56 ERA this season. His clubs are 36-5 in his home starts dating back to the beginning of the 2011 season. The Dodgers are 8-1 in his home starts. Tampa Bay's Hernandez has struggled mightily on the road where he has a 5.71 ERA this season. The Rays are 0-4 in his last 4 road starts and 0-6 in his last 6 starts as a road underdog. The Rays are also 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games versus a winning club. Take the Dodgers.

7* Run Line Rout of the Week on Rockies +1.5
The Key: The Rockies are showing tremendous value catching 1.5 runs at this price with De La Rosa on the hill. They are an incredible 40-15 in his last 55 home starts, including 14-2 in his last 16 home starts versus teams with a winning record. Colorado is happy to be back home following a tough 10-game road trip. It has lost its last five games, but it is 8-0 this season in De La Rosa's starts when it checks in off a loss. It has won by an average score of 5.9 to 3.8 in this spot. It is also worth noting that Colorado has won or lost by a single run in five of De La Rosa's last seven starts against the Pirates. The Pirates are just -5 in their last 6 games as a road favorite. Take Colorado.

7* NFLX Game of the Week on Cardinals +3
The Key: The Green Bay Packers are just 2-5 in Week 1 of the Preseason under coach Mike McCarthy, and they have lost each of their last three preseason openers. McCarthy typically doesn't show much of anything in Week 1 of the exhibition season, and his starters likely won't get much work at all considering the way the injury bug is already creeping in. Starting left tackle Bryan Bulaga has been lost for the season and star wideout Jordy Nelson will miss the preseason. These injuries serve as a reminder that the most important thing is to reach the regular season healthy. The Arizona Cardinals are in a different position as they are coming off a poor season and are under new leadership with Bruce Arians as head man. New coaches have more to prove in the preseason, as do teams that are coming off a dismal campaign. Take the Cardinals.

6* NFLX *CA$H COW* on Chargers +2.5
The Key: The Chargers have a lot more to play for this preseason following a disappointing 7-9 campaign. Rookie head coach Mike McCoy wants to make a good impression by showing well during these exhibition games. Plus, the Chargers are implementing a new offense so all signs point to their starters seeing more action than Seattle's tonight. The Seahawks expect to be Super Bowl contenders so their primary concern is reaching the regular season healthy and evaluating their younger players. The Seahawks know what kind of a team they have and the things they can do to be successful. With this in mind, I'll get behind the team that has more to play for.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Red Sox -118
The Key: The Red Sox are showing value at this price with Jon Lester on the hill. The veteran southpaw has a strong track record against the Royals. He's 6-2 with an ERA of 1.64 in nine starts against them. Kansas City is batting only .233 and scoring just 3.3 runs per game off left-handed starters this season. Boston, meanwhile, is batting .261 and scoring 4.5 runs per game off lefty starters. It figures to have success at the plate against Bruce Chen, who is 3-5 with a 6.11 ERA in 11 starts against the Red Sox. His clubs are 1-6 in his last 7 starts versus Boston while the Red Sox are 5-2 in Lester's last 7 starts versus the Royals. Take Bean Town.

6* MLB Wednesday Night *CA$H COW* on Indians +111
The Key: Despite losing the first two games of this series, the Tribe is still 10-3 in its last 13 overall. It's 10-3 in its last 13 games after losing the first two games of a series and 4-0 in its last four games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. In addition, Cleveland is 10-0 since the beginning of last season when checking in off two straight home defeats to a division rival. It has won by an average score of 6.8 to 3.1 in this spot. Detroit's Fister hasn't been as strong on the road where he has a 4.08 ERA. The Tigers are 3-13 in his last 16 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150, 1-7 in his last eight starts as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 0-5 in his last five road starts versus a team with a winning record. Detroit is also 0-3 in his last three starts in Cleveland. Take the Tribe.

7* MLB Day Game of the Month on Padres +111
The Key: The Padres lost the first game of this two-game set 4-1, but they are 7-0 in their last seven games following a loss and 8-0 in their last eight after being held to two runs or less in their previous game. The Orioles are 0-4 in their last four Game 2s of a series and 0-4 in their last four games versus a left-handed starter. Their struggles against lefties should continue as the Padres are 8-1 in Stults' last nine starts at home where he has a 2.35 ERA on the season. His clubs are 9-0 since the beginning of last season in his home starts versus teams that draw an average of three walks or less per game. Baltimore's Miguel Gonzalez has been lit up in his last two starts, and the Orioles are just 2-7 in his last nine road starts. Take San Diego.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -165
The Key: The Giants have the edge on the mound with Matt Cain, who has looked more like himself lately. The veteran right-hander is 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA over his last three starts. In addition, he's allowed three earned runs or fewer in nine of his last 10 starts. It bodes well for us that he enters off a gem because the Giants are 23-9 in his last 32 starts following a quality start in his last appearance. Milwaukee's Wily Peralta has had an up and down season, and it's been down lately. He's 0-2 in his last two starts while giving up 12 runs in just 8 2-3 innings. The Brewers are 3-8 in Peralta's last 11 starts as a road underdog. Milwaukee is just 3-19 since the beginning of last season as an underdog of +150 or higher. It is also 9-33 since the start of last season as a road underdog of +125 to +175. The Giants, on the other hand, are 56-23 in their last 79 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200. The Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 home games versus the Brewers. Take San Francisco.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Royals -166
The Key: The Royals are rolling. They've won 11 of 12 and should keep right on rolling against a Minnesota club they have dominated. Kansas City is 10-3 this season against the Twins, including 4-0 in the last four meetings. The Royals are in good hands with Jeremy Guthrie. He is 3-0 in his last three starts, which is even more significant when you consider that the Royals are 6-0 this season in his home starts when he checks in off a win. The Royals are 15-2 in Guthrie's last 17 home starts. The Twins aren't in the same hands with Kevin Correia on the rubber. They are 0-4 in his last 4 road starts and 0-5 in his last 5 starts on regular rest (4 days). His clubs are 0-4 all-time in his starts versus Kansas City, and he's posted a poor 5.02 ERA in these games. The Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite, 6-0 in their last 6 versus the American League Central and 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite of -151 to -200. The Twins are 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog and 0-4 in their last 4 versus the American League Central. Take Kansas City.

6* Hall of Fame Game "Total" Annihilator on Dolphins/Cowboys Under 33
The Key: Trends show the edge going to the defensive side of the football early in the preseason. We have seen 2 straight and 4 of the last 6 preseason openers finish under the total. Expect both offenses to struggle this evening as the third string quarterbacks get plenty of work. Tony Romo and Kyle Orton are already locked in at the No. 1 and No. 2 spots so we should see plenty of Nick Stephens or Alex Tanney, who are fighting for third string. It's the same story for the Dolphins as Ryan Tannehill and Matt Moore already have the top two spots sewed up. Pat Devlin should get the majority of the snaps for Miami. Take the Under.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Brewers -119
The Key: The Brewers have the edge on the mound with Lohse. They are 3-0 in his last 3 starts while he's posted a 0.47 ERA. They are 6-0 in his last 6 home starts, 6-0 in his last 6 starts versus a team with a losing record and 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite. Lohse's clubs are also 15-1 since the beginning of last season in his starts versus NL clubs with a batting average of .245 or worse. His clubs are 11-1 during the same time frame in his starts versus NL clubs that average 3.8 runs or fewer per game. Take Milwaukee.

7* MLB Run Line Game of the Month on Tigers -1.5 -125
The Key: The Tigers are rolling. They are 7-0 in their last seven home games with a 5.6-run average winning margin. The White Sox, meanwhile, are ice cold. They are 0-8 in their last eight games overall with a 2.3-run average losing margin. Detroit has been lighting up left-handed pitching. It is batting .277 and scoring 5.4 runs per game off southpaw starters this season and is 8-0 in its last eight games versus a lefty starter. The Tigers won these eight by an average of 4.9 runs. Their success against lefties should continue as Chicago is 0-3 in Danks' starts versus AL Central foes this season. It's lost these starts by 3.0 runs on average while he's posted a 6.50 ERA. The White Sox are 0-4 in his last four starts in Detroit, losing these by 4.0 runs on average. Chicago is 0-4 in its last four road games versus right-handed starters and will have its work cut our for itself as it goes up against Scherzer. The Tigers are 8-0 in his starts versus AL Central opponents this season. They've won these by an average of 8.0 runs while he's posted a 3.20 ERA. The Tigers are 4-0 in his last four starts against the Sox, winning these by an average of 3.0 runs. Take Detroit on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Yankees -107
The Key: Sabathia has struggled of late but will be very focused here as a result. He's been outstanding in interleague action throughout his career, and nothing has changed this season as he's 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA in a pair of starts versus the N.L. He's also never lost to San Diego, going 3-0 (4-0 on the money line) with an ERA of 2.12 in four starts against the Padres. The Yankees are 36-19 in interleague road games under manager Girardi while the Padres are 20-33 in interleague home games under manager Black. Lastly, the Yanks are 5-0 in their last five games against San Diego. Take New York.

6* MLB *Run Line Rout* on Red Sox -1.5 +115
The Key: Boston is showing value on the run line at home with Jon Lester on the mound. That's because it is 8-0 this season in his home starts, and he's posted a 2.95 ERA during this run. The Red Sox have won these eight starts by an average of 2.6 runs. Randall Delgado was torched in Boston last season, giving up 4 earned runs on six hits in just 1 1-3 innings. Lester, on the other hand, gave up only two earned on four hits in seven innings of a 6-2 win in his lone starts versus Arizona. Take Boston on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Royals -145
The Key: Kansas City is rolling. The Royals are 8-0 in their last 8 overall, 5-0 in their last 5 road games, 7-0 in their last 7 games as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150. The Royals are also 4-0 in their last 4 games versus a left-handed starter, and they should have their way with Scott Diamond. Minnesota's southpaw has a 6.06 ERA at home on the season. Twins are 0-7 in his last 7 starts versus a team with a winning record and 0-6 in his last 6 starts as a home underdog. The Royals are in better hands with James Shields getting the ball. The right-hander has a 2.50 ERA on the road, and the Royals are 6-0 in his last 6 starts as a favorite and 4-0 in his last 4 starts versus a team with a losing record. Shield's clubs are 3-0 in his last 3 starts versus the Twins while Diamond is 0-2 in his last 2 starts versus Kansas City. Take the Royals.

7* Wednesday Night Baseball Game of the Year on Cardinals -115
The Key: The Cardinals are lacking no motivation after suffering their fifth and sixth consecutive defeats yesterday. I fully expect them to bounce back strong behind a gem from Wainwright, who's more proven than Pittsburgh's Jeff Locke. The Cards are 13-3 in Wainwright's last 16 road starts, 5-0 in his last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game and 8-2 in his last 10 starts versus NL Central foes. The Cards are 5-2 in his last 7 starts against the Pirates and 6-2 all-time in his starts in Pittsburgh. The Cardinals haven't been getting it done with the long ball. However, the Pirates are 0-6 in Locke's starts in the second half of the season the last two seasons versus teams that average 0.9 or fewer home runs per game. They have lost to these teams by an average of 4.0 runs. Take St. Louis.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Phillies -130
The Key: The Phillies have lost eight in a row, but all eight came on the road with the last six coming against first-place clubs St. Louis and Detroit. I like Philly's chances of ending its skid tonight in its return home as it is 40-14 in its last 54 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. It is also 6-1 in its last seven home games versus club with a road winning percentage of less than .400. The Giants are 8-22 in their last 30 overall, including 0-4 in their last four. Zito has been awful on the road where he's 0-6 (1-8 on the money line) with a 9.39 ERA in nine starts. The Giants are 0-5 in his last five road starts versus a team with a losing record and 0-4 in his last four starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150. San Francisco is also 0-3 in Zito's last three starts in Philadelphia. Lannan has a 2.73 ERA at home where the Phillies have won four of his five starts. He also has a 1.74 ERA in three starts versus the Giants, who are 1-7 in their last eight games versus a left-handed starter. Take Philly.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Reds -151
The Key: The Reds represent the strongest play on the board for Monday. We're talking about a club that has lunched on lesser opponents, going 41-18 in their last 59 versus losing clubs. The Reds are 3-0 in their last three overall versus the Padres and 3-0 in their last three in San Diego. The Padres are a soft 10-26 as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season, and their struggles in this price range figure to continue with O'Sullivan getting the pill. The right-hander's clubs are 0-7 in his last seven starts. Cincinnati's Mike Leake has been at his best on the road where he's 7-1 with a 2.13 ERA. The Reds are 3-0 in his last three starts overall and 6-0 in his last six road starts versus losing clubs. Take Cincinnati.

6* MLB Line Mistake on Marlins -108
The Key: The Marlins are 5-0 in their last five versus the Mets, and I expect them to extend this streak behind another gem from Jacob Turner. The righty has a 1.80 ERA at home this season, and the Marlins are 6-0 in his last six home starts. New York is 0-3 in Jeremy Hefner's last three starts, a stretch where he's posted a 10.13 ERA. It is 6-14 in Hefner's last 20 starts and 3-13 in his last 16 starts versus the division. The Mets are also a mind-boggling 1-10 in their last 11 games versus teams that have a winning percentage below .400. Take Miami.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -149
The Key: After back-to-back one-run defeats, I fully expect the defending champs to dig down deep to salvage a game in the series. Travis Wood is having a pretty good season for the Cubs. However, he was hit hard his last time out in a 4-10 loss at Arizona, and the Cubs aren't winning with him on the hill. They are just 10-26 in his last 36 starts, 5-22 in his last 27 starts as an underdog, 0-5 in his last 5 road starts and 0-6 in his last 6 starts as a road underdog. In addition, Wood has never defeated the Giants. He's 0-2 (0-4 on the money line) with an ERA of 4.38 in 4 starts against them. Lincecum hasn't looked like a two-time Cy Young winner the last couple years, but he showed he's still capable of brilliance with a no-no a week-and-a-half ago. The Giants are 2-0 in his last 2 starts against the Cubs, and he has a 3.69 ERA in 11 career starts against them. Take San Francisco.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Pirates -146
The Key: Look for the Pirates to bounce back strong behind Charlie Morton, who's been dealing (3.34 ERA). The Pirates are 5-1 in Morton's last 6 starts and 4-0 in his last 4 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Miami's Koehler has struggled at home where he has an ERA of 6.35. The Marlins are 0-4 in Koehler's last 4 starts as a home underdog and 3-8 in his last 11 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. The Pirates are 24-11 in their last 35 games as a favorite while the Marlins are 19-43 in their last 62 games as a home underdog of +110 to +150. Take Pittsburgh.

6* MLB Bailout on Giants -156
The Key: The defending champs have owned the Cubs. They've won 10 of the last 12 meetings overall and are 5-0 in their last five home matchups with the North Siders. Matt Cain hasn't been himself this season. However, he's coming off a strong outing and has had Chicago's number. He has a 2.46 ERA in 14 career starts against the Cubs, and the Giants are 5-0 in his last five home starts against them. The Cubs are a dismal 4-22 in NL West ballparks under manager Sveum, and they are 0-4 in Edwin Jackson's last four starts versus NL West foes. Take San Francisco.

6* MLB *Run Line Rout* of the Week on Mariners -1.5 -102
The Key: The Mariners have won nine of 10. This stretch bodes well for us considering they are 11-0 in home games since the beginning of last when checking into a contest with six or seven wins in eight games. They have won by an average score of 5.0 to 2.2 in this situation. In addition, the Mariners are 6-0 in their last six home games versus the Twins, winning these by an average of 3.8 runs. Minnesota finds itself at a major disadvantage on the mound with Scott Diamond getting the ball. It is 0-5 in his last five starts, losing them by an average of 4.4 runs. It is also 0-7 in his last seven starts as an underdog, losing these by 4.7 runs on average. The M's, on the other hand, are 4-0 in Felix Hernandez's last four starts, winning them by 5.5 runs on average. Hernandez went 2-0 against Minnesota last season, allowing no runs in 17 innings. Take Seattle on the run line.

7* AL Game of the Month on Indians -130
The Key: The Rangers have dropped nine of 12, and I expect their struggles to continue in Cleveland where the Indians are 4-0 in their last four. Texas southpaw Martin Perez, who has a 5.50 ERA over his last three starts, has his work cut out for himself against a Cleveland lineup hitting .267 and scoring 5.1 runs per game off left-handed starters. The Indians are 7-0 in their last seven games versus a left-handed starter. The Tribe is in excellent hands on the mound with Corey Kluber, who has a 0.95 ERA over his last three starts. It is 4-0 in Kluber's last four home starts. He gave up just one run in eight innings of work in a 5-2 win at Texas last month, and I expect him to deliver another gem here. Take Cleveland.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -114
The Key: Zack Greinke is dealing. The Dodgers are 6-0 in his last six starts, and he's posted a barely visible 0.41 ERA over his last three. The right-hander has been unstoppable at Dodger Stadium where he hasn't lost. He's 6-0 - 8-0 on the money line - with a 2.09 ERA in eight starts there. Cincy's Mat Latos, on the other hand, has never won at Dodger Stadium. He's 0-5 in five starts there with a 3.95 ERA. The Dodgers are 6-0 in their last six games, a welcome sign given that Greinke's teams are 12-0 in his home starts the last three seasons after two or more consecutive victories. It is also worth noting that the Dodgers are 7-0 in Greinke's starts versus clubs averaging 0.5 stolen bases or less per game. L.A. is 7-0 in its last seven games versus winning clubs and 8-0 in its last eight series openers. Take the Dodgers.

7* National League Game of the Month on Rockies -162
The Key: Off back-to-back losses to lowly Miami, I fully expect the Rockies to bounce back strong at home behind a gem from De La Rosa. The sensational southpaw has been incredibly clutch. The Rockies are a 100% perfect 7-0 this season in his starts after a team loss in their previous game. This tells me De La Rosa has been able to rise to the occasion when his team needs him the most. In addition, the Rockies are 24-4 all-time in his starts as a favorite of -150 or more. They are 14-1 all-time in his home starts as a favorite of -150 to -175. The Marlins are 1-6 in Jacob Turner's last 7 road starts. Take Colorado.

6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Brewers -148
The Key: The Brewers have the edge on the mound with Kyle Lohse, who has been lights out at home. The Brew Crew are 5-0 in his last five home starts, and he hasn't given up more than three earned runs in any of these starts. The Brewers are also 4-0 in his last four starts as a favorite, and his teams are 3-0 in his last three home starts versus San Diego. Lohse shut the Padres down in a 7-1 road win earlier this season. Sean O'Sullivan's teams are 0-6 in his last six starts. He's given up at least six runs in five of these losses. The Padres won the first two games of this series, but they are 0-9 in their last 9 game 3s of a series. Take Milwaukee.

6* MLB *Afternoon Delight* on Angels -1.5 -107
The Key: The Angels are a sound investment with Jered Weaver on the hill at home where he has an ERA of 2.44 this season. Minnesota's Mike Pelfrey is carrying a 5.49 ERA on the road. Right away, I love the fact that LA is 30-7 in Weaver's home starts since the beginning of the 2011 season. They have won these by an average score of 4.8 to 2.4. It also bodes well for us that Weaver gave up no runs in 6 2-3 innings of a 4-1 win over Oakland his last time out. That's because the Halos are 15-1 in his home starts after a start where he gave up one earned run or less since the beginning of the 2011 season. They have won these by an average score of 5.8 to 2.1. The Angels have never lost to the Twins in LA with Weaver on the hill. They are 6-0 all-time in his home starts against them, winning these by an average of 5.7 runs.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Braves -130
The Key: The Mets have dropped 40 of their last 56 games when listed as a home underdog of +110 to +150, and I expect their struggles in this spot to continue with Medlen on the mound. The Braves are an impressive 23-4 in Medlen's last 27 starts versus losing clubs, 9-1 in his last 10 road starts versus losing clubs and 18-3 in his last 21 starts versus division opponents. In addition, the Braves have never lost to Mets with Medlen on the hill. They are 7-0 all-time in his starts against New York, and he's posted a sweet 2.36 ERA in these games. These seven wins have come by an average of 4.0 runs. The Braves have won 18 of the last 25 meetings overall and 6 of the last 7 in New York. Take Atlanta.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Detroit Tigers -120
The Key: Detroit's Max Scherzer has absolutely owned division opponents. The Tigers are 7-0 in his starts against the AL Central this season, and he's posted a 3.35 ERA in these starts. Chicago's Chris Sale hasn't been as effective against the division, going just 2-3 with a 4.38 ERA in six starts. Scherzer has had his way with Chicago. He has a 2.51 ERA in 13 starts against the White Sox, and the Tigers are 3-0 in his last three starts against them. Sale, on the other hand, is 1-3 with a 5.47 ERA in four starts versus Detroit. In addition, the Tigers are 4-0 in Scherzer's last four road starts. Take Detroit.

6* MLB Run Line Rout on Giants -1.5 +140
The Key: The Giants have a huge advantage on the mound with Bumgarner. They are 3-0 in his last three and 6-1 in his last seven starts. All six of these wins have come by at least two runs. Delgado's teams, on the other hand, are 3-9 in his last 12 starts. Eight of these defeats came by two runs or more. The Diamondbacks are 0-5 in their last five division games, losing these by 3.0 runs on average. They are also 0-4 in their last four road games versus left-handed starters, losing these by 2.5 runs on average. The Giants are 4-0 in their last four versus Arizona, winning these by 3.0 runs on average. Take San Francisco on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Oakland A's -118
The Key: Oakland's bats have struggled in this series, but I expect the sticks to come alive against Jerome Williams, who has a 19.12 ERA over his last three starts. Oakland's Bartolo Colon is in top form with a 2.21 ERA over his last three starts. It bodes well for us that he's held his last two opponents to one and two earned runs, respectively, as the A's are 8-0 in his starts this season after he gives up two earned runs or fewer in his previous two outings. They have won by an average score of 5.6 to 2.6 in this situation. Colon has also been dominant on the road where he's 5-0 with a 1.75 ERA in his last five starts. It is also worth noting that Colon posted a 1.66 ERA in three starts against the Angels last season. Take Oakland.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Blue Jays -107
The Key: Tampa Bay's Hellickson hasn't been the same pitcher on the road where he has a 5.25 ERA. The Rays are 3-9 in his last 12 road starts, and they're even 0-4 in his last 4 road starts versus a team with a losing record. Toronto's Buehrle has been great at home where he has a 3.30 ERA. The Blue Jays are 5-0 in Buehrle's last 5 home starts and 4-0 in his last 4 home starts versus a team with a winning record. The Rays are 0-2 in Hellickson's last two starts in Toronto. Take the Blue Jays.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rockies -147
The Key: The Cubs have dropped 18 of their last 24 in Colorado, and their struggles against the Rockies figure to continue with Jorge De La Rosa on the mound. The sensational southpaw has been lights out at home where the Rockies have won 39 of his last 53 starts. The Rockies are 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. They're also 9-0 the last 3 seasons in his home starts when the total is 8.5 to 10. In addition, Colorado hasn't lost to the Cubs with De La Rosa on the mound, going 4-0 all-time. Chicago's Jeff Samardzija has been rocked in his last 2 starts, and the Cubs are 0-4 in his last 4 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150. Take Colorado.

6* AL *CA$H COW* on Rays -130
The Key: The Rays have the edge on the hill with David Price, who is rounding into form with a 1.08 ERA over his last 3 starts. The Rays are 6-0 in Price's last 6 road starts versus losing clubs, and I expect this trend to continue given the success he's had against the Blue Jays. Price is 12-2 (14-2 on the money line) with a 2.28 ERA in 16 starts against them, and the Rays are 7-0 all-time in his starts in Toronto. Take Tampa Bay.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Padres -147
The Key: The Giants have won the first three games of this series, but they can't be trusted on the road with Barry Zito on the bump. San Francisco is 0-7 in his road starts this season, which comes as no surprise considering his road ERA is 9.37. San Diego's Eric Stults, on the other hand, has been fantastic at home with a 2.56 ERA in eight starts. The Padres are 7-0 in his last seven home starts. The Giants aren't very patient at the plate. They are averaging just 2.7 walks per game, and that doesn't bode well for them against Stults, who is terrific at making opponents hit "his" pitch. The Padres are 8-0 since the beginning of last season in Stults' home starts versus teams that draw 3.0 walks or less per game. Take San Diego.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -161
The Key: The Rockies got the job done yesterday but are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a win. The Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss. Scheduled starter Tyler Chatwood checks in off a strong outing in San Diego, but the Rockies are 0-4 in his last 4 starts following a quality start in his last appearance. If there's one thing you don't want to do, it's go against Zack Greinke at home. The Dodgers haven't lost at home with Greinke on the mound, going 6-0. In addition, Greinke's teams are 21-0 in his home starts since the beginning of the 2011 season versus losing clubs. They've won these games by an average score of 6.1 to 3.3. Take L.A.

6* Divisional *CA$H COW* on Marlins -120
The Key: Dan Haren has been atrocious. The Nationals are 0-9 in his last 9 starts overall and 0-6 in his last 6 road starts. He has a 5.57 road ERA, a figure that pales in comparison with Jose Fernandez's 1.47 home ERA. The Marlins are 4-0 in Fernandez's last 4 home starts. It's also worth noting that he has a blistering 1.12 ERA in division games. The light-hitting Nats aren't familiar with Fernandez, and that spells trouble for them tonight.

6* MLB Bailout Blowout on Dodgers -1.5 -115
The Key: The Dodgers are 5-0 in their last five games with each of these wins coming by at least two runs. They are also 3-0 in Clayton Kershaw's last three starts with each of these victories coming by at least two runs. He has a 1.08 ERA during this stretch. In addition, L.A. is 3-0 in Kershaw's last three starts versus the Rockies with these wins coming by two runs or more. It is also 7-0 in his last seven home starts versus Colorado with these wins coming by 3.4 runs on average. The Rockies are 0-3 in Juan Nicasio's last three starts. They lost these by an average of 3.7 runs while he posted an ERA of 9.00. Take L.A. on the run line.

7* MLB Game of the Week on Braves -136
The Key: The Reds have been fade material on the road when Bronson Arroyo get the ball. He's 1-5 with an ERA of 5.70 in six road starts, and the Reds are 0-5 in his last five starts as a road underdog. The Reds are 0-6 in their last six games as a road underdog overall. Kris Medlen has been rock solid at home where he has a 2.83 ERA. The Braves are 16-1 all-time in his starts in the second half of the schedule versus NL clubs with an on-base percent of .325 or worse. The Braves have won these starts by an average score of 6.4 to 2.4. Take Atlanta.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Cardinals -130
The Key: The Cardinals have the edge on the mound and at the plate in this one. Jake Westbrook has a 2.78 ERA while Edwin Jackson has a 5.50 ERA. Plus, Westbrook is 6-2 with a 3.72 ERA in 10 starts versus the Cubs. The Cards are 3-0 in his last 3 starts versus Chicago. Jackson is 1-4 with an ERA of 5.12 in 8 starts versus St. Louis. His teams are 0-3 in his last 3 starts versus the Redbirds. The Cardinals are batting .275 and scoring 5.0 runs per game while the Cubs are hitting .242 and scoring 4.1 runs per game. The Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 overall, and I expect them to keep right on rolling.

7* *HEAVY HITTER* on Yankees -128
The Key: The Yankees have dropped the first two games of the series but are 42-16 in their last 58 games after losing the first two games of a series. They have also won 72 of their last 102 against Kansas City, including 39 of the last 52 home meetings. In addition, the Royals are 11-30 all-time under Yost in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins. The Yankees are 30-7 all-time under Girardi when out for revenge for two straight losses to an opponent as a home favorite. The Yankees also have the edge on the rubber with Nova, who has a respectable 3.57 ERA over his last three starts. The Yankees are 5-0 in Nova's last 5 home starts versus a team with a losing record. The Royals are 0-3 in Davis' last three starts, and he's posted a 6.60 ERA during this stretch. Davis is also 0-2 in his last two starts versus the Yankees. Take New York.

6* *Mound Mismatch* on Indians -150
The Key: The Blue Jays are 0-4 in their last four in the second game of a series, 0-4 in their last four games as an underdog and 0-4 in their last four versus winning clubs. I don't see them snapping these negative trends tonight as they go up against Cleveland's Masterson. The Indians have won 8 of his 10 home starts while he's posted a 2.93 ERA. The Tribe is 5-0 in his last five starts versus losing clubs and 4-0 in his last four home starts versus losing clubs. Masterson is 2-0 in his last two starts versus Toronto, holding it to 1 run in 13 innings during this stretch. Toronto's Esmil Rogers has been shaky recently, going 0-2 (1-2 on the money line) with an ERA of 5.82 over his last three starts. Take Cleveland.

6* Afternoon Delight on Reds -160
The Key: The Reds have dropped the first two games of this series, but I like their chances this afternoon considering Milwaukee has lost 23 of its last 29 in the third game of a series. The Brewers are also a terrible 9-22 in day games this season. In addition, Cincy has the edge on the mound with Leake, who's 5-1 with a 2.20 ERA on the road. The Reds are 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a road favorite. The Brewers are 0-2 in Hellweg's first two starts, and he's been lit up in both, giving up 14 runs in just 5 1-3 innings. Take Cincinnati.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -131
The Key: The Giants have the advantage on the mound with Barry Zito, who's 4-1 (8-2 on the money line) with an ERA of 1.98 at home. The Giants are 8-1 in his last 9 home starts versus a team with a losing record and 10-2 in his last 12 starts as a home favorite. New York's Dillon Gee is just 3-4 (4-5 on the money line) with a 6.02 ERA on the road. The Mets are 0-4 in his last 4 starts versus National League West foes, 0-7 in his last 7 Tuesday starts and 3-7 in his last 10 starts as a road underdog. Tuesday has been the worst day of the week to back the Mets as they have dropped 20 of their last 26 Tuesday contests. Take the Giants.

6* Never Lost *Mound Mismatch* on Reds -135
The Key: We cashed in with the Brewers +1.5 last night, but I'm jumping ship for the Reds today given Milwaukee's struggles against left-handed starters. The Brewers are just 8-22 against southpaw starters this season as they're managing only 3.5 runs per game off them. Nothing figures to come easy against Cincy's Tony Cingrani, who's 3-0 (6-2 on the money line) with a 3.15 ERA in eight starts. The Reds are 5-0 in Cingrani's last 5 starts as a favorite. Milwaukee's Wily Peralta is 3-6 (4-6 on the money line) with a 6.12 ERA in 10 home starts. The Brewers are 3-8 in his last 11 starts and 0-5 in his last 5 starts versus National League Central opponents. The Reds have never lost to Peralta, going 3-0 against him. Take the Reds.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Brewers +1.5 -133
The Key: The Brewers are showing tremendous value catching 1.5 runs at home at this price. Cincy's Homer Bailey tossed a no-no his last time out. However, the Reds were 0-3 in his previous 3 starts, a stretch where he posted a 5.68 ERA. Expect Bailey to come back down to earth against a club that has had his number. The right-hander is 1-6 with a 6.00 ERA in 12 starts against the Brewers. He's 0-2 in his last 2 starts at Milwaukee, giving up 11 runs in just 9 2-3 innings. The Reds are 2-7 in his last 9 road starts. Milwaukee's Kyle Lohse has found his groove, going 3-0 with a 1.72 ERA in last 6 starts. The Brewers are 3-0 in Lohse's last 3 home starts. The righty has enjoyed plenty of success against the Reds, going 2-1 with a 1.76 ERA in his last 7 starts against them. His teams are 3-0 in his last 3 home starts against Cincy. Take Milwaukee on the run line.

6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Rays -147
The Key: Here we have two clubs heading in opposite directions, and I'll gladly invest in the one on the upswing. The Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 overall and 5-0 in their last 5 home games. They are also 5-0 in their last 5 meetings with Minnesota. The Twins have dropped 7 of 8, and scheduled starter Same Deduno has struggled on the road where he has a 4.84 ERA. The Twins are 0-5 in Deduno's last 5 road starts versus a team with a winning record. Tampa Bay's Roberto Hernandez has had his struggles as well but is coming off back-to-back quality outings and has a 4.20 home ERA. Take the Rays.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Pirates -155
The Key: The Pirates have a significant advantage on the mound with A.J. Burnett, who has an excellent track record at Wrigley. The right-hander is 5-0 in his last five starts on the North Side, including 2-0 as a member of the Pirates. Chicago's Carlos Villanueva is 0-2 with an ERA of 8.00 in two career starts versus Pittsburgh. The Cubs are 0-4 in his last 4 starts overall. The Pirates fell yesterday, but they are 22-6 in their last 28 following defeat and 7-1 in their last eight on the road. The Cubs are 2-7 in their last nine games following a win. Take Pittsburgh.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -153
The Key: The defending champs have been struggling, but not with Bumgarner on the bump. He's been especially effective at home where the Giants are 25-10 in his last 35 starts. They are also 15-3 in his last 18 home starts versus losing clubs and 14-2 in his last 16 starts as a home favorite of -151 to -200. In general, the Giants have been a solid wager in this price range, going 38-15 in their last 53 games as a favorite of -151 to -200 and 54-20 in their last 74 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200. The Dodgers have had their share of problems with southpaw starters and are 0-7 in their last 7 road games versus a left-handed starter. The Giants are 5-2 in Bumgarner's last 7 starts versus the Dodgers, including a perfect 2-0 at home during this span. The Dodgers are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in San Francisco. Take the Giants.

6* MLB Early Blowout on Blue Jays -1.5 -108
The Key: We cashed in with the Blue Jays on the run line Friday, and I'll stick with them here. The Twins are now 0-6 in their last 6 games with an average losing margin of 3.3 runs. Dickey has been dealing of late with the Jays going 4-0 in his last 4 starts. They've won these by an average of 3.5 runs. Pelfrey's road ERA is 6.92, and the Twins are 0-3 in his last 3 road starts with a 3.3-run average losing margin. Dickey's knuckler has been tough to read during the day, and his teams are 19-6 in his day starts since the beginning of last season as a result. The Twins have lost 20 of their last 26 in Toronto where the Jays are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a favorite. They've won these 7 by 4.0 runs on average. Take Toronto on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Indians -127
The Key: Cleveland has the edge on the mound with Justin Masterson, who's been lights out at home. The right-hander is carrying a 2.29 ERA at home on the season, and the Indians are 7-0 in his last 7 home starts. Detroit's Rick Porcello is struggling. He has an ERA of 5.26 on the road this season and is 0-3 with an 8.82 ERA over his last 3 starts. The Tigers are 0-4 in his last 4 starts versus a team with a winning record and 0-2 in his last 2 starts in Cleveland. Masterson's overall numbers versus Detroit aren't good, but he's 3-2 on the money line in his last 5 home starts against the Tigers, holding them to 2 earned runs or less in 4 of these starts. In addition, the Indians are 4-0 in their last 4 home games versus a right-handed starter and 4-0 in their last 4 series openers. Take the Tribe.

6* MLB Run Line Rout on Blue Jays -1.5 +119
The Key: The Twins are 0-5 in their last 5 games and have lost these by an average of 3.2 runs. I expect their struggles to continue give how poorly they've performed on Friday this season. The Twins are 0-11 on Friday and have lost these contests by an average of 4.0 runs. The Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite and have won these by an average of 4.0 runs. Toronto also has the advantage on the mound with Buehrle. The Jays are 4-0 in his last 4 home starts, winning these by 2.75 runs on average. He's given up 2 earned runs or less in each of the 4. Correia has struggled immensely on the road where he has an ERA of 5.18. Take Toronto on the run line.

6* MLB Bailout on Cardinals -135
The Key: Wainwright is flat out dealing. He's been awesome on the road where he has a 2.50 ERA. The Cardinals are 9-0 in his last nine road starts and 6-0 in his last six starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. Blanton is having a miserable season for the Angels. The veteran right-hander is 2-10 with an ERA of 5.07. The Halos are 0-3 in his last three home starts and 0-6 in starts against winning clubs this season. Take St. Louis.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rockies -131
The Key: After losing the first two games of this three-game set, I expect the Rockies to bounce back strong tonight. They have the edge on the mound with Chacin, who is 4-0 with an ERA of 1.26 over his last four starts. The Rockies are 5-1 in Chacin's last six home starts and 8-2 in his last 10 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. The Dodgers are 3-7 in Capuano's last 10 starts. The southpaw has an ERA of 5.00 in 9 starts this season. He also has a WHIP of 1.426, which is significant because the Rockies are 10-1 on the year versus NL starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.350 to 1.450. In addition, the Dodgers are just 5-17 as a road underdog of +100 of higher this season. Take Colorado.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Royals -106
The Key: The Royals are showing terrific value at this price with Guthrie on the hill. They are 12-2 in his last 14 home starts overall and 9-0 in his last 9 home starts versus a team with a winning record. The Royals defeated Cleveland 9-0 at home earlier this season in a game where Guthrie shut the Indians down. Cleveland's Kazmir has struggled on the road where he has a 5.30 ERA in 7 starts. The Indians are 1-5 in his last 6 road starts. Kazmir, who has a career 5.09 ERA against the Royals, has a loss in Kansas City earlier this season. The Royals dropped the first game of the series but are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss. Take Kansas City.

6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Yankees -146
The Key: We missed with the Twins yesterday, but I don't regret the play considering how good Deduno has been at home and how bad Hughes had been lately. The Yankees are clearly the play tonight, however, as Sabathia looks to notch career victory No. 200. The Yankees are 41-13 in their last 54 meetings against the Twins, and Sabathia has had his way with them. The big southpaw is 10-1 on the money line in his last 11 starts versus the Twins, including 6-0 on the money line in Minnesota during this span. Sabathia has an ERA of 1.79 in his last nine matchups with Minnesota while having his way with Justin Morneau (6 for 43), Joe Mauer (6 for 35) and Ryan Doumit (3 for 17). Minnesota's P.J. Walters is 0-3 with an ERA of 16.00 in his last 3 starts. Take the Yankees.

6* MLB Money Line Massacre on Twins -110
The Key: The Yankees have lost 5 of 6 overall, 8 of 10 on the road and 7 of 8 with Phil Hughes on the mound. They are also 0-5 in Hughes' last 5 starts in the second game of a series. The Twins, meanwhile, are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a home favorite and have won 8 of Sam Deduno's 10 career home starts. They are 3-0 in his home starts this season, during which he has posted a 1.71 ERA. The Twins are the better hitting team statistically. Plus, Deduno's ERA is 1.5 runs lower than Hughes'. Take the Twins.

7* MLB Run Line Game of the Year on Braves -1.5 -107
The Key: The Braves are 7-0 in their last seven games versus Miami and have won these games by an average of 3.1 runs. I expect their dominance of the Marlins to continue with Medlen on the mound. The right-hander has dominated soft-hitting clubs like Miami. In fact, the Braves are 11-0 in his last 11 starts in the second half of the season versus NL clubs with an on-base percentage .325 or worse. They have won these games by an average of 4.1 runs. The Braves are also 12-0 all-time in Medlen's starts in the second half of the season versus poor-power teams that average 0.9 or less home runs per game. They have won these by an average of 4.7 runs. Atlanta is 6-0 lifetime in Medlen's starts against the Marlins, winning these by 2.8 runs on average. He has a 2.29 ERA in these starts. Atlanta is even 5-0 in Medlen's last 5 starts as a favorite of -201 or greater, winning these by an average of 3.6 runs. Take the Braves on the run line.

7* Monday Night Baseball *HEAVY HITTER* on Reds -159
The Key: We cashed a winning ticket with the Giants yesterday, but they had the advantage of the mound with Bumgarner. They have struggled on the road all season and definitely do not have the advantage on the mound today. San Francisco rookie Mike Kickham has been lit up in his first two starts and has an 0-2 record and 10.57 ERA to show for it. His struggles figure to continue against a Cincinnati club that is 4-0 in its last 4 home games versus a left-handed starter. Bronson Arroyo has been lethal at home where the Reds have won 8 of his 10 starts this season and he's posted a 2.50 ERA. The Reds are 8-0 in Arroyo's last 8 home starts versus a team with a losing record and 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200. Arroyo has had plenty of success against the Giants, holding them to 3 earned runs or less in each of his last nine starts. The Giants are 0-5 in their last 5 games as an underdog and 0-4 in their last 4 series openers. Take the Reds.

6* NL *CA$H COW* on Giants -112
The Key: The defending champs are due. They haven't lost eight consecutive road games since May 12-20, 2000, and they haven't suffered a three-game sweep at Coors Field since May 24-26, 2002. It's clear San Francisco has the edge on the mound with Bumgarner. The Giants are 7-1 in his last eight starts versus the Rockies, including 4-1 in his last five starts in Colorado. Pomeranz, who is slated to make his season debut, doesn't inspire the same level of confidence. He's just 4-10 with an ERA of 5.01 in 26 career starts for the Rockies. Also, the Rockies are 0-8 all-time in his starts when the money line is +125 to -125. They have lost these by an average of 3.1 runs. Take San Francisco.

7* AL *HEAVY HITTER* on White Sox -133
The Key: The White Sox have lost the first three games of the series, but that won't keep me off them here. They are 7-1 in their last 8 games after losing the first three games of a series and are in good hands with ace Chris Sale scheduled to get the ball. Sale has been dealing at home where he has an ERA of 2.35. The Sox are 14-3 in his last 17 home starts. Cleveland's Justin Masterson, on the other hand, has struggled on the road where he has an ERA of 5.54. The Indians are 0-5 in his last 5 road starts, losing these by 5.0 runs on average. In addition, the Sox are 2-0 in Sale's two career home starts versus the Indians. Take Chicago.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -143
The Key: The Tigers have the clear edge on the mound with Justin Verlander. I expect the big righty to be very focused here after subpar performances in his last two starts. The Tigers are 57-23 in Verlander's last 80 starts as a favorite, 39-19 in his last 58 starts versus a team with a winning record and 8-3 in his last 11 starts as a road favorite. In addition, the Tigers are 9-3 all-time in Verlander's starts against the Rays. Tampa Bay's Chris Archer will be making only his 10th career start - the Rays have lost 6 of his first 9 starts. The Tigers are 5-1 in their last 6 and 14-4 in their last 18 against the Rays. The Tigers are also 5-1 in their last 6 meetings in Tampa Bay. Take Detroit.

6* MLB Bailout on Mariners -139
The Key: The Mariners have the edge on the mound with Iwakuma, who's been lights out at home where he's sporting a 1.46 ERA this season. The Mariners are 12-3 in Iwakuma's last 15 home starts and 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. The Cubs are a miserable 41-87 in their last 128 road games. Wood has been solid, but his 3.48 road ERA pales in comparison to Iwakuma's home ERA. Plus, the Cubs are 0-4 in Wood's last 4 starts and 0-6 in his last 6 starts following a quality start in his last appearance. I like the M's here.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Royals -133
The Key: The Twins have been a dead fade on Friday. They are 0-10 in Friday games this season and have lost them by an average score of 6.6 to 2.8. Looking back, the Twins are just 19-44 in their last 63 Friday games. Their Friday struggles figure to continue as they go up against the red-hot James Shields. He's been at his best on the road where his ERA is 2.50, and the Royals are 5-0 in his last 5 starts. Minnesota's P.J. Walters doesn't inspire as much confidence with an ERA of 4.34 at home and a 7.43 ERA over his last 3 starts. The Twins are 0-4 in Walters' last 4 starts as a home underdog of +110 to +150 and 0-5 in his last 5 starts in the 2nd game of a series. Walters is also 0-2 with an ERA of 5.40 in 2 starts versus Kansas City. Shields' teams have won 5 of his last 6 starts versus the Twins. Take KC.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -1.5 +126
The Key: The Dodgers are in the midst of their longest win streak of the season. They are 5-0 in their last five games, winning these by an average of 2.4 runs. They are in great position to extend this run with Greinke on the hill. The Dodgers are 5-0 in his home starts, during which he's posted an ERA of 2.12. These wins have come by an average of 2.6 runs. Greinke's teams are a perfect 20-0 in his home starts versus losing clubs since the start of the 2011 season and have won these starts by an average score of 6.2 to 3.3. His clubs are also 14-0 in his starts as a home favorite of -175 to -250 during this span, winning these by an average score of 5.9 to 2.4. Take the Dodgers on the run line.

7* Interleague Game of the Year on Braves -128
The Key: Oddsmakers have made a mistake by giving us the Braves at such an affordable price with Minor on the mound against a club that can't hit lefties. The Braves are 8-1 in Minor's last nine starts, including 4-0 in his road starts during this span. The Braves are also 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a road favorite and 6-0 in his last 6 starts on 5 days' rest. The Royals are batting just .223 off southpaw starters and are 2-11 in their last 13 games versus a left-handed starter. The Royals are also 0-6 in their last 6 interleague home games and 0-5 in Mendoza's last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Take Atlanta.

6* NL *CA$H COW* on Brewers -130
The Key: The Brewers are 9-0 in their last nine home games versus the Cubs, and Gallardo is dealing. The right-hander, who has an ERA of 0.00 over his last three starts, has dominated the Cubs. Gallardo has a 2.95 ERA in 14 starts against them. The Brewers are 8-2 in his last 10 starts versus the Cubs and 6-1 all-time in his home starts versus Chicago. Chicago's Feldman has really struggled against division opponents this season, going 0-4 with an ERA of 6.65. Take Milwaukee.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Brewers -130
The Key: The Brewers have the advantage on the mound with Kyle Lohse, who has given up just one earned run in each of his last three starts. It looks good for Lohse that Chicago is hitting only .241 as a team. That's because he's 11-0 on the money line since the beginning of last season versus NL teams with batting average of .245 or worse. His teams have won these 11 games by an average score of 4.5 to 1.8. Lohse is also 6-0 on the money line in his last six starts against the Cubs. Chicago's Edwin Jackson, meanwhile, is 0-3 on the money line in his last 3 starts versus Milwaukee. The Brewers have owned the Cubs, winning 24 of the last 31 meetings overall. The Brewers are also 8-0 in their last eight at home versus Chicago. Take Milwaukee.

6* Interleague *CA$H COW* on Cardinals -153
The Key: The Cardinals have had a day to regroup after getting swept by Texas, and the day off figures to serve them well as they are 4-0 in their last 4 games following an off day. The Cards are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague road games and 4-0 in their last 4 interleague road games versus a right-handed starter. They are also 21-8 in their last 29 meetings with Houston. The Astros are 0-7 in their last 7 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage greater than .600 and 0-5 in Harrell's last 5 home starts versus a team with a winning record. Harrell, who has a 5.43 home ERA, is 0-3 in his last 3 starts versus St. Louis. The Astros have been outscored 16-0 in these 3 losses. Lastly, the Cardinals are 4-0 in Westbrook's last 4 starts versus the Astros. These wins have come by an average of 5.0 runs. Take St. Louis.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rays -115
The Key: I like Tampa Bay to bring Toronto's winning streak to an end tonight. The Blue Jays are 25-51 in their last 76 versus the Rays, including 12-39 in their last 51 in Tampa Bay. In addition, the Jays are 24-50 in their last 74 road games versus a team with a winning home record and 5-13 in their last 18 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Rays are 7-2 in Jeremy Hellickson's last 9 home starts. They are 6-0 in his last 6 starts when up against an opponent that allowed 5 runs or more in its previous game. They are also 4-0 in his last 4 starts versus a team with a winning record and 5-0 in his last 5 home starts versus a team with a winning record. I have a lot more confidence in Hellickson that I do in Esmil Rogers, who has more experience as a reliever. Take Tampa Bay.

7* National League Game of the Week on Reds -125
The Key: Motivated by losses in the first two games of this series, I expect the Reds to bounce back strong Sunday afternoon. The Reds have still won 12 of their last 16 in Arizona, are 36-17 in their last 53 following defeat and 33-15 in their last 48 games as a favorite. The Reds also have the edge on the mound with Mat Latos. They are 22-8 in his last 30 starts, 25-10 in his last 35 starts as a favorite, 8-3 in his last 11 road starts and 9-2 in his last 11 starts following a team loss in their previous game. In other words, Latos has been a guy the Reds can count on when needing a "W". Take Cincinnati.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -137
The Key: Off back-to-back losses to the club with the worst record in the league, the defending World Series champs will be hungry and focused this afternoon. I also expect the Giants to get a strong outing from southpaw Barry Zito given Miami's struggles against lefty starters. The Marlins are batting .208 and scoring 2.2 runs per game off left-handed starters this season. They are 9-24 in their last 33 games versus a left-handed starter. The Giants are 21-7 in Zito's last 28 starts. They are 9-2 in his last 11 starts as a home favorite, 7-1 in his last 8 home starts versus a team with a losing record and 6-0 in his last 6 starts in the third game of a series. Zito is 5-1 (6-2 on the money line) with an ERA of 2.45 in 8 starts versus Miami. Take San Francisco.

6* MLB Bailout on Dodgers -147
The Key: I successfully played against the Dodgers last night, but I'm backing them here with ace Clayton Kershaw (5-4, 1.84 ERA) on the hill. He gives them a decisive advantage on the mound. The Dodgers are 4-1 in Kershaw's last 5 road starts, 42-19 in his last 61 starts as a favorite and 22-7 in his last 29 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. He has a 2.44 ERA in 19 starts versus San Diego, and the Dodgers are 3-0 in his last 3 road starts against the Padres. The Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 5-0 in their last 5 in the second game of a series. San Diego's Clayton Richard (2-5, 7.01 ERA) is having a miserable season. The Padres are 1-7 in his last 8 starts, including 0-4 in his last 4 starts on regular rest. Take L.A.

6* NL *CA$H COW* on Reds -113
The Key: The Reds were upset by Pittsburgh as a -200 favorite yesterday, but recent history says they'll bounce back strong here. In fact, they are 11-0 since the start of last season off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -150 or higher. Johnny Cueto has owned the NL West, Arizona specifically. The Reds are 6-0 in Cueto's last 6 starts versus National League West foes. They are also 6-0 all-time in his starts versus Arizona, and he has posted a 1.66 ERA in these games. Arizona's Wade Miley has a 6.86 ERA at home and an extra day of rest doesn't figure to help as the Diamondbacks are 0-4 in his last 4 starts on 5 days' rest. The Reds are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings and 13-3 in the last 16 meetings in Arizona. Take Cincy.

7* AL Central Game of the Year on Royals -130
The Key: The Royals are showing terrific value at this price with Jeremy Guthrie getting the ball. They are 12-1 in his last 13 home starts, including 10-0 in his last 10 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Guthrie has owned the AL Central, going 6-0 with a 1.77 ERA against division opponents this season. The Royals are 7-0 in his last 7 starts versus the AL Central and 12-1 in his last 13. He's especially had his way with Chicago. The Royals are 6-0 all-time in Guthrie's starts against the White Sox, and he's held them to 1 earned run or less in all 6. Kansas City is also 5-0 in its last 5 games as a home favorite and 4-0 in its last 4 series openers. The White Sox are really struggling, and they are 0-4 in Hector Santiago's last 4 road starts. Take Kansas City.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Padres -132
The Key: This is a tough spot for the Dodgers, who played a double header yesterday in New York, traveled across the country and play again tonight. The Padres, who are 6-0 in their last 6 home games, find themselves in excellent hands with Jason Marquis marching out to the mound. They are 4-0 in Marquis' last 4 starts and 7-0 in his last 7 home starts. He's allowed 3 earned runs or less in each of those 7 wins. The Padres are also 4-0 in their last 4 series openers and 4-0 in Marquis' last 4 series-opening starts. Take San Diego.

7* NBA Finals Game 7 *HEAVY HITTER* on Heat -5.5
The Key: San Antonio won't be able to recover from blowing an NBA title in Game 6. The Spurs appeared to have it in the bag up five with 28 seconds left, but they let it slip through their fingertips. Besides an emotional letdown, I expect a physical letdown from the Spurs. Tim Duncan and Tony Parker both logged big minutes in Game 6. With short recovery time, it will be tough for them to be at the top of their games tonight. Miami should be able to respond better to the short turnaround and will be lifted by the home crowd. The Heat are 46-7 at home where they carry a 10.5-pt average margin of victory. Also, home teams are 41-12 in the last 53 Game 7's. Lay the points.

6* NBA Finals Game 7 "Total" Annihilator on Spurs/Heat Under 189
The Key: It's hard for teams to play loose in Game 7 of the NBA Finals knowing what's at stake. We've seen a recent trend of teams struggling at the offensive end as a result. Some of the struggles can also be attributed to teams playing at a higher level on defense. We've seen only 174, 155 and 162 total points scored in the last three NBA Finals Game 7's. Playing the Under on all teams in the NBA Finals when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points has produced a 50-18 mark since 1996. We've seen just 180.4 total points scored on average in this situation. Take the Under.

7* MLB Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on Nationals -113
The Key: The Nationals have gotten their backers over the hump on Humpday as they are 22-8 in their last 30 Wednesday games. They are 5-0 in Gio Gonzalez's last 5 Wednesday starts. The Phillies haven't had as much luck in the middle of the week as they are 4-9 in their last 13 Wednesday games. The Nats are also an impressive 22-9 in their last 31 games as a road favorite and 4-0 in Gonzalez's last 4 starts as a road favorite. Gonzalez is yet to make a start against Philly this season but went 3-1 with an ERA of 2.52 against it last year. Kyle Kendrick, who has a 5.11 ERA against Washington, gave up 5 runs in 5 innings against the Nats last month. The Phillies are just 2-6 in Kendrick's last 8 starts versus the Nationals. Take Washington.

6* MLB Afternoon Delight on Giants -149
The Key: The Giants get the call with Madison Bumgarner on the bump given the level of success he's had against San Diego. The Giants are 8-1 in his last 9 starts versus the Padres and 6-0 in his last 6 home starts against them. He's allowed 2 earned runs or less in each of his last 4 home starts versus San Diego. Eric Stults has given up 10 earned runs in 11 innings spanning 2 starts this season versus the Giants, which should not come as a big surprise considering San Fran is batting .294 and scoring 5.0 runs per game off lefty starters this season. Take the Giants.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -140
The Key: The defending World Series champs have been a tremendous investment at home where they have won 35 of their last 52. They are an even more impressive 17-6 in their last 23 home games versus a team with a winning record. And, they have won 13 of their last 17 at home versus the Padres. In addition, the Giants are 9-0 this season when they check in with 5 of 6 losses in a 7-game stretch. The Giants are 55-27 in Matt Cain's last 82 home starts and 7-2 in his last 9 starts overall. San Francisco is 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite, 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 6-0 in his last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Cain is 4-0 in his last 4 home starts and 3-0 in his last 3 starts versus the Padres. Take the Giants.

7* NBA Finals Game 6 *HEAVY HITTER* on Heat -7
The Key: Miami hasn't lost consecutive games in these playoffs. It is a perfect 6-0 in the postseason following a loss and has won these games by an average of 20.7 points. Each of these wins have come by at least 11 points. Looking back further, the Heat haven't lost consecutive games since early January. They are 12-0 in their last 12 games following a loss and have won these by an average of 19.5 points with the lowest winning margin being 10 points. The defending champs have answered the bell each time they've tasted defeat over the last five months, and I expect no different tonight on their home floor. Lay the points.

6* MLB Bailout on Giants -129
The Key: San Diego is coming off a perfect hometstand, but things won't go as perfectly on the road against the defending champs with Barry Zito on the bump. The Padres are 3-13 in their last 16 visits to San Francisco, including 0-3 this season. Also, the Giants are 21-6 in Zito's last 27 starts, including a perfect 7-0 in his last 7 home starts versus a team with a winning record. Zito is carrying a 1.94 ERA at home this season and he's won each of his last 2 home starts against the Padres while giving up only 1 run in 15 innings. Take San Fran.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on D-backs -1.5 +102
The Key: The D-backs are 13-0 in Pat Corbin's starts this season, and he has posted an ERA of just 2.28 in these games. Arizona has won these games by an average of 3.2 runs so there is value in taking it on the run line. Corbin has an ERA of 1.60 at home on the season, and the D-backs are 8-0 in his last 8 home starts dating back to last season. They've won these by an average of 2.6 runs. Corbin should have plenty of success against a Miami lineup that is batting just .217 against lefties. It's also important to note that the D-backs are 4-0 in their last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days and 4-0 in Corbin's last 4 series-opening starts. Miami is 0-5 in the first game during each of its 5 road trips this season. Take Arizona on the run line.

7* NBA Finals Total of the Year on Heat/Spurs Under 188
The Key: I'm confident both teams will bring the "D" in this all-important Game 5. San Antonio knows it's not going to beat the Heat if it allows them to shoot 52.9% like it did in Game 4. The Spurs will tighten the screws defensively. I also expect them to do a much better job of taking care of the rock. San Antonio had 18 turnovers in Game 4. Those turnovers led to a lot of easy opportunities for Miami. If the Spurs cut down on the giveaways, they can keep the Heat out of transition offense. The Spurs hit 8 3-pointers in Game 4, but Miami did a much better job of chasing shooters off the 3-point line. I expect it to do an even better job in Game 5. The Heat made just 4 3-point shots in Game 4 and took just 12. I believe it will look to attack the basket again in Game 5, which bodes well for us because the 3-point shot can spoil the under. There is also a great amount of history on our side. Plays on the under on all teams in the NBA Finals when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points are 50-16 since 1996. In addition, plays under on all #1 seeds in the NBA Finals (Miami in this case) when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points are 24-5 since 1996. The defensive intensity of both teams will be at its height in Game 5, and this one should come in under the total as a result. Take the Under.

6* NBA Finals Game 5 *CA$H COW* on Spurs +1.5
The Key: Just like the Miami Heat, the Spurs have been incredibly resilient in these playoffs. San Antonio has not lost consecutive games this postseason and is a perfect 3-0 following its previous 3 postseason defeats. It has won these games by an average of 21.3 points. This is a game the Spurs know they must get because it will be extremely difficult for them to win two straight in Miami. The Spurs are 22-9 ATS all-time under coach Popovich when tied in a playoff series. They are 16-4 ATS the last 3 seasons when out for revenge for a home loss to an opponent. They are also a perfect 7-0 ATS this season following a defeat at home and have won these 7 by an average of 14.0 points. Take the Spurs.