7* Interleague Game of the Week on Washington Nationals -128

The Key: We're getting to lay a very low price on the better team and the better starter today in Oakland.  The Washington Nationals are 33-19 on the season.  Stephen Strasburg is 6-1 with a 2.94 ERA in 10 starts, and 4-0 with a 2.70 ERA in 5 road starts.  The Nationals have gone 8-2 in Strasburg's 10 starts.  Andrew Triggs is 3-3 with a 4.09 ERA at home this year.  Washington is 9-1 in road games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season.  The Nationals are 39-12 in Strasburg's last 51 starts.  Washington is 10-1 in Strasburg's last 11 starts during game 1 of a series.  Take Washington.

7* Cavs/Warriors Game 1 *HEAVY HITTER* on Golden State -7

The Key: The Golden State Warriors will jump on the Cavaliers in Game 1 to make an early statement that this series isn't going to go like it did last year.  The Warriors just have too many weapons now with the addition of Durant, and they are the second-best defensive team in the NBA and have the players who can contain Lebron James.  This is a highly anticipated series, but the casual fan will be disappointed with Game 1 as the Warriors run away with it.  They are 27-1 in their last 28 games overall, including 12-0 in these playoffs with 9 straight double-digit victories.  Take Golden State.

6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Arizona Diamondbacks -122

The Key: The Arizona Diamondbacks are 33-22 (+11.4 units) and one of the most profitable teams in baseball.  The Miami Marlins are 21-30 (-9.4 units) and one of the least profitable teams in MLB.  But the Marlins are starting to get too much respect from the books due to their 4-game winning streak, which includes 3 straight wins over the lowly Phillies.  Ace Zack Greinke gets the ball for the Diamondbacks looking to improve on his 6-3 record with a 3.23 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 11 starts this year.  Greinke is 4-0 (7-0 money line) with a 3.09 ERA in 7 lifetime starts vs. Miami having never lost to them.  Jeff Locke makes his first start of the season for the Marlins, and he's 1-2 with a 7.25 ERA and 1.84 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts vs. Arizona.  Take Arizona.

7* AL Central Game of the Month on Kansas City Royals -115

The Key: The Kansas City Royals have a massive advantage on the mound tonight.  Ian Kennedy sports a 4.43 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 8 starts this year, including a 3.04 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 4 home starts.  Matt Boyd sports a 5.40 ERA in 10 starts this year, including 0-2 with a 10.22 ERA and 2.68 WHIP in his last 3 outings.  While Kennedy sports a 3.78 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts vs. Detroit, Boyd is 1-3 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.87 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts vs. Kansas City.  The Tigers are 0-6 in Boyd's last six starts.  Take Kansas City.

7* MLB Total of the Month on Astros/Twins OVER 9

The Key: Both Mike Fiers and Jose Berrios are fly ball pitchers.  That's bad news for both of them because the wind is blowing out to center at 14 miles per hour tonight.  Fiers has served up 18 homers already in 46 2/3 innings.  Berriors gave up 3 solo homers in his last start alone.  The OVER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings, which includes the 24 runs they combined to score yesterday.  Take the OVER.

7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-120)

The Key: The Cleveland Indians throw their best starter in Carlos Carrasco Monday.  All he's done is go 4-2 with a 2.93 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 9 starts this season.  And Carrasco certainly enjoys facing the A's, going 2-0 with a 1.13 ERA and 0.58 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against them.  Daniel Mengden is making his first start of the season for the A's.  Mengden went 2-9 with a 6.50 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 14 starts for the A's last season in his only previous big league action.  Cleveland is 30-8 after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.  It is winning by 2.8 runs per game in this spot.  Take Cleveland on the Run Line.

7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Tampa Bay Rays -105

The Key: We're getting the Rays at even money today despite the fact that they have a huge advantage on the mound today.  Alex Cobb is 4-4 with a 3.82 ERA and 1.26 WHIP in 10 starts this year.  He has been much better than Minnesota's Kyle Gibson, who is 1-4 with an 8.62 ERA and 1.98 WHIP in 7 starts.  Cobb is 1-0 with a 3.17 ERA in one lifetime start vs. Minnesota, while Gibson is 1-4 with a 7.82 ERA in 5 lifetime starts vs. Tampa Bay.  The Rays are 8-2 in their last 10 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.  The Twins are 1-4 in Gibson's last 5 home starts.  The Rays are 19-7 in the last 26 meetings in Minnesota.  Take Tampa Bay.

7* Braves/Giants National League *BAILOUT* on San Francisco -125

The Key: The San Francisco Giants have not gotten off to a very good start these first few months.  But now the price with them is going to be favorable moving forward, especially today as they are coming off 4 straight losses and should be hungry for a win.  I'm going to back the Giants and Ty Blach, who is 1-1 with a 1.73 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in 4 home starts this year.  He has been dominant in all of his starts outside of one against the Reds.  The Braves are 17-35 in their last 52 road games vs. a left-handed starter.  Take San Francisco.

7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (+120)

The Key: I'm backing the Cleveland Indians to win by multiple runs tonight over the Kansas City Royals due to their advantage on the mound and at the plate.  Mike Clevinger has gone 2-1 with a 1.59 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in three starts this season for the Indians.  One of those was against the Royals on May 7th as he pitched 5 2/3 shutout innings.  Clevinger is now 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA in 2 lifetime starts vs. Kansas City.  Ian Kennedy is 0-2 with an 8.49 ERA in his last 3 starts, and 2-4 with a 5.18 ERA in 8 lifetime starts vs. Cleveland.  Kansas City is 2-15 in road games after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base over the last 2 seasons.  It is losing by 3.1 runs per game in this spot.  Take Cleveland on the Run Line.

7* Cavs/Celtics Game 5 *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 217

The Key: The Cavs shot 56.5% in Game 2 and it went UNDER.  The Cavs shot 59.5% in Game 4 and it went UNDER.  The Cavs can't shoot the ball any better, and yet the UNDER has cashed two of the last three games.  And I think Game 5 will be the lowest scoring yet after a previous low of 211 in Game 4.  The Celtics are worse offensively but better defensively without Isaiah Thomas.  Boston is 8-0 UNDER as a home dog of 6.5 to 12 points over the last three seasons.  The UNDER is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Boston.  Take the UNDER. 

7* American League Game of the Month on Tampa Bay Rays -108

The Key: The Tampa Bay Rays have lost 3 in a row, including two by exactly one run, and they'll be hungry for a victory tonight against the Angels.  Erasmo Ramirez is 1-0 with a 2.61 ERA and 0.87 WHIP in 2 starts this season.  Ramirez is 2-2 with a 2.64 ERA in 5 lifetime starts vs. Los Angeles.  Ricky Nolasco is 2-3 with a 4.01 ERA in 9 starts this season.  He's 3-6 with a 6.57 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in 9 lifetime starts vs. Tampa Bay.  The Angels are 0-4 in Nolasco's last 4 starts.  The Rays are 9-3 in Ramirez's last 12 starts vs. a team with a winning record.  The Angels are 17-37 in their last 54 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.  Take Tampa Bay.

7* Celtics/Cavs Game 4 *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 218

The Key: The Cavs and Celtics could not have shot any better in Game 3 and they STILL only combined for 219 points.  The Celtics went a ridiculous 18-of-40 (45%) from 3-point range, while the Cavs went 16-of-39 (41%) from distance.  The chances of that happening again are highly unlikely, thus we'll take the UNDER in Game 4.  The UNDER is 14-5-2 in Celtics last 21 road games.  Take the UNDER.

6* Interleague Game of the Week on Milwaukee Brewers -104

The Key: Great price here with the underrated Milwaukee Brewers at basically even money against the overrated Toronto Blue Jays.  The Brewers have an excellent lineup that is scoring 5.3 runs per game overall and 5.9 per game at home.  The Blue Jays are hitting .238 and scoring 4.1 runs per game as their lineup has taken a big step back this year. Jimmy Nelson has been unhittable in his last 3 starts, going 1-0 with a 1.15 ERA and 1.02 WHIP.  Joe Biagini is only averaging 4.3 innings per start as he is no more than a spot starter for the Blue Jays right now.  The Blue Jays are 1-7 in their last 8 games following an off day.  The Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.  The Brewers are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.  Take Milwaukee.

7* Warriors/Spurs Game 4 *HEAVY HITTER* on San Antonio +12

The Key: The San Antonio Spurs won't just quit even though this series is essentially over.  Greg Popovich will make sure his players give a big effort tonight in Game 4 to avoid the sweep.  And we're getting some serious line value here with the Spurs as 12-point home dogs with the books knowing that the public is just going to keep pounding the Warriors no matter how high they set the line.  We'll go against the public here tonight.  Bets against road favorites of 10 or more points (GOLDEN STATE) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game are 70-27 ATS since 1996.  Take San Antonio.

6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Pittsburgh Pirates -120

The Key: The Pittsburgh Pirates are playing very well right now in going 6-2 in their last 8 games overall.  Now they send ace Gerrit Cole to the mound Monday to keep it going.  Cole is 2-4 with a 2.84 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 9 starts this year, and 1-1 with a 1.71 ERA and 0.81 WHIP in his last 3 outings.  He'll be opposed by Mike Foltynewicz, who is 1-2 with a 6.35 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in 3 home starts this year.  Cole has never lost to the Braves, going 3-0 (5-0 money line) with a 2.25 ERA in 5 lifetime starts.  Foltynewicz has never beaten the Pirates, going 0-3 with an 8.25 ERA in 3 lifetime starts.  Take Pittsburgh.

7* NBA 3rd Round Total of the Year on Celtics/Cavs UNDER 217

The Key: The Celtics will now be without leading scorer Isaiah Thomas for the rest of the playoffs.  It will certainly hurt their offense moving forward, especially here in Game 3 as they are not used to playing without him.  He creates so much for them offensively.  Where they won't miss him is on the other end, where Thomas is one of the worst defensive point guards in the NBA.  I really love this UNDER in Game 3 as it's one of my strongest plays of the postseason.  They combined for 216 points in Game 2 and will certainly combine for less than that now that the Celtics are worse off on offense and better off on defense.  The UNDER is 5-1 in Celtics last 6 road games.  The UNDER is 81-38-3 in Cavs last 122 Sunday games.  The UNDER is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings.  Take the UNDER.

6* Rangers/Tigers ESPN *BAILOUT* on Texas -120

The Key: The Texas Rangers are the hottest team in baseball.  They have gone 10-1 in their last 11 games overall.  They lost yesterday, but should start a new streak today with their advantage on the mound.  Yu Darvish is an elite ace who is 4-2 with a 2.61 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 9 starts this season.  He'll be opposed by Matt Boyd, who is 2-3 with a 5.18 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 8 starts, including 0-2 with a 7.31 ERA and 1.81 WHIP in his last 3 outings.  Boyd is 1-3 with a 5.24 ERA in 4 lifetime starts vs. Texas.  Darvish has never lost to the Tigers, going a perfect 6-0 with a 3.46 ERA and 1.104 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts.  Take Texas.

7* Warriors/Spurs Game 3 *HEAVY HITTER* on San Antonio +9.5

The Key: The San Antonio Spurs aren't the type of team that's just going to pack it in down 2-0.  They were deflated in Game 2 after losing Kawhi Leonard to injury in Game 1, and they did not play well as they shot just 37% while the Warriors hot 56% for the game.  Look for them to show some pride tonight.  After all, they are still 8-2 without Leonard this season, so they have the pieces to make this game competitive.  I always like backing home teams in the playoffs in Game 3 after losing the first two games of the series because you know they are going to give the effort with their season basically on the line.  The Spurs are 19-9 ATS in the last 28 home meetings.  Take San Antonio.

6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on St. Louis Cardinals -138

The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals are hungry for a victory tonight after losing three straight.  They blew a 5-3 lead in the 8th inning last night to the Giants, giving up 2 runs in the 9th to lose 5-6.  I expect them to bounce back thanks to their huge advantage on the mound Saturday.  Carlos Martinez is 2-1 with a 3.06 ERA in 5 home starts this season and 3-0 with a 2.70 ERA in his last 3 starts overall.  Jeff Samardzija is 1-5 with a 5.26 ERA in 8 starts this year and 0-3 with a 6.66 ERA in 4 road starts.  Samardzija gave up 6 runs and 4 homers in 5 innings in a 4-7 loss to the Cardinals in his last start at St. Louis.  Martinez has never lost to the Giants, going 2-0 with a 3.27 ERA in 2 lifetime starts against them.  The Cardinals are 16-4 after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.  The Cardinals are 24-7 in Martinez's last 31 starts vs. a team with a losing record.  Take St. Louis.

7* Cavs/Celtics Game 2 *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston +6.5

The Key: The Boston Celtics are in must-win mode here in Game 2.  They let the Cavs take it to them in Game 1 and won't make that same mistake again tonight.  The Cavs are clearly a public team right now as they have gone 4-0-1 ATS in their last five playoff games while winning all nine playoff games thus far.  The public is going to continue to back them blindly, and this line is up to 6.5 in some places today after being just 3.5 in Game 1.  That's a clear over-adjustment as the books know that the public is only going to back the Cavs.  This extra line value is a nice bonus in a game the Celtics will likely win outright.  Take Boston.

6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on St. Louis Cardinals -145

The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals have gone 8-3 in their last 11 games overall to really turn their season around and get atop the NL Central division.  They have a huge advantage on the mound tonight over the struggling San Francisco Giants, who are 17-25 on the season, including 6-15 in road games.  Michael Wacha is 2-1 with a 3.19 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 6 starts this season.  Wacha has gone 2-0 with a 2.92 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 4 home starts.  He is also 1-0 with a 1.88 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts vs. San Francisco.  Matt Moore is 2-4 with a 5.68 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in 8 starts this year, including 0-3 with a 10.51 ERA and 2.17 WHIP in 4 road starts.  Moore is 0-10 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in road games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.  The Giants are 16-45 in their last 61 road games vs. a team with a winning record.  Take St. Louis.

7* Red Sox/A's American League *BAILOUT* on Boston -103

The Key: Getting the Boston Red Sox at basically even money against the Oakland A's is a gift from the books tonight.  Hector Velazquez will make his major league debut and has the element of surprise working in his favor.  Velazquez sports a 1.55 ERA at Triple-A Pawtucket this season.  Sonny Gray is still looking for his first win for the A's, going 0-1 with a 3.78 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 3 starts this year.  Gray has never beaten the Red Sox, going 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA in 3 lifetime starts.  The Red Sox are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.  The A's are 5-16 in Gray's last 21 starts.  Oakland is 6-21 in its last 27 during game 1 of a series.  The Red Sox are 9-1 in the last 10 meetings.  Take Boston.

7* Cavs/Celtics Game 1 *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston +5

The Key: The Boston Celtics have only played 4 games in the past 10 days.  So I'm not buying the public perception that they are fatigued heading into this series.  The Cavaliers have had 9 days off in between games and I think that puts them at a disadvantage in Game 1.  The Celtics are favored by 4 at home in their final regular season meeting with the Cavaliers.  Now they are GETTING 5 points in Game 1.  That's way too big of an adjustment.  The Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.  Take Boston.

6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Detroit Tigers -141

The Key: The Detroit Tigers have a huge advantage on the mound today with Michael Fulmer over Ubaldo Jimenez.  Fulmer is 4-1 with a 2.54 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in seven starts this season.  Jimenez is 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in six starts this season.  The Tigers went 2-0 in Fulmer's 2 starts against the Orioles last season.  Jimenez is 6-11 with a 5.72 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 21 lifetime starts vs. Detroit.  The Tigers are 29-7 in their last 36 after scoring 8 or more runs in their previous game.  The Tigers are 17-4 in Fulmer's last 21 starts when the total is 8.5 to 10.  Take Detroit.

6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Arizona Diamondbacks -160

The Key: The Arizona Diamondbacks have a huge advantage on the mound with Zack Greinke, who is 4-2 with a 2.79 ERA in 8 starts, and 3-0 with a 2.27 ERA in 5 home starts.  Greinke is 5-2 with a 2.87 ERA in 9 lifetime starts vs. New York.  Tom Milone is 1-0 with a 4.74 ERA in 4 starts this season for the Mets.  Milone sports a 7.20 ERA in his lone lifetime start vs. Arizona.  Greinke is 81-23 (+40.3 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more lifetime.  The Mets are 0-5 in their last 5 games overall.  The Diamondbacks are 20-8 in their last 28 home games.  Arizona is 9-2 in its last 11 home games vs. a left-handed starter.  Take Arizona.

7* Spurs/Warriors Game 2 *HEAVY HITTER* on San Antonio +14

The Key: There's no question that the loss of Kawhi Leonard is huge for the Spurs.  But I think the books have over-adjusted here in Game 2.  In fact, the Spurs are actually 8-1 this season without Leonard, which is remarkable.  They thumped Houston 114-75 on the road without Leonard in Game 6 last series.  Bets against home favorites (GOLDEN STATE) - when leading in a playoff series, a top-level team (75% or better) playing a good team (60% to 75%) are 32-9 ATS since 1996.  San Antonio is 8-0 ATS off a close road loss of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.  The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.  Take San Antonio.

7* Wizards/Celtics Game 7 *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston -5

The Key: The home team has won all 10 meetings between the Wizards and Celtics this season.  The home team has gone 9-1 ATS in those 10 games as well.  The Boston Celtics have won 8 straight home meetings with the Wizards while going 8-0 ATS in the process.  I think they'll fee off their home crowd and run away with this Game 7, just as they have in all previous 8 home meetings with the Wizards.  Take Boston.

6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Cleveland Indians -147

The Key: Carlos Carrasco is one of the best starters in baseball.  He has gone 4-2 with a 1.86 ERA and 0.77 WHIP in 7 starts this season.  Carrasco certainly enjoys facing the Rays, going 3-3 with a 2.57 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts against them.  He has yielded only 2 earned runs over 16 2/3 innings while winning each of his last 2 starts against Tampa Bay.  Chris Archer has never beaten the Indians, going 0-5 with a 5.14 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts against them.  Take Cleveland.

6* MLB Dog of the Week on Pittsburgh Pirates +130

The Key: The Pittsburgh Pirates should not be underdogs to the Arizona Diamondbacks, let alone +130 dogs, when you considering the huge advantage they have on the mound today.  Ivan Nova continues to get no love from oddsmakers despite the fact that he's 3-3 with a 2.23 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in 7 starts this season.  Robbie Ray is 2-3 with a 4.14 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 7 starts for Arizona, and 1-2 with a 6.35 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in 4 home starts.  Ray has never beaten the Pirates, going 0-2 (0-3 money line) with a 7.07 ERA and 1.93 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against them.  The Diamondbacks are 1-7 in Ray's last 8 starts as a home favorite of -125 to -175.  Take Pittsburgh.

7* Spurs/Warriors Game 1 *HEAVY HITTER* on Golden State -9.5

The Key: The Golden State Warriors are chomping at the bit to get back on the court again.  They swept each of their first round series against the Blazers and Jazz while winning seven of those games by 11 points or more.  I think they get a double-digit win over the Spurs in Game 1.  The Spurs are banged up right now without Tony Parker and with Kawhi Leonard nowhere near 100%.  They have also only had two days off since beating the Rockets in Game 6, while the Warriors have had five days off in between.  San Antonio is 0-7 ATS off a road win over a division opponent this season.  The Warriors are 17-5-1 ATS in their last 23 games overall.  Take Golden State.

7* MLB Run Line Game of the Month on Washington Nationals -1.5 (+125)

The Key: I'll back the Washington Nationals on the Run Line tonight against the struggling Philadelphia Phillies, who are 2-10 in their last 12 games overall.  The Nationals are 22-12 on the season behind a lineup that is hitting .283 and scoring 6.1 runs per game.  Tanner Roark has been a money-making machine over the past few seasons as he's consistently undervalued.  Roark is 3-1 with a 3.46 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 7 starts this season.  He'll be opposed by Nick Pivetta, who is 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.90 WHIP in 2 starts for the Phillies this year.  Roark is 4-4 with a 3.19 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 12 lifetime starts vs. Philadelphia.  Pivetta gave up 4 runs, 3 homers and 9 hits in 5 innings of a 2-4 loss to the Nationals on May 5th in his only lifetime start against them.  Take Washington on the Run Line.

6* Interleague *CA$H COW* on Chicago White Sox -127

The Key: The Chicago White Sox are hungry for a victory after losing 5 straight games coming in.  They should get back on the winning track tonight against one of the worst teams in baseball in the San Diego Padres.  Plus, they have a massive advantage on the rubber with Miguel Gonzalez.  He is 3-2 with a 3.18 ERA in 6 starts this season and 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA in 2 home starts.  He'll be opposed by Jhoulys Chacin, who is 3-3 with a 5.49 ERA in 7 starts, and 1-3 with a 10.71 ERA in 4 road starts.  Chicago is 29-12 in its last 41 home games following 5 or more consecutive losses.  The Padres are 17-43 in their last 60 road games.  San Diego is 1-7 in its last 8 games overall.  The White Sox are 5-0 in Gonzalez's last 5 home starts.  Take Chicago.

7* Celtics/Wizards Game 6 *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 217

The Key: The Over has gone 4-1 in this series thus far.  But I think Game 6 is primed to be the lowest scoring game yet as these teams clearly know one another very well now.  And with the pressure of an elimination game, I don't expect the Wizards to shoot lights out, but their defensive effort will be there for four quarters.  This one will be played at a much slower pace give the high stakes.  Boston is 7-0 UNDER in Friday night road games this season.  Boston is 13-2 UNDER in road games versus teams who allow 46% shooting or worse this season.  Take the UNDER.

7* Spurs/Rockets Game 6 *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston -6

The Key: I like the way the Houston Rockets responded the first time they trailed in this series.  Trailing 2-1, they blew out the Spurs 125-104 at home in Game 4.  After they gave away Game 5, I think the Rockets will respond with a big performance in Game 6 at home here again Thursday.  The Spurs are already without Tony Parker, and now Kawhi Leonard is nowhere near 100% as he's nursing ankle and knee injuries.  This is just a really bad spot for the Spurs here tonight.  Take Houston.

7* NBA 2nd Round Game of the Year on Boston Celtics -4

The Key: This one is really as simply as it gets.  The home team has been dominant when the Wizards and Celtics get together.  The home team has won 8 straight while going a perfect 8-0 ATS in the process.  The Celtics have won 7 straight home meetings with the Wizards while going 7-0 ATS as well.  They have won all 7 games by at least 8 points. Take Boston.

6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on St. Louis Cardinals -103

The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals are playing their best baseball of the season right now.  They have won 5 straight while scoring at least 5 runs in all five games.  They are now 18-14 on the season.  The Miami Marlins have gone the other direction, going 3-10 in their last 13 games overall.  Lance Lynn has been the Cardinals' best starter this season with a 4-1 record and a 2.04 ERA in 6 starts, including 3-0 with a 1.00 ERA in his last 3 outings.  Tom Koehler is 1-1 with a 5.40 ERA in 6 starts for the Marlins.  Lynn has never lost to the Marlins, going 4-0 with a 3.28 ERA in 4 lifetime starts.  Koehler is 1-3 with a 7.84 ERA in 4 lifetime starts against the Cards.  Take St. Louis.

6* AL Central Game of the Week on Minnesota Twins -102

The Key: The Minnesota Twins have a big advantage on the mound tonight, yet we're getting them at a generous price of basically even money.  Hector Santiago is 3-1 with a 2.78 ERA in 6 starts this season.  Santiago really enjoys facing the White Sox, going 4-1 with a 1.40 ERA in 6 lifetime starts against them.  Mike Pelfrey is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He has gone 0-2 with a 5.02 ERA in 3 starts for Chicago this season.  Pelfrey is 1-1 with a 6.88 ERA in 4 lifetime starts vs. Chicago as well.  The Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 road games.  The Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 trips to Chicago.  Take Minnesota.

7* Rockets/Spurs Game 5 *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston +5.5

The Key: Not every game in this series is going to be a blowout.  After all, the four regular season meetings were all decided by 6 points or less, including three by exactly 2 points.  But each of the first four games in this series have been decided by 11 points or more.  The Rockets won by 21 and 27 points in their two victories.  I have a sneaky suspicion this Game 5 comes down to the final shot, and thus the price is a good one in getting the Rockets at +5.5.  The road team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.  Take Houston.

7* Warriors/Jazz Game 4 *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 207

The Key: We cashed in the UNDER in Game 3 with a 102-91 final and a total of 207.5.  The oddsmakers have failed to adjust enough for Game 4 with another 207-point total.  The UNDER is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings between the Jazz and Warriors.  They have combined for 205 or fewer points in 7 of those 9 meetings.  The UNDER is 25-8-2 in the last 35 meetings, including 11-4-1 in the last 16 meetings in Utah dating back further.  The UNDER is 20-5-1 in Warriors last 26 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.  The UNDER is 26-10 in Warriors last 36 road games.  The UNDER is 7-1-1 in Jazz last 9 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.  The UNDER is 10-2 in Jazz last 12 games following a double-digit loss at home.  Take the UNDER.

6* National League *CA$H COW* on St. Louis Cardinals -119

The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals are playing their best baseball of the season in winning 7 of their last 10 games overall coming in.  The Miami Marlins have gone just 3-9 in their last 12 games overall.  The Cardinals have the clear advantage on the mound tonight.  Carlos Martinez is 1-3 with a 3.75 ERA in 6 starts, and 1-1 with a 3.79 ERA in 3 lifetime starts vs. Miami.  Adam Conley is 2-1 with a 6.00 ERA in 5 starts this year, and 0-1 with a 14.08 ERA in 2 home starts.  The Cardinals are 6-0 in their last 6 road games.  The Cardinals are 23-7 in Martinez' last 30 starts vs. a team with a losing record.  The Marlins are 0-7 in their last 7 Game 1's of a series.  Take St. Louis.

6* Yankees/Cubs Interleague Game of the Week on Chicago -124

The Key: The Chicago Cubs have dropped the first two games of this series to the Yankees.  Now they'll be wanting to save face tonight and avoid the sweep.  Jon Lester is clearly the better starter in this matchup with Luis Severino, which wasn't the case in the first two games, though they should have won Game 1 after blowing a 2-0 lead in the 9th.  Then Brett Anderson got shelled yesterday.  Lester will stop the bleeding here.  The Cubs have gone 14-0 in his last 14 home starts in night games.  Take Chicago.

7* Celtics/Wizards Game 4 *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 216

The Key: The Celtics and Wizards are getting more familiar with one another as this series goes on.  After two shootouts in Boston, these teams combined for just 205 points in Game 3 in Washington.  I think we see a similar result here with what's at stake, and especially now that the Wizards are without one of their biggest offensive weapons in Kelly Oubre in Game 4 due to suspension.  The UNDER is 13-3-2 in Celtics last 18 road games, including 5-0-1 in Celtics last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.  The UNDER is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 home games.  Take the UNDER.

6* MLB Total of the Week on Rangers/Mariners OVER 8.5

The Key: The OVER is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 games overall, while the OVER is 3-1 in Rangers last 4 games.  Martin Perez is 1-4 with a 4.26 ERA in 6 starts, and 0-1 with a 5.19 ERA in 2 road starts this year.  Chase De Jong is 0-1 with a 20.22 ERA in his lone start this season, allowing 6 runs and 11 base runners in 2 2/3 innings of a 4-12 loss at Cleveland.  Seattle is 14-4 OVER in May home games over the last 2 seasons.  Seattle is 37-19 OVER in home games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.  Perez is 10-1 OVER in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in his career.  The OVER is 9-2 in Perez's last 11 starts vs. Seattle.  The OVER is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.  Take the OVER.

7* NBA 2nd Round Total of the Year on Warriors/Jazz UNDER 208

The Key: The UNDER is 6-1-1 in the last eight meetings in this series.  The Warriors and Jazz have combined for 209 or fewer points in seven of those eight meetings, and 205 or fewer in six of them.  The Jazz play at the slowest tempo in the NBA, and they'll control the pace playing at home in Game 3.  The UNDER is 25-10 in Warriors last 35 road games.  The UNDER is 24-8-2 in the last 34 meetings, and 10-4-1 in the last 15 meetings in Utah.  Take the UNDER.

7* Spurs/Rockets Game 3 *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston -4.5

The Key: James Harden had one of his worst games of the season in Game 2 as he went just 3-for-17 from the field.  Don't expect another poor performance from him here in Game 3 as this series shifts to Houston.  This is where the Rockets take control of the series as they are clearly the better team.  The Spurs are now down their starting point guard in Tony Parker for the rest of the postseason.  They will be lost without him as Kawhi Leonard will have to take over more of the PG duties, which he's unaccustomed to.  Leonard has too much on his plate for the Spurs.  The Rockets are a complete team that can beat you with a number of different players.  Take Houston.

6* NL West Game of the Week on Arizona Diamondbacks -107

The Key: I love the price we are getting with the Arizona Diamondbacks.  We're getting their ace in Zach Greinke at basically even money here.  Greinke sports a 3.19 ERA in 6 starts this year, including a 2.25 ERA in his last 3 starts.  He'll be opposed by German Marquez, who is 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA in his 2 starts this season.  The Rockies are 0-4 in Marquez's last 4 starts.  Take Arizona.

7* Jazz/Warriors Game 2 *HEAVY HITTER* on Utah +12.5

The Key: Gordon Hayward was basically a no-show in Game 1 and the Utah Jazz still managed to cover the 13-point spread.  Expect a much better game from him here tonight after he went just 2-for-9 for 12 points in Game 1.  Utah is 75-49 ATS when revenging a loss vs. opponent over the last three seasons.  The Jazz are 6-0 ATS in their last six road games.  Utah is 9-1-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on one days rest.  Take Utah.

6* Angels/Mariners AL West *BAILOUT* on Seattle -119

The Key: The Seattle Mariners have gone 7-4 at home this season and we are getting a great price on them as only -119 favorites over the Los Angeles Angels tonight.  Ariel Miranda has held his own this season, going 2-2 with a 3.81 ERA in 5 starts, including 1-1 with a 2.84 ERA in 2 home starts.  Miranda has never lost to the Angels, going 2-0 with a 3.71 ERA in 3 lifetime starts vs. Los Angeles.  Alex Meyer was rocked for a 9.00 ERA in his lone lifetime start against the Mariners.  The Angels are 4-9 in their last 13 home games.  The Mariners are 5-1 in Miranda's last 6 home starts.  Take Seattle.

6* Rockies/Padres NL West *BAILOUT* on Colorado -124

The Key: The Colorado Rockies have dropped two straight and five of their last seven.  They'll have a good opportunity to bounce back tonight against the San Diego Padres.  Jered Weaver is a dumpster fire who is far past his prime.  Weaver is 0-2 with a 4.71 ERA in 5 starts this season.  He'll be opposed by Antonio Senzatela, who is 3-1 with a 2.81 ERA in 5 starts, and 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA in 2 road starts.  Senzatela allowed just 2 runs in 7 innings of a 3-2 victory over the Padres on April 11th.  The Rockies are 8-1 in their last 9 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.  The Rockies are 4-1 in Senzatela's last 5 starts.  The Padres are 0-5 in Weaver's last 5 starts.  Take Colorado.

7* Raptors/Cavs Game 2 *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto +7.5

The Key: The Toronto Raptors are tired of getting beat down in Cleveland.  They have lost their last four playoff games in Cleveland by an average of 25 points.  I think they come out with a chip on their shoulder tonight and play the Cavs close from start to finish.  They were at least competitive in Game 1, losing by 11 points.  They will stay within 7.5 tonight, possibly pulling off the upset.  Toronto is 10-2 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season.  The Raptors are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games.  The Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.  The road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.  Take Toronto.

7* Jazz/Warriors Game 1 *HEAVY HITTER* on Golden State -12.5

The Key: Big advantage here for the Warriors in rest and preparation in Game 1.  The Warriors beat the Blazers in 4 games and have been off since April 24.  The Jazz needed 7 games to beat the Clippers and just wrapped up their series on Sunday.  Look for the Warriors to keep the foot on the gas in Game 1 and make a statement here.  The have had the Jazz number over the past couple seasons, going 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings at Golden State.  All 6 of those wins have come by at least 13 points, and that will get us a cover here in Game 1.  Take Golden State.

6* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on New York Yankees -1.5 (-105)

The Key: Masahiro Tanaka is 3-0 with a 1.61 ERA in his last 3 starts.  He is coming off a complete game shutout at Boston, so he's clearly finding his groove.  Mat Latos has been awful over the past few seasons and isn't about to resurrect his career in Toronto in the tough AL East.  Tanaka is 6-3 with a 2.34 ERA in 10 lifetime starts vs. Toronto.  The Yankees are 12-1 in Tanaka's last 13 starts as a home favorite of -110 or higher, winning by an average of 2.2 runs per game in this spot.  Take New York on the Run Line.

6* NL Central Game of the Week on Pittsburgh Pirates -109

The Key: The Cincinnati Reds have come back down to reality over the past few weeks.  They are just 2-8 in their last 10 games overall.  Amir Garrett is now 2-2 with a 5.09 ERA on the year after getting shelled for 9 earned runs in 3 1/3 innings in his last start against the Brewers.  Ace Gerrit Cole sports a 1.89 ERA over his last 3 starts and we'll back him at an excellent price tonight.  The Pirates are 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a left-handed starter.  Take Pittsburgh.

7* Raptors/Cavs Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto +7

The Key: The additions of Serge Ibaka and PJ Tucker make the Raptors the biggest threats to beat the Cavaliers in the Eastern Conference.  They took the Cavs to 6 games last year and are capable of winning this series now.  The Cavs aren't as strong as they were a year ago, especially defensively as they ranked 22nd in efficiency during the regular season.  They gave up 111 points per 100 possessions against the Pacers last series.  While they swept the Pacers, that series was much closer than the sweep would suggest as all 4 games were decided by 6 points or less.  Ibaka and Tucker helped the Raptors limit the Bucks to just 93.2 points per game last series.  It's clear that they are by far the superior defensive team in this series.  Toronto is hitting its stride in winning its last three games over the Bucks by a combined 39 points despite playing two of those games on the road.  The Raptors are 10-1 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season.  The Cavaliers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.  Take Toronto.

6* National League *CA$H COW* on San Francisco Giants -129

The Key: The Giants will bounce back from their 12-4 defeat at the hands of the Padres yesterday.  Ty Blach is a nice young starter for them who deserves a spot in the rotation and will be hungry to prove it today.  Clayton Richard is 2-3 with a 4.45 ERA in 5 starts for the Padres, 1-2 with a 5.09 ERA in 3 road starts and 1-2 with a 6.06 ERA in his last 3 starts.  San Diego is 2-8 in its last 10 road games.  The Padres are 8-32 in road games after 4 or more consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.  The Padres are 16-41 in their last 57 road games.  The Padres are 0-5 in Richard's last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.  The Giants are 16-6 in their last 22 home games vs. a left-handed starter.  The Padres are 15-37 in the last 52 meetings in San Francisco.  Take San Francisco.

7* Jazz/Clippers *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 191

The Key: The UNDER is 2-0 in the last two games of this series with combined scores of 188 and 191 points.  This comes as no surprise because as these teams get more familiar with one another, the harder it is to score points.  I think we'll see the lowest-scoring game of the series here in Game 7 Sunday with what is at stake.  The UNDER is 5-0 in Jazz last 5 road games.  The UNDER is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 home games.  The UNDER is 17-5-1 in Clippers last 23 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  The UNDER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Los Angeles.  Take the UNDER.

7* NL West Game of the Month on Arizona Diamondbacks -125

The Key: Rarely will you get the opportunity to back ace Zach Greinke at this kind of price at home.  The Diamondbacks are 11-4 at home this season and scoring 6.8 runs per game.  Greinkey is 2-2 with a 2.93 ERA in 5 starts, and 2-0 with a 2.04 ERA in 3 home starts, clearly turning it around this year.  Tyler Anderson is 1-3 with a 7.10 ERA in 5 starts for the Rockies.  Anderson is 0-0 with a 6.30 ERA in 2 lifetime starts vs. Arizona.  Greinke is 98-37 (+41.8 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher in his career.  Greinke is 42-11 (+25.9 Units) against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse in his career.  Take Arizona.

6* NL West *CA$H COW* on Colorado Rockies +142

The Key: The Colorado Rockies come in having lost 3 straight games.  They will be hungry to get back in the win column tonight, and I think they do that against the Rays at a great price due to their advantage on the mound.  Kyle Freeland has gone 2-1 with a 3.32 ERA in 4 starts this year, including a 2.25 ERA in his lone road start.  Robbie Ray sports a 3.42 ERA in 4 starts for the Diamondbacks, including a 6.55 ERA in 2 home starts.  Ray has been rocked by the Rockies, sporting a 5.30 ERA and 1.682 WHIP in 7 lifetime starts.  Colorado is a very profitable 19-16 (+12.8 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.  Ray is a woeful 2-8 (-9.3 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons.  Take Colorado.

7* Celtics/Bulls Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston -3

The Key: The Chicago Bulls haven't been the same since losing Rajon Rondo.  They are 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games, getting outscored by a combined 37 points by the Celtics in the process.  They have been held to just 93.0 points per game without Rondo as well as their offense has stalled.  I think the Celtics close out the series here tonight, especially knowing that Isaiah Thomas and friends will be leaving for Washington for his sister's funeral after this game either way.  They'd rather not have the distraction of a Game 7 during the funeral, so they'll be 'all in' here to finish the deal.  Boston is 17-8 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season.  The Celtics are 17-8-2 ATS in their last 27 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  The favorite is 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings.  The road team is 4-1 ATS in this series.  Take Boston.

7* Raptors/Bucks Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee -1

The Key: The Toronto Raptors play great with their backs against the wall.  They dug themselves out of a 2-1 deficit in this series to win the last two games.  But now that they know they have a home game in their back pocket for Game 7, they won't be nearly as hungry to win Game 6 tonight.  They just have a way of falling flat in games they don't need in the playoffs over the past two postseasons.  They were forced to go to Game 7 twice last year in the first two rounds.  Milwaukee is 8-0 ATS in home games off 2 straight losses by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.  Take Milwaukee.

6* NL East Game of the Week on Philadelphia Phillies +101

The Key: The Philadelphia Phillies are rolling right now.  They have won 4 straight coming in.  They are hitting .278 and scoring 5.7 runs per game at home this year.  Vincent Velasquez is one of the bright young talents in the game.  He has 19 strikeouts in 15 innings over 3 starts this year.  Velasquez is 1-0 with a 2.50 ERA in 3 lifetime starts vs. Miami.  Wei-Yin Chen has struggled recently against the Phillies.  He is 0-2 with a 5.51 ERA in his last 3 starts against them, all of which came last season.  He has given up 10 earned runs and a whopping 28 hits in 16 1/3 innings in those 3 starts.  Take Philadelphia.

7* Wizards/Hawks *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 213

The Key: The last 3 games in this series have finished right around this 213-point total.  They went for 210 points in Game 2, 214 in Game 3 and 212 in Game 4.  I expect the lowest-scoring game of the series tonight.  The more familiar teams become with one another, the harder it is to score.  The advantage goes to the defenses when they know what the opposing offenses are trying to do.  Atlanta is 9-0 UNDER in road games after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.  The UNDER is 8-0 in Hawks last 8 Wednesday games.  The UNDER is 11-4-1 in Hawks last 16 road games.  The UNDER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Washington.  Take the UNDER.

7* Thunder/Rockets Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Oklahoma City +7.5

The Key: The Oklahoma City Thunder have led 128 of 192 minutes in series but trail 3-1.  That's the most minutes any team has led in any series in postseason through four games.  They just haven't been able to finish game late.  And this has been a closely-contested series all season.  In fact, 6 of 8 meetings this season have been decided by 4 points or less.  Dating back further, 11 of the last 13 meetings have been decided by 8 points or fewer.  Expect a big effort from the Thunder with their season on the line.  It also helps that James Harden has a bum ankle and isn't 100%.  The Underdog is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings.  Take Oklahoma City.

7* Bucks/Raptors Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee +6

The Key: The Milwaukee Bucks have been the better team in this series thus far.  They have outscored the Raptors by a combined 24 points through four games.  They played great in each of the first 3 games, but they committed an uncharacteristic 20 turnovers in Game 4 and lost by 11.  They are being undervalued now after that performance, and I look for them to possibly win this game outright, let alone stay within 6 points in Game 5.  Jason Kidd preached tempo after the Game 4 loss.  He said they were playing too slow, and that their energy level was too low.  Look for them to correct their mistakes and get back to playing the way they were when they took 2 of the first 3 games from the Raptors by a combined 35 points.  The Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.  The Raptors are 8-22-1 ATS in their last 31 Conference Quarterfinals games.  Take Milwaukee.

6* Cubs/Pirates ESPN *CA$H COW* on Chicago -118

The Key: Brett Anderson had two great starts to open the season in which he allowed just 1 earned run in 10 2/3 innings.  But after getting blown up by the Brewers in his last start, Anderson is now being undervalued.  But he's clearly the better starter in this matchup with Chad Kuhl, and the Cubs have far and away the better lineup.  The Cubs are scoring 4.9 runs per game overall and 5.9 per game on the road.  The Pirates are scoring just 3.4 runs per game overall and 2.9 against left-handed starters.  Kuhl has never beaten the Cubs, going 0-2 with a monstrous 10.45 ERA and 2.323 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts, all of which came last season.  Take Chicago.

7* Rockets/Thunder Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Oklahoma City -1

The Key: The Oklahoma City Thunder picked up a huge win in Game 3 as they breathed a huge sigh of relief after James Harden missed a potential game-winning 3-pointer at the buzzer.  Now they have the confidence that they can beat the Rockets, and I think that carries over into Game 4 here.  The Thunder have some of the best home fans in the NBA, which has led to a 29-13 record on their home floor this season.  This is a very generous -1 price as a result.  The Thunder are 8-0 ATS in home games after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games this season.  The Rockets are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games overall.  Take Oklahoma City.

6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on St. Louis Cardinals -108

The Key: Mike Leake has been absolutely dominant this season, going 2-1 with a 0.84 ERA and 0.844 WHIP over 3 starts.  He'll be opposed by Jimmy Nelson, who is 1-0 with a 4.42 ERA in 3 starts for the Brewers.  Leake is 2-0 with a 2.08 ERA in his last 2 starts against the Brewers, giving up just 3 runs and 12 base runners in 13 innings while striking out 14 batters.  Nelson has never beaten the Cardinals, going 0-6 with a 6.97 ERA in 8 lifetime starts.  Take St. Louis.

7* Spurs/Grizzlies Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Memphis +5

The Key: Home-court advantage has meant everything when the Grizzlies and Spurs have gotten together this season.  In fact, the home team is a perfect 7-0 straight up in their 7 meetings this season.  I look for that to improve to 8-0 as the Grizzlies win outright tonight, so getting 5 points along with it is just an added bonus.  Take Memphis.

6* Interleague *CA$H COW* on Pittsburgh Pirates +106

The Key: Jameson Taillon impressed as a rookie last season, and now he has carried over that success into 2017.  He has gone 1-0 with a 0.90 ERA through 3 starts this year despite taking on two of the best teams in baseball in the Red Sox and Cubs.  Michael Pineda is wild and clearly can't control his stuff.  The Yankees are just 2-5 on the road this season, while the Pirates are 4-3 at home.  The Pirates are 13-5 in Taillon's last 18 starts, 8-3 in his last 11 home starts, and 7-0 in his last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or less in their previous game.  Take Pittsburgh.

6* Mariners/A's AL West *BAILOUT* on Seattle +113

The Key: I'll back the Seattle Mariners at an excellent underdog price here Friday night.  They'll bounce back from a 6-9 loss to the A's last night behind Hisashi Iwakuma, who sports a 2.25 ERA in 2 road starts this season.  Iwakuma sports a 9-4 record in 15 lifetime starts vs. Oakland.  Sean Manaea is 0-1 with a 5.51 ERA in 3 starts this season for the A's.  Manaea sports a 4.76 ERA in 3 lifetime starts vs. Seattle.  The Mariners are 9-1 in Iwakuma's last 10 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.  The A's are 1-7 in Manaea's last 8 starts vs. AL West teams.  The Mariners are 5-0 in Iwakuma's last 5 road starts vs. Oakland.  Take Seattle.

7* NBA 1st Round Game of the Year on Oklahoma City Thunder -2

The Key: It's now or never for the Oklahoma City Thunder.  They blew a 15-point lead in the 2nd half of Game 2 and lost to fall down 0-2 in this series.  They can't afford to go 0-3 or this series is over.  Look for them to play hungry tonight at home and to take this Game 3 from the Houston Rockets, who will relax after taking care of business at home.  The Thunder are 28-13 SU & 26-14-1 ATS at home this season.  OKC is 7-0 ATS in home games after allowing 115 points or more this season.  The Thunder are 13-2 ATS after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season.  The Rockets are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games overall.  Take Oklahoma City.

6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on New York Mets -1.5 (+125)

The Key: The New York Mets have a massive advantage on the mound tonight.  Instead of backing them at -170 on the money line, I'm going to take the value here and the +125 on the run line in a game I'm certain they win by 2 runs or more.  Noah Syndergaard is 1-0 with a 0.95 ERA in 3 starts this year, yielding only 2 earned runs in 19 innings.  Syndergaard is a perfect 4-0 in 4 lifetime starts vs. Philadelphia while sporting a 1.37 ERA.  He has never lost to them.  Aaron Nola is 0-1 with a 13.50 ERA in one lifetime start vs. the Mets.  Take New York on the Run Line.

7* NBA 1st Round Total of the Year on Cavs/Pacers OVER 210.5

The Key: The oddsmakers have failed to adjust this total high enough in Game 3 tonight despite the fact that the first two games in this series have gone well OVER the total.  In fact, the Cavs and Pacers have combined for at least 217 points in each of their last 5 meetings now dating back to the regular season.  Both teams play 'optional' defense this year and prefer to go small offensively, which is a recipe for overs.  The OVER is 20-5-1 in Cavaliers last 26 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.  The OVER is 30-12-1 in Cavaliers last 43 vs. Eastern Conference.  Cleveland is 32-12 OVER when the total is 210 to 219.5 this season.  Take the OVER.

7* Blazers/Warriors Western Conference *BAILOUT* on Portland +14

The Key: The Portland Trail Blazers have gone 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games overall.  They have been undervalued down the stretch and continue to be in the postseason.  That's especially the case when you consider how tough they have played the Warriors, going 3-0 ATS in the last 3 meetings while losing by 2, 8 and 12 points.  Now Kevin Durant is dealing with a calf injury, and Shaun Livingston and Matt Barnes are also questionable with injuries.  I think the Blazers are live dogs tonight as they look to build on their 6-1 ATS run in road games.  Take Portland.

6* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Seattle Mariners -143

The Key: Edinson Volquez is coming off a terrible season with the Royals in which he went 10-11 with a 5.37 ERA and 1.548 WHIP in 34 starts.  Now the Marlins scooped him up, and while he will likely improve on those numbers this season, this is a guy that is far past his prime.  Felix Hernandez came into spring training in better shape and lost some weight.  It has paid off as he dominated in the World Baseball Classic, and he has been excellent in the early going.  Hernandez is 1-1 with a 2.95 ERA in 3 starts.  He has never lost to the Marlins, going 2-0 with a 2.35 ERA in 2 lifetime starts.  Miami is 24-56 in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games since 1997.  The Marlins are 6-20 in their last 26 interleague road games.  The Mariners are 7-2 in Hernandez's last 9 home starts.  Take Seattle.

6* National League *CA$H COW* on Arizona Diamondbacks -115

The Key: The Arizona Diamondbacks are determined to contend in the NL West this season.  They have the talent to do it, and they're off to a good start at 9-5 this season.  The San Diego Padres are far and away the worst team in the NL West.  They just 5-9 and will probably lose 100 games this season.  So getting to fade them at only a -115 price is a discount in my book.  And Shelby Miller is going to be much better than he was a year ago.  Miller is 12-4 (+9.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 lifetime.  Arizona is 12-2 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.  The Diamondbacks are 9-2 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.  The Padres are 1-5 in Cosart's last 6 starts. Take Arizona.

7* Bulls/Celtics TNT *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 206.5

The Key: The Chicago Bulls and Boston Celtics have been playing in some defensive battles of late.  They have combined for 208 or less points in each of their last 5 meetings.  Game 1 saw 208 combined points, but they went off in the final two minutes with fouls as the Celtics were mounting their comeback.  That isn't likely to happen again.  The UNDER is 5-1 in Bulls last 6 games overall.  The UNDER is 22-7 in Bulls last 29 games when playing on 1 days rest.  The UNDER is 8-0 in Celtics last 8 home games against a team with a winning record.  The UNDER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.  Take the UNDER.

6* National League *CA$H COW* on Arizona Diamondbacks +144

The Key: The Los Angeles Dodgers were one of the worst teams in baseball against left-handed pitching last season.  They ranked 30th in a number of different categories against southpaws.  That has carried over into this seaosn as they are just 2-4 against lefties while hitting .245 and scoring 3.5 runs per game.  Robbie Ray is a lefty with electric stuff as he's 1-0 with a 2.19 ERA in 2 starts this season with 14 K's in 12 1/3 innings.  Ray has had plenty of success against the Dodgers, sporting a 2.96 ERA in 8 lifetime starts.  He has struck out 27 batters in 18 2/3 innings in his last 3 starts against the Dodgers.  The Dodgers are 2-10 in their last 12 games vs. a left-handed starter.  Take Arizona.

7* Grizzlies/Spurs NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Memphis +11

The Key: The Memphis Grizzlies are a prideful team that won't go down without a fight.  They were swept by the Spurs in the playoffs last season and want revenge.  They played horrible in the 2nd half of Game 1 after it was close in the first half.  They'll come back swinging for the fences in Game 2 tonight.  The Grizzlies and Spurs split the season series 2-2 with the largest margin of victory by the Spurs of 7 points.  The Grizzlies actually outscored the Spurs by 10 points in their 4 meetings during the regular season.  Now they're catching a whopping 11 points in Game 2 tonight.  San Antonio is 0-7 ATS in home games off a win over a division opponent this season.  Take Memphis.

7* Blazers/Warriors NBA *Total* Annihilator on OVER 219.5

The Key: The Portland Trail Blazers are forced to go small ball with the injury to Jusuf Nurkic.  The Golden State Warriors prefer to play small ball and do for the majority of their games.  This Game 1 has the makings of an absolute shootout.  And the Blazers and Warriors are certainly used to shootouts.  In fact, each of the last 7 meetings in this series have seen at least 225 combined points.  That makes for a 7-0 angle backing the OVER when comparing it to the 219.5-point total in Game 1.  The OVER is 18-6 in the last 24 meetings.  Take the OVER.

7* Grizzlies/Spurs Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Memphis +9.5

The Key: The Memphis Grizzlies want revenge on the Spurs from getting swept by them in the playoffs last year.  But the Grizzlies were banged up and playing without several key players, including Mike Conley.  Now they're almost fully healthy entering the playoffs with the exception of Tony Allen, but he is at the end of his career and won't be missed much.  The Grizzlies limped in to the postseason because they were locked in to the No. 7 seed down the stretch, so they were more worried about getting healthy.  Now I think you see them play their best basketball in the postseason, starting with Game 1 tonight.  The Grizzlies went 2-2 against the Spurs this season with the home team winning all 4 meetings.  But the Grizzlies only lost by 6 and 7 points in their 2 meetings in San Antonio.  Memphis is 14-6 ATS as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.  The Spurs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.  The Grizzlies are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.  Take Memphis.

6* National League *CA$H COW* on San Francisco Giants -121

The Key: After a rough start to the season, the Giants have won 4 of their last 6 and I expect them to add another win here Saturday as a short home favorite against the Colorado Rockies.  Matt Moore has been great in 2 starts, sporting a 2.70 ERA in his 2 starts against the Diamondbacks this season.  Tyler Chatwood sports a 6.35 ERA in his 2 starts against the Padres and Brewers.  Moore gave up just 1 earned run in 7 2/3 innings while striking out 11 in a 12-3 home victory over the Rockies in his last start against them.  The Rockies are 13-38 in their last 51 road games vs. a left-handed starter.  The Giants are 5-1 in Moore's last 6 home starts.  Take San Francisco.

7* National League Game of the Month on Atlanta Braves -134

The Key: The Atlanta Braves are just 2-6 to open the 2017 season.  But all eight games have been on the road, and now they break in their new stadium in their home opener Friday, and it should be a great atmosphere.  It also helps that they are sending ace Julio Teheran to the mound.  He has pitched 13 shutout innings in his two starts against Pittsburgh and New York to open the season.  He'll be opposed by Jhoulys Chacin, who is 1-1 with an 8.10 ERA while allowing 9 earned runs in 10 innings against the Giants and Dodgers.  Teheran is 2-0 with a 2.14 ERA in his last 3 starts against San Diego while allowing 5 earned runs in 21 innings.  Take Atlanta.

7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on San Francisco Giants -160

The Key: The advantage on the mound clearly goes to the San Francisco Giants in this one.  Ace Madison Bumgarner sports a 3.00 ERA and 0.933 WHIP in 2 starts this season.  He is 12-6 with a 3.11 ERA in 25 lifetime starts versus Colorado.  Jon Gray has been shaky in the early going, sporting a 5.79 ERA in two starts while giving up 6 runs and 15 base runners in 9 1/3 innings.  Colorado is 4-22 against the money line in road games off a loss to a division rival as a home favorite since 1997.  Gray is 1-11 against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons.  The Rockies are 4-16 in Gray's last 20 road starts.  The Giants are 15-3 in Bumgarner's last 18 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.  Take San Francisco.

7* NBA Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston Celtics -14

The Key: The Milwaukee Bucks are locked in to the 6th seed in the Eastern Conference.  As a result, they have decided to rest all of their starters tonight in Giannis Anetokounmpo, Khris Middleton, Tony Snell and Matthew Delavedova.  They clearly don't care about this game.  Boston can clinch the 1st seed in the East with a win, so this is a huge game for the Celtics.  Bets against road dogs of 10 or more points after allowing 90 points or less in 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 105 points or more are 26-5 ATS since 1996.  This is a big number for a reason, but it's not big enough tonight.  Take Boston.

6* National League *CA$H COW* on Pittsburgh Pirates -168

The Key: The Pittsburgh Pirates will be hungry for a win tonight.  They have lost the first two games of this series to the Reds and do not want to get swept at home.  Ivan Nova had a tremendous spring training and carried that over to his first start of the season.  Nova pitched 6 shutout innings against the Braves.  Nova is 3-2 with a 3.82 ERA and 1.061 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts vs. Cincinnati.  Nova is 52-23 (+18.2 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher in his career.  The Pirates are 10-3 in their last 13 games vs. a left-handed starter.  The Pirates are 8-3 in Nova's last 12 starts.  Take Pittsburgh.

7* NBA Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Los Angeles Lakers -2.5

The Key: The Los Angeles Lakers are finishing strong despite cries from their fans to tank it.  The have covered the spread in 5 straight while winning 4 straight outright.  Now they'll only 2.5-point home favorites against a New Orleans Pelicans team that is tanking, going 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.  That is clear by the fact that they are sitting both Anthony Davis and DeMarcus Cousins.  The Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.  The Lakers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.  Take Los Angeles.

6* DBacks/Giants NL West *BAILOUT* on San Francisco -125

The Key: The San Francisco Giants played 7 straight road games to open the season and went 2-5.  But now they're home and coming off a 4-1 win over the Diamondbacks in their home opener yesterday.  And I think this is a cheap price to get the Giants at -125 again tonight.  Jeff Samardzija has been much better at home than on the road and will be hungry to make up for a poor start in Arizona on April 6th.  Robbie Ray sports a 3.90 ERA and 1.446 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts versus San Francisco.  Ray is 2-15 (-15.4 Units) against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons.  The Diamondbacks are 7-19 in Ray's last 26 road starts.  The Giants are 36-17 in their last 53 home games vs. a left-handed starter.  The Giants are 6-1 in their last 7 home games.  The Giants are 15-5 in the last 20 meetings.  Take San Francisco.

7* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month on Indiana Pacers -8.5

The Key: The Indiana Pacers are on the brink of clinching a playoff spot.  They've done so by winning three straight games games by at least 15 points each over the Raptors, Bucks and Magic.  They are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.  This is a team that nobody wants to face right now.  The 76ers are a team that everyone wants to face.  They are 0-6 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games coming in and have rarely been competitive.  Their laundry list of injuries has something to do with it, but they also don't want to hurt their chances of a better draft pick.  The Pacers have owned the 76ers by going 7-1 SU & 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.  In fact, 6 of those wins have come by at least 11 points.  Take Indiana.

6* American League *CA$H COW* on Seattle Mariners -126

The Key: The Mariners have been a hard-luck team in the early going with their 1-6 start.  They just blew a 9-3 lead in the 9th inning and lost 10-9 to the Angels yesterday, which was their 3rd one-run loss already.  But after playing their first 7 games on the road, the Mariners will be hungry to get back on track in their home opener Monday.  James Paxton pitched 6 shutout innings and allowed only 3 base runners in his first start this year at Houston.  He sports a 3.60 ERA and 1.067 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts against the Astros.  Charlie Morton is 14-33 against the money line in day games in his career.  Take Seattle.

7* NBA Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Phoenix Suns -2.5

The Key: The Dallas Mavericks have clearly given up at the end of the season.  They are without Harrison Barnes, Jose Barea and Seth Curry today.  They are just 1-7 in their last 8 games overall coming in.  The Suns have gone a profitable 5-3 ATS in their last 8 games as they have remained competitive.  They just blasted Russell Westbrook and the Thunder 120-99 at home.  This young team is looking to finish strong.  The Mavericks are just 11-28 on the road this season and getting too much respect from oddsmakers here given their situation.  Take Phoenix.

6* National League *CA$H COW* on Los Angeles Dodgers -122

The Key: The Los Angeles Dodgers have lost the first 2 games of this series to the Colorado Rockets by a combined 3 runs.  They'll be hungry for a win here to avoid getting swept Sunday.  Kenta Maeda is one of the bright young starting pitchers in the game today.  He has gone 2-2 with a 1.90 ERA in 4 lifetime starts vs. Colorado.  The Dodgers are 57-28 in their last 85 during game 3 of a series.  Take Los Angeles.

6* National League *CA$H COW* on New York Mets -115

The Key: Robert Gsellman looked ready to establish himself as the Mets' next vaunted starter last season, when he went 4-2 with a 2.42 ERA in eight games (seven starts) following his promotion from Triple-A Las Vegas on Aug. 22. He made his season debut on Monday, when he threw a scoreless ninth inning in New York's 6-0 Opening Day win over the Atlanta Braves. The 23-year-old Gsellman enters this season as one of the top Rookie of the Year contenders in the National League after throwing 44 2/3 innings last season -- just 5 1/3 fewer than the maximum needed to maintain rookie eligibility. "This guy's got as good stuff as any young pitcher I've been around," Mets manager Terry Collins said Friday afternoon. "I think Robert Gsellman is a legitimate high-end starter."  Take New York.

7* NBA Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Indiana Pacers -4.5

The Key: The signing of Lance Stephenson has really given the Pacers a spark.  They have played two of their best games of the season coming in, beating the Raptors 108-90 and the Bucks 104-89.  Of course, they are clinging on to the 8th seed in the East, just one game ahead of the Miami Heat.  That has them playing hungry basketball right now.  The same cannot be said for the Orlando Magic, who are 1-5 in their last 6 games with their only win coming at home against the league-worst Brooklyn Nets.  The Pacers are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 meetings with Orlando, winning by 10, 13 and 19 points, all of which have come this season.  Look for that domination to continue tonight as the Pacers get the win and cover.  The Magic are 11-25-1 ATS in their last 37 home games.  The Pacers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 trips to Orlando.  Take Indiana.

7* NBA Situational Game of the Month on Utah Jazz -9.5

The Key: The Utah Jazz have gone 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as they try and secure the 4th seed in the West and home court in the first round.  They're up against a Timberwolves team that are just 3-9 SU & 3-9 ATS in their last 12 contests.  I like this spot for the Jazz, who have had 2 days off coming in.  The Timberwolves won't have anything left in the tank as this will be their 4th game in 5 days.  Andrew Wiggins and Karl-Anthony Towns rank in the Top 10 in minutes played this season and have to be wearing down right now.  The Timberwolves are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 road games, while the Jazz are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.  Take Utah.

6* Marlins/Mets NL East *CA$H COW* on New York -115

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the New York Mets as small home favorites here against the Marlins.  Zack Wheeler returns from Tommy John surgery and has earned his spot in the rotation by clocking in at 97 mph in the spring.  Wheeler has never lost to the Marlins, going 2-0 with a 1.37 ERA in 6 lifetime starts against them.  Expect that dominance to continue here tonight.  Take New York.

6* American League *CA$H COW* on Tampa Bay Rays +120

The Key: The Rays took 2 out of 3 from the Yankees thanks to getting 18 2/3 innings from their starters, and 8 1/3 innings of one-run ball from their relievers.  They are a sleeper in the AL East this season.  I really like Blake Snell, who has the stuff to be a star in the big leagues.  Snell is 1-1 with a 3.52 ERA in 2 lifetime starts vs. Toronto.  Marcus Stroman is 3-4 with a 4.84 ERA in 7 lifetime starts vs. Tampa Bay.  Stroman is 0-3 in his last 3 starts against the Rays, allowing 13 earned runs in 17 2/3 innings, and all 3 starts came last season.  Stroman is 3-10 (-12.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.  The Blue Jays are 1-10 in Stroman's last 11 road starts.  Take Tampa Bay.

7* NBA Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago Bulls -5.5

The Key: The Chicago Bulls are hungry to make the playoffs.  They are in a 3-way tie at 38-40 on the season with the Pacers and Heat, and only two of them can make the postseason.  The Bulls have gone 4-1 in their last 5 games coming in and are playing well.  The 76ers are in full-blown tank mode right now to try and get a better pick in the draft.  They have lost 4 straight, including a 23-point home loss to the Nets last time out in which they gave up a ridiculous 141 points.  They are essentially playing with 7 players right now due to all of their injuries to the likes of Robert Covington, Jahlil Okafor and Sergio Rodriquez.  Bets against home teams who are coming off a blowout home loss by 20 points or more in April games are 39-11 ATS since 1996.  The Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss. Take Chicago.

6* Giants/DBacks NL West *CA$H COW* on Arizona +114

The Key: The Arizona Diamondbacks made a huge trade to upgrade their rotation by grabbing Taijuan Walker in the offseason.  They were so high on him that they traded Jean Segura to the Mariners.  Segura led the National League with 203 hits last season while hitting .319 with 20 homers.  Walker has some of the best 'stuff' in baseball and can be one of the best starters in the game in the coming years.  Walker is 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA in one lifetime starts versus San Francisco, giving up just 1 earned run in 7 innings of a 5-1 victory.  Matt Moore gave up 7 earned runs in 14 innings in 2 starts at Arizona last year for a 4.50 ERA.  Take Arizona.

7* Cavs/Celtics ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston -4

The Key: This game tonight is essentially for the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference.  It will be a rowdy atmosphere in Boston as they know that a win tonight will give them the best chance to make the NBA Finals.  The Celtics are 6-1 in their last 7 games overall, while the Cavs have struggled down the stretch.  And the spot couldn't be better for the Celtics.  They come in on 2 days' rest having last played on Sunday, while the Cavs will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days.  Cleveland is 1-9 ATS in road games when playing the 2nd of a back-to-back this season.  The Cavs are 0-7 ATS in road games off two or more consecutive home wins this season.  Take Boston.