7* Cardinals/Rockies NL *HEAVY HITTER* on St. Louis +136 

The Key: We are getting a great price on the St. Louis Cardinals today.  They are 21-7 in their last 28 games overall and should not be this big of underdogs.  They are coming off a loss yesterday, but are now 15-3 in their last 18 games following a loss.  St. Louis is 9-1 in its last 10 road games.  The Cardinals are 10-1 in their last 11 games vs. a left-handed starter.  The Cardinals are 5-0 in Gomber’s last 5 starts.  Gomber is 2-0 with a 2.73 ERA in his last 5 starts, and 2-0 with a 1.12 ERA in his last 3 outings.  Tyler Anderson is 0-2 with a 7.56 ERA in his last 3 starts for the Rockies.  Take St. Louis. 

6* Hawaii/Colorado State MWC *CA$H COW* on Hawaii +17 

The Key: Colorado State is one of the least experienced teams in the country this season.  They rank 130th in terms of experience and have just 9 returning starters this year.  I think this is a hefty price for them to pay in their opener against a conference opponent in Hawaii.  The Warriors will be trying to win this game for the people of Hawaii, who are having to endure a Hurricane right now and all that comes with it.  This is a chance for them to get away to the mainland and focus on football for a day.  They went to the mainland and won their opener last season against UMass.  Take Hawaii. 

6* Saturday NFLX *Total* Annihilator on 49ers/Colts OVER 42

7* Interleague Game of the Month on Philadelphia Phillies -115 

The Key: After losing 5 of their last 6 coming in in the midst of a pennant race, the Phillies will be hungry for a victory here in Toronto today.  The Phillies are 6-1 in their last 7 during Game 2 of a series.  The Blue Jays are 2-10 in Sanchez’s last 12 starts vs. a team with a winning record.  Toronto is 1-7 in Sanchez’s last 8 starts during Game 2 of a a series.  Take Philadelphia. 

7* NFLX Game of the Year on Tampa Bay Bucs -2.5 

6* Cards/Rockies NL *CA$H COW* on St. Louis -105 

The Key: The Cardinals are on a 13-2 tear that has come against many of the top teams in baseball.  They simply cannot be stopped right now and I like the price we are getting with them at -105 against the Rockies tonight.  The Cards are rested after having Thursday off while the Rockies played Thursday against the Padres.  Miles Mikolas is 13-3 with a 2.80 ERA this season.  He is the better starter in this matchup.  The Cards have gone 10-1 in their last 11 road games and 5-0 in Mikolas’ last 5 starts.  Take St. Louis. 

6* Eagles/Browns NFLX *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 41.5

7* AL Central Game of the Month on Detroit Tigers -131 

The Key: The Detroit Tigers have a big edge on the mound tonight over the Chicago White Sox.  Matt Boyd has been great at home this year, where he’s 5-3 with a 2.80 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in 11 starts.  James Shields has been awful on the road, going 1-6 with a 5.67 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in 10 starts away from home.  Boyd fired a complete game shutout in his last start against the White Sox, giving up just 2 base runners in 9 innings of a 12-0 victory.  Shields has allowed at least 3 earned runs in each of his last 4 starts against the Tigers.  The White Sox are 6-22 in Shields’ last 28 road starts.  The Tigers are 8-2 in Boyd’s last 10 home starts.  Chicago is 2-18 in Shields’ last 20 road starts vs. a team that averages 0.5 or fewer stolen bases per game.  Take Detroit. 

7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Oakland A’s -150 

The Key: The Oakland A’s are the hottest team in baseball.  They are 42-14 in their last 56 games overall and aren’t getting the respect they deserve from oddsmakers.  They have outscored Texas 15-0 in winning each of the first two games in this series.  Edwin Jackson should be able to shut down the Rangers as well.  Jackson is 4-2 with a 2.58 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 10 starts this year, 3-1 with a 2.10 ERA and 0.87 WHIP in 5 home starts, and 2-0 with a 0.96 ERA in his last 3 outings.  Mike Minor is 4-4 with a 6.48 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 10 road starts for the Rangers this year.  The A’s are 5-0 in Jackson’s last 5 starts.  Jackson is 8-0 vs. an AL team with an OBP of .330 or worse this season.  Take Oakland. 

7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Oakland A’s -1.5 (-105) 

The Key: The Oakland A’s have a big edge on the mound tonight with Brett Anderson over Ariel Jurado.  Anderson is 2-3 with a 3.90 ERA in 11 starts this year, 0-1 with a 3.57 ERA in 3 home starts, and 0-9 with a 0.92 ERA in his last 3 starts.  He has yielded just 2 earned runs and 12 base runners in 19 2/3 innings in his last 3 outings.  Anderson beat Texas 15-3 in his last start against them on July 23rd as he yielded just 2 earned runs in 6 innings to get the victory.  Ariel Jurado has had a rough go of it in his brief major league career.  He is 2-2 with a 6.41 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 5 starts this year, including 0-1 with a 9.82 ERA in his last 2 outings.  He has just 11 strikeouts compared to 6 homers given up in 26 2/3 innings this season.  The A’s are 14-0 in their last 14 games vs. a team with a losing record, winning by 4.3 RPG on average.  The A’s are 6-0 in Anderson’s last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.  Take Oakland on the Run Line. 

7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-120) 

The Key: The Dodgers have a huge edge on the mound today with Clayton Kershaw over Roenis Elias.  They should have no problem winning by at least 2 runs in this matchup.  Kershaw is 5-5 with a 2.47 EAR and 1.02 WHIP in 18 starts, 2-2 with a 2.08 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 8 road starts, and 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 0.85 WHIP in his last 3 outings.  Elias is 0-0 with a 4.90 ERA and 1.91 WHIP in his lone start this season.  He’s not ready to do battle in this pressure-packed situation with Kershaw.  The Dodgers hung 11 runs on the Mariners in Game 1 of this series and should put up another big number off Elias and company in this one.  Elias is 0-7 in home games vs. teams who average 0.5 or fewer stolen bases per game in his career.  Kershaw is 37-7 vs. teams who strand 6.9 or less runners per game on base over the last 2 seasons.  The Dodgers are winning by 2.5 RPG in this spot.  Take Los Angels on the Run Line. 

7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on San Francisco Giants -144 

The Key: The Giants have a big edge on the mound today with Madison Bumgarner over Matt Harvey.  Bumgarner is 4-4 with a 2.71 ERA in 13 starts this year, including 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA in his last 3 outings. Harvey is 5-7 with a 4.89 ERA in 20 starts, including 0-1 with a 5.06 ERA in his last 3 outings.  Harvey has never beaten the Giants, going 0-2 with a 5.87 ERA in 4 lifetime starts against them.  Bumgarner is 1-1 with a 1.80 ERA in his last 2 starts against the Reds, yielding just 3 earned runs in 15 innings.  Take San Francisco. 

6* Jags/Vikings NFLX *CA$H COW* on Minnesota -4 

7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Atlanta Braves -128 

The Key: The Atlanta Braves have won 5 of their last 6 but will be looking to revenge a Game 1 loss to the Rockies in this series in which they blew a save in the 9th inning.  They have scored at least 5 runs in all 5 wins during this stretch.  I like their chances of getting after Kyle Freeland, who is 3-5 with a 3.74 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in 13 road starts this year.  Sean Newcomb is 10-5 with a 3.40 ERA in 23 starts overall, and 4-2 with a 3.41 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 10 home starts.  Newcomb pitched 6 shutout innings with 9 strikeouts in a 4-0 win at Colorado in his only start against the Rockies in 2018.  Freeland is 0-1 with a 5.00 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against the Braves, all of which have come in the past 2 seasons.  Atlanta is 10-3 after a game where its bullpen blew a save this season.  The Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss.  The Braves are 4-0 in Newcomb’s last 4 starts.  Take Atlanta. 

6* Bills/Browns AFC *CA$H COW* on Cleveland -3 

6* Eagles/Patriots Super Bowl Rematch on UNDER 43 

7* Nats/Cardinals NL *HEAVY HITTER* on St. Louis -118 

The Key: The Cardinals have now won 8 straight games and cannot be tamed right now.  The Nationals have gone 2-7 in their last 9 games and just can’t seem to get it turned around.  I like the price with the Cardinals tonight as small home favorites as they extend their winning streak to 9 games.  Luke Weaver has allowed exactly 2 earned runs in each of his last 3 starts and is pitching well coming in.  Tanner Roark is also pitching well, but he cannot seem to figure out the Cardinals.  He is 1-2 with a 6.92 ERA and 2.00 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against St. Louis.  The Nationals are 8-21 in their last 29 road games.  Washington is 5-17 in Roark’s last 22 starts with 4 days of rest.  The Cardinals are 37-16 in their last 53 home meetings with the Nationals, and 6-1 in the last 7 meetings overall.  Take St. Louis. 

7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-115) 

The Key: The Atlanta Braves have won each of the first 3 games of this series with the Marlins by 8, 5, and 4 runs.  They should have no problem winning by multiple runs again tonight thanks to their edge on the mound.  Kevin Gausman is 2-1 with a 2.70 ERA in his last 3 starts and seems rejuvenated since getting traded to the Braves.  He gave up just 1 run and 6 hits in 8 innings with 8 strikeouts in a 10-1 victory over the Brewers last time out on August 10th.  Jose Urena is 3-12 with a 4.74 ERA in 23 starts for the Marlins this year, including 2-3 with a 5.28 ERA in 8 road starts.  Urena is 0-3 with a 6.75 ERA in 3 starts against the Braves in 2018, yielding 12 earned runs in 16 innings.  Miami is 4-26 in road games against a team that wins 54% to 62% of their games in the 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.  It is losing by 2.6 RPG in this spot.  The Marlins are 1-11 in their last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.  The Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a right-handed starter.  Take Atlanta on the Run Line. 

7* Mariners/A’s AL West *BAILOUT* on Seattle -123 

The Key: The Seattle Mariners have the edge on the mound tonight with James Paxton over Mike Fiers.  Paxton is 10-5 with a 3.56 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 23 starts with 175 strikeouts in 139 innings.  The left-hander has never lost to the A’s, going 3-0 with a 3.12 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 7 lifetime starts against them.  He fired 7 shutout innings with 16 strikeouts against the A’s in his lone start against them in 2018 back on May 2nd.  Mike Fiers is 1-1 with a 6.21 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts against the Mariners.  Seattle is 11-2 following a one-run loss this season.  The Mariners are 8-3 in Paxton’s last 11 road starts.  The Mariners are 19-7 in their last 26 meetings in Oakland.  Take Seattle.

7* Interleague Game of the Month on Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (-108) 

The Key: Considering the huge edge the Diamondbacks have on the rubber tonight over the Rangers, it’s easy to see how they’re going to win by multiple runs in this matchup.  Zack Greinke is 12-7 with a 2.89 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 24 starts this year, including 1-2 with a 1.80 ERA and 0.90 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Greinke sports a 2.67 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 13 lifetime starts against the Rangers.  Bartolo Colon is 6-10 with a 5.31 ERA in 21 starts this year, 3-4 with a 5.98 ERA in 10 home starts, and 1-2 with a 7.11 ERA in his last 3 starts.  He is also 1-3 with a 4.67 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts against the Diamondbacks.  He has allowed 14 runs in 15 innings in his last 3 starts against Arizona.  Colon is 3-16 as a dog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons, and his teams are losing by 3.7 RPG in this spot.  The Diamondbacks are 6-0 in Greinke’s last 6 road starts.  Take Arizona on the Run Line. 

7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on New York Yankees -1.5 (-110) 

The Key: The Yankees have gone 5-1 in their last 6 games overall with 4 of those wins coming by at least 2 runs.  They should win by multiple runs again today over the Texas Rangers thanks to their edge on the mound in this one.  C.C. Sabathia is 6-4 with a 3.49 ERA in 21 starts this year, including 4-1 with a 2.68 ERA in 11 home starts.  Martin Perez is one of the worst starters in the league.  He is 2-4 with a 6.15 ERA and 1.94 WHIP in 10 starts this year.  Perez sports an 8.52 ERA and 1.89 WHIP in 3 previous starts against the Yankees as well.  The Yankees should score early and often in this one and hold on to a big lead with one of the best bullpens in baseball.  Take New York on the Run Line. 

6* Vikings/Broncos NFLX *CA$H COW* on Denver +1 

7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on New York Yankees -1.5 (-120) 

The Key: Off a bad loss to the Rangers yesterday, the Yankees should respond with a win by multiple runs Saturday to cover the run line.  Lance Lynn has been pitching very well since being traded to the Yankees. He is 1-1 with a 2.45 ERA in his last 3 starts.  Lynn is also 5-2 with a 2.83 ERA in 9 home starts this year.  Drew Hutchison will be making just his 2nd start of the season.  He is 0-1 with an 18.00 ERA after yielding 6 earned runs and 9 base runners in 3 innings of a 6-9 home loss to the Baltimore Orioles on August 5th.  Now he’s up against this potent Yankees’ lineup that is on fire right now in scoring at least 7 runs in 4 of their last 5 games coming in.  The Yankees are 58-20 in their last 78 home games.  Take New York on the Run Line. 

6* Lions/Raiders NFLX *BAILOUT* on Detroit +3 

7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on New York Yankees -1.5 (+100) 

The Key: The Yankees have responded well from getting swept by the Red Sox.  They have since won 4 straight with three of those victories coming by 4 runs or more.  I expect them to win by at least 2 runs tonight over the Texas Rangers.  Masahiro Tanaka has been lights out of late, going 2-0 with a 0.46 EDRA and 0.81 WHIP in his last 3 starts, yielding just 1 earned runs in 19 2/3 innings with 26 strikeouts.  Mike Minor has been awful on the road this year for the Rangers, going 3-4 with a 6.50 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in 9 starts away from home.  Tanaka is 17-2 in home games vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse over the last 3 seasons.  The Yankees are winning by 3.0 RPG in this spot.  Take New York on the Run Line. 

7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Colorado Rockies +120 

The Key: I like the price we are getting with the Colorado Rockies as home dogs to the Los Angeles Dodgers tonight.  Tyler Anderson is having a great season for the Rockies, going 6-4 with a 4.05 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 23 starts.  More impressively, Anderson sports a 3.65 ERA in 11 starts at Coors Field.  In his last start against the Dodgers on June 29th, Anderson pitched 8 shutout innings in a 3-1 victory for the Rockies as +150 dogs.  Ross Stripling is coming back down to earth.  He has yielded 9 earned runs in 8 2/3 innings and 4 homers in his last 2 starts.  Stripling is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts vs. Colorado.  The Rockies are 10-3 in their last 13 home games.  Take Colorado. 

6* Texans/Chiefs NFLX *CA$H COW* on Houston +2.5 

7* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-130) 

The Key: The Cubs are on fire right now.  They are 21-5 in their last 26 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.  Chicago is 5-1 in Jose Quintana’s last 6 starts, and he’s clearly the better starter in this matchup with the Royals.  Kansas City is 4-23 in its last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Royals are 0-4 in Fillmeyer’s last four starts.  Kansas City is 0-7 in its last seven interleague home games.  The Royals are 13-42 in their last 55 games overall.  The Cubs are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.  Take Chicago on the Run Line. 

7* Interleague Game of the Month on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (+100) 

The Key: The Chicago Cubs should have no problem winning by at least 2 runs tonight over the lowly Kansas City Royals.  The Royals have now lost 5 straight with 4 of those coming by at least 2 runs to drop to 34-78 on the season.  The Cubs are in the middle of a pennant race at 65-47 this season.  Mike Montgomery is 3-3 with a 3.36 ERA in 12 starts this year.  Brad Keller is 3-3 with a 3.90 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in 11 starts for the Royals.  Montgomery is 2-0 with a 0.59 ERA and 0.59 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts vs. Kansas City.  The Royals are 1-15 in home games vs. good teams who are outscoring their opponents by 0.5 RPG or more this season.  They are losing by 4.0 RPG on average in this situation.  Take Chicago on the Run Line. 

7* AL West Game of the Month on Seattle Mariners -113 

The Key: The Seattle Mariners will be hungry for a win tonight after going 1-5 in their last 6 games overall.  They now get to face the 49-64 Rangers and should take care of business in Game 1 tonight.  Wade LeBlanc is 6-2 with a 3.86 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in 17 starts for the Mariners this year.  Martin Perez is one of the worst starters in the league.  He is 2-4 with a 6.50 ERA and 1.97 WHIP in 9 starts this year, including 1-1 with a 7.53 ERA and 2.12 WHIP in 4 home starts.  LeBlanc is 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA in one lifetime start against the Rangers.  LeBlanc is 9-0 against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.  Texas is 5-20 in home games against division opponents this season.  The Rangers are 19-45 in their last 64 home games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings in Texas.  Take Seattle.

7* Yankees/Red Sox ESPN *BAILOUT* on OVER 9 

The Key: Expect plenty of runs scored tonight between the Red Sox and Yankees to push this total OVER the 9 number.  Masahiro Tanaka has yielded 10 earned runs, 4 homers and 19 base runners in 10 1/3 innings in 2 starts against the Red Sox this season.  David Price has yielded 12 earned runs and 6 homers in 4 1/3 innings in 2 starts against the Yankees this season.  Both starters have been shelled against their respective opponents in 2018, and that should continue again here tonight.  Take the OVER. 

7* MLB Run Line Game of the Year on Seattle Mariners -1.5 (-115) 

The Key: The Seattle Mariners have now lost 4 straight and would be out of the playoffs if the season ended today.  They need to get back on track in a hurry.  Ace James Paxton is just the man for the job.  He’s 5-2 with a 3.00 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 10 home starts this year.  He’ll be opposed by Marco Estrada, who is 2-4 with a 5.32 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 9 road starts.  Estrada is 0-1 with an 8.68 ERA and 2.04 WHIP in his last 3 starts as well.  Paxton pitched a no-hitter on May 8th against the Blue Jays this season in a 5-0 victory, so he has their number as well.  The Blue Jays are 8-25 in their last 33 games vs. a left-handed starter.  Toronto is 0-4 in Estrada’s last 4 road starts.  Seattle is 21-6 in its last 27 vs. a team with a losing record.  The Blue Jays are 8-27 in their last 35 Saturday road games.  Take Seattle on the Run Line. 

7* Yankees/Red Sox AL *Total* Annihilator on OVER 9 

The Key: The Red Sox and Yankees combined for 22 runs yesterday.  While they may not reach that milestone today, I still believe there’s value with the over 9, especially at a plus-price.  Luis Severino has been roughed up in recent starts.  He is 0-2 with a 10.05 ERA and 2.09 WHIP in his last 3 starts, far from the Cy Young contender he was prior to them.  And those starts have come against the Royals, Rays and Indians, far from the potent lineup he’ll see tonight in Boston.  Rick Porcello is also faltering.  He is 2-1 with a 7.90 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in his last 3 starts.  Porcello sports a 5.10 ERA in 10 home starts this year. The OVER is 5-0 in Severino’s last 5 starts.  The OVER is 5-1-1 in Porcello’s last seven home starts, and 11-3-1 in his last 15 stats overall.  The OVER is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings, including 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Boston.  Take the OVER.

7* NL East Game of the Year on Atlanta Braves -148 

The Key: The Braves find themselves in a battle with the Phillies for 1st place in the NL East.  They should take down the Mets without issue today.  The Mets are in sell mode and finding it hard to be hungry the rest of the way.  No question the Braves have the edge on the mound tonight.  Mike Foltynewicz is 7-7 with a 3.04 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 20 starts this year.  He’ll be opposed by Jason Vargas, who is 2-6 with an 8.36 ERA and 1.79 WHIP in 10 starts.  Vargas is 1-1 with a 5.06 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts vs. Atlanta.  The Mets are 0-10 as a home dog of +125 to +175 this season.  Take Atlanta. 

7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Oakland A’s -133 

The Key: The Oakland A’s have been on a tear for the last month-plus.  They are 29-10 in their last 39 games overall and have a legitimate shot to make the postseason now.  They should handle the Blue Jays, who are 7-24 in their last 31 games against a left-handed starter, including 2-14 in their last 16 road games against a southpaw.  Sean Manaea is 9-7 with a 3.46 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 22 starts this year.  He’ll be opposed by Marcus Stroman, who is 4-7 with a 5.31 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in 14 starts.  Stroman is 0-0 with an 8.68 ERA in his last two starts against the A’s, yielding 9 earned runs in 9 1/3 innings.  The A’s are 4-0 in Manaea’s last 4 home starts.  The A’s are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.  Manaea is 9-0 in day games this season.  Take Oakland. 

7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Los Angeles Angels -130 

The Key: The Angels have a big edge on the mound tonight over the Tampa Bay Rays.  Tyler Skaggs is 8-6 with a 2.62 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 19 starts this year, including 5-2 with a 2.11 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in 10 road starts.  The Rays have lost 3 in a row to the Orioles coming in amidst a bunch of trade rumors.  And Ryan Stanek is one of those Rays’ starters that only goes a few innings before getting pulled.  I just don’t trust the philosophy, and the Rays’ combination of pitchers they use won’t be anywhere near as good as Skaggs.  Skaggs faced the Rays earlier this season on May 17 and gave up just one run in 6 innings.  The Angels are 12-1 as road favorites of -125 to -175 this season.  Take Los Angeles. 

7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Oakland A’s -137 

The Key: The Oakland A’s will be hungry for a victory tonight after getting swept by the Rockies in Colorado over the weekend.  The A’s are still 27-10 in their last 37 games overall and surging.  They are 41-16 in their last 57 vs. a team with a losing record.  The Blue Jays were sellers at the deadline and can’t be trusted.  Toronto is 1-7 in Estrada’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.  The A’s are 11-2 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing record.  Edwin Jackson sports a 3.86 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 6 starts this year for the A’s.  Marco Estrada is 2-3 with a 4.97 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in 8 road starts.  Estrada has never beaten the A’s, going 0-3 with a 5.90 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against them.  Take Oakland. 

7* Cubs/Cardinals ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago -122 

The Key: This is the avoid the sweep game for the Chicago Cubs after losing the first 2 games of this series to the rival St. Louis Cardinals.  They’ll come in hungry for a victory tonight on ESPN.  Kyle Hendricks is 3-2 with a 3.72 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 13 lifetime starts against St. Louis, and his teams are 9-4 in those matchups.  John Gant is just a fill-in starter for the Cardinals.  He is 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA in 4 home starts this year.  The Cubs are 60-29 in their last 89 games following a loss.  Chicago is 5-1 in its last 6 during Game 3 of a series.  The Cardinals are 1-7 in their last 8 games following a win.  St. Louis is 1-4 in Gant’s last 5 home starts.  The Cubs are 6-0 in Hendricks’ last 6 starts against the Cardinals.  Take Chicago. 

7* NL East Game of the Month on Washington Nationals -151 

The Key: Few starters own a team like Gio Gonzalez owns the Marlins.  The left-hander is 10-3 with a 1.93 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 17 lifetime starts against Miami.  Trevor Richards is 3-5 with a 4.41 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 14 starts for the Marlins this year.  One of those came against the Nationals on July 8th earlier this month.  Richards yielded 11 base runners in 3 2/3 innings in that contest, including 7 walks.  Washington is 20-5 in road games vs. teams who are outscored by 1 RPG or more over the last 2 seasons.  The Nationals are 11-1 in road games after allowing 3 runs or less in 2 straight games this season.  The Marlins are 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.  Take Washington. 

7* NL West Game of the Month on Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (-110) 

The Key: Games are much more important to the Diamondbacks these days than the Padres.  The Diamondbacks are right in the NL West race, while the Padres are in last place in their division by a mile.  I certainly like the pitching matchup in Arizona’s favor tonight.  Zack Greinke is 11-5 with a 3.05 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 21 starts this year, including 2-0 with a 1.35 ERA and 0.80 WHIP in his last 3 outings.  Greinke is 10-2 with a 2.14 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 20 lifetime starts vs. San Diego as well.  Luis Perdomo is 1-5 with a 6.99 ERA and 1.90 WHIP in 8 starts for the Padres, including 0-4 with a shocking 11.29 ERA and 2.46 WHIP in 4 home starts.  Perdomo is 3-4 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 7 lifetime starts vs. Arizona as well.  Greinke is 51-14 in his career as a favorite of -175 to -250, and his teams are winning by 2.1 RPG.  The Padres are 6-24 as home dogs of +100 or higher this season, losing by 3.0 RPG.  Take Arizona on the Run Line. 

7* Brewers/Giants National League *BAILOUT* on San Francisco -105 

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Giants tonight at basically even money against the Milwaukee Brewers.  It’s not or never for the Giants, who currently sit at 52-51 and need to start stringing wins together if they want to stay in the NL West race.  I like what I’ve seen from starters Dereck Rodriquez, who is 4-1 with a 2.89 ERA in 8 starts, 2-0 with a 2.55 ERA in 4 home starts, and 2-0 with a 1.40 ERA in his last 3 outings.  Wade Miley has a 1.56 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in 4 starts for the Brewers, but it’s a small sample size and this guy hasn’t been good for a long time.  He’s getting too much respect from oddsmakers tonight.  The Giants are 6-0 in Rodriquez’s last 6 starts.  The Brewers are 0-6 in their last 6 road games.  The Giants are 19-9 in their last 28 home games.  The Giants are 16-5 in their last 21 home meetings with the Brewers.  Take San Francisco. 

7* Diamondbacks/Cubs NL *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago -107 

The Key: The Chicago Cubs will be hungry for a victory today over the Diamondbacks.  They have lost the first two games of this series to Arizona.  I like the price we are getting with the Cubs in Game 3 today with Jon Lester taking the ball.  Lester is 12-3 with a 3.14 ERA in 20 starts this year.  He’ll be opposed by Robbie Rays, who is 3-2 with a 5.37 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in 11 starts, including 0-1 with a 6.60 ERA and 1.67 WHIP in his last 3 outings.  The Cubs are 11-1 in Lester’s 12 starts vs. a team that steals 0.5 or fewer bases per game this season.  That’s big because he has a problem throwing over to first base.  The Cubs are 40-14 in Lester’s last 54 home starts.  Take Chicago.  

7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston Red Sox -141 

The Key: It’s hard not to like the Boston Red Sox at this price over the Baltimore Orioles.  The Red Sox have the best record in baseball at 71-31, while the Orioles have the worst at 28-73.  Not to mention, the Orioles just traded away their best player in Manny Machado to the Dodgers.  They have clearly thrown in the towel on the season already.  Drew Pomeranz hasn’t been great this year but he should be healthy now after making his last start on May 31st.  And he should have no problem shutting down this weak Orioles’ lineup.  Yefrey Ramirez is 0-3 with a 3.93 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in his 4 starts his year for the Orioles.  He faced the Red Sox on June 13th, giving up 3 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings for a 6.24 ERA while taking the loss in a 1-5 defeat.  The Red Sox are 13-1 in their last 14 meetings with the Orioles.  Take Boston. 

7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Los Angeles Angels -1.5 (-103) 

The Key: The Angles hung 14 runs on the Astros in victory Sunday.  They should hang another big number on the White Sox and Lucas Giolito, who is 6-8 with a 6.18 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 19 starts this season.  The Angels have the clear edge on the mound behind Jaime Barria, who is 5-6 with a 3.55 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 13 starts this season.  The Angels are 19-4 vs. teams who are outscored by one or more runs/game this season and winning by 2.6 RPG in this spot.  The White Sox are 15-40 in their last 55 road games vs. a right-handed starter.  The Angels are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.  Take Los Angeles on the Run Line. 

7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland Indians -156 

The Key: The Indians exploded for 16 runs yesterday and have now scored 25 runs the past two days in winning the first two games of this series with the Rangers.  They should cap off the sweep today and keep the bats hot against Yovani Gallardo and the Rangers.  Gallardo doesn’t even belong in the big leagues and only got called up because the Rangers are so far back in the standings.  Gallardo is 3-1 in spite of a 6.75 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in 5 starts this year.  He’s opposed by Mike Clevinger, who is 7-5 with a 3.47 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in 19 starts this year, including 4-2 with a 2.61 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in 9 road starts.  Clevinger sports a 2.84 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts against Texas.  Gallardo is 1-1 with a. 4.91 ERA and 1.82 WHIP in 2 lifetime stats vs. Cleveland.  The Indians are 6-0 in their last 6 road games.  The Rangers are 0-5 in their last 5 home games.  Take Cleveland. 

7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Los Angeles Dodgers -150 

The Key: The Los Angeles Dodgers have some momentum as they’ve overtaken first place in the NL West after being left for dead a couple months ago.  The Dodgers are 38-17 in their last 55 games overall, including 18-6 in their last 24 road games, and 13-3 int heir last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning record.  They have the edge on the mound tonight with Clayton Kershaw.  The Dodges are 61-19 in Kershaw’s last 80 starts.  Kershaw is 3-4 with a 2.74 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 13 starts this year, 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in 5 road starts, and 2-0 with a 2.41 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in his last 3 starts.  Kershaw is 5-4 with a 2.95 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 12 lifetime starts against the Brewers.  Chase Anderson is 3-3 with a 4.83 ERA in 10 home starts this year.  Anderson is 1-4 with a 5.44 ERA in 9 lifetime starts against the Dodgers.  The Brewers are 0-7 in their last 7 games overall and are once again choking this season after having the NL Central lead for most of the year.  Take Los Angeles. 

7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-119) 

The Key: The Indians have a big edge on the mound tonight with Trevor Bauer over Martin Perez.  Bauer is 8-6 with a 2.31 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 20 starts this year with 175 strikeouts in 136 1/3 innings.  Bauer has never lost to the Rangers, going 1-0 with a 3.48 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts against them.  Perez is 2-4 with a 7.67 ERA and 2.05 WHIP in 6 starts this year, including 1-1 with a 10.00 ERA and 2.33 WHIP in 2 home starts.  Perez has never beaten the Indians, going 0-2 with a 9.20 ERA and 1.98 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against them.  Take the Indians on the Run Line. 

7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago Cubs -138 

The Key: The Cubs have taken over first place in the NL Central with a 54-38 record on the season.  They have recently gotten healthy and started to play some great baseball.  They are 11-3 in their last 14 games overall and should add another win Sunday thanks to their huge edge on the mound.  Jon Lester is 11-2 with a 2.45 ERA in 18 starts this season.  Lester is 2-1 with a 2.97 ERA in 5 lifetime starts vs. San Diego.  He’ll be opposed by Eric Lauer, who is 5-5 with a 4.40 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in 15 starts for the Padres.  The Cubs are 32-6 in Lester’s last 38 starts vs. a team with a losing record.  Chicago is 5-0 in Lester’s last 5 road starts.  The Padres are 0-6 in their last 6 during Game 3 of a series.  San Diego is 6-20 in its last 26 games overall.  The Cubs are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.  Take Chicago. 

7* Diamondbacks/Braves NL *HEAVY HITTER* on Atlanta -101 

The Key: The Atlanta Braves will be hungry for a victory today after going just 2-7 in their last 9 games overall, including a 2-1 loss to the Diamondbacks in Game 1 of this series Friday.  I like their chances with Sean Newcomb on the mound today.  Newcomb is 3-1 with a 2.98 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in 7 home starts this year.  While Zack Greinke has been awesome at home throughout his career, he has not been nearly as good on the road.  That is the case again in 2018 as Greinke is 5-4 with a 4.31 ERA in 9 road starts.  The Diamondbacks are 8-22 in their last 30 vs. a team with a winning record.  The Braves are 16-7 in the last 23 home meetings.  Take Atlanta. 

7* A’s/Giants Interleague *BAILOUT* on San Francisco -142 

The Key: The San Francisco Giants have a big edge on the mound tonight over the Oakland A’s despite what the numbers say.  Madison Bumgarner is the real deal and has shown no ill-effects of injury.  The left-hander is 2-3 with a 3.09 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 7 starts this year, including 2-1 with a 2.05 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in 4 home starts.  Edwin Jackson does have a 2.45 ERA, but that has come in just 3 starts.  There’s a reason this guy has bounced around the league so often throughout his career.  It’s only a matter of time before he comes back down to reality this season.  The A’s are 23-57 in their last 80 road games vs. a left-handed starter.  The Giants are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.  The Giants are 17-6 in their last 23 home meetings with the A’s.  Take San Francisco. 

7* American League Game of the Month on Tampa Bay Rays -115 

The Key: Blake Snell might be the single most underrated starter in baseball.  He has gone 12-4 with a 2.10 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 19 starts this season, including 3-0 with a 0.42 ERA and 0.88 WHIP in his last 3 outings.  He has shut down the likes of the Astros and Yankees on multiple occasions this year, so he’s clearly the real deal.  He’s much better than Kyle Gibson, who is 1-4 with a 4.44 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 9 home starts this year, and 1-1 with a 5.21 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in his last 3 outings.  Snell yielded just one earned run and 5 base runners in 7 innings in a 10-1 victory in his lone start against Minnesota this season.  Gibson is 1-5 with a 6.81 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in 7 lifetime starts vs. Tampa Bay.  The Twins are 0-9 when revenging a same season 3-game sweep at the hands of their opponents over the last 3 seasons.  Minnesota is 0-7 in its last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.  The Rays are 35-16 in the last 51 meetings, including 20-7 in the last 27 meetings in Minnesota.  Take Tampa Bay. 

7* MLB Total of the Week on Yankees/Orioles OVER 9.5 

The Key: For starters, this has been an OVER series.  The OVER is 24-4 in the last 28 meetings, including 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Baltimore.  I’m surprise at how low this 9.5 total is tonight when it should be double-digits minimum.  Sonny Gray sports a 5.85 ERA in 17 starts this year and a 12.27 ERA in his last 3 outings.  Gray also sports a 4.64 ERA in 8 lifetime starts vs. Baltimore.  Dylan Bundy is 2-1 with a 6.32 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in his last 3 starts.  Bundy is 2-3 with a 5.06 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts vs. New York.  Take the OVER. 

7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Washington Nationals -107 

The Key: The Washington Nationals have the edge on the mound tonight over the Pittsburgh Pirates.  Jeremy Hellickson is 2-1 with a 3.81 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 11 starts this year, including 2-1 with a 3.13 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 7 road starts.  Hellickson is also 3-1 with a 2.38 ERA and 0.88 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts vs. Pittsburgh.  Joe Musgrove is 2-3 with a 4.94 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in 5 home starts for the Pirates.  He’s also 1-2 with a 6.46 ERA and 1.83 WHIP in his last 3 outings overall.  Musgrove is 1-9 at home with a total of 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.  The Nationals are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. NL Central teams.  Washington is 4-0 in Hellickson’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.  The Pirates are 0-7 in their last 7 Tuesday games.  Pittsburgh is 1-4 in Musgrove’s last 5 starts.  Take Washington. 

7* Interleague Game of the Week on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (+102) 

The Key: The Cleveland Indians will be hungry for a victory after losing two straight over the weekend.  They should get right back on track in a big way Monday night against the lowly Reds.  They have a huge edge on the mound with Mike Clevinger, who is 7-3 with a 3.11 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 17 starts this year.  Anthony Desclafini is 3-1 with a 5.08 ERA and 1.278 WHIP in 6 starts for the Reds.  He has yielded 9 earned runs in 11 2/3 innings in his last 2 starts against the White Sox and Brewers.  The Indians should touch him up just as they did the last time they faced him. Desclafini gave up 6 earned runs in 5 innings of a 4-9 loss.  The Reds are 15-43 in their last 58 interleague road games.  The Indians are 40-11 in their last 51 home games vs. a team with a losing record.  Cleveland is 7-1 in Clevinger’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record.  Take Cleveland on the Run Line. 

7* NL Central Game of the Year on Chicago Cubs -146 

The Key: The Cubs were swept in a 4-game series by the Reds for the first time since 1983 just a few weeks ago.  They have a chance to win this series with a victory Sunday to exact some form of revenge, and I look for them to take advantage.  They have a huge edge on the mound in this one with Jon Lester over Luis Castillo.  Lester is 11-2 with a 2.25 ERA in 17 starts this year, including 5-1 with a 1.49 ERA in 8 home starts.  Castillo is 5-8 with a 5.33 ERA in 18 starts, including 2-5 with a 6.70 ERA in 10 road starts.  Lester has won each of his last 2 starts against the Reds while yielding just 1 earned run in 11 innings and striking out 15.  The Cubs are 10-0 in Lester’s 10 starts vs. teams averaging 0.35 or less SB’s/game this season.  The Cubs are 31-6 in Lester’s last 37 starts vs. a team with a losing record.  The Cubs are 39-13 in Lester’s last 52 home starts.  Take Chicago. 

7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-124) 

The Key: The Red Sox (60-29) should make easy work of the Kansas City Royals (25-62) once again today.  They jumped out to a 8-0 lead yesterday and cruised to a 10-5 victory.  Expect more of the same Saturday.  David Price is 4-1 with a 2.86 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 9 lifetime starts vs. Kansas City.  The Royals are 2-16 in home games off 3 or more consecutive losses this season.  They are losing by 2.6 RPG in this spot.  Take Boston on the Run Line. 

7* AL Game of the Week on Detroit Tigers -105 

The Key: The Detroit Tigers have a big edge on the mound in this matchup with the Texas Ranges.  Jordan Zimmerman is 3-0 with a 4.10 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 10 starts this year.  Zimmerman is 1-0 with a. 3.09 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 4 home starts, and 1-0 with a 2.65 ERA and 0.82 WHIP in his last 3 starts anywhere.  Zimmerman sports a 3.38 ERA lifetime vs. the Rangers.  Bartolo Colon is 5-5 with a 4.93 ERA in 15 starts for Texas this year.  Colon is 9-11 with a 5.10 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 29 lifetime starts vs. Detroit.  Take Detroit. 

7* Cardinals/Giants National League *BAILOUT* on San Francisco -129 

The Key: The Giants will be hungry for a victory after getting swept in Colorado last series.  They have a huge 10-game homestand before the All-Star Break that could have them chasing down the Diamondbacks in the NL West.  It starts with Game 1 of this series with the Cardinals tonight.  I like their chances of getting a victory with Johnny Cueto on the mound.  He has been dominant in his 5 starts when healthy this season, going 3-0 with a 0.84 ERA and 0.69 WHIP.  Cueto is 2-0 with a 1.77 ERA in his last 3 starts against the Cardinals.  Luke Weaver is 4-7 with a 5.36 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 17 starts for the Cardinals.  He is also 4-3 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.60 WHIP in 9 road starts, and 1-1 with an 8.21 ERA and 1.89 WHIP in his last 3 outings.  Weaver has allowed 8 runs in 8 2/3 innings in his 2 lifetime starts against the Giants.  The Giants are 7-1 in Cueto’s last 8 starts.  Take San Francisco.

7* Angels/Mariners AL West *HEAVY HITTER* on Seattle -107 

The Key: The Seattle Mariners are perhaps the most underrated team in baseball.  They are 55-31 on the season and just a half-game back of the Astros in the AL West.  They have profited backers +22.2 units already this season.  We are getting them at a great price, as usual, today at basically even money against the Angels.  The Mariners are 8-0 in their last 8 games overall, while the Angels are 2-8 in their last 10 games.  Mike Leake is 8-4 with a 4.01 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 17 starts this year, including 1-0 with a 1.20 ERA in his last two starts.  Leake is 3-1 with a 2.49 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts vs. Los Angeles.  The Angels are 3-16 vs. teams who win 62% or more of their games this season.  Los Angels is 0-8 in its last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning percentage of greater than 60%.  The Mariners are 9-1 in Leake’s last 10 starts.  Take Seattle. 

7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-114) 

The Key: The Cleveland Indians have now scored a combined 24 runs the past two days.  Look for their bats to stay red hot against the Kansas City Royals tonight.  Danny Duffy is 4-7 with a 4.94 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 17 starts for the Royals, including 0-3 with a 6.32 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in 6 home starts.  Duffy is 2-8 with a 5.48 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 13 lifetimes starts vs. Cleveland.  He has yielded 12 earned runs in 9 innings in his 2 starts against the Indians this season.  Shane Bieber has been lights out for the Indians.  He has made four starts for them this season, and his last three have resulted in a 3-0 record and 0.96 ERA with 21 strikeouts in 18 innings.  The Indians are 47-16 in their last 63 vs. AL Central.  Cleveland is 4-0 in Bieber’s 4 starts this year.  The Royals are 11-40 in their last 51 games vs. a right-handed starter.  Kansas City is 1-6 in Duffy’s last 7 home starts.  The Royals are 0-7 in Duffy’s last 7 starts vs. Indians.  Take Cleveland on the Run Line. 

7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-150) 

The Key: The Indians will win by at least 2 runs over the Kansas City Royals tonight thanks to their huge edge on the mound.  The Indians just scored 15 runs yesterday against the A’s and should stay hot at the plate against Jake Junis tonight.  Junis is 5-9 with a 4.67 ERA in 16 starts this year, including 0-3 with a 7.72 ERA in his last 3 starts.  Junis gave up 4 runs in 5 2/3 innings of a 2-6 loss to the Indians in his only start against them this year.  Corey Kluber is 11-4 with a 2.54 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in 17 starts for the Indians.  He is 10-6 with a 3.02 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 21 lifetime starts vs. Kansas City.  Kluber is 4-0 with a 0.82 ERA in his last 5 starts against the Royals, yielding just 3 earned runs in 32 2/3 innings.  The Indians are 6-0 in Kluber’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.  The Royals are 0-6 in Junis’ last 6 starts.  Take Cleveland on the Run Line. 

7* MLB Dog of the Week on Los Angeles Angels +114 

The Key: I’ve faded the Orioles with success a lot lately, including the last 3 days.  I’m not about to stop now, and I can’t believe the Orioles are favored over the Angels today.  Baltimore has not dropped 8 straight games coming in to fall to 23-59 on the season.  This team has clearly packed it in already.  The Angels are still fighting to try to get back in the playoff race after a poor June.  The Angels are 9-1 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of less than 40%.  The Orioles are 10-45 in their last 55 vs. a team with a winning record.  Baltimore is 1-6 in Gausman’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.  The Angles are 7-0 in the last 7 meetings.  Finally, the Orioles are 0-15 vs. AL West opponents this season.  Take Los Angeles. 

7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Los Angeles Angels -141 

The Key: If it ain’t broke don’t fix it.  We’ve been fading the Orioles with regularity of late, including each of the last two days with success.  The Orioles are just 23-58 on the season and have lost 7 straight coming in.  The Angles have a big edge on the mound this afternoon.  Tyler Skaggs is 6-5 with a 2.69 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 15 starts this year, including 5-2 with a 2.14 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 9 road starts.  He’s 2-1 with a 0.86 ERA in his last 3 starts.  In his lone lifetime start against the Orioles, Skaggs pitched 4 2/3 shutout innings without allowing a single hit.  Andrew Cashner has yet to win at home this season, going 0-5 with a 5.12 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in 8 home starts for the Orioles.  He is 2-8 with a 4.70 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in 15 starts this year overall.  Cashner sports a 4.85 ERA in 2 lifetime starts vs. Los Angeles.  The Orioles are 0-14 vs. AL West opponents this season.  Take Los Angeles. 

7* American League Game of the Week on Los Angeles Angels -138 

The Key: We’ll keep fading the rotten Baltimore Orioles just as we did yesterday with success.  The Orioles are 23-57 on the season and have lost 6 straight coming in.  After falling back to .500 with 6 straight losses of their own, the Angels have a great chance to get back on track in this series, starting with Game 1 tonight.  Felix Pena has been solid in his two starts this season with a 4.00 ERA.  David Hess is 2-4 with a 5.44 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in 8 starts this year for the Orioles, including 0-2 with an 11.25 ERA and 2.17 WHIP in his last 3 outings.  Baltimore is 0-13 vs. AL West opponents this season.  The Orioles are 0-5 in Hess’ last 5 starts.  Take Los Angeles. 

7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Seattle Mariners -140 

The Key: The Orioles are a mess.  They are just 23-56 on the season and have lost 5 straight coming in.  The Mariners have now won 3 in a row and are 50-31 on the season.  Mike Leake is 8-4 with a 4.11 ERA in 16 starts this year, 5-1 with a 3.89 ERA in 7 road starts, and 2-1 with a 2.70 ERA in his last 3 starts.  Jimmy Yacabonis makes his major league debut for the Orioles today.  Baltimore is 0-12 vs. AL West opponents this season.  The Orioles are 2-15 as a home dog of +100 or higher this season.  The Mariners are 8-1 in Leake’s last 9 starts.  Seattle is 5-0 in Leake’s last 5 road starts.  The Orioles are 4-22 in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  Take Seattle. 

7* MLB Total of the Week on Indians/Cardinals UNDER 8.5 

The Key: Two of the better young starters in baseball go head-to-head Wednesday night in this matchup between the Indians and Cardinals.  Jack Flaherty is 3-2 with a 2.50 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 10 starts this season.  He is 1-0 with a 0.98 ERA and 0.66 WHIP in his last 3 starts with 26 strikeouts in 18 1/3 innings while yielding just 2 earned runs.  Shane Bieber is 2-0 with a 2.45 ERA and 22 strikeouts in 18 1/3 innings across 3 starts for the Indians this season.  This has the makings of a pitcher’s duel tonight.  The UNDER is 8-1-1 in Cardinals last 10 interleague home games.  The UNDER is 8-2-1 in Flaherty’s last 11 starts.  The UNDER is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings.  Take the UNDER. 

7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Seattle Mariners -135

The Key: This is a pretty generous price for the Seattle Mariners (48-31) over the Baltimore Orioles (23-54) tonight.  The Mariners have the clear edge on the mound as they send ace James Paxton to the hill.  Paxton is 6-2 with a 3.63 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 16 starts this year with 124 strikeouts in 96 2/3 innings.  Kevin Gausman is 3-6 with a 4.38 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 15 starts for the Orioles.  Seattle is 10-1 off 6 or more consecutive road games this season.  Baltimore is 1-12 after batting .200 or worse over a 3-game span this season.  The Orioles are 0-10 vs. AL West teams this season.  Baltimore is 0-7 in Gausman’s last 7 starts.  Take Seattle. 

7* Interleague Game of the Week on Cleveland Indians -128 

The Key: The Cleveland Indians have reeled off 7 straight victories heading into this series with the Cardinals.  They are hitting the cover off the ball right now as they have scored double-digit runs in 3 of their last 4, and 6 or more in 5 of their last 6.  Mike Clevinger remains one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  He is 6-2 with a 3.00 ERA in 15 starts this season, 3-1 with a 2.27 ERA in 7 road starts, and 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA in his last 3 starts.  John Gant is 0-2 with a 6.00 ERA in 3 starts for the Cardinals this season.  St. Louis is 0-7 in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better over the last 3 seasons.  The Cardinals are 0-7 off an upset win over a division opponent as an underdog this season.  St. Louis is 0-5 in Gant’s last 5 starts.  The Indians are 7-0 in their last 7 games overall.  These four trends add up to a 26-0 angle backing the Indians.  Take Cleveland. 

7* Phillies/Nationals NL East Game of the Year on Washington -113 

The Key: The Washington Nationals aren’t about to get swept at home by the Philadelphia Phillies tonight. They will win Game 3 on ESPN.  Nick Pivetta is 1-3 with a 6.23 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 6 road starts this year.  Pivetta has never beaten the Nationals, going 0-2 with an 11.81 ERA and 2.44 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against them.  He has yielded 14 earned runs, 6 homers and 26 base runners in 10 2/3 innings in those 3 starts.  Take Washington. 

7* Blue Jays/Angels American League *BAILOUT* on Los Angeles -130 

The Key: The Los Angeles Angels should make easy work of the Toronto Blue Jays tonight.  Jaime Barria has been awesome this season at 5-3 with a 3.57 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in nine starts.  Marcus Stroman is still in search of his first victory for the Blue Jays.  He is 0-5 with a 7.71 ERA and 1.71 WHIP in seven starts.  The Blue Jays are 1-10 in their last 11 road games.  The Angels are 7-1 in their last 8 home games.  The Angels are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.  Take Los Angeles. 

7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Oakland A’s -123 (Game 2)

The Key: The Oakland A’s have won 4 straight while scoring a combined 28 runs in the process.  They should stay hot at the plate tonight against Chicago’s Lucas Giolito, who has been one of the worst starters in the league this season.  Giolito is 4-7 with a 7.19 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in 14 starts this year, including 1-4 with an 11.05 ERA and 2.012 WHIP in 7 home starts.  Chris Bassitt sports a 2.45 ERA and 1.09 WHIP through his 2 starts this season.  The White Sox are 2-16 off 3 consecutive games against a division opponent this season.  The A’s are 13-3 in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below 40%.  The White Sox are 1-8 in Giolito’s last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record.  Chicago is 1-6 in Giolito’s last 7 home starts.  The A’s are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.  Take Oakland. 

7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-130) 

The Key: The Indians have a big edge on the mound today with Corey Kluber over Reynaldo Lopez.  Kluber is 10-3 with a 2.24 ERA and 0.84 WHIP in 15 starts this year.  The Indians have gone 7-1 in Kluber’s last 8 starts against the White Sox, during which he has compiled a 2.05 ERA while yielding only 12 earned runs in 52 2/3 innings.  Reynaldo Lopez was shelled for 7 earned runs in 2 2/3 innings in his last start against the Indians on May 30th.  The White Sox are 10-42 in their last 52 road games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Indians are 23-5 in Kluber’s last 28 starts vs. a team with a losing record.  The Indians will win by multiple runs Wednesday.  Take Cleveland on the Run Line. 

7* NL Central Game of the Month on Pittsburgh Pirates -112 

The Key: It’s important that the Pittsburgh Pirates sweep this series with the Milwaukee Brewers.  They currently are 6 games behind the Brewers in the race for 1st place in the NL Central.  They won 1-0 yesterday in Game 1 and should take Game 2 tonight as well.  Jameson Taillon is having a fine season at 4-5 with a 3.94 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 14 starts, including 2-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in his last 3 outings.  Taillon sports a 3.47 ERA in 7 lifetime starts vs. Milwaukee.  He has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in each of his last 4 starts against the Brewers.  Freddy Peralta makes just his 3rd start of the season for the Brewers tonight.  The Pirates are 25-11 in home games after allowing 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons.  The Pirates are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings and 6-2 in the last 8 home meetings.  Take Pittsburgh. 

7* Diamondbacks/Angels ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Los Angeles -111 

The Key: The Los Angeles Angels are hungry for a victory after losing 6 of their last 7 games coming in.  All were on the road, and now they return home from a 9-game road stand.  The Angels should fare much better at home in Game 1 of this series with the Diamondbacks.  Jaime Barria has been great this season at 5-2 with a 2.61 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 8 starts.  He has been even better at home at 2-1 with a 2.14 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 4 starts.  Zack Greinke has been great at home but sub-par on the road throughout his career.  That is the case again in 2018 as Greinke is 2-4 with a 5.91 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in 6 road starts this year.  Greinke is 3-5 with a 4.00 ERA in 11 lifetime starts vs. Los Angeles.  The Angels are 13-5 in their last 18 interleague home games.  The Diamondbacks are 0-7 in their last 7 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.  Arizona is 4-14 in its last 18 vs. a team with a winning record.  Take Los Angeles. 

7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Philadelphia Phillies -107 

The Key: The Philadelphia Phillies have a big edge on the mound today with Aaron Nola over Chase Anderson of the Brewers.  Nola is 8-2 with a 2.27 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in 14 starts this year.  He has never lost to the Brewers, going 3-0 with a 1.38 ERA in 4 lifetime starts against them.  Anderson is 5-5 with a 4.13 ERA in 13 starts this year, but 3-2 with a 5.06 ERA in 7 home starts.  Anderson is also 1-2 with a 5.85 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against the Phillies.  Take Philadelphia. 

7* Cubs/Cardinals NL Central *HEAVY HITTER* on St. Louis +109 

The Key: After getting embarrassed 5-13 by the Cubs yesterday, the Cardinals should come back hungry for a victory against their rivals tonight.  Carlos Martinez has been very sharp this season at 3-3 with a 2.50 ERA in 10 starts.  He has been awesome at home at 1-1 with a 1.84 ERA in 6 starts.  Kyle Hendricks is 4-6 with a 3.48 ERA in 13 starts this year.  Hendricks has leaked oil on the road, going 1-1 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 5 starts.  Hendricks is 1-9 off a win this season.  The Cardinals are 4-0 in Martinez’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.  St. Louis is 4-1 in Martinez’s last 5 starts against Chicago.  Take St. Louis. 

7* AL Central Game of the Month on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-108) 

The Key: The Indians should be able to win by multiple runs over the Twins today.  Corey Kluber gets the ball looking to build on a terrific season already.  He is 10-2 with a 1.99 ERA and 0.83 WHIP in 14 starts, including 6-0 with a 1.26 ERA and 0.82 WHIP in 7 home starts.  Kyle Gibson is having a decent season but is just 1-4 in 13 starts.  He is 2-6 with a 5.60 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in 14 lifetime starts vs. Cleveland.  Kluber has really shut down the Twins in recent starts against them.  He is 2-0 with a 0.44 ERA in his last 3 starts against Minnesota, yielding just 1 earned runs in 20 2/3 innings with 29 strikeouts.  The Twins are 2-8 in their last 10 road games.  The Indians are 48-16 in their last 64 vs. a team with a losing record.  Cleveland is 46-17 in Kluber’s last 63 starts.  Take Cleveland. 

7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Arizona Diamondbacks -128 

The Key: The Diamondbacks are on fire at the plate right now.  They have scored 8 or more runs in 5 of hitter last 6 games coming in.  They should feast on the Mets’ Jason Vargas, who is 2-4 with a 7.71 ERA and 1.75 WHIP in 7 starts, and 1-2 with a 10.34 ERA and 1.98 WHIP in 4 road starts.  Vargas is also 2-2 with a 7.11 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts vs. Arizona.  Matt Koch has been solid for the Diamondbacks at 4-3 with a 4.35 ERA and 1.26 WHIP in 10 starts this year.  The Mets are 1-10 after batting .200 or worse over a 3-game span this season.  Take Arizona. 

7* AL Central Game of the Month on Detroit Tigers -102 

The Key: The Detroit Tigers got a much-needed day off yesterday and should be rejuvenated.  It probably felt like a vacation after playing 18 games in 17 days prior and going 10-8 in that tough stretch.  I really like the attitude of this team because almost everyone counted them out, but they are still right in the thick of the AL Central race.  Blaine Hardy has been solid in 5 starts this year, going 2-1 with a 3.81 ERA and 1.24 WHIP, including 2-0 with a 2.60 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 3 home starts.  Jake Odorizzi is 0-1 with an 8.36 ERA and 1.71 WHIP in his last 3 starts for the Twins.  The Tigers are 21-16 (+11.4 units) at home this season.  The Twins are 12-18 (-5.3 units) on the road.  The Tigers are 6-0 in their last 6 games following an off day.  The Twins are 1-7 in their last 8 games following an off day.  Minnesota is 0-6 in Odorizzi’s last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.  Take Detroit. 

7* MLB Total of the Week on Red Sox/Orioles OVER 8.5 

The Key: Both Steven Wright and Dylan Bundy are in line to get rocked tonight.  Wright is 2-2 with a 7.17 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts vs. Baltimore.  Bundy is 3-6 with a 4.98 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in 10 lifetime starts vs. Boston.  The OVER is 8-1-2 in Red Sox last 11 Monday games.  The OVER is 9-2 in Lundy’s last 11 starts when working on 4 days of rest.  Take the OVER. 

7* American League Game of the Month on Minnesota Twins -111 

The Key: The Minnesota Twins should be hungry for a victory here Sunday.  They have lost the first two games of this series to the Angels and will be looking to avoid the sweep.  Fernando Romero is the better starter in this matchup.  He is 2-2 with a 3.96 ERA in 7 starts this year, including 1-0 with a 2.70 ERA in 3 home starts.  Nick Tropeano is 3-3 with a 4.35 ERA in 9 starts for the Angels.  Romero faced the Angels on May 13th and yielded just one run in 5 innings for a 1.80 ERA.  He will shut them down today as the Twins get a win to avoid the sweep.  Take Minnesota. 

7* AL Central Game of the Week on Detroit Tigers +165 

The Key: I like the price we are getting with the Tigers at home today.  Mike Fiers has held his own this season at 5-3 with a 4.33 ERA in 11 starts.  He is 3-1 with a 3.97 ERA in 6 home starts this year and has gone 7-4 against the money line to net backers +7.0 units of profit on the season.  Fiers is also 3-1 with a 2.22 ERA in 5 lifetime starts vs. Cleveland.  These are numbers of a starter who shouldn’t be this big of a home underdog today.  Mike Clevinger is 1-1 with a 5.00 ERA in his last 3 starts.  Cleveland is only 6-11 (-10.6 units) as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season.  Detroit is 10-5 (+11.8 units) as a home underdog of +125 or more this season.  Take Detroit. 

7* Warriors/Cavs Game 4 *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 216 

The Key: As a series goes on, games tend to be lower and lower scoring.  That has been the case in this series as well as each game has been lower scoring than the next.  The Cavs and Warriors combined for 212 points in Game 3 and now we’re seeing a total of 216, so I think there’s value with the UNDER.  Both teams know what each other is trying to do, which makes scoring at a premium.  The UNDER is 10-3 in Warriors last 13 games overall.  The UNDER is 7-1 in Warriors last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  The UNDER is 11-5 in Cavaliers last 16 home games.  Take the UNDER. 

6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Seattle Mariners -113 

The Key: The Mariners have gone 6-1 in their last 7 games to improve to 39-23 on the season.  The Rays have gone 0-7 in their last 7 games to fall to 28-33.  Now Tampa Bay will continue deploying its strategy to start relievers, which isn’t working.  Wilmer Font will get his first start this season for the Rays.  Font is 0-2 with a 9.78 ERA on the season for Tampa.  Marco Gonzalez has been on fire at 3-0 with a 0.44 ERA in his last 3 starts, and he’s now 6-3 with a 2.97 ERA in 12 starts this year.  Gonzalez pitched 6 2/3 innings of one-run ball in a 3-1 win over the Rays on June 2nd in his only lifetime start against them.  Tampa Bay is 2-15 after scoring 4 runs or less in 6 straight games over the last 3 seasons.  Take Seattle. 

7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+120) 

The Key: Left-hander Jalen Beeks will make his major league debut for the Red Sox at Fenway Park tonight.  This guy isn’t getting the love that he deserves after what he’s done in the minors.  Beeks is 3-3 with a 2.56 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in 10 starts for Triple-A Pawtucket this season.  He has struck out 80 batters and walked 14 in 56 1/3 innings with a .197 batting average against.  Matt Boyd is 0-1 with a 12.00 ERA and 2.33 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts vs. Boston.  The Red Sox are 12-1 vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 or fewer walks per game this season, and they’re winning in this spot by 4.1 RPG.  Take Boston on the Run Line. 

7* NBA Finals Game of the Year on Cleveland Cavaliers +4.5 

The Key: It’s do or die for the Cavaliers tonight.  I like backing teams with their backs against the wall because you know what kind of effort you are going to get from them.  While the Cavs will be at 110% tonight, the Warriors could relax after protecting home court with their 2-0 series lead.  And the Cavs will be happy to return home where they are 8-0 SU in their last 8 playoff games.  Take Cleveland. 

6* National League *CA$H COW* on Colorado Rockies -125 

The Key: I like the price we are getting with the Colorado Rockies as small road favorites over the Cincinnati Reds, who are just 21-40 this season, including 9-20 at home.  Sal Romano is 3-6 with a 5.85 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in 12 starts this season for the Reds, including 1-2 with a 9.39 ERA and 2.02 WHIP in his last 3 starts.  Romano is also 1-1 with a 6.10 ERA and 1.84 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts vs. Colorado.  Jon Gray has never lost to the Reds, going 3-0 with a 4.58 ERA in 3 lifetime starts against them.  Take Colorado. 

7* Mariners/Astros AL West *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston -117 

The Key: It’s rare you will get the chance to back the defending champion Astros at this kind of price at home this season.  We’ll take advantage tonight.  The Astros want to send the Mariners a message that they won’t be losing the AL West this season as they currently trail the M’s by one game.  Dallas Keuchel sports a 3.65 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 12 starts this year.  Keuchel is 8-6 with a 2.72 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 15 lifetime starts vs. Seattle.  The left-hander has yielded 2 earned runs or fewer in each of his last 6 starts against the Mariners while going 4-1 with a 1.94 ERA in the process.  The Astros are 37-16 in Keuchel’s last 53 home starts.  The Astros are 26-10 in the last 36 meetings, including 5-1 in Keuchel’s last 6 home starts vs. Seattle.  Take Houston. 

7* Diamondbacks/Giants NL West *BAILOUT* on Arizona +102 

The Key: The Arizona Diamondbacks have gotten back on track with a 5-1 run over their last 6 games.  Their offense has come to life by scoring a total of 42 runs in those 6 games, or an average of 7 per game. They should stay hot against Derek Holland, who sports a 4.59 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in his career.  Holland is 3-6 with a 4.94 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 11 starts this year.  Zack Godley hasn’t been as sharp as last year, but he is still solid.  And Godley is 2-1 with a 3.31 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts vs. San Francisco.  Arizona is 12-2 vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 or fewer walks per game this season.  The Diamondbacks are 11-5 as a dog of +100 to +150 this season.  Godley is 11-1 as a dog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.  Wrong team favored in this game.  Take Arizona. 

7* Cavs/Warriors Game 2 *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland +11.5 

The Key: The Warriors clearly should not be double-digit favorites against the Cavs in Game 2 tonight.  The Cavs should have beaten them in Game 1 and were the better team until overtime.  And with the injuries to the Warriors’ Klay Thompson and Andre Iguodala, they aren’t the juggernaut that they are perceived to be.  The Cavs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference teams.  The Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 when playing on 2 days rest.  Take Cleveland. 

6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Washington Nationals -110 

The Key: The Washington Nationals have a big edge on the mound today with Jeremy Hellickson over Animal Sanchez.  Hellickson is 2-0 with a 2.30 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in 8 starts this season.  Sanchez has only made 3 starts with a 3.60 ERA and 1.33 WHIP.  But he hasn’t been good for years and his numbers will only get worse as the season goes on.  Hellickson is 2-0 with a 3.21 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts vs. Atlanta.  The Nationals are 14-3 in their last 17 road games.  Washington is 5-0 in Hellickson’s last 5 starts.  Take Washington. 

7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on New York Mets -116 

The Key: The New York Mets will be hungry for a victory today after losing the first two games of this series to the Cubs.  They are favored for good reason today because they have a big edge on the mound.  Jacob DeGrom is 4-0 with a 1.52 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 11 starts this year, including 2-0 with a 1.45 ERA and 0.84 WHIP in 5 home starts.  DeGrom is 3-0 with a 1.74 ERA in his last 3 starts against the Cubs, yielding just 4 earned runs in 21 innings.  Mike Montgomery will be making just his 2nd start for the Cubs this season and is no more than a spot starter who is used to the bullpen.  DeGrom is 17-4 at home when the money line is -100 to -150 in his career.  The Cubs are 3-8 in their last 11 road meetings with the Mets.  Take New York. 

7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Milwaukee Brewers -129 

The Key: The Brewers (36-21) are the vastly superior team over the White Sox (16-37) in this series.  And they have a big edge on the mound, which should warrant being a bigger favorite than they are tonight.  Chase Anderson has done his best work on the road this season with a 2.19 ERA and 0.97 WHIP across 4 starts.  Anderson sports a 1.69 ERA and 0.56 WHIP in one lifetime start vs. Chicago as well.  Hector Santiago is 1-2 with a 6.37 ERA and 1.67 WHIP in 5 starts this year, including 0-2 with a 10.61 ERA and 2.04 WHIP in 2 road starts.  He has allowed 5 homers in his last 2 starts.  The Brewers are 9-0 on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 this season.  Milwaukee is 6-1 in Anderson’s last 7 road starts.  The White Sox are 7-20 in Santiago’s last 27 starts, including 4-11 in its last 15 home starts.  Chicago is 0-9 in its last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of greater than 60%.  Take Milwaukee. 

6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on San Diego Padres -134 

The Key: The Padres have a big edge on the mound tonight with Jordan Lyles over Wei-Yin Chen.  Lyles is 1-1 with a 3.97 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in 4 starts this year, including 1-1 with a 0.73 ERA and 0.65 WHIP in 2 home starts.  Chen is 1-2 with a 5.22 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in 6 starts this year, including 0-2 with a 10.95 ERA and 1.95 WHIP in 3 road starts.  The Marlins are 13-30 in their last 43 road games and 0-4 in Chen’s last 4 road starts.  Take San Diego. 

7* Cavs/Warriors Game 1 *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland +13 

The Key: This Game 1 line has gotten out of control.  Too much has been made of the Warriors being massive favorites in this series.  I think it will be closer than most expect, starting with Game 1 tonight as the Cavs are ridiculous 13-point underdogs.  Kevin Love may or may not play, but it doesn’t matter as the Cavs were great without him and actually better defensively in winning their final two games against Boston.  Andre Iguodala is the best defender Golden State has against Lebron James, but he’s going to be out for Game 1.  James should be able to have his way against Golden State’s defense to keep this one closer than expected.  Take Cleveland. 

7* MLB Run Line Game of the Month on Washington Nationals -1.5 (-126) 

The Key: The Washington Nationals are 20-6 in their last 26 games.  They have won 7 of their last 8 and are up against the 17-38 Baltimore Orioles.  The Nationals will send ace Max Scherzer to the mound to shut down the Orioles, who have scored a total of 8 runs in their last 5 games.  Scherzer is 8-1 with a 2.14 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in 11 starts this year with 108 strikeouts in 71 2/3 innings.  He is 1-0 with a 1.13 ERA in his last 2 starts against the Orioles while yielding only 2 earned runs in 16 innings.  David Hess is 2-1 with a 4.15 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in 3 starts this year for the Orioles.  Two of those starts have come against the light-hitting Rays.  He was rocked in his only tough start against the Red Sox for 5 runs and 3 homers in 4 2/3 innings.  The Nationals should be able to hang a big number on him as well.  The Nationals are 12-1 in their last 13 road games.  Take Washington on the Run Line. 

7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Colorado Rockies -137 

The Key: The San Francisco Giants are just 11-18 on the road this season and scoring 3.2 RPG on the highway.  Things won’t get any easier for them tonight against Colorado’s Kyle Freeland, who is 4-5 with a 3.28 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 10 starts this year, including 2-1 with a 1.40 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 3 home starts.  Freeland is 3-2 with a 2.79 ERA in 5 lifetime starts vs. San Francisco.  Jeff Samardzija has been one of the worst starters in baseball over the past few seasons.  He is 1-3 with a 6.23 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in 7 starts this year.  Samardzija gave up 8 earned runs in 6 innings in his last start at Colorado last season.  The Giants are 37-73 in all road games over the last 2 seasons, including 13-36 against division opponents.  San Francisco is 1-6 in Samardzija’s last 7 road starts.  The Rockies are 11-1 in their last 12 home meetings with the Giants.  Take Colorado. 

7* Warriors/Rockets Game 7 *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston +6.5 

The Key: The Houston Rockets have held their own at home against the Warriors.  After losing Game 1, they came back to win Game 2 and 5.  And they were favorites in all 3 previous home games in this series.  Yet now they are 6.5-point underdogs in Game 7.  I like the price we are getting with them here.  Andre Iguodala is doubtful while Kevin Looney is questionable.  Chris Paul could return today, but it’s factored into the line that he’s not playing, so if he does it would only be an added bonus.  The Rockets showed they could play with the Warriors without Paul by taking a 17-point lead in Game 6 before faltering in the second half.  They should be able to sustain that level of play for 48 minutes this time around due to the boost they’ll get from their home fans.  The Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss.  Take Houston.

6* Giants/Rockies NL West *CA$H COW* on Colorado -117 

The Key: I like the price we are getting with the Colorado Rockies as small home favorites over the San Francisco Giants tonight.  The Rockies have the edge on the mound with Chad Bettis, who is 4-1 with a 3.30 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 10 starts this year.  He’ll be opposed by Andrew Suarez, who is 1-4 with a 5.69 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 6 starts, including 0-3 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.93 WHIP in his last 3 starts.  Suarez is also 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.95 WHIP in 3 road starts this year.  Bettis is 1-0 with a 2.66 ERA in his last 3 starts against San Francisco.  The Giants are 1-5 in Suarez’s last 6 starts.  San Francisco is 22-52 in its last 74 road games vs. a right-handed starter.  The Rockies are 15-3 in Bettis’ last 18 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.  The Rockies are 10-1 int heir last 11 home meetings with the Giants.  Take Colorado.