6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Pacers +2
The Key: Plays on road teams when the line is +3 to -3 that have been outscored by an average of 3.0 points or more per game and are coming off a loss of 6 points or less are 73-33 ATS since 1996. These teams have been underdogs by an average of 0.9 points and have won outright by an average of 1.8 points. Fueled by two straight losses, expect Indiana to bounce back strong against a team it defeated by double digits in both of last season's meetings.

7* Big East Game of the Week on Connecticut +3.5
The Key: This is a letdown spot for Pitt following last week's emotional loss to Notre Dame. Meanwhile, this is a bounce back spot for Connecticut, and the Huskies have been money in such spots. They are 38-18-1 ATS in their last 57 games following a loss. The Huskies have also been money at where they are 31-15-1 ATS in their last 47 games. Teams coached by Paul Pasqualoni are 7-0 ATS in home games when they check into a contest with losses in 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. His teams have won by an average score of 40.0 to 18.3 in this situation. Look for this motivated UConn team to pull off the upset.

6* NBA Bailout on Trailblazers +1
The Key: Expect the Clippers to come out flat following last night's emotional win over a San Antonio squad that had swept them in the playoffs. The Blazers are rested having not played since Monday, and they'll be the hungrier team here as they look to avenge two straight narrow defeats to the Clippers. The Blazers have won 6 of their last 7 at home in the series. The Clippers are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Portland.

7* NFL *HEAVY HITTER* on Jaguars +4
The Key: Indy's upset win at home against Miami last week puts it into a prime fade spot. Playing against favorites that have a winning record and are coming off an upset win at home has produced a perfect 9-0 ATS record the last 3 seasons. The Colts have struggled against the Jags, losing each of the last 3 meetings both SU and ATS. They have also struggled on the road where they are 1-2 with their lone win coming in OT. Take the points.

6* NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Virginia Tech +14
The Key: The Hokies have been at their best at home where they are 4-0 on the season. Florida State hasn't been nearly as dominant on the road where it hasn't won a single game by more than 13 points. VA Tech enters off back-to-back defeats, but it is 15-5 ATS all-time under coach Beamer after 2 or more consecutive losses. It has won these games by an average of 6.9 points. The Hokies are also 8-1 ATS all-time under Beamer as a home underdog. They have won these games by an average of 22.7 points. Take VA Tech.

6* NBA Bailout on Clippers +2
The Key: This game is all about revenge for the Clippers who were swept by the Spurs in last season's playoffs. Following back-to-back defeats, I have no doubt the Clipps will bring passion and energy to the floor tonight. The Spurs are 4-0 but have played 3 of those at home. We went against them in their only road game and earned the cover with the Hornets. They aren't nearly the same team on the highway. The Spurs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. Take L.A.

7* NBA Game of the Week on Raptors +6.5
The Key: The Raptors are 11-2 ATS in road games following a road loss under coach Casey. They have only lost these games by an average of 2.3 points. Their success in this situation has stemmed from a combination of the books overreacting to their previous loss and their resiliency. It is also worth mentioning that Dallas is just 19-42 ATS in home games after covering the spread in 2 of their last 3 games under coach Carlisle. They have only won these games by an average of 2.9 points. Take the points.

6* NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Ohio -2.5
The Key: Bowling Green is cooking with 5 straight wins but history is actually on Ohio's side tonight. Plays on home favorites off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival and matched up against an opponent off 3 straight wins against conference rivals are 77-35 ATS since 1992. Teams fitting this criteria have won by an average of 16.6 points. Ohio has won the last 3 meetings in the series, including a 24-point win the last time Bowling Green visited. Lay the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Bulls -8.5
The Key: One thing you don't want to do is go against the Bulls when they check in off an upset defeat. That's because they are 23-9 ATS all-time under coach Thibodeau following an upset loss. They have bounced back to win by an average of 10.1 points in this situation. Bet Chicago.

6* NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Toledo -6.5
The Key: The Cardinals have won three in a row but wins over W. Michigan, C.Michigan and Army are nothing to write home about. They take a big step up in competition tonight, and I expect them to get smoked. Toledo is on a 13-4 ATS run at home when valued as a favorite of 7.0 points or less. It has won these games by an average of 12.9 points. Take Toledo.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Kings -2
The Key: The Kings will be very motivated as they finally step foot on their home floor following 3 straight road losses to start the season. They won't be lacking any confidence either having played the Bulls and Pacers very tough. The Kings have been exceptional defensively thus far. They rank No. 2 in the NBA in field goal percentage, holding opponents to just 39.2% shooting. They also rank No. 1 in 3-point field goal percentage defense, holding foes to a ridiculous 16.7%. The Warriors haven't shot the ball particularly well in the early going, and I expect them to really struggle from the floor tonight. Take the Kings.

7* Monday Night Football *HEAVY HITTER* on Eagles +3
The Key: Even though the Eagles have found ways to lose games, we can't ignore the fact that 5 of their 7 games have been decided by 3 points or less. In other words, they have been in virtually every game this season. We also can't ignore how bad the Saints have been defensively. They are dead last in total defense with 474.7 yards per game and dead last against the run with 170.1 yards per game. Their terrible run defense gives the an Eagles the clear advantage tonight. Philly ranks 11th with 117.7 rushing yards per game and is certainly capable of running all over the Saints with LeSean McCoy and Vick. Being able to keep the ball on the ground should also help the Eagles keep their turnovers to a minimum. The Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Monday games, 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games following a double-digit loss at home and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in New Orleans.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on 76ers -3.5
The Key: The 76ers will be very motivated this evening following yesterday's disappointing performance in New York. The Knicks have won each of their first two in impressive fashion as they've shot the lights out but don't expect the shots to fall as easily tonight as they go out on the road for the first time. The 76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss,4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games. Take Philly.

6* Sunday Night Football *CA$H COW* on Cowboys +4.5
The Key: The Cowboys are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Plus, they have never lost under coach Garrett when valued as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. They are a perfect 6-0 ATS in this situation. The Falcons are 0-6 ATS after leading in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half over the last 2 seasons and 0-6 ATS after outgaining an opponent by 100 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 2 seasons. Atlanta's last 2 home wins have come by only 2 and 3 points against lowly Carolina and Oakland teams. They'll have a tough time beating a Dallas team that ranks in the top 7 in both total offense and defense by more than a field. Take the points.

6* NFL *CA$H COW* on Steelers +3.5
The Key: I'll gladly take the Steelers catching better than a field goal as they haven't lost by more than 3 points in their last 6 games. Pittsburgh has had no trouble getting up for elite competition. In fact, it is on a 34-15 ATS run against teams that have won at least 75% or their games. It has won these games by an average of 2.8 points. The Giants, on the other hand, are only 4-16 ATS in home games against teams with a winning percentage between 51% and 60%. They have lost to these teams by an average of 3.2 points. Pittsburgh is the better defensive team and Roethlisberger is playing the QB position better than Eli Manning right now. Take the Steelers.

7* NFL Game of the Week on Bengals +4
The Key: Fully prepared following a bye and in desperation mode following 3 consecutive defeats, look for the Bengals to get the job done at home. The Broncos won big last week at home against the Saints and are being overvalued because of it. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a victory of more than 14 points. The Broncos have won the last 3 meetings in the series but all 3 games went right down to the wire. 2 of the wins came by 2 points or less, and they would have lost the other had a deflected prayer not found Brandon Stokley with just 11 ticks left on the clock. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last four matchups. It is also worth mentioning that the Broncos haven't been the same team on the road where they are 1-2 and could easily be 0-3 (trailed SD 24-0 at halftime). Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last five road games. Bet the Bengals.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on 76ers +4
The Key: The Knicks are being overvalued following their blowout win over Miami. They are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a win of more than 10 points. The 76ers should feel rested and be very prepared having not played since Wednesday. They are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on 3 or more days' rest. The underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings, and the road team is 11-3 ATS in the last 14 meetings. Take the points.

7* NBA Game of the Week on Trailblazers +5.5
The Key: The Rockets are getting a lot of attention with their 2-0 start and the backcourt of Lin and Harden, and they are being overvalued because of it. The Rockets have defeated Portland by more than 5 points just twice in the past 10 meetings. Teams headed up by Kevin McHale are just 3-14 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins. His teams are also just 4-16 ATS in home games following an upset win. The Rockets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games when playing on no rest. Also, the underdog is 20-8 ATS in the last 28 meetings and the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take the points.

7* Pac-12 Game of the Year on USC +8
The Key: Oregon is a good football team but it is yet to face anyone as good as USC, who won last season's meeting 38-35 on the road. The Trojans got caught looking ahead last week as they blew a 28-13 lead to Arizona, but that assures us they'll be even more focused here. The Trojans are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games following a SU loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. USC's 3 home wins this season have come by 39, 18 and 44 points. Also, USC has either won or played the Ducks to within 7 points or fewer in 12 of the past 16 meetings. Lastly, plays on home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that have gained 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games and are up against an opponent that outrushed its last opponent by 150 or more yards are 31-7 ATS the last 10 seasons. This system tightens up to 16-4 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the points.

6* Afternoon *CA$H COW* on West Virginia -4
The Key: West Virginia has lost ugly in its last two games since getting out to a 5-0 start. However, it has had a bye week to stop the bleeding. Having had two weeks to prepare for TCU, I expect a dominant performance from the Mountaineers Saturday afternoon. The Mountaineers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game. The Horned Frogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference games. The TCU defense is not what it has been in recent seasons. Expect plenty of fireworks from Geno Smith here. Lay the number.

6* Early *CA$H COW* on Oklahoma -12
The Key: The Sooners have won their last two over ISU by a combined score of 78-6, and I expect them to roll again here as they enter motivated following an upset loss to Notre Dame. Oklahoma is 13-0 in its last 13 against the Cyclones, and these victories have come by an average of 24.3 points. Iowa State lacks the depth teams like Oklahoma have and really can't afford to be without star linebacker Jake Knott, who will the remainder of the regular season with a shoulder injury. Knott, who leads the conference in tackles, is one of the best linebackers in the country. His presence will be greatly missed. Lay the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Lakers +1
The Key: Off back-to-back losses to start the season, the Lakers will go after this one with all they've got. I expected it to take some time for LA to jell after adding additions like Dwight Howard and Steve Nash. The offense looked good last game as it put up 106 points, but the defense was the issue as it gave up 116. Following that poor defensive effort, I fully expect the Lake Show to show up on both ends of the floor in front of their fans. The Lakers have won 2 straight and 4 of the last 5 versus the Clippers. It is also significant that the Lakers are listed as the home team tonight because they are on a 9-0 run against the Clippers when that's the case. This run speaks both to the Lakers being the superior team and the boost received from having the crowd behind them.

7* NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Cal -3.5
The Key: Washington can't be trusted on the road where it is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 and has lost each of this season's 3 road contests by an average of 34.7 points. The Huskies have also dropped 3 of their last 4 at Cal with the 3 defeats coming by nearly 32 points on average. Wash checks in off an upset win against Oregon State but is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games following a SU win and 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games following a cover. Bet Cal and lay the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Spurs -2.5
The Key: One thing you don't want to make a habit of is going against the Spurs at home where they are on a 23-6-1 ATS run. They went 3-1 at home against Oklahoma City last season with each of the 3 wins coming by at least 3 points. The Spurs were pushed to the limit by New Orleans last night, but you can expect them to play even harder here as they look for revenge against the team that knocked them out of the playoffs.

7* NFL *HEAVY HITTER* on Chiefs +9
The Key: The Chargers are not 10 points better than the Chiefs if Kansas City takes care of the football. After turning it over 6 times in the first meeting, you know Kansas City will be placing an emphasis on ball security. San Diego has struggled so much on offense lately that Kansas City isn't going to take a risky approach. I expect the Chiefs to try and grind it out. The Chargers have averaged just 286.5 yards or offense over their last two games. The Chargers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a loss. Also, the Chiefs are on an incredible 23-6 ATS run after giving up 25.0 points or more in two straight games. They have actually won by an average of 2.2 points in these contests. Take the points.

6* NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Ohio -16.5
The Key: It would have been tough enough for Eastern Michigan to compete with Ohio tonight. With Ohio motivated by dropping its first game of the season last time out, I expect it to run the Eagles right off the field. That's exactly what the Bobcats have done in recent meetings, especially at home where they have won the last 3 by nearly 21 points on average. The Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games in the series and 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 overall. We'll lay the points behind this strong 11-1 ATS angle.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Hornets +7
The Key: The Spurs can't be trusted laying this many points on the road against an improved New Orleans' squad. Their two win in New Orleans last season came by a total of five points. The Spurs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games while the Hornets are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 home games. The home team is on a 19-7 ATS run in this series. Take the Hornets and the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Celtics +6.5
The Key: Oddsmakers love to overvalue the defending champ in season openers and have done it yet again here. Fading the reigning champ in season openers is a perfect 6-0 ATS the last 6 seasons. This is a game the Celtics want badly as they were defeated by the Heat in last season's playoffs. I expect them to take Miami right down to the wire with an opportunity for an outright win. Take the points.

7* MNF Game of the Month on Cardinals +7.5
The Key: The Cardinals have lost 3 in a row, but 2 of those were on the road. They lost by 7 points on the road last week to a Minnesota team that defeated the 49ers by 11. So there's no shame in that loss. Arizona has been at its best at home where it is 3-1 this season with its lone loss coming by only 3 points in overtime. The Cardinals won the most recent meeting in the series 21-19 at home as they held the 49ers to only 233 yards of offense. Arizona is one of the best defensive teams in the NFL, and I expect it to have plenty of success slowing down a struggling 49er offense that has scored just 16 total points in its last 2 games. Arizona is 26-11 ATS in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses the last two decades. It has won by an average score of 22.0 to 21.1 in these spots. It is also 6-0 ATS all-time under coach Whisenhunt in home games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better. The Cards have won in these spots by an average score of 33.7 to 22.2. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings, and the Cardinals are even 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take the points.

6* Sunday Night Football *CA$H COW* on Broncos -6
The Key: The Broncos have been a sweet investment following a bye as they are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 in this situation and have won these by an average of 8.8 points. They have also won their last 3 against the Saints by an average of 12.7 points. Denver is 2-1 at home this season with its only loss coming to a Houston team that looks to be a Super Bowl contender. The 2 wins came by double digits. Not only does the bye week give them an advantage, but so does the high altitude which has given visitors problems for years. I also expect Denver's 4th-ranked passing offense (290.8 ypg) to be way too much for a defense that is last in the league with 465.5 ypg allowed. Lay the number.

7* NFC Game of the Year on Eagles -1
The Key: Since Andy Reid was made head man of the Philadelphia Eagles, there's one thing we've been able to count on - his teams being ready to go following a bye week. In fact, the Eagles are 13-0 all-time under Reid in games immediately following a bye week. It is also worth noting that the Eagles are 6-0 SU and ATS all-time under Reid in home games against the Atlanta Falcons. They have won these 6 by an average of 15.5 points. The Eagles' offensive and defensive numbers are superior as they rank 7th and 11th in the league in total offense and defense, respectively. The Falcons rank 13th and 22nd, respectively in total offense and defense. Expect the Eagles to hand Atlanta its first loss of the season.

6* AFC Game of the Week on Dolphins +3
The Key: The Dolphins are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games overall and 24-9-1 ATS in their last 34 road games. Look for them to continue to make money for their backers as they go up against a New York defense that hasn't been able to stop the run to save its life. The Jets are giving up an average of 147 rushing yards on 4.6 yards per carry, and these numbers increase to 162 and 5.3 at home. These numbers weigh in our favor as the Dolphins are 7-0 ATS versus poor rushing defenses - allowing >=4.5 rushing yards/carry - over the last 2 seasons. Take the points.

6* Bailout on Washington +3.5
The Key: Off 3 consecutive defeats, including an embarrassing 52-17 loss at Arizona last Saturday, expect the Huskies to come storming back on their home field where they play their best football. The Huskies are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games, including a perfect 3-0 ATS in their last 3. This includes a win over Stanford and a cover against USC. Plus, Washington is 11-2 ATS all-time under coach Sarkisian following a game in which it gave up 37 points or more. It has won in these spots by an average score of 27.6 to 26.1. Take the points.

6* SEC Game of the Week on Georgia +7
The Key: Florida is being overvalued here because it won 44-11 at home vs. South Carolina and Georgia lost 35-7 at South Carolina. There's a big difference between playing a team at home versus on the road. Plus, Florida's win over the Gamecocks isn't quite as impressive as it looks on the scoreboard. It only managed 183 yards of offense and benefited from 4 S.C. turnovers. Georgia won last season's meeting by 4 points and Florida won the previous meeting by 3. I'll gladly take the points here as I'm expecting another close game that Georgia will have an opportunity to win outright. Georgia's win over Kentucky last Saturday sets up a nice wagering situation for us as the Bulldogs are 24-14 ATS under coach Richt when playing away from home following a win against a conference rival. The Dawgs have won by an average of 4.6 points in this spot.

7* Big 12 Game of the Year on Texas Tech +7.5
The Key: Texas Tech is not getting the respect it deserves here. It has either won or lost by 7 points or less in 7 straight matchups with Kansas State. The Red Raiders lost last season's matchup with the Wildcats by 7 points despite outgaining them 580-339 because of 4 turnovers. I don't expect Tech to be as generous this season as they haven't committed more than 3 turnovers in any game and have committed 2 or less in 6 of their 7 games. Plus, this Texas Tech team is far better than the one we saw last season. Last season, Tech was one of the worst defensive teams in the country. This year it's one of the best. It ranks 8th in total defense with 282 ypg allowed. The Red Raiders are more explosive offensively this season too. The Red Raiders have never lost on the road following a game in which they combined with their opponent to score 60 points or more under coach Tuberville. They are a perfect 8-0 ATS in this situation, winning these games by an average of 14.0 points. The Red Raiders are also 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. The Wildcats are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games versus a team with a winning road record. Take the points.

7* Big East Game of the Month on Cincinnati +3.5
The Key: The Bearcats are 33-12 ATS the last two decades versus good team that outscore their foes by at least 10 points per game on average. The Cardinals are a poor 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games under the Friday night lights and a lousy 6-13 ATS in their last 19 home games. The road team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings, and the Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 at Louisville. Cincinnati has won four in a row in this series by at least 8 points and is 3-1 ATS in those games. Take the points as the Bearcats have an excellent opportunity to win this one straight up.

7* NFL Thursday Night Game of the Year on Buccaneers +7
The Key: The Bucs are showing major value at +7 considering they haven't lost a game by more than 7 points all season. Plus, they are 5-0 SU and ATS in their last 5 games against the Vikings. Also, they have either won or lost by 7 points or fewer in 11 straight meetings with Minnesota. Plays against home teams with a good offense that averages 335-370 ypg and is matched up against a team with a poor defense that allows 370 or more ypg are 36-15 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have been favored by an average of 7.3 points but have only won by an average of 5.5. Bet the Bucs.

6* World Series Game 2 *CA$H COW* on Tigers -122
The Key: I missed with the Tigers last night as Verlander threw his first dud in quite some time, but I'll come right back with them tonight with Fister on the bump. The Tigers are 7-2 in his last 9 starts, including a perfect 2-0 in his playoff starts (1.35 ERA in the postseason). The Giants, meanwhile, are 0-3 in Bumgarner's last 3 starts (10.50 ERA in these games). Plus, the Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 playoff games as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a home underdog of +110 to +150 and 2-8 in Bumgarner's last 10 starts as an underdog. Bet Detroit.

6* ACC Game of the Week on Wake Forest +13
The Key: This is too many points for Clemson to be laying on the road against a team it was fortunate to defeat last season. It had to rally from 14 points down to squeak out a 3-point victory in last year's matchup. Plus, Wake Forest has either won or lost by 10 points or less in 6 of its last 7 home games against Clemson. Also, plays against road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points with a terrible defense that allows 6.1 or more yards per play are 28-8 ATS since 1992. These teams have been favored by an average of 14.9 points but have only won by an average of 7.4. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings,and the tigers are 1-4-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings at Wake Forest. Take Wake.

7* World Series Game 1 *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -163
The Key: Zito is pitching better than he has in years, but he's still no Verlander. The Detroit ace is 7-0 in his last 7 starts and has allowed more than 1 run only once during this stretch. He allowed 2 runs in the lone exception. The Tigers are 4-0 in Verlander's last 4 starts vs. teams from the National League West and 5-0 in his last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. The Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 overall, 6-0 in their last 6 playoff games as a favorite and 4-0 in their last 4 playoff games as a favorite of -151 to -200. Verlander has a WHIP of 1.017 while Zito's WHIP is 1.392. That should be a concern for the Giants as the Tigers are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Take the Tigers.

7* NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on UL Lafayette -4
The Key: The Arkansas State Red Wolves are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win. They are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in this series and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings in UL Lafayette. They are also on a 0-8 ATS slide in road games versus good offensive teams that average 5.9 yards or more per game (ULL averages 6.1 ypp) and have lost these 8 games by an average of 23.4 points. The Ragin' Cajuns are on a 6-0 ATS run versus teams with a winning record. Pass defense has been ULL's biggest weakness but it is on a 6-0 ATS run versus good passing teams that complete 58% of their throws or more (Ark St. has a 62.4% completion rate). The Cajuns have won these 6 by an average of 9.1 points. ULL has won its last 7 at home in this series, and I expect its home dominance to continue. Lay the number.

7* Monday Night Football *HEAVY HITTER* on Lions +7
The Key: Each of Detroit's 3 losses have come by 8 points or less, and I fully expect it to take Chicago right down to the wire tonight. The Lions have either won of lost by 5 points or fewer in 3 of their last 4 meetings with the Bears and are 3-1 ATS in those games as a result. The Bears have the NFL's top-ranked run defense (65.8 ypg) but Detroit is 10-1 ATS versus teams with excellent rushing defenses that allow 70 rushing yards or less per game the last two decades. It has defeated these teams by an average of 4.9 points. Also, Chicago is just 4-17 ATS after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games the last two decades. It has lost by an average of 4.3 points in these games. The Bears have yet to see an offense this season that's as explosive as Detroit's. We'll take the points.

6* NLCS Game 7 *CA$H COW* on Giants -132
The Key: The Giants get the call at home in Game 7 as they have the momentum on their side following back-to-back dominant performances. Kyle Lohse has had a great season but the Cards can't be trusted with him on the hill tonight as they are just 8-18 in his last 26 road starts against teams with a winning record. The Giants have won each of Cain's last 2 and 3 of his last 4 home starts against the Cardinals. The Giants lost to Lohse with Cain on the mound in Game 3 but that was in St. Louis. Now, Cain's at home where he has an ERA of 2.18 this season. Lohse's 3.27 road ERA pales in comparison. Take the Giants.

6* Sunday Night Football *CA$H COW* on Steelers pk
The Key: I'm confident the Steelers are the better football team, and I expect them to continue their dominance of the Bengals in this highly motivated spot. In danger of falling to 2-4 and losing even more ground on Baltimore, the Steelers will show up in a big way here. Pittsburgh is 4-0 SU and ATS in the last 4 meetings with those wins coming by an average of 14.3 points. All four victories came by at least six points. The Steelers have been an awesome investment in bounce back spots as they are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU loss. The Bengals, meanwhile, have been a poor investment when entering with no momentum. They are 0-5-3 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU loss. They are also a lousy 0-6-2 ATS in their last 8 division games and 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. The Steelers are on a 13-3-1 ATS run in their last 17 in Cincinnati. Take Pittsburgh.

6* NLCS Game 6 *CA$H COW* on Giants -120
The Key: The Giants have the edge at home with Vogelsong on the hill. They are 14-4 in his last 18 starts as a favorite, 11-3 in his last 14 home starts and 10-2 in his last 12 starts as a home favorite. The Cardinals are 1-4 in Carpenter's last 5 starts, 1-4 in his last 5 road starts and 1-6 in his last 7 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150. Take the Giants.

7* AFC Game of the Month on Bills -3
The Key: The Titans cannot be trusted on the road. They have lost each of their three road games this season by an average of 25.0 points. Going back to last season, the Titans are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. They also haven't been able to string together back-to-back solid performances so the fact they enter off a win over Pittsburgh doesn't bode well for them. They are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win. The biggest thing here is we can expect coach Chan Gailey to have his Bills ready to go as they are at home and have a chance to go above the .500 mark. They enter with a little momentum on their side following a win at Arizona that ended a two-game skid. NFL teams under the direction of Gailey have never lost at home when entering a contest with losses in two of their last three games. They are a perfect 7-0 ATS all-time in this situation with an average winning margin of 13.3 points. Both teams have struggled defensively, but Buffalo is the superior offensive team. It has one of the best running attacks in the NFL while Tennessee has the worst. Expect the Bills to run away with a comfortable home win Sunday.

6* NFC East *CA$H COW* on Redskins +6.5
The Key: The reigning Super Bowl champs are being overvalued here because of last week's impressive win in San Francisco. The fact of the matter is Washington won both of last season's meetings convincingly (by 14 and 13 points), and I believe they are a better team with Robert Griffin III at the controls. The Redskins have been a terrific investment in this point spread range at 60-39 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992. The Redskins have the second-best running attack in the NFL and are coming off a 183-yard performance on the ground last week. That's good for us as the Skins are on a 13-2 ATS run in road games after gaining 175 or more rushing yards last game. They are also on a 6-2 ATS run versus NFC East foes. Take the points.

7* SEC Game of the Month on Tennessee +20
The Key: After missing out on chances for a signature win in games against Florida, and Georgia, I expect the Vols to go after this one with all they've got. Tennessee played 4th-ranked Florida to a 17-point game and actually led that one deep into the 3rd quarter. It also played 12th-ranked Georgia to a 7-point game on the road. I'm here to tell you Alabama isn't that much better than Florida and Georgia. I expect the Vols to keep this one much closer than the odds makers think. Plays on home underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points in conference action that return 8 or more offensive starters including the QB are 80-31 ATS the last 10 seasons. Teams fitting into this scenario have only lost by an average of 10.6 points. This system is a perfect 5-0 ATS this season. Take Tennessee and the points.

6* Big Ten Game of the Week on Nebraska -6.5
The Key: With an extra week of preparation time on their side, and hungry to avenge last season's home loss to Wildcats, the Cornhuskers will come through for us Saturday afternoon. The Nebraska offense has been explosive. It's the defense that has been inconsistent. However, I'm confident the "D" will show up in this motivated spot, especially since it has had 2 full weeks to gameplan for Northwestern. Besides, Nebraska is 7-0 ATS lifetime under coach Pelini after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games. They've won by an average of 18.0 points in this spot. Nebraska is also 7-0 ATS all-time under Pelini in road games after going over the total in 2 or more consecutive games. Northwestern has failed to cover the number in 12 of its last 16 home games when up against a team with a winning record. Bet the Huskers.

6* ACC Game of the Week on Virginia Tech +8.5
The Key: This is a game the Hokies had circled heading into the season. After 5 straight convincing wins in the series, Virginia Tech was embarrassed by Clemson, not once, but twice last season. Those losses are all the motivation the Hokies will need to give the Tigers a game. Plus, I don't trust Clemson laying this many points in this spot because of how poorly its defense has played. The Tigers rank 99th in the nation in total defense with 446.0 yards allowed per game. The Hokies are 22-10 ATS in their last 32 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games versus a team with a winning record. Most importantly, the underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these teams.

6* NLCS Game 5 *CA$H COW* on Giants +147
The Key: The Giants are 12-0 in Zito's last 12 starts, 7-0 in his last 7 starts as an underdog, 6-0 in his last 6 road starts, 6-0 in his last 6 starts versus a team with a winning record, 9-0 in his last 9 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5 and 4-0 in his last 4 starts versus the National League Central. Look for the Giants to stave off elimination behind a strong performance from Zito.

7* NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Syracuse -4
The Key: Connecticut cannot be trusted as a road underdog as it is 0-6 ATS when catching points on the road the last 2 seasons. Syracuse has played well at home where it is 2-1 and its only loss is a 1-point setback to a Northwestern team that's 6-1. The Orange lost at Rutgers 23-15 last week despite outgaining the Scarlet Knights 418-237 as they were hurt by 4 turnovers. The Huskies were outgained 280-244 in a 19-3 loss at Rutgers Oct. 6. Syracuse's performance against Rutgers tells me it has underachieved to this point. The Orange should be able to cover this number as long as they can do a better job of taking care of the football. I'm confident they will as UConn hasn't forced more than 2 turnovers in a game all season.

7* Pac-12 Game of the Month on Arizona State +9
The Key: Plain and simple, this is too many points to be giving a team coached by Todd Graham. His teams are an awesome 12-3 ATS all-time when valued as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. They are also 12-2 ATS lifetime as a home underdog. The Sun Devils are 5-0-1 ATS this season and a terrific 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 home games. Plus, the home team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in this series. Oregon has been rolling, but it's yet to come up against a defense like the one it will see tonight. Take the points as the Sun Devils take the Ducks down to the wire.

7* NFL *HEAVY HITTER* on 49ers -7
The Key: We get the 49ers in a great situation tonight. No team in the NFL has responded better following an upset defeat the past few seasons, and you can bet they'll be hungry following Sunday's ugly loss to the Giants. The Niners are on a 7-0 ATS run after suffering an upset defeat in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. They've held their opponents to just 10.7 points on average in these games while scoring an average of 22.6 points. Additionally, San Francisco is 3-0 SU and ATS in its last 3 home games against the Seahawks. These 3 wins have come by 16, 19 and 13 points. The 49ers are the best defensive team in the NFL while the Seahawks rank in the bottom 4 on offense. The Seattle defense has been good, but it won't be able to completely shut down a San Francisco offense that ranks 7th in the league. Expect the 49er defense to dominate this one and for the offense to do enough to cover the spread. Lay the points.

6* ALCS Game 4 *CA$H COW* on Yankees -115
The Key: The Yankees are too good of a team to lose four in a row to the Tigers. They've only loss four straight games twice all season. Last night's rainout has allowed them to refocus, and I fully expect them to bounce back here behind a dominant performance from Sabathia. The Yankee are 5-0 in Sabathia's last 5 starts and have won those by an average of 4.4 runs as he has held the opposition to 2 earned runs or fewer in each. The Yankees are also 3-0 in Sabathia's starts against the Tigers this season and have won each of those by at least 4 runs as he has held them to 3 earned runs or less in each.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Cardinals -120
The Key: Expect the Cardinals to bounce back strong this afternoon as the series shifts to St. Louis where they have won 35 of their last 52 games. Lohse has a lower ERA then Cain on the season (2.82 compared to 2.90), a lower ERA at home than Cain has on the road (2.33 compared to 3.62), a lower ERA over their last 3 starts (3.37 compared to 4.59) and a lower career ERA against the Giants/Cardinals (3.78 compared to 4.94). The Cardinals are 7-0 in their last 7 games following a loss and 15-5 in Lohse's last 20 starts as a home favorite. The Giants are 3-7 in Cain's last 10 starts versus a team with a winning record. Take St. Louis.

7* NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on UL Lafayette -4
The Key: The Ragin' Cajuns have never lost in games when the total is between 56.5 and 63 points under the direction of Coach Hudspeth. They are a perfect 6-0 ATS in this spot. Fading teams coached by McCarney is 9-0 ATS all-time if they're up against an opponent who commits 1 or less turnovers per game. Fading his teams is 8-0 ATS all-time of they're up against a team with a turnover margin of +1.5 per game or better. These trends elude to North Texas needing to force turnovers to win games, and UL Lafayette hasn't been generous with the football. Lay the number.

6* ALCS Game 3 *CA$H COW* on Tigers -1.5 +125
The Key: It's Verlander time. Detroit is 6-0 in his last 6 starts and has won those by 3.7 runs on average. It is 10-0 in his last 10 home starts and has won those by 2.9 runs on average. The Tigers are also 15-0 in his last 15 home starts in the second half of the season versus teams with a winning mark. They have won these games by an average of 3.5 runs. They are also 14-0 in his last 14 home starts against teams that have won 54-62% of their games. They have won these games by an average of 2.7 runs. Bet Detroit on the run line.

7* MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Broncos +1
The Key: San Diego is 3-2 while Denver is 2-3 but the Broncos have been the more impressive team as they have showed well against stiffer competition. San Diego's pass defense, which ranks 22nd in the NFL with 260 yards allowed per game, has been suspect. I believe it will be the downfall of the Chargers tonight as Peyton Manning is dialed in. He has passed for 1,005 yards with 8 TDs and no picks the past 3 weeks. Fading home favorites that have failed to cover the spread in 2 of their last 3 games - a team winning between 51-60% of their games against a team with a losing record - has produced a 32-8 ATS record the last 10 seasons. Bet the Broncos.

6* NLCS Game 2 *CA$H COW* on Giants -111
The Key: The Giants dropped Game 1 but have been resilient. We saw that last series when they won 3 in a row in Cincy after dropping the first 2 at home. While this San Francisco club never counts itself out, it would prefer not to have to do all its damage on the road again. The Giants are 14-5 in their last 19 games following a loss, 19-9 in Vogelsong's last 28 starts, 13-4 in his last 17 starts as a favorite, 10-3 in his last 13 home starts and 9-2 in his last 11 starts as a home favorite.

6* Sunday Night Football *CA$H COW* on Packers +3.5
The Key: This is a huge game for the Packers, who can get back to .500 with a win. I like them in this motivated spot as they go up against a Houston team playing on a short week. The Packers are 15-5 ATS under coach McCarthy as a road underdog of 7 points or less. They have never lost under coach McCarthy on the road versus good defensive teams that give up 17 points or less. They are 6-0 ATS all-time versus these teams and have defeated them by an average of 8.1 points.

6* MLB Playoffs *CA$H COW* on Giants -130
The Key: Lynn has had a nice season but Bumgarner is more proven. Plus, Bumgarner has a lower ERA than Lynn on the season. His 2.61 home ERA is far superior to the 3.92 ERA Lynn has posted on the road. Lynn has had no success against the Giants. He's 0-2 lifetime with an ERA of 7.15 against them. Bumgarner is 2-2 with a 3.62 ERA against St. Louis. The Giants are 20-6 in Bumgarner's last 26 home starts, 29-11 in his last 40 starts as a favorite and 21-6 in his last 27 starts as a home favorite. Take San Francisco.

7* NFL Game of the Week on Dolphins -3
The Key: Miami is really playing well, and I expect it to take care of business at home against a St. Louis team that's 0-2 on the road this season. The Rams are one of the worst offensive teams in the NFL, and they might even be the worse now that top playmaker Danny Amendola is expected to be out at least a month. They won't be able to keep pace with Miami, which ranks in the top half of the league on offense. With Amendola out, the Rams will likely have to turn even more to Steven Jackson and the running game. However, they won't get much done on the ground this week against a defense that leads the NFL against the run with 61.4 ypg allowed. The Dolphins are on a 9-0 ATS run against team with a winning mark. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. And, fading any team with a winning record that checks in off an upset win at home against a division rival has produced a 68-27 ATS record since 1983. This system is a perfect 6-0 ATS the last 3 seasons.

6* Raiders +9.5
The Key: Atlanta is clearly being overvalued here because of its 5-0 start. Look for an Oakland squad that has had an extra week to prepare to give the Falcons a game. Atlanta has only defeated 1 of its past 4 opponents by more than 7 points. The Falcons are just 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home contests when checking in off 3 or more consecutive victories. They have actually lost by an average of 1.9 points in this spot. Plus, the Raiders are on a 5-2-1 ATS run versus teams with a winning record. Grab the points.

6* SEC Game of the Week on LSU -2.5
The Key: Back at home and motivated by last week's loss to Florida, I'm confident LSU will continue its dominance of South Carolina. The Tigers are on a 16-1-1 run in the series, and they are a perfect 4-0 in the last 4 meetings with those wins coming by an average of 17.3 points. LSU doesn't lose very often period, and it certainly doesn't lose consecutive games. It is 7-0 in its last 7 games following a loss and hasn't dropped consecutive games since 2008. Take LSU.

6* Sun Belt Game of the Week on FIU +3
The Key: FIU is a much better team than its record leads you to believe. It has been a victim of a tough schedule to this point but now it gets an opponent at home that it is superior to. The Golden Panthers won last season's meeting 31-18 on the road and should take care of business this year as well. MTSU is 0-6 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better over the last 2 seasons. It is also 0-6 ATS vs. excellent ball control teams (32 or more possession minutes/game) over the last 3 seasons and 0-7 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=5.9 yards/play - over the last 3 seasons. And, the Blue Raiders are 0-6 ATS off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. FIU wins this one outright.

7* ACC Game of the Year on Virginia Tech -10
The Key: Fueled by back-to-back defeats, and back in front of the home fans for the first time in 3 weeks, expect the Hokies to roll against a Duke program they have lunched on. VA Tech is 11-0 in its last 11 against Duke, winning those by an average of 21.4 points. Also, VA Tech is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses. It has won by an average of 11.0 points in this spot. Duke is 5-15 ATS in its last 20 games after 3 or more consecutive covers. It has lost by an average of 13.9 points in this spot. Plus, the Hokies are on an impressive 38-21 ATS run as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. It has won in this spot by an average of 11.2 points. Given the level of motivation here, I expect the Hokies to destroy these averages.

6* MLB Playoffs *CA$H COW* on Nationals -132
The Key: The Nats are 3-0 in Gonzalez's last 3 starts, 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a home favorite and 6-0 in his last 6 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Washington is also 11-0 in his 11 starts against the NL Central this season (2 of those wins came against the Cards). The Cardinals are 0-5 in Wainwright's last 5 starts as a road underdog and 2-9 in their last 11 meetings at Washington. Nats advance.

7* NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Central Michigan -1.5
The Key: Navy can't be trusted on the road. It managed to squeak out an overtime win at Air Force last week but had dropped 4 of its last 5 on the highway prior. Navy also can't be trusted against MAC opponents as it is just 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games against them. Central Mich has a big won over Iowa on the road this year. It also beat a Northern Illinois team last season that won 11 games. In other words, the Chipps have the talent to compete against good teams. Consistency has been an issue, but I love their chances here as they strap on their helmets in front of the home fans for the first time in over a month. The Midshipmen are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Friday games. Take the Chippewas.

6* MLB Playoffs *CA$H COW* on Tigers -140
The Key: The A's have been a great story this season, but their inability to solve Verlander ends their season tonight. The Tigers are 5-0 in Verlander's last 5 starts and 4-0 in his last 4 starts against the A's. The Athletics are 0-5 in Parker's last 5 starts with the total set at 6.5 or lower. The Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 playoff games as a favorite while the Athletics are 0-4 in their last 4 playoff games as an underdog. Bet Detroit.

7* NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Colorado +23
The Key: Expect the bye week to do Colorado some good as it is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games following a bye week. The Sun Devils are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games off a double digit road win. Motivated by a poor performance last time out, and further motivated by a poor showing against ASU last year, the Buffaloes will keep this one closer than the odds makers think.

7* NFL *HEAVY HITTER* on Titans +6.5
The Key: Pittsburgh is 0-6 ATS lifetime under coach Mike Tomlin when up against teams with a turnover margin of -1 or worse per game. The Steelers have lost by an average score of 19.3 to 18.7 in these games. The Steelers are also 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games and 0-8 ATS in their last road games played on a grass field. They have lost these 8 by an average score of 23.0 to 14.9. Take the Titans and the points.

7* MLB Playoffs *HEAVY HITTER* on Orioles +1.5 -130
The Key: Really like the Orioles catching 1.5 runs at an affordable price with Gonzalez on the bump. Baltimore is 11-4 in his starts this season and 7-2 in his starts as a road underdog on the year. The Orioles are a perfect 4-0 in his last 4 starts, and he is 2-0 in 2 career starts at Yankee Stadium with an ERA of 2.63. He outdueled Kuroda in his most recent start there Aug. 31, giving up no runs on 4 hits in 7 innings of work while striking out 9 and walking 1 in a 6-1 victory. Take the Orioles on the run line.

7* MLB Playoffs *HEAVY HITTER* on A's -132
The Key: The Tigers got loose for 5 runs in their game 2 win, but the Athletics are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent enters off a game in which it scored 5 runs or more. The Tigers are 0-4 in their last 4 playoff games as an underdog of +110 to +150 and 0-4 in Sanchez's last 4 starts against a team with a winning record. The Athletics are 4-0 in Anderson's last 4 starts in the favorite role. The Tigers have dropped 7 of their last 9 playoffs games on the road, and I expect their postseason road struggles to continue against an Oakland club that has won 39 of its last 54 at home.

7* Monday Night Football *HEAVY HITTER* on Jets +9
The Key: I'll gladly get behind the Jets catching close to double digits because underdogs or pickems that average 18.0 to 23.0 ppg, and are checking into a matchup with a team that averages 27.0-plus ppg, following a contest in which they were held to 9.0 points or less are 33-11 ATS since 1983. These dogs have only lost by 3.3 points on average in this scenario. Plus, the Texans are only 1-10 ATS all-time under coach Kubiak when matched up against teams that give up 27.0 points or more per game. They have actually lost to these foes by an average of 0.6 points. The Jets are a more talented football team than they showed last week, especially on the defensive side of the football. They'll show up tonight. Take the points.

6* MLB Playoffs *CA$H COW* on Cardinals -111
The Key: I expect the Cards to bounce back this afternoon. They haven't lost consecutive games in nearly a month and are 5-0 in their last 5 games following defeat. St. Louis' Garcia enters the postseason on top of his game, as evidenced by the 2.29 ERA he's posted over his last 3 starts. He poses some major problems for a Washington club that is 0-5 in its last 5 road contests vs. southpaw starters. The Nats' Zimmerman has had a great season but he has a 9.12 ERA in 5 career starts against St. Louis. Garcia has a 3.74 ERA in 4 career starts against Washington. Bet the Red Birds.

7* MLB Playoffs *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -149
The Key: The Reds are 0-4 in Arroyo's last 4 starts, 0-6 in his last 6 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150, 0-5 in his last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record, 0-4 in his last 4 road starts vs. the Giants and 0-4 in his last 4 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. The Giants are 11-0 in Bumgarner's last 11 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5 and 6-0 in his last 6 starts on 7 or more days' rest. The Giants bounce back strong.

6* Sunday Night Football *CA$H COW* on Saints -3
The Key: The Saints are 0-4, but they're not going to fold, especially not at home, where they are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. teams with a winning road record. New Orleans is 6-0 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 2 seasons and 6-0 ATS in home games after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons. The Saints are also on a 7-0 ATS run at home vs. teams that allow 235 or more passing yards/game. They are on a 6-0 ATS run in home games after gaining 400 or more total yards in each of their last 3 games. This is the week the Saints finally put it all together. Lay the points.

6* AFC *CA$H COW* on Broncos +7
The Key: I really like the Broncos, who haven't lost by more than 6 points this season and are beginning to jell, catching more than 6 points. Playing on road teams - slow starting team that has been outscored by 5-plus points per game in the first half after allowing 6 points or less last game - has produced a 23-4 ATS record the last 29 years. This system is 7-1 ATS the last 10 seasons. Basically, this system reveals that Denver has the defense to stay in the game even if the offense comes out slow. I don't think Denver will start slow against a New England defense that has really struggled in pass coverage. Take the points as Peyton Manning has himself a big day through the air.

7* NFL Non-Conference Game of the Year on Steelers -3
The Key: The Eagles, who are 0-3-1 ATS this season, are fortunate to be 3-1 as they have yet to put it all together. Their inconsistent play will catch up with them today as they go up against a hungry and prepared Steelers squad. The Steelers have been money coming out of a bye as they are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a bye week. They are also 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games. Pittsburgh has also been money in bounce back spots. It is 9-0 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 28.6 to 9.0. It is also 8-0 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 3 seasons and 6-0 ATS in home games after playing their last game on the road over the last 2 seasons. Expect the Steelers to roll behind a dominant performance from their defense.

7* Big Ten Game of the Year on Ohio State -3
The Key: Nebraska can't be trusted on the road where it was blown out by Wisconsin and Michigan last year and gave up over 650 yards in a 36-30 loss to UCLA this year. The Cornhuskers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 road games. More importantly, last week's upset win over Michigan State sets up a perfect wagering situation. Teams headed up by Urban Meyer are 9-0 ATS when checking into a matchup following an upset victory. His teams have won these games by an average of 21.0 points. In other words, Meyer's teams haven't suffered letdowns. Take Ohio State and lay the points.

6* MLB Playoffs *CA$H COW* on Tigers -1.5 +120
The Key: Verlander is 4-0 in his last 4 starts with those wins coming by an average of 3.5 runs. The Tigers are 9-0 in his last 9 home starts with those wins coming by an average of 3.0 runs. Verlander is also 3-0 in his last 3 starts against Oakland with those wins coming by an average of 3.0 runs. He's given up just 1 run in his last 21 innings against the A's. Expect another dominant performance here. Take the Tigers on the run line.

6* Under the Radar Blowout on Idaho -10
The Key: Idaho is 0-5 and playing a team it lost to by 7 points last season yet it is laying double digits? Exactly! The home team has won 5 of the last 6 in this series and those 5 wins have come by an average of 11.6 points. Idaho won 37-14 when it last hosted NM St. in 2010. It is also worth mentioning that Idaho has won 3 of the last 4 in this series with those 3 wins coming by an average of 14.7 points. Ohio is the best team NM St. has faced this season while Idaho has stepped on the field with LSU and North Carolina. Those butt-kickin's will pay dividends here. The fact New Mexico State has only forced a total of 2 turnovers in its last 4 games is a major issue for them. They are 0-6 ATS under coach DeWayne Walker after 4 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers. They have lost these 6 by an average score of 36.7 to 8.8. Take Idaho and lay the points.

6* Big 12 Game of the Week on Oklahoma -5
The Key: I'm taking the more talented team in a huge revenge spot. The Sooners were No. 1 in the country when they were upset as a 29-point favorite by Texas Tech last season. You know what they say about paybacks. Not only will Oklahoma be very motivated, but it will also be very well prepared as it is coming off a bye. The Red Raiders are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The Sooners are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after being held to less than 20 points in their previous game. Take Oklahoma and lay the points.

7* NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Syracuse -1
The Key: Pitt can't be trusted on the road. It was blown out in its only previous road game this season, and it is even 4-13 ATS in its last 17 road games when playing against a team with a winning percentage of 25% or less. The Panthers are also 6-19 ATS in their last 25 road games following a 2-game home stand. The Orange are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week, and the favorite is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Take Syracuse.

7* MLB Wild Card *HEAVY HITTER* on Braves -165
The Key: The Braves are 23-0 in Medlen's last 23 starts, 13-0 in his last 13 home starts, 9-0 in his last 9 starts versus clubs with a winning mark and 6-0 in his last 6 starts when valued as a favorite of -151 to -200. Plus, the command Medlen has shown lately is a great sign. The Braves are 11-0 in his starts over the last 3 seasons when he enters a start following back-to-back outings with 1 walk or none. The Braves are also 12-0 in his starts over the last 3 seasons when he enters a start following an outing in which he gave up 1 earned run or none. Take Atlanta.

7* NFC West Game of the Month on Rams +2
The Key: Arizona is getting treated like a 4-0 team by laying points on the road when it could easily be 2-2. The Cards were extremely fortunate to win at home last week as they gave up 480 yards of offense to a Miami team led by a rookie QB. Not only does the defense all of sudden look very human, the offense is one of the worst in the NFL. It ranks next-to-last in total offense with just 271.8 yards per game. The fact St. Louis is coming off an upset win at home over Seattle bodes extremely well for us. Consider that teams coached by Jeff Fishers are 7-0 ATS all-time following an upset win over a division rival as a home underdog. His teams have won by an average score of 27.1 to 19.0 in this situation. Take the Rams.

7* C-USA Game of the Month on Central Florida -11.5
The Key: The Knights have a pair of losses to Ohio State and Missouri but they have taken care of business against their two lesser opponents, crushing Akron 56-14 and Florida International 33-20. Off a loss UCF will be very focused here, and it will be further fueled by last season's upset loss at East Carolina. The Knights are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU loss while the Pirates are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win. Also, the Knights are 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 games following an ATS loss while the Pirates are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win. The Knights are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 conference games, and the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The last time ECU visited, UCF handed them a 14-point defeat. I'm expecting an even bigger win from the Knights tonight.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on D-backs -1.5 +100
The Key: The D-backs have never lost to the Rockies at home with ace Ian Kennedy on the mound. They are 6-0 lifetime in this spot and have won these by an average of 2.83 runs. The D-backs are 7-0 in Kennedy's last 7 starts versus the Rockies overall and have won these by an average of 2.86 runs. Kennedy enters this contest pitching his best ball of the season, and Arizona is 6-0 in his last 6 starts as a result. It has won these by 2.33 runs on average. The Rockies, on the other hand, are 0-5 in Francis' last 5 starts and have lost those by an average of 4.0 runs per game. With their ace on the hill and a chance to notch a winning season, I'll take the Snakes on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Mets -145
The Key: The Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite, and I expect this trend to continue with Dickey on the hill. The Mets 9-0 in Dickey

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on D-backs -1.5 +106
The Key: The Rockies 0-9 in their last 9 on the road and have lost those by an an average of 4.0 runs. Pomeranz has struggled against the NL West all season (0-7 with a 7.24 ERA in 10 starts), and the Rockies are 0-4 in his last 4 starts vs. the division. They have dropped these by 4.75 runs on average. They are also 0-2 in his 2 career starts versus Arizona, losing these by 6.5 runs on average. The D-backs, on the other hand, are 4-0 lifetime in Miley's starts against the Rockies and have won these by an average of 5.75 runs. Take the Snakes on the run line.

7* MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Bears +3.5
The Key: Fading Dallas as a favorite has been a golden investment. Doing so has produced a powerful 17-4 ATS mark the last 3 seasons. The Cowboys are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 at home and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Monday games. The Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Monday games and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Take the points as the Bears have an excellent chance to win this one straight up.

7* NFL Game of the Month on Dolphins +6.5
The Key: The Dolphins, who are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games overall and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games, are showing a ton of value catching this many points as they have an excellent chance to win this game straight up. Fading favorites that are coming off an upset win as a home underdog, if they have a winning record on the season, has produced a perfect 7-0 ATS record the last 3 seasons. The Cardinals are being overvalued because of their 3-0 start, but I'm far from sold on them. They have had fewer total yards than their opponent in each of their games, and they rank 31st in the NFL in total offense with just 263.3 yards per game. It's going to be mighty tough for them to cover this number with no more offense than they've been able to generate. Take the points.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Braves -1.5
The Key: The Braves are 22-0 in Medlen's last 22 starts and have won them by an average of 3.4 runs. They are also 4-0 lifetime in his starts against the Mets and have won those by an average of 5.0 runs. Bet the Braves on the run line.

6* Rams +3
The Key: Expect a letdown from Seattle following Monday's emotional win. The Seahawks are 10-21-1 ATS in their last 32 games following a SU win and 17-36-2 ATS in their last 55 road games. Playing against favorites off an upset win as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season, has produced a 19-3 ATS mark the last 10 seasons, a 13-1 ATS mark the last 5 seasons and a 7-0 ATS record the last 3 seasons.

6* Panthers +7.5
The Key: Playing against home teams - an opportunistic team (2.5+ TO/game forced) against a team with <=1.25 TO/game forced - after a game where they forced 4 or more turnovers has produced a 22-4 ATS record since 1983. This system is a perfect 6-0 ATS the last 10 seasons.

6* Patriots -4
The Key: Playing on favorites that have covered the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, a team winning between 25%-40% of their games playing a team with a winning record, has produced a 37-11 ATS mark since 1983. This system is a perfect 3-0 ATS the last 5 seasons. Also, New England is 6-0 ATS versus good rushing teams that average >=4.5 rushing yards/carry over the last 3 seasons. It has defeated these opponents by an average score of 38.7 to 18.5. Lastly, the Pats are 13-4 ATS in road games over the last 3 seasons.

7* NCAAF Game of the Week on Kentucky +20.5
The Key: Off a satisfying win over Missouri and with a big showdown versus Georgia on deck, I expect the Gamecocks to get caught looking past Kentucky here. South Carolina is notorious for its letdowns. It is 3-11 ATS following a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival under coach Spurrier. It is 0-6 ATS off any home win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons and has only won by an average of 2.5 points in these games. Kentucky was embarrassed at S. Carolina last season, but before that 5 straight matchups had been decided by 15 points or less. Take the point as the Wildcats catch SC napping and keep this one close.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -1.5 -140
The Key: The Tigers are 3-0 in Verlander's last 3 starts, winning each of those by 4 runs while he has posted a 0.86 ERA. The Tigers are 4-0 in Verlander's last 4 starts as a road favorite of -200 or greater, winning these by an average of 2.3 runs. They are also also 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite of -200 or greater, winning these by an average of 2.0 runs. Detroit is 7-0 in Verlander's last 7 starts against the Twins and has won these by an average of 4.3 runs. He has held the Twins to 1 earned run or fewer in 4 of his last 5 starts against them. Lastly, the Twins are 0-4 in Walters' last 4 starts as a home underdog and have lost these by 2.0 runs on average. Take the Tigers on the run line.

6* Illinois -1
The Key: Illinois will be hungry following last week's shocking home loss to Louisiana Tech. Teams coached by Tim Beckman are 7-0 ATS all-time following a defeat by 28 or more points. His teams have bounced back to win by an average score of 34.1 to 17.0 in these games. This shows us Beckman knows how to get his troops refocused following a poor performance. Additionally, the Fighting Illini are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS loss and 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a SU loss. The Nittany Lions are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win and 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU win. The Nittany Lions are also just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings with Illinois.