7* SEA/KC Sunday Night Game of the Year on Seattle +2.5 

The Key: The Seahawks are tremendous as home underdogs.  And after losing last week, they need a win to clinch a playoff spot here.  And with the Chargers losing to the Ravens yesterday, the Chiefs can now relax knowing that they have a two-game lead on the Chargers for the division lead.  They can clinch at home against Oakland next week if need be.  The Seahawks will be the hungrier team given the situation.  And the Chiefs just aren’t playing well since losing three of their top playmakers on offense in Kareem Hunt, Spencer Ware and Sammy Watkins.  They have one of the worst defenses in the NFL, too, especially against the run.  They give up 5.0 yards per carry this season, and the Seahawks lead the NFL in rushing at 154.9 yards per game, so this is a bad matchup for Kansas City’s defense.  The Seahawks are 11-1-1 ATS since January of 2011 as a home underdog with 9 outright wins.  Seattle is 11-0 SU & 9-1-1 ATS in its last 11 games off a SU loss as a favorite.  Russell Wilson is 5-1 ATS in his career as a home dog.  Take Seattle. 

6* NFL Total of the Week on Steelers/Saints UNDER 53 

The Key: With the Saints only averaging 283 YPG on offense in their last 4 games, this total should not be this high.  And with both teams having great defenses, this total shouldn’t be this high.  Both of these teams are improved tremendously on defense this year.  The Steelers are 9th in total defense and give up only 22.6 PPG and 333.5 YPG.  The Saints are 11th in total defense and give up just 20.9 PPG and 341.6 YPG.  Their defense has been playing as well as any other D in the league down the stretch.  The Saints are yielding a mere 12.3 PPG in their last 6 games.  The UNDER is 36-15 in Steelers last 51 road games, including 12-2 in all road games over the last 2 seasons.  The UNDER is 5-0 in Saints last 5 games overall.  Take the UNDER. 

6* PIT/NO Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Pittsburgh +7 

The Key: The situation favors the Steelers here Sunday.  The Ravens beat the Chargers yesterday and now if the Steelers don’t win, they’ll be trailing the Ravens in the AFC North.  They would also need help to make a wild card.  Basically, their season is on the line today, and they can’t afford to have a letdown after their big win over the Patriots last week.  The Saints can relax knowing that even if they lose this game, they could still beat the Panthers next week at home and clinch the No. 1 seed.  That’s because the Rams were upset as 13.5-point favorites by the Eagles last week.  The Saints caught a big break there.  And the Saints just aren’t playing well at all right now offensively as they putting up only 283 YPG in their last 4 games.  The Steelers have the better offense and the better defense this season and shouldn’t be catching this many points given the situation.  Take Pittsburgh. 

7* Ravens/Chargers AFC *HEAVY HITTER* on Los Angeles -3.5 

The Key: The Chargers have a huge rest advantage here after playing last Thursday, while the Ravens played on Sunday and will be on a short week with this game being played on Saturday.  The Ravens have to travel clearly across country as well.  And the Chargers got some great news this week as that extra rest has allowed their two best playmakers on offense to get healthy and return to the lineup this week.  Leading receiver Keenan Allen and leading rusher Melvin Gordon are both back.  The Ravens won’t have enough firepower to match the Chargers offense.  The Ravens are too predictable as they have run for a lot of yards lately, but not passed for many.  And it’s worth noting that the 5 defenses Lamar Jackson has faced since taking over as starter all rank 24th or worse in total defense.  So they have faced five bottom 10 defenses.  The Chargers have the 8th-best defense in the NFL, and it has been even better here down the stretch since Joey Bosa returned.  They held the high-powered Chiefs to just 294 total yards last week.  And they have allowed 65 or fewer rushing yards in 3 of their last 4 games coming in.  They will be able to stop the run and make life difficult on Jackson.  The Chargers are 34-13 ATS after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games.  Take Los Angeles. 

6* Buffalo/Troy NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Buffalo PK 

The Key: Buffalo is far and away the best team in the MAC.  And because they blew a 19-point second half lead against NIU and lost 29-30 in the MAC Championship, they’ll be extra hungry to want to erase that sour taste.  Look for them to beat Troy here, which is deflated following its loss to Appalachian State in the season finale that cost them a trip to the Sun Belt title game.  Buffalo has played the tougher schedule and has put up better numbers than Troy, and thus are the better team.  The Bulls are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a loss and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss.  The Trojans are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games against MAC teams.  Take Buffalo. 

6* Saturday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on VCU -5.5 

The Key: VCU is off back-to-back losses to Virginia and Charleston that will have them hungry for a victory.  And they’ve had a whole week to get ready for Wichita State after playing on December 15th last.  Wichita State only has two days to get ready for VCU after playing on Wednesday, December 19th last at home against Oral Roberts.  That rest and preparation advantage makes VCU a strong play today.  Wichita State has only played one true road game this season, and they lost that game handily 48-80 at Oklahoma as 6.5-point underdogs.  VCU is 5-1 at home this year.  Take VCU.

7* Pelicans/Lakers NBA *BAILOUT* on Los Angeles -3.5 

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Lakers tonight as short home favorites over the New Orleans Pelicans.  The Lakers come in hungry off consecutive losses.  The Lakers have won 9 of their last 10 home games and if they win this game, they’re likely going to cover.  I think they will win because the Pelicans are banged up right now.  Mirotic and Payton are out, and Julius Randle, Ian Clark and Anthony Davis are all questionable.  The Pelicans are 4-12 SU on the road this year.  The Pelicans are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after covering the spread in their previous game.  The team favored in this series is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.  Take Los Angeles. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Detroit Pistons +4.5 

The Key: I like the situation for the Pistons tonight.  They blew a double-digit lead at Charlotte the last time these teams played on December 12th just over a week ago and lost 107-108.  They want to avenge that defeat and I think they will here.  They gutted out an impressive OT win at Minnesota last time out and are playing much better here of late.  They beat Boston 3 games back and only lost to Milwaukee by 3, so they’ve played 3 straight good teams tough and won two of them outright as underdogs.  Detroit is 14-3 ATS vs. teams who shoot 24 or fewer free throws per game this season.  Charlotte is 3-12 ATS in December home games over the last 2 seasons.  The Hornets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  The Hornets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games overall.  Take Detroit. 

6* UC-Irvine/Butler NCAAB *CA$H COW* on UC-Irvine +9 

The Key: UC-Irvine is off to an impressive 11-2 start to the season while upsetting both Texas A&M and St. Mary’s in true road games.  It’s a veteran bunch that returned 5 starters and one that is capable of hanging with any team in the country.  I think they will hang with Butler, which is coming off a lackluster 9-point home win over Presbyterian.  The Bulldogs also have losses to Dayton and Saint Louis this season among their three losses in an 8-3 start.  Irvine is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 road games.  Take UC-Irvine. 

7* Mavs/Clippers NBA *BAILOUT* on Los Angeles -3 

The Key: The Clippers have played 7 of their last 10 games on the road.  It hasn’t gone well for them as they’ve gone just 3-7 during this stretch.  But now they are back home here and on two days’ rest so they should be primed for a big performance against the Mavericks.  This is a Dallas team that has been dreadful on the road this season with a 2-11 record.  The Mavericks are 3-14 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.  I like the price we are getting with the Clippers at home tonight.  Take Los Angeles. 

6* Wednesday NCAAB *BLOWOUT* on Drake -4.5 

The Key: The Drake Bulldogs are one of the most underrated teams in the entire country.  They have gone 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall as the books have consistently missed their mark.  Heck, they were leading against Iowa State deep into the second half just a few games ago to show their potential, and easily covered as 13.5-point dogs.  Their only other loss came at Colorado.  They have upset wins over Boise State and North Dakota State and sit at 7-2 SU on the season.  Rider is just 4-4 SU & 2-6 ATS.  They are 1-4 SU in true road games with all 4 losses by 14 points or more, and their only win coming as a favorite at lowly Wagner.  The Broncs are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  The Bulldogs are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 home games.  Take Drake. 

7* Ohio/San Diego State *HEAVY HITTER* on San Diego State +3 

The Key: Wrong team favored here.  Ohio getting too much respect for their finish to the season, while SDSU getting killed by oddsmakers for their 0-3 finish to the season.  The Aztecs weren’t motivated at all over their final 3 games and now will be motivated to finish off their season with a win.  The Bobcats were motivated down the stretch trying to win the MAC.  The MAC is just 6-24 SU in bowl games over the last 6 years.  And after an 0-2 start to this bowl season, the MAC is now 1-12 SU over the last 3 seasons in bowl games.  The Aztecs are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as underdogs, which includes outright upsets over Boise State and Arizona State this season.  Take San Diego State. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Phoenix Suns +12 

The Key: The Phoenix Suns have Devin Booker back in the lineup and it’s no surprise that they are now playing up to their potential.  The Suns are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games overall with upset wins over the Mavericks and Timberwolves, and a blowout road win by 18 at the Knicks.  They stay out East here for this showdown with the Celtics, a team they have owned.  The Celtics are starting to get too much respect from the books now after going 8-1 SU & 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.  The Suns are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings with the Celtics, not once losing by more than 10 points.  Take Phoenix. 

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on South Dakota +22 

The Key: Kansas is already going to be getting a lot of respect from oddsmakers due to their No. 1 ranking this season.  But this isn’t the best team in the country.  The Jayhawks have won 6 of their 9 games by single-digits this season, and 8 of their 9 wins have come by 16 points or fewer.  And South Dakota is a good team that went 26-9 last year and returned 4 starters.  They can hang with the Jayhawks.  And I like fading Kansas in this awful spot.  They are coming off a huge 74-71 home win over defending champion Villanova, and they have a huge game on deck this weekend at Arizona State.  It’s a sandwich game that the Jayhawks won’t show up for.  They recently lost star C Udoka Azubuike to an ankle injury and there’s no timetable for his return.  That’s a big loss moving forward for this team.  South Dakota is 8-0 ATS off a road win over the last 2 seasons, and 13-1 ATS off a road game over the last 2 years.  Take South Dakota. 

7* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Week on Cleveland Cavaliers +12 

The Key: Indiana is starting to get too much respect from oddsmakers due to their 7-game winning streak.  And they certainly will not be that excited to play the Cavs tonight, which will make it difficult for them to cover this 12-point spread.  Especially when you fact in that they have a huge road game at Toronto on deck tomorrow night, so they’ll want to conserve their energy for that game against the East’s top team.  It’s just a great situation here to back the Cavs given the Pacers’ obvious lack of motivation tonight.  The Pacers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  The Cavs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after giving up more than 125 points in their previous game.  The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.  Take Cleveland. 

7* Saints/Panthers NFC South *HEAVY HITTER* on Carolina +7 

The Key: Despite losing 5 straight, the Panthers are still very much alive for the playoffs.  They need to win out, and it starts with this game against the Saints at home Monday Night.  They only trail the Vikings by a game in the wild card and hold the tiebreaker over the Eagles.  The Panthers are 5-1 at home this year and scoring 30.8 PPG on their home turf.  They have what it takes to hang with the Saints, whose offense has sputtered in recent weeks with just 262 YPG in their last 3 games.  And the Panthers will certainly be revenge-minded after losing all 3 meetings with the Saints last year, including playoffs.  Ron Rivera is 22-6 ATS off a road loss as the coach of the Panthers.  Take Carolina. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Detroit Pistons +4 

The Key: The Bucks are just 6-6 SU & 5-7 ATS on the road this season.  They are getting too much respect from oddsmakers tonight as 4-point road favorites over a Pistons team that is 10-6 at home this year.  It’s also a hungry, rested Pistons team that will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days.  And they have lost 6 of their last 7 coming in, but they were a tired team previously, and now they’re fresh.  It helped when they returned from 2 days off to beat the Celtics 113-104 at home as 2-point dogs last time out.  Home-court advantage has clearly matters in this series.  The home team is 7-0 SU in the last 7 meetings.  The Bucks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a win by more than 10 points.  Take Detroit. 

6* Eagles/Rams Sunday Night *BAILOUT* on Philadelphia +14 

The Key: This line has gotten out of hand.  Oddsmakers have adjusted too much for the Carson Wentz injury.  It was obvious they didn’t need Wentz when they won the Super Bowl last year, and this line has jumped from 8 up to 13 and 14 in some places since it was announced that Wentz would be out.  Nick Foles is clearly a capable backup after what he did in the Super Bowl run last year.  And he’s out to prove to other teams that he can be their starter, and he’s a consummate pro wanting to help his teammates get back to the playoffs.  After all, the Eagles are still only a half-game out of the wild card even with how poorly this season has gone thus far.  The Rams have been overvalued for weeks.  They are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.  The Rams are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 home games against a team with a losing road record.  The Eagles are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings with the Rams.  Take Philadelphia. 

7* Patriots/Steelers AFC *HEAVY HITTER* on Pittsburgh +3 

The Key: The Steelers need to right the ship quickly off 3 straight upset losses they had no business losing.  They should have beaten the Broncos, Chargers and Raiders, but late miscues cost them in all 3 games.  They are back home here today and ready to exorcize their demons against the Patriots.  The Pats are only 3-4 on the road this season, so they are beatable.  The Steelers are outscoring their opponents by 8.3 PPG at home this year behind an offense that puts up 34.5 PPG at home.  Mike Tomlin is 11-3 ATS off 3 or more consecutive ATS losses as the coach of the Steelers.  Take Pittsburgh. 

6* Sunday NFL *Upset Special* on New York Giants +2 

The Key: The Giants are 4-1 SU & 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.  And they blew a 16-point lead on the road against the Eagles in their only loss.  This is a team playing with a lot of confidence right now and still believing they are alive for the playoffs.  The Titans are only 2-5 on the road this season, where they’re scoring 16.4 PPG.  They should not be favored in this matchup.  Tennessee is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 road games following 2 or more straight up wins.  Take New York. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Phoenix Suns +8.5 

The Key: The Timberwolves are 2-11 on the road this season and losing by 7.6 PPG.  They can’t be laying 8.5 points on the road to anyone.  Minnesota is 12-26 ATS in its last 38 road games.  The Suns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home meetings with the Timberwolves.  Take Phoenix. 

6* Texans/Jets AFC *CA$H COW* on New York +7 

The Key: The Houston Texans are starting to get too much respect from oddsmakers now after going 9-1 in their last 10 games overall.  They lost outright at home to the Colts last week as 4-point favorites.  Consider that in Houston’s previous 6 road games this season, they haven’t been favored by more than 3 points once.  And now they’re laying a touchdown on the road to the Jets.  This is a Jets team that has been impressive since Sam Darnold returned from injury.  They led most the way at Tennessee two weeks ago and only lost 22-26 as 10-point dogs, easily covering the spread.  Then last week they had a nice 27-23 road win at Buffalo as 4.5-point dogs.  And they should be able to stay within 7 points of Houston with a legit chance to pull the upset this week.  The Texans are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a loss.  The Texans are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 December games.  The Jets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games against a team with a winning road record.  The dog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.  Take New York. 

6* Davidson/Temple NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Temple -3 

The Key: Davidson has played a much weaker schedule than Temple.  In their toughest game, they lost by 21 to Purdue as 7.5-point underdogs on a neutral.  And Purdue is a rebuilding team this year.  Temple is battle-tested with true road games at Missouri, St. Joe’s and Villanova.  They beat the first two, and took Villanova down to the wire.  The Owls are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 neutral site games.  Take Temple. 

7* December Bowl Total of the Year on ASU/Fresno State UNDER 53.5 

The Key: Two teams with great defenses square off in the Las Vegas Bowl Saturday.  Fresno State has been elite defensively, giving up only 13.7 PPG on the season.  Arizona State allows 25.1 PPG.  And these are two mediocre offenses.  But my favorite thing about these offenses is that they don’t turn the football overall.  Fresno State has committed just 11 turnovers in 13 games, while ASU has committed only 8 turnovers in 12 games.  Turnovers usually create easy points, and since both teams won’t be turning it over, I think that greatly benefits the UNDER.  ASU’s offense suffered a big blow when it was announced leading receiver N’Keal Harry would skip the bowl game to get ready for the NFL Draft.  He may be the best receiver in the Pac-12, catching 73 balls for 1,088 yards and 9 touchdowns this season.  The UNDER is 22-8 in Bulldogs last 30 games overall.  The UNDER is 6-0 in Bulldogs last 6 games this season with a total of 49.5 to 56 points.  Take the UNDER. 

6* Warriors/Kings NBA *BAILOUT* on Sacramento +7.5 

The Key: The Kings are 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.  They will relish this opportunity to face the defending champion Warriors at home tonight.  The Kings have actually won 2 of their last 5 meetings with the Warriors outright, and in their only meeting this season they only lost 116-117 on the road.  They are now getting 7.5 points to the Warriors at home.  The Warriors are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. Western Conference teams.  The Kings are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games when coming in on one days’ rest.  Take Sacramento. 

6* NBA Eastern Conference *CA$H COW* on Cleveland Cavaliers +10.5 

The Key: The Cavaliers just lost by 16 at Milwaukee 5 days ago on December 10th.  I like looking to back teams who have a shot at revenge in the 2nd meeting between teams who have just recently played.  Especially big underdogs like the Cavs here, who are now catching double-digits against the Bucks at home.  The Cavs have won their last two home games outright as underdogs over the Wizards and Knicks by a combined 22 points.  The Bucks are only 20-48 ATS in their last 68 as a double-digit favorite and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games.  Take Cleveland. 

7* NBA Total of the Month on Knicks/Hornets UNDER 224.5 

The Key: The Hornets and Knicks just played 6 days ago on December 9th.  The Hornets won that game 119-107 for 226 combined points.  I like looking to the UNDER in the 2nd meeting between teams who have just recently played.  And I think it’s safe to take the UNDER here as they just need to combine for 2 fewer points to get the UNDER.  The Knicks have a ton of injuries right now and are without three key players in Trey Burke, Alonzo Trier and Lance Thomas.  Trier and Burke are big losses because they create offense.  The Knicks just don’t have many playmakers left.  Take the UNDER. 

7* Chargers/Chiefs AFC West *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 55 

The Key: This will be the 2nd meeting between the Chargers and Chiefs this season.  Both of these defenses have gotten a whole lot better since they met way back in Week 1.  The Chargers are giving up just over 16 PPG in their last 9 games coming in.  The Chiefs have held 7 of their last 10 opponents to 23 points or fewer.  And I think we see a defensive battle in this rematch tonight.  The Chiefs are missing their top two running backs and receiver Sammy Watkins, and Tyreke Hill is banged up.  The Chargers are missing their top two running backs as well, two guys in Gordon and Ekeler who are huge safety valves for Philip Rivers out of the backfield.  The UNDER is 10-1 in Chargers last 11 December games.  The UNDER is 8-1 in Chargers last 9 against AFC West teams.  The UNDER is 48-21-1 in Chiefs last 70 home games.  Take the UNDER. 

7* NBA Western Conference Game of the Month on Memphis Grizzlies -3 

The Key: The Blazers are in a difficult situation tonight.  They will be playing the second of a back-to-back while having to take a long flight from Houston to Memphis last night in between.  The Grizzlies are hungry for a victory off two straight losses to the Lakers and Nuggets, and they had yesterday off.  The Grizzlies are 8-4 SU & 8-4 ATS at home this season, while the Blazers are 5-8 SU & 4-9 ATS on the road.  The Blazers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games.  Portland is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games overall.  Memphis is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  The Grizzlies are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games.  Take Memphis. 

7* Raptors/Clippers NBA TV *BAILOUT* on Toronto -4 

The Key: The situation is a good one for the Raptors.  They are coming off two straight upset losses to the Nets and Bucks, and they’ve covered just one of their last six coming in.  They’ll be hungry for a victory here against the Clippers.  This is a Clippers team playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after needing overtime to beat the lowly Suns on the road last night.  Several starters played close to 40 minutes, and they’ll be fatigued now.  It’s also their 3rd game in 4 days and their 6th game in 10 days.  The Raptors are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings with the Clippers.  Take Toronto. 

7* Vikings/Seahawks NFC *HEAVY HITTER* on Minnesota +3.5 

The Key: I strongly believe the Vikings are the better team in this matchup and we’re getting 3.5 points with them.  This line should be closer to pick ‘em.  The Vikings have outgained 6 of their last 8 opponents and they are a legit team with a legit defense and a solid offense.  Sure, the Seahawks have on 3 in a row coming in, but they were outgained in 2 of those games by a combined 200 yards by the 49ers and Panthers.  The Seahawks have now been outgained in 4 of their last 5 games coming in.  The Vikings are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games following a loss.  Seattle is 4-17 ATS in its last 21 games off a blowout win by 21 points or more.  Mike Zimmer is 50-27 ATS as the coach of the Vikings.  Take Minnesota. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Cleveland Cavaliers +13.5 

The Key: This is a great situation to fade the Milwaukee Bucks.  They are coming off an upset win yesterday over the Raptors on the road, so they’ll be playing for a second consecutive day.  And that followed up a 10-point home loss to the Warriors.  So their last two games have been against the defending champs and the team with the best record in the NBA.  There’s absolutely no way they get up emotionally to face the Cavs tonight, and that’s going to make it tough for them to cover this big spread.  And this is a Cavs team that is playing competitive basketball now.  They went on the road and upset the Nets 99-97 as 6-point dogs a few games back, and last time out they won 116-101 as 7.5-point home dogs to the Wizards.  Milwaukee is 2-11 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons.  The Bucks are 3-12 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 years.  Take Cleveland. 

6* Rams/Bears Sunday Night *BAILOUT* on Chicago +3 

The Key: The Chicago Bears have one of the best defenses in the NFL.  The Rams are in for a rude awakening against Chicago here tonight.  The Bears have forced more turnovers (30) than any team in the NFL.  They will be ready for Jared Goff and company.  Plus, they get Mitch Trubisky back at quarterback for this game after he missed the past two games.  The Bears should be able to take away Todd Gurley as they give up just 86 rushing yards per game this season, and just 66 rushing yards per game at home.  The Rams are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Bears are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 home games, including 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a winning road record.  Take Chicago.

6* AFC Game of the Day on Oakland Raiders +10 

The Key: Big Ben just hasn’t been a quarterback that you can trust when on the road and laying points.  And now his job got a whole lot more difficult with the injury to James Connor.  Roethlisberger is 1-9 ATS as a double-digit road favorite lifetime.  And in six career starts against Oakland, Big Ben has gone just 2-4 SU & 1-5 ATS.  The Raiders have covered the spread 2 of the last 3 weeks and only lost by 7 to the Chiefs last week at home.  They can stay within 10 points of the Steelers, who lost at home to the Chiefs earlier this season.  Take Oakland. 

7* NFL Non-Conference Game of the Month on San Francisco 49ers +3.5 

The Key: The Broncos are missing two key players this week that they had last week and during this run they’ve made.  Leading receiver Emmanuel Sanders is out with a torn Achilles suffered in practice earlier this week.  And top corner Chris Harris is out as well.  The loss of Sanders hurts because the Broncos traded away Demaryius Thomas and were already thin at receiver.  The 49ers have outgained their opponents by a total of 174 yards on the season.  They are clearly better than a 2-10 team, and I think they get to taste victory here against the Broncos Sunday.  The Broncos are 0-6 ATS vs. teams who force one or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.  They are losing by 12.3 PPG on average to these teams.  Take San Francisco. 

7* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Week on New York Knicks -2.5 

The Key: The Nets are in a letdown spot off their 106-105 upset win over the Raptors last night.  They’re also a tired team as they’ll be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 6th game in 9 days.  The Knicks will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days.  The home team is 3-0 in the last three meetings, including a 19-point win and a 16-point win by the Knicks in the last two meetings in New York.  The Nets are 0-7 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season.  Take New York. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Atlanta Hawks +6.5 

The Key: The Nuggets just had their 7-game winning streak come to an end in Charlotte last night.  I always like going against teams who just had a long winning streak ended because they seem to be deflated the next game out.  And the Nuggets will now be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days.  Plus, they’ll be without two of their best players in Paul Millsap and Gary Harris.  Millsap suffered a broken toe against the Hornets last night, and his loss is a big one for this team.  Harris is the Nuggets’ leading scorer this year.  And they’re already without Will Barton.  The Hawks are rested having two days off prior to this game, and they’ll be playing only their 3rd game in 8 days.  The situation really favors Atlanta.  The Nuggets are 1-8 ATS off one or more consecutive overs this season.  The Hawks are 36-17 ATS in their last 53 games following a double-digit home loss.  The Hawks are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 home meetings.  Take Atlanta. 

6* Saturday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Buffalo -7 

The Key: The Buffalo Bulls are one of the best teams in the country that nobody knows about.  They have moved up to No. 17 in the rankings this week and are off to an 8-0 start.  And now they want some revenge on St. Bonaventure after losing 4 straight meetings in this series between these upstate New York rivals.  Buffalo has gone on the road and beaten West Virginia 99-94 as 10.5-point dogs, Southern Illinois 62-53 as 4-point favorites, and San Francisco 85-81 as 4-point favorites.  Those are 3 really good teams.  St. Bonaventure is in a rebuilding year.  The Bonnies are just 4-5 with their 4 wins coming against Jackson State, Canisius, Delaware State and Siena all at home.  They have lost to Bucknell at home, as well as Niagara, Georgia State, Boise State and Akron on the road.  Those last four losses all came by 8 points or more.  That’s why I think Buffalo has no problem covering this 7-point spread today.  The Bulls are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.  The Bulls are 8-1 ATS in road games off a win by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons.  The Bonnies are 4-16 ATS in their last 20 home games after committing 8 or fewer turnovers in their previous game.  Take Buffalo. 

7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on San Antonio Spurs +1 

The Key: I love the situation here for the Spurs.  They blew a big lead against the Lakers on Wednesday and lost 113-121.  Now they get their chance at revenge just two days later, this time in San Antonio.  And I think they get that revenge tonight.  The Lakers are banged up right now as they were already playing without Rajon Rondo, and now they’ll also be without starter Brandon Ingram for their next two games.  And they are playing a back-to-back here with Memphis on deck tomorrow night.  They won’t be nearly as hungry as the Spurs here, and they will be looking to limit their starters’ minutes if they can.  The Spurs are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 home games.  The Spurs are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 Friday games.  The underdog is 6-0-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.  Take San Antonio. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Portland Trail Blazers -13 

The Key: This really feels like a get right game for the Portland Trail Blazers tonight.  They are just 1-6 SU in their last 7 games and 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games.  But the Suns are the worst team in the West at 4-20 on the season, and they are 1-11 on the road while losing by 14.6 PPG on average.  The Suns are also 0-6 SU & 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall, losing 5 times by double-digits, including 4 straight by 14 points or more.  And now the Suns are without their two leading scorers in Devin Booker and TJ Warren.  They are already short on talent, but they really stand zero chance of being competitive without these two, who combine to average 41.2 PPG on the season.  The Blazers are 24-10 ATS in their last 34 home games, and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 Thursday games.  Take Portland. 

7* Jaguars/Titans NFL *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 37.5 

The Key: The Jaguars and Titans played in a 9-6 ugly defensive battle in their first meeting in Jacksonville that saw 15 combined points.  I think we see another ugly defensive battle in the rematch, especially with the Jaguars going with Cody Kessler again at quarterback.  His first start last week resulted in a 6-0 win over the Colts.  The Jaguars have a great defense that ranks 3rd in the NFL in total defense at 315.6 YPG allowed.  The Titans also have a great defense that ranks 9th in the NFL in total defense at 340.9 YPG allowed.  And both teams have been terrible on offense.  The Jaguars are 24th in total offense and the Titans are 28th.  The Jaguars are 30th in scoring offense at 16.9 PPG, while the Titans are 28th at 18.4 PPG.  I don’t think either team tops 20 points in this one.  The UNDER is 6-1 in Titans last 7 vs. AFC South teams.  The UNDER is 4-1 in Jaguars last 5 vs. division opponents.  Take the UNDER. 

7* 76ers/Raptors ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto -6 

The Key: The Toronto Raptors are coming off a rare loss this season to drop to 20-5 on the year.  They should come back hungry here against the Philadelphia 76ers Wednesday night.  The home team is 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings with the only exception being the Raptors winning at the 76ers last year.  The Raptors are 12-0 SU in their last 12 home meetings with the 76ers with all 12 wins coming by 8 points or more.  Chalk up another win by 8-plus points tonight for them.  Take Toronto. 

6* Wednesday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Marshall -1 

The Key: There’s a lot to like about this Marshall team that returns 4 starters behind underrated head coach Dan D’Antonio.  They are 5-2 this season with both of their losses coming on the road to very good Maryland and Ohio teams.  They should be able to handle this Duquesne squad that returns just 2 starters and lost by 21 to Pitt and by 11 to Notre Dame, failing to cove the spread in both those games.  Their 4 wins have all come at home against William & Mary, Illinois-Chicago, Redford and UMass-Lowell.  Marshall is their stiffest competition at home thus far this season.  The Thundering Herd are 15-3 ATS off a road loss over the last 3 seasons.  Duquesne is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 home games with a total set of 160 or higher.  Take Marshall. 

7* NBA Situational Game of the Week on Sacramento Kings -5.5 

The Key: The Sacramento Kings come in on 2 days’ rest.  It will also be just their 3rd game in 9 days.  They will run the Phoenix Suns to death, and the Suns won’t be able to do much about it.  The Suns are expected to be without their top two scores in Devin Booker and T.J. Warren, who combined to average 41.2 PPG this season.  That’s a lot of production to have to replace.  There’s just not much talent on this roster outside those two, and that’s evident with their 4-19 record this year.  The Kings are 9-1 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season.  The Suns are 0-5 SU & 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall, losing 4 times by 11 points or more.  Take Sacramento. 

6* Tuesday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Boston College -3.5 

The Key: Boston College is a veteran team with 4 returning starters.  That has helped the Eagles to a 6-1 start hit season that includes a 68-56 home win over a Minnesota team that returned all 5 starters.  Providence only has 2 starters back this year and is 6-2.  The six wins have come against weak competition, and they lost to Wichita State on a neutral and Michigan on a neutral by 19.  This will be the first true road game of the season for Providence.  The Friars are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 Tuesday games. The Friars are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 non-conference games.  The home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.  The Friars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road meetings with the Eagles.  Take Boston College. 

7* Redskins/Eagles NFC East *HEAVY HITTER* on Philadelphia -6 

The Key: The Eagles are in true must-win mode here.  They can’t lose this game because they’d be 5-7 and two games back of the 7-5 Cowboys with a head-to-head loss to them already, so essentially three games back.  The Redskins could afford a loss and still recover.  The Eagles can’t.  And I like the momentum the Eagles have from coming from 19-3 down to beat the Giants last week, 25-22.  Now they should be able to win by a touchdown or more against a banged-up Redskins team playing with a backup QB.  The injuries have taken their toll on the Redskins.  They are 1-3 in their last 4 games overall and their lone win against the Bucs was a fluke.  The Bucs had 501 total yards but managed just 3 points.  Figure that one out.  Bets on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a game where they committed non turnovers against an opponent that had a -3 turnover margin or worse last game are 25-6 ATS over the last 10 seasons.  Take Philadelphia. 

6* Monday NBA *Total* Annihilator on Clippers/Pelicans UNDER 236.5 

The Key: Both the Pelicans and Clippers will be gassed tonight.  Both are playing for a second consecutive night after playing on the road last night.  They will have tired legs, and that will affect their shooting more than anything.  These teams played earlier this season on October 23rd and combined for 225 points.  I think this 236.5-point total is too high given that result and the situation.  The UNDER is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings, and 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in New Orleans.  Take the UNDER. 

7* Vikings/Patriots NFL Total of the Week on OVER 48.5 

The Key: Two of the better offenses in the NFL go at it this afternoon in New England.  Both the Patriots and Vikings are loaded with weapons and great quarterback play.  And both defenses are down a notch from year’s past as well.  Minnesota is 14-2 OVER in its last 16 games off three straight division games.  New England is 6-0 OVER in home games after gaining 6.25 or more yards per play in its previous game.  The OVER is 5-1 in Vikings last 6 road games.  The OVER is 6-1 in Vikings last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.  The OVER is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.  Take the OVER. 

6* NFL Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Atlanta Falcons -2.5 

The Key: The Falcons come in on extra rest having played last Thursday.  They had their chances to beat the Saints on the road but squandered several opportunities with 4 turnovers, including 3 deep in New Orleans territory.  But they’re back home and rested this week and should be primed for a big performance against the Ravens.  This is a Ravens team that is getting too much love for wins over the Bengals and Raiders in consecutive weeks at home.  But now they are back on the road where they are 2-3 this season.  The Ravens are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a win by more than 14 points.  Take Atlanta. 

6* AFC Game of the Day on Cincinnati Bengals +4.5 

The Key: The Bengals are rejuvenated now with Jeff Driskel replacing Andy Dalton at quarterback.  They had a huge second half against the Browns last week with Driskel under center.  And now he gets another weapon in his arsenal this week with the much-anticipated return of AJ Green.  The Broncos are getting too much respect from the books after their improbable wins over the Chargers and Steelers as underdogs the last 2 weeks.  Now they’re being asked to go on the road and win by a margin as 4.5-point favorites.  This is not their preferred role.  These are two 5-6 teams fighting to stay alive for the playoffs, and we’re getting the home team at an excellent price.  The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.  Take Cincinnati. 

6* Fresno/Boise MWC *CA$H COW* on UNDER 53 

The Key: This will be the 4th meeting between Fresno State and Boise State in the last 2 seasons.  It will be the 2nd consecutive year that they’ve played in the regular season and then also in the MWC Championship Game.  To say they are familiar with one another would be an understatement.  And that clearly favors the UNDER.  They have combined for 45, 31 and 41 points in their first 3 meetings, and now we have a total of 53 here.  That’s 14 points more than the 39 points they have averaged in their 3 previous meetings.  Fresno is 9-0 UNDER off a home win over the last 2 seasons.  Fresno is 6-0 UNDER in road games this season.  The UNDER is 19-7 in Bulldogs last 26 home games.  The UNDER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.  The UNDER is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings at Boise State.  Take the UNDER. 

6* Clemson/Pitt ACC *CA$H COW* on Pittsburgh +28 

The Key: The Pitt Panthers pulled the 43-42 upset over Clemson back in 2016 as 21.5-point underdogs.  They know what it takes to hang with this team.  And they are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall, so oddsmakers have failed to give them the respect they deserve here down the stretch.  It’s happening again here Saturday as they are 28-point underdogs to the Tigers.  Dano Swinney is only 3-12 ATS as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points as the coach of Clemson.  This is the spot that the Tigers have failed to cover time and time again when the expectations are too high.  Take Pittsburgh. 

6* NBA Game of the Day on Boston Celtics +2.5 

The Key: Boston handled its business in a 128-95 home win over Cleveland last night.  The Celtics were able to rest their starters late because of the blowout, negating the impact of this back-to-back.  They also had 3 days’ rest coming into that game, so this will still be just their 2nd game in 5 days.  They will have plenty left in the tank for the Timberwolves, who are starting to get too much love after a 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS stretch coming into this game.  But those 4 wins all came against bad teams in the Nets, Bulls, Cavs and Spurs, four teams who are below .500.  Boston is 10-1 ATS following a blowout home win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons.  Take Boston. 

6* NCAAB Game of the Day on Tulsa +7.5 

The Key: Utah is a rebuilding team with just one returning starter and they should not be favored by 7.5 over Tulsa today.  Utah’s 3 wins have come against Maine, Grand Canyon and Miss Valley State.  They lost by 9 at Minnesota, by 11 to Hawaii on a neutral and by 22 to Northwestern on a neutral.  They clearly aren’t very good.  Tulsa is 5-2 with its only losses coming as underdogs to Nevada and Southern Illinois.  And they only lost by 7 to Nevada as 14-point dogs, and Nevada is unbeaten and one of the best teams in the country.  Take Tulsa. 

7* Alabama/Georgia SEC Game of the Year on Georgia +12 

The Key: Georgia wants to avenge its 26-23 (OT) loss to Alabama in the championship game last year.  This is the opportunity they’ve waited a year for, and I expect them to take advantage.  They are the team best equipped to beat Alabama in the country.  They have an elite defense and an experienced offense with yet another elite running game, plus Jake Fromm calling the shots at quarterback.  Bets on neutral field underdogs who average 200 or more rushing yards per game after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 4 straight games are 24-4 ATS since 1992.  Take Georgia. 

6* Nuggets/Blazers ESPN *BAILOUT* on Portland -2 

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Blazers as short home favorites over the Nuggets tonight.  And we’re getting this price because the Blazers have lost 3 of their last 4 coming in an are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games.  The Nuggets are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games.  Those recent performances are giving us line value on the Blazers.  The home team is 6-1 SU in the last 7 meetings.  Portland is 32-12 SU in its last 44 home meetings with Denver.  The Blazers are 24-9 ATS in their last 33 home games.  Take Portland. 

7* NIU/Buffalo NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Buffalo -3 

The Key: I believe Buffalo to be the better of these two teams, and I don’t really even think it’s close.  While NIU has the better defense, they don’t have the offense that can keep up with Buffalo.  The Bulls score 35.2 PPG this season behind a balanced attack with 200 rushing yards and 219 passing yards per game.  And they have a pretty good defense of their own giving up 24.2 PPG.  NIU averages a putrid 19.9 PPG and 318 YPG.  The Huskies give up 20.9 PPG, so they have a good defense, but they are actually getting outscored and outgained on the season.  They were fortunate to make the MAC Championship to say the least as the MAC West was down this season.  The Huskies are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games as a neutral field underdog.  Buffalo is 7-1 SU & 7-1 ATS against MAC opponents this season.  They are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 conference games dating back to last season.  The Bulls are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games overall.  Take Buffalo. 

6* Wisconsin/Iowa Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Iowa +2 

The Key: The Iowa Hawkeyes are off to a 6-0 start this season.  They are one of the most improved teams in the Big Ten due to their 5 returning starters.  They have already beaten Oregon and UConn in New York and they should be able to beat Wisconsin at home tonight.  Iowa beat Wisconsin 85-67 as 2.5-point home favorites in their lone meeting last season.  The Hawkeyes are 28-10 ATS in their last 38 home games against teams who force 12 or fewer turnovers per game.  The underdog is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings.  Take Iowa.

6* Clippers/Kings NBA *BAILOUT* on Sacramento +2.5 

The Key: The Kings should be able to beat the Clippers at home tonight given their massive advantage in this situation.  They come in on 3 days’ rest and are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games when playing on 3 or more days’ rest.  The Clippers will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after their win over the Suns last night.  The Clippers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games against a team with a winning home record.  The Kings have covered the spread in 6 straight Thursday games.  Take Sacramento. 

7* Saints/Cowboys NFC *HEAVY HITTER* on Dallas +8 

The Key: The Saints are doing something that is rarely seen in the NFL.  They come in 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games overall.  But now the love for the Saints is getting to be too much as they’re being asked to lay more than a touchdown on the road here against the Cowboys.  And this is a Cowboys team that has played much better since trading for Amari Cooper.  They have won and covered 3 straight coming in.  Their offense is good enough to hang with the Saints, and they have the 3rd-best scoring defense in the NFL giving up only 19.4 PPG.  The Saints are not good on defense, and the Cowboys are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 against teams who give up 350 or more yards per game.  Take Dallas. 

7* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month on Chicago Bulls +14.5 

The Key: The Bulls want to avenge their 19-point loss to the Bucks earlier this month.  And I can’t see the Bucks being too hungry to beat the Bulls by another big margin in this rematch.  And the Bucks haven’t been covering of late so they shouldn’t be this big of favorites.  They are 0-3 ATS in their last 3 games overall and have lost outright as favorites in two of those.  They are just 19-47 ATS in their last 66 tries when favored by at least 10 points.  The road team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.  The Bulls are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 meetings with the Bucks.  Take Chicago. 

6* NBA Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Washington Wizards +6.5 

The Key: The Wizards are playing their best basketball of the season right now.  They are 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall.  The Pelicans are slumping, going 0-4 SU & 1-3 ATS in their last 4 games overall.  They lost to the Wizards by 10 just the other night and are now favored by 6.5 points in the rematch.  I like the Wizards to hang tough again and possibly win this game outright.  New Orleans is 0-7 ATS off two or more consecutive losses this season.  The Pelicans are 1-8 ATS after scoring 105 points or more in 4 straight games this season.  The Wizards are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.  The Pelicans are 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games following a loss.  The Wizard are 20-6 ATS in the last 26 meetings, and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 meetings in New Orleans.  Take Washington. 

6* ACC/Big Ten Challenge *CA$H COW* on Rutgers +11.5 

The Key: Rutgers is 4-1 this season with all 4 wins coming by double-digits.  They should be able to hang with Miami, which has had some ugly showings.  Miami only beat Bethune-Cookman 78-70 as 27-point home favorites.  They only beat Fresno State 78-76 as 8-point neutral court favorites.  And they lost to a bad Seton Hall team 81-83 as 4.5-point neutral court favorites.  They should not be this heavily favored against Rutgers tonight.  Miami is 5-17 ATS as a home favorite or PK over the last 3 seasons.  The Scarlet Knights are 11-3 ATS in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.  The Hurricanes are 10-25 ATS in their last 35 home games.  Miami is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 vs. Big Ten teams.  Take Rutgers. 

7* VA Tech/Penn State ESPN 2 *HEAVY HITTER* on Virginia Tech -4 

The Key: Virginia Tech has been mighty impressive during its 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS start this season.  The Hokies have beaten Purdue along the way and should be able to handle another Big Ten opponent tonight in Penn State.  The Nittany Lions have already lost two games.  They were upset by DePaul on the road and also upset by Bradley on a neutral court.  Their 3 wins have come against North Florida, Jacksonville State and Wright State.  So Virginia Tech is by far the best opponent that the Nittany Lions will have faced.  The Hokies are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 November games.  The Hokies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Ten teams.  Take Virginia Tech. 

7* Titans/Texans AFC South *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston -4 

The Key: The home team has won and covered 5 straight in this series between the Titans and Texans.  The Texans have won each of their last 6 meetings with the Titans all by 6 points or more.  And those 6 wins have come by an incredible 20 points per game.  With the Texans looking to avenge their 17-20 loss at Tennessee in their first meeting this season, I think they’ll have no problem covering this 4-point spread at home tonight.  And Marcus Mariota is far from 100% as he was questionable all week leading up to this game.  Take Houston. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on San Antonio Spurs -6 

The Key: The Spurs will be hungry for a victory after losing 3 of their last 4 coming in.  And they should be able to get back on track against a Chicago Bulls team that has been playing awful for weeks.  The Bulls are 1-6 SU & 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall with all 6 losses coming by 5 points or more, including 4 by 15 points or more.  The Bulls are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 Monday games.  The Spurs have won their last 3 meetings with the Bulls by 39, 10 and 19 points.  Expect another double-digit blowout win in their favor tonight.  Take San Antonio. 

7* Packers/Vikings Sunday Night Game of the Year on Minnesota -3 

The Key: The Vikings are as healthy as they’ve been since Week 1.  The Packers have several key players questionable or out for this game.  And the Vikings are sure to be hungry off a loss to the Bears last week. The Packers have lost 3 of their last 4 coming in and just aren’t a very good team.  Aaron Rodgers lacks weapons because of all the injuries, and the defense remains poor.  The Packers have the biggest home/road split of any team in the NFL over the past decade.  They are great at home but terrible on the road.  The Packers are 0-5 SU & 1-3-1 ATS on the road this season, getting outscored by 8.2 PPG.  No team has been as good as the Vikings at home over the past several season.  Minnesota is 36-16-2 ATS in its last 54 home games.  Mike Zimmer is 27-11 ATS in home games as the coach of Minnesota.  This line of -3 seems very cheap Sunday night.  Take Minnesota. 

6* Giants/Eagles NFC East *CA$H COW* on New York +5.5 

The Key: Saquon Barkley guaranteed the Giants would win their final 8 games coming out of their bye.  And don’t look now, but they’re 2-0 since that guarantee with a realistic path to win the NFC East if they keep winning.  And now they face the Eagles, who are coming off back-to-back ugly losses to the Cowboys and Saints, including their 7-48 loss at New Orleans last week.  The Eagles are marred by injuries to several of their best players.  Their secondary is a mess, and even Eli Manning should be able to light it up.  I also like that this is a revenge game for the Giants after their 13-34 home loss to the Eagles earlier this season.  That was a very misleading final as the Giants actually outgained the Eagles 401 to 379 in that contest.  The Giants are 40-21 ATS in their last 61 road games off two or more consecutive wins.  Philadelphia is 0-10 ATS vs. teams who allow 6.0 or more yards per play over the last 3 years.  Take New York. 

6* Seahawks/Panthers NFC *CA$H COW* on Carolina -3 

The Key: The Carolina Panthers have had a huge home/road split this season.  They are just 1-4 on the road, but 5-0 at home.  And now they’re home here against the Seahawks Sunday.  I think we get a big effort from the Panthers off 2 consecutive road losses.  Players will have coach Ron Rivera’s back after his decision to go for a 2-point conversion to try and beat the Lions last week.  Rivera is 22-4 ATS off a road loss as the Panthers’ coach, including 9-1 ATS off an upset road loss.  Take Carolina. 

7* South Carolina/Clemson ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on South Carolina +26.5 

The Key: Clemson will make the four-team playoff no matter what happens in this game against South Carolina as long as they beat Pitt next week in the ACC Championship.  The Tigers are getting too much love now after going 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.  They did not cover as 29.5-point favorites against Duke last week in a 29-point win.  And now they are 26.5-point favorites against South Carolina, a team that is much better than Duke.  The Gamecocks have their best offense of the Will Muschamp era this season as they are scoring 32.8 PPG.  And they still have a solid defense.  They have what it takes to stay within 4 touchdowns of the Tigers.  The Gamecocks are 7-0 ATS in road games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.  South Carolina is 7-1-1 ATS in its last 9 road games overall.  The Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.  Take South Carolina. 

6* Sun Belt Game of the Day on Georgia Southern -10.5 

The Key: Georgia Southern currently sits at 8-3 while having a tremendous season in the Sun Belt.  Two more wins and they can get to 10, which would be a huge accomplishment at the FBS level.  Georgia State has lost six straight while going 0-5-1 ATS in the process to drop to 2-9 SU & 2-8-1 ATS on the season.  This game is a matchup problem for Georgia State.  The Panthers have a horrible defense that gives up 37.6 PPG and 499 YPG on the season.  Their biggest weakness is against the run, where they give up 248 RYPG and 6.6 YPC.  Georgia Southern is a triple-option team that rushes for 259 RYPG and 5.2 YPC.  They will have their way on the ground against the Panthers today.  The Panthers are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 conference games.  Take Georgia Southern. 

6* AAC Game of the Day on Navy +6.5 

The Key: Navy isn’t a team that’s going to quit.  The Midshipmen showed that the last two weeks as they gave UCF a run for their money in an 11-point loss as 23.5-point dogs, and they beat Tulsa 37-29 as 5.5-point favorites.  They should be able to stay within a touchdown of Tulane and possibly pull the upset today.  Tulane is not playing well, only beating ECU by 6 as 10.5-point favorites, and losing 17-48 to Houston as 7.5-point dogs the last two weeks.  They are choking away their chance at making a bowl for a second straight season.  Navy is 82-45 ATS in its last 127 road games.  The Midshipmen are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 coming in.  The Green Wave are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 home games off a blowout loss by 21 points arm ore to a conference opponent.  Ken Niumatalolo is 22-12 ATS as a road underdog as the coach of Navy.  Take Navy. 

7* Washington/Wash State NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Washington State -2 

The Key: This year just feels different.  I know Washington has owned Washington State in the Apple Cup, but this is the best Cougars team that Mike Leach has had yet.  And I think they’re ready to take that next step.  The Cougars are 10-1 SU & 10-1 ATS this season, getting overlooked all year.  Their only loss came early in the season by a field goal at USC.  Washington has been overvalued all season, going 8-3 SU & 2-9 ATS.  The Huskies are 0-6 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion percentage of 58% or better this season.  Take Washington State. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on New York Knicks +7 

The Key: I like the situation for the Knicks tonight.  They’ll be looking to avenge a 124-129 road loss at New Orleans as 11-point underdogs on November 16th.  And they don’t have to wait long to do it as this game will be played exactly one week to the day later.  Bets on underdogs who are revenging a same season loss who are also off an upset win as a road dog of 10 points or more are 22-4 ATS over the last 5 seasons.  Take New York. 

6* ECU/Cincinnati AAC *CA$H COW* on East Carolina +17 

The Key: Cincinnati is coming off its Super Bowl last week against UCF that decided the AAC East title.  After losing that game 13-38, I just can’t foresee the Bearcats playing well this week as a hangover is in effect.  And now they’ll be up against an ECU team that has proven it can play with anyone, especially now that freshman QB Holton Ahlers has taken over.  Ahlers has played the better part of 5 games this season, throwing for over 1,600 yards with 11 touchdowns and only 2 interceptions.  He has added 571 yards and 6 touchdowns on the ground, putting up monster numbers in only a handful of games this year. And he’ll make enough plays to keep the Pirates in this game Friday as well.  The Bearcats are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing 37 points or more.  Take East Carolina. 

6* Falcons/Saints NFC South *Total* Annihilator on OVER 60 

The Key: The Falcons and Saints should both top 30 points in this game tonight.  They combined for 80 points in the Saints’ 43-37 win over the Falcons in the Georgia Dome in their first meeting.  And now this total has been set 20 points lower than that result.  They’re back in a dome here in New Orleans.  Take the OVER. 

7* Redskins/Cowboys NFC East *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington +7 

The Key: The Cowboys win two games on the road and all of a sudden they are laying 7 points at home to the Washington Redskins.  They haven’t been favored by 7 points or more in any game this season.  And the Cowboys are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite when playing on less than 6 days’ rest.  Colt McCoy is one of the best backups in the league and has even guided the Redskins to a win in Dallas previously.  Take Washington. 

6* Colorado State/Air Force MWC *CA$H COW* on Colorado State +14.5 

The Key: Both Air Force and Colorado State have fallen short of bowl eligibility this season.  So both teams are playing for pride, and I don’t see an advantage for either team in that department.  Both are coming off crushing losses, but I was way impressed with Colorado State’s 24-29 loss as 29.5-point underdogs to Utah State last week.  Utah State is one of the best teams in the country, and the Rams outgained them 506 to 310 for the game and really should have won.  The Rams average nearly 300 passing yards per game this season, and they should have their way with an Air Force defense that gives up 8.7 yards per attempt through the air this year.  Air Force is 1-8 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.  Take Colorado State. 

7* NBA Situational Game of the Week on Milwaukee Bucks -7 

The Key: The Bucks will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days here and will be fresh for the Blazers.  They also want revenge from a 103-118 loss at Portland in their first meeting this season on November 6th.  The Blazers are in a tough situation here.  They’ll be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days after a 118-114 win in New York last night.  The Bucks are 8-1 SU at home this year and winning by 15.3 PPG on average.  The Bucks are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 home games.  The Bucks are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home meetings with Portland.  Take Milwaukee. 

6* SDSU/Iowa State NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Iowa State -3 

The Key: Iowa State has 3 newcomers this season that have been their 3 best players.  Marial Shayok is averaging 19.2 PPG and 7.2 RPG, Michael Jacobson is averaging 17.4 PPG and 7.2 RPG, and Taken Horton-Tucker is averaging 17.2 PPG and 6.4 RPG.  This trio is flying under the radar.  They have allowed the Cyclones to flourish this season despite all their injuries and suspensions to 3 returning starters and 1 other key player.  They should handle this overmatched San Diego State squad today that lost by 26 to Duke and needed a late rally to beat Xavier.  Iowa State thumped Illinois 84-68 after blowing a late lead against Arizona thus far.  The Cyclones are 8-1 ATS in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons.  Take Iowa State. 

7* Arizona/Gonzaga ESPN *BAILOUT* on Arizona +10 

The Key: The Arizona Wildcats were impressive in their 71-66 win over Iowa State yesterday.  They are now 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS as head coach Sean Miller has done a great job of reloading with talent via transfers this season.  They should be able to hang with Gonzaga, which barely beat Illinois 84-78 yesterday as 15.5-point favorites.  I like the fact that Arizona played before Gonzaga yesterday, so they will  be the more rested team, and they will have had the opportunity to watch the Zags.  They should be able to stay within 10 points of the Bulldogs tonight.  Arizona is 11-1 ATS in road games after covering 2 of their last 3 ATS over the last 3 seasons.  Gonzaga is 0-7 ATS off 4 straight games where it made 47% of its shots or better over the last 2 years.  The Wildcats are 10-0 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. teams who make 52% of their shots or better.  Take Arizona. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Washington Wizards +1 

The Key: The Washington Wizards had yesterday off and should be a hungry team tonight with all of the trade talks surrounding them right now.  The Clippers played last night and needed a big comeback late to beat the Hawks.  They will now be playing for a second consecutive night and won’t have much left in the tank.  This is a great situation spot to back the Wizards, who are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after losing at home by 10 or more points in their previous game.  Take Washington. 

7* Chiefs/Rams MNF Total of the Year on OVER 62.5 

The Key: This game has been moved from Mexico City to Los Angeles, yet the total hasn’t moved one bit. If anything it has gone down.  They were going to play on a terrible, sloppy field, and now they are going to play on a perfect field in perfect weather.  It’s going to be great scoring conditions Monday night for two of the best offenses in the NFL.  The Chiefs are putting up 35.3 PPG while the Rams are putting up 33.5 PPG.  And I expect both teams to reach or exceed their season averages in this contest.  It will be similar to the 45-35 Saints game the Rams played two weeks ago, and the 43-40 game the Chiefs played against the Patriots several weeks back.  Both offenses will shine, and the defenses will do little to stop them.  The OVER is 6-1 in Chiefs last 7 road games.  The OVER is 21-10 in Rams last 31 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  Take the OVER. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on San Antonio Spurs +7.5 

The Key: The Spurs had 2 days off prior to beating the Warriors 104-92 last night.  That should help ease the effects of this back-to-back situation.  They should still be competitive against the Pelicans tonight, especially catching 7.5 points here.  The Pelicans are getting a little too much respect from the books after going 5-1 in their last 6 games.  New Orleans is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 home games after having won 3 of its last 4 games coming in.  The Pelicans are 0-7 ATS vs. good 3-point shooting teams that make 36% of their attempts or better this season.  Take San Antonio. 

7* NFC Game of the Month on New York Giants -1 

The Key: Odell Beckham Jr. and Saquon Barkley both stated that the Giants are going to win their remaining 8 games and salvage their season.  While I don’t believe them, I do think they’ll win this week against the Bucs.  And they won their first game back from the bye over the 49ers to start the streak.  It just shows that they aren’t quitting.  And it’s worth noting they played the toughest schedule in the NFL in the first half of the season.  It gets easier now, and it started with the 49ers and moves on to the Bucs this week.  Tampa Bay is 1-6 in its last 7 games overall.  The Bucs managed just 3 points in a 16-3 loss to an injury-ravaged Redskins team ripe for the picking.  Things are not good in Tampa Bay right now.  The Giants are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings with the Bucs.  Take New York. 

6* Titans/Colts AFC South *CA$H COW* on Indianapolis -1 

The Key: Andrew Luck is 9-0 SU & 8-0-1 ATS in in his last 9 meetings with the Titans.  He makes all the difference for this team.  And the Colts are flying under the radar right now.  They have won their last 3 games by a combined 49 points.  Now they catch the Titans in a tough spot off their win over the Patriots last week.  They are in line for a letdown here.  Take Indianapolis. 

6* Cowboys/Falcons NFC *CA$H COW* on Dallas +3.5 

The Key: The Cowboys got the statement win they needed with a 27-20 upset as 7.5-point road dogs at Philadelphia last week.  It gave them the confidence they needed to make a push for the NFC East title in the second half of the season.  And now they face a reeling Falcons team that just lost to the lowly Brown 16-28 last week.  The Cowboys have a much improved offense with Amari Cooper now, giving them the threat on the outside they have been missing.  The Cowboys should be able to do whatever they want to offensively against a Falcons defense that is yielding 28.2 PPG and 415 YPG.  They are giving up 5.2 yards per carry and 70.4% completions to opposing quarterbacks.  The Cowboys are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games after gaining 400 or more yards in their last game.  The Cowboys are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. teams who allow 375 or more yards per game.  Take Dallas. 

6* UNLV/Hawaii Mountain West *BAILOUT* on Hawaii -6.5 

The Key: The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors are 6-5 this season.  But they need one more win for a bowl because they play 13 games, which requires 7 wins.  And they have a road game on deck next week against San Diego State.  So this will be Hawaii’s Super Bowl.  And they should be well prepared considering they had a bye last week to get ready for it.  UNLV played and won its Super Bowl last week in a 27-24 upset at San Diego State as 24-point dogs.  But San Diego State was looking ahead to its game with Fresno State this week to decide the division title.  And UNLV won’t show up at all this week against the Rainbow Warriors in my estimation.  UNLV is 2-14 ATS in its last 16 games off a road win against a conference opponent.  Take Hawaii. 

6* Sun Belt Game of the Day on UL-Lafayette -17 

The Key: Lafayette sits at 5-5 and one win away from bowl eligibility here as they host South Alabama.  They want to take care of business here on Senior Day and will be hungry to do so because they don’t want to try and have to win next week against red-hot Louisiana-Monroe on the road.  They should handle their business against South Alabama, which is 1-6 in its last 7 games overall with all 6 losses coming by 17 points or more.  The Jaguars are 0-5 on the road this season and losing by 32.6 PPG on average.  Lafayette is 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS at home and scoring 45.2 PPG with 554 YPG.  Their offense is built to cover big spreads like this.  South Alabama is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games after having lost 6 or 7 of its last 8 games coming in.  The Jaguars are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 road games.  The Rajin’ Cajuns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.  Take UL-Lafayette. 

6* Indiana/Michigan Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Indiana +28.5 

The Key: Michigan has its Super Bowl on deck against Ohio State.  I have to think the Wolverines will be looking past the Hoosiers and ahead to that game, which will decide the Big Ten East champion and possibly which team makes the four-team playoff.  Any lack of focus out of the Wolverines this week and it’s going to be tough to cover this 28.5-point spread.  Even if they show up it’s going to be tough because the Hoosiers are no pushovers.  They have yet to lose a game by more than 26 points despite playing a rugged Big Ten East schedule.  Jim Harbaugh is 0-6 ATS off a win by 35 points or more as the coach of the Wolverines.  Take Indiana. 

7* Mountain West Game of the Month on Wyoming -2.5 

The Key: Wyoming has fought its way back into bowl contention at 4-6 on the season.  The Cowboys went on the road and beat Colorado State 34-21 and topped San Jose State 24-9 at home.  Then they had a bye last week to get ready for the stretch run, where now if they beat Air Force and New Mexico they will get to a bowl, which is very doable.  It starts with taking care of Air Force here, and they have the rest advantage because Air Force played New Mexico last week.  The Falcons only run the football as they average just 14 pass attempts per game.  That bodes well for Wyoming, which is giving up just 114 rushing yards per game and 3.5 per carry this season.  The Falcons are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 conference games, and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.  The Cowboys are 14-3 ATS in the last 17 meetings, including 4-0 ATS in the last 4 home meetings.  Take Wyoming. 

6* NCAAF Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Liberty +28 

The Key: Auburn has the Iron Bowl on deck against Alabama next week.  The Tigers just lost to Georgia last week.  This is a sandwich game for them.  They had a similar situation earlier this season when they only beat Southern Miss 24-13 at home as 27.5-point favorites.  Now they’re 28-point favorites against Liberty here, a Liberty team that has been competitive in almost every game this season.  Liberty is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 games as a road dog of 21.5 or more points.  Take Liberty. 

7* Memphis/SMU NCAAF Friday Night Lights on SMU +9 

The Key: SMU can clinch a bowl berth with a win Friday night at home over Memphis.  Memphis has already clinched a bowl at 6-4.  It’s clear to me the hungrier team will be the home underdog Mustangs.  And they are fighting for a bowl and have been for weeks, going 3-1 in their last 4 games with their only loss coming to nationally ranked Cincinnati in overtime.  They upset Tulane as 9.5-point road dogs 27-23 and upset Houston 45-31 as 14-point home dogs.  And now they are catching too many points against Memphis.  The Tigers are just 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS on the road this season, where their defense is giving up 42 PPG and 504 YPG.  SMU has topped 500 total yards in each of its last two games against Houston and UConn while averaging 53.5 PPG and should be able to move the ball at will.  Bets on home dogs of 3.5 to 10 points who scored 42 or more points in 2 straight games coming in are 44-12 ATS over the last 5 years.  Take SMU. 

7* FAU/North Texas C-USA *HEAVY HITTER* on North Texas -3.5 

The Key: North Texas wants revenge from two losses to FAU last season.  They lost 69-31 in the regular season and 41-17 in the conference championship game.  But there’s no question the Mean Green have the better team in 2018, and it will show on the field Thursday night.  The Owls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.  The Mean Green are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 November games.  Take North Texas. 

6* Packers/Seahawks NFC *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 49.5 

The Key: Based on series history this total has been set too high.  The Packers and Seahawks have combined for 48 or fewer points at the end of regulation in each of their last 4 meetings.  They’ve averaging just 40.5 PPG combined at the end of regulation in those 4 meetings.  The UNDER is 4-0 in Seahawks last 4 Thursday games.  Take the UNDER. 

7* Pelicans/Timberwolves ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on New Orleans -1 

The Key: The Pelicans have won 3 in a row and will be playing just their 3rd game in 7 days tonight.  They should have plenty of energy to give to the Timberwolves, who just traded away Jimmy Butler.  So the Timberwolves are in transition right now with Robert Covington and Dario Saric expected to make their team debuts.  And Andrew Wiggins and Jeff Teague are questionable for the Timberwolves tonight.  The Pelicans are expected to get Nikola Mirotic back in the lineup, and Elfrid Payton could return as well as he’s listed as questionable.  Either way, I like the Pelicans in this spot because they are the better team with Anthony Davis and Jrue Holiday leading the way.  The Pelicans are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 road games after scoring 120 points or more.  New Orleans is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team that wins less than 40% of their games.  Take New Orleans. 

6* Seton Hall/Nebraska NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Nebraska -7.5 

The Key: Nebraska is a legit contender to win the Big Ten this season.  The Huskers went 22-11 last season and 13-5 in Big Ten play.  And now they have 4 starters and each of their top 4 starters back from that squad, including James Palmer Jr. and his 17.2 PPG.  Seton Hall is not going to be very good this season with the losses of 3 of their top 4 scorers in Khadeen Carrington, Angel Delgado and Desi Rodriquez, who combined to average 46.7 PPG.  The loss of that trio is a huge one for this Pirates program, which is now in rebuilding mode.  They return just one starters in Myles Powell.  The Huskers are 15-2 ATS in their last 17 home games and 21-5 ATS in their last 26 games overall.  Take Nebraska. 

6* Buffalo/Ohio MAC *CA$H COW* on Ohio -2.5 

The Key: Buffalo knows it can clinch the MAC East title with a win over Bowling Green next week.  They won’t be putting all their eggs into one basket here against Ohio because of it, knowing they have another shot to clinch next week if they should lose this game.  I think Ohio comes in determined after a tough 2-point loss to Miami Ohio last week with the safety being the difference.  Ohio has gone 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their previous 6 games before that one and were playing some great football.  Now they want to prove that they are the best team in the MAC East by beating Buffalo tonight, and keeping their hopes alive of winning the division.  The Bobcats are 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS at home this year and winning by 23.7 PPG on average.  Ohio is 10-1 SU in its last 11 home meetings with Buffalo.  The Bobcats are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 vs. good offensive teams that score 34 or more points per game.  Take Ohio. 

7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Charlotte Hornets -8.5 

The Key: The Cavs are decimated by injuries right now.  They are without 3 starters in Cedi Osman, George Hill and Kevin Love.  They are also without key reserves Kyle Korver and Sam Dekker, and fellow reserve JR Smith is questionable.  I just don’t see how they can even be competitive tonight against the Charlotte Hornets, who are one of the most improved teams in the league.  The Hornets already beat the Cavs 126-94 back on November 3rd in their first meeting this season, and I think we see a similar result tonight given the Cavs’ injury situation.  Cleveland is 4-21 ATS in its last 25 home games with a total set of 210 to 219.5.  The Cavs are 19-42-1 ATS in their last 62 home games overall.  The Hornets are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games.  Take Charlotte. 

6* Wisconsin/Xavier NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Wisconsin +1 

The Key: The Wisconsin Badgers return 95% of their scoring from a year ago and all 5 starters.  They also have all of their key reserves back.  They basically don’t lose anyone.  Xavier loses its top 3 scorers from last season and 2 key reserves.  The Musketeers are in trouble this season.  That was evident last time out when they only beat Evansville by 6, an Evansville team that lost by 39 to Illinois the game prior.  Take Wisconsin.