All Sports Archive |
Date |
Match Up |
Rating |
Score |
Result |
Profit |
Lead Time |
Analysis |
03-01-12 |
Utah State v. San Jose St +4.5 |
|
71-61 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 29 m |
Show
|
6* San Jose State +4.5 The Key: The Spartans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 6.5 points or fewer.
|
03-01-12 |
Fla Gulf Coast +6 v. USC Upstate |
|
71-61 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 58 m |
Show
|
6* Florida Gulf Coast +6 The Key: USC Upstate is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games overall, 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games vs. a team with a losing record and 1-5 ATS in its last 6 neutral site games.
|
03-01-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Orlando Magic +1 |
Top |
105-102 |
Loss |
-108 |
9 h 35 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Magic +1 The Key: Orlando has dominated the Thunder at home. It has won 7 straight at home against the Seattle/Oklahoma City franchise. The last 3 wins came after Seattle moved to OKC and those victories came by an average of 15.3 points. The Magic won last season's home meeting by 23 points. The home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
|
02-29-12 |
Portland Trailblazers v. Denver Nuggets -3 |
|
95-104 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 41 m |
Show
|
6* Nuggets -3 The Key: Denver has won 6 consecutive home games against Portland by margins of 8, 16, 12, 17, 18, and 19 points.
|
02-29-12 |
Houston Rockets v. Utah Jazz -2.5 |
Top |
83-104 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 41 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Jazz -2.5 The Key: We'll fade Houston tonight as plays against road teams after 3 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team playing only their 2nd game in 7 days, are 26-6 ATS the last 5 seasons. Also, the Jazz are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games versus teams with a losing road record.
|
02-29-12 |
Toledo v. Northern Illinois +4 |
|
61-65 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 36 m |
Show
|
6* Northern Illinois +4 The Key: The Toledo Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 6.5 points or fewer and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games versus teams with a home winning percentage of less than 40%.
|
02-29-12 |
Golden State Warriors +7 v. Atlanta Hawks |
|
85-82 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 9 m |
Show
|
6* Warriors +7 The Key: The Warriors are an impressive 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
02-29-12 |
Eastern Michigan v. Western Michigan -9 |
|
54-53 |
Loss |
-108 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
6* Western Michigan -9 The Key: The Broncos are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points.
|
02-29-12 |
Ohio v. Kent State -2 |
|
61-68 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
6* Kent State -2 The Key: The Golden Flashes are 39-16-2 ATS in their last 57 games as a home favorite of 6.5 points or fewer.
|
02-29-12 |
Marquette v. Cincinnati -1 |
|
61-72 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
6* Cincinnati -1 The Key: The Bearcats, who are 14-4 at home this season, are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games versus teams sporting winning percentages better than 60%.
|
02-28-12 |
Texas Christian v. Wyoming -8 |
|
59-71 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 8 m |
Show
|
6* Wyoming -8 The Key: The Wyoming Cowboys are very strong at home (14-3) and are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games when valued as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points.
|
02-28-12 |
Utah Jazz v. Sacramento Kings -3.5 |
|
96-103 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 37 m |
Show
|
6* Kings -3.5 The Key: The Kings are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games overall and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings with the Jazz.
|
02-28-12 |
Florida v. Vanderbilt -3.5 |
|
67-77 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 34 m |
Show
|
6* Vandy -3.5 The Key: I think odds makers have tipped their hand by making unranked Vandy this big of a favorite against the 13th ranked Gators. Vandy has won 4 of its last 5 at home with those 4 wins coming by an average of 12.75 points. The lone loss in this stretch was a dog fight with No. 1 Kentucky.
|
02-28-12 |
Philadelphia 76ers v. Detroit Pistons +4 |
|
97-68 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 2 m |
Show
|
6* Pistons +4 The Key: The Pistons are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games while the 76ers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games.
|
02-28-12 |
Toronto Raptors +10 v. Houston Rockets |
Top |
85-88 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 32 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Raptors +10 The Key: The Raptors aren't getting the respect they deserve from odds makers this evening and we'll look to take advantage. Houston has been a good home team this season but has won by double digits just once in its last 5 home games. The Raptors have been playing some ball. They are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 with losses to the Heat, Lakers and Spurs (3 legit title contenders) coming by an average of 5 points. Also, none of these 3 won by more than 7 points. The Raptors are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
|
02-27-12 |
Miss Valley State v. Jackson State +6 |
Top |
78-69 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 38 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPNU) on Jackson State +6 The Key: One of the toughest things to do in college basketball is win back-to-back road games, especially when there is just a day of rest in between them. This has proved to be a nearly impossible task for Mississippi Valley State, which is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 when playing its 2nd road game in 3 days. It is losing by an average of 5.9 points in this spot. Prior to losing at MVS by 6 points last month, Jackson State had won 4 straight in the series, and it hasn't lost by more than 6 points to the Delta Devils in the last 9 meetings. The Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Take Jackson State.
|
02-26-12 |
Oregon v. Oregon State -3.5 |
|
74-73 |
Loss |
-103 |
11 h 19 m |
Show
|
6* Oregon State -3.5 The Key: Underdogs (OREGON) that have successfully covered the spread in 6 or more consecutive games that are playing with 5 or 6 days' rest are only 10-31 ATS since 1997. These dogs have fallen by an average of 8.1 points.
|
02-26-12 |
Iowa v. Illinois -5.5 |
|
54-65 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 49 m |
Show
|
6* Illinois -5.5 The Key: Look for Illinois to bring its 6-game skid to an end versus an Iowa squad that has lost its last 5 Big Ten road contests by nearly 16 points on average.
|
02-26-12 |
California v. Colorado +3 |
|
57-70 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 19 m |
Show
|
6* Colorado +3 The Key: The Buffaloes are 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against Cal. They are on a 3-0 run at home in the series with those wins coming by 17, 18 and 18 points.
|
02-26-12 |
St Peter's +21 v. Iona |
Top |
61-98 |
Loss |
-113 |
9 h 10 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAB Underdog Game of the Week on St. Peter's +21 The Key: Iona is 0-7 ATS in in its last 7 home games when matched up against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=20%) after 15 or more games. It has only won by an average score of 69.7 to 61.3 in this situation. Iona is also 0-6 ATS in home games in February over the last 2 seasons and 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games as a home favorite. Also, the Gaels are 5-18 ATS in their last 23 as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points while St. Peter's is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 as a road underdog of 18.5 to 24 points.
|
02-25-12 |
Oral Roberts v. Southern Utah +7.5 |
|
73-71 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 44 m |
Show
|
6* Southern Utah +7.5 The Key: As a 4.5-point dog in last season's home meeting, Southern Utah only lost to ORU by 2 points. As an 18-point dog at ORU in this season's first meeting, the Thunderbirds only lost by 6 points. Southern Utah clearly gets up for the Golden Eagles and I'm expecting this one to end up closer than the odds makers think as well. The Golden Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 in Summit League play.
|
02-25-12 |
Rice v. Southern Mississippi -9.5 |
Top |
56-58 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 13 m |
Show
|
7* C-USA Game of the Year on Southern Miss -9.5 The Key: Off back-to-back upset losses at Houston and UTEP, Southern Miss will show Rice no mercy this evening. The Golden Eagles have won by 18 and 16 points in their last 2 home games in this series. Plus, plays on home teams as a favorite or pickem (SOUTHERN MISS) off 2 or more consecutive upset losses on the road, in February games, are 36-12 ATS since 1997. Teams in this situation have won by an average of 12.6 points. It is also worth mentioning that this system is 7-1 ATS the last 3 seasons.
|
02-25-12 |
Hawaii +4.5 v. Louisiana Tech |
|
67-84 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 14 m |
Show
|
6* Hawaii +4.5 The Key: The Warriors have been an exceptional underdog of late, covering the number in 8 of their last 11 in the role. Also, the Warriors are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings at Louisiana Tech. The road team is 15-5 ATS in the last 20 meetings and the underdog is 18-3 ATS in the last 21 meetings.
|
02-25-12 |
Miami Ohio v. Buffalo -7.5 |
|
74-84 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 14 m |
Show
|
6* Buffalo -7.5 The Key: I'll grab the home side here as it holds a 5-0-2 ATS advantage in the last 7 in this series. The Bulls have won 3 straight at home over Miami Ohio with the last 2 coming by 18 and 10 points respectively.
|
02-25-12 |
Wisc-Green Bay v. Illinois-Chicago +3 |
|
71-63 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 15 m |
Show
|
6* Illinois-Chicago +3 The Key: Illinois-Chicago has won outright at home as an underdog against Wisconsin-Green Bay each of the last 2 seasons and I expect this trend to continue. The home side as covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 in this series.
|
02-24-12 |
Idaho v. Utah State -5.5 |
Top |
50-67 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 45 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Utah State -5.5 The Key: This is a last home game play on Utah State, which will be out for blood against an Idaho squad that won the first meeting by 3 points last month. The Aggies have won 8 in a row at home against the Vandals and these wins have come by an average of 16.6 points. It is also worth mentioning that all of these wins came by at least 9 points. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Lay the number.
|
02-23-12 |
New York Knicks +9 v. Miami Heat |
Top |
88-102 |
Loss |
-104 |
8 h 32 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* (TNT) on Knicks +9 The Key: The Knicks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning record, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings with the Heat. NY is an incredible 30-11 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons, only losing these games by an average of 1.0 point.
|
02-23-12 |
Alabama v. Arkansas -2 |
Top |
79-68 |
Loss |
-108 |
8 h 37 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN2) on Arkansas -2 The Key: Arkansas, who is 17-2 at home this season, is 3-0-1 ATS in its last 4 games as a home favorite of 6.5 points or less. The Crimson Tide are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 6.5 points or fewer. The home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
|
02-23-12 |
Duke -1.5 v. Florida State |
|
74-66 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 33 m |
Show
|
6* National TV CA$H COW (ESPN) on Duke -1.5 The Key: Expect Duke to avenge an earlier loss to FSU tonight. The Blue Devils are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
|
02-22-12 |
Michigan State v. Minnesota +6 |
|
66-61 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 3 m |
Show
|
6* Minnesota +6 The Key: The Michigan State Spartans are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite of 6.5 points or fewer.
|
02-22-12 |
Milwaukee Bucks +11.5 v. Chicago Bulls |
Top |
91-110 |
Loss |
-109 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month on Bucks +11.5 The Key: The Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 11.0 or greater and the road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Also, the Bulls are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 11.0 or greater.
|
02-22-12 |
Atlanta Hawks +7 v. New York Knicks |
|
82-99 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 8 m |
Show
|
6* Hawks +7 The Key: The road team is 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings and the underdog is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
|
02-22-12 |
Indiana Pacers v. Charlotte Bobcats +6 |
|
102-88 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 38 m |
Show
|
6* Bobcats +6 The Key: The Pacers are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games overall and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
02-22-12 |
Ohio v. Buffalo -2.5 |
|
88-77 |
Loss |
-107 |
8 h 34 m |
Show
|
6* Buffalo -2.5 The Key: The Ohio Bobcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.
|
02-22-12 |
St Bonaventure v. Fordham +7 |
|
89-63 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 33 m |
Show
|
6* Fordham +7 The Key: The Bonnies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite of 7.0-12.5 points.
|
02-22-12 |
Delaware v. Towson +9.5 |
|
76-69 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 26 m |
Show
|
6* Towson +9.5 The Key: The Delaware Blue Hens are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games as a road favorite and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 meetings at Towson.
|
02-21-12 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Portland Trail Blazers -3.5 |
Top |
97-137 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 8 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Trail Blazers -3.5 The Key: Last night's loss in LA and last month's loss in San Antonio will have the Trail Blazers jacked up tonight. They have defeated the Spurs 6 straight times at home and are 5-1 ATS in those games. Lay the number.
|
02-21-12 |
New Mexico v. Colorado St +6 |
|
63-71 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 2 m |
Show
|
6* Colorado State +6 The Key: The Rams are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games and have won their last 11 home games straight up.
|
02-21-12 |
Kentucky v. Mississippi State +9 |
|
73-64 |
Push |
0 |
10 h 2 m |
Show
|
6* Mississippi State +9 The Key: The Wildcats are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600 and 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 games following an ATS loss. The Bulldogs are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog.
|
02-21-12 |
North Carolina v. NC State +6.5 |
|
86-74 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 2 m |
Show
|
6* NC State +6.5 The Key: The Tar Heels are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite. The Wolfpack, meanwhile, are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
|
02-21-12 |
Miami (Fla) v. Maryland Terrapins +2.5 |
|
70-75 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 1 m |
Show
|
6* Maryland +2.5 The Key: The Terrapins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss and 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. The underdog is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
|
02-21-12 |
Xavier v. Massachusetts -113 |
|
73-80 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 2 m |
Show
|
6* UMass -113 The Key: The Minutemen are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite of 6.5 points or less. The Musketeers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
|
02-20-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Golden State Warriors +3 |
|
97-104 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 51 m |
Show
|
6* Warriors +3 The Key: The Warriors have been extremely competitive at home where they have only lost by more than 3 points once in their last 10 games. The home team is 18-8-1 ATS in the last 27 meetings, and the Clippers are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings at Golden State.
|
02-20-12 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Utah Jazz +3.5 |
|
106-102 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 22 m |
Show
|
6* Jazz +3.5 The Key: The Spurs are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 4.5 or fewer points while the Jazz are10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or fewer points.
|
02-20-12 |
Washington Wizards +6 v. Phoenix Suns |
|
88-104 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 21 m |
Show
|
6* Wizards +6 The Key: The Suns are coming off a big win over the Lakers but can't be trusted here. They are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
02-20-12 |
Orlando Magic v. Milwaukee Bucks +2.5 |
|
93-90 |
Loss |
-108 |
9 h 22 m |
Show
|
6* Bucks +2.5 The Key: After losing the season's first two meetings with Orlando, expect the third time to be a charm. The home team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings, and the Magic are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.
|
02-20-12 |
New Orleans Hornets +11.5 v. Oklahoma City Thunder |
Top |
93-101 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 22 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Hornets +11.5 The Key: Playing on underdogs of 10.0 points or more that are out to avenge a road loss to a foe, provided the "play on" team is only taking the court for the 2nd time in 5 days, has produced a 120-72 (62.5%) ATS record since 1996. Teams in this situation have been underdogs of 12.2 points on average but have lost by only 9.8 points on average. This system has produced a 16-6 (73%) ATS mark the last 3 seasons. Also, New Orleans is on a 13-4 ATS run when catching 11.0 points or more.
|
02-20-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Houston Rockets -3 |
|
93-97 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 22 m |
Show
|
6* Rockets -3 The Key: The Rockets have won 10 straight at home versus Memphis, and these wins have come by 12.2 points on average. The Grizzlies are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog.
|
02-20-12 |
New Jersey Nets +9.5 v. New York Knicks |
|
100-92 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 52 m |
Show
|
6* Nets +9.5 The Key: Carmelo Anthony's return will likely temporarily interrupt the chemistry the Knicks have developed without him. Plus, the Nets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
|
02-19-12 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Phoenix Suns +3 |
Top |
90-102 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 10 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Suns +3 The Key: The Lakers are just 4-11 ATS on the road this season, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite, 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. teams with sub .500 home marks and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Sunday games.
|
02-19-12 |
Philadelphia 76ers +1 v. Minnesota Timberwolves |
|
91-92 |
Push |
0 |
11 h 10 m |
Show
|
6* 76ers +1 The Key: The Timberwolves are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games and 18-40 ATS in their last 58 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
|
02-19-12 |
South Florida v. Pittsburgh -6.5 |
|
56-47 |
Loss |
-111 |
11 h 5 m |
Show
|
6* Pittsburgh -6.5 The Key: The South Florida Bulls are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games in the underdog role.
|
02-19-12 |
Boston Celtics -5.5 v. Detroit Pistons |
|
81-96 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 11 m |
Show
|
6* Celtics -5.5 The Key: Extra rest should do this veteran Boston team some good. The Celtics are 16-6-1 ATS in their last 23 games when playing on 2 days' rest. Also, the Celtics are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 meetings at Detroit.
|
02-19-12 |
Indiana v. Iowa +4 |
|
66-78 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 5 m |
Show
|
6* Iowa +4 The Key: The Hawkeyes are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 6.5 points or fewer. The Hoosiers are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games as a favorite of 6.5 points or less and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings at Iowa.
|
02-19-12 |
Syracuse v. Rutgers +10.5 |
|
74-64 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 4 m |
Show
|
6* Rutgers +10.5 The Key: The Scarlet Knights are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 7.0-12.5 points.
|
02-18-12 |
Ohio State v. Michigan +5.5 |
|
51-56 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 17 m |
Show
|
6* Big Ten Play of the Day (ESPN) on Michigan +5.5 The Key: The Wolverines are 14-0 at home this season, winning those games by 12.5 points. They are also 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings with Ohio State.
|
02-18-12 |
Dayton v. Xavier -7.5 |
|
83-86 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 18 m |
Show
|
6* Atlantic 10 Play of the Day on Xavier -7.5 The Key: Since 1998 Xavier has gone 14-0 at home against Dayton, winning those games by an average of 11.2 points.
|
02-18-12 |
Georgetown v. Providence +7.5 |
|
63-53 |
Loss |
-108 |
9 h 17 m |
Show
|
6* Big East Play of the Day on Providence +7.5 The Key: The Hoyas have been a poor investment in Big East play at 5-14 ATS in their last 19 against the conference. They've also been a poor investment in this series at 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Providence played the Georgetown to a 9-point game on the road Dec. 31, and I like it to keep this one even closer.
|
02-18-12 |
Texas Christian v. Boise State -5.5 |
Top |
64-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 21 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAB Blowout Game of the Week on Boise State -5.5 The Key: The Broncos have put an 8-game losing streak behind them with back-to-back wins. Wednesday's home win over Colorado State is particularly important because Boise State is a perfect 6-0 ATS in home games off a home win this season. It's winning by an average score of 89.3 to 62.3 in this situation. TCU only nipped Boise State by 2 in the season's first meeting and it finds itself in a letdown spot following a big overtime win over UNLV. TCU has lost 6 in a row on the road with all of those losses coming by at least 6 points and with them coming by an average of 14.3 points.
|
02-18-12 |
Texas v. Oklahoma State +3 |
|
78-90 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 21 m |
Show
|
6* Big 12 Play of the Day on Oklahoma State +3 The Key: The Longhorns are just 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite. The Cowboys are 36-16-3 ATS in their last 55 home games. Texas is just 2-5 in its last 7 road games with one of those wins coming by just 2 points.
|
02-17-12 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Philadelphia 76ers -3 |
Top |
82-75 |
Loss |
-103 |
9 h 46 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on 76ers -3 The Key: The Mavs are expected to be without Rodrique Beaubois, Delonte West and Jason Terry tonight, which means they'll be lacking quality depth against one of the deepest teams in the league. Dallas likely keeps this one close through 3 quarters but runs out of gas down the stretch, opening the door for the 76ers to cover this number. The 76ers are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite and 13-6 ATS in their last 19 home games. Lay the points.
|
02-17-12 |
Miami Heat v. Cleveland Cavaliers +10 |
|
111-87 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 16 m |
Show
|
6* Cavs +10 The Key: The Cavs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
|
02-17-12 |
Charlotte Bobcats +7 v. Toronto Raptors |
|
98-91 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 46 m |
Show
|
6* Bobcats +7 The Key: The Raptors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings and 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings at Toronto.
|
02-16-12 |
Brigham Young v. San Francisco +5 |
|
85-84 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 57 m |
Show
|
6* San Francisco +5 The Key: The Dons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. Also, the home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
|
02-16-12 |
Arizona v. Washington State +3 |
|
76-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 54 m |
Show
|
6* Washington State +3 The Key: The Cougars are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog of 6.5 points or less. The Cougars have won 3 of their last 5 at home in this series and one of the losses came by just 2 points.
|
02-16-12 |
Boston Celtics v. Chicago Bulls -8 |
Top |
80-89 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 59 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Bulls -8 The Key: Fading underdogs (BOSTON) off a double digit loss as a favorite of 6 points or more, a team winning 51-60% of its games playing a winning team, has produced a 29-8 ATS mark the last 16 years, including a perfect 6-0 ATS record the last 3 seasons. The Celtics have lost 3 of 4 and 2 of those losses came to Toronto and Detroit. With Sunday's loss at Boston fresh in their minds, expect the Bulls to roll at home, where they are 10-1 with a 13.0-point average margin of victory.
|
02-15-12 |
Cal Poly SLO v. Cal St-Northridge +7 |
|
81-94 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 7 m |
Show
|
6* CS-Northridge +7 The Key: Northridge is 4-0 in its last 4 at home against Cal Poly. Plus, the home team has covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 meetings.
|
02-15-12 |
Weber State v. Montana State +6.5 |
|
79-70 |
Loss |
-108 |
10 h 55 m |
Show
|
6* Montana State +6.5 The Key: Weber State has failed to win at Montana State by more than 6 points in 7 of its last 8 visits, and I expect this trend to continue.
|
02-15-12 |
Purdue v. Illinois -3.5 |
|
67-62 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 37 m |
Show
|
6* Illinois -3.5 The Key: Fading Purdue off an ATS win has been a golden strategy. The Boilermakers are just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games following a cover. We'll lay the points.
|
02-15-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Houston Rockets +4 |
Top |
95-96 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 12 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Underdog Game of the Year on Rockets +4 The Key: I love the Rockets catching 4 points at home, where they are 10-3 on the season, in this double revenge spot. OKC has won the first 2 meetings but only won by 3 points at Houston, where it has won by more than 4 points just 1 time in the last 14 meetings. We'll take the points for insurance, but I like Houston to win this one straight up.
|
02-15-12 |
Morehead St. v. Austin Peay St -4.5 |
Top |
52-48 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 50 m |
Show
|
7* Ohio Valley Conference Game of the Year on Austin Peay State -4.5 The Key: The Morehead State Eagles aren't the same team on the road, where they are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog. They 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win. Also, the Governors are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Motivated by a 4-point loss at Morehead State earlier this season, expecting Austin Peay to have its revenge tonight.
|
02-14-12 |
Youngstown State v. Wisconsin-Green Bay -5 |
|
65-71 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 4 m |
Show
|
6* Wisconsin-Green Bay -5 The Key: The Phoenix have won 9 straight at home against the Youngstown State Penguins, and these 9 wins have coming by 14.0 points on average.
|
02-14-12 |
Creighton -6.5 v. Southern Illinois |
|
88-69 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 3 m |
Show
|
6* Creighton -6.5 The Key: Extremely hungry to end a 3-game slide, expect Creighton to run up the score on a S. Illinois squad it defeated by 19 points last month. The Bluejays are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings and 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings at Southern Illinois. Creighton has won 8 in a row against the Salukis by an average of 11.6 points.
|
02-14-12 |
Miami Heat v. Indiana Pacers +3 |
Top |
105-90 |
Loss |
-115 |
7 h 10 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Pacers +3 The Key: Plays against road favorites (MIAMI) that have covered the spread in 4 of their last 5, a top-level team (>=75%) playing a team with a winning record, are 50-17 ATS since 1996. The "play against" side has been favored by an average of 3.7 points in this system but has lost by 1.5 points on average. Indiana will be the fresher team tonight as it has had 2 days' rest while the Heat will be playing their third game in 3 days. The Pacers also hold a motivational edge as they look to avenge a bad loss to the Heat last month. Great spot for Indiana. Take the points.
|
02-14-12 |
Delaware v. Hofstra -4 |
|
71-57 |
Loss |
-103 |
7 h 4 m |
Show
|
6* Hofstra -4 The Key: Hofstra has won 11 in a row at home against Delaware, and these 11 wins have come by 10.7 points on average.
|
02-14-12 |
Florida -3 v. Alabama |
|
61-52 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 50 m |
Show
|
6* Florida -3 The Key: Off back-to-back losses to Kentucky and Tennessee, expect Florida to bounce back strong against an Alabama team that is missing JaMychal Green and Tony Mitchell. The Gators have won 3 straight over the Tide by an average of 12.3 points.
|
02-13-12 |
Kansas v. Kansas State +4.5 |
|
59-53 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 11 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB ESPN Big Monday CA$H COW on Kansas State +4.5 The Key: The Kansas State Wildcats are on a 5-0-1 ATS run at home in the underdog role. Plus, the home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 matchups between these two rivals.
|
02-13-12 |
Utah Jazz v. New Orleans Hornets +4 |
Top |
80-86 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 3 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Hornets +4 The Key: The Jazz, who are just 3-7 on the road this season, are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Plus, the Hornets have a huge scheduling advantage tonight. They have had 2 full days of rest and prep time while the Jazz just played yesterday. The Hornets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on 2 days' rest. Also, the underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Take the points.
|
02-13-12 |
Minnesota Timberwolves +5 v. Orlando Magic |
|
89-102 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 3 m |
Show
|
6* Timberwolves +5 The Key: The Magic are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Timberwolves are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
02-12-12 |
Washington Wizards +6 v. Detroit Pistons |
|
98-77 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 11 m |
Show
|
6* Wizards +6 The Key: Detroit hasn't proven it is worthy to be laying this many points. It is just 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games as a favorite.
|
02-12-12 |
Boston College v. Virginia Tech -12.5 |
|
65-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 7 m |
Show
|
6* Virginia Tech -12.5 The Key: The Boston College Eagles are 0-6 in true road games this season and have been outscored in these contests by an average of 14.5 points.
|
02-12-12 |
Chicago Bulls v. Boston Celtics +3 |
Top |
91-95 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 36 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Celtics +3 The Key: The Boston Celtics are a strong 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 home games when valued as an underdog of 4.5 points or less. The Chicago Bulls, on the other hand, are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games when valued as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. The value lies with the home dog here.
|
02-12-12 |
Wisc-Milwaukee v. Wright State +2.5 |
|
46-70 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 7 m |
Show
|
6* Wright State +2.5 The Key: The Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games when valued as a favorite. The Wright State Raiders are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 home games when in the underdog role.
|
02-11-12 |
Kentucky v. Vanderbilt +5 |
Top |
69-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 25 m |
Show
|
7* SEC Game of the Year (ESPN) on Vanderbilt +5 The Key: Riding high off a 20-point blowout win against Florida, the top-ranked Wildcats are primed for a letdown tonight. Vandy is experienced and will be lacking no confidence against a team it defeated by 4 at home and lost to by 2 on the road last season. In fact, each of the last 3 meetings in this series have been decided by 4 points or less.
Vandy has won 8 of its last 9 at home with that lone defeat coming by just 1 point to a very good Mississippi State side. The Commodores are also 11-3 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average of 1.0 point. Look for Vandy to pull off the shocker.
|
02-11-12 |
Houston v. Tulsa -13 |
|
48-72 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 26 m |
Show
|
6* Tulsa -13 The Key: I won't hesitate to fade the Houston Cougars on the road. They are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog. Off a loss at UTEP and having lost by 1-point at Houston back on Jan. 4, the Golden Hurricane won't spare the Cougars.
|
02-11-12 |
Valparaiso v. Youngstown State |
|
53-71 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 29 m |
Show
|
6* Youngstown State pk The Key: This is a letdown spot for Valpo after such a big upset win over Cleveland State. Making this road contest even more difficult will be the absence of Kevin Van Wijk, who ranks 2nd on the team with 14.5 points and 5.2 boards per game. Without his presence in the lineup, I like the Penguins to come out on top.
|
02-11-12 |
San Diego St v. UNLV -9.5 |
|
63-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 30 m |
Show
|
6* UNLV -9.5 The Key: The UNLV Runnin' Rebels are 13-0 at home this season and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 lined home games. Expect them to avenge an earlier 2-point loss to San Diego State in impressive fashion this afternoon.
|
02-11-12 |
Duquesne v. St Bonaventure -5.5 |
|
48-69 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 30 m |
Show
|
6* St. Bonaventure -5.5 The Key: The St. Bonaventure Bonnies have won their last 7 at home with each of those wins coming by at least 8 points.
|
02-11-12 |
Tennessee v. Florida -12.5 |
|
75-70 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 28 m |
Show
|
6* Florida -12.5 The Key: The Gators are 15-0 at home while the Volunteers are 0-7 in true road games. Motivated by an embarrassing loss to Kentucky, and out to avenge a loss to Tennessee in the first meeting, expect Florida to have its revenge. The Gators are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5 points.
|
02-10-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Utah Jazz +1.5 |
|
101-87 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 21 m |
Show
|
6* Jazz +1.5 The Key: The Jazz will be the fresher team tonight and that will serve them well. This will be Oklahoma City's 2nd game in as many days, 4th game in 5 days and 7th game in 10 days. The Jazz have had 2 days to rest and prepare for this contest. The Jazz are 13-6-2 ATS in their last 21 games when playing on 2 days' rest and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
|
02-10-12 |
Indiana Pacers +1.5 v. Memphis Grizzlies |
|
92-98 |
Loss |
-103 |
9 h 43 m |
Show
|
6* Pacers +1.5 The Key: The fact Indiana is coming off a loss is of no concern. The Pacers have 8 losses on the season and have followed up each of the first 7 defeats with wins. Going back to last season, the Pacers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a loss.
|
02-10-12 |
Dallas Mavericks -129 v. Minnesota Timberwolves |
|
104-97 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 42 m |
Show
|
6* Mavericks -129 The Key: A 15-point loss to Minnesota last month puts the reigning NBA champs in a great spot. Dallas is 8-0 ATS in road games when out to avenge a loss of 10 points or more to an opponent over the last 2 seasons. It's winning by an average of 8.5 points in this situation.
|
02-10-12 |
New Jersey Nets +2.5 v. Detroit Pistons |
Top |
92-109 |
Loss |
-102 |
8 h 11 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Nets +2.5 The Key: The Pistons are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 games as a home favorite of 4.5 points or less, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. Also, often undervalued on the Friday night stage, the Nets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Friday games. Bet the Nets.
|
02-09-12 |
San Diego v. Pepperdine -2 |
|
70-57 |
Loss |
-106 |
9 h 18 m |
Show
|
6* Pepperdine -2 The Key: This series has been dominated by the home team, which is 16-5 ATS in the last 21 meetings. It is also important to note that the favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Waves are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 6.5 points or less. Fade San Diego.
|
02-09-12 |
Houston Rockets v. Phoenix Suns -3.5 |
|
96-89 |
Loss |
-107 |
8 h 20 m |
Show
|
6* Suns -3.5 The Key: The Suns are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games against the Rockets. The have won the last 4 at home in this matchup by 6.5 points on average.
|
02-09-12 |
Los Angeles Lakers +3.5 v. Boston Celtics |
Top |
88-87 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 21 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Lakers +3.5 The Key: I'm not sold on Boston, whose best wins are Orlando and Indiana. The Lakers have wins over Denver (when the Nuggets were at full strength), the reigning NBA champion Mavs, and the Clippers. Plus, they played the Bulls to a 1-point game (Boston lost to the Bulls by 9 at home). Off back-to-back defeats, the Lakers will clearly be up for this game. They've won 3 in a row and five of their last six in Boston during the regular season. Take LA.
|
02-09-12 |
Denver v. Florida Atlantic -123 |
|
71-72 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 18 m |
Show
|
6* Florida Atlantic -123 The Key: The Denver Pioneers are 0-8 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pickem the last 3 seasons. Take the Owls.
|
02-09-12 |
Elon v. Chattanooga -5 |
|
75-83 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 18 m |
Show
|
6* Chattanooga -5 The Key: The Elon Phoenix are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog of 6.5 points or less. The Mocs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 6.5 or fewer points. Take Chattanooga.
|
02-08-12 |
Dallas Mavericks +1.5 v. Denver Nuggets |
|
105-95 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 49 m |
Show
|
6* Mavericks +1.5 The Key: The underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Mavericks are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog and 59-29-1 ATS in their last 89 games as a road underdog of 4.5 points or less.
|
02-08-12 |
Minnesota Timberwolves v. Memphis Grizzlies -8 |
|
80-85 |
Loss |
-102 |
8 h 36 m |
Show
|
6* Grizzlies -8 The Key: The Timberwolves are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings and 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Memphis. The Grizzlies are 35-17-1 ATS in their last 53 home games, 24-9 ATS in their last 33 games as a favorite and 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games as a home favorite.
|