. Detroit ended a 6 game losing streak last time out by defeating Orlando but Im betting they fall back into their old habits of losing consistently here tonight vs a Chicago Bulls side off a upset win vs the Milwaukee Bucks last time out. 

CHICAGO is 10-1 ATS  off an upset win as a home underdog over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff coming in at just under 8 . 

DETROIT   is 1-12 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking at -18.2. 

Pistons are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.

Pistons are 1-10 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 

After a streak that saw Memphis win 7 straight and 9 of 10 games, the Grizzlies have now low 4 of their L/5 and 2 straight with 3 of those defeats coming as favorites. Meanwhile, Toronto no longer seems like a contender and have shown very few flashes of brilliance this season, and Im betting nothing changes tonight vs a hungry Memphis side looking to bounce back.  

Nurse is 0-9 ATS  in home games after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better as the coach of TORONTO.

TORONTO is 4-15 ATS in home games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons.

MEMPHIS is 37-23 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 10-1 ATS   after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 11-2 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road favorites (MEMPHIS) - off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 46-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate.

Play on Memphis to cover 

My projected total for this tilt featuring Atlanta and Brooklyn comes in at 229 which gives a two full possession value to the under on this offering. Brooklyn ranks 8th in ppg allowed and. operate at the 21st ranked pace in the NBA. Atlanta ranks in 14th in defensive efficiency. 

Under is 11-4 in Nets last 15 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Under is 12-4 in Hawks last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

ATLANTA is 33-19 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 220.9 ppg. 

BROOKLYN is 34-21 UNDER  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 225 ppg. BROOKLYN is 25-10 UNDER  after 2 straight games being called for 5+ more fouls than opponent with a combined average of 211.4 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN/ATLANTA) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 29-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. 

Play on the UNDER 

Orlando has won 8 of their L/10 games, and are ready for a bounce back effort after a suffering a loss to the Lakers last time out. Meanwhile, the Pistons are off a grueling OT loss vs the Clippers last time out, and will now be in a letdown state vs a Orlando side that is looking alot more cohesive over the last month. The loss by Motown was their 6th straight and 9th loss in 10 games.

 Magic are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. Magic are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.

Casey is 14-31 ATS   in home games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games in all games .

NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, in December games are 33-5 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

 NBA Road favorites (ORLANDO) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 23-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Road teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite against opponent off a home loss are 21-7 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. 

Play on Orlando Magic to cover 

NYK after a nice run that saw them garner 8 straight wins  has now lost three straight games . Meanwhile, despite of an inconsistent performance record this season, the Mavs have begun to wake up and have strung together 3 straight victories and deserve respect here on this short line as hosts. In their only meeting this season, the Mavericks showed they matchup well for the Knicks by beating them 121-100 as 1.5 road chalk. 

DALLAS is 17-7 ATS  as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking at +9.5 ppg. 

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - off a loss against a division rival, on Tuesday nights are 1-28 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.8 which easily qualifies in this ATS line. 

Play on Dallas to cover 

After playing a back and forth marathon vs the Detroit Pistons last night Im betting the Clippers will not have enough gas in the tank to be able to stay within this number. Meanwhile, Toronto is off two strong uipset wins on the road and must be respected to hold home court advantage vs an exhausted side that will play with Kawhi Leonard this evening. 

TORONTO is 40-24 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, on Tuesday nights are 4-54 L/5 seasons with a combined average of -13.4 ppg which qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA Favorites (TORONTO) - in non-conference games, off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog are 30-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover 

Indiana looked like they took the night off  in a lazy effort yesterday vs the New Orleans Pelicans  losing by a 113-93 count so I cant see them being that tired as  to not be able to compete at home tonight vs a Hawks side that has lost 10 of 16 road games this season SU. Previous to last night the Pacers took out the Boston Celtics and Miami Heat and deserve respect in their ability  to bounce back here. 

The Pacers are 5-1 in the second game of back-to-backs.Pacers are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games playing on no rest. .

Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, on Tuesday nights are 4-54 L/5 seasons with a combined average of -13.4 ppg which qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA Road underdogs (ATLANTA) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, on Tuesday nights are 25-57 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Indiana to cover 

Philadelphia is streaking and have won 8 straight games and will not over look the Wizards as they know the home side pulled off a road wins as underdogs at Sacramento last time out winning by as a DD dog  , at the tail end of a grueling 6 game  west coast road trip. Now in an emotional letdown spot and exhausted after and extensive road excursion Im betting on the the Wizards to take time to get used to home cooking again  and start slowly here which is a proverbial death sentence against the 76ers team currently playing at high level. PHILADELPHIA is 12-1 ATS  when playing 6 or less games in 14 days this season.

PHILADELPHIA is 13-4 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season and are 12-4 ATS  versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more  this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.3 ppg. 

NBA Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog are 1-31 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.3 which qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA  Home underdogs (WASHINGTON) - off a double digit win as a road underdog of 6 more, a sub standard team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 8-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Philadelphia to cover

The New Orleans Pelicans have been missing some of their best players, and  have stepped up and played quality ball.  This Pelicans team has taken part in a lot of back and forth offensive hoops , but it must be noted that they are ranked 6h in defensive efficiency in the league. Meanwhile, Indiana has also played well of late and its their defense that has been the catalyst . Because of added focus to paying attention to defense in transition, they have allowed 112, 108 points in two marquee wins vs Boston and Miami respectively and Im betting that will stick their winning game plan tonight  vs another top tier side and because of this Im betting the expected offensive output will not be eclipsed. 

Pacers are 8-3 UNDER L/11 overall. 

Under is 5-1 in Pacers last 6 road games.Under is 17-7-1 in Pacers last 25 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Under is 18-7-1 in Pelicans last 26 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

INDIANA is 13-4 UNDER  in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 213.6 ppg.

NEW ORLEANS is 20-9 UNDER  as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 220.9 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (INDIANA) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 100-49 UNDER  L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 36-12 UNDER L/5 seasons with a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 86-35 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Both these sides are off back to back losses and both will be hungry to rebound. Im betting on a  very competitive tilt with taking points a strong option.

Jimmy Butler, who has played sporadically since early November due to injury, exited Friday's Heat defeat with a sprained ankle and is unlikely to play today and if he does he will be less than 100% putting the Heat in a negative situation. This season, Butler's absence has resulted in a 5-7 record for the Heat, which includes a 105-101 loss to Minnesota on Nov. 21. 

\MIAMI is 9-21 ATS ( versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing 15 or more  turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.MIAMI is 3-12 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.MIAMI is 3-12 ATS as a home favorite this season.Spoelstra is 95-125 ATS  in home games in the first half of the season as the coach of MIAMI.

NBA team vs the money line (MINNESOTA) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 109-36 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. 

Play on Minnesota Wolves to cover 

The Lakers on the road- run and gun with wreck-less abandon and are usually punished defensively because their not focusing on their defensive responsibilities  in transition.  Overall they rank 2nd in pace in the league. They are scoring an average of 115.2 ppg game this season but rank 26th in in ppg allowed  and on the road allow a whopping 121.7 ppg on the campaign.  Dallas is the kind of team that  can- really roll up points in a hurry against this type of side behind super star Doncic. Im betting on a much quicker pace and a  more explosive offensive game than many might expect here on Christmas day. . 

LA LAKERS  in  8  road games where the total is 220 to 229.5 this season with a combined average of 232 points per game scored.LA LAKERS are 36-22 OVER as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230 ppg scored. LA LAKERS are 12-3 OVER  vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average of 231.3 ppg scored.

Over is 5-0 in Lakers last 5 road games.Over is 4-1 in Lakers last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 16-5 in Lakers last 21 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 9-3 in Lakers last 12 overall.Over is 21-7 in Lakers last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Over is 5-2 in Mavericks last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Play over 

Philadelphia is on a 7 game win streak that Im betting will be in jeopardy here on Christmas day vs a Knicks side that had a 8 game win streak end recently and are now desperate to rebound after two consecutive losses. Most of the 76ers success has come at home this season, but on the road they are just 5-7 and recently lost 3 straight road games before their current streak , which was all achieved at home. 

Knicks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

NEW YORK is 27-13 ATS  at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off 3 or more consecutive home wins are 61-32 L/26 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road favorites (PHILADELPHIA) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, on Sunday games are 8-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW YORK) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 47-18 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate.

Play on the NYK to cover

 The Thunder enter  Friday's game on a three-game winning streak, having garnered a win vs Portland 101-98  Wednesday to sweep back-to-back games against the Trail Blazers. It was their D, that showed up and played big and now against the run and gun Pelicans Im betting on them proverbially battening down the hatches again behind an improving D, that is now ranked 14th in the league in defensive efficiency. When these teams played on Nov 28 New Orleans took a 105-100 win and another physical battle Im betting is on tonights agenda. 

Under is 7-1 in Thunder last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

NEW ORLEANS is 17-5 UNDER   as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.5 ppg scored.

NEW ORLEANS is 13-4 UNDER  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.6 ppg scored. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a win against a division rival are 28-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 29-7 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER 

The Pacers despite of not being productive in the win column have been mostly competitive of late not losing by more than 7 points in their L/8 trips to the hardwood. Tonight Im betting they keep up their current never say die  form and get us a cover a road dogs. the Pacers are fairly fresh and have had a lighter schedule of late and this will aid them tonight and keeping this game closer than the offered line.  INDIANA is 7-0 ATS   when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season. 

Carlisle is 35-19 ATS   after 2 straight games being called for 5+ more fouls than opponent in all games he has coached.

MIAMI is 3-11 ATS ) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

Play on Indiana to cover 

Detroit after 4 straight losses is in desperation mode and Atlanta has been very inconsistent this season thus far and recently lost 3 of their L/5 SU  -making them according to my power rankings weak favs on this type of line offering. The line according to my projections should be -7. With a full possession advantage Im recommending we take the points.  Pistons are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Pistons are 20-8-2 ATS in their last 30 road games

ATLANTA is 1-11 ATS   in home games in December games over the last 2 seasons. 

DETROIT is 39-20 ATS  after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. Casey is 55-32 ATS after 4 or more consecutive losses in all games he has coached since 1996.  NBA team vs the money line (DETROIT) - struggling  defensive team - allowing 118+ points/game on the season, after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more have won 20 of their L/33 opportunities SU with the average ppg diff clicking in at +0.5 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA Road teams (DETROIT) - sub standard defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more are 31-9 ATS L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to cover 

Orlando is in a groove of late, and previous to 1 point loss to Atlanta last time out, had won 6 straight SU and have now covered 8 straight. Tonight Im betting they continue their top tier play on the road vs inconsistent Houston side, that has lost 3 straight games.

HOUSTON is 2-12 ATS   in home games off 2 consecutive home losses of 10 points or more. Silas is 3-13 ATS  in home games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game as the coach of HOUSTON.Silas is 3-17 ATS  in home games after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more as the coach of HOUSTON.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (HOUSTON) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off a road loss are 7-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams (ORLANDO) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival are 41-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 

The Celtics looked tired after an extensive 6 game road trip and then came home and showed their exhaustion in two straight losses to a well conditioned  Orlando side that was in a groove. Now with a few days rest and finally acclimated to home cooking Im betting we the Celtics at their very best vs a the inconsistent Pacers who has lost 4 of their L/5 and 9 of 15 road tilts this season.. 

BOSTON is 12-1 ATS  after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons.

BOSTON is 8-0 ATS ( in home games off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite over the last 3 season

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (BOSTON) - an excellent offensive team (>=118 PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) are 30-1 L/26 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +31, which qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (BOSTON) - after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 47-2 L/5 seasons for a 96% conversion rate, with the average ppg diff registering at +14.4 which qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Play on the Celtics to cover 

 The Bucks' 128-119 win over the Pelicans was an intense physically grueling affair that Im betting directly effects their ability to sustain the energy needed to defeat a talented Cleveland team tonight on the road. Cleveland, which has won four in a row, blasted their way  122-99 win over the Utah Jazz at home on Monday night  and in their current form look capable of taking out the Bucks here as hosts tonight. where they are 15-2 on the season.

CLEVELAND is 12-4 ATS  as a home favorite this season. CLEVELAND is 8-0 ATS  in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 19-9 ATS  in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

Budenholzer is 24-41 ATS  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game as the coach of MILWAUKEE.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 33-4 L/26 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams (CLEVELAND) - after allowing 100 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 45-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Cleveland to cover 

This total based on my own projections should be closer to 231 which gives us a 2 possession value with an under wager. 

5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons.

Under is 4-0 in Grizzlies last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 8-3 in Nuggets last 11 home games.

MEMPHIS is 17-5 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more  of their shots over the last 3 season with a combined average of 220.9 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 9-1 UNDER after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season are 213.4 ppg scored.

DENVER is 14-4 UNDER  in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 228.9 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS/DENVER) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 34-4 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER

The Mile High city is not a friendly place for visiting teams to play in especially run and gun specialists like Memphis . The air in the Mile High city should slow them down enough to make them vulnerable to the more acclimated home side. 

MEMPHIS is 7-18 ATS  in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

NBA opening line Road underdogs vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, on Tuesday nights are 4-54 L/5 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Nuggets to cover 

The Bulls, have lost four straight games and are now in desperation mode and hungry for a victory. The last loss was embarrassing to say the least as they were defeated 150-126  at the Minnesota Timberwolves, which was the most points allowed by the Bulls in regulation in the the past 40 years. Pros don't like to be embarrassed and thats why Im betting the entire team makes a concerted effort at getting redemption and a  victory here and more importantly as far as we are concerned a cover. I know Miami has won 4 straight, but they are just 2-2 ATS in those tilts and have failed to cover 6 of their L/8 and have also be weak favs overall this season / especially at home. 

MIAMI is 3-11 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.MIAMI is 3-11 ATS  in home games this season. Heat are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. 

Donovan is 43-27 ATS after a non-conference game as the coach of CHICAGO.

Bulls are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Miami.

Play on Chicago to cover 

Oklahoma City has only eclipsed the total in 1 of their L/10 trips to the hardwood. Meanwhile, Portland in their 17 road games this season seen a combined average of 219.6 ppg go on the scoreboard. and rank 28th in the NBA in pace. with this being the Blazers 4th straight road game in the L/6 days Im betting they will hold to their usually methodical pace which will help keep this tilt on the low side of the Totals offering. 

Under is 5-1 in Trail Blazers last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. 

PORTLAND is 29-17 UNDER  when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Under is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 games following a ATS win which was the case last time out.

 .NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PORTLAND) - after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 28-4 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after allowing 43 points or less in the first half last game are 33-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Under is 23-9 in the last 32 meetings in Oklahoma City.

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

Play UNDER

I know Toronto has lost 5 straight games, but that will make them all the more hungry and dangerous. On flip  side -Even playing without Tyrese Maxey (fractured left foot), Tobias Harris (back) and Furkan Korkmaz (non-COVID illness) the Sixers have been putting up victories but these missing bodies Im betting will have an effect on them sooner or later. 

Nurse is 27-12 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games as the coach of TORONTO.

Rivers is 85-118 ATS after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite in all games he has coached  in  his career  . 

 NBA underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TORONTO) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games are 31-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Raptors to cover 

Minnesota Im betting will be in a letdown situation after a upset win vs the Thunder last time out. the game was physically grueling and now the Wolves are vulnerable in this tilt vs a quality opponent, that is desperate for a win after suffering 3 straight losses. CHICAGO is 46-29 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 11-23 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, in December games are 33-4 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate. 

NBA Home underdogs vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - in non-conference games, off a close win by 3 points or less over a division rival are 5-39 L/26 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago to cover 

Houstons D has been playing well lately, but the run and gun Damian Lilliard Blazers will test that prowess here tonight forcing the Rockets out of their recent comfort zone. I know the Blazers played last night in Dallas, but they are a well conditioned group and more than capable of finding their legs in a back to back situation. It must also be noted because Dallas took such a big lead last night in their win vs the Blazers the Lilliard only played 24 min. So the super star will be fresh tonight and ready to continue his offensive assault. The first meeting this season between these sides saw a combined 236 points go on the board.

Houston ranks 27th in the NBA in defensive efficiency at 115.4 . My projections estimate that Portland eclipses that average and the chasing Rockets chase their output and help us cash an over ticket.  

PORTLAND is 7-0 OVER  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 235.8 ppg scored.

HOUSTON is 18-5 OVER (+12.5 Units) after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.6 ppg scored. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PORTLAND) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 30-8 OVER L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (HOUSTON) - after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 31-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

Denver scored 141 points last time out and now Im betting on some major regression from an offensive output perspective. Under is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Im betting his directly effects this total to the under here in this tilt vs LAK. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 101-48 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER 

Portland has won three straight and five of its last six with Lillard leading the way. He is shooting 52.9 percent from the field and 50.7 percent from 3-point range since returning. Im betting he prompts Doncic and company in all out offensive slugfest. 

Over is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 overall.

PORTLAND is 9-1 OVER  after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 234.6 ppg scored. 

Over is 13-3 in Mavericks last 16 games following a straight up loss.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PORTLAND) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47%  or more of their shots are 33-7 OVER L/5 season for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Dallas.Over is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings.

Play on the over 

 Suns enter this game struggling  after suffering 5 straight losses and are   banged up  and also exhausted as they finish up their  four-game road trip, in LA at the Staples Center tonight against the Clippers. note: key Suns players Booker and Ayton are both listed questionable for Thursday's game, and if they do play could see limited time and be less than 100%. 

Suns are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. 

Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games are 37-3 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.6 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA Underdogs (PHOENIX) - averaging 45 or less rebounds/game on the season, after a game being outrebounded by opponent by 20 or more are 6-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate!

Play on LA Clippers to cover

Minnesota in a  recent defeat were bashed by a  133-112 count  on Monday when the Wolves saw their opponent shoot 45.7 percent (21 of 46) from 3-point range. The current form of their D, portrays a situation where the Clippers project to score above their  current offensive averages. This will aid in overall offensive output projections. Minnesota ranks 2nd in pace, and even without Townsend in the lineup are in all out attack mode which leaves them vulnerable in transition. MINNESOTA is 23-6 OVER  after allowing 130 points or more over the last 3 seasons with the combined average score of those 29 games clicking in at 241.1 ppg. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MINNESOTA) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47%  or better of their shots are 33-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with the combined average of 234 ppg going on the scoreboard.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA CLIPPERS) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 285-192 OVER L/26 seasons for a 60% conversion rate with the combined average of 227.7 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

Sacramento looked tired last night in a DD loss to Philadelphia. Now playing their  5th straight road and this being a back to back Im betting that they are at a disadvantage against rested side , playing at home with redemption in mind for back to back losses vs lower tier  Orlando.  TORONTO is 20-9 ATS  when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons.TORONTO is 13-3 ATS  in home games off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (TORONTO) - off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a road favorite, first half of the season are 28-1 L/26 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.2 whihc easily qualifies on this ATS offering.

Play on Toronto Raptors to cover 

The Pelicans roll into Utah on a 7 game win streak and deserve to be favs here at Salt Lake City vs a side that started fast but has now lost 11 of their L/16 games SU. Considering the walking wounded that the Jazz are dealing with Im betting they are at a disadvantage. ie  Lauri Markkanen (illness), Mike Conley (injury management), Jordan Clarkson (bruised right hip) and Collin Sexton (right hamstring strain) . 

NEW ORLEANS is 26-15 ATS  as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Pelicans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Pelicans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Jazz are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.Jazz are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

NBA team vs the money line (UTAH) - after allowing 115 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 125 points or more 2 straight games are 5-24 L/26 seasons for a go against  83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on  NO Pelicans to cover 

Golden State Warriors are off an impressive win vs the Boston Celtics in a two way complete DD win las time out , but now in an emotional letdown spot on the road, Im betting a Bucks side that fell asleep at the wheel last time out , losing against Houston has the advantage. 

MILWAUKEE is 9-1 ATS  versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more  of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

Budenholzer is 23-9 ATS  vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents as the coach of MILWAUKEE.

Warriors are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games.Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, on Tuesday nights are 4-53 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -13.4 which easily qualifies on this /ATS offering. 

Play on Milwaukee Bucks to cover 

Minnesota had defeated Portland five consecutive times before falling short on the second contest of their five-game road trip but now Im betting on a bounce back performance from the Wolves against Lilliard and company. PORTLAND is 18-31 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 13-3 ATS  in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

NBA  team vs the money line (PORTLAND) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are 57-96 L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home favorites (PORTLAND) - off a win against a division rival, in December games are 19-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Minnesota Wolves to cover 

Chicago played a complete game yesterday in a DD beatdown of the Dallas Mavs, scoring 144 points on the offense. Now on tired legs and emotionally drained Im betting we see major regression on the road in Atlanta.

CHICAGO is 1-8 ATS  after a non-conference game this season. Atlanta is 3-1 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series. 

Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.

McMillan is 41-26 ATS  in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game as the coach of ATLANTA.

Play on Atlanta 

The Lakers are on a 3 game losing streak and exhausted as they play their 6th straight road game. Detroits young legs  have the edge on this aging group at home in Motwon today. 

 LA LAKERS are 1-8 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more this season. LA LAKERS are 5-18 ATS  in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. Lakers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games.

Lakers are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Detroit.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing against a terrible team (25% or less ) are 28-62 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit Pistons to cover 

The Suns enter this game on a 3 game losing streak, and now are very motivated for redemption and revenge as they face a New Orleans side that beat them a few days ago. I know the Pelicans are playing great ball, but a letdown maybe in order after the intensity they put into beating the Suns last time out. 

Williams is 54-36 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of PHOENIX.

PHOENIX is 20-9 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. PHOENIX is 23-7 ATS  revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. PHOENIX is 15-4 ATS   revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Road teams (PHOENIX) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 41-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Phoenix to cover

Teams like Indiana with top tier down town shooting skills , have given the Nets problems this season and Im betting  nothing will change tonight. 

BROOKLYN is 0-7 ATS  versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season with the average ppg diff clicking at -10. 

Vaughn is 1-11 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 in all games he has coached since 1996.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (BROOKLYN) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 12-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Indiana to cover 

Both these teams are rolling with the defending champs Bucks  having won 6 of their L/7 and their hosts Dallas having garnered victories in 4 of their L/5 overall. It must be noted however, that DALLAS is just 0-7 ATS after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season and have been unable to keep momentum on their sides. DALLAS is 2-10 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins this season. 

Meanwhile,MILWAUKEE is 24-11 ATS  as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons and are not intimidated when in foreign territory as is evident by winning 6 of 9 on the road this season.

Bucks are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Bucks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.

Mavericks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Mavericks are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 home games.Mavericks are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win.

Mavericks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest.

This is the second and final matchup between these sides this season; Milwaukee walked over  Dallas 124-115 on Nov. 27 and the Bucks won their lone game in Dallas a season ago, 102-95. Rinse and repeat on another victory here tonight for the visitors.

Milwaukee Bucks to cover

The Suns have had their egos bruised after two straight losses vs Dallas and Boston respectively. Im betting what happened was the Suns went in to their game against Dallas with huge revenge on board  for last seasons play off losses and and still couldn't get it down  and than were in an emotional letdown state in the tilt vs the Celtics and just fell flat on their faces. Now with time to digest their problems Im betting on an all out performance from the Suns in redemption mode against a side that despite of playing well is still not as talented as the incoming side. Suns are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.PHOENIX is 13-3 ATS in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.PHOENIX is 30-15 ATS  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. PHOENIX is 22-11 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons

NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, in December games are 32-3 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.6 . 

Suns are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in New Orleans.

Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover 

After impressive back to back win vs Atlanta and Cleveland the Knicks look like a confident group and are ready to keep their current form rolling vs a inconsistent Charlotte side that ahs lost 3 straight and only garnered wins in 4 of their 12 home tilts this season. The Knicks beat the Hornets 134-131 in overtime Oct. 26 at home. Rinse and repeat. 

Knicks are 17-6 ATS in their last 23 road games.

Knicks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

NEW YORK is 11-2 ATS  in road games after a blowout win by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

NEW YORK is 41-20 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.

NBA road teams (NEW YORK) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (25-40%) are 28-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Underdogs (CHARLOTTE) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 17-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play NY Knicks to cover

Denver is off a heart breaking 116-115 loss to Dallas last time out, which was their 3rd straight defeat, but the Nuggets HC Malone is 15-5 ATS  in road games after a close loss by 3 points or less as the coach of DENVER and will be primed to bounce back. DENVER is also  21-9 ATS  in road games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. From a league wide trends perspective  NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (DENVER) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, in December games are 31-3 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors.

I know the Blazers have won two straight , but Portland's consecutive victories came after the club lost seven of eight games and even with Damian Lillard back in the lineup , the Nuggets Im betting matchup well in this spot play. Portland routed the visiting Nuggets 135-110 on Oct. 24 when it outscored Denver 80-49 in the second half. Lillard scored 31 and Simons added 29- Revenge now on board for the Nuggets. 

PORTLAND is 17-31 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46%  or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on Denver to cover 

The Suns were limited to 15 points in the first quarter of Monday's loss to Dallas. It was their lowest point total in any quarter this season. Now with a chance at redemption and the energy of their home town fans behind them Im betting they show up with a full game effort and get a  victory vs the top tier Celtics . Add to that the possible return of All-Star point guard Chris Paul and the Suns get the nod. PHOENIX is 7-0 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. PHOENIX is 22-9 ATS L/31 in home games after allowing 130 points or more .  

PHOENIX is 11-3 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game this season. 

PHOENIX is 22-10 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, first half of the season are just 16-33 ATS L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate.

Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover 

Orlando lost its ninth consecutive game and the 11th in the last 12 contests Monday in a 109-102 decision against Milwaukee. In their current form they are fade material on this type of line vs what is a deeper and superior side even without Leonard or George in the lineup. If these two top tier stars play than the line should be closer to -8. 

I know the Clippers have not exactly been cover machines of late, but this league wide trend supports my betting option. NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games are 71-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate.

Clippers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Clippers are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Orlando.

Play on LA Clippers to cover

After playing a emotional all out game against the Suns in a victory the Mavericks are vulnerable tonight in the high altitudes of the mile high city. The Mavericks will be playing their seventh game in the last 11 days. Meanwhile, the Nuggets offense is currently operating at a high rate of efficiency at least from a shooting conversion position which is a good omen for them tonight.  DENVER is 15-4 ATS L/9 in home games after 3 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better. Yes, Denver has lost 2 straight and took a DD loss vs NO Pelicans , but it must be noted that the  Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.

Mavericks are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win.Mavericks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Mavericks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games.Mavericks are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.Mavericks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Mavericks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

DALLAS is 25-50 ATS  revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more since 1996.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, on Tuesday nights are 18-55 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Denver to cover 

The Cavaliers play their best hoops at home where they 10-1 SUATS at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse. The Cavaliers  are averaging 115.6 points on 49.3 percent shooting from the floor and 39.9 percent from 3-point range as hosts, as opposed to 107.7, 46.0, 35.8,, away from Cleveland. Tonight Im betting on their strong home court advantage to cool down a up-trending Lakers side off two impressive wins. CLEVELAND is 9-1 ATS   as a home favorite this season

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 42-3 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.8 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, on Tuesday nights are 9-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cavaliers to cover 

The Pacers looked lifeless last night in their 2nd straight loss but they have proven resilient  in the recent  past cashing  19 of their L/26 games  ATS in their last 26 games playing on 0 days rest.Pacers are also 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss. Meanwhile, the Warriors despite of playing well, are just 3-7 ATS off a win and just 2-5 ATS after a SU win of 10 or more points. The Pacers have covered 4 of their L.5 trips to Golden State and have covered 4 of the L/5 meetings overall. Im betting on a competitive effort from the Pacers in redemption mode .

NBA Road teams (INDIANA) - struggling defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more are 28-8 ATS L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Pacers to cover 

The Phoenix Suns have owned the  regular-season matches with Dallas over the last three-plus seasons, but  in last years play offs  against the Mavericks  they were blasted in the final two games of that series and fell flat on their faces. You can bet that the Suns will be in redemption mode tonight and breathing fire in all out effort to get back some lost respect. Both sides are also operating at the opposite end of the performance spectrum entering this tilt as Phoenix has won seven of its last eight games while the Mavericks have victories   in just two of their last seven tilts. With that said motivation and form rest with the visitors getting points.

DALLAS is 4-13 ATS  as a favorite this season.PHOENIX is 22-9 ATS   when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. 

Williams is 24-11 ATS  as a road underdog of 6 points or less as the coach of PHOENIX.
 Williams is 23-10 ATS  in road games against Southwest division opponents as the coach of PHOENIX.

Play on Phoenix Suns to cover 

Orlando has allowed an average of 116.1 ppg at home this season and rank 27th in the league in defensive efficiency  and Im betting the visiting Milwaukee Bucks  will breach that output here today and for the Magic in chasing fashion to put up enough points for us to cash an over ticket. 

MILWAUKEE in 25 road tilts    versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons a combined average score of 226.1 ppg have gone on the scoreboard.

Over is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. 

Over is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings in Orlando.

 NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (ORLANDO) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or better of their shots are 25-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 239.8 ppg scored.

Play OVER

The Lakers have played decent ball of late winning 7 of their L/9 including an upset of the Milwaukee Bucks last time out. Now though in an emotional letdown spot the Lakers are vulnerable to a side that has played their best hoops at home this season as is evident by winning 8 of 12 tilts as hosts. 

LA LAKERS are 2-11 ATS  after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. LA LAKERS are 15-28 ATS (after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons.

Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Lakers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.

NBA team (WASHINGTON) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival against opponent after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points are 35-9 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Lakers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Washington.

Play on Washington to cover

The Bucks were upset by the Lakers last time out, but wil now be in bounce back mode and here and ready for redemption vs a Charlotte side that has lost 12 of their L/16 games overall and are sub .500 home side as is evident by a 4-6 record as hosts. MILWAUKEE is 23-10 ATS as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons with the average pgg diff clicking in at +8.5.  Budenholzer is 55-34 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite as the coach of MILWAUKEE with the average ppg diff clicking in at +8.4. 

MILWAUKEE is 9-1 ATS in road games versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 33% or less of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 31-6 ATS L/26 seasons for a 86'% conversion rate.

Play on Milwaukee to cover 

Whether George or Leonard take to the court for the Clippers Im betting they still hold an advantage here at home. This Clippers side is constantly being under rated and underestimated when their super stars are out of the lineup but they  have still proven resilient on many occasions thanks to team chemistry and top tier coaching and overall work ethic. Yes, the Kings have played great ball at times this season, but are still inconsistent as is evident by losing 3 of their L/4 .   NBA Home teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - excellent shooting team (47% or better) against an sub par defensive team (47% or better), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 36-4 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.7 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, first half of the season are n13-33 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on LA Clippers to cover

This will be the Bulls 5th straight road game, and now on tired legs are vulnerable to being beat up on by the explosive Golden State Warriors. Meanwhile, Golden state is 9-1 SU at home this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at 11 points, so the lines-makers are not asking to much here with the favorite. The two most recent meetings in this series saw the Warriors win by margins of 44 points and 26 points. Bulls are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

CHICAGO is 5-15 ATS in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Kerr is 20-8 ATS after 3 straight games outrebounding opponent by 5 or more as the coach of GOLDEN STATE.Kerr is 33-19 ATS  in home games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) as the coach of GOLDEN STATE.GOLDEN STATE is 21-8 ATS  in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Golden State Warriors to cover 

Denver has won 4 straight games with the last 3 victories coming by DDs and are currently playing at a very high level and deserve respect here as short road favs. Meanwhile, Atlanta has lost 3 of their L/4 and 4 of their L/6 and have failed to cover 6 of their L/8 tilts overall. I know the Hawks won their last time out, but that was against very inconsistent Orlando side. Note:  Home underdogs vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half (which was the case vs the Magic) are just 38-118 SU L/26 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -5 easily qualifying on this ATS offering. 

Hawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.

ATLANTA is 12-24 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. 

ATLANTA is 0-8 ATS in home games in December games over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Denver to cover 

With top player Cade Cunningham sidelined  due to a shin injury, the Pistons are finding it difficult to stay competitive, and tonight the Mavericks knowing how vulnerable their opponents are will be very aggressive especially on offense. This Im betting leads to a fairly wide open affair, that easily eclipses this total. Note: Detroit ranks 29th in the league in ppg allowed defense and 29th in defensive efficiency. 

Over is 12-5 in Mavericks last 17 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.

DETROIT is 13-4 OVER  in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 228.9 ppg scored. Over is 8-3-1 in Pistons last 12 home games.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DETROIT) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a good defensive team (104-108 PPG), after allowing 130 points or more are 45-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate with a combined average score of 234.5 ppg going on the scoreboard.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (DALLAS) - after one or more consecutive overs, a good defensive team (104-108 PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG).are 72-34 L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at 230.4 ppg.

Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Detroit.

Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Play over

My owns projections estimate a combined score of 227 plus points , which gives us value on this offering .Utah averages  116.7 (4th of 30) while allowing  115.5 (22nd of 30).  Meanwhile, the Clippers are essentially on the other side of the spectrum offensively and defensively, but as they showed us last night are reving up offensively and off a 118 output while allowing 112 points in a victory vs the Blazers. On tired legs tonight the Clippers in the high altitudes of Salt Lake City wont have the energy needed to play strong D, and this Im betting helps this combined score eclipse this offering. 

Over is 5-1-1 in Clippers last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Over is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (UTAH) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or better  of their shots are 31-5 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 235.8 ppg scored.

NBAl teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or more of their shots are 22-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average with a combined average of 239.9 ppg scored. 

Over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Utah.

Play OVER 

The Knicks took down the Pistons, last night  but now on tired legs  as they now play back-to-back set  vs the  Milwaukee Bucks . This wont  be  as easy a task as playing a short handed squad yesterday. . The /bucks are currently in top form and off strong wins vs the Cavaliers and Mavericks and Im betting the magick of 3 is in play tonight. 

NEW YORK is 1-9 ATS   in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 5-21 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 5-17 ATS   in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Thibodeau is 2-11 ATS  in home games in November games as the coach of NEW YORK.

MILWAUKEE is 9-1 ATS  in road games versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 33% or less of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - after beating the spread by more than 24 points in their previous game are 6-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Milwaukee to win/cover

Since they last met in June, the Mavericks have had this rematch circled on their calendars. I know the Mavericks are currently not playing at the same level as the Warriors , but Im betting with revenge on their minds and redemption as a goal , here on their own home floor they deserve respect having won 8 of 11 tilts this season . It must also be noted that the Warriors despite of their strong play have had problems on the road and have only garnered  wins in their L/11 road games. GOLDEN STATE is 24-38 ATS  in road games over the last 2 seasons.

Warriors are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Warriors are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Warriors are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Dallas.

Play on Dallas Mavericks to cover 

After a fast start to their season Utah has really cooled off but this is a good matchup for them here at home vs a Chicago Bulls side that has been highly inconsistent this season. The Jazz are off a heart breaking loss to the Suns on the road but proved their the really deal and here in the friendly confines of  Vivint Arena where they are 6-2 SU have na edge. Jazz are also  9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

CHICAGO is 20-34 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO is 4-14 ATS  in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (UTAH) - excellent shooting team (47% or more) against an terrible defensive team (47% or more ), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 35-3 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road underdogs (CHICAGO) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 7-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Utah to cover 

Indiana has been playing some viable basketball this season, while the Clippers have been inconsistent and on a 2 game losing run. However, its been a long standing mistake many pundits make under estimating the Clippers abilities even when Leonard and George are sidelined.Im betting on the Clippers undervalued depth and grit to triump here and get is the cover.

Lue is 32-17 ATS  in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 as the coach of LA CLIPPERS.

NBA Road favorites (INDIANA) - off a home win by 10 points or more, on Sunday games are 9-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Pacers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

Play on LA Clippers to cover 

The Warriors  against the Timberwolves in last seasons meetings , won by an average of 11 points in two home games, but lost by an average of 17.5 in two visits to Minnesota.Karl-Anthony Towns was key on the home wins for the Wolves garnering  26 points and 11 rebounds to a 119-99 romp in January, then 39 points and nine rebounds to a 129-114 triumph in March. Rinse and repeat pattern on board here with the line favoring the Wolves. 

GOLDEN STATE is 1-9 ATS  in road games this season. GOLDEN STATE is 11-24 ATS  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Road favorites (GOLDEN STATE) - off a home win by 10 points or more, on Sunday games are 9-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MINNESOTA) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 55-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Minnesota Wolves to cover

After watching these teams play last night Im betting there is value on taking the road team to grab their 2nd straight win in this series. Matchup discrepancies were obvious favoring the Lakers. Injury updates: 

[SF] LeBron James (Adductor) - Probable [11/21/2022] James is battling an adductor injury but will take the court for the Lakers.

[C] Anthony Davis (Back) - Probable [11/19/2022]  Davis is dealing with a back injury and is expected to take the court for the Lakers.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 3 straight losses by 10 points or more are 38-3 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate! 

Play on the LA Lakers to win /cover

 Things are bad in San Antonio land of late , but dont be surprised if the Spurs put up a valiant effort here vs a Lakers side that seems to over look losing sides when on the road. Note: Lakers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Lakers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games.

Popovich is 29-15 ATS  after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more as the coach of SAN ANTONIO.

NBA team (SAN ANTONIO) - struggling  defensive team - shooting pct defense of 50% or worse on the season, averaging 48 or less rebounds/game on the season are 33-9 ATS L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. 

NBA Home teams (SAN ANTONIO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a poor 3PT shooting team (33% or less), poor ball handling team (16.5 or more  TO's) against an average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 103-47 ATS L/26 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

My own projections estimate a combined score of 230 . Thus we have value with taking the under in this public centric  Totals offering. 

Under is 5-1 in Kings last 6 games following a ATS loss.Under is 5-1 in Kings last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Under is 5-2 in Celtics last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 7-3 in Celtics last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

SACRAMENTO is 27-12 UNDER  in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more  over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 225.1 ppg scored.SACRAMENTO is 34-16 UNDER  off a road loss over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 224.1 ppg . 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 70-36 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 66% conversion rate.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 42-16 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. 

NBA team (BOSTON) - hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games against opponent hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games are 127-72 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate.

Under is 17-5 in the last 22 meetings in Boston.

Play on the UNDER

The Kings are  off a 115-106 loss at Atlanta on Wednesday that ended a seven-game winning run and now Im betting they suffer a 2nd straight loss and also fail to cover vs an explosive Boston side that has won 10 of their L/12 behind the leagues top duo of  Tatum and Brown.BOSTON is 23-11 ATS  after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.4. Note:The Kings have played just six games so far against elite teams with winning records, and own a sub par 2-4 record. NBA Home favorites SU (BOSTON) - an excellent offensive team (118 or more  PPG) against a sub par defensive team (114-118 PPG) are 27-1 L/28 opportunities with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.1 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover

Milwaukee has won 6 of the L/7 meetings vs Chicago and 5 of those wins have come by DDs with the smallest margin of victory coming by 7 points which is what we are being asked to coincidently cover here by backing the Bucks tongiht. From a power ranking and SRS perspective we actually have value backing the home side here. I know the Bulls are off an impressive win vs Boston last time out, but now Im betting a letdown scenario taking hold and for the Bucks not to be caught looking ahead and primed to crush a division competitor. Milwaukee ranks 7th in the league with a 3.28 mark and Chicago ranks 12th with a 1.37. Adding in my own power ranking adjustments this line should be closer to -9 giving us enough room for a full possession cover. There -6 available.

 SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average

Budenholzer is 49-20 ATS vs. division opponents as the coach of MILWAUKEE with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13. 

CHICAGO is 39-56 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons

NBA Road underdogs (CHICAGO) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an average shooting team (43.5-45.5%), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against a good ball handling team (14.5 or less  TO's) are 13-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Milwaukee to cover 

After a slow start to their season Sacramento has peeled off 6 straight wins, while their opponents tonight Memphis has shown flashes of brilliance and unexpected collapses like they suffered last time out where they fell apart in the 4th quarter vs Brooklyn losing by a 127-115 count on the road as 8 point dogs. That was the Grizzlies 3rd straight road loss. However at home the Grizzlies have played their best hoops winning 6 of 7 overall with the lone loss coming the Boston Celtics by a 109-106 count. With that said Im betting on home court advantage for the Grizzlies being the difference maker. MEMPHIS is 7-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons and 3-0 L/3 at home in this series.

MEMPHIS is 13-1 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

MEMPHIS is 20-5 ATS  against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

MEMPHIS is 12-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

MEMPHIS is 8-0 ATS after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

MEMPHIS is 12-2 ATS  in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 17-7 ATS   in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, first half of the season are 12-32 ATS L/26 seasons for a 73% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Memphis to cover

The Clippers have won five of seven since  they lost to  Utah earlier this season and with  Kawhi Leonard back in the rotation they are strong candidates to get revenge here and notch a win.

UTAH is 3-19 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

LA CLIPPERS are 31-17 ATS  in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - excellent shooting team (47% or more) against an terrible defensive team (47% or more ), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 33-3 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.4! 

NBA Road teams (UTAH) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 100 points or less 2 straight games are 13-41 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% go against conversion rate. 

Jazz are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.

Play on LA Clippers to cover

After winning the first two games on their current road trip, the Knicks have dropped back-to-back games and are ready for a bounce back effort vs a Oklahoma City side that my power ranking suggest they matchup well against. Note: NEW YORK is 18-6 ATS L/24 in road games off 2 consecutive road losses by 10 points or more . NEW YORK is 38-18 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 0-8 ATS  in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 3 seasons.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW YORK) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 41-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate!

Play on NY Knicks to cover 

Memphis snapped a losing streak   by earning a 121-110 win over the visiting Oklahoma City Thunder on Friday when Jaren Jackson Jr. scored 25 in his second game back from right foot surgery and Im betting despite of Brooklyn playing some strong hoops at this time will be primed and ready compete. 

BROOKLYN is 7-33 ATS  as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. BROOKLYN is 9-29 ATS  in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.

BROOKLYN is 1-13 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.

MEMPHIS is 32-19 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

MEMPHIS is 5-0 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons

MEMPHIS is 5-0 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons and are 2-0 SU/ATS L/2 visits to Brooklyn. 

Play on Memphis to cover 

 The Philadelphia 76ers Im betting have a great chance at  remaining perfect on their five-game home-stand on Saturday, playing the second leg of a back-to-back when they host the Minnesota Timberwolves. This version of the Sixers is well conditioned and I have confidence they will perform at a high level tonight as they carry the momentum of late nights victory over Milwaukee into this tilt against another viable side. I know Maxey may not play tonight for the Sixers but Shake Milton is a fine replacement if that indeed is the case. Also the Wolves are on tired legs as they play their 4th straight road game tonight. Advantage Philly 

Timberwolves are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Timberwolves are 3-12 ATS in the last 15 meetings.Timberwolves are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Philadelphia.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in November games are 30-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate.

Play Philadelphia 76ers to cover

The visiting Celtics are looking for their ninth consecutive victory, while the Pelicans shoot for their fourth consecutive win. From a SRS perspective the Celtics are ranked No.1 with a 6.92 mark while the Pelicans are ranked 4th with a 4.35 . But when factoring in home court obligatory advantage of around 4 points i this game should see the home side favored by -2. But  thanks to the the huge brand name  respect attached to one of the oldest and most respected NBA franchises we get to take points here with the up-trending home side, which screams value. 

Note: SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, first half of the season are 11-32 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games are 30-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on New Orleans to cover 

I know the Detroit Pistons have not played well this season, but  they will face a inconsistent Los Angeles Clippers,  side operating at less than 100% with key injuries .Considering the Clippers propensity under HC Lue to take nights off vs sub standard sides like the young men from Motown it will not be a hard decision to grab points here. Note: Lue is 3-14 ATS  in home games when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% or less ) in all games he has coached.

DETROIT is 34-19 ATS  after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. DETROIT is 35-19 ATS  off a home loss over the last 3 seasons.

DETROIT is 16-6 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 season.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 25-55 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Detroit to cover 

New Orleans played a physical game last night against Memphis and prob do not have enough proverbial gas left in the tank to compete as needed against a revenge minded Bulls group on a few days rest. These teams just played a few days ago with the Pelicans squeaking out a 115-111 victory. The Bulls than came out in their next game and looked tired and demoralized , and got blasted by Denver in a DD loss. But now with redemption and revenge combo now in play are in my betting opinion solid underdog wagers. 

CHICAGO is 17-4 ATS after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Road teams (CHICAGO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home blowout loss of 20 points or more are 39-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74/5 conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago to cover

Portland has won nine of its first 13 games , but according to my specific power rankings should not be this big a favorite vs the Spurs. I know the Spurs are not playing well overall at least from a W/L perspective but do matchup well here according to my head to head player personnel data.PORTLAND is 9-20 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. PORTLAND is 14-30 ATS versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game over the last 2 seasons.

SAN ANTONIO is 9-1 ATS after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half over the last 2 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 23-11 ATS  in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots over the last 3 seasons.

Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Spurs are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Spurs are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Spurs are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games.

 NBA team (SAN ANTONIO) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%), poor ball handling team (16.5 or more TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5 or less TO's) are 80-40 ATS L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate.

Spurs are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

Dallas has played their best hoops at home this season winning 5 of their 6 tilts , with the average ppg diff clicking in at just under +8. My power ranking suggest -8 is the correct line here favoring the host thus giving us an edge on this current line offering especially with the visitors playing short handed ie (Kawhi Leonard and John Wall) and now playing back to back nights. Luka Doncic scored at will against the Los Angeles Clippers last season and Im betting he will once be the catalyst in this contest. Note: Doncic  scored 96 total points vs the Clippers in two games that were 48 hours apart. Doncic, leads the NBA ins coring  averaging 34.3 points per game on 49.6 percent shooting.

Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Mavericks are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Clippers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. LA CLIPPERS are 5-21 ATS  when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, on Tuesday nights are 9-65 L/5 seasons for a 88% go against conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -13.8 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, on Tuesday nights are 18-55 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the 
Dallas Mavs to cover 

Memphis is off a  DD loss last time out at Washington  but have proven resilient under those circumstances in bounce back opportunities and have also played well against top tier teams in a groove like the Pelicans. 

MEMPHIS is 12-0 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

MEMPHIS is 18-7 ATS   versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.MEMPHIS is 32-15 ATS   versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

Meanwhile, Pelicans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and are fade material here laying points against a quality opponent that does not take kindly to having lost last time out. 

Play on Memphis to cover 

Charlotte is in desperate need of a win after 8 straight losses, and will primed to get a victory and revenge at the same time for a 113-93 loss they suffered to the Magic back on Oct 28th of this season. CHARLOTTE is 19-9 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Hornets are 46-16-2 ATS in their last 64 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

CHARLOTTE is 22-9 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons.

The Magic have had a long history of crapping the bed vs sub .500 opposition. 

Magic are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Magic are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.ORLANDO is 25-41 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons

NBA  team (CHARLOTTE) - off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals, in November games are 88-48 L/26 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home favorites (ORLANDO) - after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 63-107 L/26 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. 

Play on Charlotte to cover 

Both Toronto and Detroit are a bit banged up entering this tilt with some nagging injuries through each lineup and key players out.Toronto has lost three of its last four games and four of its last six. Forward Pascal Siakam is out and they look like vulnerable road favs here vs a side they have failed to cover 6 straight times against. I know Motown is not playing all that well , but from a long term perspective DETROIT is 33-19 ATS  after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. Pistons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

TORONTO is 13-31 ATS L/44 after 2 straight games being called for 5+ less fouls than opponent .

Raptors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Play on Detroit to cover

When Zach Lavine is in the lineup and healthy the Bulls are dangerous opponent for all comers. He is expected to play this evening vs Denver, and with the Bulls on 3 days rest the home side will be  fresh and ready to perform. Note: Chicago swept the season series from Denver last season behind solid play from LaVine, who averaged 34 points in the two games, and Im betting he will be the difference maker yet again. 

CHICAGO is 22-9 ATS  after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

DENVER is 18-31 ATS  after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons. Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHICAGO) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in November games are 30-8 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. 

Play on Chicago to cover 

Playing without a couple of key players, the Wizards showed positive chemistry en route to a 113-105 victory over the Dallas Mavericks last time out  and have the ability with this group to do the same to the visiting Jazz. I know Utah has played exceptionally well despite of key off season departures, but tonight after slugging it out non stop early this season against some strong opponents a letdown could be in order as was the case earlier this season when they lost too the young Houston rockets. . Washington has covered 3 straight and 4 of their L/5 and must not be underestimated as home dogs. Wizards are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Jazz are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 2 days rest.

WASHINGTON is 18-4 ATS in home games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.

UTAH is 25-44 ATS  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game over the last 2 seasons. UTAH is 3-17 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (UTAH) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 13-33 L/26 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) - struggling  team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games are 46-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Jazz are 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Play on Washington to cover

After 8 straight wins the Cleveland Cavaliers have now lost 2 straight, and with this being their 5th straight road game Im betting their on tired legs and vulnerable to defeat here again tonight vs a Warriors team that  have defeated them in each of the past 10 regular-season meetings in this series. I know Golden State has been erratic to start the season, but still owns an impressive  9-1 ATS   in home games in November games over the last 2 seasons and are on extended rest. Warriors are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 3 or more days rest Warriors are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 Friday games.Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Warriors are 27-9-1 ATS in their last 37 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

. Meanwhile,CLEVELAND is just 19-39 ATS  when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons and their conditioning according to some charts Ive kept on them is suspect.CLEVELAND is  also 18-37 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. 

Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after allowing 68 points or more in the first half last game against opponent after a close win by 3 points or less are 18-52 L/26 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Golden State to cover 

My own projections make this total closer to 223 giving us a full possession value on a over wager.  (The Bucks are the 2nd best ppg defensive team in the league at the moment while the Spurs are the worst). Im betting the Spurs here on their own home court behind a 5th ranked pace try to get the Bucks out of their  comfort zone and turn this game in to a more wide open affair. This Im betting results in this total being eclipsed. Both these sides have a hsitroy of higher scoring non conference affairs. 

SAN ANTONIO is 16-6 OVER  in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 222.9 ppg scored. SAN ANTONIO is 41-23 OVER in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 229.2 ppg going on the score board.

Budenholzer is 27-14 OVER  against Southwest division opponents as the coach of MILWAUKEE with a combined average of 235.3 ppg scored. 

MILWAUKEE is 45-25 OVER  in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 234.1 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (SAN ANTONIO) - after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 265 points or more are 23-2 OVER L/26 seasons for a 92% conversion rate. with a combined average of 235.2 ppg scored.

Play OVER

Boston brings a 21st ranked pace into this tilt against the Nuggets. The Celtics FG conversion rate has been above average to start the season, and thats why in part their output has been near the top of the league,  but regression should start to rare its ugly head at some point, and according my projections based on their expected offensive production dip in this tilt,  this totals offering  is a tad high and should be closer to 228-- giving us value on the under. 

Under is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 5-2 in Celtics last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

BOSTON is 37-23 UNDER  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 213.7 ppg. 

NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 35-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 40-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 23-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 92% conversion rate.

Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Boston.

Play UNDER

Atlantas Trae Young had a ugly outing last night, but Im betting now with the rust off after a injury lay off he will be in rebound mode tonight. This is a well conditioned Hawks team that my own power rankings suggest matchup well vs the Sixers. It will be Atlanta's second back-to-back of the season. The Hawks  split the first one on the road, beating Detroit and losing to top tier Milwaukee which can be forgiven.

76ers are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.76ers are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 road games.

Hawks are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Hawks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games.Hawks are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS loss.

ATLANTA is 47-31 ATS  in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less  free throws/game over the last 3 seasons. ATLANTA is 44-28 ATS   in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog, in November games are 3-33 L/5 seasons for a go against  91% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Atlanta Hawks to cover

Chicagos super star Zach Lavine despite of some nagging injuries is expected to play tonight against visiting  New Orleans . With him in the lineup, the Bulls offense will be alot more balanced and thanks to improved defensive play this season, the Bulls look like viable bets here on their own home court.Green is 2-11 ATS  in road games in November games as the coach of NEW ORLEANS.Donovan is 32-18 ATS  in the first half of the season as the coach of CHICAGO.

Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Pelicans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Bulls are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

NBAl teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, first half of the season are 9-32 ATS 26 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (NEW ORLEANS) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, first half of the season is 8-33 L/26 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago to cover 

The Knicks hit a season-high 19 3-pointers in a victory at Minnesota on Monday and now regression is on the agenda . Thats fortunate for a Brooklyn side that struggled against downtown shooting. Meanwhile, the Nets have won 3 of their L/5 and have shown upward momentum and competitiveness as was the case in a loss last time out to Dallas by a 96-94 count. I like their chances here vs a NYK side they dominated from a SU perspective in recent seasons. 

NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (BROOKLYN) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in November games are 31-6 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - poor defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 3-22 L/5 seasons for ago against 88% conversion rate for bettors. 

BROOKLYN is 7-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons and 4-0 L/4 at home in this series.

Play on the Moneyline - Brooklyn Nets 

I know both these sides can pour down points,  but when need be both are solid defensively as well in this battle of top tier sides, Im betting on a more physical type of  tilt that will result in a slower pace than the pundits and lines-makers expect based on overall data. the Celtics own the 21 ranked pace in the NBA while Memphis ranks 14th. 

MEMPHIS is 24-13 UNDER  versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 222.7 ppg scored.

BOSTON is 41-23 UNDER  in road games off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival with a combined average of 194.5 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS/BOSTON) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 39-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 27-4 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 23-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 92% conversion rate.

Play UNDER

Two top tier teams, play tonight as Boston visits Memphis. Im betting home court advantage with a team that went 30-11 SU as hosts last season and are already 3-0 straight up at home this season offers up value . 

Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Celtics are 19-40-2 ATS in their last 61 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.

MEMPHIS is 11-1 ATS  as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.MEMPHIS is 33-17 ATS  in home games over the last 2 seasons. Jenkins is 101-75 ATS   versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game as the coach of MEMPHIS.

MEMPHIS is 11-2 ATS  in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.MEMPHIS is 17-7 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 30-12 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - an excellent offensive team (118 or more  PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) are 27-4 L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. 

Take the points with Memphis to cover 

Orlando has played well at home this season beating Charlotte and Golden state and playing closely contested tilts vs Boston and Sacramento.  Meanwhile, Houston has lost 6 straight, with 5 of the 6 losses by 8 or more points and 9 of their L/10  games overall this season, and all 7 road tilts they have played. Advantage to Magic.

HOUSTON is 14-27 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 21-48 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - excellent shooting team (47% or more ) against a terrible defensive team ( 47% or more ), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO's). are 30-2 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.1 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA Home teams (ORLANDO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in two consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 22-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Orlando to cover 

The Jazz have played alot better hoops than many had expected after some departures in the off season. However its still early, and Ive noticed the Jazz have played a lot of run and gun hoops  on a heavy schedule, so they are on tired legs and vulnerable  entering this tilt vs a Clippers side that has won 3 straight games behind a solid D. With that said, Im recommending we ride the momentum of the Clippers at Staples today.  UTAH is 8-18 ATS  when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons.

UTAH is 9-21 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 season. UTAH is 15-31 ATS  after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons.

Jazz are 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Jazz are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 road games.Jazz are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Jazz are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Jazz are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (UTAH) - off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog, in November games are 2-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 94% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.4 which easily qualifies on this ATS line. 

Jazz are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover

The New Orleans Pelicans and Atlanta Hawks go head to head  Saturday in NBA action at the State Farm Arena. Both of these teams have been taking part in some high scoring events, but my projections tell me that is offered total is a little over blown considering the Pelicans played last night and are on tired legs. The Hawks are much fresher, but Im betting the Pelicans try to slow this game down to a manageable tempo which will in turn help us stay under this offered number.

Under is 5-2 in Pelicans last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.Under is 5-0 in Pelicans last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record

NEW ORLEANS is 17-6 UNDER  in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.3 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 17-2 UNDER  as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.3 ppg going on the board.

ATLANTA is 14-4 UNDER in home games versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 217.3 ppg.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (ATLANTA) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 35-4 UNDER  L/26 seasons for a 90% conversion rate.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 26-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate.

Play UNDER

New Orleans played last night in a win vs Golden State and will now be on tired legs against a well rested Atlanta Hawks side that is built to take on bigger teams like the Pelicans. 

ATLANTA is 29-15 ATS  when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 3 seasons. 

Pelicans are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Pelicans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Pelicans are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win.

NBA  Road teams vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 32-10 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate.

Pelicans are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 Saturday games.

Pelicans are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

Play on Atlanta to cover

Last time out -The Knicks came back from a  12-point deficit ,  in the fourth-quarter Friday to edge the host Philadelphia 76ers 106-104. The Celtics are off a  hard fought victory Chicago Bulls to take a 123-119 event. Both teams are now ion tired legs, but the Knicks under HC Thibodeau has proved themselves to well conditioned. Note: Thibodeau is 18-7 ATS   when playing on back-to-back days as the coach of NEW YORK. Knicks are also 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 0 days rest. Knicks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Celtics are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.

Celtics are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.

BOSTON is 14-30 ATS  versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (BOSTON) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 10-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors.

The Knicks have won the L/3 meetings SU at home in this series.

Play on the Knicks to cover

Brooklyn is off a much needed win last time out playing a complete game vs the Washington Wizards. by a 128-86 count. But now Im betting on regression, vs a Charlotte side that is desperate for some positive results after 3 straight losses.Note:  BROOKLYN is 9-25 ATS (after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons.Udoka is 1-14 ATS  vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game in all games he has coached.

BROOKLYN is 10-26 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 18-43 ATS  as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 17-30 ATS  after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 68 points or more in the first half last game are 27-17 L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. Im not recommending we make this a ML bet, but giving an example of a possible outright upset that makes taking points a very viable option.

Play on Charlotte to cover 

Golden State took part in a back and forth event last night with the Orlando Magic losing 130-129  and are now on tired legs headed into this tilt against Zion Williamson and company and  at a disadvantage after losing 4 straight games, thanks to a shoddy D, that ranks last in the league in ppg allowed (122.2). Im betting on the Pelicans who will be prepared  as hosts to take advantage of an opponents not operating on all cylinders.GOLDEN STATE is 5-16 ATS  in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 22-34 ATS  in road games over the last 2 seasons.GOLDEN STATE is 11-22 ATS  in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 11-32 L/26 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -4.2. 

Play on New Orleans to cover

Orlando ranks 29th in offensive output,  and 12th in ppg allowed and rank 18th in pace. Meanwhile, Golden state is almost the complete opposite, running and gunning behind a fast paced attack. The clashes of these opposites bodes well however, according to my projections for seeing a combined score that fails to eclipse this number. The Magic dont have the overall talent or system to push back hard on the Warriors, and the visitors Im betting after a grueling start to their campaign may  treat this like a defacto game off and make a it a more pleasure orientated  trip to Disney. Grinder on board. 

GOLDEN STATE is 15-5 UNDER   in road games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 217.5 ppg scored. 

GOLDEN STATE L/12  road games against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 222.7 ppg scored.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (ORLANDO) - after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, a terrible team (25% or worse) playing a team with a losing record are 65-35 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play under

Utah despite of supposedly being in a rebuilding or remodeling mode have played well this season. However, now with opponents aware of the Jazz grit and top tier play to begin the season will now have zero surprise factor working for them, and will face a Dallas side prepared to play them. Also after falling asleep at the wheel in a loss vs the Orlando Magic last time out the Mavericks will be primed for a  bounce back effort.  

Jazz are 8-22-1 ATS in their last 31 road games.Jazz are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.Jazz are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Mavericks are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 home games.Mavericks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (UTAH) - off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog, in November games are 2-31 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.7 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA team (UTAH) - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (72-76%), after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 7-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Dallas is 5-1 SU/ATS L/6 at home in this series vs Utah.

Play on Dallas to cover 

Houston continues to be inconsistent offensively and tonight against a banged up Clippers side, Im betting this total will not be eclipsed as both teams flow issues lean towards a lower scoring affair. LA CLIPPERS are 9-1 UNDER  in road games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.8 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 12-3 UNDER  as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 206.4 ppg. 

Under is 20-8-1 in Clippers last 29 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA CLIPPERS/HOUSTON) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 30-5 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate with a combined average of 212.1 ppg scored.

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Houston.

Play on the UNDER

Milwaukee pulled off a 110-108 win in the first game of this 2 game set in Wisconsin with the visiting Detroit Pistons. The  Pistons showed alot of fight and grit  in that above mentioned tilt  and Im betting they're not going down without a fight tonight. Pistons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Pistons are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record

DETROIT is 30-13 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. DETROIT is 29-16 ATS  versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - team that had a winning record last season, after 4 or more consecutive wins are 8-29 ATS L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. 

NBA  team vs the money line (DETROIT) - off a loss against a division rival against opponent off a close win by 3 points or less over a division rival are 22-6 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate.

Play on the Detroit  Pistons to cover 

The Minnesota Timberwolves (4-3) head to The Valley on Tuesday night to take on the Phoenix Suns (5-1) at Footprint Center.

Phoenix will be without center Deandre Ayton (ankle) for the second straight game, and despite of not not effecting them last time out vs still rebuilding Houston, it will against the Wolves.  Im betting Aytons absence will be a negative factor that will help us cash a ticket with a Minnesota side off a loss vs the Spurs last time out in what was in my opinion a look ahead situation. Now focused on their opponent Im betting we see the Wolves step up in redemption mode. 

Williams is 15-34 ATS  in home games after a blowout win by 15 points or more in all games he has coached

MINNESOTA is 27-15 ATS  when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites (PHOENIX) - after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite, good team from last season who won 60% to 75% of their games are 6-25 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate.  

Play on Minnesota to cover