| NBA Archive | |||||||
| Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
| 04-02-23 | Warriors v. Nuggets -2 | 110-112 | Push | 0 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
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Its never easy playing in the high altitudes of the the Mile High city, but for a poor traveling side like Golden State a house of horrors could easily await them. The Nuggets according to my projections also matchup very well against the Warriors as was the case the last time these teams met back on Feb 2nd when the Nuggets procured a 134-117 victory. Note: GOLDEN STATE is 0-7 ATS in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season. I know Denver looked lethargic last time out in a loss but they are a resilient group and playing a top tier group of Warriors should have them motivated to get redemptionDENVER is 10-1 ATS after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half over the last 3 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 5-13 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -13.3. GOLDEN STATE is 8-22 ATSin road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season with the average ppg diff registering at -8.9. GOLDEN STATE is 5-15 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season with the average ppg diff registering at -10.2. GOLDEN STATE is 1-12 ATS in road games in the second half of the season this season. GOLDEN STATE is 1-9 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (DENVER) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 45-3 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs (GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or better ), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots are 15-41 L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver Nuggets to cover |
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| 04-02-23 | 76ers v. Bucks -4.5 | 104-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
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The Bucks came out flat against the Boston Celtics last time out losing by a 140-99 count, but now after that embarrassing defeat they will be very motivated for a bounce back against a 76ers side they also want to get revenge against for a loss they suffered here at home by a 133-1130 count almost a month ago and an earlier loss to the Sixers back on by on 110-102 in Philly. Note: Philadelphia in games they lose outright against same-season double avenging .500 or better opponents are 6-32 ATS . MILWAUKEE is 9-1 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite this season. MILWAUKEE is 14-5 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season. MILWAUKEE is 22-10 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. NBA team vs the money line (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off an embarrassing upset loss by 20 points or more as a favorite are 27-6 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA Favorites (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 48-17 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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| 04-02-23 | Pacers +13 v. Cavs | 105-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
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With a playoff berth already clinched, the Cleveland Cavaliers host the Indiana Pacers on Sunday to kick off the final week of the regular season. I know the Cavs have a top tier home record, but could easily be in a emotional letdown state after clinching a play off position and after 2 straight losses look like they are in a bit of late season funk and not at the top of the game, possibly because of fatigue as they have been involved in some very hard fought battles. With no play off appearance in the cards for the Pacers a win or very competitive effort would give them something to feel good about, and thats what Im betting goes down here tonight in Cleveland. Indiana to play all out hoops, and for the Cavs to overlook and recoup with a less than motivated effort.Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Play on Pacers to cover |
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| 04-02-23 | Suns v. Thunder UNDER 236 | 128-118 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
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When these teams played back on March 13 Oklahoma City grabbed a 124-120 win, but Im betting we do not reach the combined plateau in this tilt. It must be noted that the Suns are currently playing a top tier brand of defensive basketball, as is evident by allowing 105, 103, 100, and 93 points in their L/4 trips to the hardwood and will now not deviate from that strong transitional posture, making for what Im betting will be a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers expect. It must also be noted that PHOENIX is 21-9 UNDER revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points this season with a combined average of 220 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 16-5 UNDER revenging a road loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 219.2 ppg scored. Under is 4-1 in Thunder last 5 games following a straight up loss. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - an good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 46-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PHOENIX) - after allowing 95 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 44-17 OVER L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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| 04-02-23 | Mavs v. Hawks UNDER 244.5 | 130-132 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
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Atlanta took out Dallas 130-122 last time they met in Jan on the 18th. Under is 5-1 in Hawks last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. The Mavs will in the rematch will not try to run and gun again against the Hawks, and Im betting will instead be more conservative in transition. DALLAS is 8-1 UNDER in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 218.8 ppg scored. Under is 5-1 in Hawks last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Under is 7-1 in Mavericks last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 5-1 in Mavericks last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 5-1 in Mavericks last 6 road games. DALLAS is 9-1 UNDER after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 207.5 ppg scored. Kidd is 11-2 UNDER after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games as the coach of DALLAS with a combined average of 216.8 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DALLAS/ATLANTA) - in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%), in April games are 26-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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| 04-01-23 | Mavs v. Heat -1 | 122-129 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
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Both Dallas and Miami are in a funk right now despite of having talented rosters. The Heat has lost 3 straight while, the Mavs have lost 5 of their L/6. Both are desperate for wins , but Im betting home court advantage will be the difference maker in this head to head tilt. DALLAS is 6-18 ATS in non-conference games this season. Mavericks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Mavericks are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Mavericks are 2-10-2 ATS in their last 14 games playing on 2 days rest. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (MIAMI) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 35-4 L/27 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami Heat to cover |
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| 03-31-23 | Pistons v. Rockets UNDER 229.5 | 115-121 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
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You have heard of slugfest , well this tilt Im betting wont be one of them. Get ready for a Sleepfest instead between to team with nothing left to play for other than a strong draft choice. Under is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Under is 5-0 in Rockets last 5 home games. Under is 7-0 in Pistons last 7 road games. DETROIT is 12-2 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 223.6 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (HOUSTON) - in a game involving 2 lower tier teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after a combined score of 235 points or more are 27-3 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (DETROIT) - in a game involving two lower tier defensive teams (118 PPG or more) are 64-24 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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| 03-31-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -3.5 | 130-116 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
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The Knicks will be without key offensive cog Randle as they look to officially clinch a playoff spot Friday night. Im betting the Knicks clinching a play off spot tonight will be derailed for now vs a Cleveland side that matches up well against them according to my current power rankings. The Cavs rank 2nd in the NBA in SRS with a 5.52 mark, while NYK are ranked 7th with a 2.93 . Factoring in home court advantage the Cavs according to my projections should be -6 point favs giving us decent value laying 4 points or less. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average CLEVELAND is 14-4 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game this season. CLEVELAND is 24-13 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CLEVELAND) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games are 44-18 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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| 03-30-23 | Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 236.5 | 140-99 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
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Boston ranks 6th in ppg allowed this season/4th in defensive efficiency and rank 18th in pace, while the Bucks rank 3rd in defensive efficiency and 10th in pace. Both teams can score in bunches but in this type of affair between two of the top teams in the NBA a more conservative defensive minded approach must be expected especially with the play offs around the corner. Also the Bucks played last night in run gun fashion posting 149-136 win so instant offensive regression and tired legs vs a strong defensive side will effect their aggressiveness here and overall output giving us an edge on a under wager. Under is 8-2 in Bucks last 10 games playing with no rest. Under is 8-3 in Bucks last 11 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. MILWAUKEE in 57 games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 221.6 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE in 18 games as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season have seen a combined average of 227.3 ppg scored. Under is 11-4 in Celtics last 15 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. BOSTON in 18 road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season have seen a combined average of 221.7 ppg scored. BOSTON is 12-1 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 217.3 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - off a road win by 10 points or more, in a game involving two good teams are 31-4 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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| 03-29-23 | Jazz -4.5 v. Spurs | 128-117 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
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Im not a big believer in the tank mode concept but the Spurs are exhibiting a lack of competitive spirit of late losing 4 straight by DDs, and not eclipsing the 94 point plateau on offense in 3 of those games. I know Utah has also lost 4 straight, but now in desperation mode as they seek a play in spot against a side that they have the added incentive of revenge against Im betting the Jazz have a break out game and notch a win as road favs. (Note: San Antonio beat Utah 102-94 as road dogs back in Feb 28th) SAN ANTONIO is 1-9 ATS after 3 straight losses by 10 points or more this season SAN ANTONIO is 4-12 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season. NBA Road favorites (UTAH) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 26-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs (SAN ANTONIO) - averaging 45 or less rebounds/game on the season, after a game being out-rebounded by opponent by 20 or more are 13-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Utah to cover |
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| 03-29-23 | Clippers v. Grizzlies OVER 228.5 | 141-132 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
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Clippers always seem to play a more aggressive offensive style on the road, and Im betting nothing changes tonight against their hosts their explosive hosts the Memphis Grizzlies. Over is 21-8 in Clippers last 29 road games. Over is 4-0 in Clippers last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 6-1 in Clippers last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.(Beat the Bulls 124-112 last time out) Over is 18-7-1 in Grizzlies last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Over is 5-2 in Grizzlies last 7 overall. NBA team (LA CLIPPERS) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or better of their shots are 38-13 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Play over |
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| 03-29-23 | Heat +4.5 v. Knicks | 92-101 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
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The Knicks and Heat are both put looking for a top-six finish in the Eastern Conference in their final regular-season meeting between the longtime rivals . With that said Im expecting a hard fought battle with the away dog giving us a golden opportunity to cash a ticket. Note: Jimmy butler is expected to play tonight after taking the last game off with a sore neck. Knicks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after a combined score of 245 points or more are 29-50 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games are 44-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Heat are 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings in New York. Play on Miami to cover |
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| 03-28-23 | Pelicans v. Warriors -8.5 | 109-120 | Win | 100 | 15 h 10 m | Show | |
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Golden State had a 3 game win streak abruptly end last time out at home in a rare home loss to the up trending Minnesota wolves last time out. Now Im betting the Warriors will be wide awake and primed for a bounce back vs a Pelicans side that has found a way into the win column in 4 straight tilts( 3 of those wins came against bottom feeders Houston, Charlotte and San Antonio .That illustrates that their run may not be that impressive and a more subjective deeper look has me backing the home fav. NEW ORLEANS is 4-14 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Pelicans are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. NEW ORLEANS is 0-8 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 39 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.4. Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Warriors are 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 at home in this series. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, on Tuesday nights are 7-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a road loss vs opponent, off a win by 15 points or more as an underdog are just 10-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. (Golden State beat the Pelicans 108-99 here in this same venue on March 3). Play on Warriors |
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| 03-28-23 | Magic v. Grizzlies -7 | 108-113 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
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The Grizzlies are 32-5 at home this season with the average margin ppf diff clicking in at +11.2 ppg . Memphis is also on a 6 game win streak and gaining momentum as they heads towards the play offs. There will not be a letdown here down the stretch. I know the Magic are playing well , but that will have the Grizzlies even more focused. MEMPHIS is 16-4 ATS in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons. MEMPHIS is 21-8 ATS in home games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. MEMPHIS is 23-8 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on Memphis to cover |
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| 03-28-23 | Hornets v. Thunder -9 | 137-134 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
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Bringing down the hammer on lower tier sides is something the Thunder do well especially when playing as hosts. Thunder are currently secured victories in nine of their last 13 games, and HC Dort's defense has been a big reason for Oklahoma City's recent success. Nothing changes tonight especially if key star Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is unable to play because of a sore ankle. OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-0 ATS in home games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +17.6 . Play on the Oklahoma City Thunder |
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| 03-27-23 | Wolves v. Kings -5.5 | 119-115 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 49 m | Show | |
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Kings will be have an advantage vs a Minnesota side that played a hard fought game on the road against the Golden State Warriors last night grabbing narrow 99-96 victory. The Wolves victory was a grueling physical event and now on tired legs in a back to back situation their hosts the Sacramento Kings off since Friday have the advantage.Timberwolves are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win.Kings are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - an excellent offensive team (118 PPG or more ) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) are 46-8 L/27 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.2 which qualifies on this ATS offering. Sacramento Kings to cover |
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| 03-27-23 | 76ers +6 v. Nuggets | 111-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
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After a 7 game win streak the Sixers have hit a road bump losing 3 of their L/4, but now Im betting on a bounce back effort vs a winning side that should have them motivated in ready to compete- if not even pull off the outright upset. I know Embiid and Harden are not 100% but at least one of them is expected to play tonight and even if they don't Im betting the 76ers are still deep enough to step up and compete. Note: 76ers are 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Denver. PHILADELPHIA is 10-2 ATS when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days this season. DENVER is 5-16 ATS after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - off a home win, in March games are 39-76 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season, after allowing 120 points or more 2 straight games are 38-23 ATS L/27 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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| 03-27-23 | Bucks v. Pistons +15.5 | 126-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
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Detroits has not got alot to play for other than pride at this point in the season, and tonight against the defending champs their egos will be on the line, as they are rated as 15 point plus home dogs. The advantage that the Pistons have here at least on this line, is that Milwaukee is on tired legs, as this is their 3rd game in 4 nights and could also be over looking an inferior opponent. Advantage goes to the fresher legs of the Pistons playing at home. Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Casey is 34-18 ATS L/52 in home games after 4 or more consecutive losses in all games he has coached . NBA Road favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - hot team - having won 15 or more of their last 20 games, extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days are 5-26 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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| 03-26-23 | Wolves v. Warriors -6.5 | 99-96 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
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Home sweet home is where Golden state plays their best basketball as their 30-7 SU record would indicate with the average ppg diff margin clicking in at just under +8 points which qualifies on this ATS offering . The Warriors have 3 straight wins and took out a top tier Philadelphia squad here at home last time out, by a 120-112 count and Im betting on the momentum of their current run to extend into todays tilt against the visiting Wolves, who despite of two consecutive wins have been highly inconsistent this season. Golden State is 5-0 SU/ATS L/5 at home in this series. GOLDEN STATE is 22-6 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or better assists/game this season. GOLDEN STATE is 15-3 ATS in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - an excellent offensive team (118 or more PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) are 46-7 L/26 seasons for a 87% SU conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking at +10.4 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Golden State Warriors to cover |
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| 03-26-23 | Thunder v. Blazers +9.5 | 118-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
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After 3 straight hard fought tilts against the LA Clippers( back to back meetings) and a their recent loss to the Lakers, Im betting the Thunder may not be as viable a favorite as the lines-makers expect even though the Blazers are missing Lillard and some other not as important starters. Im betting on the Blazers support staff will step things up a notch off the bench as they look to make an impression that will further their careers. Thunder are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Trail Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. PORTLAND is 12-3 ATS in home games versus sub standard defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game this season. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 28-2 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate. (The Thunder beat the 138-129 back in Feb 10 here in Portland) Play on Portland to cover |
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| 03-26-23 | Bulls +3.5 v. Lakers | 118-108 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
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The Lakers continue to play hard to try to get themselves in a play off spot, but now play against a side in top form. Chicago is off smashing Portland 124-96 on Friday to open a three-game road trip while grabbing its sixth victory in eight games and must be respected in this spot play vs a aging Lakers group. Bulls are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games.Bulls are 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.The Bulls won both meetings last season and viable underdogs in this spot play. Lakers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 1 days rest. Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Play on Chicago Bulls to cover |
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| 03-25-23 | Bucks v. Nuggets -2.5 | 106-129 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
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Milwaukee is off a huge DD win vs the Jazz last night in Salt Lake City scoring 144 points. Now Im expecting immediate regression by a Bucks side playing back to back games on tired legs in the high altitudes of the Mile High City. Advantage Denver. MILWAUKEE is 15-28 ATSas an underdog over the last 3 seasons DENVER is 11-2 ATS in home games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season this season. NBA team (MILWAUKEE) - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (72-76%), after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 10-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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| 03-24-23 | Bucks v. Jazz +9 | 144-116 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 2 m | Show | |
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The Jazz consistently bring their A game to tilts against top tier sides like visiting Milwaukee . Note: Jazz are 5-0-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.The Jazz have also been particularly tough to play against at home when they are underdogs as is evident by their 10-0 ATS record as a home underdog this season. The edge goes to the Salt Lake city crew in this spot play. UTAH is 10-2 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. NBA Underdogs (UTAH) - sub par defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after 3 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 37-14 ATS L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), red hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 50% or better of their shots are 6-28 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Bucks are 4-17 ATS in the last 21 meetings in Utah. Play on Utah to cover |
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| 03-23-23 | Thunder v. Clippers -2.5 | 105-127 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
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The Clippers lost to Oklahoma city on March 21st by a 101-100 count as 7 point chalk and will be primed for a big bounce back effort here tonight in the rematch. I know the Clippers are without key player George, but they are a deep group and have the replacements ie(Eric Gordon, Robert Covington and Bones Hyland )to excel off the bench. Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Clippers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. Thunder are 47-23-3 ATS in their last 73 road games. NBA Favorites (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 38-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (LA CLIPPERS) - off a close home loss by 3 points or less against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are 25-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play on LA Clippers to cover |
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| 03-22-23 | 76ers -3.5 v. Bulls | 116-91 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
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Philadelphia has revenge on board for a loss they suffered to this same Chicago side at home few days ago and will now be primed on getting redemption in this home and home series. That defeat ended a 8 game win streak for the 76ers. Philadelphia has won and covered their L/5 trips to Chicago. PHILADELPHIA is 9-1 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO is 4-14 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 30-19 ATS versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season. NBA Favorites (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 37-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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| 03-22-23 | Spurs +17.5 v. Bucks | 94-130 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
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Don't be surprised if this ends up being a defacto night off for the Bucks as they are highly likely to rest players as this game goes on vs the lowly Spurs.Note: The Spurs have covered 3 of their L/4 overall. Spurs are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Bucks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games. Home favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread, playing with 2 days rest are just 9-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors, MILWAUKEE is 42-70 ATS L/112 in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) - 2nd half of the season. Spurs are 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Spurs are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Milwaukee. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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| 03-22-23 | Hawks v. Wolves -4.5 | 124-125 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
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Minnesota have been a inconsistent most of the season, but almost always save their best effort for top tier opposition like they will face tonight. With the Hawks off a win vs Pistons last night scoring 125 points in DD victory and now playing in a back to back situation Im betting they are a disadvantage vs a Wolves side that needs wins if they have hopes of getting a play in post season spot . Hawks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.Karl-Anthony Towns and Anthony Edwards are expected to return to the lineup tonight. NBA Road underdogs (ATLANTA) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 17-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. Play on the Wolves to cover |
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| 03-21-23 | Celtics v. Kings UNDER 238.5 | 132-109 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 48 m | Show | |
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The Kings will need to ramp up their D here against a strong Boston side. The Kings have done a decent job on defense for the most part of late, but did have a down effort defensively last time out allowing 128 points in a loss to the Jazz. SACRAMENTO is 39-21 UNDER off a road loss over the last 3 seasons with a combined average with a combined average of 225.9 ppg scored.Under is 3-1-1 in Kings last 5 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Meanwhile, the Celtics rank 7th in ppg allowed and 4th in defensive rating and ranked 19th in pace, and will be primed to stand tall here defensively against an explosive side. Under is 18-8 in Kings last 26 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 11-3 in Celtics last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 20-8 in Celtics last 28 games playing on 2 days rest. BOSTON is 14-6 UNDER as a road favorite of 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 223.5 ppg scored. BOSTON is 13-4 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. with a combined average of 220.6 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (SACRAMENTO) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 35-11 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 74-32 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Sacramento. Play UNDER |
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| 03-20-23 | Pacers -1.5 v. Hornets | 109-115 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
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Charlotte has lost 4 straight and 7 of their L/9 overall and are fade material in their current form , even here in their own backyard. Mean while, Indiana has won 7 of their L/11 , and have not dropped back to back games in more than a month.( The Pacers lost to Philadelphia last time out) Both of these sides are not in play off contention but the Pacers seem to be more interested in improving as the season winds down and get the nod tonight as short favs. Hornets are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. CHARLOTTE is 3-13 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season.CHARLOTTE is 6-21 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season.CHARLOTTE is 1-8 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season. Play on Indiana to cover |
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| 03-19-23 | Heat v. Pistons +9.5 | 112-100 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
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Miami has been very inconsistent when it comes to a betting perspective as they have been consistently over rated by the lines-makers as is evident by failing to cover 13 of their L/18 games overall which includes a DD loss last night in Chicago. Heat are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Heat are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games . MIAMI is also 4-14 ATS when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% or less ) over the last 3 seasons like Motown.MIAMI is also just 7-19 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. MIAMI is 2-13 ATS versus struggling defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or more this season. DETROIT is 6-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons.Heat are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings. NBA Home underdogs (DETROIT) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, in March games are 50-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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| 03-19-23 | Hawks v. Spurs +9 | 118-126 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
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Atlanta is not a reliable favorite as is evident by a 8-17 ATS record as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. The Hawks are coming off a home win, but their ability to keep momentum alive after a home victory has not been a good look for their betting supporters as they are 9-24 ATS after playing a home game this season and 4-14 ATS off a home win this season and overall are 8-21 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season. Hawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. I know San Antonio may not inspire bettors, but they do offer value on this home underdog line and have been fairly competitive of late. Popovich is 113-81 ATS against Southeast division opponents as the coach of SAN ANTONIO. SAN ANTONIO is 8-0 ATS in home games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season. AN ANTONIO is 21-4 straight up against ATLANTA since 1996. Play on the San Antonio Spurs |
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| 03-18-23 | Heat -2.5 v. Bulls | 99-113 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
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The Heat have looked good recently against some top tier teams, with with wins Cleveland , Memphis, and Atlanta and are once again viable opponents for a Bulls team playing back to back games on tired legs. Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest. NBA Road favorites (MIAMI) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, playing with 2 days rest are 26-6 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. NBA Home underdogs (CHICAGO) - off an home win scoring 110 or more points, playing on back-to-back days are 30-51 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. Heat are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Chicago. Play on Miami Heat to cover |
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| 03-18-23 | 76ers -6 v. Pacers | 141-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
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Indiana has lost its last five meetings against Philadelphia, including the first three matchups this season. Sixers star Joel Embiid scored 42 points in a 147-143 win over the Pacers on March 6 . The front runner for MVP Im betting will once again be ready to bring down the hammer and help his team to a conclusive victory vs a over matched inconsistent opponent. Im also not worried about this being a back to back situation fro what my power ranking suggest is the best conditioned side in the NBA. PHILADELPHIA is 9-1 ATS when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days this season. NBA Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (INDIANA) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog are 1-29 L/5 seasons wirh the average ppg diff clicking in at - 11.7. Play on 76ers to cover |
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| 03-18-23 | Nuggets -1.5 v. Knicks | 110-116 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
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The Denver Nuggets took a conclusive win at Detroit on Thursday night when they snapped a season-long four-game skid and officially clinched a playoff spot. Now with momentum on their sides, Im betting they will be primed to keep the winning going against a viable opponent. DENVER is 21-9 ATS after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 3 season. Meanwhile, after a grueling 4 game west coast road trip, and despite having a few days off Im betting the Knicks will take time to acclimated to home cooking and to also shake of the rust . DENVER is 24-13 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Nuggets are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in New York. Play on Denver to cover |
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| 03-17-23 | Pelicans v. Rockets +6 | 112-114 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
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Houston has won two straight vs the Lakers and Celtics and seem to have momentum thanks to an intense defensive style of play that is currently clicking on all cylinders. Considering the Pelicans uneven form, it wont be a hard decision to fade them here as road favs. Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. Rockets are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall.Rockets are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. NEW ORLEANS is 1-9 ATS in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons. NEW ORLEANS is 12-21 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season. Houston Rockets to cover |
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| 03-17-23 | Warriors v. Hawks -2 | 119-127 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
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Golden State is banged up with a huge injury list and personnel playing at less than 100%. Considering this and the Warriors struggles away from home it is an easy decision to back the Atlanta Hawks at home. GOLDEN STATE is 0-9 ATS in road games in the second half of the season this season. GOLDEN STATE is 8-25 ATS in road games this season. Kerr is 37-58 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of GOLDEN STATE. Warriors are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta. Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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| 03-17-23 | Wizards v. Cavs UNDER 220.5 | 94-117 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
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Cleveland runs at a snails pace ranking 30th in the NBA and rank 1st in ppg allowed in the league and just 25th in ppg offense . CLEVELAND is 13-4 UNDER in home games against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons like Washington with a combined average of 209.2 ppg going on the board. Im betting Cleveland will control the pace of this game , which will result in a lower scoring affair. Under is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. CLEVELAND is 12-3 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 204.2 ppg scored. Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings. Play UNDER |
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| 03-16-23 | Magic v. Suns UNDER 228.5 | 113-116 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
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Orlando took out the Suns by a 114-97 count the last time they played this season back on Nov 11. Because of the style of hoops both sides play against comparative sides, a under wager makes sense , based on my own projections which estimate a total closer to 225. PHOENIX is 14-3 UNDER revenging a road loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 220.2 ppg scored. ORLANDO is 11-3 UNDER in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season with a combined average of 213.2 ppg scored..ORLANDO is 10-1 UNDER after a blowout loss by 15 points or more this season with a combined average of 217.7 ppg scored. The Magic played little or no D, in a ugly loss to San Antonio last time out, and the coaching staff was not impressed. Im expecting a more concerted and attentive effort in transition here tonight by the Magic. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 34-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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| 03-16-23 | Nuggets -13.5 v. Pistons | 119-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
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Denver will not be taking the tanking and banged up Pistons lightly tonight Quote: "Right now we're just in chill mode, and you can't be in chill mode with 13 games to go in the season," Malone said. "We've got to try to find a way to get our swagger back." End Quote. Heres another one -"Maybe we've gotten a little soft with success," Malone said. "We've been on cruise control for so long, No. 1 in the West since like Dec. 15. I just told our players we've gotten away from who we are." End Quote. Im betting on the Nuggets trying to get some lost mojo back and gain momentum towards the play offs with a big effort vs a less superior side tonight. Denver also has the added incentive of revenge for a embarrassing 110-108 loss to the Pistons, Dec 22. Im sure Malone will have his side ready to get some redemption. NBA Road teams (DENVER) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 49-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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| 03-15-23 | Warriors v. Clippers UNDER 235.5 | 126-134 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 45 m | Show | |
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Clippers are deliberate side, that ranks 24th in pace, and Im betting they will be even more conservative here in transition tonight against an explosive offensive opponent which will result in a lower scoring affair than the linesmakers estimate. Kerr is 21-8 UNDER in road games off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival as the coach of GOLDEN STATE with a combined average of 213.4 ppg scored.( Golden State took a 123-112 event vs the Suns last time out). LA CLIPPERS are 25-8 UNDER in home games this season with a combined average of 220 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 10-2 UNDER as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 212.7 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 21-6 UNDER in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season with a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (CHICAGO) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 50-14 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 78 Play on the UNDER |
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| 03-15-23 | Kings v. Bulls UNDER 239 | 117-114 | Win | 100 | 15 h 56 m | Show | |
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After playing a physical wide open game vs the Bucks last time out Im betting on an emotional letdown situation to rare its ugly head here tonight in Chicago for Sacramento. I also expect a more concerted defensive effort from the Kings after imploding defensively in the 2nd half of the above mentioned game vs the Bucks . Meanwhile the Bulls who rank 20th in offense and 10th and defense behind the 17th ranked pace will be especially careful in transition tonight vs an explosive side which will help us keep the combined score on the low side of the total. CHICAGO is 8-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 210.5 ppg scored.
Brown is 17-6 UNDER in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game as the coach of SACRAMENTO with a combined average of 228.2 ppg scored. Donovan is 33-11 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season in all games he has coached since 1996 with acombined average of 213.3 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (CHICAGO) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 50-14 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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| 03-15-23 | Celtics -4.5 v. Wolves | 104-102 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
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Boston are off a embarrassing loss to the Rockets last time out (111-109 as 13 point chalk), and will now be primed for a bounce back performance vs a side they match well against. The Celtics defeated the Wolves 121-109 earlier this season and covering as 4 point road chalk wont be a difficult prospect here especially after their recent loss to a lower tier side. BOSTON is 21-6 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 13-4 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons. Finch is 4-17 ATS after 3 consecutive non-conference games as the coach of MINNESOTA. NBA Home underdogs (MINNESOTA) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off an upset win as a road underdog are 10-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home underdogs vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - revenging a road loss vs opponent, off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog are 2-28 SU L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -10.1 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Celtics to cover |
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| 03-14-23 | Pistons v. Wizards -11.5 | 97-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
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Detroit is a highly inconsistent team, and after coming off a surprising 117-97 win last time out vs Indiana , that ended a 11 game losing streak Im betting this banged up group will have a down effort . Their opponents the Wizards are in desperation mode after suffering 3 straight losses and in need of wins if they hope to procure a play in game spot. Note:DETROIT is 1-14 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 17.1 ppg. Play on Washington to cover |
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| 03-13-23 | Bucks -1.5 v. Kings | 133-124 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
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Milwaukee blew a OT loss Golden State last time out , and lost 125-116 affter making a late comeback surge and erasing 15 points . Thanks to that loss, and they way it happened you can bet the defending champs will primed for a redemption minded bounce back effort. I Dont think their is an argument here who is the better team making this an easy choice on a short chalk line. Sacramento has lost 5 straight meetings against the Bucks. MILWAUKEE is 15-4 ATS in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or less - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. MILWAUKEE is 12-4 ATS as a road favorite this season. NBA Home underdogs (SACRAMENTO) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off an upset win as a road underdog are 10-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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| 03-13-23 | Bucks v. Kings UNDER 244.5 | 133-124 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
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My projections estimate a combined score of 232, giving us tremendous value on this public totals offering. MILWAUKEE is 26-11 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average of 221.9 ppg scored. SACRAMENTO is 15-7 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 232.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 41-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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| 03-13-23 | Celtics v. Rockets +12.5 | 109-111 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
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To tank or not to tank, that is the question for Houston. Im betting this young group with a chance to upset a top tier opponent will be primed to play hard here and leave everything on the court. Meanwhile, the Celtics could easily overlook this opponent and rest players as the the game progresses. Rockets are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. Play on Houston to cover |
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| 03-13-23 | Wolves v. Hawks -5 | 136-115 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
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The Atlanta Hawks are in desperation mode tonight as they take on the Minnesota Timberwolves. as they look to be included the play-in tournament . The Hawks are chasing the New York Knicks who are ahead of them by 4 1/2 games in the chase for the No. 6 spot in the Eastern Conference playoffs with only 14 contests left. With that said, Im betting the Hawks come out here with their proverbial hair on fire. Note: Minnesota is banged up and are without Karl-Anthony Towns, . Jaylen Nowell and Austin Rivers is less than 100% and missed Friday's game with back spasms. MINNESOTA is 4-14 ATS against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 7-16 ATS in non-conference games this season. ATLANTA is 20-9 ATS ( in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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| 03-13-23 | Grizzlies v. Mavs +1.5 | 104-88 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
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The Grizzlies have not played well on the road this season or more precisely have not been a consistent side on the road as their 12-21 SU /11-20 -2 ATS road record would indicate . MEMPHIS is also just 6-17 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season.
I know the Mavs are also very inconsistent but they seem to come to life vs top tier oppomnents and deserve respect here at home. Mavericks are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on Dallas to cover |
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| 03-12-23 | Blazers v. Pelicans UNDER 231 | 110-127 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
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The Pelicans have averaged just 107 ppg on offense in their L/5 trips to the hardwood, and depend on being conservative on transition which results in slow placed games. The current 5 game run has see a combined average of just 218.8 ppg scored. The Pelicans currently rank 8th in defensive efficiency. Meanwhile, Portland has also had problems being consistent on offense of late , and despite of a big output last time out in a 120-119 loss to the 76ers have seen 5 of their L/7 overall remain on the low side of the offered total. Im expecting offensive regression here especially with this being the Blazers 6th straight rad game. Im betting their tired legs will have them not willing to take part in a run and gun affair, which the Pelicans dont want any part of anyway. Under is 6-0 in Pelicans last 6 overall.Under is 4-0 in Pelicans last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. NEW ORLEANS is 12-3 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.NEW ORLEANS is 23-8 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 221.4 ppg scored.NEW ORLEANS is 8-1 UNDER \ when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 218.6 ppg scored. PORTLAND is 31-17 UNDER after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.8 ppg scored.PORTLAND is 18-9 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season with a combined average of 225.5 ppg scored. Under is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 7-1 in Trail Blazers last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 12-5 in Trail Blazers last 17 road games. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PORTLAND) - an good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 70-30 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings with a combined average of 213.1 ppg scored. Play under |
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| 03-11-23 | Bucks +1.5 v. Warriors | 116-125 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
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Golden States lost 3 straight games, and getting are not the same side that dominated the NBA a few seasons back.Yes, they have played their best hoops at home , but they still have procured 7 losses as hosts and are not invincible. Meanwhile, MILWAUKEE is 12-4 ATS as a road favorite this season. Im betting on the defending NBA champs to be wide awake here in this spot play situation. Bucks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Bucks are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 road games. MILWAUKEE is 15-3 ATS in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 1-9 ATS after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (GOLDEN STATE) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 9-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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| 03-11-23 | Mavs v. Grizzlies -5.5 | 108-112 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
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Dallas has lost 7 of their L/10 overall and now go against a side that plays their best hoops at home where they have garnered a 27-5 record. With the added incentive of revenge for a ugly DD loss on the road back in October to the Mavs Im now betting the combo of home court advantage and redemption will have the Grizzlies in top form and ready for merciless retribution. Yes, I know Ja Morant is out for the Grizzlies and they are a bit banged up, but Dallas is in the same boat with key stars Doncic and Irving also injured and less than 100%. MEMPHIS is 10-1 ATS in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.MEMPHIS is 14-2 ATS in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Grizzlies to cover |
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| 03-11-23 | Celtics v. Hawks UNDER 236.5 | 134-125 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
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My projections make this total closer to 231 which gives us at least a two full possession value to the under. Bostons well rested and with the play offs approaching quickly will continue to hone their key defensive skills . Boston operates at the 20th ranked pace in the NBA and owns the 4th best defensive rating on the league. Note: Boston has gone under in 8 of their L/9 with 2 days rest and have gone under in 14 of their L/16 as 8 point or less road chalk. Atlanta has gone under in 8 of their L/9 as conference home dogs and are 0-5 under L/5 in this series vs Boston with the average combined score clicking in at 208.2 ppg. Snyder is 44-22 UNDER in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts - 2nd half of the season in all games he has coached since 1996 with a combined average of 204.4 ppg scored. BOSTON is 7-0 UNDER in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season with a combined average of 209.7 ppg scored.BOSTON is 20-5 UNDER when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.9 ppg scored. BOSTON is 13-3 UNDER as a road favorite of 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 219.9 ppg scored. BOSTON is 15-7 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season with a combined average of 230.5 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 52-21 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (ATLANTA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a win against a division rival are 46-20 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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| 03-11-23 | Jazz v. Hornets +2.5 | 119-111 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
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Charlotte has played alot more consistently of late winning 7 of their L/10 including 2 straight. The same cannot be said about Utah a side that has lost 9 of their L/13 overall and 4 of their L/5 . The performance divergence has me recommending we take the home dog in this spot play against a tired side now playing their 5th straight road game. Hornets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win UTAH is 3-12 ATS in road games in March games over the last 2 seasons. UTAH is 15-32 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons UTAH is 43-61 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons NBA Home teams (CHARLOTTE) - after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 130 points or more are 32-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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| 03-10-23 | Cavs v. Heat +1.5 | 115-119 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
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Cavaliers held off a late Miami rally in a 104-100 win in South Florida the other night but now Im betting the Heat fight back and get the win in revenge mode. CLEVELAND is 2-11 ATS in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons and are a sub .500 road side this season. NBA Underdogs (MIAMI) - cold team - failing to cover the spread in 12 or more of the last 15 against opponent after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread are 80-33 ATS L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami to cover |
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| 03-10-23 | Hawks -1 v. Wizards | 114-107 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
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The current No. 8 Hawks scored a 122-120 win over the Wizards, who were No. 10 entering Thursday's play and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here tonight. Streaky super star Trae Young, the Hawks' leading scorer on the season at 26.7 points per game, procured 28 points in Wednesday's win and added 10 assists and Im betting he will be their main offensive catalyst again. Washington now enters Friday's contest trailing the Hawks by two games and ninth-place Toronto by a half-game through Wednesday's action and Atlanta can put a proverbial dagger in their hopes with a win here and will be very motivated to do so. WASHINGTON is 0-7 ATS in home games on Friday nights this season. NBA Home underdogs vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - off a home loss against a division rival, extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days are 2-26 L/27 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate for bettors. ATLANTA is 7-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons and have won 3 of the L/4 meetings here in DC. Play on Atlanta to win |
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| 03-09-23 | Nets v. Bucks -11.5 | 113-118 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
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Milwaukee has beaten Brooklyn by 10 ,18 14 points this season and now with their key starters now gone they look like cannon fodder once again. Thanks to the Nets current 3 game win streak the Bucks will not overlook them. NBA Road underdogs of +375 or higher vs. the money line (BROOKLYN) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, in March games are 4-115 L/27 seasons for a 97% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.6 which qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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| 03-09-23 | Warriors v. Grizzlies +2.5 | 110-131 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
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Memphis has lost both games to the Warriors this season, and are in revenge mode here this evening. The Grizzlies are 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 when seeking same season revenge. I know Memphis has been a small funk of late, but they are a resilient bunch, going 9-1 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 13-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons GOLDEN STATE is 3-12 ATS as a road favorite this season. GOLDEN STATE is 0-7 ATS in road games in the second half of the season this season. MEMPHIS is 9-1 ATS in home games versus struggling foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.MEMPHIS is 12-3 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on Memphis to cover |
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| 03-08-23 | Hawks v. Wizards +3.5 | 122-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
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The Hawks are being over rated here as road favs vs their hosts the Washington Wizards according to my projections especially considering their current form that has seen them lose 3 of their L/4 overall. I know Washington played last night, but they are one of the leagues better conditioned sides. . Wizards are 42-19-2 ATS in their last 63 games playing on no rest. Wizards are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. (They lost to Miami 130-128 last time out. ) ATLANTA is 7-16 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. ATLANTA is 15-26 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after a combined score of 245 points or more are 20-52 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington to cover |
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| 03-07-23 | Nets v. Rockets +6.5 | 118-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
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Both these teams are on two game winning runs, with both getting their wins vs the lowly San Antonio Spurs. I know the Rockets don't inspire bettors, but here against a inconsistent Brooklyn team now playing with a average at best roster and in rebuild mode Im betting the Rockets can be competitive.BROOKLYN is 18-35 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 2-14 ATS when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 25% or less) over the last 3 seasons. NBA Favorites (BROOKLYN) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 25-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to cover |
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| 03-07-23 | 76ers v. Wolves OVER 229 | 117-94 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
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Philly has really been ratcheting up their offense of late scoring an average of 124.8 ppg in their L/5 trips to the court, and Im betting their aggressive offensive posture will continue here tonight against the Wolves who have allowed +115 ppg at home this season. Note: The 76ers have allowed more than 113 ppg on the road this season and my projections estimate a number closer to 114 for the Wolves offensive output. PHILADELPHIA is 16-0 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with the combined average of 254.6 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 OVER after a combined score of 225 points or more this season with a combined average of 250.8 ppg scored. (Philly took a 147-143 win vs Pacers last time out) MINNESOTA is 25-7 OVER after allowing 130 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 239.9 ppg scored.( Minnesota took out Sacramento last time out by a 138-134 count) NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 ( MINNESOTA/ PHILADELPHIA) - after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 265 points or more are 23-2 OVER L/27 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the over |
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| 03-06-23 | Pelicans v. Kings UNDER 237.5 | 108-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
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Sacramento is off a exhausting back and forth game vs Minnesota last time out losing a 138-134 dog fight and will be in a natural letdown state here and an obvious regressionary offensive output result could easily be the result . That Im betting directly effects this combined score to the under. Note: The Pelicans are banged up and their offensive flow is off, as is evident by averaging 105.4 ppg in their L/5 overall and have failed to eclipse the 100 point plateau in 2 of thier L/3. The Pelicans have also gone under the total in 6 of their L/7 and 20-5 UNDER after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 212.6 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 12-2 UNDER in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.7 ppg. I know the Kings have revenge on board for a DD loss to the Pelicans back on Feb 5th but it must also be noted that NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are just 77-39 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, in March games are 30-8 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - after scoring 125 points or more 2 straight games are 60-30 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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| 03-06-23 | Hawks +3 v. Heat | 128-130 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
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The Heat host the Atlanta Hawks for the second straight game. the Heat took the last game but have been overall very inconsistent this season, and putting back to back top tier efforts in have been rare. Note: MIAMI is 9-21 ATS in home games this season and are 4-18 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season.Trae Young is another example of inconsistency as was evident in the last game as he procured a season-low eight points on 2-for-13 shooting against Miami on Saturday. Im betting he wont be stopped two games in a row and will be the difference maker in the rematch. Hawks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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| 03-05-23 | Spurs +3 v. Rockets | 110-142 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
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Two bottom feeder who are evenly matched go back to back today after playing each other yesterday. The Rockets found a way past the Spurs in yesterdays tilt, but now Im expecting a bounce back effort from the visitors today. Rockets are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest. HOUSTON is 3-15 ATSin home games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons NBA Road teams (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 101-58 L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Spurs have won their L/4 visits to Houston. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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| 03-05-23 | Pacers v. Bulls -6 | 125-122 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
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Bulls have revenge on board for two losses to the Pacers this season and will be primed for pay back here in this spot play at home. Indianas last four away versus opposition seeking same-season double revenge are 0-4 ATS . Pacers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games. Bulls are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Bulls are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 home games.Bulls are 40-19-1 ATS in their last 60 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. CHICAGO is 15-4 ATS in home games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road underdogs (INDIANA) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 14-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors, NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHICAGO) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after a loss by 10 points or more are 41-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago to cover |
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| 03-04-23 | 76ers +5 v. Bucks | 133-130 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
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The visitor in this series is 4-1 L/5 . The 76ers are also 5-0 vs .666 or better non-division op during this current campaign. Meanwhile, the Bucks are an ugly 0-5 ATS L/5 vs .650 or better opponents like Philly. Milwaukee's latest victory, a 139-117 decision over the Orlando Magic on Wednesday. The Bucks hit a season-high 26 3-pointers in the win and now Im betting on immediate regression vs a much stronger defensive side. The Bucks have split their first two meetings against the Sixers this season, both at Philadelphia. Milwaukee won 90-88 in the season opener on Oct. 20 and lost 110-102 on Nov. 18. Im bettong another hard fought close tilt with the points proving to be golden. PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 ATS when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days this season. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - off a home win, in March games are just 31-61 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate. NBA Road teams (PHILADELPHIA) - an good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more are 14-36 ATS L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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| 03-04-23 | Rockets v. Spurs UNDER 231.5 | 122-110 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
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Houstons 10 division games this season have seen a combined average of. 224.2 ppg scored. The Rockets rank 29th in ppg offense and rank 15th in pace. Meanwhile, San Antonio is banged up and has scored an average of just over 108 ppg in their L/5 as they have slowed down their pace perspicaciously and focused alot more on on paying attention defensively in transition. Everything points to this being lower scoring than the lines-makers offered number. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (SAN ANTONIO/HOUSTON) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG are 70-26 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 6-0 in Rockets last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Under is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Play under |
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| 03-03-23 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets UNDER 234 | 97-113 | Win | 100 | 15 h 19 m | Show | |
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Memphis ranks 6th in ppg allowed this season, while Denver ranks 12th in ppg allowed along with a pace that ranks 19th in the league. My projections estimate a Total that should be closer to 230 giving us a 2 possession advantage to the under on this offering. Under is 9-3-1 in Nuggets last 13 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. (Denver poured down 133 points in a win vs Houston last time out and now a regression from a offensive standpoint is expected) Under is 7-1 in Grizzlies last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 6-1 in Grizzlies last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 13-3-1 in Grizzlies last 17 overall. MEMPHIS in 10 games as a road underdog this season have seen a combined average of 223.9 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 27-14 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 223 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 26-8 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 221.3 ppg scored.MEMPHIS is 12-4 UNDER versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game this season with a combined average of 228 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 24-10 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season with a combined average of 228.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 39-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS) - off a road win by 10 points or more, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 27-4 ATS L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS/DENVER) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 49-10 L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 27-11 in the last 38 meetings. Play on the UNDER |
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| 03-03-23 | Clippers +6 v. Kings | 127-128 | Win | 100 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
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The last time these teams played seven days ago, they took part in the second-highest scoring game in NBA history with the Kings pulling off a 176-175 victory. While I dont expect any where near that offensive production from these teams in the rematch I do expect it to be closely contested. Note: LA CLIPPERS in their L/28 games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite over the last 2 seasons the ppg diff has clicked in at - 0.9 . Clippers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games. Kings are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games are 9-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 42-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Clippers are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Sacramento. Play on LA Clippers to cover |
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| 03-03-23 | Jazz v. Thunder UNDER 234 | 103-130 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
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Both the Jazz and Thunder have been short-handed since the All-Star break and its interrupted their offensive flow. Utah has seen all 3 game they have played since the all star game stay under the total, and Im betting this contest will also fall below the lines-makers projections. OKLAHOMA CITY in their L/13 home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season have seen a combined average of 224.3 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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| 03-03-23 | Jazz -1.5 v. Thunder | 103-130 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
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Utah according to my head to head power rankings matches up well vs their hosts the Oklahoma City Thunder. Oklahoma City has suddenly gone down hill of tournament, and are on a current five-game losing streak and are fade material in their current form. OKLAHOMA CITY is 1-11 ATS L/12 in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season . Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Thunder are 0-3-2 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Jazz are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games.Jazz are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. NBA Underdogs (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off a upset loss as a favorite, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%) are 11-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. UTAH is 8-0 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons including 4-0 SU at Oklahoma City . Play on Utah to cover |
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| 03-02-23 | Pacers v. Spurs UNDER 238.5 | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
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San Antonio is banged up with a boatload full of injures and that in itself is effecting their offensive flow. as is evident by averaging just over 107 ppg in their L/5 trips to the hardwood and currently rank 28th in ppg offense in the NBA. The kind of hoops they are playing because of their short handed status must be framed as "survival mode" . So their pace has slowed down precipitously, as well as their aggressiveness in transition. Tonight against Indiana side that ranks just 21st in offensive efficiency, Im expecting a much slower and lower scoring game than the lines-makers expect . INDIANA is 13-3 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 228.2 ppg. scored. INDIANA is 19-9 UNDERafter playing a road game this season with a combined average of 228.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (INDIANA) - off a road win, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 80-42 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in March games are 68-30 L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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| 03-01-23 | Nets +7.5 v. Knicks | 118-142 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
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Big Apple rivalry Im projecting will be alot closer the linesmakers are estimating. The Knicks earned their sixth straight victory Monday when they rolled past the visiting Boston Celtics 109-94 but now Im betting the Knicks are in a letdown spot vs a Brooklyn franchise that has won 9 of the L/10 meetings in this series. Knicks are 19-39-1 ATS in their last 59 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, in March games are 3-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Nets to cover |
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| 02-28-23 | Blazers v. Warriors UNDER 236.5 | 105-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
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These two sides are separated by one loss in the tight Western Conference standings and tonight as both jostle for play off positioning you can bet that a close physical game could easily be on the agenda. I know they played a wide open game last time they met in early Feb, but that was then and this is now and the situation has changed. GOLDEN STATE is 17-5 UNDER in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 220.6 ppg scored.GOLDEN STATE is 17-8 UNDER (+8.2 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season with a combined combined average of 231.9 ppg scored. Under is 3-1-1 in Warriors last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 5-0 in Trail Blazers last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 8-1-2 in Trail Blazers last 11 Tuesday games. Under is 5-1-1 in Trail Blazers last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 8-3 in Trail Blazers last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 8-3 in Trail Blazers last 11 road games. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Golden State. Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PORTLAND/ GOLDEN STATE) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, on Tuesday nights are 47-18 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the under |
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| 02-28-23 | Spurs v. Jazz UNDER 236.5 | 102-94 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
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Spurs enter on. a-horrendous losing run and are now in full tank mode as they play with little or no ambition or energy , as is evident by only 108.6 ppg on average in their L/5 most recent games. Im betting they play survival hoops here tonight against a side that outguns them whihc Im betting results in a lower scoring affair. SAN ANTONIO is 16-6 UNDER after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 227.6 ppg scored. UTAH is 24-11 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored. UTAH is 32-17 UNDER (+13.3 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.9 ppg scored. Under is 5-1 in Jazz last 6 games playing on 2 days rest. Under is 17-7-1 in Jazz last 25 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Under is 7-3 in Jazz last 10 home game. Under is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 overall. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (UTAH) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 48-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO) - extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days against opponent well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 66-27 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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| 02-28-23 | Pacers v. Mavs UNDER 237 | 124-122 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
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My projections make this total closer to 231 which gives us a full three possession edge to the under. Dallas is ranked 29th in pace in the league and 12th in ppg allowed and 18th in ppg offense. Meanwhile, Pacers rank 21st in offensive efficiency . DALLAS is 18-6 UNDER in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 209.6 ppg scored. DALLAS is 11-2 UNDER in home games against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons are with a combined average 212.5 ppg scored. Kidd is 32-18 UNDER after having lost 2 of their last 3 games as the coach of DALLAS with a combined average of 218.9 ppg scored. INDIANA is 19-9 UNDER in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 223.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DALLAS) - in non-conference games, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 43-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NBA t where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (INDIANA) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 27-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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| 02-27-23 | Celtics v. Knicks UNDER 223 | 94-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
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The Knicks offense is hitting on all cylinders of late and their D, is also standing tall. The Celtics who rank 20th in pace and 7th in ppg allowed are well aware of the Knicks current form, and will be primed to buckle down in transition, which Im betting limits the Knicks offensive prowess. Meanwhile, the Knicks who rank 28th in pace in the league and 9th in ppg allowed will also be formidable defenders in a game that Im betting will be physical /grinding and lower scoring. BOSTON is 11-1 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 218.7 ppg scored. BOSTON is 11-2 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (NEW YORK) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent off an road win scoring 110 or more points are 53-24 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (BOSTON) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after scoring 115 points or more 3 straight games are 81-39 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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| 02-27-23 | Pistons +7 v. Hornets | 106-117 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
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I know Charlotte is playing winning hoops of late, but Detroit has also looked competitive after the all star break losing by just 2 and 4 points to Orlando and Toronto. My projections make this line closer to -5 giving us a full possession advantage on this offering. CHARLOTTE is 7-17 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season and in home games when playing against a sub par team (Win Pct. 25% or less) in all games is just 10-24 ATS. DETROIT is 11-1 ATS (when playing 5 or less games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. NBA team vs the money line (DETROIT) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 32-11 L/27 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Motown to cover |
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| 02-26-23 | Wolves v. Warriors OVER 233.5 | 104-109 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
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Take no prisoners all out one way hoops is what Minnesota has implemented in last season games for a while, now is as is evident by the following trends. MINNESOTA is 10-0 OVER in road games in February games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 149.7 ppg scored. Finch is 13-0 OVER in road games in February games as the coach of MINNESOTA with a combined average of 249.8 ppg scored. Minnesota is 5-0 OVER L5 conf games and are 5-0 L/5 OVER awa . Golden State is banged up but there is still enough talent to soldier forward and put points on the board, especially against. side that will come out firing bullets and force them into a wide open affair. GOLDEN STATE is 11-3 OVER after a win by 10 points or more this season with a combined average of 239.1 ppg scored. (Beat Golden State 116-100 last time out) Golden State is 8-0-2 OVER L/10 playing on Sundays and 15-1 OVER after a day off Series These teams have combined for a (236.5 ) in their L/9 meetings. Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Golden State. Play on the over |
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| 02-25-23 | Celtics v. 76ers UNDER 225 | 110-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
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Philadelphia is 3rd in ppg allowed this season behind a slow pace that ranks them 26th in the NBA. Meanwhile, Boston ranks 6th in ppg allowed and 20th in pace. Today in a elite NBA eastern conference tilt Im expecting a physical battle that helps keep this score on the low side of the Total. BOSTON is 10-2 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 219.6 ppg scored. BOSTON is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 218.3 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA in their L/44 games as an underdog over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average score of 212.4 ppg scored. NBA team (PHILADELPHIA) - hot team - having won 12 or more of their last 15 games against opponent hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games are 44-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. NBAl teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BOSTON) - after 5 or more consecutive overs, very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game are 45-17 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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| 02-25-23 | Nuggets v. Grizzlies UNDER 235.5 | 94-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
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My projections place this total closer to 231 giving us a full two possession value to the under on this totals offering. Memphis owns the No.1 ranked defensive efficiency rating in the league. Denver ranks 19th in pace. MEMPHIS is 25-8 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 221.5 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 MEMPHIS/(DENVER) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 30-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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| 02-25-23 | Pelicans +3.5 v. Knicks | 106-128 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
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The Knicks are playing a back-to-back set after they returned from the break on Friday and overcame a 19-point, first-half deficit to edge the host Washington Wizards 115-109. The Knicks exerted alot of energy io that game and regression must be expected here on tired legs. Meanwhile, the Pelicans are in a three-way tie for seventh place in the Western Conference with the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Golden State and need wins immediately to get them in a position for. aplay off run. NEW YORK is 11-22 ATS in home games after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons. Knicks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Knicks are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. NBA team (NEW YORK) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, playing on back-to-back days are 58-103 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Pelicans to cover |
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| 02-25-23 | Heat -4.5 v. Hornets | 103-108 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
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Charlotte has been playing decent basketball of late winning 3 straight while Miami has not and lost 3 straight . From a coaching and overall player personal standpoint Im betting the more desperate side flips the tables on both these trends tonight as the road team cruises to a victory and cover. MIAMI is 11-0 ATS in road games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.. CHARLOTTE is 1-8 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season. NBA Home underdogs (CHARLOTTE) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, in February games are 33-71 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. NBA favorites (MIAMI) - an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a poor team (-3 to -7 PPG differential), after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 42-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami to cover |
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| 02-24-23 | Rockets +10.5 v. Warriors | 101-116 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
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Golden State is pretty banged up with key starter Curry out. I know the Rockets never inspire bettors but they have frequently played teams tough this season, and must not be underestimated catching 10 points here on rested legs after the all star break. Yes, I know they were annihilated in back to back games before the break, but now this young group with time to stew over those embarrassments will be primed for a bounce back effort. HOUSTON is 12-2 ATS L/14 in road games after a huge blowout loss by 30 or more. GOLDEN STATE is 4-15 ATS in February games over the last 2 seasons NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HOUSTON) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games are 33-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams (HOUSTON) - poor defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more are 32-13 ATS L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to cover |
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| 02-24-23 | Nets +2 v. Bulls | 87-131 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
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The Bulls entered the all star break with 6 straight losses, and according to my projections a 7th straight loss should be in the cards for them again tonight against a Brooklyn team that will be more focused after unloading players who were not happy with the organization ie Kyrie Irving.Nets are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Vaughn is 9-0 ATS after 2 or more consecutive overs as the coach of BROOKLYN. Vaughn is 30-13 ATS (in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots in all games he has coached .BROOKLYN is 18-4 ATS in road games when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1996. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHICAGO) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 8-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (CHICAGO) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 8-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Nets to cover |
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| 02-24-23 | Heat +2 v. Bucks | 99-128 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
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Both these sides are rested but have some injuries, but key here is the expected absence of Bucks star Antetokounmpo as well as Khris Middleton (knee) and Pat Connaughton (calf) . Im betting the Bucks are at a disadvantage without their big man in the liuneup. HC Spoelstra teams are 7-1 ATS when his side is on eight or more days of rest during the regular season. Heat are 37-16 ATS in their last 53 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Heat are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Play on Heat to cover |
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| 02-23-23 | Pelicans +6 v. Raptors | 110-115 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
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The Raptors had won two straight and five of their past six games while New Orleans has won 4 of their L/6 overall despite of a lazy outing against the Lakers on the road before the all star break that saw them lose. The Pelicans won at home, 126-108, against the Raptors on Nov. 30 and matchup well here even with the Raptors getting healthier. From a SRS perspective the Pelicans rank 11th in the league with a 1.44 mark while, the Raptors rank 13th with a 0.87 . Advantage Pelicans even though the Raptors have home court advantage of 4 auto points. My line projections estimate the Raps. should just be 3 point chalk here giving us a full possession advantage on this line offering. ***SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. NEW ORLEANS is 13-3 ATS versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or better over the last 3 seasons. TORONTO is 25-41 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (108-114 PPG), after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games are 44-18 ATS L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NEW ORLEANS is 5-0 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons including 2-0 ATS L/2 here in TO. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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| 02-23-23 | Celtics v. Pacers UNDER 233.5 | 142-138 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
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Indiana beat the Celtics as road dogs earlier this season, and now the Celtics will have redemption in mind and which usually centers on them playing their best form of defensive basketball. BOSTON in 12 games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite this season have seen a combined average of 220.1 ppg scored..BOSTON in 8 games revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season have allowed that opponent in the rematch to score an average of 108.3 ppg while themselves have also average roughly 108.1 points for a combined average of 216.4 ppg. BOSTON is 15-6 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts this season.with the average combined score clicking in at 223.4 ppg. BOSTON is 12-4 UNDER in road games versus struggling defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season with the combined average score of 226.5 ppg scored.
Under is 5-1 in Pacers last 6 home games. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 24-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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| 02-23-23 | Nuggets v. Cavs -2.5 | 115-109 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
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After procuring a 6 game win streak the Cavs lost 118-112 and will now be primed to bounce back after extended rest. The Cavs also have revenge on board for a a 13-point loss they endured in Denver earlier this season. The Cavs have proven resilient this season when coming off a loss going 11-3 SU and 10-4 ATS , and have won and coved 8 of 12 this season in revenge mode for a loss of * plus points. CLEVELAND is 21-10 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.CLEVELAND is 15-7 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season. DENVER is 0-7 ATS in road games after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better this season. DENVER is 1-10 ATS in road games after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better this season. NBA Home favorites (CLEVELAND) - playing with 3 or more days rest, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 134-83 ATS L/27 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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| 02-16-23 | Clippers v. Suns | 116-107 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
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After a ugly 1-9 run into the middle of January are now back in the form that fits their talent levels and matchup well vs the Clippers at home. PHOENIX is 17-7 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons like the Clippers. PHOENIX is 9-0 ATS vs. division opponents this season. The Suns defeated the Clipper back in Dec by DD as road chalk and get the nod again at home. LA CLIPPERS are 4-14 ATS in road games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 60-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Phoenix Suns |
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| 02-16-23 | Wizards +3.5 v. Wolves | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
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Wizards enter this tilt as consistent money makers for their backers of late going 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall including 6-2 ATS L/8 away tilts. WASHINGTON is also 11-3 ATS in road games after a non-conference game this season. Meanwhile, Minnesota has shown a great deal of inconsistencies and not won back to back games since late Jan . They are off a win last time out, so another letdown vs a side that my power rankings suggest is a viable opponent taking points with the road side makes for what Im betting is a profitable option. MINNESOTA is 7-19 ATS against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons. NBA Favorites (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 115 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a win by 10 points or more are 20-47 ATS L/5 seasons for. a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Washington has won and covered 6 straight meetings in this series including their L/2 visits to Minnesota. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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| 02-16-23 | Bucks -7 v. Bulls | 112-100 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
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Double revenge on board for Milwaukee tonight from two losses to the Bulls already this season and Im betting with the all star break on deck, that the Bucks wont worry about pacing or rest and come at the Bulls with e for everything they have.Note:The Milwaukee Bucks are 60-6-1 ATS in matchups they win SU when playing with same-season double revenge. Bucks are 13-2 ATS L/15 visits to Chicago. NBA Road teams (MILWAUKEE) - an good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more are 34-14 ATS L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Bucks to cover |
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| 02-15-23 | Pistons v. Celtics OVER 228.5 | 109-127 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
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The Celtics played last night, which sets up a trend that shows them going over the set total in their L/6 home games with no rest and overall they are 6-0 over vs sides with a .300 win percentage or less like visiting Motown. With this.being both sides, last game before the all star game, Im betting this will be a wide open affair as both sides will see no reason to pace themselves. The Pistons have gone over in 4 straight before extended rest. BOSTON iin thier L/23 games as a favorite of 10 or more points on the opening line over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 230.8 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DETROIT) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half are 73-36 OVER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Boston. Last 5 meetings in Boston have eclipsed the total. Play over |
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| 02-15-23 | Knicks +3 v. Hawks | 122-101 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
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The Knicks are seventh in the Eastern Conference and hold a 2½-game lead over the Hawks and will be primed to keep that lead intact here tonight as they also play with revenge for a 15 point loss the last time these teams played. NEW YORK is 48-29 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. Knicks are 9-4-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Atlanta. NEW YORK is 15-6 ATS in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better this season.NEW YORK is 31-17 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 3 seasons .NEW YORK is 10-2 ATS in road games after playing a home game this season. Play on NY Knicks to cover |
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| 02-15-23 | Cavs v. 76ers -2 | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
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Philadelphia has revenge on board against Cleveland tonight at home after suffering an embarrassing DD loss playing on the road in Ohio back on Nov 30th, Now with redemption at hand Im betting the 76ers will come out here with their hair on fire and get the cover and the win at home where they are 22-8 SU this season. Cleveland is a sub par .500 road side, and are at a disadvantage here in enemy territory vs a talented side with a chip on their shoulders.CLEVELAND is 26-44 ATS as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 ATS in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season.PHILADELPHIA is 10-2 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after 6 or more consecutive wins, second half of the season are 24-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on 76ers to cover |
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| 02-14-23 | Kings +3 v. Suns | 109-120 | Loss | -118 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
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Kings pulled off a 133-128 win vs the Dallas Mavs last time out, and with momentum on their sides are a good matchup for the Suns here tonight . Kings are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. On the flip-side , the Suns despite of playing much better of late, are off a exhausting 5 game road trip and may take time to acclimated to playing on their own home court.Suns are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. The Kings also have revenge on board for a loss to the Suns earlier this season, Advantage Kings. SACRAMENTO is 20-8 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent against opponent off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog are 32-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Sacramento to cover |
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| 02-14-23 | Kings v. Suns UNDER 234.5 | 109-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
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My projections make this total closer to 231 thus giving us an almost 2 full possession advantage to the under. The Suns are in a jet lag situation after a 5 game road trip and may take time to acclimated to home cooking . Note: The Suns are ranked 5th in ppg allowed and 22nd ranked pace and will primed to try to slow down their run and gun opponents. SACRAMENTO is 10-1 UNDER in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 221.9 ppg scored. SACRAMENTO is 7-0 UNDER in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts this season with a combined average of 220.2 ppg scored.SACRAMENTO is 16-4 UNDER (+11.6 Units) in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season with a combined average of 226.1 ppg scored. SACRAMENTO in 27 road games this season have seen a combined average of 231.1 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 14-4 UNDER in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better- 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 223.8 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 15-7 UNDER as a home favorite this season NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - off an upset win as a road underdog, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 25-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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| 02-14-23 | Magic v. Raptors OVER 221 | 113-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
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Playing on tired legs will have Orlando at a disadvantage from a transitional standpoint and that Im betting will lead to them giving up some extra points beyond what the lines-makers are projecting. Over is 8-3 in Magic last 11 games playing on 0 days rest. Over is 17-8 in Magic last 25 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day TORONTO is 19-7 OVER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 226.6 ppg scored.
NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (ORLANDO) - after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, in February games are 43-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (TORONTO) - after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 49-24 L/27 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Toronto Play on the over |
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| 02-13-23 | Lakers v. Blazers -130 | 115-127 | Win | 100 | 14 h 24 m | Show | |
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LeBron James is expected to miss his third consecutive game when the Los Angeles Lakers visit the Portland Trail Blazers on Monday night. James who averages of 30.2 points, 8.5 rebounds and 7.0 assists will be sorely missed here tonight as he has been the main catalyst for any short lived momentum the Lakers have had. Portland has not been generating much consistency of late, but they do play decently at home and with D Lilliard in the lineup are always dangerous. Lakers are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 27-2 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Portland to win |
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| 02-13-23 | Magic +5 v. Bulls | 100-91 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
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Chicago has lost three straight games and look a little tired on the whole, and are vulnerable here against a young well conditioned Magic side. The Magic are 11-4 ATS L/15 but are off a loss last time out. However, they have shown plenty of resilience, as is evident by their 7-0 ATS mark in their last 7 games following a ATS loss which includes a 9-1 ATS run in their last 10 games following a straight up loss. The Magic also have the added motivation of revenge for a ugly 128-109 loss they suffered to the Bulls back in Orlando on Jan 28. ORLANDO is 16-7 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts this season. Magic are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Chicago. Play on Orlando to cover |
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| 02-13-23 | Magic v. Bulls UNDER 226.5 | 100-91 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
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Under is 4-0 in Magic last 4 overall The Magic and Bulls are both off losses, in what were low scoring affairs. Both are playing solid d, and with the Bulls looking especially tired Im betting on a slower grinding type game here as well. The Bulls rank 9th in defensive efficiency on the league, behind a 14th ranked pace, and have gone under in 10 of their L/12 overall while, the Magic rank 19th in pace and own the 27th ranked offensive output and have gone under in 4 straight and 6 of their L/7 overall. ORLANDO is 7-0 UNDER in road games off a home loss this season.with a combined average of 216 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 13-5 UNDER off a road loss this season with a combined average of 219.7 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 34-19 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons are 219.7 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CHICAGO) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after allowing 43 points or less in the first half last game are 35-15 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (CHICAGO) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 115-66 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate. Under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Chicago Play on the UNDER |
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| NBA Archive | |||||||
| Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
| 04-02-23 | Warriors v. Nuggets -2 | 110-112 | Push | 0 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
| 04-02-23 | 76ers v. Bucks -4.5 | 104-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
| 04-02-23 | Pacers +13 v. Cavs | 105-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
| 04-02-23 | Suns v. Thunder UNDER 236 | 128-118 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
| 04-02-23 | Mavs v. Hawks UNDER 244.5 | 130-132 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
| 04-01-23 | Mavs v. Heat -1 | 122-129 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
| 03-31-23 | Pistons v. Rockets UNDER 229.5 | 115-121 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
| 03-31-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -3.5 | 130-116 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
| 03-30-23 | Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 236.5 | 140-99 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
| 03-29-23 | Jazz -4.5 v. Spurs | 128-117 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
| 03-29-23 | Clippers v. Grizzlies OVER 228.5 | 141-132 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
| 03-29-23 | Heat +4.5 v. Knicks | 92-101 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
| 03-28-23 | Pelicans v. Warriors -8.5 | 109-120 | Win | 100 | 15 h 10 m | Show | |
| 03-28-23 | Magic v. Grizzlies -7 | 108-113 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
| 03-28-23 | Hornets v. Thunder -9 | 137-134 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
| 03-27-23 | Wolves v. Kings -5.5 | 119-115 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 49 m | Show | |
| 03-27-23 | 76ers +6 v. Nuggets | 111-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
| 03-27-23 | Bucks v. Pistons +15.5 | 126-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
| 03-26-23 | Wolves v. Warriors -6.5 | 99-96 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
| 03-26-23 | Thunder v. Blazers +9.5 | 118-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
| 03-26-23 | Bulls +3.5 v. Lakers | 118-108 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
| 03-25-23 | Bucks v. Nuggets -2.5 | 106-129 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
| 03-24-23 | Bucks v. Jazz +9 | 144-116 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 2 m | Show | |
| 03-23-23 | Thunder v. Clippers -2.5 | 105-127 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
| 03-22-23 | 76ers -3.5 v. Bulls | 116-91 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
| 03-22-23 | Spurs +17.5 v. Bucks | 94-130 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
| 03-22-23 | Hawks v. Wolves -4.5 | 124-125 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
| 03-21-23 | Celtics v. Kings UNDER 238.5 | 132-109 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 48 m | Show | |
| 03-20-23 | Pacers -1.5 v. Hornets | 109-115 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
| 03-19-23 | Heat v. Pistons +9.5 | 112-100 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
| 03-19-23 | Hawks v. Spurs +9 | 118-126 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
| 03-18-23 | Heat -2.5 v. Bulls | 99-113 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
| 03-18-23 | 76ers -6 v. Pacers | 141-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
| 03-18-23 | Nuggets -1.5 v. Knicks | 110-116 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
| 03-17-23 | Pelicans v. Rockets +6 | 112-114 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
| 03-17-23 | Warriors v. Hawks -2 | 119-127 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
| 03-17-23 | Wizards v. Cavs UNDER 220.5 | 94-117 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
| 03-16-23 | Magic v. Suns UNDER 228.5 | 113-116 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
| 03-16-23 | Nuggets -13.5 v. Pistons | 119-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
| 03-15-23 | Warriors v. Clippers UNDER 235.5 | 126-134 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 45 m | Show | |
| 03-15-23 | Kings v. Bulls UNDER 239 | 117-114 | Win | 100 | 15 h 56 m | Show | |
| 03-15-23 | Celtics -4.5 v. Wolves | 104-102 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
| 03-14-23 | Pistons v. Wizards -11.5 | 97-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
| 03-13-23 | Bucks -1.5 v. Kings | 133-124 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
| 03-13-23 | Bucks v. Kings UNDER 244.5 | 133-124 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
| 03-13-23 | Celtics v. Rockets +12.5 | 109-111 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
| 03-13-23 | Wolves v. Hawks -5 | 136-115 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
| 03-13-23 | Grizzlies v. Mavs +1.5 | 104-88 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
| 03-12-23 | Blazers v. Pelicans UNDER 231 | 110-127 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
| 03-11-23 | Bucks +1.5 v. Warriors | 116-125 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
| 03-11-23 | Mavs v. Grizzlies -5.5 | 108-112 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
| 03-11-23 | Celtics v. Hawks UNDER 236.5 | 134-125 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
| 03-11-23 | Jazz v. Hornets +2.5 | 119-111 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
| 03-10-23 | Cavs v. Heat +1.5 | 115-119 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
| 03-10-23 | Hawks -1 v. Wizards | 114-107 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
| 03-09-23 | Nets v. Bucks -11.5 | 113-118 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
| 03-09-23 | Warriors v. Grizzlies +2.5 | 110-131 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
| 03-08-23 | Hawks v. Wizards +3.5 | 122-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
| 03-07-23 | Nets v. Rockets +6.5 | 118-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
| 03-07-23 | 76ers v. Wolves OVER 229 | 117-94 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
| 03-06-23 | Pelicans v. Kings UNDER 237.5 | 108-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
| 03-06-23 | Hawks +3 v. Heat | 128-130 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
| 03-05-23 | Spurs +3 v. Rockets | 110-142 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
| 03-05-23 | Pacers v. Bulls -6 | 125-122 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
| 03-04-23 | 76ers +5 v. Bucks | 133-130 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
| 03-04-23 | Rockets v. Spurs UNDER 231.5 | 122-110 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
| 03-03-23 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets UNDER 234 | 97-113 | Win | 100 | 15 h 19 m | Show | |
| 03-03-23 | Clippers +6 v. Kings | 127-128 | Win | 100 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
| 03-03-23 | Jazz v. Thunder UNDER 234 | 103-130 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
| 03-03-23 | Jazz -1.5 v. Thunder | 103-130 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
| 03-02-23 | Pacers v. Spurs UNDER 238.5 | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
| 03-01-23 | Nets +7.5 v. Knicks | 118-142 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
| 02-28-23 | Blazers v. Warriors UNDER 236.5 | 105-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
| 02-28-23 | Spurs v. Jazz UNDER 236.5 | 102-94 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
| 02-28-23 | Pacers v. Mavs UNDER 237 | 124-122 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
| 02-27-23 | Celtics v. Knicks UNDER 223 | 94-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
| 02-27-23 | Pistons +7 v. Hornets | 106-117 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
| 02-26-23 | Wolves v. Warriors OVER 233.5 | 104-109 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
| 02-25-23 | Celtics v. 76ers UNDER 225 | 110-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
| 02-25-23 | Nuggets v. Grizzlies UNDER 235.5 | 94-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
| 02-25-23 | Pelicans +3.5 v. Knicks | 106-128 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
| 02-25-23 | Heat -4.5 v. Hornets | 103-108 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
| 02-24-23 | Rockets +10.5 v. Warriors | 101-116 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
| 02-24-23 | Nets +2 v. Bulls | 87-131 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
| 02-24-23 | Heat +2 v. Bucks | 99-128 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
| 02-23-23 | Pelicans +6 v. Raptors | 110-115 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
| 02-23-23 | Celtics v. Pacers UNDER 233.5 | 142-138 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
| 02-23-23 | Nuggets v. Cavs -2.5 | 115-109 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
| 02-16-23 | Clippers v. Suns | 116-107 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
| 02-16-23 | Wizards +3.5 v. Wolves | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
| 02-16-23 | Bucks -7 v. Bulls | 112-100 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
| 02-15-23 | Pistons v. Celtics OVER 228.5 | 109-127 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
| 02-15-23 | Knicks +3 v. Hawks | 122-101 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
| 02-15-23 | Cavs v. 76ers -2 | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
| 02-14-23 | Kings +3 v. Suns | 109-120 | Loss | -118 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
| 02-14-23 | Kings v. Suns UNDER 234.5 | 109-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
| 02-14-23 | Magic v. Raptors OVER 221 | 113-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
| 02-13-23 | Lakers v. Blazers -130 | 115-127 | Win | 100 | 14 h 24 m | Show | |
| 02-13-23 | Magic +5 v. Bulls | 100-91 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
| 02-13-23 | Magic v. Bulls UNDER 226.5 | 100-91 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
