Charlotte  is tanking and has lost 7 straight games and are fade material in their current form. The Hawks have been fairly consistent for a while now, winning 4 of the L/6 SU/ATS and have revenge on board, for a 122-118 loss back on Jan 21st. 

McMillan is 26-9 ATS  revenging a home loss vs opponent as the coach of ATLANTA.

ATLANTA is 14-4 ATS  versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or better over the last 3 seasons.

CHARLOTTE is 18-32 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. CHARLOTTE is 10-21 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. CHARLOTTE is 1-10 ATS  in home games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season. CHARLOTTE is 1-10 ATS in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses this season. CHARLOTTE is 0-8 ATS  in home games after 4 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a poor 3PT shooting team (33% or less), good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) against an average pressure defensive team (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 99-53 ATS L/27 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

The Rockets' defense was in good form last time out against the  Heat in a 97-95 loss. However, that  has not been the case in four previous losses -- 117-111 to the Toronto Raptors, 153-121 to the Oklahoma City Thunder, 140-120 to the Sacramento Kings and 130-128 to the Kings. Im betting they regress here into their former state and also progress offensively after that last outing, which will produce a higher scoring affair than the lines-makers are expecting. These teams took part in a 132-123 Houston win back on dec 5th of the season. Im sure the Sixers will ramp up their energy here in revenge mode and will be prepared to bring down the hammer and merciless fashion which will also aid our quest for cashing an over ticket. 

Over is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Over is 4-0 in 76ers last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Over is 8-1 in 76ers last 9 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Over is 9-2 in 76ers last 11 home games.

PHILADELPHIA is 14-3 OVER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season with a combined average of 239.9 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 20-7 OVER (after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite, off a win against a division rival are 26-4 OVER L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Toronto is highly inconsistent and cannot be trusted to cover this big of a spread no matter how lowly their opposition may be perceived. I know Detroit may not inspire bettors, but they did show some grit last time out with. alate come from behind win in OT and Im betting that adrenalin filled steam will give them momentum entering this tilt. Note: Detroit is 7-0 ATS L/7 meetings in this series and 3-0 ATS L/3 here in Toronto as visitors.Raptors are 31-45-1 ATS L/77 games vsw sub .500 sides like Motown.

Play on Pistons to cover 

Two quality teams who can light up the board, but also play a top tier brand of D, go head to head in NBA afternoon tilt. The combination of this tilt having expectations of being a grinding style post season type affair, and  the early start time which  play havoc with both sides energy levels making this an outlook that leans on this tilt staying on the low side of the offered total. 

Under is 6-0 in Grizzlies last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 4-0 in Grizzlies last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 9-1 in Grizzlies last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 9-1 in Grizzlies last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 Sunday games.Under is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 road games.Under is 9-2 in Grizzlies last 11 overall.

MEMPHIS is 13-5 UNDER ) in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better  of their shots this season with a combined average of 226.7 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 19-7 UNDER  in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.

BOSTON is 14-6 UNDER  when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BOSTON) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 32-9 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 45-10 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Two quality teams who can light up the board, but also play a top tier brand of D, go head to head in NBA afternoon tilt. The combination of this tilt having expectations of being a grinding style post season type affair, and  the early start time which  play havoc with both sides energy levels making this an outlook that leans on this tilt staying on the low side of the offered total. 

Under is 6-0 in Grizzlies last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 4-0 in Grizzlies last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 9-1 in Grizzlies last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 9-1 in Grizzlies last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 Sunday games.Under is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 road games.Under is 9-2 in Grizzlies last 11 overall.

MEMPHIS is 13-5 UNDER ) in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better  of their shots this season with a combined average of 226.7 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 19-7 UNDER  in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.

BOSTON is 14-6 UNDER  when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BOSTON) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 32-9 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 45-10 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Dallas just beat Sacramento 122-114 last night and matchup well enough to bring home the cash again, especially with the added components from recent trades in the lineup. Mavericks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.

Kings are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Kings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day.

SACRAMENTO is 7-20 ATS L/27 in home games versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season.

DALLAS is 25-14 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons

Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games are 40-71 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dallas to cover

The Heat recorded 110-105 decision against the Magic on Jan. 27 and the offered total is now mimicking that score. However, tonight Im betting on that number being eclipsed as the Heat play on tired legs after being in action last night. Note: Miami is 14-2 OVER away when playing with no rest. Last night the Heat also played a grinding affair that was low scoring squeaking out a 97-95 victory and now will be ready to get their offense rolling against instate rivals Orlando, a side that is on one days rest and 8-1 OVER facing unrested opposition.Over is 16-7-1 in the last 24 meetings in Orlando.Over is 7-0 in Magic last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points which was the case last time out. 

Play over

Irving and Durante are gone and now the Nets can get down to the business of playing basketball. Meanwhile, Philadelphia after playing last night will be on tired legs vs a team that feels much lighter after shedding some un wanted baggage that was causing major distractions. 

Brooklyn has won 23 of 34 games  this season vs Eastern Conference competition SU. 

BROOKLYN is 13-5 ATS  as an underdog this season.Nets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games.

76ers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BROOKLYN) - averaging 7 or less steals/game on the season, in February games are 47-21 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate.

Play on Brooklyn to cover 

Cleveland took the first meeting between these two sides earlier this season by a 113-103 count and a rinse and repeat situation here on the road is high probability outcome once again. Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

NEW ORLEANS is 10-20 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 43-3 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.9 which easily qualifies on both the  SU/ ATS offering. 

Play on Cleveland to cover 

These teams are playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum of late with the Raptors having won 3 straight while the Jazz have lost 3 straight. With Westbrook being traded , the Jazz are at a disadvantage vs a side playing at home with momentum. 

UTAH is 0-7 ATS  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (UTAH) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games are 5-35 L/27 seasons for a go against 92% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at  -8.9 ppg. 

Play on Raptors to cover 

The 76ers have revenge on board for a loss they suffered to the Knicks in NY last week. Im betting home court advantage and the motivation of getting redemption gets us a cover with the Sixers.

PHILADELPHIA is 14-5 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent this season. Rivers is 30-16 ATS  in home games revenging a loss vs opponent as the coach of PHILADELPHIA.

76ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

76ers are 17-6 ATS in their last 23 home games.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (Philadelphia ) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 43-3 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.9 which easily qualifies on both the  SU/ ATS offering. 

Play on Philadelphia to cover

This is one of the few teams that the Spurs matchup well against. The Spurs beat the Pistons on January 6th by a 121-109 count and Im betting will be primed for a rare win here in Motown tonight. Pistons are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.

DETROIT is 1-18 ATS  revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season.

NBA road underdogs (SAN ANTONIO) - ice cold team - having lost 18 or more of their last 20 games against opponent cold team - having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games are 48-19 ATS L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Spurs are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

The Suns are finally starting to live up to their talent base and have now won 9 of their L/12 trips to the hardwood. Meanwhile, Indiana has lost 13 of their L/15 overall and are very much fade material in their current form even here at home. Suns are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Indiana and get the nod to cover here again tonight. 

Williams is 28-11 ATS  when playing their 4th road game in 7 days in all games he has coached . 

INDIANA is 10-25 ATS in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA) - cold team - having lost 8 or more of their last 10 games, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 62-106 L/27 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover 

This is the second meeting between these two sides, with  Nuggets getting the narrow win at home on Jan. 15 when Nikola Jokic hit a 3-pointer in the final seconds. Orlando proved in that game they matchup well vs the Nuggets. note: The Nuggets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

ORLANDO is 15-7 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts this season. ORLANDO is 11-3 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game this season. ORLANDO is 14-6 ATS  in non-conference games this season.

DENVER is 1-9 ATS  in road games after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better this season.  DENVER is 4-13 ATS  in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

NBA team vs the money line (DENVER) - off a blowout win by 30 points or more over a division rival, in February games are 8-21 L/27 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - after a loss by 6 points or less against opponent after scoring 136 points or more are 31-10 L/5 seasons for. a 76% conversion rate.

Play on Orlando to cover  

When these teams met on Jan 16th the Jazz got by the Wolves by a 126-125 count, and Im betting on another closely contested affair here again tonight. 
MINNESOTA is 15-5 ATS in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

UTAH is 11-28 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road underdogs (MINNESOTA) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less against opponent off a upset loss as a favorite are 33-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Minnesota to cover

Toronto pounded the Spurs 143-100  in San Antonio on November 2. It was an embarrassing event for Popovich and company and now Im betting he has this group ready to compete in a revenge mode here this Wednesday night. 

NBA Road underdogs (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less. are 28-9 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

TORONTO is 3-13 ATS L/16 in home games versus struggling  teams - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game - 2nd half of the season . 

Play on San Antonio to cover 

My projections make this total closer to 231 giving us a two possession edge on this current offering. 

Denver runs at a slow 20th ranked pace while Minnesota ranks 20th in ppg offense and have gone under in 8 of the L/9 .

MINNESOTA is 7-0 UNDER off a home win by 10 points or more this season with a combined average of 215.9 ppg scored.

DENVER is 44-20 UNDER L/64 in home games after a game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 55% or higher with a combined average 200 ppg scored.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 45-14 UNDER  L/27 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MINNESOTA) - vs. division opponents, off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 91-57 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Without the injured Curry in the lineup Im betting the Warriors offensively flow will be negatively effected which will also effect this totals offering to the low side . The Thunder have seen 6 of their L/9 games stay on the low side of the Total. 

Under is 5-0 in Thunder last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 road games.Under is 7-2 in Thunder last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

GOLDEN STATE is 17-4 UNDER (  in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219 ppg scored. Under is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 33-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA team (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after a huge blowout win by 30 or more against opponent after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 62-23 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Under is 22-7 in the last 29 meetings.

Under is 16-5 in the last 21 meetings in Golden State.

Play UNDER

Nine of the L/10 meetings in this series have not seen todays offered number eclipsed and Im betting nothing changes today. The L/4 most recent matchups have seen a combined average of 209.7 ppg scored. Note: Dallas ranks 29th in pace in the NBA and 8th in ppg allowed, and will look to slow down a Jazz side that ranks 14th in pace, and that has gone over the offered total only twice in their L/7 games overall. Im betting on the Mavs putting us to sleep here and for this to be a slow grinding affair. 

Under is 5-0 in Jazz last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 5-0 in Jazz last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 5-1 in Jazz last 6 home games.

Play UNDER

Cleveland played yesterday and grabbed a road win vs the Indiana Pacers, but are now on tired legs . Note: The Cavs are  1-11-1 ATS as a road favorite with no rest. Meanwhile,  the Wizards are rested and desperate to get back into the win column after suffering 2 straight losses, after a 6 game winning streak. Washington has held their own against the Cavaliers of late winning 3 of the L/4 here in DC as hosts and once again have an advantage taking points.Bickerstaff is 9-22 ATS  in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games as the coach of CLEVELAND and is 19-35 ATS  in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46%  or better of their shots as the coach of CLEVELAND.CLEVELAND is 6-16 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Washington to cover 

The Knicks lost a heart breaker in OT ot the Clippers last night, but are one of the leagues better conditioned sides and Im betting they find the energy to compete against tonight at home vs the visiting Philadelphia 76ers. Knicks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Knicks are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games playing with no rest.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW YORK) - averaging 7 or less steals/game on the season, in February games are 41-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Knicks to cover 

Over is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day which was the case in the OT loss to the Clippers last night. Over is 5-1 in Knicks last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Philly is 6-0 over a division road fav last two seasons. 

Over is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points which was the case last time out in a 137-125 win vs the Spurs. Over is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record like the Knicks. . Knicks have gone over in 7 straight division tilts. 

PHILADELPHIA is 29-11 OVER  as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (NEW YORK) - after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 255 points or more are 32-9 OVER  L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBAl teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game.   are 40-11 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play over 

Dallas behind the 29th ranked  pace in the league  and 7th best ppg D, will be primed to slow down the run and gun Golden State Warriors tonight as road underdogs. This results in a lower scoring game than many of the pundits might expect. On the flipside the Warriors viable 3 point D, will also highlight this lower than expected combined score. GOLDEN STATE is 17-3 UNDER  in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 32-8 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

Miami has defeated the Bucks twice already this season in physical lower scoring  altercations, and Im betting nothing changes today. Miami won 108-102 and 111- 95 and a rinse and repeat type of score is being projected by me for this spot play. 

MILWAUKEE is 13-3 UNDER when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 221.4 ppg scored.MILWAUKEE is 8-1 UNDER   after 4 or more consecutive wins this season with a combined average of 215.1 ppg scored. 

MIAMI is 9-1 UNDER  against Central division opponents this season with a combined average of 205.3 ppg scored. MIAMI is 9-1 UNDER after playing 3 consecutive road games this season with a combined average of 209.4 ppg scored. 

MIAMI is 8-1 UNDER  versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season with a combined average of 208.1 ppg scored.MIAMI is 18-9 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 211.7 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

The Knicks defeated the Miami Heat last time out, and now with momentum on their sides Im betting they will be competitive once again here tonight vs a Clippers side on tired legs as they play their 5th straight road game.

Clippers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Clippers are  1-5 ATS  in 1/1 rest situations  vs non-conference opposition. 

Knicks are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NEW YORK is 46-28 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.

Clippers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover

The Spurs offense is struggling mightily of late averaging just 107 .4 ppg in their L/5 trips to the court. This team as a whole looks winded and Im betting things wont get much better tonight vs a 76ers side that ranks 4th in ppg allowed in the league behind a deliberate 23red ranked pace. 

Note: The Spurs upset the 76ers way back in Oct of this season, but now with redemption at hand Im betting Philly will be wide awake here and ready to play a top tier brand of hoops tonight. 

Rivers is 35-19 UNDER (  in road games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more in all games he has coached since 1996 with a combined average of 201.8 ppg scored.

SAN ANTONIO is 8-1 UNDER in home games off a home loss by 10 points or more this season with a combined average of 225.7 ppg scored.SAN ANTONIO is 13-4 UNDER   after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 224.1 ppg going on the board. 

NBA  team (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 10 or more, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 62-27 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on UNDER 

Orlando has revenge on board for a home  loss they suffered on Nov 16th this season and will now have revenge on board. Orlando has won their L/2 visits to Minnesota, and are  8-0 ATS overall when seeking same-season revenge vs the Wolves.

Magic are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Magic are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games. 

ORLANDO is 10-2 ATS  versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing 15 or more  turnovers/game this season.ORLANDO is 23-13 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better  of their shots this season.ORLANDO is 11-2 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games this season.

Magic are 12-3 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Minnesota.

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 

These two struggling teams see this as an opportunity for a rare win, so Im betting on this being a very physical hard fought affair that stays on the low side of the number.

Under is 4-0 in Pistons last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 4-1 in Pistons last 5 home games.

DETROIT is 28-14 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46%  or more - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

CHARLOTTE is 56-31 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 with a combined average of 229.3 ppg scored. 

NBA team (CHARLOTTE) - in a game involving two struggling  defensive teams ( 118 or more PPG) are 50-18 UNDER L/26 seasons for a  75% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER

New Orleans has lost 9 straight behind a struggling offense that has averaged just 105 ppg in their L/5 overall trips to the court.On the flipside the Mavs have picked up their defensive game of late and allowed just 102.7 ppg in their L/3 tilts overall. today Im betting the Pelicans offensive struggles to persist and for the Mavs to continue to ramp up defensively. 

Kidd is 10-1 UNDER off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite as the coach of DALLAS with a combined average of 206 ppg scored.

DALLAS is 40-25 UNDER  in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or less of their shots over the last 3 season with a combined average of 215.6 ppg scored. 

DALLAS is 10-1 UNDER off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite over the last 2 season with a combined average of 198.5 ppg scored.

DALLAS is 23-8 UNDER in home games off a home win over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 208.3 ppg. 

 ORLEANS is 25-13 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.1 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER

Indiana dropped its third straight and 10th in the last 11 games when it lost 112-100 in Memphis on Sunday and are fade material in their current form. The Lakers meanwhile, after a victory vs New York last time out, are now 6-0 ATS L/6 vs Eastern conference foes and get my support to cover as short favs here vs a side they matchup well against. 

LA LAKERS are 13-3 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season

NBA Road favorites (LA LAKERS) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after a loss by 10 points or more are 70-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Lakers to cover 

The Sixers let a 21-point lead disappear as they lost 119-109 to the Magic on Monday. Now in the rematch game, Im betting the Sixers D, will be ready to rebound after the lazy effort they put forward in their last game . note: The Sixers ranks 23rd in pace and 4th in ppg defense. 

ORLANDO is 17-7 UNDER in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. ORLANDO is 33-19 UNDER  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 40-15 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the UNDER 

The Clippers enter this game playing alot of fairly high scoring affairs as their usually staunch defense fails them. Only 1 of their L/8 games has stayed on the low side of the total and they have gone over in 4 straight tilts. The clippers have gone over the set total in 18 of their 27 road games this season. The Clippers are coming off Sunday's 122-99 loss at Cleveland, which snapped a season-best five-game winning streak, but now Im expecting a more aggressive offensive attack will highlight their bounce back effort, forcing Chicago into opening up in a tilt I have pegged to eclipse this  offered totals number. 

My. projections estimate both sides will at least hit  114 points in production. Note: CHICAGO is 13-0 OVER   where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 251.9 ppg scored.

LA CLIPPERS are 12-3 OVER  in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season with 232.2 ppg scored.LA CLIPPERS are 12-4 OVER (+7.6 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season with a combined average of 230.8 ppg scored.LA CLIPPERS are 14-4 OVER  in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season with a combined average of 231.2 ppg scored.LA CLIPPERS are 10-1 OVER  in road games in non-conference games this season with a combined average of 235.7 ppg scored.

CHICAGO  L/  43  non-conference games over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 232.9 ppg scored with their L/5 non conference home games eclipsing the offered total. 

Play over

Atlanta continues to play one way run and gun basketball with a combined average 243.2 ppg scored in their L/5 trips to the court. My projections estimate both Portland and Atlanta will eclipse a 114 team scoring plateau which gives credence to a over bet here as ATLANTA is 17-2 OVER  where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 249 ppg scored. 

ATLANTA is 10-1 OVER  versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 241 ppg going on the board. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PORTLAND) - average defensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG), after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 51-21 OVER L/26 seasons for 70% conversion rate. 

Play OVER

From an SRS perspective the Pelicans despite of their current sub standard form are being under rated here in the underdog role vs a the powerful Milwaukee Bucks. New Orleans ranks 8th with a 1.88 SRS -While Milwaukee ranks 11th with a 1.60 mark. Adding him home court advantage still gives us adequate value with the road pup.

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average

Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games. are 33-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate.

NBA Road teams (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 40-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on New Orleans to cover 

The Suns have played teams like the wreck-less Spurs with a tough defensive mind set and nothing will change tonight as the home side continues to try to play a more physical type of game which is bucking the new wide open trend in the league. the suns have held their L/2 opponents to under 100 points and have gone under in 4 straight tilts.  None of the L/5 meetings in this series have eclipsed this totals offering. PHOENIX is 11-2 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 220.5 ppg going on the board. PHOENIX is 8-1 UNDER  when playing against a struggling  team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) this season with a combined average of 215.8 ppg scored.

Under is 4-0 in Suns last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 4-1 in Suns last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Under is 9-3 in Suns last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 5-2 in Suns last 7 Saturday games.Under is 9-4 in Suns last 13 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 37-18-1 in Suns last 56 games following a straight up loss.

Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

Play UNDER 

Pistons got involved in a consecutive high scoring games while scoring an astounding 130 points in both tilts and are now on tired legs and ready for immediate regression on offense. This Im betting results in a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers expect.   Under is 5-2 in Pistons last 7 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DETROIT) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 120 points or more are 36-5 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DETROIT) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after a combined score of 235 points or more are 26-3 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 90% conversion rate. 

Under is 5-0 in Rockets last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Play under 

Im betting on a hard fought affair between big apple rivals today in a game my projections estimate to go under the set total. None of the L/5 meetings in this series have eclipsed this totals offering.

BROOKLYN is 9-0 UNDER versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game this season. BROOKLYN is 8-1 UNDER as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season.

Under is 4-0 in Nets last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Under is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings.

Play UNDER

The Bucks rank 18th in offense in the NBA and 6th in ppg allowed and 4th in defensive rating behind a 15th ranked pace. The Bucks Bobby Portis is expected to be out tonight and their offensive flow could easily be off here without his chemistry in the lineup, thus limiting the Bucks explosiveness .After  a successful defensive display by the Bucks  against Denver in a  107-99 win last time out, a similar defensive  formula Im betting will used to slow down the run and gun Pacers who despite of decent offensive output rank just 24th in offensive efficiency. Advantage under.

Under is 5-0 in Bucks last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 games following a straight up win. Under is 6-2 in Bucks last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 22-8 in Bucks last 30 road games.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 111-49 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (INDIANA) - an good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 31-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. 

Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Indiana.

Play UNDER

Bucks will be playing with Portis tonight and Im betting their offensive flow will be interrupted which will see the Bucks play a more defensive brand of slow down hoops that will turn this game into a grinding affair . That Im betting results in a closer margin than the lines-makers are estimating. I know the Bucks plowed down a 132-116 offensive beatdown of the Pacers back on Jan 15th but now I expect the Pacers to be in big time revenge mode and very ready to compete on. a physical  more conservative level . INDIANA is 11-3 ATS in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season.

MILWAUKEE is 1-8 ATS  in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season.

INDIANA is 11-3 ATS  in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season. 

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 50-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. 

Play on Indiana to cover 

Spurs will be on tired legs tonight after suffering a loss last night to the LA Lakers and their 3rd road game in 5 nights.  With that said, Im betting on a muted offensive output against a viable D that ranks 3rd in the league in ppg allowed as well as 25th in pace , and that will contribute to a score that does not eclipse this total. Note:   Clippers in their  L14 conference games as hosts have seen only one game eclipse the total. 

LA CLIPPERS are 9-1 UNDER  in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season with a combined average of 206.5 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 15-4 UNDER   in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game this season with a combined average of 215.6 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 18-3 UNDER  ) in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46%  or more this season. LA CLIPPERS are 20-4 UNDER in home games this season with a combined average of 212.2 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 9-0 UNDER   in home games after playing a road game this season with a combined average of 209.2 ppg scored. 

Under is 4-1 in Spurs last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%), after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better are 37-17 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.

Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Play UNDER

The Lakers are off a rivalry game agains the LA Clippers last night that ended in a DD loss  and are on tired legs vs a Greg Popovich group that triple revenge on board vs LAL .Spurs head coach Greg Popovich is 8-0 ATS in his last eight opportunities when seeking same-season triple revenge.LA LAKERS are 3-11 ATS   after a loss by 10 points or more this season.

Play on San Antonio Spurs to cover 

 The Nuggets have been playing top tier hoops in the NBA since early December. Denver has won 20 of 24 to move within a half-game of Boston for the best record in the NBA and deserve respect here as underdogs.Meanwhile,  the Bucks are coming off a 150-point performance in a win at Detroit on Monday night and now go into a natural regressionary state at an inopportune time as the streaking Nuggets come to town. Note: Nuggets won last night 99-98 , -  Denver is  6-1 ATS  on the road with no rest vs non-conference opposition. 

Nuggets are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Bucks are 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

NBA team (MILWAUKEE) - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (72-76%), after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 9-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate.

NBA Underdogs (DENVER) - after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 130 points or more are 29-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate.

Denver has won and covered the L/2 meetings in Denver. – Series visitor 4-0 L4 ATS. 

Play on Denver to cover 

Pelicans are struggling but their opponents have a way of falling apart against lower tier teams or those that are not at the top of their game as is evident by recent losses to Houston and Detroit. I know the Pelicans played last night but they are a well conditioned group and now in desperation mode at home and  Im betting will come up with a strong covering effort as short favs.  Green is 26-13 ATS  after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games as the coach of NEW ORLEANS. 

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - poor defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games 4-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate .

NBA Road underdogs (MINNESOTA) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 13-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate.

Play on New Orleans to cover 

Pacers played last night and are now on tired legs. Indiana 7-0 OVER  with no rest vs conference opposition and that will Im betting once again be the case tonight. Over is 4-1 in Pacers last 5 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day.

Meanwhile, Orlando dominated the NBA-leading Boston Celtics on Monday, 113-98, behind a balanced offensive effort and stifling defensive performance and now in a regressionary state will find it hard to muster up as much physicality as last time which Im betting results in mucho chances for their opposition in transition. Over is 6-0 in Magic last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.

Over is 9-1 in Magic last 10 games following a ATS win.Over is 6-1 in Magic last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.INDIANA is 18-5 OVER in road games against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 241 ppg scored in those 23 tilts. 

INDIANA is 27-14 OVER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better  of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 239.2 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (ORLANDO) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 47-18 OVER L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate.

Play over 

The Nuggets had a long winning streak abruptly end vs Oklahoma City last time out, and Im betting 2 losses in a row are not out of the question. The Pelicans according to my power rankings matchup well vs the Nuggets as was the case earlier this season when the Pelicans crushed the Nuggets by DDs. Also we have a Pelicans side that is in desperation mode after 4 straight losses and ready to compete in a big way at home tonight where they are 17-6 SU this season. 

DENVER is 17-33 ATS  revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons. Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Green is 26-13 ATS   after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games as the coach of NEW ORLEANS. 

NBA Home favorites (NEW ORLEANS) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 34-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. 

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (DENVER) - off a loss against a division rival, on Tuesday nights are 1-29 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate. 

Play on New Orleans to cover 

Charlottes won their L/2 road games  and deserve respect here as underdogs vs a inconsistent Utah side that is finally coming back down to earth after an extremely fast start to the campaign. The Jazz just 5-9 SU L/14 overall. 

UTAH is 7-15 ATS as a favorite this season. UTAH is 22-34 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.

UTAH is 10-26 ATS  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or better  assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Underdogs (CHARLOTTE) - struggling defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after 3 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 34-9 ATS L/27 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Charlotte to cover 

The Lakers continue to just go through the motions , there seems to be no urgency in this LA team that depends far to much on often injured  aging super stars James and Davis who both not expected to play tonight. The Lakers mediocrity is evident by  ranking No. 27 in Defensive Scoring and 22nd overall in Offensive Rebounds. Yes, they have shown flashes of brilliance , like last time out, against Memphis winning a 122-121 slugfest , but its not uncommon for them to come off a big win with a letdown down effort something Im betting on here today vs the Blazers. LA LAKERS are 19-35 ATS off a home win over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PORTLAND) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after a loss by 10 points or more are 33-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Portland to cover 

After putting only 90 points on the board in a loss to Dallas last time out on the road, Im now betting on more aggressive Heat performance in the offensive end of the court. In a recent effort the Heat beat the Pelicans by a 123-99 count and Im expecting a similar output here today and for the Pelicans to have to open up to keep pace in a game I have projected to eclipse this total.

NEW ORLEANS is 11-3 OVER  as a road underdog this season with a combined average of 133.8 ppg scored.NEW ORLEANS is 17-7 OVER   when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season with a combined average of 231.4 ppg scored. 

Over is 8-3 in Pelicans last 11 road games.

Over is 4-1 in Heat last 5 games following a straight up loss. Miami has gone over in 5 straight games at home in 1/1 rest situation  vs non-conference opposition. 

NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MIAMI) - off an upset loss of 15 points or more as a road favorite are 29-7 OVER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play over 

Dallas has momentum here after a conclusive home win vs the Miami Heat last time out, and now with revenge on board vs A Clippers side that  beat them by DD last week on the road  will be motivated to keep their current energy moving upward and get redemption in the process. 

DALLAS is 26-13 ATS  revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Clippers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Clippers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (DALLAS) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 36-4 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dallas to cover 

The Cavaliers crashed and burned last night as favorites as they their defense failed them. Im betting things wont get much better tonight, and in return the Cavs will have to open up against a foe that can put points on the board in hurry. Everything points to the Cavs tired legs not allowing them to be physical and for Milwaukee to push forward with extreme prejudice which Im betting results in a high scoring affair. 

CLEVELAND is 15-7 OVER  when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season.

MILWAUKEE is 8-1 OVER  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with a combined average of 233.5 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CLEVELAND) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or better of their shots are 36-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MILWAUKEE) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a good defensive team (104-108 PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 130 points or more are 33-10 L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over

The Brooklyn Nets now playing without their injured star Durant have now lost 4 straight games and are now on tired legs after playing and losing to the Suns last night and are now extremely vulnerable to being beat up on by a Utah side that is 20-7 SU and 19-8 ATS L/27 meetings , including 6-0 ATS when the Nets are playing back to backs.  Meanwhile the  Nets are 0-2 SUATS this season while coming in to a tilt against a non conference opponent  with no rest .BROOKLYN is 1-8 ATS  in road games after a non-conference game this season.

UTAH is 11-2 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season.UTAH is 17-3 ATS in home games after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Utah to cover 

After a negative 6 game road trip that saw the Mavs lose 5 of 6 games, Im betting it will take the tired jet lagged hosts time to get acclimated to home cooking again a, mkaking them  vulnerable against a Miami side that is beginning to play a top tier form of hoops as is evident by notching victories in 4 of their L/5 including a road win against the New Orleans Pelicans last time out. DALLAS is 3-12 ATS  in non-conference games this season.

DALLAS is 2-11 ATS after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread this season.

Spoelstra is 30-16 ATS ( in road games vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of MIAMI.

NBA Home underdogs (DALLAS) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, on Friday night are 15-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Miami to cover 

After a hard fought affair in Boston last night the Warriors will be on tired legs and far from ready to run and gun vs a Cleveland side that will be primed to slow this game down to a pace they they can handle. This Im betting results in a lower scoring affair that stays on the low side of this offering. note: Cleveland ranks 30th in pace in No.1 in ppg allowed in the league.

GOLDEN STATE is 20-9 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.8 ppg. 

CLEVELAND is 9-1 UNDER  in home games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.7 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (GOLDEN STATE) - a good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. offensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 29-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

 The Clippers have gone  9-0 OVER L/9 on the road vs sub par .500 opposition like the Jazz  and have eclipsed the total in 10 of their L/12 with not  rest vs non-division  foes  like the Jazz.( clippers played Philly last night and will now be on tired legs and less prepared to play a defensive affair vs a run and gun opponent in Salt Lake city tonight.  Meanwhile,  Utah: 5-0 OVER home vs unrested opposition like the Clippers and  only 1 of their  L8 meetings vs the Clippers has failed to eclipse the total. 

Over is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.

Over is 12-3-1 in Clippers last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Over is 7-2 in Clippers last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Over is 5-0 in Jazz last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 5-0 in Jazz last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 6-1 in Jazz last 7 overall.

NBA team (LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two good free throw shooting teams (76-79%), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47%or more  of their shots are 82-44 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over

The Cavaliers have gradually put together a winning and viable team, and are playing their best hoops  since the departure of LeBron James. With the Cavs starting to form into a competitive side especially with Donovan Mitchell now in the fold Im betting we see them at their best  tonight agains the explosive Grizzlies  team that the Cavs were built to compete with. Cavaliers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Cavaliers are 21-9 ATS in the last 30 meetings.

Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Memphis.

NBA Home teams (MEMPHIS) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50%  or better of their shots are 63-108 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover

76ers are on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 4 nights and their 3rd straight road game  and have now played 8 games in 2 weeks making them one very exhausted side.  PHILADELPHIA is 0-7 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season. The Clippers now have the edge the need to get a win  on their own home court where they have played their best hoops this season.

76ers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off 2 consecutive road wins by 5 points or less are 34-15 L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off 2 consecutive road wins by 5 points or less are 53-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. 

Play on the Clippers to cover

The Miami Heat, who are on a three game winning streak and forming in top top tier form, Im betting will extend its recent dominance over the host Atlanta Hawks when they meet on Monday as part of the Martin Luther King Jr. Day festivities. The Heat have won 6 of the L/7 meetings losing only once by 1 point. 

McMillan is 10-24 ATS  off an upset win as an underdog as the coach of ATLANTA.

ATLANTA is 3-16 ATS  off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 season.( Beat the Raptors last time out)

NBA Home underdogs vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog are 5-37 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate.

Play on Miami to cover

The Thunder can no longer surprise teams that have in the past over looked them. Now with that advantage gone , Im betting on the  Brooklyn Nets being wide awake and ready to really bring the hammer down on their young talented visiting group in decisive fashion. Especially after losing to Boston last time out at home. With that said, Im betting this will be a situation that sees the Nets take out their frustrations on the Thunder. 

Nets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-14 ATS  after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BROOKLYN) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are  31-6 ATS  L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate.

Play on Brooklyn Nets to cover 

Both these teams are struggling with the Rockets on a 9 game losing streak while the Clippers have lost 7 of their L/8 overall.  I know Houston has been smashed by the Clippers three times this season, but Im betting this young Houston group will be prepared for redemption today and a competitive showing.  The old adage enough is enough will be the Rockets moto today. LA CLIPPERS are 8-25 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road teams (HOUSTON) - struggling  defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more are 31-10 L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate.

Play on the Houston Rockets to cover

Portland has lost 5 straight games and Im betting that trend continues tonight vs a superior side off a momentum building road win last time out at Los Angles vs the Lakers. Dallas has won 3 of their 4 here in Portland and get the nod again. 

From a SRS perspective . Dallas ranks 11th in the NBA 1,29 mark while Portland ranks 19th -0.34 .  

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. 

  PORTLAND is 8-17 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season. Billups is 18-35 ATS v after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games as the coach of PORTLAND. 

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PORTLAND) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 8-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate.

Play on Dallas to cover 

These teams have a recent history of playing physical defensive affairs here at the Staples Center as is evident by the under cashing in the Nuggets last 5 visits to LA to play the Clippers with a combined average score  (200.4 ppg)  going on the board. Denver has recently played a long series of home games (four on a row) and when this has happened recently the Nuggets have gone under in 8 of their L/9 tilts overall ( after 4 or more straight as hosts). Meanwhile, the Clippers have gone under in 11 of their L/12  in 2/1 rest situation and  have gone  under in  9 of their L/10  against  .600  or better  conf opposition. Everything points to this being a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse this offered total.Also the  Under is 6-1 in Nuggets last 7 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Under is 36-13-2 in Nuggets last 51 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 4-0 in Clippers last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 22-5-1 in Clippers last 28 home games.

Play on the UNDER 

Denver has won 5 of the L/6 meetings in this series with the Clippers with the only loss coming by two points. Considering the Clippers current form , registering losses in  6 of their L/7 and the overall consistent play of the Nuggets it will not be hard decision to take the visitors getting points.  Rest has not always been a catalyst for the Clippers either as they are just  2-15 ATS   when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.LA CLIPPERS are 8-24 ATS  when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons.

Nuggets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Clippers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

NBA Home teams (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 30 points or more against opponent after a cover as a double digit favorite are 11-33 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover

Back on Nov 14 the Spurs were clobbered by the Warriors by a 132-95 count. Im betting this time around the Spurs  HC Popovich will try to slow this game down in a redemption scenario. This will directly effect this score to the under. Yes, I know these teams Ds, do not look viable, but this number is still  slightly bloated according to my projections . 

Under is 9-4-1 in Warriors last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.

Under is 11-5 in Warriors last 16 games following a double-digit loss at home.

Under is 33-16-2 in Warriors last 51 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

GOLDEN STATE is 34-18 UNDER  L/52 in road games versus struggling  teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season with a combined average of 205.1 ppg scored.  .

GOLDEN STATE is 25-11 UNDER  when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 219.8 ppg . 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO) - terrible defensive team - allowing 118+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 47-13 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Under is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings.

Play on the UNDER

Detroit is off a huge /DD win vs Minnesota last time out  but now Im expecting a huge regressionary situation to rare its ugly head vs a superior side. Note:  DETROIT is 1-13 ATS   off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at just under 18 points per game. I know that the Pistons have revenge on board for a loss they suffered to the Pelicans back on Dec 7th but it must be noted that  DETROIT is 0-11 ATS  revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season and Im betting that trend stays intact after tonights tilt. 

Play on New Orleans to cover 

Im betting Boston and Brooklyn who are two top tier  heavy weight teams will conservatively and physically turn this into a grinding affair rather than a  run and gun battle which is not abnormal for matchups like this. The Celtics are ranked 9th in defensive efficiency and 16th in pace, while the Nets rank 5th in ppg allowed while ranking 21st in pace. Im betting on this being a rock fight and for the combined score to stay on the low side of the total. 

BROOKLYN is 17-2 UNDER versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons are 220.7 ppg.  

BROOKLYN is 11-2 UNDER  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or more ) over the last 2 seasons with a combined 216.3 ppg scored.

BROOKLYN is 8-0 UNDER   versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or more turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 219.2 ppg.

BOSTON is 8-1 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 219.8 ppg scored. BOSTON is 8-1 UNDER  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 222.2 ppg. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BROOKLYN) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 49-15 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBAteams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BOSTON) - after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 45-15 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

The Pacers 6-0-1 ATS L/7  are in revenge mode for a 109-106 loss to NYK as home favs back in December. Meanwhile, after a hard fought 111-017 loss to the Bucks last time out, the Knicks could easily find themselves in a letdown spot and vulnerable to a sub par effort . Note: NYK are 3-17 SU/ATS L/20 games after facing the Bucks. 

NEW YORK is 9-23 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

INDIANA is 9-1 ATS   after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games this season.

NEW YORK is 9-24 ATS in home games after playing a home game over the last 2 season

NBA Road underdogs (INDIANA) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less against opponent off a upset loss as a favorite are 33-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate.

Play on Indiana to cover 

The Wizards are extremely inconsistent  as is evident when  they went through a 9 game losing streak in early and mid December, than won 6 of 7 games including 5 straight and now they have lost three straight SU/ATS  again and very much look like they are right back into the same funk they went through in December. Meanwhile, Chicago has been highly competitive of late winning 3 of their L/4 overall and covering a 9-2-1 ATS rate in their L/12 trips to the court.Bulls are  also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. Wizards are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400

Unseld Jr is 9-23 ATS   after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread as the coach of WASHINGTON.

Bulls are 9-2-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Washington. 

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WASHINGTON) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off a road loss are 11-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago to cover 

This is a payback game for the Warriors against the Suns tonight. In two matchups this season Phoenix pounded Golden State by DD, deficits now payback is on the agenda. Note: Golden State is 5-1 ATS with same-season double revenge, including 3-0 SUATS as hosts. With the Suns looking run down and disarray as is evident by losing 5 straight the Warriors catch the Suns at an opportune time for redemption. 

Kerr is 35-19 ATS in home games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) as the coach of GOLDEN STATE

GOLDEN STATE is 16-5 ATS  in home games when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 3 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 22-8 ATS   in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 15-4 ATS  in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 ATS in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GOLDEN STATE) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, on Tuesday nights are 31-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate.

NBA team (GOLDEN STATE) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 47-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Golden State to cover 

Cleveland has seen a combined average of 216.1 ppg scored on the road this season in 19 games, and always seem to play at a more deliberate  pace away from home  while paying special attention to defense in transition. That will definitely be the game plan vs a run and gun opponent Utah. With my projections estimates coming in a 224 I feel we have a comfortable one possession plus cushion to the under. . 

Under is 5-2 in Cavaliers last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

 CLEVELAND is 27-13 UNDER   when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 214.6 ppg scored.

Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Utah with none of the games eclisping this current offering.

Play UNDER

Toronto and Charlotte both have  both struggled . Charlotte is ranked 27th in ppg defense, behind the 7th ranked pace, so when they  are hitting shots like they did against Milwaukee recently they poured down 139 points in a win.  I now expect the Hornets to once again do some damage tonight as Im also betting the Raptors pedestrian offense will hit above their season average as they are forced into opening up with this totals number being eclipsed.

Clifford is 12-1 OVER  as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points as the coach of CHARLOTTE with a combined average of 241.7 ppg scored. 

Nurse is 23-11 OVER  versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game as the coach of TORONTO with a combined an average of 232.1 ppg scored. 

Play on the OVER

Jimmy Butler and the Miami Heat were dealt a tough loss at the hands of the Brooklyn Nets on Sunday by a 102-101 count.   Jimmy Butler then  sends a message to his teammates after athat above mentioned close loss to the Nets: ‘I hope that this is the one that flips the switch’Miami has had a difficult time being consistent this  season, and Butler the teams leader reacted and now Im b betting on a big effort tonight against home against a up-trending Oklahoma City side .  

MIAMI is 9-1 ATS  after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, on Tuesday nights are 3-24 ATS L/25 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games are 17-73 L/26 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -8.5. 

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (MIAMI) - after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games are 38-3 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.5 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

MIAMI is 5-0 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Oklahoma City to cover 

Orlando has won 10 of its past 15 games, including two victories against the Boston Celtics, and seem to leave their best efforts for what is perceived to be superior teams. 

Magic are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Magic are also 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games overall and deserve respect here as underdogs vs a  Kings  side that are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Kings are also  0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games.

The Magic are looking for  revenge and redemption vs tge  Kings after dropping a heartbreaking  126-123 overtime decision in Orlando on Nov. 5. 

NBA Road underdogs (ORLANDO) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less against opponent off a upset loss as a favorite are 33-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. 

NBA Home teams (SACRAMENTO) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a sub par team (25 to 40%) are 56-100 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. (Sacramento fell asleep at the proverbial wheel last time out and lost a hard fought 136-134 defeat at the hands of the LA Lakers which Im betting has them in a letdown spot tonight vs the Magic.

Play on Orlando to cover 

This is a bad spot for the Lakers as are playing their 7th game in 10 nights, and will be in tired legs, here in the high exhausting altitudes of the Mile High City. Add to that Denver has revenge on board for a earlier loss this season to the Lakers, and will be primed to end the Lakers current 5 game win streak and fresh enough to do so after getting 2 days off. Malone is 37-18 ATS   in home games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite as the coach of DENVER with the average ppg diff clicking at +10.5 ppg. 

Lakers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - revenging 2 consecutive straight up losses to opponent as a favorite against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are 23-5 ATS L/16 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

Lakers are 1-4-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Denver.

Play on Denver to cover 

The Pelicans have lost their past three road games and six of their past seven away from home and are off a division loss to Dallas as visitors last time out.  It must be noted that NEW ORLEANS is 1-10 ATS off a road loss against a division rival over the last 3 seasons. Meanwhile, Washington lost the last game of its 4 game  road trip after having won 5 of their previous 6 games overall. HC Unseld ,however, was not impressed by his teams work ethic  Quote:  "In general, I don't think we had the right mindset. We looked a little sluggish. You could argue (it was) a long trip, this, that and the other, but no excuse. We've got to do better to start with energy and our approach." END QUOTE. Im betting he has his team ready to perform this evening at home where the Wizards have defeated the Pelicans in their L/2 as hosts. 

Wizards are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.

Wizards are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.l

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WASHINGTON) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 27-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Washington Wizards to cover 

Clippers play a strong defensive brand of basketball at home as is evident by   16-3 UNDER record in home games this season with a combined average of 210 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 8-0 UNDER  in home games after playing a road game this season which is the case here tonight with the average combined score of 207.7 ppg scored. CLIPPERS are 10-2 UNDER  as a home favorite this season with a combined average of 207 ppg going on the board. I know Atlanta will push forward here, but the clippers will hold them back in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the number. 

LA CLIPPERS are 10-2 UNDER  in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46%or more  of their shots this season with a combined average of 211.5 ppg scored.LA CLIPPERS are 14-2 UNDER   in home games versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better  this season with a combined average of 208.8 ppg scored. 

NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 30-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER

The Phoenix Suns are in desperation mode after suffering  a season-high-tying, five-game losing run. A long grueling 6 game road trip looked like it took the sting out of the usually explosive Suns. Now with a few days of home cooking and some rest in their own beds Im betting on a strong effort from the Suns that wont them easily be defeated here , making gets points a golden opportunity. 

Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

CLEVELAND is 1-8 ATS  in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or less assists/game this season. 

Play on Phoenix to cover 

 Charlotte has revenge on board for a 12 point  loss they suffered this season to Indiana . They are focused bunch when in redemption mode as is evident  by a same-season revenger  record that shows when they lose by 20 points or less, they are vicious  dogs cashing 15 of their L/19 opportunities in the rematch. Hornets are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Hornets are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - off a home win, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 31-63 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Charlotte to cover 

The Trail Blazers have lost seven of their past 10 games and six straight on the road and even against another struggling side look like fade material . 

NBA Favorites (TORONTO) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 33-4 L/26 seasons for a 89% conversion rate with the a average ppg diff clicking in at +10.2 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Play on Raptors to cover

Portland ihas become more defensively-oriented as time has progressed  . Meanwhile,  Toronto  plays a mugging style of physical basketball that features a strong defense and  less than explosive  offense.

The Trail Blazers have the 12th-best scoring defence in the NBA and are ranked just 20th-best points per game average. The Raptors rank 11th in point against  defence and 26th in offensive production and 27th in pace  .  Im betting on grinding affair lower scoring affair. 

PORTLAND is 8-1 UNDER  when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 218.8 ppg scored. 

PORTLAND is 32-19 UNDER  when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.7 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

The Lakers played last night and captured a win, (130-114) and now on tired legs as they play. back to back affairs, Im betting their strategy will not be a run and gun program, but instead a more defensive minded game plan out of transition that will skew this totals offering to the low side of the lines-makers estimates. Under is 4-1 in Lakers last 5 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.

LA LAKERS in 7  division games  this season have seen a combined average of 227 ppg scored. 

Under is 5-2 in Kings last 7 overall.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA LAKERS) - off a home win by 10 points or more, on Saturday games are 46-14 OVER L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - being called for 21 or less fouls/game on the season, on Saturday games are 61-26 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Denver took out the LA Clippers last night in a strong performance and will now be on tired legs as they play back to back games against a never say die Chicago team that has recently come from behind in two straight games to garner wins, with one of those tilts against the Chicago bulls featuring a 71 point explosion by Donavon. Im betting on the Cavs to continue their strong competitive play and for them to keep this tilt close enough for us to grab a cover. 

Malone is 7-20 ATS in home games when playing on back-to-back days as the coach of DENVER.

CLEVELAND is 8-1 ATS  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game this season.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, playing on back-to-back days are 34-71 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rare for bettors. 

Play on the Cavs to cover 

Washington had a 5 game losing streak abruptly end vs the defending NBA champion Milwaukee Bucks last time out and will now be ready to rebound vs the Thunder on the road tonight. It must be noted that since Kristaps Porzingis returned  to the lineup after missing two games  was paired up with Daniel Gafford  . Since that move the wizards  have really ramped things up defensively as Washington's defensive rating was in the bottom 10 in the league at 113.8 before the change. Since, then Wizards' defensive rating is 106.3, and No 1 in the league . It must also be noted that the Thunder recently exploded for 150 points vs Boston, and than followed that up in a road loss where they worked hard in the 2nd half to make a comeback but fell short. An emotional and physical letdown situation Im betting is at hand. 

The Wizards are 4-1 L/5 vs the Thunder and are 2-0 L/2 visits to Oklahoma City. The L/3 meetings have been decided by 2, 3, 1 point respectively. 

NBA Road underdogs (WASHINGTON) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less against opponent off a upset loss as a favorite are 33-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate.

Play on Oklahoma City to cover 

Both these teams have played some wide open games of late, both are defensively deficient, but when sub par teams like San Antonio and Detroit go head to head there is a history of fairly low scoring events. One of  the key reasons for these lower scoring affairs is because they are usually more physical as both teams know they have a rare winnable game in their grasp, and the play becomes intense . 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO /DETROIT) - terrible defensive team - allowing 118+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 44-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

.NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DETROIT) - in a game involving 2 sub par teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after a combined score of 235 points or more are 25-3 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO) - terrible defensive team - allowing 118+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 44-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DETROIT) - struggling defensive team - allowing 118+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 27-4 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

DETROIT is 19-9 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 215.4 ppg scored. 

Play on the UNDER 

analysis to follow thank you for your patience 

NBA team (ORLANDO) - playing on back-to-back days, a sub par team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 94-47 OVER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. 

NBA team (MEMPHIS) - after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 45-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. 

Last night Orlando upset Oklahoma City at home, and now Im betting will primed to be competitive vs the explosive Memphis Grizzlies. This is a very well conditioned Magic side so they wont be winded in a back to back situation. Note: ORLANDO is 9-1 ATS  off an upset win as an underdog this season. Over Orlando has been an atm machine for their backers and have cashed 11 of their L/14 overall ATS. 

Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Magic are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record

NBA team (MEMPHIS) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are just 23-51 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, playing on back-to-back days are 27-35 SU l/5 seasons. 

Grizzlies are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Orlando. 

Play on Magic to cover

Sacramento played a grueling game in Salt Lake city last night and could easily find themselves physically and emotionally drained after finding their way to a 117-115 win.  The Hawks  also matchup well vs Sacramento and  defeated them  115-106 in their last meeting on Nov. 24. Young led the Hawks with 35 points and Im betting he will be key here again tonight vs a vulnerable home favorite . 

Kings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win. Kings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.

ATLANTA is 11-2 ATS in road games after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons.(Lost to Golden State on Monday night 143-141 in OT)

Play on Atlanta Hawks to cover 

The Thunder hit hard last night in a big 150 point output vs shell shocked Boston, and will now be in a huge emotional letdown spot, and an obvious regressionary situation and are vulnerable. Magic are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games overall.

NBA team vs the money line (ORLANDO) - after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous games 36-10 SU L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate.

Play on Orlando to cover 

Cleveland is off a huge comeback OT win last time out vs Chicago by a 145-134 count  with Donavon Mitchell recording 71 points. Now a  huge letdown situation on board vs a very hungry Phoenix Suns team that desperately needs a win.Cavaliers are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.

Phoenix has won its last 2 meetings here in Cleveland SU. 

NBA underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games are 32-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Suns to cover 

The Celtics' defense allowed the Nuggets to shoot 57 percent from the floor (45-for-79) and 56.7 percent from 3-point range (17-for-30) in a loss at Denver last time out, and will now be focused on playing much better D tonight vs the Oklahoma city Thunder. From a  offensive stand point, Celtics have have really been struggling from beyond the arc  and failed to eclipse the 35 percent  plateau in six of their last eight tilts and have shot below 30 percent from behind the arc in five of those games. Im betting on these two above mentioned expected defensive  modifications and trends to directly effect this combined score giving an edge to a  under wager cashing . 

Under is 9-4 in Thunder last 13 overall.

Under is 8-1 in Celtics last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

BOSTON in their L/39 games  as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average score of 216.9 ppg going on the board.

BOSTON is 10-2 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season with a combined average of 226.5 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

BOSTON is 30-18 UNDER  in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.8 ppg scored. 

NBA   teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 31-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 120 points or more are 52-20 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. 

Play on the UNDER

Miami has won three of its past four games and knocked off the Clippers earlier this season in South Florida and according to my power rankings match up well against Clippers. Note: Heats star Butler who has been resting his knee is expected to play in this tilt. Key is Butler on the court along with a streaking , Herro  who has been one of Miami’s top produces over the last 10 tilts , averaging 23.9 points, 5.0 rebounds and 5.4 assists while shooting 40.2% from beyond the arc. The Heat have gone 7-3 in those games.

MIAMI is 17-7 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -1.2.

Lue is 16-32 ATS  in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 as the coach of LA CLIPPERS.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after a combined score of 245 points or more are 33-65 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Miami to cover 

The Nets have won 11 straight games and are off 3 straight road games. Its a stretch that has seen the Nets play all out basketball and Im sure there is some exhaustion beginning to set in. So with that said, I will not be surprised if the home side Brooklyn does not take a defacto night off, and play lets say at half their normal speed as they most probably will over look their disrespected opponent the San Antonio Spurs. It has not been uncommon for the Nets to play at half mast vs this type of side . Note:BROOKLYN is 9-20 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons and is 4-19 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons as well as 2-11 ATS  in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons. 

Spurs have only lost 3 of their L/12 games by more than this side offer and despite of a sub par record are still fairly competitive 7 times during this span. 

NBA team (BROOKLYN) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 12-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against  75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

Cleveland snatched a 103-102 victory at Chicago last time out, and now in the immediate rematch Im betting on the Bulls getting revenge or more importantly getting us the cover in a matchup between what my power rankings estimate are fairly evenly matched sides . Road underdogs (CHICAGO) - revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are 27-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team vs the money line (CHICAGO) - off a close home loss by 3 points or less against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are 25-6 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. 

Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.

Bulls are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

CLEVELAND is 4-18 ATS after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher over the last 3 seasons.CLEVELAND is 9-23 ATS  after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher over the last 3 seasons.Cavaliers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.

Bulls are 21-7 ATS in the last 28 meetings in Cleveland.

Play on Chicago to cover 

After an extended 7 game home stand going into the high altitudes of the  Mile High City is not an easy task, and Im betting that will hamper the Celtics ability to play all out back and forth  hoops and instead I expect their quality D ranked 7th in defensive efficiency , to stand tall here and for the visitor to play conservative minded in transition. I know Denvers weakness is on D, and the Celtics are explosive offensively, but like I said above the high altitudes after a long home stand will effect their ability to be as aggressive as usual which will directly effect this Total not being eclipsed. Note: The Celtics rank 16th in pace while the Nuggets rank 20th. 

BOSTON is 30-18 UNDER  in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.3 ppg scored.BOSTON is 8-0 UNDER  in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season with a combined average of 220.6 ppg scored. BOSTON is 19-7 UNDER (+11.3 Units) as a road favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.1 ppg going on the scoreboard.

BOSTON is 10-2 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season with a combined average of 225.9 ppg scored.

DENVER is 12-3 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons are with a combined average of 229.3 ppg. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 44-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 31-7 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Memphis is playing a top tier brand of defensive  basketball and Im betting they will dictate the pace and continue to operate with vigilance in transition. The Grizzlies rank 3rd in the NBA in defensive efficiency.  Meanwhile, after playing Philadelphia last night and capturing a win via a strong all out effort at home, Im betting on a letdown effort here and for their offense to be limited. MEMPHIS is 18-5 UNDER  versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better  of their shots over the last 3 season with a combined average of 219.8 ppg scored. Green is 11-1 UNDER in road games after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher as the coach of NEW ORLEANS with a combined average of 208.9 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 43-9 UNDER  L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 26-4 UNDER L/26 seasons for 87% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER

The 76ers played last night in New Orleans in a run and gun affair and Im betting they wont have the fuel to cover tonight vs a young and cohesive Thunder squad who have played well enough this season to earn respect as a home dog, even against a a top tier side like the 76ers.  OKLAHOMA CITY is 34-19 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.OKLAHOMA CITY is 36-19 ATS   versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons. Thunder are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

76ers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record

PHILADELPHIA is 15-26 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, playing on back-to-back days are just 34-70 L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oklahoma City to cover 

Indiana is  off an upset win and have won 4 of their L/5 and have been competitive from ATS perspective  Carlisle is 10-1 ATS  in home games off an upset win over a division rival as a home underdog in all games he has coached. The Pacers have played their best hoops at home and  are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 home games and get the nod today vs the visiting Clippers. 

NBA Road teams (LA CLIPPERS) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days are 41-18 ATS L/ATS .

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or better of their shots are just 29-63 L/5 seasons including 0-6 this season  for a go against 69%/100%  conversion rate. 

Play on Indiana to cover 

Sacramento played a back forth game vs Denver day before yesterday and took a 127-126 victory. Im now betting they are in a letdown mode , and physically tired and not ready to run and gun here tonight vs a Jazz side off two straight upset defeats . Im now betting the Jazz will  be ready to play a better brand of disciplined defensive hoops. Under is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Under is 4-0 in Kings last 4 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Kings last 4 Friday games.Under is 5-1 in Kings last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 7-2 in Kings last 9 games following a straight up win.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (UTAH) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 116-52 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 69% conversion rate.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 80-40 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Last time out the Jazz  blew a double-digit lead and suffered  a  heart breaking  112-107 loss at Golden State and will now be primed on getting some redemption here vs a inconsistent Sacramento Kings side that my power ranking suggest they matchup well against. What also makes them all the more hungry is they feel asleep in the game previous to that as well,  at San Antonio on Monday night in a game they should have won. Needless to say, their blood is boiling and Im betting they come here on fire and sustain that energy the entire game.UTAH is 14-5 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record this season and are15-6 ATS   as an underdog this season.UTAH is 7-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons and have won their L/4 visits to Californias capital city.  Kings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Play on Utah Jazz to cover 

New Orleans has won 4 straight games and have defeated their opposition when playing as hosts 15 of 19 times this season, and have the needed edge on home court vs a Philadelphia side that has lost 8 of 14 road games this season and have failed to cover 4 of their L/5  for a sub par away record. The 76ers are also off a lazy looking loss last time out, at Washington and look ripe for the picking here tonight in the Bayou. 

Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

76ers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. 76ers are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - off a close home win by 3 points or less, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 63-12 L/26 seasons for a 84% conversion rate. 

Play on New Orleans to cover