These are two of the top teams in the NBA , and at this time of the season, play off bound sides like this like to play a top tier brand of defence, knowing that that will be key to any successes or failures they have in a quest for a championship ring. With that said, Im recommending a under wager in this spot.  

Under is 6-0 in Celtics last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Under is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 road games.Under is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 7-0 in Nuggets last 7 games following a straight up win.Under is 6-0 in Nuggets last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 12-1 in Nuggets last 13 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 10-1 in Nuggets last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 10-1 in Nuggets last 11 overall.Under is 10-1 in Nuggets last 11 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 9-1 in Nuggets last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 9-1 in Nuggets last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-1 in Nuggets last 7 games following a ATS loss.

The Nuggets are 0-11 UNDER L/11 after they scored more than 50 points in the paint with a combined average of 214.9 ppg scored.

DENVER is 21-10 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season with the combined average score clicking in at 219 ppg. 

The Celtics are 3-21 UNDER L/24 when the line is within 3 of pick off a win as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 6 refereed turnovers per game with a combined average of 186.8 ppg going on the board with only 1 of the 24 games eclipsing this total. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DENVER) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in March games are 62-25 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.  

Play UNDER 

As the post season gets closer Utah a team that ranks 20th in ppg on offence bases its successes and failures on their ability to play top tier defence which is  what they currently doing  as they enter this tilt ranking 3rd in defensive efficiency in the NBA.  The Jazz have been particularly stingy of late as they have not allowed any of their L/4 opponents to breach the 100 point plateau with all 4 games remaining on the low side of the total. Meanwhile, Washington loves to run and gun, but if anyone can stall the Wizards it will be the Jazz, and thats what Im betting on here tonight in a tilt I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. 

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Washington.Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.

Under is 6-0 in Jazz last 6 Monday games.Under is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Under is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Jazz last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Jazz last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 9-2 in Jazz last 11 vs. NBA Southeast.Under is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 12-4 in Jazz last 16 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 6-2 in Jazz last 8 games following a straight up win.

Under is 13-3 in Wizards last 16 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 games following a ATS win.Under is 4-0 in Wizards last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.

The Wizards are 2-16 UNDER L/18 as a dog off a win in which their points increased by at least 25 from the game before with a .combined average score of 188.8 ppg scored.

The Jazz are 1-13 UNDER L/14 as a favorite with rest after playing as a home favorite facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 209.9 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

 Cleveland Cavaliers know they have to do a much better job containing the Detroit Pistons' front court duo of Blake Griffin and Andre Drummond as they try to avoid being swept in the season series, and will be out looking to play a much better brand of defense, something they know Detroit is very capable of doing. This Im betting leads to a lower scoring game then the linesmakers expect. Note:DETROIT is 10-1 UNDER when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season with a combined average of 201.6 ppg. Casey is 10-0 UNDER  when playing 8 or more games in 14 days as the coach of DETROIT with a combined average of 204 ppg.

The Cavaliers are 1-12 L/13 as a home dog with rest when they are off two games in which their opponent scored 10+ more points than their respective averages with a combined average of 189 ppg.

DETROIT is 25-10 UNDER  in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 206.5 ppg. The Pistons are 2-20 on the UNDER L/22 as a road favorite with no rest off a win in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with a  combined average 176.1 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DETROIT) - after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, in March games are 80-43 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play UNDER 

 Last season, when these teams met here the  Clippers shot 52.4 percent in a 123-120 home win over the Nets on March 4, 2018. My projections estimate a similar score here again despite of partially different lineups. 

LA CLIPPERS are 11-2 OVER  after allowing 110 points or more 4 straight games this season with a combined average of 240.9 ppg.

The Clippers have the 9th fastest pace in the league and the 6th best offensive output and the 24th ranked D and will play at a speed that will force the Nets into opening up. 

LA CLIPPERS in 18  home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season have seen a combined average score of 235.9 ppg scored.LA CLIPPERS in 30  home games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season have seen a combined average score of 233.4 ppg scored.LA CLIPPERS are 12-4 OVER  as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season with a combined average score of 233.3 ppg. 

The Clippers are 12-0-1 OVER as a favorite with less than two days rest off a home game in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with the last 4 games in this trend from this season and last seeing a combined average of 240.5 ppg scored.

The Nets are 10-0-1 OVER on the road with no rest after they scored 10 or more points in the fourth than the first quarter with the L/6 in this subset seeing substantial totals record with the combined average score of 236.8 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

The Kings are coming off a 1-3 Eastern swing that ended with three straight losses and will highly likely still be on tired legs as they get reacquainted with being at home again. I see theKings being a little bit more conservative in their approach here, and for the Bulls who rank 20th in pace to be in no hurry to rush the explosive Kings. 

Kings smacked the Bulls by a  108-89 in Chicago in December and Im betting that type of winning formula could be implemented by the Kings here again tonight vs a light scoring opponent averaging just 105 ppg on the season for a 29th offensive efficiency ranking. 

The Kings are 0-16 /16 UNDER as a favorite with rest facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5 with a combined average of 204.3 ppg scored.The Kings are 0-13 L/13 UNDER as a home favorite with rest facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average score of 204.3 ppg scored.

The Bulls are 4-22 UNDER L/26 as a road dog with rest off a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 62 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 196.3 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CHICAGO) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 47-18 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

The last time these teams met on Detroit on March 3rd they won 112-107 in overtime . Im betting on this game being played at a similar speed this time around and for strong efforts D by both sides, to once again be key to this total staying under in what Im hoping is a regulation tilt. 

DETROIT is 11-2 UNDER when playing 6 or more games in 10 days this season with a combined average of 202.6 ppg scored. he Pistons are 0-9 UNDER as a dog with less than two days rest off a win after allowing 50-plus points in the paint with a combined average of 196.7 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DETROIT) - after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, in March games are 94-47 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Miami leads the Orlando Magic and Charlotte by just one game in the Eastern Conference playoff standings - with the No. 8 seed likely to face the Bucks in the first round of the postseason. so this is an important game with post season implications, and will be played very physically, which will reflect on the scoreboard in what will be a muted effort according to my projections. Miami beat Charlotte 91-84 when they played on March 6th and similar type game is not out of the question.

The Heat are 1-13-1 on the UNDER with rest after playing as a home dog facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with a combined average of 197.5 ppg scored.The Heat are 0-10-1 on the UNDER with less than two days rest off a loss as a dog in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP with a combined average of 184.8 ppg scored.

CHARLOTTE is 14-4 UNDER  in road games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 208.1 ppg scored.CHARLOTTE is 22-7 UNDER  revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 204.1 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

Two struggling teams go head to head this afternoon as the Knicks enter this home game on a 8 game losing streak as they take on a Lakers side with losses in 7 of their L/8 games overall. The Lakers despite of probably having super star LeBron James in the lineup for this game are on tired legs now playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, and in their last effort they were short handed and had to play everybody and use up alot of minutes. Im now betting the fatigue factor makes the Lakers less than stable underdog on this line this afternoon.

Lakers are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in New York.

Knicks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.EW YORK is 14-3 ATS after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half over the last 2 seasons.

Lakers are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Lakers are 6-22-1 ATS in their last 29 vs. Eastern Conference. Lakers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.Lakers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games.Lakers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.Lakers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Atlantic.Walton is 8-19 ATS  in road games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days as the coach of LA LAKERS.

The Lakers are 0-11 ATS L/11 on the road with rest off a loss in a road game in which they scored 10 or more points in the fourth than the first quarter.The Lakers are 0-9 ATS L/9 (/SU with less than two days rest after they scored more than 50 points in the paint.

LA LAKERS are 9-22 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record this season. LA LAKERS are 4-15 ATS  versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game this season.

NBA Underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 28-19 SU for a 60% conversion rate over the 5 seasons.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - off a road loss by 10 points or more against opponent off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more are 10-30 SU L/40 with a -7.6 differential. 

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 36-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on NY Knicks to cover 

Two western conference teams  off games last night and on energy deficient legs and , jockeying for post season positions , Im betting will take part in a hard fought physical game this evening which will see the combined score stay on the low side the total. 

The Spurs have gone under in 7 of the L/8 games. 

SAN ANTONIO is 24-12 UNDER L/36 in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 206.9 ppg scored.The Spurs are 1-14-1 UNDER L/15 as a favorite with less than two days rest off a win as a home favorite when playing on Saturday with no rest with a combined average of 185 ppg scored.SAN ANTONIO is 7-0 UNDER  in home games on Saturday games this season with a combined average of 204 ppg scored. The Spurs are 0-10 UNDER L/10 with no rest off a home game in which they shot over 50% from the field with a combined average of 192.2 ppg scored.

PORTLAND is 33-14 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 210.2 ppg scored. The Trailblazers are 4-21-1 OU (when the line is within 3 of pick after a game with 8+ lead changes with a combined average of 207.8 ppg scored.The Trailblazers are 0-9 UNDER on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a win facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws with a combined average of 203.7 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (SAN ANTONIO) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in March games are 59-20 UNDER L22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the UNDER 

The Cavaliers are allowing more than 114 ppg  on 49% shooting this season on the road and look ready to be taken advantage of again tonight in Dallas as they have allowed around a 50% FG conversion rate to competitors in a recent 5 game span. Meanwhile, I expect the Cavs behind Kevin Love to answer back offensively vs a host in Dallas that has allowed 113.6 ppg in their L/5 with teams clicking in with a 48+ FG conversion rate. Everything points to this matchup featuring a high scoring affair that eclipses this total. 

The Mavericks are 11-0 OVER L/11 after they had fewer than 10 turnovers in a previous game with a combined average of 234.8 ppg scored.

The Cavaliers are 16-3-1 OU with rest after playing as a road dog facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 219 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CLEVELAND) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 58-32 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. 

Play OVER 

Memphis is just playing out their season, and a lot of younger players are seeing floor time, and as result flow has been off. Meanwhile, Washington  is off playing last night and are on tired legs and will not be prepared to un and gun but rather play solid defensive ball as they chase theMiami Heat fro a final play off spot. With that said, Im betting on a combined score that stays on the low side the total.

Bickerstaff is 10-1 UNDER  after scoring 105 points or more 4 straight games in all games he has coached

MEMPHIS is 26-7 UNDER after playing a road game this season and 19-4 UNDER L/22 off a road loss this season with a combined average of 201.7 ppg scored. The Grizzlies are 0-10 UNDER on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a loss in a road game with a combined average of 188 ppg scored. The Grizzlies are 0-9-1 UNDER on the road off a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with a combined average of 202.4 ppg scored. 

MEMPHIS is 38-21 UNDER versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season with a combined average of 205.5 ppg.

The Wizards are 0-12 UNDER L/12 as a favorite with less than two days rest off a home game after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses with a combined average of 203.2 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (WASHINGTON) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 60-24 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Chicago has been slumping of late losing 5 of their L/6 but  is expected to have leading scorer Zach LaVine back against the Clippers which Im betting significantly increases their ability to put points up on the board tonight in a tilt I have pegged to go over the set total. Note: The Clippers are ranked 6th in offensive output in the league averaging 114.4 ppg and at home have average more than 117 ppg, behind the 9th ranked pace and tonight vs a Chicago team ranked 25th in Defensive efficiency  Im betting the explosive Clippers will do a great deal of offensive damage again. The Bulls have allowed more than 115 ppg in their L/5 tilts overall as their defence remains their Achilles heel and I look for them to chase and score with reckless abandon here with LaVine back in the lineup.  Note: Clippers are ranked 23rd in D in the league and have allowed more than 115 ppg in their L/5 overall. There will not chants of DEFENCE, DEFENCE , DEFENCE in this one. 

LA CLIPPERS are 8-1 OVER in home games after allowing 110 points or more 3 straight games this season have seen a combine score of 235.7 ppg going on the board. 

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA CLIPPERS) - after allowing 120 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 225 points or more are 109-56 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA  teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (CHICAGO) - after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games are 117-63 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play OVER 

Even though Zach Lavine is expected back in the lineup for the Bulls tonight Im not sold on them being any less than 10 point dog here and Im betting we have value on the line with the explosive home team in this spot play at anything under DDs. 

LA CLIPPERS are 14-3 ATS  vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game this season. LA CLIPPERS are 17-4 ATS  versus struggling  teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average point diff clicking in at 12.8 ppg.

Play on LA Clippers to cover 

The Blazers are a fine team but are getting way to much respect here and the value rests with the New Orleans Hornets as home dogs. You have to remember that the Blazers are below 500 road team with a 16-17 record while the Pelicans are a above 500 home team with a 18-15 record. I know Jrue Holiday is out for the Pelicans, but they're are young guys like Elfrid Payton who have stood tall thanks as is evident by a triple double  in his L/2 trips to the hardwood. With that said, Im recommending we take the points. 

Trail Blazers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference.

NEW ORLEANS is 12-2 ATS  off a home loss this season.NEW ORLEANS is 15-7 ATS  revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season. The Pelicans are 18-2-1 ATS L/20 at home off a loss in which their opponent made at least 10 more free throws.

PORTLAND is 8-19 ATS  in road games against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons and is 3-13 ATS  in road games off a road blowout win by 20 points or more. 

Play on New Orleans to cover 

Dallas has lost six straight and 11 of 12 and I personally dont like their current form.Dallas had more adversity Wednesday when its flight to Denver was delayed by a snowstorm, dubbed the "bomb cyclone" blew through Colorado and will now be completely exhausted entering this game and could easily end up on the wrong end of a ugly DD beatdown. Also star euro Doncics is also hobbled and if he plays could be hobbled. With that said, Im going to lay DDs here in a contest that does not favor visiting Dallas in the the thin air of the  Mile High City tonight. 

DENVER is 17-4 ATS  in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins this season with the average point diff clicking in at 11.7 ppg.

NBA Road underdogs of +375 or higher vs. the money line (DALLAS) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, in March games are 1-82 SU L/22 seasons for a99%conversion rate with the average score diff clicking in at 13.5 ppg. 

Play on Denver to cover 

The Raptors,are off getting manhandled by the Cleveland last time out by a  126-101 count and lost Serge Ibaka to a three-game suspension for a fight during the game. He is a key cog in this teams flow and Im betting it will directly effect their ability to cover the number vs a Lakers squad looking for positives despite of having LeBron James healthy and in the lineup. The Raps Kyle Lowry will play, despite of some nagging injuries ,  but  overall he has looked distracted lately and has constantly been arguing with referees.Im betting his negative mood will have a direct effect on his teammates. 

The Lakers are 12-1 ATS L/12 off a 10+ win facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws.LA LAKERS are 9-1 ATS n road games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons

The Raptors are 0-10 ATS at home with rest off a road game in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes. TORONTO is 12-23 ATS  versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season.

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 

The Magic played a defensive minded game last night and ended up on the short end of a 100-90 defeat at the hands of the Washington Wizards. The Magic now even more desperate for wins as they pursue a play off spot should be ready to let loose here and leave nothing to chance while, the now capable Cavs behind Kevin Love should fire back in unison. This Im betting leads to a higher scoring tilt than the lines makers have projected. 

The Magic are 9-0 OVER  with no rest facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with a combined average score of 233.5 ppg scored.

The Cavaliers are 14-1 OVER off a road game in which they scored 10 or more points in the fourth than the first quarter with a combined average of 222.5 ppg scored. 

CLEVELAND is 13-4 OVER off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 223.3 ppg scored. The Cavaliers are 27-7-1 OVER L/35 with rest after playing as a road dog facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with a combined average of 224.2 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (ORLANDO) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 39-14 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

The Heat are off a down effort last time out against vs the Raptors which ended a 4 game win streak. Tonight vs the visiting crew from Motown Im betting the Heat bounce back in what is  a more favourable matchup, behind a third ranked D and an offence that is virtually equal with that of the Pistons.  MIAMI is 21-8 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons and  are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record like the Pistons.

The Heat are 12-0-1 ATS /13-0 SU as a favorite off a loss in a home game in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers. 

The Pistons are 3-21 ATS  and 0-24 SU L/24 as a road dog with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss as a dog in which they scored fewer than 85 point

DETROIT is 3-11 ATS  versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season. DETROIT is 8-22 ATS  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.

MIAMI is 21-9 ATS  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.  

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MIAMI) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a home favorite are 27-6 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Miami Heat to cover 

Memphis turned over a lot of its roster at the deadline, it has gone 5-4 since the All-Star Game and has won four of its last five and deserves our attention here vs the young Atlanta Hawks. With key Grizzlies Cog Conley having performed well in the past vs the  Hawks averaging 15.6 points and 7.1 assists in 17 career games against the Hawks I look for him to be the catalyst for a Memphis win and cover here tonight.Memphis won the first meeting 131-117 in October and get the nod again. Hey I know perceptions and sometimes be powerful, and alot like the way the young Hawks have played, but they are still highly inconsistent and not a viable bet in spots like this as they are coming off a home win vs a New Orelans team that has given up on their season. Note: ATLANTA is 1-8 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins this seasonATLANTA is 4-16 ATS  in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons and is 9-23 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons. 

The Grizzlies are 12-0 ATS /SUwith rest off a win as a favorite in which they had at least 25% of their points from free throws. 

NBA Home teams (ATLANTA) - an explosive offensive team (102 or more PPG) against a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games are 20-50 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Memphis Grizzlies to cover 

Dallas has lost 5 straight and San Antonio has won 5 straight. But current form usually goes out the window when these instate NBA rivals go to head. In recent meetings the Spurs have failed to cover 8 straight meetings vs the Mavs when they are not getting points like tonight. With Dallas out looking for same season double revenge in this series Im betting they will be highly motivated . Note:Dallas’14-3 ATS as a underdog in this series when playing with same- season double revenge. 

The Mavericks are 23-3 ATS/22-4 SU at home when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a loss facing an opponent averaging more than 62 ppg from 2-point range.

The Spurs are 2-16 ATS with rest when they won 2 straight vs current opponent and are 0-10 ATS when they won 3 straight vs current opponent.

Play on Dallas to cover 

From what Ive seen from the Knicks of late tells me a story of a team that is in tank mode and has no fight left in them at all. It looks very much like the famous swan dive for draft picks is on. With that said, Im going to do something that I do on  the rare occasion and that is to lay DDs with the more motivated team the  Indiana Pacers. Note: INDIANA is 8-0 ATS  in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or less - 2nd half of the season this season with the average victory coming by 15.8 ppg.

Indiana took out the Knicks on Jan 11 at MSG by a 121 -106 count and a similar score is not out of the question in the rematch.

The Knicks are 0-13 ATS/SU as a 8+ dog with less than two days rest off a loss as a road dog in which they had less than 15% of their points from free throws with every loss coming by more than this asking price

The Knicks are 0-13 ATS/SU on the road after a game as a road dog in which they had less than 10% of their points from free throws with the average point diff clicking in at -13.5 ppg. 

The Knicks are 0-12 ATS/SU with less than two days rest off a loss as a road dog facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebound with the average point diff clicking in at -16.1 ppg. 

NBA Road underdogs of +375 or higher vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, in March games are 1-80 SU  L/22 seasons with the combined average point diff clicking in at -13.9 ppg. 

Play on Indiana to cover 

Boston after a slump looks to be back in gear as the season winds and down and are currently a very dangerous opponent for all comers and  especially vs a inconsistent Clippers team that they will be out to beat on here in revenge mode.Note: Boston lost to the Clippers 123-112  in Boston as 11.5-point chalk  in February when they were slumping and now have pay back on board. 

LA is just 2-8 ATSL/10 at home vs Atlantic Division sides.

BOSTON is 8-1 ATS in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 this season. BOSTON is 37-21 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

The Celtics are 12-0 ATS with rest off a 10+ win as a favorite in which they had 30+ assists.

Rivers is 18-34 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots - 2nd half of the season as the coach of LA CLIPPERS. 

NBA team vs the money line (BOSTON) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite, off 3 or more consecutive road wins are 56-21 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

 NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (LA CLIPPERS) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 6-26 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CLIPPERS) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 19-45  ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover 

After struggling in February the Boston Celtics are back to playing a top tier brand of hoops, that centers around playing a strong brand of defensive basketball . The Celtics currently 4th   in ppg allowed and defensive efficiency in the NBA. Tonight against a Clippers team that they have revenge on board against the Clippers for uncharacteristically ugly loss at home by a 123-112 count  in feb when they were slumping, Im now betting on them playing a lock down style of defense that will directly effect the overall offensive ouptut of this tilt. 

BOSTON is 11-2 UNDER in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 201.1 ppg scored.

BOSTON is 13-2 UNDER  in road games versus lower tier defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 213.5 ppg scored.BOSTON is 8-1 UNDER  in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this seasonwith a combined average of 215.6 ppg going on the board.The Celtics are 7-34-2 OU UNDER  on the road with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points with a combined average score of 185.7 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

The Clippers are 0-12 UNDER with more than one day of rest off a win as a favorite in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers with a combined average of 195.2 ppg going on the board.

LA CLIPPERS are 15-4 UNDER L/19  in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season with a combined average of 221.5 ppg scored. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (BOSTON) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more against opponent off a home win are 36-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettor with a combined average score of 204.7 ppg scored.

Play UNDER 

Utah is off a loss vs a up trending Memphis team last time out, as they probably made the mistake of over looking them. Note :The Jazz are 13-0 ATS/SU as a favorite off a loss with each game coming in convincing fashion with the average point differential clicking in at 20 ppg. Now in rebound mode, and ready for redemption the Jazz look like good bets at home as short chalk to take out a struggling Oklahoma City. Thunder team that has failed to cover  9 of their L/10 . Yes, the Thunder had 3 wins during this ATS nightmare run, with one win coming in OT vs. the Blazers,  one against Memphis in a late ferocious comeback and  a 1 point OT win that the Jazz blew numerous opportunities in. So with the Jazz looking fro revenge and redemption right here on their own floor where they are 21-11 SU this season they look very much like viable short favs. 

 NBA Home teams vs. the money line (UTAH) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite are 83-32 SU L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors with the average point diff clicking in at +6.8 ppg.

Play on Utah to cover 

As Houston starts gearing up for the play offs, they are beginning to play lock down defence, which has been evident in their L/3 recent wins where they held Toronto, Dallas, and Philadelphia all under 95 points or less. Charlotte in their current form are alos a team the Rockets can easily shut down, and after playing last night wont be in the mood to run and gun anyway, which Im betting aids this game in staying under the set total. 

CHARLOTTE is 8-1 UNDER revenging a home loss vs opponent this season and is s 15-4 UNDER in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points over the last 2 seasons. *Houston beat them 118-113 on Feb 27th in Charlotte. The Hornets are 0-13 UNDER L/13 on the road with rest off a road game when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home with a combined average score of 185.5 ppg scored.

The Rockets are 0-10 L/10 UNDER at home with no rest after playing as a road favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 6 refereed turnovers per game with a combine average of 193.5 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (HOUSTON) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in March games are 49-14 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Detroit played yesterday in a win vs Chicago and will now play their 6th game in 9 days and 3rd in 4 days , and fatigue could easily play a factor in their ability to extend a 4 game win streak tonight vs the Brooklyn Nets. Meanwhile, Brooklyn has also won 3 straight but are much fresher after a couple days off, and Im betting they will have the extra needed energy on their own home floor to come out of this battle on top. 

DETROIT is 11-22 ATS   when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons.DETROIT is 8-21 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. 

The Pistons are 0-12 ATS/SU as a road dog off a 10+ win as a home favorite facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end.The Pistons are 0-11 ATS /SU with no rest off a win as a favorite in which they had at least a 10 percent higher BAP than their opponent.

The Nets are 19-3 ATS/21-1 SU as a home favorite with rest off a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game.The Nets are 9-0 ATS/SU as a home favorite with rest off a road game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5. 

NBA Underdogs vs the money line (DETROIT) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 43-172 L/5 seasons for a  go against 77% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Brooklyn to cover 

Detroit won 103-100 win in its season opener on Oct. 17, and Brooklyn claimed a 120-119 overtime victory on Oct. 31. Note: DETROIT is 10-2 UNDER   in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points this season with a combined average of 207.7 ppg scored.

These teams current form is different than it was back then, and according to my new projections this game should be played closer to the way the first game was played. With Detroit on tired legs having played yesterday, and this their 3rd game in 4 nights Im betting this Motown crew wont have enough energy to run and gun with the sometimes explosive Nets, and instead will rely on a more conservative defensive brand of basketball, something HC Casey has been unhappy with lately despite of getting victories. DETROIT is 12-3 UNDER  in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season and is  8-1 UNDER  when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season and 11-1 UNDER after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher over the last 3 seasons. 

Recently Brooklyn has seen 4 straight games stay under the total, so their trending to the low side, and are 13-4 UNDER  after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games this season which just happened. 

Under is 28-10-1 in Pistons last 39 games playing on 0 days rest.Under is 11-4 in Pistons last 15 road games.Under is 27-12-1 in Pistons last 40 Monday games.Under is 32-15-4 in Pistons last 51 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Under is 4-0 in Nets last 4 overall.Under is 8-1 in Nets last 9 Monday games.Under is 4-1 in Nets last 5 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-1 in Nets last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BROOKLYN) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in March games are 49-13 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

  San Antonio (37-29) welcomes the league-leading Milwaukee Bucks (50-16) to its home court. Unfortunately for the Spurs they will be playing what has been a lousy guest for most of this season, as is evident by the Bucks 23-11 SU road record. On a pickem line the Bucks get my support in this spot. I know the Spurs are fresher than the Bucks , but  Milwaukee has been resilient and shown how well conditioned they are in the past as   is evident by  14-3 ATS record in road games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons. The Bucks are 12-1 ATS /12-1 SU as a road favorite with no rest off a home game.

 The Bucks are 19-2 ATS /20-1 SU as a road favorite with less than two days rest off a home game in which they scored a least 18 fast break points.

The Spurs are 0-11 ATS/SU when the line is within 3 of pick with more than one day of rest off a win as a favorite facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end. 

 MILWAUKEE is 7-0 ATS  in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season and is 12-4 ATS  in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Milwaukee to cover 

Im not accusing Mark Cuban of anything other than being a highly intelligent and devious business man, when I say, that they're is a possibility and not a conspiracy theory  of him wanting his team to tank down the stretch for a higher draft pick, and maybe just maybe in closed door circumstances making his wishes known to the coaching staff. Just look at the Mavericks current run , and you get the feeling that this  is what's going on.  Also knowing that Cuban is a big time hoops fan, Im betting, if my crazy theory were right, that tanking would be put on the shelf for this one  game against instate NBA rivals Houston coming to town. Ok all tongue and cheek conspiracy theories aside, my projections say this number is a little bloated and we have value with the home dog with revenge on board to cover. 

Note: DALLAS is 21-12 ATS  revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points this season. (Rockets beat Cavs 120-104 at home earlier this season)

D'Antoni is 15-30 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season as the coach of HOUSTON.

The Rockets are 0-11 ATS /SU on the road with rest off a win in a home game after allowing 15+ points less than Vegas projected.The Rockets are 0-13 ATS as a 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a win facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game  .The Rockets are 3-19 ATS L/22 with rest off a 10+ win when they are off two games in which they had double-digit steals and have failed to cover 11 straight under those perimeters. 

The Mavericks are 13-0 ATS as a home dog after playing as a road dog facing an opponent averaging less than 6 refereed turnovers per game. 

NBA team (HOUSTON) - after going under the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 13-30  ATS L/5 seasons for a go against  70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dallas to cover 

Memphis,  has won three of its past four games, including an impressive 114-104 victory over the visiting Utah Jazz last time out and must not be underestimated as short home chalk or dogs  vs the Orlando Magic here today in the spoilers role. Orlando has won 8 of their L/13 and is after a play off birth. However like Mick Jagger and the Rolling Stones state, You don't; always get what you want."  

The Magic are 0-9 ATS/SU L/9 on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest after playing as a home favorite. 

ORLANDO is 17-32 ATS  after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 season and s 18-34 ATS as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. 

NBA team vs the money line (MEMPHIS) - off an upset win by 10 points or more as a home underdog, on Sunday games are 30-11 SU L/5 seasons and 5-0 SU this season. 

The Grizzlies are 11-0-1 ATS L/12 at home off a 10+ win as a dog in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers.The Grizzlies are 10-0 ATS /9-1 SU at home off a 10+ win as a dog in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers with the one loss coming on the last possession. The Grizzlies are 13-1 ATS L/14 at home off a 10+ win as a dog. 

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ORLANDO) - average shooting team (43.5-45.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%), after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 27-53 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.  

Play on Memphis to cover 

Atlanta is coming off a 114-112 loss to Brooklyn on Saturday night. The Hawks have dropped three straight but they are a young team with alot of promise. With Jrue Holiday out, and Anthony Davis missing form the lineup because of injuries the Pelicans are fade material here in this spot vs a hungry side, that like some other non play off  teams in the league are still playing hard as was evident yesterday. The Hawks are 16-3 ATSnwith no rest after they shot worse than 25% from beyond the arc with at least 20 attempts.

The Hawks are 8-0 ATS/SU off a loss in a home game when they shot worse than 40 percent from the field their last two. 

ATLANTA is 28-16 ATS off a home loss over the last 2 seasons.Gentry is 10-25 ATS  against Southeast division opponents as the coach of NEW ORLEANS.The Pelicans are 0-9 ATS /SU when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game.

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover 

The Detroit Pistons took their biggest comeback of the season against the Chicago Bulls on Friday. The Bulls  will now have revenge and redemption on board for that embarrassing collapse and will play hard today and Im betting get is the cover.

The Pistons are 0-11 ATS failing to cover by more than 13 ppg as a favorite with less than two days rest after a game as a road favorite in which they scored 10 or more points in the fourth than the first quarter. 

The Bulls are 15-1 ATS on the road off a home game after allowing 50-plus points in the paint.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHICAGO) - tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 56-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.CHICAGO is 21-7 ATS  in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 

Im betting the Suns a team on a 3 game win streak, and off allowing their last opponent to score under 100 points will try to keep the blueprint of playing a tighter brand of defensive ball continue to take its course. Meanwhile, Portland off a run and gun gruelling OT game vs the Thunder last time out will have a bit of a reversion, which Im betting helps this combined score say under the Total. 

PHOENIX in 37 games when playing against a team with a winning record this season has seen a combined average score of 221.1 ppg. PHOENIX in 44 games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season have seen a combined average score of 223.2 ppg scored. 

The Trailblazers are 0-14-1 UNDER as a home favorite after a game as a home favorite in which they had an assist percentage at least 10 worse than their season-to-date average of 193.7 ppg going on the board. The Suns are 0-11-1 UNDER L/12 as a dog off a 10+ win as a favorite when the line is at least 12 points higher than their last game. 

None of the 5 most recent games in this series dating back to last season have eclipsed this totals number that is being offered. 

Play UNDER 

The Nets have dominated the Hawks in  both their  meetings this season, both of which were at home. Brooklyn won those tilts by a total of 33 points, averaging 130 points in the process.Im betting they dominate again and cover as short road chalk, vs a young team that is starting to struggle again after trending upward for a while. The Nets have won four in a row overall against the Hawks and have won three straight at Atlanta dating back to March of 2017.

The Hawks are 0-9 ATS /SU  as a dog with more than one day of rest off a loss as a dog when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent.The Hawks are 6-21-1 ATS L/27 at home off a game as a dog facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end.

The Nets are 34-4-1 ATS L39 on the road with rest facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range.

NBA Road favorites (BROOKLYN) - poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) against a horrible defensive team (47.5% or worse), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 61-26 ATS L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Brooklyn to cover 

After playing the fist part other season in balls to the walls fashion, the  run and gun Sacramento Kings look like they have not paced them selves well and have run out of gas at the worst possible time as they have lost 6 of their L/8 . Today after having travelled from the West coast to the East coast, their biological clocks combined with jet lag and  exhaustion  Im betting factors into what will be a much closer game then many anticipate vs a lowly side, trying to play for their jobs in the NBA after some ugly embarrassing efforts.  Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 36-9. ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

he Knicks are 19-3-1 ATS L/23 at home when they are off two games in which less than half their field goals were assisted. The Kings are 0-8 ATS/SU L/8 with more than one day of rest after playing as a home dog facing an opponent averaging less than 6 refereed turnovers per game.The Kings are 3-18 ATS L/21 as a favorite with more than one day of rest off a loss as a home dog.

Play on NY Knicks to cover 

Play NY Knicks to cover 

The Thunder had lost five of six before winning 129-121 in char fought overtime at Portland on Thursday night. However, now on tired legs in a back to back situation the Thunder are at a disadvantage. Note: OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-10 ATS after a division game this season. Meanwhile, the Clippers are on a 3 game win streak and have captured victories in 4 of their L/5 overall, and have momentum coming into this game with revenge on board for a loss they suffered to the Thunder back on Dec. 15th of this season. 

The Clippers are 14-0 ATS/SU as a favorite off a win as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 12 offensive rebounds.

Home teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points against opponent off an upset win as a road underdog are 91-46 L/5 seasons SU for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on LA Clippers to cover 

Detroit has won 10 of its last 12 games and are in good form but from a matchup power ranking system vs system ranking algorithm I use I m betting they're getting to much love here tonight from the lines makers. Meanwhile, Motowns home dog opponent Chicago is a team that is playing alot better of late as was evident in a win vs Philadelphia 76ers 108-107 on Wednesday and now deserve respect getting points as they go for their 7th win in 10 games . Heres what HC Lavine said of his young Bulls team. QUOTE: When you are rebuilding, you have to take your bumps and understand you have to build your way up," LaVine said. "We're a young, exciting team. We have elite firepower. We have some of the best players in the NBA on this team, I feel like. And we're going to change it around really fast." END QUOTE.

Chicago has covered 4 of the L/5 meetings here in Illinois. 

CHICAGO is 7-0 ATS L/7 when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season. ( Their young legs buoy them)

DETROIT is 8-21 ATS  in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons.DETROIT is 5-15 ATS in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons. 

The Pistons are 0-16 ATS/SU on the road off a 10+ win as a home favorite facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end. 

The Bulls are 6-0 ATS/SU with less than two days rest off a game as a dog after out scoring their opponent in the paint by double digits.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (DETROIT) - after beating the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 21-55 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate and 2-14  SU this season.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 

The Raptors  are coming off a 107-95 home loss to Houston on Tuesday and are currently in their worst form of the season as they embark on a 3 game road trip.  Thats not a good omen for Dino supporters here tonight, as in the past the the Raptors are 0-10 ATS/SU L/10 with rest off a loss when they are at the start of a three game road trip. Hey I  know New Orleans is not a side that will inspire many bettors but from a mathematical standpoint Im betting we have value and an advantage with the home side here tonight. Also believe it or not the Pelicans are a more cohesive group without Anthony Davis in the lineup. It just so happens Davis will probably be side lined from now until the end of the year (injury) , which will lift this team up instead of demoralize them. because of his refusal to want anything to do with this group going forward. NO is off a home loss last time out to Utah snapping a 3 game win streak. From a trends perspective that is also good news as  NEW ORLEANS is 12-0 ATS off a home loss this season. Bounce back time.

TORONTO is 11-23 ATS  versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season. TORONTO is 10-19 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

Take the points with New Orleans to cover 

Oklahoma City enters this game on a 0-8 ATS run with the 2 wins during that streak coming by 4 points and 1 point respectively. All 8 games however, saw the Thunder struggle, and they are in struggling form, against a team playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, as Portland comes homes off a 6-2 SU road trip and have been money in the bank for their backers for a while now cashing tickets 7 of their L/8 trips to the hardwood. I know Oklahoma City has won all three games in this series this season, but now with triple revenge on board Im betting on a big effort from the home team and subsequent cover.

The Thunder are 0-9 ATS/SU as a road dog with rest off a game as a dog when they won 2 straight vs current opponent. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 1-10 ATS  after a division game this season. PORTLAND is 21-11 ATS  in home games this season. 

PORTLAND is 10-1 ATS  versus lower tier defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.PORTLAND is 8-1 ATS  versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or worse - 2nd half of the season this season

NBA Road underdogs (OKLAHOMA CITY) - vs. division opponents, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite are 4-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Portland to cover 

The Milwaukee Bucks after a 7 game win streak have endured 2 straight losses including a shocking one to the Phoenix Suns last time out  and will now be ready to bounce back here in a big way at home after 3 days rest.The Bucks are 13-2 ATS /14-1 SU with rest off a loss. The Bucks are 12-0 ATS  at home when their last four games are WWLL.MILWAUKEE is 10-2 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite this season.  Bucks are also  6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Central and  are 3-0-2 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.

Meanwhile, the Pacers are off a hard fought win vs Chicago last time out but  are 0-12 ATS  as a road dog with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite after a game that was tied 5+ times.  Back in February the Bucks went into Indiana and beat the Pacers by a 106-97 count and proved they matchup well vs Indiana, and get the nod again laying DDs here. Note: The Pacers are 0-10 ATS/SU on the road with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home. 

Pacers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Pacers are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games. 

NBA Favorites (MILWAUKEE) - off an upset loss as a favorite of 10 points or more, a top-level team (75% or more ) playing a team with a winning record are 30-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on Milwaukee to romp

Indiana has one chance to stay competitive vs an explosive Milwaukee team here on the road and that is via a conservative style of defensive play. Thats what Im betting they try to implement , which will result in a lower scoring tilt than the linesmakers are expecting. ( More analysis to come thank you for your patience)

INDIANA is 25-9 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 201.3 ppg scored.INDIANA is 17-5 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season with a combined average of 211,2 ppg scored. INDIANA is 13-4 UNDER  in March games over the last 2  seasons with a combined average of 200.8 ppg. McMillan is 40-19 UNDER  versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game as the coach of INDIANA with a combined average score of 210.9 ppg scored. The Pacers are 1-13 UNDER L/13 as a road dog after they had at least 30% of their points from threes with a combined average of 195.6 ppg scored.

The Bucks are 1-13 UNDER L/14 as a favorite off a game as a favorite in which they shot under 40% from the field with a combined average of 184.8 ppg going on the board.The Bucks are 2-15-1 UNDER at home with more than one day of rest off a game as a favorite after a game that was tied 5+ times ( which happened vs Phoenix last time out) with the combined average score of those games clicking in at 189.8 ppg.

Play UNDER 

These teams have absolutely nothing to play for other than stacking up personal stats, and Im betting it will be played wide open and loose as a result of this games lack of importance. When these played back in December of this season they combined for 238 points and a similar type output is not out of the question in this spot according to my projections. 

NYK ranks 27th in the league in defensive rating, while Phoenix ranks 29th in defensive rating. 

The Knicks are 13-0-1 OU  as a dog with rest off a loss in a road game when they are off two games in which they allowed 110+ points with the combined average score of those tilts clicking in at 239.1 ppg. ( NYK has allowed 125,115,128 points in their L3 games)

Play OVER 

The Jazz, one of the hottest teams won the first meeting this season in New Orleans  vs the Pelicans 132-111 on Oct. 27 and get the nod again here in this spot. I know Utah lost late time out ending a 4 game losing streak, but they have proven themselves proficient in the bounce back roll going 17-8 ATS  after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. 

UTAH is 11-2 ATS  in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

The Utah Jazz are 20-0 ATS/SU as a road favorite of two-plus points with less than two days rest when they are off a game as a favorite in which they had a baskets-assisted-percentage at least 10 points higher than  their opponent and do not play tomorrow with every win coming by 4 point or more. The L/19 games under these peremiters have all come by 5 points or more. 

Play on Utah to cover

San Antonio is playing much better ball of late winning 3 straight, but Atlanta are no pushovers, and are up-trending especially for bettors as is evident by cashing 6 of their L/7 for their supporters. Im betting on the home dog Hawks to keep the money train rolling for their backers again tonight.

SAN ANTONIO is 17-30 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 7-18 ATS in road games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons and is 30-43 ATS   in road games over the last 2 seasons.

The Hawks are 18-4-1 ATS L/23 as a dog after they allowed their opponent to exceed their season-to-date shooting percentage by 10 points.The Spurs are 1-11-1 ATS ( on the road off a game as a favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 7 refereed turnovers per game. 

Play on Atlanta to cover 

 Detroit enters this game having won 9 of their L/11 games and are up trending and still in the hunt for. play off spot.  Tonight against a Minnesota team on tired legs playing their 4th road game in their L/5 trips to the hardwood and  off playing last night at home win to the Thunder Im betting the Pistons have an advantage.  Note: The Timberwolves are 0-14-2 ATS L/16 on the road off a game as a favorite in which they shot over 50% from the field which was the case last night. 

 MINNESOTA is 17-31 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons.  DETROIT is 14-4 ATS in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. 

The Pistons are 22-5 ATS /23-4 SU  as a favorite off a game as a dog after a game that was tied 5+ times which was the case in an impressive win vs Toronto last time out.The Pistons are 7-0 ATS/SU L/7 as a home favorite with more than one day of rest off a win.

Detroit is 7-0 SU/ATS in the last seven meetings against Minnesota.

Play on Detroit to cover 

The Hornets won both meetings vs visiting Miami this season, back in October. They won 113-112 in Miami and 125-113 at home and matchup well from a system vs system players vs players system I use at this point in the season.

MIAMI is 2-10 ATS  vs. division opponents this season. CHARLOTTE is 16-5 ATS  in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

The Hornets are 11-0 ATS /SU as a home favorite with rest off a loss as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) - terrible defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season, after a close win by 3 points or less are 60-114 ATS L/22 seasons for a  go against 66% conversion rate on the blind for bettors. 

Play . on Charlotte to cover 

The Raptors enter this game at 2-2 in their L/4, but tonight at full strength with Kawhi Leonard playing Im betting they have an edge, and with newly acquired  will Marc Gasol getting back into form after having to adjust to a new team I expect the young men from TO will be cohesive and explosive. Since Gasol arrived the Raptors have smashed opposing starting lineups by an average +36.9 point diff. This is important since Houstons bench is even weaker than then the 20th ranked bench of the Raps, as the Rockets depend solely on their starting 5 and in particularly  James Harden the one man band. With that said , lets lay the points with the home team.

 TORONTO is 17-4 ATS  after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.

NBAHome favorites vs. the money line (TORONTO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are 115-30 SU L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Toronto Raptors to cover 

The Portland Blazers will play their 7th straight road game tonight against the Memphis Grizzlies on tired legs. Meanwhile, Memphis embarrassed after blowing a 13 point lead vs Oklahoma City last time out with 6 and 1/2 minutes left in the game, and losing 99-95 will be out hell bent on getting redemption and will be ready to play. Believe me pros don' t like to be embarrassed and considering the Grizzlies have looked competitive of late its not a stretch , to bet them getting points tonight in a advantageous situation. 

The Grizzlies are 22-2 ATS L/24 as a dog with less than two days rest after they held their opponent under their season-to-date shooting percentage by 10 points.

The Trailblazers are 0-6 ATS L/6 as a favorite with less than two days rest off a 10+ win in a road game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end. 

Play on Memphis to cover

Indiana  has won its first three meetings this season against the Bulls, however, each of those contests  were hard fought affairs with the games being decided by single digits. Meanwhile, In a recent hard-fought back and forth  loss to the Orlando Magic by a 117-112 count the Pacers  their 3rd loss in 4 games they looked out of sorts and were constantly arguing with the officials. Their lack of concentration got them in trouble and could easily see them humbled here  again tonight .Note: The Pacers are 1-14 ATS L/15 as a home favorite with rest after a game as a home favorite in which a game that was tied 5+ times which qualifies after the battle they had with the Magic in their last home game. I know the Bulls might not inspire bettors, but they are playing alot better of late  winning 5 of their L/7 overall and  in revenge mode and will be motivated here to upend their opponents. The Bulls are 9-0 ATS  as a road dog after playing as a home favorite when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home. 

Indiana is 1-9 ATS L/10 as a fav of 5 points or more vs a side with triple revenge. 

CHICAGO is 22-10 ATS  in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites (INDIANA) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, on Tuesday nights are 20-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Chicago to cover 

Indiana enters this game ranked 2nd in both ppg allowed and defensive efficiency and 24th in pace. On offence they rank 22nd , which makes it obvious to me that they base all their successes and failures on their ability to play a strong transitional game that focuses on top tier defensive play. The Pacers have gotten away from that lately and have coincindetly lost 3 of their L/4, and Im betting a more concerted defensive effort here in an attempt to right tehir ship. Meanwhile, the visiting Chicago Bulls rank 28th in offense , behind the 21st ranked pace,  and despite of back to back freewheeling affairs against a no defense allowed  Atlanta team in their last two outings, should now revert back to their norm here in a division game I have pegged to be competitive .  

The Pacers are 2-20-1 UNDER as a home 8+ favorite with rest off a home game facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game and have gone under12 straight times overall under these perimeters with the average combined score of the 23 games clicking in at 181.5 ppg . 

The Bulls are 3-21-1 L/25 UNDER as a dog with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 62 ppg from 2-point range with the combined average of 187 ppg scored. 

INDIANA is 16-3 UNDER in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season and is 15-2 UNDER in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 199 ppg going on the score board.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (INDIANA) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or better) against an average shooting team (43.5-45.5%), after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 27-6 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors on the bind. 

Play UNDER 

NYK HC Fizdale is 13-3 UNDER  versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season in all games he has coached since 1996. Im betting he once again implement a more methodical game plan here against a Kings side that loves to run and gun! 

SACRAMENTO is 24-10 UNDER as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 207.9 ppg. SACRAMENTO is 54-30 UNDER when the total is 220 to 230 with a combined average of 219.1 ppg.

NYK HC Fizdale is 13-3 UNDER  versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season in all games he has coached since 1996. 

SACRAMENTO is 15-6 UNDER in non-conference games this season with a combined avrage fo 223.3 ppg going on the board.

NEW YORK is 11-3 UNDER versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or less assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season with . combined average of 211.4  ppg going on the board .

The Kings are 0-14 on the UNDER as a rested favorite when they are facing a team with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.50 with a combined average of 203.6 ppg scored.

The Knicks are 0-10-1 OU  on the road with less than two days rest off a loss in which their opponent shot 50% or better from beyond the arc with at least 10 attempts with a combined average of 189 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (SACRAMENTO) - after 3 or more consecutive losses, in March game are 183-111 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

The Spurs have won 2 straight and Denver has lost two straight at home as they enter this game in Texas tonight. With the Spurs up trending and in revenge mode for a loss to the Nuggets back on Nov 28 in Mile High City Im betting the Spurs will be reved up for revenge . Note: The Spurs The San Antonio Spurs are 17-0 SUATS at home with conference revenge.

The Spurs are 15-0-1 ATS /16-0 SU with rest off a 10+ win in a home game when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road.

DENVER is 2-10 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46%or more  of their shots this season.

Spurs have won 5 straight at home in this series over the L/3 seasons.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

The host team Brooklyn in this matchup  is struggling overall and are allowing 121.7 points and 49.3 percent shooting during a recent 3 game run. Meanwhile, the visiting  Mavericks' are  allowing 114.9 points on 47.2 percent shooting in the last seven games overall. Both sides are exhibiting poor defensive abilities, and Im betting on this trend continuing here this evening.

The Mavericks are 9-0 OVER L/9 on the road off a loss in which they scored 15 or more points in the first than the second half with the combined average score of 228.1 ppg scored. 

 The Nets are 9-0 OVER L/9 with rest after they had less than 40% of the total rebounds  with the combined score of 234.3 ppg.

Play OVER 

I expect a young athletic Magic frontline that includes Aaron Gordon (25), Jonathan Isaac (21) and Nikola Vucevic (28) to come at the last place ranked D in the league ,Cleveland with both barrels loaded as they continue to push behind the momentum of a big road win last night in Indiana as underdogs. I expect for Cleveland to fire back with some explosive fireworks of their own in chase mode and give a score that eclipses this number. 

Note: Orlando has 18 underdog wins this season, and the average combined score of their followup tilt clicks in at 225.1 ppg.

The Magic are 11-0 OVER off a win as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with a combined average of 230 ppg going on the board which was the case last night in their wn vs Indiana.The Magic are 13-1 OVER  off a win as a dog with a combined average of 228.3 ppg scored.

NBA team (CLEVELAND) - off a blowout loss by 20 points or more to a division rival, a struggling  team (25% or less wins) playing a team with a losing record are 45-19 OVER L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

Boston had been struggling of late , but snapped a 4 game losing streak with a win vs Washington last time out, and now have some momentum entering this game against  the Houston Rockets side that has lost 19 of their 30 road games this season. I know alot of pundits don't feel confident in the Celtics in their current form , but this is still a quality team overall, and will be primed to play there very best vs a top tier opposition in front of their own fans where they are 24-9 SU this season. 

BOSTON is 8-0 ATS  after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.BOSTON is 10-2 ATS  as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season. 

The Celtics are 13-0 ATS /SU as a favorite with rest off a 10+ win in which they had less than 15% of their points from free throw.

 Houston is 4-15 ATS  after scoring 120 points or more this season as was the case in a 121-118 come from behind win vs Miami last time out in Texas.  he Rockets are 0-12 ATS/1-11 SU on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s. The Rockets are 0-9 ATS /0-9 SU when the line is within 3 of pick with more than one day of rest facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (BOSTON) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are 115-28 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (HOUSTON) - off a close home win by 3 points or less, second half of the season are 6-26 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Boston Celtics to cover 

The up-trending New York Knicks a team that has won 3 of their L/5 games , enters a game vs a Clippers team that they actually matchup well against as they  go for a season sweep of Los Angeles when they visit the Clippers for a tilt on Sunday afternoon. The Clippers are coming off a big win at Sacramento as they chase  a playoff spot in the Western Conference, and Im betting they will be in a natural letdown spot here vs the under valued Knicks. 

The Knicks are 14-1-1 ATS  with more than one day of rest after a game as a home favorite in which a game with 8+ lead change.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover 

Milwaukee has an NBA-best 48-14 record and have won 13 of their L/14 overall and 9 straight road games SU. Meanwhile, their hosts  the Jazz have won three straight games and 17 of their last 23 after recording a 111-104 road win over the Denver Nuggets on Thursday. The Jazz put out a high level of energy in that game and may have difficulties replicating the same kind of effort vs the Milwaukee Bucks tonight in an emotional let down situation.Note: 

Snyder is 6-17 ATS  in home games after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread as the coach of UTAH.

The Bucks are 10-0 ATS /SU on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a 10+ win as a favorite in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint .

The Jazz are 1-11 ATS /0-12 SU L/12 when the line is within 3 of pick off a win in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game.

I know the Bucks have played a heavy road schedule of late but they are a well conditioned team, that is a bankroll expanding 10-1 ATS  when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons. MILWAUKEE is also 11-3 ATS  in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season and are very dangerous underdogs in this spot vs a team they beat by 12 points back in January. A 16+ point turnaround , while not being out of the question, has  a fairly high probability negative outcome making getting points with the elite road dog a value situation. 

Play on Milwaukee to cover 

***Thunder key cog Paul George is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs San Antonio ( Shoulder ) and that is key here for me backing the Spurs as short home chalk. Also the Spurs were defeated by the Thunder on Jan 12 of this season by a 122-111 count and now the Spurs are revenge minded and will be motivated to get payback. Note:The San Antonio Spurs are 17-0 SUATS at home with conference revenge and get my support in a redemption effort vs a short handed side. 

The Spurs are also 15-0 SU/ATS with rest off a 10+ win in a home game when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road. ( They beat Motown 105-93 last time out)

The Thunder are 0-9 ATS /SU as a favorite off a loss in which they had an assist percentage at least 10 better than their season-to-date average failing to cover by more than 13 ppg. 

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - off a home win by 10 points or more, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team and are 38-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

The Magic are coming off Thursday's come-from-behind 103-96 home victory vs defending NBA champion Golden State. The Magic also beat Eastern power house Toronto, while losing to Chicago and the New York Knicks, two of the worst teams in the league. Needless to say their Magic spells won't be catching the Pacers by surprise, as the home team will be wide awake here knowing they can't take the night off , like the Raptors and Warriors probably did. The Pacers also have revenge eon board for a 107-100 loss to Orlando the last time they visited the Magic kingdom this season and will be primed for payback. Note: The Pacers are 14-0 ATS /SU as a favorite with less than two days rest when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road. 

INDIANA is 7-0 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season. Indiana has won 4 straight meetings at home in this series.

INDIANA is 31-16 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.

 Magic are 0-12 ATS/SU with rest after their opponent shot worse than 25% from beyond the arc with at least 20 attempts which was the case vs Golden State.

NBA Favorites (INDIANA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off an upset win as an underdog are 193-125 ATS L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind .

Play on Indiana to cover 

Portland is on a 5 game win streak that started with a DD shellacking of Golden State and than continued with 4 straight road wins, vs Brooklyn, Philadelphia, Cleveland and Boston. Its been a long east coast adventure for the Blazers, but this well conditioned team is  showing little to no sign of exhaustion as they head into this tilt vs the explosive Toronto Raptors. With that said, and with  my own system vs system line, projecting a pickem type affair, Im recommending we take the Blazers plus the points here tonight. Note: PORTLAND is 8-0 ATS  after 5 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons and is 12-2 ATS  in March games over the last 2 seasons.The Trailblazers are 17-2 ATS  L/19 on the road with rest off a win as a dog which was the case vs the Celtics last time out. 

Portlands SRS is 4.10 and Torontos is 5.35. Which translates to an adjusted 1 possession tilt according to my use of these numbers.  ( Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average)

The Trailblazers are 12-0 ATS/11-1 SU with rest off a win in which their opponent shot worse than 25% from beyond the arc with at least 20 attempts with the one SU loss coming by 1 point. 

 Trail Blazers are 18-5 ATS in their last 23 games playing on 1 days rest.Trail Blazers are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 vs. Eastern Conference.The Trail Blazers are 18-4 SU against teams from the Eastern Conference. Blazers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.TORONTO is 11-21 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season.

The Trail Blazers defeated the Raptors 128-122 in Portland on Dec. 14.

Play on Portland to cover 

The Trail Blazers defeated the Raptors 128-122 in Portland on Dec. 14 and Im betting on a similar offensive output by both teams here tonight in TO. The Raptors are averaging more than 115 ppg at home this season, and the Blazers are averaging 113.5 ppg overall on offence. In Toronto's last five game they have seen a combined average score of more than 232 ppg go on the board, while Portland has scored more than 218 ppg on offence in their L/5 , and Im betting they wil force the Raps explosive attack to gear up in response , which will result in a high scoring slugfest according to my projections. 

The Trailblazers are 11-0 OU  L/11 with rest off a win in a road game in which their opponent shot worse than 25% from beyond the arc with at least 20 attempts.

Play OVER 

The last time these teams played  on Feb 23 Brooklyn took out Charlotte as road dogs by a 117-115 count, but  in the past when the Hornets are looking for revenge they have shown a propensity to be more methodical in their approach . Note: The Hornets are 1-20 OV/UNDER  on the road with rest when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home with a combined average of 198.8 ppg scored. Also the Hornets are 0-12 OU on the road with rest off a loss when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home which was the case in a loss the Rockets last time out in a ugly defensive display allowing 118 points and blowing a lead. This will make the Hornets even more concentrated on playing better defence here tonight. Meanwhile, the Nets are 0-13 OU with rest off a loss as a favorite in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint which was the situation vs Washington when they allowed 125 points in a back forth event and Im betting they will also be more diligent defensively in rebound mode. The Nets are also  0-13 OU L/13 as a home favorite off a loss in which they shot worse than 25% from beyond the arc with at least 20 attempts with a combined average of 187.5 ppg scored. With both teams needing better defensive play Im betting on a lower scoring output than the linesmakers expect.

CHARLOTTE is 8-0 UNDER  revenging a home loss vs opponent this season with the combined average score of 207.8 ppg scored.CHARLOTTE is 15-3 UNDER  in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 206.8 ppg going on the board. 

NBA road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CHARLOTTE) - after 3 or more consecutive losses, in March games are 99-48 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind!

Play UNDER

The Jazz played a hard fought game against the LA Clippers ;last night and escaped with a narrow win, as they failed to cover as 10 point chalk, and now go into the high altitudes of the  Mile High City on tired legs. This is not a good situation for the Jazz against a team that has been dominant at home this season, winning 27 of their 31 games as hosts. Add to that the Nuggets are flying high right now winning 5 straight including 5 straight SU/ATS in this series at home and in revenge mode for a 114-108 loss at Utah back in late January. With the underlying factors now in place I expect for the Nuggets to hand out a vengeful minded beatdown on the tired Jazz here in the Rockies tonight. 

DENVER is 20-9 ATS in home games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. DENVER is 9-0 ATS in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins this season and is 11-1 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins this season. DENVER is 7-0 ATS  in home games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season.DENVER is 20-8 ATS as a home favorite this season. 

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - good rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game, in February games are 181-116 ATS L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Denver to cover 

Philadelphia without Joel Embiid in the lineup will be at a disadvantage here tonight vs a Oklahoma City side that will primed to end a 2 game losing streak. The Sixers got clobbered by Portland  in a DD fashion ) 130-115) in the first game that Embiid was out  and then barely scratched by a rutterless New Orleans last time  out by a 111-110 count.  What makes things even worse here, is that they will also be without another front court guy as Boban Marjanovic is also  out.Without its two big men, the 76ers will rely on rookie Jonah Bolden and Amir Johnson in the middle which is not a good situation for this banged up short handed team here against this type of explosive side. 

76ers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Oklahoma City.76ers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.76ers are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.76ers are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Thunder are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.

The Thunder are 13-1 ATS /SU L/14 as a favorite with rest after playing as a road dog when they won 2 straight vs current opponent. 

The Seventysixers are 1-15 ATS/SU as a road dog off a game as a favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game.The Seventysixers are 0-11 ATS 1/10SU  on the road with more than one day of rest off a win as a favorite facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5.

Play on the Oklahoma City Thunder to cover 

The Golden Stare Warriors took part in a hard fought 126-125 loss last night vs the Miami Heat  and will enter todays game on tired legs. Now Im betting they will revert to a more defensive stance here tonight vs the Orlando Magic, because of their need to correct their  defensive lapses and their inability to go full tilt after playing last night .HC Kerr is 21-9 UNDER  in road games off a road loss as the coach of GOLDEN STATE with a combined average of 214 ppg scored. Meanwhile, Orlando ranks 25th in offensive output and  26th in pace and is usually methodical in their approach and tonight against a dangerous opponent could even be more conservative thus effecting the output of both sides.The Magic are 0-14 UNDER  at home off a loss when they lost at least three straight vs their opponent.( they lost in NY last time out and have lost 5 straight vs the Warriors) None of the 14 games came even close to this total with the highest output coming in 1t 217 combined points with the average combined score clicking in at 200 ppg. 

Play UNDER 

The Celtics got man handled by the Toronto Raptors last night, for their 3rd straight loss ( all on the road) and will now be out looking for redemption  tonight back in Bean-town in front of their own fans where they always seem to play their best hoops , especially against upper tier teams like the Blazers. Note:  BOSTON is 14-3 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.

I know these teams look to be playing at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum, with Portland on a 4 game wins streak, and the Celtics on a 3 game losing streak, but in the NBA , momentum and bad runs can disappear quickly. With Boston feeling a little embarrassed, I expect sulking egotists like Kyre Irving to come out here and to up their performance levels and  increase their  production levels and for the Celtics to get their mojo back at least for now vs a team they have marked for payback for a loss they suffered in Oregon back in November. There is precedent for the Celtics rebounds as they  are 12-0 ATS/SU L/12  as a favorite off a loss when they are off two games in which they allowed 110+ points( they gave up 126 to Chicago and 118 last night) The Celtics are 12-0 ATS/SU L/12  at home off a game as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game.

Meanwhile, the Trailblazers are 2-19-1 ATS /0-22 SU as a dog with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes which was the case vs Cleveland last time out by a 123-110 count.

BOSTON is 10-1 ATS  as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season.

NBA Favorites (BOSTON) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off a road win are 201-136 ATS  L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Boston to cover 

Chicago is playing some very good hoops of late and despite of having a 3 game win streak end vs Milwaukee last time out . The Bulls in their current form are a  team that has to be respected getting points here today vs a Memphis side that has shown almost no consistency this season other than a penchant for losing. I know tha the bad new Bears have a couple of new cogs in their lineup and are off a win vs the LALA land  Lakers last time out , but Im not sold on them as favorites at more than a pickem against 99%  of the teams in the this league, including the Bulls. Chicago has had success here in Memphis in recent meetings going 2-0 in their L/2 visits and have won the last three overall meetings in this series  and get the nod again to be competitive and cover. Note: CHICAGO is 16-3 ATS  in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons

The Bulls are 18-1 ATS when the line is within 3 of pick off a loss as a dog when they won 3 straight vs current opponent.

 Bulls are 16-0 ATS /15-1 SU when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a loss as a dog when they won 3 straight vs current opponent with the one SU loss coming by 1 point. 

The Grizzlies are 1-13-1 ATS 2-13 SU L/15 when the line is within 3 of pick after playing as a home dog facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with the 2 wins coming by just 1 and 2 points respectively. 

NBA Underdogs (CHICAGO) - an explosive offensive team (102 or more  PPG) against a good offensive team (98-102 PPG), after allowing 105 points or more 5 straight game are 47-18 ATS L/22 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Chicago to cover 

The Nuggets have been over powering at home winning 26 of 30 games as hosts this season. Also when the Nuggets are in a groove like they are now as is evident by a 4 game win streak they are a perfect 8-0 ATS in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins this season. DENVER is also 11-2 ATS  in home games versus teams like Oklahoma City who average 9 or more steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Tonight Im betting the Nuggets home court advantage to be golden again as they make it 5 straight wins in this series and more importantly get us the cover.

The Nuggets are 12-0 ATS /SU as a favorite with less than two days rest off a win in which their opponent made at least 10 more free throws.The Nuggets are 17-2 ATS /18-1 SU as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite in which they had 6+ double digit scorers.The Nuggets are 10-0 ATS /SU at home with rest off a 10+ win when they won 4 straight vs current opponent. 

The Thunder are 0-9 ATS/SU on the road with more than one day of rest after playing as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game.The Thunder are 1-11 ATS /0-12 SU as a dog with more than one day of rest facing an opponent averaging more than 62 ppg from 2-point range.

NBA team (DENVER) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%), good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) against a good pressure defensive team (16.5  or more TO's) are 90-52 ATS L/22 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on Denver to cover 

Boston Im betting will do what they  do best and that is play top tier defence in an effort to slow the high powered Raptors offence down. This has been Boston modus operandi for a while now when playing a road  against explosive sides like the Raptors. Note: BOSTON is 13-4 UNDER  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 204.4 ppg scored.

The Celtics own the 5th ranked ppg allowed and and defensive efficiency, along with the a 19th ranked pace. Meanwhile, the Raptors own the 7th ranked defensive efficiency and must not be underestimated in their ability to be physical . 

This tilt has the makings of gruelling defensive post season style affair that stays below the offered Total. 

The Raptors are 0-10 UNDER with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes with a combined average of 198 ppg scored.The Raptors are 7-32-1 UNDER  ( as a favorite with rest off a loss facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws with a combined average of 196.7 ppg scored. 

The Celtics are 0-8-1 UNDER as a road dog off a loss as a favorite in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers with a combined average of 188.2 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

The Magic, with eight wins in their past 10 games are playing top tier basketball at the moment, while the NY Knicks a team that despite of a couple of recent wins, are 5-24 at home this season, and according to my own power rankings and matchup stats do not match up well against this  up trending Magic team. 

Orlando has won four consecutive road games, all by at least 15 points. In the last 10 games, Orlando's average margin of victory is 17.3 points.Orlando has won its last four visits to New York and earlier this season the Magic recorded its widest margin ever in New York in a 115-89 victory.

ORLANDO is 11-1 ATS  in road games after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 2 seasons and s 11-1 ATS against Atlantic division opponents this season. 

The Magic are 8-0 ATS/SU with less than two days rest with a combined average cover coming by more than 19 ppg. 

The Knicks are 1-16 ATS/SU as a home dog with rest off a game as a dog in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers with the average point differential clicking in at -11.5 ppg.

More of the same here, as Orlando cruises to victory and cover.

The Pelicans have shown some life recently with wins vs Oklahoma City and the LA Lakers and must now be respected as short home favs vs a Philadelphia team playing without their top player the injured Joel Embiid (knee). Yesterday the Sixers got crushed by the Blazers by DDs, at home, as ,  they struggled on the boards without Embiid; as Portland held a 53-33 rebounding edge that included 19 offensive rebounds.Look for Pelicans star Anthony Davis ,despite of seeing limited floor time of late, to lead the way as he takes advantage of the room he will have vs a group on tired legs and without a key cog in their lineup. 

The Seventysixers are 0-16 ATS /1-15 SU on the road after playing as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game.The Pelicans are 14-1 ATS /13-2 SU at home with less than two days rest after they scored a least 18 fast break points. 

Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover 

The Kings came in and outplayed a  very good Oklahoma City side this past  Saturday night by beating the  Thunder by a 119-116 score. However, tonight , Im betting that the Kings. playing their fourth straight road game on tired legs and a letdown situation after that above mentioned big win wont be as fortunate vs a team that beat them by a 132-105 count here on Dec 17th the last time these teams played.

The Kings are 0-14 ATS/SU when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a win in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 62 ppg from 2-point range .The Timberwolves are 11-0 ATS/SU as a home favorite with rest off a loss in a road game in which they had less than 15% of their points from free throws.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are 129-28 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors with a +7.7 point differential. 

Play on Minnesota to cover 

San Antonio  concludes a  sub par 1-6  annual rodeo trip vs a Brooklyn team that  they have beaten in the last 7 meetings. The Spurs recorded a 117-114 win in San Antonio on Jan. 31, and get the nod again here. Desperation here is a key factor in me backing a good but frustrated Spurs side in tonight confrontation. Note: Brooklyn after a torrid mid season inning run, have cooled off, and is 4-7 in its last 11 games and looking vulnerable at the moment in their current form. SAN ANTONIO is 17-6 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season. 

The Spurs are 26-5 ATS when the line is within 3 of pick off a loss as a favorite which happened last time out.San Antonio  lost 120-117 at Toronto.The Spurs are 11-0 ATS /10-1 SU when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite in which their opponent shot over 50% from the field.

The Nets are 0-11 ATS/SU at home when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a game as a dog when they lost 4 straight vs current opponent.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days are 75-32 ATS L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on the San Antonio. Spurs to cover 

My own projections make this offered Total slightly bloated as my number is closer to 229. I know its just a few points, but from system vs system matchup chart I use the numbers suggest   a combined score in the vicinity of 225 via a variable chart that is also in place, thus giving us added value to the under. Note: CHARLOTTE is 10-2 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season. ( Charlotte is ranked 20th in pace and 18th in ppg scored and can only compete by being more physical, which will effect overall scoring output) 

The Warriors are 0-11 UNDER  on the road with rest off a loss when they are off two games in which their opponent had double-digit steals with the average combined score clicking in at 182.1 ppg . 

The Hornets are 0-11 UNDER as a dog with less than two days rest off a loss in which they scored 10 or more points in the fourth than the first quarter with a average combined score of 195.1 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

The Nuggets have owned opponents at home this season winning 20 of 24 games here in the Mile High City which includes a 121-100 win vs todays visitor the LA Clippers back on Jan 10. I know the Clippers will be out to bounce back and be more competitive in the rematch, but my power rankings system vs system matchup analysis  suggests  that this is not a good matchup for the Clippers and avoiding a more than 9 point loss, is not a high probability occurrence. With that said, Im recommending we lay the points with the home side.

The Nuggets are 11-0 ATS/SU as a favorite with less than two days rest off a win in which their opponent made at least 10 more free throws.The Nuggets are 17-2 ATS/18-1 SU at home with less than two days rest off a win as a road favorite. The Nuggets are 10-0 ATS/SU L/10 as a home 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5. 

DENVER is 20-9 ATS  in home games this season and  14-1 ATS   in home games after a game where they covered the spread this season.DENVER is 7-0 ATS in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins this season. 

The Clippers are 1-15-1 ATS /1-16 SU as a dog with rest off a win in a road game in which their opponent shot under 40% from the field the average point differential was -11.8 ppg. 

Play on Denver to cover 

The Toronto Raptors are playing in top tier form at the moment and have won 7 straight games, and will be ramped up to deliver payback to a Orlando team that beat them by a surprising 116-87 count back in December . The Magic ,  however, won't be easily intimidated  as they have also been playing decent ball winning 5 of their L/6. What Im betting on here today is for the Raptors despite of the early start to be wide awake and to come out here running and gunning and to pour down points in revenge mode against the Magic and for the young men from Central Florida to fire back in chase mode in a game I have pegged to go over the set total. TORONTO is 11-3 OVER revenging a loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 227.7 ppg scored.

The Raptors are 8-0 OVER after a game as a home favorite in which they had fewer than 10 turnovers with a combined average of 233 ppg scored which was the case last time out vs San Antonio.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (TORONTO) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 39-11 OVER L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 224 ppg going on the score board.

Play OVER 

 The Jazz were absolutely embarrassed and smashed by Dallas the last time these teams met earlier this season by a 118-68 count. It was the Jazz’ worst loss in franchise history. Tonight Im betting pay back is on the agenda and if recent history repeats itself like I think it will the Jazz will increase on a  3-0 ATS record when seeking revenge from a 40-point or more loss. The Jazz have  also won and covered  4 straight in same-season non-divisional revenge this season and from a league wide NBA data base it must be reported that sides playing with revenge from a loss of 50 or more points are 4-0 ATS against teams playing on back to back nights like Dallas is. Its not often I lay DDs, but this situation warrants laying this many points.

UTAH is 9-1 ATS off 2 or more consecutive road losses over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA  Home favorites (UTAH) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 48-19 ATS L/5 season for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Jazz to cover 

Over the last two games, Thunder star Westbrook is averaging 43.5 points, is shooting 56 percent from the floor, and has a combined 10 made 3-pointers and Im betting his team feeds off that energy tonight against the run and gun Kings in a game I have pegged to go over the set total. Note: Sacramento runs at the 3rd fastest pace in the league and owns the 27th ranked defence. Meanwhile, the Thunder own the 2nd ranked pace , and the leagues 3rd best offensive output . This total might seem high , but the the speed these teams play and the way they can pour down points Im betting the Total gets eclipsed. 

Oklahoma City beat the Kings on the road this season by a 132-111 count. Im expecting Thunder to explode for close to the same amount this time around and for the Kings to eclipse their previous out put. 

SACRAMENTO is 12-1 OVER  as a road underdog on the opening line of 6.5 to 12 points this season.  

The Thunder are 14-1-1 OVER off a win as a home favorite in which their points increased by at least 25 from the game before.The Kings are 23-5-2 OVER as a dog with rest after a game as a road dog in which out scoring their opponent in the paint by double digits.

Play OVER 

With Kevin Love back in the lineup Cleveland is becoming very competitive and deserve respect here as short favourites vs a Memphis side that has lost 15 of their L/19 games overall and playing without without star rookie Jaren Jackson Jr.. 

 The Grizzlies are 2-16 ATS on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest after being outscored in the paint by double digits.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are 108-26 SU L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland to cover 

Dallas looked a little flat going into the all star break and will be out looking to get back on track here tonight against visiting Denver. The Cavs have been strong at home this season going 20-9 SU while, Denver has been a .500 road team, but are sub par from a all important betting perspective as they have failed to cover 18 of their 28 road games for a 36% ATS conversion rate. Dallas has won and covered 3 of their L/4 as hosts and Im recommending we take the points in this spot play.

Denver HC Malone is 4-15 ATS in road games off 2 or more consecutive home wins in all games he has coached since 1996 ( The Nuggets won their L/2 before the all star break)

DENVER is 8-20 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. DENVER is 1-10 ATS in road games off 2 or more consecutive home wins over the last 2 seasons.

DALLAS is 8-1 ATS  versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season.DALLAS is 10-2 ATS as a home underdog this season.

NBA Home underdogs (DALLAS) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, second half of the season are 46-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

NBA Underdogs vs the money line (DALLAS) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, in February games are 25-11 SU L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors with the average point differential of the 36 game sample size clicking in at +1.1 ppg. 

Play on Dallas to cover 

Detroit was red hot winning 4 of their L/5 with the lone loss coming to Boston at the all star break. However, despite of their up trending play , this Motown group have not been very good overall on the road this season losing 19 of their 26 away tilts.

Meanwhile, their opponents Atlanta lost their last game at home before the All star break but are capable of bouncing back as they continue their rebuild and have shown flashes of brilliance, this season. The last time they played the Pistons the Hawks upset them 98-95 as 9 point road dogs back in December  and despite of  Detroit looking for revenge it must be noted that  HC Casey is 8-25 ATS  revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more in all games he has coached since 1996. 

DETROIT is 11-24 ATS  after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons and   is 16-25 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

ATLANTA is 20-9 ATS off a home loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons

.Note:  NBA Home teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 28-7 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home underdogs (ATLANTA) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, second half of the season are 47-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Atlanta to cover 

The Timberwolves are 8-20 on the road and just don't sit well with me as road chalk by this much, yes not even against the lowly Knicks. The Knicks will be attempting to win consecutive games for just the second time this season. New York after ending a ugly 18-game losing streak with a 106-91 win at Atlanta on Feb. 14 look use the momentum of that win here tonight.  With that Knicks incorporating some new blood into the lineup Im betting they will be competitive tonight. NY is 2-0 ATS L/2 vs Minnesota at home.

The Knicks are 12-1 ATS /SU at home off a 10+ win in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game with the one straight up loss coming by 1 point. 

MINNESOTA is 0-12 ATS   in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.The Timberwolves are 0-13 ATS /2-11 SU on the road after they shot over 50% from the field. with the two victories coming by 4 points and 2 points. 

Play on the NY Knicks to cover 

The Spurs entered the all star break in a slump, and many believe Toronto will be out looking for retribution for a DD loss to the Spurs earlier this season. Yes, the Spurs were slumping and yes the Raptors have revenge on board, but because of this the price being asked on the line a is a little bloated according to my projections. The line I have set clicks in a 4.5 so according to my estimates we have value with a talented San Antonio team that desperately needs to get back on track and won't be easily run over here. Note:  TORONTO is 3-13 ATS  in home games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Spurs are 13-3 SU L/16 overall meetings and are 5-0 ATS L/5 battles.

SAN ANTONIO is 18-9 ATS versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots this season. TORONTO is 10-19 ATS  versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season.

NBA team (SAN ANTONIO) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in five consecutive games, in non-conference games are 69-31 ATS L/22 season for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 

The Sacramento Kings are the type of team that matchup well vs the explosive Dubs, and are very viable underdogs here on the road. Sacramento has covered 4 of the L/5 meetings here in gets the nod again in this spot play. Note: The Kings are 4-0 ATS L/4 with more than 5 days rest. Golden State is 4-14 ATS L/18 after 5 days rest. 

GOLDEN STATE is 9-22 ATS  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.GOLDEN STATE is 4-13 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points this season.

The Warriors are 1-12 ATS at home with rest after playing as a road favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s.

The Kings are 12-0 ATS/10-2 SU L/12 on the road with rest off a game as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s a game.

Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover 

After a big mid season run Brooklyn has six losses in its last nine games and according to my matchup stats are over matched here vs a side that can easily run with them.The Blazers went into the all star break showing how under rated they are when they dominated the fourth quarter in their 129-107 win over the Warriors at home behind. Damian Lillard scored 29 points. Im betting he will be the key again here tonight in a road victory for the Blazers.PORTLAND is 8-1 ATS  after a blowout win by 15 points or more this season.

Note: Portland owns a 9th ranked  +3.71 SRS compared to Brooklyns 21st ranked -1.22 SRS. ( 

SRS stands for Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. 

Portland is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings with the Nets and has won their L/2 visits to Brooklyn.

NBA Home underdogs (BROOKLYN) - after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 12-38 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Portland to cover 

The Heat base all their successes and failures on their ability to play gritty shutdown defence, and tonight against the explosive Philadelphia 76ers Im expecting more of the same action. With Philadelphia expected to play without the injured Joel Embiid ( knee) Im betting the Sixers ability flow freely in offence will also be hindered. This above combination has a high probability of making for a lower scoring game than the linesmkaers are expecting and thus Im recommending a under wager here . 

The Heat rank third in the league in points per game allowed (105.7 ppg) and 27th in point scored ( 105.1 ppg). MIAMIs L/20  road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 203.1 ppg scored.

Brown is 10-1 UNDER  in home games after 2 consecutive division games as the coach of PHILADELPHIA. (This occurred just before the all star break)

The Heat are 0-19  L/19 UNDER as a road dog with rest off a win as a dog facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average score 189.9 ppg scored. Non of the 19 games saw more than 213 combined points scored.

The 76er are 0-14 UNDER  off a 10+ win in a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 193.8 ppg scored. None of the 14 games eclipsed this total.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHILADELPHIA) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival against opponent off a road win by 10 points or more are 36-12 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MIAMI) - off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog against opponent off a win against a division rival are 35-11 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the  UNDER 

Two NBA bottom feeders go head to head tonight in Cleveland with the Suns visiting the Cavs.  . The Suns have lost 15 straight games  , while the Cavaliers dropped 23 of their past 27 games. If th Suns lose they will have broken a franchise record, and tonight because of their embarrassing scenario will be extremely primed to get a win.  QUOTE:"Fresh start. We have a stretch of games, very winnable games for us," Suns shooting guard Devin Booker told reporters. "Cleveland, Atlanta, Miami -- so we're about to go out East for the last time and hopefully come out with some big wins." END QUOTE. If there is a game that the Suns can win its this one and and they as a group will be hell bent on getting the victory making them a viable side to back. 

 Cleveland in 19 non conference games this season has seen a averagepoint differential of 14.4 ppg.CLEVELAND is 10-23 ATS  against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (CLEVELAND) - horrible team - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games are 12-39 SU l22 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, in February games are 25-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Phoenix to cover 

I have analyzed the rosters and matchups for this contest and Im now releasing a very viable point-spread selection. I will say its been a while since I bet a All star fromat game, but this one has enough value that Im willing to recommend we pull the trigger. 

Alot is being made of Super star LeBron James side, but the Greek Freak Antetokounmpo and center Joel Embiid and Thunder forward Paul George,Stephen Curry and Kemba Walker (playing at home in Charlotte) are a big strong group with heaps of athletic prowess and will not make life easy for James and company.With Russell Westbrook and Middleton coming off the bench this Giannis group is dangerous and a good bet in my opinion getting points. 

Take the points with Team Giannis

The Pelicans looked horrendous in a ugly effort vs Oralndo last time out, as the team as a whole stunk out the place as they showed their displeasure in having tp play alongside  super star Anthony Davis , a ego that isn't  really interested in being a part of this group.   Davis himeslef had the second-lowest point total of his seven-year career in games in which he has played 20 or more minutes. He had two points in 20 minutes against Toronto as a rookie.Davis had just three points on 1-of-9 shooting and in 24 minutes of the Pelicans nasty 118-88 home loss to Orlando on Tuesday. However, now after being embarrassed I expect Davis will come out here like his hairs on fire and in effort to keep pace with Westbook and company tonight, and for his teammates at least temporarily come to life behind him in an effort to take down a red hot Oklahoma City team. The Pelicans have covered 4 of the L/6 meetings in this series and my choice getting points tonight.

It must be noted that the Pelicans are 12-0 ATS L/12 off a loss in a home game. 

Donovan is 8-21 ATS in road games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY.

NBA Home underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a road loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite are 54-22 ATS L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, second half of the season are 45-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on New Orleans to cover 

The Hornets have beaten the Magic 13 times in a row, including six straight at Orlando and Im betting if they lose tonight they won't go down without a fight and actually matchup well vs a Orlando team that despite of playing well at the moment are far from consistent. It must also be noted that the Magic: 1-16 L17 as division home favs and just don't inspire me.The Magic  in their two meetings this season vs Charlotte were horrendous from down beyond the arc going a combined 16-for-66 (24.2 percent) and Im betting their inability to pop and  stop from downtown vs this Hornets group will be their downfall again. Note: ORLANDO is 7-17 ATS  as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.

The Magic are 0-10 ATS/1-9 SU at home when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a road game in which they had assists on at least 70 percent of their field goals with the only SU win coming by 2 points.  The Magic are 0-11 ATS/SU at home with rest off a win facing an opponent averaging less than 6 refereed turnovers per game. 

Play on Charlotte to cover 

Denver plays its best basketball at home  and are 24-4 SU &  20-8 ATS as hosts  this season coming into this tilt vs Sacramento. Meanwhile, the Kings while looking very competitive this season do not match up well on the road vs teams that can run and gun with them like Denver can as is evident by the following trend.SACRAMENTO is 1-8 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season with the average point differential -14.3 ppg. Also DENVER is 18-8 ATS  in home games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season with the average differential of +12.1 ppg. 

DENVER is 15-2 ATS  in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins this season (Denver beat Miami 103-87 here in the MileHigh City last time out)

The Kings are 0-15 ATS /0-15 SU on the road off a game as a favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game.The Nuggets are 13-0 ATS/ SU as a home favorite off a win after a game with 8+ lead changes and it is before the All-Star break. 

Play on Denver Nuggets to cover 

 Miami has been struggling of late , but must not be underestimated in their ability to cover or pull off an upset here vs a Dallas team that is highly inconsistent despite of of the accolades it gets from the media for having a rising star in their lineup , Luka Doncic. With this being both teams last game before the all star break I expect a spirited affair that will see getting points to be a golden proposition. 

MIAMI is 21-9 ATS  vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 seasons.MIAMI is 31-17 ATS  in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

MIAMI is 16-4 ATS in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.MIAMI is 31-19 ATS  as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons.MIAMI is 19-7 ATS  against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons and 17-7 ATS on the road in non conference games. Spoelstra is 23-8 ATS in road games after playing 4 consecutive road games as the coach of MIAMI.The Heat are 9-0 ATS  on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a loss in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, in February games are 24-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams (MIAMI) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 45-19 ATS for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Miami Heat to cover 

Miami enters this game ranked 3rd in ppg allowed in the NBA behind the 24th ranked pace and 27th ranked offense. Needless to say the Heat play a methodical brand of hoops that has resulted in some lower scoring affairs. Here on the road in their 5th straight road game, Im betting the pesky Heat  gear down once again in turn this into a war in the trenches vs their hosts the Mavericks  which will result in a lower scoring tilt than the lines-makers might expect.  Note: DALLAS is 23-11 UNDER  in a home game where the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 3 seasons with the average combined score of 201.7 ppg being scored.

The Heat are 0-23-2 UNDER as a dog with rest off a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with the average combined score of 189.2 ppg scored.

The Mavericks are 0-18 UNDER when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a game as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game with the average combined score of 182.2 ppg going on the board.

NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (DALLAS) - teams with a offensive  output (102  or more PPG) against a  team  that allows(102 or more PPG), after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 34-11 L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

The Chicago Bulls will be motivated to avoid a winless home stand vs a side that they matchup well against when they host the Memphis Grizzlies on Wednesday night.The Grizzlies will be playing on short rest after losing 108-107 to the visiting San Antonio Spurs on Tuesday night and now exhausted and in a letdown spot are susceptible to a down effort vs a Chicago side that went 2-0 against the Grizzlies last season, with both wins coming by single digits. The lines-makers once again expect a close game, but my own projections estimate that the Bulls should be 3 point chalk here at home, which give credence to me backing the Bulls in this spot play. Note: Mike Conley's status for this game is questionable as he suffers with a undisclosed illness. 

MEMPHIS is 4-13 ATS off a loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

 The Bulls are 18-0 ATS /16-2 SU when the line is within 3 of pick off a loss as a dog when they won 2 straight vs current opponent and it is before the All-Star break.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are 105-26 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago to cover 

Despite  of an explosive offensive lineup, coach Brett Brown's attention is now on defense and preparing for the playoffs. QUOTE: "All I think about is, 'How do you have a defense that can play in the playoffs?'" he said."Right now, the pace of the game made the game a little bit difficult. I think our defense right now is a B- or C+. We're OK. We turn it up; we turn it down. It needs to be better than it is. It's certainly going to have to be better against the Celtics. But the notion of what's the end game, it's always about the playoffs." END QUOTE: Meanwhile, Boston will come in here without Kyrie Irving, which will curtail their offensive abilities, and will make them more focused on playing top tier basketball in an effort to slow their ferocious opponent. Considering the circumstances, and both teams situations, Im expecting a play off type game here that is alot more physical than many might expect and as a result a much lower scoring game than the linesmakers might also expect. 

BOSTON is 10-0 UNDER in road games versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 206.9 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 11-1 UNDER (+9.9 Units) in home games after a combined score of 245 points or more with a combined average score of 198.3 ppg . ( They beat the Lakers 143-120 last time out, setting off Brown on his defensive speech above)

Play UNDER 

Orlando is playing decently and have won their first two games of their current 3 game road trip and 3 in a row, but are still a team that is far from being considered a upper tier team, and not a group that have proven long term consistent upward trajectory status. Meanwhile, their hosts tonight the Pelicans, are off a loss last time out, to the Grizzlies, in a ugly game (99-90), on the 10th of Feb, but should now be well rested and ready to rebound, as they become acclimated to having super star Anthony Davis back in the lineup.

Pelicans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games.Pelicans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.

The Magic are 0-16 ATS/SU  with rest off a win when they are facing a team that is averaging less than 6 refereed turnovers per game.

Magic are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Magic are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. Western Conference.

NBA Road underdogs (ORLANDO) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 19-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover 

 Milwaukee's star player Giannis Antetokounmpo is suffering with some knee pain, and despite of  being expected to play tonight is less than 100%. The last time out the Bucks struggled in a home loss to the Orlando Magic and blamed it on tired legs. Well Im sure that was true, but another truth is that the Bucks have come at opponents relentlessly this season and are not pacing themselves and I wont be surprised if that comes back to haunt them again tonight. 

Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Central.Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Bulls are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - an excellent offensive team (102 or more  PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102 or more PPG), after scoring 90 points or less are just 7-26 L/5seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 

The Mavs  are exhausted after a tenacious come from behind win vs Portland last night  which is not a good omen vs a Houston side hell bent on revenge for a earlier loss to the Mavericks this season. It must be noted that the Mavericks have lost 10 straight games when playing without rest against same-season avenging side and are just 0-8 SU and 1-7 ATS as a road dog without rest after facing the Blazers. With that said, a combination and exhaustion and revenge will be the key  us getting the cover here laying DDs. 

Play on the Houston Rockets to cover 

 With Kevin Love back from injury and Brandon Knight now in the Cleveland lineup theirs alot more offensive firepower on the floor for the Cavs and Im betting that will show here tonight against the Knicks on the scoreboard. The Knicks also have a little more fire power with DeAndre Jordan now here after being traded and the top tier play of the young Mitchell who is averaging 13 ppg via  76.2 % shooting conversion rate in just 20.3 minutes over his last three games. With the Knicks desperate to end a 16 game losing streak, Im betting they come out here spitting bullets, and Im betting Cleveland reciprocates with some offensive fire works of their own in a  game I have pegged to eclipse this number which isn't reflective of the current rosters. 

Fizdale is 23-9 OVER in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in all games he has coached since 1996 with a combined average of 213.1 ppg scored. Over is 6-2 in Cavaliers last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. 

NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (NEW YORK) - off a home loss, a terrible team (25% or less) playing a team with a losing record are 48-16 OVER L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the OVER 

Im betting on Miami hanging tough here vs this explosive Golden State team, based on my power ranking projections. There is value on this underdog line and we must always follow long term edges, win or lose. Look for  Hassan WhiteSide who has recorded a double-double in each of the last four games and is shooting 67.3 percent from the floor in these tilts to be a key factor here tonight in making this alot more physical than the Warriors would like.

 MIAMI is 32-17 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. MIAMI is 16-5 ATS  in road games versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.MIAMI is 8-0 ATS   after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. HC Spoelstra is 41-25 ATS  in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game as the coach of MIAMI. 

The Heat are 14-1-1 ATS L/16 as a dog with less than two days rest off a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game.The Warriors are 1-13-1 ATS  at home off a win as a favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game.The Warriors are 0-9-1 ATSL/10 as a home 8+ favorite with rest off a 10+ win in a road game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5. 

Play on Miami to cover