Brooklyn enters this game as weak hosts and are just 1-5 in its last six home games allowing a whopping 115.3 ppg overall at home in 9 games this season. After playing three straight grueling road games, and getting an underdog win last time out,  I'm betting on Brooklyn not having top tier energy to deal with a rebuilding Atlanta side desperate for wins.

Brooklyn's down fall today vs the spread will center around their energy levels  and a  26th ranked    72.8 percent conversion rate  at the charity stripe, which includes a below 70 percent conversion rate over the last 10 games.

Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Home teams vs. the money line (BROOKLYN) - off an upset win as a road underdog, in December games are just 35-60 SU for a go against conversion rate of 63% L/5 seasons.

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover

The Clippers are banged up and playing  without four starters -- Blake Griffin (MCL sprain), Patrick Beverley (knee surgery), Danilo Gallinari (sprained ankle) and Milos Teodosic (plantar fascia). But despite of this according to my own power rankings and cross reference player system matchup are still  a viable investment opportunity as a side wager on this line. The Clippers had won three straight until losing to Utah last time out , and are more than capable of keeping this close enough for a possible out right upset. The Clippers beat the Mavs 119-98 at home back on Nov 1. and despite of Dallas now having revenge on board have not been good bets in this spot in the  past as is evident by  HC Carlisle  9-21 ATS record  in home games revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more.

Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game which happened against Utah last time out.Mavericks are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Mavericks are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Pacific

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a terrible team ( 25% or less) are 26-6 SU L/21 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 1 unit reg selection

Memphis is desperate after losing 9 straight games. They know they have to up their tempo and get into an offensive flow. After going 6 straight games without breaching the 95 point plateau on offense a sense of urgency now permeates around the team. This is the second of back-to-back games against each other this  Friday night  at the FedEx Forum in Memphis, Tenn. The first meeting saw the Spurs grab a 104-95 win, which eclipsed the 194 point Total and similar score is not out of the question, and actually a high probability outcome according to my own numbers making this a viable OVER wager.

SAN ANTONIO is 9-0 OVER  L/9 in a road game where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points dating back to last season with a combined average of 206.6 ppg going on the board.

MEMPHIS in 17 games  versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season have seen a combined average score of 199.3 ppg scored.SAN ANTONIO is 17-6 OVER  L/23 when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points  with a combined average score of 201.8 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (MEMPHIS) - after failing to cover the spread in 6 or more consecutive games are 37-12 OVER  L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play on the OVER

Oklahoma City since changing up the dynamic of the team in the off season are struggling as the big 3 of Russell Westbrook, Paul George and Carmelo Anthony just are not meshing in the way management had hoped. The Thunder have lost 5 of their L/6 and three straight overall, and are fade material vs a hard working and talented young Minnesota Wolves group.Minnesota beat the Thunder 115-113 at Oklahoma City in October. and must not be underestimated in this spot. The Timberwolves showed their abilities last time out knocking down a  120-102 victory over New Orleans on Wednesday . Minnesota is a conference-best 10-3 against the West.

MINNESOTA is 17-6 ATS L/23  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game.Timberwolves are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Thunder are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Northwest.Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 24-3 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Minnesota to cover 1 unit reg selection

Chicago enters this game vs Denver averaging just 94.8 ppg on offense (worst in the league), and have failed to eclipse the 99 point plateau in 5 straight games, behind a 17th ranked pace, that should even slow down more tonight in the high altitudes of the Mile High city vs a team that they know they can't run and gun with. Meanwhile, the Nuggets own the 14th ranked offense, and the 13th ranked pace, so their in the middle of the pack , as far as speed and offensive production goes. What I'm betting happens  tonight, is what most sides, with sluggish offenses do when they go into Denver, and that is play a conservative energy conserving style of basketball, that more often than not translates into a lower scoring game than many might anticipate.

Under is 12-4 in Bulls last 16 vs. Western Conference.Under is 4-0 in Bulls last 4 vs. NBA Northwest.Under is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Under is 9-4 in Nuggets last 13 home games.

CHICAGO is 45-20 UNDER  L/65 versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 free throws/game or less with a combined average score of 199.4 ppg getting scored. CHICAGO in 8  in non-conference games this season have seen a combined average score of 196.3 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 23-9 UNDER  L/32 after 2 or more consecutive losses dating back to last season with the combined average score of 200.6 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (DENVER) - after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 65-26 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (DENVER) - an explosive offensive team (102 or less  PPG) against an average offensive team (92-98 PPG), after scoring 90 points or less are 35-12 UNDER L/21 seasons for 75% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CHICAGO) - off a home loss against opponent off an upset loss as a road favorite are 45-17 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for totals bettors.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

HC Fizdale is no longer the coach of the Memphis Grizzlies after his team struggled for much of this season and on a current 8 game losing streak mostly because of offensive production problems . His firing came after he benched star forward Mac Gasol, which started the firestorm. Now with a lot to prove and 2 days rest  I expect the Grizzlies new  HC  J.B. Bickerstaff and company  to come out fired up tonight, and really push their pace up a few notches, in an effort to get a offensive flow going  which I'm betting results in a higher scored than expected by the lines-makers.  

Over is 5-2 in Grizzlies last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.Over is 9-4 in Spurs last 13 vs. NBA Southwest.Over is 4-1 in Spurs last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

SAN ANTONIO in their  L/22 when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points have seen a  combined average of 202 ppg scored. Memphis in 9 games vs winning sides this season have seen a combined average of 197.2 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (MEMPHIS) - after failing to cover the spread in 6 or more consecutive games are 25-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play OVER

The Sacramento Kings carry positive momentum into their Tuesday night matchup with the Milwaukee Bucks and are showing competiveness especially on their own floor where they   5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.The Kings  are fresh their best game of this season,  , after a  a 110-106 road decision over the Golden State Warriors and are now full of confidence. Meanwhile, the Bucks are really getting frustrated and playing poorly.

Antetokounmpo, their star and one of the best young players in the league has shown  frustration with Milwaukee's inconsistency, when he was filmed swearing at assistant coach Sean Sweeney on Saturday during the Bucks' 121-108 loss to the Jazz in Utah. The kid should cool it, as a lot of the Bucks problems are based on his inconsistencies, as opposing defenses are figuring out ways to slow him down. With that said, I'm betting on the home team getting us the cover here tonight.

NBA Road teams (MILWAUKEE) - an explosive offensive team (102 PPG) or more against an average offensive team (92-98 PPG), after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games are 18-46 L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 72% for bettors.

Play on Sacramento Kings to cover

Two rebuilding teams go head to  head tonight when Phoenix visits the Chicago Bulls . With both teams defenses a big concern, I'm expecting both sides to play special attention to being stoppers and being physical, in a game I have pegged at staying under the total. Chicago is especially fragile as they rank last in the NBA scoring averaging just 94.3 ppg which makes them even more interested in turning this into a slow grinding affair.

CHICAGO is 33-17 UNDER  L/50 when playing against a team with a losing record  with a combined average of 202 ppg going on the board and 20-7 UNDER   versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game with a combined average score of  200.7 ppg going on the board and also 16-5 UNDER  /21  in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game with a combined average of 201.9 ppg getting scored.CHICAGO is 14-3 UNDER L/17  in home games in non-conference games . CHICAGO is 10-1 UNDER  L/11  in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing against a terrible team (25% or less) are 25-5 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CHICAGO) - tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season are 36-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

The Cavs, who beat the 76ers 113-91 on Monday night in Philadelphia, will play consecutive nights for the first time since Oct. 28-29 and now this veteran laden team  will  be on tired legs and ready to slow things down again.  Last night it was the Cavs ability to slow the flow of their younger opposition down, and come out of that game with a easy DD win. Tonight, I'm betting on the same tactics and game plan to make this into a conservative tilt, vs a Miami side that also practices a controlled style of defensive play behind key cog Hassan Whiteside. .Note: The Heat have held 4 of their L/5 opponents to under 98 points or less. While the Cavs have held 3 of their L/4 opponents, to 99 points or less.

Miami is ranked 21st in the pace in the league, 7th best ppg allowed in the NBA and rank 26th in offensive points production.

Cleveland ranks 12th in the league in pace.

MIAMI is 9-1 UNDER L/10  in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) with a combined average of 193.5 ppg going on the board.MIAMI is 30-14 UNDER  L/44 as a road underdog of 6 points or less with a combined average score of 194 ppg going on the score board.

Under is 20-8 in Heat last 28 road games.Under is 3-0-1 in Cavaliers last 4 overall.Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games playing with  no rest.Under is 12-4-1 in the last 17 meetings in Cleveland.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MIAMI) - after 3 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins are 73-27 UNDER for a 73% conversion rate for totals bettors.

Play UNDER

The Clippers enter this game banged up and dealing  with injuries, and  already lost guard Patrick Beverley for the season following knee surgery. Yes, they have won two in a row, but beating Atlanta and Sacramento are not great resume builders, and I feel like their still not ready to reach any lofty heights any time soon with key players forward Danilo Gallinari (hip) and guard Milos Teodosic (foot) still out. Prior to this mini streak, they lost 9 straight, and allowed 110 plus points per game during that stretch which is atrocious for a defensive minded team.  Meanwhile, the LA Lakers, enter this game well rested, after coming out and looking emotional drained last time out in loss to the lowly Kings. That defeat after consecutive wins vs the Denver Nuggets and Chicago Bulls in back to back home games. That  is a key problems with some young teams in the NBA, and now they will be primed ready to get back to work . Note: Larry Nance Jr. should help the Lakers' overall level of play and is supposed to return from injury tonight. With that said, and according to my own matchup reference numbers this game should be closer to a pickem here on a neutral floor, thus giving us value with taking the points.

Clippers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.Clippers are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after a close win by 3 points or less are 30-44 L/5 seasons for a go against  60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection

The lowly Kings enter this game knowing they handed Golden State one of its 15 losses last season, 109-106 in overtime in February.  Nothing is impossible and no team in the NBA no matter how great they maybe is infallible , especially from an ATS perspective. I know that  these teams are operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum,  and at the opposite ends of the Pacific Division standings, with the  Warriors having won six in a row at home while the last-place Kings have crapped out nine successive road tilts. However, despite of this, and also knowing the Warriors propensity to do just enough to get wins , and rest their stars against sides like this ,gives me confidence in recommending we take the points with a team that has nothing to lose in what many expect to be an inevitable beat down.

Note: Kevin Durante, Draymond Green, and Steph Curry could be rested tonight, completely held out of the lineup or on the bench for much of this game because of nagging injuries and playing at less than 100%.

NBA Home favorites (GOLDEN STATE) - good 3PT shooting team (=36.5% or better ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5%or better), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a horrible rebounding team ( 5.5 or less  reb/game) are just 14-51 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

NBA Road underdogs (SACRAMENTO) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival against opponent after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite are 23-4 ATS L/21 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Sacramento Kings to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Rockets as we all know by now are an explosive offensive juggernaut,  but  their defensive 17.5 net rating is something that may be over looked by the average punter. Their ability to be stopper was on display last time out against the  Knicks who  scored  29 points over the first 7 1/2 minutes  of that game , only to fall short of that mark in  any of three following three quarters of action. Meanwhile, Brooklyn after struggling with D, of late, finally played the kind of game their coach wants from them more consistently holding the Memphis Grizzlies to 88 points in a win. Last night the Nets had success taking their time with their attack, and being selective with shots, and tonight I expect they will try to slow down the game via slower paced effort vs what they know is a dangerous run and gun opponent. I'm also betting on the Rockets D, showing us their under rated abilities as well in a tilt I have pegged to stay on the low side of the number. Note: Houston has held 4 of their L/7 opponents under 96 points or less.

Under is 9-4-3 in Nets last 16 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-1-1 in Nets last 6 road games.BROOKLYN in 7 games  versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season have seen a average combined score of 218 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BROOKLYN) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more are 34-8 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (BROOKLYN) - after 1 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 2 or more consecutive wins are 57-24 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

The Philadelphia 76ers and their home crowd are going to be wild tonight with excitement as their team continues to grow and show competitiveness. Bigger and better things are on the horizon for the Sixers.. But first they have to deal with the Cavaliers. QUOTE: "Cleveland is going to come in, and it's going to be amazing for the building," coach Brett Brown said. "This building is wild. How about our fans? Are you kidding me? I can't even talk to my coaching staff sometimes and they're a foot from me. It's fantastic. What a great thing for our city." END QUOTE But now irrational exuberance may get the best of the Sixers, as a veteran laden Cleveland Cavaliers come to town, looking to slow down any early momentum the home team has by playing methodical slow paced style hoops, while saving their best for last quarter and a half. This I'm betting will curtail both teams scoring out put making this a much lower scoring affair than the lines-makers expect .

PHILADELPHIA is 18-5 UNDER  L/23  in home games after a combined score of 235 points or more with a combined average of 199 ppg going on the board. PHILADELPHIA is 26-9 UNDER  L/25  in home games after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite with a combined average of 185.2 ppg going on the board

.Under is 4-0-1 in Cavaliers last 5 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 7-2 in 76ers last 9 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Philadelphia.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (CLEVELAND) - after 2 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 3 or more consecutive wins are 25-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHILADELPHIA) - after 3 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins are 40-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play UNDER

The Miami Heat are expected to be missing   their most important player when they take the court on Sunday afternoon vs the rebuilding Chicago Bulls. Hassan Whiteside, if he plays will not be 100% and may see more bench time than playing time today if he plays at all. He's the heartbeat of this Heat group, and without him on the court the Heat are vulnerable. I know the Bulls may not inspire confidence in bettors, with a 3-14 record on the season, but two of those wins have come at home, where they play today. With that said, I'm recommending we take the points with the host team.

Heat are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Central.Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southeast.Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

MIAMI is 3-13 ATS  versus lower tier  foul drawing teams - attempting  21  or less free throws/game. CHICAGO is 9-0 ATS L/9 in home games after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more .

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Sacramento Kings are retooling and rebuilding ,but have protected their home court well, and have  won four of their past five at Golden 1 Center. Meanwhile, the LA Clippers, just ended a 9 game losing streak vs the lowly Atlanta Hawks, but overall have struggled mightily and don't deserve to road favs here of almost 5 points. That above mentioned losing streak included a season-ending injury to guard Patrick Beverley, a defensive specialist and has really hurt the Clippers. With that said, I'm betting on the Kings being very competitive tonight and getting us the all important cover.

Clippers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference.Clippers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Kings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - an average offensive team (92-98 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102 PPG or more), after scoring 110 points or more are 114-47  SU dating back 21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Golden State Warriors and the Pelicans will be playing their second game in two nights. Each is coming off a win on Friday and both will be on tired legs, and not ready or capable to run and gun. These teams did partake in a 128-120 slugfest in their first meeting this season, at New Orleans that Golden State won, but this time around , I expect a more conservative approach from the Pelicans. It must be noted that new Orleans has held their last two opponents to 91 points or less. On the flipside I'm betting  Golden State underrated D , ranked 9th in the league in efficiency to stand tall and to slow down Pelicans stars Cousins and Davis . With the above scenarios playing out, I expect a score that does not eclipse the total.

NEW ORLEANS is 33-19 UNDER  L/51  in road games revenging a loss vs opponent with a combined average of 207.1 ppg going on the board.

GOLDEN STATE is 20-7 UNDER L/27 after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread with a combined average of 213.1 ppg going on the board.

NBA team (GOLDEN STATE) - after a huge blowout win by 30 or more against opponent after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 47-12 L/20 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for totals bettors. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 30-7 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for totals bettors.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a road win are 34-9 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play UNDER

The Boston Celtics (17-3), who have won 17 of 18 including a 118-103 win on Friday night against Orlando, travel to Indiana on Saturday as short road chalk . The Pacers  have been playing strong ball, but last night were taken to the brink , eking out a 107-104 victory. Now on tired legs I'm betting they will have problems, dealing with what my own power rankings suggest is the superior side.Note: Pacers are 6-20-1 ATS in their last 27 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day.

Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Celtics are 21-4-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up win.

BOSTON is 8-0 ATS L/8 versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season and  8-0 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.BOSTON is 13-2 ATS  L/15 versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season.BOSTON is 13-2 ATS  L/15  in road games against Central division opponents.

Home underdogs (INDIANA) - off a close home win by 3 points or less, in November games are 11-35 ATS L/21 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover 1 unit reg selection

 The Philadelphia 76ers and the visiting  Orlando Magic on Saturday night are two teams playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum.  The Sixer's have won 4 of their L/5 while Orlando has lost 7 straight. However, despite of their current runs, my own cross reference players and systems matchup statistics actually favor the downtrodden dog to cover. Orlando has won 4 straight meetings here in Philly and I'm betting this desperate team won't go easily in this tilt.

76ers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

NBA Road teams (ORLANDO) - after 7 or more consecutive losses, on Saturday games are 67-35 ATS L/21 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover

The Charlotte Hornets  come in to this  back-to-back situation vs the visiting  San Antonio Spurs in a letdown situation after an emotional and physical grueling 100-99 loss last night to the Cleveland Cavaliers. Meanwhile, the Spurs, are off 2 straight days off an will be energized for this tilt. With that said, I'm recommending we back a Spurs side that owns a one-sided season series 40-15 record, including  five of their last six visits to Charlotte.

CHARLOTTE is 21-35 ATS  L/56 versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southwest.Hornets are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days. are 30-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on San Antonio to cover

Toronto had won four in a row until a 41-10 third-quarter meltdown in Madison Square Garden last time out saw them go down to defeat by a 108-100 score. Nothing surprises me in the NBA anymore, and even consistent sides like the Raptors fall into these types of lapses. Today, however, I expect Canada's only NBA team to come back looking for redemption vs a Indiana side they matchup very well against. I know Indiana has won four in a row and surprised a couple of teams as underdogs, but tonight, they won't sneak up on anyone, and will have the full attention of their dangerous hosts.

Toronto has  won nine of the last 11 meetings after taking two of three last season.Raptors are 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Indiana.

INDIANA is 1-12 ATS  L/13 off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog .INDIANA is 9-22 ATS  L/31 off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Indiana - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 6-26 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against  81% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams like Toronto - off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite against opponent off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog are 26-6 ATS L/21 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover

The Hornets and the Cavaliers meet again at Friday in Cleveland. both teams are on winning streaks. The last time these two sides played each other 222 combined points went on the board in a 115 -107 Cleveland win.  Controlling or at least slowing LeBron James is critical to holding down the explosiveness of the Cavaliers, and the Hornets I'm betting will focus their attention on him, and playing better overall defense on the whole especially here on the road behind the 12th ranked pace in the league .QUOTE: "His big, big nights, which he's had against us, it's going to be the fast-break baskets, the second-chance baskets and the cuts," Clifford said prior to Cleveland's 115-107 win over the Hornets on Nov. 15. "That's how he gets from, he's averaging 28, that's how he's going to get to 38. You know, if you do a good job on those, then you hope he gets 28. You control what you can control but again, the great, great ones, you've got to take those other easy ones away." END QUOTE: With that said, Cleveland has been playing fast and furious of late, but the old guys now will be on tired legs, as they play their 8th game in 13 days, and with Charlotte looking to slow this game down, I'm betting on point production output in this tilt to me more muted than what might expect.

CHARLOTTE is 25-11 UNDER  L/36 revenging a home loss vs opponent with a combined average of 200 ppg going on the board.

NBA team like Charlotte - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or less), dominant rebounding team (+5.5 reb/game or more ) against an average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) are 53-24 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 695 conversion rate for totals bettors.

 NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like Charlotte - after 3 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins are 39-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for  81% conversion rare for bettors.

Play UNDER

The Lakers (8-10) enter into this tilt vs Sacramento off their second straight win. Last night  Los Angeles posted a 103-94 home victory over the Chicago Bulls on Tuesday in a come from behind effort and very much look to be the superior team entering this tilt. Last night they controlled the boards , with a  54-39 rebounding advantage, and are currently ranked 4th in the NBA . thanks to those efforts the Lakers defensive rating, has them ranked 4th as well , as their top tier abilities fly under the radar of most pundits. Meanwhile, the Kings do not rebound well as is evident by giving up 7.8 more per game than their opponents, for last place in the  NBA. With Sacramento also expected to play its third straight game without second-leading scorer Buddy Hield (11.6 points per game), they are at a disadvantage tonight from multiple perspectives including their ability to outscore an opponent behind a lowly 93.2 points per game which is the worst  output in the NBA.

SACRAMENTO is 1-8 ATS  L/9 vs lower tier  defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season (this is mostly because of their won lack of scoring power)

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Lakers - with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season, in November games are 71-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate.

Play on the Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Bulls and Jazz enter this game both struggling. Both are desperate for wins, and both I expect will play hard tonight. The Jazz have dropped eight of their past 10 games, including a 107-86 road loss against the Philadelphia 76ers on Monday and without top tier center Rudy Gobert look like a key component has their usually well disciplined team  in disarray . Meanwhile, visiting  Chicago is 0-2 on a four-game trip after losing  by a 103-94 count  to the Los Angeles Lakers last night. The Bulls threw away a 19-point second-half lead against the Lakers, which was embarrassing for them. Like the call from the French revolution, which said " Heads Will roll".  That's exactly the situation now in Bulls land, and this group of players need to stand up and get some respect for themselves immediately .  These are professionals that   know that this will have an adverse financial  effect on their careers going forward and how they are looked as players if they don't bounce  back and make amends for that ugly 2nd half effort last night. The Bulls won both of last season's meetings and have prevailed in three straight meetings and are my pick to cover here.

Bulls are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.Jazz are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.Jazz are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 vs. Eastern Conference.Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

NBA Road underdogs like Chicago- off 2 or more consecutive road losses, playing on back-to-back days are 67-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection

 
The San Antonio Spurs play consistent basketball which is evident by a 11-6 record despite missing   All-Star forward Kawhi Leonard and veteran  point guard Tony Parker. However, tonight on the road vs New Orleans I'm betting they will suffer a set back, vs an opponent that has some very talented players  in their lineup , namely the  super star duo Davis and Cousins. ( Cousins seems to elevate his games vs top tier teams). Note: Cousins was ejected last time out, because of what looked like he the and elbow)  HC Gentry said it was a bad call, and now this talented player, despite of being extremely moody will have a chip on his shoulder entering this tilt and be ready and motivated  to show case his talent and  ego vs a big time opponent on his own home floor.

New Orleans owns a 4-0 ATS  l/4 mark at home  in this series. The Spurs are 0-5 ATS L/5 road games.Home team is 20-6 ATS in the last 26 meetings. The Spurs have failed to cover 9 of the L/12 meetings in this series.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or more of their shots against opponent after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less are 29-4 SU for a 88% SU conversion rate over the L/5 seasons.

Play on New Orleans Pelicans  to cover

This is a tilt of 2 fairly evenly matched teams, with home court advantage worth 3 points according to my own cross reference power rankings. Thus in a game I have pegged at close to one possession or 2 possession game, the Bulls  have an edge based on the numbers being offered by the sportsbooks both in Vegas and off shore. I will not be surprised at all if the Bulls pull of the SU upset here vs a Lakers team that should be on tired legs as they prepare to play their 8th game in 13 days.

LA LAKERS are 9-20 ATS  L/29 when playing 8 or more games in 14 days. LAKERS are 6-21 ATS  L/27 after playing 2 consecutive home games.CHICAGO is 15-4 ATS L/19  in road games after a game where they attempted 100 or more shots.

NBA teams like Chicago  have done well from a SU perspective vs NBA Home teams vs. the money line like the LAKERS- off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team winning SU 21 of the L/35 times for a 60% conversion rate dating back 5 seasons.

NBA Home favorites like the Lakers - after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games. 61-111 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of more than 64% for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Portland Blazers go against a reeling Memphis Grizzlies  team that is playing with out point guard Mike Conely  and on a current four game losing streak. Without Conely on the floor the team just doesn't seem to have consistent rhythm , and once again look like fade material in this spot. The Memphis D has also broken down and has allowed 100 or more points in eight of its past nine games. The Grizzlies went 1-7 in those games.  It's also interesting to note that despite of appearances of a Grizzlies side that can supposedly play uptempo basketball as well as defense, the numbers and data don;t support their prowess, as they rank 29th in the league in pace  and 25th in offensive production. With that said, I'm fading them tonight and keeping a eye on them until they can right their sinking ship.

MEMPHIS is 4-16 ATS  L/20  in home games off a home loss .

NBA Road favorites vs. the money line like PORTLAND  - after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games are  106-25 SU during the L/21 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Portland Blazers to cover 1 unit reg selection

Tyronn Lue's Cavaliers are starting to jell, as  they are currently on a 4 game win streak. The victories have not been over powering, but they are getting the job done, behind a veteran crew that prefers a methodical game plan rather than a fast paced run and gun style game. After their recent come from behind  victory vs the LA Clippers, key veteran Dwayne Wade said, QUOTE:"We're one of the oldest teams in the league. We're not built for all of this," Wade said. "We're built for when the game slows down -- and late in games, the game slows down, and that's kind of when we're at our best." END QUOTE. Tonight against a Motown group on tired legs as they play back to back after playing last night, I'm betting the tempo will be to the Cavaliers liking and give them a much needed edge. Detroit won a close grueling tilt last night, 100-97 score at Minnesota. Note: NBA  teams where the line is +3 to -3 like DETROIT- off a road win by 3 points or less, playing on back-to-back days are 5-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

DETROIT is 10-22 ATS  L/32 when the line is +3 to -3 .

CLEVELAND is 13-4 ATS L/17 road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days.DETROIT is 18-33 ATS  L/51 after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread.

Play on the Cleveland Cavs to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Sixers are in a down mood and on tired legs after blowing a 24-point lead over the Golden State Warriors with 38 seconds into the second half on Saturday night.   The  explosive defending NBA champions outscored them 63-21 over the next 17:48 on their way to a 124-116 victory. Now trying to deal with a lack of defensive responsibility and being exhausted and in a emotional letdown state , I expect the 76ers aggressiveness to be muted, which result in a more conservative effort than the linesmakers are expecting. Meanwhile, their opponents the Utah Jazz are playing the finale of a 4 game road  trip  and will also be on tired legs, and when called upon have been know to play hard core physical D, something I expect from them tonight. Note : The Jazz own the 5th best point allowed D in the league , the 24th ranked offensive rating, and the only 6 teams in the league play at a slower pace then they do. With that said, I'm recommending we take the under path tonight.

UTAH is 37-18 UNDER  L/54  in road games versus lower tier defensive teams - allowing 106 or more points/game with the combined average score of 200.1 ppg going on the scoreboard.UTAH   in their L/10 road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) have seen a combined average score of 207.2 ppg go on the board.

PHILADELPHIA is 16-5 UNDER L/21 against Northwest division opponents with a combined average of 201.1 ppg going on the board.

NBA team like UTAH - after a huge blowout win by 30 or more against opponent after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 46-12 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play UNDER

Two franchises the Bulls and the Suns are going through  rebuilding programs  will meet today in Arizona.The Suns enter of a win vs the  Lakers for the first time in three meetings and the Bulls took down Charlotte to end  a five-game losing streak. When it comes to a direct cross reference player vs player and systems check, my own data suggests the Bulls are the superior team , which gives us value taking the points here in this spot.

Phoenix is ranked dead last  in defense in the league, allowing 116.6 ppg with a SRs -9.77 . The Bulls rank 11th overall in Defense, with a SRS -8.24.  Note:SRS Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Suns are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.Suns are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Underdog is 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings.Road team is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings.Bulls are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Phoenix.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the SUNS - off an upset win as a road underdog, with a losing record 44-78 ATS for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Trail Blazers enter into this game in cohesive form and were held to a season-low scoring output in an 86-82 loss to the Sacramento Kings on Friday night. Actually the Kings matchup well vs Portland and once again look like they will give problems to the Blazers inconsistent offense.The Trail Blazers have been held below 100 in five straight games and are averaging 94.8 points in that stretch. I know the Kings don't inspire bettors but, from a point spread perspective matchup well vs the host team, and are my recommended side here this evening.

Trail Blazers are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.Trail Blazers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Pacific.Trail Blazers are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 home games.Trail Blazers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Underdog is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings.

NBA Favorites of 10 or more points like Portland  - after a game where both teams scored 90 points or less against opponent after scoring 90 points or less. are 75-126 ATS L/21 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Sacramento to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Boston Celtics,  are off a top tier win over the reigning NBA champion Golden St Warriors, and tonight put their 14-game winning streak on the line when they travel to play an Atlanta Hawks .

Atlanta  a team in  rebuilding mode, came out fired up last time out on Wednesday and beat a sleepy looking Kings team in conclusive fashion. The Hawks really exerted a lot of energy in that tilt, and might not have the electricity needed to put forth another strong effort here vs a over powering side.  After shooting 63 percent, in that above mentioned win, a reversion to the norm against a tremendous defensive team must be expected. I'm betting as this game progresses, the Celtics will pull away for a comfortable victory.

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Celtics - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 33-8 ATS dating  back 21 seasons for a  81 % conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover

The Denver Nuggets are playing with confidence right now and are  5-1 on their recent homestand.  Their winning attitude was dealt a blow last time out, against the Portland Blazers, on the road , but they are more than capable of picking themselves up and get back to business here tonight in the high altitudes of the Mile High City where they own a strong home court advantage. Note: DENVER is 18-8 ATS  L/26 off a road loss. Meanwhile, the Pelicans despite of having offensive juggernauts Davis and Cousins on the floor continue to play lazy defense,  are allowing their opposition  to shooting 42 percent from long range over the last five games and New Orleans has allowed 16 3-pointers in three of the past four games. Those are ugly numbers, and here in the thin air of Denver, I;m betting their defensive acumen will be tested once again as will their lagging conditioning and two way transitional play.

Pelicans are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Northwest.Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Southwest.

With Three days off and the expected  return of guard Gary Harris  Im betting helps propel the Nuggets   against the New Orleans Pelicans and get us to promise land. Lay the points.

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Thunder bring three-game win streak to San Antonio and are showing some signs of life of late, and look like their finally starting to jell, with Carmelo Anthony and Paul George still getting acclimated to playing with former MVP Russell Westbrook . Spurs reserve guard Manu Ginobili said of the Thunder. "When you make such big changes and you put together so many alpha players, it takes a little bit of time." END QUOTE. Tonight against the banged up Spurs, who are without either star forward Kawhi Leonard or point guard Tony Parker, the Spurs are a patch work side, and are vulnerable to being taken down even here on their own home floor. Last time out the Spurs lost  98-86 to the Wolves, and looked a little awkward in the loss, something I'm not used to seeing from Popovich and company. Tonight I'm fading them here at home as it looks at the moment the key losses and injuries are finally catching up with them. 

NBA team vs the money line like the THUNDER - off 3 or more consecutive home wins against opponent off a road loss by 10 points or more are 44-10 for a 82% conversion rate for bettors over the L/5 seasons.

Play on the Oklahoma City Thunder to cover

Miami (6-8) travels to D.C.  to play Friday night's rematch against the Washington Wizards (9-5) . This the second of back to back games vs each other which I'm betting favors the visitors covering. The Wizards were admittedly the better of the teams on Wednesday night when they played, but what I noticed was Washington's ugly  perimeter defense, that  saw the  Heat make 13 3-pointers -- four more than Washington -- and shot 43.3 percent from beyond the arc.  The Wizards weakness is not finding ways to stop Wall or Beal , but instead consistently convert from downtown on  treys. Something I'm betting the heat can do again, and get us the cover. The Wizards despite of their talented offense, are lazy in the rebound department, as was also evident in the Heat's 15-8 advantage on second-chance points. Center Hassan Whiteside, who had 14 points and a game-high 21 rebounds is key here tonight, and now after getting acclimated to what the Wizards bring to the floor I expect Miami to be much better here in the 2nd go around.

WASHINGTON is 5-16 ATS L/21  in home games off a road win .

MIAMI is 10-0 ATS  L/10 in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, which has just happened.

NBA team like Washington - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are just 4-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 88% for bettors.

Play on the Miami Heat to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Celtics own the No. 1 defense  in the NBA  overall and won their 13 straight behind a deliberate pace that ranks them 21st in the league ( 96.6)  . It's been their staunch D, that has got them to this point and I'm betting they will be well prepared to try to slow down the explosive Golden State Warriors in this spot. Meanwhile, Golden State on a 7 game win streak, despite of their reputation for being scoring machines, are also a viable defensive team, ranking 10th in defensive efficiency and are more than capable of keeping the deliberate Celtics from hitting their selective shots consistently. Look for this two heavy weights to collide in  a physical slower paced game than the linesmakers and pundits expect.

Under is 14-3 in Warriors last 17 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 13-2-1 in Celtics last 16 vs. NBA Pacific.Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Boston.

NBA team like Boston/Golden State- after 4 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive wins are 34-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for under Totals bettors.

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection

Portland  is coming off its most complete performance of the season in a 99-82 beat down  of Northwest Division rival Denver on Monday and the team finally looks like its ready for a run. Tonight hey face a improved Orlando side,  that according to my cross reference power rankings the Blazers matchup very well against. This is a Portland team that has proven it can score in bunches, and is now working hard on having an equally effective defense. Veteran forward Ed Davis see light at the end of the tunnel..QUOTE: "If you hold a team under 90, you're going to win," he said. "Even though our record is not what we want it to be, I feel like if we're defending every game, it's going to turn around eventually. END QUOTE: I agree with his assessments and very much like their chances to cover tonight. I know Orlando has played decent ball of late, but continued  success from a ATS perspective has been daunting for this franchise in the past,  as is evident by a  2-11 ATS  L/10 run after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread losing SU by more than 17 ppg.

ORLANDO has covered only 5 of their L/22 in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) with the average score clicking in at \Opponent 110.5 Orlando 98.4.

Play on the Portland Blazers to cover

The Charlotte Hornets expect forward Nic Batum to make his season debut Wednesday night when they host the Cleveland Cavaliers which will help them a lot. Tonight against a Cleveland team that used a lot of energy and emotion to erase a late DD deficit to beat the NY Knicks (104-101) on Monday night an emotional letdown scenario is also a major possibility. Coach Lue said previous to that game  that his super star and leader behind the late flurry LeBron James is out of shape.QUOTE: "He has to get in shape," Lue insisted. "He missed the whole training camp, that's the reason why." END QUOTE: He played 38 min in the above mentioned game and looked exhausted at the end, and that hangover could easily rear its ugly head in this spot.

Cavaliers are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. Eastern Conference.Cavaliers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Hornets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.CLEVELAND is 1-9 ATS  as a favorite this season.CHARLOTTE is 11-2 ATS  versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season .CLEVELAND is 13-28 ATS  L/41 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%).

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Cleveland - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after a loss by 6 points or less are 18-47 ATS L/63 dating back 5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 72% for bettors.

Play on the Charlotte Hornets to cover 1 unit reg selection

After sweeping a five-game home stand and flying to No. 1 on the Central Division charts , the upward trending Detroit Pistons take their winning ways on the road Wednesday night when they go head to head against the Milwaukee Bucks at the Bradley Center. Meanwhile, the Bucks have also played well since Bledsoe arrived from the Suns, and while a lot is being made of his prescience by the media, I can see his effectiveness fading as the Bucks are due for a letdown effort after 3 straight wins. Note: MILWAUKEE is 3-13 ATS  L/16  in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games .

DETROIT is 21-8 ATS L/29 vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents. Bucks are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Central.Pistons are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover 1 unit reg selection

Toronto  recorded a franchise-record 45-point second quarter in its 129-113 road win at Houston on Tuesday. The Raptors are a streaky team, and when their on fire , you better not get in their way. Tonight I'm recommending we ride this run away train, and expect similar fireworks vs a deficient New Orleans D, that is ranked 21st in the league allowing 107 ppg.  with an SRS of -0.46. The Raptors have won 13 of their last 16 against the Pelicans, including five straight and get the nod tonight to get us the cover as road dogs.

NEW ORLEANS is 0-8 ATS L/8 in home games versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing 16 or more  turnovers/game.
TORONTO is 15-3 ATS L/18 after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread .

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover 1 unit reg selection

Bulls HC Hoiberg was quoted as saying "I am seeing a little lack of confidence right now, but we've got to find a way to fix that," Hoiberg said, according to the Chicago Tribune."When I look at the overall body of work -- going back to the summer and September when everybody was back and (in) training camp -- we were very competitive. We were playing at a very high level getting into our preseason. Guys were rising up with confidence, making shots."When we don't shoot the ball well right now, we're not bringing the energy we need on the other end of the floor. So it's about building that confidence back up."  END QUOTE: Hoiberg has made some changes for tonight that should ignite his slumping team.  Point guard Kris Dunn will get firs t start of the season, and Denzel Valentine may get the start over Paul Zipser at the three spot. The Thunder are expecting to be without starter without center Steve Adams a more integral part of this team than many might think.

Chicago has won their L/2 meeting here in Oklahoma city!

CHICAGO is 29-12 ATS  L/41 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game.

NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points like Chicago- revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent after a cover as a double digit favorite are 35-13 ATS for a 73% conversion rate for bettors over the L/5 seasons.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover

Nothing comes easy for Atlanta and trying to get their first home win of the season against the visiting Sacramento Kings will also not come easily according to my own projections. Both teams have ugly records with the Kings sporting a 3-10 mark while the Hawks own a ugly 2-12 record. I expect both these teams look at this as a winnable game and both will play hard, which makes getting the points a viable betting option here tonight.

ATLANTA is 2-11 ATS  in home games after a non-conference game .Hawks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Pacific.Hawks are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Play on Sacramento to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Wizards and the Heat prepare to play back to back home and way game against each other over the next few of days. Tonight they will play in Miami.The Heat have looked good in their recent road trip out west where  they beat the Los Angeles Clippers, Phoenix Suns and Utah Jazz. I myself like very much the way this group plays together and  expect an upward trajectory from them going forward as long as they can stay healthy. I base this projection, on Miami's defense which has  improved significantly  of late, as they rank third in the Eastern Conference in points allowed (103.1 per game) which gives them an edge vs a Wizards side that have the No. 1 offense in the East (111.4 points per game). The Wizards Achilles Heel  is their defense, which ranks only 10th in the conference at 105.9 points per game. In the end I'm betting home court advantage, deeper/  stronger bench,  out does a Washington  bench that has struggled this season.

MIAMI is 19-9 ATS  L/28 versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots and 23-10 ATS  L/33 versus good passing teams, averaging 23 assists/game or more. Wizards are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win.Heat are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.Wizards are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Washington - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season are just 20-50 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 72% for bettors.

Play on the Miami Heat to cover 1 unit reg selection  

These are two teams trending in the opposite direction. San Antonio (8-5) despite of being short handed has found ways to win while, the Mavericks (2-12) find ways to lose mostly because of third quarter lapses, which surround around key players like Nowitzki  Smith,  and Barnes who have had shooting slumps at inopportune times. It's not like the Mavs have been completely futile, as they have stayed close against upper echelon sides this season, and upset Washington last week. Overall they must  not be underestimated as home  underdogs and I'm backing them in this spot.

 Spurs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.

NB Favorites like San Antonio - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5%  or more), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a horrible rebounding team (-5.5 reb/game or less) are 42-87 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 68% for bettors.

Play on the Dallas Mavs to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Bucks are still getting  acclimated to having newly acquired Eric Bledsoe in the lineup. Coach Jason Kidd moved the veteran into the starting lineup, and saw immediate results, beating San Antonio and the LA Lakers. They will benefit from this top tier scorer against certain teams, but against a physical side like the Grizzlies, I'm betting on a reversal in their fortunes tonight. According to  my own cross reference players/team ratings we have value with the Grizzlies vs this type of team that can both run and gun and be inside/out side shit busters.

Grizzlies are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 vs. NBA Central.Bucks are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Bucks are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

MILWAUKEE is 6-21 ATS  L/28  in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games.MEMPHIS is 19-9 ATS L/28 as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points .

NBA team like the Bucks - after going under the total by more than 18 points in two consecutive games, first half of the season are 27-56 ATS L/5 seasons for a goa against conversion rate of 68% for bettors.

Play on the Memphis Grizzlies to cover 1 unit reg selection

Cleveland has revenge in mind for a loss to the Knicks on their own home court back on Nov 29, by a 114-95 count as 10.5 point favs. Recently James has made some some comments in the media about the Knicks bad choices in the draft , and it looks very much like James has a chip on his shoulder heading into this contest. Needless to say, its never a good thing for opposing sides, when the world best hoops players is in a foul mood. With that said, I expect LeBron and company to come out here like its a play off game ,and give us one of their better performances of the season in this spot on their way to a road cover.

Cavaliers are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 road games and are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Cavaliers have covered 4 of their L/5 in NYC.

Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Cleveland  - revenging a loss vs opponent, with a losing record are a long term winning proposition as is evident by a 112-66 ATS mark dating back 21 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover

Oklahoma City finally notched a win last time out vs the LA Clippers. Prior to that the team did not look cohesive, and lost four straight meetings. Now the lines-makers are making them 12 plus point favorites, vs a Dallas team that despite of a negative W/L SU record have looked much more competitive of late. That was evident when the Mavs picked up their first road win this week of the season against Washington before falling 111-104 to Cleveland on Saturday. With that said, I recommend we take the points. Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day.Thunder are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference.Thunder are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
Mavericks are 21-9-1 ATS in the last 31 meetings in Oklahoma City. 

Play on Dallas to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Indiana Pacers are coming off one of the best defensive performances of the season as they try to forge a new image for themselves . The Pacers (6-7) snapped a four-game losing streak by beating Chicago 105-87 Friday night. Tonight against the explosive Rockets I'm betting on more conservative disciplined ball that focuses on slowing down a tired Houston team playing on back to back nights after beating Memphis at home on Saturday evening. It must also be noted that in Thursday nights win vs Cleveland the Rockets looked fatigued towards the end, so pulling out an extra gear last night, than getting on  a plane here , I'm betting finally catches up to them in this spot.

INDIANA is 8-0 ATS  L/8  in home games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games.

Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 Rockets  - after 2 or more consecutive wins, playing on back-to-back days are 36-71 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover 1 unit reg selection

 The short handed Boston Celtics are in deep trouble  today vs the visiting Toronto Raptors. In the Celtics last game a close win 90-87 vs Charlotte Kyrie Irving took a smash to the  mouth from teammate Aron Baynes, leaving the game with a facial fracture and leaving the Celtics without all three of their new star laden group of Three. I know the Celtics have won 11 straight,, but I'm betting that current run ends today in the TD Center vs  a side that matches up well against them 

The Raptors who were 3-1 overall against the Celtics last season now have an edge. Toronto has covered 7 of the L/8 meetings in this series.

TORONTO is 13-4 ATS  L/17 vs. division opponents and  is 14-2 ATS  L/16 after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread.BOSTON is 1-11 ATS  L/12 in home games after playing 2 consecutive home games  outscored during that period by an average of 3.5 ppg.

NBA Home underdogs like the Celtics  - after a close win by 3 points or less against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 16-42 ATS L/58 for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home underdogs vs. the money line like the Celtics  - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams ( 102 PPG or more ), after a win by 6 points or less are 11-52 \L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 82% for bettors.

Play on the Raptors to cover

Houston is off a grueling game with the Cleveland Cavaliers on Thursday night . The Cavs started slowly but  meant business in that last tilt,  and came back with a late surge to make it a game. The  Rockets despite of looking fatigued  dug deep and held off James and company for a 117-114 win. Now in a letdown spot and still a little tired, I'm betting on them coming back down to earth here vs a under rated opponent the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies (7-4) already own a pair of victories over Houston this season,  and have proven they can temper the offensive explosiveness of the Rockets. This Grizz team  can not only play a solid and physical brand of  D, but has now implemented a faster more tenacious offensive pace, and are very dangerous to say the least.

HOUSTON is 7-18 ATS  L/25 in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent.

HOUSTON is 8-18 ATS  L/26  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record and is 18-31 ATS  L/51 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Memphis HC Fizdale is 19-8 ATS L/27 as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points.

Play on the Memphis Grizzlies to cover 1 unit reg selection

Washington despite of coming off a win vs the LA Lakers last time out has not inspired me to this point in their campaign,  and especially here as DD favorites. The Wizards recently  allowed 130 and 122 points in losses last week and have blown several double-digit leads this season and their body of work is of the sub par type. But here we are being asked to lay 11 or more points to back them. I know Atlanta has been a less than impressive side this season. However, with that said, they have also shown some life of late in a DD upset win vs Cleveland on the road and have covered three straight ATS and  must not be underestimated in their ability to repeat the feat again vs a side that has allowed  an average of more than 114 ppg at home this season.

ATLANTA is 9-0 ATS  L/9  in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game. Wizards are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.Wizards are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Wizards are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

Play on Atlanta to cover  1 unit reg selection

San Antonio, despite playing without  key cogs Leonard and Parker because of  injuries, and a slew of walking wounded,  have won three consecutive games after losing four in a row. Meanwhile, Milwaukee enters into this game in the  Alamo City  after a hard fought controversial 124-119 loss at Cleveland on Tuesday that saw the refs penalize the Bucks twice as much as the Cavs. That set off Trevor Kidd the HC of the Bucks , as he went into a tirade about the refereeing which cost him $15000.00  fine. This Bucks team is reeling, with 4 consecutive losses but I'm betting Kidds verbal explosion,  the addition of newly acquired Eric Bledsoe will motivate this team to be very competitive in this spot. QUOTE: "He's a great player, and he's a great guy, too," Bucks star Antetokounmpo said of Bledsoe. "I'm looking forward to meeting him in San Antonio. He's going to help the team, and he's going to make the game easier for everybody."END QUOTE

 Spurs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Central.

MILWAUKEE is 14-4 ATS L/18 off 2 or more consecutive road losses and a long term  37-19 ATS L/56 off 3 or more consecutive road losses

NBA team San Antonio  - after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite, in November games are 12-33ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 1 unit reg selection

 The Utah Jazz  enter into this game reeling, after losing three straight games. Their usually staunch D, has failed them, as the Jazz have  allowed opponents to score an average of  116.7 points  per game on 51.5 percent shooting during their losing streak. Tonight considering the Jazz defensive woes , I expect the Heat, a side that has shown some offensive explosiveness on occasion this season, as was the case last time out when they scored 115 points vs Golden State  , to now use the momentum of that run and gun effort to try to take advantage of a struggling opponent, which I'm betting leads to a much higher scoring affair than the linesmakers expect. Note: (The Heat have averaged more than 102 ppg on the road this season).  I'm also betting that the Heats 4th straight road game will not have them capable of playing a physical style of game, which will allow the Jazzs struggling offense to finally score above their season home average  of 101.6 ppg.

Over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 vs. NBA Northwest.Over is 9-0 in Jazz last 9 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings in Utah.

NBA Road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points like the Heat - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, on Friday nights are 25-4 L/29 OVER during the last 5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection

Two teams dealing with new faces in their roster after off season changes are currently struggling to find any rhythm. The Clippers have lost 3 straight and 5 of their L/6, while the Thunder have lost 4 straight, as the talented Carmelo Anthony brings his winning ways (PUN) over to Oklahoma City from the Knicks. All joking aside and watching the Thunder on numerous occasions this season, I have come to the conclusion the new additions  George and Anthony have caused a regression in the cohesiveness of the team. Whether this is something that will continue in the long run is unclear, but for now this Thunder teams a mess, and tonight against another team desperate for a victory I'm betting we have a situation that favors the underdog getting points.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-33 ATS  L/51  versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game.Thunder are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference.Thunder are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Underdog is 14-5 ATS in the last 19 meetings.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Oklahoma City Thunder  are still trying to find chemistry and symbiosis  with the group of superstars and  their backups on the  bench . It's a talented group , with a lot of big egos ,  and lately their being trashed by the media ,  and people close to the team who are getting tired of some of their ugly effortless losses as was the case against a Sacramento Kings team they should beat .  That was the Thunders third straight loss and their most humiliating. Big ego stars like this don't take kindly to being embarrassed and I'm betting the Thunder stand tall here in the high altitudes of Denver tonight as redemption will be the name of the game. QUOTE : Westbrook a perennial star with the Thunder said "We will be better because I will be better," Westbrook told reporters after the loss in Sacramento. "I'm not worried. I love nights like this. It does nothing but bring you closer as a unit and as brothers. I'm encouraged by the group of guys we have in that room." END QUOTE:

OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-4 ATS  L/19 after having lost 3 of their last 4 games and is 13-3 ATS    in road games off 2 or more consecutive road losses.

Any team vs the money line like Oklahoma City - off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 23-6 SU L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the THUNDER - with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season, in November games are 69-31 ATS dating back 21 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Oklahoma City Thunder to cover  1 unit reg selection

No matter how inconsistent the Cavaliers have been to this point in the season, it can't be argued that this is not a talented group, and when LeBron James is on his game and motivated,  this Cavaliers  team can beat any pro hoops team in the world including tonight's top tier competition the Houston Rockets . Dwayne Wade came out previous to their recent win vs Milwaukee and spoke harshly about the effort being exhibited by the starting 5. Now feeling like they could eliminate some of the negative vibes around the team , with a top tier effort here tonight I expect we will see the Cavaliers at their best. I know Houston has won three straight SU/ATS and look to be hitting their stride, but I'm betting Cleveland matches their intensity and breaks up their hosts  momentum.

HOUSTON is 9-22 ATS  L/31  in home games in non-conference games .HOUSTON is 18-30 ATS  L/48 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points.

  NBA team like Houston - after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite, in November games are 10-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 76% for bettors. HOUSTON is 2-12 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games.

Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover 1 unit reg selection

Golden State and Minnesota are both being looked at as offensive juggernauts and both enter this game on winning streaks. Both are explosive, but what is being over looked is both teams defenses.   The Warriors have  Green, the reigning NBA Defensive Player of the Year, on their side, and his efficiency was on display in a recent   97-80 victory over Miami on Monday that allowed Golden State  to notch the win despite of  failing to score 100 points for the first time this season.QUOTE: "We can play defense with anybody," Warriors backup forward Omri Casspi said after the game. "Everybody should know that." END QUOTE:  Also Minnesota's D, must not be over looked either as they have not allowed any of their L/3 opponents, to breach the 99 point plateau, and must be respected in their ability to marginally slow down the potent attack of the Warriors. With that said, I'm betting on a total score that remains on the low side of the number.

Note: Minnesota owns the 17th ranked pace in the league, which puts them in the lower half of the league in this important category when betting on higher totals.

GOLDEN STATE is 17-4 UNDER  L/21  in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game with a combined average of 198.6 ppg going on the board.

MINNESOTA is 11-2 UNDER  after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games with a combined average of 194.9 ppg going on the scoreboard.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like Golden State  - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 23-4 to the UNDER L/24 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for totals under bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like Golden State  - after 3 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins with the under going 35-9 dating back 5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for under totals bettors.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

The Boston Celtics are the hottest team in the NBA  and hitting on all cylinders, and are averaging more than 107 ppg  in their L/5 on offense and go against a Lakers defense that is allowing 107 + per game this season. Today I expect the Celtics who are ranked 13th in the league in offensive rating to eclipse that average, and notch according to my own projections a combined average of 112- 116 points, and for the Lakers who rank 3rd in pace (103.3)  in the league to chase in up beat fashion   and hit in around 98-103  points , which according to the linemakers spread corresponds to the 8.5 point spread.

Over is 11-5 in Lakers last 16 road games.Over is 16-5-1 in Celtics last 22 home games.Over is 22-7-1 in Celtics last 30 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

BOSTON is 12-0 OVER L/12 in home games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread
with a combined average of 235 ppg going on the board. BOSTON is 25-9 OVER L/34  in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less  free throws/game with a combined average of 217.1 ppg getting scored.

NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 like Boston  - averaging 53 or more rebounds/game on the season, after 3 straight games outrebounding opponent by 5 or more are 40-11 OVER dating back dating back 5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection

Tonight I'm betting the  Los Angeles Clippers will  turn around a recent nose dive when they face the San Antonio Spurs for the first time this season on Tuesday night at the AT&T Center.The Clippers have lost 4 of their L/5 after starting their season at 4-0 and   looked asleep at the  proverbial wheel  last time out in a  104-101 home loss to Miami on Sunday. The Clippers had a chance to win late, but missed two ugly FTs towards the end and a go ahead basket after that. Now  dealing with their frustrations, I expect this Clippers group to be ready to get back on the winning track, and more importantly get us the cover against a aging and short handed Spurs side, that has had some struggles early on this season despite of a current 2 game win streak which includes a victory vs a lower tier Suns team in their last effort.

The Clippers matchup well vs San Antonio and  won three of the four meetings with the Spurs last season, and they have taken six of their last nine against San Antonio.

NBA teams vs the money line like the Clippers - off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 23-5 SU for a 82% conversion rate over the L/5 seasons. Despite of this being a valid opportunity for a outright upset I prefer and recommend we take the insurance with taking the points being offered.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Cavaliers looked like a team destined for greater things when this season began, winning their first two games including a  116-97 victory vs todays opponent the Bucks  in Milwaukee . Since than James and company have made excuses for their cohesiveness and lazy play, with James saying on a couple of occasions that the team looked winded and tired , which he said was the case in a outright DD fav loss to lowly Atlanta last time out.  Right now the Cavs just don't have that winning fire, and chemistry seems a bit off ,   because of the use of multiple lineups, as the worlds greatest hoops player single handily James trys to carry  this underperforming team on his aging back. Tonight I'm betting after their last embarrassing loss that I expect a complete team effort here from the Cavs  vs a Bucks team that according to my own cross reference power rankings they matchup up well against. QUOTE: "I think guys are embarrassed, and we should be embarrassed of how we're getting beat," Cleveland coach Tyronn Lue said after his team trailed by as many as 16 points against Atlanta. "Teams that we're playing, having guys out, key guys out and (us) still not being able to win. We all have to continue to keep searching and continue to keep fighting and continue to play hard." END QUOTE Pros don't like to be called out, and I expect they will respond.

I know the Bucks are well rested but they have come out looking rusty in the past after a lengthy lay off and are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

James is third in the NBA in scoring at 28.8 points per game, and he is shooting a career-high 60.8 percent from the field.

Bucks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Central.Bucks are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Milwaukee- after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are just 4-22 ATS dating back 5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 85% for bettors.

Play on Cleveland Cavaliers to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Mavericks 1-10 on the season are on a horrendous run to begin their campaign, and once again look to be at a disadvantage from a SU perspective , but according to my own numbers are viable underdogs getting 10 points here . Last season, Dallas swept the two-game series from their hosts tonight  Washington  and overall the franchise has won 13 of the teams' past 14 meetings  in this series and I'm betting the desperate Mavs will give the Wizards all they can handle again in this spot. Meanwhile, the Wizards biggest issue to this point in the season, is a lazy defense , and with key cog John Wall at less than 100%, if he plays at all ,those issues will  be compounded and once again make them shaky DD favs. Also with almost three days rest, the Mavericks will have fresh enough legs to make the Wizards work for anything they take from them tonight.

Wizards are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.Wizards are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.Mavericks are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Washington.

NBA Home favorites like Washington - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or better), average rebounding team ( plus 3 reb / differential game) against a horrible rebounding team (5.5 reb/game or less) are 14-49 ATS the L/21 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Suns won the first matchup in this series in New York last Tuesday, recovering from an eight-point deficit with under seven minutes remaining for their first road victory of the season. I do not really think they were the better of both teams in that game and were fortunate to get the victory.

Now the Nets will try to even this series, and get some momentum back after losing four in a row.

Considering how exhausted the Suns are after a whirlwind 5 game road trip that culminated in a loss at San Antonio yesterday, I'm betting they won't be quite ready to answer the bell here tonight. Asked if road fatigue might have had something to do with his teams tired looking effort in the 2nd half last night,  Suns HC Triano said. QUOTE: : "Probably, a little bit. But that's one of the things we have to learn to do. This league doesn't care that it is a long road trip. No excuses. You have to be able to play every night." END QUOTE. Ready or not here come a desperate Nets team that looks at this as a winnable game and on very fresh legs as they have not played since Friday.

BROOKLYN is 27-12 ATS  L/39 in road games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days. Brooklyn has won their L/2 visits to Phoenix.

NBA Home underdogs vs. the money line like the Suns - after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 1-28 L/29 dating back 5 seasons. ( The Suns have lost two straight by 13 and 17 points which qualifies them as a play against team in this spot on a short line)

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Brooklyn - after 3 or more consecutive losses, first half of the season are 115-70 for a 62% long term conversion rate for bettors dating back 21 seasons.

Play on Brooklyn to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Cavaliers on the back of LeBron James snapped a 4 game losing streak last time out. The superstar notched 57 points in the 130-122 victory against  the small ball Wizards. But now in an emotional letdown state I expect there will a drop off  for James and for  the continued inconsistencies and flow of his team mates to once again rear its ugly head. It's still early, but there looks to be chemistry issues with the Cavaliers. Now because of the Cavaliers explosion last time out and the fact they are facing a team in the midst of a 8 game losing streak, the linesmakers have attached a slightly bloated line to this tilt, giving us value with the downtrodden desperate and nothing to lose underdog.

Note:( This is the biggest underdog line of the season attached  to the Hawks, they only once have lost by more than 11 points and that was to Houston last time out by a 119-104 count. )

The Cavs also have a way of playing down to their competition, and are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Cavaliers are also 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Atlanta is a different looking team with new faces, but last year they took three of the four meetings last season, including both games at Cleveland. With that said,   I'm betting the Hawks coaching staff have a good blue print on how to deal with the Cavaliers, and that they stay a lot closer than the lines-makers are estimating.

CLEVELAND is 0-7 ATS L/7 as a favorite this season.

NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points like Atlanta - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a a struggling  defensive team ( 102 or more PPG), after a loss by 10 points or more are29-7 ATS for a 80% conversion rate for bettors for a 81% conversion rate.

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover 1 unit reg selection

The question here today in this matchup of two teams supposedly operating a the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum is whether the line attached to this game matches up to some in-depth scrutiny. The guys behind the counter in Vegas and the off shore sports book industry can be quite brilliant and use a combination of scientific stats research and physiological war fare to determine the placing of certain lines, and its not always public or smart money that dictates a line move or opening number. Contrary to main stream belief there is a lot more to this game than just wanting an even amount of bets on both sides of the wager, like some pundits spout off about. With that in mind I consider Dallas to be a solid wagering option here getting points despite of what things look like on paper and in the standings. Minnesota despite of being upgraded in the off season and currently playing above .500 ball early on this season, are being over rated in my opinion because of their deficient defense ( 113.1 ppg and 114.3 ppg allowed at home) ranking them 28th out of 30 teams in the NBA. The Wolves also own a negative SRS of -1.66 ranking 21st in the league: ie Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule.The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. Meanwhile, Dallas despite of a ugly 1-9 record are according to my own numbers closer to -9.5 dogs, here and the added digits according to my own projections based on the Mavs equally ugly -8.60 SRS (27th) and better overall D ranked 20 in the league are indicators for me of a value line. Hey guys , nothing is a sure bet , but every edge we can get against the books is important, and todays underdog recommendation backing Dallas is a viable investment option considering the implications associated with our ability to uncover small imperfections in a line for continued consistent profits over the long run!

MINNESOTA is 3-13 ATS L/16 versus poor shooting teams - making 43% or less of their shots .MINNESOTA is 8-19 ATS L/27 in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins .Mavericks are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Timberwolves are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.


NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points like Dallas - after one or more consecutive overs, a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a lower tier defensive team 102 or more PPG) are 27-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover 1 unit reg selection

Dallas will want to slow down vs the run and gun Wolves, and try to slow this game down into a crawl. Dallas is averaging 97.8 points, which makes it the third-worst scoring offense. The Mavericks also own a 41.5 field goal percentage, which is the second-worst in the league , so they will have no choice but to drag this into a physical conservative affair, even against a the Wolves sub par D.  I'm betting the combined score according to my projections will fall below this number.

Under is 4-0 in Timberwolves last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Minnesota.

MINNESOTA is 21-9 UNDER  L/30 in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts with a combined average of 208.4 ppg. DALLAS is 36-18 UNDER  versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48%or more. with a combined average of 198 ppg going on the scoreboard. DALLAS is 11-2 UNDER L/13 when the total is 210 to 219.5 .

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 Dallas - tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season are 34-9 L/43 under for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection

The Celtics are showing their depth and talent level after starting the season 0-2 without their newly acquired star Hayward. Since Hayward was lost for the season do to injury this team has rallied to win six straight entering the matchup with their hosts the  Thunder.   Boston is tied with the Orlando Magic for the best record in the NBA with a 6-2 record and must not be disrespected here as underdogs. Tonight I'm betting it will be the Celtics highly rated defense , that has held opponents to an average of 93.8 points per game to be the catalyst behind a cover against what has sometimes been an explosive yet inconsistent Thunder offense. Yes, I know the Thunder are also suddenly playing some strong D this season, but I'm still not sold on their stopping abilities against this kind of side, and I'm betting if they can come out of this with a victory it won't come easily. After three straight grueling road games, the Thunder now come home, and a lot of times teams take time to acclimated to being at home and can start slowly, which I feel will be one of their issues tonight.

BOSTON is 30-16 ATS  L/46 in road games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season  with the average margin win or loss SU being decided by 1.8 ppg. BOSTON is 33-18 ATS  L/51  in road games and  is 13-4 ATS L/17 in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5.

Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and have covered 7 straight road games dating back to last season.Celtics are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Thunder are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

NBA Home teams like the Thunder - off 2 or more consecutive road wins, on Friday nights are just 11-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 75% for bettors.Thunder are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Friday games. (Anomaly or nor still a useful trend)

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Jazz struggled with their offense out of the gate as they got acclimated to some new faces , and I  was concerned with their cohesiveness, but now I'm beginning to see progress, behind Ricky Rubio this season. He is a career 37.8 percent shooter, but he is shooting at a 43.7 percent clip through the first eight games of the 2016-17 season and fits in very well with this group in Utah. The Jazz (5-3) have won three straight and are averaging 104 points during that run with  Rubio  averaging 25.3 points on 48.9 percent shooting during the winning streak. I'm expecting more of that same flow tonight, as well as staunch Jazz defense to stand tall vs a Toronto side that according to my early season power rankings is  being over rated, especially on the defensive side of the ball where they showed their true abilities last time out allowing Denver to put 129 points on the board.. Another thing I noticed about the Raptors is that the presence of big man Jonas Valanciunas. seems to slow this built for speed team down , which is something I'm keeping in eye on for future bets on the Raptors. Tonight Utah has the edge as short home chalk.

UTAH is a long term good bet as hosts as their  171-127 ATS record as a home favorite of 6 points or less would indicate.

Raptors are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Jazz are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.Jazz are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

Play on Utah to cover 1 unit reg selection

The offensive explosive Portland  Trail Blazers who  are averaging 107.6 points per game while presenting a consistent threat from the perimeter are a team that must be feared when getting points because of their abilities to keep games close and or just completely blow out their opponents. Yes, their has been some inconsistencies with their scoring, as was the case vs the raptors last time out only scoring 85 points,  but I am expecting at some point this season, that they will ramp things up and go on a big run, maybe even starting tonight against Utah. Meanwhile, their opponents biggest problem is getting their offense in gear, which just won't be an easy feat with the type of personnel they have on the floor as they rely on their D, to keep them moving in a positive direction.  As stated The Jazz D, is staunch but the offense has scored 97 or less points in 5 of their 7 games and against this type of team, their in trouble according to my cross reference matchup stats.

UTAH is 1-9 ATS  L/10 in home games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread .PORTLAND is 14-2 ATS  L/16 after a combined score of 185 points or less ( The Blazers lost to Toronto by a 99-85 count )UTAH is 7-18 ATS  L/25 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) .

NBA team vs the money line like Portland  - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite, marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games are 27-8 SU for a 77% conversion rate L/21 seasons.

Play on the Portland Trail Blazers to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Raptors  are looking good and coming off an impressive 99-85 win in Portland on Monday night and once again look like viable betting  options in this spot vs a Denver team coming home off a grueling 4 game eastern road trip, and  now on tired  legs will now take time to acclimated to being back home. That's not a good omen for their chances against a staunch Raptors D, that is playing very physical disciplined  ball at the moment.

 Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games and get the nod here.

NBA Favorites like Denver  - an excellent offensive team (102 PPG or more) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games are just 47 -93 ATS over the L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover 1 unit reg selection

DeMarcus Cousins after being named the player of the week , came out in his last game asleep at the proverbial wheel something that is not uncommon for the highly sensitive and inconsistent super star. But I'm betting he will be up for this game tonight, which makes the Pelicans a good bet here.

New Orleans coach Alvin Gentry was understandably upset by his team's lack of effort against Orlando in a DD loss as 8 point favs at home UOTE: .
"We sucked," he said. "I wish there was another way to put it. We didn't close out shooters, they drove the ball any time they wanted to. It was lack of effort. We have to establish consistency. We're not going to be a good team until every night we know what we're going to get." END QUOTE:


New Orleans went 3-0 against Minnesota last year, and I'm betting this version matches up well against a Wolves team that has just played some very grueling close games, winning 2 in a row by 3 points vs Ok City, and Miami, and could easily be in a let down state here tonight.

MINNESOTA is 11-24 ATS L/35 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) .

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like New Orleans - after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a close win by 3 points or less is 46-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on New Orleans to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Oklahoma City Thunder top star Westbrook looks like he is coming to life and taking over the lead of his team, as was evident last time out  as he had 12 points, 13 rebounds and 13 assists for his third triple-double of the season in a 101-69 smash down of the Bulls on Saturday in Chicago. Yes, there is other top tier talent on the Thunder, but its become obvious early on this season, that this team is at its optimal best when he  leads the way. QUOTE: "That's special. He's a special player," said Paul George, Westbrook's new teammate. "He's solidifying himself early as a Hall of Famer." END QUOTE . I'm betting well rested Westbrook shows his best stuff again tonight, against a short handed Milwaukee group playing without Center Greg Monroe.

MILWAUKEE is 3-12 ATS  L/15  in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games  and 6-20 ATS  26  in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games.Thunder are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Central.Thunder are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 2 days rest.Bucks are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Northwest.Bucks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Favorite is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

NBA  Favorites like Oklahoma City - after allowing 75 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more are 27-7 ATS for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oklahoma City Thunder to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Nets after looking good in the early going of their current campaign, have suddenly began a quick decent, and  showed little energy in a blowout road loss Friday to the New York Knicks and then got absolutely creamed in the third quarter Sunday by the Denver Nuggets on their way to a loss. Some of the blame goes, to D'Angelo Russell  who  has been hampered with a nagging knee injury, and he did not play well in the last two games. Things don't look to get better here, as Russell is still not 100% and now the Nets have to deal with the loss,  of Quincy Acy, who leads the team at 52.4 percent from 3-point range as he nurses a injury for the second straight tilt.  Also  add to that two way specialist DeMarre Carroll is also questionable for the Nets  and you have a short handed group that will once again have problems finding their mojo. I know their opponents Phoenix may not instill confidence in bettors, but  the Suns are looking much better since new HC Jay Triano took over and have won 2 of their L/3 and more importantly have covered all three times.

Nets are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 vs. Western Conference.Nets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home.Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.Suns are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Atlantic.

Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover 1 unit reg selection

Pelicans, enter this home game having won three of their past four, and will now go against a under rated Orlando Magic team that has own 4 of their 6 games this season . The Pelicans and Magic according to my own power rankings matchup very well against each other. I know the Pelicans looked really good last time out in a upset DD win vs the Cleveland Cavs , but now in an emotional let downs state I'm betting their susceptible here to being upset themselves. Note: NEW ORLEANS is 2-13 ATS  L/15 off an upset win by 15 points or more as a home underdog.

Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Pelicans are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Underdog is 19-6-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings. Orlando has won 3 of the L/4 meeting sin this series straight up.

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover

The Celtics enter this game  having won four in a row winning by a  96-90 count vs Miami last time out. The Boston D, has looked good but the offense has been choppy, and I'm betting they struggle tonight against a Spurs side that can play physical defensive hoops. Note:  BOSTON is 3-16 ATS  L/19 after 4 or more consecutive wins.

Meanwhile, the Spurs,  are off two straight losses including a 97-94 loss to the Indiana Pacers last time out. Both teams might seem like their headed in the opposite direction, but the Spurs despite of injuries to K.Leonard and T. Parker are still a veteran laden team with a lot of talent and must not disrespected, especially with one of the best coaches in the NBA on the sidelines ( Popovich).

San Antonio has won 11 straight meetings since its last loss to the Celtics in 2011, with six of those  victories having come at TD Garden.

BOSTON is 22-42 ATS L/64 in home games against Southwest division opponents.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Spurs - good team from last season who won 60% to 75% of their games, after 1 or more consecutive losses are 41-14 ATS L/24 seasons for a 75% conversion rate.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 1 unit reg selection

NY Knicks behind Guard Tim Hardaway Jr.  who had 34 points, and Kristaps Porzingis who finished  with 31 points and 12 rebounds looked explosive in a win vs the Cleveland Cavaliers last time out. This is in my opinion a better team than they were last year with Carmelo Anthony in the lineup. There are less distractions and the pundits don't expect much from them. Which is sometimes a good thing. Tonight  in top form against a Denver Nuggets team I'm betting they matchup well  getting points here on their own home floor.

DENVER is 9-22 ATS L/31 off a road win.
Home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover 1 unit reg selection

Orlando has shown the ability to play decent defense of late, allowing two of their L/3 opponents to 93 and 87 points respectively. Meanwhile, Charlotte has been playing a lot of physical basketball early in the season, and in between, struggling with their shooting and playing strong D, have seen their first 5 games of the season stay on the low side of the set Total. I'm betting both teams current trend of play continuing in this matchup.

CHARLOTTE is 20-5 UNDER L/25 in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots with a combined average 199.6 ppg. CHARLOTTE is 17-3 UNDER L/20 in home games vs. division opponents with a combined average of 194.3 ppg. HC Clifford of the Hornets is 28-10 L/38 UNDER in home games vs. division opponents with a combined average of 191.9 ppg going on the board. Orlando's HC Vogel in his L/28 games after an upset win as a home underdog has seen a combined average of 197.8 ppg go on the scoreboard. ( Magic upset Spurs last time out 114-87 as 5.5 point dogs)

Under is 5-0 in Hornets last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 16-6 in Hornets last 22 vs. NBA Southeast.


NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like Orlando- well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, team that had a losing record last season are 31-6 UNDER dating back 24 seasons for 84% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play UNDER

After watching the Nets first few games its become painfully obvious that their defensive abilities are atrocious , as is their rebounding work ethic, as was the case last time out vs the NY Knicks losing by a 107- 86 count while being out rebounded by a 55-34 edge on the glass, including 19-4 on the offensive side . Thus far on the season , the Nets have allowed an average of 117.3 ppg, and I'm betting  their in big trouble today, thanks to horrid lack of two way basketball.

HC Malone of Denver in his L/12 games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game  has seen the average margin of victory for his team come by 7.5 ppg. In game expected to be high scoring  game, a 5 point margin of victory is not out of the question, even for a road team laying lumber.

BROOKLYN in their L/19 against Northwest division opponents  have lost by an average of 9.6 ppg.
NBA Road favorites like Denver - with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season, on Sunday games are 30-4 ATS L/5 seasons.

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Hawks in their L/5 games have looked stagnant  offensively scoring 93 or less points with a combined average of just 94.8 ppg getting scored. Tonight against a Bucks side that has wants to play more attention to sound defense Im betting on another muted offensive effort. Milwaukee has held their L/2 opponents to 94 and 96 points respectively. My own projections have  the Hawks having a similar type out put today. Note: ATLANTA is 15-4 UNDER  L/19 when they score 94 to 99 points with a combined average of 199.5 ppg going on the board. MILWAUKEE is 22-7 UNDER  L/29  when they allow 94 to 99 points in a game with a combined average of 195.3 ppg getting scored.

ATLANTA is 16-1 UNDER  L/17 vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game with a combined average of 197.8 ppg going on the board.ATLANTA is 18-4 UNDER  L/22 after 3 or more consecutive unders with a combined average of 199.4 ppg going on the board.

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection

After watching the Nets first few games its become painfully obvious that their defensive abilities are atrocious , as is their rebounding work ethic, as was the case last time out vs the NY Knicks losing by a 107- 86 count while being out rebounded by a 55-34 edge on the glass, including 19-4 on the offensive side . Thus far on the season , the Nets have allowed an average of 117.3 ppg, and I'm betting  their in big trouble today, thanks to horrid lack of two way basketball.

HC Malone of Denver in his L/12 games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game  has seen the average margin of victory for his team come by 7.5 ppg. In game expected to be high scoring  game, a 5 point margin of victory is not out of the question, even for a road team laying lumber.

BROOKLYN in their L/19 against Northwest division opponents  have lost by an average of 9.6 ppg.

NBA Road favorites like Denver - with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season, on Sunday games are 30-4 ATS L/5 seasons.

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 1 unit reg selection

Both these  teams Philadelphia and Dallas have just one win on the season entering Saturday night's game at the American Airlines Center. The Sixers are off blowing a late lead to Houston and losing by a 105-104 count on  a buzzer beater. It's never easy for a young group like this to shake off the effects of that type of defeat, and could easily effect their confidence in this game. Add to that the 76ers are expected to play without the services of one their most talented young stars, No. 1 overall pick Markelle Fultz, and things are not looking all that bright. Also , add to that the fact Philly's  Coach Brown who continues to have talented guys like Jahlil Okafor on the bench for long stretches, because the  kid can't get his head on straight . Instead he is playing the less talented backup Amir Johnson.  Quote:I'm playing Amir ahead of him and that's just the situation," Brown said, according to the Inquirer. "(Okafor) comes in and his head is good, his spirit is good and he and I talk all the time. But that is the bottom line: He is not in the rotation." END QUOTE:  . This kind of drama , makes for a bad energy in the Sixers dressing room which translates into sub par on court performances. I don't want to get down on this very good Sixers side, because its early in the season, but things could unravel here quickly. As far as tonight is concerned, I like a hard working Dallas team , behind Harrison Barnes and rookie-of-the-year candidate Dennis Smith Jr., and the veteran presence  of Dirk Nowitzki and other veterans to get us to the promised land and deliver to us a winning ticket.

76ers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.Mavericks are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.PHILADELPHIA is 8-19 ATS  L/27 vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents . Dallas has won 11 straight meetings here at home in this series.

NBA Favorites like Philadelphia  - bad team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games. are 16-47 ATS for 75% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover 1 unit reg selection

The LA Lakers enter into this game well rested as they prepare to play only their 2nd game in 6 days and I'm betting that will allow them to keep up and slow down a run and gun Toronto squad defensively. Meanwhile, HC Casey of the Raptors seems to have a bit of different strategy on the road as he does at home,. The Raptors HC is just not as aggressive with his attacking options and with this being his teams 3rd straight west coast away game in 4 days, his less than deep bench may not be as fast paced as they usually are because of fatigue, which will I'm betting take a bite out their overall offensive point production in this spot. Note:Under is 21-7 in Raptors last 28 road games . It must also  be noted that Casey is 34-14 UNDER L/48 versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing 16 or more turnovers/game like the Lakers, with a total combined average score of those tilts ringing in at 193 ppg game. 

TORONTO is 12-2 UNDER  L/14  in road games vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game with a combined average of 191.5 ppg going on the board . Under is 4-0 in Raptors last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Under is 5-1 in Lakers last 6 home games.  These teams have gone under in 4 of their L/5 overall meetings. Under is 6-1 in Lakers last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like the Lakers - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, team that had a losing record last season are 29-6 to the UNDER dating back 21 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER  1 unit reg selection

Minnesota is a fine young team that matchs up well vs the Oklahoma City Thunder as was the case when they beat the Thunder right in their own back yard by a 115-113 count. I know the Thunder are loaded full of talent, but I've been watching them closely and their just isn't something right with this team and their overall chemistry as was evident in recent loss to Utah and during extended stretches during their first 4 games . Despite of being 2-2 on the season, the Thunder have me starting to doubt their cohesiveness. My main concern is about Carmelo Anthony , who has shown over the years to be brilliantly talented, but for some reason his happy go lucky schoolyard attitude on the court which lacks the eye of the Tigers mindset,   has only translated into a bevy of sub par winning out puts for his previous team the Knicks.  Has he brought this losing mindset to the Thunder, and is it effecting the highly sensitive Russell Westbrook? Maybe Maybe not  It's still early so , I''ll give the Thunder the benefit of the doubt. However, as far as going against the them tonight, I think this fast improving talented Minnesota group, with or without ( probable?) Jimmy Butler in the lineup on their own home court are more than capable of covering for us here.

Thunder are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.Thunder are 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Minnesota.

NBA Road favorites vs. the money line like Oklahoma City- poor defensive team from last season - shooting pct defense of  45.5% or more are 17-33 SU L/5 seasons for a  go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover 1 unit reg selection

The top producing offense and the worst offensive output teams in the NBA go head to head on Friday night  at Madison Square Garden when the suddenly explosive retooled  Brooklyn Nets visit the rebuilding New York Knicks. The Nets are  coming off a 112-107 win over LeBron James and the Cleveland Cavaliers, and are in top form with momentum on their sides but still being made underdogs here on the early line. Brooklyn is leading  the NBA in offensive production at 121.2 points per game, and are even outscoring the  Golden State Warriors. Meanwhile, the  NYK is exhibiting very little chemistry thus far in the early going of this season  as their 0-3 start would indicate , New York has 84- and 89-point outputs in offense in two of their 3 games , and rank 30th in points per game at 93.3. Needless to say from a current power ranking and matchup perspective  this line is tainted and must be taken advantage of. ( I have also taken into consideration DAngelo Russell being out tonight because of injury.)While anything is possible in NBA , and turnarounds and crashes constantly happen, it still makes sense that the superior side ( Nets) are worth a investment outlay as 2 to 2.5 point dogs here, and are actually viable SU money-line bets as well. However, as far as we are concerned getting points with insurance here is the more viable option. I know the Nets D, seem unstable  at the moment, but the Knicks don't look built to take advantage of those deficiencies as is evident  by receiving  just  25 points per game from the starting three-man backcourt of point guard Ramon Sessions and shooting guards Tim Hardaway Jr. and Courtney Lee . 

NBA team vs the money line like NYK- off a blowout loss by 20 points or more to a division rival against opponent after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points are 5-20 SU L/5 seasons for a go  against conversion rate of 80% for bettors.

NEW YORK is 6-20 ATS  L/26 and 0-9 ATS L/9 in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5  and is 4-13 ATS  L/17  overall vs. division opponents.Knicks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss dating back to last season.

Favorites like the Knicks - lower tier team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games are just 15-47 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Pelicans have lost three of their first four, as the highly talented DeMarcus Cousins spreads his nasty attitude into the mindset of yet another team he has joined. This kid has such great skill sets,  that's it really shame that  his attitude and locker room presence does not make for a winning attitude. Tonight Cousins and the visiting Pelicans will face a team he once played for. None of Cousins' six  seasons in Sacramento saw his team win more than 33 games, and his 36-point, 13-rebound night for New Orleans in a 103-93 loss at Portland on Tuesday looked  like the games he has played in the NBA. The self centered super star just isn't a winner and I have no problem recommending we wager against his team the New Orleans Pelicans tonight. I know that the Kings lost last time out to lowly Phoenix by 117-115 count, but they have a good history of bouncing back under these circumstances as SACRAMENTO is 8-0 ATS L/8 off a loss against a division rival .

HC Gentry of New Orleans is 6-17 ATS  L/23 versus poor offensive teams - scoring  98 or less  points/game .

From a long term NBA historical standpoint -Home teams vs. the money line like the Kings - an average offensive team (92-98 PPG) against a lower  defensive team (102 PPG or more), after a combined score of 215 points or more are 129-58 SU for a 69% conversion rate dating back 21 seasons.

Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Memphis Grizzlies suffered their first loss of the  season last night to Dallas.  Now in a early season back to back... home and home series they will go at FedEx Forum on Thursday night to try to reap revenge, but I'm betting that won't come without a fight .

The Mavs were in control from the start and never surrendered the lead in the second half of lat night triumph and actually matchup well vs the Grizzlies despite of what the pundits might think It must also be noted , that Mavericks rookie point guard Dennis Smith Jr.  has been in top form for the Mavs and last night finished with a team-high 19 points. Smith has led or tied for team-high scoring honors in two of his three games and is very underrated and must respected. He gives this retooling Mavs side a lot more balance than the causal on lookers might believe, making them viable opponents for all comers despite of some lackluster early season results.

MEMPHIS is 6-17 ATS  L/23 after a division game .DALLAS is 31-15 ATS L/46 after having lost 3 of their last 4 games .

Mavericks are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Memphis.Grizzlies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Mavericks are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Hawks are in the midst of a season-opening, five-game trip, which concludes with Thursday's visit to Chicago and are exhausted as this juncture and could easily fold as this game goes deeper into the 2nd half. I know Chicago is banged up and still winless , but they're playing at home, and are desperate. Tonight I'm betting they take advantage of a road weary group and notch their first win of the season and get us the cover as well.

Injury update: Hawks Dennis Schroder is doubtful Thursday vs. Chicago ( Ankle )

Hawks are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Hawks are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Underdogs like the Hawks - average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games, after 2 or more consecutive losses are 7-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 78% for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Sixers,  host the Houston Rockets on Wednesday night and are off, beating the Detroit Pistons 97-86 on Monday. This is a fine young Sixer's team, but still are not ready for a wide awake veteran laden Houston team that won't be caught napping here as they come off a loss last time out vs  Memphis, after falling a sleep at the proverbial wheel with less than 8 minutes left , blowing a DD lead. There have been some shot conversion issues for the Rockets early on this season despite of their 3-1 record, but I'm betting that will be quickly resolved , probably starting tonight vs a side, that I think is over rated defensively and their biggest weakness. I know the Rocket's are playing with out Chris Paul tonight, but they still are the overall superior team with a lot more experience in a game that the linesmakers are expecting to be close.

HOUSTON is 17-6 ATS  L/23 teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game.HOUSTON is 14-4 ATS  L/18 on the road when the line is +3 to -3 .

NBA Favorites like Hosuton - off a upset loss as a favorite, first 6 games of the season, playoff team from last season who lost 4 or more of their last 5 games are 60-31 ATS dating back to 1996 for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Houston Rockets to cover

The Timberwolves enter their Tuesday game against the Indiana Pacers with a 2-1 record, thanks in  to a buzzer-beater by Andrew Wiggins on Sunday in a 115-113 victory at Oklahoma City. Now the lines-makers are taking part in what I can best describe as irrational exuberance as they make the Wolves 12 point favorites. Hey this young Minnesota team is talented, but this line is higher than I expected and gives us value according to my own rankings taking points here. I know the Pacers have dropped two straight, but are still more than capable of hanging tough here.Minnesota and Indiana split their two-game series during the 2016-17 season. Both teams won on in the visitors role, with the Timberwolves barely sneaking by with a  115-114 victory on three late free throws in the final seconds. Rinse and repeat scenario in play  , and take the points.

MINNESOTA is 12-23 ATS  L/35 when playing against a team with a losing record.INDIANA is 11-1 ATS  L/11  in road games when playing with 2 days rest .MINNESOTA is 2-12 ATS  L/14 in home games after scoring 115 points or more.

NBA Favorites like Minn- bad team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games are 15-44 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 75% for bettors.

Play on Indiana to cover 1 unit reg selection

It's still very early in the season, but the Nets off season changes look very much like they have added some positive energy/flow/chemistry into the lineup, something that was not there over the last few campaigns. This season Brooklyn looks like they matchup well against tonight's opponent Orlando as they beat them in the first meeting,  putting a  126-point points on the board against the Magic and than followed that up with a  116-104 home win over the Atlanta Hawks on Sunday.Brooklyn held Atlanta to 34 percent shooting from the field, its best since Kenny Atkinson became the head coach last season. That to me is a be positive sign moving forward. Meanwhile, Orlando despite of a big upset win vs Cleveland last time out, still don't inspire me, and I'm betting they have an emotional letdown experience here tonight and fail to cover vs a side that actually matches up very well against them. Magic HC Vogel is 10-23 ATS  L/33 after a game where they covered the spread.

ORLANDO is 8-18 ATS  L/26 versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game .

NBA Favorites like Orlando - bad team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games are 15-44 ATS as favs dating back 5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 75% for bettors.

Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover 1 unit reg selection

It's never easy playing the Mile High City for visiting teams, because of the thin air, and I'm betting the Wizards travelling from East to West will find it difficult again tonight vs a Denver team that is playing physical/disciplined  defensive ball early on this season, as was evident  when they held Sacramento to 36.5 percent shooting in a lopsided 96-79 victory last time out. Yes, we all know how talented Washington is, but they have shown a tendency of throwing in clunkers in the past, and dating back to last season have failed to cover in their L/ 5 road games.

Wizards are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Home team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings. DENVER is 18-6 ATS L/24 after 2 or more consecutive unders .

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 1 unit reg selection

The San Antonio Spurs and the Toronto Raptors,   both unbeaten in their early-season schedules  go head to head tonight when they do battle on Monday at the AT&T Center in San Antonio. A lot has been made of the Spurs missing, , star forward Kawhi Leonard and point guard Tony Parker because of injuries, but this is a deep team, with a lot of talent, and have proven they can find multiple ways to beat opponents, including a top tier D,  which proved its metal in a  87-77 win on the road  on Saturday vs the Chicago Bulls. On offense the Spurs , can beat you with one of the NBAs most explosive and talented players , LaMarcus Aldridge, who  scored 28 points and had 10 rebounds to lead San Antonio over the Bulls. Like I said, the Spurs have just to many weapons, and are very diverse, compared to a one way run and gun Raptors side that is easily read by a coach like Popovich. I know the Raptors have  looked good in wins vs Chicago and Philadelphia by a combined 51 points in their first two games, but tonight their playing what I'm betting is a superior team without a key cog , big man center Jonas Valanciunas who was injured last time out and expected to miss this tilt.

Raptors are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Raptors are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in San Antonio

San Antonio beat the Raptors in both meetings last season and have a three-game winning streak against Toronto. The Spurs lead the all-time series  17-4  SU against the Raptors at home and another victory and cover is around the corner.

NBA Underdogs like the Raptors - marginal winning team from last season (51% to 60%) playing a team that had a winning record are 19-42 ATS over the last 5 seasons for a go against  69% conversion rate for betting backers.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Dallas Mavericks, losers of their first three games and completely humiliated in Houston on Saturday night will now be playing with some pride and a huge chip on their shoulders in this spot, and should see Dennis Smith Jr. back and Devin Harris back after missing time early in the season  . Meanwhile, Golden State I'm betting will be over looking a group that they probably don't respect a great deal. I know the Warriors are a great team, but they have had a recent lackluster ATS history vs losing teams as this trend indicates, especially on the road.

Warriors dating back to last season are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.

Dallas HC Carlisle is 26-8 ATS  after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half which happened in their last trip to the hardwood a 107-91 beatdown vs the Rockets in Houston.

Play on Dallas to cover 1 unit reg selection

Detroit enters tis tilt with momentum on their sides  as they come off a 111-107 road win vs the New York Knicks on Saturday. The Pistons rallied from a 21-point deficit, outscoring the Knicks 60-43 in the second half. Now they go against a young talented Philadelphia Sixer's group who still cannot find a way to consistently notch victories, losing three straight times to start their campaign, including Saturdays lopsided 128-94 loss to the Raptors. There is a lot of talent in the 76ers lineup, but playing as a group and showing chemistry/flow at the moment seems to be a problem, as their star center Joel Embiid ,  comes in and out of the lineup , because of his need to rest his surgically repaired knee. Tonight I'm betting the Sixers having more problems ,  vs a Motown side that has won and covered 6 of the L/7 meetings in this series.

76ers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.Pistons are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Pistons are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

DETROIT is 12-2 ATS  L/14 in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5, with the average margin victory of the scores coming by 10.5 ppg.

Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover 1 unit reg selection

Last night in Utah Russell Westbrook looked surprisingly below average for the Oklahoma City Thunder in a loss. His energy levels as well as his teammates were very low in the team looked completely out of sync and tired looking. Tonight at home in a matchup with the Minnesota Timberwolves I expect he and his team will rebound in a big way. After posting a triple-double in a season-opening victory vs the NY Knicks, Westbrook recorded just six points on 2-of-11 shooting in 36 minutes of shabby play. This type of low level of play by the MVP was only the third time in his 10-year career that he has been held to six or less points while playing at least 30 minutes. Something that stood out to me, is that Westbrook is shooting 40.4 percent from 3-point range in 31 career games against the Timberwolves, which is his highest mark against all but two other NBA sides, which gives me credence in my belief he will bounce back in a big way and play hard with Carmelo Anthony and P George tonight at home in front of their own fans. I know the Wolves are a fine young team, but this is a beatable spread for the Oklahoma City Thunder backers .Meanwhile, the Timberwolves won their home opener the other night in a hard fought battle vs Utah, but it must be noted that from a recent performance betting standpoint that not a good thing as the Timberwolves are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

Timberwolves are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Northwest.Timberwolves are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 road games.Timberwolves are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Timberwolves are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Oklahoma City.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 23-12 ATS L/35 as a home favorite and is 14-4 ATS L/18 in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.


NBA Home favorites like Oklahoma City - marginal winning team from last season who won between 51% and 60% of their games, vs. division opponents are 25-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Oklahoma City Thunder to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Suns played a fast back and forth game last night losing to the Lakers 132-130 and are banged  playing mostly without center Alex Len (ankle) ( played last night 21 min), guard Davon Reed (knee) and forward Jared Dudley (toe).  This I expect will effect their tempo and with a need to pay more attention to defense, should partake according to my own estimates in more subdued type of defensive game plan tonight in LA vs a Clippers side that is still trying to acclimate to a lot of new faces and injuries to various players that are still not 100% healed. The roster was completely intact for the season-opening victory vs the Lakers, but Patrick Beverley (knee) and Austin Rivers (glute) had just returned and Danilo Gallinari (sprained left foot), Sam Dekker (strained left oblique), Sindarius Thornwell (sprained right shoulder) and Jamil Wilson (back spasms) returned earlier last week.

Overall team cohesiveness on both sides could easily be an issue this evening, and according to my own numbers the lines-makers have over done this Total to the high side considering the circumstances. It must also be noted that from a NBA historical data base, that Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 like the Suns - vs. division opponents, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite , are 23-3 under for  a 88% conversion rate for bettors dating back 21 seasons.

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Utah is a fine team that I highly respect, but after playing last night in a physically grueling affair in Minnesota losing by 3 points and covering, I just don't believe they have enough left in the tank to deal with what is now In my humble opinion one of the most explosive offensive teams in the NBA, the Oklahoma City Thunder. Not only are they potent with their attack, they are showing early signs of being equally capable of over powering their  opponents on the defensive end. With that said, I usually rarely lay lumber with a road team these circumstances at this juncture of my wagering campaign warrant such a bet and recommendation to my clients.

Quote: "By playing great defense, especially this early in the season where probably most teams are trying to find their way, it gives you at least a little bit of room where if you don't have a great offensive night or are trying to figure it out offensively, you can really fall back to your defense," Thunder coach Billy Donovan told reporters after the game.

Note: Rodney Hood was carried off the floor by his teammates after suffering an apparent lower-leg injury during the fourth quarter last night vs Minny which puts the Jazz at a distinct disadvantage in this tilt.

UTAH is 7-20 ATS  L/27 off a close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival and OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-10 ATS   as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points  with the average victory coming by 7.6 ppg.

Ok City has won 7 of the L/8 meetings and 3 of the L/4 here in Utah and enter this game in much better shape roster wise than they have in the past.

NBA Favorites like Oklahoma City - in a game involving two teams who had marginal winning records (51% to 60%) last season are 23-3 ATS over the L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors and also NBA Favorites like Oklahoma City - average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games, vs. division opponents are 27-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Oklahoma City Thunder to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Milwaukee Bucks opened the season with games against Boston and Cleveland, and are pretty acclimated to playing some very tough competition. The Bucks looked pretty ordinary against a Cleveland team that looked to be on a mission last night, losing by a DD, count at home,  but I'm still a big believer in this team. I know their opposition tonight, the Portland Trailblazers have looked explosive so far this season, in their first two games , but this will be the Blazers second consecutive road game in a back to back situation. Yes, I do know that the Bucks are also playing back to back games, but playing them while sleeping at home in your own bed, and playing back to backs , after taking a  red eye flight are two completely different scenarios as far as how rested your team will be. With that said, I expect the Bucks come out in good form tonight and get us the win and cover.

Trail Blazers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Milwaukee and the Bucks have won and covered the most two recent meetings here in Milwaukee.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Blazers - after 2 or more consecutive wins, playing on back-to-back days are just 36-70 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 66% for bettors.

NBA Favorites like Milwaukee - off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 28-8 ATS L/21 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Milwaukee to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Philadelphia 76ers  off a loss last night will face   the Toronto Raptors this Saturday night.The 76ers,  lost 3 of 4 to the Raptors last season, and have lost  15 of their past 16 games against Toronto, including nine in a row at Air Canada Centre. That and the fact that their over hyped young star is out tonight and expected to rest (Joel Embiid) ,has pushed this line to it's outer limits.  With that said, and in contrarian fashion,  I'm betting we have value taking a talented Sixers group  , who despite of playing last night,   will not be all that tired because of their young legs , and a Raptors side that is no longer as deep as they once were.  With that said, I'm recommending we take the points here with a Philly side that is 7-2 ATS L/9 with no rest vs a Raptors side, that has failed to 6 of their 8 at home.

PHILADELPHIA is 31-18 ATS  L/49 as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points and have covered 19 of their 28 after a loss of 10 points or less which happened last night in a loss 102-92 loss to the Celtics.

76ers are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 vs. NBA Atlantic.76ers are 23-7 ATS in their last 30 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Play on the Phuladelphia 76ers to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Philadelphia 76ers  off a loss last night will face   the Toronto Raptors this Saturday night.  Now tonight the Sixers are a expected to rest  their young star(Joel Embiid)  and I am betting they will be more conservative in  their approach to this game from  offensive perspective. Their D, failed the young men from Philly last night , after leading Boston for more most of the previous evening and a more concerted effort to be stoppers vs what continues to a free wheeling Toronto group will become of paramount importance in this spot. With that said, and in contrarian fashion,  I'm betting instead of a run and gun shoot out like the linemakers are expecting a more subdued  type of affair will play out and the total combined score will end up on the low side of the Totals spectrum.

 Under is 8-3 in 76ers last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 9-4 in 76ers last 13 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-2 in Raptors last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-2 in Raptors last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

PHILADELPHIA is 73-49 L/122 when the total is 210 to 219.5.

Toronto is their L/15 games against a lower tier team with a.250 win % or less  have seen a combined average of 206.6 ppg go on the board.

It must also be noted that from a NBA historical data base, that Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 like the like the 76ers - vs. division opponents, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite , are 23-3 under for  a 88% conversion rate for bettors dating back 21 seasons.

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Utah took out Denver in their opener by a 106-96 count as 2.5 point favorites, while the Timberwolves lost  on the road as an over estimated -1 chalk at the road vs San Antonio by a 107-99 count. I once again believe both teams are being undervalued by the linesmakers, and won't be surprised if the Jazz win this game outright making getting points golden in my betting opinion. There are new  talented faces in the Wolves dressing room,  ie ( Jimmy Butler, Jeff Teague and Taj Gibson, Crawford )and Utah is now a retooled team playing without the services of Gordon Hayward who left via free agency. What remains the same for the Jazz that makes them tough to play against, is a  staunch D that led the NBA in scoring defense last season (96.8 points per game) as was evident in the  opener, as they allowed the Nuggets to 13 fourth-quarter points and forcing 22 turnovers overall. Meanwhile, on the flipside, Minnesota looks to be packed with offensive talent, but here against this type of team that tampers with a teams flow, I'm betting their in trouble , as they continue to build chemistry and try gel as a team. 

MINNESOTA is 13-24 ATS  L/35 ATS as a favorite .The visiting team has won 10 of the past 15 meetings. Dating back to last season  the Jazz are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games.Timberwolves are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Timberwolves are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

NBA Favorites like Minnesota  - bad team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games are 15-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 73% for bettors.

Play on the Utah Jazz to cover 1 unit reg selection