Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 4 - TOR Leads 2-1

The Raptors have now won and completely controlled  back to back games in this series to take a 2-1 lead, and look like viable road favorites tonight to deliver the goods again vs a Orlando Magic side that is in a shooting funk for the first time since they made their late season run to the play offs. We have concurring momentum patterns forming, with the Magic slumping at the worst possible time, and the powerful Dinos finally starting to show their dominance. 

NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ORLANDO) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a home cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog are 8-30 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover

Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 4 - GSW Leads 2-1

I know alot is being made of the DeMarcus Cousins injury, but from a defensive perspective thats a good thing for the Warriors. As for the Warriors offence they have more than enough guns , to make up for his absence and like I said, they now no longer have a defensive liability on the floor. 

I know the Clippers played a tremendous game last time out, and shocked the Warriors, but it must be noted that the Warriors are 12-3 SU and 11-4 ATS in the game after a defeat when taking on  a Western Conference team in the playoffs. Overall the Dubs have cashed 13 of their L/18 on the road and can go from being up by a few points to DDs in the flash of an eye, so laying points with them here in a bounce back situation is not that scary a proposition vs a LA CLIPPERS team that is 2-11 ATS  in April games over the last 2 seasons with the point diff clicking in at -13.2 ppg.  

Play on Golden State to cover

Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 4 - BOS Leads 3-0

Boston can wrap this series up this Sunday, and thats what Im betting they do. The men from Bean town have owned the Pacers and nothing suggests anything will change today. I think some pundits are surprised the Celtics have righted their ship after a bumpy ride the end of their season, and Im not 100% sure that they can continue this type of play into the next series. But what i do know is that the Celtics matchup well vs a Pacers team that did not look cohesive entering the playoffs. Note:  INDIANA is 4-12 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Teams down 3-0 are 3-12 SU L/15 times dating back the 2016 season.

BOSTON is 12-1 ATS  off an upset win as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons which was the case in game 3 of this series. Boston is 6-1 L/7 here in Indiana . 

Play on Boston Celtics to cover

Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - MIL Leads 2-0

This game and series between the Pistons and the Bucks is a complete mismatch, and the first two lopsided scores favoring Milwaukee were no flukes. No even home court advantage Im betting will save the Pistons from another beatdown.

MILWAUKEE is 7-0 ATS  in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season this season with the average margin of victory coming by 13 ppg.

MILWAUKEE is 8-1 ATS  as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points this season. 

MILWAUKEE is 14-3 ATS vs. division opponents this season with the average point differential clicking in at +13 ppg. 

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover

According to my projections  tell me we have value with an under wager here in this tilt between the Sixers and Nets. This total has gotten bigger with each game,  and now the linesmkaers have over adjusted . Brooklyn cant keep on just trying to run and gun and blow by the Sixers, and Im betting their coaching staff makes enough adjustments here today to thwart the Sixers flow. Afternoon games have a long term tendency of being played at a slower pace which Im betting this aids our under wager cashing.

PHILADELPHIA is 15-4 UNDER  in the 4th game of a playoff series since 1996.PHILADELPHIA is 13-4 UNDER off a road win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.PHILADELPHIA is 15-3 UNDER when playing 4 or less games in 10 days this season

NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHILADELPHIA) - off a road win, in April games are 51-27 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion .rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - POR Leads 2-0

The Oklahoma City Thunder have exhibited less than stellar shooting prowess all season long,ranking 22nd in in 3 point shooting and things are not getting much better, and have now shot a combined 10-61 (16.4%) from 3-point range in the first two games of this series. Tonight Im betting the Thunders long range futility will contribute to a lower scoring game as will Portlands horrendous 2nd to last play off FG% conversion rate vs a strong rim protection Thunder group.

PORTLAND is 21-9 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 215.2 ppg scored.

PORTLAND is 10-1 UNDER  off a home win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 206.1 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER

Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - BOS Leads 2-0

The two first games of this series have not gone of the Pacers way thanks to in ability to keep their offensive flow going and converting on easy shots, while also allowing them selves to get up in defensive affairs , which the Celtics are looking better at implementing . So tonight Im expecting more flow to the Pacers game as they look to resurrect their chances in this series/ With that said, Im betting  on a tilt that will feature more offence and a faster pace.

NBA team (BOSTON) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 60-29 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 

Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1

The Raptors after losing game 1 came storming back with a convincing two way performance, crushing Orlando by a 111-82 count. After watching the Raptors dismantle, the Magic, Im betting the zig zag theory does not apply to this matchup. I know Orlando has had quite a 2nd half run ,but right now I feel the Dinos talent level and hunger for victory will trump what this young group has to offer.Note: NBA play off road favs are  30-11-1 against the spread over the last couple of seasons for a 73% conversion rate. I like this game alot and would bet it as high as -6. 

TORONTO is 33-19 ATS  in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TORONTO) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (102 or more PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 90 points or less are 71-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Raptors to cover

Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1

Denver may have found a way to win and cover in game 2 of this series, but San Antonio still looked like the better overall team, and deserve my backing here tonight. 

Nuggets are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 1 days rest.Nuggets are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 Conference Quarterfinals games.

DENVER is 6-15 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots this season.

Spurs are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Spurs are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

SAN ANTONIO is 20-2 ATS  revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season. SAN ANTONIO is 6-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons in San Antonio.

SAN ANTONIO is 13-4 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. SAN ANTONIO is 16-5 ATS in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons. SAN ANTONIO is 7-0 ATS  in home games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days this season. SAN ANTONIO is 8-1 ATS  in home games against Northwest division opponents this season.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs . to cover

These teams play contrasting styles both home nd away. The Nuggets went under in 25 of their 41 road games and were the most profitable UNDER road team in the league this season  , while the Spurs were 23-18 to the under at home. With that said, after a fairly high scoring game in Denver last time out, Im betting on this one being more conservative and physcial in nature as the young inexperienced Nuggets try to find their footing in a hostile environment. 

Under is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 Thursday games.Under is 7-1 in Nuggets last 8 vs. NBA Southwest.Under is 5-1 in Nuggets last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 13-3 in Nuggets last 16 games following a straight up win.

Under is 14-4 in Nuggets last 18 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 20-6 in Nuggets last 26 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 16-5 in Nuggets last 21 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 16-5 in Nuggets last 21 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 20-7 in Nuggets last 27 overall.Under is 20-7 in Nuggets last 27 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 10-4 in Nuggets last 14 road games.Under is 10-4 in Nuggets last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 14-6 in Nuggets last 20 vs. Western Conference.Under is 9-4 in Nuggets last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Under is 10-1 in Spurs last 11 vs. Western Conference.Under is 6-1 in Spurs last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 vs. NBA Northwest.Under is 8-2 in Spurs last 10 games following a ATS loss.Under is 4-1 in Spurs last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 10-3 in Spurs last 13 home games.Under is 16-5 in Spurs last 21 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-2 in Spurs last 8 overall.Under is 5-2 in Spurs last 7 games following a straight up loss.Under is 5-2 in Spurs last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 7-3-1 in Spurs last 11 Conference Quarterfinals games.Under is 9-4 in Spurs last 13 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 36-16 in Spurs last 52 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA teams where the total is 200 to 210.5 (DENVER) - in a playoff game, in the 3rd game of a playoff series are 64-32 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER

Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1

This series is now tied 1-1 and swings back to Brooklyn in a more favorable environment for the Nets. The Nets stole game 1 before the Sixers stormed back in game 2 and won in convincing fashion.Now on a couple of days rest the Nets will now be ready to rebound. Note: The Nets are 16-5 ATS in their past 21 games on two days of rest. During the regular season, Philadelphia was 20-21 as visitors, while Brooklyn was 23-18 as hosts and have the edge here getting points. 

In the last 13 + seasons, teams like theNets that allowed 125 or more points in a loss have gone 28-18 (61%) ATS in the playoffs

BROOKLYN is 21-9 ATS  revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season.PHILADELPHIA is 19-32 ATS  after 1 or more consecutive wins this season.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BROOKLYN) - vs. division opponents, off a road loss by 10 points or more 41-17 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate.

Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover

Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - MIL Leads 1-0

Milwaukee began its pursuit of the franchise's first title since 1971 by cruising past Detroit, 121-86, in Game 1. It was the ninth-most lopsided NBA playoff game of the century and the biggest rout since the Cleveland Cavaliers beat the Boston Celtics, 130-86, in Game 2 of the Eastern Conference finals on May 19, 2017. I dont think it was a fluke, and Im betting the Bucks do more damage here tonight, but this time around the Motown crew open things up as well, with some offensive fireworks of their own as they try to avoid being embarrassed two games in a row, which will make for a higher scoring affair than the linesmakers expect.

DETROIT is 12-3 OVER  revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.5 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DETROIT) - after scoring 90 points or less against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games are 32-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 

Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - BOS Leads 1-0

The Celtics prevailed 84-74 in the best-of-7 opener.The Pacers, meanwhile, have rallied to win the series on two of the last three occasions when they lost Game 1 so Im not counting them out from the game 1 preview and still believe they have what it takes to compete. 

INDIANA is 15-7 ATS  revenging a road loss vs opponent this season.McMillan is 20-7 ATS in April games as the coach of INDIANA. 

The Pacers are 17-0 ATS covering by more than 10 ppg in the playoffs off a loss in which they had a BAP at least 9.5 points higher than their opponent and were 13-4 SU with none of the 4 SU losses coming by more than 6 points.

NBA  team (BOSTON) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after scoring 85 points or less are 34-65 ATS L/5 seasons for ago against 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Indiana to cover

Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - BOS Leads 1-0

The Celtics and Pacers combined to scored 158 points in Game 1, going way under the total. Both teams shot below 40% from the field. Both teams missed wide open shots on a consistent basis and now Im expecting a bounce back and a reversion to the norm and a much high scoring game then last time.

BOSTON is 25-10 OVER in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.2 ppg scored.

NBA team (INDIANA) - off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 80 points, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 42-17 OVER L/22 seasons for a 71 % conversion rate.

Play OVER

Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - POR Leads 1-0

The first game of this series was low scoring ,but that matchup was an anomaly as compared to the 4 previous meetings between these teams this season which  were all high scoring affairs with 250, 231,237, 220 combined points scored. Im betting on a return to the previous type of offensive affairs in game 2 of this series.

PORTLAND is 12-1 OVER  in home games versus teams that are allowing - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 242.2 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 5 straight games are126-84 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play Over

 Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - SAS Leads 1-0

Denver lost a101-96 decision to the San Antonio Spurs in Game 1 of the Western Conference quarterfinal series thanks to some atrocious shooting by key players. Note:The Nuggets  shot just 42% from the field and 6-of-28 from 3 and still almost won. Now in  a must-win situation for Denver as; (a loss drops the No. 2 seed in an 0-2 hole heading back to San Antonio for two games ) Im betting the Nuggets young guns nerves now settled  come out here and play like nbnbtheir hairs on fire and get us the win and cover.

NBA  play off seeds (1-3) have historically hit a 58%  conversion rate when playing as a home favorite after a loss and non-cover.

SAN ANTONIO is 8-18 ATS  in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons. DENVER is 12-3 ATS  in home games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. 

Play onDenver Nuggets

Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - GSW Leads 1-0

In true zig zag theory Im going to take the points here with the LA Clippers on a value spread. I know Golden State has owned this series of late, but I saw enough from them in game 1 to feel comfortable taking points with them here in game 2. 

GOLDEN STATE is 11-27 ATS  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. LA CLIPPERS are 23-10 ATS  vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons. LA CLIPPERS are 14-5 ATS off a road loss this season.

NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a loss against a division rival are 94-47 ATS L/22 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. 

NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (GOLDEN STATE) - excellent offensive team (102 r more PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102r more PPG) after 42+ games, after a blowout win by 15 points or more are  60-90 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover

Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - GSW Leads 1-0

Golden State prevailed by blocking 14 shots, limiting the Clippers to 40.4 percent shooting , but both still still a combined 225 points went on the board in game 1 of this series in the Warriors 121-104 win. Im now expecting theClippers to come out here more aggressively as they try to keep track with the explosive Dubs in a game I have pegged to go over the set total. Note: The LA CLIPPERS in their L/18 games off a road loss this season have combined to average for 235.2 ppg.

Play OVER

Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 1

The last playoff series to tip off in the NBA’s first round is the No. 5 Utah Jazz visiting the No. 4 Houston Rockets in the Western Conference on Sunday night. 

This is a rematch from last season’s Western Conference semifinals.  . The Rockets took the series  in five games, with every game in the series decided by at least eight points and Im betting this game will follow suit. Im betting on the Rockets super star  Harden who led the league in scoring at 36.1 ppg, more than 8 points better than No. 2 Paul George to once again lead the way . Note: Harden’s average is the most since Michael Jordan’s 37.1 in 1986-87.

NBA Underdogs (UTAH) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%)are 17-62 ATS L/22 seasons for a  go against 79% conversion rate. 

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, in April games are 4-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Houston to cover 

Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 1

The Rockets despite of their explosiveness rank 26th in the NBA in pace and own the 10 best D in the league, and they have gone under the set total in 14 of their L/19 games entering the play offs. Meanwhile, the Utah Jazz own the 4th best ppg D in the league, and bae all their successes and failures on their ability to play D, and here on the road in Houston Im betting they turn this tilt in a slug fest as they try to take the Rockets out of their flow, which will result in a lower score play off affair. 

HOUSTON is 24-9 UNDER  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 13-5 UNDER  against Northwest division opponents this season.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (HOUSTON) - extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days, in April games are 25-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA team (HOUSTON) - extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days, in April games are 30-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate.

Play UNDER 

Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 1

Boston ranked 8th in ppg defence this season and 16th in pace, and 14th in offence. Meanwhile, Indiana ranked 1st in ppg allowed, 24th in pace, and 22nd on offence and base all their successes and failures on this stopping abilities. Nothing will change today as they force an inconsistent Boston side, in operating in a defensive mode as well, in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. 

INDIANA is 15-4 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. INDIANA is 22-8 UNDER   versus good shooting teams - making 46%or more  of their shots this season

NBA team (BOSTON/INDIANA) - extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days, in April games are 30-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (INDIANA/BOSTON) - extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days, in April games are 25-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate.

Play UNDER 

 Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 1

The Raptors are an explosive side, but their D, was key to their successes this season and ranked 4th in defensive efficiency this season. Meanwhile, Orlando, ranked 5th in ppg allowed behind the 25th ranked pace and the 24th ppg ranked offence and obviously got to the post season thanks to their methodic defensive nature and nothing will change today. 

ORLANDO is 21-8 UNDER  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  70% or better ) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 207 ppg. 

Clifford is 23-11 UNDER (+10.9 Units) versus good shooting teams - making 46%  or better of their shots as the coach of ORLANDO with a combine average of 211 ppg scored. 

Play  UNDER 

Im expecting the Toronto Raptors to shut the Orlando Magic down today, on their way to a DD win. Toronto after recent early departures from the play offs  have a huge chip on their shoulders and will be out to get some real momentum going. ( LATE STEAM)

Magic are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Conference Quarterfinals games.

NBA Underdogs (ORLANDO) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 17-45 L/22 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Toronto Raptors to cover

Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 1

Brooklyn has come along way and are now in the play offs, for the first time in a very long time, and Im betting they will be sky high here and leave everything on the floor here in game 1. I know the Nets dont have much play off experience but it must be noted  that  During the last 13 seasons, road teams without playoff experience are 74-47-4 (61.2%) ATS in the first round when taking on  an opponent that made the postseason the year before. Meanwhile, Philadelphia enters these play offs suffering with a few nagging injuries to key players Joel Embiid(knee)  and Jimmy Butler (back) and could find themselves in a real battle. Note: During their meetings in the  regular season, the Nets outscored the 76ers by 40 points in 58 minutes with Embiid off the floor. 

Nets have the deeper bench  in this series and get the nod from me to cover in game 1.

Nets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.Nets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.Nets are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 Conference Quarterfinals games.Nets are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Nets are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.Nets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.Nets are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 vs. NBA Atlantic.

 76ers are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 vs. NBA Atlantic.76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

NBA Home underdogs (PHILADELPHIA) - poor defensive team - allowing 99+ points/game on the season, after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 19-44 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against  70% conversion rate.

Brooklyn to cover 

Denver can claim the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference with a win over Minnesota on Wednesday night. So you can bet they will play hard shutdown basketball here. Look for the banged up Minnesota Wolves to just go through the motions here, in the high altitudes of the Mile High City in what Im betting will be a lower scoring game the public might expect. 

DENVER is 10-2 UNDER  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 211.3 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MINNESOTA) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 47-18 UNDER L2 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

The Bucks' playoff position is set as the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference, and they'll sit Most Valuable Player candidate Giannis Antetokounmpo and starting center Brook Lopez to prepare for the playoffs , thus the advantage goes to the Thunder to get us the cover. 

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after a game where they covered the spread, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 105-54 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oklahoma City to cover 

The Hawks will play an Indiana team with little left to play  for after locking up a play off spot and that could be resting a majority of their starters here tonight in Atlanta as they try to stay healthy and fresh for the play offs. Atlanta has been one of the best teams down the stretch drive and have shown a lot of promise for next season and are motivated to give their fans a good send off this evening.ATLANTA is 20-11 ATS  in the second half of the season this season. 

Play on Atlanta Hawks to cover 

Houston broke its own NBA record by making 27 3-pointers in Sunday's 149-113 home victory over the Phoenix Suns and enter this game with a full head of steam and ready to keep their momentum in high gear entering the play offs. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City despite of needing to ramp things up, are struggling in alot of facets of their game, and after watching them barely get past Minnesota last time out, Im betting their over matched vs an explosive opponent. 

HOUSTON is 15-7 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season.HOUSTON is 8-1 ATS after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less this season.

Play on Houston Rockets to cover 

The Utah Jazz were piling up  victories and creating momentum for the postseason until  the lowly LA Lakers upset them by out working them. Needless to say coach Quinn  Snyder was left irate. Now Im betting the Jazz coming out here with a big time effort and bounce back vs the Denver Nuggets a team they have beaten 8 straight times and matchup well against. 

UTAH is 20-9 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. 

NBA Underdogs (DENVER) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 17-61 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. ( Denver lost at Portland last time out but covered)

Play on Utah to cover 

 After suffering a ugly 113-109 loss to the host Los Angeles Lakers the Jazz were embarrassed and their coach extremely cranky. Tonight Im betting on a rebound . Im alos betting on a more focused group that will concentrate on what has made the Jazz such a potent team down the stretch and that is the ability to play a top tier brand of defensive hoops. Utah ranks 3rd in ppg allowed and 2nd in in defensive efficiency.  Meanwhile, Denver has also been playing more conservatively in transition as the season winds down, and have seen a combined average of just 210.6 ppg scored in their L/5 trips to the hardwood.  This game has the makings of a hard fought defensive divisional affair. 

Under is 5-1 in Nuggets last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 14-3 in Nuggets last 17 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 8-2 in Nuggets last 10 games following a straight up loss.Under is 21-6 in Nuggets last 27 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 17-5 in Nuggets last 22 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 17-5 in Nuggets last 22 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 20-6 in Nuggets last 26 overall.Under is 10-3 in Nuggets last 13 road games.Under is 10-3 in Nuggets last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 6-2 in Nuggets last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 9-3 in Nuggets last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 12-4 in Nuggets last 16 vs. Western Conference.Under is 20-7 in Nuggets last 27 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 8-3 in Nuggets last 11 games following a ATS win.

Under is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 games following a straight up loss.Under is 9-1 in Jazz last 10 games following a ATS loss.Under is 8-1 in Jazz last 9 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 7-2 in Jazz last 9 home games.Under is 10-3 in Jazz last 13 vs. Western Conference.Under is 14-5 in Jazz last 19 Tuesday games.Under is 5-2 in Jazz last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. 

Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Utah.Under is 21-6 in the last 27 meetings.

 Play UNDER

Minnesota is depleted with injuries, and the Raptors despite of rapping up their play off spot, are still trying to enter the playoffs with momentum, and should be well prepared to lay down a beatdown here. 

NBA  road favorites like Toronto between -3 and -10 points on the spread averaging 99+ points per game are 90-44-3 ATS L/137 for a 67.2% conversion rate after allowing 55 or more points in the first half of their last two games.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, in April games are 4-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover 

Despite losing four straight games, the Detroit Pistons sit in the eighth and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference and need a win badly here and should come out ready to perform vs a Grizzlies side most likely playing out the string. 

Pistons HC Casey is 15-3 ATS  in home games after 4 or more consecutive losses in all games he has coached in his career. 

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MEMPHIS) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, in April games are 4-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover 

The home team has won each meeting this season , with the Pelicans winning 149-129 on Oct. 19 in New Orleans and the Kings winning 122-117 on Dec. 23 in Sacramento. Im betting on the home team giving their fans something to cheer about here in their home finale as they try to finish the season at .500. 

SACRAMENTO is 9-0 ATS  when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) this season with the average point differential clicking in at 14 ppg.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, in April games are 3-27 ATS for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors with the average point diff clicking in at 13.9 ppg. 

Play on Sacramento Kings to cover 

There is still alot to play for when Denver and Portland go head to head tonight as they jockey for post season seeding. The Nuggets took a  109-100 win over the Trail Blazers on Friday in Denver and now in the rematch expect another tightly contested Defensive affair that remains on the low side of the total. Quote:"He was phenomenal,"  HC Malone said of the 6-foot-7 Craig. "His defense, his offense -- everything he did out there."The Nuggets were aggressive with their defense and the referees let a lot of the rough stuff go."It was very physical out there," said Portland center Enes Kanter, who scored 24 points and grabbed seven rebounds. "Their big men -- Jokic, Millsap and (Mason) Plumlee -- they were hitting me extra. But it's the NBA -- no complaining." END QUOTE Rinse and repeat here . 

Under is 14-2 in Nuggets last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 6-1 in Nuggets last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 12-2 in Nuggets last 14 games following a straight up win.Under is 10-2 in Nuggets last 12 road games.Under is 10-2 in Nuggets last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 17-4 in Nuggets last 21 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 21-5 in Nuggets last 26 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 12-3 in Nuggets last 15 vs. Western Conference.Under is 8-2 in Nuggets last 10 games following a ATS win.Under is 20-6 in Nuggets last 26 overall.Under is 20-6 in Nuggets last 26 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 19-7 in Nuggets last 26 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

 Play UNDER 

The Brooklyn Nets grabbed a  up a huge victory on  Saturday night  to boost their  NBA playoff chances, and  grabbing another  win here would be huge for them in their chase for post season play against a team that has owned them of late  .  Im betting they come out here shooting darts, and push a the capable offense of the Pacers into a faster paced game. I know  These teams play converging styles of basketball, but when they met earlier this season, Indiana took a  132-112 win in  Indianapolis on Oct. 20 and Im betting on another fairly high scoring tilt here that eclipses this total. 

BROOKLYN is 13-4 OVER  in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.9 ppg scored. BROOKLYN is 20-8 OVER (+11.2 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230 ppg scored,

NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (BROOKLYN) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning teams are 40-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.\

Play OVER 

The Detroit Pistons will host the Charlotte Hornets on Sunday in a matchup of teams still competing for a playoff berth in the Eastern Conference.With that said, Im betting on a hard fought physical affair that will focus on both teams trying to be mistake free which will make for muted affair . 

DETROIT is 22-11 UNDER  after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of those 33 games clicking in at 210.6 ppg.The Pistons  have gone under 12 straight times a as a favorite off a loss when Andre Drummond had negative plus/minus in each of their last three games with a combined average of 192.7 ppg scored.Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.Hornets Borrego is 16-4 UNDER  after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread in all games he has coached  with a combined average of 211.3 ppg scored. 

NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DETROIT) - after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 105 points or more 5 straight games.  are 34-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

With Toronto firmly gripping on the No.2 seed in the East its all about staying healthy. Meanwhile, Miami have lost  three straight games to fall out of playoff position in the Eastern Conference and desperately need a win  and will play like their hair is on fore here this afternoon. 

MIAMI is 7-0 ATS in road games against Atlantic division opponents this season.

MIAMI is 21-9 ATS  in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46%  or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Heat are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.Heat are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 vs. NBA Atlantic.Heat are 45-17-2 ATS in their last 64 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Heat are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 road games.Heat are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.Heat are 36-15-1 ATS in their last 52 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Heat are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Sunday games.

Raptors are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games.Raptors are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 vs. NBA Southeast.Raptors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games.

Heat are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Toronto.Heat are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.Road team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.Underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

Toronto is 9-24-1 ATS at home in non-division game.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TORONTO) - after having won 4 of their last 5 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 68-115 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rte for bettors.

Play on Miami to cover 

When the NBA playoffs start next week, the Milwaukee Bucks know they will have home-court advantage throughout so resting players and making sure their healthy is more important than winning this game tonight against the visiting Brooklyn Nets who are desperate for wins as their quest for a post season spot is still up for grabs.The most recent meeting was Monday in Brooklyn when the Bucks led by 15 after the first quarter and posted a 131-121 win.but Im betting all out do or die effort from the Nets here. 

BROOKLYN is 11-3 ATS  in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season. 

BROOKLYN is 21-9 ATS in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24  or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on Brooklyn to cover 

The Sacramento Kings are geared up to halt a stretch of 12 straight losing seasons and Im betting they will play hard tonight and get is the cover vs the banged up  Utah Jazz who are dealing with a boatload full of injuries and may limit key player minutes tonight in attempt to get healthy with the play offs approaching. 

PG] 04/05/2019 - Raul Neto is "?" Friday vs Sacramento ( Ankle )[G] 04/04/2019 - Kyle Korver is downgraded to OUT Friday vs Sacramento ( Knee )[SF] 04/04/2019 - Jae Crowder is upgraded to probable Friday vs Sacramento ( Thigh )[F] 04/04/2019 - Derrick Favors is downgraded to OUT Friday vs Sacramento ( Back )[PG] 04/03/2019 - Ricky Rubio is "?" Friday vs Sacramento ( Hamstring )[PG] 03/18/2019 - Dante Exum is out indefinitely ( Knee )

UTAH is 1-9 ATS  in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.SACRAMENTO is 10-1 ATS  versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Sacramento to cover 

Two teams with really nothing to play for go head to head tonight in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total.

Grizzlies own the 30th ranked pace in the league, and are ranked  30th in offence, and 9th in defensive rating and here on the road today will try to turn this into a grinding sleepfest. 

The Mavericks have gone under in 9 of their L/12 overall since Jan 07, 2019 as a favorite with a combined average 211 ppg scored. 

DALLAS is 13-4 UNDER  vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game this season with a combined average of 209.6 ppg. DALLAS is 9-1 UNDER revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite this season with a combined average of 210 ppg scored. 

MEMPHIS is 16-6 UNDER  vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 204.7 ppg scored.  MEMPHIS is 12-2 UNDER in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season with a combined average of 205.5 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MEMPHIS) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 86-46 UNDER L/22 seasons are 65% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER 

Toronto  has won five consecutive games since Lamb banked in a half-court heave at the buzzer for a 115-114 victory on March 24 and continue to ramp for the play offs against a team that is exhausted as they have feverishly chased a play off spot and off a 4 game road trip . I know Toronto can afford to take the pedal of metal , but their trying to stay in high gear entering the play offs and are in revenge mode for a 115-114 loss they suffered to the Hornets at home back in late March and will be ready to make their opponents pay here, especially knowing how desperate the Hornets are for wins. 

CHARLOTTE is 4-20 ATS  when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TORONTO) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more, off a road win are 71-38 ATS L/5 seasons for 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Toronto Raptors 

Sacramento plays a one way attack orientated basketball behind the 3rd ranked pace and  10 best offensive output in the NBA and their D, remains suspect allowing an 114.9 ppg which ranks 26th in the NBA. Meanwhile, the Cavaliers have been playing very wide open basketball for quite a while as well, as is evident by going over in 5 straight games with a combined average of 231 ppg going on the board. Note: The Cavaliers rank 30th in D efficiency in the league and tonight Im betting that will be exasperated in a tilt I have pegged to eclipse this total. 

 NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (SACRAMENTO) - after a combined score of 225 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 114-57 OVER  L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate.

Play OVER 

 The Philadelphia 76ers took part in a run and gun affair last night in Atlanta that they lost130-122, and  now tonight on tired legs with the likely hood of Joel Embiid not playing and  Jimmy Butler possibly resting and not playing or seeing limited action  Im betting the 76ers will not be ready to run and gun and instead try to figure out a way to play better defence against a top tier opponent  the Bucks. Meanwhile, Milwaukee is also short handed  from a bench perspective and banged up despite of Kris Middleton supposedly playing tonight and star forward Giannis Antetokounmpo on the court. No matter how much each plays , Im still expecting a more defensive orientated post season type affair that will feature more defensive postures than offensive onslaughts despite of both sides obvious abilities to put points on the board. 

PHILADELPHIA is 19-7 UNDER after a combined score of 245 points or more since 1996 with a combined average of 207 ppg on the scoreboard.

PHILADELPHIA is 19-9 UNDER  in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.4 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MILWAUKEE) - off a road win, in April games are 45-19 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 62-27 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

The Rockets and Clippers are two of the hottest teams heading down the stretch of the regular season with Los Angeles going 16-4 in their past 20 games and Houston winning 17 of the their past 20 games. However, from a head to matchup perspective my own power rankings like the Rockets to deliver a winning ticket for us tonight. I know the  Clippers won 115-112 on Oct. 21 in Los Angeles and Oct. 26 in Houston, the Clippers won by 20, 133-113 , but now with revenge on board Im betting on a primo effort from the Rockets.Note:HOUSTON is 7-0 ATS when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent this season. 

Play on Houston to cover 

Dallas looks like they have stopped tanking, and have won 2 straight games, and well positioned  to make it 3 wins in a row vs a Minnesota group that has not played well on the road this season going 10-29 SU.  Dallas also won both games in this series this season. 

DALLAS is 12-3 ATS  at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season. MINNESOTA is 2-14 ATS  in road games when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons. 

Timberwolves are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.Timberwolves are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Timberwolves are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Timberwolves are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Timberwolves are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Timberwolves are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games.Timberwolves are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

NBA Underdogs (MINNESOTA) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, in April games are 13-36  ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Dallas to cover 

The Hornets  are 0-3 on a road trip that concludes Wednesday night in New Orleans with Charlotte's playoff hopes hanging by a thread . Needless to say they are desperate for a win and tonight I expect they leave everything on the floor and get us the cover. 

CHARLOTTE is 13-4 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses this season.

NEW ORLEANS is 4-12 ATS in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season. 

NBA Home teams (NEW ORLEANS) - off a home blowout loss of 20 points or more, in April games are 15-42 ATS L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate! 

Play on Charlotte to cover 

The young Atlanta Hawks are playing hard, and showing promise for the future behind emerging super star Trae Young . Meanwhile, Philadelphia is just trying to stay healthy before the play offs begin, and tonight will be without  star Joel Embiid is OUT next 2 games ( Rest )and the banged up Jimmy Butler .  Note:The Hawks are 2-1 against the 76ers this season, including a 129-127 home victory on March 23, when Young had 32 points and 11 assists. QUOTE :"We clipped Philly last time, so I'm sure they are going to come in with a little bit of vengeance," Bazemore said on Fox Sports Southeast."With a couple of games left in the season, they are trying to be in the best position they can. At the same time, we're still trying to play spoiler and have a bunch of guys finish the season strong." END QUOTE.

Im betting Philly despite fo wanting revenge, still wont come out here with guns blazing as the bigger picture is more important. Look for Atlanta to hold serve and get us the cover.

Hawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.Hawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Hawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Hawks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Hawks are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Hawks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss.Hawks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.Hawks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.

76ers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.76ers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Southeast.76ers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.76ers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Wednesday games.76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.76ers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Play on Atlanta to cover 

Denver enters this game playing at a more methodical pace of late, then was the case earlier this season, with defence being the mainstay of their successes and failures which is evident by seeing 16 of their L/19 games stay under the set total. Nothing will change tonight vs the explosive Warriors, who also are now into play off preparation mode and also paying attention to their defensive game especially in transition as is evident by seeing 12 of their L/15 games stay on the low side of the total. 

Under is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 10-2 in Nuggets last 12 vs. Western Conference.Under is 10-2 in Nuggets last 12 games following a ATS loss.Under is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 road games.Under is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 8-2 in Nuggets last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 12-3 in Nuggets last 15 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 18-5 in Nuggets last 23 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 16-5 in Nuggets last 21 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 21-7 in Nuggets last 28 overall.Under is 6-2 in Nuggets last 8 games following a straight up loss.

Under is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Under is 6-0 in Warriors last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 7-1 in Warriors last 8 home games.Under is 6-1 in Warriors last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 games following a ATS win.Under is 10-2 in Warriors last 12 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 12-3 in Warriors last 15 overall.Under is 8-2 in Warriors last 10 vs. Western Conference.Under is 6-2 in Warriors last 8 games following a straight up win.Under is 14-5 in Warriors last 19 vs. NBA Northwest. Under is 35-17 in Warriors last 52 Tuesday games.

HC  Kerr  of Golden State in his L/25  home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season has seen a combined average of 210.5 ppg scored.

GOLDEN STATE is 21-6 UNDER  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.3 ppg scored. 

DENVER is 12-3 UNDER  in road games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203 ppg.

DENVER is 24-11 UNDER  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 218 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DENVER) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 34-11 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

The Lakers come in here as big underdogs as they play without  LeBron James who has been shut down for the season, with an injury. However, the Lakers look like they have some fight left in them as they come in here off a win vs the New Orleans Pelicans last time out by DDs. Note: James is also expected to be on the bench as sort of an assistant coach, which is a huge motivation for this young group.   Meanwhile, the inconsistent  Thunder maybe getting to much respect in this spot,  as they are just 11-13 against the eight non-playoff teams in the Western Conference this season,  with 4 of their wins coming against the downtrodden Phoenix Suns. Note:Russell Westbrook had a triple-double last time out, but his team has fallen flat on their faces the L/7 times this has happened losing 6 times straight up and winning the lone game by 1 point.

Lakers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Thunder are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.Thunder are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 vs. Western Conference.Thunder are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Thunder are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Pacific. 

Play on LA Lakers to cover 

The Lakers despite of being without LeBron James are showing some offensive flow and are off scoring a 130-102 road win vs New Orleans. Im betting on that attacking mode to continue here vs Oklahoma city tonight in a game Im betting goes over the beatable total. Note:Over is 10-1-1 in Lakers last 12 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.

The last time the Lakers visited Oklahoma city on Jan 17 the teams took part in a 138-128 offensive slugfest and Im betting in a similar output again. Note: James also did not play in that game. 

NBA team (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off a close home loss by 3 points or less against opponent off an road win scoring 110 or more points are 78-42 OVER L/22 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play OVER 

The Timberwolves  are still playing hard despite of not going to play offs this season. That was evident when they  rallied from a 19-point third-quarter deficit to take out  the shocked Warriors. Minnesota also  trailed 38-20 after one quarter and got to within three points in the fourth quarter in a 118-109 home loss to the Philadelphia 76ers on Saturday. So tonight, Im betting they come out here shooting darts in full attack mode, and come right at the Blazers, and in turn Portland ranked 6th in offensive output will have to fire back with some offensive fireworks of their own or face the same upset issues as Golden State did, and what  Philadelphia almost experienced. With that said, Im betting on a fairly high scoring affair that eclipses this total. 

NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PORTLAND) - a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 63-34 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

 Chicago are a group of walking wounded and hobbled athletes just trying to make to the end of what has been a frustrating rebuilding  season. I know the Knicks are not much better, but they are a healthier group playing on their own home floor and have an edge in this matchup between bottom feeders. This is a side option based on the lesser of two evils concept. 

NBA Favorites (NEW YORK) - off 2 or more consecutive home losses, in April games are 51-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate! 

Play on the NY Knicks to cover

The Knicks against the banged up Bulls Im betting will put up a boatload full of points on the scoreboard, with the Bulls chasing their opponents in wide open fashion . It's obvious by my previous statement that Im expecting  this game to played loosely because of this meeting being of no importance in the NBA standings or to two teams headed for a golf vacations and not the post season. No where in tomorrows  main stream media headlines describing this tilt- will "DEFENCE " be mentioned. 

The Bulls 25th ranked D,  has struggled recently which is a good omen for this game being fairly high scoring.CHICAGO is 8-1 OVER  after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher this season with a combined average of 229.3 ppg scored. 

Play on the OVER 

The Bucks played last night so they're a little tired. It must also be noted that Kris Middleton and Giannis Antetokounmpo are questionable for Milwaukee tonight and if they do play Im betting they may not see that much time as the Bucks are more interested in staying rested and healthy as the play offs approach. Note:  

Bucks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.

, their hosts the Brooklyn Nets, every game left is like a playoff game, as they are in a fight for the final play off spot in the East. QUOTE:"I (said) at the end of the Philly game, every game is going to be worth it," the Nets' D'Angelo Russell said. "We need it -- scratching and clawing for every one of them. END QUOTE.

Milwaukee Beat Brooklyn by DD here in NYC back in February which will have the Nets not only desperate but in revenge mode.

BROOKLYN is 15-4 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. 

 Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover 

Indiana owns he No.1 D, in the league, and are 23rd in pace, and at this time of year as the play offs approach even more methodical than usual. Meanwhile, the Pistons are ranked 7th and ppg allowed D, and 28th in pace, and are also methodical in their approach. Both teams dont score a prolific amount of points ranking 22nd and 23 in ppg, so a defensive minded old school pro hoops game looks like a viable out come scenario. 

INDIANA is 32-12 UNDER  when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 202.3 ppg scored. 

Under is 15-7 in Pistons last 22 road games.

Under is 33-15-4 in Pistons last 52 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 24-9 in Pacers last 33 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 13-5 in Pacers last 18 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 28-11 in Pacers last 39 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 9-4 in Pacers last 13 overall.Under is 35-16 in Pacers last 51 home games.Under is 17-8 in Pacers last 25 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (INDIANA) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games are 32-11 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

The Clippers flew past the  Cleveland Cavaliers in Los Angeles on Saturday while shooting a season-best 62.4 percent from the field, two days after their showdown at Milwaukee ended with a 128-118 defeat to the Bucks. Note: The Clippers have gone over in 7 of their L/8 and in the  Clippers last 5 games they has seen a combined average of  235.4 ppg scored  Meanwhile, the Grizzlies guard Mike Conley, who scored 33 points in Saturday's 120-115 victory the Suns and now look to be in a groove offensively and should be able to hang here tonight in a game I have pegged to go over the set total. Note: The Grizzlies have gone over in 6 of their L/7 overall with a combined average of 225.2 ppg scored. These teams have gone over in the L/5 meetings here and one more OVER Im betting is on tonights agenda. 

Play OVER 

The San Antonio Spurs have secured a spot in the playoffs for the NBA-record-tying 22nd consecutive year, and there is no longer and urgency attached to their work, despite of still needing better seeding . Meanwhile, Sacramento has defeated the Spurs in both meetings this year and have shown they matchup well in this series, and very much look like viable underdogs in this spot. 

SACRAMENTO is 23-9 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season.SAN ANTONIO is 1-8 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points this season.

The Spurs are 0-17 ATS with 2+ days' rest when they are off a game as a home fav in which they scored 27.5%+ of their points from 3s and had a BAP of less than 75%. 

NBA Home teams (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points, off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite are 13-37 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover 

  The Oklahoma City Thunder learned Saturday night they're once again headed to the playoffs.Now today Im expecting this banged up and hobbled group to rest some of their player to extent this afternoon in a game that wont have alot of intensity attached to it. 

Luka Doncic is downgraded to OUT Sunday vs Oklahoma City ( Thigh ) and that will effect the Dallas offence here tonight. 

 None of the L/L/6 meetings in this series have eclipsed the 224 point opening total and at 221 we still have value. 

 UNDER 

The Bucks won the first meeting in this series this season in  Milwaukee 144-112 and smashed the Hawks 133-114 in the rematch in Atlanta. The Bucks have won six straight games against Atlanta and Im betting on more of the same one sided action here today against an Atlanta side the Bucks matchup very well against. 

The Bucks are 22-0 ATS as a road favorite after a game in which they rebounded less than 20% of their own misses and committed fewer than 22 fouls. 

The Hawks are 0-17 ATS /0-17 SU L/17 as a 8+ dog with less than two days rest off a game as a dog after scoring 14.5 or more points less than Vegas projected.

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 

Suns Emerging star  Devon  Booker scored 59 points in Monday's 125-92 road loss to the Utah Jazz and Im betting him and his team come out firing darts again and force Memphis into a faster paced game than thye might prefer. It must be noted that Memphis has really picked up their pace of late, and have been taking part in some more wide open games and that will be the case again tonight. In the Grizzlies L/5 games a combined average of 228.4 ppg have gone on the board and int their L/8 overall have allowed an average of 125 ppg. 

NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MEMPHIS) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 67-30 OVER  L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 

The Raptors look to be coasting to the finish line, as they reserve energy for the post season as they rest players. Tonight I expect the banged up Bulls, despite of being short handed to stay close enough to get us the cover as home dogs vs what could easily be a disinterested opponent. 

The Raptors are 0-12 ATS  after a game as a road favorite in which they were outscored in the paint by double-digits which happened last time out at NY vs the Knicks. 

Charlotte has been playing run and gun basketball for most of this season behind the 22nd ranked defensive rating. Meanwhile, the Lakers a team that is also defensively in the lower tier of the NBA ranked 24th in ppg allowed. Tonight Im betting on a Charlotte team chasing a play off spot to come out here with their hair on fire and to force the Lakers into firing away with some offensive fireworks of their own which Im betting leads to a fairly high scoring affair. 

CHARLOTTE is 8-0 OVER in road games when playing with 2 days rest this season with a combined average of 237.8 ppg scored. 

CHARLOTTE is 27-8 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season with a combined average of 229.3 ppg. CHARLOTTE is 13-3 OVER  in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 this season with a combined average of 230.1 ppg going on the board. 

 NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA LAKERS) - after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games are 125-68 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA LAKERS) - in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%), on Friday nights are 48-22 OVER L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the OVER 

Denver looked exhausted last night in Houston losing by DDs, and scoring only 85 points and in their previous two games scored 88 and 95 points. Im betting their scoring deficiencies on wobbly legs will manifest themselves again in what Im betting will be a much lower scoring game here in Oklahoma City than the lines- makers expect. 

DENVER is 9-1 UNDER  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season iwht a combined average of 211 ppg scored.DENVER is 11-2 UNDER  in March games this season with a combined average of 212.3 ppg gong on the board.

Donovan is 32-18 UNDER (+12.2 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY with a combined average of 214.9 ppg. 

Play on the UNDER 

The Celtics rank 8th in ppg allowed, and will go against a Indiana team that ranks 1st in ppg allowed and 23rd in pace, and 22nd in offensive output. Indiana has been struggling of late having lost 9 straight road games, which Im betting makes them even more conservative and methodical in their approach to this game, which will help  keep the combined score on the low side of the total. Note: INDIANA is 7-0 UNDER  after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with a combined average of 203.2 ppg scored.

INDIANA is 15-3 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 202.2 ppg scored.INDIANA is 11-2 UNDER in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 202.7 ppg scored.INDIANA is 22-7 UNDER  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 210.9 ppg going on the board. INDIANA is 21-6 UNDER in March games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.2 ppg scored. 

Under is 4-0 in Pacers last 4 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 7-1 in Pacers last 8 road games.Under is 7-1 in Pacers last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 9-2 in Pacers last 11 overall.Under is 13-3 in Pacers last 16 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 7-2 in Pacers last 9 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 24-7-1 in Pacers last 32 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 24-8 in Pacers last 32 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 6-2 in Pacers last 8 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Pacers last 7 games following a straight up loss.Under is 5-2 in Pacers last 7 games following a ATS loss.Under is 36-15 in Pacers last 51 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 26-12 in Pacers last 38 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Under is 13-5 in Celtics last 18 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 5-2 in Celtics last 7 home games.Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Boston.

Play on the UNDER 

Houston hosts Denver  tonight , needing a victory to clinch the season series and home-court advantage in  case of these teams being tied at the end of the season. With that said,Im expecting a hard fought physical affair with both teams knowing the importance of this game.  Recently the Rockets have been really been paying better attention to defence, and  as a result have gone under in 11 of their L/13 games in March with a combined average score of 212.5 ppg scored. Denver their opposition has also been playing more conservatively as have gone under in 10 of their 12 games in March with a combined average score of 213.7 ppg scored. DENVER is also 8-1 UNDER  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 213.4 ppg scored.  

Play UNDER 

The Rockets after losing last time out  to the Milwaukee Bucks  dropped four games behind the Denver Nuggets for the second seed in the Western Conference, and now will be primed for a big bounce back effort here at home against a team they have beaten 5 straight times at home. 

DENVER is 11-23 ATS against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.DENVER is 10-21 ATS in road games off a home win over the last 2 seasons.

HOUSTON is 10-1 ATS  in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders this season.

Play on Houston to cover ( LATE STEAM)

New York has an atrocious defence, especially of late as is evident by allowing 124.6 ppg in their L/5 trips to the hardwood. The explosive Raptors now come in ready to run and gun and keep their offensive flow going as the play offs approach, which will see them put a boatload full of points on the board here vs a team that could best be described as being in tank mode. I dont expect for their to be much defence on display tonight in a game I have pegged to eclipse the total.

TORONTO is 26-16 OVER versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average of 224.7 ppg scored. TORONTO is 14-4 OVER  after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 226.2 ppg scored.

NEW YORK is 11-2 OVER  in home games after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.1 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (TORONTO) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 44-14 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

 The Mavericks don't have anything left to play for, while, the Heat are in a chase for a play off spot. I don't think the Mavs will give the Heat a pass here, and will try to play spoilers in this spot, while the Heat will take no chances and put the pedal to the metal and will be ready to deliver a conclusive win and I don't think there will be any coasting to the finish line ,  if they get up,  which Im betting results in this score being eclipsed. 

Over is 5-2 in Mavericks last 7 vs. Eastern Conference. 

Over is 6-0 in Heat last 6 vs. Western Conference.Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 vs. NBA Southwest.Over is 12-4 in Heat last 16 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

Play OVER 

 In the frustrating 21-point loss at Orlando on Monday, the Sixers went nearly 12 minutes during one stretch without a field goal and there have been a few of those stretches lately, which could be signalling   an ominous flash sign of a imminent  scoring slump. Meanwhile, Brooklyn is off a 148-144 OT loss, to Portland last time out and could easily find themselves in a letdown spot that would see them revert  back closer to their season offensive road average of 110 ppg or less in  Philadelphia against a 76ers team that has  allowed 109 ppg at home. Note: BROOKLYN is 15-5 UNDER  after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games this season with a combined average score of 215.3 ppg scored.  

PHILADELPHIA is 16-6 UNDER in home games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216 ppg scored. 

 PHILADELPHIA is 19-8 UNDER  in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14  or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.9 ppg scored. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more are 25-4 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

Orlando has seen 12 of their L/14 games stay on the low side of the total behind a 24th ranked pace and a D that ranks 5th in the league in ppg allowed and a offence that ranks 25th . Meanwhile, Detroit ranks 28th in pace and 7th in defence and a offence ranked 23rd. With that said , despite of the new NBA featuring alot of offence, we are at a juncture in the season when teams like this vying for a play off spot are very stringent with their D, especially if all their successes and failures hinge on top tier defence like these combatants. 

ORLANDO is 19-7 UNDER in March games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 205.3 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (DETROIT) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog against opponent off a road win are 37-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play UNDER 

The Oklahoma City Thunder have not been playing well for over a month now, but they have shown some flashes of brilliance and must not be underestimated to win and cover tonight vs  Indiana team that embarrassed them the last time the teams met, as they blew a 19 point lead and loss . Now with redemption at hand , Im expecting a rallying call vs a  Pacers side that has struggled on the road of late, dropping eight consecutive games away from Bankers Life Fieldhouse.  Im now betting in an effort to get rid of the  sting of that  above mentioned ugly loss the Thunder will be primed to get redemption. 

INDIANA is 3-11 ATS ( in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

NBA Underdogs vs the money line (INDIANA) - in a game involving two horrible defensive teams (102 or more  PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 90 points or less are 9-60 L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors with the average margin point differential coming by-9.6 ppg. 

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, in March game are 38-6 SU L/5  seasons for a 87% conversion rate with the average margin point differential coming by +9.4 ppg. 

Oklahoma City to cover 

Chicago is expected to be without guard Zach LaVine (thigh) and forward Otto Porter Jr. (shoulder) tonight after playing  Tuesday's  game without them losing by a 112-103 score on the road.( If they do play they wil see limited time )The Bulls banged up and short handed will not be in any condition to run and gun and will instead try to formulate a more conservative game plan against a better team in Portland that is also playing without key guard CJ McCoullm which Im betting will result in a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse the total. 

CHICAGO is 22-13 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 214.5 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 9-1 UNDER  in home games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season this season with a combined average of 201.5 ppg. 

CHICAGO is 13-4 UNDER in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or  less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 208.2 ppg. 

NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CHICAGO) - after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games are 37-11 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play UNDER 

 The Wizards play a one way type of offensive basketball ranking 8th in scoring and 29th in ppg allowed,  and are well rested entering this game and will once again been in sprint mode vs a Lakers team that is ranked 24th in ppg allowed and ranks 3rd in pace. This one has all the makings of a back and forth offensive slugfest that will eclipse this number. 

WASHINGTON is 8-1 OVER  when playing with 2 days rest this season with a combined average of  240 ppg scored.

Also Washington was upset at home last time out, and when this has accorued recently the Wizards have blasted off on a torrid back forth pace in their followup,  Note: WASHINGTON is 8-1 OVER  off an upset loss as a home favorite this season with a combined average score of 242.3 ppg going on the board.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA LAKERS) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 54-21 OVER L/22seasons for a 72 % conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

 Play OVER  

 Detroit are on tired legs as they play their 5th straight road in game in the last 8 days. Needless to say that up here in the thin air of the Mile High city , they will be in no shape or form ready to run the floor, and instead will be conservative in their approach to this tilt which will directly effect the total output of this game. Considering that Denver owns the 26th ranked pace, it will be an easy decision to recommend a under wager.

Under is 12-4 in Pistons last 16 vs. Western Conference.Under is 19-8-1 in Pistons last 28 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

DETROIT is 25-13 UNDER  in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14  or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 208.8 ppg. DETROIT is 9-0 UNDER in road games after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.5 ppg scored. DETROIT is 27-7 UNDER (when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 206.9 ppg going on the board.DETROIT is 14-1 UNDER when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.2 ppg scored. DETROIT is 13-2 UNDER  after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 205.2 ppg scored.

Under is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 10-1 in Nuggets last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 8-1 in Nuggets last 9 games following a ATS loss.Under is 6-1 in Nuggets last 7 home games.Under is 6-1 in Nuggets last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 5-1 in Nuggets last 6 games following a straight up loss.Under is 16-5 in Nuggets last 21 overall. 

DENVER is 16-3 UNDER  after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots this season with a combine average of 210 ppg scored. 

Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DENVER) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in March games are 156-85 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play UNDER 

When the teams met earlier this season  Milwaukee took a 116-109 in Houston on Jan. 9. Now as the season starts to wind down and the play offs approach I look for a more defensive style game, that will help see this total stay under the set total. Note: HOUSTON is 8-0 UNDER  revenging a home loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 204.3 ppg scored.

 HOUSTON is 11-3 UNDER  in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 217.6 ppg going on the board. HOUSTON is 16-5 UNDER  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  70% or more ) over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 212.9 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 9-1 UNDER  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 210.8 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (HOUSTON) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 47-13 UNDER L/ 22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MILWAUKEE) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival against opponent off a road win by 10 points or more are 37-12 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

Two rebuilding teams with no play off expectations g head to head tonight in the Bayou.   Atlanta has won two consecutive games against playoff teams and New Orleans has lost two consecutive games against playoff contenders.The Pelicans have lost eight of their last nine games, including a 128-116 loss to the Hawks on March 10 in Atlanta.Meanwhile, Atlanta is off two huge upset wins vs Utah and Philadelphia last time out by a 129-127 mark, and Im betting now will be in a huge let down spot. Note: NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ATLANTA) - lower tier defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season, after a close win by 3 points or less are 63-115 ATS L/22 seasons for a 65% long term go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Also NBA team vs the money line (ATLANTA) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a home underdog, on Tuesday nights are 5-26 SU 22 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate. I know the Pelicans dont have alot to play for but taking out another young team that has pulled off some upsets will be a ego boost for them and Im betting they play a motivated game here and get the win and cover.

Play on New Orleans Pelicans to cover 

In the new NBA where high scoring affairs are very normal, a high total like this does not hold as much value as it once did for sharp under bettors.  Now the smart money recognizes the long term value of crushing totals like this based on obvious data observations. Tonight with Atlanta a team with the worst ppg defence in the league behind the 2nd fastest pace, we have a situation that bodes well for a very high scoring game. With both these teams New Orleans and Atlanta playing for very  little other than padding personal stats, Im really expecting an all star game type output . The Pelicans rank 3rd in ppg offence and 27th in ppg allowed and 4th in pace and will more than ready to run and gun here with the visitors. There will be no call for defence, defence , defence in this one. 

Play OVER 

The Orlando Magic, visit the Miami Heat on Tuesday night in a game with serious playoff implications and that Im betting will be a hard fought affair that makes taking the points golden. The Magic showed their prowess last night in a win vs Philadelphia at home in the Magic kingdom and will be primed to keep rolling tonight in their quest for a play off spot. Orlando currently on a 5 game win streak, are 4-1 SU/ATS in their L/5 visits to South Florida and get my support in this spot. 

Heat are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Heat are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 vs. NBA Southeast.Heat are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 Tuesday games.

Play on Orlando to cover 

Memphis ranks 30th in pace in the NBA , 30th in ppg on offence and 2nd in ppg allowed .  Their home scoring out put on the season at home clicks in at 103 ppg and have allowed 102 ppg at as hosts during the current campaign.  Meanwhile, Oklahoma City is ranked 4th in defensive efficiency in the league, and of late have been trying to pay alot more attention to defence as the play offs approach. With that said, Im betting these two teams current state of hoops operation gives us an edge with an under wager in this spot play.

MEMPHIS is 32-19 UNDER  versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season with a combined average of 207.3 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 12-4 UNDER  when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season with a combined average of 203.1 ppg.

  MEMPHIS is 8-0 UNDER  in home games after allowing 110 points or more 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons and 13-1 UNDER  in home games after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 16-3 UNDER  after having lost 4 of their last 5 games this season with a combined average of 202 ppg.

NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MEMPHIS) - after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 105 points or more 5 straight games are 34-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

Orlando has won 4 straight home games during their current 5 game home stand. Im betting that tonight against Philadelphia in their 5th straight home game, that the wrong team is favored. I . know the Sixers have the better record and the higher profile player personell but the Magic are playing great cohesive basketball and exhibiting a great deal of chemistry and deserve respect here defending home court against the Sixers side, that is just 17-18 ATS overall on the road this season. It must also be noted that the Sixers are off a exhausting back and forth tilt vs the at Atlanta last time out that they looked a little tanked in from the start. 

ORLANDO is 11-3 ATS  against Atlantic division opponents this season. 

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA) - after scoring 110 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 36-63 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Orlando to cover 

I was waiting to see if LeBron James was going to play tonight for the Lakers and now that he is probable Ill pull the trigger on a over bet. Sacramento and LAL both are both fast paced teams with the Lakers ranking 4th and the Kings ranking 1st. With that said, Im betting on these sides coming at each other with a full head of steam and combine for total score that eclipses this number.

The Lakers beat the Kings 121-114 here on Dec 30 this season.SACRAMENTO is 12-4 OVER in road games revenging a loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 239 ppg scored. In the two most recent meetings in this series this season these teams scored an average of 234 ppg. 

Play OVER 

Detroit HC Dwane Casey exhausted his starters   in a game that started late last night. The Pistons then had to make the 90-minute flight into the San Francisco Bay Area, finally getting settled well into the morning on a day in which they're scheduled for an early (5:30 p.m. Pacific) start. The Pistons now on tired legs and dealing with unfortunate scheduling just wont be up to playing the physical brand of D, thye need to to be able to slow the Warriors down. Im betting on Golden State off a ugly 91 point output last time out to  really rev things up here and to put a boatload full of points on the board in a game I have pegged to go over the total. 

DETROIT is 7-0 OVER  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season. with a combined average o f223.9 ppg scored. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (GOLDEN STATE) - off an upset loss as a home favorite of 10 points or more are 38-12 OVER L/5  seasons for a 76% conversion rate. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DETROIT) - after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten game are 122-80 OVER L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

The Pacers are leagues No.1 team in ppg allowed at 104.2 and own the 23rd ranked pace and just 22nd in offence  and base all their successes and failures on their D and nothing will change tonight against a Denver team that is extremely tired as they play their 3rd road game in 4 days. Im betting on the Pacers defensive prowess and the Nuggets tired legs to contribute a muted total score that fails to eclipse this total. 

 
INDIANA is 7-0 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 203.5 ppg scored.McMillan is 15-4 UNDER  in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) as the coach of INDIANA with a combined average of 205.7 ppg scored.

NBA home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (INDIANA) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in March games are 154-83 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (DENVER) - extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 51-18 UNDER  L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on UNDER 

Giannis Antetokounmpo is questionable for tonight and if he plays could see limited time thanks to some less than serious nagging ankle issues.The Bucks suffered another setback Saturday night with reports that center Pau Gasol will miss the rest of the regular season with an injured left ankle. This could take away  from the Bucks flow tonight which will directly effect overall offensive output, which in turn will help keep this score at the lower end of the spectrum. Also considering that the Bucks own the leagues No.1 defensive efficiency rate , a Cleveland team that ranks 29th in pace and and 29th in offensive output could easily find themselves dragging along here in a sleeper game than many expect.

MILWAUKEE is 11-3 UNDER versus lower tier teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game this season with a combined average of 220.3 ppg scored. 

CLEVELAND is 11-1 UNDER  after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.4 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

The Grizzlies are 7-3 in their last 10 home games and  it   began with a 108-106 victory  over Minnesota on Feb. 5.  Note: MINNESOTA is 12-1 OVER   revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite this season with a combined average of 238.5 ppg scored.With that said, Im betting the Wolves come here and force, and push the Grizzlies into a back and forth scoring fest , which the Grizzlies have looked comfortable in of late with their last four games seeing a combined 249.7 ppg scored with all four easily going over the set total.

Play on the OVER 

Utah ranks 2nd in defensive rating in the NBA  and just 19th in offensive output, thus making playing defensive hoops a priority. The Jazz have kept 4 of their L/7 opponents under the 98 point plateau and Im betting will be ready to once again play some staunch defensive hoops in this spot vs the Bulls. Considering the Bulls are ranked 27th in offence in the league this season behind the 20th ranked pace , I wont be surprised if their output is limited, which in turn will help keep this score on the low side of the total. 

 CHICAGO is 21-12 UNDER  when the total is 210 to 219.5 this season. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CHICAGO) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after a loss by 6 points or less are 69-33 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

It looks like LeBron James  will play tonight for the struggling Lakers, but even with him on the floor the team does not look motivated or very fluent offensively . It must be noted the Lakers failed to eclipse the 100 point plateau in 3 of their L/7 games. Meanwhile, Brooklyn is off a tenacious DD come from   behind victory vs Sacramento last time out for a win and will be in a natural letdown spot and on tired legs as they play their 5th straight road game. 

LA LAKERS are 21-5 UNDER  after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season with a combined average of 219.3 ppg going on the board.

BROOKLYN is 14-4 UNDER after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games this season with a combined average of 210.9 ppg scored. ( Prior to those games the Nets looked tired and failed to eclipse the 100 point plateau in their first two road games of this trip)

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BROOKLYN) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in March games are 71-31 UNDER L22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

The Heat Marched into San Antonio and ended the Spurs 9 game home winning streak last time out, and  have shown a propensity to be dangerous in the followup  as they are  12-3 ATS off an upset win as an underdog this season. The Heat should also be wide awake after   the Bucks  came back from 20 points at half time last week and win by a 113-98 count and will be in revenge mode and looking . for redemption for that embarrassment ( . Note: MIAMI is 13-3 ATS  in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. I waited around for most of the day looking for +9 to show back up again, but to much sharp money coming in is sinking this number to the 8.5 to 8 range. Still plenty of value here with the Heat in their current form against a Milwaukee Bucks team that will be careful with their super star the Greek Freak (  Giannis Antetokounmpo) is suffering with a nagging ankle injury. 

MIAMI is 22-10 ATS  in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season and is 12-4 ATS  in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season. 

MILWAUKEE is 11-22 ATS  in home games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA team (MIAMI) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent against opponent off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite are 59-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Miami to cover 

It's no secret that Indianas successes and failures on their ability-to play a top tier brand of the hoops.  The Pacers rank 1 in ppg allowed in the NBA 24th and pace and 22nd in offence. Tonight against the explosive Warriors their D, and conservative transitional game Im betting will be on full display. INDIANA is 21-6 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season with a combined average of 211.2 ppg. INDIANA is 23-7 UNDER  versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 206.9 ppg. 

As the Warriors prepare for the play offs Defence, has become very important as  is evident by  GOLDEN STATE going 8-0 UNDER L/8 in March games this season  and 20-8 UNDER (after 4 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons. 

The Warriors are 1-17 on the UNDER as a home 8+ favorite with less than two days rest facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game.

The Pacers are 0-10 L/10 UNDER as a road dog off a loss when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (INDIANA) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in March games are 69-31 UNDER  L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in March games are 106-53 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 67% long term conversion rate.

Play UNDER 

Im one of those guys who   believes that the Oklahoma City Thunder have what it takes to hang with the best teams from both the west and the eastern conferences despite of a downturn of late and are worth of us laying points with them here tonight vs the Toronto Raptors.

Note: The Raptors are off a 128 -92 beatdown which is not a good omen for their chances here tonight vs a side trying to recalibrate and are desperate for positive momentum before the reg season winds down. 

Raptors are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win.Raptors are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.

TORONTO is 3-13 ATS  in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. TORONTO is 11-21 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season.The Raptors are 4-27 ATS L/31 with less than two days rest facing an opponent averaging more than 12 offensive rebounds. 

NBA Favorites (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points against opponent off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 32-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, good ball handling team (14.5  or less TO's) against an average pressure defensive team (14.5-16.5 TO's are 124-32 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average point diff of 9.4 ppg. 

Play on Oklahoma city to cover 

The Bulls put up a nice defensive effort vs Phoenix last time out in a 116-111 win and Im betting they will continue to pay attention in transition, and force the run and gun Wizards out of their comfort zone with a more precise pace. This will result in a score that remains on the low side of the total.

The Wizards are 0-11 UNDER L/11 as a favorite with less than two days rest when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home with a combined average of 201 ppg scored.

Under is 4-0 in Wizards last 4 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 11-5-1 in Wizards last 17 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 5-0 in Wizards last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.

CHICAGO is 13-4 UNDER  in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season with a combined average of 214.4 ppg. CHICAGO is 9-1 UNDER in home games after a non-conference game this season with a combined average of 208.4 ppg scored.The Bulls are 4-20-1 UNDER L/25 as a dog with rest off a win in which they had an assist percentage at least 10 worse than their season-to-date average with non of the games eclipsing this total.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (CHICAGO) - in a game involving two horrible defensive teams (47% or more ) after 42+ games, in a game involving two poor rebounding teams (-3 to -5.5 reb/game) are 26-4 UNDER L/22seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 204.6 ppg scored.

Play on the UNDER 

 Washington defeated the Bulls  134-125  at Chicago last month and Im betting on a repeat performance tonight as they chase a play off birth in desperation mode.  The Wizards cannot afford losses .  Meanwhile, the Bulls are off a win last time out vs the Suns, but that not a great omen for them here as CHICAGO is 1-10 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins this season. 

CHICAGO is also  2-10 ATS L/12 in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season and a 4-13 ATS L/17 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season.

Play on the Wash Wizards to cover 

Atlanta is one of the few teams that has had some  success in "slowing" Houston's James Harden. With Harden a little banged up after straining his neck again in last trip to the hardwood, the young Hawks could find a way to slow him again, which will give them a strong chance at covering as home dogs in this spot.The Hawks explosive offence has averaged 123.1 points in their first 12 games since the All-Star Game, but only 91 on Sunday, but Im betting they bounce back here in this spot play. 

HOUSTON is 8-20 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons and is 4-12 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.HOUSTON is 6-14 ATS  as a road favorite this season. Atlanta has covered 14 of the L/20 meetings between these franchises. 

NBA Underdogs (ATLANTA) - in a game involving two average shooting teams (43.5-45.5%), after 3 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent are 31-10 ATS L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on Atlanta to cover 

The Sixers took out the Milwaukee Bucks in a 130-125 offensive slugfest yesterday , and will now be in a natural letdown spot, and less than ready to run and gun vs a Charlotte side that is off a   93-75 loss at Miami on Sunday .The Hornets are 7-28 L/35  UNDER with rest off a loss in a road game in which they had more turnovers than assists wth a combined average of 190.3 ppg scored.

Im now expecting the Sixers a team that HC Brown has said needs to pay more attention to the defensive end as the play offs come closer to practice stringent defence in transition .  It must also be noted that the 76ers are 8-1 UNDER  in road games versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average 218 ppg scored.

The Seventysixers are 0-11-1 UNDER L/12 on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest after playing as a road dog facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with the combined average score of 205.3 ppg going on the board.

PHILADELPHIA is 18-6 UNDER  after a combined score of 245 points or more with a combined average of 205.5 ppg.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHILADELPHIA) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 41-14 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER 

The Portland Trail Blazers' starting lineup will  be missing a key cog Monday night when the Indiana Pacers come into Oregon.The Blazers will be without starting shooting guard CJ McCollum( knee injury) which will effect the flow of this game for the Blazers offensively. The guard averages 21.3 ppg .  This will in turn directly effect the total offensive output of this tilt vs a defensive minded eastern conference team in the Pacers. Note: INDIANA is 22-6 UNDER ( versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 206.4 ppg scored.INDIANA is 11-2 UNDER  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 197.7 ppg scored.

Under is 6-0 in Pacers last 6 overall.Under is 4-0 in Pacers last 4 road games.Under is 4-0 in Pacers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 4-0 in Pacers last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Pacers last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Pacers last 5 games following a straight up loss.Under is 21-6-1 in Pacers last 28 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 10-3 in Pacers last 13 vs. NBA Northwest.Under is 23-8 in Pacers last 31 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 22-8 in Pacers last 30 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 5-2 in Pacers last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 37-17 in Pacers last 54 games following a ATS win.Under is 64-30-1 in Pacers last 95 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 47-23 in Pacers last 70 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

The Trailblazers are 0-12 UNDER L/12 at home off a loss in which they had at least 15 more shots than their opponent with a combined average of 190.3 ppg scored

The Trailblazers are 4-21 UNDER L/25 as a home favorite off a loss in a road game in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers with a combined average of 189 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

This is Chicagos fourth game in week and their on tired legs , while, this is the Suns 3rd game in 4 nights, with their last game going into OT on the road. Fatigue here at this juncture of the season, as well as past trends in matchups like this give us value with a under wager. 

The Suns are 0-8 OU L/9 at home off a game as a dog in which they had overtime with a combined average of 202.7 ppg scored and  is 8-0 UNDER  versus struggling  teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 216.6 ppg scored.

CHICAGO is 23-12 UNDER  versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 211 ppg going on the board.The Bulls are 6-26 UNDER L/32 when the line is within 3 of pick off a road game in which their opponent shot over 50% from the field with a combined average of 189.1 ppg scored.

NBA team (PHOENIX) - off a road win by 3 points or less, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 94-53 UNDER L/64% L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CHICAGO) - after 3 or more consecutive losses, in March games and are 105-52 UNDER  L/22 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

The Bulls defeated Phoenix 124-116 on Nov. 21 as hosts. LaVine scored 29 points for Chicago and according to my power rankings matches up very  well vs the Suns. The Suns are 0-12-1 ATS (/0-13 SU off a win as a road dog when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road. NBA favorites (PHOENIX) - in non-conference games, off an upset win as a road underdog are 73-121 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. ( Suns beat Pelicans in OT last time out on the road)

PHOENIX is 1-8 ATS  in home games after playing 2 consecutive road games this season.

CHICAGO is 21-8 ATS  in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 

The Spurs have won 10 straight at home and are a season-best 12 games over .500 and are viable bets here as hosts in their current form, yes even against the defending Golden State Warriors.The Spurs and Warriors have split their two meetings this season, with both winning at home and Im betting the host side will hold serve again. SAN ANTONIO is 25-5 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent this season and s 21-3 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points this season and 21-3 revenging a road loss overall  and also 8-1 ATS  revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season. (GS beat SA at home on Jan 6 141-102 in merciless fashion and now pay back is at hand)

GOLDEN STATE is 9-25 ATS  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The Warriors are 0-13 ATS /1-12 SU L/13 when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls per game with the lone win coming by 1 point.The Warriors are 1-17-1 ATS /2-17 SU on the road with rest off a game as a dog in which their opponent shot under 40% from the field.

SAN ANTONIO is 13-4 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season. 

Play on the San Antonio spurs to cover 

Miami beat Charlotte at home Sunday, holding the Hornets to a season-low 75 points. Tonight however, on tired legs that kind of effort Im betting wont come close to happening, as the Thunder will bring out the big guns behind the 3rd ranked pace  in an effort not to play to the Heats preferred method of hoops which right now seems methodical ranking 25th in pace behind an offence that ranks 25th in offensive output.Note: Oklahoma City won the first meeting between the teams, 118-102, on Feb. 1 in Miami, and Im betting on a similar output here tonight. 

The Thunder are 12-1 OVER as a favorite off a loss as a favorite in which they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers with a combined average of 229.1 ppg scored. 

Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 vs. Western Conference.Over is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 vs. NBA Southeast.

Play on the OVER 

Im betting on a big time back and forth offensive battle here tonight with the total being eclipsed. Both these teams have played decent defence of late, but this will will morph out of control just because of the kind of energy that will be exerted here and the fact that after getting clobbered by Golden State 141-102 in an earlier meeting the Spurs will come out here with all guns blazing in ok coral revenge  style hoops . GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 OVER after game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 35% or less over the last 3 seasons which happened last time out vs Oklahoma City l, with the combined average score of those follow up games Clicking in at 236.7 ppg. The Warriors are also 9-0 L/9 OVER as a road favorite off a road win in which Stephen Curry attempted more three pointers than two pointers with a combined average of 244.8 ppg scored. 

Over is 9-3 in Spurs last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Play OVER