NBA Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
11-09-21 | Hawks v. Jazz OVER 221.5 | 98-110 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
The Hawks will match up with the Utah Jazz for the 2nd time this week. Utah won the first meeting 116-98 but Im betting on a aggregate of 10 more points on the board here according to my projections thus giving value to an over bet. Part of this assessment is based on the Jazz expecting to have Mike Conley back in the lineup which aid in offensive flow. Add to that Atlanta has allowed each of its past seven opponents to score between 111 and 127 points and we have a large output expectation here. ATLANTA is 31-13 OVER after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons a combined average of 232.4 ppg scored. Over is 5-0 in Hawks last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 10-2 in Jazz last 12 games as a home favorite. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 48-17 L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (UTAH) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 37-13 L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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11-08-21 | Suns v. Kings +3 | 109-104 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
The Kings lost last night to the Indiana Pacers, but Sacramento has proved resilient off a loss lately going 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss. Meanwhile, the Suns will be without Deandre Ayton and that Im betting messes with their offensive flow and their ability to beat a well conditioned Kings team. Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. SACRAMENTO is 15-2 ATS in November games over the last 3 seasons. PHOENIX is 15-31 ATS after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games are 24-4 ATS L/25 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Favorites (PHOENIX) - after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 43 points or less in the first half last game are 15-43 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors, NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days, in November games are 71-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Suns are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Play on Sacramento to cover |
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11-08-21 | Hawks v. Warriors -3 | 113-127 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
Atlanta has lost 6 of their L/7 and are not in good form coming into this game against a Golden state side has won 8 of 9 games. Hawks are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 road games and are fade material in this spot play vs a Warriors side that is in triple revenge mode. ATLANTA is 3-12 ATS in road games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 free or less throws/game over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 4-15 ATSin road games versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing 15 or more turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
NBA Road teams (ATLANTA) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games against opponent after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games are 23-51 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Golden State to cover |
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11-08-21 | Pelicans v. Mavs UNDER 214 | 92-108 | Win | 100 | 1 h 27 m | Show | |
The Pelicans have lost 6 straight thanks to a lack off offensive flow, and Im betting nothing changes tonight as they play a Dallas team that is playing a strong brand of defense at the moment. With that said, Im betting on a combined score that fails to eclipse this number. DALLAS is 12-3 UNDER in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game over the last 2 seasons. Under is 5-0-1 in Mavericks last 6 games as a favorite. DALLAS is 29-12 UNDER L/41 in home games versus struggling teams - shooting 43% or less with a defense of 46% or more. NEW ORLEANS is 12-2 UNDER in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons. Under is 5-0 in Pelicans last 5 games as a road underdog.
NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (NEW ORLEANS/DALLAS) - in a game involving two poor three point shooting teams (33% or less), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 40-12 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. |
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11-08-21 | Nets v. Bulls -1.5 | 95-118 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
This is Brooklyns 3rd game in 4 nights and enter this contest with no rest after playing last night in Toronto with tonight being their 2nd straight of back to back road tilts. Needless to say they are vulnerable here in Chicago on tired legs. Nets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. Bulls are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (BROOKLYN) - a struggling offensive team (104-108 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (104 or less PPG), after a win by 6 points or less are 49-101 SU L/25 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover |
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11-08-21 | Wolves +6 v. Grizzlies | 118-125 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
The Timberwolves are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 road games and are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 including 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. The Wolves remain competitive beyond the expectations of the lines-makers and deserve respect here vs a Memphis side, that are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record. are 25-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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11-07-21 | Cavs +7.5 v. Knicks | 126-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Cleveland has won 6 of their L/8 games including 3 straight and are up-trending in my power rankings. They are off a tenacious road win vs the Raptors last time out and once again deserve respect as underdogs here in NY vs the Knicks. Meanwhile, the Knicks after some uneven performances took a big road win vs the Milwaukee Bucks last time out, which will have them in a letdown spot . Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. NBA team vs the money line (CLEVELAND) - averaging 45 or less rebounds/game on the season, on Sunday games are 49-23 L/25 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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11-07-21 | Bucks v. Wizards OVER 221 | 94-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Milwaukee because of some injury issues have been less than fluid offensively lately and that has resulted in a string of unders. However, Budenholzer has been repeating a mantra of late that his team needs to be more aggressive, and after their loss to NYK at home last time out, Im betting we see exactly what the HC is calling for. With Washington getting into a offensive flow of late, Im betting on a higher scoring game than the lines-makers may anticipate. Over is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. WASHINGTON is 10-1 OVER in home games versus teams who attempt 39 or more 3 point shots/game on the season with a combined average of 246.3 ppg scored. Over is 4-0 in Wizards last 4 games as a home underdog.Over is 6-1 in Wizards last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Over is 13-3 in Wizards last 16 games following a straight up win.Over is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 games following a ATS win.Over is 21-6 in Wizards last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MILWAUKEE) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 42-16 OVER L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rater for bettors. Bucks and Wizards have gone over in 8 straight meetings. Play OVER |
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11-07-21 | Nets v. Raptors +3.5 | 116-103 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
Toronto had a 5 game win streak end last time vs Cleveland in a 1 point loss. Now Im betting on a motivated bounce back effort against a Brooklyn side that is on a 4 game win streak, and vulnerable here to being upset by a Raptors side that are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.Nets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest. TORONTO is 3-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons here in TO. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TORONTO) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 61-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BROOKLYN) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 9-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover |
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11-06-21 | 76ers +3.5 v. Bulls | 114-105 | Win | 100 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
The Sixers will look for a sixth consecutive win they travel to to take on the Chicago Bulls on Saturday.76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall . Meanwhile, the Bulls fell behind by double figures in their last two games. They managed to erase a 19-point deficit vs Boston but against tonights competition the Sixers they could not complete the comeback, and as a result of those two games Im betting the Bulls will be on tired legs and on the flip-side Im betting the Sixers will be more vigilant this time around. Advantage Philadelphia. CHICAGO is 13-25 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. NBA Favorites (CHICAGO) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 75% or better ) are just 14-40 L/25 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons including 2-0 here in Illinois. Play on Philadelphia 76ers to cover |
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11-05-21 | Pacers v. Blazers -3 | 106-110 | Win | 100 | 15 h 49 m | Show | |
The Pacers have won back-to-back games following a 1-6 start but after watching them I still feel there is not a sufficient amount of flow and team chemistry might be an issue. Its early in the season to make that kind of statement, and things may eventually even out for the Pacers but for now they have alot of wrinkles to iron out, and this is not a good matchup for them according to my power rankings. The Blazers have won 11 of the L/12 meetings here SU with the lone loss coming last season, making this a revenge spot for them. Trail Blazers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Pacers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. INDIANA is 13-26 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons Pacers are 3-14 ATS in the last 17 overall meetings. NBA Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a road favorite, first half of the season are 24-1 L/25 seasons for a 96% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.6 ppg. Play on Portland to cover |
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11-05-21 | Cavs v. Raptors -5.5 | 102-101 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
The Raptors are heating up as is evident by 5 straight wins, and matchup well here vs a Cleveland side that despite of up-trending are on tired legs as they prepare to play their 6th road game in their L/7 trips to the hardwood. Toronto has won 5 of the L/6 meetings here at the ACC center in this seres and have covered 4 straight times and tonight Im betting we ride their current momentum to another win and cover.Cavaliers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on Toronto to cover |
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11-05-21 | Nets v. Pistons +10.5 | 96-90 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
The Brooklyn Nets haven't gone on the road for nearly two weeks and Im betting they're equilibrium and energy levels will take time to adjust to being-on the road and going without proverbial home cooking. The Pistons got smacked around the when they played 117-91 on Halloween night vs the Nets and now Im betting they get up enough gumption to redeem themselves at least from a competitive standpoint. DETROIT is 16-5 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (DETROIT) - struggling team - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game, in November games are 107-61 ATS L/25 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (BROOKLYN) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a struggling team (25% or less) are 125-189 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Motown to cover |
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11-04-21 | Thunder +14.5 v. Lakers | 107-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
The Thunders only win of the season came against the Lakers, and Im betting they wont be taken down easily tonight vs a side that has a tendency of taking nights off vs lower tier sides. OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-6 ATS in road games off 2 or more consecutive road losses. LA LAKERS are 4-14 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. LA LAKERS are 1-10 ATS off 2 or more consecutive home wins over the last 2 seasons. LA LAKERS are 9-24 ATS when the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons. LA LAKERS are 13-25 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - horrible team - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game, in November games are 106-61 ATS L/25 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Oklahoma City to cover |
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11-04-21 | 76ers v. Pistons OVER 208.5 | 109-98 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
Detroit is the only team shooting below 40 percent (39.4), and is even worse behind the 3-point arc (26.7 percent, also worst in the NBA) and because of this the lines-makers have under estimated the Totals number here. This kind of ineptness is bound to recoil on the upide of the output markers. Philadelphia took a 110-102 victory vs the Pistons at home last Thursday and my estimate makes the Total closer to 212 which according to those projections makes for a viable over wager here.Over is 6-0 in Pistons last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Detroit and 7-0 OVER L/7 overall meetings. Rinse and repeat to the over in play here. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DETROIT) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or more on the season, after a game where a team made 35% of their shots or worse are 77-37 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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11-03-21 | Nuggets +1.5 v. Grizzlies | 106-108 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
Memphis opened the two-game set against the Nuggets with a 106-97 victory on Monday, and now Im betting on the Nuggets to get redemption in this spot play. The Nuggets looked tired last time out QUOTE: "I didn't think we were ready to play," Malone said. "I think we had some guys that looked like they had no energy out there, just kind of fatigued, tired or whatever you want to call it." END QUOTE: Im expecting a big bounce back effort tonight. Malone is 34-19 ATS in road games off a road loss as the coach of DENVER. Grizzlies are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win. Grizzlies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover |
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11-03-21 | Clippers v. Wolves UNDER 215.5 | 126-115 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
The Clippers have not breached the 100 point plateau in 3 straight games, while the Wolves have not scored more than 98 points in 4 of their L/5 overall. Clippers also own the 6th best 'ppg defense and the 26th ranked ppg offense and 27th ranked offensive efficiency. Meanwhile, the Wolves rank 7th in ppg allowed and 25 in ppg scored offense. Everything points to a lower scoring affair. MINNESOTA is 15-5 UNDER versus struggling offensive teams - scoring 108 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 214.7 ppg. MINNESOTA is 10-0 UNDER in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 211.9 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 22-9 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. NBA team (MINNESOTA) - after scoring 100 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 100 points or less 3 straight games are 24-2 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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11-03-21 | Clippers v. Wolves +1 | 126-115 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
Neither side is inspiring bettors but home court advantage Im betting will be the difference maker here this evening. Clippers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win. Timberwolves are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Timberwolves are 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up loss.Timberwolves are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite against opponent off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite are 29-6 L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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11-02-21 | Kings v. Jazz -9 | 113-119 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 30 m | Show | |
The Jazz are already operating in mid season form as they bring a 5-1 record into this tilt with the 5 wins coming by 9 or more points. The Jazz have defeated Sacramento five times in a row and more importantly have covered the all important number all 5 times including a 110-101 win on the road back on Oct 22. The Kings small ball style of play is something that Utah is and has been prepared to deal with. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here this evening. Kings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Jazz are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.Jazz are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG) are 48-20 ATS L/25 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Play on the Utah Jazz to cover |
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11-02-21 | Heat v. Mavs +2.5 | 125-110 | Loss | -104 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
The Mavs are looking like a viable side , especially at home, where they are 3-0, so far on the season , winning 4 of their L/5 tilts. The Mavs in their current form are more than capable of covering and or upsetting the streaking Heat that despite of being on a 4 game win streak, are on tired legs as they play their 4th game in 6 nights including their 3rd road game. Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 8-28 ATS L/25 seasons for a 78% go against conversion rate . NBA Road favorites (MIAMI) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, playing with 2 days rest are 17-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Dallas Mavs to cover |
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11-01-21 | Bulls v. Celtics UNDER 217.5 | 128-114 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
Chicago ranks 4th in ppg allowed D, and have shown themselves to be methodical in their approach ranking 22nd in pace and Im betting . Meanwhile, the Celtics despite of some tainted numbers are also running at a slower pace ranking 14th in the league. My projections have estimated this Totals offering to be off by almost a full possession to the under at 215 giving us value on this offered number. CHICAGO is 17-7 UNDER when the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 209.6 ppg . CHICAGO is 14-3 UNDER against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.5 ppg scored. Under is 8-1 in Bulls last 9 games as an underdog.Under is 6-1 in Bulls last 7 road games.Under is 14-3 in Bulls last 17 overall. Under is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 games as a favorite. Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (CHICAGO) - off a home win, marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games are 41-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for 72% conversion rate. Play on UNDER |
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11-01-21 | Spurs v. Pacers -2.5 | 118-131 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
I know Indiana has been struggling of late, but according to my power rankings the Pacers style vs style algorithms matchup well vs San Antonio here at home. Spurs are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Pacers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (INDIANA) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 30-1 L/25 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.9 ppg which qualifies ATS on this offered number. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG) are 62-29 ATS L/25 seasons for 68% conversion rate. Play on Indiana to cover |
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10-31-21 | Pistons +12 v. Nets | 91-117 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Detroit won last night and has some momentum coming into this tilt and now face a Brooklyn side off a win last time out as well, but their play overall has been uneven. Also in the recent past the Nets have used games against lower tier opponents like a defacto night off, and overlooked those sides. Note: BROOKLYN is 0-8 ATS when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% or less) over the last 2 seasons. Nets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.Nets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (DETROIT) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, bad team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games are 19-11 SU L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. Play on Detroit Pistons to cover |
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10-31-21 | Jazz v. Bucks +2 | 107-95 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
The loss last night by the Bucks to the Spurs was their second straight defeat at home and now Im betting the Bucks will come in here ready to get some redemption vs one of the NBAs top teams the Milwaukee Bucks. Meanwhile, the Jazz after opening their season with a 4-0 record lost last night in Chicago by a 107-90 score and looked a little wiped as the game progressed, which does not bode well for them here in a tough road environment. Hey I know their host Milwaukee are also on the tired side of the tracks, but overall on younger legs the defending champs have the edge. Jazz are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest. Bucks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. MILWAUKEE is 28-13 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons. MILWAUKEE is 8-0 ATS in home games on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MILWAUKEE) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (33% or less), in a game involving two good ball handling team (14.5 or more TO's) are 113-67 ATS L/25 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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10-31-21 | Kings v. Mavs UNDER 219.5 | 99-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Dallas has started this season paying special attention to defense and that has resulted in 5 straight unders. The Mavericks are ranked 8th in ppg allowed and 24th in pace and dead last in offensive output. Meanwhile, Sacramento runs at a faster pace, but will have their flow curtailed here which Im betting results in a combined score that remains on the low side of the offered number. Note: Afternoon NBA games also generally have a tendency of being slower events. Under is 6-0 in Kings last 6 Sunday games.Under is 4-0 in Kings last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 8-1 in Kings last 9 games as a road underdog.Under is 21-5-1 in Kings last 27 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 5-0 in Mavericks last 5 overall.Under is 5-0 in Mavericks last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Mavericks last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Mavericks last 4 home games. Under is 12-3 in Mavericks last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. NBA team (DALLAS) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 72-36 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER NBA team (DALLAS) - an excellent defensive team (104 or less PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 112-63 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Play on the UNDER |
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10-30-21 | Cavs +10 v. Suns | 92-101 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
Cleveland had a 3 game win streak halted vs the Lakers last time out, but I have liked their form this season, and my power rankings have as well, and with that said Im betting we have an edge on the line vs a Suns team that is exhibiting a major Championship finals hangover. as is evident by their 1-4 record to start the season. Suns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, bad team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games are 19-11 SU L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams (CLEVELAND) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 PPG or less differential) are 40-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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10-30-21 | Knicks v. Pelicans UNDER 215 | 123-117 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
The Pelicans played and lost last night, and are now on tired legs . Add to that their offensive flow without Zion Williamson is muted ranking 27th in ppg offensive average and you have a situation where points will be hard to come by vs a staunch defensive side that plays a good portion of their games in a slow paced environment. note: Knicks rank 26th in pace in the NBA Under is 5-0-1 in Pelicans last 6 games as a home underdog.Under is 5-0 in Pelicans last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. NEW YORK is 9-0 UNDER versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 195.2 ppg scored. NEW YORK is 20-9 UNDER after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons of 210.5 ppg. Under is 9-2 in Knicks last 11 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (NEW YORK) - after a game where they covered the spread, a top-level team ( 75% or better) playing a struggling team (25% or less ) are 31-9 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 78% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 212.4 ppg. Play UNDER |
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10-30-21 | Celtics v. Wizards -2 | 112-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
The Wizards took out the Celtics 3 days ago in Boston winning by a 116-107 count and are now 4-1 on the season, and in a better flow than the Clovers who are q team that is down trending in my power rankings at the moment . Based on current form the home side has the edge tonight. Celtics are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog. WASHINGTON is 14-0 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.WASHINGTON is 9-0 ATS after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons. WASHINGTON is 2-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons here in D.C. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WASHINGTON) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 59-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Celtics are 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Play on the Washington Wizards to cover |
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10-29-21 | Magic v. Raptors OVER 205.5 | 109-110 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
Orlando has seen 4 of their 5 games go over the total this season, thanks to a bad D (allowing 120 or more points in 3 of those tilts. They will have to open up soon, or continue to see negative results because of their defensive ineptness. Tonight Im betting the Magic become more aggressive and for the Raptors to fire back in a tilt my projections estimate at 209. ORLANDO is 19-8 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 222.8 ppg scored in those 27 games.
NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (ORLANDO) - off a home loss, a struggling team (25% or ) playing a team with a losing record are 50-16 OVER L/25 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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10-28-21 | Grizzlies v. Warriors -5.5 | 104-101 | Loss | -104 | 14 h 21 m | Show | |
This selection is all about momentum and Im betting Golden States 4-0 season stretches to 5 tonight against a tired Memphis team off a DD blowout loss last night in Portland. Memphis now face the daunting task of playing their 4th straight road game against a confident side. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - first 6 games of the season, after closing out last season with 8+ spread covers in last 10 are 25-2 L/25 seasons for a 92% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10 ppg. NBA Underdogs (MEMPHIS) - off a close road loss of 3 points or less, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 6-27 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Warriors to cover |
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10-28-21 | Grizzlies v. Warriors OVER 228 | 104-101 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
Golden State is back to running and gunning and rank 5th in offensive out put and 6th in pace in the NBA and Im betting they continue to push forward here at a high octane pace tonight vs a tired Memphis side that wont have the legs to play defense after playing last night and this being their 4th straight road game. Subsequently I expect the Grizzlies will have to open up or be blown of the court which will result in a higher scoring game than the lines-makers anticipate. MEMPHIS is 27-15 OVER in road games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 231.1 ppg scored in those 42 tilts. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE/MEMPHIS) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or more ), in a game involving two average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 36-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average score of 237.4 ppg going on the board. Play OVER |
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10-28-21 | Knicks v. Bulls -2 | 104-103 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 17 m | Show | |
Chicago has won their first 4 games of the season, and Im betting they make it 5 in a row here vs the NY Knicks. Lets ride the momentum of a hungry side. Knicks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win. Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival against opponent after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite are 3-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - off a win against a division rival against opponent after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite are 8-54 L/25 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Bulls to win |
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10-28-21 | Hawks v. Wizards UNDER 222.5 | 111-122 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
Washington early on this season is not running and gunning like they have in the recent past and their pace is now ranked 17th in the league and they at least for now are paying alot more attention to defensive play especially in transition which Im betting translates in lower offensive outputs. Meanwhile, the Atlanta Hawks , currently rank 29th in pace while their D, has been staunch ranking 3rd in ppg allowed and 4th in the league in overall defensive rankings . With that said, Im betting on a lower scoring game than the offered total. Under is 9-3 in Hawks last 12 road games. Under is 9-2 in Wizards last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Washington. Play UNDER |
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10-28-21 | Pistons +10.5 v. 76ers | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
I know Motown is not inspiring NBA bettors at the moment but with Ben Simmons out til hes traded and top star Joel Imbiid injured or playing at less than 100% , the Pistons have enough edges here to cover the number. DETROIT is 10-1 ATS (vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams - making 39%or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.DETROIT is 13-4 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Play on Detroit to cover |
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10-27-21 | Cavs v. Clippers -8 | 92-79 | Loss | -101 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
The Clippers have shown they can win without often injured super star Kawhi Leonard in the lineup and tonight Im betting they will prove their abilities again vs a Cleveland side that despite of winning two straight are on tired legs as they prepare to play their 3rd game in 4 nights. Im sure the Cavs are gassed after playing their last game in the high altitude of Denver and are very vulnerable vs a LAC side that has covered 5 straight in this series and 5 straight as hosts. Note: The Cavs are 2-12 ATS against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -18.6 ppg. CLEVELAND is 10-25 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg deficit clicking in at just 11 ppg. Play on LA Clippers to cover |
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10-27-21 | Grizzlies v. Blazers -2.5 | 96-116 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
This will be the Grizzlies 3rd straight road game all in a 4night period making them. vulnerable on tired legs to a HC Billups coached side that needs to bounce back off a loss to the Clippers last time out. NBA Underdogs (MEMPHIS) - off a close road loss of 3 points or less, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 6-27 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Portland to cover |
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10-27-21 | Hawks -6 v. Pelicans | 102-99 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
New Orleans has alot of problems with offensive flow this season and have scored +107 points just once so far early in this campaign ranking just 26th in offensive rating . Here tonight vs a top flight Hawks D, Im betting those problems continue to fester without the injured Zion Williamson in the lineup.The Pelicans went 2-9 SU and only covered 5 times without Williamson last season and look to be a disadvantage again. Hawks are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Hawks are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in New Orleans.Hawks are 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Pelicans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.Pelicans are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Hawks took both meetings last season by 123-107 and 126-103 counts. Rinse and repeat on the agenda. Play on the Atlanta to win |
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10-26-21 | Lakers -2 v. Spurs | 125-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
Whether King LeBron plays or not my power rankings suggest the Lakers matchup very well vs the Spurs and this line is beatable for a cover. Note: Early on this season it has become obvious the Spurs are sharing the ball well, and the Lakers are well built to handle multiple looks form different players which gives them an edge here. SAN ANTONIO is 4-14 ATS in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons. SAN ANTONIO is 16-33 ATS in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game over the last 3 seasons. LA LAKERS is 4-0 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons in Texas . NBA Road favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 33-4 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Lakers to cover |
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10-26-21 | Warriors v. Thunder UNDER 224 | 106-98 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
Golden State won their 3rd straight game out of the gate this season, with their D, playing tough in Sacramento. Tonight against a Thunder team that look to have very little offensive flow at the moment, Im betting the Warriors once again will mute the Oklahoma City D, and aid in this tilt stay under the offered Totals number. Note: Oklahoma City is averaging just 93.3 ppg on offense so far this season. Under is 8-2 in Warriors last 10 games as a road favorite.Under is 5-0 in Thunder last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous games. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Oklahoma City.Under is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (GOLDEN STATE) - an explosive offensive team (118 PPG or more ) against a horrible offensive team (104 or less PPG), after a win by 10 points or more are 25-5 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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10-25-21 | Blazers v. Clippers -3 | 86-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
The Clippers have proved in the past they can win without their star Kawhi Leonard in the lineup. The Clippers are off two straight losses to begin their season, but from a matchup perspective have an edge here vs a Portland side, that looks to be having some early season chemistry problems under new New Trail Blazers head coach Chauncey Billups . Yes, I know Portland won their last time out, but I watched parts of that game, and there were some definite issues that needed to be ironed out. Note: Portland's Norman Powell exited with a left knee injury on Saturday and will miss Monday's game. Tony Snell (foot) will also sit out the contest and this Im betting will effect the Blazers overall flow. Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. LA CLIPPERS are 39-22 ATS ( after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. LA CLIPPERS is 6-0 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - after beating the spread by more than 24 points in their previous game, first half of the season are 17-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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10-25-21 | Magic v. Heat OVER 213.5 | 90-107 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Two interstate rivals go head to head in a early season tilt that has to low of a totals number attached to it according to my projections. My number is closer to 216 thus giving us value with an over wager. Note: MIAMI is 11-0 OVER as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 229.5 ppg scored. Over is 7-1 in Heat last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 6-1 in Heat last 7 games following a straight up loss.Over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 games following a ATS loss.Over is 10-2 in Heat last 12 games as a favorite. Over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 games as a home favorite. Over is 4-0 in Magic last 4 games as a road underdog.Over is 5-0 in Magic last 5 Monday games.Over is 7-0 in Magic last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.Over is 4-0 in Magic last 4 road games. Over is 4-1 in Heat last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Over is 7-2 in Heat last 9 home games. Play OVER |
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10-25-21 | Bucks v. Pacers +3 | 119-109 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
The Pacers after starting their season with 2 straight 1 point losses bounced back with a win at home in their opener against the Miami Heat and once again like viable opponents against a Milwaukee side that will be on tired legs as they play their third straight road game. Advantage ride with the home dog. MILWAUKEE is 9-23 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.MILWAUKEE is 10-24 ATS in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons. Bucks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Pacers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.Pacers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog.Pacers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Bucks are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Indiana. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (INDIANA) - an excellent offensive team (118 or more PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) are 26-2 L/25 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover |
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10-24-21 | Warriors v. Kings +3.5 | 119-107 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
The Warriors are much improved but Im also betting the Kings will uptrend as well and deserve respect here as home underdogs as they have thrived overall dating back to last season as underdogs cashing 10 of their L/14 games taking points. The Kings are also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and have covered 4 straight vs the Warriors here in Sacramento and overall have cashed 9 of the L/10 tickets for their backers in this series. Play on Sacramento to cover |
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10-24-21 | Celtics v. Rockets UNDER 224.5 | 107-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
The Celtics looked tired in flat last time out in a 115-83 loss to the Raptors. Im now expecting a much more focused effort that will see Boston playing alot more basketball in transition while paying attention to this defensive play which will help keep this combined score on the low side of the offered number. BOSTON in their L/18 games after a huge blowout loss by 30 or more have seen a combined average of 202.6 ppg. Under is 5-1 in Celtics last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 5-1 in Rockets last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 16-5 in Rockets last 21 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Under is 34-16-1 in Rockets last 51 home games. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (HOUSTON) - off an home win scoring 110 or more points, team that had a losing record last season are 24-5 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 207 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (HOUSTON) - off a home win, team that had a losing record last season are 40-14 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored. 16 of 22 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996 here in Houston. Play UNDER |
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10-23-21 | Bucks v. Spurs +7.5 | 121-111 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
Both San Antonio and Milwaukee are off losses. I expected the Bucks to come out strong in their home opener after their championship season, and they did, beating Brooklyn handily. However, now Im expecting a period of champion ship hangover to permeate for a while. With that said, Im betting on San Antonio giving the Bucks all they can handle tonight. Note: San Antonio is 6-0 ATS L/6 in this series, and it must also be noted MILWAUKEE is 0-10 ATS against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons and are 11-24 ATS in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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10-23-21 | Bucks v. Spurs OVER 223 | 121-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a combined score in the high 220s here giving us ultimate value with an over wager in this spot. Over is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 5-0 in Bucks last 5 road games. SAN ANTONIO is 14-4 OVER against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 230.2 ppg scored. Over is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 games as a home underdog.Over is 5-0 in Spurs last 5 home games. These teams have gone over in 7 straight meetings. Play OVER |
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10-23-21 | Pistons v. Bulls -8 | 82-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
The Bulls cruised to a 128-112 rout of the visiting New Orleans Pelicans on Friday and beat the Pistons by 6 points in their first game of the season in Motown. I know the Bulls have played more game and are off playing last night, but they do matchup up very well against Detroit, and since its still early in the season Im betting they have plenty of energy left to dispatch the visitors here in Chicago tonight and get us the all important cover.Pistons are 0-8 ATS in the last 8 meetings Pistons are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.Bulls are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite. Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Play on Chicago Bulls to win/cover |
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10-23-21 | Hawks v. Cavs +7.5 | 95-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
Atlanta defeated the Dallas Mavericks 113-87 on Thursday and are getting alot of accolades. But now in a letdown spot vs a desperate Cavaliers side that is 0-2 and lost their opener, Im betting we have a viable underdog spot to pick on. Atlanta has lost their L/4 trips to Cleveland SU, and are vulnerable here in this pot play.ATLANTA is 8-20 ATS in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Cavaliers to cover |
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10-22-21 | Suns v. Lakers UNDER 222.5 | 115-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
These numbers is bit high according to my projections and should be closer to 220 so we have a full possession value to the under. PHOENIX is 17-5 UNDER off a double digit loss as a home favorite of 6 or more since 1996 with a combined average of 201 ppg going on scoreboard. Under is 4-0-1 in Suns last 5 games as an underdog.Under is 4-0-1 in Suns last 5 games as a road underdog. Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Los Angeles.Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings. LA LAKERS are 17-6 UNDER as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 212.2 ppg going on the board. Play UNDER |
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10-22-21 | Nets -1 v. 76ers | 114-109 | Win | 100 | 26 h 55 m | Show | |
Ben Simmons trade demand saga continues to have a demoralizing effect on the 76ers, and here vs a talented Brooklyn team that wants redemption for a beatdown to the defending champion Bucks last time out, Im betting more of the same negative feelings will permeate for them when the final buzzer goes off. 76ers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Nets are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Nets are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite. Nets are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. BROOKLYN is 47-28 ATS in road games when playing with 2 days rest. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (BROOKLYN) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, good team from last season who won 60% to 75% of their games are 37-18 L/25 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Brooklyn Nets |
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10-22-21 | Hornets v. Cavs +3 | 123-112 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Cleveland Im betting will be an upgraded unit this season, and I was personally impressed by them in game 1 of the season vs Memphis despite of losing. Note: Evan Mobley is the real deal and he proved it in his first league game, Also of importance was Jarrett Allen who had a perfect shooting night and Darius Garland and Ricky Rubio who recorded point-assist double-doubles. Meanwhile, Charlotte took an emotional comeback win and now are in a vulnerable letdown spot on the road. They played hard last time out, and Im sure exhaustion will now help us get a cover with the home side. Hornets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.Hornets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win. Hornets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games. CLEVELAND is 24-5 straight up against CHARLOTTE at home since 1996. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - off an upset win as a home underdog, first 6 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 4 or more straight losses are 5-24 L/25 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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10-22-21 | Hornets v. Cavs UNDER 225.5 | 123-112 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
Both these teams took part in wide open back forth high scoring hoops affairs in their first games of the season. Both now Im betting are on slightly tired legs and will now play a more conservative brand of hoops here in their 2nd game of the season. My projections estimate both sides will score no more than +108 points which sets in play key trends. CHARLOTTE is 17-0 UNDER where both teams score 108 or less points in a game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 202.1 ppg going on the board .CLEVELAND is 18-1 UNDER where both teams score 108 or less points in a game over the last 2 season with a combined average of 192.8 ppg scored. Under is 6-1 in Hornets last 7 games as a favorite.Under is 4-1 in Hornets last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 5-0 in Cavaliers last 5 Friday games.Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CHARLOTTE) - off an home win scoring 110 or more points, marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games are 26-6 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-21-21 | Clippers v. Warriors -3.5 | 113-115 | Loss | -107 | 17 h 52 m | Show | |
Golden State behind super star Curry looked good in their opener vs the LA Lakers, and once again are viable side options in this tilt as home favorites according to my projections. Note: Clippers super star Kawhi Leonard is expected out tonight with continued knee issues. What impressed me in the victory vs the Lakers was the defensive play of Stephen Curry and Jordan Poole they set the tone for the Warriors. They did not shoot the ball all that well, but wow were they tenacious. More of those efforts will make the Dubs a hard team to face this season. GOLDEN STATE is 16-6 ATS in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - first 6 games of the season, after closing out last season with 8+ spread covers in last 10 games, team that had a winning record last season are 24-2 L/25 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.4 ppg. Play on Golden State Warriors to cover |
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10-20-21 | Kings +5 v. Blazers | 124-121 | Win | 100 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
.The Trail Blazers biggest problem last season under former coach Terry Stotts was their defense, which was ranked 23rd in scoring defense last season while allowing 114.3 points per game.Now new HC Billups has said he is working to correct that but that in Im betting takes away from the Blazers flow at least for the early part of the season. Meanwhile their opponents tonight the Sacramento Kings have looked good in preseason action and have done well getting their defense in gear by winning all 4 games with a 11 ppg diff. The Kings are now built for the two way game and get the nod tonight. SACRAMENTO is 35-19 ATS as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.Kings are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games.Kings are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog. Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover |
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10-20-21 | Celtics v. Knicks UNDER 218.5 | 134-138 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
The Knicks had success last year playing a grinding systematic brand of hoops and nothing will change this season. Meanwhile, Boston is a little banged up, with Horford is Out (COVID-19), Jaylen Brown is questionable (COVID-19) and Payton Pritchard is probable (nose) and their flow could easily be off here in a tilt I have pegged to stay on the low side of the offered totals number. Under is 6-1 in Celtics last 7 road games.Under is 5-1 in Celtics last 6 games as a road underdog. Under is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 games as a favorite.Under is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 games as a home favorite.Under is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 home games. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play UNDER |
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10-19-21 | Nets v. Bucks +1 | 104-127 | Win | 100 | 36 h 36 m | Show | |
There is a-lot of crap currently surrounding the Brooklyn Nets thanks to the spot light put on Kyrie Irving circus. I don't want to get into it here, but it is and will effect performance levels of this talented but some time unfocused team. Chemistry issues were evident during last years play offs and Im betting they wont be rectified at least in the short term, especially in this environment. Meanwhile, I know the Bucks are playing with a proverbial Championship hangover, but I expect they will be juiced to take down the Nets in this spot play. MILWAUKEE is 5-0 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - first 6 games of the season, after closing out last season with or more straight spread covers, team that had a winning record last season are 68-15 L/25 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - first 6 games of the season, after closing out last season with 4 or more straight spread covers, team that had a winning record last season are 24-4 L/25 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Bucks to cover |
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07-20-21 | Suns +5 v. Bucks | 98-105 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
I know the Bucks have now won 3 straight games in this series and now have a chance to grab the league championship with a win at home here tonight. But overall this has been a close series, and the Suns have proven themselves versatile and more than competitive enough during these play offs to justify me recommending we take the points here in this do or die situation.PHOENIX is 11-2 ATS in road games when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons. PHOENIX is 13-5 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite this seasonMILWAUKEE is 6-17 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins this season. NBA team vs the money line (MILWAUKEE) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are -1-6 this season and 18-49 L/5 seasons for a overall go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover |
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07-17-21 | Bucks v. Suns -4 | 123-119 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
So far in this series the home team has won all 4 meetings and Im betting on that trend to continue. Note: The Suns have won 5 straight vs the Bucks at home covering all 5 times. I really believe the Suns are the better team, and last time out, were unfortunate to lose as they are the first team in NBA history to lose a Finals game despite shooting better than 50% and holding their opponents below 42%. I know the Bucks have really been reeling in rebounds, but it must also be noted that PHOENIX is 9-1 ATS in home games vs. dominant rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 5+ per game over the last 2 seasons. MILWAUKEE is 13-26 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins this season. MILWAUKEE is 8-23 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. PHOENIX is 18-3 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season.PHOENIX is 12-3 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 61-32 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Phoenix Suns to win |
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07-17-21 | Bucks v. Suns OVER 218.5 | 123-119 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
The Bucks have seen their offence get into a flow and their scoring output increase after Game 1 and are now averaging 110.5 points per game and will be prepared to run here vs what Over is 4-0 in Suns last 4 playoff games as a favorite. Over is 6-1-1 in Suns last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings.Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Phoenix. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MILWAUKEE) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 143-87 L/24 seasons for a 62% conversion rate! Play OVER |
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07-14-21 | Suns v. Bucks OVER 220 | 103-109 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 14 m | Show | |
My Pace projections have been accurate to this point in the NBA Finals series, and now Im expecting a score in the mid 220s much like the first two tilts. Advantage over. Over is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings. PHOENIX is 20-7 OVER versus defenses - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 231.5 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 24-9 OVER after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 season with a combined average of 230.3 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MILWAUKEE) - triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 49-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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07-11-21 | Suns +4 v. Bucks | 100-120 | Loss | -101 | 33 h 20 m | Show | |
It was obvious to me after monitoring the first two games of this series, that the Suns are the superior side and even in Milwaukee against a hungry and desperate team must be respected getting points. PHOENIX is 7-1 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons. Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as an underdog. Suns are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. MILWAUKEE is 7-15 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season.MILWAUKEE is 8-19 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games this season. PHOENIX is 11-2 ATS after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more this season. Suns are 27-8-1 ATS in their last 36 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. PHOENIX is 12-1 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season this season. Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover |
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07-08-21 | Bucks v. Suns OVER 219 | 108-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show | |
This Totals open was closer to what I project the true number should , which I estimated to be in the low 220s which makes this over wager a viable investment opportunity. Im betting the Suns with plenty of energy after an extended rest at home here in Phoenix will continue to press the action, on fresh legs as they did in game one and for the Bucks now more rested and adjusted to this time zone will come out here with all guns blazing in an attempt to steal a game before going home. This will culminate in a higher scoring tilt than might be expected by both the pundits and lines-makers. Note: The Bucks were consistently open from 3-point range in game 1 , and had a +44% conversion rate and Im betting that continues and aids our over cause. MILWAUKEE in 31 non-conference games this season have seen a combined average of 237.7 ppg go on the board. PHOENIX is 11-2 OVER vs. dominant rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 5+ per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 231.1 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 20-9 OVER after a win by 10 points or more this season with a combined average 226.9 ppg go on the board. ( Suns took game 1- 118 to 105) NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PHOENIX) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 38-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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07-06-21 | Bucks v. Suns -5.5 | 105-118 | Win | 100 | 58 h 4 m | Show | |
The Bucks played a hard fought series against the Hawks in the Eastern Conference final and now go against a well rested Suns team. Im betting the fresher legs of the Suns having a big edge here in game 1 on their own home court vs a exhausted team playing out side of their time zone. PHOENIX is 10-1 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season this season. MILWAUKEE is 8-21 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against a poor 3PT defense ( 36.5% or better ) after 42+ games, after a game - attempting 20+ less free throws than opponent are 28-3 L24 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.1 ppg which qualifies from a ATS standpoint. Play on Phoenix Suns to cover |
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07-06-21 | Bucks v. Suns OVER 217 | 105-118 | Win | 100 | 38 h 58 m | Show | |
The Suns are well rested and will be ready to bring alot of energy to game 1 of the NBA finals. They popped 130 points on the board in their final game vs a very good Clippers D, and more of the same explosive offensive fireworks are on tonights agenda, which will force the Bucks to open up as well or be blown off the court. This Im betting leads to a combined score that eclipses this offered totals number. PHOENIX is 7-0 OVER after scoring 130 points or more this season with a combined average of 241.6 ppg going on the scoreboard. PHOENIX is 21-9 OVER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.2 ppg scored. Williams is 16-5 OVER after a blowout win by 20 points or more as the coach of PHOENIX with the combined average score of 231.3 ppg scored. Budenholzer in 67 games after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more as the coach of MILWAUKEE the average combined score has rung in at 231.2 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MILWAUKEE) - revenging 2 straight close losses vs opponent of 3 points or less against opponent after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points 29-9 OVER L/24 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PHOENIX) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 52-22 OVER L/24 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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07-03-21 | Bucks v. Hawks -2.5 | 118-107 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Its do or die here tonight for the Hawks and Im betting they leave everything on the floor and take this series to a game 7 even if Trae Young cannot go . Note: Bucks Giannis Antetokounmpo is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs Atlanta ( Knee )- MILWAUKEE is 14-27 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. McMillan is 9-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less as the coach of ATLANTA. McMillan is 17-3 ATS in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game as the coach of ATLANTA.McMillan is 14-2 ATS as a home favorite as the coach of ATLANTA. Bucks are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. Bucks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - excellent free throw shooting team (79% or less) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), in a game involving two good ball handling team (14.5 or moreTO's) after 42+ games are 103-33 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate with a average ppg diff of 6.6 . Play on Hawks to cover |
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07-01-21 | Hawks v. Bucks -2 | 112-123 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
The Hawks are coming off of a over powering 110-88 win at home despite playing without Trae Young. The Bucks did not have much flow, and without Antetokounmpo who went down in the third quarter were lifeless. Now rejuvenated and ready to rebound at home, Im expecting the Bucks key forward Middletons ability to lead his team to be key here with Antetokounmpo expected to miss. Also without Trae Young in the lineup or him playing at less than 100% the Hawks will take a step back after their adrenalin filled victory in game 4. In other words its my opinion that the Bucks will do what the Hawks did in game 4 ,and that is find a way to win without their super star in the lineup. Milwaukee is 5-1 SU L/6 at home in this series. NBA Home teams (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite are 39-15 ATS L/24 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Bucks to cover |
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06-30-21 | Suns v. Clippers | 130-103 | Win | 100 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
The Clippers cut the Suns' series lead to 3-2 on Monday with a 116-102 triumph in Phoenix as they attempt to overturn a 2-0 deficit for the third straight time this postseason. That was a valiant effort and the Clippers must be respected for fighting back and not succumbing . However, after exerting that much energy and as exhausted as they have looked of late, Im betting the party ends here tonight. Clippers are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. PHOENIX is 21-7 ATS L/28 in road games off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite. PHOENIX is 11-2 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season. Suns are 24-8-1 ATS in their last 33 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 NBA Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (PHOENIX) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 22-5 SU L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 22-5 ATS L/5 season for a 82% conversion rate. Play on the Phoenix Suns to win |
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06-29-21 | Bucks v. Hawks +7 | 88-110 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show | |
After losing the first game in this series SU, the Bucks have bounced back with two straight wins. However, in game 3 last time out, it looked like the Hawks were on their way to a win and cover as underdogs until Trae Young suffered what has now been diagnosed as a foot bruise. Now after training room preparations he should be able to suit up and be effective enough for us to get the cover this time around. McMillan is 9-0 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent as the coach of ATLANTA.ATLANTA is 20-9 ATS in home games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - excellent free throw shooting team (79% or better) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are 55-21 L/24 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Atlanta Hawks to cover |
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06-28-21 | Clippers v. Suns -5.5 | 116-102 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
The Clippers look exhausted especially Paul George who has had to play a great deal of hoops and tonight Im betting their viable play off run will come to an end. There will be no Kawhi Leonard in the Clippers lineup tonight, and Im betting the Suns finish the job and get us the cover. Note: Out of the possible 768 minutes in the the postseason, Paul George has played 652 of them. Out of the possible 576 minutes in the last 23 days, George has played 495 of them ( His proverbial tank is empty) PHOENIX is 16-3 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season. Williams is 11-1 ATS after 3 consecutive division games in all games he has coached . NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) - after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are 28-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - poor defensive team - allowing 99+ points/game on the season, after allowing 80 points or less are 27-2 L/5 seasons for a 93% with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.7 ppg. NBA Favorites (PHOENIX) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45.5-47.5%), after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are 28-10 ATS L/24 seasons are 74% conversion rate. Play on the Suns to cover |
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06-27-21 | Bucks v. Hawks +5 | 113-102 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
Milwaukee has not performed optimally on the road , as is evident by a current 17-25 ATS visitors mark this season. Atlanta has proven over and over again they can be competitive against the heavy weights in the Eastern Conference and now after a down effort last time out, Im betting on a big big bounce back here in true zig zag theory evolution. MILWAUKEE is 13-26 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 15-4 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 11-1 ATS in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season. McMillan is 13-1 ATS in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game as the coach of ATLANTA. ATLANTA is 7-0 ATS in home games on Sunday games this season.ATLANTA is 20-7 ATS in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - excellent free throw shooting team (79% or more ) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), in a game involving two good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or less ) after 42+ games going 132-30 L/5 seasons for 72% conversion rate. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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06-26-21 | Suns v. Clippers +1 | 84-80 | Loss | -101 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
The Clippers even without Kawhi Leonard looked like they matched up well vs the Suns in the first 3 games of this series, and in game 3 were the far better team. Tonight Im betting on that trend to continue and for the Clippers to tie this series here at home where they have won the L/14 meetings in this series. PHOENIX is 4-16 ATS off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival over the last 3 seasons. Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog.Clippers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. LA CLIPPERS are 8-1 ATS in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game this season. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 13-44 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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06-26-21 | Suns v. Clippers UNDER 218.5 | 84-80 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show | |
The Clippers successes are almost always based on top tier defensive play as is evident by their 7th ranked ppg defense, and precise shooting behind a deliberate 26th ranked pace. Meanwhile, the Suns also rank 26th in pace and are tied with the Clippers for the 7th best ppg defense. More of the same type of hoops Im betting will once again be on display here this evening which will result in a score that fails to eclipse this total. Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Los Angeles. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings LA CLIPPERS are 11-2 UNDER in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 25-12 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 217.5 ppg. LA CLIPPERS are 16-6 UNDER versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.9 ppg scored. Lue is 21-6 UNDER in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season in all games he has coached with a combined average of 206.2 ppg scored. Play on the UNDER |
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06-25-21 | Hawks v. Bucks -7.5 | 91-125 | Win | 100 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
Trey Young almost single handily carried the Atlanta Hawks to victory in game 1 of this series. Now I expect Young to be curtailed and regress naturally and for this series to become alot more physical, where Im betting the Bucks have the edge, especially here at home in Milwaukee. Note: Chalk of 4 or more points in Games 2-5 off a playoff series defeat are 170-122-7 (58.2%) ATS in history. ATLANTA is 8-21 ATS in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 7-18 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 18-37 ATS L/55 off a road win by 3 points or less . NBA Underdogs (ATLANTA) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 1-6 ATS this season and 15-44 ATS L/24 seasons for a 75% go against conversion rate for bettors. Underdogs (ATLANTA) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 20-53 ATS L/24 seasons for go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - when trailing in a playoff series, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 53-9 SU L/24 seasons for a 86% conversion rate with the average ppf diff clicking in at +7.8 ppg. NBA Favorites (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more against opponent off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog are 55-23 ATS L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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06-25-21 | Hawks v. Bucks UNDER 226 | 91-125 | Win | 100 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
Trey Young almost single handily carried the Atlanta Hawks to victory in game 1 of this series. Now I expect Young to be curtailed and regress naturally and for this series to become alot more physical and defensive, which will result in a lower scoring affair with less flow. Under is 7-0 in Bucks last 7 games following a straight up loss. ATLANTA is 10-0 UNDER in road games off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog with a combined average of 186.6 ppg scored.ATLANTA is 25-7 UNDER when leading in a playoff series since 1996 with average of 186.8 ppg going on the board. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are 29-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play UNDER |
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06-24-21 | Suns v. Clippers +1.5 | 92-106 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
The Suns squeezed by the Clippers in game 2 104-103 to take a 2-0 lead in this series. Now in desperation mode I look for the Clippers even without Kawhi Leonard in the lineup to come out here and get the win behind the energy of their home town fans. Note: The Clippers have won 13 straight in LA vs the Suns and get my support to keep that streak alive tonight. LA CLIPPERS are 34-17 ATS off a road loss over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, with a winning record on the season are 31-7 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams (PHOENIX) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are just 17-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Road teams vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 13-41 SU L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 77% . Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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06-23-21 | Hawks v. Bucks UNDER 226.5 | 116-113 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
Since the play offs began the Atlanta Hawks successes have been based on precise high opportunity shooting chances, and tough physical defensive hoops and nothing will change today vs their host the Milwaukee Bucks. This Im betting helps keep the flow of this game at a slower pace than the lines-makers are expecting. Under is 6-1 in Hawks last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 3-0-1 in Bucks last 4 playoff games as a favorite. Under is 6-1 in Bucks last 7 home games Budenholzer is 23-9 UNDER in home games in all playoff games in all games he has coached since 1996 with a combined average of 195.8 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE is 35-19 UNDER in home games after playing a road game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 222.9 ppg going on the scoreboard.MILWAUKEE is 17-8 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 221.7 ppg going on the board. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MILWAUKEE) - off a road win, playing with 3 or more days rest are 26-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (ATLANTA) - in a playoff game, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 42-20 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-22-21 | Clippers v. Suns -5 | 103-104 | Loss | -106 | 16 h 48 m | Show | |
The Suns enter into game 2 of this series vs the Clippers off a win in game 1 for their 8th straight play off victory. I know the Clippers have found a way to win without Kawhi Leonard in the lineup but Im betting it will finally start to effect them as early as tonight. PHOENIX is 16-2 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season. PHOENIX is 15-3 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season. PHOENIX is 10-2 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season. PHOENIX is 10-2 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season. Play on the Phoenix Suns to win |
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06-20-21 | Hawks +7 v. 76ers | 103-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
Its become obvious to me that the Hawks matchup well vs the Sixers and according to my projections this is just to many points here for me not grab the underdog line value. From historical standpoint the 76ers have never won a series when they were down 3-2 (0-14) which was the case last time out, with the Sixers leaving everything on the floor in a 5 point victory that could have gone either way. With that said, I would also not be surprised to see the young Hawks grab this series outright with a win, but more importantly taking the points is a solid option. Key:Young must own this game which Im betting he is capable of. He has been explosive offensively averaging of 30.3 points and 11.0 assists in this series. Interesting anomaly shows the Hawks are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 Sunday games. Play on the Hawks to cover |
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06-20-21 | Clippers v. Suns UNDER 221.5 | 114-120 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Clippers are off a exhausting 7 game series vs the Jazz last time out, and the Suns may be a little rusty after an extended lay off after disposing of the defending champion LA Lakers . Considering these parameters Im betting on a fairly grinding lack of flow from game 1 in afternoon action. Under is 8-2 in Suns last 10 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Under is 30-14 in Clippers last 44 games as a road underdog. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 105-44 L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS/PHOENIX) - in a playoff game, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 42-18 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - off a road win, playing with 3 or more days rest are 26-8 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-19-21 | Bucks v. Nets -1.5 | 115-111 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
Milwaukee has not played all that well on the road this season which is evident by their 16-25 ATS record as visitors, and are just 5-16 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons and 4-14 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Nash is 12-1 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season as the coach of BROOKLYN. I know Kyrie Irving is not expected to play tonight for the Nets, but they are deep enough to adjust to that loss, and will be ready to compete tonight at home vs a Bucks franchise that is 0-7 in game 7s in their NBA lifetime. Note:HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Tied WWLLWL:Considering win order; ignoring site order: The team tied WWLLWL irrespective of site order (Brooklyn) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2021 and NBA Preliminary rounds: 22-6 SU Game 7 record. Play on Brooklyn to win |
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06-18-21 | Jazz -1.5 v. Clippers | 119-131 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 35 m | Show | |
With Kawhi Leonard on the sidelines again tonight Im betting on the Jazz finding a way to extend this series with a take no prisoners effort here and take this to a game 7. Jazz are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CLIPPERS) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 14-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% for bettors. Play on Utah to cover |
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06-18-21 | 76ers v. Hawks UNDER 221.5 | 104-99 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 6 Atlanta took game 5 by a 109-106 score in Philadelphia thanks to being able to slow the Sixers down defensively after going down early. Playing some physical hardcore D will continue to be the Hawks recipe for success vs a Sixers side that is streaky offensively. With that said, D, will also be the focus of the visitors in this big game, and Im betting will result in a tight lower scoring affair. Rivers is 38-21 UNDER revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7or more in all games he has coached with a combined average of 197.8 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 13-5 UNDER as a road favorite of 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 215.6 ppg scored. Under is 11-5 in 76ers last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. ATLANTA is 15-1 UNDER L/16 when attempting to close out a playoff series with a combined average of 174.5 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 24-7 UNDER when leading in a playoff series with a combined average of 185.6 ppg scored. Under is 10-3 in Hawks last 13 overall. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points against opponent off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog are 42-17 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-18-21 | 76ers v. Hawks +3 | 104-99 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
The 76ers held a 26-point lead at home against the Atlanta Hawks in game 5 and took a 18 point lead into the fourth quarter. But however, in miraculous fashion the Hawks scored 40 points in the final quarter to complete one of the biggest playoff comebacks in league history.In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games beginning in 1947, road teams down 22 points as late as after two quarters had a game record of only 0-19 (.000). Now with huge momentum on their sides Im betting Atlanta has the edge vs a deflated 76ers group that have shown themselves to be less than brilliant on the road this season as is evident by their 19-19 ATS record. ATLANTA is 12-3 ATS in home games after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 9-21 ATS in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points over the last 2 seasons NBA Home teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - excellent free throw shooting team (79% or better ) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), in a game involving two good ball handling team ( 14.5 or less TO's) after 42+ games are 102-30 L/5 seasons for a 77% SU conversion rate. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 14-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. ATLANTA is 6-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons here at home in Georgia. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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06-17-21 | Nets v. Bucks -5.5 | 89-104 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
Milwaukee plays their best hoops at home where they own a 30-10 SU record with an average 8.1 ppg diff, and tonight Im betting they come out here in a desperation mode and play a start to finish all out energy game . With no tomorrow if they lose you can bet we get the best out of the Bucks tonight vs a Nets side that 21-19 SU on the road this season. Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite. Budenholzer is 35-19 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots as the coach of MILWAUKEE. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (BROOKLYN) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 13-42 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -7.4 ppg. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - good shooting team - shooting 46% or more on the season, dominant rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 5+ per game are 169-56 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +8.4 ppg. NBA Road teams (BROOKLYN) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 17-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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06-16-21 | Clippers v. Jazz -2.5 | 119-111 | Loss | -112 | 15 h 53 m | Show | |
Pivotal game 5 goes tonight in Utah. Each team has won both their home games, and tonight Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation to continue. Advantage. Utah. Jazz are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 playoff games as a favorite. UTAH is 7-0 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season.UTAH is 15-6 ATS in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5 this season. Clippers are 8-22-1 ATS in the last 31 meetings in Utah. UTAH is 5-0 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons at home . NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CLIPPERS) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 14-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate. Play on Utah to cover |
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06-16-21 | Clippers v. Jazz OVER 221.5 | 119-111 | Win | 100 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
With this series tied 2-2 and the clippers offense hitting on all cylinders entering game 5 Im now expecting the explosive Jazz to take an aggressive stance tonight, and come out firing on all cylinders on their own home floor, which Im betting will see the Clippers have to open up as well in a tilt that I have projected to eclipse this total. Utah in 7 home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season have seen a combined average of 228.9 ppg scored. LA Clippers in their L/76 road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 224.6 ppg go on the board. Play OVER |
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06-16-21 | Hawks v. 76ers -6 | 109-106 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Philadelphia after exploding out of the gate last time out to take a commanding DD lead, in game 4, feel asleep at the proverbial wheel and ended up losing SU. It was an embarrassing result, that Im sure will have this 76ers crew ready to bounce back with a vengeance and keep the pedal to metal until the final whistle goes off which makes laying points a viable betting option. Note: Sixers star Joel Embiid, went 0 for 12 in the 2nd half, and despite of a light injury to his knee is good to go, and ready to shine up his big ego here tonight in a game his team needs badly to get their mojo back.PHILADELPHIA is 11-2 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses this season with the ppg differential clicking in at +11 ppg. PHILADELPHIA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season. ATLANTA is 12-23 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.3 ppg. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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06-15-21 | Bucks v. Nets OVER 217 | 108-114 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 5- No Irving or Harden in the lineup for the Nets has this Totals number taking a dive that is in my betting opinion over done by both the lines-makers and the market. Yes these games have been lower than the expected as compared to the totals offerings but with the current number according to projections being transiently low a high probability edge for an over wagering opportunity cashing looks promising in my humble betting opinion. With Milwaukee off two straight wins, Im betting they look to take advantage of this Nets injury situation with an aggressive approach which result in the pace here being favorable for an over wager to cash. Milwaukee is 12-4 OVER off a home win by 10 points or more this season with a combined average of 237.2 ppg scored. BROOKLYN is 13-4 OVER off an upset loss as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 238 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BROOKLYN) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 93-46 OVER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Play on the OVER |
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06-14-21 | Jazz v. Clippers UNDER 223.5 | 104-118 | Win | 101 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
The Jazz looked defensively lazy last time out, and were starting to rely on their offensive explosiveness to just run over opponents. The last game in this series that saw the Jazz get blasted was a wake up call for them, and now Im expecting a more defensive minded effort and also for the Clippers to regress offensively which Im betting results in a lower scoring affair as compared to the offered total. Under is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Under is 7-2 in Jazz last 9 games following a straight up loss. Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Under is 8-2-1 in Clippers last 11 games following a straight up win.Under is 7-2-2 in Clippers last 11 Conference Semifinals games.Under is 7-2-1 in Clippers last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. .LA CLIPPERS are 31-17 UNDER when they have the around same number of rebounds as their opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons. UTAH is 32-15 UNDER as a # 1 seed in the playoffs since 1996 with a combined average of 191.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 102-44 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. These teams have not gone over the total in 4 of their L/5 meetings. Play UNDER |
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06-14-21 | 76ers v. Hawks +3.5 | 100-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 4 Three-time NBA champion Danny Green sustained a strained right calf during Philadelphia's 127-111 win over Atlanta on Friday and will now Im betting have problems adjusting without him and being as fluid. Im also betting on the streaky Trae Young to find his form after a couple crap shooting games in a row. Advantage Atlanta. PHILADELPHIA is 9-27 ATS in road games after a combined score of 225 points or more over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 19-7 ATS in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 20-9 ATS in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.ATLANTA is 14-3 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons . ATLANTA is 20-8 ATS in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 16-31 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. 76ers are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 14-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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06-13-21 | Suns -3 v. Nuggets | 125-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
it has become obvious to me the Suns are the superior side in this matchup which we see via the 3-0 strangle hold they have in this series that resulted in 3 DD victories. These Suns have morphed into a cohesive machine, with a killer instinct and I cant see them taking their proverbial feet of the pedal as they go for a sweep of the Nuggets. PHOENIX is 13-3 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season.PHOENIX is 9-1 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season this season.PHOENIX is 8-0 ATS in road games after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons. Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as a favorite. Suns are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 Conference Semifinals games DENVER is 9-19 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.Nuggets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) - up-tempo team averaging 83 or more shots/game on the season against opponent after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 74-41 ATS L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. NBA road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (PHOENIX) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 24-8 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +4.5 ppg game. Play on the Suns to win |
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06-13-21 | Suns v. Nuggets UNDER 222 | 125-118 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
The Suns behind the 26th ranked pace, Im betting will precisely attack this game like they have every play off game to date, with patience and precision. They have Denver on the verge of elimination, and now without panic will methodically continue to play a top tier brand of defence, and take high %shot opportunities. This type of approach is a must here in the high altitudes of the Mile High city and this Im betting translates in a lower combined score than the offered total. DENVER is 20-9 UNDER after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games this season. Denver in their L/78 home games after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more have seen a combined average of 192.2 ppg go on the scoreboard. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DENVER) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 100-41 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 39-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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06-13-21 | Nets v. Bucks +2 | 96-107 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Milwaukee plays their best hoops at home, and just like they did in game 3 will try to produce another strong defensive effort as they try to take the flow away from the explosive Nets. Im betting their physicality will help them to another victory. Budenholzer is 34-19 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots as the coach of MILWAUKEE. MILWAUKEE is 4-1 straight in Wisconsin against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons. The home team has won the L/6 meetings. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - after scoring 90 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 185 points or less are 32-8 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (BROOKLYN) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 41-100 ATS L/24 seasons for. ago against 70% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BROOKLYN) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 11-34 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 76% to cover. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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06-12-21 | Jazz v. Clippers UNDER 223.5 | 106-132 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
The LA Clippers success and failure is predicated on playing to tier defensive hoops, that is ranked 4th in ppg D and a precise mind set that is evident by a 28th ranked pace. Tonight Im betting that type of basketball will be on full display as they desperately need to win this game to avoid going down 3-0 in this series. Also betting on Rudy Gobert to continue his top tier defensive play and for the Jazz to show their ability to also play strong D wull be on full display. With that said, I expect we see a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers might expect. Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings. UTAH is 32-14 UNDER as a # 1 seed in the playoffs with a combined average of 190.1 ppg. Snyder is 105-84 UNDER off a home win as the coach of UTAH with a combined average of 207.1 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 13-4 UNDER when they make 32% to 38% of their three point attempts in a game this season with a combined average of 214.3 ppg scored. Under is 7-1-2 in Clippers last 10 Conference Semifinals games. LA CLIPPERS are 15-7 UNDER versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 218.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (LA CLIPPERS) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 34-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 38-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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06-11-21 | Suns v. Nuggets -1.5 | 116-102 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 23 m | Show | |
Its never easy for visiting teams like the Suns to play in the high altitudes of the Mile High City and tonight vs a desperate and extremely motivated Nuggets team that will become evident. DENVER is 14-4 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. DENVER is 32-18 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons. Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Conference Semifinals games. Suns are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Suns are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Denver. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in five consecutive games, with a winning record on the season are just 9-26 SU L/24 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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06-11-21 | 76ers v. Hawks OVER 224.5 | 127-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
This Total offers value as my own simplified pace and shooting statistics algorithm chart indicates. The 76ers shot 54.9 % FG in game one and 52.9% in game 2. Atlanta shot over 51% in game 1 but fell to just over 45% in game 2. Ny projections estimate the Hawks will shoot above or around their season average here at home of around 48% while the Sixers will regress to the high 40s as well or better , which translates in a combined score that breaches this total. ATLANTA is 10-1 OVER at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 238.8 ppg scored. Over is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 games following a ATS win. Over is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Play OVER |
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06-10-21 | Clippers v. Jazz UNDER 221 | 111-117 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 58 m | Show | |
The Clippers behind the 28th ranked pace and 4th ranked ppg defense in the NBA will continue to disrupt the flow of the explosive Utah Jazz in a game I have pegged to be physical and to stay under the the offered total. LA CLIPPERS are 15-6 UNDER versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season have seen a combined average 218.5 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 13-3 UNDER as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.7 ppg scored. Under is 7-0-2 in Clippers last 9 Conference Semifinals games. UTAH is 49-21 UNDER off a close home win by 3 points or less with a combined average of 190.1 ppg going on the scoreboard.UTAH is 32-13 UNDER as a # 1 seed in the playoffs with a combined average of just 189.3 ppg going on the score board. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 50-19 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Utah. Play UNDER |
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06-10-21 | Nets v. Bucks UNDER 234.5 | 83-86 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
Both these top tier teams have alot of fire power and big name stars in the lineup but this series Im betting will continue to be more physical than anticipated . Remember this is not a international competition and or an all star game, its NBA post season action which has a tendency of producing alot more battles on the inside, which can make a game have alot less flow and thus less points going on the board. MILWAUKEE is 11-3 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season with a combined average of 125.7 ppg. BROOKLYN is 17-8 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 226.7 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN/MILWAUKEE) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 28-3 L/24 seasons for a 90% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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06-10-21 | Nets v. Bucks -3.5 | 83-86 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
Brooklyn took the first two games of this series, but the Bucks now in desperation mode and playing at home will come out here with all guns blazing. With the Nets Harden expected to miss this tilt Im betting the edge resides with the Bucks. Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Bucks have won 3 of the L/4 meetings in this series in Milwaukee. MILWAUKEE is 12-3 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season. Nets are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 playoff games as an underdog. NBA Road teams (BROOKLYN) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 16-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 60-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Home teams (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite are 39-14 ATS L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to win |
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06-09-21 | Nuggets v. Suns OVER 222 | 98-123 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 18 m | Show | |
Denver behind the 27th ranked pace and No.8 ppg offense operates at a precise speed behind precision shooting but Im betting they will be forced to speed up their play against a Phoenix side that they do not matchup well against overall. The Suns put 122 points on the board in the opening game of this series, and after watching that tilt, I feel strongly the Nuggets will have to go on the attack more aggressively vs a explosive offensive side that ranks 7th in the NBA in ppg offense that can and will will fire back with some consistent offensive fireworks of their own in a tilt that will Im betting easily eclipse this total.Note: 6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons here in Arizona. DENVER is 11-2 OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or better) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.1 ppg scored.DENVER is 9-1 OVER after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 235.6 ppg going on the board. DENVER is 8-0 OVER after allowing 105 points or more 5 straight games this season with a combined average of 239.3 ppg going on the board. PHOENIX is 24-9 OVER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts this season with a combined average of 228.8 ppg going on the board.PHOENIX is 13-4 OVER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with a combined average of 230.6 ppg going on the. board.PHOENIX is 16-4 OVER after a blowout win by 15 points or more this season with a combined average of 229.7 ppg going on the board. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 25-5 OVER L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (DENVER) - after allowing 120 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 225 points or more are 277-178 OVER L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |