For whatever reason its become apparent of late that Indiana is having alot of problems on the road, as compared to home. The Pacers do play a more conservative style on the road, and are also playing a better overall brand of defensive hoops, which has culminated in alot of lower scoring tilts. For example, the Pacers have scored less than 99 points, in 7 of their L/8 away games, and in 6 straight, scoring 99,97,88,85,81,91 respectively. Also in their L/10 games only one combined score has eclipsed todays total. Meanwhile, Boston, as the season progressed have based their successes and failures on playing a top tier brand of basketball, which has resulted, in 17 of their L/21 games staying on the low side of the Total and have gone under in 8 of their 9 March match-ups with an average of 205.3 ppg going on the scoreboard. These teams did take part in a 109-102 affair in Indiana that the Celtics won back on Dec 22, but based on how the teams are playing now, Im betting on a lower aggregated score that comes in at no more than 201-204 combined points. With that said, Im recommending we take the under. 

In Indiana's L/21 games when playing their third game in 4 days, they have seen a combined score of 203.7 ppg go on the board. INDIANA is 32-19 UNDER  revenging a same season loss vs opponent dating back to last season with a combined average of 204 ppp going on the scoreboard. Boston's HC McMillian is 118-87 under when the total is 200 to 209.5 in all games he has coached with this team, with a combined average score 200.4 ppg getting scored. Under is 6-0 in Pacers last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 13-3 in Pacers last 16 road games.Under is 23-8 in Pacers last 31 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 20-6-1 in Celtics last 27 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 7-1-1 in Celtics lThree of the L/4 games played in Boston in this series have gone under.

Play on UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

Golden State looks ready to rev up as the play offs approach, as was the case last night in fairly easy road win in Oklahoma City  vs the Thunder by a 111-95 count. The mighty Warriors after a short slump have now won four straight, and three straight by Double digits blowouts, and must be respected in their current form. Meanwhile, Dallas after winning 5 of 6 games, between Feb 25 to March 10, have since been slumping losing 3 of 5, two of which came against the lowly Sixers and Suns. Right now I'm not liking what I see from the Mavericks, despite of getting a win vs a less than prime time Brooklyn Nets last time out. In my own view the Mavericks look a little ragged and exhausted as  the age of their key players, is becoming an issue here in the stretch drive when a high energy level is needed . Tonight, despite of HC Kerrs propensity to rest starters , I expect Dubs key offensive catalyst Curry to play, because of the matchup between him and his brother has been highlighted by the NBA and their  media pundits. With that said, I am recommending we lay the points with the road Warriors. 

GOLDEN STATE is 27-13 ATS L/24 after 2 straight blowout wins by 15 points or more and  is 44-26 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Warriors are 9-1 SU L/9 in this series.

Golden State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The Pelcians Anthony Davis and his side kick DeMarcus Cousins are currently playing at a very hight level,  and in good form as they host the Memphis Grizzlies tonight. With the twin tower super stars finally starting to jell, and the Pelicans winning 4 of their L/5, Im expecting good things from them here tonight vs a Dr.Jeckyll and Mr.Hyde Grizzlies. After losing five straight, Memphis has won four consecutive tilts, including a 104-96 home win on Saturday over San Antonio. That hard fought win against the Spurs however, Im betting will take its toll on the team, and have them in an emotional letdown situation in this spot, even though they are on two days rest. You have to remember the Grizzlies cant rest starters , as they play hard for a play off birth, and with this being their 6th game in 10 days they will still be on tired legs.NEW ORLEANS is 15-7 ATS  in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.

Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Bulls despite of their struggles enter this game against their hosts the Toronto Raptors  playing decently without Dwayne Wade in the lineup, who will miss the rest of the season with assorted nagging injuries. Chicago took out  the Utah Jazz 95-86 on Saturday at the United Center, as they showed some unexpected life, and previous to that played a very good Wizards team tough in a 112-107 loss covering as dogs. Butler scored 23 points against Utah and looks suddenly reenergized which is a good thing for the Bulls going forward and more importantly as far as we are concerned tonight. Meanwhile, Toronto is still trying to find an identity with their star Kyle  Guard Lowry sidelined, alternating defensive strategies and run and gun attack systems  as was evident in recent win vs Detroit, 87-75 and than Indiana 116-91 smack down of the Pacers. In this matchup and according to  my own player to player and systems matchup analysis, the Bulls match up well against the Raptors, making the visitors viable underdogs in this spot.It must be also noted that this Bulls franchise has owned the Raptors in the recent past as is evident by having won 11 in a row against Toronto, including twice this season, and Toronto as mentioned above will be hard pressed to get a victory here and or cover.

CHICAGO is 25-11 ATS  L/36 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. Torontos HC Casey is 3-16 ATS  revenging 2 consecutive straight up losses to opponent as a favorite.

Play on the Chicago Bulls  to cover 

. Utah is ending  a four-game road trip tonight at Indiana. They dropped the last two games in their travels to Cleveland and Chicago, falling 95-86 to the Bulls on Saturday night, and looked exhausted in  doing so. The Jazz play a very physical and tenacious style of basketball that not only wears it opponents down, but also has a way of burning them out to . I really like Utah , and their style of play, but Im betting their legs won't support them in this spot. Meanwhile, Indiana enters this game having alternated wins and losses over their L/12 games. All the losses have come on the road . They lost last time out to Toronto 116-91 on the road, and now Im betting on a rinse in repeat situation here tonight, at home sweet home where they are 24-10 SU on the season.

INDIANA is 9-0 ATS L/9 in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing 98 or less points/game like Utah dating back to last season.

Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

This is a matchup of the Western Conference's worst club against the Eastern Conference's best.The Lakers lost to the Bucks 107-103 in a physical contest that resulted in the ejection of Young and teammate D'Angelo Russell fro their last game. The kids brought alot of energy into that tilt, as they play for roster positions next year and a attempt to garner some respect from their opponents. I expect these kids will play this game like its for a championship tonight and will not be easily dismantled. Meanwhile, Cleveland looked lifeless in a lopsided 108-78 loss  with LeBron James, Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love resting vs the  LA Clippers last night , and I wont be surprised if one or more of these guys rest again tonight or see  alot of bench minutes during this matchup vs an inferior side. Cavs are  just 1-8 ATS L/9 in road games when playing on back-to-back days this season.

Take the points with the LA Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Miami Heat continue to be on fire as is evident by a 23-5 SU run , that after a ugly 11-30 start to their season. This Miami team has something referred to by sports pundits as chemistry, and along with their work ethic are a hard team to play against. Meanwhile, their opponents the Blazers are also hot, and off two straight road underdog wins, but are also on tired legs as they played last night  and  playing their 5th straight road game, and 7th game in 10 days. It must be noted that 

NBA teams like the Blazers - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are just 8-32 ATS for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors dating back 21 seasons. With that said, I am betting the hard working Heat take advantage of a tired Portland team tonight and get us the cover.

MIAMI is 10-0 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts winning SU by an average of 11.2 ppg and is 7-0 ATS L/7 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) winning those tilts by an average of 12.5 ppg.

MIAMI is 10-1 ATS L/11 after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games this season. MIAMI is 8-0 ATS  off 2 or more consecutive home wins this season.PORTLAND is 3-12 ATS  after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season.

Play Miami to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The New Orleans Pelicans showed they had some life , last time out by defeating the explosive Houston Rockets by a 128-112 count as underdogs. They won that game without DaMarcus Cousins, who sat  and rested because of injury issues. Some media sources, hinted towards the Pelicans playing better without Cousins. I am sure the sensitive super star heard the rumblings and now with his ego fully bruised, I expect he will be ready to prove the pundits wrong. Meanwhile, their opponents tonight the Minnesota Wolves, playing with a banged up group, and on tired legs as they play 6 games in 9 days,  have lost 3 of their L/4, and are finally succumbing to the absence of guard Zach Lavine (ACL) and C Niola Pekovic (Ankle). Don;t get me wrong the Wolves , are a team on the rise, but tonight Im betting they are a disadvantage in this matchup in the Bayou. Note:MINNESOTA is 5-13 ATS  in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season, which happened last time out, when they lost 123-105 to the Heat.

Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Spurs enter this game with a  16-4 SU record  since losing back to back tilts to the New Orleans Pelicans and Dallas Mavericks on Jan. 27-29. Wednesday's loss was one of their worst games in recent memory vs the Portland Trailblazers in a 110-106 as 11 point chalk, and now Im betting on a rebound effort . Note:Spurs HC Popovich is 20-6 ATS L/26  off an upset loss as a home favorite of 10 points or more, winning SU by 12.5 ppg. Meanwhile, Memphis despite of a three game winning streak  are  still a team that is just 17-16 SU since Jan 1, and have been down graded on my power rankings lists. In their two previous three game win streaks, since the new year, the Grizzlies lost by 15 points  to the Warriors on Feb. 10 and lost by 12 at Oklahoma City to the Thunder  on Feb. 3, and tonight I expect their lack of consistency vs a superior side will once again become prevalent.
The Spurs will also have the extra incentive of payback on their sides as the Grizzlies took the first meeting 89-74 when the Spurs played without Leonard and shot a lowly 36.6 percent in Memphis on Feb. 6. San Antonio has won 10 of the last 13 meetings and are my choice tonight with revenge.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover  1 unit reg selection

The Trail Blazers, coming off a big 110-106 victory at San Antonio on Wednesday will now be in a letdown situation, thanks to the  great amount of energy they exerted in that win. They now play a Hawks team that is off a embarrassing home loss to Memphis last time out, by a 103-91 count, and that will now be primed for a rebound . Recent trends  point to a Hawks victory being a strong possibility as the Hawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a double-digit loss at home, while the Trail Blazers are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games following a straight up win.
In previous meetings the Hawks have dominated  and notched victories in five straight against the Trail Blazers, with the lone victory this season at Portland coming in overtime. With that said, Im betting on another victory and more importantly a cover by a hungry team needing redemption for recent lapses. Hawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a double-digit loss at home.Trail Blazers are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games following a straight up win.Trail Blazers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
PORTLAND is 9-20 ATS  after 1 or more consecutive wins this season and is 3-12 ATS  as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season.

Play on Atlanta to cover 1 unit reg selection

Two young teams with alot to prove go head to head tonight, in Phoenix as the Suns host the Orlando Magic. Orlando looked like they had no energy last night on Golden State and were  crushed 122-92 for their fourth straight SU/ATS loss . Whether their tankning for a future draft pick, or just plain running on empty is of little concern to me. What is more important, is whether they can compete tonight. Which a highly doubtful considering their current form and  HC Voglel probably resting his starters in a back to back situation  .Meanwhile, the Suns are playing better overall hoops, compared to the Magic, and are 4-4 in their L/5 games and are rightully the favored team in this spot. 

Orlandos HC Vogel is 0-8 ATS L/8 versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game like the Suns losing SU by 10 ppg. 

ORLANDO is 5-13 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 this season.PHOENIX is 17-6 ATS L/23 in non-conference games this season.

Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Houston Rockets after taking out the Cleveland Cavaliers in a emotional affair this week, tried to keep their adrenalin pumping by playing  top tier basketball in the follow up by routing the Lakers by a 139-100 count. I don't care what anybody says, there has to be an eventual letdown situation that entails that kind of all out work ethic. I know the pundits are all over the Rockets amazing take no prisoners style of basketball, but it has its limitations. Meanwhile, DeMarcus  Cousins and his vast talents and ego to match , will have an opportunity to be on display in a big way tonight. With that said,  Im betting on  him and his co star Anthony Davis standing  tall and leaving everything on the floor. I have been hard on Cousins, but this is the kind of game he can hang his hat on for a while, and I'm betting he showcases his stuff tonght before eventually having a on or off the court trantum and melt down in the future. 

Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game and are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win.Pelicans are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Underdog is 17-8-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings.NEW ORLEANS is 24-11 ATS L/ 35 in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game.HOUSTON is 22-38 ATS L/60 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points 

Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Andre  Drummond and Reggie Jackson the key cogs in the Pistons faltering machine look worn out and tired of late. Actually  the whole team looks exhausted, Here is a quote from Detroit HC Stan Van Gundy: "We've had six guys start since the All-Star break, four of them have started every game and we've gotten off to one good start. One," Van Gundy said. "Why are you a step-and-a-half slow at the start of every game? I don't know the answer to that.END QUOTE.

That is not a good omen for them as they host the Toronto Raptors tonight.  The Pistons in two exhausting affairs have been blown out by Cleveland and Utah this week, and will now still be in a let down mode this evening. I know the Raptors might not inspire bettors beccause of their current struggles, but Im keying on the return of defensive and rebounding specialist DeMarre Carrol to ingnite a team that has been focusing more and more on playing top tier defensive basketball of late. I also expect for the Raptors to be very focused ,as the last time they played Motown they blew a huge 16 point  lead going into the fourth quarter, finally losing 102-101,which was embarrassing to say the least. So redemption and payback must also be highlighted as motivting factors for the visitors. 

TORONTO is 12-4 ATS L/16 after playing 2 consecutive home games this season.and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Pistons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Road team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Raptors are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Detroit.

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover 1 unit reg selection 

This is a game of two teams at the opposing ends of the proverbial talent and perormance spectrum. Golden State is the top team in the west and the NBA , while Orlando is one of the worst teams in the league .The Warriors chalk full of stars, while Orlando is not. But now putting that aside, lets focus on the immediate state of affairs. Golden State as a team is exhausted and off having to work extremely hard to come back  from a 11 point deficit last time out to beat the Philadelphia 76ers. Previous to that they played eight games in eight different cities, three times traveling into multiple time zones between tilts. So now after comparing my line to the linesmakers number, and taking the above info into consideration, I like the option of taking points with an inferior team.Orlando opened a three-game Western swing with a 120-115 loss at Sacramento on Monday night, and look spirited doing it, and I feel we have value taking them in this spot play. One last thing, the Dubs have really struggled, with their shooting lately, and considering a league wide trend that states Home favorites of 10 or more points like the Warriors - after 2 straight games making 39% of their shots or worse are just 4-22 ATS  dating back 21 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors, I feel we are looking in the right direction.

GOLDEN STATE is 1-12 ATS L/13 versus lower teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last few seasons.GOLDEN STATE is 1-10 ATS L/10 versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 free throws/game and s 9-23 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record this season. 

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 1 unit reg selection 

After dismal season and their play off hopes, flushed, the NY Knicks HC Hornacek with Phil Russell's blessings will be giving his young players more minutes. In tonight's encounter with cross town rivals the Brooklyn Nets, I expect the bench will see alot of work, which may not be a bad thing, but not enough of a good thing, for a cover .. It must also be noted  the Knicks despite a victory last time out vs the Pacers have not won two in row since Dec 22. Considering the Nets recent competitive play I feel comfortable recommending we take the points here.  

Brooklyn defeated the Knicks at home on March 12th 120-112 in a game that was not as close as the score might indicate.

NEW YORK is 4-15 ATS L/19 after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half over the last few seasons.NEW YORK is 6-19 ATS L/25  in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5.The Nets are shooting .381 from 3-point range in their 10 games since the All-Star break, compared to .340 prior to the break.

Brooklyn to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Utah is a team on the rise, but Cleveland now with an eye on repeating as NBA Champs will ready to send a message to their upstart foes in this tilt in front of their own fans. With the Jazz on tired legs with this being their 3rd game in 4 days, their ability to run and gun will be dimisnhed greatly. With that said,  Im betting on the Cavaliers getting an edge and bringing down the hammer as the game progresses.

UTAH is 1-8 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season losing SU by an average of 8.7 ppg .CLEVELAND is 9-1 ATS in home games off a win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons which happened in a route of the Pistons last time out. UTAH is 7-17 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season and 13-28 ATS L/41 as a road underdog. Note: The Jazz won the only meeting bwtween the two teams this season in Utah 100-92 but have lost their L/4 visits to Cleveland.

Play on the Cleveland Cavs to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Houston Rockets are coming off a huge emotional win vs the Cleveland Cavaliers last time out by a score of 117-112. Im betting that their energy levels will  now be depleted because of that huge effort. Yes, even though the team and its key players are saying all the right things about be prepared to stay focused in their follow up affair vs the lowly Lakers, it will still be a difficult task to play a complete game. I know the Lakers do not inspire bettors, but if there was ever a time, players had a cahnce to improve their roster positions for next season, its against competition like this, and I expect the young Lakers will be primed to play with enthisiasm and grit. 

Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.Rockets are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win.

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

I have paid alot of attention to the Jazz of late and have gotten a good feel for a side that I'm betting will be a dark horse team when and if they reach the play offs. Here today against a wishy washy Motown side, I believe they have systems and player to player matchup edge, that makes them solid road favorites. Im not basing this selection on how miserable the Pistons looked last night in a lopsided loss in Cleveland but as mentioned above the  SU matchup defeciencies against this type of agressive team. The Pistons were smashed in the first meeting this year 110-77 on Jan. 13 by the Jazz and a while Im not expecting that lopsided type of score again , I do expect the Jazz to cover comfortably.

Jazz are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Central.Pistons are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games playing with no rest.Jazz are 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Detroit.

Play on the Utah Jazz to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Indiana Pacers have alternated wins and losses in their L/10 games, and are off a loss last night against a hungry and redemption minded NYK team.  I know the the Pacers  are  not easily handicapped and wildly inconsistent,  hot and cold team , but they still have a decent talent base and must not be underestmated   .  With that said, onight against a Charlotte team that has performed inadequately for an extended time , I feel they have the edge, especially here on their own home floor. (After starting the year 19-14, Charlotte is 10-24 since). Since defeating the Pacers on March 6, the Hornets lost three of their last four games, and now in revenge mode Im betting on the Pacers are primed to even the score. It must be noted tha the Hornets  have allowed 118 points per game in their last six losses, and that their lack of defense will be their demise again.

CHARLOTTE is 2-13 ATS (after playing 2 consecutive home games this season .INDIANA is 12-3 ATS  in a home game where the total is 200 to 209.5 this season.Indiana's HC McMillan is 28-12 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite in all games , which was the case last night in NY vs the Knicks as 3 point road favorites.

Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

In the eight games since Cousins was traded to the Pelicans   from the    Sacramento Kings, the Pelicans have won just twice. To me it's the same old thing with the talented Cousins. He has yet to make a team better, despite of his expansive talents and right now their seems to be no real chemsitry between himself and  Anthony Davis another super star. HC Gentry actually sat Cousins in the final 17 minutes of their L/game a win vs Charlotte as road dogs, as the team was playing better without him on the floor. Its aslo must  be noted by prognosticators that  New Orleans lacks the perimeter shooting necessary to force defenses to bother leaving the paint. Considering these factors, they are over rated by the linesmakers here, and I feel they do not matchup well against todays visitors the Portland Blazers, a team that has been playing some of their best hoops of season recently, winning 5 of their L/6 with one loss coming by just 1 contested point. 

NEW ORLEANS is 16-28 ATS L/44 as a favorite and 7-19 ATS  off an upset win as a road underdog. Portland is 7-2 SU/ATS L/9 in this series.

 NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Pelicans - off a road win, a lower tier  team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are a bankroll depleting 26-62 ATS for a go against conversion rate of 71% for bettors.

Play on the Portland Blazers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Phil Russell did not look amused when he watched his NY Knicks take on an exhausted Brooklyn Nets on Sunday in a 120-112 loss. You have to think he lit into the team after that tilt. What made the situation so intolerable is that the Nets  just finished a 9 game road trip and were on tired legs. That victory ended the Nets  16 game home losing streak. It was a truely a pathetic effort by the Knciks that left many of their fans completely frustrated. I know the Knicks had also been a short road trip, spanning three  games, but those were fairly close to home( Orlando, Milwaukee, Detroit), and there were no excuses for that kind of sleepy effort. Now embarrassed, I expect the core of Knicks to be ready for a bounce back effort vs a Pacers team that has alternated wins followed by losses during a current 9 game stretch. Prior to this run Indiana had lost 6 straight and remain wildly inconsistent and are far from solid road favs..

INDIANA is 5-14 ATS L/19 in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins this season.NEW YORK is 13-2 ATS L/15 in home games after a division game dating back to last season. Knicks have covered 4 of the L/5 meetings here in NYC.Pacers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. Eastern Conference.Home team is 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings

Play on the NY Knciks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

From a analytical viewpoint the NBA and most sports leagues that we can bet on ,  need a handicapper to  focus his attention in on core matchup situations , and not be swayed by momentum ebbs and flows which are common place in the world of competetive sports.  Especially in a game like this where both teams are playing at the proverbial oppoiste end of the performance spectrum.

Milwaukee has won six in a row, while Memphis has lost five in a row. One side is comfortable and playing well , while one side is struggling and  desperate for wins. With that said, as we all know all good and bad things must eventually come to and end. Yes, I know theirs an old saying that says go with the flow, but common sense tells us all waves eventually crash on the beach. It must also be noted that Memphis has had decent pedigree over the last few seasons, and have shown themselves to be a solid team with quality player personel and hardcore work ethic. Meanwhile,  the Bucks have shown wild inconsistencies and despite of their current run are a sub.500 team that is short handed, with Jabari Parker, and Micheal Beasley out. The Grizzlies are also playing this game in revenge mode for a loss they suffered back in November to the Bucks by a 106-96 count, and will be very primed to perform.  I suppose by now you can see where Im going with todays analysis and reasoning for taking the home team. By the way it looks like the linesmakers agree with my assessments , as Memphis opened as favorites. 

 This from a league wide trends data base: NBA Home teams like Memphis - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite like the Grizzlies are 77-37 ATS  for a 68 % conversion rate for bettors.

MILWAUKEE is 6-19 ATS L/25 after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games.Bucks are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Play on the Memphis Grizzlies to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The very young Phoenix Suns are playing some decent basketball of late, but still have a long way to go for respectiability status in the NBA. Meanwhile, the visiting Portland Trailblazers, despite of having  their 4 game losing streak snapped last night in OT by a 125-124 score vs a excellent Washington Wizards side, are now in top form. Note: The shot that sunk the Blazers last night, showed a video replay  on the arena scoreboard which suggested the  Wizards Morris stepped  out of bounds before hitting the game-winner with four-tenths of a second remaining. However, the play was not reviewable by rule.With that said, and now with a chip on their shoulders  I'm betting after  being robbed and competing at a high level vs the Wizards last night, this Blazers team comes out firing on all cylinders.

NBA Road favorites like the Blazers - with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season, on Sunday games are 32-8 ATS L/40 for a 80% conversion rates for bettors.

Trail Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.Trail Blazers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Pacific.

Play on the Portland Blazers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The Nets enter into this game against cross town rivals the  NY Knicks  having lost 16 straight  home.games. Now on tired legs and jet lagged  after a nine game road trip the Nets losing streak I am betting will  be intact after the final buzzer goes off todayl   The Knicks still playing for a long shot play off appearance  will be primed to play and play well.BROOKLYN is 9-26 ATS  when playing 6 or more games in 10 days datig back to last season.

Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.Nets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Atlantic.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Wizards  after starting their season with a lowly 2-8 SU have  gone 38-16 since and must be considered one of the top teams in the NBA at the moment. Tonight as underdogs, vs a Portland team that has done well against them in recent home meetings, Im betting the Wizards will be wide awake and very ready to end a 3 game losing streak at the Moda Center. The Blazers may have won 4 straight games, but  tonight Im betting they will hit a wall. ie ( John Wall) PORTLAND is 0-10 ATS  after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season.WASHINGTON is 11-2 ATS  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season. Wizards are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Play on the Washington Wizards to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Golden State Warriors will have the three main cogs of their offense out of tonights lineup in their road game vs the San Antonio Spurs(Durant, Thompson, Curry). This will obviously cull the Dubs offensive output and will greatly effect  their  ability to compete vs a team that would love nothing more than to put a one sided beatdown on them. Warriors are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Milwaukee has really impressed me lately,  and tonight they go against another team on a uptrend, the Minnesota Timberwolves (4-1 SUL/5).  With that said, this is a  a matchup where I am betting home floor advantage will be the difference maker. The Wolves upset the Golden State Warriors last night, and will now be in a letdown situation vs a Bucks side on a 5 game SU/ATS win streak which included last nights victory vs the Pacers.

Timberwolves are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. Eastern Conference and are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Central.Timberwolves are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings

Play on Milwaukee to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Milwaukee Bucks  have caught my attention lately as they bring a season-high four-game winning streak to BMO Harris Bradley Center on Friday night vs the Indiana Pacers.  Positive chemistry is one of the reasons for the Bucks surprising play, and despite some previous misgivings about them, because of injuries I now feel they are a solid team to back at home as short favorites. The Bucks took the first two meetings of the season, winning by an average of 17 points, and obviously matchup well vs the Pacers, and are my choice again tonight.INDIANA is 5-15 ATS L/20 in road games when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent dating back to last season.

Play on Milwaukee to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Houston Rockets will be exhausted as they just played back to back grueling games against San Antonio and Utah, losing both. There is some concern from their coach D'Antoni QUOTE: We just have to get our stuff together," D'Antoni told the Houston Chronicle. Meanwhile,  the Bulls need wins to procure a play of spot and will be motivated to pull of the upset here as home dogs tonight, a place where they have beat the Rockets in their L/2 visits.The Rockets outlasted the Bulls 121-117 in overtime in the first matchup Feb. 3, and  from watching some of that game, it was obvious to me that the Bulls matched up well against them. I know the Bulls have lost 3 straight , but  CHICAGO is 13-3 ATS L/16 after 3 or more consecutive losses 24-10 ATS L/34 versus top tier teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game.HOUSTON is 21-37 ATS L/58 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points dating back to last season.

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Tonight we have two teams playing at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum as the Spurs visit the Thunder. The Spurs are off a   114-104 win for their 9th straight victory in Sacramento vs the Kings on Wednesday in which two key players  LaMarcus Aldridge (rest) and  Leonard (rest)  did not play. Tonight , however, both are expected to be in the lineup , and very fresh which makes the Spurs a very  dangerous foe in this spot even though the team as a whole has played 8 games in the L/14 days. Meanwhile, the Thunder have lost 4 straight, and have failed to cover all 4 in what must only looked at as a downward spiral. Considering both teams current form, I am recommending we back the Spurs to cover as road chalk.Spurs beat the Thunder 108-94 back on Jan 31 of this season, and a repeat type performance will not come as a surprise.SAN ANTONIO is 33-19 ATS L/52 when playing 8 or more games in 14 days. SAN ANTONIO is 17-4 ATS versus good offensive teams like Oklahoma City - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Grizzlies have been in a slump and have lost 5 of their L/7 overall, including a loss on Monday vs lowly Brooklyn  that was described by their coach, as the lowest point of their season. Now with a few days of rest to contemplate their current state, I expect the feisty Grizzlies to come out on fire tonight vs a Clippers side, that cannot find their stride, even though they are fully healthy. After watching the Clippers struggle last night vs the Minnesota Timberwolves in a loss, its become obvious to me  that there are underlying systematic problems surrounding the Clippers, that must be resolved. Until those issues are successfully addressed  their fade material in spots like this, where the team is exhausted as they play their 8th game in 14 days. LA CLIPPERS are 8-18 ATS  in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days.MEMPHIS is 21-9 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games.

Play on the Memphis Grizzlies to cover  1 unit reg selection 

The Spurs enter this tilt against the Sacramento Kings having  won eight straight games, including Monday's 112-110 victory over Houston in San Antonio. That game against Rockets was hard fought, and followed up another exhausting affair vs the Minnesota Timberwolves, a contest that saw the Spurs come from behind in win in OT. Now still tired , and in an emotional letdown situation I expect the Spurs to not be as aggressive tonight, and I also won't be surprised if HC Popovich rests his stars during long stretches of this game, which gives the Kings an edge covering here vs a huge DD line. Yes, I know Sacramento has lost 5 straight, but after a lengthy adjustment period, playing without DeMarucs Cousins , this team Im betting will look a little more cohesive vs  a Spurs side that despite of being one of the best in the league, have failed to cover 4 straight games.. Also the Kings have had some ATS success of late, when in a tail spin, as is evident by a 14-4 ATS mark  after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread and are  4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Kings are also 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in San Antonio.

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New Orleans despite of the addition of DeMarcus Cousins continues to struggle, losing 5 of their L/7 games. For at the least the moment, Cousins and the Pelicans other star Anthony Davis are not showing any chemistry, and if anything look even less cohesive as  a team. In my humble opinion, Cousins despite of his vast talents, rarely has made a team better in his  travels around the league, and if anything has made them into inconsistent opponents for all comers. Cousins has become famous for not being a team player, and his circus like outbursts on and off the court. This kind of unwanted attention, makes for a bad atmosphere, and definitely not a winning one. With that said, I am recommending we back a hard working, Raptors side, that has won 5 of their L/7 and recently took out one of the leagues better teams the Washington Wizards on their own home floor.Toronto has won 11 of the last 14 meetings between the teams and the three most recent meetings and are my choice again.

TORONTO is 19-7 ATS L/26  vs. poor rebounding teams like the Pelicans  - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game.

Toronto to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Timberwolves are 6-4 in their past 10 games and are a team on the rise. However, tonight against a talented and experienced foe the LA Clippers, looking for pay back for a 104-101 loss at home earlier this season  Im betting they are at a disadvantage. The Clippers are of two straight wins vs the Bulls and Celtics and are now back into top form with a lineup that is finally fully healthy.

Road team is 24-7-1 ATS in the last 32 meetings.Clippers are 12-3-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Minnesota.Favorite is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.Clippers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.MINNESOTA is 7-15 ATS L/22 in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.

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The Hawks enter into this game in a slump and  have lost three in a row and six of their past eight games, and are far from solid favorites , even against the visiting Brooklyn Nets. Meanwhile, the Brooklyn Nets are currently playing some of their best, basketball of the season, winning 2 of their L/4 road games, and showing some nastiness and grit along the way, which makes them hard to deal with, because of their nothing to lose attitude. With Atlanta extremely tired playing their 8th game in 14 nights, I expect a rejuvenated looking Brooklyn team, to get us a cover.

ATLANTA is 0-8 ATS L/8 in home games after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread this season.Hawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Hawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Brooklyn to cover 1 unit reg selection

Orlando is  making a habit of blowing leads. Orlando lost 113-105 at the Amway Center on Monday after a DD lead to the NY Knicks. This is truly a doctor jekyll and mr hyde, team , with a lack of closing abilities. I don;t know if its a lack confidence or coaching inefficiencies , but what ever it is, they are a side that  are on my late season fade list, especially in games the  lines-makers expect to be a close. Meanwhile, the Bulls, despite of faltering of late, and also blowing leads still have some big time players like Butler that can stand tall in key situations and deliver key shots and stops. The Bulls beat Orlando 100-92 here in the not so Magic Kingdom, back on Jan 24, and now Im betting on similar result tonight. Vogel is 2-11 ATS L/13 at home when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of the Magic.ORLANDO is 10-20 ATS  in home games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season

 NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 Orlando  - revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent off a road loss against a division rival are 6-30 ATS L/36. 

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The postseason is something the young  Lakers are not even thinking about , as they enter this game against their hosts Dallas with a 19-44  SU record and are  on a current seven-game losing streak. Things don't look to get much better tonight, against a Dallas Mavericks franchise that has beaten them 13 straight times, and is currently playing their best basketball of the season, and have clobbered teams the Lakers of late as is evident by a  7-0 ATS L/7 record in home games when playing against a team with a losing record , winning SU by an average of 18 ppg. DALLAS is also 9-0 ATS L/9 in home games versus lower tier teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game in the second half of the season dating back to last season, winning SU by an average of 20.8 ppg. Back on Jan 22 the Mavericks crushed the Lakers 122-73 and despite of the Lakers wanting revenge, I ll end this with a Rolling Stones rip, " You Don't Always get what you want". 

Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Tonight's Texas Showdown between the Houston Rockets and San Antonio Spurs will see a more physical , Im betting will see a more defensive type game than the pundits might expect. The Rockets play a fire house brand of basketball, that features an explosive offense. Meanwhile, the Spurs  ranked No.1 in the league in D rating,despite of being able to run and gun with the best of teams , base their successes and failures on playing strong two way basketball based on solid defensive fundamentals, behind a pace that ranks 26th in the league. Tonight Im betting the home team, show cases this , and controls the pace of this tilt, which will in turn help keep the total combined score of this game on the low side of the number.

   From a league wide data base is must be noted that  NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like the Rockets/Spurs - in a game involving 2 top tier teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG in the 2nd half of the season are 32-6 UNDER for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Also NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like the Spurs - after 7 or more consecutive wins, in March games are 23-4 under for a 85% conversion rate for bettors following this league wide trend that dates back 5 seasons.

HOUSTON is 16-5 UNDER L/21 vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams - making 39% or more of their attempts with a combined average of 204.7 ppg getting scored. SAN ANTONIO is 11-2 UNDER   in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season with a combined average of 193.5 ppg going on the scoreboard.

Under is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 road games.Under is 5-0 in Rockets last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 11-3 in Rockets last 14 vs. NBA Southwest.Under is 11-4 in Rockets last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 5-0 in Spurs last 5 home games.Under is 8-2 in Spurs last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 10-1 in Spurs last 11 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

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 The Detroit Pistons are in position to qualify for the Eastern Conference playoffs if they get some key victories down the stretch. With that said, the Pistons chances of a post season appearance become much stronger if they can procure victories during the next two games. The first and obviously most important game comes tonight vs the Chicago Bulls a team that lost to the  Los Angeles Clippers on Saturday night while scoring just 30 points in the second half. With revenge on board for a 113-82 loss to the Bulls back in December I expect the Pistons to be very focused. It must be noted that Motown has won and covered 4 straight with revenge for a 30 point or more loss.

Bulls are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Pistons are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games.Bulls are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings and 1-4 SU/ATS L/5 at Detroit. 

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The Cleveland Cavaliers and Miami Heat just played each other Saturday with the Heat winning by a lopsided 120-92 beat-down. Cleveland was without LeBron James and Kyrie Irving as well as J.R. Smith and Kevin Love who are still recovering from injuries. In that above mentioned game, alot of feelings got hurt in a physical affair, and tempers flared and now many are expecting the Cavaliers to be out looking for pay back, behind super star LeBron James. Because of the obvious scenario that is expected to play out, I now feel the line is bloated, and have faith in the Heats ability to not go down without a fight , and make a game of this. 

MIAMI is 12-3 ATS off a home win this season.MIAMI is 17-4 ATS L/24 versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game and is 8-0 ATS L/8 versus good shooting teams like Cleveland - making 46% or more of their shots.

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The Suns are off two consecutive top tier performances  , thanks to a reserve group that has performed at a hight level. The Suns smashed the Charlotte Hornets 120-103 and the  Oklahoma City Thunder 118-111 on Thursday and Friday. Now with the momentum of those wins behind them, I expect they will be confident enough to play a talented Celtics crew very tough tonight in the desert. Yes, the Celtics are off two straight wins, with the first one coming at home vs the Cleveland Cavaliers. The second win came on the road after the team flew West to the west coast to play the Lakers, as they were still feeling good after their above mentioned win vs the Cavs. But as alot of us know, jet lag has a delay effect, and now I expect the Celtics to be on tired legs in this spot and susceptible to being upset. I know the Suns are also a little tired playing, their 3rd game in 4 nights, but they are one of the leagues better conditioned teams as is evident by HC Watson Suns  going  17-6 ATS L/23 when playing their 3rd game in 4 days . PHOENIX is  also 15-6 ATS  in non-conference games this season.

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Todays combatants Atlanta and Indiana are coming off close hard fought losses to a couple of the NBAs best teams. Atlanta after a ferocious 4th quarter comeback lost 135-130 heart breaker to Cleveland on Friday, while the Pacers lost 100-99 to San Antonio on Wednesday.
Atlanta in the above mentioned loss were down by 25 points in the second half against the Cavaliers but came back to trim the margin to a point late in the game it showed how talented they were , but also highlighted a lack of consistency, something that has plagued this team this season. However, their opponents this afternoon the Pacers are even more volatile and inconsistent losing 8 of their L/10 overall and especially fragile on the road were they own a sub par 10-20 road record and are just 12-18 ATS. With that said, I expect home court advantage to be golden in this spot. 
Pacers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Eastern Conference.Hawks are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 vs. NBA Central.Hawks are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss.Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.Pacers are 7-16 ATS in the last 23 meetings in Atlanta.
ATLANTA is 27-13 ATS L/40 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) dating back to last season.

Atlanta to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Rockets pounded the Grizzlies 119-95 in their last meeting. The Rockets played a take no prisoners game  as they dealt with the  frustration of two earlier series losses . In those previous match-ups Houston gave up a nine-point first-half lead in a 115-109 loss at Memphis on Dec. 23 and than gave up a 15-point second-half lead in a 110-105 home loss on Jan. 13, to a tenacious never say die Memphis side that must not be underestimated .Memphis, played last night and lost in Dallas,  but are 10-3 SU in the second half of back-to-backs and  is 12-2 ATS L/14 off a road loss this season and from my own player to players matchup systems/matchup very well against the Rockets. With that said, and future play off implications on the line I expect a spirited affair here tonight with the points eventually proving golden.

MEMPHIS is 12-4 ATS  versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46%  or more this season. Memphis has won 3 of the L/5 meetings in Houston.

Memphis to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Spurs return home with little rest after a late night and a later flight after beating New Orleans 101-98 in overtime on Friday and will be no mood to run and gun and instead will focus on their top tier defense to slow down the young rested Minnesota Wolves. Note: The Spurs have not allowed 11 of their L/13 opponents to not eclipse the 99 point plateau. I also will not be surprised if Spurs HC  Popovich does not rest Aldridge, Green and Gasol for parts of his game after all three played big minutes in last nights exhausting tilt, which in turn will mute the Spurs sometimes explosive offense. Meanwhile Minnesota, looks like they have turned a corner with some impressive defensive performances of late, allowing 4 of their L/5 opponents 99 or less points and 3 of those opponents to not eclipse the 88 point plateau. They are off a upset win last time out vs Utah by a 107-80 count but have seen their L/11 games off a win vs a division rival see a combined score of 199.9 ppg go on the scoreboard in their follow up tilt and if off a upset win as a underdog of 6 or more points vs a division rival the follow up game has seen them and their opponents average just 194.1 ppg, over a 21 game span.

MINNESOTA is 9-1 UNDER L/10 in road games after a game where they covered the spread this season, with just under 200 combined ppg getting scored. SAN ANTONIO is 15-4 UNDER L/19 in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46%  or more of their shots with the average combined score clicking in at 193.4 ppg and 11-2 UNDER  in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game   with the combined score of 193.3 ppg going on the scoreboard.

Play UNDER  1 unit reg selection 

This is a game for causal fans that could be considered perplexing, because of both sides current form.   One side the struggling Clippers  have lost 4 of their L/5 , including last night as favorites, and now go against another side the Chicago Bulls who are in top form and off a surprising upset win vs the leagues top team the Golden State Warriors. One side the Clippers, are desperate for a win, and the other , the Bulls are in an emotional let down scenario, after the above mentioned upset. So despite of current form, Im going to recommend we back the desperate road side, as Im betting  they will take advantage of a emotionally drained opponent. The Clippers won the first game 102-95 on Nov. 19 at Staples Center behind a double-double from Griffin and Im betting he will be one of the key catalysts again in a Clippers cover.

NBA Home underdogs Chicago Bulls - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 9-31 ATS L/40.

CHICAGO is 0-10 ATS  in home games after allowing 90 points dating back to last season which happened in the 94-87 upset of Golden State. HC Rivers of the Clippers is 41-22 ATS L/63 in road games after having lost 4 of their last 5 games in all games.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Both the Bucks and the Raptors played last night and both posted wins. Toronto impressed with a 114-106 win vs one of the NBAs best teams the Washington Wizards. Meanwhile. Milwaukee surprised with a win vs the visiting Clippers last night  and despite of some younger players taking advantage of their opportunities to excel ,   Im betting the Bucks, who are on tired legs playing their 5th game in 7 nights, to finally succumb to key injuries ie Jabari Parker, and Mike Beasley in this spot vs a rejuvenated looking Raptors side. Note: NBA Home underdogs like the Bucks - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days are just 79-134 ATS dating back 21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 63% for bettors.

MILWAUKEE is 1-11 ATS L/12 against Atlantic division opponents this season and  is 0-8 ATS L/8 in home games versus poor passing teams, like the Raptors averaging 20 or less assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last few seasons.MILWAUKEE is 6-14 ATS L/20  versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game this season. The Raptors have won and covered 4 straight trips to Milwaukee and have won 9 of the L/10 meetings in this series.

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Bucks are dealing with injury problems will be short-handed this Friday night vs the now healthy LA Clippers , at the Bradley Center (Khris Middelton still less than 100%,- Jabari Parker out for season, and M.Beasely still dealing with a hyper extended knee). Milwaukee has dropped three of its past four games while allowing opponents to score 100 points in each of those tilts. Meanwhile, the LA Clippers despite of losing 3 of their L/4, are a team to be reckoned with as stars Chris Paul and Blake Griffin are now back in the lineup. It must also be noted that those three losses, mentioned above by the Clippers, came vs the Golden State Warriors, the San Antonio Spurs and Houston. Despite of Bucks being a decent team, they are not of the level of those opponents, and in their current banged up state will not offer up the same resistance. MILWAUKEE is 5-14 ATS this season versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game like the Clippers.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Cleveland Cavaliers after a hard fought  103-99 loss to the Boston Celtics on Wednesday night will now be primed for a bounce back effort. With LeBron James now healthier after a bout of strep throat, I expect to see him at his best. Remember James, has a huge ego boosted by super human talent, and he hates to lose and has revenge on board for  Nov. 8 loss, when the Hawks prevailed 110-106 in Cleveland.

ATLANTA is 15-24 ATS  versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.

Cleveland to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Orlando Magic come into this game, against their instate rivals the Miami Heat, playing doctor jeckyll and mr.hyde basketball since the all star break. Despite of their inconsistencies, this small ball group is scrappy, speedy and getting better defensively.The Magic gave up 100 points per 100 possessions in the three games since the All-Star Break and despite of 101-90 loss  to the New York Knicks last time out , the Magic still only allowed 41 points in the second half. To me that was impressive and if it continues, their future as underdogs looks bright. Tonight against one of the leagues top Ds, the Magics new found brand of basketball will aid them well, especially with Heat star Hassan Whiteside dealing with a illness/injury , and at less than 100%. The underdog has covered 4 of the L/5 meetings.

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Oklahoma City enters this game in good form having won three straight since the all star break. However, all three came at home, and two came against the lowly Lakers and Pelicans, with the third coming by 3 points (109-106) vs an exhausted and road weary Utah Jazz that had played 3 away games in 4 nights. Im not trying to slight the Thunders recent run, but just shine a light  on part of the reasoning behind  why Im taking the Blazers a team that has  lost seven of its last nine games. Despite of both teams current records, Portland still has a chance at a play off appearance, and will be very prepared to perform here at home and must not be underestimated, as is obvious by the lines-makers opening line on this tilt. Portland has won 5 straight meetings here in Oregon in this series  and a 6th I'm betting comes this evening. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-18 ATS L/23  in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220.OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-14 ATS L/18 in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game .HC Donovan of the Thunder  is 5-16 ATS L/21 in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games.

Play on Portland Blazers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Chicago Bulls enter this game against the Golden State Warriors in good form and the healthiest they have been all season. The last time the Bulls played the Warriors they were spanked conclusively, 123-92 but their healthier than they were in the first meeting, while the Warriors are not, as they have to endure the rest of the season without star Kevin Durant ( injury) in the lineup. QUOTE: "We have a different roster and we haven't been without (Durant) but one game this year," Curry told reporters in Washington after the loss. "So it will be an adjustment." END QUOTE: I know Chicago was roughed up vs Denver last time out in a DD loss, but I expect they will bounce back with a big effort her vs a Warriors side on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 4 days, and are off a hard fought loss to Washington last time out, in a game they exerted alot of energy.  CHICAGO is 21-9 ATS  in home games after a loss by 10 points or more.GOLDEN STATE is 5-13 ATS  when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season.

GOLDEN STATE has also not done well against teams with defensive deficiencies in the recent past going   4-16 ATS L/20 versus lower tier defensive teams - allowing a shooting pct defense of 46% or more - 2nd half of the season over the last few seasons.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Boston Celtics go head to head with the defending NBA champion the Cleveland Cavaliers this Wednesday night. You can bet they will be primed and ready to perform , especially here at home at the TD Garden in front of their home town fans.  I know the Celtics looked bad in a lopsided 114-98 loss to the Hawks last time out, but that is all the more reason for a concerted bounce back effort here. With Cleveland super star LeBron James, still feeling the effects of a recent strep throat infection, the Cavs could be at a bit of disadvantage, especailly with Kevin Love injured and on the side lines.Cleveland did defeat Boston 124-118 at home back on Dec 29, but now with revenge on board I feel we will see the best of a Celtics side, that looked good and matched up well vs the Cavaliers despite of losing the above mentioned meeting. It must also be noted NBA Home underdogs like the Celtics - revenging a road loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite are 50-19 ATS dating back 21 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 0-8 ATS  in road games after playing 2 consecutive home games this season, which they just did. 

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The NY Knicks enter into this game against the Orlando Magic off a hard fought , heart breaking 92-91  loss last night to the Toronto Raptors. The Knicks had led by as many as 17 points before falling apart as the game progressed. However despite of their deflating effort,  NYK still had a chance to win it with a wide open buzzer beater from C Anthony, that he missed. Now in an emotional letdown situation, and on tired legs I expect their hosts the Orlando Magic have the edge . The Magic are a side that has looked rejuvenated since the All-Star break, easily  running down  the Hawks 105-86 in the team's last game Saturday. With the Knicks still trying to figure out which direction the team will take going forward, they look, at least to me like fade material in spots like this vs a Orlando team that matched up well against them in a recent meeting in January in NY winning by  a 115-103 count as road dogs.

 Knicks are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Knicks are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall..

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Chicago Bulls roll into this contest having won four straight games, behind an offense that has suddenly come to life, scoring 105,104,128, and 117 points in those games via a more aggressive attack and uptick in pace.  Meanwhile, Denver despite of struggling of late, continue to score in bunches on most nights, averaging 110.6 ppg on the season, behind the 7th ranked pace. Their biggest issue comes via their defense, which has allowed a whopping 111.7 ppg this season, and 112 ppg in road tilts, ranking dead last in defensive rating in the league. Considering the Bulls current form, and the Nuggets propensity to run and gun, Im betting we will see a high scoring affair tonight that eclipses this number. My owns numbers suggest that both these teams  will score in 110 range . DENVER is 30-2 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with the combined score of 234.8 ppg, going on the scoreboard , and the Nuggets are  also  22-1 OVER  when they score 112 or more points in a game this season, with a combined average of 239.2 ppg getting scored. 

DENVER is 11-1 OVER L/12 after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season, with a combined average of 233.3 ppg going on the scoreboard. DENVER is 10-0 OVER  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 dating back to last season, with a combined average of 225.8 ppg getting scored. Over is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 vs. NBA Central.Over is 11-5 in Nuggets last 16 road games.Over is 9-1-1 in Nuggets last 11 vs. Eastern Conference.Over is 5-1 in Bulls last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

The Sixers lost 110-109 heart breaker on Saturday night to the New York Knicks, as Carmelo Anthony nailed a baseline jumper with three-tenths of a second remaining . The Sixers despite of key injuries to leading scorer Joel Embiid, have won 4 of their L/6 and have looked competitive, with the core of the team looking cohesive and showing positive chemistry. Meanwhile, Golden State with a 49-9 SU record, and a front runner for the NBA championship, come into the City of Brotherly love installed a almost 14 point road favorites. With that said, I know its not easy betting against the Warriors, but they are not infallible vs the spread, as is evident by a overall 28-28 ATS record a sub .500 -13-15 away ATS record. With the young Sixers playing with pride, and a trend that dates back to last season showing they are 12-0 ATS L/12 vs explosive offensive teams scoring 106+ ppg , in the second half of the season , Im recommending we take the points here. 

Philly has covered the L/2 meetings in this series at home.

Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Celtics after a bad fourth quarter lost 107-97  at Toronto on Friday , and will now be prepared to bounce back vs a Detroit side they matchup well against. Meanwhile, Detroit won its first game after the All-Star break, rallying from an 18-point, second-half deficit to defeat a a lowly Charlotte side by 114-108 count  in overtime on Thursday. Boston took a 113 -109 win on Jan 30th at home and Im betting they have the edge again here on the road.

BOSTON is 16-5 ATS L/21 in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) and s 10-2 ATS  as a road favorite of 6 points or less this season.

All teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Pistons  - revenging a loss vs opponent against opponent off a road loss against a division rival are just 19-51 ATS over the L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors .

Boston Celtics to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Washington Wizards entered the all star break as the  Eastern Conference's hottest team , but had their flow interrupted in their  first game after the All-Star break as they lost, allowing 120 points to the 26th- ranked scoring offense in the NBA. Meanwhile, The Jazz had a good game, by winning  Friday in Milwaukee thanks to their pick-and-roll scheme, which Im betting will give the Wizards alot of problems this Sunday. Washington got some big headaches coming as they face the stingiest defense in the league. Utah allows 95.7 points per game which I am betting will be the catalyst behind a Jazz cover. 

Wizards are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

Play on the Utah Jazz to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The young Lakers are big underdog here at home today vs the visiting San Antonio Spurs. Yes, the Spurs are obviously the superior side, but from a matchup standpoint Im betting they are being under rated , vs a HC Popovich coached side, that is notorious for resting starters , during a game. This gives credence to a multitude of covering situations and furthermore from a mathematical standpoint we have value taking points. 

LA LAKERS are 17-4 ATS L/21  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 assists/game or more - in the  2nd half of the season over the last few seasons and 17-6 ATS L/23 versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots.

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Pelicans enter into this game with the newly acquired DeMarcus Cousins on the roster, but  things did not pan out as expected in his first trip to the hardwood for Bayou crew, in a lopsided loss to the Rockets . From my perspective there seems to be no chemistry between himself and Anthony Davis, at least for now ,which makes the Pelicans fade material for me here tonight in Dallas. Meanwhile, the Mavericks, have steadily improved this season after a slow start, and have now covered 13 of their 18 entering the all star break, and have covered 7 of 8 games when favored overall this season.

From a league wide NBA trends database:  NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Mavericks - an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) against a poor team (-3 to -7 PPG diff.) after 42+ games are 71-39 ATS over the L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for betting backers. 

 Mavericks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Mavericks are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games.Home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.DALLAS is 8-1 ATS L/8 in home games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game like the Pelicans. DALLAS is 12-2 ATS L/14 in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season and is 8-0 ATS L/8 in home games versus lower tier teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game under the same game and time perimeters. 

Play on the Dallas Mavs to cover 1 unit reg selection 

My own numbers make the Total of this tilt closer to 210.5 to 211 and Im betting we have value taking an over wager here. Yesterday, Miami scored 108 points, in its first game back off the all star break, while their opponents tonight the Pacers popped 102 points on the board. Both played last night, and will now be in rhythm heading into this game, which will lead to a run and gun affair. MIAMI in 16 games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season have seen a combined average 212.6 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 like the Pacers - revenging a road loss vs opponent, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days have gone over 31 of the L/39 times this trend has been in play dating back 21 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for betting backers. Also NBA teams like Miami  - hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team have gone over 49 of the the 66 times for a 74% conversion rate for betting backers.

  MIAMI is 8-1 OVER  on Saturday games this season with a combined average of 212.1 ppg going on the scoreboard.Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 games playing  with no rest.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

The Atlanta Hawks are ranked fairly high on my power rankings lists  compared to many others I have seen, and  I feel we have great value backing them tonight vs a young and less than cohesive Orlando Magic side that  recently traded away top tier talent Serge Ibaka. I know the Hawks looked horrid last night vs the Miami Heat in  108-90 setback, but after that ugly loss, you can bet this group will now be motivated for redemption against a side the Hawks have demolished in recent battles,  winning the  last two meetings by a combined 46 points.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Hawks - off an upset loss as a home favorite, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are a bankroll expanding 43-19 ATS dating back 21 seasons for a close to 70% conversion rate for betting backers. 

ORLANDO is 2-10 ATS L/12 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season losing SU by an average of 13.9 ppg.  ORLANDO is 2-10 ATS  at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season losing SU by an average of 8.7 pppg.  Hawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Hawks are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games playing with no rest. Magic are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.Magic are 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 home games.Hawks are 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Orlando.

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

With the  return of Chris Paul expected tonight, the Los Angeles Clippers expect to be very competitive and  to get back on the winning track when the play the San Antonio Spurs on Friday night at Staples Center. Even if Paul does not play I like the Clippers chances at covering with the personnel they now have avaliable. Although the Spurs remain one of the league's top tier clubs, they have encountered problems with the Clippers as is evident by San Antonio having lost both of this season's previous meetings against Los Angeles. In the most recent confrontation  on Dec. 18, the Spurs were handed a 106-101 road defeat . The Clippers also pounded the Spurs 116-92 on Nov. 5 at San Antonio.

Spurs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.Clippers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Underdog is 18-6 ATS in the last 24 meetings.Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

LA Clippers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Serge Ibaka will make his Toronto Raptors debut Friday night vs the  Boston Celtics at the Air Canada Centre.  The Raptors after losing , 11 of their last 16 games  needed to make a change.

Toronto also expects forward Patrick Patterson to return Friday from a bruised left knee, a player that is a important cog in their teams future and current chemistry.Toronto has won two of three games between the teams this season with the lone loss coming in OT, and matchup well against the Celtics. There is no doubt in my mind that the Raptors are a top tier team despite of their struggles and must be respected here on their own home court. TORONTO is 7-0 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season and is 10-2 ATS  vs. division opponents this season.Celtics are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Atlantic.Celtics are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Despite losing forward Jabari Parker to a season-ending ACL injury the Bucks still finished the first half in top form and must not be underestimated, as was evident by  winning three in a row entering the all star break and look like a viable choice here tonight, vs the visiting Utah Jazz. Meanwhile, Utah had lost three in a row before wrapping up the first half with a 111-88 victory and looked a little rattled/ragged overall before the break, with cohesive issues being at the center of their problems.

Jazz are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games.Jazz are 9-20 ATS in their last 29 games overall.NBA teams like   Milwaukee - good shooting team - shooting 46% or more on the season, hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or more of their shots are  32-11 ATS dating back 20 seasons. 

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Golden State Warriors matchup very well against the LA Clippers, as has been evident by 3 straight wins in this series during the current campaign, with the victories coming by an average of 25.3 ppg. With the core of the Warriors both rested and not rusty after play off game action, I expect they come out here , and run over the Clippers for a lopsided win. Golden State   smashed the Clippers in a  46-point humiliation on Jan. 28  here in Oakland and another lopsided finish is what Im expecting tonight. 

GOLDEN STATE in 20 games this season  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts are 14-6 ATS with the average margin SU win coming by 18 ppg. GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 ATS L/10 in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season, dating back to the previous campaign, winning SU by an average of 16.3 ppg. 

Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover 1 unit reg selection 

I am going to start off by saying I am not a big DeMarcus Cousins fan. It is not that the Pelicans new acquisition Cousins isn't extremely talented, but that he has problems with harnessing his ego and the so called proverbial  demons that haunt him. He has proven my theory in spades during his tumultuous  NBA career . But now despite of that I expect he will for at least tonight Cousins come out on fire with his new  teammate NBA  all star Anthony Davis and leave everything on the floor for what I expect will be a Pelicans cover .  Note: New Orleans also have a revenge on board for a 122-100 beat down at Houston earlier this season, which is favorable from a trends perspective that shows, as the Pelicans are 10-0-1 ATS in 11 previous same season revenge scenarios for a 20 point loss or more vs an opponent with a .666 win % or better like the Rockets.

Houston is 1-7 ATS L/8 as road chalk in this series.NEW ORLEANS is 23-9 ATS L/32 in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game.

Cousins is expected to play tonight.

Play on New Orleans Pelcians to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Celtics have been in top form since late January and have won  12 of their L/13 SU.  But this is a precarious spot for the Beantown hoops crew, as they will be playing their 5th road game in their L/6 and are on tired legs after playing last night in Philadelphia. Meanwhile, the Bulls looked good in their last trip to the hardwood a win vs the Raptors and should be well rested as they play their 2nd game in a row at home after enduring a grueling 6 game road trip to start February. In both meetings this season, the home team has prevailed and from a long term perspective the Bulls are 11-2 SU as a host in this series and 6-1 SU with revenge. Advantage goes to the hosts.

BOSTON is 1-13 ATS L/14 after 4 or more consecutive wins dating back to last season.Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The Clippers strong defensive play of late has sparked them to three straight wins. The Clippers always base their successes and failures on their ability to defend. Meanwhile, the visiting Hawks their opponents tonight,   earned a hard fought 109-104 victory over the Portland Trail Blazers on Monday night, and are now playing their third straight and final road game on a west coast swing that will have them on tired legs. The Clippers look good against the Hawks in Atlanta in their lone meeting this season winning by a 115-105  count, and are my choice again here on home court.

LA CLIPPERS are 10-2 ATS L/12 after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season.Hawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Pacific.Clippers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.Hawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Hawks - off an upset win as a road underdog are a long-term bad betting going just 124-185 ATS for go g against conversion rate of 60% for bettors.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 

The Nuggets tied an NBA record with 24 made 3-pointers and blew out Golden State, 132-110 last time out and now Im betting they use the momentum of that win to take out the Minnesota Timberwolves tonight.The Nuggets face a Timberwolves team coming off a 116-108 home defeat to defending champion Cleveland on Tuesday night and will now be in a letdown state after leaving it all on the court and still not winning.Also the injury of Wolves leading scorer Zach LaVine who had surgery on his left knee will effect this young team, and that is evident by  having already lost 4 of the 6 games he has not played.  Denver had won 5 straight in this series until losing the last meeting between these two teams, and will be out for revenge.

Timberwolves are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall.Nuggets are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games.Nuggets are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Denver to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Cleveland played last night, and took out the Minnesota Timberwolves on the road and now the media is making a big deal about the loss of Kevin Love's loss to the Cavs after arthroscopic surgery. After the disappointing news LeBron James was quoted as saying: "I'll rest when I retire. As long as I'm in the lineup, we've got a chance," James said. "We good. Kev is out for an extended period of time. J.R. (Smith) has been out, but I'm in the lineup. I'll be suiting up, we've got a chance against anybody. I ain't worried." END QUOTE: I couldn't agree more with the future hall of famers words, and will be backing him and his team on home court tonight against a up and down Indiana Pacers that  followed up a seven-game win streak with a four-game losing streak.CLEVELAND is 20-8 ATS L/28 versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season.

The Toronto Raptors are struggling and last time out, against Detroit blew a big DD lead going in the the fourth quarter before losing in OT by a 102-101 count. Now downtrodden and lacking confidence they  travel to Chicago, where they favored by 7 points on the opening line. QUOTE: "I'm starting to get worried, yeah,"  Toronto stay Lowry told reporters, according to the Globe and Mail. "It's not going the way we're supposed to be going and things aren't changing. So yeah, I'm starting to get worried."Meanwhile, despite of Chicago's recent ugly outings,  and possibly playing short handed , I like their chances at making Toronto work hard for a win, and for the Bulls to possibly spring the out right upset as they matchup well in  head to head scenarios. It must be noted that the Raptors lost 123-118 at Chicago back on Jan 7th and are just  6-18 ATS L/24 revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite . 

CHICAGO is 21-10 ATS L/31 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game .  Chicago is 9-0 SUA/ATS L/9 meetings and 5-0 SU/ATS L/5 at home.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Toronto and Chicago are two teams struggling on defense at the moment, with the Raptors allowing 102+ ppg in  7 of their L/8 games, and the Bulls following suit allowing 9 straight opponents to eclipse the 100 point plateau. Considering both sides current form I expect both to eclipse the 100 point level again. When these teams played back on Jan 7 ,241 total points went on the board. TORONTO is 21-7 OVER L/28 revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points dating back to last season, with a combined average of 208.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. CHICAGO is 18-5 OVER  where both teams score 98 or more points in a game this season, with a combined average score of 217 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

I know the Bulls are short handed tonight, with Wade and Butler missing  but I expect the backups who are far more healthy to be alot more cohesive than a couple of banged up players who are currently slowing this team down, and making them less cohesive.

CHICAGO is 9-1 OVER L/10 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season with a combined average of 216 ppg on the board and  is 18-8 OVER L/26 against Atlantic division opponents with a combined average of .  210.3 ppg getting registered. Bulls/Raptors have gone over 5 straight meetings in Chciago.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Minnesota enters this game off a beatdown of the Chicago Bulls last time out by DDs(117-89) But today against a Cleveland side that  dominated Minnesota the last time these teams met back on  Feb 1 winning by a 125-97 count the Wolves look like fade material. According to my own numbers the defending league champs once again look like solid bets laying 5 points or less in the rematch. 

MINNESOTA is 0-9 ATS L/9 after a blowout win by 15 points or more over the last couple of seasons losing SU by an average of 8.9 ppg. 

 This from a league wide ATS data base: NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Wolves - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more against opponent off a home win by 10 points or more are 13-39 ATS dating back 5 seasons 

Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Warriors are coming off two tough games, including Kevin Durant's first game back in Oklahoma City and will be on tired legs vs an   opponent the Denver Nuggets that is almost never easy to deal with when playing here in the high altitude of the Mile High City. 

GOLDEN STATE is 8-17 ATS L/25 when playing against a team with a losing record this season.GOLDEN STATE is 3-14 ATS L/17 versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more - 2nd half of the season . GOLDEN STATE is 3-12 ATS L/15 after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better this season.

Denver to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Pistons come to town off a high energy come from behind victory last night. They rallied from a 16-point deficit to force overtime and took a 102-101 decision Sunday at Toronto, and will now be in an emotional letdown state and on tired legs as they play back to back games. Despite of the Bucks , not playing at the same level as the Pistons, I like their chances at underdogs vs a side that could easily be playing on an empty tank. 

NBA teams like the Bucks - cold team - failing to cover the spread in 12 or more of the last 15 against opponent after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread are a long term bankroll expanding 72-36 ATS for a 68% conversion rate for their betting backers. DETROIT is 12-23 ATS L/35 after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread.

Milwaukee to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Heat had their 13-game win streak which was  the longest in the NBA this season and the longest in league history for a sub-.500 team abruptly come to end on Saturday night in a loss at the Philadelphia 76ers. Miami's streak of 100 point games did stay intact however, and now stands at 13 games. Now ready for a bounce back effort and a higher energy performance I expect the Heat to be ready to put points up on the board in bunches vs a Orlando defense allowing a average of 109 ppg as visitors this season and that has allowed 113,128,112, and 112 points in their L/4 trips to the hardwood. Tonight I expect the Heat to score at least 112+ points and for the Magic to be forced to keep up in what I am betting will be a combined score that eclipses the total. Note: ORLANDO is 22-2 OVER where both teams score 98 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 226.1 ppg going on the scoreboard.  NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MIAMI) - hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are a bankroll expanding 31-9 for over bettors dating back 21 seasons.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection

 Two teams the visiting San Antonio Spurs and their hosts the Indiana Pacers are both coming off losses and  will now meet this Monday night. The Pacers  have lost three straight games after winning seven in a row.Meanwhile, the Spurs  suffered a surprising 94-90 loss to the New York Knicks on Sunday afternoon in Madison Square Garden. The Spurs looked disinterested and lethargic and key catalyst LaMarcus Aldridge continued a recent funk. The Spurs after playing at such a high level for so long, may have now hit a wall, and the all star break could not come at a better time. 

The Pacers have compiled a 20-8 home record this season at Bankers Life Fieldhouse and defeated the Spurs here last season, and once again in my humble opinion look like solid underdog picks.

INDIANA is 19-8 ATS L/27 after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 19-31 ATS L/50 versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season dating back to last  season.

Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The New Orleans Pelicans and the Sacramento Kings are two inconsistent teams. The Pelicans in part depend to much on Anthony Davis , while the Kings seem to do better  when their temperamental  super star DeMarcus Cousins is on the sidelines. When the Kings star has been in the lineup he has not looked cohesive with his teammates of late. QUOTE: "I'm fighting my demons right now," Cousins said after his last  game, before later adding, "I don't know how to be myself anymore. It's something I'm going to have to figure out." END QUOTE. Cousins is talented, but he's an emotional wreck and wreaks havoc on his teams flow , more often than not. He is expected to be in the lineup tonight. Yes, I know the Kings have won two straight (both at home), but from a matchup, standpoint some teams matchup well against certain opponents, according to my own data, and the Pelicans matchup very well against the Kings from a systems and player to player standpoint. HC Joerger of the Kings  is 7-20 ATS  off 2 or more consecutive home wins in all games SACRAMENTO is 0-9 ATS L/9 after scoring 105 points or more 4 straight games .  .

Pelicans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Kings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Kings are 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Play on the New Orleams Pelicans to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Toronto Raptors have looked exhausted of late , but I am betting a 3 day layoff and  their  return home can get them headed in the right direction again, beginning with a matchup against the visiting Detroit Pistons this Sunday. Note: Raptors are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

Meanwhile, the Pistons despite of playing some good hoops of late,  they are off a hard fought loss to San Antonio last time out, and will be in a let down state vs a well rested and  hungry team. DETROIT is 3-11 ATS  in road games after a non-conference game this season.

Toronto entered Saturday tied for fourth in the NBA in foul shooting (80.6 percent) and Detroit was 27th (73.6) .It must be noted that when laying points with a team in this league,  these types  of inequalities can be a key to cashing a ticket. Also TORONTO is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season.

Pistons are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Pistons are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 vs. Eastern Conference.

Toronto Raptors to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Bulls in their last tilt got back the services of Jimmy Butler and Dwyane Wade  but still lost 115-97 at Phoenix, which has the second-worst record in the NBA. That was embarrassing, for the Bulls, and pros do not like to be embarrassed ,especially all star future hall of famers like Dwayne Wade. QUOTE: "Awful, awful ... they out-competed us in every category," Chicago coach Fred Hoiberg said. "Rebounding, loose balls, 19-6 in transition. That tells you all you need to know. END QUOTE: With that said, I expect the veteran core of the Bulls to stand up today, and take advantage of another very inconsistent team the Minnesota Timberwolves that is now playing without the services of key cog Zach LaVine, who will miss the rest of the season and looked  bad without. in a lopsided loss to New Orleans last time out. There is also payback on the agenda for the Bulls as the Wolves upset them 103-110 at home earlier this season. 

Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Timberwolves are 16-37-1 ATS in their last 54 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Timberwolves are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.Road team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.Bulls are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Minnesota.

 NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Bulls - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days are a bankroll expanding 63-22 for their betting backers dating back 21 seasons. 

Play on the Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Oklahoma City took on the defending NBA champion Cleveland Cavaliers in their last trip to the hardwood, and upset them as underdogs which has them entering this tilt against mighty Golden State  riding a four-game win streak. I know most of us view the Dubs , as virtually invincible, because of their SU record, but the truth is they are  barely a .500 team ATS this season, because in part because of the premium lines placed on their games by bookmakers. Tonight , with Durant visiting his old diggs, and the home team motivated to get revenge for ugly losses in the two first meetings ( both at Oakland) Im expecting a much better effort from Westbrook and company in front of their own fans in what promises to be an emotionally charged affair. I must also be noted that the Warriors played last night, in a hard fought game at Memphis, and will now be on tired legs. With that said, I'm taking the points with the motivated and fresher hosts. GOLDEN STATE is 3-12 ATS L/15 in road games on Saturday games.OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-8 ATS  in home games this season and  8-1 ATS  in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season and a longer term 25-9 L/34 ATS with revenge.

Oklahoma City to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Miami played last night so they are on tired legs going i to their 4th straight road tilt, and now go against a Philadelphia team missing offensive catalyst Joel Emblid ( knee injury).   Considering these factors, and a few more I will list, this game has value for bettors with a under wager. 

The Sixers rank 30th in offensive rating in the league, and a a average but not so bad 15th ranked defensive rating . Meanwhile, Miami ranks 22nd in pace, 26th in offensive rating, and a stellar 6th in defensive rating. The Heat have not allowed more than 99 points in 5 of their L/8 games and despite of their current hot hand , still base their successes and failures on playing a strong defensive brand of hoops. With that said, look for the Heat to be more direct and methodical in their approach tonight, and for the Sixers offense to be muted after a run a gun affair in their last trip to the hardwood. Sixers HC Brown is 14-3 UNDER L/17 in home games after scoring 110 points with a combined average of 199.4 ppg going on the scoreboard. (Philly beat Orlando last time out 112-111).

MIAMI is 23-10 UNDER L/33 in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

The New Orleans Hornets enter into this game well prepared to play a good but inconsistent young Minnesota Wolves group. The Hornets may not always inspire alot of nba pundits, but they are a tight crew, that play hard together. With one of the NBAs best players healthy and  in their lineup ( Anthony Davis)  the Pelicans can be a menace, especially against a deficient defensive team like the Wolves that have allowed 100 or more points in 12 straight games. It must be noted that Davis had a rare down game last time out, potting just 12 points, and will be very ready for a huge bounce back performance in this spot.From a player to player matchup standpoint, the Pelicans actally matchup well vs the Wolves, and I'm betting they make life difficult for their hosts tonight and get us the cover. 

MINNESOTA is 8-17 ATS L//25 as a favorite this season.MINNESOTA is 5-16 ATS L/21 in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last few seasons.NEW ORLEANS is 36-23 ATS  versus top tier offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game dating back to last season. Pelicans have won 3 of their L/4 visits to Minneapolis. 

Play on New Orleans to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Miami is the league's hottest team and takes a 12-game winning streak into Friday's visit with the Nets In Brooklyn.The Heat are averaging 109.4 points, shooting 49.4 percent and making 42.8 percent of its 3-pointers during the streak. Now going against the lowly Brooklyn Nets,  some pundits might expect the Heat , to over look their opponents. I however, am betting this will not be the case tonight. A little over two weeks ago, the Miami Heat visited the Brooklyn Nets and had to stage a ferocious comeback to net a 109-106 victory, and than in the rematch took a 104-96 victory in South Florida.  So tonight I expect the Heat to be even more focused. Meanwhile, Brooklyn is off an exhausting matchup vs the Washington Wizards last time out losing a heart breaker in OT. Now in an emotional letdown scenario and on tired legs, I expect the visitors will take advantage of them, in what could easily be a lopsided victory. It must be noted that  the Nets have lost 11 straight, allowing 109.8 points/per game while average margin of defeat is 9.2 ppg.

MIAMI is 11-0 ATS L/11 versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season and 11-0 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with the average margin of victory coming by 11.2 ppg.

Play on the Miami Heat to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Boston Celtics are a team with alot of chemistry. Add to that they consistently play hard and  find ways to win , even  when they have had a multitude of walking wounded. The Celtics  have won 7 of their L/8 games overall, and just had a 7 game win streak end , against Sacramento last time out. as they began a 4 game road trip. The Celtics looked a little fatigued as they adjusted to a west coast time zone last night, but will be better prepared to play tonight.  Meanwhile, Portland is coming off a last second win against Dallas last time out, 114-113, but that was after blowing  a substantial lead, something that has haunted them consistently this season. I expect the Blazers will be in an emotional letdown situation here after that energy filled victory. 

Considering the Celtics have revenge on board for a 127-123 loss at home to the Blazers back on  Jan 21, I expect a motivated pay back effort must be expected by the men from Beantown. 

HC Stevens is 31-17 ATS L/48 revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite. BOSTON is 32-15 ATS L/47 when playing on back-to-back days. BOSTON is 7-0 ATS in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season.PORTLAND is 7-15 ATS L/22 after 1 or more consecutive wins this season . This also from a NBA league wide archive: NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Celtics - off a road loss against opponent like Portland off a road win by 3 points or less are a bankroll expanding 26-7 ATS dating back to the 2011 campaign for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Boston Celtics to cover 1 unit reg selection 

I did not like what I saw from the NY Knicks last time out, in a lopsided loss to the visiting LA Lakers, a team that had lost 13 straight road games. With NYK HC Jeff Hornacek frustrated and his teams negative body language while on the court , I'm going against them here. I don't know whats going on in the dressing room, but I personally think all the talk of the Melo Anthony trade, and the teams overall lack of character in key situations has finally taken its toll  over the entire teams mind set. Its a old cliche, in sports, but I'll say it again. This Knicks team has chemistry issues and management and ownership know it. I know their opponents tonight the LA Clippers are also struggling, but they are still a strong side, that will find this game much easier than the last 4 they have lost ( two vs Golden State , Boston, and Toronto). With that said, Clippers get the nod.

NEW YORK is 14-27 ATS L/41 as a home underdog of 6 points or less and 3-14 ATS after trailing their last two games by 10 or more points at the half, which happened in the the first two games of their current home stand.Knicks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference.Clippers are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in New York.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Atlanta after a ugly effort against Utah last time out, losing by DDs,will be ready to bounce back here vs a improving Denver team.Its interesting to note the Atlanta Hawks have won 15 of their past 21 games, but they've alternated good and bad performances since starting the stretch with seven straight victories. I'm not saying that because they were out played last time out that they will systematically play better here, but I do believe they have enough good coaching and quality player personnel to right their ship quickly. Yes,  this young Denver side  has played some very good ball of late, and won their last game at home despite of having three key players out, but now I expect the injury of their top scorer Gallinari to be issue here on the road, where their defense has been atrocious as is evident by allowing 110.7 ppg this season. The Hawks won 109-108 in Denver on Nov. 23 and have beaten the Nuggets at home each of the last four seasons and are 15-3 SU L/18 meetings overall. 

ATLANTA is 27-13 ATS L/40 in home games versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game on the season winning SU by 9.2 ppg. Hawks are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss and are 18-5 ATS in their last 23 games following a double-digit loss at home.

Play on Atlanta to cover 1 unit reg selection 

In one of the best games in recent NBA history the Wizards fell short in a 140-135 overtime thriller to Cleveland, and will now be in an emotional let down state vs a lowly Brooklyn team I'm sure they are over looking. The last time Washington visited the  Brooklyn Nets ,   they  trailed by 16 in the first half in an eventual come from behind 118-113 victory Dec. 5, and another similar affair may not be out of the question. I know backing Brooklyn under any circumstances can be a death defying feat, but in my usual contrarian fashion, Im recommending we just close our eyes, plug our noses and some how find the guts to pull the trigger and  back the Nets here in a advantageous situation vs a side that I expect will lack the energy needed to cover the spread. (Wizards are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.)

Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover

The Dallas Mavericks are off a sleepy performance last night in the Mile High City. Lack of oxygen or just a down game, are to blame for getting beat by DDs by the Nuggets. Dallas had a four-game winning streak end abruptly, but had won nine of its last 13 and are still looking more and more like a possible play off team. Now after being embarrassed I expect they come home and put forth a focused bounce back effort vs a inconsistent Portland side  currently on a two game losing run.Dallas has won two of the three meetings with the Blazers this season and ar my choice again.

DALLAS is 21-8 ATS  vs. good free throw shooting teams like Portland - making 76% or more  of their attempts this season.Stotts is 7-21 ATS L/28  after a game being outrebounded by opponent by 15 or more.

Mavericks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Mavericks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games.Trail Blazers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Southwest.Trail Blazers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Trail Blazers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Trail Blazers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Dallas.

Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Atlanta Hawks, will be out to avenge lopsided loss at Utah back on Nov 25 by a 95-68 count, and will be out to take down the Jazz for the eighth time in the past 10 home meetings on Monday night. Meanwhile, the Jazz have been playing well, but are coming off a game on Saturday at home against Charlotte, rallying to win 105-98 and will now be on tired legs, as they travel west to east in a time zone jet lag situation.
UTAH is 7-17 ATS L/24 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record and 11-23 ATS L/34 in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game.UTAH is 1-10 ATS as a road underdog this season and 0-7 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season.Utah head coach Quin Snyder is 4-14 SUATS away versus opponents with revenge from a loss of 16 or more points.

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Lakers have lost 13 straight road games and have not procured a victory on the road since taking down the Philadelphia 76ers 100-89 on Dec. 16. They have allowed at least 100 points in 12 of those games and rank 27th, giving up 110.3 points a night. Meanwhile, despite of Knicks also struggling, I feel they have the advantage tonight, vs the Lakers side that is 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. The Knicks last time out lost to the Cavaliers 111-104 as dogs, but are are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS loss and are 10-1 ATS  after playing a game as a home underdog this season. Advantage to the Knicks.

New York has won 5 straight in this series and took the first meeting this season 118-112 at Los Angeles on Dec. 11. 

Play on the NY Knicks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Clippers enter this tilt against their hosts the Boston Celtics having lost  3 of their L/4, but two of those losses came to the leagues most explosive team the Golden State Warriors. The Clippers usually stable D, has been their biggest issue, of late , but are more than capable of righting that ship against a tired Boston side, that is off a hard fought win last time out by a 113-107 count vs the Lakers.  From a league wide trends archive it must be noted that NBA Road underdogs  like the LA Clippers- - after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a win by 6 points or less or 35-4 L/39  ATS dating back 5 seasons. I know the Celtics are on a 6 game winning streak,but the Clovers are just  1-11 ATS L/12 after 4 or more consecutive wins over the last couple seasons. BOSTON is also 1-8 ATS L/9 in home games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days this season.  From a matchup perspective the Clippers HC Rivers is 16-4 ATS L/20 in road games vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 80% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season in all games he has coached in his career. 

Clippers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.Celtics are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Pacific.Clippers are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Boston.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Minnesota and Memphis enter this game  both off losses yesterday.Memphis  had a three-game winning streak snapped at Oklahoma City, while the Wolves 1-6 ATS L/7  lost in Detroit for their second straight defeat . In head to head meetings Minnesota  struggled against Memphis last time out losing 93-71 on nov 19  this season and Im betting the matchup scenarios remain the same, with the Grizzlies having the edge. MEMPHIS is 10-2 ATS off a road loss this season.Grizzlies are 21-10 ATS in their last 31 games playing on 0 days rest.

NBA Home underdogs like the Wolves - after playing 2 consecutive road games, playing on back-to-back days are just 41-76 ATS for a go against conversion rate of 65%.

MINNESOTA is 0-12 ATS L/12 in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points this season.

Play on Memphis to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Two teams coming off hard fought games have go head to head on back-to-backs on Saturday night when the Milwaukee Bucks visit the Phoenix Suns. The Suns took a big 105-103 win in Sacramento as 5 point dogs snapping a 5 game losing streak and the Bucks lost a close affair against the Denver Nuggets 121-117 as 3.5 point pups for their 5th straight loss. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Suns - off an upset win as a road underdog, a lower tier  team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are just 12-33 ATS L/45 follow ups, dating back to the 2012 season. Also NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Bucks  - off a road loss against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are 25-7 ATS L/33 also dating back 5 seasons. 

I expect the Bucks hold the advantage here according to my own stats and Im betting they get the cover. 

PHOENIX is 3-12 ATS L/15 after a win by 6 points or less . MILWAUKEE is 41-23 ATS L/ 64 after 5 or more consecutive losses.

Milwaukee Bucks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Phoenix Suns come in there in struggling form, after 5 straight losses ,but I'm betting they right their ship and stay very competitive in this spot, vs a Sacramento team that they matchup well against. The Suns will present a problem with their backcourt tandem because Sacramento labors to guard the perimeter. Suns guard Eric Bledsoe scored at least 40 points in three of his L/6 games, and  Booker scored at least 20 in 14 straight tilts and will be the catalysts for a Suns cover.

NBA teams like the Kings - average shooting team (43.5-45.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) like the Suns, after a game where a team made 35% of their shots or worse, 9-29 ATS L/38.

Suns are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 games following a ATS loss.Kings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The Sacramento Kings are 0-14 ATS L/14 at home before facing Golden State. ( I call this the look ahead syndrome)

Phoenix to cover 1 unit reg selection

Oklahoma City enters this home game against Memphis off three straight losses. The first two defeats came against defending champions Cleveland and  contenders San Antonio, and the third was in let down mode vs the Bulls after exerting alot of energy in the first two losses to top tier sides. Now with a day to rest, I expect the Thunder will be primed to bounce back. It must be noted that OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-1 ATS L/10 after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season and are 5-1 ATS in their L/6 at home. Meanwhile, MEMPHIS is 3-15 ATS L/18 in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) losing SU by an average of 8.4 ppg.

.Grizzlies are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Oklahoma City.Home team is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

Play on Oklahoma City to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The Celtics enter this home game against the LA Lakers  in top form having won 5 straight games, but it must be noted that  BOSTON is  just 1-10 ATS L/11 after 4 or more consecutive wins dating back to last season. Meanwhile, the LA Lakers, with 24 more hrs to acclimate to a east coast time zone, after playing last night in Washington will be ready to compete here tonight, much like they did late in last nights games vs a solid Wizards team covering as 10.5 point dogs in a 116-108 loss. The Lakers are a solid 5-1 ATS in their L/6 and are once again being under rated by the pundits. 

LA LAKERS are 15-4 ATS L/19 versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last few seasons.Lakers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Celtics are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Pacific.Lakers are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Golden State Warriors off a DD win vs Charlotte last night 126-111 look head and shoulder above every other team in this league and once again look like viable bets here against the LA Clippers tonight in the Staples Center. The Warriors have taken eight straight victories vs the Clippers, including the last four meetings in LA.. The Dubs average margin of victory has come by more than 13 points in the past eight contests against the Clippers, while  averaging 117.5 points per game and shooting 49.9 percent.In their last meeting Golden State smashed LA 144-98 on Jan 28th. This sets up this trend perfectly-

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Clippers- revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 4-28 ATS L/32.

GOLDEN STATE is 12-4 ATS L/16 versus good 3 point shooting teams  like the Clippers- making 36% or more of their attempts this season with the average margin of victory coming by just under 22 ppg. GOLDEN STATE is 40-22 ATS L/62 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points dating back to last season winning SU by an average of 9.5 ppg. 

Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Golden State off a hard fought 113-11 win vs Portland on Sunday  now takes on a usually feisty and under rated Charlotte Hornets squad off a 115-98 loss last night in Portland.   I know the Hornets have struggled recently, losing 5 straight and 10 of their last 13 games, but because of the Warriors extreme superiority in this league and the Hornets current struggles, a premium favorite line has been installed by lines-makers, giving us value with the dog. 

NBA Road underdogs like the Hornets - after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games against opponent like the Dubs after a win by 6 points or less are 35-4 ATS L/39 dating back 5 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 8-25 ATS L/33 after a game - attempting 20+ more free throws than opponent which happened last time out vs Portland. 

Warriors are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS loss.Warriors are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Hornets are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Golden State.

Play on Charlotte to cover 1 unit reg selection 

This Totals investment option centers almost totally on past trends, and mathematical truths and both sides current form. 

Oklahoma City are ranked 7th in Defensive rating in the league and 18th in offensive rating. Chicago ranks 23 in offense and 5th in defense. With that said, I expect the Thunders under rated D, to hold the Bulls struggling offense, to a lower out put than expected, while the Bulls solid D, does the same to the Thunder. Im betting on a grinding physical affair.

CHICAGO is 17-8 UNDER L/25 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less  turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 201.3 ppg going on the board.CHICAGO is 25-15 UNDER L/40 versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game this season with a combined average of 204.3 ppg and is 23-14 UNDER L/37 versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season with a combined average of 204.9 ppg going on the scoreboard. CHICAGO is 13-4 UNDER L/17 in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5 this season with a combined average of 202.9 ppg getting put on the scoreboard. CHICAGO is also 8-0UNDER L/9 after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points this season with a combined average 

with a combined average of 196.2 ppg getting scored. CHICAGO is 10-1 UNDER L/11 after a combined score of 215 points or more this season with the following game seeing a combined sore of 196.6 ppg. OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-10 UNDER L/31` in a home game where the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 204.5 ppg going on the board.OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-0 UNDER L/8 after 4 straight games with 55 or more rebounds this season with a combined average of 203.6 ppg going on the scoreboard, 13-0 UNDER  after 3 straight games with 55 or more rebounds this season with a combined average of 201.1 ppg clicking in.

According to the data above, this tilt between Oklahoma City and Chicago favors a Total that should be closer to 202 to 204 , thus giving us value on this number being offered via a under bet.

Under is 10-3 in Bulls last 13 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 23-7-2 in Bulls last 32 road games.Under is 23-9-1 in Thunder last 33 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Under is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 vs. NBA Central.Under is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings.

Play UNDER  1 unit reg selection