The Celtics have won 11 of their L/13 games, but are off a underdog loss vs the Pacers last time out. Thanks to that slap in the face Im betting the Celtics  will be primed for a strong  bounce back effort vs a  Hawks side that is  1-11 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. 

BOSTON is 22-8 ATS  after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.

ATLANTA is 10-21 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.ATLANTA is 26-45 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.McMillan is 11-25 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record as the coach of ATLANTA.

NBA Underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 6-50 L/26 seasons for a go against  89% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.3 which qualifies on this ATS line.

NB ARoad underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 5-40 L/26 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate with a combined average of +10 which once against qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover 

The Chicago Bulls will host  the Miami Heat  this Monday night in a clash of the two top teams in the Eastern Conference. Miami has won both meetings in this series, but now in double revenge mode Im expecting the Bulls to really push here tonight and get us the cover. From a matchup perspective according to my own data, the Bulls matchup well vs the Heat and deserve respect getting points .Bulls are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Miami. Heat are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.

CHICAGO is 14-4 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36%or better  of their attempts this season. CHICAGO is 19-4 ATS  after a non-conference game this season. CHICAGO is 16-6 ATS  after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MIAMI) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 255 points or more are 12-29 L/26 seasons for a go against  71% conversion rate. 

Play on Chicago Bulls to cover 

Orlando overcame a 17-point third-quarter deficit en route to a 119-118 victory at Indiana on Feb. 2 and despite of the Pacers having new faces in the lineup my rankings and matchup data shows me that Orlando once again matches up well here. 

Magic are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Pacers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.INDIANA is 2-10 ATS against Southeast division opponents this season.

Road underdogs vs. the money line (INDIANA) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a double digit win as a underdog of 6 points or more are 1-29 L/5 seasons for a go against  97% conversion rate for bettors.

Pacers are 3-7 ATS L/10 meetings in this series.

Play on Orlando to cover 

Minnesota is a fine young team but now the lines-makers are beginning to over estimate their overall abilities , and I can see irrational exuberance starting to take over the publics mindset. The Wolves have lost 4 of their L/7, and despite of their accolades still have alot of room for improvement. As far as tonight goes Im betting they are once again slightly over rated vs a  Cleveland Cavs side that beat the Wolves by DDs on the road earlier this season and have a tendency to play their best ball against above .500 sides as is evident by their  18-7 ATS  record  when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Cavaliers is also  4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog

Timberwolves are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Timberwolves are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MINNESOTA) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game are 14-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Cleveland to cover 

The Pelicans are off a big DD victory vs Phoenix last time out and will now be in an emotional letdown scenario after playing a complete game that can be best described as tenacious but definitely exhausting. Now in a vulnerable position, against a Lakers side desperate for wins I like the the home sides chances for victory.

NEW ORLEANS is 1-11 ATS (L/12) in road games off a double digit win as a underdog of 6 points or more . 

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%) are 33-8 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

 Pelicans are 0-4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles.

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 

The 76ers have double revenge for two losses to the Knicks already this season and they are going to be motivated to get some redemption, vs a side that has lost 13 of 16 and could easily be tanking. With Harden in the lineup Im expecting a big output by the 76ers and as usual top tier defensive play in a lopsided victory, Note:The Philadelphia 76ers are 33-0 ATS in straight up in  away wins when they are  seeking revenge for a pair of same-season losses.

NEW YORK is 1-8 ATS  in February games this season. NEW YORK is 2-11 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

76ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.76ers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road game.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - off a home loss by 10 points or more, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 24-60 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% go against conversion rate for bettors. (Miami blasted NYK 115-110 on Friday night in the Big Apple)

Play on Philadelphia to cover 

Being a defending champion, has made covering a difficult proposition since Bucks backers have to lay a premium with them especially when they play at home as is evident by Milwaukee's  10-20 ATS L/30 home games record and their  3-13 ATS mark against above .500 sides. Also MILWAUKEE is 1-9 ATS  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season.

NBA Road teams (BROOKLYN) - struggling team - having lost 15 or more of their last 20 games against opponent after having lost 3 of their last 4 games are 73-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. 

Play on Brooklyn to cover 

These teams are obviously trending towards what would be estimated to be a higher scoring affair , but according to my personal matchup indicators this game will not cross the offered totals  number. My projections estimate a combined score of 232. Giving us a full possession plus advantage. 

MEMPHIS is 13-3 UNDER  versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better  of their shots over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.2 ppg scored.

CHICAGO is 13-4 UNDER  in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.1 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (CHICAGO/MEMPHIS) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 30-3 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. 

Under is 3-1-2 in the last 6 meetings.

Play UNDER 

Miami played last night, but that is not a concern for me because according to my power rankings they are the best conditioned team in the the league.MIAMI is 15-3 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The Heat beat the Spurs by 16 as short road favs earlier this season, and here at home a rinse and repeat situation is a distinct above average possibility . 

Spurs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - good rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game, in February game are 200-134 L/26 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Miami Heat to cover 

Two teams playing in a home environment, is not always easy to handicap. But the need for wins by the Lakers tells me they are the more desperate team, and have a advantage based on that. Note: Before the all star break the Lakers showed life losing to Golden State in a heart breaker 117-115 but showed their resilience against another top tier squad betting Utah 106-101. Look for the Lakers to leave everything on the floor again and find a way to grab a much needed W vs in city rivals. 

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%) are 37-9 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CLIPPERS) - after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 27-62 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Lakers to win 

The Suns played last night, but Im betting they should still be fresh enough for tonights game against New Orleans after the long all star break lay off. Meanwhile, the Pelicans despite of being competitive of late have not faired well  against top tier sides going  0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Suns are also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Advantage Suns. 

NEW ORLEANS is 0-8 ATS  after 2 consecutive division games over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -9.6. 

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games against opponent red hot team - having won 18 or more of their last 20 games are 1-43 L/26 seasons for a go against 98% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.4 which easily qualifies on this ATS line offering. 

Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover 

I know the Knicks do not inspire bettors , but as was the case recently they were motivated enough to take out Golden State, and seem to bring their A game to top tier opponents. With desperation being key here for the Knicks Im betting they are competitive and find a way to cover and possibly pull of the upset on fresh legs after an extended all star break rest. NEW YORK is 31-17 ATSin the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

NBA  team vs the money line (NEW YORK) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a home favorite are 33-12 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. ( NY lost to Miami in 110-96 on Jan 26th in Florida)

Play on NY Knicks to cover 

Chicago had won 5 straight before the all star break, and Im betting they continue to uptrend here vs a generally  poor traveling Atlanta side, that is  1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and are just  1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

CHICAGO is 13-4 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better  of their attempts this season. CHICAGO is 40-19 ATS   when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO is 16-4 ATS (  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. CHICAGO is 18-4 ATS after a non-conference game this season.

Bulls are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games as a home favorite.Bulls are 27-10 ATS in their last 37 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Bulls are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Bulls are 39-18-1 ATS in their last 58 games as a favorite.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival against opponent off a home win are 13-39 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago to cover 

Oklahoma City is outgunned here by the Suns, but they have proven themselves to be a competitive side cashing 8 of their L/10 against the spread and deserve respect at home as DD dogs. 

Suns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 25-11 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game this season.OKLAHOMA CITY is 18-6 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game this season.Daigneault is 14-4 ATS  when playing 4 or less games in 10 days as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY.

Suns are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Oklahoma City.

Play on Oklahoma city to cover 

Im betting these two well rested teams will play above their usual paces, and easily eclipse this number which I have projected to be 210+.  Over is 6-0 in Cavaliers last 6 games as a road favorite.

Over is 5-0 in Cavaliers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Bickerstaff is 11-1 OVER  in road games versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season in all games he has coached with a combined average of  221.1 ppg scored. 

Casey is 21-9 OVER in home games when playing 6 or less games in 14 days as the coach of DETROIT with a combined average of 217.2 ppg scored.Casey is 18-6 OVER   in home games when playing with 3 or more days rest in all games he has coached with a combined average of 209.9 ppg scored.Casey is 13-3 OVER  in home games off a road win as the coach of DETROIT with a combined average of 226.8 ppg scored.DETROIT is 14-3 OVER  in home games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 221.7 ppg scored. Over is 4-1 in Pistons last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CLEVELAND) - after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a terrible team (25% or less) are 45-22 OVER L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. 

Over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings in Detroit.

Play OVER 

LeBron James owns the all star game , he  has coordinated and controlled this game since his early years in the league, and must be respected as a favorite considering the group that will be on the floor with him here tonight. Look for  Giannis, Jokic, Curry, Embiid,  Donicic to help the King get the cover . 

Play on Team LeBron to cover 

Philadelphia recent trade may have upset the chemistry the team had , as was evident by the beatdown they took at the hands of the Celtics last time out on their own home court. Back in November the Bucks proved they matchup well vs the 76ers when they beat Philly right on their own floor by a 118-109 count. Note: PHILADELPHIA is 7-19 ATS  in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Advantage Bucks. 76ers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Milwaukee.

PHILADELPHIA is 8-19 ATSin road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 6-19 ATS versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 245 points or more are 42-3 L/26 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.2. 

Play on Milwaukee Bucks to cover 

 The Heat took part in a lower scoring game last time out losing to the Dallas Mavericks on the road by a 107-99 count. Note: MIAMI is 14-6 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. MIAMI is also 18-4 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders this season. Tonight I expect we see the Heat focused and in bounce back mode vs a hornets side that my power rankings suggest they matchup well against. Hornets are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 home games.

Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.Heat are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.

CHARLOTTE is 7-18 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better  of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.CHARLOTTE is 11-23 ATS   in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 3 seasons.

MIAMI is 14-2 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%), in February games are 71-31 ATS L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Miami Heat to cover 

The Nuggets have been playing strong hoops of late winning 4 of their L/5 , while Golden State has hit a speed bump losing 3 of their L/4. However Im betting the Warriors here on their own home floor will be prepared to rev things up as they seek revenge for a sluggish 89-86 loss here at home back in late December. 

Nuggets are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Nuggets are 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Golden State.

GOLDEN STATE is 20-9 ATS  revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.GOLDEN STATE is 13-4 ATS in home games against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff registering at +11.6. 

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite against opponent off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite are 31-7 L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +7.2 . 

Play on Golden State to cover 

I know the Grizzlies played last night in a win vs New Orleans, but this team is well conditioned and the far superior side in this matchup vs Portland. The Grizzlies are also in revenge mode for a loss suffered here at home to Portland back in December and will be wise awake in redemption mode this evening. MEMPHIS is 16-4 ATS  revenging a loss vs opponent this season.

MEMPHIS is 9-0 ATS  after a division game this season with the average ppg clicking in at 17.1 ppg.

Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Trail Blazers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Note: Home favorites vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite, off 3 or more consecutive road wins are 30-1 26 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average margin go victory clicking in at +12.8 ppg which qualifies on this ATS line. 

I know Portland pulling off a upset win last time out vs Milwaukee , but will now be in a huge letdown situation. PORTLAND is 0-7 ATS   in road games after a win by 10 points or more this season with the average ppg diff registering at -15.5 ppg.

MEMPHIS is 7-0 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at 16.5. 

NBA Underdogs (PORTLAND) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 14-37 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Memphis to cover 

Chicago has won 4 straight games and are starting to pickup steam, as they enter this tilt with a Sacramento side-off an ugly 109-85 loss vs Brooklyn last time out showing off  their tanking abilities. We all know the NBA and all major sports leagues say tanking does not exist , but if it did, the Kings are prime candidates even if they bounce back off a very ugly performance. 

 DeRozan will enter Wednesday's visit from the Sacramento Kings on a streak of six straight games with at least 35 points on 50 percent shooting or better, and will be key to a Bulls win and cover. 

Kings are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog.Kings are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 road games.

CHICAGO is 15-4 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. CHICAGO is 17-4 ATS  after a non-conference game this season.Donovan is 21-8 ATS (as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of CHICAGO.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, average defensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) are 38-5 L/26 seasons for a 89% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.1. 

Play on Chicago to cover 

Washington is off a win last time out, but have not won back to back games since early December and Im betting nothing changes tonight vs a desperate Indiana side that needs to snap a current 7 game losing streak. The Pacers were competitive vs Milwaukee last night  and will be dialed in again here at home vs a side that my power rankings suggest they can handle. INDIANA is 24-8 ATS L/32 after 6 or more consecutive losses. Pacers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 0 days rest.

Wizards are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.WASHINGTON is 7-15 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (INDIANA) - average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 245 points or more are 41-3 L/26 seasons for a 96% conversion rate for bettors.

Wizards are 0-4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Indiana.

 on Indiana to cover 

Brooklyn snapped a long losing streak last time out vs Sacramento in convincing DD fashion, but Im betting they fail in an attempt to make to 2 in a row vs a NY Knicks side, that has covered 7 of the L/8 meetings in this series. Hey I know the Knicks may not inspire bettors, but the Nets are short handed at the moment with Kyrie Irving out and James Harden gone  and may have issues with chemistry when they need it most. BROOKLYN is 1-11 ATS after a win by 10 points or more this season.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - off an upset loss as a favorite of 10 points or more, second half of the season are 87-16 26 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.2. 

NBA Underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (BROOKLYN) - after beating the spread by more than 24 points in their previous game, with a winning record on the season are 3-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 92% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -9.8. 

Play on NY Knicks to cover 

Indiana is in free fall, after 6 straight losses, but according to my numbers are being a little under rated here on this line.  Note:INDIANA is 23-8 ATS L/31  after 6 or more consecutive losses . Meanwhile, the Bucks after a 4 game road trip lost to Portland at home yesterday as they looked a little winded. With no time for rest and still trying to get acclimated to home cooking Im betting the Bucks may not be in top form giving us value with a desperate underdog . Bucks are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400 and  are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games playing with no  rest and  are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day.

MILWAUKEE is 1-10 ATS  in home games after a non-conference game this season.

MILWAUKEE is 42-68 ATS L/110 in home games when playing against a struggling  team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) - 2nd half of the season.

NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (INDIANA) - after allowing 63 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 54-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (INDIANA) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, a struggling  team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 234-158 ATS L/26 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Indiana to cover 

Boston enters this game on a 8 game win streak and a DD win vs the Atlanta Hawks last time out . Note:BOSTON is just  5-16 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Here today despite of their red hot run Im betting the home side has the edge on a short line. BOSTON is 9-20 ATS vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons and are 0-5 SU/ATS L/5 meetings in this series as visitors. 76ers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.PHILADELPHIA is also 20-9 ATS  in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Philadelphia to cover 

This will be Utahs 6th game in 13 days and Im sure they are on tired legs, and could easily be over looking tonights opponent the Rockets who have had a lighter schedule as they play their 5th game this month and have fresher younger legs. Note: Houston is 6-0 ATS L/6 in this series in Salt Lake City and the series visitor has now covered the L/9 in this series. With that said,  Im betting we have enough points with the Rockets to get a cover. 

HOUSTON is 15-4 ATS  in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. 

Jazz are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Jazz are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. 

NBA team (UTAH) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are just 22-55 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Utah to cover 

Denver is off a hard fought  road win vs the Toronto Raptors ,last time out by a 110-109 count and will now be in a emotional and physical letdown situation vs a side they could easily be over looking , especially with a look ahead to Golden State up next. Note: Malone is 19-38 ATS  off an upset win as a road underdog as the coach of DENVER. I know Orlando may not inspire bettors, but it must be noted that the Magic are  8-1 ATS after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread this season. I know the Nuggets have revenge on board for a away loss to the Magic on Dec 1, but Orlando has proven they can handle the Nuggets style of play and stand tall and compete. DENVER is 11-23 ATS  revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

DENVER is 12-28 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons. Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.

 NBA Road teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are 32-19 L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Orlando Magic 

San Antonio as this season has progressed has turned into a run and gun group, that pays very little attention to defense ranking 5th in pace in the league while ranking 21st in ppg allowed  while also ranking 8th in ppg offense. Meanwhile, Chicago ranks 7th in ppg offense, and are more than capable of offensive fireworks of their own, something that Im betting they will be pushed into . End result of tonights tilt will see the combined score eclipse this total. 

CHICAGO is 12-0 OVER  in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season with a combined average of 245.7 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (CHICAGO) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) a  27-3 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with a combined average of 239.9 ppg scored. 

Play OVER 

Boston enters this home game in top form having won 7 straight and 9 of their L/10 overall and deserve respect here as favorites vs an Atlanta side that has. now ,lost 3 of their L/4 games and looked tired last time getting walloped by San Antonio by a 136-121 count. Note: Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.

Hawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.Hawks are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

ATLANTA is 8-19 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. ATLANTA is 8-22 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 108  or less points/game this season.ATLANTA is 1-10 ATS  in road games after a blowout loss by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 7-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against for a 83% conversion rate. 

Play on Boston to cover 

 Golden State has lost 2 straight and failed to cover 3 straight and now go against a desperate Lakers team that needs victories and to gain  momentum after losses to Portland and Milwaukee.Lakers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.

With that said, Im betting on the Lakers to come out here with a spirited effort behind Anthony Davis, LeBron James and Russell Westbrook who are expected to play tonight. I know all three have nagging injuries, but they will be ready and primed to work through this as getting victories at this stage of the season become paramount. 

Warriors are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Warriors are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite.

NBA team vs the money line (LA LAKERS) - vs. division opponents, off a close road loss of 3 points or less are a 51-22 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate.

Lakers are 3-0 SU L/3 last 3 visits vs Warriors.

Play on LA Lakers to cover 

Cleveland has been in good form of late but this is a bad matchup for them tonight against a Philadelphia  team that has a style of play that can slow them down significantly . I know the Sixers played last night, but they did not exert alot of energy in a  defensive minded 100-87 victory vs the Thunder last night. More of the same strong D, is expected tonight and a subsequent cover. Note: The 76ers rank 7th in the NBA in ppg allowed 

CLEVELAND is 16-31 ATS  when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 2-13 ATS  versus sub par offensive teams - scoring 108 or less  points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 195 points or less are 31-2 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.3. 

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CLEVELAND) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 41-84 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Philadelphia to cover 

It's not that I don't believe this game is going to be high scoring, because in all likely hood it will be. However, Im betting the number is slightly bloated and should be closer to 235 , giving us a full 2  possession edge to the under if my projections are correct.

Philadelphia has lost 3 of their L/4 games and are off a emotionally draining loss to Phoenix last time out, and are being slightly over rated here tonight in their current form and are just 2-10 ATS L/10 as non conference home favs of 9 points or more  . Advantage Thunder.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-7 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record this season. OKLAHOMA CITY is 18-4 ATS  versus poor offensive teams - scoring 108 or less points/game this season. OKLAHOMA CITY is 23-11 ATS   versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game this season. OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-1 ATS   in road games in non-conference games this season. OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-2 ATS  in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 3 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 0-7 ATS in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season.

NBA team vs the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - in a game involving two good defensive teams (104-108 PPG), after 3 straight losses by 10 points or more are 21-12 L/26 seasons for a 64% conversion rate. 

NBA Road teams (OKLAHOMA CITY) - cold team - having lost 15 or more of their last 20 games against opponent after having lost 3 of their last 4 games are 70-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate.

NBA  Home favorites of 10 or more points (PHILADELPHIA) - after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (25 to 40%) are 44-82 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate. 

Oklahoma City to cover 

Pacers have been solid at home vs above 500 sides cashing 6 of their L/7  and have cashed 11 of their L/17 at home as underdogs and deserve respect here on what Im betting is a bloated chalk line. 

INDIANA is 20-7 ATS L/27 as a home underdog of 6.5 to 12 points. 

 Cavaliers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (INDIANA) - average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 245 points or more are 46-14 L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. 

NBA Road teams (CLEVELAND) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 10-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against  76% conversion rate.

Play on Indiana to cover 

The Suns are showing the pundits that they are a dangerous opponent for all comers losing just 2 tilts since 2022 began.The Suns are a complete team defensively and offensively ranking 5th in ppg offense and 6th in ppg defense. What makes the Suns so dangerous is their play in the fin al 5 minutes of tilts where they own a 10-0 perfect record with a 63.5 net rating. With the lines -makers rightly so expecting a fairly close game this becomes important. I know the defending champs are dangerous but this is not a positive situation for them against a top tier  revenge minded opponent on their own home floor. Bucks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. Bucks are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Phoenix.

MILWAUKEE is 19-34 ATSin road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. MILWAUKEE is 11-25 ATS  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.MILWAUKEE is 1-9 ATS  in road games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.

PHOENIX is 23-6 ATS  as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.PHOENIX is 9-1 ATS  after 2 consecutive non-conference games this season.

NBA Underdogs vs the money line (MILWAUKEE) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after scoring 130 points or more are 11-52 L/26 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.1. 

Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover

Dallas matches up well agains the Clippers and last time out in LA took a 112-104 victory. I know the Clippers will be out look for revenge but that has not been a positive motivating factor for them this season as is evident by a 1-8 ATS mark revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite this season.LA CLIPPERS are also 2-10 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season.LA CLIPPERS are 2-10 ATS against Southwest division opponents this season.

Note: Pail George and Kawhi Leonard remain out for the Clippers. 

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (DALLAS) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (104-108 PPG), after allowing 95 points or less are 53-8 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.9 . 

Play on Dallas to cover 

Yes the Raptors played last night but this is one of the best conditioned teams in the entire NBA and are well suited and motivated to put a hefty beatdown on a young and inconsistent home side in Houston tonight . NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (TORONTO) - after successfully covering the spread in 7 or more consecutive games, tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days are 28-1 L/26 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12. The Raptors have won 3 straight games by DD deficits and number 4 Im betting is on the way tonight in Texas. 

Play on Toronto to cover 

The Nets have struggled of late losing 9 straight but my power rankings suggest they matchup well here vs a Washington side, that has also been in free fall losing 8 of their L/9 overall. The Wizards have not supplied many betting supporters with profits especially as chalk  this season as they are just   7-16 ATS   as a favorite this season and once again offer a weak hand .

Wizards are also 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games and  are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.

BROOKLYN is 14-3 ATS  after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher 

NBA Home teams (WASHINGTON) - cold team - failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 29-59 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Brooklyn to cover 

The Jazz Im betting come right after the Warriors tonight in the high altitudes of Salt Lake City in effort to wind their opponents. That Im also betting will see a much higher up-tempo tilt than some might expect. Utah after a bit of a slump have really picked up their efforts of late, and have taken 3 straight wins. Note: UTAH is 8-1 OVER  in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins this season with a combined average of 237.5 ppg scored.

Over is 6-1 in Warriors last 7 games as a road underdog. Over is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

 The over is 8-1 L/9 games in this series with a combined average of  (226.9 ppg ) going on the board and my projections estimate a similar output giving us value on this light totals number. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half are 29-7 OVER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 

The Raptors are in top form and because of that Im betting they are being slightly over rated here in Oklahoma City. TORONTO is 0-10 ATS   as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons.

Raptors are also  0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 16-5 ATS  versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less  points/game this season. OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-7 ATS  versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less  free throws/game this season. OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-6 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

NBA Favorites (TORONTO) - an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a poor team (-3 to -7 PPG differential), after scoring 115 points or more 3 straight games are 8-30 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against  79% conversion rate for bettors, 

Raptors are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

Play on Oklahoma City to cover 

Spurs have played some of their best games on the road against top tier sides going   7-0 ATS in their last 7 away games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.  The Spurs are also  4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Cleveland and deserve respect here as underdogs vs a Cleveland side, that is  1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite and have failed to cover 6 of their L/8 at home as chalk. 

SAN ANTONIO is 18-7 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better  of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 6-16 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. CLEVELAND is 1-9 ATS  after a combined score of 185 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Bickerstaff is 9-22 ATS  after scoring 105 points or less 5 straight games in all games he has coached . 

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG) after 42+ games, after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 30-8 L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

Dallas behind their 3rd rank ppg defense and 28th ranked pace and 25th ranked offense, obviously depend on top tier conservative transitional hoops for their successes. Nothing will change tonight against a Detroit side that averages just over 101 ppg on the road this season while ranking 29th in ppg offensive output. Advantage to the under. 

Under is 4-0 in Pistons last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Under is 10-2 in Mavericks last 12 games as a home favorite.

DALLAS is 10-0 UNDER L/10  in home games versus struggling  teams - shooting 43%  or less with a defense of 46% or worse - 2nd half of the season  with a combined average of 176.8 ppg scored.DALLAS is 8-1 UNDER in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or worse this season with a combined averag eof 203.4 ppg scored.DALLAS is 18-4 UNDER (+13.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive unders this season with a combined average of 2041. ppg scored .DALLAS is 9-0 UNDER  in home games after allowing 95 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 208.4 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER

Memphis has won 15 of their L/19 overall and are in top form and obviously consistent, something the visiting Clippers are not, as is evident by losing 3 of their L/5 while failing to cover in 4 of those matches. Considering the Grizzlies are well rested and playing at home where they are   7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest we have an edge backing the home side. 

MEMPHIS is 12-3 ATS against Pacific division opponents this season.

MEMPHIS is 21-8 ATS  when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 245 points or more are 40-3 L/26 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.9 . 

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - off a home loss by 10 points or more, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 10-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Memphis Grizzlies to cover 

Im betting the Suns explosive offense (ranked 3rd in the NBA) will be forced into opening up against a aggressive opponent playing at home. From there the Suns will force the speed of the game  upward behind the 9th ranked pace in the league. Over is 6-0 in Suns last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record like the 76ers. Over is 5-1-1 in 76ers last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

The Series  between the Suns and Sixers has been high scoring - going 7-0 OVER L7 with a combined average of (236.4) scored. 

PHOENIX is 33-17 OVER when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 225.7 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a good defensive team (104-108 PPG) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 245 points or more were scored are 66-33 OVER L/26 seasons for a 66% conversion rate.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (33%-36.5%) after 42+ games, in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) after 42+ games are 158-94 OVER L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate.

Over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Philadelphia.

Play OVER 

Phoenix owns the top record in the NBA.  Meanwhile, Chicago ranks fifth , but are a team that deserves respect getting points tonight  where they have won 17 of their 26 games this season whether  Zach Lavine plays or not. Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. 

Interesting anomaly sees the  Suns are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Monday games. There was a song 1979 from the "Boomtown rats " that parodies this trend - I Dont like Mondays. 

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in five consecutive games, in non-conference games are 45-14 L/26 seasons for a 45-14 L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 

Toronto has won 5 straight games and Charlotte has loss 4 straight tilts. Both are playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, but according to matchup charts, and power rankings the Hornets have an advantage on their own home floor. Add to that the Hornets are desperate for a win and have redemption on their minds for a loss they suffered to Toronto  (125-113)  in Toronto on January 25th.

 CHARLOTTE is 8-0 ATS in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

CHARLOTTE is 10-1 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 32-1 L/25 seasons for a 97% conversion rate.

NBA Road favorites (TORONTO) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, playing with 2 days rest are 25-46 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Charlotte to cover 

Miami according to my numbers deserves to be at least 7 point road favs here today giving us close to a full possession advantage on the favorite line being offered.  The Wizards have failed to cover 13 of their L/15 overall  and are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.

 Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite

WASHINGTON is 2-11 ATS  after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season.

MIAMI is 12-2 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons

NBA Road favorites (MIAMI) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days are 31-7 ATS L/26 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors.

Heat are 26-11-2 ATS in the last 39 meetings in Washington.

Play on Miami to cover 

The visiting  Bucks played last night in Portland , and are now at a disadvantage as they face a well rested Clippers team that has been off for a couple days.

LA CLIPPERS are 23-12 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.LA CLIPPERS are 26-11 ATS  in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.

Bucks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.Bucks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win. Bucks are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite.

Bucks are also 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

The host is 6-0-1 ATS L/7 in this series.Bucks are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Los Angeles.

Play on LA Clippers to cover 

Orlando has really picked up their pace lately and are playing run and gun hoops as is evident by 8 of their L/9 games going over the total.  Today Im betting they force the Celtics to have to open up in a tilt Im betting eclipses the number. Over is 5-0-1 in Magic last 6 overall.

ORLANDO is 10-1 OVER after a game being out-rebounded by opponent by 15 or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.7 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (ORLANDO) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in three consecutive games, in February games are 29-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

Play OVER 

Detroit may not being  putting up alot of SU wins on the board but they are playing fairly competitive basketball and have now covered 6 of their L/9 and according to my projections have a full possession advantage . MINNESOTA is 1-9 ATS  in home games versus poor offensive teams - scoring 108 or less  points/game this season.MINNESOTA is 0-8 ATS  in home games when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 25% or less ) over the last 3 seasons.

Timberwolves are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Timberwolves are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

NBA Favorites (MINNESOTA) - after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 43 points or less in the first half last game are 17-45 ATS L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. 

Pistons are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Minnesota.

Play on Detroit to cover 

Oklahoma City has won 3 straight games,  and deserve respect  behind a up-trending D , here as underdogs vs a Kings side, that won just  1 of their L/9 games overall. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 31-13 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season. OKLAHOMA CITY is 16-2 ATS  in road games off a road win over the last 3 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-0 ATS  after allowing 95 points or less this season.OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-1 ATS after allowing 100 points or less this season.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 37-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. 

Play on the Thunder to cover 

The Suns looked a little tired last time out vs the Hawks, but after a day of rest should be ready to bounce back after having their 11 game win streak halted. Meanwhile, after a 3 game road trip vs Milwaukee, Memphis and a upset vs Philadelphia, Im betting the Wizards will be tired and in a letdown situation which makes them vulnerable to an explosive side in bounce back mode. 

Williams is 16-5 ATS in road games off a upset loss as a favorite as the coach of PHOENIX.

 NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) - a very good team (+7 or more PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after scoring 115 points or more 2 straight games are 24-5 ATS L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Phoenix Suns to cover 

Both visiting Philadelphia and their hosts the Dallas Mavericks are off losses last time out, and will now be primed to bounce back. The loss for Dallas was actually their 2nd straight loss, and it came to a lower tier side Oklahoma City. Note: NBA team vs the money line (DALLAS) - off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite, on Friday nights is 47-11 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (DALLAS) - off an upset loss as a favorite of 10 points or more, second half of the season are 87-16 L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.DALLAS is 8-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season and get my support here in this spot play. 76ers are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Dallas

Play on the Dallas Mavs to cover 

Denver has proven to be a deep team , and are finding ways to win even without some key players. Tonight they have an edge in the Mile High city, vs a New Orleans side that has been mostly inconsistent and lost the last meeting between these teams 116-105 at home. Rinse and repeat here today. 

NEW ORLEANS is 1-8 ATS  in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game this season. NEW ORLEANS is 4-21 ATS L/25 in road games off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog which was the case last time out vs Detroit. 

NBA team vs the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - off a road win by 10 points or more, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 4-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.6. 

NBA Underdogs vs the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog are 9-50 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +8.7. 

Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a poor 3PT shooting team (33% or less ) after 42+ games, after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 33-12 ATS L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Denver to cover 

 The spurs have not been playing all that well of late while Houston is currently up-trending. However, from a matchup perspective the Spurs are the superior side according to SRS data. San Antonio is ranked 17th in the league with a -0.22 ,mark while the Rockets rank 29th in the league with a -7.95 average. Note: SRS- Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average

HOUSTON is 14-39 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 18-27 ATS as an underdog this season.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home win by 10 points or more are 57-249 L/26 seasons for a 82% go against conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +8.8 qualifying easily on this ATS line. 

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 

The Raptors have won 4 straight games and are currently playing their best basketball of the season, and now are primed to make it 5 in a row vs a Atlanta side off a big win vs the Suns last night and will now be in a natural letdown spot. I know the Raps played last night as well in a win vs the Chicago Bulls, but they did not exert as much energy getting their victory as the Hawks did based on player data. Raptors are also 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 0 days rest.

Raptors are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games. Raptors are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite.

Meanwhile, the Hawks are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

ATLANTA is 8-20 ATS  versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game this season. ATLANTA is 8-17 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. TLANTA is 8-19 ATS  in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons.

TORONTO is 13-4 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts this season.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TORONTO) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 53-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Toronto Raptors to cover

The well conditioned Bulls will be primed to bounce back here after a 127-120 loss in /Toronto last night.  Bulls are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. Bulls are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.  Pacers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Chicago has won its last two meetings against Indiana,  and are expected  be without Domantas Sabonis for the third straight game which distinctly puts them at a disadvantage tonight. Note: The Pacers' are also  short handed in the front-court  with Myles Turner (left foot), Goga Bitadze (right foot) and Oshae Brissett (right ankle) all out. 

CHICAGO is 37-18 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

INDIANA is 21-35 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 9-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Chicago to cover 

Charlottes run and gun style of play has seen them gassed of late as is evident by 4 losses in their L/6 games. Meanwhile, the Cavaliers remain a steady side, and   are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog and are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. and also  9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as a road underdog. 

CLEVELAND is 17-6 ATS   when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Hornets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.

 NBA Underdogs (CLEVELAND) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite against opponent off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog are 41-16 L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Favorites (CHARLOTTE) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog against opponent off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite are 17-45 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Cavaliers are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Charlotte.

Play on Cleveland to cover 

The Suns are performing optimally but after 11 straight wins, and maximum energy output, Im betting they are beginning to run on empty and a down performance is not out of the question here tonight vs a Atlanta side that has won and covered 7 of their L/8 overall and 6 of their L/8 at home. 

ATLANTA is 17-6 ATS  in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off 3 or more consecutive home wins are 17-11 L/26 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +1. 

Play on Atlanta to cover 

Brooklyn played a hard fought game against the Suns last night, and took it on the chin 124-111, and now on a 5 game losing streak and on  tired legs and also probably  a little dejected I expect a muted effort vs a "nothing to lose"   Sacramento Kings side .  The Kings have quite honestly been on a  dismal run, but seem to pull their proverbial socks up when playing a top tier opponent, as has been the case in recent tilts against Philadelphia , Milwaukee with hard fought close losses and covers. Im betting on more of the same tenacious action from the Kings in this spot play.  Note:BROOKLYN is 7-19 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

Kings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Nets are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.

NBA  Home teams vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - after 4 or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games are 24-5 L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover 

Oklahoma City ranks last in the NBA in ppg offensive output and 17th in pace and 12th in ppg defense while their opponents Dallas rank 25th in ppg offense and 3rd in ppg defense behind 27th ranked pace. According to the data and style of play both teams initiate its obvious that this generally would be a lower scoring affair, which has me leaning strongly to the under based on my own projections which estimate a combined score that sits closer to 206 , which is a full possession advantage. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-5 UNDER  versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less  points/game this season with a combined average of 201.9 ppg scored.

DALLAS is 18-6 UNDER  in home games this season with a combined average of 207.2 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

Cleveland continues to play cohesive hoops of late, as is evident by having won 9 of their L/11 . The Cavs did have a hiccup against the struggling Pistons recently but that shocker will have them even more aware and wide awake here tonight vs a another below .500 squad that has lost 9 straight home tilts. Advantage Cavaliers.

HOUSTON is 0-10 ATS in home games after 3 straight losses by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 1-9 ATS  in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season.HOUSTON is 8-24 ATS  in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better  of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

Rockets are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Rockets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against a terrible team (7  or less PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after a combined score of 185 points or less are  43-3 L/26 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12. 

Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

Play on Cleveland to cover 

Denver has been playing exceptional hoops of late, but are in a bad spot here tonight on tired legs as they play their 5th straight road game, making them very vulnerable to a up-trending Minnesota Wolves side that ha won 6 of their 10 division games this season. 

MINNESOTA is 16-7 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46%  or more of their shots this season.

DENVER is 1-13 ATS after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (DENVER) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a double digit win as a underdog of 6 points or more are 1-28 L/5 seasons for a go against 97% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10 which easily qualifies on this ATS line offering. 

NBA Underdogs (DENVER) - a good defensive team (104-108 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games are 8-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Minnesota to cover 

Both these sides are off big run and gun DD wins vs top tier sides , as Minnesota flattened Utah and Denver smashed the defending champion Bucks  and now Im betting on a regression on offense in a natural letdown situation. This will effect the combined score which favors the under. 

Under is 8-3 in Nuggets last 11 road games. Under is 5-1 in Timberwolves last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MINNESOTA /DENVER) - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 22-3 UNDER L/5 seasons last 26 seasons for a 88% conversion rate.

Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Minnesota.

Play on the UNDER

Detroit caught the Cleveland Cavaliers napping last time out and upset them in Motown. Unfortunately for Detroit from a historical standpoint this has not been a good omen for their next game. Note: DETROIT is 0-9 ATS off a double digit win as a home underdog of 6 more since 1996.( More recently DETROIT is also 0-10 ATS  off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. With that said, Im betting on an emotional letdown situation to rare its ugly head for the Pistons, and for a New Orleans side desperate for wins to take advantage of the situation. 

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, with a losing record are 30-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on New Orleans to cover 

Its obvious which side is the superior group, but HOUSTON is 16-4 ATS   versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons and have enough offensive firepower to stay closer than the line-makers expect or to get us a back door cover. Note:Warriors are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite while Houston is 5-2 ATS L/7 vs an above .600 opponent. The Warriors also have a habit of playing down to opponents as is evident by a recent 1-4 ATS run  in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Play on Houston to cover  

Houston as this season has progressed  has turned into a run and gun type team that plays little or no defense ranking 1st in pace and 30th in ppg allowed . Tonight against a top tier opponent Im betting they leave everything on the floor as they are expected to lose anyway vs Golden State. This Im betting sees a very uptempo game and  alot of offensive fireworks and a combined score that eclipses this total. 

HOUSTON is 13-3 OVER versus below average  foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less  free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 239.7 ppg scored.

Over is 12-2 in Rockets last 14 games as a home underdog. Over is 13-3 in Rockets last 16 home games

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 26-3 OVER  L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 240.3 ppg scored.

Play OVER

Atlanta is in top form having won 7 straight games after easily handling the Lakers last night. The Hawks are well conditioned so Im not worrying about their ability to play at a high level again tonight against a Toronto side off a emotional letdown situation after a multiple period OT victory against Miami on Saturday. Note:   McMillan is 15-3 ATS in home games off a home win as the coach of ATLANTA.

TORONTO is 1-9 ATS  in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 245 points or more are 40-3 L/26 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.9 whihc easily qualifies on this ATS line. 

Play on Atlanta to cover 

Sacramento has lost 6 straight games and 11 of their L/13 and are on tired legs as they play their 5th straight road game. The Kings are frustrated and desperate but at this point most disparaged. What Im betting on here tonight, is for the home side Knicks to take advantage of a reeling side with little or no answers to their current down trending ability to find a way into the win column. Kings are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games. Meanwhile, the Knicks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games and  are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite. 

SACRAMENTO is 3-14 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons.

NEW YORK is 22-11 ATS   in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.NEW YORK is 20-9 ATS  as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Play on NYK to cover 

Orlando is playing a little better of late and have notched wins in 2 of their L/3 , but the most recent win came against Detroit, so it might be premature to think the Magic are uptrending. Today against a top tier Mavericks side , off a DD romp last night vs the Pacers Im betting their negative output issues continue unabated. Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest.

Mosley is 4-15 ATS  as a home underdog as the coach of ORLANDO. Magic are 9-20 ATS in their last 29 games following a ATS win. Magic are 18-44-3 ATS in their last 65 games as a home underdog.

NBA  team (DALLAS) - an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) against a terrible team (-7 or less  PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 43-15 ATS L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Mavericks are 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Orlando and are 5-0 SU L/5 meetings overall in this series.

Play on Dallas to cover

Portland has been playing significantly better hoops of late, and are are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and deserve respect here getting points on the road in Chicago vs the Bulls. The Blazers have   received a boost from McCollum, who has averaged 20.6 points in seven games since returning from a collapsed lung.Note: Trail Blazers are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Chicago.

Bulls key defensive stalwarts  are injured players ( Lonzo Ball and Alex Caruso)   and its being proven that these guys gave the team a part of their identity and makes them vulnerable when their not in the lineup as was the case when they gave up 133 points in a loss to the Spurs on Friday night. 

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 130 points or more 11-31 L/26 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Portland to cover 

My projections make the Heat -7 point favorites giving us a one possession edge according to my numbers. The Heat continue to find ways to cash for their backers only failing once in their L/ 11 opportunities  ATS.  I know the Heat played last night, but are one of the leagues better conditioned sides, going  8-3 ATS in their last 11 games playing with no  rest.

.MIAMI is 17-4 ATS  after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (MIAMI) - average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 235 points or more are 88-15 L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +8.9 . 

Raptors are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Miami.

Play on Miami to cover 

Grizzlies enter this home game going  5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record and like Washington and are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite

Meanwhile, the Wizards are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and overall are  just 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 road games.

Bottom line the Grizzlies are solid money makers for their backers going  23-9 ATS in their last 32 games overall and are a consistent side with chemistry and discipline something the Wizards lack. 

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - cold team - failing to cover the spread in 8 or more of their last 10, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 13-39 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +6.7 which qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) - off a home loss, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 45-92 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Memphis to cover 

These sides were involved for trade talks for Benn Simmons, but that looks to have faded and now maybe the Kings can concentrate on righting their sinking ship. The young men from Sacramento have been a deep dive of late, but seem to push harder against top tier teams a was evident in a recent game against Milwaukee, pushing the defending champs hard notching a cover for their backers. Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (PHILADELPHIA) - after allowing 90 points or less against opponent after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half are just 26-61 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (SACRAMENTO) - poor defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after allowing 63 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 36-14 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Sacramento to cover 

The Lakers played last night in Philadelphia where they suffered a loss, and despite of their negative down effort are more than capable of a bounce back effort as Anthony Davis gets back into game shape. Lakers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 0 days rest.

LA LAKERS are 18-8 ATS in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHARLOTTE) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after scoring 125 points or more are 12-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Lakers are 13-3-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings.

Lakers are 8-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Charlotte.

Play on LA Lakers to cover 

Atlanta are in top form having won 5 straight games and are a viable wager here at home  tonight vs a Boston side that they have covered 4 of their L/5 meetings against. 

BOSTON is 8-25 ATS versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

ATLANTA is 15-4 ATS in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less  turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ATLANTA) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 30-8 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. 

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover 

Golden State ranks 1st in the NBA in defensive rating and 1st in ppg allowed and rank 12th in pace. At home they are almost always able to dictate the tempo of a game and nothing will change tonight against a  offensively aggressive Minnesota side that is  ranked 18th in offensive rating and 10th in overall defensive rating.  

Under is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

GOLDEN STATE home games this season have seen a combined average of 211.6 ppg scored.

GOLDEN STATE is 16-3 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 205.4 ppg scored this season.GOLDEN STATE is 17-6 UNDER  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.4 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 16-7 UNDER versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game this season with the combined average of 209.4 ppg scored.

MINNESOTA L/155   road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  70% or better ) has seen a combined average of 201.4 ppg scored.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 45-17 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Memphis matches up very well here vs the Spurs. they have cooled off a bit of late but the Grizzlies have still won 13 of their L/16 overall and 15-8 on the road this season and deserve respect as short road favs against this particular opponent. 

MEMPHIS is 13-5 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season.

SAN ANTONIO is 8-25 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

Home underdogs (SAN ANTONIO) - off a road win by 10 points or more, with a losing record are 18-41 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Memphis to cover 

Kevin Durante is out with an injury and Kyrie Irving wont play tonight in NY because of vax restrictions. This makes the Nuggets who have won 5 of their L/7  a viable side to back here in the Big apple tonight vs a Nets side that  are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest. ( the Nets played and lost last night  to the Lakers and will be on tired legs )

. BROOKLYN is 1-8 ATS  in home games in non-conference games this season.BROOKLYN is 0-7 ATS  in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better  of their shots this season.

Play on Denver to cover 

Sacramento has lost 9 of their L/11 and are on a 4 game losing skein entering this tilt vs a Atlanta side that is up-trending and are on a 4 game win streak . Its obvious both sides are operating at the opposite end of the proverbial  performance spectrum with the home side having a verifiable edge based on current form. 

SACRAMENTO is 3-13 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons.

ATLANTA is 18-8 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites (ATLANTA) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) after 42+ games are 37-12 ATS L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate.

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to win /cover

 According to my power rankings charlotte is the superior side. Charlotte also ranks 16th in SRS at 0.16 while Indiana is ranked 17th at - 0.23.  With the Pacers expected to play without SG] 01/22/2022 - Malcolm Brogdon is out indefinitely ( Achilles ) [PF] 01/21/2022 - Domantas Sabonis is out indefinitely ( Ankle ) the Hornets edge grows bigger. 

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

CHARLOTTE is 17-7 ATS  when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.

INDIANA is 6-14 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 this season.

NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - an good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 235 points or more are 35-5 L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Charlotte Hornets to cover 

Cleveland has won 6 of their L/7 overall and are currently in top form and well prepared to pull off a upset here tonight as home as dogs.

Bucks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.Bucks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.MILWAUKEE is 12-30 ATS L/42 off 3 or more consecutive home wins .

CLEVELAND is 12-4 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.

Cavaliers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Cavaliers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog.Cavaliers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Cavaliers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA team (CLEVELAND) - a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after scoring 95 points or less 2 straight games are 23-6 ATS L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland to cover 

Since CJ McCollum's returned to the Blazers  lineup the Portland Trail Blazers, become alot more formidable opponents, and now have an advantage over the visiting  Minnesota Timberwolves on Tuesday night as home dogs.  Finch is 2-12 ATS  after 3 consecutive non-conference games as the coach of MINNESOTA.

PORTLAND is 15-4 ATS  after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. Finch is 2-12 ATS after 3 consecutive non-conference games as the coach of MINNESOTA.

NBA  Underdogs (PORTLAND) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots.are 35-12 ATS L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. 

Play on the Blazers to cover 

Houston has won 2 of their L/3 and 3 of their L/5 while the Spurs are at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, losing 12 of their L/15 overall. Taking points here is thus a viable wagering opportunity based on current form. Spurs are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - vs. division opponents, off a close road loss of 3 points or less are 37-10 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Houston to cover 

Anthony Davis is expected to play tonight for the Lakers, as the team will be at its healthiest in a long time and motivated to take down a Brooklyn Nets team playing without star Kevin Durant. Nets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

BROOKLYN is 2-10 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game this season. BROOKLYN is 5-17 ATS in home games this season. BROOKLYN is 3-11 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 66-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Lakers are 14-4-3 ATS in the last 21 meetings in Brooklyn. 

Play on LA Lakers to cover 

Over is 6-0 in Nuggets last 6 overall and Im betting on another fairly high scoring affair here today based on my projections which estimate a combined score in the low 220s. Over is 7-2 in Nuggets last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Meanwhile, the Detroit Pistons  are 5-1 OVER  in the  Pistons last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 10-3-1 in Pistons last 14 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

DENVER is 15-2 OVER  after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 233.3 ppg scored. Malone is 14-3 OVER (+10.7 Units) versus pathetic teams - shooting 43% or less with a defense of 46% or less as the coach of DENVER with a combined average of 221.6 ppg scored. 

DETROIT is 14-6 OVER in non-conference games this season with a combined average of 222.3 ppg scored, 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DENVER) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or more ), after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are  29-6 L/5 over for a 83% conversion rate with a combined average of 233.6 ppg scored. 

Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Play on the OVER 

Utah played last night in a very physical grinding game against the Warriors losing 94-92 and will be on tired legs tonight and not prepared to run and will once again formulate a tough defensive transitional game plan vs a dangerous opponent. Meanwhile, the Suns behind the 1st ranked defensive rating in the league, will once again be prepared to grind their opponents down, in what Im betting will be a lower scoring affair.

Under is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 overall.

Under is 5-1 in Suns last 6 games as a favorite.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH/ PHOENIX) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG in the 2nd half of the season are 25-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - a good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. offensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 44-17UNDER  L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA team (PHOENIX) - after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread, a top-level team (75% or more ) playing a good team (60% to 75%) are 43-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Under is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings in Phoenix.

Under is 17-7 in Suns last 24 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Play UNDER

Both these teams are struggling at the moment with the hosts tonight Oklahoma City having lost 5 straight and visiting Chicago 4 of their L/5 overall. However from a SRS perspective the Bulls as the superior side, ranking 11th in the NBA at 1.24 while the Thunder rank 27th in SRS at -7.18. Advantage Bulls. 

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

CHICAGO is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons

Road teams (CHICAGO) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a struggling    team (-7  or worse PPG differential) are 46-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a  71% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams (CHICAGO) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 35-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate.

Play on Chicago Bulls 

Cleveland has won 5 of their L/6 and come into this tilt at or near peak performance levels and are well rested after a couple days off  have an advantage vs a NYK  side on tired legs after playing yesterday. CLEVELAND is 14-6 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game this season.  

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - in a game involving two sub average  offensive teams (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 195 points or less are 30-2 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff  clicking in at +10.9 ppg which qualifies on this this ATS line. 

Play on Cleveland to cover 

Utah enters this game struggling having lost 6 of their L/8 overall. Meanwhile Golden State despite not being at its peak in performance  ratios at the moment are beginning to show upward momentum towards the upper echelons of my rankings  , as they have won 3 of their L/5. From a SRS perspective the Warriors own the top mark in the league at 7.54 while the Jazz rank 3rd at 6.40. With a strong home court advantage thrown in for the Warriors, backed by the top ppg defense there is a  -6 or more divergence at home according to my projections giving us an edge on this line. 

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

GOLDEN STATE is 13-4 ATS  in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons.GOLDEN STATE is 22-9 ATS  in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 season

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - off a close home win by 3 points or less, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are  60-11 L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +7.2 which qualifies on this ATS offering.  

Play on the Warriors to cover 

These teams in their previous few meetings have combined for some very high scores, but the Jazz and their hosts current form suggests a ,ore conservative transitional affair . When  considering the type of  defensive hoops the Warriors  (No 1 ppg allowed) have embraced  this totals offering give us value on an under wager tonight as my projections estimate a combined score that fails to eclipse the number . GOLDEN STATE is 7-0 UNDER in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better  of their shots this season with a combined average of 205.5 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE  18 games this season  when playing against a team with a winning record has seen a combined average of 215.5 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 15-4 UNDER after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season with a combined average of 207.2 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE  in 23 games  as a home favorite this season have seen a combined average of 212.2 ppg scored.

Golden State ranks 11th in pace and Utah ranks 15th in pace. 

NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH/GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG in the 2nd half of the season are 24-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

The Brooklyn Nets are 2 for 3 without Kevin Durant in the lineup and will Im betting get the job done as the substitute backcourt duo of James Harden and Kyrie Irving go to work vs a  improving but not ready for prime time NJ Nets. 

BROOKLYN is 22-11 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 17-6 ATS  in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.Nets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.

MINNESOTA is 12-25 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons.MINNESOTA is 4-15 ATS  in home games after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 130 points or more are 10-30  L/26 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play Brooklyn Nets to cover 

Im not expecting this combined score to eclipse the total. Under is 8-3 in Nets last 11 games as a road underdog and are  10-4-1 in Nets last 15 games as an underdog. Meanwhile,  the Under is 23-9 in Timberwolves last 32 games as a home favorite and when they are well rested with 3 or more days rest like they have tonight are 7-3 UNDER. 

NBA BROOKLYN is 13-0 UNDER  versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.3 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MINNESOTA) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, on Sunday games are 38-17 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

 Dallas proved it matched up well vs the Grizzlies last week handing them a 112-85 loss. While I don't' believe things will be as extreme in the rematch, but  I do believe the Mavs extremely strong D, will be a difference maker here once again on home court. Note: The Mavs have won 10 of their L/12 overall and had a 4 game streak end last time out as they blew a lead and lost to the explosive Suns. Nothing eases the pain of that kind of loss, like a win. Motivation in bounce back effort will defeat a redemption minded Grizzlies side on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 5 days on the road.Note:  Mavericks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss

DALLAS is 7-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (104 or less PPG), after scoring 68 points or more in the first half last game are 16-48  SU/ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rare for bettors. 

Play on the Dallas Mavs to cover 

The Boston Celtics have double revenge on board for two losses to the Wizards back in October and will be focused on redemption here today. The wizards were hot back them winning 10 of their first 13 games, but have since played under .500 ball and are weak favs here. 

BOSTON is 140-104 ATS  in road games when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent 

Wizards are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.Wizards are 2-13-1 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Wizards are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall.

NBA  team vs the money line (BOSTON) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a home favorite are 38-16 L/26 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover 

The Clippers exerted a great deal of energy lat time out after coming back from 20 points down to pull off an upset vs the 76ers on the road. Los Angeles outscored Philadelphia 58-33 over the final 19:39 and shot 52.2 percent in the fourth when it outscored the 76ers 32-21. Im betting they are now going to be in a letdown spot after that effort and the home side Knicks will take advantage of the situation and get us the cover. After 3 straight losses the Knicks will be in desperation mode, and need a victory badly before playing eight of their next 10 on the road. 

NEW YORK is 56-33 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or better  assists/game over the last 2 seasons.

Lue is 64-91 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record in all games he has coached since 1996.Clippers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

 Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 47-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Home favorites vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 195 points or less are 29-2 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11 which qualifies vs this ATS offering. 

NY Knicks to cover 

The Pacers have played competitive hoops on their current western tour, taking out the the Lakers and Warriors with a close loss to the Clippers. With Indiana operating in top form of late, Im betting they once again remain competitive vs the explosive Suns who are off a 3 game road trip and now playing their 4th game in 6 nights.on tired legs  The Suns also exerted alot of energy last time out, at Dallas coming from behind for a big win. 

INDIANA is 11-2 ATS in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

PHOENIX is 28-53 ATS L/81 in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) - 2nd half of the season. 

NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (PHOENIX) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, in January games are 36-72 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors.

The Celtics enter this tilt with a  3-7 ATS mark in their last 10 games overall and  are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games as well as 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. The Celtics have also been negative output bets in their L/6 at home vs below .500 opposition failing to cover 5 of their L/6 attempts. Meanwhile, the Blazers have won and covered 4 of their L/6 and are playing mostly competitive hoops. and must not be underestimated as underdogs. Key : Center Jusuf Nurkic, who has recorded three successive double-doubles will be key to the Blazers ability to compete here in revenge mode for a loss to the Celtics earlier this season.

NBA Home teams (BOSTON) - a struggling  offensive team (104-108 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games are 54-92 L/26 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Trail Blazers are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Boston.

Play on the Portland Blazers to cover

The Celtics enter this tilt with a  3-7 ATS mark in their last 10 games overall and  are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games as well as 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. The Celtics have also been negative output bets in their L/6 at home vs below .500 opposition failing to cover 5 of their L/6 attempts. Meanwhile, the Blazers have won and covered 4 of their L/6 and are playing mostly competitive hoops. and must not be underestimated as underdogs. Key : Center Jusuf Nurkic, who has recorded three successive double-doubles will be key to the Blazers ability to compete here in revenge mode for a loss to the Celtics earlier this season.

NBA Home teams (BOSTON) - a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games are 54-92 L/26 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Trail Blazers are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Boston.

Play on the Portland Blazers to cover 

The Lakers are struggling and are in desperation mode, after suffering losses in 4 of their L/5  and have a good side to take their frustrations out on in Orlando to tonight vs a Magic team that has lost 14 of their 15 SU. Lakers are  4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. 

ORLANDO is 1-12 ATS   in home games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season.  ORLANDO is 1-10 ATS in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season.ORLANDO is 1-9 ATS in home games after a loss by 10 points or more this season.

Magic are 6-20-1 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a terrible team (-7 or less PPG differential) are 34-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Lakers to cover