Atlanta and New York continue to play very inconsistent basketball ,  but one team according to current form and my own power rankings, has the advantage in this matchup. New York won the first game 104-94 on Nov. 20 at Madison Square Garden and matchs up very well vs Atlanta in  a player to player discrepancy chart. 

NYK lost to Boston last time out 119-114, snapping a 2 game winning streak, but are a bankroll expanding 12-2 ATS L/14 after allowing 110 points and is 8-1 ATS L/9 after a game where both teams scored 105 points. 

Play on the NY Knicks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Houston enters this road  game vs Dallas with a  12-2 SU record  in its past 14 games. The Rockets  saw their 10-game winning streak end on Dec. 20 with a 102-100 home loss to the San Antonio Spurs and are 2-1 since and Im betting they now start to roll again behind an explosive lineup. Meanwhile, Dallas, despite of being competitive against lower tier teams, are just 1-14 SU this season vs a above .500 teams , and have lost both meetings to the Rockets this season.  HOUSTON is 16-4 ATS L/20 versus poor defensive teams like Dallas - allowing 99+ points/game this season, winning SU by 13.2 ppg and averaging 119 ppg in offense. It must be noted that DALLAS is 0-11 ATS  when they allow 105 or more points in a game this season and have lost by an average of 16.7 ppg. HOUSTON is 13-3 ATS L/16 when playing against a team with a losing record this season. 

Play as high as -6. 

It seems the pudits are all giddy, after the Sacramento Kings won their third game in a row. With their super star Cousins under the microscope for another one of his patented tirades, Cousins with a chip on his shoulder came out like a whirlwind, and has helped his team look good of late averaging 36 ppg. But , Im throwing up a caution flag ,  caveat emptor for Kings bettors buying into their recent successes, as this team over the last few years, almost always finds a way to crash and burn, and what a perfect spot for them to do so, here against a team Im betting they over look, the rebuilding and down trodden Philadelphia 76ers.  

76ers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Pacific.Kings are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.Kings are 19-40-2 ATS in their last 61 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.. 76ers are 8-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Sacramento.

Play on Philadlphia 76ers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Sacramento enters this game firing on all cylinders, and will I am betting dictate the pace of this game. However, because of this their transistion game , which has been a problem area for them all season,   the Kings  defense will be open to Philadelphia reciprocating with some offensive fireworks of their own. My own propiteary programs suggest both these teams will put more than 100 points on the board.

Over is 3-0-1 in Kings last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 3-0-1 in 76ers last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.

NBA teams like the Kings  - off 2 consecutive road wins by 5 points or less, first half of the season- 46-13 OVER dating back 21 seasons. 

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Indiana has lost two straight and have yet to lose three straight during this current campaign and will primed to make sure that does not happen tonight as they face the very inconsistent Chicago Bulls. Note: NBA teams -Favorites like the Bulls - vs. division opponents, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are just 20-44 ATS since the 2011 campaign. Meanwhile, the Bulls have lost three straight and 6 of their L/7 overall and  are on tired legs after traveling to Texas  to play the San Antonio Spurs on Christmas Day. Chicago has really struggled with their flow on offense, as is evident by not eclipsing the 100 point plateau in 5 of their L/7, and this will be their downfall tonight .

INDIANA is 16-5 ATS L/21 vs. division opponents.CHICAGO is 14-26 ATS 40 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points.

Play on Indiana to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Alanta enters this game getting alot of respect from the linesmakers, despite of looking like they did not mathup well against Minnesota the last time they met, in Georgia back on Dec 21, losing 92-84.  My own propietary programs make Minnesota a -3 favorite here, and Im betting they take this game by at least that amount tonight. ATLANTA is 9-20 ATS L/29 after playing a game as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons, which happened in a upset win last time out vs Denver.

 NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Hawks - revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent off a road loss against a division rival have failed to covered 23 of the L25 times dating back to the 2011 campaign. 

The Cleveland Cavaliers and the Golden State Warriors renew their rivalry this Sunday in a Christmas Day battle that promises to be physical. Both teams have a boat load full of scoring talent, but both can play top tier defense when asked to, and in a game like this that is exactly what I am betting we will get DEFENSE, DEFENSE and more DEFENSE. From a long term NBA archive we have this trend: NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 Cavaliers/Warriors - in a game involving 2 top tier teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG the under has cashed 60 of 78 times for a powerful 77% conversion rate!

In the L/9 meetings only one game has seen todays numbers total eclipsed.

GOLDEN STATE is 45-28 UNDER  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game with themselves and their opponents combining for a totlal of 209.8 ppg. Golden State in their 43 games  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts have seen a combined 215.9 ppg go on the scoreboard. CLEVELAND in their L/39 games  in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 76% or more  of their attempts have seen a combined average o 205.1 ppg get scored. 

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

The Blazers take on the Spurs tonight in a game that is an over bet for me. Portland atrocious D ranks in  the bottom six in the NBA in opposition scoring, opponents' field-goal percentage and opposition' 3-point percentage conversion rate. They have given up 120 points 10 times, including four of the last six games. The Blazers play a one  take no prisoners one way offensive game, ranking 6th in offensive rating, and dead last in defensive ratings. My won proprietary programs suggest both teams will score 100+ points tonight, which sets into play a trend that shows, PORTLAND is 20-2 OVER L/22 where both teams score 98 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 232.3 ppg getting scored. Using the same estimated perimeters San Anontio is 12-3 over where both teams score 98 points or more, with a combined average of 213.9 ppg going on the scoreboard.

PORTLAND is 9-1 OVER  vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams - making 39% or more  of their attempts with a combined average of 236.3 ppg getting scored. Six of the L/7 meetings in this series have eclipsed the total including the last three in Portland.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

The Heat enter this game against the Pelicans having swept the season series against New Orleans  last year, winning 94-88 in overtime on Christmas Day , and  took a 113-99 victory in New Orleans on March 22. I know that the Heat have a different makeup now, but what is important from a matchup perspective is that in the two victories against New Orleans, Hassan Whiteside averaged 16.0 points on .722 shooting, 15.5 rebounds and 3.5 block, and is expected to  be in the lineup for Miami tonight. I know the Pelicans Anthony Davis is a great talent, but he cannot carry the Pelicans to wins all by himself, and with that said, Ill take the hard working Heat to get us the cover vs an exhausted one man band. ( NBA Home favorites like the Pelicans - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, extremely tired team - playing 9 or more games in 14 days are just 38-74 ATS over an extended 20 season sample size , for a solid go against conversion rate of 66% for bettors.

MIAMI is 9-0 ATS L/9 after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games dating back to last season. New Orleans is 11-22 ATS as a favorite dating back to last season. 

Play on the Miami Heat to cover 1 unit reg selection 

GOLDEN STATE is 12-3 OVER L/15  in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season with a a combined average of 226.2 ppg getting registered on the scoreboard.GOLDEN STATE in their 27 games  as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points have seen a combined average of 219.2 ppg go on the scoreboard and when they are off a 10 or more point road win like last time out, have seen a massive 231.8 ppg go on the board. I know Golden State has gone under in 9 straight, but now because of this the lines-makers are under compensating ( pardon the pun) which gives is value to the over .It must also be pointed out, that despite of Motwons propensity to play methodically,  they will have no choice but to pick up the pace as was the case in a recent game against Washington when they lost 122-108. Golden State  ranked first in offense with a 117.4 ppg I am betting dictates the speed of this game behind a 3rd ranked pace. 

Play Over - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like the Warriors  - a top-level team (75% or better) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%), in December games have gone over 39 of the L/53 times for a solid 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

The Orlando Magic are playing their worst basketball at home in front o their own fans, where they own a lowly 5-10 record at the Amway Center and have lost 7 straight here. Thats not a good omen for a Orlando team that fell asleep at the proverbial wheel  in a loss to the New York Knicks 106-95 at Madison Square Garden on Thursday night Meanwhile, young and well conditioned Los Angeles will play the second night of a back-to-back to close out a seven-game road trip that started in Sacramento on Dec. 12. Needless to say this team is hungry and should give it their all tonight vs a team they matchup well against.

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Boston beat Indiana 105-99 here at home back on Dec 12, and now have revenge on board here tonight and I am betting they get it. I know Boston has won three straight but they are far from consistent and has not won more than 3 games in row during the current campaign. Meanwhile, Indiana always seems to play their best hoops at home where they own a 11-4 SU mark, and must be respected playing as hosts on their own court.

INDIANA is 15-5 ATS L/20 in home games revenging a same season loss. INDIANA is 35-22 ATS L/57 when playing against a team with a winning record dating back to last season.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Pacers - off a road loss against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are a bankroll expanding 23-6 ATS for a 79% conversion rate over the L/5 seasons. 

From a trend anomaly stand point it must be noted that the Celtics have lost 6 straight thursday night games.

Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Houston has played at a very high level for a long time, and previous to last nights heart breaking loss to San Antonio 102-100, had won 10 straight behind a take no prisoners offense. But now in a emotional letdown state, and pretty well exhausted after exerting all that energy during that above mentioned run, a down performance by the Rockets seems like a high probability event tonight in Phoenix. 

HOUSTON is 6-16 ATS L/22 after a division game and are just 14-25 ATS L/39 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points.

Play on the Suns  to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The king of the triple double Russell Westbrook and his Oklahoma City Thunder go into the Bayou tonight to take on the New Orleans Pelicans. Westbrook is averaging 30.9 points (first in the NBA), 10.9 assists (second) and 10.5 rebounds (13th) and Im betting he will once again be a catalyst for a Thunder win and cover here this evening. The Thunder took down the Pelicans 101-92 in Oklahoma City on Dec. 4 with Westbrook recording his fifth consecutive triple-double (28 points, 17 rebounds and 12 assists) and a similar rinse and repeat scenario is on tonights agenda. 

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Pelicans  - off a road win,

(which happened against the lowly 76ers las time out) a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season. are just 21-54 ATS for a go against 72% conversion rate, .

Play on the Thunder to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Washington's been playing better of late, but did have a three game win streak end last time out against Indiana, with a last second score sinking their ship . That heart breaking event I'm betting will have a tired Wizards team playing their 7th game 11 days in a letdown situation this Wednesday vs a Chicago team trying to keep some momentum alive after  a conclusive 113-82 victory over the Detroit Pistons on Monday night. I know the Bulls have been disappointing so far this season , but they do have wins, against San Antonio and upstart Detroit at home of late and must not be underestimated when hosting in the United Center as short favorites. (Wizards are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Blake Griffin hurt again, which is bad news for the  Los Angeles Clippers as they begin a three-game homestand Tuesday night against the Denver Nuggets who are on a three game winning streak.Griffin's loss occurs at a time when the Clippers aren't playing well as they are just  6-6 .500 during their L/12 tilts.Meanwhile, visiting Denver, is currently playing at a high level, which is evident  by averaging 125.3 points during their streak. For the season, Denver is scoring 107.4 points per contest, which ranks seventh in the NBA, which makes them dangerous as underdogs of this magnitude.

Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Nuggets - averaging 7 or less steals/game on the season, first half of the season are 99-64 ATS for a 61% conversion rate.

DENVER is 14-4 ATS L/18 versus good foul drawing teams - attempting 27 or more free throws/game and 14-4 ATS L/18 in road games versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game on the season and 23-12 ATS L/35 in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game.DENVER is 10-1 ATS L/11 after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games, and 11-1 ATS L/12 in road games after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games.LA CLIPPERS are 4-14 ATS L/18 off an upset loss as a road favorite which happened against the Wizards last time out. 

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Sacramento Kings are not looking good, and their top player Cousins continues to be a walking media freak show with bizarre tirades that are well documented during his career. The Kings were punished in their last outing by a short handed Dallas side, by a  99-79 count on Sunday. The Kings own the leagues worst record, and things are spiraling out of control.  I know the Blazers have not been playing great basketball, and have not lived up to expectations this season, but are more than capable of downing a downtrodden side like the Kings, whether talented or temperamental Cousins plays or not ( possible suspension). 

SACRAMENTO is 9-19 ATS L/28 in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game dating back to last season.

Play on the Portland Blazers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Spurs enter into this game  having responded well to their first road loss of the season  on Dec. 8 at Chicago with four consecutive wins by an average margin of 16 points per game .Spurs remain one of the front runners for a league championship if they remain healthy, ranking in the top 10 in both offensive (sixth) and defensive (fourth) rating categories. Meanwhile, the Rockets are also red hot after claiming their 10th consecutive victory on Saturday night in a come from behind victory . They looked completely out of gas, before of gearing up into over drive and getting the victory. Now, the Rockets will have an extremely hard time continuing to play at a very high level  vs a side that can take their flow away. Its hard for any team to run and gun for a such a long time, as the Rockets have and its not uncommon for such teams to hit a wall. That's what I am betting on happening tonight against  the  Spurs of San Antonio. It must also be noted that  the loss of center Clint Capela for the Rockets, who suffered a left knee contusion against the Timberwolves, will also effect the chemistry of the Rockets .

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover

The Miami Heat and the Orlando Magic go head to head tonight in the battle of Florida. Both teams are not inspiring alot of pundits right now, and both struggle to put points up on the scoreboard.  Orlando ranks 28th in the league in offense, behind the 23rd ranked pace. Meanwhile, Miami ranks 27th in offense 97.3 ppg, and 25th in pace. Both teams saving grace , sort of speak, rests with their defenses. The Magic rank 9th in points allowed 101.9 ppg, while the Heat rank 7th allowing 100.4 ppg. Both these sides are off DD losses, and both had less than stellar offensive out puts with Orlando looking tired in a muted 79 point production and the Heat manufactured 95  points, staying below the 100 plateau in three straight.It must be noted that NBA Home teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points like the Heat - after a loss by 10 points or more against opponent after a blowout loss by 15 points or more like Orlando have gone under 50 of the L/67 times for a 79% conversion rate on under bets.

With Both teams playing a crap load full of games during the past 7 days, I expect a slower paced methodical game that remains on the low side of the number.

MIAMI is 22-11 UNDER L/33 when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average score of 191.5 ppg go on the board and 17-6 UNDER L/23 after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less with a combined average score of 193 ppg getting scored. MIAMI is 9-0 UNDER L/9 after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half, with the combined average score of 182.9 ppg going on the score board.Under is 5-2 in Heat last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.Under is 7-2 in Magic last 9 road games.Under is 8-2 in Magic last 10 games following a double-digit loss at home. Under is 8-3 in Magic last 11 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.

Both Orlando and Miami do not inspire bettors , but Orlando is the superior side at the moment.  Heat are just 2-7 SU in their L/9 and continue to be hampered by injuries, but even when healthy don't look to be a play off team. In a battle of bottom feeders, the visitor has the edge. 

Magic are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.Magic are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.

Home teams where the line is +3 to -3  like the Heat - after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a lower tier  team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are just 9-34 ATS dating back to the 2011 campaign.

Play on Orlando to cover 1 unit reg selection

Detroit enters this game against Chicago off getting upset last time out as 4.5 point favortites vs Indiana by a 105-90 count. The team looked tired but after a couple days rest should be refueled and ready to come up with a big bounce back effort. It must be noted that HC Stan VanGundys Motown crew is 11-1 ATS in road games of an upset loss of 15 points or more as favorite . Meanwhile, the Chicago Bulls have lost three straight games, thanks in part to a struggling offense that has not score more than 97 points in those three games, and that has not eclipsed that output in 6 of their L/8. Tonight against a usually responsible Pistons defense, more problems shout be expected. Detroit beat Chicago 102-91 last time they met, on Dec 6th and have covered 3 of their L/4 visits to the Windy City and look like viable wagering options again in this matchup.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Bulls - revenging a loss vs opponent against opponent off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival are 16-40 ATS for a go against betting conversion rate of 71%.

Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover 1 unit reg selection  

The Wizards are currently in top form, winning their last three games and five of their last six after a slow start to the season including last nights victory vs the LA Clippers by a 117-110 count. Now playing on back to back nights, and in a letdown spot off of late nights win, the lines-makers have shaded them in a 6 points dogs vs a side that has played well at home during the current campaign. Empirical thinking might have some leaning to the Pacers, but in my usual contrarian fashion, I'm looking at the dog in this spot. Washington is currently playing at a very high level, and running on high octane fuel like they are now, and looking like a play off team,  I am betting they wont be easily disposed of.. Meanwhile the Pacers have shown a propensity to crash in burn on a fairly consistent basis.  Yes, Indiana did win last time out but are just 1-4 ATS L/5 after a SU win.  

Wizards are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Indiana.Road team is 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings.Underdog is 18-5 ATS in the last 23 meetings.Pacers are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

Play on Washington to cover 1 unit reg selection

Sacramento came into Dallas on Dec 7 and smacked the  Mavs with a 120-89 loss. Needless to say, the Mavericks will be primed to hand out some paybak, despite of being short handed. The Kings are coming off a upset win last time out vs  Memphis as underdogs , but their inconsistencies are well documented  as they they are led by a eraddict super star by the name of Cousins, who despite of his great talents can really stymie the flow of his team with bizarre tyrads against anyone and everyone. ( Cousins may miss today because of suspension, but his prescense is less than a positive for a team that lacks stability)

DALLAS is 10-1 ATS L/11 in home games on Sunday games dating bakc 3 seasons.

All teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - off an upset win as a road underdog, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are just 8-30 ATS L/38 in their follow up game for a go against conversion rate of 79% .

Play on Dallas to cover ( LATE STEAM)

The Washington Wizards are finally starting to look balanced thanks to their offense and defense clicking at the same time. The Wizards are currently playing with  confidence as they have won 4 of their L/5 and have covered 4 straight at home. Meanwhile the Clippers despite of winning four straight  have failed to cover 5 of their L/6 games, and are just 2-5 ATS L/7 on the road and have failed to cover 8 of their L/9 against the Eastern Conference sides. Considering the current form of both sides from a wagering perspective, I will back the home underdog in this spot. ( The underdog has covered 4 of the L/5 meetings) LA CLIPPERS are 7-19 ATS L/26 after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread and are are 11-27 ATS L/38 after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games which just happened!

Play on Washington to cover 1 unit reg selection

We have two very tired teams playing each other tonight Indiana and Detroit - with that said, a long term 61% ATS trend is in play. NBA teams  where the total is 200 to 209.5 like the Pistons  -  an extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days against opponent that is also a  tired team ( Indiana ) - playing 6 or more games in 10 days have seen the under go 265-173 dating back 5 seasons.

INDIANA is 26-6 UNDER L/32 when playing their 3rd game in 4 days  dating back to last season, with the total combined average score clicking in at 194.8 ppg. DETROIT is 10-2 UNDER L/12 in home games this season with a combined average of 190 ppg getting scored. 

Previous to their L. game Motown did not allow more than 97 points in 7 straight games and have not allowed more than 99 points in 12 of their L/15 and I'm betting on another solid defensive performance here in methodical fashion. Van Gundys side will control the pace, vs a Indiana side trying to play a more solid two way game and that has only scored 89 and 95 points in their L/2 tilts.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

Two teams struggling to keep their heads high, after very slow starts to their campaigns, go head to head tonight in the City of Brotherly Love as the Lakers visit the 76ers. After a promising start the Lakers have dropped eight straight games, and are desperate for a win, one I believe they can get tonight, vs a side they matchup well again, both form a physical and style of play standpoint. Meanwhile, while Philadelphia has covered 3 of their L/4 and recently notched back to back victories before losing last time out are a team in a emotional  letdown spot after playing the Toronto Raptors hard in that above mentioned L. That makes the 76ers vulnerable to even hungrier team then themselves.

NBA Road teams - where the line is +3 to -3 like the Lakers - after 6 or more consecutive losses, a lower tier  team (25% to 40%) playing another  team with a below .500 record are bankroll expanding 26-7 ATS 79% for their betting backers.

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Toronto Raptors spanked the Atlanta Hawks a two weeks ago when they visited Canada  by a lopsided 128-84 count. This tale of the tape is of two teams moving in opposite directions, as the Raps have won 10 of their L/11 and a Hawks side that has lost 10 of their L/13 after a 9-2 start. However, despite of these teams current form, Im focusing on a desperate side, ( Atlanta) that was embarrassed in their last matchup vs the Raptors as mentioned above. A measure of a teams fortitude and the quality of their coach, is what sets slumping teams apart from bottom feeders. Even though the Hawks are stuck in quick sand at the moment, it  does not mean they are not capable of playing a big time game in an effort to gain back some long lost dignity. You have to remember that the Hawks, are made up of guys that were stars at every level of basketball they competed in, and pros never like to be embarrassed.

Atlanta 's HC Budenholzer is 86-62 ATS L/148 when playing against a team with a winning record. 

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Washington Wizards used a physical brand of basketball for an big time  win vs the Charlotte Hornets in their last outing which sets up well for their meeting with Stan VanGundys Motown crew..My won matchup discrepancy charts tell me a story of a Washington team that can compete and beat a team like the Detroit Pistons. Washington has 4 straight here at home in this series, and Im betting on another victory tonight.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Wizards - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (33% or less), in a game involving two good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or less) are a bankroll expanding 103-59 ATS for a 64% conversion rate.

Play on the Washington Wizards to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Milwaukee Bucks and  Chicago Bulls  prepare to face off on back-to-back nights, beginning this Thursday. The key to this game will be the Bucks ability to stop the downtown three shots, as they rank 2nd in the league in stopping  3s. The Bulls are dead last in the league shooting the trey, (30.7%) and do a majority of their work on the inside, where HC Kidd and company are well prepared to be physical. The Bucks have lost three straight but are 21-10 ATS L/31 after 2 or more consecutive losses and get the nod here in this spot as short home favorites.

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Milwaukee Bucks ranked 12th in pae and 13th in defensive rating  and  Chicago Bulls who rank 21 in pace in the league and 8th in Defensive ratings,    prepare to face off on back-to-back nights, beginning this Thursday.  Because of the divisional rivalry, and the difficulty of playing two games into two nights against the same side, both coaches will not be inclined to run and gun. The key to this game will be the Bucks ability to stop the downtown shots from beyond the arc, as they rank 2nd in the league in stopping  3s. The Bulls are dead last in the league shooting the trey, (30.7%) and do a majority of their work on the inside, where HC Kidd and company are well prepared to be physical. With that said, Im expecting a hard fought inside affair, that remains on the low side of the number.

CHICAGO is 14-4 UNDER L/18 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) with the average combined score clicking in at 198.8 ppg and is is 18-6 UNDER L/24 in road games vs. division opponents with an average of 194.9 ppg getting scored.Under is 20-7-2 in Bulls last 29 road games.Under is 9-4 in Bucks last 13 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

The Heat conclusively ended  a five-game losing streak by defeating the Washington Wizards 112-101 on Monday night and Im betting they are ready to turn the trick again this Tuesday night versus a very inconsistent Indiana team. I know the Heat are without the injured Waiters and Winslow, but this team is still more capable than many pundits believe. Meanwhile, Indiana has some key injury issues of their own and  will be without starting guard Monta Ellis (groin), who has been ruled out for this three-game road trip. Reserve guard Rodney Stuckey (knee) is questionable and less than 100% after being hurt against the Hornets this past weekend, and he will be missed. From a trends perspective is must be noted, that INDIANA is 1-13 ATS L/14 in road games after scoring 110 points or more over the last 2 seasons and 0-7 ATS after one or more consecutive wins, this season. ( Indiana won their L/game 110-94 at home last time out) 

Play on the Miami Heat won to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Knicks are coming off wins Friday against the Sacramento Kings and Sunday against the Los Angeles Lakers, giving them four straight wins on the road, and have won 7 of their L/8 games overall. However, with that said, all good and bad runs must come to end, and I won't be surprised if it happens here in Phoenix tonight, as my own proprietary programs actually give the Suns an edge on home court in head to head player to players matchup discrepancy chart.

 NBA Road favorites like the Favorites - hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are a bankroll depleting 21-48 ATS for a go against conversion rate of 70%. 

Take the points with the Phoenix Suns 

Thibodeau, who went 255-139 in five seasons with Chicago, takes on his  former team for the first time as an NBA coach since the Bulls fired him. You can bet he would love nothing more than to get a little revenge here, no matter what his political correct statement will be to the media. Here is an interesting quote: "He used to tell us in the locker room, 'You got to hate those guys, you got to stick it to them,'" Bulls forward Taj Gibson told the Chicago Tribune. "So, I know he's going to come in here and have those young guys ready and waiting. It's kind of a nerve-wracking feeling because you know that guy knows everything about you. He knows all your moves. It's going to be a good prep. END QUOTE.

 Road team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

CHICAGO is 16-29 ATS L/45 as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. 

Play on the Minnesota Timberwolves to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Warriors enter this game having gone under in 4 straight games, thanks to a more concerted effort on defense, and some fatigue taking its toll on the Dubs. With this being their 6th straight road game, Im betting the Warriors won;t be in the mood to run and gun. Meanwhile, New Orleans has scored 96 points or less in 4 of their L/8, and will be weary of trying to out gun their explosive opponents tonight, which will see them put forward a more methodical effort, which will in turn result in a combined score that remains on the low side of the Total . 

GOLDEN STATE is 31-16 UNDER L/47 in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 76% or more of their attempts over the last few seasons, 201.1 ppg. GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 UNDER in road games after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games, with a combined average of 209.3 ppg going on the scoreboard. GOLDEN STATE is 21-7 UNDER L/28 after a game where they made 85% of their free throws or better , which happened last time out. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like New Orleans - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points, off an upset win as a road underdog is 59-22 on the under for a 73% conversion rate.

Play under 1 unit reg selection 

Orlando may not inspire alot of betting support, but they have cashed 5 of their L/7 road games. Meanwhile, Atlanta has shown themselves to be a very inconsistent commodity, and have failed to cover 4 straight at home, and are just 1-5 ATS in their L/6 overall and recently lost 10 of 11 games. Even when well rested like they are here, the Hawks are just 3-9 ATS L/12 with 3 or more days rest. From a series perspective the Magic are 4-1 ATS L/5 in Atlanta and 8-3 ATS L/11 meetings with the underdog in this matchup going a sparkling 20-9 ATS L/29 meetings. 

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 1 unit reg selection