15* Florida/Tennessee ESPN Tuesday No-Brainer on Tennessee +8.5

The Tennessee Volunteers should not be catching nearly double-digits points at home tonight against the Florida Gators. Tennessee comes into this game playing its best basketball of the season. It has gotten to 16-10 on the year to put itself in position to make the NCAA Tournament with a strong finish.

The Volunteers are a perfect 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. That includes three road wins at South Carolina (66-61), Vanderbilt (68-46) and Texas A&M (93-85), as well as blowout home victories over Kentucky (88-58) and LSU (82-72). Tennessee is 11-3 at home this season.

Florida has shown signs of coming back down to reality here of late. It has gone just 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games overall, which includes road losses at Arkansas (69-80) and Missouri (60-63) despite being the favorite in both contests.

Tennessee has had Florida's number in recent meetings. It actually won both meetings last season with a 67-56 home victory as a 7.5-point underdog, and a 75-70 road win as a 12-point dog. The Gators are 7-15 ATS in the last 22 meetings, including 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Tennessee.

This play falls into a system that is 40-10 (80%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (FLORIDA) - after allowing 60 points or less against opponent after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games.

Tennessee is 9-1 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games over the last 2 seasons. The Vols are 32-16 ATS in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%) since 1997. Roll with Tennessee Tuesday.

15* NBA Bounce-Back BLOWOUT on Chicago Bulls -6.5

The Chicago Bulls are the most resilient team in the league. Off an embarrassing 72-102 loss at Oklahoma City Sunday, I look for the Bulls to bounce back with a double-digit blowout victory over the Cleveland Cavaliers at home Tuesday night.

Cleveland comes in overvalued due to winning eight of its last 14 games overall. One of its losses came at Miami 105-109 last time out on Sunday, but it caught the Heat playing the second of a back-to-back and its 4th game in 5 days. And most of its eight wins have come against non-playoff teams.

Chicago simply owns Cleveland in this series. The Bulls have won 10 straight meetings in this series with each of their last nine wins coming by 9 points or more. This makes for a trends that is a perfect 9-0 since 2011 given tonight's spread of 6.5. Chicago's last four home meetings have resulted in wins by 26, 32, 13 and 9 points, respectively.

This play falls into a system that is 42-13 (76.4%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against any team (CLEVELAND) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points against opponent off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more.

The Bulls are 53-25-2 ATS in their last 80 games following a S.U. loss. Chicago is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games following an ATS loss. Tom Thibodeau is 63-37 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread as the coach of Chicago. Thibodeau is 44-23 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses as the coach of Chicago. Bet the Bulls Tuesday.

Note - I realize this line has jumped from 6.5 to 8.5 in most places. I still recommend a bet on the Bulls at anything less than -10

15* NBA Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Sacramento Kings +15.5

The Sacramento Kings are showing awesome value as a big road underdog to the Miami Heat Tuesday night. I know the Kings have lost five straight coming in, but they've played a brutal schedule that has included Memphis, Dallas, San Antonio, Atlanta and New Orleans with four of those coming on the road. Sacramento is undervalued because of it.

Meanwhile, the Heat come in way overvalued due to their season-high 11-game winning streak. They started showing signs of being overvalued with a 109-105 come-from-behind home victory over the Cleveland Cavaliers as a 12-point favorite on Sunday.

The biggest reason the Cavs were able to hang with the Heat was the fact that Miami came in very tired in that game. It was playing its 4th game in 5 days on Sunday, and now it will be playing its 5th game in 7 days against the Kings. That's one of the toughest situations for any team in the league, and I look for the Heat to come out sluggish once again because of it.

This play falls into a system that is 65-28 (69.9%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on road underdogs (SACRAMENTO) - cold team - having lost 8 or more of their last 10 games against opponent hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games.

Sacramento comes in well-rested as this will be just its 4th game in 13 days. The Kings are 32-16 ATS in road games when playing 5 or less games in 14 days since 1996. Sacramento is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games vs. a team with a winning record. Roll with the Kings Tuesday.

25* NBA Eastern Conference TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Magic/76ers UNDER 189.5

The Orlando Magic and Philadelphia 76ers will take part in a defensive battle tonight. These are two of the worst offensive teams in the league, and this number has certainly been set too high given how poorly both squads have played on that end of the floor all year.

Orlando is scoring just 93.8 points/game overall and 92.3 points/game on the road. Philadelphia is scoring 92.2 points/game overall and 93.4 points/game at home. Both teams allow less than 100 points/game, so each has been solid on that end of the court for the most part. Especially Philadelphia, which is giving up just 95.2 points/game at home this year.

These teams just met on February 4th right before the All-Star game. The 76ers beat the Magic 78-61 at home for 139 combined points. That is 50 points less than tonight's posted total of 189.5. While I do expect them to combine for more than 139 this time, I don't expect it to be anywhere near the posted total tonight.

Orlando is scoring just 88.0 points/game in its last five games overall. It is playing without Glen Davis and Jameer Nelson, which are two of its top scorers this season. Philadelphia has scored 93 or fewer points in 10 straight games, averaging just 86.7 points/game in the process.

The UNDER is 5-0 in Magic last 5 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. The UNDER is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. The UNDER is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The UNDER is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia. These four trends combine for a perfect 20-0 system backing the UNDER. Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

20* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Golden State Warriors +8

The Indiana Pacers come into this game way overvalued tonight. They have gone 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS with four straight blowout victories over Charlotte, New York, and Detroit twice all by 18 points or more. They have created expectations for themselves that they simply cannot live up to tonight.

Golden State comes in undervalued after having lost six of its last nine games overall. It has been able to get back on track by winning its last three, including a 107-101 (OT) victory over San Antonio. The perception is that this team still isn't playing well, but that isn't the case right now.

This play falls into a system that is 25-8 (75.8%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games.

The Warriors beat the Pacers 103-92 at home in their first meeting of the season on December 1st. Indiana is 2-12 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Golden State is 14-6 ATS against Eastern Conference opponents this season. Take the Warriors Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Memphis -4.5

The Memphis Tigers are one of the most underrated teams in the country. They are 24-3 on the season yet almost nobody in the media is talking about them. As a result, they remain undervalued. They should be a much heavier favorite over the Xavier Musketeers tonight.

Memphis has won 18 straight games coming in. I've seen this team play several times and I truly believe it can beat anyone in the country. This is the most athletic team in the land, and that athleticism will prove to be too much for Xavier tonight.

At 15-11 on the season, the Musketeers have little to play for the rest of the way. They are coming off a 71-75 home loss to VCU on Saturday, and it will be hard to recover from such a defeat. That's especially the case considering they are likely to be without starting PG Dee Davis, who scored 15 points against VCU. Davis is doubtful with concussion-like symptoms.

What's most impressive about the Tigers is the fact that they have been able to play their best basketball on the road this season. They are a perfect 7-0 in true road games this year, outscoring opponents by an eye-opening 12.4 points/game. Their road wins includes an 85-80 victory at Tennessee as a 2.5-point underdog, an 89-76 win at Southern Miss as a 1-point dog, and a 71-59 triumph at Marshall as a 9.5-point favorite.

The Tigers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Musketeers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. Xavier is 2-12 ATS in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. Take Memphis Tuesday.

20* NBA Monday Total ANNIHILATOR on Celtics/Jazz UNDER 191.5

I look for the Boston Celtics and Utah Jazz to take part in a defensive battle tonight when they meet for the second and final time this season. Boston comes in fatigued following an 86-92 loss at Portland last night. This will be the second of a back-to-back and the 3rd game in 4 days for the Celtics.

While Doc Rivers will command their attention to defense, I look for the Celtics to struggle on the offensive end due to their tired legs. This is a jump shooting team, which is not good for tired legs. Boston is scoring 95.9 points/game and allowing 95.9 points/game on the season.

Utah is a much better defensive team than it gets credit for. It is allowing just 95.7 points/game at home this season. A big reason this number has been inflated is the fact that the Jazz have played some recent high-scoring games against some of the top offenses in the league. They have played the Clippers, Warriors, Timberwolves and Thunder in their last four games overall.

A look at the recent meetings between these teams and it's easy to see that there is some value with the UNDER tonight. Boston won 98-93 at home on November 14th for 191 combined points in their first meeting this season. The Celtics also won at home 94-82 for 176 combined points in their final meeting of the '11-12 season.

Utah is 9-1 to the UNDER after 2 or more consecutive overs this season. It is combining with its opponents to average 182.8 points/game in this spot. That's roughly 9.0 points less than tonight's posted total of 191.5. Also, Boston is 25-11 to the UNDER in road games when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons. Bet the UNDER in this game Monday.

15* Kansas/Iowa State ESPN Big Monday No-Brainer on Iowa State +1.5

The Iowa State Cyclones should not be an underdog at home tonight to the Kansas Jayhawks. I'll gladly take advantage and back one of the most underrated teams in the country tonight to take down the ninth-ranked Jayhawks. This team simply does not lose at home.

Iowa State is a perfect 15-0 at home this season where it is outscoring opponents by an average of a ridiculous 20.6 points/game. In fact, it has won 22 straight home games dating back to last season, including a 72-64 win over then-No. 5 Kansas on January 28th of last year. You'll see tonight how ISU's Hilton Coliseum is one of the best-kept secrets in college basketball.

The Cyclones will clearly be out for revenge after falling 89-97 in overtime at Kansas in their first meeting of the season on January 9th. Iowa State was robbed of a victory as Kansas' Ben McLemore banked in a 3-pointer at the buzzer to send the game into overtime. The Cyclones wouldn't recover in the extra session, but they'll have their revenge at home this time around.

"We know we let one slip away," Iowa State coach Fred Hoiberg said that night. "But at the same time, if you come in here and compete with a team that's won eight championships in a row, you can compete with anyone."

Kansas is 0-7 ATS in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Iowa State is 6-0 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game after 15+ games this season. The Cyclones are 6-0 ATS in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games over the last 2 seasons. Iowa State is 6-0 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. The Cyclones are 7-0 ATS in home games after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Iowa State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 home games. These six trends combine for a perfect 37-0 system backing the Cyclones. Bet Iowa State Monday.

20* Bulls/Thunder ESPN Sunday Night BAILOUT on UNDER 196

The Chicago Bulls and Oklahoma City Thunder will take part in a defensive battle tonight on ESPN. When good teams like this get together the defense usually wins out. Both teams are more than capable of shutting one another down defensively, which has been the case in this series in recent meetings.

The Bulls are allowing just 91.1 points/game this season as one of the best defensive teams in the league. Oklahoma City doesn't get enough credit for its defense because it has Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook putting up a bunch of points each night offensively. The Thunder allow just 96.9 points/game at home this year.

Each of the last three meetings between the Bulls and Thunder have seen 189 or less combined points. Chicago won 99-90 at home in 2010 for 189 combined points, Oklahoma City won at home 92-78 at home in April of 2012 for 170 combined points, and the Thunder won on the road 97-91 in in November of 2012 for 188 combined points in their first meeting this season. These teams have averaged a combined 182.3 points/game in their last three meetings.

The UNDER is 5-0 in Bulls last 5 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The UNDER is 8-0 in Thunder last 8 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. The UNDER is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in this series. These three trends combine for a 19-1 system backing the UNDER. Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday.

15* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Portland Trail Blazers -2

The Portland Trail Blazers will be more motivated for a victory tonight than they have been all season. They enter this game on a season-high seven game losing streak and must stop the bleeding now if they want to make a run at the playoffs. I fully expect them to put an end to this skid tonight with a home victory over the Boston Celtics.

Portland just got Wesley Mathews, one of the most underrated players in the league, back from an ankle injury last time out. The Blazers nearly upset the Lakers as a 9.5-point road underdog on Friday, eventually falling 107-111 due to 40 points from Kobe Bryant. Matthews almost single-handedly kept the Blazers in the game late as he nailed several 3-pointers down the stretch. He finished with 15 points and 4-for-7 from 3-point range.

Portland is 17-9 at home this season and it still has one of the best home-court advantages in the league. Boston has been playing well of late, but it comes in overvalued because of it. The Celtics are just 9-17 SU & 9-15-2 ATS in all road games this season.

Boston is 25-43 ATS after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. The Celtics are 5-15 ATS off a road win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Portland is 25-11 ATS in home games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Roll with the Blazers Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday No-Doubt Rout on New York Knicks -10

Off a season-high four straight losses, the New York Knicks head into this contest with the Philadelphia 76ers more motivated for a victory than they've been all year. I look for them to roll the 76ers at home tonight and emphatically put an end to this 4-game skid.

Philadelphia is the perfect team for New York to face to get back on track. The 76ers have also lost four straight, including a 90-114 home defeat at the hands of the Miami Heat last night. Fatigued from the back-to-back situation, and likely to suffer a hangover from that loss to the defending champs, I don't even expect the 76ers to show up tonight.

The Knicks are 19-8 at home this season, while the 76ers are just 6-17 on the road. New York has won two of three meetings with Philly this season with its wins coming by 16 and 22 points. I expect a similar blowout in this one tonight. The Knicks are 15-7 ATS in the last 22 meetings in this series, including 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home meetings.

The 76ers are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games playing on 0 days rest, including 2-10 ATS when playing on back-to-back days this season. The Knicks are 36-17 ATS in their last 53 home games. Philadelphia is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 road games. The 76ers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Take the Knicks Sunday.

15* ACC GAME OF THE DAY on Virginia -9.5

I fully expect the Virginia Cavaliers to roll by double-digits at home today over the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets in ACC action. The Cavaliers (18-8) are a bubble team in terms of the NCAA Tournament and they need to finish strong if they want to be playing in the Big Dance.

Off two straight road losses to North Carolina (81-93) and Miami (50-54), Virginia will be highly motivated for a victory when it returns home today to face lowly Georgia Tech (14-11). The Cavaliers are a sensational 15-1 SU & 11-2 ATS at home this season, outscoring opponents by a whopping 17.7 points/game.

Virginia actually lost at Georgia Tech 60-66 in their first meeting of the season. The revenge factor only adds more fuel to the Cavaliers' fire today. They'll be up against a Yellow Jackets squad that is just 2-5 in true road games this season. Georgia Tech is just 6-22 ATS in its last 28 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

The Cavaliers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Virginia is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. These two trends combine for a 14-0 system backing the Cavaliers. Bet Virginia Sunday.

15* Washington/ASU ESPNU Late-Night BAILOUT on Arizona State -4.5

The Arizona State Sun Devils are a bubble team in terms of the NCAA Tournament at 20-7 on the season. While they have a ton to play for at this point of the season, the Washington Huskies (14-13) do not. They will simply be playing out their season, which has appeared to be the case for several weeks now.

Washington is just 2-8 in its last 10 games overall with those two victories both coming at home. It has lost five straight road games during this skid, including a 52-70 setback at Arizona on Wednesday. Meanwhile, Arizona State has won two straight coming in with a 63-62 victory at Colorado as an 8-point underdog, and a 69-57 home win over Washington State as a 6.5-point favorite.

The Sun Devils will also be out for revenge heading into this one. That's because they lost at Washington 92-96 in their first meeting of the season on February 2nd roughly three weeks ago. There's no question that ASU is the team that wants this one more Saturday when these two square off.

Arizona State is 15-3 at home this season where it is outscoring opponents by 8.4 points/game. Washington is only 4-6 in true road games. The Sun Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Arizona State is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games overall. The Sun Devils are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Bet Arizona State Saturday.

25* CBB Bracketbuster GAME OF THE YEAR on Northern Iowa -4

The Northern Iowa Panthers take on the Denver Pioneers in a bracketbuster game Saturday in non-conference action. I am laying the wood on the Panthers as only a 4-point home favorite today as they continue playing their best basketball of the season.

Northern Iowa has won six straight games coming in, which includes home victories over Wichita State (57-52) and Creighton (61-54), which are considered the two best teams in the Missouri Valley Conference. They also went on the road and beat Bradley, Drake and Missouri State during this run.

Denver is a quality team at 17-8, but the fact of the matter is that it plays in the very weak conference in the in the WAC. This is a Pioneers' team that plays much better at home than they do on the road. They are just 7-6 in true road games this season. They'll be up against a Panthers team that is 12-2 at home while outscoring opponents by a whopping 14.9 points/game there.

Northern Iowa is 6-0 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. The Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Pioneers are 13-44-1 ATS in their last 58 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Bet Northern Iowa Saturday.

20* NBA Saturday Total ANNIHILATOR on Pacers/Pistons UNDER 188

The books have set the bar too high tonight in this contest between the Indiana Pacers and Detroit Pistons. This is a home-and-home situation as these teams squared off last night in Indiana as the Pacers rolled to a 114-82 victory. Now, they'll play in Detroit just 24 hours later.

Familiarity breeds low-scoring games. I have no doubt that after combining for 196 points last night that these teams will buckle down defensively and take away their opposition's offensive strengths. That 196-point effort was an aberration when you look at previous meetings in this series.

Indiana beat Detroit 88-77 on the road for 165 combined points on December 15th in the first meeting of the season between these teams. The Pacers also won 98-79 at home for 177 combined points on January 30th. Throw in that 196-point effort, and these teams are averaging just 179.3 points/game combined. That's roughly 9 points less than tonight's posted total.

Detroit is 13-4 to the UNDER revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season. The UNDER is 13-3 in Pacers last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The UNDER is 7-2 in Pacers last 9 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.

The UNDER is 4-0 in Pistons last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The UNDER is 7-1-1 in Pistons last 9 games playing on 0 days rest. The UNDER is 20-7 in Pistons last 27 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Take the UNDER in this game Saturday.

15* Arkansas/Florida ESPNU No-Brainer on Florida -18.5

The Florida Gators (21-4) will be more motivated for a win Saturday than they have been at any other point this season. They just blew a double-digit second-half lead at Missouri last time out on Tuesday to fall 60-63. They'll be pissed off from that loss, and they'll also be out for revenge from a 69-80 loss at Arkansas as a 10.5-point favorite in their first meeting of the season on February 5th.

Florida returns home where it is 12-0 on the season and outscoring opponents by a whopping 27.4 points/game. Arkansas has been excellent at home as well where it has lost just one game all season. However, the Razorbacks are just 1-6 in true road games this season.

Arkansas' road losses include blowout defeats at the hands of Michigan (67-80), Texas A&M (51-69), South Carolina (54-75) and Vanderbilt (49-67). If the Razorbacks could lose on the road by 18 to both Texas A&M and Vanderbilt, and by 21 to South Carolina, you can just imagine what a motivated Florida team is going to do to them Saturday.

Another big reason to back the Gators tonight is the fact that they'll be the more prepared, more rested team heading in. That's because they last played on Tuesday against Missouri, while Arkansas squeaked out an ugly 62-60 home victory over Georgia on Thursday. The edge certainly goes to Florida in rest and preparation because of it.

The Razorbacks are 19-46 ATS in their last 65 road games. Arkansas is 15-41 ATS in their last 56 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Razorbacks are 1-9 ATS in road games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons. Arkansas is 0-7 ATS in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. Roll with Florida Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Kansas Jayhawks -23.5

The Kansas Jayhawks will be highly motivated for a victory Saturday when they host the TCU Horned Frogs. Not only are the Jayhawks fighting for the Big 12 title with Kansas State and Oklahoma State, they also want revenge on the Horned Frogs for their most embarrassing loss of the season.

TCU actually beat Kansas 62-55 at home on February 6th as a 17-point underdog in their first meeting of the season. Kansas scored just 13 points in the first half in what head coach Bill Self called the worst performance in program history. You can bet that these players will want to run up the scoreboard on TCU to make a statement in this one.

The Horned Frogs have fallen flat on their faces since that huge upset. They have gone 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall with home losses to West Virginia (50-63) and Texas (59-68), and road losses to Oklahoma (48-75) and Iowa State (53-87). If Oklahoma won by 27 and Iowa State won by 34, you can just imagine what Kansas is going to do to TCU in the rematch Saturday.

TCU is 0-6 ATS after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season. The Horned Frogs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games. TCU is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 road games. The Horned Frogs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. These four trends combine for a 19-0 system backing the Jayhawks. Bet Kansas Saturday.

15* SEC GAME OF THE DAY on Texas A&M -1.5

The Texas A&M Aggies should be a much bigger home favorite over the Tennessee Volunteers Saturday. Texas A&M still has an outside shot at making the NCAA Tournament, and it will be laying it all on the line to get a win in this one because of it.

The Aggies have been playing their best basketball of the season over the past month while going 4-3 SU & 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. All three of its losses during this stretch came by 7 points or less with two of them coming on the road. It has impressive home wins over both Missouri and Ole Miss during this span.

Texas A&M is 11-4 SU & 6-2 ATS at home this season. Tennessee is just 2-6 in true road games this season which is why I believe it is getting too much respect from oddsmakers here. Plus, the Vols come in overvalued due to their four-game winning streak that includes unimpressive wins over South Carolina, Vanderbilt, Kentucky (minus Noel) and LSU.

This play falls into a system that is 87-49 (64%) ATS since 1997. It tells us to bet against an underdog (TENNESSEE) - a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (<=63 PPG), after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more.

Tennessee is 6-21 ATS after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better since 1997. Texas A&M is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 home games. The Aggies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Take Texas A&M Saturday.

15* Big 12 GAME OF THE DAY on Texas Tech +19.5

The Iowa State Cyclones are way overvalued as nearly a 20-point home favorite over the Texas Tech Red Raiders Saturday. Sure, the Cyclones are one of the best home teams in the country, but asking them to win by 20-plus is simply asking too much.

This is a huge letdown spot for Iowa State. It is coming off its first significant road win of the season with an 87-82 triumph at Baylor. With Kansas on deck Monday, there's no question that the Cyclones will be overlooking these Red Raiders and looking ahead to that huge showdown with the Jayhawks.

Texas Tech already beat Iowa State once this season with a 56-51 home victory as a 10.5-point underdog on January 23rd. It has played some other good teams tough this season, including a 64-66 loss at West Virginia as a 14-point underdog in its last road game on February 16th.

This play falls into a system that is 83-41 (66.9%) ATS since 1997. It tells us to bet against a home team (IOWA ST) - a very good team (>=+8 PPG differential) against a poor team (-3.5 to -8 PPG differential), after a combined score of 165 points or more.

The Red Raiders are 11-4-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings. Texas Tech is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Cyclones are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Roll with Texas Tech Saturday.

15* CBB Revenge GAME OF THE WEEK on LSU -2.5

The LSU Tigers are out for revenge on the Alabama Crimson Tide Saturday. They lost the first meeting of the season 57-60 at Alabama on February 9th just two weeks ago as an 8.5-point underdog. I like the Tigers' chances of returning the favor at home in the rematch.

LSU is a very solid 12-2 at home this season where it is outscoring opponents by 7.9 points/game. It is scoring 73.3 points/game at home this year. Alabama is just 4-5 in true road games this season where it is scoring a mere 57.7 points/game.

Home-court advantage has been huge in this series between Alabama and LSU. The home team has won nine of the last 11 meetings dating back to 2008. The home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. The favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

The Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. In fact, LSU is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Meanwhile, Alabama is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Putting the icing on the cake is the fact that the Tigers are 8-1 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons. Roll with LSU Saturday.

15* ACC GAME OF THE DAY on Wake Forest +7.5

The Wake Forest Demon Deacons should not be catching 7.5 points at home today to the Miami Hurricanes. I'll gladly take advantage and back the home squad in a game that I believe they have an excellent chance to win outright.

At 22-3 and as the No. 2 team in the country, the Hurricanes come into this contest way overvalued. They are also a perfect 13-0 in ACC play which has the betting public continuing to back them. Miami has started to show signs of coming back down to reality as each of its last three victories have come by 6 points or less over FSU (74-68), Clemson (45-43) and Virginia (54-50).

Wake Forest is just 11-15 on the season, but this is certainly a team that is much better than its record would indicate. It has played very well at home this year where it is 9-4 SU & 7-3 ATS on the season. It has home wins over the likes of Xavier (66-59), Virginia (55-52), NC State (86-84) and Florida State (71-46). It also has a narrow home loss to Duke (70-75) as a 13.5-point underdog.

One of the biggest reasons I am on Wake Forest Saturday is the fact that it has had a week to prepare for Miami since last playing on February 16th in a 56-57 loss to Georgia Tech. Meanwhile, this will be the 3rd game in 7 days for Miami as it played Clemson on 17th and Virginia on the 19th. The Demon Deacons will have a huge edge in rest and preparation.

The Demon Deacons are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. Wake Forest is 16-5-1 ATS in its last 22 games following a ATS loss. The Demon Deacons are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take Wake Forest Saturday.

15* Blazers/Lakers NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Portland +9.5

The Los Angeles Lakers are way overvalued as a 9.5-point favorite Friday over the Portland Trail Blazers. Asking them to win by double-digits is simply asking too much. I'll gladly take the value and back Portland in a game I feel it has an excellent chance to win outright.

The Blazers will be more motivated for a victory tonight than they have been at any other point in the season. That's because they have lost a season-high six straight games coming in while going 0-6 ATS in the process. This skid has them undervalued heading into this one.

Meanwhile, the Lakers are overvalued due to their 113-99 home victory over Boston on Wednesday in their first game back from the break. They were catching Boston in the second of a back-to-back situation as the Celtics were very tired after having played the Denver Nuggets the night before.

This play falls into a system that is 31-10 (75.6%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PORTLAND) - after 6 or more consecutive losses, second half of the season.

Portland is 8-0 ATS versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Los Angeles is 0-8 ATS in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The Lakers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. These three trends combine for a perfect 20-0 system backing Portland. Bet the Blazers Friday.

15* NBA Western Conference ANNIHILATOR on Dallas Mavericks -1

The Dallas Mavericks are making a push toward the 8th and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. They trail the Houston Rockets by 4.5 games for that spot and cannot afford to take nights off from here on out. They have been in this position for a while now, which is why they have been the best team to back over the past month or so.

That's evident by the fact that the Mavs are a ridiculous 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games overall. This team remains undervalued because of its poor record (24-29) on the season. However, this team is the definition of one that is better than its record would indicate as they have lost more close games than any other team in the league.

Adding fuel to the fire for the Mavs is the fact that they have lost each of their last two meetings with New Orleans, including a 99-96 (OT) loss at home in their lone meeting this season. New Orleans has not played well since returning from the break, losing 87-96 at home to Chicago, and 100-105 at Cleveland.

This play falls into a system that is 65-24 (73%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on road favorites (DALLAS) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more.

This play falls into another system that is 42-16 (72.4%) ATS since 1996. It tells us to bet on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DALLAS) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days.

The Mavericks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. Dallas is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games playing on 1 days rest. These two trends combine for an 18-1 system backing Dallas. Take the Mavericks Friday.

20* T'Wolves/Thunder ESPN Friday No-Brainer on Oklahoma City -13

The Oklahoma City Thunder have not lost four straight regular-season games since the first season that Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook joined forces. The Thunder will try to avoid such a skid Friday night when they host a Minnesota Timberwolves team they have beaten in 13 of the last 14 meetings.

Oklahoma City (39-15) is enduring its longest slide of the season after falling 122-119 at Houston on Wednesday. The Thunder allowed former teammate James Harden to score 46 points and yielded 47.8 percent shooting. "As a team, we gave up too many points, 66 points in the second half is not us, it's not what we pride ourselves on," coach Scott Brooks said. "We have to regroup and figure it out defensively."

I look for the Thunder to come out highly motivated tonight to beat a Minnesota team that they have owned. Oklahoma City beat Minnesota 106-84 in their most recent meeting on January 9th as a 12.5-point favorite. I look for a similar beat down tonight with the Thunder being able to rest their starters in the 4th quarter.

The Timberwolves are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Thunder are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. The Timberwolves are 1-10-2 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 1 days rest. Minnesota is 1-10 ATS in road games versus very good shooting teams - making >=48% of their shots - 2nd half of the season since 1996. These four trends combine for a 31-2 system backing Oklahoma City. Bet the Thunder Friday.

15* NBA Friday Bounce-Back BLOWOUT on New York Knicks Money Line -111

The New York Knicks come in highly motivated for a victory Friday night. The Knicks are enduring their second three-game slide and their lead atop the Atlantic Division has been cut to one game over Brooklyn. They have not lost four straight all season, and they aren't about to tonight.

The third straight loss was an embarrassing 125-91 setback at Indiana on Wednesday. We didn't show up," head coach Mike Woodson said. "They whipped our asses from beginning to end." Off such a bad defeat, there's no question these players will respond tonight.

Adding fuel to the fire is the fact that Toronto handed New York the loss that started this three-game skid. The Raptors went into Madison Square Garden and came away with a 92-88 victory on February 13th. Just 10 days later, I look for New York to return the favor by going into Toronto and getting a victory tonight.

This play falls into a system that is 52-22 (70.3%) ATS since 1996. It tells us to bet on any team (NEW YORK) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%).

The Raptors had their five-game winning streak snapped with an 82-88 home loss to Memphis on Wednesday. With their momentum coming to a halt, I don't look for them to even show up tonight. The Raptors are 22-46-1 ATS in their last 69 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Roll with the Knicks Friday.

15* CBB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Butler -1.5

The Butler Bulldogs should be a much bigger favorite tonight over the Saint Louis Billikens. The 15th-ranked Bulldogs can clear a big hurdle by assuming sole possession of first place with a win over surging conference leader Saint Louis on Friday night.

Butler (22-5, 9-3) has endured injuries to its three leading scorers in its first A-10 season but trails the Billikens (20-5, 9-2) by only one-half game. Now healthy, and out for revenge from an ugly 58-75 loss at Saint Louis on January 31st in their first meeting of the season, I look for the Bulldogs to roll at home tonight.

The Bulldogs are a sensational 13-1 at Hinkle Fieldhouse this season, which includes wins over the likes of Gonzaga and Temple. They also beat No. 1 Indiana on a neutral court earlier this season. They are outscoring opponents by a whopping 13.5 points/game at home this year.

Butler is 37-21 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. The Bulldogs are 10-2 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game this season. Butler is 10-3 ATS 10-3 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. Jim Crews is 4-16 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% in all games he has coached since 1997. Take Butler Friday.

Note - I released this play Thursday night anticipating the line would move so my long-term clients could get in early. It has done just that and it up to -3 in most places. I still recommend a wager on Butler -3 and to buy it to that number if it moves any higher.

20* Spurs/Clippers TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on UNDER 200.5

The books have set the bar too high tonight in this match-up between two of the top three teams in the Western Conference in the San Antonio Spurs and Los Angeles Clippers. This is a high-profile game that will bring out the best in both teams defensively. That has certainly been the case when these teams have gotten together in recent meetings.

The Clippers and Spurs have combined for 201 or fewer points in six straight meetings dating back to their playoff series last year. The two meetings this season alone have been very low-scoring. Los Angeles beat San Antonio at home 106-84 on November 7th for 190 combined points. The Clippers also beat the Spurs on the road 92-87 on November 19th for 169 combined points. These teams have combined to average just 179.5 points/game in two meetings this season, and 189.2 points/game in their last six meetings.

Both Chris Paul and Tony Parker tend to struggle when they play one another, which is huge for the UNDER. Parker had a season-low four points on 2-of-7 shooting in a 106-84 loss at Staples Center on Nov. 7, and scored 11 in a 92-87 home defeat Nov. 19. Parker also shot just 36.1 percent while averaging 17.3 points in the four-game sweep of the Clippers in the second round of last season's playoffs. Paul scored 12.8 per game on 36.8 percent shooting in that series.

The UNDER is 11-2-2 in Spurs last 15 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. The UNDER is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. The UNDER is 12-4 in Clippers last 16 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. The UNDER is 41-20 in Clippers last 61 Thursday games. The UNDER is 19-4-1 in the last 24 meetings in Los Angeles. Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday.

15* Big Ten GAME OF THE NIGHT on Penn State +16

The Penn State Nittany Lions are way undervalued heading into this game with the Illinois Fighting Illini. That's because they are winless in Big Ten play despite coming so close so many times. There's no question this team is going to continue to fight to try and earn that first conference victory, and I wouldn't be surprised to see them get it tonight as a 16-point road underdog at inconsistent Illinois.

Penn State has shown that it is not going to throw in the towel. It has gone 2-0 ATS in its last two games with a 72-74 home loss to Iowa as an 8-point underdog, and an impressive 71-79 loss at Michigan as a 22-point dog. There's no way this team should be catching this big of a number against the Fighting Illini tonight.

Illinois comes in overvalued due to its current four-game winning streak which includes victories over Indiana, Minnesota, Purdue and Northwestern. With Michigan on deck, this is a big letdown spot for the Illini as they'll simply be overlooking the Nittany Lions. Remember, this is the same Illini team that has ugly losses to Purdue (61-68), Minnesota (67-84), Wisconsin (51-74), Northwestern (54-68) and Michigan (60-74) on its resume. I have no doubt the Nittany Lions can hang tonight.

Illinois is 0-7 ATS in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. As you can see, it tends to let down and not play well following a blowout home win. I look for that to be the case against tonight. Roll with Penn State Thursday.

15* Georgia/Arkansas ESPN 2 No-Brainer on Arkansas -10

The Arkansas Razorbacks (16-9) are making a nice push here of late to stake their claim in an NCAA Tournament bid. They have won four of their last five, including home wins over Tennessee (73-60), Florida (80-69) and Missouri (73-71) to really boost their resume. They realize they need to finish out the season strong to make the Big Dance so they have every reason to be motivated tonight.

Off back-to-back losses to Alabama (45-52) at home and Ole Miss (74-84) on the road, the Georgia Bulldogs have little to play for. They had won five straight prior, but now all of their momentum is gone. I look for them to suffer a hangover effect because of it and to simply just play out their season and look forward to the SEC Tournament. They aren't "in the now" mentally like the Razorbacks are.

Arkansas has been one of the best home teams in the country all season. It is 15-1 at home this year while outscoring opponents by a whopping 17.7 points/game. Georgia is just 3-7 in all road games this season, scoring a mere 59.0 points/game. It won't be able to keep up with a Razorbacks team that is scoring 83.7 points/game at home this year.

The Razorbacks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Arkansas is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 home games. The Razorbacks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. Arkansas is 8-1 ATS in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Take Arkansas Thursday.

15* Suns/Warriors NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Golden State -8

The Golden State Warriors will be highly motivated for a victory tonight to put an end to their 6-game losing streak coming in. I like their chances of putting an end to the skid in blowout fashion considering they'll be hosting the lowly Phoenix Suns tonight.

Five of Golden State's six losses during this streak have come on the road and against some very good competition. It lost to Houston twice, Oklahoma City, Memphis, Dallas and Utah. Now, the Warriors return home where they are 16-7 on the season.

Phoenix is coming off a rare road victory at Portland last night, which sets it up for a big letdown spot here against a Warriors' team that is simply going to want this one more. The Suns are just 6-23 in all road games this season, getting outscored by an average of 8.8 points/game.

Golden State is 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in its last 4 meetings with Phoenix. That includes a 113-93 home victory as a 10.5-point favorite on February 2nd in its lone home meeting with the Suns this season. I look for a similar blowout tonight. The Warriors are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 home meetings with Phoenix overall.

This play falls into a system that is 54-26 (67.5%) ATS since 1996. It tells us to bet on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GOLDEN STATE) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games. Bet the Warriors Wednesday.

15* Kansas/Oky State ESPN 2 Wednesday No-Brainer on Kansas +1

The Kansas Jayhawks are going to be highly motivated for revenge tonight. They lost their only home game of the season to these same Oklahoma State Cowboys by a final of 80-85 on February 2nd. I look for these Kansas players to want this game more than any other game they have played this season because of it.

Oklahoma State is one of the most overrated teams in the country. It has simply been getting all of the breaks in close games of late. Four of its last six wins have come by 5 points or less. It won't be so fortunate tonight.

Bill Self is 16-7 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite as the coach of Kansas. The Jayhawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. The Cowboys are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Roll with Kansas Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Total ANNIHILATOR on Nets/Bucks UNDER 195

This is a classic home-and-home situation as the Brooklyn Nets and Milwaukee Bucks just played last night. Brooklyn won at home 113-111 (OT) in an absolute thriller. Now, they'll head to Milwaukee for the rematch just 24 hours later. These situations favor the defenses, and as a result I look for a low-scoring affair tonight. This will also be the 4th meeting of the season between these teams, and familiarity also favors lower scoring games.

Brooklyn is 15-9 to the UNDER in all road games this season. It is scoring just 92.5 points/game and allowing 94.5 points/game on the road this year, combining with its opponents for an average of 187.0 points/game. That number right there shows that there is some value with this UNDER tonight.

The Nets are 9-1 to the UNDER in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Brooklyn is 10-1 to the UNDER in road games versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The Nets are 9-1 to the UNDER in road games after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Milwaukee is 9-1 to the UNDER after 4 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

The UNDER is 5-0 in Bucks last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. The UNDER is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 games following a S.U. loss. These last six trends combine for a dynamite 46-4 (92%) system backing the UNDER tonight. Roll with the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

20* NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Heat/Hawks UNDER 197.5

The books have set the bar too high tonight in this contest between the Miami Heat and Atlanta Hawks. I look for a low-scoring, defensive battle as this will be the first game for both teams since the All-Star break. Each has had about a week off and both will have extra time to prepare for one another, which favors the defense.

One look at the recent meetings between these teams and it's easy to see that the books have missed their mark tonight. Not counting overtime, each of the last 19 meetings between the Hawks and Heat have seen 197 or less combined points. This makes for a perfect 19-0 system backing the UNDER dating back to 2009 pertaining to tonight's total set. Enough said. Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

15* Missouri Valley GAME OF THE NIGHT on Drake -4

The Drake Bulldogs will roll tonight over the Bradley Braves in Missouri Valley Conference action. Drake wants revenge from a 57-67 loss at Bradley on January 29th in their first meeting of the season. I look for them to get it tonight considering how poorly the Braves have played on the road this year.

Bradley is 3-7 in true road games this season. In fact, it is 0-6 SU & 1-5 ATS in its last 6 road games in MVC play, losing by double-digits each time. Its road losses over this span include Indiana State (53-68), Northern Iowa (53-84), Evansville (56-66), Wichita State (39-73), Creighton (58-75) and Illinois State (59-79).

Drake comes in hungry for a win following four straight losses to tough competition in Illinois State, Evansville, Wichita State and Northern Iowa. It's not like the Bulldogs are playing that bad either as three of the four losses came by single digits. Drake is 7-5 at home this season which includes impressive wins over Evansville (83-69), Creighton (74-69) and Indiana State (74-71).

Drake is 9-1 ATS after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons. It is coming back to win in these spots by an average of 9.0 points/game. The Braves are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. The Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. Bet Drake Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Indiana Pacers -3.5

The Indiana Pacers should be a much heavier home favorite over the New York Knicks tonight. The home team has won both meetings this season with New York proving victorious 88-76 on November 18th, and Indiana winning 81-76 on January 10th. I look for this trend to continue tonight considering how dominant Indiana has been at home this season.

The Pacers are easily one of the best home teams in the league. They are an outstanding 21-5 at home this season and 16-10 ATS in the process. They are outscoring opponents by an average of 8.4 points/game at home this year while limiting them to 88.2 points/game and 40.7 percent shooting.

The Knicks are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall with losses to Washington, LAC and Toronto. The Pacers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Indiana is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Take the Pacers Wednesday.

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Ohio State -5

The Ohio State Buckeyes should be a much bigger home favorite over the Minnesota Golden Gophers tonight. Both teams are struggling of late, but I like Ohio State's chances of snapping out of it better since it is playing at home tonight.

Both teams have lost three of their last four. However, Minnesota's losses have come to Iowa, Illinois and Michigan State, while Ohio State's losses have come against Wisconsin, Indiana and Michigan with two of those on the road. That's why I'm much less worried about the Buckeyes' recent struggles rather than the Gophers. Minnesota really hasn't been playing well for quite some time now as it has lost seven of its last 10 games overall. This team is consistently overvalued.

Ohio State has really dominated this series in recent meetings. It has gone 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in its last five meetings with Minnesota. Four of those wins came by double-digits.

The Buckeyes are 13-2 at home this season where they are outscoring opponents by 18.4 points/game. The Gophers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Buckeyes are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. The favorite is 11-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings. The Buckeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home meetings with the Gophers. Take Ohio State Wednesday.

25* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE YEAR on Portland Trail Blazers -5.5

Few teams needed the All-Star break as much as the Portland Trail Blazers. They lost each of their final five games going into the break, all of which came on the road. A nice long break, and a return home, is just what the doctor ordered to get this team back on track as they host the Phoenix Suns Tuesday night.

Portland is an outstanding 17-8 at home this season. It will be taking on a Phoenix team that has really struggled on the road. The Suns are just 5-23 away from home this season, getting outscored by a whopping 9.3 points/game.

Home-court advantage has been huge in this series between these teams. The home team has won six straight and eight of the last nine meetings. The Blazers have gone 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last four home meetings with the Suns.

This play falls into a system that is 54-24 (69.2%) ATS since 1996. It tells us to bet on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PORTLAND) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games.

Portland is 13-3 ATS after scoring 80 points or less over the last 3 seasons. The Blazers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest. The Suns are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Northwest. Phoenix is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games following a ATS win. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Bet the Blazers Tuesday.

15* NBA Tuesday Night Line Mistake on Golden State Warriors +3.5

The All-Star break came at a perfect time for the Golden State Warriors. This team had one of the best records in the Western Conference before losing its final five games before the break to 'drop' to 30-22 on the season. As a result, this team is undervalued as the second half of the season kicks off Tuesday.

Golden State should not be catching points against a Utah team that comes in overvalued after beating Oklahoma City and Minnesota in its final two games before the break. The Warriors will simply want this one more to erase the sour taste from five straight defeats heading in. Also, they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Utah.

This play falls into a system that is 24-5 (82.8%) ATS since 1996. It tells us to bet on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (GOLDEN STATE) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days.

Golden State is 24-9 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. Better yet, the Warriors are 18-2 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. And finally, Golden State is 10-1 ATS in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. Take the Warriors Tuesday.

15* NBA Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago Bulls -1.5

The Chicago Bulls (30-22) had a very solid first half of the season to put themselves in great position in the Eastern Conference playoff standings. However, after a rough finish heading into the All-Star break, this team is going to be highly motivated to get back on the court and make amends starting with tonight's game against the New Orleans Hornets.

Chicago lost two straight and four of its last five heading into the break. All four of those losses came against playoff contenders in Indiana, Denver, San Antonio and Boston with three of them coming on the road. That finish certainly leaves a bad taste in these players' mouths, and they'll come out more hungry for a win tonight than in any other game all season.

New Orleans come in overvalued after winning four of its final five games heading into the break. Three of those wins came against current non-playoff teams in Phoenix, Detroit and Portland, and the loss came against Toronto. So, while Chicago played a very tough schedule heading into the break, the Hornets' slate could not have been much easier.

Adding fuel to the fire for the Bulls is the fact that they lost to the Hornets 82-89 at home in their first meeting of the season way back on November 3rd. That was clearly a rare loss for Chicago in this series considering it had won its previous eight meetings with New Orleans. It will certainly want revenge from that defeat, and I fully expect it to get it in blowout fashion tonight.

This play falls into a system that is 25-7 (78.1%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on road teams (CHICAGO) - off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 80 points, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days.

Tom Thibodeau is 21-6 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less as the coach of Chicago. The Bulls are 10-1 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game this season. Chicago is 51-25-2 ATS in its last 78 games following a S.U. loss. The Hornets are 6-21-1 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing less than 75 points in their previous game. The road team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Bet the Bulls Tuesday.

15* Indiana/Michigan State ESPN Tuesday No-Brainer on Michigan State -1.5

The Spartans have been absolutely rolling since their 70-75 loss to Indiana on January 27th. They have gone 5-0 SU and 3-1-1 against the spread while beating the likes of Minnesota and Michigan along the way. That includes a dominant 75-52 victory over the Wolverines despite being a 1.5-point underdog in that contest. There

20* WVU/K-State ESPN Big Monday No-Brainer on West Virginia +11

The West Virginia Mountaineers are 6-7 in Big 12 play with an outside chance of making the NCAA Tournament. They realize they need a road win like this against Kansas State to boost their chances of playing in the Big Dance.

West Virginia has been playing its best basketball of the season over the past couple weeks. It has won four of its last five games overall, which includes two double-digit road victories at Texas Tech and TCU. The Mountaineers also have a road win at Texas and a 2-point road loss at Iowa State on their resume this season.

I have no doubt that the Mountaineers want revenge badly after falling 64-65 at home to Kansas State on January 12th in their first meeting of the season. Meanwhile, the Wildcats will have a hard time getting motivated after already beating WVU once. There is a good chance K-State comes out flat after beating Baylor by 20 on Saturday as well.

This play falls into a system that is 133-55 (67.3%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on road underdogs of 10 or more points (W VIRGINIA) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team. Bet West Virginia Monday.

20* CBB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Iowa Hawkeyes -1

The Iowa Hawkeyes are showing their best value of the season Sunday as only a 1-point home favorite over the Minnesota Golden Gophers. This is an Iowa team that is on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament. As a result, it won't be lacking any motivation tonight to get a win.

Also motivating these Hawkeyes is the fact that they lost a heartbreaker at Minnesota 59-62 on February 3rd just three weeks ago in their first meeting of the season. They'll want payback from that defeat and I like their chances of getting it at home.

Iowa has clearly played its best basketball of the season at home this year. It is 12-2 SU & 7-3 ATS in all home games, outscoring opponents by an average of 17.0 points/game. Its only losses have come to Michigan State and Indiana by a combined 7 points, which are two of the top teams in the country. The Hawkeyes are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 home games overall.

Minnesota is not playing well at all right now and it has no business being favored because of it. The Golden Gophers are just 3-6 SU in their last nine games overall with all three wins coming at home. They have lost each of their last four road games.

Iowa is 8-1 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season. Minnesota is 1-12 ATS in road games after game - where they allowed a shooting pct. of 33% or less since 1997. The Hawkeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Iowa is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games following a S.U. win. These four trends combined for a 34-3 (92%) system backing the Hawkeyes. Bet Iowa Sunday.

15* Missouri Valley GAME OF THE DAY on Missouri State +5

The Missouri State Bears remain one of the most underrated teams in college basketball. This team has made me more money than any other team in the country in this season. I will continue to back them Saturday as I believe they are undervalued as a road underdog to lowly Southern Illinois.

The biggest reason Missouri State is undervalued right now is its 8-18 record. The average bettor looks at that record and wants nothing to do with the Bears. Missouri State has quietly gone a sensational 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games overall as a result.

While the Bears are 6-8 SU in Missouri Valley play and in the middle of the pack of the conference, the Southern Illinois Salukis are just 3-11 in the MVC and a bottom feeder. The Salukies have no business being favored in this contest.

Missouri State won the first meeting between these teams this season 70-59 despite being a 5-point home underdog. That win should come as no surprise considering this has been a one-sided series in recent years. Missouri State is a perfect 7-0 SU in its last 7 meetings with Southern Illinois dating back to 2010.

The Bears are 7-0 ATS after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread this season. Missouri State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 road games. The Salukis are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Southern Illinois is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 home games. Take Missouri State Saturday.

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE MONTH on Nebraska +10

The Michigan State Spartans are in a big letdown spot today against the Nebraska Cornhuskers. They are coming off a huge win over in-state rival Michigan at home on Tuesday. It's only human nature for them to not get emotional ready to face a team with a losing record like Nebraska.

Making it even more difficult for the Spartans to get motivated is the fact that they have already beaten the Cornhuskers once this season. Michigan State beat Nebraska 66-56 at home on January 13th as a 17-point favorite. I like the Huskers' chances of staying within double-digits this time around.

Nebraska is 9-6 at home this season with wins over the likes of USC, Northwestern and Penn State. It has also played teams like Wisconsin (41-47) and Ohio State (56-63) close at home. Michigan State is just 5-3 in true road games this season.

The Huskers are 9-2 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game this season. Nebraska is 7-1 ATS off a loss against a conference rival this season. Michigan State is 2-8 ATS after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games this season. The Spartans are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Nebraska is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games following a S.U. loss. The Cornhuskers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games, and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. These three trends combine for a perfect 14-0 system backing the Huskers. Bet Nebraska Saturday.

15* Pac-12 GAME OF THE DAY on Oregon -3

The Oregon Ducks should be a much bigger favorite Saturday over the lowly Washington Cougars. Oregon is a team that would be in the NCAA Tournament if the season were to end today, but it realizes it cannot afford a slip up if it wants to punch its ticket to the Big Dance.

While the Ducks (20-5) have everything to play for, the Cougars (11-14) have almost nothing to play for at this point in the season. Washington State has lost five straight games coming in to drop to 2-10 in Pac-12 play this season. It has no chance of beating one of the top teams in the conference Saturday.

This play falls into a system that is 64-28 (69.6%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against home teams as an underdog or pick (WASHINGTON ST) - revenging a road loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 3 points or less.

Oregon is 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in its last 4 meetings with Washington State, winning all four games by 7 points or more. The Ducks are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games. The Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games. Washington State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Bet Oregon Saturday.

15* SEC GAME OF THE DAY on Arkansas +1

The Arkansas Razorbacks should not be an underdog at home Saturday to the Missouri Tigers. We all saw what this team was capable of at home when it beat then-No. 2 Florida 80-69 on February 5th less than two weeks ago.

Arkansas is a stellar 14-1 at home this season where it is scoring 84.4 points/game and allowing 65.7 points/game. It is outscoring its opponents by a whopping 18.7 points/game at home this year. This team clearly feeds off of its home crowd.

Missouri hasn't traveled very well at all this year. It is a woeful 1-5 in true road games this season with its only win coming against lowly Mississippi State, which is the bottom feeder of the SEC.

Arkansas is 6-0 ATS in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games over the last 3 seasons. The Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Missouri is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Razorbacks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Roll with Arkansas Saturday.

15* Big 12 GAME OF THE DAY on Oklahoma +9

The Oklahoma Sooners are showing some of their best value of the season as a 9-point road underdog to the rival Oklahoma State Cowboys Saturday. This is a game that the Sooners really need if they want to make the NCAA Tournament.

Oklahoma a bubble team right now, while the Cowboys would be in the Big Dance if the season were to end today. That's why I do not believe the motivational factor will be on Oklahoma State's side despite the fact that Oklahoma won the first meeting of the season between these teams.

The Sooners won the first meeting convincingly at home by a final of 77-68 as only a 2-point favorite. Oklahoma State should be no more than a 2-4 point home favorite in the rematch in my opinion. The Cowboys are simply overvalued right now due to their six-game winning streak coming in, which includes three wins by a combined 9 points.

Oklahoma is 18-8 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 3 seasons. Meanwhile, the Cowboys are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Sooners are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in this series. Take Oklahoma Saturday.

20* Georgetown/Cincinnati ESPN Friday No-Brainer on Georgetown +4

The Georgetown Hoyas have been one of the most underrated teams in the country all season. That has been evident by their 11-7 record against the spread in all lined games this year. They are finally starting to get some recognition with a Top 25 ranking.

Georgetown comes in playing its best basketball of the season. It is a perfect 6-0 SU & 6-0 against the spread in its last six games overall. That includes road wins of then-No. 24 Note Dame (63-47) and Rutgers (69-63), as well as home wins over then-No. 5 Louisville (53-51) and then-No. 18 Marquette (63-55).

A big reason for the Hoyas

15* Pac-12 GAME OF THE NIGHT on Colorado +2.5

The Colorado Buffaloes (16-7) need this win over Arizona (20-3) to boost their NCAA Tournament resume. They'll be highly motivated for that reason tonight, and also to get revenge on these Wildcats, who stole one from them in the first meeting of the season.

Colorado still insists it was wronged in last month's loss to Arizona, and the time for revenge is here. These teams opened conference play in Tucson on Jan. 3, and Colorado led by 16 with 12:40 left in regulation of a 92-83 overtime loss.

Arizona used a 10-2 run over the final 1:35 of the second half to draw even, but the game will be remembered for Sabatino Chen's 3-pointer that banked in as regulation expired and seemingly gave the Buffaloes the victory.

The officials reviewed the play and determined that the ball was still on Chen's fingertips when the lights around the backboard went on. Colorado disagreed at the time, and nothing has changed its opinion.

The Buffaloes suffered a hangover from that defeat, dropping four of their first five games in Pac-12 play. However, they have responded by playing their best basketball of the season over the past few weeks, going 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

Arizona lost at home to California 69-77 on Sunday as a 12.5-point underdog. It has been overvalued over the past few months due to its fast start, and that has been evident considering that the Wildcats are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall. This team is not as good as its record, and it should not be favored tonight.

Colorado has taken care of business on its home court this season. It is 9-1 at home this year, outscoring opponents by a whopping 15.3 points/game. Its only loss came by a mere 3 points to UCLA (75-78) on January 12th. The Buffaloes have double-digit home victories over both Stanford (75-54) and California (81-71) in Pac-12 play.

The Buffaloes are 7-0 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game this season. Colorado is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The Wildcats are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Arizona is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 Thursday games. These four trends combine for a 23-1 system backing the Buffaloes. Roll with Colorado Thursday.

15* Atlantic 10 GAME OF THE NIGHT on UMass +12.5

The UMass Minutemen should not be catching double-digit points to Virginia Commonwealth tonight. I'll gladly take advantage and back UMass showing arguably their best value of the season. This is a game they are looking at as a great chance to boost their NCAA Tournament resume.

The Minutemen come in playing their best basketball of the season. They are 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall with their only loss coming by a single point on the road to Charlotte.

UMass has beaten quality opponents in Richmond, La Salle and St. Josephs during this stretch. Dating back further, it is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games overall with all three losses coming by 8 points or less.

VCU has been overvalued over the past month and that is the case again tonight. It is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games overall winning just twice by double-digits during this span. Those wins came against lowly Duquesne and Fordham.

This team is not nearly as good as it is getting credit for. It lost at Richmond (74-86) and at home against La Salle (61-69) towards the end of January, which are two teams that UMass has beaten.

Common opponents are a great way to compare teams, and there's no question that the Minutmen are the better squad when we do that. UMass is 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS against opponents that VCU has also faced, outscoring them by an average of 9.7 points/game. VCU is 5-2 SU & 1-6 ATS against those same opponents, only outscoring them by 6.0 points/game.

The Rams are 7-20 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons. UMass is 32-15 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points since 1997.

The Minutemen are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. UMass is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games overall. The Rams are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. VCU is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. These four trends combine for a perfect 19-0 system backing the Minutemen. Take UMass Thursday.

20* Heat/Thunder TNT Thursday No-Brainer on Oklahoma City -4

The Oklahoma City Thunder certainly want revenge on the Heat. They have lost five straight meetings in this series since taking a 2-1 lead in the NBA Finals last June. Four of those five losses came on the road. They clearly won

15* ACC GAME OF THE NIGHT on Georgia Tech -2.5

The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are showing solid value as only a 2.5-point home favorite over the Clemson Tigers. I believe Georgia Tech is the better team, and that will certainly show at home tonight.

The Yellow Jackets are playing their best basketball of the season of late. They have gone 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall with home wins over Wake Forest (82-62), Virginia (66-60), and a road victory at Virginia Tech (64-54).

Georgia Tech's two losses in their last five games came by a combined five points. One of those losses was at Clemson (60-63) on January 29th just two weeks ago, which clearly puts the Yellow Jackets in revenge mode.

Georgia Tech is 10-3 at home this season where it is outscoring opponents by 12.2 points/game. Clemson has lost three straight games coming in, and it is 0-5 on the road in conference play this season with all five losses coming by 3 points or more.

The Yellow Jackets are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Georgia Tech is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 vs. ACC foes. Clemson is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 ACC contests. Bet Georgia Tech Thursday.

15* Oregon/Washington Late-Night BAILOUT on Washington -2

The Washington Huskies will be highly motivated for a victory tonight against the Oregon Ducks. I look for them to roll to a blowout home victory Wednesday because of it.

Washington has lost two straight and six of its last seven coming in with five of those losses coming by single-digits. That includes a 76-81 loss at Oregon on January 26th, which has the Huskies motivated for revenge.

Oregon is ripe for the picking right now as it has lost three of its last four with its only victory coming at home over lowly Utah 73-64 as a 13-point favorite. It lost at Stanford 52-76, at Cal 54-58 and home vs. Colorado 47-48.

A big reason for Oregon's recent struggles is the fact that it has been without one of its best players in Dominic Artis (10.2 PPG, 3.8 APG). He has missed the last five games with a foot injury and is expected to miss Wednesday's contest as well.

Home-court advantage has been absolutely huge in this series between Washington and Oregon over the last few years. The home team has gone a perfect 7-0 SU in the last 7 meetings dating back to 2011, winning each time by 4 points or more.

The Ducks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Oregon is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Washington is 6-0 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season. These last five trends combine for a perfect 28-0 system backing the Huskies. Bet Washington Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Portland Trail Blazers +5.5

The Portland Trail Blazers are showing some of their best value of the season as a road underdog to the lowly New Orleans Hornets tonight. After falling to 25-27 on the season with four straight road losses coming in, the Blazers will certainly be motivated for a victory tonight.

Portland cannot afford to lose any more ground on the 8th and final playoff spot in the West. This is its chance to go into the All-Star break on a high note, and I look for it to be giving 110% effort to try and get this victory tonight.

New Orleans (18-34) has no business being favored here. It is getting too much respect for its win at Detroit last time out. It is just 8-15 SU & 10-13 ATS in all home games this season.

Portland simply owns New Orleans in this head-to-head series. It has won five straight meetings with the Hornets dating back to last season. The Blazers have averaged 102.5 points in their last five games and should be able to find open looks against New Orleans, which has allowed 101.9 points per game over its last 13.

This play falls into a system that is 26-7 (78.8%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against home teams (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, off a road win by 10 points or more.

New Orleans is 2-16 ATS in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons. The Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. The Blazers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Roll with Portland Wednesday.

20* SEC GAME OF THE MONTH on Vanderbilt -1

The Vanderbilt Commodores are showing solid value as only a 1-point home favorite over the Tennessee Volunteers Wednesday night. This is an in-state rivalry that is always played closer to the vest.

That's why I have no doubt Vanderbilt is going to be laying it all on the line to get a win in this one. The Commodores lost a heartbreaker to the Vols in their first meeting this season, dropping a 57-58 decision at Tennessee on January 29th as an 8.5-point dog.

Tennessee is one of the most overrated teams in the country. It is just 1-6 in true road games this season. Home-court advantage has certainly been huge in this series recently. The home team has won three straight and five of the last six meetings. The home team is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings.

Vanderbilt is 6-0 ATS versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making <=31% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. It is winning in this spot by an average of 14.9 points/game. The Commodores are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Bet Vanderbilt Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Brooklyn Nets -1.5

The Denver Nuggets are in as tough of a spot tonight as you will find in the NBA. They will be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 4th game in 5 days after losing in Toronto last night.

The Nuggets are clearly fatigued, and making matters worse for them is their injury problems. Both Andre Iguodala and Danilo Gallinari sat out last night, and each is questionable to return tonight. Also, Javale McGee is doubtful, while Wilson Chandler is questionable. These are four key contributors for Denver.

Deron Williams is expected to miss tonight's game for Brooklyn, but it proved it could win without him on Monday as it went into Indiana and came away with an 89-84 victory. Williams has been hobbled all season and he really hasn't been himself anyway.

The Nuggets are just 11-17 on the road this season. The Nets are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Denver is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 vs. NBA Atlantic Division foes. The home team has won four straight and six of the last seven meetings in this series. Take the Nets Wednesday.

25* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE YEAR on Indiana Pacers -10

The Indiana Pacers will have no problem getting motivated to face the lowly Charlotte Bobcats tonight. This will be the final game for Indiana before the All-Star break, and it certainly wants to end on a positive note after what has transpired in the last few games.

Indiana has lost its last two games in heartbreaking fashion to both Toronto and Brooklyn. Both losses came in overtime after the Pacers seemingly had the game won in the final seconds of regulation. Motivated to bounce back from those two defeats, I have no doubt the Pacers will roll tonight.

Indiana is 20-5 at home this season where it is outscoring opponents by 7.7 points/game. Charlotte is just 5-20 on the road this season, getting outscored by a whopping 11.7 points/game.

The Pacers beat the Bobcats in their previous meeting 103-76 on the road on January 15th. In fact, this has been a very one-sided series over the past few years. Indiana has won 11 of the last 12 meetings in this series with five of its last six victories coming by 14 points or more.

The Bobcats are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win. Charlotte is 13-36-2 ATS in their last 51 games following a ATS win. The Bobcats are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 Wednesday games. The Pacers are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games following a S.U. loss. Bet the Pacers Wednesday.

15* Big Ten GAME OF THE NIGHT on Nebraska +24

The Nebraska Cornhuskers are simply catching way too many points against the Indiana Hoosiers tonight. I believe Nebraska is one of the most underrated teams in the country, and it will be a profit maker from here on out.

While Nebraska is just 3-8 SU in Big Ten play, it is a very profitable 7-4 ATS in those 11 contests. It has not been prone to the blowout, either. It has not lost any of its last 10 Big Ten games by more than 19 points. It is 3-1 ATS in its last three games overall, which includes blowout victories over Northwestern (64-49) and Penn State (67-53).

Indiana remains the No. 1 team in the country, which means it has a big target on its back. Off a huge 81-68 win at Ohio State on Sunday, the Hoosiers are certainly in a letdown spot tonight as they return home to face Nebraska. They won't be motivated enough to win this game by 24-plus point.

This play falls into a system that is 72-36 (66.7%) ATS since 1997. It tells us to bet on home favorites of 20 or more points (INDIANA) - red hot shooting team - 3 straight games making >=50% of their shots.

This play falls into another system that is 74-35 (67.9%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against home favorites of 20 or more points (INDIANA) - hot team - having won 12 or more of their last 15 games.

Indiana is 0-6 ATS after a game being called for 10+ less fouls than opponent over the last 2 seasons. The Hoosiers are 8-19 ATS off a road win by 10 points or more since 1997. Indiana is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 home games. Take Nebraska Wednesday.

15* Big East GAME OF THE NIGHT on DePaul +11.5

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are in a huge letdown spot tonight. They're coming off a 5 Overtime thriller Saturday, outlasting Louisville 104-101. Off such a huge win over a Top 10 team, the Irish will have a very hard time showing up tonight against DePaul.

The Irish will also find it hard to show up for this game considering they just beat DePaul on the road 79-71 (OT) on February 2nd less than two weeks ago. They clearly won't bring the kind of effort it takes to put away the Blue Demons by double-digits.

Conversely, DePaul comes in highly motivated to avenge that overtime loss to rival Notre Dame. It also is hungry for a victory following eight straight losses in Big East play, five of which have come by 11 points or less. The Blue Demons will have no problem getting up to face the rival Irish tonight.

This has been a very closely-contested rivalry throughout the years. 10 of the last 12 meetings in this series have been decided by 11 points or less, including six of the last seven being decided by 10 points or fewer.

This play falls into a system that is 25-6 (80.6%) ATS since 1997. It tells us to bet on road underdogs of 10 or more points (DEPAUL) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG), after allowing 75 points or more 5 straight games.

DePaul is 11-3 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Notre Dame is 15-29 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. The road team is a perfect 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings dating back to 2008. Roll with DePaul Wednesday.

20* Rockets/Warriors NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Golden State -5

The Golden State Warriors will be more motivated for a win tonight than they have been at any other point this season. As a result, I look for them to roll to a blowout home victory over the Houston Rockets Tuesday.

Golden State has lost four straight coming in, all of which have come on the road against Western Conference playoff contenders Houston, Oklahoma City, Memphis and Dallas. Now, it returns home where it is 16-6 on the season.

The Warriors want some serious payback against the Rockets in this one. They were beaten handily in Houston 109-140 on February 5th just a week ago today. The Rockets made an NBA record-tying 23 three-pointers in the win. That's clearly not going to happen again.

Houston is 0-8 ATS in road games after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games this season. It is losing in this spot 93.1 to 105.4, or by an average of 12.3 points/game. Golden State is 42-24 ATS in home games revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more since 1996.

The home team has won five straight and eight of the last nine meetings in this series. The favorite is 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings. The home team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Bet the Warriors Tuesday.

15* Blazers/Heat NBA Tuesday No-Brainer on Portland +11.5

The Portland Trail Blazers are showing solid value as a double-digit road underdog to the Miami Heat Tuesday. Portland comes in highly motivated for a win after dropping three straight road games at Dallas, Houston and Orlando heading in.

The Blazers were clearly overlooking the Magic and looking ahead to this game with the defending champion Heat, which is only human nature. I look for them to come out with one of their best efforts of the season to try and get a win to get back to .500 on the season.

Miami is coming off a huge win over the Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday. It also has a game against defending Western Conference champion Oklahoma City on deck Thursday on TNT. The Heat will clearly be overlooking the Blazers and looking ahead to that showdown with the Thunder.

This play falls into a system that is 41-18 (69.5%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against favorites of 10 or more points (MIAMI) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days.

Miami is 0-9 ATS after 2 straight games where they had 10 or more steals over the last 2 seasons. It is actually losing in this spot 93.2 to 100.3, or by an average of 7.1 points/game. It is clearly overvalued here tonight. Take the Blazers Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Virginia Tech +15

The Virginia Tech Hokies are showing some of their best value of the season as a huge road underdog to rival Virginia tonight. I look for this game to go right down to the wire and for the Hokies to easily stay within this inflated number.

Virginia is in a big letdown spot here. It is coming off an 80-69 road win at Maryland on Sunday, and it also has road games against UNC and Miami on deck. That makes this a look-ahead spot for the Cavaliers. Also, they will only be playing on one days' rest, so this is a tired team right now.

Another reason Virginia will have a hard time getting motivated to play tonight is the fact that it already won at Virginia Tech 74-58 on January 24th in their first meeting of the season. That game was much closer than the final score would indicate as the Cavaliers simply pulled away late.

Virginia Tech clearly wants revenge from that defeat, and it has shown that it can hang on the road this season. The Hokies won at Georgia Tech 70-65 as a 10-point underdog, played Clemson to a 70-77 game as an 11.5-point dog, and took North Carolina to overtime as a 16.5-point dog.

The Hokies are 8-0 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. They are only losing in this spot 58.6 to 61.6, or by an average of 3.0 points/game. Virginia Tech is 10-2 ATS as a road underdog or pick over the last 2 seasons. Roll with Virginia Tech Tuesday.

15* K-State/Kansas ESPN Monday No-Brainer on Kansas -7.5

You can bet your bottom dollar that the Kansas Jayhawks will be laying it all on the line tonight to get a win over the rival Kansas State Wildcats. I believe that max effort will be more than good enough to cover this generous 7.5-point spread.

Kansas has lost three straight games coming in for the first time since 2005. The fifth-ranked Jayhawks are looking to prevent the program's first four-game skid since an eight-game slide in 1989, which was also the last time they dropped back-to-back home games. History is certainly on our side tonight folks.

The Jayhawks also trail Kansas State by one game for first place in the Big 12, giving them even more reason to be motivated tonight. They beat the Wildcats 59-55 on the road in their first meeting this season.

Kansas has simply owned Kansas State throughout the years. It is 23-7 ATS in its last 30 meetings with the Wildcats. Recent home meetings have been absolute blowouts as well. Kansas is 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in its last six home meetings with Kansas State dating back to 2007, winning all six contests by 14 points or more.

This play falls into a system that is 25-4 (86.2%) ATS since 1997. It tells us to bet against any team (KANSAS ST) - revenging a loss where team scored less than 60 points against opponent off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a road favorite. Take Kansas Monday.

15* NBA Monday Night ANNIHILATOR on Dallas Mavericks -4.5

The Dallas Mavericks are undervalued right now due to their 22-28 record. This is arguably the best team in the league that has a losing record. Dirk Nowitzki is back and healthy, and there's no question these Mavs will make a run at the playoffs before it's all said and done.

In fact, many Dallas players have made a pact to not shave their beards until they get back to .500 on the season. They have won two straight over Western Conference playoff contenders Portland (105-99) and Golden State (116-91), and now I look for them to make easy work of Atlanta tonight.

The biggest way to tell that the Mavs are undervalued right now is by looking at their recent ATS run. They are an incredible 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games overall while cashing 85% of the time. Somehow, some way the betting public has not caught on to the fact that this team is undervalued.

Atlanta is not playing well right now. It has lost three of its last four all by double-digits. The Hawks were beaten by Chicago (76-93) and New Orleans (100-111) at home while also falling at Indiana (103-114). This is a team that has been in a rut ever since losing Louis Williams (14.1 PPG) for the season.

The Hawks are 0-8 ATS when playing with 2 days rest this season. Atlanta is 1-11 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season. Both teams come in well-rested, but it clearly hasn't been doing the Hawks any good this year. The Mavericks are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 1 days rest. Roll with the Mavericks Monday.

15* NBA Monday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Clippers -5

The Los Angeles Clippers are undervalued right now due to a recent stretch that has been their worst basketball of the season. They have lost eight of their last 12 games overall while going 4-8 ATS in the process.

However, a big reason for their struggles was a long list of injuries to their star players. Well, Chris Paul, Blake Griffin, Chauncey Billups and Jamal Crawford have all recently returned to the line-up. It paid off big with a dominant 102-88 win at New York on Sunday.

Philadelphia is no match for Los Angeles, especially with the injuries it is dealing with right now. Andrew Bynum and Jason Richardson remain out, but the biggest loss is Thaddeus Young, who is out indefinitely with a hamstring injury.

Young is one of the most underrated players in the league as he is 2nd on the 76ers in scoring (14.9 PPG), 1st in rebounding (7.4 RPG) and 1st in steals (1.6 SPG). He is also the only Philadelphia player shooting better than 48% (52.2) from the field.

The 76ers are clearly missing Young as they have been atrocious offensively without him. They have scored 78.0 points per game while shooting 7 for 44 from 3-point range in their last three contests.

Philadelphia is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 vs. Western Conference opponents. The 76ers are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Clippers are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Los Angeles is 16-6 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Take the Clippers Monday.

20* NBA Monday Total DOMINATOR on Celtics/Bobcats UNDER 193

The books have set the bar too high tonight in this contest between the Boston Celtics and Charlotte Bobcats. I look for a low-scoring, defensive battle in this one folks.

Boston won't have much left in the tank after playing a triple-overtime thriller Sunday against Denver. I believe that will affect its offense a lot more than its defense. The Celtics simply won't have their legs under them, which makes it very tough to knock down jump shots.

A look at the recent meetings between these teams and it's easy to see that this number has been inflated. Eight of the last nine meetings between the Bobcats and Celtics have seen 193 or less combined points. They have averaged a combined 179.9 points/game in those nine contests, which is roughly 13 points less than tonight's posted total.

Boston is 24-10 to the UNDER in road games when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons. The Celtics are 16-4 to the UNDER in road games after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons. The UNDER is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. The UNDER is 6-1 in Bobcats last 7 overall. Bet the UNDER in this game Monday.

15* Marquette/Georgetown Big East Line Mistake on Georgetown -4.5

The Georgetown Hoyas are one of the most underrated teams in the country. They are off to a 17-4 start this season while making backers a ton of money along the way, especially of late. Georgetown is 7-1 SU & 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games overall.

I believe Marquette is one of the most overrated teams in the land and it will be exposed tonight. The Golden Eagles have benefited from several close victories this season, but they will be exposed tonight by a better Hoyas team.

Georgetown wants revenge from a 48-49 road loss at Marquette in the first meeting of the season between these teams. Playing at home this time around, where the Hoyas are 12-1 and outscoring opponents by 9.8 points/game, I look for them to get payback in blowout fashion tonight.

This play falls into a system that is 73-35 (67.6%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GEORGETOWN) - revenging a road loss vs opponent against opponent off a home win scoring 85 or more points.

Marquette is just 2-4 in true road games this season. The home team has won four straight meetings in this series. The Hoyas are 8-2 ATS against Big East opponents this season. Bet Georgetown Monday.

15* Washington/USC Pac-12 BAILOUT on Washington +2.5

The Washington Huskies should not be an underdog to the USC Trojans tonight. After losing three of their last four games to arguably the three best teams in the Pac-12 in Oregon, Arizona and UCLA by a combined 11 points, the Huskies will come back highly motivated for a victory tonight.

Two of those losses came on the road at Oregon (76-81) and at UCLA (57-59), so this team has proven it can play with anyone in the conference anywhere. USC is one of the worst teams in the Pac-12, and it is simply getting too much respect from oddsmakers here.

The Trojans (10-13) have been winning their close games of late, proving victorious in three of their last five games overall with those three wins coming by a combined 9 points. Their luck runs out tonight against a much superior Washington team that is clearly better than its 13-10 record would indicate.

The Huskies absolutely crushed USC in both meetings last season, and I look for that to be the case again tonight. Washington won 69-41 at home as an 11-point favorite on February 4th, and 80-58 on the road on March 1st. The Trojans will be overmatched in this one as well.

This play falls into a system that is 74-38 (66.1%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WASHINGTON) - after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team.

Washington is 6-0 ATS after a close loss by 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons. The Huskies are 6-0 ATS after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Washington is 7-0 ATS after playing a road game this season. The Trojans are 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick over the last 2 seasons. These four trends combined for a perfect 26-0 system backing the Huskies. Take Washington Sunday.

15* CBB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Oregon State PK

The Oregon State Beavers get the nod Sunday at a pick 'em over the Colorado Buffaloes. I believe the Beavers are not getting the respect they deserve from oddsmakers tonight, which has been the case over the past few weeks, actually.

That's evident by the fact that Oregon State is a superb 7-1 ATS in its last eight games overall, consistently being overlooked by oddsmakers. All of their losses have come by 10 points or less during this stretch, and this team is clearly better than its record 12-11 would indicate.

Colorado has been a great home team this season, but it has been a different story on the road. The Buffaloes are just 3-6 in true road games this season with losses at Wyoming, Kansas, Arizona, Arizona State, Washington and Utah. Off a big 48-47 win at Oregon on Thursday, Colorado is in a huge letdown spot tonight.

The home team is a perfect 6-0 SU in the last six meetings between these teams dating back to 2003. The home team won in blowout fashion in both meetings last season with Oregon State winning 83-69 on March 3rd, and Colorado winning 82-60 on February 2nd. Bet Oregon State Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Phoenix Suns +9

The Phoenix Suns are showing solid value as a big home underdog to the Oklahoma City Thunder. The betting public is not going to want to back the Suns after they got throttled 96-127 at Oklahoma City on Friday.

However, I'll gladly take advantage and back Phoenix at a great price in the rematch of this home-and-home situation. The Suns want revenge after getting embarrassed, while the Thunder will have a hard time getting motivated to play a team they just beat by 31 two nights ago.

Also, Oklahoma City shot out of their mind in Friday's game against the Suns. It shot 57.5% from the field and 14-of-21 (66.7%) from 3-point range. That's not going to happen again, and Phoenix will easily stay within this number, possibly pulling off the upset.

This play falls into a system that is 48-21 (69.6%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on road teams (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, on Sunday games.

The Suns are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. The Thunder are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. Take Phoenix Sunday.

20* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on New Orleans Hornets +4.5

The New Orleans Hornets are showing excellent value as an underdog to the Toronto Raptors Sunday night. The Hornets come in playing great basketball having won each of their last two. They won 93-84 at home over Phoenix before going on the road and knocking off Atlanta 111-100 on Friday.

Toronto has lost 10 of its last 14 games overall and it has no business being favored here. That's especially the case considering the Raptors are in a huge letdown spot after their 100-98 (OT) road win at Indiana on Friday. They will have a hard time getting up for New Orleans after such a big victory.

The Hornets come in with revenge in mind having lost three straight to the Raptors, including a 97-104 (OT) home loss in their first meeting of the season on December 28th. They did not have leading scorer Eric Gordon (17.0 PPG) in that contest, but he is back and healthy and making a huge difference for this team.

New Orleans is 40-21 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. The Hornets are 10-1 ATS in road games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. Better yet, New Orleans is 11-1 ATS in road games off an upset win as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons. Bet the Hornets Sunday.

15* Indiana/Ohio State CBS Early ANNIHILATOR on Ohio State -1.5

The Ohio State Buckeyes should be a much heavier home favorite Sunday over the Indiana Hoosiers. They'll return home highly motivated after a tough 74-76 (OT) road loss at No. 3 Michigan on Tuesday.

Now, the Buckeyes take on No. 1 Indiana, which fell at Illinois 72-74 on Thursday. That means Ohio State will have had two extra days to prepare for the Hoosiers, which is a huge advantage.

While the Hoosiers have been shaky on the road at times this year, Ohio State has been rock-solid at home. The Buckeyes are 12-1 at home this season, outscoring opponents by a whopping 21.5 points/game.

Ohio State is 7-1 SU & 7-1 ATS in its last eight meetings with Indiana. In fact, it is 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings in this series. The Buckeyes are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four home meetings with the Hoosiers dating back to 2009.

The Buckeyes are 10-0 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons. They are winning in this spot by a ridiculous 25.6 points/game. Roll with Ohio State Sunday.

15* Louisville/Notre Dame ESPN Saturday Night BAILOUT on UNDER 128

The books have set the bar too high tonight in this contest between Louisville and Notre Dame. I fully anticipate a low-scoring, defensive battle in this one. Both teams will struggle to reach 60 points, and the first to it surely wins.

The UNDER is 4-0 in Louisville's last 5 games overall. It has combined with its last four opponents for 125 points or less in each game, including an average of 116.5 points/game.

Remarkably, six of the last 10 meetings between Louisville and Notre Dame have gone to overtime. I think that's a big reason why this total is inflated, and the chances of them going to OT again are slim to none.

A look at both meetings last season and it's easy to see that there is a lot of value with the UNDER tonight. Notre Dame won the first meeting 67-65 (OT) in a game that was tied 50-50 at the end of regulation for 100 combined points. Louisville won the second 64-50 for 114 combined points.

Notre Dame is 11-1 to the UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. We're seeing an average combined score of 114.0 points/game in this spot.

Louisville is 16-1 to the UNDER versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. The Cardinals are 6-0 to the UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making >=48% of their shots after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. These three trends combine for a 33-2 (94%) system backing the UNDER. Take the UNDER in this game Saturday.

20* NBA Saturday Total ANNIHILATOR on Bobcats/76ers UNDER 189

I look for the Charlotte Bobcats and Philadelphia 76ers to take part in a defensive battle tonight. The way Philadelphia is going right now, this game won't come close to touching the 189-point total.

The UNDER is 4-0 in Philadelphia's last 4 games overall. It has combined with its last four opponents to score 176, 169, 149 and 157 combined points, respectively. It is combining with its opponents to average 162.8 points/game during this span.

Charlotte has been far from an offensive juggernaut itself, scoring 95 or fewer points in six straight games and 13 of its last 15 overall. It is averaging a mere 92.4 points/game on the road this season.

Considering Philly is only allowing 94.8 points/game at home this season, points are going to be very hard to come by for the Bobcats. Don't expect the 76ers to put up a big number either considering they are averaging just 92.5 points/game on the season.

Philadelphia is 9-1 to the UNDER 9-1 UNDER in home games versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. We're seeing an average of 178.2 points/game in this situation. Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

15* Missouri Valley GAME OF THE DAY on Missouri State +16.5

The Missouri State Bears are one of the most underrated teams in the country. I have been riding them with a ton of success in Missouri Valley play, and I'm going to continue riding this money-maker Saturday night.

Missouri State is an insane 11-1 ATS in conference play this season despite being just 5-7. The biggest reason this team is underrated is because bettors overlook them due to their 7-17 record on the season. However, this team is much better than its record would indicate, and that has been proven by its incredible ATS mark in MVC action.

Wichita State is simply not as good as it is cracked up to be. The Shockers have been stunned in each of their last three games, going 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS with losses to Indiana State, Northern Iowa and Southern Illinois.

The Bears also enter this game with revenge in mind following their 52-62 home loss to Wichita State as an 11-point underdog on January 23rd. Missouri State has not lost to Wichita State by more than 15 points in any of their last 17 meetings dating back to 2006. That makes for a perfect 17-0 system backing the Bears pertaining to tonight's spread of 16.5. Roll with Missouri State Saturday.

15* Atlantic 10 GAME OF THE DAY on UMass -3

The UMass Minutemen should be a much bigger home favorite over the St. Joseph's Hawks Saturday. I'll gladly take advantage and back them in what I believe is going to be a blowout victory for the home team in this one.

UMass is looking to boost its resume after a 15-6 start to the season. It cannot afford to lose this game if it wants to make the Big Dance, and it certainly knows it. At 13-8 on the season, the Hawks are basically just waiting for the Atlantic 10 Tournament to roll around as that is their only chance of getting in.

The home team is a perfect 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings in this series since 2010 with all five wins coming by 3 points or more, and four by 8 points or more. In both meetings last season, the home team rolled to 9 and 11-point victories.

The Minutemen are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. UMass is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games as a home favorite of 6 points or less. The Hawks are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Bet UMass Friday.

25* Big 12 GAME OF THE YEAR on Kansas -3

The Kansas Jayhawks are going to be more motivated for a win Saturday than they have been all season. That's because they are coming off back-to-back losses with a home setback to Oklahoma State, and an embarrassing road defeat at TCU.

You can bet your bottom dollar that the Jayhawks will be playing angry and with a chip on their shoulder Saturday as they travel to face the Oklahoma Sooners. The Sooners are not playing well themselves, losing two straight and four of six coming in.

I look for Oklahoma to be overmatched once again in this one, just as it was the first time these teams got together on January 26th. Kansas rolled to a 67-54 home victory as a 12.5-point favorite in a game that wasn't even as close as the final score would indicate.

Kansas has won 10 straight meetings with Oklahoma dating back to 2006. Each of its last eight wins in this series have come by 9 points or more, including seven by 11 or more. This has been a one-sided series to say the least, and it will continue to be that way Saturday. Bet Kansas Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Vanderbilt +1.5

The Arkansas Razorbacks are in a huge letdown spot Saturday. I don't even expect them to show up at Vanderbilt after knocking off No. 2 Florida at home on Tuesay by a final of 80-69. They simply did everything right to win that game.

It's human nature for a team like Arkansas to have a letdown following such a big win. I look for the Razorbacks to continue to struggle on the road in this one. They are 0-5 in true road games this season, getting outscored by 13.4 points/game.

Off three straight losses by a combined six points, including two by exactly one point, the Commodores are clearly motivated for a victory Saturday. This team is the definition of a squad that is better than its record. I look for Vanderbilt to come out and prove that with a blowout home win over the Razorbacks here.

Arkansas is 0-7 ATS in road games off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. It is getting outscored by 14.7 points/game in this situation. The Razorbacks are 9-25 ATS in their last 34 games following a S.U. win. Arkansas is 18-45 ATS in its last 63 road games. Roll with Vanderbilt Saturday.

15* SEC GAME OF THE DAY on Missouri -6.5

The Missouri Tigers will be looking to bounce back from a tough 68-70 loss at Texas A&M on Thursday. While they have struggled on the road all season, it has been a completely different story at home.

Missouri is a perfect 13-0 at home this season where it is outscoring opponents by a whopping 20.0 points/game. It is 5-0 at home in SEC play with four of its five wins coming by 14 points or more.

Ole Miss is one of the most overrated teams in the country. That has shown in recent games as it has lost two of its last three once it took a step up in competition. The Rebels fell at home vs. Kentucky 74-87 on January 29th before going on the road and losing at Florida 64-78 on February 2nd.

This play falls into a system that is 26-6 (81.2%) ATS since 1997. It tells us to bet against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OLE MISS) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG, after allowing 75 points or more 3 straight games.

Missouri is 9-1 ATS in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game after 15+ games since 1997. Take Missouri Saturday.

15* Bulls/Jazz ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on Chicago +4

The Chicago Bulls are one of the most resilient teams in the league thanks in large part to the motivation their players receive from the most underrated head coach in the game in Tom Thibodeau. Off back-to-back blowout loss at Indiana and Denver, I look for them to respond in a big way tonight.

The Bulls have been one of the best road teams in the league this season. They are 14-9 away from home this year with road wins over the likes of Mami, New York, Boston and Atlanta in 2013 alone.

Chicago has had Utah

15* NBA Friday Total ANNIHILATOR on Blazers/Rockets OVER 211

The Portland Trail Blazers and Houston Rockets will take part in a shootout tonight. Houston plays at a faster pace than any other team in the league, and it will control the tempo tonight playing at home.

Houston is scoring 110.0 points/game and allowing 103.5 points/game at home this season, combining with their opponents for 213.5 points/game. As you can see, that number is above tonight's posted total, giving us value to pull the trigger on the OVER.

The Rockets are hitting on all cylinders right now offensively. They have scored 108 or more points in six straight games, averaging a whopping 118.5 points/game in those six contests.

These teams last met on November 16th in an absolute shootout. Portland beat Houston 119-117 at home in overtime in a game that saw 236 combined points. It was tied 111-111 at the end of regulation for 222 combined points, so overtime was not needed to get the OVER.

The OVER is 4-1 in Blazers last 5 games overall. The OVER is 4-1 in Blazers last 5 vs. Western Conference opponents. The OVER is 8-3 in Rockets last 11 home games. The OVER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Houston. Roll with the OVER in this game Friday.

15* Clippers/Heat ESPN Friday No-Brainer on UNDER 195

The Los Angeles Clippers and Miami Heat are set to square off on National TV Friday night in what could easily be an NBA Finals preview. I look for defense to reign supreme tonight as both teams get after it on that end of the floor.

The Clippers are really struggling offensively of late because they have no chemistry right now due to injuries to Chris Paul, Blake Griffin and Jamal Crawford. They have scored less than 100 points in 10 of their last 12 games overall. Los Angeles is averaging just 88.3 points/game in its last four contests.

Miami is coming off a very high scoring game against the Houston Rockets last time out, which is a big reason I believe the books have made the mistake of setting this total too high tonight. Miami's previous five games had all seen 193 or less combined points at the end of regulation.

This play falls into a system that is 92-48 (65.7%) to the UNDER over the past 5 seasons. It tells us to bet the UNDER on any team (MIAMI) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), on Friday nights. A great match-up like this almost always seems to bring out the best defensively in both teams.

The UNDER is 4-0 in Clippers last 4 games following a ATS win. The UNDER is 4-0 in Heat last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The UNDER is 4-0 in Heat last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. These three trends combined for a 12-0 system backing the UNDER tonight. Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

15* NBA Friday Total DOMINATOR on Nets/Wizards OVER 185.5

The books have set the bar too low tonight in this contest between the Brooklyn Nets and Washington Wizards. I look for a shootout tonight in Washington as both teams go for around 100 points apiece.

One look at the recent history between these teams and it's easy to see that the books have missed their mark. Washington and Brooklyn have combined for 197 or more points in each of their last three meetings.

Not counting overtime, the Nets and Wizards have combined to average 197.0 points/game in their last three meetings. That's roughly 12 points more than tonight's posted total of 185.5.

The OVER is 8-3 in Wizards last 11 home games. The OVER is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 Friday games. The OVER is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 vs. NBA Atlantic division foes. Take the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Eastern Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Raptors/Pacers UNDER 188.5

The Toronto Raptors and Indiana Pacers will take part in a defensive battle tonight. The books have set the bar too high in this contest due to recent high-scoring games by both teams, which has forced them to inflate the number.

Indiana was out of character with its back-to-back home wins over Chicago (111-101) and Atlanta (114-103). It got back to reality last time out with an 88-69 road win at Philadelphia. Remember, this is a Pacers team that is scoring just 92.7 points/game and allowing 90.0 points/game on the season.

Toronto lost at home to Boston 95-99 last time out. Its previous three games had all seen 185 or less combined points with a 92-93 loss at Atlanta, a 98-73 home win over the Clippers, and an 85-100 home loss to Miami.

My biggest reason for backing the UNDER tonight is due to the recent history between these teams. The Raptors and Pacers have combined for 185 or less points in four of their last five meetings. That includes both meetings this season with a 74-72 Toronto road victory on November 13th for 146 combined points, and a 90-88 Indiana road win on October 31st for 178 combined points.

Indiana is 10-1 to the UNDER in home games vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons. We're seeing an average of 178.8 points/game in this situation. The UNDER is 6-0 in Pacers last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

15* CBB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Arizona State -3

The Arizona State Sun Devils are showing excellent value Thursday as a small home favorite over the Cal Bears. I look for them to roll to a blowout home victory tonight while easily covering this generous number.

Arizona State is one of the most underrated teams in the country at 17-5 SU & 11-6 ATS in all games. It has been absolutely dominant at home, going 13-2 SU while outscoring opponents by 9.3 points/game.

At 13-8 SU & 7-12 ATS on the season, Cal is one of the most overrated teams in the land. It is coming off back-to-back home wins over Oregon State and Oregon by a combined 7 points, setting it up for a big letdown spot here tonight as it hits the road. The Bears are just 3-4 SU in true road games this season.

The Bears are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall. Cal is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win. The Sun Devils are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. ASU is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 home games, while Cal is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 road games. Roll with Arizona State Thursday.

Note - This line has been fluctuating quite a bit today. I still recommend a bet on Arizona State -5 or better as I fully expect them to run away with this one. My best recommendation would be to buy it to -3 if it's -125 or less to do so, otherwise just go with anything at -5 or better. It is currently -4 in most places as of 12:00 EST.

20* Lakers/Celtics TNT Total ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 196

The Los Angeles Lakers and Boston Celtics will take part in a defensive battle. This is one of the most storied rivalries in sports, and the defensive intensity is always at its highest level when these teams get together. One look at the recent meetings between these teams and it's easy to see that the books have set the bar too high tonight.

Eight of the last nine meetings in this series have seen 191 or less combined points. In fact, the Lakers and Celtics have combined to average 178.3 points/game in those nine games. That's roughly 18 points less than tonight's posted total.

Pau Gasol being out certainly hurts the Lakers' offense more than it hurts their defense. Also, defensive stopper Metta World Peace returns from suspension tonight to help shut down Paul Pierce. I will be on this UNDER no matter whether or not Dwight Howard (shoulder, questionable) plays.

The UNDER is 11-4 in Lakers last 15 games overall. The UNDER is 49-20-2 in Lakers last 71 vs. Eastern Conference opponents. The UNDER is 34-15-2 in Lakers last 51 Thursday games. The UNDER is 34-15-3 in Celtics last 52 Thursday games.

The UNDER is 7-0 in Celtics last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The UNDER is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. The UNDER is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings in Boston. These three trends combine for a perfect 17-0 system backing the UNDER. Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday.

Note - I put this total out basically as soon as the line came out today at 196. Within a matter of minutes, it moves down to 194 in most places. I still recommend a bet on the Under at 193 or better as a 20*. If it somehow manages to drop to less than 193, then play it as a 15*.

15* Indiana/Illinois ESPN No-Brainer on Illinois +8

The Illini realize they need to get things turned around in a hurry if they want to make the NCAA Tournament. Remember, this is the same team that started 12-0 with double-digit wins over Butler (78-61), Gonzaga (85-74) and Ohio State (74-55), so they have proven they can beat some of the best teams in the country.

Indiana is clearly in a letdown spot after its huge win over No. 1 Michigan on Saturday. College Gameday was there, so the stage really doesn

15* NBA Wednesday Total ANNIHILATOR on Spurs/Timberwolves OVER 196

This number has been set too low tonight in what I believe is going to be a shootout between the San Antonio Spurs and Minnesota Timberwolves. Tim Duncan is expected to miss this game, taking away San Antonio's best defender.

The Timberwolves have been forced to play small ball with all of their injuries. This makes them a more dynamic offensive team that likes to push the tempo, but it also makes them extremely vulnerable defensively.

The OVER is 5-1 in Minnesota's last 6 games overall with combined scores of 215, 203, 186, 211, 201 and 198 points. As you can see, five of those six games exceeded tonight's posted total.

San Antonio is scoring 103.2 points/game and allowing 99.5 points/game on the road this season. It is combining with its opponents to average 202.7 points/game away from home this year.

The OVER is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Minnesota between these teams. Take the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Bounce-Back BLOWOUT on Dallas Mavericks -4.5

The Dallas Mavericks come into this game Wednesday with the Portland Trail Blazers highly motivated for a win. They trail the Blazers in the Western Conference standings as both are trying to make a push for the playoffs. The Mavs cannot afford to lose this one.

Dallas has two more huge reasons to be laying it all on the line tonight. First, the Mavericks blew a 21-point third quarter lead at Portland last Tuesday to lose 104-106 after LaMarcus Aldridge hit the game-tying 3-pointer and the game-winning jumper for the Blazers in the closing seconds.

Second, Dallas is coming off a poor showing at Oklahoma City on Monday, and it will be hungry to bounce back after such a bad defeat. This team is clearly undervalued right now, and that's proven by the fact that it is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games overall. I believe the Mavs should be a much heavier home favorite tonight in this one.

Portland is just 8-15 on the road this season, getting outscored by 6.4 points/game. The Blazers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. The Mavericks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss. Dallas is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games playing on 1 days rest. Bet the Mavericks Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on New Orleans Hornets -6

The Phoenix Suns are in a very tough spot tonight. Phoenix is coming off a huge 96-90 win over Memphis last night, setting it up for a big letdown spot tonight. The Suns will also be tired as this will be the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 4th game in 6 days.

Meanwhile, New Orleans comes in on three days' rest having last played on Saturday in a blowout loss at Minnesota. In fact, the Hornets have lost four straight games as they come off a brutal five-game road trip with visits to Memphis, LAL, Utah, Denver and Minnesota.

So, the Hornets come in highly motivated to put an end to this losing streak. They are also motivated to avenge a 108-111 (OT) road loss at Phoenix in their first meeting this season. Neither Eric Gordon (16.9 PPG) nor Anthony Davis (13.1 PPG) played in that contest, but each will be suited up for the rematch tonight.

Phoenix is just 5-20 on the road this season. It is getting outscored by an average of 8.5 points/game away from home this year. The Suns are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 0 days rest. The Hornets are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games playing on 3 or more days rest. New Orleans is 17-5 ATS in its last 22 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Roll with the Hornets Wednesday.

20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Rockets/Heat OVER 208

The books have set the bar too low tonight in this contest between Miami and Houston. I look for both teams to eclipse the 100-point barrier in an absolute shootout tonight.

The Rockets are really hitting on all cylinders offensively. They are averaging 120.6 points/game in their last five contests while scoring at least 109 points in each.

Miami will certainly get its points against a Houston defense that yields 102.7 points/game on the season. The Heat are scoring 106.5 points/game at home this year.

I look for this game to take a similar path to the first meeting of the season between these teams. Miami won at Houston 113-110 on November 12th for 223 combined points.

Houston is 10-1 to the OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. We're seeing an average combined score of 221.0 points/game in this spot. Roll with the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Knicks/Wizards UNDER 192.5

The books have set the bar too high in this contest between the New York Knicks and Washington Wizards tonight. I look for a low-scoring, defensive battle between two solid defensive squads. The Knicks allow 95.5 points/game this season, while the Wizards only yield 95.7 points/game.

The UNDER is 8-2 in Washington's last 10 games overall. Only once during this stretch has it scored 100 points or more. Also, only once during this span has it allowed at least 100 points. We've seen combined scores of 181, 193, 180, 215, 159, 190, 176, 161, 182 and 188 points in the Wizards' last 10 games, respectively.

This play falls into a system that is 74-34 (68.5%) to the UNDER over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet the UNDER on any team (NEW YORK) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after allowing 40 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games.

The UNDER is 6-0 in Knicks last 6 games following a ATS win. The UNDER is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. The UNDER is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 road games. The UNDER is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. The UNDER is 8-0 in Wizards last 8 Wednesday games. These five trends combine for a perfect 26-0 system backing the UNDER. Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

15* Baylor/Oky State ESPN No-Brainer on Baylor +7.5

The Baylor Bears come in highly motivated to bounce back from two straight losses to Oklahoma and Iowa State by a combined 11 points. They had won six of their previous seven games before this skid with their only loss coming at Kansas.

This is certainly a bubble team looking to pick up a signature win to improve its resume in terms of the NCAA Tournament. Baylor has proven it can win on the road this season with victories at then-No. 8 Kentucky (64-55), at Texas Tech (82-48) and at TCU (82-56).

Oklahoma State is in a huge letdown spot after such a big win at Kansas on Saturday. There

25* Big Ten GAME OF THE YEAR on Michigan State -2.5

The Michigan State Spartans (18-4) seem to get better as the season progresses year after year under head coach Tom Izzo. That has certainly been the case again this season as they are clearly playing their best basketball of late. They have won seven of their last eight games overall with their only loss coming at current No. 1 Indiana by a final of 70-75 as a 9.5-point underdog.

Michigan State is 13-0 at home this season as the Breslin Center continues to be one of the toughest places in the country to play. It is outscoring opponents 72.1 to 55.9 at home, or by an average of 16.2 points per game. All 13 of those wins have come by 3 points or more.

Minnesota has not been playing very well of late. It has lost four of its last six with its only wins coming at home against Nebraska and Iowa. The Spartans have won four of their last five meetings in this series, so their 76-63 road loss in their first meeting this season was rare to say the least.

In fact, Michigan State is a perfect 13-0 in its last 13 home meetings with Minnesota dating back to 1999. It has won all 13 of those games by 6 points or more. That's long-term evidence that I'll gladly back with a big wager tonight.

The Spartans will be the more rested team having last played on January 31st in an 80-75 win over Illinois. They have had nearly a full week to prepare for Minnesota, and they certainly want revenge after losing the first meeting. Meanwhile, the Gophers last played on Sunday, February 3rd, so they have had much less time to prepare. Bet Michigan State Wednesday.

Note - I put out Michigan State -2.5 as soon as the lines came out on Tuesday. I figured the line would move and it has. I still recommend a bet on the Spartans -4, which is the current line as of 10:00 AM EST. Otherwise, buy it to -4 or better if you have to.

20* Ohio State/Michigan ESPN Tuesday No-Brainer on Michigan -6

The Wolverines have a lot of reason to be motivated heading into this one. They are coming off just their second loss of the season Saturday with a 73-81 setback at current No. 1 Indiana. They want to make that loss a distant memory real quick, and the only way to do that is to beat Ohio State at home Tuesday night.

They also want revenge from a 53-56 loss at Ohio State in the first meeting between these teams on January 13th. They dug themselves an early hole, falling behind 22-34 at halftime before fighting their way back only to fall short by 3. I look for the Wolverines to dominate from start to finish at home this time around.

Michigan is a perfect 12-0 at home this season. It is scoring 78.5 points per game while allowing 55.7 points per game. As you can see, it is outscoring opponents by a whopping 22.8 points per game at home this year. Ohio State is just 3-3 in true road games this season.

The Wolverines are 43-21-2 ATS in their last 66 games overall. Michigan is 38-17-1 ATS in its last 56 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Michigan is 37-17 ATS in its last 54 games following a S.U. loss.

Michigan is 6-0 ATS in home games versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=39% over the last 2 seasons. The Wolverines are 6-0 ATS in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Michigan is 6-0 ATS after a game where they attempted 7 or less free throws over the last 2 seasons. The Wolverines are 7-0 ATS off a road loss over the last 2 seasons. Michigan is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.These five trends combine for a perfect 30-0 system backing the Wolverines. Bet Michigan Tuesday.

Note - I put out Michigan -6 as soon as the lines came out Monday. I see that the line has already moved pretty drastically, which is what I expected to happen. This is the benefit of being a long-term client to be able to get in early on the best available lines as soon as I release my picks. I still recommend a bet on Michigan up to -9, but this pick will be graded at -6.

15* NBA Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Rockets -2.5

The Houston Rockets are showing excellent value as only a 2.5-point home favorite over the Golden State Warriors tonight. I look for them to roll as they continue playing solid basketball over the past few weeks.

The Rockets have won four of their last five games overall while going 4-1 ATS in the process. They come in well-rested as this will be just their 2nd game in 6 days, so they will be chomping at the bit to get back on the floor.

I believe the Warriors come into this contest overvalued due to their 4-game winning streak. All four of those victories came against teams with losing records in the Raptors, Cavs, Mavericks and Suns. A step up in competition tonight will put an and to their winning streak.

Home-court advantage has been huge in this series between the Warriors and Rockets. The home team has won four straight and seven of the past eight meetings. Houston is 8-0 in its last eight home meetings with Golden State dating back to 2008 with all eight wins coming by 3 points or more.

Houston is 7-0 ATS in home games off a home win this season. It is outscoring opponents 113.0 to 99.9 in this spot, or by an average of 13.1 points/game. Roll with the Rockets Tuesday.

15* Missouri Valley GAME OF THE NIGHT on Missouri State +12.5

Few handicappers on the planet have been riding Missouri State as much as I have during the Missouri Valley Conference season. The Bears have made me and my premium clients a ton of money here recently, and I believe that continues tonight.

Missouri State is underrated because of its 7-16 record on the season, which is very misleading. As a result, the Bears have gone a sensational 10-1 ATS in conference play this season. I believe they are once again undervalued as a double-digit road dog to a mediocre Northern Iowa team in this one.

The Panthers are just 12-11 on the season, including 5-6 in MVC play. They have no business being a double-digit favorite in this one. Northern Iowa is coming off a huge 57-52 home win over a ranked Wichita State team on Saturday, which sets it up for a big letdown spot tonight.

This has been a very closely-contested series over the last few years. Each of the last seven meetings have been decided by 12 points or less. That 12-point win came last season when Missouri State beat UNI 63-51 at home. The other six meetings over this span have been decided by 9 points or fewer. This makes for a perfect 7-0 system since 2009 backing the Bears with tonight's spread of 12.5.

The Bears are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Missouri State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The Panthers are 7-20-1 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The road team is 21-8 ATS in the last 29 meetings. Take Missouri State Tuesday.

20* Big East GAME OF THE MONTH on Seton Hall +16

The Seton Hall Pirates are showing excellent value as a big road underdog to the Pittsburgh Panthers tonight. This is a much-improved team that is 13-9 on the season and fully capable of beating anyone in the Big East.

Pittsburgh is in a huge letdown spot tonight. It is coming off a big win over No. 6 Syracuse on Saturday and it will have a hard time getting motivated to face the unranked Pirates just two days later. That will allow Seton Hall to stay within 16 points tonight.

Seton Hall beat Pittsburgh 73-66 in their lone meeting last season. The Pirates have won two of the past four meetings over the last three seasons.

This play falls into a system that is 173-102 (62.9%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against home favorites of 10 or more points (PITTSBURGH) - off a home win against a conference rival, in February games.

Seton Hall is 8-1 ATS after scoring 60 points or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. It is actually coming back to win in these spots 63.4 to 62.8 on average. The Panthers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win. Bet Seton Hall Monday.

15* NBA Monday Total ANNIHILATOR on Blazers/Timberwolves OVER 192

The books have set the bar too low tonight in this Western Conference clash between the Portland Trail Blazers and the Minnesota Timberwolves. I look for these teams to combine for 200-plus points in this one.

One look at the recent history in this series and it's easy to see that there is value with the OVER in this contest tonight. The OVER is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings as the Blazers and Timberwolves have combined for 198 or more points in all five contests. They are combining to average 210.8 points/game during this span, which is nearly 19 points more than tonight's posted total.

Both teams have been playing in high-scoring games of late. Four of Minnesota's last five contests have seen 201 or more points. Three of Portland's last five games have seen 201 or more points.

The OVER is 5-1 in Trail Blazers last 6 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. The OVER is 5-0 in Timberwolves last 5 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. The OVER is 4-1 in Timberwolves last 5 games overall. The OVER is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Minnesota. Roll with the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Western Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Dallas Mavericks +9

The Dallas Mavericks are showing some of their best value of the season tonight as a 9-point road underdog to the Oklahoma City Thunder. I know both Dirk Nowitzki and Kevin Durant are questionable tonight, but no matter whether or not either plays I am all over the Mavs in this one.

My biggest reason for backing the Mavs in this one is the revenge factor. Dallas has lost two heartbreakers to Oklahoma City this season, both of which came in overtime. They lost 105-111 (OT) at Oklahoma City on December 27th as a 10.5-point dog, and 114-117 (OT) vs. the Thunder on January 18th as a 5.5-point dog.

While the Mavs will be highly motivated for payback, I look for the Thunder to relax having already beaten them twice. They know they cannot lose the season series no matter what happens in this game.

Also, seven of the last eight meetings in this series have been decided by 9 points or less. OKC has won all eight outright, so you can only imagine how badly the Mavs want revenge in this one. They will be giving everything they have to put an end to this streak.

The underdog is 33-16-2 ATS in the last 51 meetings. The road team is 35-15-2 ATS in the last 52 meetings. The Mavericks are 20-7-1 ATS in the last 28 meetings in Oklahoma City.

The Mavericks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games. Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Mavericks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. Western Conference foes. These three trends combine for a 20-1 (95%) System backing Dallas. Take the Mavericks Monday.