20* CBB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Penn State/Maryland UNDER 135.5

This total is a couple notches too high today when you consider how these two teams play.  Maryland ranks 283rd in adjusted tempo and 25th in defensive efficiency.  Penn State ranks 305th in adjusted tempo and 106th in defensive efficiency.  This game will clearly be played at a snail's pace today folks, plus it's a sleepy early 12:00 EST start time.

Recent head-to-head history also shows points will be hard to come by.  Maryland and Penn State have combined for 128, 127 and 105 points in their last three meetings, respectively.  The Terrapins are 17-7 UNDER in all games this season and are a dead nuts UNDER team.

Maryland is 10-2 UNDER when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.  The UNDER is 10-4 in Nittany Lions last 14 road games.  The UNDER is 14-4 in Terrapins last 18 games overall.  The UNDER is 40-19 in Terrapins last 59 Saturday games.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

20* Mountain West GAME OF THE WEEK on Fresno State +9.5

Nevada is in a massive letdown spot here after hitting a game-winner at the buzzer to upset New Mexico 77-76 on the road on Tuesday.  They have now won and covered three consecutive games, and now it's time to 'sell high' on the Wolf Pack.  Asking them to beat Fresno State by double-digits to beat us is asking too much.

The Bulldogs come in playing some of their best basketball of the season.  After upsetting UNLV as 9-point road dogs, they came back home and handled their business in a 70-62 win over San Jose State as 3.5-point favorites.  Now they'll be looking to pull the upset over the Wolf Pack tonight.

Nevada is 17-33 ATS in its last 50 home games vs. slow-down teams that average 53 or fewer shots per game.  Justin Hutson is 11-3 ATS in February road games as the coach of the Bulldogs.  Bet Fresno State Friday.

15* NBA Friday Night BLOWOUT on Sacramento Kings -1.5

It's time to 'sell high' on the Dallas Mavericks after winning four of their last five and covering four consecutive games coming in.  That includes an upset win on National TV as 8-point dogs at the Clippers in their first game with Kyrie Irving.  Now this is a letdown spot for them to say the least, and there are going to be chemistry issues for a few games after these trades.

The Kings have good chemistry and didn't make any moves over the deadline.  They like their team as it's easy to see why as they have gone 11-5 SU in their last 16 games overall and rank 2nd in the entire NBA in offensive efficiency.  They will test this weak Dallas defense that ranks 21st in defensive efficiency and got even worse when trading for Irving while losing Finney-Smith.

Dallas is 8-20-1 ATS in its last 29 games following a win.  The Mavericks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win.  The Kings are 22-10-1 ATS in their last 33 games playing on one days' rest.  Sacramento is 23-8-1 ATS in the last 32 meetings, including 4-1-1 ATS in the last six home meetings.  Bet the Kings Friday.

15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on Oklahoma City Thunder +3.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 33-20-1 ATS in all games this season and have been the most profitable team to back over the past two seasons.  They have gone 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games overall with six outright upsets.  I fully expect them to upset the Portland Trail Blazers tonight.

The Blazers are dealing with a ton of injuries right now and are playing horrific defense.  They have allowed 112 or more points in 10 consecutive games and 14 o their last 15 games overall.  Now they face a potent Thunder offense that has scored 111 or more points in 16 of their last 18 games overall.

Oklahoma City is 8-0 ATS in its last eight games following three consecutive games where they committed 4-plus more turnovers than their opponents.  The Thunder are 17-6 ATS as road underdogs this season.  Oklahoma City is 10-1 ATS vs. poor pressure defensive teams that force 13 or fewer turnovers per game this season.  The Thunder are 43-21-1 ATS in their last 65 road games.  Oklahoma City is 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in its last six meetings with Portland.  Bet the Thunder Friday.

20* NBA Western Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Mavs/Kings OVER 233.5

The Sacramento Kings are a dead nuts OVER team.  They rank 9th in pace, 2nd in offensive efficiency and 23rd in defensive efficiency.  The OVER is 3-0 in Kings last three games overall coming in with combined scores of 268, 260 and 240 points.

The Mavericks are now an OVER team with the trade for Kyrie Irving and books haven't adjusted yet.  They now have three elite scorers in Doncic, Irving and Wood and a bunch of question marks defensively.  They shot 52.6% in their first game with Irving in an upset win over the Clippers.

Sacramento is 11-2 OVER in its last 13 February home games.  The OVER is 16-7-1 in Kings last 24 home games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* NBA Friday UPSET SHOCKER on New Orleans Pelicans +3

The New Orleans Pelicans are still undervalued after a recent 10-game losing streak.  I have backed them in two of their last three games since where they've gone 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS as 1.5-point favorites over the Lakers, 2-point dogs to the Kings and 1-point favorites over the Hawks.  They won those three games by a combined 46 points.

Now the Pelicans are once again undervalued as 3-point home dogs to the Cleveland Cavaliers.  Cleveland has one of the biggest home/road splits in the NBA this season.  The Cavaliers are just 12-16 SU & 11-15-2 ATS on the road this season and should not be favored over the Pelicans here.

Cleveland is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 road games after winning four of its last five games.  The Cavaliers are 0-6 ATS in their last six Friday games.  New Orleans is 7-1 ATS in its last eight home meetings with Cleveland.  The Pelicans are 20-9 SU & 16-12-1 ATS at home this season.  Bet the Pelicans Friday.

15* CBB Thursday Late-Night BAILOUT on Loyola-Marymount +8.5

This is the ultimate letdown spot for the St. Mary's Gaels.  They are coming off their huge comeback win over Gonzaga 78-70 (OT) on Saturday.  They have been celebrating that win all week and won't be focused for Loyola-Marymount tonight.  Don't be surprised if they lose outright as a result, let alone cover this 8.5-point spread.

Loyola-Marymount has played very well at home this season going 11-2 SU & 9-3 ATS while outscoring opponents by 12.7 points per game.  The Lions want revenge from a 62-76 loss at St. Mary's in their first meeting this season on January 12th.  I like their chances of staying within 8.5 points at home this time around given the terrible spot for the Gaels.

Loyola-Marymount is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games following an upset loss as a road favorite.  The Lions are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games following a loss.  Loyola-Marymount is 7-1-1 ATS in its last nine games following an ATS loss.  Bet Loyola-Marymount Thursday.

20* CBB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Ohio State -5

It's time to 'buy low' on the Ohio State Buckeyes after going just 1-9 SU & 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  They are much better than they have shown and have been a hard-luck team, losing eight of the nine games by single-digits.  In fact, they are single-most unlucky team in the country according to KenPom's luck rating.

It's easy to see how we are buying low on the Buckeyes when you consider they were 2.5-point road favorites at Northwestern in their first meeting this season, and now are only 5-point home favorites for the rematch.  A normal home-court adjustment in college basketball is 6 to 8 points, which would mean they'd be 7.5 to 9.5-point favorites.  We are clearly getting them at a discount here.

Ohio State owns Northwestern going 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in the last three meetings with wins by 16, 8 and 10 points.  They won 73-57 at Northwestern in their first meeting this season, and I expect a similar blowout at home this time around.  The Wildcats are 18-40-3 ATS in their last 61 games following an ATS win.  The favorite is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.  Bet Ohio State Thursday.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Orlando Magic +6.5

I keep riding the Orlando Magic and they keep delivering.  The Magic have quietly gone 22-9 ATS in their last 31 games overall with outright upset wins over Boston (three times), Philadelphia, Golden State, and the Clippers among others.  They are much better than the books and the bettors are giving them credit for.

Now the Magic are out for revenge from a narrow 116-119 loss at Denver as 10.5-point underdogs on January 15th in their first meeting this season.  I like their chances of staying within 6.5 points at home in the rematch and likely pulling off the upset tonight.  Denver is just 1-3 SU in its last four road games with its lone win coming by a single point.

Denver is 1-9 ATS in road games following three consecutive games where it made 47% of its shots or better this season.  The Nuggets are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games vs. a team with a losing home record.  The Magic are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss.  Orlando is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games following a SU loss.  The Magic are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.  These five trends combine for a 32-2 system backing Orlando tonight.  Bet the Magic Thursday.

15* NBA Wednesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Warriors/Blazers OVER 234.5

The Portland Trail Blazers are a dead nuts OVER team right now playing without Jusuf Nurkic.  They have been force to go small ball and it has led to a ton of high scoring games.  In fact, the Blazers and their opponents have combined for at least 233 points in eight of their last nine games overall.

The Warriors will have no problem going small and getting up and down with the Blazers tonight.  The Warriors and their opponents have combined for at least 232 points in 14 consecutive games.  The OVER is 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall during this stretch.  They just scored 141 points on the Thunder in their first game without Curry, and this total has been adjusted too much down due to him being out.

The OVER is 7-0 in Warriors' seven road games with a line of +3 to -3 this season.  Golden State is 14-1 OVER in its last 15 games vs. a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) in the second half of the season.  The OVER is 35-14-3 in Warriors last 52 road games.  The OVER is 16-5-1 in the last 22 meetings in Portland.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Kings/Rockets OVER 238.5

This is a low total for a game involving the Houston Rockets and Sacramento Kings, who are both dead nuts OVER teams.  The recent head-to-head history really shows that as well.

The OVER is 5-0 in the last five meetings with combined scores of 260, 253, 250, 239 and 239 points.  The Kings and Rockets have combined for at least 230 points in eight consecutive meetings as well.  They have gone for 250, 253 and 260 points in their three meetings this season.  Enough said.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on Wichita State -2

Wichita State is playing well right now going 5-3 SU & 6-2 ATS in its last eight games overall with two upset victories and the only losses coming on the road to Memphis by 10, to Tulane by 5 at home and to Houston by 9 in a game they nearly upset the Cougars before they pulled away late.

Now Wichita State wants revenge from a 45-52 loss at UCF in their first meeting this season where the Shockers shot just 35% from the field.  But this isn't the same UCF team as they faced in that first meeting.  This is an injury-ravaged Knights team that has gone 0-5 SU & 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall with an 8-point loss at Tulane, a 13-point loss at USF, an 11-point home loss to Houston, as 7-point home loss to Temple and a 9-point loss at Cincinnati.

UCF is 0-8 ATS in its last eight games following two or more consecutive overs.  The Knights are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games vs. good defensive teams that allow 42% shooting or less after 15-plus games.  The Knights are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss.  The home team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings.  Bet Wichita State Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Illinois State +9

Illinois State has been competitive of late going 4-5 SU & 5-3-1 ATS in their last nine games overall.  One of those games resulted in a 75-79 loss as 15-point underdogs at Bradley in their first meeting on January 25th.  I like their chances of staying within 9 points in the rematch at home tonight just two weeks later.

The Redbirds have really been good at home of late going 7-3 SU in their last 10 home games and only losing once all season at home by double-digits.  Bradley is 5-7 SU & 3-9 ATS in all games played away from home this season.  The Braves are 2-8 ATS in road games following a win this season.  The Braves are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 road games overall.  The Redbirds are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 home games.  The underdog is 5-0-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  Bet Illinois State Wednesday.

15* MVC PLAY OF THE DAY on Valparaiso +13.5

Valparaiso has quietly gone 4-3 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall with two of their losses coming in overtime to Missouri State and Drake.  The other was an 11-point loss at Northern Iowa.  So they haven't lost by this kind of margin in any of their last seven games.

Indiana State is in a letdown spot following three consecutive victories over Northern Iowa, Evansville and Murray State, three of the worst teams in the MVC.  They actually lost their previous five games.  They won't be all that motivated to beat Valpo again after winning by 18 on the road as 6.5-point favorites in their first meeting this season.  

So this is a 7-point adjustment for home-court advantage, which is too much.  Valpo isn't going to shoot 29.5% from the field and 3-of-22 (13.6%) from 3-point range like they did in that first meeting.  I expect the Beacons to continue playing well and to take the Sycamores to the wire in the rematch tonight.  Bet Valparaiso Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Night Line Mistake on UNC-Wilmington +10

UNC-Wilmington is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games overall with two of those losses coming by exactly 2 points.  One of those was a 69-71 home loss to Charleston in their first meeting this season on January 11th as 2.5-point dogs.  Now they are catching 10 points on the road in the rematch, and I love the value with the revenge-minded road team here.

Charleston has finally started to show some chinks in the armor.  They have lost two of their last three games to Hofstra as 9-point home favorites and Drexel as 7.5-point road favorites.  The Cougars are just 3-6 ATS in their last nine games overall and remain overvalued due to their 22-3 record on the season.

This has been a closely-contested rivalry in recent meetings with each of the last four meetings decided by 8 points or fewer.  Wilmington hasn't lost any of its last eight meetings with Charleston by double-digits.  The underdog is 5-1-2 ATS in the last eight meetings.

The Seahawks are 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 games vs. a team with a winning record.  Wilmington is 35-14-2 ATS in its last 51 games overall.  The Seahawks are 8-0-1 ATS in their last nine Wednesday games.  The Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following an ATS win.  Wilmington is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games after winning four of its last five games.  Bet UNC-Wilmington Wednesday.

20* SEC GAME OF THE WEEK on Vanderbilt +10.5

Tennessee is clearly one of the most overrated teams in the country.  That has played out recently with an upset loss at Florida by 13 and a narrow 3-point win over Auburn at home last time out.  Their offense cannot be trusted as they scored 54 points against Florida and 46 against Auburn.

That's going to make it hard for them to win by double-digits here on the road against Vanderbilt.  After all, they only won by 9 at home in their first meeting with the Commodores this season.  And Vanderbilt always played Tennessee tough with each of the last three meetings decided by 9 points or fewer.  They will be motivated for revenge here.

The underdog is 16-7-1 ATS in the last 24 meetings.  The Commodores are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss.  Vanderbilt is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 February games.  Plays against road favorites or PK (Tennessee) - after going under the total by 30 points or more total in their last five games, a top-level team (80% or higher) playing a losing team are 46-11 (80.7%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Bet Vanderbilt Wednesday.

15* Thunder/Lakers TNT Late-Night BAILOUT Oklahoma City +6.5

The Los Angeles Lakers return home from a grueling five-game road trip at Boston, Brooklyn, New York, Indiana and New Orleans.  I always like fading teams in that first game back home following a long road trip because there are so many distractions back home.

Speaking of distractions, LeBron James needs 37 points tonight to break Kareem's All-Time scoring record.  I expect the Lakers to be playing a lot of 1 on 5 tonight because of it.  That's not going to work for them to beat the Thunder by 7-plus points, which is what it's going to take to beat us tonight.

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Thunder after getting blown out at Golden State last night where Klay Thompson made 12 3-pointers and nothing went right for them.  The good news is that they are still fresh now as no player played more than 30 minutes for the Thunder last night.

Oklahoma City is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games following a loss.  The Thunder are 6-1 ATS in their last seven trips to Los Angeles.  Oklahoma City is 9-1 ATS when playing its 3rd game in 4 days this season.  The Thunder are 13-2 ATS after losing four or five of their last six games this season.  Oklahoma City is 7-0 ATS after three straight games committing four-plus more turnovers than their opponent this season.  The Thunder are 9-1 ATS vs. poor pressure defensive teams that force 13 or fewer turnovers per game this season.  Bet the Thunder Tuesday.

20* MVC GAME OF THE WEEK on Murray State +3.5

The Drake Bulldogs have won five consecutive games but have been very fortunate, winning two in double-OT and one by 2 points.  They are coming off consecutive double-OT games against Northern Iowa at home and Valpo on the road and are out of gas.  They will now be playing their 4th game in 9 days and this is one of the worst spots I've seen for any team all season in college basketball.

Now they have to travel to face Murray State, which is coming off a blowout loss at Indiana State and will be fresh for this one as a result.  The Racers have one of the best home-court advantages in the entire country as they are 9-1 SU at home this season.  They are primed for an upset of the Bulldogs tonight.

Drake is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games as a road favorite or PK.  The Bulldogs are 0-7 ATS after scoring 80 points or more this season.  Murray State is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 home games following a conference game.  Drake is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games following a win.  The Racers are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 home games.  Bet Murray State Tuesday.

20* NBA Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on New Orleans Pelicans ML -120

It's 'buy low' time on the New Orleans Pelicans after going 2-10 SU in their last 12 games overall.  But they are getting healthier and are only without Zion Williamson, who should return soon.  They are coming off two straight home wins over the Lakers by 5 and Kings by 32 and should top the Atlanta Hawks tonight as well.

New Orleans is 19-9 SU at home this season, while Atlanta is 14-16 SU & 13-17 ATS on the road.  This is a very tough spot for the Hawks playing their 5th consecutive road game.  They just lost by 20 at Denver last time out.

The Hawks are 0-6 ATS in their last six games when playing on two days' rest.  They are getting too much respect due to coming in on two days' rest.  The Pelicans have two days off after this and will be 'all in' for this game tonight.  Bet the Pelicans on the Money Line Tuesday.

20* NBA Tuesday UPSET SHOCKER on Orlando Magic ML +105

I keep riding the Orlando Magic and they keep delivering.  The Magic have quietly gone 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games overall with outright upset wins over Boston (three times), Philadelphia, Golden State, and the Clippers among others.  They are much better than the books and the bettors are giving them credit for.

The Magic should not be home underdogs to the New York Knicks tonight.  The Knicks are a tired team right now playing their 3rd game in 4 days and have played three OT games in their past six.  They are coming off an upset win over the 76ers at home on ESPN Sunday, and this is now a letdown spot for them.  They have played the Cavs, Celtics, Nets, Lakers, Heat, Clippers and 76ers in their last seven games and now they will take a breather here against the Magic.

The Knicks are 0-4 ATS in their last four games vs. a team with a losing record.  The Magic are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning record.  Orlando is 6-0 ATS in its last six home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  Bet the Magic Tuesday.

15* Marquette/UConn Big East ANNIHILATOR on UConn -4

It's time to 'sell high' on the Marquette Golden Eagles after going 10-1 SU & 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall.  Now they will face arguably their toughest test of the entire season tonight.  The other candidates would be their road losses at Purdue, at Providence and at Xavier earlier this season all by 4 points or more.

Now they have to travel to face a pissed off UConn team that will be looking for revenge from a 76-82 loss at Marquette in their first meeting this season.  Marquette shot 50.8% from the field and 37.5% from 3 while UConn only shot 27.3% from 3.  Those roles will be reversed this time around.

UConn is 11-2 SU & 8-4-1 ATS at home this season and outscoring opponents by nearly 20 points per game.  They shoot 47.6% overall and 36% from 3 at home this season.  This one has blowout written all over it tonight given the factors coming in.

The favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  The Huskies are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 home games.  Bet UConn Tuesday.

20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Oklahoma City Thunder +4

The Golden State Warriors will be without Stephen Curry at least until after the All-Star Break.  They shouldn't be favored over the Oklahoma City Thunder without him tonight.  The Thunder are one of the most underrated teams in the NBA going 32-19-1 ATS in all games this season, including 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall.

The Thunder come in the more rested team playing just their 2nd game in 5 days, while the Warriors will be playing their 4th game in 6 days.  Oklahoma City wants revenge from a 120-128 home loss to the Warriors on January 30th just a week ago when Curry scored 38 points and made eight 3-pointers.

Oklahoma City is 42-20-1 ATS in its last 63 road games.  The Thunder are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 30 games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Warriors are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games.  Oklahoma City is 8-0 ATS in its last eight road games vs. teams that are called for 2-plus more fouls per game than their opponents.  Bet the Thunder Monday.

15* NBA Monday Total DOMINATOR on Kings/Rockets OVER 233

This is a very low total for a game involving the Houston Rockets and Sacramento Kings, who are both dead nuts OVER teams.  The recent head-to-head history really shows that as well.

The OVER is 4-0 in the last four meetings with combined scores of 253, 250, 239 and 239 points.  The Kings and Rockets have combined for at least 230 points in seven consecutive meetings as well.  Enough said.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Duke/Miami ESPN No-Brainer on Miami -2.5

The Miami Hurricanes will be out for revenge from a 66-68 road loss at Duke on January 21st just two weeks ago.  The Hurricanes shot 34.9% from the field in that game and still only lost by 2, so they have some room for improvement at home this time around.

This is a terrible spot for the Duke Blue Devils.  They are coming off a 63-57 home win over their most hated rivals in the UNC Tar Heels on Saturday.  That makes this a letdown spot for them, especially after having already beaten the Hurricanes once this season.

Miami is a perfect 12-0 SU at home this season, while Duke is 2-4 SU in true road games.  The Hurricanes are 6-0 ATS when revenging a loss this season.  The Blue Devils are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS win.  Duke is 0-6 ATS in its last six road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.  Miami is 4-0 ATS in its last four meetings with Duke.  These last four trends combined for a 23-0 system backing the Hurricanes.  Bet Miami Monday.

15* 76ers/Knicks ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Philadelphia -4

The Philadelphia 76ers are fully healthy and playing as well as anyone in the NBA right now.  They have gone 9-1 SU in their last 10 games overall.  They are rested and ready to go tonight after having yesterday off and playing just their 5th game in 11 days.  The 76ers should be bigger favorites over the Knicks tonight given the horrible spot for the home team.

Indeed, the Knicks will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 128-134 (OT) home loss to the Los Angeles Clippers last night.  Their four best players all played at least 38 minutes with Barrett 43, Randle 40, Brunson 38 and Grimes 38 in that defeat.  They have played six consecutive games decided by single-digits, and after this rough stretch they won't have much left in the tank for the 76ers tonight.

Home-court advantage has not mattered in this series for the Knicks.  The 76ers are actually 10-1 SU in their last 11 trips to Madison Square Garden.  Philadelphia is 15-4 ATS when playing 6 or fewer games in 14 days this season.  New York is 11-26 ATS in its last 27 home games following a home game.  The Knicks are 0-8 ATS in their last eight home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.  Bet the 76ers Sunday.

20* CBB DOG OF THE WEEK on Temple +11.5

The Houston Cougars are 21-2 this season and the No. 3 ranked team in the country.  With that ranking comes expectations that are hard to live up to from the betting public, and thus they are consistently too big of favorites.  That's the case tonight as 11.5-point road favorites at Temple.

Houston just lost outright as a 19-point home favorite to Temple, needed a late comeback to beat Cincinnati by 6 as a 14-point favorite, only beat South Florida by 6 as a 23-point favorite, only beat UCF by 6 as a 15-point favorite and fortunately pulled away late to win by 9 at Wichita State as a 12.5-point favorite.  The Cougars aren't invincible like these recent spreads are indicating.

I think this spread is too high again today for the revenge factor after losing 55-56 at home to Temple in the first meeting.  The Owls only shot 31.1% as a team in that game and still won outright, so there is actually room for improvement at least offensively.  And Temple is the single-most underrated team in the AAC this season.  They have gone 8-2 SU & 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall and have lost just one game all season by more than 12 points.

I like the spot for Temple as they have had an entire week to get rest and prepare to sweep this season series with Houston.  They have been off since January 28th, while Houston just played Wichita State on February 2nd and only has two days to get ready.  It will actually be the 5th game in 15 days for the Cougars, and only the 4th game in 18 days for the Owls.

Temple is 8-1 ATS as an underdog this season.  The Owls are 9-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record this season.  Temple is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 Sunday games.  Bet Temple Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Cavs/Pacers OVER 225.5

The Indiana Pacers have gone under the total in three consecutive games coming in, which has the books setting this number too low.  Their last six totals were all 234 or higher, so this is a very low total for a game involving the Pacers.

Indiana's best player in Tyrese Haliburton just returned from injury and has been a little rusty in his first two games back.  But he should be much closer to full strength now and back to running this up-tempo style that Rick Carlisle likes to run.  The Pacers rank 3rd in the NBA in pace this season and 24th in defensive efficiency.

As long as Mitchell and Garland are on the floor for the Cavaliers they are a potent offensive team.  They are as healthy as they have been all season right now.  They will have no problem getting up and down with the Pacers, which has certainly been the case in recent meetings.

Indeed, the OVER is 4-0 in the last four meetings with 261, 230, 251 and 233 combined points at the end of regulation those last four meetings, respectively.  Indiana is 8-1 OVER in its last nine games following an upset win as a home underdog.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* NBA Sunday UPSET SHOCKER on Orlando Magic +2

I keep riding the Orlando Magic and they keep delivering.  The Magic have quietly gone 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games overall with outright upset wins over Boston (three times), Philadelphia, Golden State, and the Clippers among others.  They are much better than the books and the bettors are giving them credit for.

The Magic should not be underdogs to the lowly Charlotte Hornets, who have lost three consecutive games coming in.  The Hornets lost by 9 at Milwaukee, by 16 at Chicago and by 6 at Detroit.  Now they will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days with lots of travel involved.  They have almost zero home-court advantage as they are just 7-16 SU & 8-15 ATS at home this season.

Charlotte is 1-8 ATS in its last nine home games following three or more consecutive losses.  Orlando is 15-3 ATS in its last 18 games when playing on one days' rest.  The Hornets are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following a loss.  Bet the Magic Sunday.

15* CBB Saturday Late-Night BAILOUT on San Jose State ML -115

San Jose State head coach Tim Miles is one of the best in the country at turning around down programs.  He did it at Nebraska, and now he's doing it at SJSU guiding the Spartans to a 13-9 SU & 14-7 ATS record this season.  They are one of the most underrated teams in the country.

Now the Spartans take on one of the most overrated teams in the country in the Wyoming Cowboys, who are 7-14 SU & 7-12-1 ATS this season and playing out a down season.  They haven't had Graham Ike (19.9 PPG, 9.6 RPG last season) all year and remain without him.  They clearly just aren't very good without their best player.

Wyoming is 1-9 SU & 1-8 ATS in all games played away from home this season.  San Jose State is 8-2 SU & 6-3 ATS at home this season with recent wins over Air Force by 30, Fresno State by 10 and an upset win over UNLV.  The Spartans have a big rest and preparation advantage with their last game on January 28th, while Wyoming last played on January 31st.

San Jose State is 6-0 ATS after scoring 60 points or less this season.  The Spartans are 7-1 ATS vs. teams that make 8 or more 3-pointers per game this season.  San Jose State is 8-0 ATS in its last eight games following a loss by more than 20 points.  The Spartans are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games following a loss overall.  Bet San Jose State on the Money Line Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Washington +10.5

The Washington Huskies have been underrated for weeks now in going 4-5 SU but 6-3 ATS in their last nine games overall.  They have done their best work on the road, losing by 3 as 19-point dogs at Arizona, by 8 as 9-point dogs at ASU, upsetting Colorado outright as 9-point dogs and only losing by 9 at UCLA as 17.5-point dogs.

Clearly, the Huskies can hang with the top teams in the Pac-12 on the road.  Now they catch the USC Trojans in a massive letdown spot following three consecutive wins over ASU, UCLA and Washington State.  They actually trailed 63-65 late against the Cougars on Thursday, but closed on a 17-5 run for a misleading 10-point win.  I think this number has been inflated a couple points too much as a result.

Washington is 14-2 ATS in its last 16 games following a conference loss, including 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games following a conference road loss.  USC is 4-14 ATS in its last 18 games as a home favorite of 10 points or more.  The Huskies are 24-6 ATS in their last 30 games following a loss.  Bet Washington Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Detroit Pistons +5

Both the Phoenix Suns and Detroit Pistons will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back tonight.  But the spot is much worse for the Suns than it is for the Pistons, so getting 5 points with the Pistons at home tonight is simply too much.

The short-handed Suns are coming off a shocking 106-94 win at Boston last night.  That sets them up for a letdown spot here plus having to travel from Boston to Detroit.  It will be the 9th game in 15 days for the Suns, who are without Booker, Payne and Shamet and could be without Cameron Johnson due to injury management.

The Pistons are much healthier and much fresher following their 118-112 home win over the Hornets last night.  They get to stay at home here, had three days off prior to that game, and they will now be playing just their 7th game in 20 days.  This team really couldn't be more fresh than they are right now, and it has shown in their recent play in going 3-1 ATS in their last four games overall with upset wins over the Nets and Hornets, plus close losses to Dallas by 6 and Houston by 3.

Plays against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Phoenix) - a hot team winning six or seven of their last eight games, when playing the 2nd of a back-to-back are 75-35 (68.2%) ATS over the last five seasons.  

The Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last six games when playing on zero rest.  Phoenix is 0-4 ATS in its last four games following a win by more than 10 points.  Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last five games when playing on zero rest.  The Pistons are 28-10 ATS in the last 38 meetings, including 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Detroit.  Bet the Pistons Saturday.

15* Pac-12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Washington State +12

The Washington State Cougars are one of the most underrated teams in the country right now due to their 10-14 record.  But they rank 59th in Kenpom and are the 4th-most unlucky team in the country according to his rankings.  It's easy to see why as they have eight losses by 6 points or less, so they have been unfortunate in close games.

Washington State actually had a 2-point lead 65-63 over USC on Thursday, but managed to give up a 17-5 run to close in what was a brutal beat for us Cougars +7.5 backers.  The Cougars would be 23-1 ATS as +12 underdogs in their 24 games this season.  This number is way too high today.

That's especially the case when you consider they only lost 66-67 at home in their first meeting with UCLA.  They will be out for revenge for that 1-point defeat.  They take on a Bruins team that has come back down to reality of late going 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall losing by 6 at Arizona, by 13 at USC and only beating Washington by 9 as 17.5-point favorites.

The Cougars are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a loss.  Five of the last seven meetings were decided by 10 points or less in this series.  Bet Washington State Saturday.

25* MVC GAME OF THE YEAR on Valparaiso +9

Valparaiso has quietly gone 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in its last six games overall.  The four wins all came by 7 points or more and by a combined 49 points.  The two losses came by 11 at Northern Iowa and in OT at Missouri State.  They won both of their home games during this stretch.

Now the Beacons have their sights set on revenge from a 63-68 loss at Drake in their first meeting this season.  Now they are catching way too many points at home in the rematch.  Asking Drake to win this game by double-digits to beat us is simply asking too much.

Drake is coming off a double-OT 88-81 home win over Northern Iowa.  That makes this a letdown spot and a flat spot after using so much energy to win that game on Wednesday.  The Bulldogs remain one of the most overrated teams in the country over the past two seasons.  

Drake is just 20-35 ATS in all games over the past two seasons.  The Bulldogs are 1-9 ATS following a home win this season.  Drake is 0-6 ATS after scoring 80 points or more this season.  The underdog is 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings.  Drake hasn't won any of its last eight meetings with Valparaiso by more than 7 points with the Beacons going 7-0-1 ATS in those eight games.  Bet Valparaiso Saturday.

20* NBA Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on New Orleans Pelicans ML +100

This is the ultimate 'buy low' spot on the New Orleans Pelicans.  They have lost 10 consecutive games coming into this one with all 10 against playoff contenders.  Now they find themselves as home underdogs to the Los Angeles Lakers, and we'll take advantage.

It's safe to say the Pelicans will be highly motivated to put an end to this 10-game skid.  I like their chances tonight against a banged up Lakers team that could be without LeBron James.  It is also a tired Lakers team playing their 5th consecutive road game that has included a pair of OT games against the Celtics and Knicks.  I think they run out of gas here tonight.

The Lakers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.  The Pelicans are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home meetings with the Lakers.  New Orleans is 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in its last four meetings with Los Angeles with its lone loss coming on the road in OT.  Bet the Pelicans on the Money Line Saturday.

15* NBA Eastern Conference PLAY OF THE DAY on Washington Wizards +3.5

The Washington Wizards are playing their best basketball of the season right now largely due to the fact that they are as healthy as they have been all year.  They are 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall with three outright victories as underdogs.

Unfortunately, their six-game winning streak came to an end last night with a fluky 116-124 home loss to the Blazers last night in which they blew an 18-point halftime lead.  Now they come back highly motivated for a victory.  The only reason they are underdogs here is due to playing the second of a back-to-back, but they will still be fresh considering they had three days off prior to playing Portland.  Not all back-to-backs are created equal.

I'll gladly fade the Brooklyn Nets as home favorites here.  They remain without Kevin Durant, Ben Simmons and T.J. Warren are both questionable, and now Kyrie Irving is requesting to be traded.  This franchise is just filled with turmoil, especially right now.  They can't be trusted as home favorites given their current state and the way they have played at home of late.

Indeed, the Nets are 14-39 ATS in their last 53 games as home favorites.  The Wizards are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games.  Washington is 41-17-2 ATS in its last 60 games when playing on zero rest.  Brooklyn is 16-40-2 ATS in its last 58 home games overall.  Bet the Wizards Saturday.

20* Purdue/Indiana Big Ten No-Brainer on Indiana PK

The Indiana Hoosiers were rolling going 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in their previous five games before losing on the road at Maryland last time out.  That was clearly a lookahead spot and they were flat, looking ahead to this showdown against No. 1 Purdue.

Now this will be one of the best atmospheres all season in college basketball.  The Hoosiers will have a huge home-court advantage, and there's a reason this line is a PK against the No. 1 team.  It's time to 'sell high' on the Boilermakers off nine consecutive wins including a pair of blowout home wins over Michigan State and Penn State in their last two games coming in.

Things haven't been so easy for Purdue on the road this season.  They have been fortunate to beat Nebraska by 3, Ohio State by 2, Michigan State by 1 and Michigan by 5.  Their other two road victories came against lowly Florida State and Minnesota.  This will be their toughest test of the entire season to this point.

Purdue is 0-7 ATS after allowing 60 points or less this season.  The Boilermakers are 2-9 ATS following a win by 15 points or more this season.  Purdue is 0-7 ATS in its last seven Saturday games.  The Hoosiers are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 home games.  Bet Indiana Saturday.

20* Miami/Clemson ACC No-Brainer on Clemson ML -120

It's time to 'buy low' on the Clemson Tigers.  They were missing a few key players in recent games and underperformed because of it.  That includes their upset road loss at Boston College last time out.

Now the Tigers are fully healthy and back home today where they are a perfect 12-0 SU this season and have one of the best home-court advantages in the country.  They host at Miami team that has been trading wins and losses in their last nine games.

Indeed, the Hurricanes are 0-4 SU in their last four games following a win.  They have not played well on the road recently going 1-4 SU in their last five road games with their lone win coming at lowly Florida State.

Clemson is 8-1 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season.  The Tigers are 8-1 ATS int heir last nine home games vs. good offensive teams that score 77-plus points per game.  Clemson is 13-2 ATS in its last 15 games vs. top teams that outscore their opponents by 8-plus points per game.  The home team is 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings.  Bet Clemson on the Money Line Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Iowa -2

The Iowa Hawkeyes have one of the best home-court advantages in the country.  They are 11-2 SU & 11-2 ATS at home this season.  They are playing well coming in going 6-2 SU & 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall with their only two losses both coming on the road at Ohio State and at Michigan State.

The Hawkeyes have really been impressive in Big Ten home games beating Northwestern by 16, Rutgers by 11, Maryland by 14, Michigan by 9 and Indiana by 2 in their last five.  Now they host an Illinois team that is getting too much respect from oddsmakers today.

Illinois is 7-1 SU & 7-1 ATS in its last eight games overall against a pretty soft schedule overall and it's time to 'sell high' on them.  They have played Nebraska twice, Wisconsin twice, and Minnesota during this stretch.  Against their three toughest opponents they were all three at home with wins over Michigan State and Ohio State and a 15-point loss to Indiana.

Iowa is 9-0 ATS at home with a total of 150 to 159.5 this season.  Illinois is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games vs. teams that make 8 or more 3-pointers per game after 15-plus game.  The Hawkeyes are 6-0 ATS in their last six games vs. a good team that wins 60% to 80% of its games.  Iowa is 45-20-3 ATS in its last 68 home games.  Bet Iowa Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Iowa State ML +115

Iowa State is going to be highly motivated for a victory today following consecutive road losses at Missouri and at Texas Tech.  They blew a 23-point lead to the Red Raiders and want to get that nasty taste out of their mouth.  They also want revenge on Kansas after losing 60-62 on the road to the Jayhawks in their first meeting this season on January 14th.

Iowa State has one of the best home-court advantages in the country.  They are 11-0 SU at Hilton Coliseum this season and this will be one of the best atmospheres in any venue this season.  Kansas is primed for a letdown after beating Kentucky on the road and getting revenge on K-State at home last time out.

Iowa State is 19-6 ATS in its last 25 home games following a close road loss by 3 points or less.  Bet Iowa State on the Money Line Saturday.

20* Virginia/VA Tech ACC No-Brainer on Virginia Tech PK

Virginia Tech is one of the most unlucky teams in the country this season with several close losses.  They have gotten much healthier recently and could go on a run similar to last season where they finished strong and won the ACC Tournament to make the big dance.  This team is fully capable of doing the same thing.

It's time to 'sell high' on the Virginia Cavaliers, who have won seven consecutive games coming in and has been one of the luckiest teams in the country in close games.  In fact, six of their last seven wins came by 10 points or fewer during this run.  Their luck runs out today.

Virginia Tech beat Virginia 62-53 and 65-51 in its last two home meetings with the Cavaliers.  The favorites is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings and the Hokies will close the favorite.  The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.  Bet Virginia Tech Saturday.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Utah Jazz ML -115

The Utah Jazz have one of the best home-court advantages in the NBA.  They are 18-9 SU at home this season and just have to win tonight to cover the money line for us.  They take on an Atlanta Hawks team that is 13-15 SU & 12-16 ATS on the road this season and has been a terrible road team through the years.

Utah comes in fully healthy, rested and ready to go tonight.  The Jazz will be playing just their 2nd game in 6 days.  The Hawks will be playing their 3rd road game in 5 days after losing at Portland and beating short-handed Phoenix.  

This will be their toughest test of this road trip thus far, and they have Denver on deck tomorrow, so don't be surprised if they limit starters minutes tonight to prepare for that 2nd of a back-to-back.  Utah has two more days off after this, so they will be 'all in' for this one.

Atlanta is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 games following an upset win as an underdog.  The Hawks are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games following an ATS win.  Atlanta is 9-23 ATS in its last 32 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.  The Jazz are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  The Jazz are 6-0 SU in the last six meetings with all six wins by 5 points or more.  Bet the Jazz on the Money Line Friday.

20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on Orlando Magic +5.5

The Orlando Magic have quietly gone 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games overall with outright upset wins over Boston (three times), Philadelphia, Golden State, and the Clippers among others.  They are much better than the books and the bettors are giving them credit for.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are in a sandwich spot here.  They are coming off a huge 119-114 (OT) win over the defending champion Warriors, and now they have the Western Conference-leading Denver Nuggets on deck.  They are in a letdown and lookahead spot here, and I don't think they put their best foot forward because of it.  That's going to make it tough for them to cover this 5.5-point spread against the pesky Magic tonight.

Orlando is 11-2 ATS following two consecutive road games this season.  The Magic are 8-1 ATS in their last nine road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.  Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last five games following an ATS loss.  The Magic are 20-8 ATS in the last 28 meetings, including 12-3 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Minnesota.  Bet the Magic Friday.

15* NBA Eastern Conference PLAY OF THE DAY on Detroit Pistons -1

The Detroit Pistons have a massive rest advantage over the Charlotte Hornets tonight that should lead them to victory in this battle between Eastern Conference bottom feeders.  Detroit was last seen losing 105-111 at Dallas as 8.5-point dogs on Monday, so they have had the last three days off.

Meanwhile, the Hornets will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd road game in 4 days after losses at Milwaukee on Tuesday and at Chicago on Thursday.  Washington played over 38 minutes last night against the Bulls, Ball 35, Rozier 36 and Plumlee 31.  The Hornets won't have much left in the tank for the Pistons tonight.

Detroit is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games when playing 5 or fewer games in 14 days.  The Hornets are 9-19 ATS in their last 28 games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days.  Charlotte is 6-14 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season.  Bet the Pistons Friday.

20* Pac-12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Washington State +7.5

The Washington State Cougars are one of the most underrated teams in the country right now due to their 10-13 record.  But they rank 58th in Kenpom and are the 4th-most unlucky team in the country according to his rankings.  It's easy to see why as they have eight losses by 6 points or less, so they have been unfortunate in close games.

One of their wins came 81-71 at home as 1-point favorites against USC in their first meeting this season.  Now the Cougars are catching 7.5-points in the rematch, which is too much.  That's especially the case with this being a huge letdown spot for USC off the upset win over UCLA last time out, a game I backed the Trojans in.  But I'll gladly fade them here in this spot.

USC is 7-16 ATS in its last 23 games as a home favorite or PK.  The Trojans are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following a home win by 10 points or more.  USC is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games vs. a team with a losing record.  The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.  Bet Washington State Thursday.

15* Clippers/Bucks TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on UNDER 231

This is a very high total for a game involving the Los Angeles Clippers.  They are a dead nuts UNDER team ranking 22nd in pace and 13th in defensive efficiency.  They play even slower when Kawhi Leonard has been in the lineup and are an even better defensive team with him in there.  He has only played in 28 of their 54 games this season.

This total has been inflated largely due to the Bucks playing in three straight high scoring games against the Hornets, Pacers and Pelicans, which are three dead nuts over teams.  They take a big step up in class here at least offensively, where the Clippers match up with them very well.

Plays on the UNDER on home teams where the total is 230 or higher (Milwaukee) - after having won four or five of their last six games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 70-33 (68%) since 1996.  Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Washington +18

The UCLA Bruins have come back down to reality with back-to-back losses at Arizona by 6 and at USC by 13.  This line is adjusted too much in their favor tonight for the bounce-back factor.  They may win, but beating Washington by 19-plus points to beat us is asking too much.

Washington is 4-4 SU & 5-3 ATS in its last eight games overall and has played some of its best basketball on the road during this stretch.  The Huskies only lost by 3 as 19-point dogs at Arizona, lost by 8 as 9-point dogs at Arizona State and upset Colorado outright as 9-point dogs.

Now the Huskies have their sights set on revenge from a 49-74 home loss to UCLA as 11-point dogs in their first meeting this season.  But Washington shot just 34.5% from the field including 2-of-25 (8%) from 3-point range in that game, and that's not going to happen again.

Washington is 9-0 ATS in its last nine road games following two consecutive home games.  The Huskies are 7-0 ATS in their last seven road games following an ATS loss.  Washington is 23-6 ATS in its last 29 games following a loss.  The Huskies are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following a loss by more than 20 points.  Bet Washington Thursday.

15* AAC PLAY OF THE DAY on Wichita State +12.5

The Houston Cougars are 20-2 this season and the No. 3 ranked team in the country.  With that ranking comes expectations that are hard to live up to from the betting public, and thus they are consistently too big of favorites.  That's the case tonight as 12.5-point road favorites at Wichita State.

Houston just lost outright as a 19-point home favorite to Temple, needed a late comeback to beat Cincinnati by 6 as a 14-point favorite, only beat South Florida by 6 as a 23-point favorite and only beat UCF by 6 as a 15-point favorite.  The Cougars aren't invincible like these recent spreads are indicating.

Few teams have played Houston as tough as Wichita State in the American Athletic in recent meetings.  Indeed, the Shockers are 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings with the Cougars.  They only lost by 2 in OT as 6.5-point home dogs, only lost by 10 as 11-point road dogs, upset them by 5 as 7-point home dogs and only lost by 7 as 11-point road dogs in those four meetings.  I think this one is decided by single-digits as well.

Wichita State is 24-9 ATS in its last 33 games as a double-digit underdog.  The Shockers are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games vs. top caliber teams that outscore their opponents by 12-plus points per game.  Bet Wichita State Thursday.

20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on New Orleans Pelicans +4.5

This is the ultimate 'buy low' spot on the New Orleans Pelicans following nine consecutive losses.  It's safe to say they will be highly motivated for a victory tonight, and they are much better than they have shown while battling through injuries lately.  They are now fully healthy with the exception of Zion Williamson and I expect them to upset the Dallas Mavericks tonight.

The Mavericks have been the single-most overvalued team in the NBA. They are 27-25 SU but just 17-33-2 ATS this season.  Luka Doncic has to carry too much of the load for this team, and now he's without second-leading scorer Christian Wood (18.4 PPG, 8.4 RPG).  The Mavericks are 3-6 SU & 2-7 ATS in their last seven games overall.

Dallas is 2-12 ATS following a win by 6 points or less this season.  The Mavericks are 3-13 ATS following a home win this season.  The Mavericks are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games when playing on two days' rest.  Dallas is 5-20-1 ATS in its last 26 games following a win.  Bet the Pelicans Thursday.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Florida State +10.5

The Florida State Seminoles were a disaster in non-conference play this season.  They have been undervalued since.  The Seminoles have gone 5-6 SU but 8-3 ATS in conference play this season.  They have actually done their best work on the road of late, winning outright 84-71 as 4.5-point dogs at Notre Dame and 71-64 as 7.5-point dogs at Pitt in their last two road games.

The Seminoles should not be double-digit underdogs to the NC State Wolfpack tonight.  This feels like a letdown spot for the Wolfpack, who are coming off two straight narrow wins over Notre Dame by 3 as 9.5-point home favorites and Wake Forest by 2 as 3-point road dogs.  They also only beat Miami by 2 in their previous home game.  They remain without Jack Clark (9.1 PPG, 7.3 RPG) and Dusan Mahorcic (8.7 PPG, 6.6 RPG).

The Seminoles are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games following a loss.  The Wolfpack are 17-35-3 ATS in their last 55 home games.  NC State is 0-8 ATS in its last eight games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Bet Florida State Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Villanova/Marquette UNDER 146

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.  Marquette beat Villanova 68-66 for just 134 combined points in their first meeting this season.  I expect another low scoring game that stays UNDER 146 combined points in the rematch as well.

Marquette could be without leading scorer Kam Jones (16.0 PPG), who is questionable after leaving the DePaul game early with a hip injury last time out.  Villanova is without G Jordan Longino (6.7 PPG).  These two injuries will also help us cash in this UNDER ticket.  

Villanova ranks 337th in adjusted tempo this season and always forces opponents to play in the half court.  Marquette will be forced to do the same, especially if they don't have Jones tonight.  Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Magic/76ers UNDER 230.5

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.  This will be the 2nd meeting in 3 days between the 76ers and Magic.  I love betting UNDERS in these situations.  They combined for 228 points in that first meeting on Monday and I expect an even lower scoring game in the rematch.

The 76ers rank 22nd in pace and 5th in defensive efficiency, making them a dead nuts UNDER team.  They will come back with an inspired effort defensively tonight after getting upset by the Magic in that first meeting.

13 of the last 16 meetings in this series have seen 230 or fewer combined points, making for a 13-3 system backing the UNDER pertaining to this 230.5-point total.  Plays on the UNDER where the total is 230 or higher (Philadelphia) - a good team outscoring opponents by 3-plus points per game after allowing 115 points or more in two consecutive games are 74-34 (68.5%) since 1996.  Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

20* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Memphis Grizzlies -5

This is a rare opportunity to 'buy low' on the Memphis Grizzlies after going through their worst stretch of the season.  They finally ended a five-game losing streak with a 112-100 home win over the Pacers last time out.  All five losses came on the road, but the Grizzlies have one of the best home-court advantages in the NBA at home.

Indeed, the Grizzlies are 21-3 SU & 16-8 ATS at home this season and outscoring opponents by 11.2 points per game.  This is a very short number for them to be laying against the Portland Trail Blazers, who are coming off a five-game home stand but are just 10-15 SU & 12-13 ATS on the road.

Memphis is 10-1 ATS after losing four or five of its last six games over the last two seasons.  Portland is 6-18 ATS in its last 24 games vs. a top teams that win between 60% and 70% of their games.  The Blazers are 0-8 ATS in their last eight road games.  The Grizzlies are 36-14-1 ATS in their last 51 home games.  Bet the Grizzlies Wednesday.

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Penn State +10.5

Purdue is the No. 1 ranked team in the country.  With that ranking comes expectations that are going to be difficult for them to live up to.  Now they are double-digit favorites against Penn State tonight, and this number is a few notches too high.

I believe this is a letdown spot for the Boilermakers.  They already beat Penn State 76-63 on a neutral on January 8th.  They are coming off a big home win against Michigan State and have a big road game on deck at Indiana.  That makes this a sandwich spot, and I don't think we get their best effort as a result.

Penn State obviously wants revenge from that earlier defeat.  The Nittany Lions have been playing well going 3-2 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games since that loss to Purdue.  All three wins came by double-digits, and one of the losses came by just 3 points at Wisconsin.

Purdue is 0-6 ATS following eight or more consecutive wins this season.  The Boilermakers are 1-9 ATS following a win by 15 points or more this season.  Purdue is 0-7 ATS following a home win by 10 points or more this season.  Penn State is a perfect 7-0 ATS in its last seven games when revenging a same-season loss.  These four trends combine for a 29-1 system backing the Nittany Lions.  Bet Penn State Wednesday.

20* Pelicans/Nuggets TNT No-Brainer on New Orleans +7

This is the ultimate 'buy low' spot on the New Orleans Pelicans.  They have lost seven consecutive games coming in.  They will want revenge from a 98-99 home loss to the Nuggets on January 24th just a week ago.  I love the value we are getting on the Pelicans tonight catching 7 points in the rematch.

It's not like the Nuggets are playing much better.  They are 1-3 SU in their last four games overall with their lone victory coming by a single point.  That includes an upset home loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder.  They have only won one of their last five home games by double-digits.

The Pelicans are 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings, including 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings in Denver.  Bet the Pelicans Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Kentucky -7.5

The Kentucky Wildcats are playing up to their potential finally in going 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall with their lone loss to Kansas, which came up with clutch 3 after clutch 3 over the weekend to escape with a victory.  They won by 16 at Vanderbilt, upset Tennessee by 7 as double-digit road dogs, beat Georgia by 14 and Texas A&M by 9 at home.

Now the Wildcats actually take a step down in class here against Ole Miss and this one has blowout written all over it with the way the Rebels are going right now.  Indeed, Ole Miss is 1-9 SU & 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games overall with its lone win come against South Carolina, the worst team in the SEC.  They lost by 22 at Oklahoma State, by 12 at home to Missouri, by 12 at Arkansas, were upset at home by Georgia, lost by 9 at home to Auburn, by 10 at Mississippi State, by 22 at Alabama nd were upset as 22.5-point home favorites to North Alabama during this stretch.

Ole Miss is 1-8 ATS as an underdog this season.  The Rebels are 0-6 ATS in their last six games after allowing 80 points or more.  Ole Miss is 0-7 ATS vs. a team that wins 60% to 80% of their games this season.  Bet Kentucky Tuesday.

15* MWC PLAY OF THE DAY on Boise State -7.5

The Boise State Broncos have been destroying teams of late.  They are 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall with their lone loss coming by 2 points at New Mexico as 2.5-point underdogs.  They beat Utah State by 23 at home, UNLV by 18 on the road, Wyoming by 17 on the road, Nevada by 15 at home, Fresno by 10 at home and Colorado State by 21 at home.

Each of Boise State's last six wins have come by double-digits against some very good competition, and now they actually take a step down in class here against Air Force.  The Falcons are 3-6 in their last nine games overall with five losses by 8 points or more.  I don't see them offering much resistance here against the Broncos, either.

Boise State won 85-59 at Air Force last season.  The Broncos are 9-1 ATS after allowing 60 points or less this season.  Boise State is 9-0 ATS in its last nine road games vs. poor foul drawing teams that attempt 18 or fewer free throws per game.  The Broncos are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 road games.  The road team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings.  Bet Boise State Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on UNLV/Colorado State UNDER 143.5

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.  Colorado State beat UNLV 82-81 (OT) on January 14th just over two weeks ago.  That game was tied 70-70 at the end of regulation for 140 combined points.  I think the rematch stays UNDER 143.5 combined points as long as we don't get OT again.

I don't expect the Rams to shoot as well as they did in that first meeting, either.  They shot 50.8% as a team and 43.7% from 3-point range with 14 made 3-pointers.  They rank just 219th in the country in adjusted tempo and will slow it down playing at home tonight.

UNLV is 6-0 UNDER in its last six games when playing a losing team that wins 40% to 49% of their games.  This number has simply been inflated due to that first meeting going to OT.  Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

20* CBB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on West Virginia/TCU UNDER 144

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.  West Virginia just beat TCU 74-65 for 139 combined points less than two weeks ago on January 18th.  Both teams shot well in that game, too as the Mountaineers shot 46.3% while the Horned Frogs shot 52.4%.  The teams combined for 39 made free throws on 52 attempts as well.

Mike Miles Jr. scored 21 points in that first meeting for TCU.  Well, the Horned Frogs won't have their best player in Miles Jr. (18.1 PPG) for the rematch after suffering a knee injury against Mississippi State over the weekend.  He runs the show for them and is tremendous in transition.  The Horned Frogs won't be looking to push the tempo nearly as much without him.

West Virginia and TCU have combined for 144 or fewer points in each of their last seven meetings, making for a 6-0-1 system backing the UNDER pertaining to this 144-point total.  Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

20* SEC GAME OF THE WEEK on Vanderbilt +15.5

Vanderbilt has been a tremendous bet as a road underdog.  The Commodores are 5-1 ATS as road underdogs this season with two outright upsets and not a single loss by more than 9 points.  They lost by 3 at Missouri as 8.5-point dogs, by 9 at Tennessee as 16.5-point dogs and by 6 at Texas A&M as 9.5-point dogs.  They can stay within 15.5 points of Alabama tonight.

The Crimson Tide beat the Commodores 78-66 at Vanderbilt as 9-point favorites in their first meeting this season on January 17th.  I always like backing the road underdog in the rematch after losing the first meeting.  Vanderbilt shot 30.1% as a team and 6-of-33 (18.2%) from 3-point range in that first meeting and still only lost by 12.  I'd have to expect them to improve their shooting in the rematch.

The Commodores are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 road games.  Vanderbilt is 21-5-1 ATS in its last 27 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  Alabama is 8-18-1 ATS in its last 27 home games.  The road team is 19-6-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings.  The underdog is 20-7-1 ATS in the last 28 meetings.

The Crimson Tide are 0-5 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a losing record.  Vanderbilt is 8-0 ATS in its last eight road games revenging a loss where opponents scored 75 points or more.  The Commodores are 7-0 ATS in their last seven road games following a loss by 6 points or less.  Alabama is 0-6 ATS in its last six games after allowing 90 points or more.  These four trends combined for a perfect 26-0 system backing the Commodores.  Bet Vanderbilt Tuesday.

15* NBA Monday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Detroit Pistons +8.5

The Dallas Mavericks have been getting respect all season that has been unwarranted.  They are 26-25 SU but just 17-32-2 ATS this season.  They are just 3-8 SU & 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall.  They are without second-leading scorer Christian Wood right now, plus Luka Doncic is questionable with an ankle injury.  I like the Pistons at this number whether or not Doncic plays.

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Pistons, who have gone 2-8 SU & 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  They pulled off the 130-122 upset win at Brooklyn as identical 8.5-point dogs in their last road game.  They are rested and ready to go playing just their 4th game in 11 days tonight.  Detroit pulled the 131-125 upset as 8-point home dogs to the Mavericks in their first meeting this season.

Detroit is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games when playing 5 or fewer games in 14 days.  Dallas is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games when revenging a loss as a favorite of 7 points or more.  Bet the Pistons Monday.

15* NBA Monday Undervalued Underdog on Oklahoma City Thunder +5.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the most undervalued team in the NBA for two seasons running now.  That has especially been the case of late as the Thunder are 8-3 SU & 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall with all three losses coming by 5 points or fewer.  They are showing tremendous value catching 5.5 points at home to the Golden State Warriors tonight.

The Warriors have been dreadful on the road this season going 6-18 SU & 8-16 ATS away from home.  They play zero defense on the highway, allowing 122.9 points per game on 49% shooting.  The Thunder are 15-10 SU & 16-9 ATS at home this season and scoring 119.4 points per game on 48% shooting.

The Warriors are 2-10 ATS in road games following a win this season.  Oklahoma City is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games vs. good offensive teams that average 116 or more points per game.  The Thunder are 8-0-1 ATS in their last nine games vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the Thunder Monday.

20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Sacramento Kings PK

I love the spot for the Sacramento Kings tonight.  They will be out for revenge from a 110-117 road loss at Minnesota on Saturday.  Now they get their shot at revenge here two days later and are the fresher team by far.

While the Kings will only be playing their 2nd game in 5 days, the Timberwolves will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days and their 11th game in 18 days.  This is a clear letdown spot for the Timberwolves after just beating the Kings, plus it's a lookahead spot with the defending champion Warriors on deck Wednesday.  I expect the Kings to give an A-plus effort and the Timberwolves to be flat tonight.

Plays on road teams (Sacramento) - revenging a loss, while also off two or more consecutive upset losses as favorites are 42-21 (66.7%) ATS over the last five seasons.  The Kings are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games when playing on one days' rest.  Bet the Kings Monday.

20* NBA Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Memphis Grizzlies -8.5

The Memphis Grizzlies will be highly motivated for a victory tonight.  They have lost a season-high five consecutive games, but all five losses came on the road.  Now they are back home where they are 20-3 SU & 15-8 ATS this season and outscoring opponents by 11.2 points per game.

The Grizzlies get a step down in class here against the Indiana Pacers, who have really been struggling without their best player in Tyrese Haliburton (20.2 PPG, 10.2 APG), who is one of the most underrated players in the NBA.  The Pacers are 1-9 SU & 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall and this run has coincided with the loss of Haliburton.  Five of their last seven losses have been by double-digits so they have rarely been competitive.

Memphis is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games after losing four or five of its last six games.  The Grizzlies are 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games vs. Central Division opponents.  The Grizzlies beat the Pacers 130-112 as 7.5-point road favorites on January 14th, and now are only 8.5-point home favorites in the rematch.  The Grizzlies are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in the last three meetings with wins by 18, 30 and 33 points.  Bet the Grizzlies Sunday.

20* CBB DOG OF THE WEEK on Michigan State +8

The Michigan State Spartans want revenge from a 63-64 home loss to Purdue on January 16th less than two weeks ago.  I think they can stay within 8 points on the road in the rematch and possibly pull off the upset, especially since they have a healthy Malik Hall for the rematch after not having him available in the first meeting.

Purdue has been one of the luckiest teams in the country winning most of their close games.  They have three wins by 5 points or less in their last four games with the exception being a blowout win over lowly Minnesota.  They only won by 1 at Michigan State, by 3 at home against Maryland and by 5 at Michigan.  They lost outright at home to Rutgers for their lone defeat this season.

Purdue is 0-7 ATS following six or more consecutive wins this season.  The Boilermakers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight home games.  Purdue is 1-9-2 ATS in its last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.  The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  It's time to 'sell high' on the Boilermakers today.  Bet Michigan State Sunday.

15* Lakers/Celtics ABC ANNIHILATOR on Los Angeles +8

The Los Angeles Lakers want revenge from a 118-122 (OT) home loss to the Boston Celtics in which they blew a double-digit lead in the final minutes on December 13th in their first meeting this season.  They have Anthony Davis back healthy now and both James and Walker IV are questionable for this one.

The Celtics will be without their glue guy in Marcus Smart, who is one of the most underrated players in the NBA.  That has shown as the Celtics are 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games without him losing by 15 at Orlando as 7.5-point favorites, losing by 3 at Miami as 2.5-point dogs and lost by 3 at home to New York as 8.5-point favorites.

The Celtics are 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall with their two wins during this stretch coming by 3 and 2 points.  They aren't blowing anyone out.  The Lakers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall with only one loss by more than 5 points in their last eight games.  Los Angeles is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games overall dating back further, including 4-1 ATS in its last five road games.  Bet the Lakers Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Lakers/Celtics UNDER 237.5

Recent overtime games by the Celtics have inflated this total.  They are much more of a defensive-minded team since Robert Williams came back, and they are lacking on offense of late as teams have figured them out, plus they played bigger instead of small ball with Williams.

The UNDER would be 5-0 in Celtics last five games overall if not for OT.  They have combined for 220, 193, 211, 210 and 212 points at the end of regulation in their last five games overall.  This total has been inflated way up to 237.5 points, and there's clear value with the UNDER.

Speaking of OT games, Boston beat Los Angeles 122-118 in OT in their first meeting this season.  But that game was tied 110-110 at the end of regulation for just 220 combined points.  And I think this game should be much closer to 220 than 240 tonight given the rivalry and how both teams have been playing of late.

Boston is 14-5 UNDER with a total of 230 or higher this season.  The UNDER is 5-0 in Lakers last five games when playing on two days' rest.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

15* SEC PLAY OF THE DAY on Vanderbilt +10.5

The Vanderbilt Commodores don't get blown out often and will give the Texas A&M Aggies a run for their money tonight.  They have just one loss by more than 12 points all season and that came against Kentucky.  They only lost by 3 at Missouri, by 9 at Tennessee, by 5 at VCU, upset Temple and upset Georgia in their five true road games this season.

It's time to 'sell high' on the Texas A&M Aggies.  They have gone 8-1 SU & 6-3 ATS in their last nine games overall.  They are coming off a brutal three-game stretch beating Florida by 2 at home, losing by 9 at Kentucky and upsetting Auburn on the road.  That makes this a natural letdown spot for the Aggies after handing Auburn its first home loss in ages.

Vanderbilt is 9-0 ATS in its last nine games following a double-digit home loss.  The Commodores are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 road games following a loss.  Vanderbilt is 9-1 ATS in road games following three consecutive games where it committed 14 or fewer turnovers.  The Commodores are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 road games, including 20-5-1 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  Bet Vanderbilt Saturday.

20* NBA Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Sacramento Kings -2.5

This is a terrible spot for the Minnesota Timberwolves tonight.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 10th game in 16 days, which is about as tough of a situation as you will see in the NBA.  

Don't be surprised if they rest some starters after four starters played at least 30 minutes last night including 37 from Russell and 36 from Edwards.  It's also a letdown spot for the Timberwolves off an upset win over the Grizzlies, who knocked them out of the playoffs last year, so they definitely wanted some revenge last night and got it.

The Kings come in on two days' rest and will test Minnesota's tired legs by playing at one of the fastest paces in the NBA.  They will also be highly motivated for a win off an upset loss to the Raptors last time out.  The Kings have been a great road team this season at 11-9 SU & 13-7 ATS.  The Kings are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.  Bet the Kings Saturday.

20* NBA Saturday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on New Orleans Pelicans -4

It's safe to say the New Orleans Pelicans will be highly motivated for a victory tonight.  They have lost six consecutive games coming into this one.  But they just got Brandon Ingram back from injury last game, and they are at full strength with the exception of Zion Williamson.  This is a great spot to 'buy low' on the Pelicans, who also come in on two days' rest.

It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Washington Wizards, who are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall against a pretty soft schedule.  PF Kristaps Porzingis is out for the Wizards while PG Monte Morris is questionable.  The Pelicans beat the Wizards 132-112 on the road in their first meeting this season on January 9th.

The Wizards are 15-36-1 ATS in their last 52 games when playing on two days' rest.  Washington is 6-15-2 ATS in its last 23 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  New Orleans is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  The Pelicans are 4-0 ATS in their last four home meetings with the Wizards.  Bet the Pelicans Saturday.

20* Kansas/Kentucky ESPN No-Brainer on Kansas +3

The Kansas Jayhawks have never lost more than three games in a row under Bill Self.  Well, they come in on a three-game losing streak with losses to Kansas State, TCU and Baylor.  It's safe to say they will be highly motivated for a victory today.

We'll 'buy low' on the Jayhawks, who also want revenge from a home loss to Kentucky last season.  We'll 'sell high' on the Wildcats, who have gone 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall, while Kansas has failed to cover the spread in five consecutive games.

Kentucky is 0-6 ATS vs. good shooting teams that make 45% or better this season.  The Wildcats are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 home games.  Bet Kansas Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday Night Line Mistake on Los Angeles Clippers PK

The Los Angeles Clippers are a dangerous team when both Paul George and Kawhi Leonard are healthy.  That has been the case in recent games and it has shown.  The Clippers are 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last four games overall with wins by 5, 14, 18 and 38 points.

Now they make it five in a row as a PK on the road at the Atlanta Hawks.  The Hawks had lost to the Hornets by 4 at home and the Bulls by 11 on the road before getting a 5-point win at OKC.  They take a huge step up in class here after playing a very easy schedule of late.

Atlanta is 4-17 ATS in its last 21 games following a win by 6 points or less.  The Hawks are 6-18 ATS in their last 24 games following an ATS win.  Atlanta is 0-5 ATS in its last five games when playing on two days' rest.  Bet the Clippers Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Fresno State +4.5

Fresno State has been great at home this season in conference play.  The Bulldogs upset Wyoming, New Mexico and UNLV at home with their lone loss coming by 3 points.  Now I expect them to upset Utah State, but we'll take the points for some insurance.

Utah State has lost its last three conference road games by double-digits.  The Aggies lost by 23 as 2-point dogs at Boise, by 15 as 2-point dogs at Nevada and by 10 as 7-point dogs at San Diego State.  They also lost at Fresno State last season.

Utah State is 14-40 ATS in its last 54 road games following a road loss.  The Aggies are 1-8 ATS in their last nine road games following four consecutive games where they forced 14 or fewer turnovers.  Utah State is 2-2 SU & 0-4 ATS in its last four games overall with its two wins both coming at home by 4 over UNLV and by 1 over San Jose State.  Bet Fresno State Saturday.

20* CBB TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Utah State/Fresno State UNDER 134.5

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.  This will be the second meeting between Utah State and Fresno State this season.  The Aggies won 67-54 for just 121 combined points in their first meeting on December 31st that was played at a snail's pace.  It will be more of the same in the rematch.

Fresno State ranks 333rd in adjusted tempo, 255th in adjusted offense and 80th in adjusted defense.  They will control the tempo playing at home.  This had been a very low-scoring series as it is with the UNDER 5-0 in the last five meetings.  It would be 6-0 in the last six if not for OT.

Indeed, Utah State and Fresno State have combined for 121, 115, 108, 122, 130 and 122 points at the end of regulation in their last six meetings, respectively.  That's an average of just 119.7 combined points per game, which is 15 points less than tonight's posted total.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

15* Texas/Tennessee ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Texas +6.5

This line should be much closer to PK.  Both Tennessee and Texas enter 17-3 this season but the difference is Texas played in the best conference in the country in the Big 12, while Tennessee plays in the SEC.  The Longhorns have played the tougher schedule and are more ready for this game.

The Longhorns have shown they can still be great without Chris Beard as they have won five of their last six games overall with their lone loss coming at Iowa State.  Kentucky won at Tennessee outright as a big underdog a few weeks ago, so it can be done.

Tennessee ranks 1st in the country in defensive efficiency, and while no denying they are a great defensive team, they have been fortunate with opposing teams missing open shots.  Opponents are only hitting 21.6% on 3-pointers against them and 25% of open 3's, which is just pure luck.  Texas scores 80.5 points per game this season and will test the Vols' D more than anyone has up to this point.  The Longhorns rank 12th in adjusted offense and 27th in adjusted defense.  Bet Texas Saturday.

15* Pac-12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Washington +9.5

The Arizona Wildcats are just 3-6 ATS in their last nine games overall and not blowing anyone out of late.  They are in a tough spot here following three consecutive wins over USC at home, UCLA at home and Washington State on the road.  Asking them to beat the Huskies by double-digits is asking too much.

Washington has been grossly undervalued of late.  The Huskies are 4-3 SU & 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall with only one loss by double-digits during this stretch.  They only lost by 3 at Arizona, by 8 at Arizona State, they upset Colorado on the road and upset Arizona State at home.  Now they want revenge from that 3-point road loss at Arizona on January 5th, which proved they could hang with the Wildcats.

Washington is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games following three consecutive games as an underdog.  The Huskies are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. teams that make eight or more 3-pointers per game.  Arizona is 2-9 ATS vs. teams that force 14 or fewer turnovers per game this season.  Bet Washington Saturday.

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE MONTH on Wisconsin +2

It's time to 'buy low' on the Wisconsin Badgers.  They have lost five of their last six games overall and have failed to cover the spread in nine consecutive games.  Now they are catching points at home to Illinois and will be out for revenge on the Fighting Illini after losing 69-79 to them on January 7th on the road.

But the Badgers didn't have their best player in Tyler Wahl for that game, and they have struggled without him.  He is back now and the Badgers are as healthy as they have been in a long time and looking to make a run.

We'll 'sell high' on Illinois, which is 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in its last six games overall against an easy schedule.  Four of the six games were at home and the two road wins came at lowly Nebraska and Minnesota, arguably the two worst teams in the Big Ten.  They also lost at Northwestern in their road game prior.

Wisconsin is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games when the line is +3 to -3.  Illinois is 0-9 ATS in its last nine games vs. teams that make 8 or more 3-pointers per game after 15-plus games.  The Fighting Illini are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 road games after going under the total in their previous game.  Bet Wisconsin Saturday.

15* AAC PLAY OF THE DAY on Cincinnati +14

Houston has actually been way better on the road than it has been at home this season.  Let's just look at Houston's recent home games.  They lost outright as 19-point favorites to Temple, only beat South Florida by 6 as 23-point favorites and only beat UCF by 6 as 15-point favorites in three of their last four home games.

Cincinnati wants revenge from a 59-72 home loss to Houston in their first meeting this season.  That was a rare loss for the Bearcats, who have gone 8-3 SU & 7-4 ATS in their last 11 games overall.  The Bearcats have just one loss by more than 13 points this season, so they don't get blown out easily.

The Bearcats have a big advantage in rest and preparation as they come in on five days' rest while the Cougars come in on two days' rest after playing a road game at UCF on Wednesday, while the Bearcats last played on Sunday.

The Bearcats are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss.  Cincinnati is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games overall.  The Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games.  Bet Cincinnati Saturday.

15* Raptors/Warriors NBA TV Late-Night BAILOUT on Toronto +5.5

The Toronto Raptors are fully healthy right now and playing well.  They have gone 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall with their lone loss coming by 2 to Boston as 3.5-point dogs.  They beat the Knicks by 9 as 2.5-point home favorites and also upset the Warriors by 18 as 3-point road dogs.

Now the Raptors are rested and ready to go tonight playing just their 2nd game in 5 days and will be highly motivated to try and beat the defending champion Warriors.  This is a Warriors team that is just 4-6 SU & 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games overall and could be without Andrew Wiggins tonight.  They have just one win by double-digits and two wins by more than 6 points in their last 14 games overall, so they aren't blowing anyone out.

Toronto is 14-2 ATS in its last 16 games following two consecutive wins.  The Raptors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  The Warriors are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games.  Bet the Raptors Friday.

20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on Orlando Magic +8.5

The Orlando Magic have quietly gone 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games overall with 10 outright upsets as underdogs.  They are way better than they get credit for, and we'll continue to back them until the oddsmakers and betting public catch up to them.  The Magic are catching too many points tonight against the Miami Heat.

Miami is in a letdown spot following a 98-95 win over the Boston Celtics last time out.  The Heat haven't been blowing out anyone as they have only two wins in their last 11 games by more than 8 points.  They won't be blowing out the Magic tonight, either.

Orlando is 7-0 ATS following a win by 6 points or less this season.  Miami is 11-21 ATS as a favorite this season.  Orlando is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on one day of rest.  The Magic are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Heat are 9-19-2 ATS in their last 30 games following a win, and 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games following an ATS win.  Miami is 1-6 ATS in its last seven games when playing on two days' rest.  Orlando is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings, and 6-2 ATS in the last eight trips to Miami.  Bet the Magic Friday.

20* NBA Friday No-Doubt Rout on Memphis Grizzlies -2.5

The Memphis Grizzlies have lost a season-high four consecutive games with three of those losses coming by a combined 5 points.  It's safe to say they will be highly motivated for a victory tonight so they don't get swept on this five-game road trip.  A motivated Grizzlies team as a short favorite is one that I definitely want to get behind.

We will 'buy low' on the Grizzlies tonight, while also 'selling high' on the Minnesota Timberwolves, who have gone 9-4 SU & 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 games overall.  The Timberwolves have taken advantage of a pretty easy schedule during this run, but this is a big step up in class for them tonight.

Memphis is a perfect 9-0 ATS in its last nine games after having lost four or five of its last six games.  The Grizzlies are 19-8 ATS in their last 27 meetings with the Timberwolves.  Bet the Grizzlies Friday.

20* Pac-12 GAME OF THE WEEK on USC +5

The USC Trojans are improving rapidly.  They have gone 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall and have a huge home-court advantage, going 9-1 SU at home this season.  Now they want revenge from a 58-60 road loss at UCLA in their first meeting this season on January 5th.

The Trojans come back as 5-point home underdogs in the rematch, and I think they have a great chance to win this game outright, but we'll take the points for some insurance.  UCLA is coming off a loss at Arizona to end a 14-game winning streak.  

I always like fading teams after having a long winning streak snapped because there tends to be a hangover effect in that next game.  That's especially the case for UCLA here as they were way more motivated to face Arizona than they will be to beat USC for a second time this season.

The Trojans are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games vs. a team with a winning record.  USC is 4-0 ATS in its last four home games.  The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.  The home team is 7-2 SU in the last nine meetings.  USC is 4-0 SU in its last four home meetings with UCLA.  Bet USC Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Seattle +6.5

Seattle is 16-4 this season and one of the most underrated teams in the country.  That has played out here of late in conference play with the schedule getting easier for them.  The Redhawks are now 8-0 SU & 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall with four wins by 15 points or more.

Sam Houston State is also a quality team at 15-5 this season with some impressive non-conference wins.  But the Bearkats should not be favored by 6.5 points over Seattle tonight.  This game should be much closer to PK, so we'll take advantage and back the value on the road underdog Redhawks.

Sam Houston State is 0-5-1 ATS in its last six games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Seattle is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games vs. good offensive teams that average 77 or more points per game after 15-plus games.  Seattle beat Sam Houston State 78-63 last season and brought back almost their entire team this season.  This one will go down to the wire tonight folks.  Bet Seattle Thursday.

20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Detroit Pistons +9

The Brooklyn Nets are in a terrible spot tonight.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 133-137 loss in Philadelphia last night.  They will be playing in their 6th different city in 10 days after playing their last five games on the road.  The Nets are just 2-5 SU in their last seven games without Kevin Durant with three losses by double-digits.  

Irving played 38 minutes, Claxton 38, Curry 34 and O-Neale 34 last night for the Nets.  They won't have much left in the tank for the Pistons, and that's going to make it very difficult to win by double-digits, which is what it's going to take to beat us tonight.

The Pistons are rested and ready to go playing just their 3rd game in 11 days.  That makes it a great time to 'buy low' on the Pistons, who have gone 1-7 SU & 1-7 ATS in their last eight games overall.  They are primed for one of their biggest efforts of the season tonight given the favorable spot.

Detroit is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing 5 or fewer games in 14 days.  Brooklyn is 0-8 ATS in its last eight home games after losing four or five of its last six games.  Brooklyn is 2-13 ATS in its last 15 games vs. a team that wins less than 25% of their games.  The Nets are 14-39-2 ATS in their last 55 home games.  Detroit is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings.  Bet the Pistons Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday Total DOMINATOR on SMU/Memphis UNDER 151

The books have set the bar too high tonight in this game between SMU and Memphis.  Just looking at recent head-to-head history, this total has been set too high at 151 points.  We'll take advantage and back the UNDER.

The UNDER is 6-2 in the last eight meetings but would be 9-0 in the last nine meetings with a total of 151.  Memphis and SMU have combined for 148 or fewer points in each of their last nine meetings.  They have averaged just 134.6 combined points per game in those nine meetings, which is over 16 points less than this total.  They have combined for 133 or fewer points in each of their last four meetings as well.  Enough said.  Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday.

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Michigan State -2

Michigan State is 8-2 SU & 6-4 ATS at home this season with one of the losses coming to No. 1 ranked Purdue by a single point.  Iowa is 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS in Big Ten road games this season with losses to Nebraska by 16, Penn State by 4 and Ohio State by 16.  The Spartans should be bigger home favorites over the Hawkeyes tonight.

Michigan State is 17-2 SU & 13-6 ATS in its last 19 home meetings with Iowa.  The Spartans are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games after playing a game as an underdog.  The Hawkeyes are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games.  The Spartans are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games.  Bet Michigan State Thursday.

15* NBA Wednesday Late-Night BAILOUT on San Antonio Spurs +6.5

I'll gladly fade the Los Angeles Lakers in a terrible spot tonight. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 7th game in 11 days after a loss to the Los Angeles Clippers last night. They won't be nearly as motivated to beat the Spurs as they were the Clippers.

That's especially the case considering the Lakers have already beaten the Spurs three times this season alone. That means the Spurs will be playing with triple-revenge, and thus they will be the more motivated team.

The Spurs have quietly gone 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall. They will be the way fresher team playing just their 3rd game in 8 days. The Lakers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games following a double-digit home loss. Bet the Spurs Wednesday.

20* Grizzlies/Warriors ESPN No-Brainer on OVER 235

The books missed their mark badly with this opening total in this showdown between the Golden State Warriors and Memphis Grizzlies. These are two dead nuts OVER teams, especially with how they have been playing of late.

The Grizzlies have really slipped defensively of late allowing 112 or more points in nine of their last 10 games overall. But they have scored 115 or more points in 12 of their last 14 games overall. They are without Steven Adams, which makes them even more of an OVER team.

The Golden State Warriors have been terrible defensively all season allowing 118.0 points per game. But they have gotten healthy recently and are scoring at will. The Warriors have scored 116 or more points in six consecutive games coming in.

The OVER is 8-3 in Grizzlies last 11 games overall. The OVER is 5-1-1 in Warriors last seven games overall. The OVER is 4-0 in Warriors last four games following a loss. Be the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* Big East PLAY OF THE DAY on Butler/Providence UNDER 139.5

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games. Providence beat Butler 72-52 for just 124 combined points in their first meeting this season on January 29th. Points will be hard to come by in the rematch as well tonight.

This has been an UNDER series. Butler and Providence have combined for 137 or fewer points at the end of regulation in each of their last nine meetings. That makes for a 9-0 system backing the UNDER pertaining to this 139.5-point total. Enough said. Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday UPSET SHOCKER on Oklahoma City Thunder +1

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the single most underrated team in the NBA over the past couple seasons. They continue to get no respect as home underdogs to the Atlanta Hawks tonight.

The Thunder are 7-2 SU & 9-0 ATS in their last nine games overall. That includes six outright upsets as underdogs, which they just have a habit of doing. They should be favored over the Hawks at home tonight.

The Thunder come in rested and ready to go on two days' rest. The Hawks will be playing their 4th game in 6 days and their 8th game in 12 days tonight. They are starting to wear down after getting upset by the Hornets as 7.5-point home favorites two games ago, they lost by 11 at Chicago as 1-point road dogs last time out.

The Hawks are 7-23 ATS in their last 30 home games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Oklahoma City is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games playing on two days' rest. The Thunder are 25-11 ATS in the last 36 meetings. Bet the Thunder Wednesday.

20* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Orlando Magic -4.5

The Orlando Magic have quietly gone 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games overall. This team is way better than they get credit for, and they are as healthy as they have been all season right now.

Now the Magic take on the struggling Indiana Pacers, who are 1-7 SU & 2-6 ATS i n their last eight games overall. They are without their best player in Tyrese Haliburton (20.2 PPG, 10.2 APG), and their recent struggles are due to missing one of the most underrated players in the NBA.

The Pacers ended a seven-game losing streak with a 116-110 comeback victory over Chicago last night. But that was a Bulls team playing the 2nd of a back-to-back. Now the Pacers are the team playing the 2nd of a back-to-back with travel. Four players played at least 32 minutes for the Pacers last night, and they won't have much left in the tank for the Magic.

The Pacers are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games. The Magic are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games playing on one days' rest. Bet the Magic Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on South Florida/Temple UNDER 140

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games. This will be the 2nd meeting between South Florida and Temple. Temple won the first meeting 68-64 for just 132 combined points. The books have set the bar too high in the rematch with a 140-point total, and we'll take advantage and back the UNDER.

The UNDER is 4-1 in the last five meetings. Temple and South Florida have combined for 132, 122, 101, 144 and 112 points in the last five meetings. They have averaged just 122.2 combined points per game in those five meetings, which is 18 points less than tonight's posted total. There's a ton of value on the UNDER tonight.

Temple is 12-0 UNDER in its last 12 Wednesday games. The UNDER is 9-3 in Owls last 12 games overall. Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

15* SEC PLAY OF THE DAY on Georgia +17

The Georgia Bulldogs are off to a 13-6 SU & 10-9 ATS start in former Florida head coach Mike White's first season on the job. He is exceeding expectations already, and the Bulldogs are undervalued as 17-point road underdogs to Tennessee tonight.

It's time to 'sell high' on the Volunteers, who are 7-1 SU & 5-3 ATS in their last eight games overall and coming off a pair of double-digit road wins over LSU and Mississippi State. They have a huge game on deck against Texas Saturday and could be looking ahead to that one.

Georgia has had Tennessee's number, going 6-4 SU & 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. The Bulldogs are 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings. Bet Georgia Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on South Carolina +17.5

It's time to 'sell high' on the Florida Gators tonight. They have won four of their last five while going 4-0 ATS in their last four. They are now laying too many points to South Carolina tonight.

Conversely, we'll 'buy low' on the Gamecocks, who are 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall. This run followed up a 71-68 upset at Kentucky as 20-point dogs to flash their potential. They can hang with Florida, too.

Home-court advantage has meant nothing in this series. The road team is actually 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings. South Carolina upset Florida as 7.5, 11.5 and 10.5-point dogs in its last three trips to Gainesville. Bet South Carolina Wednesday.

20* AAC GAME OF THE WEEK on South Florida +6.5

The Temple Owls are in the ultimate letdown spot. They are coming off a massive 56-55 upset road win at No. 1 ranked Houston. It's only human nature for them to have a letdown following one of the biggest wins in program history.

That's especially the case since they play a South Florida team that they've already beaten 68-64 on the road in their first meeting this season on January 4th. They won't be nearly as motivated to beat them a second time.

South Florida is playing its best basketball of the season of late and is ready to pull off this upset. The Bulls upset ECU 81-70 as road underdogs and UCF 85-72 as home underdogs. They also only lost by 6 at Houston as 23-point dogs in going 3-1 ATS in their last four games overall.

South Florida is 8-2 ATS as an underdog this season. The Bulls are 6-0 ATS after playing two consecutive home games this season. USF is 36-17-1 ATS in its last 54 road games. The road team is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Bet South Florida Wednesday.

20* Clippers/Lakers TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on UNDER 232.5

The Los Angeles Clippers are a dead nuts UNDER team. They rank 26th in the NBA in pace, 22nd in offensive efficiency and 11th in defensive efficiency. They have been even more of an UNDER team when Kawhi Leonard has been healthy, which he is right now.

The Lakers are more of an over team, but they have combined for 234 or fewer points in five of their last seven game overall with the UNDER going 6-1. They are missing Davis, Reaves and Walker while the Clippers are missing Wall and Kennard, and those losses hurt both teams more offensively than defensively.

Each of the first two meetings between the Clippers and Lakers this season have been very low scoring. They combined for 200 points in the first meeting on October 20th with a 226.5-point total. They combined for 215 points with a 219.5-point total in the 2nd meeting on November 9th. And now the books have jacked this total up to 232.5, so there's clearly big value on the UNDER.

The Lakers and Clippers have combined for 225 or fewer points in 11 of their last 13 meetings, which makes for an 11-2 system backing the UNDER pertaining to this 232.5-point total. Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Washington Wizards +7.5

The Washington Wizards are playing much better of late since getting Bradley Beal back from injury. After upsetting the Knicks 116-105 as 5-point dogs two games ago, they came back and blasted the Magic 138-118 as 6.5-point home favorites.

Now the Wizards have had the last two days off and are as rested as they have been all season. They will also be playing just their 2nd game in 6 days as well as their 4th game in 11 days.

The Dallas Mavericks are just 2-6 SU & 2-6 ATS in their last eight games overall and don't deserve to be 7.5-point favorites here. In fact, they have been one of the most overrated teams in the NBA this season at just 16-30-2 ATS in their 48 games. They are without second-leading scorer Christian Wood (18.4 PPG, 8.4 RPG) right now, which puts too much on Luka Doncic's shoulders.

The Wizards are 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings with the Mavericks with three outright upsets as 6, 6 and 7.5-point dogs as well as a 1-point loss as 4.5-point dogs. This line should be much closer to PK. Bet the Wizards Tuesday.

15* MVC PLAY OF THE DAY on Murray State/Southern Illinois UNDER 132

Familiarity favors defense and low-scoring games. This will be the 2nd meeting between Southern Illinois and Murray State this season. The Salukis won 63-57 on the road for 120 combined points in their first meeting this season.

It will be more of the same in the rematch today with this game being played at a snail's pace. Southern Illinois ranks 323rd in adjusted tempo and 37th in adjusted defense and will control the tempo playing at home. Murray State ranks just 219th in adjusted tempo.

Southern Illinois is 11-1 UNDER in its last 12 games vs. a team with a winning record in the second half of the season. The Salukis are 21-5 UNDER in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning record overall. Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Oklahoma/TCU UNDER 138.5

This is a very high total for any game involving the Oklahoma Sooners. They are a dead nuts UNDER team, raking 325th in adjusted tempo and 57th in adjusted defense this season. They take on a TCU team that ranks 14th in adjusted defense.

It tends to be a defensive battle when these two teams get together. Indeed, Oklahoma and TCU have combined for 135, 100 and 128 points in their last three meetings, respectively. All three finished UNDER this 138.5-point total. Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

20* Penn State/Rutgers Big Ten No-Brainer on Penn State +6.5

This is a very evenly matched game tonight. Penn State is 13-6 SU & 12-7 ATS while Rutgers is 13-6 SU & 13-6 ATS. The Scarlet Knights deserve some respect for home-court advantage, but this line should be 3 or less, not 6.5. There's clearly value with the road underdog Nittany Lions.

Penn State is 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in its last four meetings with Rutgers with its lone loss coming by a single point, 58-59 as 5.5-point road dogs. I think this game comes down to the final possession, too.

The Nittany Lions are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games. Penn State is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The underdog is 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Bet Penn State Tuesday.

20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on San Antonio Spurs +8.5

The San Antonio Spurs have quietly gone 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall and have been very competitive even in losing efforts. Now they are catching too many points tonight against the Portland Trail Blazers.

While the Spurs are rested on two days' rest and playing just their 2nd game in 6 days, the Blazers will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 112-121 home loss to the Los Angeles Lakers last night. It was their 3rd consecutive loss by 9 points or more.

The Blazers have no business being this heavily favored against anyone considering they are just 2-8 SU & 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Lillard played 39 minutes, Simons 38, Grant 34 and Hart 32 last night, so they won't have much left in the tank for the Spurs tonight.

Portland is 4-16 ATS in its last 20 games following an upset loss as a favorite. San Antonio is 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in its last six meetings with Portland. Bet the Spurs Monday.