15* SC/Florida ESPN Tuesday No-Brainer on South Carolina +9

The Florida Gators are being overvalued right now due to their eight-game winning streak.  That has shown of late as they have failed to cover two of their last three.  They only beat Texas A&M by 9 as 11-point home favorites and Mississippi State by 5 as 10.5-point road favorites.

Conversely, South Carolina comes in undervalued due to losing two straight and going 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall.  The Gamecocks are still one of the top teams in the SEC despite this recent slide, and they are certainly better than this 9-point spread would indicate.  Five of their seven losses this season have come by single-digits.

South Carolina beat Florida 57-53 at home earlier this season.  Florida is 0-8 ATS revenging a same season loss over the last three seasons.  The Gators are also 0-11 ATS after a combined score of 115 points or less over the past three years.  Roll with South Carolina Tuesday.

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Penn State +8

Penn State has been a quality home team this season at 9-5 SU & 7-4 ATS in lined games.  The Nittany Lions beat Maryland 70-64 as 3.5-point dogs in their last home games.  After back-to-back road games at Illinois and Nebraska, they'll be looking forward to playing at home tonight.

Penn State will also be out for revenge from a 52-77 loss at Purdue in their first meeting this season.  Now the Nittany Lions will be playing with a full week of rest having played last Tuesday on February 14th.  Meanwhile, Purdue just played on Saturday, getting only two days to prepare for the Nittany Lions.  That's a huge edge in rest and preparation for the home squad here.

The Boilermakers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a road favorite of 7.0-12.5 points.  The Nittany Lions are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.  Penn State is 7-1 ATS in home games where the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.  Take Penn State Tuesday.

20* Iowa State/Texas Tech Big 12 No-Brainer on Texas Tech -1.5

Texas Tech is squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament and needs a strong finish to the regular season to get in.  That makes tonight's game against Iowa State a must-win for them.  I expect them to get the job done here.

Texas Tech is 5-0 ATS in its last five games overall while playing some tremendous basketball along the way.  The Red Raiders beat Oklahoma by 8, lost by 1 at TCU as 3.5-point dogs, lost by 1 to Kansas as 4.5-point dogs, beat Baylor by 6 as 2.5-point dogs, and lost in OT at West Virginia as 10-point dogs.

As you can see, the Red Raiders have proven they can play with the best teams in the Big 12.  Now they'll be up against an Iowa State team that comes in overvalued due to three straight victories and four of their last five overall.  The Cyclones are just 4-5 in true road games this season, while the Red Raiders are 15-2 at home.

Texas Tech is 8-1 ATS when revenging a same-season loss over the last two seasons.  The Red Raiders are 6-0 ATS after a combined score of 155 points or more over the last two years.  The Red Raiders are 6-0 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.  Iowa State is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 trips to Lubbock.  Bet Texas Tech Monday.

20* MVC GAME OF THE MONTH on Illinois State -7.5

The Illinois State Redbirds are a legitimate bubble team in terms of the NCAA Tournament at 22-5 on the season.  They really can't afford another loss if they want to make the big dance, unless it comes in the conference championship game to Wichita State.

Illinois State just returned second-leading scorer Mikyle McIntosh (13.3 ppg, 6.2 rpg) from a five-game absence due to a knee injury.  Having him healthy moving forward is going to be huge for them.  He and Deontae Hawkins (14.6 ppg, 6.8 rpg) form the best frontcourt duo in the MVC.

Illinois State beat Loyola-Chicago 81-59 as 1-point road favorites in their first meeting this season.  Now the Redbirds get them at home, where they are 13-0 on the season and outscoring opponents by 11.1 points per game.  The Ramblers have lost four of their last five coming in and I don't give them much of a chance of being competitive here.

The Redbirds are 4-0 ATS in their last four Sunday games.  Illinois State is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games off an ATS loss.  Illinois State is 5-2 ATS in its last seven games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points.  Bet Illinois State Sunday.

15* Big East PLAY OF THE DAY on Marquette -3

The Marquette Golden Eagles have gone in a funk since upsetting Villanova at home on January 24th.  They have lost four of their last five games since, and now they are in jeopardy of falling on the wrong side of the NCAA Tournament Bubble.  I think this is a 'rally the troops' type of game at home against Xavier on Saturday.

Xavier has some serious injury concerns right now.  The Musketeers have been without by Myles Davis and Edmond Sumner (15.0 ppg, 5.0 apg), and Trevon Bluiett (17.9 ppg, 5.8 rpg) missed their last game, a 63-75 loss at Providence.  Sumner and Bluiett are their two leading scores, and they could be without both again Saturday.

Marquette is 11-3 at home this season with an average margin of victory of 14.4 points per game.  Xavier is just 3-6 in true road games with its only wins coming at Georgetown (by 5), St. Johns (by 5) and Creighton (by 2).  Keep in mind that Creighton didn't have its best player in Mo Watson Jr for that game.

Xavier is 0-6 ATS after playing a game as an underdog this season.  The Musketeers are 1-7 ATS after playing a road game this season.   The Musketeers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall.  Roll with Marquette Saturday.

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Michigan State +10

Like clockwork, the Michigan State Spartans are starting to play their best basketball of the season late in the year under Tom Izzo.  It happens every season, yet oddsmakers fail to adjust for it.

That has been the case again in 2017 as the Spartans are 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.  Now they find themselves catching double-digits on the road against Purdue Saturday, which is simply too much.

Now the Spartans will be out for revenge from a 73-84 home loss to Purdue earlier this season.  That was a rare win for the Boilermakers in this series.  The Spartans are 8-2 SU & 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings with the Boilermakers.  It was the only time that Purdue has won by double-digits over this stretch.

Michigan State is 9-1 ATS in February games over the last two seasons.  The Spartans are 9-1 ATS in road games after playing two consecutive games as a home favorite over the last three years.  Michigan State is 20-7 ATS in its last 27 Big Ten games.  The Spartans are 5-0 ATS in their last five trips to Purdue.  The road team is 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings.  Take Michigan State Saturday.

25* College Basketball GAME OF THE YEAR on Baylor -2

The Baylor Bears want revenge from a 68-73 loss as 6.5-point road underdogs to the Kansas Jayhawks in their first meeting on February 1st.  I think they get their revenge just over two weeks later in blowout fashion at home this time around.

In that first meeting, the Bears dominated the boards by rebounding 40% of their own misses on the offensive end.  Baylor ranks 9th in the country in offensive rebounding percentage, while Kansas ranks 214th in defensive rebounding.  That's a huge fundamental edge that the Bears are going to have once again in this rematch.

I don't think Kansas has much left in the tank right now.  It is going through arguably the toughest stretch that any team has played in the country.  Here is a look at the KenPom rantings of the teams they have played in their last eight games: @WVU (#4), @Kentucky (#7), Baylor (#8), Iowa State (#26), @K-State (#28), @Texas Tech (#37), WVU (#4), @ Baylor (#8).

Kansas' star trio of Devonte Graham, Frank Mason and Josh Jackson have been overworked.  Graham and Mason have played 262 of a possible 290 minutes in their past seven games, while Jackson has played 250.  And the Jayhawks are in a prime letdown spot here after their huge 14-point comeback victory over West Virginia in the final minutes on Monday.  They have a two-game lead in the conference standings and don't need this game as much as Baylor does.

The Bears are 13-1 at home this season, outscoring opponents by nearly 17 points per game on average.  Kansas is 1-7 ATS off a win by 6 points or less this season.  Baylor is 7-0 ATS after allowing 80 points or more over the last two seasons.  The Jayhawks are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven Big 12 games.  The Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5 points.  Bet Baylor Saturday.

20* VCU/Richmond ESPN 2 Friday No-Brainer on Richmond +5.5

The Richmond Spiders want revenge from a 74-81 road loss at VCU as 10.5-point underdogs in their first meeting on February 1st.  Now they get their shot just two weeks later and will be ready to go at home this time around as 5.5-point dogs.

Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is 14-6-1 ATS in the last 20 meetings.  Richmond hasn't lost any of its last six home meetings with VCU by more than 6 points, which is significant because the Rams have been good for a long time now.

Richmond is 9-1 ATS off one or more consecutive overs this season.  Off a poor defensive performance against George Mason last time out, I look for the Spiders to clamp down defensively here tonight against the Rams.

VCU is 0-6 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning percentage from 51% to 60% over the last three seasons.  The Rams are 0-6 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3-pointers per game this season.  The Spiders are 20-9-1 ATS in their last 30 games as home underdogs, and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as dogs overall.  Bet Richmond Friday.

15* CBB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on San Francisco +21.5

The Gonzaga Bulldogs could not possibly be more overvalued than they are right now.  They are not only 26-0 SU on the season, but also 18-4 ATS in lined games.  The betting public has made a killing on them this season, and oddsmakers simply cannot allow them to continue to do so.

As a result, they will inflate Gonzaga lines going forward.  And this one is clearly inflated.  Plus, it's the ultimate letdown spot for the Zags as they are coming off their biggest win of the season, a 74-64 victory at St. Mary's on ESPN Saturday night.  They won't be able to get up for San Francisco tonight.

San Francisco is one of the most underrated teams in the country.  The Dons have gone 18-9 on the season and are one of the best teams in the WCC.  This is a team that has been a great bet on the road over the past several years as well.

San Francisco is 106-63 ATS in its last 169 conference road games.  The Dons are 8-1 ATS off a home loss by 10 points or more over the last three seasons, and 17-4 ATS in their last 21 following a double-digit home loss.  Take San Francisco Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Connecticut -3

After a disastrous start to the season, the UConn Huskies are starting to play up to their potential of late.  And now they'll want revenge from a 61-70 loss at Memphis back on January 5th in their first meeting of the season.

The Huskies have gone 5-1 in their last six games overall.  Their only loss came on the road at Cincinnati.  They beat ECU at home, South Florida by 21 on the road, Tulane by 10 at home, South Florida by 46 at home and upset UCF by 3 as 4.5-point road dogs during this stretch.

Memphis has been blown out quite a bit here of late.  It is 3-3 in its last six games overall with all three losses coming by double-digits.  The only three victories came against ECU (by 7), South Florida (by 10) and Tulsa.  These are two teams going in opposite directions right now.

Memphis is 10-21 ATS as an underdog over the last three seasons.  UConn is 33-13 ATS in its last 46 off a close win by 3 points or less.  The Tigers are 0-7 ATS versus teams who attempt 18 or fewer free throws per game over the last two seasons.  The Tigers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall.  The Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5 points.  Roll with Connecticut Thursday.

20* Celtics/Bulls TNT Thursday No-Brainer on Chicago +1.5

The Boston Celtics are absolutely gassed right now.  They will be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 6th game in 9 days tonight.  They just beat Philly 116-108 last night.  Isaiah Thomas played 34 minutes, Marcus Smart played 34 and Jae Crowder played 35.

The Bulls had yesterday off after a big 105-94 home win over Toronto on Tuesday.  It marked the return of Jimmy Butler to the lineup, and the Bulls won outright as 4.5-point dogs.  They'd love to go into the All-Star Break with another victory here tonight.

Home-court advantage has been huge in this series between Chicago and Boston.  Indeed, the home team is 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.  The Bulls have won each of their last three home meetings with the Celtics in this series.

Boston is 1-13 ATS off four or more consecutive wins over the last two seasons.  The Bulls are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last seven home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  Bet the Bulls Thursday.

20* Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on TCU -2

The TCU Horned Frogs are squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament.  But they are starting to play themselves on the right side of it after winning three of their last four games overall.  I look for them to continue their excellent play at home tonight against Oklahoma State.

TCU is 13-3 at home this season while outscoring opponents by 12.6 points per game.  Two of the three losses have come to Kansas and Baylor, the two best teams in the Big 12.  The Horned Frogs will be out for revenge from a 76-89 loss at Oklahoma State in their first meeting this season.

The Cowboys come in overvalued due to winning six of their last seven games overall.  The home team is a perfect 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings in this series.  TCU won outright as home dogs to Oklahoma State 63-56 and 70-55 in its last two home meetings.

TCU is 6-0 ATS in Wednesday home games over the last three seasons.  Oklahoma State is 44-75 ATS in its last 119 games as a road underdog or PK.  The Cowboys are 13-37-3 ATS in their last 53 games as a road underdog of 0.5-6.5.  Bet TCU Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Orlando Magic +11

Te San Antonio Spurs are in the midst of their 8-game Rodeo Road Trip.  They haven't exactly started this trip well at all, going 1-4 ATS in their first five games.  Now they are being asked to lay double-digits on the road to the Orlando Magic.

I think Orlando is one of the most undervalued teams in the league right now.  The Magic proved that last time out by upsetting the Heat 116-107 as 8-point road dogs.  The betting public is putting too much stock into the Serge Ibaka trade here, but the Magic won't miss him as much as most anticipate.

The Magic have been a great bet against the Spurs in this head-to-head series.  Indeed, they have covered three straight while going 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  That includes a 95-83 outright win as 12.5-point road dogs in their first meeting this season.

Plays on underdogs (ORLANDO) - after allowing 105 points or more three straight games against opponent after a win by 6 points or less are 56-19 (74.7%) ATS over the last five seasons.  The Spurs are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games.  Roll with the Magic Wednesday.

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Northwestern -2

The Northwestern Wildcats are on a mission to make the NCAA Tournament for the first time ever.  A home win over Maryland Wednesday would go a long way in putting them on the right side of the bubble.

The Wildcats are one of the most improved teams in the country at 19-6 on the season.  They have gone 7-2 SU & 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall, consistently being undervalued by oddsmakers.  That includes a 66-59 win at Wisconsin as 11.5-point dogs last time out.

Maryland is one of the most overrated teams in the country due to an easy schedule up to this point.  That is starting to show of late as the Terrapins have lost two of their last three coming in.  Now they'll be up against a Wildcats team that is 12-2 at home this season and winning by 14.7 points per game on average.

The Wildcats are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5 points.  Northwestern is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 home games.  The Wildcats are 23-9-1 ATS in their last 33 games following a straight up win.  Take Northwestern Wednesday.

20* Kings/Lakers NBA TV Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles -1

The Los Angeles Lakers have slowly gotten healthy over the past few weeks and are now at full strength.  It's no surprise that this recent return to health has had the Lakers playing some of their best basketball of the season.

Indeed, the Lakers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall.  They have consistently been undervalued, and they continue to be tonight as only 1-point home favorites over the Sacramento Kings.  We'll gladly take advantage and back them in a game that they basically just have to win to cover.

The Lakers come in well-rested and ready to go, getting three days off after last playing on Friday.  The Kings are overvalued right now due to winning four of their last five during a six-game home stand.  But now they hit the road, where they are just 11-17 on the season, while the Lakers are a respectable 12-13 at home.

Plays on any team (LA LAKERS) - after allowing 105 points or more three straight games against opponent after a win by 6 points or less are 79-42 (65.3%) ATS over the last five seasons.  The Kings are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up win.  The Lakers are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last six when playing on three or more days' rest.  Bet the Lakers Tuesday.

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Nebraska -3

The Nebraska Cornhuskers are finally healthy and will be a dangerous team moving forward.  They just recently returned their best big man in third-leading scorer Ed Morrow (9.8 ppg, 8.2 rpg), who had 13 rebounds in a 69-70 (OT) home loss to Wisconsin in his return from injury in Nebraska's last contest.

That game was five days ago last Thursday, so they have had plenty of time to recover and get ready for Penn State.  Meanwhile, the Nittany Lions played on Saturday and have only had two days to get ready for the Huskers.  And I believe they come in overvalued due to back-to-back upset victories over Maryland and Illinois, which followed an ugly home loss to Rutgers.

Nebraska is a perfect 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in four home meetings with Penn State as Big Ten opponents.  They have won those games by 14, 13, 14 and 12 points, or by an average of 13.3 points per game.  Look for this home domination to continue here Tuesday night.

Nebraska is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 home games off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference opponent.  The Cornhuskers are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5 points.  Take Nebraska Tuesday.

15* NBA Monday No-Doubt Rout on Phoenix Suns -2

The New Orleans Pelicans are in a very difficult spot tonight.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd road game in four days after losing 99-105 on the road to the Sacramento Kings last night.

Making matters worse for the Pelicans is that they are pretty short-handed right now as Terrence Jones and E'Twaun Moore are questionable, while Buddy Hield is also questionable due to a possible suspension.

The Suns come in on one days' rest after having Sunday off.  They will be out for revenge from a 106-111 road loss to the Pelicans exactly a week ago on February 6th.  But the Pelicans will be the road team this time around, and they are just 7-19 SU & 11-14-1 ATS on the highway this season.

The Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.  The Suns are 24-8-1 ATS in their last 33 games following a ATS loss.  Phoenix is 5-1 ATS in its last six vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  The Suns are 50-23-3 ATS in their last 76 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.  Roll with the Suns Monday.

20* WVU/Kansas ESPN Big Monday No-Brainer on Kansas -4.5

The Kansas Jayhawks want revenge from their worst loss of the season, a 69-85 road loss at West Virginia on January 24th just three weeks ago.  I fully expect them to get that revenge in blowout fashion at home in a hostile atmosphere on ESPN's Big Monday.

The Jayhawks had won 54 straight home games prior to losing to Iowa State in their last home contest, which will have them focused to start a new streak as well.  They are 11-1 at home this season with an average margin of victory of 17.0 points per game.  Rarely will you ever find them at home as this small of favorites.

The Jayhawks are 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last four home meetings with the Mountaineers.  These games have rarely been close as all four wins came by 7 points or more and by an average of 14.3 points per game.  Given the importance of this game to the Jayhawks' streak of Big 12 championships, they'll be fully focused tonight to keep it going.

West Virginia is 17-34 ATS in its last 51 road games off two consecutive conference wins.  Bill Self is 14-2 ATS in home games when revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more in all games he has coached.  He'll have the Jayhawks ready to roll tonight.  Bet Kansas Monday.

15* NBA Monday Undervalued Underdog on Orlando Magic +9

The Miami Heat just had their incredible 13-game winning streak snapped with a 109-117 loss at Philadelphia on Saturday.  It was the longest winning streak in NBA history for a team under .500.

Now, it's only human nature that the Heat will suffer an emotional letdown the game after having that streak come to and end.  In fact, I wouldn't be surprised at all if they lost outright to the Orlando Magic tonight.  It's also their first game back home following a four-game road trip, which is always a tricky situation.

The Heat are clearly still being overvalued here due to that winning streak as they are being asked to lay 9 points to the Magic.  It's the perfect storm really because the Magic have lost four straight themselves coming in, so they are undervalued.

Orlando is 18-6 ATS in road games after failing to cover five or six of their last seven against the spread over the last three seasons.  Plays on roadunderdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ORLANDO) - after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half against opponent after scoring 100 points or more five straight games are 25-9 (73.5%) ATS since 1996.  Take the Magic Monday.

15* NBA Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Toronto Raptors -6.5

The Toronto Raptors went through a rough patch midseason that has them undervalued right now.  They have lost eight of their last 12 games overall, but a lot of the struggles were due to being without leading scorer DeMar DeRozan.  But he's back healthy now and the Raptors are pretty much at full strength, which means they'll be a dangerous squad moving forward.

The Raptors are 18-9 SU & 15-11-1 ATS at home this season, while the Pistons are just 9-18 SU & 10-17 ATS on the road.  The home team has won five of the last six meetings in this series, including a 109-91 victory by the Raptors in their first meeting this year.

Plays against road underdogs (DETROIT) - good offensive team - scoring 99+ points/game on the season against opponent after leading their last two games by 10+ points at the half are 56-19 (74.7%) ATS over the last five seasons.

The Raptors come in on three days' rest, so they'll be fresh and ready to go.  Plus, they are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games when playing on three or more days' rest.  The Pistons are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.  Take the Raptors Sunday.

20* Michigan/Indiana CBS Sunday No-Brainer on Indiana -2.5

The Indiana Hoosiers want revenge from their worst loss of the season, a 60-90 laugher at Michigan on January 26th just two weeks ago.  Now the Hoosiers get the Wolverines at home this time around, and they rarely lose at Assembly Hall.

The Hoosiers also recently returned their best player in James Blackmon.  He was actually hurt in that loss to Michigan and didn't play until a 64-69 home loss to Purdue last time out.  He should be much sharper in his second game back from injury, and this is going to be a dangerous team moving forward.

This is a bad spot for Michigan, which is coming off a huge win over rival Michigan State, setting it up for a letdown here.  Plus they already rolled the Hoosiers once this season so they probably just think they have to show up to win Sunday.  They'll be in for a surprise against an inspired Hoosiers team that wants it more.

The Wolverines are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games.  The Hoosiers are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games.  Michigan is 1-6 ATS in its last seven games as a road underdog of 0.5-6.5 points.  The Hoosiers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as a home favorite.  Michigan is 0-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning percentage from 51% to 60% this season.  Bet Indiana Sunday.

15* NBA Saturday PLAY OF THE DAY on Philadelphia 76ers +3.5

Well, I lost last night with the Brooklyn Nets +6.5 against the Miami Heat as they blew it in the fourth quarter again.  Undeterred, I'm going to fade the Heat again here tonight as this is a terrible spot for them, and they're once again being overvalued.

The Heat are now a ridiculous 13-0 SU & 13-0 ATS in their last 13 games overall.  Odds say it's almost impossible to cover this many games in a row.  This streak is going to come to an end very soon, and I don't want to miss the boat.  I think it comes to an end tonight against the 76ers.

The Heat will now be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days here.  It's worth noting that the Heat have had only one back-to-back situation previously on this winning streak, so the schedule has broken their way.  But now this will be the first time they've played a back-to-back on the road, which is even tougher.

The 76ers have gone a superb 19-8 ATS at home this season.  In fact, they've gone a perfect 9-0 ATS in their last nine home games.  Fans are starting to fill the seats because this is now a fun team to watch, and they know the future is extremely bright.  Look for Philly to end Miami's winning streak here tonight.  Take the 76ers.

25* Big 12 GAME OF THE YEAR on Oklahoma +9.5

The Oklahoma Sooners couldn't possibly be more undervalued than they are right now.  They have lost six straight while going 1-5 ATS in the process.  Now they are catching a big number at Iowa State Saturday, and I think it's simply too much.

The Sooners are going to be out for revenge from an 87-92 home loss to Iowa State in double-overtime.  The Sooners led that game by as many as 20 points in the first half, and as many as 6 in the first overtime, but blew it.  Now they want to avenge that defeat in a bad way.

Iowa State simply hasn't held the same kind of home-court advantage as it had in years' past.  The Cyclones haven't beaten anyone by more than 9 at home in Big 12 play this year.  They beat Texas Tech by 7, Texas by 9 and Kansas State by 5.  They also lost to Kansas by 4 and to West Virginia by 13 in their five Big 12 home games.

Oklahoma has only lost one Big 12 road game by more than 8 points this year, which was an 11-point loss at Kansas State as 11.5-point dogs.  The Sooners only lost by 3 at TCU, by 1 at Texas and by 8 at Texas Tech.  They also upset West Virginia by 2 as 16.5-point road dogs.

This has been a very closely-contested series.  Each of the last six meetings have been decided by 7 points or less, and nine of the last 10 meetings as well.  In fact, Iowa State hasn't beaten Oklahoma by more than 7 points in any of the last 11 meetings, making for a perfect 11-0 system backing the Sooners pertaining to this 9.5-point spread.  Bet Oklahoma Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Michigan State -6

Coming off one of their worst losses of the season in a 57-86 setback at rival Michigan, the Michigan State Spartans are going to be playing with a chip on their shoulder today.  Look for them to try and wipe the bad taste out of their mouth against Iowa at home Saturday.

Adding fuel to the fire for the Spartans is the fact that they actually lost twice to Iowa last season.  But this Hawkeyes team is way down from that squad as they are relying on a ton of freshmen this year.  They aren't ready to win in a hostile atmosphere like East Lansing.

In fact, the Hawkeyes are 2-8 SU & 2-7 ATS in all road games this season.  They are 1-6 SU & 1-6 ATS in true road games with their only win coming at lowly Rutgers.  They are getting outscored by 11.1 points per game on the highway this season even when you factor in their 20-point win at Rutgers.

Tom Izzo is 37-12 ATS as a home favorite of 6 to 9 points as the coach of Michigan State.  The Hawkeyes are 10-25 ATS in their last 35 games following a straight up loss.  The Hawkeyes are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.  The Spartans are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a home favorite.  Roll with Michigan State Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Texas +12

The Texas Longhorns continue to get no respect from oddsmakers.  They are 8-3 ATS in Big 12 play this season, yet they are underdogs in almost every game they play, and big road underdogs when on the highway.  That's the case again here against Oklahoma State as 12-point dogs.

Let's look at what they've done on the road this season.  They only lost by 3 at Kansas State as 8.5-point dogs, covered as 9.5-point dogs in a 9-point loss at Iowa State, lost by 10 at Baylor as 14-point dogs, lost by 12 at Kansas as 16-point dogs and only lost at Georgia by 2 as 5-point dogs.  Those results alone show they are more than capable of staying with Oklahoma State today.

I think this is a potential flat spot for the Cowboys.  They had their five-game winning streak come to an end in a tough 69-72 home loss to Baylor on Wednesday.  Now they have only two days to recover in time to get ready for Texas, while the Longhorns last played on Tuesday and will be the fresher squad.

Texas has won three straight meetings with Oklahoma State.  The Longhorns haven't lost any of their last six meetings with the Cowboys by more than 11 points.  They beat the Cowboys 82-79 at home in their first meeting this season as 1-point dogs, and now they're catching 12 points on the road in the rematch, which is way too big of an adjustment.

Texas is a perfect 6-0 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last two seasons.  The Longhorns are 11-3 ATS as a road dog or PK over the last two years.  The Longhorns are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5 points.  Bet Texas Saturday.

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Illinois -5

The Illinois Fighting Illini are going to be out for revenge from a 67-71 loss at Penn State on January 28th just two weeks ago.  I look for them to get that revenge in blowout fashion at home this time around in the second meeting.

The Fighting Illini have beaten the likes of Ohio State, Michigan and Iowa at home this season all by 5 points or more, which are three better teams than Penn State.  Their three losses have come against Maryland, Wisconsin and Minnesota, which are three better teams than Penn State.

The Nittany Lions are in a prime letdown spot here.  They are coming off their biggest win of the season, a 70-64 home victory over nationally ranked Maryland.  But they have gone just 1-4 in Big Ten road games this season with their only win coming at Rutgers.

The Fighting Illini are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5 points.  The Fighting Illini are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  Take Illinois Saturday.

20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Brooklyn Nets +6.5

The Brooklyn Nets are showing great value as 6.5-point home underdogs to the Miami Heat tonight.  There are several reasons that support my theory that this line has been inflated, not the least of which is that the Nets are 0-11 in their last 11 games overall.

However, the Nets have been competitive of late.  Eight of their last nine losses have come by single-digits, so they've been right there with a chance to win.  They only lost by 4 at Charlotte as 10-point dogs, and lost in OT at home to the Wizards as 10-point dogs in their last two contests coming in.

Conversely, Miami is way overvalued right now due to going 12-0 SU & 12-0 ATS in their last 12 games overall.  Now they're being asked to go on the road and lay 6.5 points.  This is an impressive run by the Heat, but I think it probably comes to an end tonight.

The Nets will be out for revenge from two narrow losses to the Heat over the past couple weeks.  The Nets lost 106-109 at home to the Heat on January 25th after blowing a big lead in the 4th quarter.  They also lost 96-104 at Miami on January 30th.  I expect the Heat to be disinterested facing the Nets for the 3rd time in two weeks, while the Nets will want this game more.

Plays against road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - off an upset win as a road underdog, on Friday nights are 50-22 (69.4%) ATS since 1996.  Miami is 8-20 ATS in road games versus teams who score 103 or more points per game over the last two seasons.  The Heat are 16-29 ATS off a road win over the last three years.  Bet the Nets Friday.

15* CBB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Rhode Island -3.5

The Rhode Island Rams are playing their best basketball of the season right now.  They are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall, winning all four games by 8 points or more.  Now they're ready to take down a team like Dayton here at home Friday night.

The Rams have a chance to move into a second-place tie with the Flyers in the Atlantic 10, just one game behind VCU for the conference lead.  That will have them motivated alone, plus they want revenge from a 64-67 loss at Dayton on January 6th in their first meeting this season.

I like the Rams' chances of getting that revenge at home, where they are 11-1 SU & 7-4 ATS on the season, outscoring opponents by 13.3 points per game.  Four of Dayton's five losses have come on the road this season.  The Flyers will be playing their 3rd game in a week here.

Rhode Island is 8-1 ATS after playing two consecutive road games over the last three seasons.  The Rams are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four home meetings with the Flyers.  Rhode Island is 4-0 ATS in its last four games vs. a team with a winning record.  Take Rhode Island Friday.

20* Cavs/Thunder TNT Thursday No-Brainer on UNDER 208

The Cleveland Cavaliers are resting their three best players in Lebron James, Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love tonight.  They have been on fire offensively of late, but now they aren't going to know what to do offensively without those three.

Now they'll be up against an Oklahoma City team that gets after it defensively.  The Thunder rank 7th in the NBA in defensive efficiency.  They are coming off back-to-back solid defensive showings in allowing only 99 points to the Blazers and 93 points to the Pacers.

Points have been hard to come by in this series even when Kevin Durant was playing for the Thunder, and the Big 3 were playing for Cleveland.  The UNDER is 5-1 in the last six meetings.  All six saw 207 combined points or fewer, which is less than tonight's total set of 208.  The UNDER is 6-1-1 in the last eight meetings in OKC.

Oklahoma City is 9-0 UNDER off four straight games where they forced opponent to commit 14 or fewer turnovers this season.  Cleveland is 10-1 UNDER in road games vs. Northwest Division opponents over the last three years.  The Cavs are 13-1 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last two seasons.  Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday.

15* UNC/Duke ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Duke -2

The Duke Blue Devils haven't played up to their potential this season.  As a result, they are only laying 2 points at home to North Carolina Thursday.  Rarely ever will you find the Blue Devils as this short of home favorites any year, especially a year where they have as much talent as they do this season.

But I look for Duke to be a dangerous team going forward now that Coach K is back on the sidelines.  I think he'll get the most out of his players going forward after he called them out recently.  He doesn't need to give them any extra motivation tonight against the Tar Heels, though.

UNC doesn't deserve getting this much respect from oddsmakers with the way it is playing coming in.  The Tar Heels are 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall.  They lost by 15 at Miami as 6-point favorites, barely beat Pitt by 2 as 18.5-point home favorites, and failed to cover as 9-point home favorites in a 7-point win over Notre Dame.

UNC is 0-6 ATS in road games when playing its 2nd game in a week this season.  The Tar Heels are 0-6 ATS in road games after having won six or seven of their last eight games this season.  The Tar Heels are 9-24 ATS in their last 33 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5 points.  The Blue Devils are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5 points.  Take Duke Thursday.

15* Stanford/Arizona Late-Night BAILOUT on Arizona -13.5

The Arizona Wildcats will be highly motivated for a victory here Wednesday night.  They were embarrassed 58-85 at Oregon on Saturday to fall to 21-3 on the season.  You can bet that they'll be looking to get that bad taste out of their mouths with a blowout win at home over Stanford.

This is the same Stanford team that Arizona already beat 91-52 on the road as 6.5-point favorites in their first meeting this year.  The Wildcats have now won 14 straight meetings with the Cardinal.  The last four have all come by 14 points or more and by an average of 26.8 points per game.  Expect more of the same tonight.

The Cardinal are 7-21 ATS in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  Stanford is 5-18 ATS in its last 23 games as a road underdog.  Arizona is 4-1-1 ATS in its last six games following an ATS loss.  The Wildcats are a perfect 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings.  Roll with Arizona Wednesday.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on West Virginia -6.5

The West Virginia Mountaineers will be highly motivated for a victory here tonight.  They are coming off an upset home loss to Oklahoma State as 10-point favorites.  You can bet that Bob Huggins will have them ready to go here tonight after that defeat.

Adding fuel to the fire is the fact that the Mountaineers suffered their biggest upset loss this season when they fell 87-89 (OT) at home to Oklahoma as 16.5-point favorites.  Now they are only being asked to lay 6.5 points on the road in the rematch.

That was the last win for the Sooners, who have gone 0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.  They have lost at home to both Iowa State and Oklahoma State during this stretch, while also getting blown out by 32 at home by Florida.  This team just doesn't have much to play for right now at all.

Plays on a favorite (W VIRGINIA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7 or more, with two more starters returning from last year than opponent are 41-14 (74.5%) ATS over the last five seasons.  The Mountaineers are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games as a road favorite.  The Sooners are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  Take West Virginia Wednesday.

20* NBA Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Milwaukee Bucks -3

The Miami Heat are more overvalued now than they have been at any point this season.  That's because they have gone 11-0 SU & 11-0 ATS in their last 11 games overall.  The betting public has taken notice, and now they're only catching 3 points on the road to the Milwaukee Bucks tonight.

I look for an inspired effort from the Bucks to put an end to the Heat's 11-game winning streak tonight.  The Bucks have had three days off in between games since crushing Phoenix 137-112 on the road on Saturday.  So they are fresh and ready to go here tonight.

The Heat are just 9-17 on the road this season.  Home-court advantage has been huge between these teams.  In fact, the home team is 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.  All four wins have come by 6 points or more as well.

Miami is 7-20 ATS in road games vs. teams who score 103 or more points per game over the last two seasons.  Milwaukee is 11-2 ATS off three consecutive non-conference games over the last three seasons.  The Bucks are 19-8 ATS in home games after having lost two of their last three games over the past two years.  Bet the Bucks Wednesday.

15* NBA Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Portland Trail Blazers -2

The Portland Trail Blazers and Dallas Mavericks just played a few days ago.  The Mavericks upset the Blazers 108-104 on the road as 6.5-point favorites on February 3rd.  I like taking the team that lost the first meeting when they play within a week of each other because they are the more motivated squad.

Expect a big effort from the Blazers here tonight as they try and get revenge on the Mavericks.  Plus, this is a bad spot for Dallas, which will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after losing 87-110 in Denver last night.  The Blazers had yesterday off and will be playing just their 3rd game in 7 days.

Plays against home underdogs (DALLAS) - after playing two consecutive road games, playing on back-to-back days are 76-41 (65%) ATS over the last five seasons.  The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings in this series.  Roll with the Blazers Tuesday.

15* ACC PLAY OF THE DAY on Clemson -4

I expect a big effort from the Clemson Tigers at home here tonight.  They are coming off their worst loss of the season at Florida State on Sunday.  They lost that game 61-109 and will certainly be looking to make amends.  The Tigers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.

Meanwhile, Syracuse comes in overvalued due to going 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.  They are coming off a huge upset home win over Virginia by a final of 66-62 as 4.5-point underdogs in which they had a big comeback in the second half.  They are primed for a letdown off that victory.

Clemson is 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in its last four meetings with Syracuse.  The Orange are 1-7 SU & 1-7 ATS in all road games this season.  The Tigers are 8-3 at home this year, outscoring opponents by nearly 14 points per game on average.

Syracuse is 3-11 ATS after having won four of its last five games over the past three seasons.  Clemson is 16-4 ATS in its last 20 after failing to cover six or seven of its last eight against the spread.  The Orange are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog.  The Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5 points.  Take Clemson Tuesday.

20* SEC GAME OF THE WEEK on Georgia +6.5

The Florida Gators are way overvalued right now.  They have gone 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall, and now they are being asked to lay 6.5 points on the road to Georgia Tuesday night.  We'll gladly fade them now.

This is an awful spot for the Gators.  They are coming off their biggest win of the season, an 88-66 home victory over Kentucky on Saturday.  They are now in a letdown spot.  And having already beaten Georgia once this season, they won't be up for this game.

The Bulldogs, meanwhile, come in highly motivated after playing well but losing their last two games on the road to Kentucky in OT as 15.5-point dogs and to South Carolina 75-77 as 8-point dogs.  They also want revenge from their 76-80 road loss to Florida on January 14th in their first meeting this season.

Georgia is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games as an underdog.  The Bulldogs are 6-0 ATS revenging a loss vs. opponent this season.  Georgia is 7-0 ATS versus teams who attempt 25 or more free throws per game this season.  These three trends combine for a perfect 20-0 system backing the Bulldogs.  Bet Georgia Tuesday.

20* NBA Monday No-Doubt Rout on Indiana Pacers -3.5

The Indiana Pacers have turned the corner and are finally playing up to their potential.  They have won six straight and have gone 13-4 in their last 17 games overall.  Yet, they continue to lack the respect they deserve from oddsmakers.

The Pacers have been especially good at home, going 19-6 SU & 14-10-1 ATS on the season.  The Oklahoma City Thunder haven't been nearly as good on the road, going 12-15 SU & 12-15 ATS on the highway this season while giving up 108.1 points per game on 46.7% shooting.

This is an awful spot for the Thunder.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days.  I think this team is running on fumes right now and will be out of gas.  That's especially the case since they are without one of their best players in Enes Kanter.

Oklahoma City is 2-11 ATS in road games vs. Central Division opponents over the last three seasons.  The Thunder are 21-35 ATS as a road underdog over the last three seasons.  The Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  Indiana is 5-0-1 ATS in its last six games overall.  Bet the Pacers Monday.

15* Louisville/Virginia ESPN Monday No-Brainer on Virginia -6

The Virginia Cavaliers simply have the Louisville Cardinals' number.  They have gone 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in the last three meetings.  They won 61-53 on the road earlier this season, and 68-46 at home and 63-47 on the road in their two meetings last year.  These games haven't even been close.

I expect that to be the case again here tonight as the Cavaliers roll the Cardinals.  The Cardinals come in overvalued off three straight blowout wins over weak ACC competition in Boston College, NC State and Pitt.  But their run comes to an end here tonight.

The Cardinals were already without second-leading scorer Quentin Snider (12.1 ppg) due to injury.  But now they are going to also be without their third-leading scorer in Deng Adel (11.1 ppg, 4.3 rpg) and fifth-leading scorer Mangkok Mathiang (7.1 ppg, 6.2 rpg), who have both been suspended for this contest.

Virginia will be hungry following an upset loss at Syracuse on Saturday.  The Cavaliers are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games off an upset loss as a favorite.  Louisville is 1-8 ATS in road games versus teams who are called for 17 or fewer fouls per game over the last two seasons.  The Cardinals are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games as a road underdog.  The Cavaliers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5 points.  Take Virginia Monday.

15* Clippers/Celtics ABC Sunday No-Brainer on UNDER 222.5

The Los Angeles Clippers and Boston Celtics square off Sunday in a National TV game on ABC.  I expect the defensive intensity to be high in this game, and for this contest to finish well UNDER the posted total of 222.5.

This total has been inflated because both teams have gone over frequently of late.  The Clippers have gone over in five straight, while the over is 6-3 in the Celtics' last nine games overall.  We are going to capitalize on this market overreaction and back the UNDER here today.

A whopping 20 of the last 22 meetings between the Celtics and Clippers have seen 216 or fewer combined points.  That makes for a 20-2 system backing the UNDER based on the series history alone pertaining to this 222.5-point total.

Plays on the UNDER on road teams where the total is at least 200 in a game involving two up-tempo teams who average 82 or more shots per games after 42-plus games, a hot shooting team with two straight games making at least 50% of their shots are 73-37 (66.4%) since 1996.  Take the UNDER in this game Sunday.

15* CBB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Iowa -5.5

I really love this spot for the Iowa Hawkeyes.  They will be out for revenge from a 90-93 double-overtime loss to Nebraska on the road in their first meeting this season.  I expect them to get that revenge in blowout fashion at home tonight.

This is also a good spot for the Hawkeyes because they last played on Tuesday, getting four days to prepare for Nebraska.  The Huskers last played Michigan State in an 11-point home loss on Thursday, only getting two days off to prepare for the Hawkeyes.  That's a huge scheduling advantage for Iowa.

The Hawkeyes have played two of their best games of the season coming in.  They beat Ohio State 85-72 as 1-point home favorites, and throttled Rutgers 83-63 as 1.5-point road dogs.  They won both those games without leading scorer Peter Jok, which helped them gel as a team.  Now Jok returns Sunday and the Hawkeyes will be a very dangerous team moving forward.

Iowa is 17-5 ATS in its last 22 home games off an upset win over a conference opponent as an underdog.  The Hawkeyes are 30-15 ATS in their last 45 home games off a road win.  The Hawkeyes are 4-0 in their last four home meetings with the Huskers, winning by 11, 11, 10 and 14 points, respectively.  Roll with Iowa Sunday.

20* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK on New Orleans Pelicans +7.5

The Washington Wizards are way overvalued right now due to going 10-1 SU & 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.  I took advantage of this fact and backed the Lakers +11 on Thursday and they covered in an 8-point loss.  I'm going to take advantage again tonight and back the Pelicans as 7.5-point road dogs here.

Conversely, the Pelicans come in undervalued due to going 0-3 SU & 1-2 ATS in their last three games overall.  The first loss was a 94-107 home loss to the Wizards.  So, the Pelicans will be playing with revenge in mind after facing this same team just a week ago on January 29th.  I like their motivation heading in because of it.

The Wizards are also overvalued right now because they have won 16 straight home games coming in.  Obviously, this streak is going to come to an end sooner rather than later.  And they've found themselves in the big favorite role quite a bit lately because of this streak.  They are once again laying too many points here tonight.

Plays against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) - after having covered four of their last five against the spread, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (25 to 40%) are 33-12 (73.3%) ATS over the last five seasons.  The Pelicans are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a loss, and 5-0 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss.  Take the Pelicans Saturday.

25* American Athletic GAME OF THE YEAR on UCF -1.5

The UCF Knights are one of the most underrated teams in the American Athletic.  They opened the season 14-4, but then ran into a buzz saw of a schedule over the past couple weeks.  They have gone 0-4 SU & 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games as a result, and now they are way undervalued heading into this home matchup with Memphis Saturday.

Three of the losses came on the road against three of the better teams in the AAC in Memphis, Tulsa and Houston.  The other was a 60-65 home loss to SMU, which is the second-best team in the league.  And that was a rare home loss for the Knights.

Indeed, the Knights are 10-2 at home this season, outscoring opponents by 14.4 points per game on average.  Their defense has been superb at home, giving up just 56.6 points per game on 32.7% shooting.  Obviously the Knights are going to be out for revenge from their 65-70 road loss to the Tigers on January 22nd just two weeks ago, so I love their mindset coming in.

Memphis comes in overvalued due to winning five of its last six games overall.  But the Tigers are just 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games as they have consistently underachieved in terms of the spread.  And their last six games have come against South Florida (twice), ECU, Temple, UCF and Houston.  All five wins came by 10 points or less, too.

This is a great situation for the Knights in terms of rest as well.  They last played on Wednesday in a road loss to Houston.  The Tigers last played on Thursday in a road win at South Florida.  So the Tigers will only have had one day off to get ready for UCF, while the Knights will have had two days' rest.  That's a huge scheduling advantage for the home team here.

UCF is a perfect 7-0 ATS in Saturday home games over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by an average of 15.3 points per game.  Memphis is 0-7 ATS vs. dominant rebounding teams that outrebound their opponents by 7-plus boards per game over the last three seasons.  The Tigers are 12-29 ATS in their last 41 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Memphis is 16-36 ATS in its last 52 games following a win.  The Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5 points.  Bet UCF Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Air Force -1.5

The Air Force Falcons have been one of the most underrated teams in the Mountain West.  They have gone 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall despite playing a brutal schedule.  They only lost by 7 at Nevada as 12-point dogs, by 2 at UNLV as 4-point dogs, and by 9 at Fresno State as 9.5-point dogs.

Their one win came when they beat San Diego State by 3 as 6.5-point home dogs.  And the Falcons have been a great bet at home all season, going 10-3 SU and 6-2 ATS in their home lined games.  They are scoring 80.6 points per game on 48.3% shooting at home this year.

Wyoming is just 2-6 in true road games this season.  The home team is 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.  The Falcons won 70-62 as 4.5-point home dogs last year and 73-50 as 1-point home favorites in 2015.  Home-court advantage is clearly huge for these two teams, and the Falcons basically just have to win the game to cover the spread here Saturday.

Air Force is 8-0 ATS in home games after having lost five or six of its last seven games over the past two seasons.  The Falcons are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games following a loss.  Air Force is 9-1 ATS in home games vs. good defensive teams that allow 42% or less over the last two seasons.   The Cowboys are 5-20-2 ATS in their last 27 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.  Roll with Air Force Saturday.

15* Xavier/Creighton FOX Saturday No-Brainer on Creighton -3.5

There's no question that the loss of Mo Watson Jr. hurt Creighton.  They did not play well in their first two games without him, but they have adjusted in a big way in their past two games, and oddsmakers are once again putting too much stock in his loss.

Creighton beat DePaul 83-66 as 15.5-point favorites eight days ago before upsetting Butler 76-67 on the road as 7-point underdogs on Tuesday.  Now the Bluejays have had three full days to get ready for Xavier, a team they already beat 72-67 as 3-point road dogs on January 16th in the game that Watson was injured in.  Creighton also beat Xavier 70-56 as 1-point home underdogs last season.

Xavier has just as big of injury issues of its own.  The Mountaineers are without their best player in Edmond Sumner, and they were already without Myles Davis.  Sumner averages 15.0 points, 5.0 assists and 4.3 rebounds per game.  Not to mention leading scorer Trevon Bluiett (18.7 ppg) is battling a foot injury and is questionable.

In their first game without Sumner on Wednesday, the Musketeers were fortunate to escape with a 72-70 home victory over Seton Hall as 5-point favorites.  Xavier is just 2-5 in true road games this season, while Creighton is 11-2 at home and outscoring opponents by 13.5 points per game.

Xavier is 1-7 ATS when playing against a team with a winning percentage of greater than 80% this season.  Creighton is 12-4 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.  The Bluejays are 42-20-1 ATS in their last 63 games overall.  The Bluejays are 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings.  The Musketeers are 1-5 ATS in their last six road meetings.  Take Creighton Saturday.

15* ACC PLAY OF THE DAY on Wake Forest -7.5

The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets have some awful losses this season but also some incredible wins.  But most of those great wins came at home against CLemson, UNC, FSU and Notre Dame.  It has been a completely different story for them on the road this season.

Indeed, the Yellow Jackets are just 2-6 in true road games this season.  They have been getting outscored by an average of 12.0 points per game on the road this year.  They lost by 12 at Clemson on Wednesday, and I think their luck has run out here again against Wake Forest on the highway.

Wake Forest is 7-3 at home this season.  The three losses all came against great teams where they easily could have won.  They gave up a big late lead in a 68-73 loss to Clemson, only lost to UNC 87-93 as 8.5-point dogs, and lost on a last-second 3-pointer to Duke 83-85 as 6-point dogs.

This is clearly the best team that the Demon Deacons have had in a while, and they are winning by 12.1 points per game on average at home this year.  The home team is 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings.  The Demon Deacons are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5 points.  Bet Wake Forest Saturday.

20* Lakers/Celtics ESPN Friday No-Brainer on Los Angeles +11.5

The Los Angeles Lakers continue to lack the respect they deserve from oddsmakers right now.  That's evident in the fact that they've gone 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.  I was on them last night as 11-point dogs in a cover at red-hot Washington, and I'm on them again tonight as similar 11.5-point dogs to the Celtics.

The Lakers went through a long slump after a fast start this season, but a lot of that had to do with injuries.  But the Lakers are fully healthy now.  De'Angelo Russell recently returned to the lineup, and Julius Randle just returned from a battle with pneumonia.  He played six minutes against the Wizards last night and will be available again here.

Boston comes in overvalued due to its five-game winning streak.  However, the Celtics have failed to put away their last two opponents at home.  They didn't cover as 5.5-point favorites in a 4-point win over the Pistons, and needed a huge fourth quarter to beat the Raptors by 5 as 6-point favorites.  I don't think they can win by double-digits here.

The Lakers have owned the Celtics, going 5-2 SU & 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.  They always get up for their biggest rivals, and even these young players know what this rivalry means.  Boston is 1-10 ATS off four or more consecutive wins over the last two seasons.  It is actually getting outscored 106.7 to 111.6 in this spot on average.  Bet the Lakers Friday.

15* CBB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Central Michigan -2.5

Oddsmakers have really missed their mark tonight in this MAC showdown between Western Michigan and Central Michigan.  The Chippewas should be much bigger favorites, but we'll gladly take advantage of this huge line mistake.

This one is pretty simply.  Central Michigan is 9-1 at home this season, outscoring opponents by an average of 18.3 points per game.  Western Michigan is 0-12 in all road games this year, getting outscored by 13.7 points per game on average.

Central Michigan is 8-1 ATS in home games after scoring 75 points or more in two straight games over the last three seasons.  The Chippewas are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5 points.  Central Michigan is 6-0 ATS in its last six games as a favorite.  The Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a road underdog of 0.5-6.5 points.  Take Central Michigan Friday.

20* CBB Thursday Late-Night BAILOUT on Stanford -2

The Stanford Cardinal are highly motivated for a victory tonight after losing back-to-back tough road games at Oregon and California.  They had won their previous three games coming in, including a 30-point home win over Washington State, a 9-point home win over Washington and a 16-point road win against Oregon State.

Now the Cardinal get to face one of the worst teams in the Pac-12 in the Colorado Buffaloes, who are 2-7 in conference play.  They actually started 0-7 before beating lowly Oregon State by 7 at home and then upsetting Oregon 74-65 at home.

That win over Oregon sets the Buffaloes up for a massive letdown spot here.  They won't be able to get up for Stanford after beating the Ducks.  The Buffaloes are just 2-6 in true road games this season.  The Cardinal are 7-3 at home this year.

The Buffaloes are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 games as a road underdog of 0.5-6.5 points.  Colorado is 2-9-1 ATS in its last 12 games overall.  The Cardinal are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  Colorado is 0-6 ATS off two or more consecutive wins this season.  Bet Stanford Thursday.

15* NBA Thursday PLAY OF THE DAY on Los Angeles Lakers +11

The Washington Wizards could not possibly be more overvalued than they are right now.  They have gone a perfect 10-0 ATS in their last 10 games overall, and the betting public has taken notice.  Oddsmakers have now made the Wizards a double-digit favorite for just the second time all season.  The first was a non-cover in a 2-point win over Chicago as 11.5-point favorites.

And now the Wizards have to go up against a pesky Los Angeles Lakers team that will be champing at the bit to pull off the upset and end Washington's home winning streak.  The Lakers will be fresh and ready to go tonight as this will be just their 2nd game in 7 days.

And the Lakers just got some reinforcements as PG De'Angelo Russell just returned to the lineup from injury.  The Lakers promptly took down the Nuggets 120-116 at home to cover as 1-point favorites.  This will be a dangerous team moving forward, and that has shown as the Lakers are 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall.

Plays against favorites (WASHINGTON) - hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 107-64 (62.6%) ATS over the last five seasons.  The Lakers are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 trips to Washington.  Roll with the Lakers Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Missouri +22

The Florida Gators are getting way too much respect from oddsmakers now after back-to-back blowout victories.  The Gators thumped LSU 106-71 and Oklahoma 84-52 on the road.  That followed up an ugly 66-68 home loss to Vanderbilt.

In fact, the Gators haven't fared well at home at all this season in conference play.  They are 1-3 ATS in conference home games with their only cover coming by a half-point in a 13-point win over Tennessee as 12.5-point favorites.  They only beat Ole Miss by 7 as 13-point favorites, Georgia by 4 as 12-point favorites, and lost to Vanderbilt by 2 as 11.5-point favorites.

The Gators are also in a serious look-ahead spot here and won't be able to give Missouri the kind of attention it's going to take to cover this massive 22-point spread.  They have Kentucky at home on deck Saturday, and they won't be able to help but look ahead to that huge contest against the favorite to win the SEC.

Missouri is 9-2 ATS off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference opponent over the last two seasons.  Florida is 6-15 ATS after allowing 60 points or less over the last three years.  The Tigers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games, including 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog of 13 or more.  Take Missouri Thursday.

15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Philadelphia 76ers +6.5

The Philadelphia 76ers continue to get no respect from oddsmakers.  This despite the fact that they've gone 11-5 SU & 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall.  Now they are catching 6.5 points in Dallas tonight, which is simply too much.

The Mavericks are now getting a ton of respect from the books after back-to-back upset victories over the Spurs and Cavs.  They caught the Cavs on the 2nd of a back-to-back and took advantage.  But after playing and beating two of the best teams in the NBA, it's only human nature for them to have a big letdown here.

The 76ers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.  Philadelphia is 41-19-1 ATS in its last 61 vs. Western Conference opponents.  The underdog is 9-4-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings.  Bet the 76ers Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Miami Heat -1.5

The Miami Heat are feeling very good about themselves right now.  They are 8-0 SU & 8-0 ATS in their last eight games overall, playing their best basketball of the season.  They will come into this game against Atlanta with a ton of confidence as a result.

Atlanta isn't exactly playing well enough right now to be getting this much respect from oddsmakers.  The Hawks are 2-2 SU & 1-3 ATS in their last four games overall.  They are coming off a four-OT home win over the Knicks by 3, and their other win was a 5-point victory at Chicago in which they erased a double-digit deficit late.  They were upset at home by the Clippers by 10 as 7-point favorites, and they were throttled by the Wizards by 26 as 3.5-point home favorites.

The Heat are 33-10 SU & 28-14-1 ATS in their last 43 home meetings with the Hawks.  They will be out for revenge following two losses to the Hawks already this season by 3 and 8 points.  I look for them to get their revenge in this third meeting of the season tonight.

Atlanta is 5-19 ATS in its last 24 road games after allowing 120 points or more.  Miami is 9-1 ATS off a home win this season.  The Heat are 7-0 ATS versus poor defensive teams that allow 99-plus points per game in the second half of the season this season.  The Hawks are 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings.  Roll with the Heat Wednesday.

15* SEC PLAY OF THE DAY on Arkansas -3.5

The Arkansas Razorbacks are showing great value as 3.5-point home favorites over the Alabama Crimson Tide tonight.  The Razorbacks are undervalued off their blowout loss at Oklahoma State over the weekend, while Alabama is getting too much respect off its 9-point home win over Mississippi State.

The Razorbacks have one of the more underrated home-court advantages in the country.  They are 11-2 at home this season and outscoring opponents by nearly 13 points per game.  Arkansas has won 13 of its last 17 home meetings with Alabama.

Arkansas is 50-29 ATS in its last 79 home games off a road loss.  The Razorbacks are 15-4 ATS off one or more consecutive overs over the last two seasons.  Alabama is 32-53 ATS in its last 85 road games as a dog of 6 points or less.  The Crimson Tide are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS win.  Alabama is 18-37-2 ATS in its last 57 games following a straight up win.  Take Arkansas Wednesday.

20* ACC GAME OF THE WEEK on NC State PK

The NC State Wolfpack beat Duke 84-82 on the road.  Then they had a letdown in a 60-85 road loss to Louisville, and that blowout defeat has them undervalued coming into this home game against Syracuse tonight.

The Wolfpack are 11-2 at home this season.  The Orange haven't won a road game all season, going 0-7 SU & 0-7 ATS in all games played away from home.  They are getting outscored by 13.3 points per game in these road contests this season.

I think the Orange come in overvalued off back-to-back wins and covers at home over Wake Forest and Florida State.  But they haven't even been competitive in their four ACC road games, losing by 15 at Boston College, by 10 at VA Tech, by 17 at North Carolina and by 18 at Notre Dame.

The Orange are 0-6 ATS in road games vs. a team with a winning record this season.  Syracuse is 2-7 ATS in its last nine games following a win.  NC State is 24-10-2 ATS in its last 36 games following a loss.  The Wolfpack are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games.  Bet NC State Wednesday.

15* NBA Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Thunder/Spurs UNDER 211

The Oklahoma City Thunder are going to be a dead nut UNDER team moving forward.  I capitalized with the UNDER in their game against Cleveland on Sunday and took the UNDER 220 in a game that saw 196 combined points.  I'll back the UNDER 211 here against the San Antonio Spurs Tuesday as well.

The reason the Thunder are an UNDER team now is because Enes Kanter was just lost for over a month with a broken arm.  Kanter averages 14.4 points per game and is a key contributor on offense, but a liability on defense.  In their first game without him, the Thunder only managed 91 points against the Cavs.

Now they face a pissed-off Spurs team tonight that has lost two straight coming in due to poor defense.  In fact, the Spurs have allowed 105 or more points in three straight games.  You can bet that Greg Popovich has emphasized defense leading up to this game against the Thunder, and the Spurs should come up with a much better showing on that side of the court tonight.

Just looking at recent meetings, it's easy to see that there's value with the UNDER.  The UNDER is 6-3 in the last nine meetings.  The Spurs and Thunder have combined for 208 or fewer points in seven of those nine meetings.  They have averaged 199.3 combined points during this stretch, which is nearly 12 points less than this posted total of 211.

Oklahoma City is 12-0 UNDER off three straight games with 55 or more rebounds this season.  The Thunder are 8-0 UNDER after four straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or fewer turnovers this season.  The UNDER is 23-9 in Thunder's last 32 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.  Roll with the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Ball State -2.5

The Ball State Cardinals are one of the best teams in the MAC.  They have gone 5-1 in their last six games overall, yet they aren't getting the kind of respect they deserve from oddsmakers.  Three of those five wins came by double-digits with their only loss coming at Bowling Green by 5 points.

Toledo is just 2-4 SU & 2-4 ATS in its last six games overall.  There have been some ugly performances along the way.  They lost by 16 at Western Michigan as 4.5-point favorites, by 8 at Central Michigan as 2.5-point favorites and by 24 at Kent State as a pick 'em in three of their four road games during this stretch.

Ball State is 8-3 at home this season, while Toledo is just 2-6 in true road games this year.  Ball State is 13-6 SU & 13-6 ATS in its last 19 home meetings with Toledo.  The Cardinals beat the Rockets 87-69 as 2-point home underdogs last season.

Toledo is 0-6 ATS off a close loss by 3 points or less over the last two seasons.  The Rockets are 0-7 ATS versus good offensive teams that score 77-plus points per game over the last three seasons.  Toledo is 1-5 ATS in its last six road games.  The Rockets are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 road meetings with the Cardinals.  Take Ball State Tuesday.

20* Big East GAME OF THE MONTH on Butler -6.5

The Butler Bulldogs will be playing with a chip on their shoulder tonight.  They are coming off an upset home loss to Georgetown as 8.5-point favorites on Saturday.  And if that's not enough, the Bulldogs will also be out for revenge from a 64-75 loss at Creighton earlier this season in their first meeting.

But this isn't the same Creighton team they saw in that meeting.  The Bluejays are now without their best player in Mo Watson Jr. who accounted for nearly 38% of their offense between his points and assists at the time of his injury.  It's safe to say the Bluejays haven't been the same without him.

Indeed, the Bluejays are 1-2 in their three games since Watson went down.  They were upset at home by Marquette 94-102 as 6-point favorites.  They lost 51-71 at Georgetown as 1.5-point favorites.  Then they did beat Depaul 83-66 as 16-point home favorites on Saturday, but the Blue Demons are the worst team in the Big East.

That home loss to Georgetown was a rare one for the Bulldogs, who are 11-1 SU & 7-3 ATS at home this season.  Butler beat Creighton 88-75 at home last season as 5.5-point favorites.  This is one of the more underrated home-court advantages in the country.  The home team is also 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.

Butler is 7-0 ATS in home games off an upset loss as a favorite over the last three seasons.  It is coming back to win these games by 16.7 points per game on average.  The Bulldogs are 8-1 ATS versus good teams who outscore opponents by 8-plus points per game this season.  Butler is 7-0-1 ATS in its last eight games following a loss.  The Bluejays are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5 points.  The Bulldogs are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5 points.  Bet Butler Tuesday.

20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Brooklyn Nets +8.5

The Brooklyn Nets are showing tremendous value Monday as 8.5-point road underdogs to the Miami Heat.  I like this spot for the Nets, who have lost five straight coming in and are getting absolutely zero respect from the betting public and thus the oddsmakers right now.

Conversely, the Miami Heat are getting massive respect here because they have gone 7-0 SU & 7-0 ATS in their last seven games overall.  It has been by far the best stretch of the season for the Heat, who are still just 18-30 on the year.

I also like this spot for the Nets because they'll be out for revenge from a 106-109 home loss to the Heat on January 25th just six days ago.  The Nets blew an 18-point lead heading into the 4th quarter in that game and have not forgotten.  They will look to even the score tonight.  Bet the Nets Monday.

15* Duke/Notre Dame ESPN Monday No-Brainer on Notre Dame +1.5

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are going to be highly motivated for a victory here tonight at home against the Duke Blue Devils.  They have lost three of their last four games coming in to drop to 17-5 on the season.  Look for them to be playing with a chip on their shoulder in this one.

After all, the Fighting Irish seem to get up for the Blue Devils every time they get the opportunity to face them.  And surprisingly, they have had a ton of success in this series here of late.  The Fighting Irish have won three straight and five of the last six meetings.

The Blue Devils are not playing well at all here of late as they are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall, consistently being overvalued.  They were fortunate to escape with an 85-83 win at Wake Forest over the weekend after getting upset 82-84 at home by NC State as 16.5-point favorites.

Notre Dame is 12-1 at home this season, outscoring opponents by nearly 20 points per game.  Duke is 0-7 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last two seasons.  The Blue Devils are 0-6 ATS in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3-point shots per game over the last two seasons.  The Fighting Irish are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.  Duke is 1-6 ATS in the last seven meetings.  Take Notre Dame Monday.

15* CBB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on South Florida +24.5

The Cincinnati Bearcats are primed for a letdown here against the South Florida Bulls, which will make it extremely difficult for them to cover this massive 24.5-point spread today.  We'll gladly fade them and take all the points we can get here.

Cincinnati put a lot into its 86-78 home win over Xavier on Thursday.  The Bearcats had lost their three previous meetings with the Musketeers, who are their biggest rivals.  They really wanted that game against their crosstown rivals, and they had a huge second half to get it.  Now they'll fall flat here just a few days later.

No question South Florida is not very good at 6-13 this season, but it hasn't been losing by these kinds of margins this season.  In fact, the Bulls haven't lost a game by more than 22 points this year.  That fact alone shows that there is value in this 24.5-point spread.

USF is 7-0 ATS in road games off two consecutive losses by 10 or more to conference opponents over the last two seasons.  The Bulls are 8-0 ATS in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last two years.  USF is 6-0 ATS in road games vs. good offensive teams that average 77 or more points per game over the last two years.  These three trends combine for a 21-0 system backing the Bulls.  Take South Florida Sunday.

15* Thunder/Cavs ABC Total DOMINATOR on UNDER 220

The Oklahoma City Thunder just lost Enes Kanter to a broken arm.  He is third on the team in scoring at 14.4 points per game, but usually a defensive liability.  The Thunder are going to miss his offense, but they will be a better defensive team without him as it means more minutes for the offensively-challenged Domantas Sabonis.

When looking at the recent head-to-head history between Oklahoma City and Cleveland, it's easy to see that this total has been inflated Sunday.  The UNDER is 4-1 in the last five meetings.  The Thunder and Cavs have combined for 218 or fewer points in each of their last six meetings.

In fact, they have averaged just 204.8 combined points per game in those six meetings, which is roughly 15 points less than today's posted total of 220.  The UNDER is 38-16 in Thunder's last 54 games when playing on two days' rest.  The UNDER is 78-34-3 in Cavaliers last 115 Sunday games.  The UNDER is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Cleveland.  Roll with the UNDER in this game Sunday.

20* Michigan/Michigan State Big Ten No-Brainer on Michigan State -2

Expect a big effort Sunday from the Michigan State Spartans, who are highly motivated to bounce back from three straight losses coming in.  They have had four days off since last playing on Tuesday and will be ready to go tonight.

The Michigan Wolverines are getting too much respect here from oddsmakers.  They are coming off a 30-point home win over a depleted Indiana team on Thursday, giving them just two days off to get ready for the Spartans.  They're at a big disadvantage here in rest, preparation and motivation when compared to Michigan State.

The Spartans have won 14 of their last 16 home meetings with the Wolverines.  Michigan State is 7-0 ATS in its last seven home games after having lost four of its last five games coming in.  Michigan is 0-6 ATS off two straight conference wins over the last two seasons.

The Wolverines are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.  The Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as a home favorite.  Michigan State is 23-11 ATS in its last 34 games following a loss.  Bet Michigan State Sunday.

15* NBA Saturday PLAY OF THE DAY on Phoenix Suns -2

This is a classic home-and-home situation.  The Phoenix Suns and Denver Nuggets just played on Thursday.  The Nuggets overcame a 4-point halftime deficit to beat the Suns 127-120 at home as 6.5-point favorites.  Now, these teams head to Phoenix for the rematch just two days later.

I always like backing the team that lost the first game in these home-and-home situations.  I think the Suns will clearly be the team with more fight tonight as they try an avenge that defeat.  Plus, they are only 2-point favorites here, so this is a great price as they basically just have to win the game to cover.

The Nuggets are going to be without two starters for Saturday's rematch as well.  Emmanuel Mudiay has missed the past four games and remains out.  But Nikola Jokic suffered a hip injury against the Suns and isn't even traveling with the team.  He is one of the most underrated players in the NBA as he averages 15.5 PPG, 8.5 RPG and 4.0 APG.  His loss is huge for the Nuggets.

The Suns are 21-5-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS loss.  Phoenix is 7-1 ATS in its last eight home games.  The Suns are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.  The home team is 26-12-1 ATS in the last 39 meetings.  The favorite is 36-15-1 ATS in the last 52 meetings.  Take the Suns Saturday.

20* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Minnesota -4

The Minnesota Golden Gophers have been a hard-luck team here of late.  They have lost four in a row with the last three coming by 2, 2 and 6 points.  Three of those four came on the road, too.  It's safe to say they'll be highly motivated for a victory here Saturday to get back on track, especially with a ranked team in Maryland coming to town.

The Gophers have been a great home team, going 12-2 while outscoring the opposition by an average of 12.3 points per game.  Their two home losses both came in overtime to Michigan State (74-75) and Wisconsin (76-78).  That's how close they are to being 14-0 at home this year.

Maryland is one of the most overrated teams in the country in my opinion.  Oddsmakers tend to agree here in setting the Gophers as 4-point favorites despite the fact that the Terrapins are 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall.  I think their luck runs out here Saturday.

Minnesota beat Maryland 68-63 as 10-point home underdogs last season.  The Golden Gophers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600.  The Gophers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss.  Bet Minnesota Saturday.

15* Big East PLAY OF THE DAY on Providence +7.5

The Marquette Golden Eagles are in the ultimate letdown spot here.  After upsetting Creighton 102-94 on the road, the Golden Eagles came back home and upset No. 1 Villanova 74-72 on Tuesday.  They erased a 15-point halftime deficit to beat the Wildcats.

The crowd stormed the floor after the win, and the players were seen standing on the scoring table and dancing.  It was a monumental win for the program, and now it's simply human nature that they won't be able to come back with a very good effort here Saturday against Providence.

Adding to the value is the fact that Providence was upset 86-91 at home by St. John's on Wednesday as 7-point favorites.  But that was a rare bad effort of late for the Friars.  They were 3-0 ATS in their previous three games with only a 10-point loss at 16-point dogs at Villanova, an 18-point win as 6.5-point dogs at Georgetown and a 4-point home win over Seton Hall as 1.5-point dogs.

Providence is also going to be out for revenge in this game after losing both meetings last year in heartbreaking fashion.  Marquette won 96-91 in overtime at home and 65-64 on the road in the two meetings.  I think there's a good chance this one goes right down to the wire as well, and I wouldn't be surprised if the Friars pull off the upset given the situation.

The Friars are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.  The Golden Eagles are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.  Roll with Providence Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Kansas State +1

The Tennessee Vols are in a prime letdown spot here Saturday.  They are coming off their biggest win of the season, an 82-80 victory as 10.5-point home dogs over the Kentucky Wildcats on Tuesday.  There's no question they won't be able to come back with a very good effort after that huge victory.

Tennessee hasn't exactly protected its home court very well at all coming into that game.  The Vols actually lost three straight home games to Gonzaga, Arkansas and South Carolina with two of those coming by double-digits before winning their last two home games against Kentucky and Mississippi State.

Kansas State is 15-5 this season and coming off a painful 65-70 loss at Iowa State on Tuesday in which it came way back and took the lead, only to fail to close it out in the final few minutes.  The Wildcats' five losses this season have come at Maryland (by 1), at Kansas (by 2),  at Texas Tech (by 1), vs Baylor (by 9) and at Iowa State (by 5).  They are clearly battle-tested and could be even better than 15-5 had they been able to pull out a few of those close games.

The Volunteers are 8-18-1 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  Tennessee is 0-4 ATS in its last four vs. Big 12 opponents.  The Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss.  Kansas State is 5-1 ATS in its last six road games.  Bet Kansas State Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Texas A&M +15.5

The West Virginia Mountaineers are in a prime letdown spot here.  They are coming off a huge 85-69 home victory over the Kansas Jayhawks on Tuesday.  Now they'll have a hard time getting up to play the Texas A&M Aggies here as they step out of conference.

Texas A&M has played a ton of close games here of late.  Each of their last six games were decided by 11 points or fewer outside of a 92-62 beat down of LSU at home.  Their last three games were all decided by 4 points or fewer.  I think this one will come right down to the wire as well.

It's not like West Virginia is deserving of being this big of a favorite with the way it was playing coming into the Kansas game.  The Mountaineers were upset at Kansas State and at home against Oklahoma as 16.5-point favorites. They only beat Texas by 2 as 11-point favorites, and were upset at Texas Tech.

The Mountaineers are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall.  West Virginia is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 vs. SEC opponents.  The Mountaineers are 0-4 ATS in their last four Saturday games.  The Aggies are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five vs. Big 12 foes.  Take Texas A&M Saturday.

15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on New York Knicks +1

The New York Knicks are highly motivated for a victory here at home tonight.  They are a solid 12-11 at home this season and should get back in the win column at a great price as 1-point home underdogs to the Charlotte Hornets.

The Hornets have no business being road favorites with the way they've been playing lately.  They are just 3-7 in their last 10 games overall.  This is also a terrible spot for the Hornets.  They are coming off a home loss to the Warriors, and it will be hard for them to get up to play the Knicks now.

Home-court advantage has been huge in this series.  The home team has won six of the last seven meetings.  The home team has also won 10 of the last 12 meetings dating back further.

Charlotte is 1-9 ATS off two consecutive home games this season.  New York is 15-5 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season.  The Hornets are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 vs. Atlantic Division opponents.  The Knicks are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 Friday games.  Take the Knicks Friday.

15* NBA Friday Total DOMINATOR on Nets/Cavs UNDER 226.5

The Cleveland Cavaliers are highly motivated for a win tonight.  They have dropped six of their last eight games overall.  I don't think there's value backing them as 15-point favorites here, but I do see a ton of value in the UNDER.

The reason for the Cavs' struggles lately has been defense as they have allowed at least 100 points in 11 straight games.  I think their motivation will shine through on that end of the court more than anything moving forward as they know that defense has cost them.

This will be the 3rd meeting between these teams already this season.  They combined for 218 and 224 points in their first two meetings, staying UNDER this 226.5-point total both times.  And I think that will be the case for a 3rd straight meeting here.

The Cavs and Nets have combined for 224 or fewer points in 17 straight meetings.  That makes for a perfect 17-0 system backing the UNDER pertaining to tonight's total set of 226.5.  Roll with the UNDER in this game Friday.

20* NBA Friday No-Doubt Rout on Indiana Pacers -4

The Sacramento Kings are in a prime letdown spot here tonight.  They are coming off a huge overtime road win over the defending champion Cleveland Cavaliers.  I don't expect them to show up at all here tonight against the Indiana Pacers off such a big win.

This is also a tough spot for the Kings, who will be playing their 5th straight road game in a span of 8 days.  I look for them to start wearing down here soon, and it starts with this game tonight against the Indiana Pacers.

I realize the Pacers will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back off their 109-103 win in Minnesota last night.  However, they had two days off prior to that game, so they will be fresher than most teams in a back-to-back situation.

Plays against any team (SACRAMENTO) - off two or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 31-8 (79.5%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Bet the Pacers Friday.

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Michigan -3.5

The Michigan Wolverines are 11-2 at home this season.  I really like them laying this short price to the Indiana Hoosiers Thursday night as I expect a big effort out of them.  They are still looking for a signature win in conference play, and this would be it.

Indiana is just 1-5 ATS in all games away from home this year.  They are 1-2 straight up in true road games with their only victory coming 78-75 at Penn State as 3-point favorites.  This is a team that lost earlier this season on the road to Fort Wayne.

Indiana is 3-11 ATS in road games off a home win over the last two seasons.  The Hoosiers are 2-13 ATS in road games after scoring 80 points or more over the last two years.  The Wolverines are 50-28 ATS in their last 78 January home games.  The Hoosiers are 16-35-1 ATS in their last 52 games following a ATS win.  The Wolverines are 28-11-1 ATS in their last 40 Thursday games.  Bet Michigan Thursday.

15* Mavs/Thunder TNT No-Brainer on Dallas +8

The Dallas Mavericks are playing their best basketball of the season right now.  They are 5-2 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall, yet they continue to lack the respect they deserve from oddsmakers here as 8-point road underdogs to the Oklahoma City Thunder.

The Mavericks will be playing with a chip on their shoulder as this will be the first time they'll have a chance to avenge their playoff series loss to the Thunder in the opening round last year.  And while the Mavs will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back here, they had two days off prior to their home win over the Knicks on Wednesday.

The Thunder don't have the same luxury.  They'll be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days here.  Not only that, but this is an awful spot for the Thunder as it will be their first game back home from a 6-game road trip.  Plus, they have a huge game against the defending champion Cavaliers on deck and could be looking ahead.

The Mavs are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  Dallas is 21-8-1 ATS in its last 30 trips to Oklahoma City.  The road team si 39-17-2 ATS in the last 58 meetings.  Roll with the Mavericks Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Rice -3

The Rice Owls are 8-3 at home this season.  Two of their home losses came against two of the best teams in Conference USA in UAB and Middle Tennessee.  I think they'll handle Old Dominion at home here tonight.

Old Dominion is not playing well coming in, going 0-3 ATS in its last three games overall. yet it continues getting a lot of respect from oddsmakers.  The Monarchs barely beat lowly Southern Miss by 4 at home as 13-point favorites, lost at home to LA Tech by 12 as 1-point favorites, and lost at Charlotte 72-74 as 2.5-point favorites.

Old Dominion has some injury and suspension issues right now.  Brandan Stith (11.2 ppg, 8.0 rpg, 2.0 bpg), who leads the team in rebounding and blocks, missed the last game with an ankle injury.  He is expected to return for this game, though he won't be near 100%.  Also, Jordan Baker (7.6 ppg), who leads the team with 24 steals, has been suspended for this game.

Plays against any team (OLD DOMINION) - a horrible offensive team (63 PPG or less) against a poor defensive team (74-78 PPG) after 15+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 24-4 (85.7%) ATS over the last five seasons.  This is also a revenge game for the Owls, who lost 56-62 at Old Dominion in their first meeting this season on January 31st.  Take Rice Thursday.

20* ACC GAME OF THE WEEK on Boston College +16

The Boston College Eagles have been one of the most underrated teams in the ACC.  All they do is cover, yet they get no respect from oddsmakers.  The Eagles are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall while playing some very good teams tough along the way.

That includes upset home wins over Providence (79-67) as 10-point dogs, Syracuse (96-81) as 10.5-point dogs and NC State (74-66) as 5.5-point dogs.  The Eagles have also covered in road losses to Wake Forest (66-79) as 15-point dogs and Duke (82-93) as 26-point dogs.  Then last time out they only lost at home to UNC (82-90) as 19-point dogs.

Miami has been one of the most overrated teams in the ACC.  The Hurricanes are just 4-12 ATS in their 16 lined games this season.  They are coming off a 58-70 road loss at Duke as 10-point dogs and will certainly have a hard time getting up to play Boston College after playing one of the best teams in the country.

The Eagles are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Boston College is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games following a loss.  The Hurricanes are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 games overall.  Miami is 1-7 ATS in its last eight home games.  The Hurricanes are 0-6 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite of 13.0 or greater.  Bet Boston College Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Brooklyn Nets +4

This is a great spot to fade the Miami Heat, who are primed for a letdown here tonight.  The Heat won four straight home games coming in, including their 105-102 upset of Golden State on Monday as 11-point dogs.  Off their biggest win of the season, they will now fail to show up at all in Brooklyn tonight.

The betting public is all over the Heat in this game, yet this line has dropped.  That's an indication that the big money is on the Nets, and I believe it is warranted given the awful spot for the Heat here.  After all, Miami is just 6-17 straight up in road games this season and should not be favored on the road against anyone.

Plays on underdogs (BROOKLYN) - after allowing 105 points or more three straight games against opponent after a win by 6 points or less are 49-17 (74.2%) ATS over the last five seasons.

Miami is 1-11 ATS in road games vs. teams who score 103 or more points per game in the second half of the season over the last three seasons.  The Heat are 0-8 ATS in road games after a game where they made 12 or more 3-point shots over the last three years.  Roll with the Nets Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on La Salle -8.5

Look for an inspired effort tonight from the La Salle Explorers off their worst loss of the season, a 52-90 road loss to VCU.  That poor showing came out of nowhere because they had been playing their best basketball of the season coming into that contest.

Indeed, La Salle was 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in its previous five games.  The Explorers had beaten Saint Louis by 21, Duquesne by 7, George Washington by 10 and Davidson by 8 at home.  They had also gone on the road and upset Rhode Island by 12 as 12-point dogs.

Pennsylvania is 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in its last four games overall.  All four losses came by 7 points or more.  They lost by 9 at Princeton as 8.5-point dogs, by 8 at home to Yale as 1-point dogs, by 12 at home to Brown as 9.5-point favorites, and by 7 to St. Joe's on a neutral court as 2.5-point dogs.

La Salle has won eight of its last nine meetings with Pennsylvania with each of the last four victories coming by double-digits.  The Explorers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine home games.  The Quakers are 0-4 ATS in their last four vs. Atlantic 10 opponents.  The Explorers are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games after trailing their last game by 20-plus points at the half.  Take La Salle Wednesday.

20* NBA Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Denver Nuggets -2.5

The Utah Jazz are in a very tough spot tonight.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 4th game in 5 days.  This schedule appeared to catch up with them last night as they fell at home to the Thunder 95-97 as 5-point favorites.

Now they must go to the altitude to take on the red-hot Denver Nuggets tonight.  The Nuggets have gone 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.  They have really started to click offensively, averaging 121.2 points per game in their last six contests overall.

The home team has won three straight and seven of the last nine meetings in this series.  The Jazz are 1-9 ATS as a road underdog this season.  Denver is 13-3 ATS off a loss to a division rival this year.  Utah is 0-6 ATS in its last six road games.  The Jazz are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 vs. Western Conference foes.  Bet the Nuggets Tuesday.

15* Kansas/WVU ESPN ANNIHILATOR on West Virginia -3

The West Virginia Mountaineers are coming off back-to-back losses and will be highly motivated to get a win at home tonight against the Kansas Jayhawks on National TV.  Look for a big effort from them, especially after those consecutive losses.

The Jayhawks have played a very weak schedule thus far in Big 12 play, avoiding both Baylor and WVU to this point.  The only three road games in conference play the Jayhawks have faced were a 6-point win at TCU, an 11-point win at Oklahoma and a 4-point win at Iowa State.  They will suffer their first loss of conference season here.

Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is a perfect 7-0 straight up in the last seven meetings.  West Virginia has won each of its last three home meetings with the Jayhawks, including a 74-63 victory as 1-point dogs last year.  The home team is 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings.

West Virginia is 6-0 ATS in Tuesday home games over the last three seasons.  Kansas is 2-8 ATS when playing its 2nd game in a week this season.  The Mountaineers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  Take West Virginia Tuesday.

15* Purdue/Michigan State ESPN 2 No-Brainer on Michigan State +2.5

The Michigan State Spartans will be highly motivated for a win tonight after losing each of their last two games in narrow fashion on the road to Ohio State by 5 and Indiana by 7.  Look for a big effort from Sparty tonight at home to try and get back in the win dolumn.

The Spartans have certainly been taking care of business at home in conference play.  They beat Northwestern by 9 as 2.5-point favorites, Rutgers by 28 as 13-point favorites and Minnesota by 18 as 3.5-point favorites.  They have covered their first three Big Ten home games by a combined 36 points.

Purdue hasn't exactly played great in its first two Big Ten road games.  It only won 76-75 at Ohio State as 3-point favorites, then was upset 78-83 at lowly Iowa as 6-point favorites.  Michigan State has won 12 of its last 15 home meetings with Purdue.

The Spartans have owned this series, going 8-1 SU & 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings.  The only loss came last season 81-82 in overtime at Purdue.  The Spartans are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog of 0.5-6.5. points.  Roll with Michigan State Tuesday.

15* Oklahoma/Texas ESPN Monday No-Brainer on Texas -2

The Texas Longhorns are playing very well of late and continue flying under the radar.  It hasn't shown up in the win-loss column, but the fact that they are being competitive against the best teams in the Big 12 shows what they are capable of.

The Longhorns are 6-1 ATS in their last six games overall.  They only lost by 3 at Kansas State as 8.5-point dogs, beat Oklahoma State 82-79 as 1-point home dogs, only lost by 9 as 9.5-point dogs at Iowa State, only lost by 3 at home to TCU and by 1 at home to West Virginia as 11.5-point dogs, and covered in a 10-point loss at Baylor as 14-point dogs and in a 12-point loss at Kansas as 16-point dogs.

Oklahoma is also playing better right now, but I don't like this spot for the Sooners.  They played a double-overtime game on Saturday against Iowa State and lost 87-92 at home.  Now they must play just two days later and will certainly still be feeling the effects of that grueling defeat.

The home team has won seven of the last nine meetings in this series.  The Sooners are just 1-3 in true road games this season.  Oklahoma is 1-8 ATS in road games versus teams who force 14 or fewer turnovers per game over the last two seasons.  Texas is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 vs. Big 12 opponents.  The Longhorns are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss.  The Sooners are 4-9 ATS in the last 13 road meetings.  Roll with Texas Monday.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Milwaukee Bucks +5.5

The Milwaukee Bucks will be highly motivated for a victory tonight.  They have lost five straight coming in while failing to cover the spread in all five games, which has them undervalued right now.  But four of those five losses came on the road.

One of those losses came at Houston on January 18th just six days ago.  That places the Bucks in revenge mode tonight, only adding to their motivation.  Look for them to play one of their better games of the season, especially after recently holding a team meeting to address their issues.

I don't expect the Grizzlies to be all that motivated here.  They are coming off back-to-back games against Golden State and Memphis, and after having beaten Milwaukee just six days ago, they won't be fully locked in.  The Rockets will also be playing their 5th game in 7 days here, so they are a tired team.

Milwaukee is 17-6 ATS in home games after failing to cover the spread in two more consecutive games over the last three seasons.  The Bucks are 24-13 ATS off two or more consecutive losses over the last two years.  Milwaukee is 82-47 ATS in its last 129 games off four or more consecutive losses.  The Rockets are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a win.  The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.  Bet the Bucks Monday.

15* NBA Monday No-Doubt Rout on Charlotte Hornets -4.5

The Charlotte Hornets have won three straight games coming in.  All three wins came at home with a 22-point win over Portland, a 35-point win over Toronto and a 7-point win over Brooklyn.  They are now 15-7 at home this season.

The Washington Wizards are starting to get too much respect from oddsmakers due to going a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall.  But the Wizards are just 5-14 SU & 8-11 ATS on the road this season.  They are giving up 108.4 points per game on 47.1% shooting away from home.

Home-court advantage has been huge in this series of late as the home team is 6-0 SU in the last six meetings.  The Hornets are 6-1 ATS in their last seven vs. NBA Southeast Division opponents.  The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.  Take the Hornets Monday.

15* NBA Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Minnesota Timberwolves -4

The Denver Nuggets are in a very tough spot here.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days tonight.  Making matters worse is the fact that they'll be without two starters in Emmanuel Mudiay and Gary Harris.

I think the Nuggets are starting to get a little too much respect from oddsmakers now after going 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.  But the four wins came against the Pacers, Magic, Lakers and Clippers, who were without Chris Paul and Blake Griffin last night.

The Timberwolves are starting to play up to their potential, but they aren't getting the respect they deserve.  They have gone 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.  Now they are laying a short number here despite the fact that they come in on two days' rest and in a much better situation than the Nuggets.

The Timberwolves are 7-0 ATS in home games versus teams who make 46% of their shots or better this season.  Minnesota is 11-0 ATS versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds per game in the second half of the season over the last two years.  Roll with the Timberwolves Sunday.

15* CBB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Ohio State -1

The Ohio State Buckeyes are showing great value as only 1-point home favorites over the Northwestern Wildcats Sunday.  I'll gladly back them at this price in a game they essentially just have to win to cover.

The Buckeyes are 10-2 at home this season.  One of the losses was a 75-76 loss to Purdue, which is one of the best teams in the Big Ten.  The Buckeyes just beat Michigan State 72-67 at home before going on the road and winning at Nebraska.

Ohio State has had Northwestern's number to say the least.  The Buckeyes are 29-2 in their last 31 meetings with the Wildcats, including a perfect 15-0 in their last 15 home meetings.  Again, they just have to win the game today to cover.  Bet Ohio State Sunday.

15* Miami/Duke ESPN Saturday No-Brainer on Duke -9

I'm anticipating the best effort of the season from Duke here Saturday.  The Blue Devils are coming off back-to-back road losses against two of the top teams in the ACC in Florida State and Louisville.  They have now had a full week to fix their issues and get ready for Miami having last played last Saturday.

The Miami Hurricanes haven't shown me anything that would make be believe that they can even be competitive in this game Saturday.  They are 1-3 in their last four games overall, losing by 15 at Syracuse, by 5 at home to Notre Dame and by 17 at Wake Forest.  None of those three teams are as good as Duke.

And Miami is at a huge disadvantage getting just two days to prepare for Duke.  The Hurricanes played Wake Forest on Wednesday.  Adding to the Blue Devils' motivation is the fact that they've actually lost each of their last two meetings with the Hurricanes, who aren't nearly as strong this year as they were the past two seasons.

Duke is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 home games after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games.  The Blue Devils are 9-0 at home this season with an average margin of victory of 28.7 points per game.  Miami is 1-8 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3-point shots per game this season.  The Hurricanes are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games overall.  Miami is 1-6 ATS in its last seven road games.  Bet Duke Saturday.

20* NBA Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Detroit Pistons -1.5

The Detroit Pistons are going to be a great bet moving forward.  They haven't lived up to expectations yet as they are just 20-24 on the season, but it appears they are starting to turn the corner.

After winning 102-97 in Los Angeles, the Pistons came back and thumped Atlanta 118-95 at home.  Now the Pistons have had two days off since that game, and this will actually be just their 2nd game in 6 days.  Look for a big effort from them here given their rest advantage.

Washington is way overvalued right now due to going 14-5 in its last 19 games overall.  However, almost all of those wins have come at home.  The Wizards are just 5-13 SU & 7-11 ATS on the road this season.  They don't have the same rest advantage as this will be their 3rd game in 4 days.

Washington is 1-10 ATS off a road win where it scored 110 or more points over the last two seasons.  Detroit is 17-5 ATS in its last 22 home games with a total set of 210 or more.  The Pistons are 6-0 ATS in their last six games when playing on two days' rest.  The Wizards are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 meetings in Detroit.  The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.  Bet the Pistons Saturday.

15* MAC PLAY OF THE DAY on Northern Illinois -1

Northern Illinois has been consistently undervalued at home over the past few seasons.  Time and time again they are short home favorites, and the Huskies keep delivering for backers.  They are 8-2 at home this season while outscoring the opposition by 11.1 points per game on average.

The Huskies come in playing their best basketball of the season, going 8-1 SU in their last nine games overall with their only loss coming 67-69 at Miami Ohio.  Despite this fact, the Huskies continue to lack respect from oddsmakers here today.

Ohio just lost its best player in Antonio Campbell (16.4 ppg, 8.9 rpg) to a season-ending foot injury.  The results without him have not been good.  They lost at home to Eastern Michigan 49-53 as 7-point favorites, then proceeded to fall at Akron 68-83 as 6-point dogs.  They are clearly lost without Campbell.

The Huskies are 17-6 ATS in their last 23 home games.  The Bobcats are 9-19 ATS in their last 28 road games.  Northern Illinois is 8-0 ATS in home games off a home win over the last two seasons, coming back to win by nearly 20 points per game on average in this spot.  Roll with Northern Illinois Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on James Madison +8

James Madison is playing well having gone 5-3 SU & 5-2 ATS in its last eight games overall.  They suffered a 10-point road loss at Northeastern as 8-point dogs, a 51-53 loss to College of Charleston as 4.5-point home dogs, and a 72-73 loss at William & Mary as 7-point dogs in their three defeats, so they've been competitive in every game.

As you can see, this will be the second meeting between James Madison and College of Charleston this season.  I love taking the team in revenge mode, especially when they are catching a bunch of points on the road.  And after losing by just 2 to College of Charleston in the first meeting, I think there's a ton of value with James Madison at +8 in the rematch.

I think this is an awful spot for College of Charleston, which is coming off a 59-65 home loss to the best team in the conference in UNC-Wilmington as 3.5-point dogs.  Off that deflating loss, I look for them to suffer a hangover here, especially considering they won't be able to get up for a James Madison team that they've already beaten once this year.

The recent head-to-head history also favors James Madison, which is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  Each of the last four meetings were decided by 7 points or less, and Charleston hasn't beaten James Madison by more than 3 points in any of those six meetings.

James Madison is 22-11 ATS in all road games over the last three seasons.  Charleston is 16-36-2 ATS in its last 54 home games.  The Cougars are 7-23-1 ATS in their last 31 Saturday games.  The Dukes are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 conference games.  Take James Madison Saturday.

20* ACC GAME OF THE MONTH on Florida State -3

The Florida State Seminoles are 17-2 on the season, including a perfect 13-0 SU & 8-3 ATS at home this season where they are outscoring opponents by an average of 20.0 points per game on the season.  They have home wins over Florida (by 5), Wake Forest (by 16), VA Tech (by 15), Duke (by 16) and Notre Dame (by 3) recently.

Louisville is having a superb season as well, going 16-3 straight up and 12-5 ATS on the year.  But the Cardinals were dealt a big blow when they lost starting PG Quentin Snider (12.1 ppg, 4.0 apg) for 2-3 weeks with a hip injury.

The Cardinals were able to overcome his injury for a game and thump Clemson 92-60 at home, but now they will be playing just their 4th true road game of the season.  The other three weren't impressive at all as they only won by 9 at Grand Canyon, lost by 7 at Notre Dame and beat lowly Georgia Tech by 15.

Florida State is 6-0 ATS in home games off a home win this season.  Louisville is 2-9 ATS in road games against ACC opponents over the last two seasons.  The Cardinals are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as a road underdog.  Bet Florida State Saturday.

15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on Brooklyn Nets +10

The betting public wants nothing to do with the Brooklyn Nets right now.  They have lost 11 straight coming in while going 2-9 ATS in the process.  As a result, we're getting a huge number here with the Nets Friday, and the value is clearly with the double-digit road dog.

The schedule has been brutal of late which is a big reason for the Nets' struggles.  Their last three losses have come to the Raptors (twice) and Rockets.  They also lost 95-104 at home to the Pelicans on January 12th just over a week ago, which places them in revenge mode here in the rematch.

The Pelicans are getting too much respect from the books and the betting public due to going 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.  But now we find them laying double-digits for the first time all season.  In fact, they haven't been more than 6-point favorites in any other game this year.

New Orleans is 12-26 ATS in its last 38 games off a home win by 20 points or more.  The Pelicans are 16-33 ATS in their last 49 vs. teams who are outscored by 9-plus points per game on the season.  The underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.  The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.  Roll with the Nets Friday.

15* NBA Friday No-Doubt Rout on Charlotte Hornets -1

The Charlotte Hornets finally ended a five-game losing streak with a 107-85 home victory over the Portland Trail Blazers last time out.  All five of those losses came on the road, but the Hornets are 13-7 at home this season.  Look for them to build off that win with another here tonight.

The Raptors will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days here and started to show some fatigue in an 89-94 loss at Philadelphia on Wednesday.  And the Raptors are dealing with several injuries right now as DeMarre Carroll, Patrick Patterson and Lucas Nogueira are all questionable.

Toronto is 11-28 ATS in its last 39 road games versus teams who scored 103 or more points per game in the second half of the season.  The Raptors are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games, and 0-4 ATS in their last four road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  Charlotte is 20-8 ATS in the last 28 meetings, and 8-3 ATS in the last 11 home meetings.  Take the Hornets Friday.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Philadelphia 76ers +1.5

The Philadelphia 76ers are once again showing great value as home underdogs to the Portland Trail Blazers.  They are playing their best basketball of the season right now, yet getting no respect for it from the oddsmakers and betting public.

The 76ers have gone 7-2 SU & 8-1 ATS in their last nine games overall.  The two losses came on the road to Boston (by 4) and Washington (by 16), and that loss to the Wizards was the second of a back-to-back without Joel Embiid.  When Embiid has been on the floor, this has been a 54-win team, and without him they're an 11-win team.

The Portland Trail Blazers are a mess this season.  They have lost three straight coming in against Eastern Conference foes, losing by 6 at home to Orlando, and by 19 at Washington and 22 at Charlotte.  This team is just out of it mentally right now, and I don't foresee them turning it around any time soon.

Portland is 5-18 ATS off three straight non-conference games over the last three seasons.  The Blazers are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 road games.  The 76ers are 29-14-1 ATS in their last 44 vs. Western Conference.  Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last five vs. a team with a losing record.  Bet the 76ers Friday.

15* NBA Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Phoenix Suns +13

The Cleveland Cavaliers will suffer a hangover effect from their blowout loss to the Golden State Warriors last time out.  There's no way they'll be able to get up for the Phoenix Suns like they were against the Warriors.

The Suns have been playing some of their best basketball of the season of late.  They are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall.  That includes an upset 108-105 win over San Antonio as 12.5-point dogs, a narrow 101-106 loss to Utah as 6.5-point dogs and a narrow 116-120 loss to Cleveland as 8.5-point dogs.

That also puts the Suns in revenge mode here after losing to the Cavaliers by 4 on January 8th less than two weeks ago.  And the Suns haven't lost any of their last nine games by more than 11 points, so getting 13 points here is a tremendous value.

Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last five vs. Eastern Conference opponents.  The Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last four vs. a team with a winning percentage above 60%.   The Cavaliers are 17-36-2 ATS in their last 55 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.  Cleveland is 1-7 ATS in its last eight games overall.  Take the Suns Thursday.

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Iowa -2.5

It has been like night and day for the Iowa Hawkeyes home and away.  They have been terrible on the road, but dominant at home this season.  The Hawkeyes have won seven straight home games coming into this contest against Maryland.

The Hawkeyes are 3-0 at home in Big Ten play, beating Michigan 86-83 as 2.5-point dogs, Rutgers 68-62 and Purdue 83-78 as 6-point dogs.  They also topped Iowa State 78-64 as 6-point dogs as part of this seven-game home winning streak.

I think Maryland comes in overvalued due to its 16-2 record this season where it has done most of its damage at home.  And the Terrapins have won three straight by 7 points or fewer coming in, and I think their luck runs out tonight in Iowa City in these close games.

Iowa is 11-1 ATS in home games vs. teams who make 8 or more 3-point shots per game over the last two seasons.  The Hawkeyes are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven home games.  They beat Maryland 71-55 in their last home meeting.  Bet Iowa Thursday.

15* Pacers/Kings NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Sacramento -1.5

The Sacramento Kings will be highly motivated for a victory here tonight.  They have lost five of their last six coming in while facing a brutal schedule.  The five losses have come against the Heat, Clippers, Warriors, Cavs and Thunder.

Another reason the Kings will be motivated is because this is their final home game before they partake in an 8-game road trip starting on Friday.  They have had two days off to get ready for the Pacers tonight, and they will be putting a lot into this game to get a victory.

Indiana is getting too much respect from oddsmakers now after going 6-1 in their last seven games overall against an extremely soft schedule with five of those wins coming at home.  But the Pacers are just 5-14 SU & 5-14 ATS on the road this season, getting outscored by 7.7 points per game.

Indiana is 1-10 ATS in road games off a win this season.  Sacramento is 9-1 ATS after playing a game as a home underdog this season.  The Pacers are 0-9 ATS in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams who make 76% or better this season.  The Kings are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up loss.  Bet the Kings Wednesday.

20* CBB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Northern Iowa -3

Northern Iowa wants revenge from a 66-77 road loss to Loyola back on January 1st.  In fact, the Panthers have lost three straight in this series, so they'll be playing with triple revenge here.  Look for them to get that revenge at home tonight.

The Panthers are undervalued right now after going 0-7 SU & 0-7 ATS during a stretch that dated back to a loss to Iowa.  They finally broke the streak with a 79-60 win at Drake last time out, and now they have their best player back healthy in Jeremy Morgan (16.9 ppg), who returned for the Drake game and scored 21 points.

Conversely, Loyola comes in overvalued after going 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.  But the Ramblers have not fared well at UNI, going 1-4 straight up in their last five road meetings in this series.

The Panthers are 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 games following a straight up win.  Northern Iowa is 15-7-1 ATS in its last 23 games as a home favorite.  The Panthers are 24-11 ATS in their last 35 games as a home favorite of 3 points or less or PK.  The Panthers are 22-7 ATS off a conference win over the last three years.  Bet Northern Iowa Wednesday.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Oklahoma +17

The Oklahoma Sooners are as undervalued as they'll be all season right now.  That's because they lost seven straight games before finally ending that streak with an 84-75 home win over Texas Tech on Saturday.  But the Sooners are still getting no respect from oddsmakers here despite going 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.

The biggest reason for the Sooners' struggles was that Jordan Woodard was injured and missed several games.  But he's back healthy now as he returned in a 70-81 loss to Kansas as 12-point dogs prior to the Texas Tech win.  This team will be a tough out moving forward with Woodard back.

West Virginia is as overvalued as it is going to be at any point this season due to its 15-2 start to the season.  That was evident last time out as the Mountaineers barely survived in a 74-72 win at lowly Texas as 11.5-point favorites.  Now they're being asked to lay a whopping 17 points to the Sooners tonight.  They're going to have to play a perfect game to cover this massive number.  Take Oklahoma Wednesday.

15* ACC PLAY OF THE DAY on Florida State -5.5

The Florida State Seminoles are a perfect 12-0 SU & 8-2 ATS at home this season, outscoring opponents by an average of 21.5 points per game.  They have been crushing opponents at home in ACC play, beating Wake Forest by 16, Virginia Tech by 15 and Duke by 16.

I believe Notre Dame comes into this game overvalued due to having won seven straight while covering each of the last four against the spread.  But the Fighting Irish's luck will run out here against an FSU team that is a legitimate contender to win the ACC this year.

The Seminoles beat the Fighting Irish 77-56 at home last season as 3-point underdogs.  They have actually won three of their last four meetings in this series.  This will be the toughest road game of the season for the Fighting Irish, who have been fortunate to escape with three close road wins by 5 points or less in ACC play.

Florida State is 9-0 ATS in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3-point shots per game over the last two seasons.  The Seminoles are 11-1 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams who attempt 18 or fewer free throws per game over the last three years.  Roll with Florida State Wednesday.

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Wisconsin -10

The Wisconsin Badgers are the best team in the Big Ten.  They have been dominant at home this year, going 10-0 straight up and 6-1 ATS in lined games while winning by an average of 27.6 points per game.  They beat Rutgers by 20 and Ohio State by 23 in their first two conference home games.

The Michigan Wolverines have been an overvalued commodity this season, especially of late.  They are 0-6 ATS in their last six games overall.  Their only two conferences wins came at home, and both were close as they only beat Penn State 72-69 as 11.5-point favorites, and Nebraska 91-85 as 8.5-point favorites.

The Wolverines lost to Maryland by 7 at home, and both Iowa and Illinois (by 16) on the road.  They are now 0-4 in true road games this season, getting outscored by an average of 13.0 points per game.  The Wolverines have been outrebounded by 40 boards in Big Ten play.  Wisconsin outrebounds its opponents by an average of 11 boards per game.  That is going to be where this game is won and covered as the Badgers kill Michigan on the glass in this one.

Wisconsin is 8-0 ATS off a home conference win over the last two seasons.  The Badgers are 12-3 ATS off a home blowout win by 20 points or more over the last three years.  Wisconsin is 14-2 ATS in its last 16 vs. teams who make 77% or more of their free throw attempts.  Michigan is 1-8 ATS versus good defensive teams that allow 42% shooting or less this season.  The Wolverines are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.  The Badgers are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games as a favorite.  Roll with Wisconsin Tuesday.

20* NBA Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on San Antonio Spurs -11.5

The San Antonio Spurs will be highly motivated for a victory tonight after getting upset 108-105 by the Phoenix Suns in Mexico City.  And they have responded very well following a loss this season, going 7-1 while winning those seven games by an average of 19.7 points.

The Minnesota Timberwolves appeared to turn the corner with three straight home wins, but them promptly lost 87-98 on the road to the Dallas Mavericks on Sunday.  They are now just 5-14 SU & 6-13 ATS on the road this season.  And while they have just one day off in between games, the Spurs come in on two days' rest.

This has been a one-sided series to say the least.  The Spurs are 8-0 SU & 7-1 ATS in their last eight meetings with the Timberwolves.  Seven of those eight wins have come by at least 14 points, so this series hasn't even been competitive.

San Antonio is 8-0 ATS off a close loss by 3 points or less over the last two seasons.  It is coming back to win by an average of 21.7 points per game in this spot.  Bet the Spurs Tuesday.