15* Heat/Bulls Eastern Conference ANNIHILATOR on Miami -1.5

This is a tough spot for the Chicago Bulls.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after having to fly back from Orlando after a win against the short-handed Magic last night.  It will also be the 9th game in 14 days for the Bulls.  This team simply doesn't have much left in the tank.

Now they have to face a rested, motivated Miami Heat team that comes in on two days' rest and off an upset loss to the Timberwolves.  I don't think the Bulls will be able to match the Heat's energy or intensity in this game tonight.

The Heat are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games vs. a team with a winning record, including 4-0 ATS in their last four games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Miami is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 games playing on two days' rest.  The Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last four trips to Chicago.  Take the Heat Saturday.

20* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Santa Clara -3.5

Herb Sendek has a very good Santa Clara team this season.  The Broncos are 5-1 SU & 4-1-1 ATS this season against a brutal schedule.  They beat Stanford by 16 as 3-point dogs, Nevada by 22 as 1.5-point dogs, TCU by 19 as 3.5-point dogs and Cal Poly by 30 as 14.5-point favorites.  Their lone loss came to Fresno State last time out, and I think they are undervalued off that defeat.

UC-Irvine is a solid team at 3-1 this season.  But they lost to the best team they faced in New Mexico State by 11 as 5.5-point dogs.  It was also their only road game this season.  And I don't see them hanging with this veteran, talented Santa Clara squad on the road tonight.

Irvine is 0-6 ATS in its last six road games after a win by 10 points or more.  Irvine is 0-7 ATS in its last seven road games after covering two of its last three ATS.  The Anteaters are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as road underdogs.  The Broncos are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games following an ATS loss.  Roll with Santa Clara Saturday.

20* NBA Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Philadelphia 76ers -4.5

The Philadelphia 76ers get Joel Embiid back from COVID tonight.  They come in highly motivated for a victory after struggling without him, going 2-7 SU & 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall.  This after a solid 8-2 start this season with him on board for most of those games.

The schedule has done the 76ers no favors without Embiid, either.  They have played six straight road games coming in.  But now they are back home where they have been one of the best home teams in the NBA over the past few seasons.  And they are rested and ready to go coming in on two days' rest.

While it's a great time to 'buy low' on the 76ers, it's also a great time to 'sell high' on the Minnesota Timberwolves.  They have gone 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.  But they are in a tough spot tonight playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 10th game in 16 days after a shootout loss in Charlotte last night.  They won't be able to match Philadelphia's energy and intensity tonight.

The Timberwolves are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as road underdogs.  The 76ers are 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.  The 76ers are 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings in Philadelphia.  Bet the 76ers Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Northern Iowa +10

Northern Iowa is one of the best teams in the Missouri Valley this season.  But they had some bad losses early when they were injured.  Now they are fully healthy, and they played up to their potential when they had a 1-point lead with under three minutes left at Arkansas last time out as 12.5-point dogs.

The Panthers went on to lose that game by 13 in one of the worst beats of the college basketball season.  But now that works in our favor here because the Panthers are catching more points than they should be against St. Bonaventure.  They have also had a ton of time to get ready for this game and get even healthier with that Arkansas contest being their last game on November 17th.

While it's a great time to 'buy low' on Northern Iowa, it's also a great time to 'sell high' on St. Bonaventure after opening 5-0 SU & 3-1-1 ATS.  The Bonnies just played a big tournament and beat Boise State (by 6), Clemson (by 3) and Marquette to win the title.  This is now a letdown spot for them as they return home to face 1-3 Northern Iowa.

The Panthers are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games vs. excellent defensive teams that allow 35% shooting or lower.  Bet Northern Iowa Saturday.

15* Bucks/Nuggets NBA TV ANNIHILATOR on Milwaukee -3

The Milwaukee Bucks are 7-0 when Giannis, Khris Middleton and Jrue Holiday have been on the floor together this season.  They have won five straight games by 7 points or more and are playing their best basketball of the season right now at their healthiest point of the season.

Now they take on an injury-ravaged Denver Nuggets team that is not playing well, going 0-5 SU & 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall with four losses by double-digits.  They are without Jamal Murray and Michael Porter Jr., and Nikola Jokic has missed the past three games with a wrist injury and is questionable to return tonight.  I don't think it matters, but would obviously be a bonus if he didn't play.  Roll with the Bucks Friday.

20* NBA Friday No-Doubt Rout on Memphis Grizzlies -1

It's a good time to 'sell high' on the Atlanta Hawks after going 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in their final six games prior to Thanksgiving.  They had gone 0-6 SU & 0-6 ATS in their previous six games.  And they won five of those six games at home.

Atlanta has been terrible on the road this season.  The Hawks are 2-8 SU & 1-9 ATS in their 10 road games.  They face a motivated Memphis Grizzlies team that is as healthy as they have been all season now.

The Hawks are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 road games, including 0-8 ATS in their last eight games as road underdogs.  The Hawks are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as underdogs overall.  The Grizzlies are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games following a SU loss by more than 10 points.  Bet the Grizzlies Friday.

15* NBA Friday Total DOMINATOR on Timberwolves/Hornets OVER 224.5

Two teams that are playing very well and like to get up and down square off tonight when the Minnesota Timberwolves visit the Charlotte Hornets.  The Hornets rank 4th in the NBA in pace this season while the Timberwolves rank 11th.

Minnesota got De'Angelo Russell back healthy and he has helped spark a 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS run in their last five games overall.  The Timberwolves have scored at least 107 points in all five games and have averaged 116.6 points per game during this stretch.  He is the whole key to their offense, and they play a lot faster with him at the helm.  The Timberwolves will also be without their best defender in Patrick Beverly tonight, which will help the OVER.

Charlotte is 7-1 SU & 6-1-1 ATS in its last eight games overall.  The Hornets have scored at least 104 points in 10 of their last 11 games overall.  They rank 11th in offensive efficiency but just 24th in defensive efficiency this season.  They are an OVER team.

The OVER went 2-0 in two meetings last season with Charlotte winning 120-114 at home for 234 combined points, and 135-012 on the road for 237 combined points.  This game has all the makings of a shootout as well.  Take the OVER Friday.

15* CBB Friday PLAY OF THE DAY on LSU -8.5

LSU looks like one of the most underrated teams in the country.  They are 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS this season with all five wins coming by 16 points or more and by an average of 34.4 points per game.  That includes wins over solid mid-major programs in Liberty by 16 as 7.5-point favorites and Belmont by 30 as 6.5-point favorites.

Penn State is in rebuilding mode.  The Nittany Lions are 3-1 SU but 0-4 ATS this season.  They failed to cover at home against Youngstown State, Cornell and St. Francis-NY.  They also lost outright by 25 at UMass as 4-point favorites in their lone road game.  This is a huge step up in class for Penn State.

Plays on neutral court teams (LSU) - an excellent offensive team that averages at least 76 points per game against an average defensive team allowing 67-74 points per game, after two straight blowout wins by 20 points or more are 24-5 (82.8%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Bet LSU Friday.

15* CBB Thursday UPSET SHOCKER on Loyola-Chicago +3

Loyola-Chicago played the early game yesterday and got the extra time to rest and sit around and watch the Auburn/UConn game to scout both teams.  That's a huge advantage.  That rest advantage is even bigger now that Auburn and UConn went to double-overtime yesterday.

Indeed, UConn beat Auburn 115-109 in double-overtime in an absolute shootout.  Five players played at least 32 minutes for the Tigers yesterday.  They won't have much left in the tank for the Ramblers today and I'm shocked they are favored.

Auburn is 2-7 ATS in its last nine games vs. a team with a winning record.  Loyola-Chicago is 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven neutral site games.  The Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last five neutral site games.  Take Loyola-Chicago Thursday.

15* UConn/Michigan State ESPN Early ANNIHILATOR on Michigan State +2.5

Michigan State played the early game yesterday and got the extra time to rest and sit around and watch the Auburn/UConn game to scout both teams.  That's a huge advantage.  That rest advantage is even bigger now that Auburn and UConn went to double-overtime yesterday.

Indeed, UConn beat Auburn 115-109 in double-overtime in an absolute shootout.  Five players played more than 30 minutes for the Huskies, including two more than 43 minutes.  They won't have much left in the tank for the Spartans today.

UConn is 1-6 ATS in its last seven games after scoring more than 90 points in its previous game.  Michigan State is 3-0-1 ATS in its last four games overall.  The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.  Bet Michigan State Thursday.

15* Memphis/VA Tech ESPN 2 ANNIHILATOR on Memphis -2.5

The Memphis Tigers are loaded this season and off to an impressive 4-0 start while winning by an average of 22.7 points per game.  Their 16-point home win over a very good Saint Louis team was very eye-opening.  And they followed it up with a 12-point win over a quality Western Kentucky team.  They have played the much tougher competition to this point.

Virginia Tech is overvalued after a 5-0 start against one of the easiest schedules in the country.  The Hokies have seen their five wins come again Maine, Navy, Radford, St. Francis-PA and Merrimack.  This is a huge step up in competition for them, and I expect them to fail.

The Tigers are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games overall.  Memphis is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Virginia Tech is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games as an underdog.  Take Memphis Wednesday.

20* CBB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on South Dakota State -4

South Dakota State is the best team in the underrated Summit League this season.  The Jackrabbits returned all five starters from a team that went 16-7 overall last year and 9-3 in Summit play.  And not just any five starters, how about five staters that all averaged in double figures last year.  They also return four bench players that played significant minutes last year, allowing the Jackrabbits to play at the break-neck pace that made them the Summit's most efficient offense last season.

They are off to a 5-2 start this season with one loss coming to Alabama on the road.  Well, Alabama is one of the best teams in the country.  They also beat Stephen F. Austin 83-71 as a 2-point favorite, Montana State 91-74 as a 10-point favorite, Bradley 81-65 as a 9-point favorite and Nevada 102-75 as 2.5-point favorites cover the spread in all four games.  

They did come up short yesterday against Washington as the Huskies couldn't miss, shooting 58.3% from the field.  But I like the Jackrabbits to bounce back today and they are built for these tournament situation playing three games in three days due to their tremendous depth.  They also play at a break-neck pace, which will really test George Mason.

George Mason has now lost three straight to James Madison, Washington and then Nevada in a 88-69 blowout yesterday.  That's the same Nevada team that South Dakota State beat by 27.  George Mason is not a deep team with six players averaging 21 minutes and the next-highest at 11 minutes.  They brought back just one starter from last year's team.

The Patriots are 14-36-1 ATS in their last 51 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  George Mason is 1-5 ATS in its last six neutral site games.  South Dakota State is 35-17-1 ATS in its last 53 games overall.  The Jackrabbits are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games following an ATS loss.  South Dakota State is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite.  The Jackrabbits are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a loss.  Bet South Dakota State Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday UPSET SHOCKER on San Antonio Spurs +4

This is a great time to 'buy low' on the San Antonio Spurs after losing five straight games coming in against a brutal schedule.  But they stayed within 4 points of the red hot Phoenix Suns last time out, and I expect them to upset the Atlanta Hawks at home tonight.  

The Spurs are fresh playing just their 2nd game in 6 days tonight.  They are highly motivated for a victory to end this losing streak heading into Thanksgiving.  And they face a Hawks team they have owned, going 21-2 SU in their last 23 home meetings with Atlanta.

Conversely, it's a great time to 'sell high' on Atlanta, which is 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in its last five games overall.  But all five wins came at home.  The Hawks are 1-8 SU & 0-9 ATS on the road this season. They are getting outscored by 10.0 points per game on the highway.  Enough said.  Take the Spurs Wednesday.

20* Nets/Celtics ESPN No-Brainer on Boston +1.5

The Boston Celtics are surging right now in going 8-3 SU & 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall with all three losses on the road including two by a combined 5 points.  They are 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS at home during this stretch with wins over the Raptors by 16, Bucks by 9, Lakers by 22, Rockets by 18 and Thunder by 5.

Now they host a Brooklyn Nets team that is banged up.  The Nets are just 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games overall with narrow wins over some bad teams in Cleveland (twice) and Orlando, as well as an 18-point loss to Golden State.  They are without Joe Harris and Bruce Brown, which puts way too much on Durant and Harden's shoulders.

Plays on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (Boston) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games against an opponent that went over the total by 42 or more points in their last seven games are 28-8 (77.8%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Bet the Celtics Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Indiana Pacers -3.5

The Lakers are a tired team right now which is a big reason they are just 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.  Now they will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 6-point loss to the Knicks last night.  It will also be the 7th game in 11 days for the Lakers.  They haven't had two days off in a row since October 20-21.

The Indiana Pacers are flashing their potential now that they are as healthy as they have been all season.  The Pacers are 7-5 SU & 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games overall.  Their last two games have been very impressive with a 15-point home win over New Orleans and a 32-point road win at Chicago.

The Lakers are 2-16 ATS in their last 18 road games with a total set of 210 to 219.5.  The Lakers are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games.  The Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games.  Indiana is 5-0 ATS in its last five home meetings with Los Angeles.  Roll with the Pacers Wednesday.

15* Nuggets/Blazers TNT Total DOMINATOR on OVER 213.5

The Portland Trail Blazers are an OVER team now that they are healthy.  They have gone 5-1-1 OVER in their last seven games overall with combined scores of 219 or more points in six of those seven games.  Now we have a total of just 213.5 here against the Nuggets tonight.

The Nuggets are 4-1 OVER in their last five games overall with combined scores of 212 or more points in four of those five games.  There's a decent chance they get Nikola Jokic back, who is questionable.  Even if they don't they'll have to play small ball and will be an OVER team regardless.

The OVER is 7-1 in the last eight meetings with combined scores of 219 or more points in seven of those eight meetings.  This is an OVER series, as well.  Roll with the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* CBB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on South Dakota State -5.5

South Dakota State is the best team in the underrated Summit League this season.  The Jackrabbits returned all five starters from a team that went 16-7 overall last year and 9-3 in Summit play.  And not just any five starters, how about five staters that all averaged in double figures last year.  They also return four bench players that played significant minutes last year, allowing the Jackrabbits to play at the break-neck pace that made them the Summit's most efficient offense last season.

They are off to a 5-1 start this season with their only loss coming to Alabama on the road.  Well, Alabama is one of the best teams in the country.  They also beat Stephen F. Austin 83-71 as a 2-point favorite, Montana State 91-74 as a 10-point favorite, Bradley 81-65 as a 9-point favorite and Nevada 102-75 as 2.5-point favorites cover the spread in all four games.  They are the real deal this season.

That blowout win over Nevada yesterday means the Jackrabbits will be fresh again today.  They will be taking on a rebuilding Washington team that is 3-2 SU & 1-4 ATS this season.  Washington barely survived in a 77-74 win over George Mason yesterday and will be tired because of it.  The Huskies were also upset by both Wyoming and Northern Illinois as a 20-point home favorite earlier this season.  They barely beat Northern Arizona 73-62 and Texas Southern 72-65 as well.

This will be essentially be home game for the Jackrabbits being played in Sioux Falls, South Dakota.  The Jackrabbits are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 games overall and have been one of the most underrated teams in the country over the past few seasons.  The Huskies are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a win.  Washington is 9-20 ATS in its last 29 games vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet South Dakota State Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Nebraska-Omaha +30

Texas Tech is overvalued after a 4-0 start against a weak schedule with wins over North Florida by 15, Grambling by 26, Prairie View A&M by 35 and Incarnate Word by 22.  The Red Raiders should not be laying 30 points to Nebraska-Omaha tonight.

Omaha has shown they can be competitive on the road against some quality teams.  They only lost by 4 at Ball State as 10.5-point dogs, by 15 at Kansas State as 17.5-point dogs and by 21 at Montana as 12.5-point dogs.  They will stay within 30 of the Red Raiders tonight.

Texas Tech is 0-6 ATS in its last six games following three or more consecutive wins.  The Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.  The Red Raiders are 9-19 ATS in their last 28 games overall.  This is a rebuilding Texas Tech team without Chris Beard, who moved on to Texas this year.  Take Nebraska-Omaha Tuesday.

15* Oregon/St. Mary's ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Oregon -1.5

This is a great time to 'buy low' on the Oregon Ducks.  They have failed to cover the spread in their last two games, including a blowout loss to BYU in which the Cougars shot lights out at 58.6% and made about every 3-pointer they looked at.  That loss came after an 86-63 blowout win over SMU, so the quality of competition has been high for the Ducks this season already.

It's also a great time to 'sell high' on Saint Mary's.  The Gaels are 5-0 against a very soft schedule of Prairie View A&M, Texas Southern, Southern Utah, Bellarmine and Notre Dame.  They only beat Notre Dame 62-59 yesterday, and Oregon blew out Chaminade 73-49.  So the Ducks will be the fresher team in this back-to-back situation.  They are the better team as well and it will show.

The Ducks are 29-14 ATS in their last 43 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  The Gaels are 11-25 ATS in their last 36 neutral site games as an underdog.  Saint Mary's is 1-5 ATS in its last six games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  The Gaels are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as underdogs.  Roll with Oregon Tuesday.

15* CBB Cancun Challenge ANNIHILATOR on Buffalo -4.5

Buffalo is picked to win the MAC and the MAC is one of the best mid-major conferences in the country, especially at the top.  Ohio upset Belmont, Akron nearly upset Ohio State losing by 1, Kent State gave Xavier a run for its money and Buffalo covered in a competitive effort against Michigan.

The Bulls returned four starters this season including three who averages at least 13 points per game in Jeenathan Williams (17.6 PPG, 6.8 RPG), Josh Mballa (15.3 PPG, 10.8 RPG) and Ronaldo Segu (13.3 PPG, 4.3 APG).  Williams is averaging 21.7 PPG and 7.0 RPG, Mballa 12.7 PPG and 8.3 RPG and Segu 13.7 PPG and 4.3 APG to this point during their 2-1 start.

This will be the first road game of the season for Stephen F. Austin.  They are clearly rebuilding this season as evidenced from their first two games, beating LSU-Alexanderia 82-73 and Mary Hardin-Baylor 76-63.  They lost 71-83 at home to South Dakota State as 2-point dogs, and needed a huge second half to beat Middle Tennessee 87-74.  Buffalo is on the same level as South Dakota State this season.

Buffalo is 10-1 ATS when playing just its 2nd game in a week over the last two seasons.  The Bulls are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games off a home win.  The Lumberjacks are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following a win.  Stephen F. Austin is 0-5 ATS in its last five games following an ATS win.  Take Buffalo Tuesday.

15* NBA Monday Undervalued Underdog on Oklahoma City Thunder +12

What more do the Oklahoma City Thunder have to do to get some respect from oddsmakers?  They have gone 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games overall and have been an underdog in 15 of their 16 games this season.  They continue catching too many points here as 12-point dogs to the Atlanta Hawks.

It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Hawks, who have gone 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.  They had gone 0-6 SU & 0-6 ATS in their previous six games prior to this run.  And they should not be double-digit favorites here against the Thunder.

Oklahoma City is 20-6 ATS in its last 26 road games following two or more consecutive road losses.  Well, those road losses came to the Bucks by 7 and Celtics by 6, so they were competitive against two teams that are probably better than the Hawks.  

The Thunder are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games.  Oklahoma City is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games vs. a team with a losing record.  The Thunder are 23-10 ATS in the last 33 meetings, including 15-6 ATS in the last 21 meetings in Atlanta.  Take the Thunder Monday.

20* NBA Monday No-Doubt Rout on Washington Wizards -3.5

The Washington Wizards are 11-5 SU & 10-5-1 ATS this season.  They are one of the most underrated teams in the NBA.  And now they are out for revenge from an 87-97 road loss at Charlotte on Wednesday just five days ago.  They'll be motivated and they'll get the win and cover because of it.

It's a good time to 'sell high' on the Hornets, who are 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.  They had gone 0-5 SU & 0-5 ATS in their previous five games.  It's just not a team I trust very much because they don't play defense.

Indeed, the Hornets are giving up 113.7 points per game while ranking 25th in defensive efficiency.  Washington scored 87 points and shot just 36.7% including 8-of-42 from 3-point range against the Hornets last meeting.  That's not going to happen again.  And a big reason for the Wizards improvement this season is ranking 9th in defensive efficiency.

Washington is 8-0 ATS in its last eight home games after a combined score of 205 points or fewer.  Charlotte is 7-20 ATS in its last 27 games as a road underdog.  The Hornets are 18-44 ATS in their last 62 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  Washington is 30-14-1 ATS in its last 45 games overall.  The Wizards are 24-7 ATS in their last 31 games playing on one days' rest.  Bet the Wizards Monday.

15* CBB Monday Undervalued Underdog on Hofstra +9.5

Hofstra is one of the top teams in the Colonial Athletic Conference this season.  They returned three starters, brought in five transfers and three freshmen who will battle for playing time.  I've been impressed with how well the Pride have played in the early going against a brutal schedule.

Hofstra only lost by 8 at Houston as 18.5-point dogs, upset Duquesne by 10 as 4-point road dogs, only lost by 8 at Iona as 5.5-point dogs and lost by 2 at Maryland as 12.5-point dogs.  Taking Houston and Maryland to the wire on the road is no small feat and shows this team's potential.

Now the Pride are catching 9.5-points on the road to an overrated Richmond team.  The Spiders are just 2-2 this season with their two wins coming against NC Central by 10 as 26-point favorites and Georgia State by 16.  They lost by 11 on a neutral as 6.5-point favorites to Utah State.  They also lost on the road to Drake to sit at 2-2 this season.  Now they'll be playing their 2nd game in 3 days after having to travel back home from Des Moines, Iowa off that Drake loss.

Hofstra is 7-0 ATS in its last seven road games vs. ad defensive teams that allow 45% shooting or higher.  Richmond is 0-9 ATS in its last nine home games vs. good free throw shooting teams that make 77% or better.  The Pride are 37-17-1 ATS in their last 55 road games.  The Spiders are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as home favorites.  Roll with Hofstra Monday.

20* CBB Monday No-Doubt Rout on South Dakota State -1

South Dakota State is the best team in the underrated Summit League this season.  The Jackrabbits returned all five starters from a team that went 16-7 overall last year and 9-3 in Summit play.  And not just any five starters, how about five staters that all averaged in double figures last year.  They also return four bench players that played significant minutes last year, allowing the Jackrabbits to play at the break-neck pace that made them the Summit's most efficient offense last season.

They are off to a 4-1 start this season with their only loss coming to Alabama on the road.  Well, Alabama is one of the best teams in the country.  They also beat Stephen F. Austin 83-71 as a 2-point favorite, Montana State 91-74 as a 10-point favorite and Bradley 81-65 as a 9-point favorite to cover the spread in all three games.  They are the real deal this season.

Few teams have been more disappointing than Nevada this season.  They returned almost everyone from last year, but they are just 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS.  They lost outright to San Diego by 7 at home as a 13.5-point favorite.  They lost by 22 at Santa Clara as a 1.5-point favorite.  Those two results alone show how broken this team is.

This will essentially be a home game for the Jackrabbits being played in Sioux Falls, South Dakota in the Crossover Classic.  The Jackrabbits are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games overall and have been one of the most underrated teams in the country for a couple seasons now.  Take South Dakota State Monday.

20* NBA GAME OF THE MONTH on Toronto Raptors +10.5

It's time to 'sell high' on the Golden State Warriors.  Bettors are paying a tax on them now after opening 14-2 SU & 12-4 ATS this season.  But now they are double-digit favorites over a quality Toronto Raptors team that is getting healthy and ready to give the Warriors a run for their money.

The Raptors are coming off one of their best performances of the season in a 108-89 win at Sacramento as 3.5-point underdogs.  Pascal Siakam is back healthy and had a monster game, scoring 32 points on 10-of-12 shooting.  This team just has too much talent overall to be catching double-digits from the Warriors.

I always like fading teams in home games following a long road trip.  The Warriors are coming off a four-game trip that ended with a 3-point win at Detroit.  Now they are back home and a tired team, playing their 9th game in 15 days.  They have six players on the injury report as they are starting to feel the fatigue.  That includes Curry, Green, Porter Jr. and Iguodala, who are all questionable.

The Raptors are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games.  Toronto is 7-2 ATS in its last nine road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  Bet the Raptors Sunday.

15* CBB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Florida State -6.5

This is a great time to 'buy low' on the Florida State Seminoles.  After crushing Pennsylvania by 35, they were upset by Florida and had a hangover from that defeat in a 5-point win over Tulane as a 16.5-point favorite.  Look for them to play up to their potential tonight and easily cover this short 6.5-point spread against Loyola-Marymount.

It's clearly Loyola-Marymount isn't as good as they were supposed to be coming into the season.  They are 2-1 against a very soft schedule with two very concerning efforts.  They lost outright to Chattanooga 64-75 as a 7point favorite and only beat Arizona Christian 74-67 in a game with no line.  They did beat Arkansas-Little Rock 82-63, and now this is a huge step up in class for them.

Plays on neutral court teams as favorites or PK (Florida State) - off a home no-cover where they won SU as a favorite, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%) are 65-28 (69.9%) ATS since 1997.  Roll with Florida State Sunday.

20* CBB Sunday UPSET SHOCKER on Boston College +3.5

Boston College will be out for revenge from a 49-57 road loss to Rhode Island as 4.5-point underdogs on November 17th just a few days ago.  Now the Eagles come back as 3.5-point dogs on a neutral in the Sunshine Slam played in Daytona Beach, FL.

I just expect the Eagles to be the more motivated team in the rematch, and for that to carry them to an outright victory.  Plus, Boston College isn't going to shoot 25% again like they did in that first meeting, and they still only lost by 8 with Rhode Island shooting 44.2%.  They had 42 rebounds compared to 29 for Rhode Island and should have a big edge on the glass again.  Bet Boston College Sunday.

15* CBB Sunday Early ANNIHILATOR on Ole Miss PK

The Ole Miss Rebels are 3-1 this season with their only loss coming to Marquette by 6.  And it's clear Marquette is actually pretty good with wins over Illinois and West Virginia already this season as well.  The Rebels have won their three games all by 18 points or more and will be one of the most improved teams in the country after COVID destroyed them last year.

Boise State lost a lot of talent from last year's team and is getting too much respect after having a good season.  The Broncos are 2-2 this season with their two wins coming against Utah Valley State and Temple.  They lost to UC-Irvine 50-58 as 2-point road favorites and St. Bonaventure 61.67 as 3.5-point dogs.

Ole Miss is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games after allowing 5 or fewer offensive rebounds in its prevous game.  Take Ole Miss Sunday.

15* CBB Saturday Night Line Mistake on Nebraska-Omaha +12.5

We have an underrated Nebraska-Omaha team up against an overrated Montana team here Saturday.  Omaha should not be catching double-digits in this showdown that should come right down to the wire.

Omaha only lost by 4 at Ball State as 10.5-point dogs and by 15 at Kansas State as 17.5-point dogs in its last two games coming in.  Montana lost by 37 as 11.5-point dogs at Mississippi State and by 2 as 7-point favorites at North Dakota in its last two games.

Omaha is 13-2 ATS in its last 15 games as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points.  Montana is 0-11 ATS in it last 11 Saturday games.  The Mavericks are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games.  The Grizzlies are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games overall.  Montana is 3-14 ATS in its last 17 games as a favorite.  Take Nebraska-Omaha Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Oklahoma City Thunder +10

The Oklahoma City Thunder continue to get the money this season because they get no respect from oddsmakers.  They are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall and catching double-digits again tonight after covering in a 7-point loss at Milwaukee as a 12.5-point dog last night.

The Celtics will also be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, but they are coming off a huge win over the rival Lakers.  This is certainly a letdown spot for them now.  It will also be the 6th game in 9 days for the Celtics, so they won't have much left in the tank to beat the Thunder, let alone do it by double-digits.

Oklahoma City is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 road games after scoring 95 points or less last game.  The Thunder are 6-0 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a losing record.  The Celtics are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games following a win by more than 10 points.  Boston is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 home games.  Roll with the Thunder Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Indiana Pacers -7

The Indiana Pacers are highly motivated for a victory tonight.  They have lost three straight on the road all by single-digits.  In fact, they have played seven of their last eight games on the road.  But they are back home now where they are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games with wins by 13 over the Spurs, 13 over the Knicks and 5 over the 76ers.

While both teams will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, it's a better spot for the Pacers than it is the Pelicans.  Injuries have ravaged the short-handed Pelicans this season.  They are just 3-14 SU & 7-10 ATS this season because of it.  They don't boast the depth that the Pacers do, and that will be a factor here.

New Orleans is 0-9 ATS in its last nine road games vs. good defensive teams that allow 108 or fewer points per game.  The Pelicans are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games.  The Pacers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games.  Indiana is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games playing on zero rest.

Plays on any team (Indiana) - off three or more consecutive road losses, when playing the 2nd of a back-to-back are 29-9 (76.3%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Take the Pacers Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on San Jose State +29.5

Tim Miles is a great head coach and one of the more underrated hires of the offseason.  He's already turning San Jose State into a competent program this year.  The Spartans are 1-2 SU but 3-0 ATS with three competitive games as underdogs.

After upsetting CS-Fullerton 78-76 as 5.5-point dogs, San Jose State also covered in a 14-point road loss at Stanford as 18.5-point dogs.  They then nearly upset Cal Baptist in a 1-point loss as 11-point road dogs.  And now they are catching 29.5 points against Texas, which is too much.

Texas came into the season with a ton of hype due to the hiring of Chris Beard from Texas Tech .  But the Longhorns have fallen flat, losing by 12 to Gonzaga as 7.5-point dogs and only beating Northern Colorado by 13 as 21-point favorites in their last two games coming into this one.

Texas is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 home games after a win by 10 points or more.  The Longhorns are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 home games following a win.  Texas is 0-8 ATS in its last eight home games vs. teams who attempt 21 or more 3-point shots per game.  Bet San Jose State Saturday.

15* CBB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Memphis -13.5

The Memphis Tigers are loaded this season and a legit contender.  They just beat a very good Saint Louis team handily 90-74 as 10.5-point favorites.  And now they take a big step down in competition here against Western Kentucky and should have no problem covering this 13.5-point spread at home.

Western Kentucky lost most of their studs from lsat year.  The result has been a 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS start this season.  The Hilltoppers barely survived in a 79-74 home win over Alabama State as a 25.5-point favorite.  That Alabama State team is now 0-5.

The Hilltoppers went on to get upset 69-73 as 3-point favorites against a rebuilding Minnesota team.  Then they lost 64-75 to South Carolina as 1-point underdogs.  That's also a rebounding South Carolina team.  This is a huge step up in competition for the Hilltoppers tonight.

The Tigers are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games overall.  Memphis is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 games as a favorite.  The Tigers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games.  Take Memphis Friday.

15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on Orlando Magic +12.5

The Brooklyn Nets will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days.  It will also be their 8th game in 13 days.  This team is short-handed right now without Kyrie Irving, Paul Millsap and Joe Harris.  There's just too much on Kevin Durant and James Harden's shoulders, especially given the tough rest spot.

I expect the Magic to hang around for four quarters in this one.  They want revenge from a home loss to the Nets just over a week ago on November 10th.  And they are the much fresher team playing just their 6th game in 12 days.  They have recent upset wins over the Knicks as 11.5-point dogs and the Jazz as 11-point dogs as well, so they are starting to play better.

The Nets are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Brooklyn is 0-4 ATS in its last four games following an ATS win.  The Magic are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.  Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last five trips to Brooklyn.  Take the Magic Friday.

15* CBB Friday Undervalued Underdog on Middle Tennessee +11

Middle Tennessee is off to an impressive 3-0 start this season.  The Blue Raiders crushed their first two opponents by 39 and 20 points.  Then they upset a very good Winthrop team 76-65 as 5.5-point underdogs.  Now they will hang with Stephen F. Austin tonight.

Stephen F. Austin is rebuilding this season.  They were not impressive at all in their first two games that didn't have lines.  They beat LSU-Alexandria by 9 and Mary Hardin-Baylor by 13.  Then they were crushed 71-83 as 2-point home underdogs to South Dakota State.  So that's three straight poor performances, and they have no business laying 11 points to the Blue Raiders tonight.

Plays on underdogs (Middle Tennessee) - off two consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, a team that had a losing record last season are 54-23 (70.1%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Roll with Middle Tennessee Friday.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Detroit Pistons +8

This is a terrible spot for the Golden State Warriors.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 13-point 4th quarter comeback win over the Cleveland Cavaliers last night.  Now they have to travel to Detroit and will be playing their 8th game in 13 days.

The Pistons are the fresher team and had yesterday off following a 97-89 upset win over Indiana at home on Wednesday.  They also upset Houston on the road and Toronto on the road in winning three of their last five games overall.  They are playing their best basketball of the season and will be highly motivated to welcome the team with the best record in the NBA to Detroit in the Warriors.  Bet the Pistons Friday.

15* NBA Thursday UPSET SHOCKER on Memphis Grizzlies +1

It's a good time to 'buy low' on the Memphis Grizzlies, who have lost three of their last four coming in.  But they are fully healthy now for basically the first time all season, and it showed in their 136-102 win over the Rockets last time out.  Now they have had the last two days off and will be fresh and ready to go against the Clippers tonight.

It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Clippers after going 8-1 SU in their last nine games overall against a pretty soft schedule.  But the injuries are mounting up for the Clippers now.  They are without Kawhi Leonard, Nicolas Batum, Marcus Morris and Justise Winslow, and they could be without Terrance Mann, who is questionable.  Take the Grizzlies Thursday.

20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on San Antonio Spurs +2.5

This is a very tough spot for the Minnesota Timberwolves tonight.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days tonight.  They won't have much left in the tank for the San Antonio Spurs.

We'll get a fresh, motivated effort from the Spurs tonight coming off three straight losses and having yesterday off.  It should be enough to win this game outright against the Timberwolves, who had gone 1-8 SU in their previous nine games prior to beating the Kings last night.  Bet the Spurs Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Alabama State +28

Alabama State is 0-4 SU but 4-0 ATS against some quality competition.  They lost by 5 at Western Kentucky as 25.5-point dogs, by 19 at Vanderbilt as 25.5-point dogs, but 18 at Missouri State as 23.5-point dogs and by 8 at Iowa State as 19-point dogs.

Now Alabama State is catching a whopping 28 points to Iowa, which isn't nearly as good as they were last season.  The Hawkeyes are 3-0 against some very weak competition in Longwood, Missouri-KC and NC Central.  And they only beat NC Central by 17 as 29.5-point favorites last time out.  I can't foresee them beating Alabama State by more than 28 points tonight.  Roll with Alabama State Thursday.

15* Ohio State/Xavier FS1 ANNIHILATOR on Ohio State -2

After two sub-par performances to open the season, the Ohio State Buckeyes played up to their potential in an 89-58 win as a 16-point favorite over Bowling Green last time out.  They are the better of these two teams with Xavier, and that will show tonight as they get the win and cover.

Xavier hasn't looked great itself.  The Musketeers only beat Niagara 63-60 as a 17-point favorite before topping Kent State 73-59 as an 8.5-point favorite.  But they were in a dog fight with Kent State until the final minutes.

That 3-point win over Niagara gives these teams a common opponent.  Ohio State beat Niagara by 10.  Every matchup is different, but I don't see how Xavier can be trusted to score much against Ohio State considering they shot just 39% overall and 25% from 3-point range against Niagara and Kent State.  Ohio State is shooting 49.4% overall and 36.1% from 3-point range.

The Buckeyes are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games.  The Musketeers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following an ATS win.  Take Ohio State Thursday.

15* NBA Wednesday UPSET SHOCKER on Sacramento Kings +2.5

It's a great 'buy low' spot on the Sacramento Kings, who are clearly a better team than the Minnesota Timberwolves and should not be underdogs here.  The Kings had gone 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their previous four games before throttling the Pistons 129-107 last time out.  But three losses came by 5 points or less and against some solid competition.

Now the Kings get another step down in competition here against the Timberwolves, who are 1-8 SU & 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall.  Five of those losses came by double-digits as they have rarely even been competitive.  And while the Kings will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days, the Timberwolves will be playing their 4th game in 6 days.

The Kings rank 8th in offensive efficiency while the Timberwolves rank 26th this season.  So while the Timberwolves are slightly ahead in defensive efficiency, the gap on offense more than makes up for it.  Minnesota just has no chemistry on the offensive end, and Karl-Anthony Towns is one of the most overrated players in the league because they don't know how to use him properly.  He disappears way too often.

The Kings are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 road games.  Sacramento is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games as a road underdog.  Minnesota is 1-6 ATS in its last seven home games.  The Timberwolves are 6-21-1 ATS in their last 28 games as home favorites.  Take the Kings Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Northern Iowa +13

Northern Iowa was picked to finish 2nd in the strong Missouri Valley entering the season.  You can see why most liked this team as they returned everyone from last year and all five starters.  But they were without a couple starters when they were upset by Nicholls State and Vermont to open the season.

Those guys returned to help the Panthers beat Dubuque 95-58 last time out.  And now the Panthers are at full strength and a sleeper going into Arkansas looking to give the Razorbacks a run for them money.  Northern Iowa will be looking to right some wrongs in the early going with this matchup with a Top 25 opponent.

Arkansas is due for some regression this year.  The Razorbacks lost three starters and three of their top four scorers in Moses Moody (16.8 PPG), Justin Smith (13.6 PPG) and Jalen Tate (11.0 PPG) from last year's 25-7 team.  It's no wonder they failed to cover against weak competition to open the season, only beating Mercer 74-61 as a 19-point favorite and Gardner Webb 86-69 as a 19.5-point favorite.  Northern Iowa is better than both those teams and it's not close.

Plays on road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (Northern Iowa) - a team that had a losing record last season, with all five starters returning from last year in the first five games of the season are 80-35 (69.6%) ATS since 1997.  Take Northern Iowa Wednesday.

20* Lakers/Bucks ESPN No-Brainer on OVER 218

Two of the fastest teams square off tonight when the Los Angeles Lakers visit the Milwaukee Bucks and a shootout should be the result.  The Lakers rank 3rd in the NBA in pace, while the Bucks rank 8th.

The Lakers play even faster when LeBron James is out just as he has been for a few weeks now.  Russell Westbrook likes to get up and down.  It has hurt the Lakers defensively as they give up 105.1 points per 100 possessions.

The Bucks have been even worse on the defensive end, ranking 20th in defensive efficiency at 106.8 points per 100 possessions allowed.  But their offense gets a boost tonight with the return of Khris Middleton following a two-week absence due to COVID.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on CS-Fullerton -3

CS-Fullerton will be highly motivated for a victory after two narrow road losses to Santa Clara (77-84) and San Jose State (76-78) to open the season.  Now they are home for the first time and those two losses were against two teams that I think are underrated this season.

Fullerton actually takes a step down in class here against George Washington in my opinion.  The Colonials are 1-2 this season and just lost by 20 at Cal San Diego as a 1-point favorite.  Their lone win came against St. Francis-PA 75-72 as a 7-point home favorite.  It's a rebuilding year for GW off a 5-12 season and losing three starters from last year's team, including leading scorer Jamison Battle (17.2 PPG, 5.2 RPG).

I expect CS-Fullerton to be one of the most improved teams in the country and compete for a Big West title.  They went just 5-9 in the Big West last year but had three losses by a combined seven points.  There led the conference in scoring last year and return four starters who combined for 42.8 points per game last season, plus 6th man Dante Maddox Jr. (11.9 PPG).

Dante Maddox Jr (13.0 PPG, 4.5 RPG), Tre Maddox Jr. (11.0 PPG), Vincent Lee (15.0 PPG, 6.5 RPG) and Latrell Wrightsell Jr. (9.5 PPG) are all back and off to solid starts with those being their season averages through two games.  They added in Tennessee transfer E.J. Anosike (15.0 PPG, 9.5 RPG), who has been their best player already.  And fellow newcomer Damari Milstead (10.0 PPG) is making a big impact already.

George Washington is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games off a road loss by 10 points or more.  The Colonials are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games.  Georgia Washington is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  This is a great time to 'buy low' on the Titans while we still can.  Roll with CS-Fullerton Tuesday.

15* Saints Louis/Memphis ESPN+ ANNIHILATOR on Saint Louis +10.5

I love what Travis Ford is building at Saint Louis.  They went 14-7 and made the NIT last year despite a COVID-ravaged season and brought back three starters from that team.  They also brought in several top transfers.

The Billikens are off to a dominant 3-0 start this season, covering as a 22-point favorite in a 96-61 win over Central Arkansas, beating Harris Stowe 127-54, and throttling Eastern Illinois 86-44 as a 21-point favorite.

Gibson Jimmerson (18.7 PPG), Yuri Collins (9.7 PPG, 9.3 APG), Francis Okoro (11.0 PPG, 9.0 RPG) and Marten Linssen (11.7 PPG) are all off to strong starts this season and back from last year's team.  Memphis transfer Jordan Nesbitt (13.3 PPG, 6.7 RPG) has fit in nicely as well.

Memphis is getting a lot of hype again this season with a Top 25 ranking and plenty of big-name recruits and talent.  But Penny Hardaway has been a disappointment.  And I don't know how they can be trusted to lay double-digits here against a team the quality of Saint Louis.

Memphis is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games off two consecutive home wins by 10 points or more.  Saint Louis is 6-0 ATS in its last six games off a home win where it scored 85 points or more.  The Tigers are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games vs. excellent shooting teams that make 52% or better.  The Billikens are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as road underdogs.  Saint Louis is 41-19 ATS in its last 60 games as an underdog overall.  The underdog is 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  Take Saint Louis Tuesday.

15* Warriors/Nets TNT ANNIHILATOR on Brooklyn -3

It's time to 'sell high' on the Golden State Warriors after going 11-2 SU & 9-4 ATS to open the season.  Now they are only catching 3 points from the Brooklyn Nets tonight, a legit title contender.  And the Warriors will be without Draymond Green, so they won't be able to defend Durant and Harden very well without him.

The Nets are quietly playing great themselves.  They have gone 8-1 SU in their last nine games overall with all eight wins by 6 points or more and by an average of 15.8 points per game.  Durant and Harden are really clicking right now, and you can bet Durant wants to have a big game against his former team here.

The Nets won both meetings with the Warriors in blowout fashion last year.  They won 125-99 at home and 134-117 on the road.  I think it's more of the same here, especially since the Warriors don't have their defensive stalwart in Green.  The Nets are now 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings, including 4-0 ATS in the last four home meetings.

Brooklyn is 13-1 ATS in its last 14 games following two consecutive non-conference games.  The Nets are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. Pacific Division opponents.  The Warriors are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as road underdogs.  Brooklyn is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 home games.  Take the Nets Tuesday.

20* CBB DOG OF THE WEEK on Georgia State +7.5

Georgia State is picked to win the Sun Belt this season for good reason.  They return all five starters from a team that went 16-6 last year.  And all five starters averaged at least 10.1 points per game, so they are the definition of team basketball.

The Panthers are off to a great start winning their opener 97-37 over Brewton-Parker and 83-64 over Northeastern as a 6.5-point favorite.  They have been much more impressive than Richmond, which only beat lowly NC Central 70-60 as a 26-point favorite and lost outright to Utah State 74-85 as a 6.5-point favorite.  Based off those results, there's no way Richmond should be a 7.5-point favorite in this matchup.

Richmond is 11-27 ATS in its last 38 games as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points.  Georgia State is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 non-conference games.  The Panthers are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as underdogs.  Bet Georgia State Tuesday.

20* CBB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Buffalo -2

Buffalo is picked to win the MAC and the MAC is one of the best mid-major conferences in the country, especially at the top.  Ohio upset Belmont, Akron nearly upset Ohio State losing by 1, Kent State gave Xavier a run for its money and Buffalo covered in a competitive effort against Michigan.

The Bulls returned four starters this season including three who averages at least 13 points per game in Jeenathan Williams (17.6 PPG, 6.8 RPG), Josh Mballa (15.3 PPG, 10.8 RPG) and Ronaldo Segu (13.3 PPG, 4.3 APG).  Williams had 32 pionts, Segu 15 and Mballa 13 in their 76-88 loss at No. 6 ranked Michigan.

North Texas is getting too much respect from oddsmakers here tonight.  The Mean Green are picked to finish 5th in lowly Conference USA.  They lose three starters from last year and all three averaged in double figures scoring, so the losses are huge.  They don't return anyone that averages more than 10 points per game.

Buffalo is 25-8 ATS in its last 33 games as a road favorite of 3 points or less or PK.  The Bulls are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven road games.  Buffalo is 5-0-1 ATS in its last six games following a loss.  Take Buffalo Monday.

20* NBA Monday No-Doubt Rout on New York Knicks -3

The New York Knicks are highly motivated for a victory tonight.  They have lost two straight and five of their last six games overall against a tough schedule.  They also want revenge from a 98-111 road loss to these Indiana Pacers on November 3rd earlier this month.

The Knicks come in on two days' rest and are fully healthy, so expect a big effort from them tonight.  And it's a good time to 'sell high' on the Pacers after going 5-2 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.  The Pacers will be playing in their 4th different city in 6 days as well.

New York is 36-18 ATS in its last 54 games when revenging a same-season loss.  The Knicks are 6-1-1 ATS in their last seven games playing on two days' rest.  New York is 30-9 ATS in its last 38 games with a line of +3 to -3.  The Knicks are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 home meetings with the Pacers.  Bet the Knicks Monday.

15* CBB Monday Night Line Mistake on Belmont -6

The Belmont Bruins return all five starters from a team that went 26-4 last year.  Not only that, but the top five scorers on the bench return as well, so this is really the most experienced team in the nation.  I think we are getting good value on them after getting upset in their opener by a very good Ohio team from that MAC that just had a great shooting night.

The top five scorers all averaged double figures last year for the Bruins, so this is a very balanced team.  They averaged 81.3 points per game, which ranked 13th nationally.  This is a team that will be highly motivated to get back to the NCAA Tournament after not playing in it the past two seasons. 

I backed Belmont as a 14-point favorite in its 81-43 home win over Evansville bouncing back from that loss to Ohio.  And I'm on the Bruins again tonight against Furman, which is getting too much respect from oddsmakers off it 80-72 upset win at Louisville, a Louisville team that is down this year.

The Paladins lost arguably their two best players from last year's team that went 16-9.  Clay Mounce (13.8 PPG, 6.3 RPG) is gone, as is Noah Gurley (15.4 PPG, 5.8 RPG), who transferred to Alabama.  They do have three returning starters but don't return any key players on their bench.

Belmont is 9-0 ATS in its last nine home games when playing its 2nd game in 3 days.  The Bruins are 8-0 ATS in their last eight home games after two straight games with 19 or more assists.  Furman is 0-6 ATS in its last six games after a game with 5 or fewer offensive rebounds.  The Paladins are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games.  Furman is 0-8 ATS in its last eight games following an ATS win.  Roll with Belmont Monday.

15* NBA Eastern Conference ANNIHILATOR on Boston Celtics -2.5

The Boston Celtics will be out for revenge from a 91-89 road loss at Cleveland last time out on Saturday.  They blew a 52-38 halftime lead in that game.  Now they don't have to wait long for revenge as they get to face the Cavaliers in Cleveland again on Monday.

This Cleveland team has been a big money maker in the early going and is starting to get a lot of respect because of it.  But they can't continue playing that well without their best player in Collin Sexton, plus being without another of their best players in Lauri Markkanen.  I don't expect this young team to handle success very well tonight.

The Celtics are 6-0 ATS in their last six games overall and playing some of their best basketball of the season right now.  They have four wins all by 9 points or more over the Bucks, Raptors, Heat and Magic during this stretch.  Their two losses came by 3 and 2 points, and keep in mind they were playing the 2nd of a back-to-back against Cleveland last time out in a tough spot.  They'll have their revenge tonight.  Take the Celtics Monday.

15* NBA Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Houston Rockets +9

I love the spot for the Houston Rockets tonight.  They will be out for revenge from a 111-123 road loss to the Suns on November 4th earlier this month.  They blew a 5-point halftime lead in that contest and should have covered as 11.5-point dogs.  Now they come back as 9-point home dogs in the rematch.

The Rockets are fully healthy and ready to give Phoenix a run for its money tonight.  Meanwhile, the Suns are going to be without DeAndre Ayton.  And it's a great time to 'sell high' on the Suns after they have gone 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall with six straight covers against a very soft schedule.

All three meetings between the Suns and Rockets last season were decided by 6 points or less despite the Suns being favored by 14, 13 and 5.5 points.  And that first meeting this season was closer than the final score would indicate.  I just think it's asking too much of the Suns to go on the road and win by double-digits to beat us tonight against the revenge-minded Rockets.  Roll with the Rockets Sunday.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Oklahoma City Thunder +9.5

What more do the Oklahoma City Thunder have to do to get some respect from oddsmakers?  They are nearly double-digit underdogs again today despite going 5-3 SU & 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall with only one loss by more than 8 points, which came against the Warriors on the road.  The Warriors are playing better than anyone in the NBA to this point.

The Thunder pulled two outright upsets over the Lakers as 10.5 and 6-point dogs.  They pulled outright upsets over the Spurs, Pelicans and Kings as well.  And they only lost by 5 on the road to the Clippers as 12.5-point dogs to highlight some of their performances during this stretch.

Now they will really get up for this game with the Brooklyn Nets and Kevin Durant coming to down to visit his former team.  The Nets will be without Paul Millsap and just don't have much help outside Durant and Harden, which is why they are tough to trust to go on the road and beat anyone by double-digits.

The Thunder are 19-3 ATS in their last 22 Sunday games.  Oklahoma City is 5-0 ATS in its last five games overall.  The Nets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a win.  Bet the Thunder Sunday.

15* CBB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on South Dakota State -2

It's a good time to 'buy low' on South Dakota State after their 88-104 loss at Alabama on Saturday.  Well, Alabama is one of the best teams in the country, so that's not a bad loss.  Look for them to dominate Stephen F. Austin like they dominated Bradley in an 81-65 win as a 9-point favorite in their opener.

South Dakota State is the best team in the underrated Summit League this season.  The Jackrabbits returned all five starters from a team that went 16-7 overall last year and 9-3 in Summit play.  And not just any five starters, how about five staters that all averaged in double figures last year.  They also return four bench players that played significant minutes last year, allowing the Jackrabbits to play at the break-neck pace that made them the Summit's most efficient offense last season.

Stephen F. Austin is tabbed 5th in the preseason WAC predictions.  While they return four starters, they do lose one of their best players in Cameron Johnson (15.3 PPG, 4.5 RPG).  And the first two games by SF Austin were ugly wins against teams they should have blown out, which is a bad sign of things to come.  They only beat LSU-Alexandria 82-73 and Mary Hardin-Baylor 76-63.  Neither of those games even had betting lines.

The Jackrabbits are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a loss.  South Dakota State is 19-6-1 ATS in its last 26 games following an ATS loss.  The Jackrabbits are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 road games.  The Lumberjacks are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games as underdogs.  Stephen F. Austin is 1-6 ATS in its last seven games following a win.  The Lumberjacks are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games as home underdogs.  Take South Dakota State Sunday.

20* FSU/Florida ESPN No-Brainer on Florida State -1

Leonard Hamilton is enjoying his best run in his 19 years at Florida State.  The Seminoles don't rebuild, they reload because he's a tremendous recruiter.  And he has taken advantage of the transfer portal again this season to reload.

The Seminoles are off to a great start this season with their 105-70 win over Pennsylvania as a 19.5-point favorite, covering by 15.5 points.  Florida only beat Elon 74-61 as a 19-point favorite, failing to cover by 6 points.  And the Gators lost two players to the NBA in the offseason and are coming off a disappointing 15-10 season as it is.

Florida State simply owns Florida.  The Seminoles have gone 8-0 ATS in their last eight meetings with the Gators.  They have also won seven in a row straight up in this series with the last four coming by 12, 12, 21 and 17 points.  Bet Florida State Sunday.

15* Timberwolves/Clippers NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on UNDER 220.5

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.  Well, this will be the 3rd meeting between the Timberwolves and Clippers since November 3rd, a span of just 11 days.  They know how to defend one another, and defense will win out in this 3rd meeting tonight.

After a shootout in their first meeting that saw the Clippers shoot 60.3% overall and 58.3% from 3-point range, they came back to win 104-84 in the rematch for just 188 combined points.  And I think we see a similar low scoring game here, especially after the Timberwolves just beat the Lakers 107-83 last night and will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back.

The reason the Clippers are playing so well this season is because they have bought in defensively.  They rank 2nd in the NBA in defensive efficiency, giving up just 99.8 points per 100 possessions.  The Timberwolves are also improved on defense, ranking 15th at 104.7 points per 100 possessions.  Both teams are below average in offensive efficiency, especially the Timberwolves who rank 25th.

The UNDER is 12-4 in Timberwolves last 16 games overall.  The UNDER is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Los Angeles.  Plays on the UNDER on all teams where the total is 220 or higher (LA Clippers) - off a home win scoring 110 points or more against an opponent that is coming off a road blowout win by 20 points or more are 37-13 (74%) since 1996.  Roll with the UNDER in this game Saturday.

20* Texas/Gonzaga ESPN 2 Late-Night BAILOUT on Texas +7.5

Chris Beard was a great hire at Texas and one of my favorite head coaches in the country.  I'll gladly back Beard and the Longhorns here against overrated Gonzaga tonight.  The Longhorns were impressive in their 92-48 win over Houston Baptist in their opener, covering as 37.5-point favorites.

Texas welcomes back Andrew Jones (14.6 PPG, 4.5 RPG) and Courtney Ramsey (12.2 PPG) this year.  They brought in some unbelievable transfers.  Timmy Allen averaged 17.2 PPG at Utah last year, Marcus Carr had four 30-point games at Minnesota last year, Tre Mitchell averaged 18.8 PPG at UMass last year and Christian Bishop averaged 11.0 PPG at Creighton last year.  All six played significant roles in the opener with Ramey leading the way with 14 points, followed by Jones (11), Carr (10), Bishop (10), Mitchell (10) and Allen (8).

Gonzaga failed to cover as a 39.5-point favorite in a 34-point win over Dixie State in the opener.  With their No. 1 ranking comes expectations that are hard to live up to.  That's especially the case after losing three starters and studs from last year's team in Corey Kispert (18.6 PPG, 5.0 RPG), Jalen Suggs (14.4 PPG, 4.5 APG) and Joel Ayayi (12.0 PPG, 6.9 RPG).  Bet Texas Saturday.

20* NBA Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Indiana Pacers -3.5

The Indiana Pacers have finally started to play up to their potential now that they have gotten healthy.  They are 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall with both losses coming on the road to Portland by 4 and Denver by 3.

The Pacers have four impressive wins during this stretch.  They beat the Spurs by 13 as 3-point home favorites, upset the Knicks by 13 as 1-point home underdogs, upset the Kings by 3 as 2.5-point road dogs, and upset the Jazz by 11 as 10.5-point road dogs.  Now I expect them to make easy work of the short-handed Philadelphia 76ers at home tonight.

The 76ers went on a great run in going 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS over a six-game stretch when mostly healthy.  But they have been overvalued since, going 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall with three straight home losses to the Knicks by 7, Bucks by 9 and Raptors by 6.  They remain without Joel Embiid, Ben Simmons and Mattisse Thybulle.  The key is being without Embiid, who is an MVP candidate and irreplaceable on their team.

The Pacers are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games following a win as a road underdog of 6 points or more.  The 76ers are 7-22-1 ATS in their last 30 games as road underdogs.  Indiana is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Pacers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games.  Indiana is 4-1 ATS in its last five home meetings with Philadelphia.  Bet the Pacers Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday BLOWOUT on Belmont -13.5

The Belmont Bruins return all five starters from a team that went 26-4 last year.  Not only that, but the top five scorers on the bench return as well, so this is really the most experienced team in the nation.  I think we are getting good value on them after getting upset in their opener by a very good Ohio team from that MAC that just had a great shooting night.

The top five scorers all averaged double figures last year for the Bruins, so this is a very balanced team.  They averaged 81.3 points per game, which ranked 13th nationally.  This is a team that will be highly motivated to get back to the NCAA Tournament after not playing in it the past two seasons.  They'll also be extra motivated off that loss to Ohio.

Look for the Bruins to make easy work of a mediocre Evansville team that lost by 22 at Cincinnati in their opener.  Belmont is better than Cincinnati.  This is an Evansville team that went 9-16 last year.  I'm not a fan of head coach Todd Lickliter, who is now 9-29 in his two seasons at the helm of the Purple Aces.

Belmont is a perfect 8-0 ATS in its last eight home games following an ATS loss.  The Bruins are 18-7 ATS in their last 25 home games overall.  The Purple Aces are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games as underdogs.  Evansville is 0-5 ATS in its last five road games.  Take Belmont Saturday.

15* Villanova/UCLA ESPN 2 Late-Night BAILOUT on Villanova +4

It's a good time to 'sell high' on UCLA early in the season after their miraculous run to the Final Four last season.  They were lucky to even make the tournament, and needed an unlikely comeback against Michigan State in the First Four just to advantage.  They rode that momentum all the way to the Final Four.

But now the Bruins come into the season as the No. 2 ranked team in the country.  And they already covered in a 95-58 win over lowly CS-Bakersfield as a 23-point favorites.  But now they come back as 4-point favorites against Villanova despite being without one of their best post players on Cody Riley (10.0 PPG, 5.4 RPG) last year.

I think Villanova is the legitimate of the Top 5 teams here as they are ranked 4th.  The Wildcats return four starters from last season and get back Collin Gillespie (14.0 PPG, 4.6 APG) from injury.  They also bring back Justin Moore (12.9 PPG, 4.1 RPG, 3.0 APG), Caleb Daniels (9.6 PPG) and Jermaine Samuels (12.0 PPG, 6.4 RPG).

All four played big roles in their 91-51 win as a 25.5-point favorite over Mount St. Mary's in their opener.  Moore had 27 points, Samuels 17, Gillespie 13 and Daniels 6.  They also got 17 points from Brandon Slater, a key returnee off the bench who drilled five 3-pointers as the Wildcats shot 16-of-30 from beyond the arc.  They have one of the best backcourts in the country, per usual, and it will likely lead them to an outright win at UCLA tonight.  Roll with Villanova Friday.

15* NBA Friday Total DOMINATOR on Timberwolves/Lakers OVER 224

The Timberwolves and Lakers are OVER teams right now.  The Lakers rank 1st in the NBA in pace while the Timberwolves rank 9th in pace.  And Minnesota plays at an even faster pace when De'Angelo Russell is in the lineup, while the Lakers play at a faster pace without LeBron James.

Russell has played the last two games for the Timberwolves and it's no surprise both have been shootouts that went OVER the total.  They lost 118-125 at Memphis for 243 combined points and 110-123 at Golden State for 233 combined points.

The Lakers have played in two straight shootouts without LeBron.  They won 126-123 over Charlotte for 249 combined points and 120-117 over Miami for 237 combined points.  The last time these teams met the Lakers won 137-121 for 258 combined points in their final meeting last season.  Take the OVER in this game Friday.

20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on San Antonio Spurs +2.5

The San Antonio Spurs are playing up to their potential of late in going 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall.  And I love the spot for them tonight playing with double-revenge against the Dallas Mavericks after losing each of the first two meetings this season.

Indeed, the Spurs lost 99-104 on the road and 108-109 at home in the two meetings, which both went down to the wire.  They should not be underdogs considering they will be the more motivated team, and they are better than their 4-7 record would suggest as they are actually outscoring opponents by 2.1 points per game on the season.

Conversely, Dallas isn't as good as its 7-4 record would suggest.  The Mavericks have actually been outscored by 3.0 points per game on the season, so they are very fortunate to have that record.  I don't like Jason Kidd as a head coach, and I don't like the fact that the Mavericks have to rely on Luka Doncic too much on the offensive end because he doesn't have much talent around him.

The Spurs are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games when playing just their 2nd game in 5 days.  Dallas is 1-7 ATS in its last eight games vs. a team with a losing record.  San Antonio is 43-17 ATS in its last 60 Friday games.  Bet the Spurs Friday.

20* CBB GAME OF THE WEEK on Kent State +10

We've already seen two MAC teams picked in the top half of the league go on the road and give two of the best Big Ten teams fits.  Akron nearly upset Ohio State and lost by 1 as 16.5-point underdogs, while Buffalo easily covered at Michigan and gave the Wolverines a run for their money.

Now it's another top half of the MAC's teams turn to go on the road and give Xavier a run for its money tonight.  I like this Kent State team that returns three starters in Tervell Beck (11.7 PPG, 4.8 RPG), Giovanni Santiago (9.1 PPG, 4.1 APG) and Justyn Hamilton (8.9 PPG, 6.8 RPG), plus a double-digit scorer off the bench in Malique Jacobs (10.0 PPG, 3.7 APG).

The positive news for the Golden Flashes doesn't stop there as they also welcome in transfers Sincere Carry (11.9 PPG, 5.4 APG) from Duquesne and Andrew Garcia (8.7 PPG) from Georgia.  Keep an eye on freshman guard Jalen Sullinger, a second-team All-Ohio selection who is the nephew of Kent State assistant Julian Sullinger and NBA first-round pick Jared Sullinger and son of former Ohio State forward J.J. Sullinger.

Xavier's 63-60 win over Niagara as a 17-point favorite in the opener is concerning and makes me believe Kent State can hang, too.  That's especially the case with the Musketeers being without their best player in Zach Freemantle (16.1 PPG, 8.9 RPG) to start the season.  They are also without Ben Stanley (6.0 PPG) and could be without Kyky Tandy (6.6 PPG).

The Musketeers are 17-37-3 ATS in their last 57 games as favorites.  The Golden Flashes are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as road underdogs.  Take Kent State Friday.

15* NBA Thursday PLAY OF THE DAY on Indiana Pacers +10

This number has been adjusted too much toward the Utah Jazz due to the spot for the Indiana Pacers.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 98-101 loss in Denver last night.  ut the spot is eased by the fact that the Pacers had two days off prior to that Denver game.

It's also eased by the fact that the Pacers are as healthy as they have been all season.  They are 3-2 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall with their two losses coming by 4 and 3 points.  Their three wins came by 13, 13 and 3 points.  Malcolm Brogdon is back healthy, and they could get Caris LeVert back tonight after he sat out last night.

This will be just the 2nd time all season that the Jazz have been a double-digit favorite.  The last time they lost outright to the Orlando Magic as 11-point favorites.  And I just think they are getting too much respect here.  It's not the best spot for the Jazz either playing their 4th game in 6 days.

Indiana has thrived in these kinds of spots, going 12-3 ATS in its last 15 road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days.  The Pacers are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. Western Conference opponents.  Indiana is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Pacers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as underdogs.  Roll with the Pacers Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday PLAY OF THE DAY on UC-Riverside +10

UC-Riverside will be one of the best teams in the Big West Conference this season.  They returned three starters and four key reserves from a squad that went 14-8 overall last season and 8-4 in the Big West.  All three returning starters played well in their opener against San Diego State, as did Callum McRae who sat out all last season and newcomer J.P. Moorman II.

UC-Riverside lost that opener 53-66 to San Diego State as 12.5-point road underdogs, failing to cover by 0.5 points.  Well, San Diego State is picked by most to win the Mountain West this season, so that was a very good showing.  And the Aztecs are certainly better than this Arizona State squad.

The Sun Devils lost their top three scorers from last year in Remy Martin (19.1 PPG, 3.7 APG), Josh Christopher (14.3 PPG, 4.7 RPG) and Alonzo Verge Jr. (14.0 PPG, 3.8 APG).  They bring back two starters and will lack chemistry in the early going.  That was evident when they failed to cover in a 76-60 win as a 22-point home favorite against lowly Portland in their opener.  Portland is picked to finish at or near the bottom of the WCC this season.

Arizona State has been a money burner for quite some time now and will continue to be this season.  The Sun Devils are 16-35-1 ATS in their last 52 games overall.  Arizona State is 7-22 ATS in its last 29 games as a favorite.  The Sun Devils are 0-10 ATS in their last 10 games after going UNDER the total in their previous game.  Bet UC-Riverside Thursday.

15* NBA Wednesday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Indiana Pacers -3

The Indiana Pacers have gotten healthy and are living up to their potential because of it.  They have gone 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.  Now they come in rested and ready to go having the last two days off and will take down the Denver Nuggets tonight.

This is a terrible spot for the Nuggets due to their injuries and suspensions.  They are without their three best players in Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Michael Porter Jr.  I just don't think they have enough pieces outside those three to even keep this game competitive against the Pacers tonight.

The Pacers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. Western Conference opponents.  Indiana is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 road games after scoring 105 point or less.  The Pacers are 19-9-2 ATS in their last 30 games as road favorites.  Indiana is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games vs. a team with a winning record.  Denver is 2-5 ATS in its last seven home games.  The Nuggets are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games playing on one days' rest.  Take the Pacers Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday PLAY OF THE DAY on Youngstown State +18

Penn State is in a rebuilding year and should not be an 18-point favorite over Youngstown State tonight.  They have a first-year head coach in Micah Sshrewsberry.  They bring back just one double-digit scorer from last year's team and lose their top two scorers in Myreon Jones (15.3 PPG) and Izaiah Brockington (12.6 PPG).

Youngstown State will be going for its third straight winning season for the first time since 1985.  Jerrod Calhoun has turned this program around as he enters his 5th season here with some continuity.  The Penguins won seven of their final nine games last season and lost to Oakland in overtime in the Horizon League tournament.

The Penguins return three starters from that team in Garrett Covington (12.5 PPG< 4.6 RPG), Shemar Rathan-Mayes (10.4 PPG) and Michael Akuchie (9.9 PPG, 8.3 RPG).  They also return four key bench players and bring in Dayton transfer Dwayne Cohill and Hampton transfer Chris Shelton.

The Nittany Lions are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games as favorites.  I'm expecting them to struggle out of the gate.  Roll with Youngstown State Wednesday.

20* NBA Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago Bulls -3.5

The Chicago Bulls are one of the most improved teams in the NBA this season.  They are 7-3 SU & 7-3 ATS while outscoring opponents by 7.0 points per game.  They rank 4th in defensive efficiency and 6th in offensive efficiency, one of only two teams that can claim to be Top 6 in both categories.

The Dallas Mavericks are also 7-3 this season, but they are actually getting outscored by 2.3 points per game, so they have been very fortunate in close games.  The Mavericks rank just 22nd in offensive efficiency and 13th in defensive efficiency.  They rely way too much on Luka Doncic, and I don't like Jason Kidd as a head coach.

The Mavericks are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall.  Dallas is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games following a win.  The Mavericks are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as underdogs.  Chicago is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games as a favorite.  Bet the Bulls Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Orlando Magic +9

The Orlando Magic are rested and ready to go tonight having the last two days off following a huge upset of the Utah Jazz 107-100 as 11-point home underdogs.  I love the way Cole Anthony is playing right now as he is leading this team with 20.2 points per game, and Wendell Carter Jr. (13.7 PPG, 10.6 RPG), Franz Wagner (13.7 PPG) and Jalen Suggs (12.0 PPG) are coming into their own as well.

The spot isn't nearly as good for Brooklyn.  The Nets will be playing their 4th road game in 6 days.  They started to show fatigue in the 4th quarter last time out in a 95-118 road loss to the Bulls.  And the Nets have to deal with getting the opposing teams' best shot on a nightly basis just because of the big names in Durant and Harden they have on their roster.  But they don't have much else outside those two, so covering these big spreads consistently won't be easy.

The Nets are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Orlando is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games playing on two days' rest.  The Magic are 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings.  Take the Magic Wednesday.

15* Blazers/Clippers TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on UNDER 220.5

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.  And these teams are obviously familiar with one another now meeting for the third time in two weeks.  The first two meetings saw just 202 and 203 combined points, and this one should be low scoring as well.

The Clippers are one of the best defensive teams in the NBA.  They have allowed 41.8% shooting or lower in six of their last seven games overall.  They rank 2nd in the NBA in defensive efficiency this season.

The Blazers are also improved defensively this season.  They have held five of their last seven opponents to 107 points or fewer.  They just limited the Lakers to 90 points last time out and I see both teams struggling to top 100 in this one.

The UNDER is 4-0 in Blazers last four games overall.  The UNDER is 4-0 in Clippers last four home games vs. a team with a losing record.  The UNDER is 5-2 in Clippers last seven games overall.  Roll with the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

20* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Oral Roberts +12.5

Oral Roberts made the Sweet 16 last year.  They return three starters from that team, including Summit League Player of the Year Max Abmas, who led college basketball in scoring at 24.6 points per game.  They also bring back Kareem Thompson (8.7 PPG) and four other players that averaged at least 4.1 points per game. 

Colorado State is getting too much respect as a 12.5-point favorite over Oral Roberts in the opener.  The Rams nearly made the NCAA Tournament but came up just short last year.  They will be good again with five returning starters, but they should not be laying double-digits here against Abmas and company.

The Golden Eagles are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games as road underdogs.  Oral Roberts is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games overall.  The Golden Eagles are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 non-conference games.  Bet Oral Roberts Tuesday.

15* LA Tech/Alabama SEC Network ANNIHILATOR on Alabama -11

Nate Oats is doing a tremendous job already at Alabama.  He guided the Crimson Tide to a 26-7 season including a 16-2 record in SEC play to take down the regular season title and SEC Tournament.  This team is loaded again with the best backcourt in the country.

Leading scorer Jaden Shackleford (14.0 PPG) decided to return this season.  Javon Quinerly (12.9 PPG) made 43% from 3 last season.  J.D. Davison is a five-star and one of the top recruits in the class of 2021 and will push Quinerly for playing time.  The Crimson Tide ranked 3rd in defensive efficiency last season and played at the 11th-fasted tempo in the country.

Louisiana Tech is a quality team in Conference USA year in and year out.  And while they do return three starters this season, they do lose two productive ones in Kaleb Ledoux (11.6 PPG, 4.0 RPG) and JaColby Pemberton (8.6 PPG, 5.6 RPG).  They don't have the firepower to keep up with Alabama as they prefer to play at a slow tempo and are defensive-minded.  Alabama will control the tempo playing at home.  Roll with Alabama Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Ohio State -16.5

Ohio State is loaded this season with four returning starters from a team that went 21-10 last season and earned a No. 2 seed.  They fell victim to Oral Roberts' incredible run, but that just means they come back this season highly motivated.

The Buckeyes bring back one of the best big men in the country in E.J. Lidell (16.2 PPG, 6.7 RPG).  They also bring back three more starters including Justice Sueing (10.7 PPG, 5.5 RPG).  They add Ohio Mr. Basketball Malaki Branham as an elite freshman recruit, plus Penn State transfer Jamari Wheeler and Louisiana guard Cedric Russell to solidify their backcourt.

Akron is no more than a middle-of-the-pack team in the MAC.  The Zips bring back three decent starters but lose their best player in Loren Christian Jackson (22.3 PPG, 6.1 APG), who is irreplaceable for this team.  Jackson turned pro after rolling up 1,587 points, 381 assists and two first-team All-MAC selections in his three years here.  Take Ohio State Tuesday.

15* NBA Monday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Miami Heat -2

The Miami Heat look like the best team in the NBA in the early going.  They are 7-2 with one loss in overtime and another loss where they shot a fluky 34.5% as a team.  Six of their seven wins have come by 13 points or more, and the lone exception was a win over the Utah Jazz by 3 last time out.

The Denver Nuggets are 3-4 SU & 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall.  Two of the wins were narrow victories over bad teams in the Timberwolves (93-91) and Rockets (95-94).  They are already without Jamal Murray, and they will also be without Michael Porter Jr. due to a back injury tonight.  Meanwhile, the Heat are fully healthy which is why they are playing so well.

Plays against home underdogs (Denver) - off a close home win by 3 points or less in November games are 42-13 (76.4%) ATS since 1996.  The Heat are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games as favorites.  Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last five games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Nuggets are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall.  Denver is 0-6 ATS in its last six games playing on one days' rest.  Roll with the Heat Monday.

20* NBA Monday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago Bulls -1

This is a great spot to 'buy low' on the Chicago Bulls off back-to-back losses to the Philadelphia 76ers following their 6-1 start to the season.  Now the Bulls are highly motivated for a victory Monday night.  They are fresh too playing just their 2nd game in 5 days.

The same cannot be said for the Nets, who will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd road game in 4 days.  They won 96-90 at Detroit on Friday and 116-103 at Toronto on Sunday.  James Harden played 38 minutes against the Raptors and Kevin Durant played nearly 37 minutes.  Four of five starters played at least 33 minutes.  They won't have much left in the tank for the Bulls tonight.

The Nets are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as road underdogs.  The Bulls are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as favorites.  Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last five games following a loss.  Take the Bulls Monday.

15* NBA Sunday UPSET SHOCKER on Washington Wizards +3

The Washington Wizards are one of the most improved teams in the NBA.  They are 6-3 this season with wins over the Raptors, Pacers, Hawks, Celtics (twice) and are coming off a 115-87 home win over Memphis.  I really like this roster with the additions of Harrell (18.0 PPG, 9.7 RPG), Kuzma (14.0 PPG, 9.4 RPG), Dinwiddie (17.1 PPG, 5.9 APG) and Caldwell-Pope (9.8 PPG) as they are gelling well with Bradley Beal (23.5 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 5.1 APG) and company.

The Milwaukee Bucks are in the midst of a championship hangover.  They are just 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall with upset home losses to the Timberwolves, Spurs and Knicks as well as a 12-point loss to the Jazz.   Their lone win during this stretch came against the lowly Pistons.

The problem for the Bucks is injuries and COVID.  They are playing without Khris Middleton, Brook Lopez and Donte DiVincenzo and could be without Grayson Allen tonight.  Giannis and Jrue Holiday haven't been able to shoulder the load.  And it just appears the Bucks are going through the motions.  The Wizards will be the more motivated team with the defending champs coming to town today.

Washington is 14-2 ATS in its last 16 games following a win by 10 points or more.  The Wizards are 26-11-1 ATS in their last 38 games overall.  Washington is 21-6 ATS in its last 27 games playing on one days' rest.  Take the Wizards Sunday.

15* Nets/Raptors NBA Early ANNIHILATOR on Toronto +3.5

The Toronto Raptors are playing great right now in going 5-1 SU in their last six games overall with their lone loss coming by a single point.  Now they get their best player back making his season debut today in Pascal Siakam and will be highly motivated with the Brooklyn Nets coming to town.

The Nets have also won four in a row but three have come at home and the other was a shaky 96-90 road win over the Pistons.  The Raptors have won three straight road games against Indiana, New York and Washington and have played the much tougher schedule during this stretch of success.

The Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.  The Raptors are 4-1 ATS in their five games overall.  Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last seven meetings with Brooklyn.  Bet the Raptors Sunday.

15* NBA Saturday Total DOMINATOR on 76ers/Bulls UNDER 213

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.  Philadelphia just beat Chicago 103-98 on Wednesday for 201 combined points.  Now these teams meet again just three days later here Saturday and I expect another defensive battle.

Philadelphia ranks dead last (30th) in pace this season at 97.8 possessions per game.  The 76ers are missing some key offensive weapons in Tobias Harris, Ben Simmons and Mattisse Thybulle.  They could also be without Furkan Korkmaz, Danny Green and Isaiah Joe, who are all questionable.  They will be looking to slow it down to a snail's pace.

The Bulls will oblige as they rank just 21st in pace this season.  And the key reason the Bulls have been so improved this year with their 6-2 start is defense.  They rank 7th in the NBA in defensive efficiency, holding opponents to 100.2 points per 100 possessions.  The 76ers are in the top half of the league in defensive efficiency as well.

Philadelphia is 8-1 UNDER in all games this season.  The UNDER is 10-1-1 in 76ers last 12 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.  The UNDER is 8-1 in Bulls last nine games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  The UNDER is 15-4 in Bulls last 19 games overall.  Roll with the UNDER In this game Saturday.

20* NBA Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago Bulls -3.5

I love the spot for the Chicago Bulls tonight.  They will be playing on two days' rest after last playing in a 98-103 loss at Philadelphia on Wednesday.  Now they get their chance for revenge against the 76ers at home this time around.  They will take advantage and get their revenge with a win and cover.

The 76ers will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days as they had to go on the road and face Detroit on Thursday.  They are missing several key players right now with Tobias Harris, Ben Simmons and Mattisse Thybulle out tonight.  They could also be without Furkan Korkmaz, Danny Green and Isaiah Joe, who are all questionable.

Philadelphia is 6-22-1 ATS in its last 29 games as a road underdog.  Chicago is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games as a favorite.  The Bulls are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games following a loss by 6 points or less.  The 76ers are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games following two consecutive covers as a favorite.  Take the Bulls Saturday.

20* NBA Friday No-Doubt Rout on Sacramento Kings -1

The Sacramento Kings are one of the most improved teams in the NBA this season.  They have been competitive in every game during their 4-4 start and even have upset road wins over both the Suns and Blazers as 8 and 6.5-point dogs, respectively.  They are the better team in this showdown with Charlotte and should be a bigger favorite.

The Kings are 3-2 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall with their only losses both coming on the road to the Mavericks by 6 and the Jazz by 6.  The Kings rank 11th in offensive efficiency this season and have a great young, healthy roster.  They are 22nd in defensive efficiency.

Charlotte is overvalued after a 5-2 start this season.  The Hornets have since gone 0-2 SU & 0-2 ATS in their last two games, getting upset at home by the Cavaliers and blown out on the road by the Warriors by 22.  Charlotte cannot be trusted this season because they rank 28th in defensive efficiency.  Opponents are shooting 47.9% against them and scoring 114.9 points per game.

Sacramento is 14-1 ATS in its last 15 November games.  Charlotte is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games as a road underdog.  The Kings are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as favorites.  Take the Kings Friday.

15* NBA Friday UPSET SHOCKER on Minnesota Timberwolves +2.5

I love the spot for the Minnesota Timberwolves tonight.  They are coming off three straight losses and this is a home-and-home situation after losing 115-126 to the Clippers on Wednesday.  Now the Timberwolves will be out for revenge just two days later here.

The Timberwolves will be the more motivated team in this game.  I have a hard time believing the Clippers are going to shoot anywhere near as well as they did in the first meeting.  They shot 47-of-78 (60.3%) from the field and 21-of-36 (58.3%) from 3-point range and still only won by 11.  That's not happening again.

Especially when you consider the Timberwolves are one of the most improved teams in the NBA defensively this season, ranking 9th in defensive efficiency even after that performance.  The Clippers are still just 22nd in offensive efficiency even after that performance.  And they are still missing three key players in Kawhi Leonard, Marcus Morris and Serge Ibaka.

Minnesota is 13-6-1 ATS in its last 20 games following a loss.  Los Angeles is 0-4 ATS in its last four games following an ATS win.  The Clippers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a losing record.  Roll with the Timberwolves Friday.

15* NBA Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Houston Rockets +10.5

The Houston Rockets have quietly been very competitive.  They have gone 4-2 ATS in their last six games overall with only one loss by more than 10 points.  They beat the Thunder and lost to the Celtics, Mavericks and Lakers (twice) by 10 points or fewer.  They'll stay within 10 of the Suns tonight as well.

Phoenix has been one of the most overrated teams in the NBA this season.  They are just 3-3 SU & 2-4 ATS and were fortunate to cover against the depleted Pelicans last time out, winning by 12 as 11.5-point favorites only after a 36-18 4th quarter.  They lost to the Blazers by 29, were upset by the Kings as 8-point favorites, lost to the Nuggets by 12, and failed to cover as 10-point favorites against the Cavaliers.  The NBA Finals loss hangover is in full effect.

The Rockets were extremely competitive with the Suns last season and that was a disastrous year for Houston and a tremendous one for Phoenix.  All three meetings were decided by 6 points or less, and the Rockets were 13 and 14-point dogs in two of the games.

Houston is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games following a loss.  The Rockets are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games.  Phoenix is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games overall.  The Suns are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.  Houston is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 trips to Phoenix.  Roll with the Rockets Thursday.

20* NBA Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Utah Jazz ML -109

The Utah Jazz were the best team in the regular season last year and are off to another great start this season.  They are 6-1 and crushing teams once again with all six wins coming by 6 points or more and four by double-digits.   They had yesterday off and will be fresh for this one.

This is a terrible spot for the Atlanta Hawks.  They'll be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 108-117 road loss at Brooklyn on ESPN on National TV last night.  The Hawks will also be playing their 6th game in 9 days, which is about as tough a spot as you will find in the NBA today.

The Jazz are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as favorites.  Utah is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games as road favorites.  Atlanta is 0-5 ATS in its last five games after scoring 100 points or more in its previous game.  The Hawks are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as underdogs.  Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in its last seven games when playing on zero rest.  Bet the Jazz Thursday.

20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on San Antonio Spurs +1

I love the spot for the San Antonio Spurs tonight.  They had yesterday off and will be fresh.  They will be out for revenge from a 99-104 loss at Dallas on October 28th just a week ago.  I expect them to have their revenge with an outright home win tonight considering the terrible spot for the Mavericks.

Indeed, Dallas will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 110-125 home loss to the Miami Heat last night on TNT.  It will also be the 5th game in 7 days for the Mavericks, which is about as tough a situation as you will find in the NBA.  And they are going to be without Maxi Kleber and likely Kristaps Porzingis again, so they are short-handed.

The Spurs are 27-14 ATS when revenging a road loss over the last three seasons.  The Mavericks are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.  Dallas is 4-15 ATS in its last 19 games vs. a team that wins between 25% and 40% of their games.  Take the Spurs Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday UPSET SHOCKER on Chicago Bulls +3

Billy Donovan has the Chicago Bulls playing as well as almost anyone in the NBA in the early going.  The Bulls are 6-1 this season with their lone loss coming by a single point to the New York Knicks.  They should not be catching 3 points against the short-handed Philadelphia 76ers tonight.

The 76ers are getting too much respect after their upset win over the Blazers last time out without Embiid, Harris and Simmons.  Well, Embiid is expected back, but they are still going to be without Harris (COVID) and Simmons.  Danny Green is also out with a hamstring injury.  The Bulls won't take them lightly like the Blazers did.

The Bulls are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall.  Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last five road games.  Philadelphia is 0-5-1 ATS in its last six games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Roll with the Bulls Wednesday.

15* NBA Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Houston Rockets +10.5

I love the spot for the Houston Rockets tonight.  They will be out for revenge from an 85-95 road loss to the Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday.  They don't have to wait long for revenge as they get to face the Lakers in Los Angeles just two days later here Tuesday.

The Lakers are dealing with a ton of injuries right now, which is a big reason they are just 2-5 ATS this season with only one win by more than 10 points.  They are without Kendrick Nunn, Talen Horton-Tucker and Trevor Ariza.  LeBron James, Dwight Howard and Wayne Ellington are questionable, and Anthony Davis is probable but playing through a knee injury.

The Lakers are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games following two or more consecutive home wins.  The Rockets are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss.  Houston is 7-2 ATS in its last nine road games.  Los Angeles is 0-7 ATS in its last seven home games vs. a team with a losing record.  The Lakers are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games following a win.  Roll with the Rockets Tuesday.

20* NBA Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Miami Heat -2

The Miami Heat are a juggernaut this season.  They are off to a 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS start after having a down year last season due to injuries and COVID.  They added Kyle Lowry, PJ Tucker and Markieff Morris to go along with their already loaded roster featuring Butler, Herro, Adebayo and Robinson.

The Heat are not only winning, they are dominating with all five wins coming by double-digits as they are outscoring opponents by 17.0 points per game.  Their lone loss came in overtime.  They beat the Bucks by 42, the Magic by 17, the Nets by 13, the Hornets by 15 and the Grizzlies by 26.

I don't trust Jason Kidd and the Dallas Mavericks.  They are 4-2 SU but 2-4 ATS.  Their four wins all came against suspect competition in the Raptors, Rockets, Spurs and Kings and all four were competitive.  They lost to the Hawks by 26 and the Nuggets by 31, the two best teams they have faced.  Miami will be the best team they have faced yet, and they will be without Maxi Kleber and could be without Kristaps Porzingis, who is questionable.

The Heat are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games as favorites.  The Mavericks are 0-6 ATS in their last six games following a win.  Dallas is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games after scoring 100 points or more in its previous game.  The Heat are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 trips to Dallas.  Take the Heat Tuesday.

15* NBA Monday Undervalued Underdog on Toronto Raptors +7

It's time to 'sell high' on the New York Knicks after their 5-1 start this season.  They have feasted on a pretty easy schedule and are now laying 7 points to the Toronto Raptors, who come into this game playing too well to be catching this many points.

Indeed, the Raptors are 3-0 in their last three games overall with two wins over the Pacers and a win over the Magic.  They also beat the Celtics by 32 on the road earlier this season and have been competitive in every loss except their opener.

Toronto is 20-8 ATS after a win by 6 points or less over the last three seasons.  The Raptors are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 road games vs. good offensive teams that score 116 or more points per game.  Toronto is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games as a road underdog.  Roll with the Raptors Monday.

20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Cleveland Cavaliers +5.5

The Cleveland Cavaliers are 3-2 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.  They have outright wins as underdogs over the Hawks by 6 as 8-point home dogs, the Nuggets by 12 as 9.5-point road dogs and the Clippers by 13 as 8-point road dogs.  

They did lose on the road to the Lakers by 12 as 7.5-point dogs, but covered in a 9-point loss at Phoenix as 10-point dogs.  And I like their chances of covering this 5.5-point spread on the road against the Charlotte Hornets tonight.  The Cavaliers have an underrated young core and will be one of the most improved teams in the NBA this season.

This is a terrible spot for the Hornets.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 125-113 shootout victory over the Portland Trail Blazers on Sunday.  It will also be the 6th game in 9 days for the Hornets, which is about as tough a spot as you will find in the NBA.  They will be flat and tired tonight and Cleveland will take advantage.  Take the Cavaliers Monday.

15* Rockets/Lakers NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Houston +11

The Los Angeles Lakers cannot be trusted to lay this big of a number with how poorly they are playing to open the season.  They are just 3-3 SU & 2-4 ATS with two of their wins coming by 4 points or less, and the other by 12 over the Cavaliers.

The Lakers are just dealing with too many injuries right now, and they are still trying to gel with Russell Westbrook at point guard.  LeBron James, Wayne Ellington and Rajon Rondo are questionable, while Kendrick Nunn, Talen Horton-Tucker and Trevor Ariza are out.  It's no wonder they are struggling to win games let alone get margin.

I like some of the young talent on this Houston team, which has only lost twice in five games by more than 10 points.  Christian Wood (19.8 PPG, 11.2 RPG) is one of the best young players in the NBA.  Then they have Green (14.2 PPG), Gordon (13.8 PPG), Porter Jr. (12.4 PPG) and Tate (8.6 PPG) leading the way.

Houston is a perfect 10-0 ATS in its last 10 road games following a blowout loss by 30 points or more.  The Rockets come in on two days' rest after that loss to the Jazz.  The Lakers will be playing their 4th game in 6 days.  Los Angeles is 1-6 ATS in its last seven games as a favorite.  Houston is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games following a loss.  Take the Rockets Sunday.

20* Kings/Mavs Sunday Afternoon ANNIHILATOR on Sacramento +4.5

The Sacramento Kings have impressed me a lot getting to 3-2 against a brutal early schedule.  They have three outright road wins over the Blazers as 6.5-point dogs, the Suns as 8-point dogs and the Pelicans as 1.5-point favorites.  Their two losses came to the Jazz and Warriors at home in competitive games.

Now the Kings had yesterday off and are fresh and ready to take down the Dallas Mavericks.  This is a Mavericks team I just do not trust with Jason Kidd as head coach, and Kristaps Porzingis being the 'robin' to Doncic's 'batman.  The Mavericks are 1-4 ATS this season and coming off a 31-point road loss to the Nuggets.  They will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days here.

Sacramento is 9-0 ATS in its last nine road games after a win by 6 points or less.  Dallas is 0-9 ATS in its last nine Sunday home games.  The Kings are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 road games.  The Mavericks are 0-6 ATS in their last six home games.  Bet the Kings Sunday.

20* NBA Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Oklahoma City Thunder +12.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder have impressed me in their last two games.  They covered as 9.5-point dogs in an 8-point home loss to Golden State two games back.  They came back the very next night and upset the Lakers by 8 as 6-point home dogs last time out.

Now the Thunder want revenge from that 8-point loss to the Warriors.  And they are catching 12.5 points this time around.  Not only that, but the Thunder come in rested playing on two days' rest, so expect a big effort from them tonight.

The Warriors are overvalued after their 4-1 start this season.  They have feasted on a pretty weak schedule as they were favored in four of their five games.  And now they are laying their biggest number of the season here.  They just don't have the talent to cover these big numbers, especially in this unfavorable spot.  Take the Thunder Saturday.

20* NBA Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Philadelphia 76ers -3

The Philadelphia 76ers want revenge after getting upset by the Atlanta Hawks in the playoffs last year.  This is their first shot at getting it, and I look for them to take advantage by getting the win and cover at home.  The 76ers have been one of the best home teams in the NBA over the last few seasons.

The Hawks have not been good on the road this season.  They are 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS on the highway.  They were upset 95-101 at Cleveland as 8-point favorites.  They only won 102-99 at New Orleans as 5-point favorites.  And they lost 111-122 at Washington as 3-point favorites.  And this will be their toughest road test to date.

Philadelphia is 27-13 ATS in its last 40 home games following an ATS loss.  Atlanta is 0-5 ATS in its last five road games.  The 76ers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS loss.  Bet the 76ers Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on New York Knicks -5.5

The New York Knicks are a real contender in the East this season with the additions of Kemba Walker and Evan Fournier to go along with their already great core from last year that made the playoffs.  

Fournier is averaging 17.2 points per game while Walker is at 14.2 points per game thus far in leading the Knicks to a 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS start.  Now the Knicks come in rested after beating the Bulls on the road on Thursday and having yesterday off.

The Pelicans don't have that same luxury.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 6th game in 9 days after a 109-113 home loss to the Kings last night.  The Pelicans are just 1-5 this season and just aren't playing well without their best player in Zion Williamson.  I faded them successfully with the Kings last night, and I'm fading them again tonight due to the awful spot.

The Knicks are 9-1 ATS in Saturday games over the last two seasons.  They are 15-2 ATS in their last 17 Saturday games.  New York is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games after a win by 6 points or less.  The Knicks are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games as favorites.  New York is 23-7 ATS in its last 30 games vs. a team with a losing record.  The Knicks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 trips to New Orleans.  Bet the Knicks Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Boston Celtics +2

I love the spot for the Boston Celtics tonight.  They come in on two days' rest after losing 107-116 at home to Washington as 4-point favorites on Wednesday.  Now they get their shot at revenge on the Wizards three days later and are 2-point dogs this time around, a 6-point adjustment.

It's time to 'sell high' on the Wizards, who are 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS this season.  They will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days.  And they won't be nearly as motivated to beat the Celtics this time around.  Plus, they are short-handed playing without Bryant, Hachimura and Gafford right now.

The Celtics are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games playing on two days' rest.  Roll with the Celtics Saturday.

20* NBA Friday No-Doubt Rout on Sacramento Kings -2

The Sacramento Kings have faced four playoff teams in the West thus far with one of the toughest schedules in the NBA.  They have done well getting to 2-2 with two road wins over both the Blazers and Suns.  They lost at home to the Jazz and Warriors.

Now the Kings take a big step down in competition here against the New Orleans Pelicans, who remain without Zion Williamson.  The Pelicans are 1-4 this season with losses to the 76ers by 20, the Bulls by 16, the Timberwolves by 7 and the Hawks by 3.  Their lone win came against the Timberwolves.  There's just not much talent on this team with Zion out and the players they traded away in the offseason.

Sacramento is 8-0 ATS in its last eight road games following a win by 6 points or less.  The Kings are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games.  Bet the Kings Friday.

20* NBA Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago Bulls ML -114

The Chicago Bulls are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS this season.  They are loaded with returnees Zach LaVine (25.5 PPG), Nikola Vucevic (14.3 PPG, 11.5 RPG) and Patrick Williams (6.8 PPG).  But the additions of DeMar DeRozan (22.5 PPG), Lonzo Ball (14.3 PPG, 5.0 APG) and Alex Caruso (8.0 PPG) have made them a real contender in the East.

The New York Knicks just ended a 15-game losing streak to the Philadelphia 76ers with a 112-99 home victory on Tuesday.  That makes this a letdown spot for them.  I also like the fact that the Bulls are on extra rest as they have had the last two days off after last playing on Monday.

Chicago is 32-10 SU in its last 42 home meetings with New York.  The Bulls are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games as favorites.  Roll with the Bulls Thursday.

15* NBA Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Timberwolves/Bucks OVER 228

The Milwaukee Bucks and Minnesota Timberwolves both prefer to play at fast paces.  The Bucks rank 3rd in pace while the Timberwolves rank 5th.  That should lead to a shootout between these two great offensive teams tonight.

Both meetings last season were very high-scoring.  The Bucks won 139-112 at home for 251 combined points in their first meeting.  The Bucks also won 130-105 on the road for 235 combined points in the second meeting.  I think we are getting value with the OVER 228 tonight.

The OVER is 4-1 in the last five meetings.  The OVER is 5-1 in Bucks last six games playing on one days rest.  The OVER is 5-1 in Timberwolves last six games as underdogs.  Take the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on Oklahoma City Thunder +8

Both the Oklahoma City Thunder and Los Angeles Lakers will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back tonight.  But it's a much better spot for the Thunder as they get to stay home following an 8-point loss to the Warriors last night.

The Lakers have to travel after facing the Spurs and escaping with a 125-121 victory.  They also escaped with a 121-118 victory over the Grizzlies at home the game prior.  They lost to the Suns by 10 and the Warriors by 7 at home as well.  They are just 1-3 ATS this season and struggling to gel with Russell Westbrook.

Now the Lakers have more problems in this 2nd of a back-to-back situation.  They have a plethora of injuries.  Anthony Davis, LeBron James and Wayne Ellington are all questionable to play tonight.  Kendrick Nunn, Talen Horton-Tucker and Trevor Ariza were already out.  They won't have enough bodies to put away the Thunder by 8-plus points tonight.

The Lakers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as favorites.  Los Angeles is 1-6 ATS in its last seven games overall.  Los Angeles is 4-14 ATS in its last 18 games following a win.  Oklahoma City is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 home meetings with the Lakers.  Bet the Thunder Wednesday.