15* Mountain West PLAY OF THE DAY on Air Force +14.5 

This is a terrible spot for Boise State.  The Broncos are coming off a 72-77 home loss to Nevada.  Now with two losses to Nevada this season, they aren’t going to win the Mountain West, which was their goal.  They are clearly in a hangover spot here today. 

Plus, Air Force is going to be out for revenge from a hard-fought 64-70 home loss to Boise State as 8.5-point underdogs on January 27th.  Now the Falcons are catching 14.5 points in the rematch, which is more than enough for them to cover. 

The Falcons have been grossly undervalued in Mountain West play this season as they are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 conference games.  The Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games.  Boise State is 1-10 ATS in February games over the past two seasons.  Air Force is 7-1 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.  Roll with Air Force Saturday. 

20* SEC GAME OF THE MONTH on LSU -1.5 

The Missouri Tigers are getting too much love right now due to their five-game winning streak.  Well, all five wins have come by single-digits, so they have been fortunate in close games.  And they are primed for a letdown off a 62-58 home win over Texas A&M last time out. 

LSU has been one of the more underrated teams in the SEC, especially when they play at home.  They are 10-4 at home this season.  They have have three straight impressive home wins over Texas A&M (77-65), Arkansas (94-86) and Ole Miss (82-66). 

Missouri is 1-8 ATS after playing two consecutive home games over the past two seasons.  LSU is 3-0 SU & 2-1 ATS in their last three home meetings with Missouri.  Take LSU Saturday. 

20* Rhode Island/St. Bonaventure ESPN 2 No-Brainer on St. Bonaventure +2.5

The Rhode Island Rams are 13-0 in Atlantic 10 play and already have the conference title wrapped up.  I can’t help but think they are going to relax here down the stretch, and they are clearly overvalued right now. 

St. Bonaventure is the second-best team in the Atlantic 10 in my opinion.  They are the only team capable of beating Rhode Island, and they’re at home tonight in what will be a hostile atmosphere against a ranked foe. 

St. Bonaventure is 19-6 on the season, including 10-1 in home games where they’re winning by 16.0 points per game.  The Bonnies come in playing their best basketball of the season having won seven straight. 

The Rams suffered a big blow when second-leading scorer E.C. Matthews was forced to leave last game with an injury.  He is very questionable to play tonight.  Matthews averages 12.9 points per game on the season and is a veteran leader on this team. 

Rhode Island is 1-11 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last three seasons.  The home team is 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings, so home-court advantage has been huge in this series.  Bet St. Bonaventure Friday.

15* Pac-12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Washington +1.5 

The Washington Huskies have been one of the most underrated teams in the country this season.  They have managed to go 17-8 and are on the verge of making the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 2011. 

Off two consecutive road losses, I look for the Huskies to come out highly motivated for a victory at home tonight.  The Huskies have handled their business at home this season with a 13-2 mark at home.  They will be out for revenge from a 62-70 loss at Utah in their first meeting this season. 

Utah is coming off back-to-back home victories and is getting too much respect from the books now.  The Utes have gone just 1-4 in their last five Pac-12 road games with three of those losses coming by double-digits. 

Utah is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 road games after allowing 37% or less shooting in two consecutive games coming in.  The Huskies are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.  Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last five home games.  Take Washington Thursday. 

15* Nuggets/Bucks Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Milwaukee -2.5 

The Milwaukee Bucks have gone 9-2 since Joe Prunty took over for Jason Kidd.  The most noticeable difference has been on the defensive end, where the Bucks have locked down their opponents.  They are giving up just 95.9 points per game in their last 11 games. 

The Denver Nuggets come into this game getting a ton of respect from oddsmakers after winning five of their last six games.  But four of those wins came at home, and it has been a different story for them on the road this year. 

The Nuggets are just 8-19 on the road this season.  They had lost seven straight road games before finally ending that skid with a 123-113 win in Phoenix in their last road game.  But the Suns are playing as poorly as any team in the NBA right now having lost 12 of their last 13 with 10 of those losses coming by double-digits. 

Plays against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (Denver) - hot team having covered six or seven of their last eight games, with a winning record on the season are 71-32 (68.9%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Roll with the Bucks Thursday. 

20* Cincinnati/Houston AAC No-Brainer on Houston +3 

The Cincinnati Bearcats basically have the AAC locked up with a 12-0 record and a three-game lead over Houston.  So they can afford to relax tonight and lose their first conference game and it’s really not going to hurt them.  I think Houston will be the more motivated team here tonight. 

Houston is a team that is squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament, and a win over Cincinnati would likely help push them in.  They are 19-5 this season and a perfect 12-0 at home, outscoring opponents by a whopping 21.5 points per game on their home floor. 

Houston actually led Cincinnati by 18 on the road in their first meeting this season, but the Bearcats came storming back and won 80-70.  That clearly places the Cougars in revenge mode tonight, and that game clearly showed they could play with the Bearcats. 

The Cougars are 4-0-1 ATS in their last six home games. Houston is 6-0 ATS in home games vs. teams who average 40 or more rebounds per game over the past three seasons.  The Bearcats are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.  Bet Houston Thursday. 

20* Warriors/Blazers ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on Golden State -5.5 

The Golden State Warriors recently got their wake-up call losing three of four games and two straight for the first time all season.  They have since responded by going 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall, winning by 18, 17 and 46 points.  Now they want to cap it off with another big performance against the Blazers in their final game before the All-Star Break. 

The Blazers have been too inconsistent to compete with a team like Golden State.  The Blazers have lost four of their last six games with three of those losses coming by 19 or more points.  One of their wins was an home overtime victory over the Hornets, while the other was a road win at hapless Sacramento. 

The Warriors have won 11 straight meetings with the Blazers.  Nine of those 11 wins have come by 6 points or more, which is all it’s going to take to cover this generous 5.5-point spread.  Plus, Portland stud big man Jusuf Nurkic (calf, back, oblique) is questionable to play tonight, while the Warriors are basically fully healthy, especially among the big four. 

Plays on road favorites (Golden State) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division opponent against a team that is off a home loss by 10 points or more are 52-18 (74.3%) ATS since 1996.  The Blazers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Golden State is 37-18 ATS in the last 55 meetings, including 4-1 ATS in its last five trips to Portland.  Bet the Warriors Wednesday. 

15* NBA Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Utah Jazz -12 

The Utah Jazz are the hottest team in the NBA right now.  They are 10-0 SU & 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  They are scoring 112 points per game and giving up just 97.1 points per game during this winning streak, outscoring opponents by nearly 15 points per game.  That’s why I’m not afraid to lay 12 points with them here Wednesday against Phoenix. 

It also helps that the Suns are the coldest team in the NBA right now.  Phoenix has lost six straight and is just 1-11 in its last 12 contests.  Not only are they losing, they are getting crushed as nine of those 11 losses have come by double-digits.  One of those losses was a 97-129 home loss to these Utah Jazz on February 2nd less than two weeks ago. 

The Jazz are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss.  The Suns are 0-5 ATS in their last five vs. Western Conference opponents.  The Jazz are 6-0 SU & 4-1-1 ATS in their last six home meetings with the Suns, winning those six games by an average of 19.5 points per game.  Take the Jazz Wednesday. 

15* Missouri Valley PLAY OF THE DAY on Southern Illinois -3 

The Southern Illinois Salukis need to be more than 3-point home favorites tonight over Missouri State.  The Salukis have been the second-best team in the MVC this season with a 17-10 overall record and a 9-5 mark in conference play.  They are only two games back of Loyola-Chicago and certainly want to hold on to the No. 2 seed. 

The Salukis have taken care of their home court this season.  They are 12-2 in home games with an average victory of 10.9 points per game.  They are 6-1 at home in MVC play.  They already beat Missouri State 79-77 on the road in their first meeting this season.  That is nothing new in this series as the Salukis are 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings. 

Missouri State is getting way too much respect fro back-to-back wins over Indiana State and Evansville.  But the Bears were just 2-7 SU & 0-9 ATS in their nine games prior.  This team simply isn’t very good this season and is no match for Southern Illinois tonight. 

Southern Illinois is 9-1 ATS versus teams who force 12 or fewer turnovers per game over the last three seasons.  Missouri State is 1-7 ATS in its last eight games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Salukis are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.  Roll with Southern Illinois Wednesday. 

15* Atlantic 10 PLAY OF THE DAY on VCU +3 

Wrong team favored here.  The VCU Rams should not be home underdogs to the Davidson Wildcats.  These are two evenly-matched teams in the Atlantic 10 with Davidson at 8-4 and VCU at 7-5.  But the home-court advantage and the motivation for the Rams to catch the Wildcats in the standings makes VCU the right side tonight. 

VCU has gone 11-4 SU & &-4 ATS at home this season.  Three of those four losses came to ranked Virginia and Rhode Island teams, as well as Texas.  The only upset loss was to Richmond, and Richmond also beat Davidson on the road earlier this season. 

Davidson is just 4-7 in true road games this season.  The four wins have come against terrible teams in Charlotte as a 9-point favorite, George Mason as a 6-point favorite, Fordham as an 8-point favorite and George Washington as a 7-point favorite.  The Wildcats also suffered upset road losses at Appalachian State, Hawaii and Richmond. 

VCU is 8-0 ATS in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3-point shots per game over the last two seasons.  The Rams are winning by 16.8 points per game in this spot.  The Rams are 7-1 ATS versus teams who average 6 or fewer steals per game this season.  Take VCU Wednesday. 

20* ACC GAME OF THE WEEK on Florida State -4 

The Florida State Seminoles come in highly motivated for a victory here tonight at home against Clemson. They have lost two straight and three of their last four and need a signature win against a ranked team here to stay on the right side of the NCAA Tournament bubble. 

Two of those three losses came on the road, while the other was a 55-59 home loss to top-ranked Virginia in which the Seminoles blew a double-digit lead.  Look for them to be able to handle Clemson tonight and improve upon their impressive 10-2 home record where they are winning by 15.6 points per game on average. 

The Tigers are overvalued right now due to their four-game winning streak.  But they have feasted on weak competition with their four wins coming against Pitt, Wake Forest, Georgia Tech and UNC (at home).  Prior to this winning streak, they had lost each of their previous three road games in ACC play.  The Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  They are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games overall. 

Florida State is 8-1 ATS in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3-point shots per game over the last three seasons, winning by 19.5 points per game in this spot.  Clemson is 0-7 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams that allow 42% shooting or less after 15-plus games over the last two seasons.  The Tigers are losing by 16.7 points per game in this spot.  Bet Florida State Wednesday. 

15* Virginia/Miami ESPN Tuesday No-Brainer on Miami +6 

After reaching No. 1 in the poll for the first time in 36 years, the Virginia Cavaliers are sure to relax a little.  They already started that with their upset loss to Virginia Tech as 12-point home favorites over the weekend.  But because they are No. 1, they continue to get too much respect from oddsmakers as 6-point road favorites at Miami tonight. 

Miami is in need of a signature win that will help its case for the NCAA Tournament.  There’s no question the Hurricanes will be highly motivated for a victory here tonight hosting the top-ranked team in the country.  I look for them to put forth one of their best efforts of the season. 

Miami has been an extremely tough out at home this year.  The Hurricanes are 9-1 at home while winning by 15.2 points per game on average.  Their only home loss came to Duke after they blew a double-digit second half lead.  Miami is 6-1 straight up in its last seven home meetings with Virginia with its only loss coming in overtime.  Roll with Miami Tuesday. 

25* Atlantic 10 GAME OF THE YEAR on Richmond +16 

I’ve been riding the Richmond Spiders hard of late because they are so undervalued due to their 9-15 record.  They are much better than that record would indicate, and each of their last seven losses have come by 9 points or less, so they’ve simply had poor luck in close games. 

Richmond has gotten on track in conference play here of late.  The Spiders are 6-2 SU & 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall with five outright upsets.  They went on the road and beat VCU 67-52 as 8.5-point underdogs and also topped Davidson 66-63 as 11-point dogs.  Now they find themselves catching a whopping 16 points from Rhode Island tonight. 

Sure, Rhode Island is the best team in the Atlantic 10, but I can’t help but think the Rams are primed for a letdown tonight.  That’s because they are 12-0 in the conference and have a whopping four-game lead over second place (8-4).  They can afford to relax a little here down the stretch with such a big lead in the conference. 

Richmond is 6-0 ATS after scoring 75 points or more in two straight games over the last two seasons.  The Spiders are 6-0 ATS in road games after allowing 85 points or more over the last two years.  Richmond is 6-0 ATS in its last six games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Spiders are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games.  The four trends combine for a perfect 22-0 system backing the Spiders tonight.  Bet Richmond Tuesday. 

15* NBA Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Heat/Raptors UNDER 206.5 

Defense has certainly won out in recent meetings between the Heat and Raptors.  I’m absolutely shocked the books have set this number so high tonight when you look at the scores from those recent meetings and compare them to this 206.5-point total. 

The UNDER is 5-0 in the last five meetings.  They have combined for 179, 190, 185, 193 and 183 points in their last five meetings, respectively.  That’s an average of just 186.0 combined points per game, which is roughly 21 points less than tonight’s posted total of 206.5.   

Dating back further, the Heat and Raptors have combined for 205 or fewer points in each of their last 12 meetings.  That makes for a perfect 12-0 system backing the UNDER pertaining to this 206.5-point total.  Take the UNDER in this game Tuesday. 

15* NBA Eastern Conference ANNIHILATOR on Miami Heat +8 

The Miami Heat have had three days off since last playing on Friday in a 91-85 home win over the Milwaukee Bucks.  It’s safe to say they’ll be fresh and ready to go heading into their final two games before the All-Star Break.  That should lead to a big performance from them tonight. 

I think the Raptors are being overvalued right now after going 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall.  It has come mostly against a soft schedule with four of the five games at home.  They’ll get more than they bargained for from the Heat tonight. 

Miami has certainly had a knack for playing the Raptors tough of late.  They are 2-2 SU & 3-1 ATS in the last four meetings.  They only lost by 2 as 4.5-point road underdogs in their final meeting last season, and they upset the Raptors 90-89 as 4-point road underdogs in their first and only meeting thus far this season on January 9th.  Now they are getting a whopping 8 points just a month later. 

The Heat are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning record.  Miami is 22-7 ATS in its last 29 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  The Heat are 13-2 ATS in road games after playing two consecutive home games over the last two seasons.  Toronto is 15-29 ATS when revenging a loss over the last three seasons.  Bet the Heat Tuesday. 

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Nebraska +1 

What more do the Nebraska Cornhuskers have to do to get some respect?  Apparently it doesn’t matter what they do because they’re undervalued game in and game out.  And I believe that to be the case once again as they are shockingly home underdogs to Maryland tonight. 

Nebraska has gone 12-3 SU in its last 15 games overall.  The only losses were a 5-point loss at Ohio State as 12-point dogs, a 2-point loss at Penn State as 7.5-point dogs and a 12-point loss at Purdue as 21-point dogs.  More impressively, the Huskers are a ridiculous 15-1 ATS in their last 16 lined games.  Nebraska has certainly handled its business at home with a 13-1 SU & 10-2 ATS record this season. 

Maryland is clearly down this season.  The Terrapins are just 3-6 in their last nine games overall with all three victories coming at home.  Maryland is just 1-7 in true road games this season with its only victory coming against lonely Illinois (92-91) by a single point. 

Nebraska is 7-0 ATS when playing against a good team (60% to 80%) this season.  The Huskers are 9-0 ATS off a conference win this season.  Nebraska is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 Big Ten contests.  Take Nebraska Tuesday. 

15* NBA Western Conference ANNIHILATOR on Utah Jazz -4 

The Utah Jazz are playing better than anyone in the NBA right now.  The Jazz pushed their winning streak to nine with a 115-96 win over Portland Sunday night.  They are now .500 for the first time since early December and just 1.5 games behind the Pelicans for 8th place in the Western Conference.  They are focused and wanting to keep this winning streak going heading into the All-Star Break in a few days. 

Extending the streak to 10 shouldn’t be a problem tonight because few teams have been attacked by the injury bug as viciously as San Antonio this season.  The Spurs will face the Jazz without several key players in the lineup.  Kawhi Leonard and Rudy Gay have been out for a while, Tony Parker and Dejounte Murray both missed last game and remain questionable tonight, and LaMarcus Aldridge (22.4 ppg, 8.4 rpg) will sit out with a sore knee tonight. 

Not even Greg Popovich has been able to work magic with this team due to all of these injuries.  The Spurs are 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS in their last four games, losing all three times by 9 points or more.  That includes a 111-120 home loss to the Jazz as 6.5-point favorites on February 3rd.  It was the 3rd straight victory in the series for Utah with the previous two coming at home.  I give the Spurs zero chance of even being competitive on the road this time around. 

The Jazz are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games overall.  Utah is 6-0 ATS in its last six games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Jazz are 8-0 ATS in their last eight when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.  The Spurs are 0-5 ATS in their last five when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.  These four trends combined for a 27-1 system backing Utah tonight.  Take the Jazz Monday. 

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Los Angeles Clippers -4.5 

I think the Los Angeles Clippers are going to be a dangerous team moving forward.  They have so many good players that not too many people know about, which keeps them under the radar.  They have gone 5-2 in their last seven games overall and they added some nice pieces before the deadline. 

Certainly losing Blake Griffin hurts, but they got back some nice pieces for him in 3-and-D Avery Bradley and elite scorer Tobias Harris.  Other unsung heroes like Lou Williams, Danilo Gallinari, Austin Rivers and Montrezl Harrell have all taken their games to the next level this season.  This is a deep team that has 10 players averaging at least 8.5 points per game. 

The Nets are in free-fall mode right now and just looking forward to the All-Star Break in a few days.  They are 1-9 in their last 10 games overall.  They have some key injuries to two of their best players right now that are getting overlooked.  Both Rondae Holllis-Jefferson (14.3 ppg, 6.5 rpg) and Caris LeVert (11.6 ppg, 4.1 apg) are out right now.  And D’Angelo Russell just seems to be a cancer as they have struggled since he returned.  He hijacks the offense too often with his woeful 29% 3-point shooting. 

The Clippers are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Los Angeles is 11-3-1 ATS in its last 15 road games.  The Clippers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five road games vs. a team with a losing home record.  The Nets are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  Bet the Clippers Monday. 

15* Notre Dame/UNC ESPN Monday No-Brainer on Notre Dame +10.5 

The UNC Tar Heels are in a massive letdown spot tonight at home against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish.  They are coming off back-to-back wins over Duke and NC State by a combined 11 points.  Those are their two biggest rivals, and it’s only human nature for them to suffer a letdown after two such big wins. 

I also like the fact that Notre Dame is grossly undervalued right now.  The Fighting Irish had lost seven straight while going 1-6 ATS before the return of star PG Matt Farrell.  But they have turned it around since his return from injury, winning their last two in blowout fashion over Boston College (96-85) and Florida State (84-69). 

Now the Fighting Irish will be highly motivated for revenge from a 69-68 home loss to North Carolina as 5-point underdogs back on January 13th, which was the second game of their seven-game skid.  And it’s worth noting that both Bonzie Colson and Farrell sat out that game due to injury.  Well, now Farrell (16.5 ppg, 5.2 apg) is back and he makes all the difference for this team running the show at point guard. 

North Carolina is 0-7 ATS in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) over the last three seasons.  The Fighting Irish are 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings with the Tar Heels.  Roll with Notre Dame Monday. 

15* AAC PLAY OF THE DAY on Tulane +14 

Mike Dunleavy has done a great job of turning around this Tulane program already.  He has the Green Wave sitting at 13-10 on the season, and one of their wins was an 81-72 upset home win over this same Houston team that they will be facing today. 

Tulane leading scorer Melvin Frazier missed the team’s last game with a chest injury, but they played well in an 89-91 loss at Tulsa as 6.5-point underdogs.  Frazier is questionable to return today.  I’m not too concerned if he does or not because this is a deep Green Wave team that boasts five players scoring in double figures this season. 

I think Houston is getting too much love from oddsmakers tonight due to its 11-0 home record.  Well, the Cougars were trailing late against SMU at home last time out and were fortunate to win 67-58.  That was an SMU team playing without its two best players, too. 

Houston is 1-12 ATS versus good passing teams that average 16 or more assists per game over the past two seasons.  It is actually losing to these teams by 7.6 points per game on average.  The Cougars are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games following a win.  Take Tulane Sunday. 

20* Raptors/Hornets NBA Sunday Early ANNIHILATOR on Toronto -3.5 

The Toronto Raptors are rolling right now.  They have gone 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall with their four wins coming by an average of 21.3 points per game.  Now they are only favored by 3.5 against a Charlotte Hornets team they should handle. 

The Hornets are coming off a four-game road trip in which they went 1-3 SU & 0-4 ATS.  Now they will be playing their 5th game in 8 days.  I always like fading teams in that first home game following an extended road trip because it’s a tough spot for them.  They have things to deal with at home when they get back that are distractions. 

The Raptors have won both meetings with he Hornets in blowout fashion this season.  They won 126-113 at home and 129-111 on the road.  The Hornets simply aren’t good enough to hang with a team the caliber of Toronto, which may be the best team in the East this season. 

Charlotte is 2-11 ATS as a home underdog over the last two seasons.  The Hornets are 1-8 ATS after allowing 105 points or more in three straight games this season.  The Raptors are 5-0 ATS in their last five Sunday games.  The Hornets are 0-6 ATS in their last six home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  Bet the Raptors Sunday. 

25* Gonzaga/St. Mary’s WCC GAME OF THE YEAR on St. Mary’s -1.5 

The reputation Gonzaga has built up from years past has the Bulldogs massively overrated this season.  That has been especially the case of late as Gonzaga is 0-8 ATS in its last eight games overall.  Now the Bulldogs are once again getting too much respect from the books as only 1.5-point underdogs at St. Mary’s. 

It’s clear to me that St. Mary’s is simply the better team this season.  The Gaels are 24-2 and already went on the road and beat Gonzaga 74-71 as 7.5-point underdogs in their first meeting.  Now the Gaels will cap off the season sweep in front of a rowdy home crowd tonight.  The Gaels are 14-0 at home this season and winning by 18.7 points per game on average.  Bet St. Mary’s Saturday. 

20* Spurs/Warriors ABC Saturday No-Brainer on Golden State -10.5 

I think we are getting the Warriors at a bargain as only 10.5-point favorites at home tonight over the Spurs.  That’s because the Warriors have had their wake-up call in losing three of their last five games coming in.  Now they should be fully focused against the Spurs tonight. 

The Spurs have gone just 9-9 in their last 18 games overall.  They are an average team right now due to all of their injuries.  They are playing without Kawhi Leonard, Rudy Gay, Tony Parker and Dejounte Murray right now.  They simply don’t have much talent or depth left. 

Golden State beat San Antonio 112-92 on the road in their only meeting this season.  Plays against any team (San Antonio) - revenging a home loss vs. opponent of 10 points or more, off a cover as a double-digit favorite are 52-19 (73.2%) ATS since 1996.  Take the Warriors Saturday.  

15* Kentucky/Texas A&M SEC No-Brainer on Texas A&M -5 

It has been a tale of two seasons for Texas A&M.  The Aggies have been virtually unbeatable when they’ve been healthy, and they couldn’t win when they had players banged up.  Well, they’re back to being healthy and it’s starting to show on the court. 

The Aggies are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall.  They beat Arkansas by 14 and South Carolina by 23 at home, while also upsetting Auburn as 6-point road underdogs.  Now their mission will be to get revenge from a 73-74 loss at Kentucky back when they weren’t healthy in their first meeting this season. 

This is as vulnerable as I remember Kentucky ever being under John Calipari.  The Wildcats are just 3-4 SU & 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall.  They lost by 9 at Missouri and by 8 at South Carolina in two recent road games, two teams that aren’t nearly as good as Texas A&M. 

Kentucky is 0-6 ATS after a game with 9 or fewer assets over the past two seasons.  The Wildcats are 2-8 ATS against conference opponents this season.  Bet Texas A&M Saturday. 

15* CBB Saturday No-Dobut Rout on Saint Louis -3.5 

The Saint Louis Billikens have been grossly undervalued over the last few weeks.  They are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.  They are 5-2 SU in their last seven games with one of their losses coming by a single point to VCU.  I think the fact that they are coming off a 23-point loss at St. Bonaventure has them undervalued tonight. 

Saint Louis should be able to handle a 10-14 LaSalle squad that has been overvalued for over a month.  In fact, the Explorers are just 1-8 ATS in their last nine games overall.  They are just 2-12 SU in games played away from home this season. 

Saint Louis is a perfect 13-0 ATS off a road loss over the last two seasons.  La Salle is 0-7 ATS in road games versus teams who force 14 or fewer turnovers this season.  The Explorers are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.  The Billikens are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games.  Roll with Saint Louis Saturday. 

15* NBA Saturday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Philadelphia 76ers -2.5 

The Philadelphia 76ers have quietly gone 8-0 SU & 8-0 ATS in their last eight home games, winning by an average of 15.1 points per game.  They are not only winning, they are dominating. 

The 76ers beat the Pelicans 100-82 at home last night.  That makes this the 2nd of a back-to-back, but they had two days off before yesterday so they are fresher than most teams on a back-to-back.  And Joel Embiid has recently been cleared to play the 2nd of back-to-backs, and he is expected to play tonight. 

The Clippers are also in a back-to-back situation after winning in Detroit last night.  The difference is they actually have to travel to Philadelphia, while the 76ers get to stay at home.  Given their recent home success, I think we are getting the 76ers at a huge discount as only 2.5-point favorites. 

Philadelphia is 9-1 ATS in home games after successfully covering the spread in two or more consecutive games this season.  The 76ers are 11-3 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season.  Philadelphia is 56-25-2 ATS in its last 83 vs. Western Conference opponents.  The 76ers are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.  Roll with the 76ers Saturday. 

15* ACC PLAY OF THE DAY on Virginia Tech +12 

The Virginia Cavaliers cannot possibly be more overvalued than they are right now.  After going 12-0 SU & 9-3 ATS in conference play to this point, the Cavaliers have the attention of the betting public.  Now they are laying a whopping 12 points today to Virginia Tech. 

I think we see Virginia relax a little here down the stretch because they basically already have the ACC title wrapped up.  And they already beat VA Tech 78-52 on the road earlier this season, so they probably think they just have to show up to win. 

But that won’t be the case as VA Tech is a pesky bunch that will fight you for 40 minutes under Buzz Williams.  And the Hokies have really gotten it going of late with a 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in run in their last five games overall.  That includes blowout home wins over UNC (by 11) and NC State (by 10), as well all road wins at Notre Dame and Boston College. 

The Hokies are 7-0 ATS in their last seven after three straight games where both teams scored 75 or more points.  VA Tech is 6-0 ATS when revenging a same-season loss over the last three seasons.  Take Virginia Tech Saturday.

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Iowa +14.5 

This is a terrible spot for the Ohio State Buckeyes.  They are coming off their biggest win of the season, a 64-63 road win at No. 3 Purdue on Wednesday.  That win tied them for first place in the Big Ten with the Boilermakers.  It is only human nature for them to suffer a letdown tonight off such a massive victory. 

Iowa has been playing much better of late, going 3-2 ATS in its last five games overall.  The Hawkeyes just took Michigan State to the wire and actually had an 8-point lead late in that game, but lost 93-96 as 10-point underdogs.  They will have no problem getting back up off the mat to face another ranked foe in Ohio State tonight. 

Ohio State is 4-13 ATS off a win by 6 points or less over the last three season.  The Buckeyes are 0-6 ATS in home games off three or more consecutive unders over the last three years.  Ohio State is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  Nebraska, Penn State and Illinois have all played Ohio State to close games on the road recently, and the Hawkeyes can do just that too.  Bet Iowa Saturday. 

15* SEC PLAY OF THE DAY on Alabama +2.5 

The Alabama Crimson Tide need a signature win here to improve their tournament resume.  They have that chance against a ranked Tennessee opponent that is primed for a letdown following its upset road win at Kentucky earlier this week. 

Alabama has beaten some very good teams at home this season.  The Crimson Tide pulled upsets over both Auburn and Oklahoma, and they also beat the likes of Texas A&M at home.  They are 10-2 at home this season. 

Alabama is 16-6 ATS in its last 22 games as a home underdog of 3 points or less or PK.  The Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games.  Alabama is 37-17 ATS in its last 54 games following an ATS loss.  The Crimson Tide are 15-6 ATS in the last 21 meetings, including 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home meetings.  Roll with Alabama Saturday. 

20* Atlantic 10 GAME OF THE MONTH on Richmond +10.5 

Richmond is grossly undervalued right now due to its 9-14 record.  But the Spiders are much better than that as they have simply had bad luck in close games.  Each of their last six losses have come by 8 points or less. 

But the Spiders have got on track in conference play here of late.  They are now 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall with five outright upsets.  They went on the road and beat VCU 67-52 as 8.5-point dogs and Davidson 66-63 as 11-point dogs.  They should not be catching 10.5 points today against St. Bonaventure. 

Richmond is 8-1 ATS off a conference home win over the last two seasons.  St. Bonaventure is 1-8 ATS after covering three of their last four against the spread over the last three seasons.  The Spiders are 5-0 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Spiders are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.  Take Richmond Saturday. 

15* NBA Eastern Conference ANNIHILATOR on Miami Heat -1.5 

In the midst of a season-high five-game losing streak, it’s safe to say the Miami Heat will be highly motivated for a victory at home tonight over the Milwaukee Bucks.  It has been more bad luck in close games than anything as all five losses came by 8 points or less, including four by 6 points or fewer. 

Look for the Heat to get back in the win column tonight against a Milwaukee Bucks team they have owned of late.  The Heat are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings with the Bucks, winning by an average of 13.3 points per game. 

I think the Bucks are starting to get too much respect from oddsmakers due to going 7-1 SU & 5-3 ATS in their last eight games overall.  They have played an extremely soft schedule during this stretch with six of those eight games against teams with losing records.  The Bucks still have issues at point guard as starter Malcolm Brogdon and backup Matthew Dellavedova both remain out. 

Miami is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Heat are 6-1 ATS in their last seven vs. NBA Central Division opponents.  The Bucks are 3-9-2 ATS in their last 14 Friday games.  The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.  Roll with the Heat Friday. 

15* NBA Friday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Philadelphia 76ers -4.5 

The Philadelphia 76ers have one of the most underrated home-court advantages in the NBA this season.  That has especially been the case of late.  The 76ers are 7-0 SU & 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games, winning by an average of 14.7 points per game. 

Now the 76ers get to host a struggling New Orleans Pelicans team that just lost DeMarcus Cousins to a season-ending injury.  The Pelicans have gone 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their five games since Cousins went down, losing those four games by an average of 13.8 points per game. 

Philadelphia is 14-5 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.  The 76ers are 11-3 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.  Philadelphia is 20-6 ATS in its last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  The 76ers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 Friday games.  Take the 76ers Friday. 

20* Clippers/Pistons ESPN Friday No-Brainer on Detroit -3 

The Detroit Pistons have been re-energized since trading for Blake Griffin.  The Pistons have gone 5-0 since trading for him, and he’s averaging 21.3 points, 7.8 rebounds and 6.3 assists since joining Detroit. 

When Los Angeles signed Griffin to a five-year, $171 million contract in July, it was understood that he would be a ‘Clipper for Life’.  But Doc Rivers and the front office bailed on him, and you can bet that he is going to want to exact some revenge on his former team here tonight. 

Plays on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (Detroit) - after going over the total by 48 or more total points in their last 10 games, when playing on Friday nights are 38-17 (69.1%) ATS over the last five seasons. 

The Pistons are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games vs. Western Conference foes, including 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight vs. NBA Pacific Division opponents.  The home team is 5-1-1- ATS in the last seven meetings.  Bet the Pistons Friday. 

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Portland Trail Blazers -3.5 

Off there straight road losses, the Portland Trail Blazers returned home highly motivated for a victory tonight against the Charlotte Hornets.  They played three road games in four days and lost all three.  But now they have had two days off since last playing on Monday and will be fresh and ready to go. 

The Blazers have been dominant at home for over a month now.  The Blazers are 8-0 SU & 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight home games overall.  Each of their last five home victories have come by 7 points or more.  Look of them to get back on track at home tonight. 

The Hornets are just 8-16 on the road this season.  Home-court advantage has been huge in this series.  The Blazers are 11-2 SU & 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home meetings with the Hornets, including 8-1 ATS in their last nine home meetings. 

The Hornets are 0-5 ATS in their last five games vs. Western Conference teams.  Charlotte is 6-15 ATS as an underdog this season.  The Hornets are 12-27 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the past two seasons.  Charlotte is 1-14 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams that force 14 or fewer turnovers per game this season.  Bet the Blazers Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Pacific +13 

The Pacific Tigers have been money-making machines this season, especially in conference play.  Pacific has gone 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games overall, yet it continues to get no respect from oddsmakers as 13-point home underdogs to Gonzaga tonight. 

Conversely, Gonzaga continues to get way too much respect from oddsmakers based on what they’ve done in years’ past.  But this Bulldogs team isn’t nearly as good as previous years.  That has shown here of late as the Bulldogs are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games overall. 

I can’t help but think Gonzaga is going to be looking ahead to a huge showdown with St. Mary’s on Saturday.  The Bulldogs want revenge from a 71-74 home loss to the Gaels.  They know that game will likely decide the conference, and they won’t be paying as much attention to Pacific tonight as they should be. 

Pacific is 11-1 ATS off a conference game this season.  The Tigers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games versus good rebounding teams out rebounding their opponents by 4-plus boards per game after 15-plus games.  The Tigers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games.  Roll with Pacific Thursday. 

15* CBB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Houston -8.5 

The Houston Cougars are a legit NCAA Tournament team this season.  They have gone 17-5 on the year, and most of their damage has been done at home.  They are 10-0 SU & 5-1 ATS at home this season, winning by an average of 21.7 points per game.  They throttled Wichita State 73-59 at home a few weeks back. 

SMU is having a down season at 15-8.  But the Mustangs have really struggled of late, going 3-5 SU & 2-6 ATS in their last eight games overall.  They have lost their last two road games by 11 at Connecticut and by 9 at Tulsa, two teams that aren’t nearly as strong as Houston. 

The biggest reason for the Mustangs’ struggles has been injuries.  It all started when Jarrey Foster (13.2 ppg, 5.9 rpg), their second-leading scorer, was lost for the season with a torn ACL in late January.  But now their best player in Shake Milton (18.0 ppg, 4.7 rpg, 4.4 apg) suffered a hand injury last time out that will force him out of action for the foreseeable future. 

The Mustangs are 1-7 ATS in their last six road games.  The Cougars are 5-1 ATS int heir last six home games.  Houston is 19-7-1 ATS in its last 27 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.  SMU is 1-7 ATS in its last eight road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  Take Houston Thursday. 

15* CBB Wednesday UPSET SHOCKER on Richmond +2 

The Richmond Spiders are just 8-14 on the season and grossly underrated because of that record.  They are more like a 14-8 team, but they’ve had terrible luck in close games.  In fact, each of their last six losses have come by 8 points or less. 

We’ve seen what Richmond has been capable here of late.  The Spiders are 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall, which includes a 67-52 win at VCU as 8.5-point dogs and a 66-63 win at Davidson as 11-point dogs. 

The only game Richmond lost during this stretch came last time out in an upset home loss to George Mason by a final of 75-79 as 7-point favorites.  However, second-leading scorer and leading rebounder De’Monte Buckingham (12.6 ppg, 7.2 rpg, 3.4 apg) was suspended for that game.  Well, Buckingham returns tonight and should provide a huge lift to the team. 

VCU is down big-time this season compared to years’ past.  But the Rams get the reputation that they’re still one of the best teams in the Atlantic 10 when that simply isn’t the case.  They are just 14-9 this season and tied with Richmond in the conference standings at 6-4.  And with Richmond already beating VCU by 15 on the road, there’s no way the Spiders should be home underdogs in the rematch. 

VCU is 1-11 ATS in its last 12 Wednesday games.  Richmond is 15-5-2 ATS in its last 22 Wednesday games.  The Spiders are 4-0 ATS in their last four games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Rams are 0-4 ATS in their last four games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Roll with Richmond Wednesday. 

20* T’Wolves/Cavs ESPN Wednesday No-Brainer on Minnesota -3.5 

The Cleveland Cavaliers are completely broken.  They are now just 7-14 SU & 3-18 ATS in their last 21 games overall.  They are coming off a 98-116 loss at lowly Orlando last night, so now they’ll be playing the second of a back-to-back. 

It’s not like the Cavs have even been competitive in some of these losses.  In fact, each of their last six losses have come by double-digits.  And now without Kevin Love for 6-8 weeks due to a broken hand, it’s not going to get better any time soon for the Cavaliers.  Lebron James is at a loss for words every night, and this team just isn’t together at all. 

Conversely, Minnesota is living up to the massive expectations they had coming into the season with the additions of Jimmy Butler and Jeff Teague.  They are fully healthy right now and have put together a 34-22 record on the season.  And the Timberwolves come in fresh and ready to go as they last played on Saturday, giving them three full days off to prepare for Cleveland. 

Minnesota beat Cleveland 127-99 at home in their first meeting this season on January 8th.  Cleveland is 1-10 ATS off a double-digit loss as a favorite of 6 points or more over the past three seasons.  The Cavaliers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Cleveland is 5-24 ATS in its last 29 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  Bet the Timberwolves Wednesday. 

20* SEC GAME OF THE MONTH on Florida -8 

The Florida Gators come in highly motivated for a victory tonight.  They are coming off back-to-back ugly losses to Georgia and Alabama.  They have responded well following losses this year, and they are certainly much better than they’ve shown over these past two games. 

Now the Gators have a great chance to get back in the win column in blowout fashion against LSU tonight.  The Tigers are just 2-5 SU & 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall.  They haven’t even been competitive in their last two road games, losing by 23 at Tennessee and by 25 at Auburn. 

LSU is 1-10 ATS in road games after having lost two of its last three games over the past three seasons.  The Tigers are 11-26 ATS off a win over the last three years.  Florida is 78-48 ATS in its last 126 games after failing to cover the spread in two or more consecutive games.  LSU is 3-14 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3-point shots per game over the last two seasons.  Take Florida Wednesday. 

15* SEC PLAY OF THE DAY on Ole Miss -1 

The Ole Miss Rebels have been extremely tough at home this season, especially in SEC play.  They are 10-4 at home this year.  But they are 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games, winning and covering against the likes of Florida, Mississippi State, Alabama and South Carolina.   

Their only home loss during this stretch came to Auburn by a final of 70-79, which is the best team in the SEC.  Off three consecutive losses, it’s safe to say the Rebels will be highly motivated for a victory at home tonight against the Missouri Tigers. 

Off back-to-back wins over Alabama and Kentucky, I believe Missouri comes into this game overvalued.  The Tigers are just 3-4 in true road games this season.  They have recent double-digits road losses to the likes of Mississippi State and Texas A&M. 

It’s safe to say that Ole Miss owns Missouri.  In fact, the Rebels are 8-0 SU & 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight meetings with Missouri.  Ole Miss is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games following a loss by more than 20 points.  The Rebels are 36-15-2 ATS in their last 53 games following a loss overall.  Missouri is 0-6 ATS after allowing 60 points or less in two straight games over the last three seasons.  Ole Miss is 13-1 ATS off a loss to a conference opponent over the last two years.  Roll with Ole Miss Tuesday. 

15* NBA Tuesday UPSET SHOCKER on New York Knicks +2 

I love this spot for the New York Knicks tonight.  They are coming off a bad loss to the Atlanta Hawks in which they blew a 5-point lead late.  That has them undervalued coming into this game tonight, while the Bucks are overvalued due to winning six of their last seven games overall. 

It’s also a revenge spot for the Knicks.  They just lost 90-92 in Milwaukee a few days ago on Friday, and now they get a chance for revenge at home this time around.  The Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings with the Bucks. 

Milwaukee is dealing with all kinds of injuries right now.  Malcolm Brogdon remains out with a knee injury, Mathew Dellavedove is out tonight with an ankle injury, and Giannis Antetokounmpo is expected to play tonight despite leaving their last game with a foot injury.  He’ll be far from 100% for this one. 

Plays on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (New York) - after a close loss by 3 points or less against opponent that scored 105 points or more in their previous game are 55-27 (67.1%) ATS over the last five seasons.  The Knicks are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss.  The Bucks are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games when playing on one days’ rest.  Take the Knicks Tuesday. 

20* NBA Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Raptors -4.5 

The Toronto Raptors will be looking to make a statement tonight.  They are in second place in the Eastern Conference, trailing the Boston Celtics by 2 games for the top spot.  Now they get to host the Celtics and will be highly motivated for a victory because of it. 

The Celtics have managed to go 3-0 without Kyrie Irving.  But all three of those wins came at home, and they were against the Knicks, Hawks and Blazers.  They needed a buzzer-beater to beat the Blazers.  Irving is still questionable to return tonight.  And they are still without Marcus Smart, and Marcus Morris is questionable tonight. 

Meanwhile, the Raptors are fully healthy and dominating.  They are 4-1 in their last five games overall with three of those victories coming by 12 points or more.  Toronto is a sensational 21-4 at home this season, outscoring opponents by a whopping 11.4 points per game on average. 

Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is 7-1 SU & 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings.  Toronto is 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in its last four home meetings with Boston, winning all four by 6 points or more.  Bet the Raptors Tuesday. 

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Northwestern +1.5 

The Northwestern Wildcats have gotten it together here of late.  They are 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last four games overall despite playing three of those games on the road.  Now I look for them to handle their business as home underdogs to Michigan tonight. 

The lone loss during this stretch for the Wildcats came at Michigan on January 29th just a week ago by a final of 47-58.  The Wildcats lost the turnover battle 16-5 in that game, so that was the difference.  Look for them to take much better care of the ball at home tonight and to be highly motivated for revenge on the Wolverines. 

Michigan is 9-18 ATS off a home win over the last two seasons.  Northwestern is 14-5 ATS after covering two of its last three against the spread over the last two seasons.  The Wildcats are 10-3 at home this season and 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games.  The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.  Take Northwestern Tuesday.

20* Xavier/Butler Big East No-Brainer on Butler -3.5 

The Butler Bulldogs are absolutely rolling right now.  They are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall, winning the four by 12, 25, 20 and 23 points.  Now they will be playing at home tonight, where they have one of the best advantages in the country.  The Bulldogs are 12-1 SU & 10-2 ATS at home this year. 

Butler will be highly motivated for a victory here to avenge a 79-86 road loss to Xavier back on January 2nd in their first meeting this season.  I think Butler has improved significantly since that loss and will be ready for the challenge tonight.  After all, Butler did beat Villanova at home, handing the Wildcats their only loss this season. 

Xavier comes in overvalued due to winning six straight and being ranked No. 5 in the country.  But their wins have not come easy.  In fact, nine of Xavier’s last 12 wins have come by single-digits.  They have simply had good fortune in close games, but I think their luck will run out tonight. 

Butler is a perfect 8-0 ATS in home games off a win this season.  Plays on home favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Butler) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 85 or more points, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 23-4 (85.2%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Bet Butler Tuesday. 

20* NBA Monday No-Doubt Rout on Detroit Pistons -2.5 

The Detroit Pistons are re-engergized with the trade for Blake Griffin.  They are 3-0 since trading for him and at 25-26, can get back to .500 with a win tonight.  Look for them to keep rolling at home tonight against the Portland Trail Blazers. 

The Blazers will be lacking energy tonight.  That’s because they will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days, which is one of the toughest situations in the NBA.  And they’re likely to suffer a hangover from their buzzer-beating 96-97 loss at Boston yesterday. 

The Pistons have certainly had the Blazers’ number, going 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.  They have won their last two home meetings with the Blazers by 7 and 20 points.  The home team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.  The Blazers are 1-5 ATS in their last six trips to Detroit. 

Portland is 1-9 ATS in February games over the last two seasons.  The Blazers are 6-18 ATS in road games after having lost two of their last three games over the past two seasons.  Detroit is 29-12 ATS in its last 41 home games with a total set of 210 to 219.5.  The Pistons are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 vs. Western Conference opponents.  Bet the Pistons Monday. 

20* NBA Sunday No-Doubt Rout on New York Knicks -5 

The New York Knicks are showing great value as only 5-point home favorites over the Atlanta Hawks today.  The Knicks will be highly motivated for a victory today after back-to-back road losses at Boston and Milwaukee coming in. 

But now the Knicks return home, where they are 16-9 SU & 16-9 ATS on the season.  The Hawks own the worst road record in the NBA this season at 4-21.  Home-court advantage has been big in this series as the home team is 7-2 SU in the last nine meetings.  The Knicks have to be more than 5-point favorites here. 

The Knicks are 12-3 ATS in home games off two more more consecutive unders over the past two seasons.  The Hawks are 0-8 ATS in their last eight vs. Eastern Conference opponents.  New York is 5-1 ATS in its last six games following a loss.  Bet the Knicks Sunday. 

15* Seton Hall/Villanova Big East No-Brainer on Seton Hall +12.5 

The Villanova Wildcats have a huge target on their backs right now because they are the No. 1 ranked team in the country.  With that ranking comes expectations from the betting public and oddsmakers that will be tough to live up to. 

There’s no way Villanova should be a 12.5-point favorite today against a Seton Hall team that is among the best in the Big East at 17-5 this season.  The Pirates are coming off back-to-back blowout victories by 16 at DePaul and by 16 at home over Providence, and now they’re ready to give the Wildcats a run for their money. 

This is a Seton Hall team that is absolutely loaded due to returning its four best players from last season.  That team only lost 55-53 to Villanova in the Big East Tournament as 11.5-point underdogs.  All four starters that returned are averaging at least 13 points per game in Desi Rodriquez (17.3 ppg, 5.0 rpg), Myles Powell (14.5 ppg), Khadeen Carrington (14.2 ppg, 4.4 apg) and Angel Delgado (13.2 ppg, 12.1 rpg). 

Seton Hall is 30-12 ATS in its last 42 road games when playing against a team that has won more than 80% of its games after 15-plus games.  The Pirates are 22-9 ATS as underdogs over the last three seasons.  The Wildcats are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games after four straight games where they committed 11 or fewer turnovers.  Villanova is 0-4 ATS in its last four Sunday games.  Roll with Seton Hall Sunday. 

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on San Diego +10.5 

What more does San Diego have to do to get some respect?  The Toreros are one of the most improved teams in the country this season at 15-8 on the year.  That includes a 9-3 home record with their three losses all coming by single-digits. 

San Diego only lost 63-70 at St. Mary’s as 13.5-point underdogs in their first meeting this season on January 6th.  Now the Toreros are catching a whopping 10.5 points at home in the rematch, and they’ll clearly be out for revenge. 

St. Mary’s is clearly getting too much love right now from the books due to its 22-2 record and No. 13 national ranking.  Four of the Gaels’ last five wins have been relatively close.  I think they feel like they can just show up and win tonight, but that won’t be the case. 

Plays against favorites of 10 or more points (St. Mary’s) off three or more consecutive undress, a good offensive team scoring 76 or more points per game against an average offensive team (67-74 ppg) after 15-plus games are 68-33 (67.3%) ATS since 1997.  Take San Diego Saturday. 

15* ACC PLAY OF THE DAY on Pittsburgh +23 

Because they are 0-10 in ACC play, the Pitt Panthers are grossly undervalued right now.  The betting public wants nothing to do with them, which has inflated their lines recently.  As a result, the Panthers have gone 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall. 

The Panthers are improving rapidly because they are such a young team this year under Kevin Stallings.  During their 5-0 ATS run, they have been competitive in four of the five games, including a 5-point loss to Syracuse and a 4-point loss to NC State. 

Conversely, UNC continues to be grossly overrated despite going 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in its last three games.  In fact, the Tar Heels have only covered the spread in one of their last 10 games overall.  They cannot be laying 23 points to Pitt here, especially with a lookahead game on deck with rival Duke up next. 

Kevin Stallings is 7-0 ATS off six or more consecutive losses as the coach of Pittsburgh.  We’ll take this 100% never lost system straight to the bank today.  Bet Pittsburgh Saturday. 

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Indiana +9 

The Michigan State Spartans are distracted right now from the Larry Nassar deal.  Head coach Tom Izzo keeps refusing to answer questions in the media, which only furthers the suspicion.  And the Spartans’ play on the court has shown the distractions as they are just 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games overall. 

Indiana is ever-improving in the first season under Archie Miller.  The Hoosiers have gone 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall.  They have played very well at home of late, going 5-1 SU & 6-0 ATS in their last six games overall.  Their only loss came to Purdue by 7 as 8.5-point home underdogs, and the Boilermakers are the best team in the Big Ten.  They have proven they can play with a team of Michigan State’s caliber. 

Indiana is 10-6 SU & 10-6 ATS in its last 16 home meetings with Michigan State.  The Hoosiers are 30-16 ATS in all home games over the last three seasons.  Indiana is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games following a loss.  The home team is 20-8 ATS in the last 28 meetings.  Roll with Indiana Saturday. 

15* Pac-12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Stanford PK 

The Stanford Cardinal are one of the most underrated teams in the Pac-12 this season.  They are 6-3 SU & 8-1 ATS in their last nine games overall, yet they continue lacking the respect they deserve as a pick ‘em at home tonight against Oregon.  And two of those losses were a 2-point home loss to Arizona and a 5-point road loss at USC, two of the best teams in the Pac-12. 

Oregon is certainly in the midst of a down year, which was expected after all they lost last season from their Final Four team.  Oregon’s only three road wins this year have come against Fresno, Cal and Arizona State.  I think they’ll be in over their heads here against the Cardinal. 

Stanford is 15-4 SU & 14-5 ATS in its last 19 home meetings with Oregon.  The Cardinal are 8-0 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (winning 60% to 80%) over the last two seasons.  It is actually winning these games by 9.5 points per game on average.  Take Stanford Saturday. 

15* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Illinois State -4.5 

Illinois State comes in off back-to-back impressive performances.  The Redbirds beat Valparaiso 76-65 as 4-point home favorites and upset Missouri State 76-60 as 6.5-point road underdogs.  They are hitting their stride right now and should be more than 4.5-point home favorites over Valparaiso. 

Illinois State is 5-1 in its last six home games with its only loss coming to the best team in the MVC in Loyola-Chicago.  The last two home games were very impressive with that 11-point win over Valparaiso and a 13-point win over Bradley, which is arguably the second-best team in the conference. 

Evansville simply cannot bet trusted on the road.  The Purple Aces are 2-6 in true road games this season, losing by an average of 12.0 points per game.  They were already playing without Duane Gibson (6.9 ppg, 3.1 rpg) due to injury, and now they’ve lost point guard Dru Smith (13.5 ppg, 4.7 apg, 47.7% 3-pointers) indefinitely due to a foot injury.  He is their most important player and they won’t be nearly as good without him moving forward. 

Illinois State owns Evansville.  The Redbirds already beat the Purple Aces 72-66 on the road in their first meeting this season back in December.  They are now 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings, winning all five by 6 points or more, including four by double-digits.  Illinois State is also 16-4 SU & in its last 20 home meetings with Evansville.  Bet Illinois State Saturday. 

20* MVC GAME OF THE WEEK on Northern Iowa -3.5 

Northern Iowa will be out for revenge from a 67-69 road loss at Indiana State on January 10th in their first meeting this season.  The Sycamores got a tip in just before the buzzer to beat the Panthers in excruciating fashion. 

Now Northern Iowa gets Indiana State at home this time around.  The Panthers are 9-3 at home this season, winning by 12.7 points per game on average.  They are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three home games, beating Illinois State by 11 as 6.5-point favorites, Drake by 14 as 6.5-point favorites and Valparaiso by 5 as 4-point favorites. 

Indiana State is not playing well at all right now.  The Sycamores are 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall.  Indiana State certainly has not fared well outside of its home arena.  The Sycamores are 3-9 in all road games this season. 

Indiana State is 1-8 ATS in road games off two or more consecutive losses over the past three seasons, losing by an average of 10.6 points per game in this spot.  The Sycamores are 16-36-2 ATS in their last 54 games vs. a team with a losing record.  The Panthers are 20-7-4 ATS in their last 31 games vs. a team with a losing record.  Take Northern Iowa Saturday. 

25* Big 12 GAME OF THE YEAR on West Virginia -7.5 

The West Virginia Mountaineers opened 15-1 and looked like one of the best teams in the country.  But they have since gone 1-5 in their last six games overall, losing four times by 7 points or less.  Now they are back to being undervalued, and they are certainly more motivated for a win today than at any other point this season. 

The Kansas State Wildcats lost point guard Kamau Stokes (13.4 ppg, 4.6 apg) in early January and he has missed the past seven games and is out for the season.  They actually played well for a while in his absence, but I think it will start to catch up with them moving forward.  That started to show last time out with a 56-70 home loss to Kansas.  Off a loss to their biggest rivals, it will be hard for the Wildcats to avoid a hangover here. 

West Virginia has owned Kansas State, going 7-2 SU & 5-4 ATS in the last nine meetings.  The Mountaineers already won 77-69 as 1.5-point road favorites at Kansas State on January 1st in their first meeting this season.  They should have no problem winning by 8-plus points in the rematch at home this time around.  WVU Is 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in its last four home meetings with K-State, winning by 19, 15, 4 and 10 points, or by an average of 12 points per game. 

Kansas State is 2-8 ATS after having won four of its last five games this season.  Bob Huggins is 31-15 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more in all games he has coached.  The Mountaineers are 10-2 at home this season and winning by 21.7 points per game.  WVU is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  Bet West Virginia Saturday. 

20* NBA Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Bulls/Clippers UNDER 222 

There are several reasons to like the UNDER today in this game between the Bulls and Clippers.  For starters, it’s a rare early Saturday start time, so I expect both teams to be sleep-walking through it at a slow tempo.  But player injuries/trades is the biggest reason to like the UNDER. 

Chicago just traded away Nikola Mirotic, its leading scorer to the Pelicans. Its new leading scorer is now Lauri Markannen (15.3 ppg), who is now out for personal reasons today.  And third-leading scorer Kris Dunn (13.7 ppg, 6.4 apg) remains out with a concussion.  It’s safe to say that the Bulls’ offense will be extremely limited today without this trio. 

For the Clippers, they traded away Blake Griffin to the Pistons this week and got back Tobias Harris, Avery Bradley and some draft picks in return.  Losing Griffin will hurt their offense, but they do get one of the best defensive guards in the league in Bradley to improve their defense.  Both Harris and Bradley will be making their debuts for the Clippers today, and I expect them to be lost offensively, which would only be natural. 

The UNDER is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.  In fact, the Bulls and Clippers have combined for 215 or fewer points in each of their last 16 meetings.  That makes for a perfect 16-0 system backing the UNDER pertaining to today’s huge total of 222 points.  Roll with the UNDER in this game Saturday. 

15* Texas Tech/TCU ESPNU Saturday No-Brainer on TCU -3 

The TCU Horned Frogs need to get going if they want to make the NCAA Tournament.  They have done just that by beating West Virginia 82-73 at home and Oklahoma State 79-66 on the road in two of their last three games.  I think we are getting them at a cheap price at home here Saturday against Texas Tech. 

The Red Raiders have been overvalued for a few weeks now.  They are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall.  They were fortunate to escape with a 73-71 home victory over Texas in overtime last time out.  In fact, each of their last four wins have come by 7 points or less and by a combined 15 points.  They are very close to being 0-7 in their last seven games overall. 

TCU is 11-2 at home this season and winning by 14.7 points per game.  Texas Tech is 1-3 on the road in Big 12 play, losing by 10 at Oklahoma, by 9 at Texas and by 18 at Iowa State. 

The Red Raiders are 0-6 ATS after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games over the past two seasons.  Texas Tech is 6-16 ATS in its last 22 road games off a close win by 3 points or less in Big 12 play.  Texas Tech is 0-6 ATS in its last six Big 12 games.  The Horned Frogs are 4-1 ATS in their last five Big 12 games.  Roll with TCU Saturday. 

15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on Phoenix Suns +5.5 

The Utah Jazz are in a massive letdown spot tonight.  They are coming off a 129-99 win over the Golden State Warriors, handing the defending champs their worst loss of the season.  It’s only human nature for them to let down now off such a big win. 

The Suns won their lone meeting with the Jazz this season 97-88 at home as 7.5-point underdogs.  Home-court advantage has been big in this series as the home team is 9-3 SU & 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings. The Suns are 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings. 

The Jazz are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.  Utah is 7-19 SU & 11-15 ATS in all road games this season.  Plays against road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Utah) - off an upset win as an underdog, on Friday nights are 63-30 (67.7%) ATS since 1996.  Take the Suns Friday. 

15* NBA Friday Total DOMINATOR on Pelicans/Thunder UNDER 223 

This total has gotten out of hand tonight.  It has been bet all the way up to 223, and I look for it to finish well below the number tonight.  There are several reasons the UNDER is a great bet tonight. 

For starters, Oklahoma City is running on fumes tonight.  The Thunder will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days.  They just had to play in the altitude in Denver last night, so they will be tired.  They won’t be looking to push the tempo at all in this one. 

For the Pelicans, they just lost DeMarcus Cousins to a season-ending injury.  He was in the midst of an MVP-caliber season.  The Pelicans won’t be nearly as efficient offensively without him.  That has shown in the last two games without Cousins as they were held to 103 points against the Clippers and 103 against the Kings. 

Oklahoma City is 20-6 UNDER off a division game over the last two seasons.  New Orleans is 66-40 UNDER in all road games over the last three seasons.  The UNDER is 7-2 in Pelicans are nine road games.  The UNDER is 15-4 in Thunder last 19 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. 

Plays on the UNDER on all teams where the total is 200 or higher (New Orleans) - off two or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 33-12 (73.3%) over the last five seasons.  This same system applies to Oklahoma City as well.  Roll with the UNDER in this game Friday.

20* NBA Friday No-Doubt Rout on Charlotte Hornets -3 

I love the situation for the Charlotte Hornets tonight.  They will be out for revenge from a 105-96 road loss to Indiana on January 29th just a few days ago.  Now they get the Pacers at home this time around.  The Pacers shot 54.2% in that game while the Hornets shot 44.6%.  I think that will be reversed tonight. 

Home-court advantage has been huge in this series in recent meetings.  In fact, the home team is 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings.  The Hornets have won their last three home meetings with the Pacers by 12, 22 and 7 points, respectively. 

The Hornets are 9-4-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings.  Charlotte is 6-0 ATS in its last six home meetings with Indiana.  The Hornets are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five Friday games.  The Pacers are 1-4 ATS in their last five Friday games.  Bet the Hornets Friday. 

15* Oregon State/Stanford Pac-12 Late-Night BAILOUT on Stanford -3.5 

The Stanford Cardinal come in undervalued tonight because they are riding a 3-game losing streak.  But they were an underdog in all three games against a brutal schedule.  They lost by 2 at home to Arizona, by 5 at USC and by 16 at UCLA. 

This recent skid has everyone forgetting that Stanford put together a 5-game winning streak in Pac-12 play prior to the losing streak.  They won four of those five games outright as underdogs.  The Cardinal are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall and easily the most underrated team in the Pac-12. 

Oregon State is getting a lot of respect from oddsmakers tonight despite going just 1-4 in its last five games overall.  The Beavers are just 3-5 in Pac-12 play.  They don’t stand much of a chance of keeping this game close against a highly motivated Stanford squad tonight. 

Stanford is 17-2 straight up in its last 19 home meetings with Oregon State.  The Cardinal are 24-11 ATS in their last 35 home games off two or more consecutive losses.  Stanford is 11-3 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15-plus games over the last three seasons.  The Cardinal are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games.  Roll with Stanford Thursday. 

15* CBB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Marshall -1.5 

The Marshall Thundering Herd are one of the best teams in Conference USA this season.  They are 5-3 SU & 6-2 ATS in conference action.  They have been grossly undervalued ever since head coach Dan D’Antoni took over a few years back. 

UTSA is just 4-5 SU & 3-6 ATS in conference play this season.  The Roadrunners are 2-4 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.  That includes home losses to the likes of FIU and FAU, two teams that are much worse than Marshall. 

The Thundering Herd have crushed the Roadrunners in their last two meetings.  Marshall won 109-91 on the road in 2016 and 92-71 at home in 2017.  I see another blowout win coming for the Thundering Herd in their lone meeting this season. 

Marshall is 8-1 ATS when playing just its 2nd game in a week this season.  The Thundering Herd are 17-5 ATS off a road game over the last two seasons.  Marshall is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games overall.  The Thundering Herd are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a loss.  The Roadrunners are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games.  Take Marshall Thursday. 

20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Raptors/Wizards UNDER 214 

With John Wall out for the Washington Wizards, I think this total has been set too high tonight.  The Wizards are a completely different offense without him.  They get a ton of easy buckets in transition because of his speed when he’s in there, but now they have to become a much more methodical team without him. 

And the Wizards and Raptors have already played in two low-scoring games in their first two meetings this year when Wall was healthy.  They combined for 203 points in their first meeting on November 5th and 191 points in their 2nd meeting on November 19th.  Now the books have set this total at 214, showing we have a ton of value on the UNDER based on the first two meetings. 

Toronto is 16-4 UNDER in road games in the second half of the season over the last two seasons.  Washington is 15-6 UNDER off an ATS win this season.  Toronto is 15-5 UNDER versus good 3-point shooting teams making 36% or better this season.  The UNDER is 7-2 in the last nine meetings.  Backup PG Fred VanVleet is out for Toronto, and sharpshooter CJ Miles is questionable as well.  Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday.

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Maryland +15 

This line is simply out of hand tonight because Purdue is the 3rd-ranked team in the country and has won a school-record 17 straight games coming in.  No question Purdue is the best team in the Big Ten, but it cannot be 15-point favorites against a solid Maryland squad tonight. 

That’s especially the case with Maryland being out for revenge from a 75-80 home loss to Purdue as 3.5-point underdogs in their first meeting this season.  Now they are 15-point underdogs in the rematch, a massive 11.5-point adjustment.  There is a ton of value with the Terrapins tonight. 

Purdue is 3-2 against Maryland in all meetings since the Terrapins joined the Big Ten in 2015.  But all three wins for the Boilermakers came by 5 points or less and by a combined 10 points overall.  Maryland has gotten healthy as the season has gone on and will be a tough out for any Big Ten team moving forward. 

The Terrapins are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games following a loss.  The Boilermakers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a winning record.  Plays against home favorite of 10 points or more (Purdue) - after three straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers against opponent after five straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or fewer turnovers are 94-45 (67.6%) ATS since 1997.  Take Maryland Wednesday. 

20* Knicks/Celtics ESPN Wednesday No-Brainer on New York +8.5 

This is a great spot to fade the Boston Celtics.  They are coming off a four-game road trip and this will be their first game back home.  I always like fading teams following an extended road trip in their first game back home because of all the off-court distractions they have to deal with when they get back. 

The Celtics aren’t playing well at all right now as it is.  They are 2-5 in their last seven games overall, going through their worst stretch of the season.  Marcus Smart has shown his value to this team because they have not played well without him, and he remains out tonight.  The Celtics cannot be laying 8.5 points to the Knicks with the way they are playing right now. 

The Knicks are playing the 2nd of a back-to-back tonight after a 111-95 home win over Brooklyn last night.  But that effect is negated because the Knicks had three days off prior to that game.  So they’ll still be fresh and ready to go despite the back-to-back situation. 

New York is 12-3 ATS after having won two of its last three games this season.  The Knicks are 18-6 ATS when playing against a team with a winning percentage of better than 70% over the last three years.  The Celtics are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  Bet the Knicks Wednesday.

Note: I put this pick in when the line was +8.5.  It has since dropped to +6 as of this writing due to Kyrie Irving being ruled out.  I think it's certainly still worth a bet at +6 because Irving is worth more than 2.5 points to this team, especially with Marcus Smart already out and the Celtics lacking talent at the guard positions outside of those two.

15* CBB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Georgia Tech +1 

Off four straight losses, the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are grossly undervalued right now.  But they were underdogs in all four games with home losses to Virginia and Clemson, and road losses at UNC and Florida State.  They finally get a break in their schedule here with a winnable home game against Syracuse. 

This is far from one of Jim Boeheim’s best Syracuse teams.  The Orange come in overvalued following three straight victories, but two were against Pittsburgh and the other was at home against Boston College.  And they didn’t cover either game against Pitt. 

Syracuse has only played five true road games all season.  The Orange are just 2-3 in them with their two wins coming over Georgetown by 7 and Pitt by 5.  Georgetown is one of the worst teams in the Big East, while Pitt is the worst team in the ACC. 

Georgia Tech is 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in its last three home meetings with Syracuse despite being underdogs each time.  And the only loss was a 1-point loss as 4-point dogs.  The Orange are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 road games.  The Yellow Jackets are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 home games.  Syracuse is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games following a win. 

Georgia Tech is 6-0 ATS off a cover where they lost straight up as an underdog over the last two seasons. The Yellow Jackets are 6-0 ATS in home games off two or more consecutive losses over the last two years.  Georgia Tech is 9-1 ATS after a game where it made 78% or better from the free throw line over the last two years.  These three trends combine for a 21-1 system backing the Yellow Jackets.  Bet Georgia Tech Wednesday. 

15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Brooklyn Nets +7.5 

The Brooklyn Nets are showing great value as 7.5-point home underdogs to the Philadelphia 76ers tonight.  They have been a great bet all season with a 30-20-1 ATS record in their 51 games thus far as they have consistently been undervalued. 

I think oddsmakers are putting too much stock in the fact that the Nets will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back tonight.  But they had two days off prior to to their game against the Knicks last night, and it’s a short trip to Brooklyn from New York.  And the Nets are one of the deeper teams in the NBA so they aren’t affected as much by back-to-backs as most teams. 

The 76ers are in the midst of a four-game road trip that concludes here tonight.  They have lost their last two games by double-digits by 10 at Oklahoma City and by 12 at Milwaukee.  I just don’t think they should be getting this much respect from oddsmakers tonight as 7.5-point road favorites at Brooklyn. 

Brooklyn is 16-7 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.  The Nets are 19-9 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.  Brooklyn is 13-4 ATS versus good offensive teams scoring 106-plus points per game this season.  Take the Nets Wednesday. 

20* ACC GAME OF THE WEEK on Louisville +9.5 

The Virginia Cavaliers are in the ultimate letdown spot today.  They just ended a 17-game road losing streak at Duke with their first win since 1995 with a 65-63 win at Cameron Indoor Stadium on Saturday.  It’s only human nature for them to suffer a letdown following such a monumental victory. 

Now the Cavaliers have to go up against an underrated Louisville team that will fight them for 40 minutes.  The Cardinals are 16-5 this season despite all the distractions with Rick Pitino.  They have played their best basketball of the season in conference play. 

Louisville is 6-2 SU & 7-1 ATS in its last eight games overall.  Its only losses came by 5 at Clemson as 6-point underdogs and by 3 at Miami in overtime as 5-point dogs.  The Cardinals have upset both Florida State and Notre Dame on the road, while also crushing Virginia Tech, Pitt, Boston College and Wake Forest at home during this stretch. 

The Cardinals are 7-1 ATS in their last eight ACC games.  Louisville is 4-0 ATS in its last four road games.  I think that win over Duke all but sealed the ACC title for Virginia as well, making it even more of a letdown spot.  Roll with Louisville Wednesday. 

20* Blazers/Clippers TNT GAME OF THE MONTH on Portland -2.5 

The Portland Trail Blazers have been playing their best basketball of the season over the last few weeks.  They are 5-1 SU & 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games overall.  Now they have had three days off having last played on Friday and will be fresh and ready to go tonight against the Clippers.  The Blazers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games when playing on 3 or more days’ rest. 

The Clippers are going through some turmoil right now and cannot be trusted.  They just traded away franchise player Blake Griffin to Detroit yesterday.  They got back Avery Bradley and Tobias Harris in return, but both are doubtful to play tonight.  That leaves the Clippers extremely short-handed for this game against Portland. 

The Blazers have actually played some of their best basketball on the road this season, going 13-12 SU & 14-9-2 ATS.  The road team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  Portland is 8-2-3 ATS in its last 13 games following a straight up win by more than 10 points. 

Plays against home teams (LA Clippers) - after four straight games where both teams score 100 points or more against opponent after scoring 100 points or more in five straight games are 42-18 (70%) ATS since 1996.  Bet the Blazers Tuesday. 

15* SEC PLAY OF THE DAY on Texas A&M -5.5 

Texas A&M opened 11-1 this season when they were healthy.  But then the Aggies were hit hard by injuries and proceeded to go 2-7 in their last nine games overall.  Now the Aggies are fully healthy again and should get back to being that 11-1 team sooner rather than later. 

Texas A&M is coming off back-to-back road losses as LSU and Kansas, which is no big deal.  Now the Aggies return home tonight where they are 9-2 on the season.  Look for them to take out their frustration on the overrated Arkansas Razorbacks tonight. 

Arkansas comes in overvalued off three straight wins by a combined 8 points with two of those coming at home.  But Arkansas is just 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in true road games this season, losing by an average of 10.4 points per game.  I think they get blown out of the building tonight. 

The Razorbacks are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games overall.  The home team is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings.  The Aggies are 4-1 ATS in their last five home meetings with Arkansas.  The Razorbacks are 4-11 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.  Roll with Texas A&M Tuesday. 

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Oklahoma -6 

The Oklahoma Sooners are back to being undervalued finally after going 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.  They have lost three of their last four straight up, but all three were on the road to Kansas State, Oklahoma State and Alabama. 

Now Oklahoma returns home where it is a perfect 10-0 on the season, scoring 97.5 points per game and outscoring opponents by 18.3 points per game.  The Sooners have recent home wins over Northwestern by 26, Oklahoma State by 20, Texas Tech by 10, TCU by 5 and Kansas by 5. 

Now the Sooners should be able to blow out a struggling Baylor squad that is just 12-9 overall and 2-6 in Big 12 play.  This is one of the worst teams Baylor has had in quite some time.  The Bears are 2-7 in their last nine games overall with both of their wins coming at home.  Baylor is 0-6 SU & 2-4 ATS in true road games this season, losing by an average of 12.4 points per game. 

Oklahoma is 29-14 ATS in its last 43 home games after having lost two of its last three games.  The Sooners are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games.  Oklahoma is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games following a loss.  The Sooners are 25-11-2 ATS in their last 38 meetings with Baylor.  Take Oklahoma Tuesday. 

15* NBA Eastern Conference ANNIHILATOR on Milwaukee Bucks -3.5 

The Milwaukee Bucks are 3-0 since Jason Kidd was fired.  They have returned with a new focus and realize they weren’t playing hard enough or well enough for Kidd.  Their last two games have resulted in a 25-point home win over Brooklyn and a 14-point road win at Chicago. 

Now the Bucks will be out for revenge from a 94-116 road loss at Philadelphia on January 20th just over a week ago.  It’s certainly worth noting that the Bucks were short-handed in that game, playing without both Giannis Antetokounmpo and Malcolm Brogdon.  Anteteokounmpo is back healthy and playing at an MVP level, while Brogdon could make his return tonight. 

This is a tough spot for the 76ers, who will be playing their third straight road game, the second of a back-to-back, and their 3rd game in 4 days.  I don’t know that they’ll have much left in the tank after facing the Spurs and Thunder on the road the past two games, and now making this trip to Milwaukee to play for a second consecutive day. 

Plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Milwaukee) - a good shooting team making 48% or better on the season, after two straight games making 9 or more 3-point shots are 145-80 (64.4%) ATS since 1996.  The Bucks are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games when playing on 0 days’ rest.  The 76ers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games when playing on 0 days’ rest.  Take the Bucks Monday.

20* NBA Monday No-Doubt Rout on Indiana Pacers -3 

The Indiana Pacers have been one of the most underrated teams all season.  They have played without star center Myles Turner for much of the campaign, but he is healthy now and the Pacers will be dangerous moving forward. 

The Charlotte Hornets have been as inconsistent as they come.  They are just 20-28 SU & 19-25-4 ATS on the season.  They are 6-14 SU & 7-10-1 ATS on the road.  They are getting way too much respect from the books as only 3-point road underdogs to the Pacers tonight. 

Indiana is 19-5 straight up in its last 24 home meetings with Charlotte.  The Pacers have won their last two home meetings with the Hornets by 21 and 16 points, respectively.  The home team has won five straight meetings in this series overall. 

The Pacers are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 Monday games.  Indiana is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 vs. NBA Southeast Division opponents.  Charlotte is 4-9-3 ATS in its last 16 games vs. a team with a winning record.  The home team is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.  Bet the Pacers Monday. 

15* Notre Dame/Duke ESPN Monday No-Brainer on Duke -14.5 

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish caught a tough break when their best player Bonzi Colson (21.4 ppg, 10.4 rpg) was lost for the season on January 9th with a foot injury.  Then they were dealt another big blow when their second-best player Matt Farrell (15.7 ppg, 5.3 apg) suffered an ankle injury. 

Colson has missed the past seven games and Farrell has missed four games recently and both remain out.  Not to mention, they are playing without top 6th man D.J. Harvey (5.8 ppg), who has missed the past two games.  It’s no surprise that the Fighting Irish have struggled, going 0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall. 

Now Notre Dame will be up against a motivated Duke team that is coming off a rare home loss to Virginia over the weekend.  Look for the Blue Devils to pour it on the Fighting Irish in this one.  Notre Dame simply won’t have the offensive punch without Colson, Farrell and Harvey to keep up with a Duke team that is scoring 90.3 points per game this season. 

Duke is 145-112 ATS in its last 257 games as a home favorite of 10 points or more.  The Blue Devils are 56-29 ATS in their last 85 home games with a total set of 140 to 149.5 points.  Duke is 176-134 ATS in its last 310 games following an ATS loss, including 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss.  The Blue Devils are 17-8-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall.  Roll with Duke Monday. 

15* NBA Sunday UPSET SHOCKER on Chicago Bulls +2 

The Chicago Bulls come in highly motivated for a victory following three consecutive losses, including two by 5 points or fewer.  Look for them to get back on track with an ‘upset’ home victory over the Milwaukee Bucks today. 

The Bulls are an impressive 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games overall.  They have been undervalued for a couple months now.  Chicago is 38-18 ATS in its last 56 vs. Eastern Conference opponents. 

The Bulls have owned the Bucks, going 15-7 ATS in the last 22 meetings.  They are 2-0 SU & 2-0 ATS against Milwaukee this season, actually winning each of their first two meetings on the road 115-109 as 8.5-point dogs and 115-106 as 7.5-point dogs.  Now there’s no way they should be underdogs at home. 

The underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.  The Bulls are 17-6 ATS off a home game this season.  Chicago is 9-1 ATS vs. poor rebounding teams that get out rebounded by 3-plus boards per game this season.  The Bucks are 0-6-2 ATS in their last eight games vs. a team with a winning % below .600.  Milwaukee is 9-24 ATS in its last 33 Sunday games.  Roll with the Bulls Sunday. 

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Indiana +9 

The Indiana Hoosiers are improving rapidly in head coach Archie Miller’s first season in Bloomington.  They have gone 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall. 

The Hoosiers have been very impressive at home of late.  Indeed, the Hoosiers are 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five home games.  They now have the confidence to hang with a team of Purdue’s caliber. 

I think the Boilermakers come in overvalued due to their No. 3 national ranking.  They are starting to have to lay some big numbers, and it’s going to make it difficult for them to cover.  Asking them to win by double-digits on the road to beat us here is asking too much. 

Indiana is 29-16 ATS in all home games over the last three seasons.  Purdue is 7-22 ATS in its last 29 road games when playing against a team with a winning percentage from 51% to 60% after 15-plus games.  The Hoosiers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a loss.  Take Indiana Sunday. 

20* Villanova/Marquette FOX Sunday No-Brainer on Marquette +8 

Marquette only lost 90-100 at Villanova as 16-point underdogs in their first meeting this season on January 6th.  Now the Golden Eagles are catching 8 points at home in the rematch and will be out for revenge today. 

We saw last year the Golden Eagles pull off their biggest win of the season at home over Villanova.  They beat the Wildcats 74-72 as 5-point home underdogs.  They have a very good home-court advantage as they are 9-3 on their home floor this year. 

Villanova being the No. 1 ranked team in the country puts a huge target on their backs.  It also has them overvalued because the betting public wants to back them, especially since they have covered three in a row coming in. 

Villanova is 3-11 ATS after having won 18 or more of their last 20 games over the past three seasons.  The Wildcats are 1-5 ATS in their last six Sunday games.  The Golden Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a loss.  Bet Marquette Sunday. 

15* CBB Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Virginia Tech +4 

It’s mind-blowing that the Fighting Irish are actually favored here Saturday against Virginia Tech.  They Fighting Irish are without their two best players in Bonzie Colson (21.4 ppg, 10.4 rpg) and Matt Farrell (15.7 ppg, 5.3 apg).  They are also missing D.J. Harvey (5.8 ppg). 

All these injuries have really put the Fighting Irish behind the eight ball.  They are 0-4 SU & 1-3 ATS in their last four games overall.  I really don’t understand how they can even be favored here, especially against a team that caliber of Virginia Tech. 

The Hokies come in undervalued after losing two of their last three.  But they righted the ship with an impressive 80-69 upset victory over UNC last time out.  And now they realize they need to win games like this against Notre Dame if they want to make the NCAA Tournament. 

Notre Dame is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 home games after two straight games where it attempted 12 or fewer free throws.  The Hokies are 24-10-1 ATS in their last 35 games following an ATS win.  The Fighting Irish are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  Buzz Williams is 9-1 ATS off two straight games where they made 10 or more 3-point shots as the coach of the Hokies.  Bet Virginia Tech Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Hornets/Heat UNDER 205 

This will already be the 4th and final meeting of the 2017-18 season between the Charlotte Hornets and Miami Heat.  It’s safe to say that they are familiar with one another, and that familiarity certainly favors the defenses. 

These teams just played one week ago today with Miami winning 106-105 at Charlotte.  I think this rematch will be much more low scoring, especially with the way the Heat are playing of late.  And the Hornets have lost the first three meetings, so they will be fighting extra hard defensively to try and avoid the season sweep. 

The Heat have combined for 189 points with Houston and 177 points with Sacramento in their last two games coming in.  The Heat are one of the better defensive teams in the league giving up 101.5 points per game, but their offense has struggled all season at 100.7 points per game. 

Charlotte is 18-6 UNDER when revenging a home loss over the last two seasons.  Miami is 21-6 UNDER when its opponent allowed 100 points or more in its previous game.  The UNDER is 9-4 in Heat last 13 home games.  The UNDER is 6-1 in Hornets last seven vs. a team with a winning record.  The UNDER is 5-1 in in Hornets last six games when playing on 0 days’ rest.  The UNDER is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings, including 4-1 in the last five meetings in Miami.  Take the UNDER in this game Saturday. 

15* Kentucky/West Virginia ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Kentucky +10 

When is the last time you remember Kentucky being a double-digit underdog under John Calipari?  I can’t recall it, and I certainly am going to take advantage today and back the Wildcats in this big underdog role against the WVU Mountaineers. 

I realize this isn’t one of Calipari’s best teams, but the Wildcats are still 15-5 and improving every day.  That’s the best part about his teams is that they improve as much as anyone in the country over the course of the season with all of the freshmen he plays.  Kentucky does have five losses this year, but four have come by 8 points or fewer. 

It’s not like West Virginia is playing well enough right now to warrant being a double-digit favorite, either.  The Mountaineers are 1-3 in their last four games overall.  They lost at Texas Tech and TCU, while also getting upset by Kansas at home.  I think they will struggle with athletes the caliber of Kentucky’s here. 

The Mountaineers are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 games vs. SEC opponents.  West Virginia is 0-6-1 ATS in its last seven home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.  The Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.  Roll with Kentucky Saturday. 

20* Virginia/Duke CBS Saturday No-Brainer on Duke -4 

The ACC title is likely on the line when the Virginia Cavaliers (19-1, 8-0) visit the Duke Blue Devils (18-2, 6-2) at Cameron Indoor Stadium Saturday.  Being two games behind the Cavaliers already, the Blue Devils are looking at this as a must-win.  And given their past successes at home against Virginia, I have no doubt they get the win and cover tonight. 

The Blue Devils are 17-0 in their last 17 home meetings with the Cavaliers having not lost since 1995.  Duke hasn’t lost at Cameron Indoor in more than a full calendar year.  The Blue Devils are 10-0 at home this season, winning by an average of 29.4 points per game. 

Virginia has only played five true road games this season.  Their four wins came against VCU, VA Tech, Georgia Tech and Wake Forest.  They were favored in all four games.  In their toughest road game, they lost 61-68 at West Virginia as 4.5-point underdogs.  Now this will be their stiffest road test yet. 

Plays against road teams as an underdog or PK (Virginia) - an excellent defensive team allowing 63 or fewer points per game against an average defensive team (67-74 ppg) after allowing 50 points or less are 46-16 (74.2%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Bet Duke Saturday. 

20* Big 12/SEC GAME OF THE WEEK on Georgia +8 

It’s time to ‘buy low’ on Georgia and ‘sell high’ on Kansas State as this spread has simply got out of hand here Saturday based on recent results.  We’ll gladly take advantage and back the Bulldogs as 8-point road underdogs here to the Wildcats. 

We’ll ‘sell high’ on Kansas State, which comes in 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in its last five games overall.  That recent success has the Wildcats way overvalued right now.  And this is a huge lookahead spot for Kansas State, which hosts Kansas on Monday.  Their only loss during this stretch came 72-73 at Kansas, so they will be looking ahead at getting revenge. 

Conversely, we’ll ‘buy low’ on Georgia, which is 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in its last five games overall.  The Bulldogs will be extra motivated for a win here Saturday and with the way they play defense, they are more than capable of pulling off this upset and hanging with the Wildcats. 

Georgia is 15-6 ATS as an underdog over the last two seasons.  The Bulldogs are 7-0 ATS in road games off a loss over the last two years.  Georgia is 17-5 ATS in road games when playing a team with a winning record over the last two seasons.  The Wildcats are 1-7 ATS in their last eight non-conference games.  Kansas State is 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  Take Georgia Saturday. 

15* Knicks/Suns NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 217 

The Knicks are playing little defense at all right now, which is why they have gone through a 4-14 stretch over their last 18 games.  That has been even more apparent here of late as the OVER is 9-0 in Knicks last nine games overall. 

I think the Knicks are just a tired team right now, and that’s showing up on defense.  They are in the midst of a 7-game road trip and conclude that trip tonight.  During this 9-0 OVER run, the Knicks and their opponents have combined to average 231.6 points per game.  That’s nearly 15 points more than tonight’s posted total of 217. 

I don’t see much changing tonight against a Phoenix Suns team that doesn’t play any defense, either.  The Suns have allowed at least 100 points in 12 consecutive games coming in.  They are giving up 112.2 points per game on the season.  The Knicks are allowing 110.3 points per game on the road. 

The OVER is 3-1 in the last four meetings as the Suns and Knicks have combined to average 222 points per game.  The Knicks beat the Suns 120-107 for 227 combined points in their first meeting this season.  Play on the OVER on any team (New York) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in four consecutive games, on Friday nights are 28-5 (84.8%) over the last five seasons.  Roll with the OVER in this game Friday. 

15* NBA Friday Total DOMINATOR on Jazz/Raptors UNDER 208.5 

It’s easy to see there’s value with the UNDER in tonight’s matchup between the Utah Jazz and Toronto Raptors when you look at the recent series history.  Points will be hard to come by tonight. 

The Raptors and Jazz have combined for 209 or fewer points in each of their last five meetings.  They have averaged just 197 combined points in those five meetings, which is roughly 12 points less than tonight’s posted total of 208.5 

Both teams have played in some very low-scoring games here of late.  Utah combined for 194 points with Atlanta and then 193 points with Detroit in its last two games despite going to overtime against the Pistons.  Toronto combined for 187 with Detroit, 169 with San Antonio and 201 with Atlanta in three of its last four games. 

Utah is 8-1 UNDER off an upset win as an underdog this season.  Toronto is 14-5 UNDER vs. good 3-point shooting teams making 36% or more of their attempts this season.  The UNDER is 7-1 in Jazz last eight games following a win.  The UNDER is 7-3 in Raptors last 10 home games. 

Plays on the UNDER on road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (Utah) - off an upset win as an underdog against an opponent that’s off a road win are 48-19 (71.6%) over the last five seasons.  Take the UNDER in this game Friday. 

20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Pacers/Cavs UNDER 223.5 

The Pacers and Cavs are extremely familiar with one another.  This will be their 4th and final meeting of the season already.  Based on the way the first three have been trending, it’s safe to say there’s value with the UNDER tonight. 

In Game 1, they combined for 231 points in a shootout.  But Game 2 saw just 208 combined points, and Game 3 saw even less at 192.  As teams become more familiar with each other, the defenses have the advantage. 

The Cavs are looking to do anything they can to play better defense amidst a 1-6 stretch.  Now they have decided to move Kevin Love from Center to Power Forward.  They are inserting Tristan Thompson into the starting center role now, and this will make them a better defensive team. 

Indiana is 10-1 UNDER after scoring 115 points or more this season.  The Pacers are 14-4 UNDER off one or more consecutive overs this season.  Plays on the UNDER on home teams where the total is 220 or more (Cleveland) - excellent free throw shooting team making 79% or better against a good FT shooting team (76%-79%) after 42-plus games are 25-4 (86.2%) since 1996.  Bet the UNDER in this game Friday. 

15* CBB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Wichita State -13.5 

It’s safe to say the Wichita State Shockers are going to be highly motivated for a victory tonight following back-to-back upset losses to SMU at home and Houston on the road.  Look for them to put forth one of their best efforts of the season now at home against UCF. 

The UCF Knights are extremely vulnerable moving forward.  They just lost arguably their most important player in center Tacko Fall (11.3 ppg, 7.3 rpg, 2.0 bpg) to a season-ending shoulder injury last time out.  A.J. Davis (10.4 ppg, 8.4 rpg) is nursing an ankle injury as well.  The Knights are 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall, losing by 9 at UConn, by 11 at home to Cincinnati and barely escaping with a 71-69 victory as 9.5-point favorites over lowly South Florida. 

Wichita State is 34-17 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last two seasons.  The Shockers are 6-0 ATS versus poor offensive teams that score 64 or fewer points per game over the last three years.  Take Wichita State Thursday. 

20* Wizards/Thunder TNT Thursday No-Brainer on Oklahoma City -4.5 

Since December 1st, the Oklahoma City Thunder are 14-0 when all five of their normal starters play.  That’s Russell Westbrook, Paul George, Carmelo Anthony, Andre Roberson and Steven Adams.  They are full healthy now and have all five starters going tonight. 

The Thunder will also be playing with a chip on their shoulder in the short-term, especially Paul George.  Westbrook and head coach Billy Donovan have both been vocal in the media about how George should have made the All-Star team.  He was arguably the biggest snub in the entire NBA, and he’ll be playing with added motivation moving forward. 

The Wizards have lost five of their last eight games overall.  They are in turmoil right now.  Their players’ only meeting clearly did not go very well.  In their first game after the meeting, they lost 75-98 on the road to the Dallas Mavericks.  And now they are dealing with an injury to one of their best players on Otto Porter Jr., who is questionable with a hip injury tonight. 

Washington is 3-11 ATS when playing its 2nd game in 5 days this season.  Oklahoma City is 5-1 SU & 4-1-1 ATS in its last six meetings with Washington.  The Thunder are 8-0 SU in their last eight home meetings with the Wizards, winning by an average is 11.1 points per game.  The Wizards are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games overall.  Bet the Thunder Thursday. 

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Temple +13.5 

I really like the situation for the Temple Owls tonight.  They will be out for revenge from a 53-55 home loss to Cincinnati as 7.5-point underdogs on January 4th.  I backed the Owls with success in that game, and I’m backing them again tonight as they are catching a whopping 13.5 points on the road in the rematch. 

No team has played Cincinnati tougher than Temple in recent years.  Each of the last five meetings have been decided by 7 points or less.  The Owls are 5-0-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  Temple is 4-1 ATS in its last five trips to Cincinnati. 

Plays on underdogs of 10 or more points (Temple) - revenging a close loss vs. opponent by 3 points or less against a team that is off two straight wins over conference opponents are 46-17 (73%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Roll with Temple Wednesday. 

20* Louisville/Miami ESPN 2 No-Brainer on Miami -4 

The Miami Hurricanes come in motivated for a victory after losing three of their last five to drop to 14-4 on the season.  But they are 6-1 at home this season and winning by 18.8 points per game.  Their only home loss came to Duke when they blew a double-digit second half lead. 

I think Louisville comes into this game getting too much respect from oddsmakers for going 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in its last six games overall.  Now the Cardinals are only catching 4 points on the road to a team that is clearly better than them in Miami, and I have no doubt that will show on the court tonight. 

Louisville is 9-19 ATS in road games off a win over the last three seasons.  The Cardinals are 2-10 ATS in road games versus teams who commit 12 or fewer turnovers per game after 15-plus games over the past three seasons.  Jim Larranaga is 17-8 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or PK as the coach of Miami.  Larranaga is 11-3 ATS after allowing 80 points or more as the coach of the Hurricanes.  Take Miami Wednesday. 

20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Chicago Bulls +6 

The Chicago Bulls continue to be greatly underrated despite going 20-5 ATS in their last 25 games overall.  They are also 15-9 SU in their last 24 games.  They have gone a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last six games overall heading into this showdown with the Philadelphia 76ers. 

The 76ers are starting to get too much love after going 7-2 SU & 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall.  Now they are being asked to lay 6 points at home to these red-hot Bulls.  This is only the second time in the past 14 games that the 76ers have been a favorite of 6 points or more. 

The Bulls have really had the 76ers’ number in recent years, going 14-1 straight up in the last 15 meetings.  That’s another reason they should not be catching 6 points in a game they will likely win outright again tonight.  Especially with the 76ers playing without three key players in Markelle Fultz, J.J. Redick and T.J. McConnell. 

Chicago is 9-1 ATS vs. good rebounding teams who outrebound their opponents by 3-plus boards per game.  The Bulls are 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last five trips to Philadelphia.  Bet the Bulls Wednesday. 

15* Cavs/Spurs TNT Tuesday No-Brainer on Cleveland -1.5 

The Cleveland Cavaliers held a players’ only meeting on Monday following their 124-148 home loss to Oklahoma City on Saturday.  They hashed out their problems, and I look for them to put forth a big effort tonight in San Antonio working on two days’ rest. 

The Spurs aren’t playing much better right now.  They are just 2-4 in their last six games overall with losses to the Lakers, Hawks and Pacers in there.  A big reason for the Spurs’ struggles right now is all of their injuries, while the Cavs come in healthy. 

The Spurs are without Kawhi Leonard, Rudy Gay, Pau Gasol and Manu Ginobli.  Those are four of their best players, and they simply don’t have the talent on the bench to replace them.  Until they get healthy, the Spurs are going to continue to struggle to win games. 

Play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (San Antonio) - after scoring 90 points or less in two straight games against an opponent after two straight games where both teams scored 100 or more points are 32-10 (76.2%) ATS since 1996.  Roll with the Cavaliers Tuesday. 

15* Missouri Valley PLAY OF THE DAY on Bradley -1 

The Bradley Braves are one of the best teams in the Missouri Valley this season.  And getting them as only 1-point home favorites against the Missouri State Bears is a gift from oddsmakers here tonight. 

Bradley is a perfect 10-0 SU & 7-0 ATS at home this season.  The Braves are outscoring their opponents by 15.8 points per game at home this year. 

Missouri State is 1-4 straight up in its last five true road games.  It has lost at Drake, Evansville, Illinois State and Oral Roberts, four teams that aren’t as good as this Bradley squad. 

The Bears are 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall.  The Braves are 22-4-2 ATS in their last 28 home games.  Take Bradley Tuesday. 

20* SEC GAME OF THE WEEK on Georgia -1.5 

The Georgia Bulldogs come in highly motivated for a victory tonight.  They have lost three of their last four with three of those four on the road.  Now they return home tonight and will be looking to get back in the win column.  Georgia is 8-1 at home this season. 

The Arkansas Razorbacks are getting way too much respect from oddsmakers tonight.  The Razorbacks are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games overall.  Arkansas is just 2-4 SU in its last six games with its two victories coming by a combined 6 points at home over Missouri and Ole Miss.  Three of the four losses came by double-digits with a 15-point loss at Florida, a 21-point home loss to LSU and an 11-point road loss at Auburn. 

Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is 7-1 straight up in the last eight meetings.  The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  The Razorbacks are 0-8 ATS in their last eight SEC games.  The Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games.  Georgia is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 games following a loss.  Arkansas is 3-10 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.  Bet Georgia Tuesday. 

20* NBA Monday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Chicago Bulls +6.5 

The Chicago Bulls continue to be massively underrated despite going 19-5 ATS in their last 24 games overall.  They are also 15-8 SU in their last 23 games overall.   

Now they are catching 6.5 points against the New Orleans Pelicans Monday.  I’ll gladly continue backing them at a tremendous value in a game they certainly have the ability to win outright tonight. 

The road team has dominated this series.  The road team is 23-9-1 ATS in the last 33 meetings.  The Bulls are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 trips to New Orleans. 

Chicago is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 road games.  The Bulls come in rested as this will be just their 2nd game in 5 days.  That’s important because Chicago is 12-1 ATS when playing just its 2nd game in 5 days this season.  Bet the Bulls Monday. 

15* NBA Monday Undervalued Underdog on Sacramento Kings +10 

The Charlotte Hornets can’t be laying double-digits against anyone right now.  They are just 18-26 on the season, including 12-13 at home.  I’ll gladly fade them here tonight in the double-digit favorite role. 

Certainly there hasn’t been a lot to like about the Kings of late as they have lost seven straight games coming in.  But that also gives us the opportunity to ‘buy low’ on them at this double-digit price. 

Charlotte is 3-13 ATS in home games off two consecutive home games over the past two seasons.  The Hornets are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games.  Charlotte is 8-18-1 ATS in its last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings. 

Plays on road underdogs (Sacramento) after failing to cover five or six of their last seven against the spread against opponent that covered two of their last three are 164-101 (61.9%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Take the Kings Monday. 

15* UNC/VA Tech ESPN Monday No-Brainer on Virginia Tech +5 

It’s safe to say the Virginia Tech Hokies come into this game with the UNC Tar Heels highly motivated for a victory.  They have lost two straight to Louisville and FSU and four of their last six games overall.  They need a signature win at home here tonight to stem the tide. 

The Tar Heels come in a bit overvalued following four straight victories.  But the four came against Boston College, an injury-ravaged Notre Dame, Clemson and Georgia Tech with three of the four at home.  But the Tar Heels have only covered one of their last seven games overall. 

Virginia Tech is 10-2 at home this season, winning by an average of nearly 20 points per game.  The Hokies are scoring 88.2 points per game and shooting a ridiculous 54.2% from the floor at home.  They are scoring 85.6 points per game and shooting 52.1% on the season, so this team is loaded offensively. 

The Hokies are 12-3 ATS as a home underdog or PK over the last three seasons.  Virginia Tech is 11-1 ATS when playing with one or less days’ rest over the last three seasons.  The Tar Heels are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six road games.  The Hokies are 24-10-1 ATS in their last 35 home games.  The Hokies are 5-1 ATS in their last six home meetings with UNC.  Roll with Virginia Tech Monday. 

15* CBB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Northern Iowa PK 

The Northern Iowa Panthers got off to a tough start in Missouri Valley play.  They opened 0-5 with four of their losses coming by 7 points or less.  But they have turned the corner here of late, winning and covering back-to-back games against Drake and Valparaiso. 

Now Northern Iowa will be out for revenge for one of those close losses, a 53-56 home loss to Southern Illinois.  I look for the Panthers to get their revenge today and beat the Salukis for the 5th time in the last 6 meetings. 

Southern Illinois is not playing well at all right now.  The Salukis are 2-4 SU & 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.  Their two wins both came at home by a combined 6 points with a 2-point win over Evansville and a 4-point win over Illinois State. 

Northern Iowa is 13-4 ATS off two straight conference wins over the last three seasons.  Southern Illinois is 1-7 ATS after giving up 9 or fewer offensive rebounds in two straight games this season.  The Salukis are 2-8 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.  Bet Northern Iowa Sunday. 

15* NBA Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Magic/Celtics UNDER 208 

The reason for the success of the Boston Celtics has been their work on the defensive end of the court.  The Celtics rank 1st in the NBA in defensive efficiency, giving up just 99.5 points per 100 possessions. 

But despite being such a young team, the Celtics actually run more of an old-school offense under Brad Stevens.  They slow it down and get the best shot available.  In fact, the Celtics rank just 20th in the NBA in pace.  Now the Celtics are dealing with an injury to their best player in Kyrie Irving, who missed last game with a shoulder injury. 

The Magic have a ton of injuries of their own right now that have really hampered them, especially offensively.  The Celtics are playing without Nikola Vucevic, Terrance Ross, Jonathan Isaac and Arron Afflalo.  The UNDER is 12-6 in their last 16 games overall and they have been held to less than 100 points in eight of those games. 

I think both teams will be sleep walking through this game Sunday with such an early start time, which will help aid the UNDER.  Boston is 22-9 UNDER after allowing 90 points or less over the last two seasons.  Orlando is 12-3 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning percentage of greater than 70% over the last two seasons.  The UNDER is 10-2 in Magic last 12 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.  Roll with the UNDER in this game Sunday. 

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Pacific +9.5 

St. Mary’s is in a massive letdown spot here Saturday.  The Gaels are coming off an upset 74-71 win at Gonzaga as 7.5-point underdogs.  They exorcised some demons from losing all three meetings with the Zags last year. 

Now they’re up against a massively underrated Pacific team that will be upset-minded.  Pacific has gone 5-1 SU & 6-0 ATS in its last six games overall, including an upset win over BYU.  The only loss came at St. Mary’s 56-74 on January 4th, so they will also be in revenge mode here tonight. 

St. Mary’s is 4-22 ATS in its last 26 games off three consecutive road games.  Pacific is 7-0 ATS off a conference game this season.  The Gaels are 0-4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.  Bet Pacific Saturday. 

20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Grizzlies/Pelicans UNDER 212 

Memphis at New Orleans just played on January 10th with Memphis winning 105-102 at home.  So these teams will be very familiar with one another playing just over a week later here Saturday, which favors the defenses. 

This has been a very low-scoring series as it is.  In fact, the Grizzlies and Pelicans have combined to average just 189.4 points per game at the end of regulation in their last nine meetings.  That’s roughly 23 points less than tonight’s posted total of 212. 

Each of the last nine meetings between Memphis and New Orleans have seen 207 or fewer combined points at the end of regulation.  That makes for a perfect 9-0 system backing the UNDER pertaining to this 212-point total.  Take the UNDER in this game Saturday. 

15* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Providence -2 

Providence will be out for revenge from a 64-83 road loss at Creighton back on December 31st.  But Providence was way banged up for that game, and now they are almost fully healthy.  Look for them to get that revenge at home this time around. 

Creighton is just 1-3 in its last four true road games.  Providence is 9-2 at home this season, recently beating the likes of Butler by 10 and Xavier by 9. 

Providence is 9-1 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last two seasons.  The Friars are 6-0 ATS in home games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last three seasons.  Providence is 8-1 ATS when revenging a loss where opponent scores 75 points or more over the last two seasons.  The Bluejays are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS win.  Roll with Providence Saturday.