So both teams here are frauds I think it's fair to say. Both teams have battled injuries here all season long but the Chargers everyone like to appoint them as a great team but I dont see it.  I think a brutal matchup for the Chargers on the defense side here as the Titans will just run them into the ground.  This game is a coin flip and I see it a FG or less either way.

I like the Bucs here in this game.  Let's just look at the value here last week the Bengals were bet down to -4 @ home vs the Browns.  Bucs are clearly better than the Browns.  Now though you're telling me that the Bengals are laying 3.5 on the road against a very desperate team?  Brady's back is against the wall here and I think they show up

Love the Raiders here this week.  I know most people will look at the Raiders from last Thursday and think that they are done.  Well they might be but I think they show up here for this one as they do still have a shot to make the last spot for the playoffs.  I expect a major gameplay change here this week with a lot more passes.  Patriots were just the same here last week on Monday night vs the Cardinals and no one in their power rankings has the Cardinals the same as the Raiders.  

I dont wanna overreact to the Jags last week with an impressive win, but I think they might have found something.  I know they benefitted a lot from the turnovers but that win was probably a season saver for them.  Cowboys have also struggled not just last week vs the Texans but people are forgetting that the Cowboys were only up 2 against Colts last in the 3rd and it was such a misleading game.  Cowboys have a major look ahead with the Eagles on deck.

I like the Jets here this weekend.  This to me is the Best sell high buy low spot of the week on any game.  The Lions have won 4 of their last 5 and did beat the Vikings but it was a misleading game with Cook fumbling inside the 5 yard line.  The Lions away from home their offense only averages 15 ppg.  The Jets defense is still playing hard here and the outdoors I think Goff struggles.  Jets last 3 losses are all on the road last two home games they won both including the Bills.

Grab Now

Grab Now

I really like the Bills here this weekend.  First, they are off the mini bye after playing Thursday.  I also love them for the revenge angle here and Allen will be really motivated because he cost them in the first meeting.  I also think the betting public is a little off on the Bills right now also as they really haven't been dominating to many.  Well go back to the first meeting and they were -10.5 @ the Jets.  We are getting a cheaper price here at home with a backup QB starting in White.  I dont think White will be able to do much vs a lot better D than he faced in the Vikings last week.  

Look I have backed the Steelers quite often and had them last week in a winner.  This is just too much love here for them this week.  The look ahead here was Ravens -4.5 and now that Lamar is out it has flipped this many?  Crazy overreaction considering that Huntley the backup isn't your normal backup.  This is still a division game and the Ravens still have a ton to play for.  I will take the full FG here

Late add

Really like the Raiders here this week.  This team many considered to be down and out after such a disappointing start.  However, the last two weeks they have rattled off too wins both in OT.  That is playing with a ton of grit here.  The main key here is that the Chargers rush D won't be able to stop Jacobs at all who is having by far his best season ever.  I like the direction of the Raiders here and this is a rematch from week 1 which the line was 3.5.  Wrong team favored here give me the Raiders.

I think this game should be a PK or the Bengals -1 which is giving us a good amount of value here.  Yes, everyone will be saying the Chiefs have revenge on their mind and sure they do, but does that automatically mean they will win?  I'm not buying it here.  The Chiefs are on a 5 game winning streak which people will like but they have only covered once in the last 7 games.  Bengals offense getting Chase back and I don't think the Chiefs can handle it.  Remember a couple weeks back how the Chargers moved it just having Allen back and Mike Williams left that game.  Bengals have way more weapons here

I will gladly take the Giants here.  Look, I know Washington is hot but now laying points on the road in a division game?  This is just crazy here.  The Giants have lost 3 of their last 4 so clearly this line is just recent bias.  Look Washington escaped last week vs the Falcons as they turned it over in the red zone late.  The betting pubic will be all over the Commnanders here also.  Really good value here with the Giants in the home dog role.

So the narrative here is that the Ravens are struggling but yet many still have them easily inside the top 10 overall which I agree with.  The thing here is that the Ravens have struggled to gain margin here but they are playing a team that now has completely quit.  The Broncos were pathetic last week in getting beat bad by Darnold and the Panthers.  Once the Ravens get up here I think they keep their foot down.  

Wrong team favored in this one.  We have the classic home team who is favored and undefeated but literally haven't played anyone.  Illinois is more a veteran squad and deeper team.  Illinois gets the job done.

I like the Sixers here tonight.  Harden is probable and they are playing the Grizzlies at the right time. Memphis had a vey hot start but since have cooled off a ton and large part of that is because of injuries including Bane who I think they are missing big time.  Sixers are quietly 8-2 ATS L10.  

Love Baylor here tonight.  Look, Gonzaga is the name but if you have watched them you can tell they are no where near last year or the last few years for that matter.  Baylor is super talented and yes they are coming off a brutal loss to Marquette but I think it was a look ahead spot there.  Wrong team favored.

The Nuggets just struggle on the road with a 6-7 record and I dont think they should be laying this many here.  They have won 4 straight but 2 of those included the Rockets the pervious two games inflating this number a bit here.  

I will take the Patriots here tonight.  Bills just haven't looked right the last month even though they have won two straight.  I wasn't impressed at all vs the Lions so I wonder if something is wrong with Allen.  The Patriots here home division dog with a good defense.  I also think Mac is continuing to improve as the season goes on here.   Give me the Patriots.

I like UNC here.  I think they should be short favorites here and they would have been had they not lost 2 in a row.  The fact they did gives them some value here.  Indiana is a solid team but Davis down low won't have his way with the UNC bigs.  

Wrong team favored here in this game.  The better overall team top to bottom here is Rutgers and they have the better athletes.  

I like the Eagles here in this match up.  I think last Thursday was the season ender for the Packers.  You are also hearing now that Rodgers is playing with a broken thumb.  I dont see any extra motivation from him going forward.  Eagles last week were laying 7 on the road to the Colts.  Is there really a difference between Colts and the Packers?  I say no which is now giving us a discount on Philly.  Sunday night prime time and the Eagles haven't covered 3 straight so the public doesn't want them anymore.

This is just too many here for the Niners to be laying.  First, they are coming off a tough spot here playing a division rival on Monday night. in very high altitude which one. can argue that this particular game would take more out of you than normal.  The Niners since the Mccaffrey trade are riding hot winning 3 straight but now the value is too much.  There were laying this much vs the Cardinals with a backup QB.  They also have major games on deck with Miami and Tampa.  Saints D can keep this close.

I will take the Chiefs here in this game.  The Rams are now clearly done for the year after last week and now they are starting a practice squad player at QB.  I don't think the Rams really care anymore.  Will the Chiefs over look them and pump the brakes, I dont believe so.  Mahomes is too good to let them look ahead here.  I see the Chiefs in the 30's here and the Rams struggling to score more than 10, maybe a garbage one late.  

I believe that the Bucs are a play on team here.  They are coming off the crazy come back a few weeks back vs the Rams that really saved their season.  They follow it up with a dominating win vs a hot Seahawks team.  They are in lead of their division and I don't believe that is be accounted for here.  Browns seem to have given up IMO.  They are off back to back big games vs Miami and Buffalo.  I do think Watson coming back is a distraction as well.  Bucs D will dominate and Brady shouldn't have an issue spreading it around the field. 

I have no problem laying it here with the Jets.  By all accounts it. sounds like Fields will be out this game. With Wilson being out also I think that most will be afraid to back them.  However, I like that the fact he is because I think the D will play even harder here.  Fields just means the world to this team and how they are using him now.  I wouldn't be shocked if the Bears were skunked in this game.  Mike White is more than capable and most would make the point that it isn't a downgrade.

Wrong team is favored here in this game.  I am very high on this Aztec team that returns a ton of key pieces from last year meanwhile Arizona lost a couple big parts.  Arizona is a house hold name and are very good but this is a tough test here and I think SDSU wins this pretty easily.

St Johns is relying on some big transfers here this season and this is a cheap price vs a Cuse team that won't make the NCAA Tournament.  Cuse is young and quite frankly not very talented.  St John's  beat a much better team yesterday in Temple also

I just love this Arkansas team.  I know how young they are but man they are very talented.  I take nothing away from Creighton as they are very good also.  This type of team with the athletes that Arkansa has will be the main difference here.  Wrong team is favored 

I like the Chargers here on Sunday night.  I think they keep this close and want revenge from week 2 loss in a game they should have won.  Granted they were a lot healthier then but that line was 3.5 at KC and now 6 at the Chargers.  Allen is suppose to be back which I think is huge for the offense.  The Chiefs are also a team that keeps people hanging around like last week with the Jags.  Chargers on primetime here in the dog role, I really like them.

The Steelers are just a different team with TJ Watt playing. We saw it again last week as Pitt was in full control vs the Saints and they went off favored.  Now the Bengals are still without Chase and yes I know they want revenge but the line hasn't been adjusted enough here IMO.  This is a tough division game and I think Pitt and Pickett have improved since game 1.