I see the Cavs rolling here tonight.  Miami did just beat them, but Cleveland was resting their players so you can expect a large effort out of them tonight.  Last time these two met @ Cleveland the Cavs were favored by 12.5 and had no problem blowing Miami then.  I see the same result tonight 

This just seems like a crazy amount of points to lay with this Pelicans team.  They haven't proven themselves at all after this trade.  In fact the Pelicans were only favored by 5.5 on their home court last meeting.  I know the Lakers have been struggling also, but this line is a big over reaction to a team I don't trust laying any number with 

I like Nebraska here at home tonight for senior night.  This team has suffered a ton of close losses this year.  Other than their last home game they have been very competitive @ home.  Michigan is coming off that heart breaking loss in the final seconds against Northwestern making this a difficult spot for another road game.  

I like Purdue here tonight to close out their regular season title.  Northwestern is coming off a huge victory over Michigan which everyone knew that clinched their NCAA Tournament bid.  I think it will be hard for NW to get extra motivated here given those circumstances.  Purdue is also a solid 9-4 on the road this season.

I don't trust Duke here at all tonight @ North Carolina.  UNC is a perfect 14-0 @ home and that won't change here tonight.  They want revenge in the worst way after losing @ Duke a couple weeks back.  UNC was ice cold that game only hitting 4 threes while Duke hit 13 and only pulled away in the ast minute.  UNC will dominate the glass on their home court.  Don't be surprised if this gets ugly quick.  Also UNC can win the conference out right here

This game simply means nothing to Kansas as they yet again have locked up the conference.  For Oklahoma St they are one of the hottest teams in the country right now winning 10 of 12 after starting out conference play 0-6 they have a chance with a win today to be above .500.  They will get the revenge today vs the Jayhawks who won't be as interested 

This is a Virginia Tech that still doesn't get any credit from the odds makers @ home.  They are 15-1 on the season and yet again another short price.  Wake is in a tough spot here as they more than likely just punched their ticket with a upset win over Louisville @ home and now travel.  Tech is rolling right now winning three straight and 5 of their last 6 

Yes, Creighton does have the revenge angle here, but Marquette is a desperate team right now.  Marquette took care of business @ Creighton shooting 60% while that likely won't repeat itself it wasn't like the Bluejyas were ice cold.  They managed to hit 11 threes themselves.  Since the injury Creighton obviously just isn't the same.  They have beat the bottom tier teams.  A win would guarantee Marquette a spot in the tournament 

Most of you know I'm not high on this Maryland team, but I feel this is the right price here on senior day to back them.  Maryland wants to end the season on a high note and I believe they do as Sparty is a team that is terrible on the road.  They are just 4-10 on the road.  Also Maryland has a chance to tied for 2nd in the conference so they will have plenty of motivation here 

I was on the Suns last night and I will back them again as I really liked what I saw.  This team hasn't quit on the season and the Thunder as I mentioned yesterday I don't trust on the road.  It's gonna be tough for the Thunder to respond here IMO.  Wouldn't be surprised to see the Suns sneak another out 

It's just really hard to go against this Mavs team @ home right now.  They have covered 11 of their last 12 games.  I see a big fight coming here from Dallas who wants to make the playoffs.  The Grizzlies I see looking ahead to tomorrow night as they have a big game @ Houston.  Dallas also will want revenge because their worst offensive performance came against the Grizzlies earlier this season.

I tossed this one around for a while.  Portland is just being very under valued right now, but a large part of that is because of their schedule.  This will be only their 4th home game in nearly a month.  They still have a chance of making the playoffs and it's hard to trust this new Thunder team on the road.  Sure they have been guns blazing since all star break, but all those games were @ home.  Portland gets the job done tonight 

I thought this game would be close to a PK.  The Hornets are getting way to much respect after beating the Kings and Lakers.  The Suns aren't showing up in the win column but they are playing hard.  They blew a game in which the lost in OT @ Chicago lost by 4 @ Bucks. Hornets are just 10-21 on the road.

Really short price here @ home to back the Clippers. They are now healthy and will look to make a move here down the stretch.  This team was embarrassed the first go around and I believe they will respond here tonight.  Rockets are 0-4 ATS L4 games vs team with a winning record 

Illinois is sure making a very late push here and at least deserves to be in the conversation as a bubble team.  A win here tonight on senior night would go a long ways, plus if they win their next two they hit 9-9 in league play and the committee does value that.  Illinois has won 4 of 5, but the most impressive thing is that 3 of them have been on the road.  Sparty has also won 4 of 5, but all 4 of their wins have came at home.  Their road games in between were ugly, a 29 point loss @ Michigan and 23 point loss @ Purdue.  Illinois playing with a ton of confidence looking to end the season on a high not and now somehow possibly save Groce job.  

This is clearly a game the Celtics had circled on the schedule.  They played just an awful game vs the Haws last time out and were obviously looking ahead.  This Celtics team is now the clear front runners for the Cavs as Lowry is done for the season with the Raptors.  I actually believe this Celtics team can handle them and give them all they want in a 7 game series.  Tonight is a statement game and the Celtics will win

I'm not going to over react to last night's big win over the Warriors.  The Wizards are one of the best home teams in the league.  You could see how much that game meant to them to prove that they could.  This is the first of a home and home here so the Wizards are in a very tough situation as they likely will have a major let down.  The Raptors so far so good without Lowry winning every game.  They can't afford any slips as they are trying to catch the Celtics.  

Northwestern simply needs to end the bleeding here tonight as they are coming off back to back losses but both on the road.  This team is still hungry to make it's first ever NCAA Tournament.  A win here definitely puts them in and I believe they will get the job done tonight.   

I guess call me a sucker here as this seems way to obvious.  These two teams are the hottest in the Big 12 right now.  Iowa St has won and covered 5 straight and 6 of 7, while Oklahoma St has won 5 in a row and 10 of their last 11.  Oklahoma St does have the revenge angle, but it's not like they didn't play well in the first meeting shooting over 50% from the field.  This Iowa St team is a senior heavy group and yes it is senior night.  Hilton will be rocking no doubt about it.  Also Oklahoma St has Kansas coming to town this weekend.  

I think most are worried about Duke coming off two losses.  Well they lost on a banked in 3 @ Cuse and lost @ Miami without Grayson Allen their senior leader.  I'm not at all worried about the look ahead with UNC as this is senior night.  Duke will also want revenge here from an earlier loss @ Florida St.  

I think it is safe to say the Georgetown has no checked out for the year.  They pounded Marquette 4 games ago and after that they got destroyed by Creighton lost to Depaul as 13 point favorites and jsut lsot @ St Johns.  Georgetown now plays a team that is going the opposite direction as they are fighting for the NCAA Tournament.  Seton Hall is 5-2 SU their last 7 and this is senior night for them.  I look for a big effort against a team who has simply quit 

Miami is drawing a lot of headlines right now with their win over Virginia and Duke.  Well they just upset Duke but Grayson Allen didnt play that game.  They also have their rivalry game on deck @ Florida St this week. Va Tech is a team everyone is sleeping on right now.  They are 14-1 @ home and hae won 4 of 5 with their only loss coming @ Louisville by 4 points.  

While I do really like this North Carolina team I just believe this is a huge over reaction because of Virginia's recent play and also the first meeting.  If this game was played 10 days ago Virginia would be favored here.  UNC blew them out @ UNC and you know that left a bad taste in Virginia's mouth.  Virginia shot 27% and was 2-20 from the three point line.  Also it is worth pointing out that UNC has a huge look ahead with Duke this weekend.  

This line will only go up from here.  A large part of this is because Baylor PG Lecomte is questionable right now.  This is senior night for this Baylor team who yes has been struggling but a 3 point loss to Iowa St and a 2 point loss to Kansas is nothing to worry about.  This team will be hungry for a bounce back win and revenge here.  Also worth nothing West Virginia leading scorer is out this game as well 

Missed a good opener here but still like the Thunder.  Pelicans are a play against team from here on until they prove the new moves are working out.  They are now on a back to back and the Thunder is a team that is also fired up after their trade.  The differe is that the Thunder didn't blow up their backcourt.  They have quality players now around Westbrook 

When thsaw two teams met earlier this season Butler was only -4 on their home court and now are nearly the same on Xavier home court.  Xavier has struggled as of late but playing 3 consecutive road games is never easy.  I look for them to bounce back as Butler is in a major letdown spot as well coming off a huge win @ Nova

I was hoping this would be around 7 or 8 but I still like it nonetheles.  Cuse is coming off a crazy comeback win over Duke where they banked two shots in down the stretch.  Also I believe Cuse is worn out here.  These starters have played so many minutes I just don't think they can keep up with a team that will be pressing them the whole time.  Cuse clinched their tournament bid with that win huge let down coming today.

Iowa St is starting to play their best basketball of the season and Baylor is playing probably their worst.  The Cyclones have won and covered 4 straight while Baylor has only covered twice in their last 6 games.  Iowa St will also want big time revenge after losing earlier in the season by 2 in the final seconds.  

Nova had no issues the first time around with Creighton winning by 10 and that was when Creighton was ranked in the top 5.  Sure they have revenge in mind, but they alos aren't the same team.  This is senior day for Nova tomorrow and you can expect a huge effort.  I don't think there is much left in the tank for Creighton.  Nova also has a sour taste in it's mouth from their recent loss to Butler @ home.  

Love Kentucky here tomorrow as this is a big time revenge game for them.  Also they need this if they want to win the conference.  Sometimes it's really hard to get all the young kids to focus but you know tomorrow they will be ready.  This will be the second time Kentucky has had the revenge angle.  The other time was vs Tennessee and they blew the doors off them.  Also Florida is missing their Center while doesn't average a lot of points he is very crucial piece of this team.  Biggest reason this line is that low is because of Fox in question.  If he does go this will climb and I would still take up to 7

There is no doubt UNI had higher expectations for this season.  However, this is a team that most are familiar with when it comes to March.  Yea UNI dropped their last two both on the road and one was the Shockers.  Prior to that they had won 7 of 9.  Illinois St is the second best team in the league, but are catching UNI at a bad time on Senior Day.  Illinois St has also struggled big time against the spread covering just twice in last 10 games.  UNI only lost by 6 in the first meeting despite shooting a lousy 33% for the game.

I will take my chances with Rhode Island here as they might be a long shot for an at large bid, but they are still in the hunt and a win here would go a long ways.  VCU has been extremely lucky on the road as they won back to back games trailing with under one second left.  

The All Star break came at the perfect time for the Raptors.  For them they were struggling, but now getting refreshed they will be ready for a hue game tonight.  Toronto has slipped to the 4th spot in the East but are in the rear view mirror of the Celtics for #2.  The Raptors are 2-1 against the Celtics this year with their loss only being by 5 @ Boston.  They play the Celtics extremely tough.  

The Bucks are worth a look here.  We all know that Parker is out for the season, but now with Middleton back running the show that is a huge upgrade because his position is more valuable.  The Bucks won 3 straight entering All Star Break.  This young team will be very motivated as they sit 9th in the Eastern Conference and most definitely want a playoff berth.  They start the back half here with a so called upset win  

I really believe this game is huge for the Pacers tonight.  They did struggle coming into All Star break, but they had 2 losses to Cavs, 2 to Wizards and 1 to Spurs.  Those teams are obviously top quality.  The Pacers also start a 5 game road trip after this, so that is why I view this game as being so important.  

Wisconsin is getting to much respect here as this situation is a classic sandwich game.  They are coming off a big win over Maryland now play Ohio St who they have already beat with @ Michigan St on deck.  The Badgers are just 4-8 ATS on the road this season

While the Pelicans have made all the headlines here the last week with the big trade in Cousins.  I think most will believe that this will make them great.  While they are no question better it's going to take some time as they don't have the depth now and they will need to get use to how Cousin plays.  The Rockets are a team on a mission this season.  I look for them to get the job done.  

Cincy is no doubt a great team, but laying this many points against a desperate team is tough.  Memphis still has a chance at the tournament and a road win here which is unlikely, but you can guarantee the effort will be here.  Just a lot of points here to be laying in a big conference game.   

This is a lot of points here to be laying here with a desperate Providence team.  I was impressed with their last two games granted @ home, but none the less they took care of business over Butler and Xavier.  A win on the road here tonight would definitely put them in the tournament.  Creighton is getting a lot of respect because of their blowout win over Georgetown, but they had the revenge angle and now tonight Providence has it.  Creighton beat these guys with Watson and shot lights out in doing so.  This is a different Bluejay team and I see Providence battling them to the wire  

It seems that the loss to Duke really woke this Carolina team up.  I'm willing to lay what seems like a big number because Louisville isn't the same team.  Sure they have won 3 in a row but all those games were decided in a the final minute.  Also Carolina is a team right now playing for a #1 seed in the tournament and a big win here tonight would add to that resume. 

Temple is a team that had a lot of promise back in early December when they beat Florida St.  They have had a disappointing season in conference play, but given this spot I really like them here tonight.  They were throttled @ UCF earlier this season so I doubt UCF is taking this one serious.  Also they will be looking ahead here as they host Cincy this weekend  

I like the fight we are seeing from Mississippi St down the stretch.  Sure, they haven't won 4 straight but they played Auburn South Carolina Florida and Georgia all teams in the upper half.  The bulldogs also want big time revenge for being embarrassed @ Ole Miss losing by 27

The value is simply with Northwestern here as they are still out to prove they belong.  This teams just met and Illinois came away with the win @ NW.  However NW best player was out and now he's back.  The Wildcats no doubt have revenge on their minds here tonight 

This Baylor team should be extra motivated here coming off back to back Losses and will take their frustration out on a terrible Oklahoma team.  Baylor had no problem in the first meeting here blowing them out and shouldn't have an issue here now with OU's best player Woodward out.  Baylor rolls

NCAAB PLAY OF THE DAY!

Really like Texas Tech here tonight as they aren't getting enough respect on their home court.  They are just 2-3 SU their last 5 but have covered all 5 of those games.  They are rock solid @ home with a 15-2 record.  This team just beat Baylor last week and lost to Kansas by 1 on their home court.  Iowa St getting a lot of love since they are 4-1 SU their last 5 and have covered 3 in a row.  Iowa St has a huge look ahead revenge game with Baylor on deck and Texas Tech wants revenge in this situation as they let one get away from them in Ames the first meeting after being up by 10 @ half.  

I will back the Gophers here at home as they are starting to heat up winning 4 straight.  Michigan is getting a lot of credit because of how they thumped Sparty and just upset Wisconsin.  This will come as a major let down as the Gophers defend their home court extremely well with a 14-3 record.  I like Minnesota to pull away here

Cuse is a team I simply can't trust on the road.  They are 2-8 and playing a Georgia Tech team that is 13-3 @ home.  You simply can't sleep on this Tech team @ home as they have wins over the likes of North Carolina Notre Dame and Florida St.  They also have won 5 straight home games and shouldn't be the under dog here IMO.  

Temple is worth a look here as UConn is being way over valued right now. They have been playing better as of late, but when you look at who they have beat only one team is any good and that was Memphis their last game.  Temple here wants revenge big time from earlier this season as they simply couldn't throw it in from anywhere.  There is no way the only shoot 35% again and no way Uconn shoots 53%.  

I will take Vandy here in a game I believe South Carolina will be over looking.  Vandy had a horrific loss recently @ Missouri, but I liked the way they bounced back from that.  I also think they are catching South Carolina at the right time as they have a big look ahead game with Florida in a couple days.  I want no part of the South Carolina team as they haven't covered in 4 straight and 5 of their last 6. 

It's now or never for this Marquette team if they want any hope of a tournament bid.  This is the same team that had a massive come back to beat #1 Nova.  I'm banking on them for a big bounce back here after they have had a week off.  Xaiver is a team trending down since the injur of their best player Sumner.  They have only covered 1 game in their last 7.  

Really like the situation here with Iowa as they have had a week off now from two road games.  This young team will be extra motivated today to get the revenge from a few weeks ago where Illinois shot 48% from three's.  Illinois is still being over valued due to their recent road win @ Northwestern, but that was the first game NW was without their best player.  If it wasn't for that win Illnois only win during the 9 game stretch was Iowa.  Hawkeyes bounce back here

Wrong Team Favored

I know this line is based a lot on the team that needs this win, but Texas hasn't gave up on this year.  Sure the Longhorns have dropped 3 of their last 4 but all 3 were on the road.  They have actually won their last 3 home games and beat Iowa St, Texas Tech and Oklahoma.  They only lost to West Virginia by 3 before that.  Kansas St has lost 6 of their last 7 and in no way do I want any part of them

Really like Baylor @ home here today as I want no part of this Kansas team right now.  Sure, they have won 3 in a row but that was by a combined 8 points in all 3 games.  Baylor laid an egg last game @ Tech as they were clearly looking ahead to the revenge game today.  Baylor let one slip away @ Kansas after having a 6 point lead at half.  Bears get their revenge today 

I think we are seeing a line move here simply that shouldn't happen.  VCU is a good team, but they have had a lot of recent luck lately winning two consecutive despite trailing in the final seconds literally.  Richmond hung tough in their first meeting trailing by 1 at half and then losing by 7.  Richmond has a lot on the line here as if they lose this game NCAA tournament is out of the picture, but if they win they are right in the bubble watch.  That a lone plus revenge you can expect a massive effort here. 

The key here for me is that the Bulls are wanting to get on pace before all star break and the evidence was last amends the Raptors.  Both teams have split home meetings so far this season.  The Celtics are in a tough spot here coming off a 4 game road trip then played last night and now travel again.  Bulls get the W here

I think the average person here will believe this Duke team is back on track after beating North Carolina last week and winning 6 of their last 7.  They have benefited from playing 3 consecutive home games.  Also their guards will be up against the toughest challenge all year facing Virginia who will lock them down.  This is a perfect bounce back spot for virginia who was upset on the road against rival Va Tech last game

TCU is one of the least talked about teams in the country but they are having themselves a season under Dixon.  They are another bubble team that I expect to make it but a win here would go along way to that.  TCU lost by 13 in the first meeting but was probably their worst shooting performance in conference shooting 39% from the field and just 23% from 3's.  OSU on the other hand shot 54% for the game and not to mention they have rival Oklahoma on deck this weekend 

Creighton is simply getting to much respect here.  Sure they are 3-2 without Watson but what people are over looking is that 2 of those game against the worst team in the big east in DePaul.  They simply don't need to be favored here in this situation.  Seton Hall is flirting with the bubble right now and they need this win in a big way.  Seton Hall is 9-1 @ home and I expect this line to change as the day goes on toward them 

 This is a good time to back the Wildcats here as they are not only looking for revenge but a win to jump start them.  Yes they only have one win in the last 6 games but 4 of those were on the road and they took Kansas down to the wire at home losing by 3.  Iowa St will get the love because of how they won @ Kansas but they made 18 3's that game.  Kansas St looked like the better team when they came back from 18 in the 2h to take the lead the first time around here

Late add for Premiun Subscribers only.

Northwestern answered the bell last time out despite not have their best player by winning @ Wisconsin as a double digit dog.  It goes to show this team wants its first ever tournament bid and they will show up here.  Maryland has lived dangerously all season and has benefited from playing an easy conference schedul.  This will be a tough test even without Ne best player lay the short number

Really live Providence here as a short home favorite.  Their record may not indicate how they have been playing but they have covered 7 of their last 8 games including 4 in a row.  Xavier on the other hand has only covered 2 of their last 10 games.  Xavier is also missing Summer which will be key here as they dominated the first meeting because of him

Despite the Lakers having a poor year they haven't quit on the season.  The Lakers have covered 8 of their last 10 games and won twice on their road trip.  The Kings are simply being way over valued here as they have beat teams like the Warriors, Celtics and Hawks.  This is a major letdown spot also when you consider that the Kings have the Warriors on deck tomorrow night.  

The price is right here for Nebraska.  They have simply been on the wrong side for far to long as they have had 3 one point losses now in conference play.  They also have a big edge when it comes to rest here.  They have had 4 days off from their last game and in fact this will only be there 2nd game in 9 days.  Penn St on the other hand will be looking for their first back to back wins of the season on the road and I dont see that happening.  This will be their 3rd game in seven days with a lot of travel in between here as well.

This is the time of year where Izzo will have his Spartans ready.  They will be wanting big time revenge from earlier this season.  Ohio St has only one conference road win and that was by 1 point @ Nebraska.  Most of their road games they have been blown out.  I see that happening here tonight 

We all know the betting public will be all over the Cavs here, but I'm not sure they deserve to be big favorites here.  The Cavs played near a flawless game vs the T Wolves first time around.  You can also expect a max effort here from Minnesota as this will be the only time the Cavs come to town.  Love is out for a while now and the Cavs have a game tomorrow night so they will be watching minutes especially Lebron. 

I will back Pittsburgh here as this is a very tough spot for Virginia Tech.  The Hokeis are coming off a huge OT upset win over their rival Virginia on Sunday.  They have only had one day off from that big victory and now travel to a team in Pitt who is improving as the season goes along.  They just beat Syracuse and have now covered 4 straight.  I believe they are catching Va Tech at the right time here. 

The betting public will probably not be on the Wildcats here given this situation.  Tennessee just beat Kentucky but they were catching them at the right time.  Remind you Kentucky was favored by 10.5 that game so if you adjust it should be near 20 here.  Coach Cal will have them ready here to make a statement there is no doubt in my mind

BIG 12 GAME OF THE YEAR!

I think the public right now is pretty hesitant on Kansas right now as they have only covered 3 times in their last 10 games.  The Jayhawks here simply have revenge on their mind as they lost to West Virginia in ugly fashion earlier this year.  Kansas didn't play bad that game West Virginia simply played very well which they should on their home court in a big game.  The press wont effect Kansas at all here as they only had 13 turnovers in the first meeting.  While Kansas isn't blowing teams out right now just remember 2 weeks ago they went on the road @ Kentucky and won SU.  Tonight will be a statement game 

I'm not ready to go against this Mavs team who are clearly playing their best basketball of the season.  They are 8-3 SU their last 11 games.  They are also 7-2 SU their last 9 home games with losses be by 5 and 1 point.  This Celtics team is in one of the toughest situations playing their 4th consecutive road game in 6 days.  They are also dealing with some injuries here with Brown and Young who got hurt last game shortening up the bench a lot.  

The Bucks are worth a look here as the Pistons are playing their 2nd of a back to back which included a long road trip last night from Toronto in which the Pistons upset them.  The Bucks have had their struggles, but there are a lot of negatives pointing toward the Pistons.  They are 0-4 ATS L4 with 0 days rest, 2-5 ATS L7 road games.  The Bucks have played extremely well against the Central Division this year 7-2 ATS L9

This is simply an angle that has been extremely profitable for years, and that is fade the team the next game after they just had a long winning streak snapped.  After riding high winning 13 straight, the Sixers got the best of Miami.  The Heat are now in their first game back of a road trip and this is a very tough spot for them motivation wise.  We are seeing a big inflated line due to the Heat's success.  Last time @ Miami the line was only 3.5.  Also both road teams this year have won SU

Everyone will be on Virginia here, but I Tech and the points here @ home.  They are 12-1 @ home this season.  They have also had a brutal schedule stretch which is adding the value here playing 3 of their last 4 on the road.  They lost them all which is to be expected but that is playing into this line in a rivalry game.  These teams just met less than two weeks ago, Tech shot a horrific 35% from the field and 15% from three.  You can expect a lot better effort here.  I don't see them losing by double digits at home.  

AAC GAME OF THE WEEK!

This is the biggest game of the year in the American Conference.  SMU needs this game as they sit behind Cincy for 1st place as Cincy has yet to drop a game in the conference.  SMU is 11-1 with their only loss come to the hands of Cincy by just 2 despite shooting only 40% while the Bearcats made 12 threes.  SMU is playing extremely good ball covering 6 in a row and 9 of their last 10.  Major statement made from them today 

BIG TEN GAME OF THE WEEK!

Love Indiana in this spot as they were just 3 point dogs to Purdue who most would make the case they are the best team in the Big Ten.  Michigan is also coming off their biggest win of the season blowing out their rival Michigan St so they are in a classic let down spot.  I expect Indiana to bounce back here.  The Hoosiers haven't forgot about the 30 point blowout @ Michigan but that was when Indiana was extremely banged up.

I will back the red hot Trojans here at home who have won 5 straight and 6 of 7.  A win here tonight by the Trojans would have them just one game back of Oregon for 2nd place in the PAC 12.  I fee like this is a difficult spot as well with Oregon coming off a heart breaker @ UCLA in a game they did control for 70%.  USC on the other hand has had this one circled wanting revenge from earlier this season.  USC shot a miserable 31% form the field that game you can expect that to change here tonight 

The Thunder took care of business last game vs the Cavs who were playing on a back to back situation.  I expect the Thunder to really give the Warriors all they want here as the Thunder have lost both meetings, but but @ Warriors.  Obviously this will be Duran'ts first game back in OKC which I believe will cause a distraction.  

St Marys is a team that is quietly going under the radar for a team that is 22-2 on the season.  This game is their whole season quite frankly.  The value is definitely with St. Marys here as they were only 5 point underdogs @ Gonzaga and now zero adjustment for their home court?  I expect this line to drop as it will be a sharp/ square divide 

I will back Miss St here as they are a perfect 7-0 ATS as a home dog the last two seasons.  They have lost 3 of their last 4 but all those were on the road.  They have beat Tennessee and A&M @ home while giving Kentucky all they could handle losing by 7 as an 8 point dog.  South Carolina is coming off a quadruple OT loss to Bama.  It will be very difficult here for them as that equal to playing 2 games in itself.  Wouldn't be surprised to see the Bulldogs win this 

The Irish here are on a bounce back after they just had a brutal schedule playing Duke Carolina and Virginia in a 3 out of 4 span.  FSU is getting a lot of credit because of their last two blowout wins @ home, but look who they were against Clemson and NC St.  FSU has struggled on the road this season losing 3 of its last 4 with their win being a 2 point victory over Miami.  Notre Dame also has the revenge factor losing by 3 @ Florida St.

Don't like going against my team, but Iowa is in a tough here.  They are coming off a double OT loss @ Minnesota in a game where their key players logged over 40 minutes.  Now they go on the road again in a tough environment against a team Izzo will have ready after they were just flat out embarrassed by their in state rival Michigan last game.  The whole situation spells disaster for the Hawkeyes 

This is a very short price here for a UCF team that has had a brutal schedule run.  4 of their last 6 games have been on the road and all against the upper teams in the conference.  UConn is 4-1 their last 5, but have been beating up the bottom feeders along during that stretch.  Also UCF will want revenge after shooting a terrible 33% in their first meeting.  

The Hornets end their slide here tonight.  The Clippers are in a weird stretch of games here playing their 9th game road of the last ten games.  I'm not buying much stock into the Clippers beating the Knicks when they actually should have lost that game.  The Clippers are playing zero defense with Paul being out giving up 100+ points in 10 straight games.  

It's very rare this late in the season you can get 6 points with a team on their home court that has a record of 14-1.  Kansas was only favored by 2.5 @ Kansas St who is worse than Tech.  I also think Kansas is in a tough spot here as they play on Big Monday against West Virginia who they were ran out of the gym by when they met earlier in the season.  So this game I could see them taking it lightly while Tech wants another huge home win to try and secure a spot in the tournament

I will back Illinois here as both teams are coming off upsets.  I am more impressed with Illinois beating NW despite NW having an injury to a key player.  Penn St beat Maryland in a shocking fashion, but traveling has been hard for this young group.  Their only conference road win was @ Rutgers.  Major letdown spot here

I know I like to play the revenge factor and yes the Warriors due have that with this game, but just a ton of points.  I also think this is a team that simply has the Warriors number as they are 2-0 against them this year.  Warriors due have a big look ahead game tomorrow @ OKC which will be Durant's first game back there.  Despite all the injuries the Grizzlies seem to battle every year they have won and covered 6 of their last 7.  

This is a huge game on the A10 tonight as Rhode Island looks to pull even with Dayton for a tie in 2nd place.  Rhode Island is quietly playing their best basketball right now winning and covering 4 straight.  This line should be higher he also given the fact Rhode Island was favored @ Dayton in a losing effort by just 3 points.  They most definitely have revenge on their minds here tonight.  

We are getting a discount here with UCLA due to Oregon's recent stretch of play.  The Ducks are coming off an impressive blowout win over Arizona.  In the first meeting here UCLA was favored by 1 @ Oregon and it took a last second shot at the buzzer for the Ducks to win.  So with that line this one should be closer to 8.  However the betting public has cooled off on UCLA since they have only covered 3 of their last 10 games.  I see the Bruins getting big time revenge here

This is a statement game for Duke plain and simple.  If they are truly trying to turn around their season it starts tonight.  While I do believe UNC is the better team because they are more balanced Duke does have the edge when it comes to guards.  UNC has been very shaky to say the least on the road this season as well.  They were blown out @ Miami recently, lost at Georgia Tech, barely won @ Clemson, Wake and BC.  Those teams are all in the bottom of this league so that is very concerning even this is a short trip and obviously the biggest rivalry in college bball.

I missed the better number here last night but still like Indiana here in big rivalry game.  With this line continuing to drop Blackmon is obviously playing here.  Indiana isn't getting much love but 3 of their recent losses were all on the road and two were against tournament teams.  The other was Michigan and we saw what they did to Sparty the other night.  Indiana is an extremely tough place to play and they would love nothing more to beat Purdue tonight.

This line has jumped a lot, but I'm not sure it's worthy.  ASU has been playing better as of late covering 4 of their last 5.  I believe Cal has benefited from a pretty easy schedule so far an not that ASU is a great team I just need to see more from Cal on the road.  They also have a huge look ahead game with Arizona on deck.  ASU was only down 1 @ half earlier in the season to Cal

The Miami Heats winning streak comes to an end here tonight.  This will be the last meeting of the season between these two teams with the home team covering every game so far.  Also last time the Bucks covered @ home they were 7.5 point favorites so we are getting a discount because of the Heat's winning streak.  Middleton also returns tonight while I know most will be against that because of chemistry issues, I believe it will provide a spark for this young Bucks team 

I don't really believe that the Knicks should be underdogs here in this situation.  I know they haven't been playing the greatest but I expect them to respond here after losing to the Lakers.  The Clippers aren't playing very well as they are just 2-7 SU their L9 games.  

I'm gonna fade the Cavs again here on the road.  That was the worst NBA beat I have had in a while w/ LeBron hitting a fade away bank in 3 to send it to OT.  This Cavs team is just average when it comes to playing on the road as they are 13-10.  The Pacers are a very good 20-6 @ home.  Pacers are also playing with a ton of confidence right now winning 7 in a row.  

I will take Boston College here as I thin they should be favored.  These are the two worst teams in the ACC, bu BC has been much more competitive.  I realized Pitt played Duke and UNC tough last week but neither of those teams were interested in that game.  It will be hard for Pitt to get up here especially since they have rival Cuse waiting on deck.  

This is another situation that is very difficult.  Iowa St is coming off an incredible win @ Kansas in which is obviously extremely rare.  They made a school record 18 3's which was what helped them escape with a victory.  This is going to be extremely hard for Iowa St to duplicate that performance.  Also they will probably fall in love with the 3 and shoot themselves right out of it 

This is a revenge game here.  Michigan just low @ Sparty only by 8 despite shooting 34% while Sparty shot over 50%.  Not going to get to much into detail here but Sparty has struggled on the road this season and will gladly go against them in winning back to back road games

Syracuse is now getting a lot of respect because they have won and covered 4 in a row.  Clemson has been a disappointing team this season but they do protect their home court.  Their 3 home losses were by a combined total of 8 points.  Clemson is coming off a 40 + point loss @ Florida St so this is a great bounce back spot against Cuse who is coming off a big upset over Virginia

One of the hardest situations in all over college basketball.  Florida is coming off a blowout win over Kentucky.  The Gators simply couldn't do anything wrong.  Now they travel giving us the value with Georgia.  The Bulldogs record may not reflect much but they have covered 6 of their last 8.  They also just lost @ South Carolina by 2 and took Kentucky to OT @ Kentucky.  Georgia also had Florida on the ropes in the first meeting only losing by 4 @ Florida 

I know I know going against Maryland.  This line smells the worst of any game this season. Everyone and their mother will be on Maryland but I am going to trust the odds makers here.   

The Mavs are getting a little to much respect IMO now.  They have won and covered 4 straight including big wins over the Spurs and Cavs.  This Nuggets team has been playing better as they have won 6 of their L7 home games.