I love the Huskies here tonight as they have a ton to play for considering they are in the 4th pot for the playoffs.  This team is 4th in country right now in scoring and have key play makers on the defensive side of the ball in fact 5 that rank inside the top 100 for NFL draft which is very impressive.  Colorado is still getting a lot of respect because they are 10-2 and 10-2 ATS this yar, but they don't want a shoot out here.  Washington has the better QB in Jake Browning who I feel is a top 5 college QB, they also have the better coach in Chris Petersen who is no stranger to big games.  I love the Huskies to make a statement win with the whole country finally getting a chance to watch them!

This is a great spot to back the Pelicans here who are playing a lot better but still aren't getting the credit. They have had two days off now and have won 5 of their last 7.  The Clippers are in a difficult spot here as this is a back to back coming off a huge win @ the Cavs last night.  This is the Clippers 6th road game in 10 days with a ton of travel here.  The Pelicans will be ready here and I wouldn't be surprised to see them win this one

Another great spot here for the Sixers as the Magic started off their road trip with a huge upset win over the Spurs and played a very tough game last night @ Memphis but came up 1 basket short.  Now they travel to play Philly where they won't have much interest here.  Another key thing worth noting is that the Sixers have had extra time off as they previous game was cancelled.  That is big considering the minutes of Embiid here.  I like the Sixers here tonight

Playing at Iowa St is never an easy task.  This will be Cincinnati's first true road game of the season.  Playing at Hilton is a Top 10 place and extremely tough environment which will cause problems.  Iowa St just had Gonzaga on the ropes also in Florida last week.  Iowa St will shoot the lights out of it tonight take the home team! 

This Cowboys team is just really good and even though this is a tough spot on National TV in a tough stadium.  Vikings do have a very good defense, but they will be tested here big time as I expect Dallas to control the clock here and really wear them down as the game goes on.  Vikings really struggle on offense so I expect the Cowboys will want to strike first and Vikings will struggle to play catch up

I simply don't think the Bucks who have struggled on the road this season need to be laying this many points especially given the situation.  They had a huge emotional win over the Cavs as they dominated and this is a huge let down spot with the travel.  I realize the Nets are nothing special either but they play better at home as 4 of their 5 wins have came there 

Will gladly back this Indiana team here in which I thought this line should be a PK.  This is one of the hardest places to play at in basketball in for UNC to be playing this much against another superb team I will take the points.  Indiana matches up very well against the Tarheels here and I see them pulling the upset 

I know this is the last game of the road trip for the Hawks and generally team do give a great effort, I just don't think they are interested here after giving everything they had @ Warriors the other night.  The Suns played a terrible home game last time out and will most definitely be looking to bounce back here.

I believe we are seeing the full tank mode start to take effect in Miami.  They have injuries across the board right now and with Winslow out and Waiter out tonight.  Also Tyler Johnson is very questionable.  I see the The Nuggets who have had two days rest and looks like they get some players back here.  Heat will really try and slow this game down a ton, but eventually being short handed on the road isn't a good recipe.

I think the Knicks are a little over valued here right now covering 6 of their last 8.  This is also a home and home situation which I do like the taking the home team in the first go around depending on the situation.  T Wolves struggled last home game as that was their first game back from the west coast trip.  Knicks have been terrible on the road going 1-6 so far on the season

Illinois has more than enough weapons here against NC St.  This team is really desperate for a win right now.  They played terrible against a WVU team that plays a totally different style of basketball.  They hung tough with FSU even though it was a bad shooting game.  Now they return home and this is a more difficult place to play than what people realize.  NC St will be missing their guard Rowan again.  I really see Illinois offense getting going here as the Wolfpack really struggle on the defensive side of the ball

I just don't believe that the markets had adjusted enough for LSU being horrible.  Houston is a legit contender in the AAC this year.  Also there is no real home court advantage here and I don't see LSU showing up for this.  Sampon is a great coach for the Cougars and will have his guys ready for one tonight.  

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY!

After losing to the awful Mavericks I see a sense of urgency here from the Pelicans tonight.  Since the return of guard Jrue Holiday they have play much better, winning 4 of their last 6.  These teams have already met once in which the Lakers hit 16 threes.  That won't happen again as they are without their PG in Russell and and Randle is very questionable.  No one wants a part of the Pelicans, but this is a great spot to grab them here.  

I will gladly grab the number here with the Bucks as once again I don't feel that the Cavs will show much interest just like last game @ Sixers where they just do enough to win.  The Bucks have came up short to the Raptors and Warriors @ home recently, but gave them both a great fight, losing by 6 and 3.  Cavs are more interested in their upcoming games as the Clippers are next followed by road game @ Bulls Raptors and Knicks.  Cavs are just 2-8-1 ATS  L11 games following a SU win.   

I think the wrong team is favored here in this spot.  I know Rhode Island is a good team no doubt, but this is their first true road game and Valpo is an extremely good team @ home.  Valpo returns their stud Alec Peters and even though they lost their head coach in Drew they haven't really fallen off.  I like the neutral court wins over Bama and BYU.  I look for them to pull the upset if you wanna call it one 

Seems like such the obvious choice here with how well NW has played in this early going.  They took Butler to the wire @ Butler, destroyed Texas last week.  They have by far played the overall better competition and are the better team top to bottom.  Wake has played Villanova and they weren't competitive losing by 19 on a neutral court.  Thought this line would be double what is it.  

I'm gonna go with the Jazz here as I have won with them the previous two games.  They have had plenty of rest here as this will only be their 3rd game in 8 days and are coming off two days rest.  While the T Wolves are coming granted off a short west coast trip only playing 3 games, but this will be their 3rd in 4 nights as well.  I just see the Jazz really pulling away in this one.

I am always a little worried about a line that begs for it.  I also don't think the markets have adjusted enough right now for the Thunder.  Both teams are playing their 3rd game in 4 days, but the Thunder have had a difficult travel schedule.  The Knicks right now are red hot winning 5 of 7 and playing their best basketball @ home going 7-2 on the season with wins in a row.  That is why this line makes me wonder a hair, but I'm on it.  Also the Thunder even with Durant have really struggled in New York going 1-6 ATS L7 games there.  

I will back the Trailblazers here at home tonight taking on the Rockets.  Houston is simply being over valued right now.  These teams have already played @ Houston and the Rockets were a 5 point favorite so going off that line Portland should be -1.  The Rockets did win that game, but made 14 3's which I highly doubt they do this time around.  Portland struggled on their long road trip, but won their first game back after that so they are rested and will be ready here tonight.  

SUNDAY NIGHT GAME OF THE YEAR!

I love the Broncos here in a huge National TV game as both of these team are tied for 2nd in their division trailing the 8-2 Raiders.  The Chiefs have benefited all year from turnovers as they could have easily lost 3 or 4 more games.  With Denver coming off their bye week and the Chiefs coming off a devastating home loss to the Bucs I like Denver to cover this short number.  The Chiefs are also starting to pile up the injuries here which isn't a good sign going the back half of the season 

Despite the Ravens being .500 they still have a lot to play for here.  They can still win the division and should be more than motivated with a rival here coming to town.  The Bengals are done for here as they lost Bernard for the year and their key offensive weapon in AJ Green.  Not only is that a huge loss but the Ravens already have a great defense and they have nothing to worry about on the Bengals now.  

I grabbed this line early and to no surprise it has gone up a lot.  The Titans are one game out of first place in their division and should be extremely motivated to keep up with that.  Jay Cutler isnt playing and that is pretty much all you need to know about this 2-8 Bears team.  This team is playing for a high draft pick

This is more of a play against Maryland as they continue to win they are getting way to much respect.  This team lost a ton from last years team and are squeaking by everyone it seems like.  All their luck catches up to them tonight.  Kansas St beats them!

Even though this is a rivalry I see Florida laying a complete egg here.  They are coming off a big upset over LSU which locked up the SEC East for them.  Let's face it that is the game they care about with Alabama coming up for the SEC Title.  Also the Gators are battling all sorts of injuries right now and may even choose to rest some key guys for the bigger game as I have mentioned.  Florida St isn't getting a lot of credit but they are rolling on both sides of the ball right now.  Gators are going to have a difficult time putting points on the board

Another good situation here as Vandy simply hasn't gave up yet as they won last week as a 10 point dog vs Ole Miss.  Tennessee is coming off what looks like a blowout but that game last week vs Missouri was very misleading.  Another home team in a good spot grab the points.  Also Vanderbilt has the way better defense here!

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY!

These two teams played last night and I had the Knicks in a winner, now will back the Hornets in this spot which will seem like a of points.  However, the Hornets shot the ball very bad last night.  They were 27% from long distance and 63% from the free throw line.  So the fact they took it to OT is pretty good.  They get revenge here tonight 

I like the Hawkeyes to bounce back here today against Memphis.  Iowa played Virginia and looked bad, but this Virginia team is no joke and already look mid season form.  Providence beat Memphis and I'm not high on either team this year.  Memphis now have Tubby coaching and this will be a transition year for him.  Iowa will bounce back with a victory here tonight

Really like Iowa St here for this spot.  The Cyclones have won two in a row now and did so last week blowing out Texas Tech.  I could see them pulling the upset here today as WVU is jsut deflated from last week loss vs Oklahoma.  There is no way they will be up for this game.  I will gladly take the points here

I got a bad line here but still like it.  Michigan has really struggled on the road as we all know what happened when they were favored by 21 @ Iowa and lost out right.  Now they go into a huge rivalry game with a backup QB.  Ohio St has a scare last week vs Sparty, but they were clearly looking ahead to this marquee match up.  I see the Buckeyes being able to put some big plays here and for Michigan to struggle with a backup QB

I'm not gonna put much stock in the Nebraska win over Dayton as the Flyers were missing arguably their best player.  Plain & simple UCLA is loaded across the board this year and I see another blowout happening 

This line really tells the story here as the T Wolves are 1-6 on the road and are favored.  The Suns are coming off a win but that was in the midst of a 6 game road trip.  I see them being flat here and the T Wolves extra motivated to grab a road win during this trip as their next game is at the Warriors

The Jazz are extremely rested here as they haven't had travel and this is their 2nd game in 5 days.  The Hawks have had a brutal stretch here this will be their 4th game in 6 days with travel all over the place.  Lay the small number here the Jazz shouldn't have a problem at all 

I'm really confused by this line was no way I thought the Knicks would be underdogs.  They are playing their best basketball of the season right now winning 4 of 5 and are 6-2 @ home.  The Hornets are playing their worst losing 3 in a row and 5 of 7.  They simply have no business laying points here I would expect a huge move here favoring the Knicks at some point.  

This LSU team obviously lost a ton and it shows.  They were blown out vs the Ahickers in the first game of this tournament.  VCU hung tough with Baylor in the first round and I see them just dominating from start to finish here.  Also LSU struggled a lot with ODU last night

There is no doubt that if you have listened to me on our podcast that I'm a huge PJ Fleck fan.  While I will be cheering for them to win tomorrow in no way am I comfortable to be laying more than a TD here.  These teams are both equal IMO and we are getting this price because of WMU blowing teams out all season long.  The last two meetings this game has been decided by 5 pts or less.  I see another close game coming down to the wire tomorrow 

I was against the Hawkeyes last week @ Illnois thinking they would have a let down.  I was sure wrong.  Their defense has really stepped it up following that bad loss @ Penn St.  I also don't trust Nebraska on the road here as Tommy is still pretty banged up even though it looks like he is going to play.  I like the Hawkeyes to come out on top here tomorrow

PLAY OF THE DAY!

Texas is maybe coming off the worst loss in College Football this year.  They lost at Kansas last weekend which has the coaching rumors flying down there.  However, what I really do like here is that Texas is fighting for a bowl game and the players have been out spoken that they do love Coach Strong.  I expect a huge effort from the Longhorns tomorrow.  TCU on the other hand I was very disappointed in last week as well as they failed to show up @ home and that is a bad sign this late in the season.  Texas plays with a ton of emotion tomorrow and comes away with an easy win

The Celtics will definitely be treating this as a huge game.  This team is finally healthy and since they have been they have won 3 in a row and now have the chance to make a big splash.  I simply can't pass this number up with a quality team like the Celtics  

Seems like a huge over reaction from yesterday that Sparty was a small dog vs a better team and since they struggled yesterda.  Izzo apologized to his team so you can expect a big bounce back effort here.  grab the 6 here the Shockers don't deserve to be laying this much

I was hoping for this number to be around the 5 mark, but I still like it @ 8.  Vanderbilt is in a tough spot this season having to replace guys like Wade Baldwin and Damian Jones is extremely tough for a program like Vandy.  Those type of guys simply don't come around very often.  Butler did lose their scorer in Dunham last year, but do return quality players and it has shown so far.  These teams have a common opponent in Bucknell.  Butler beat them by 26 and Vandy lost by 3 as 12 point favorites.  I think that says a lot about what to expect. 

I'm going to go ahead and grab this line now as I feel it will only go lower.  This is a terrible spot for LSU coming off that bad loss to Florida and quite frankly there is nothing for them to play for.  What LSU does very well plays right into the hand of the Aggies and that is running the ball.  With the Aggies having 2 top DL I see them shutting that part of the game down.  The Aggies won't get much love either since they have failed to cover 7 in row

I'm gonna grab the Redskins here.  I have been against Dallas several times and it hasn't worked the last couple minutes of the game.  My main reason here is that the Cowboys secondary is really banged up similar to Green Bay's last week and I see Cousins being able to expose them with all the weapons he has on the outside.  

I really believe the line tells the story here.  Most are looking at this line with Detroit @ home being a short favorite and will jump all over this.  The Lions also beat the Vikings just two weeks back @ Minnesota in OT.  I know last weeks win over the Cardinals was misleading for Minnesota, but that is the kind of win that can trigger something within the team.  I don't trust this Lions team at all especially on defense as they give up 6 yards per play!  This is the same Lions team that was trailing last week going into the 4th quarter vs the Jaguars.  

This is a neutral court game which is keeping this line down, but in no way can you back Temple as they are in a rebuilding mode this season.  Their best returning player is their PG and he is out with an injury here.  Florida St has a ton of athletes including two first round draft picks this year.  I see Bacon and Mayes taking this game over from the start 

I like this Baylor team a lot as I mentioned yesterday.  They were faced with a lot of adversity yesterday and handled it extremely well I thought. Sparty is still getting a lot of respect because of their name, but lets face it you can't back this team right now from what we have seen.  Baylor has more experience better players and athletes.  While Izzo does coach circles around Drew it won't happen in November

I was on the Nuggets last night as my TOP PLAY winner over the Bulls and now will be against them here tonight.  Another angle I like to use sometimes as well is that the Nuggets just beat the Jazz and the Jazz haven't played since then.  So they definitely will want the revenge here and plus have the upper hand with the Nuggets winning out right against the Bulls.  The Jazz have lost and havent covered 4 in a row so they won't be looking past this game plus with two days of rest that only adds to the value  

I like the Pacers here tonight for several reason.  One it looks like Paul George should be back in the lineup.  Also this game as you know means a lot to Jeff Teague who left Atlanta for the Pacers and he will want to beat them here.  The Pacers are coming off a brutal beat down to the hands of the Warriors so I always like teams that are in that situation.  The Hawks are struggling right now and have to be dead tired going from Charlotte to New York to back home last night and now to Indiana.  

I will go ahead and take the points here with the Suns tonight.  I do realize TJ Warren is out, but I see a bigger effort here from the Suns than the Magic.  This is the Suns last road game of a big trip here and you know they want to come away with a win.  The Magic however I see them having no interest here as they just had a hard fought loss @ the Bucks and return home.  The Suns also match up well against the Magic.  I don't see a blowout either way so give me the team with motivation.

I will gladly back Penn St here as they are way better than Colgate.  Penn St has played a very tough schedule with Duke and Cincinnati.  This will be a huge relief for them in this game.  This team has a ton of talent brought it and I expect it to show up tonight.  Colgate just lost to NJ Tech and and lost by 28 @ Syracuse

Pretty plain and simple here for me.  This UConn team is just terrible.  I also look for Oregon to build off that win yesterday vs Tennessee.  Won't go to much in depth on this game, but Uconn doesn't match up well I see the the Oregon guards going off this game

I'm really high on this Baylor team this year and I would grab this line now as I see it climbing.  VCU lost two key pieces from last years team and this is what I believe will be a semi rebuilding year for them.  Baylor is simply just loaded with talent starting with Motley.  They have key transfers that I feel are going under the radar right now.  This team absolutely blew out Oregon while I realize on their home court, but still something to be said about it.  I'm not a fan of Drew the coach as he always seems to screw things up.   As for today Baylor is just the superior team. 

I really love the Nuggets here tonight as they are catching points here against a very tired Bulls team.  This Bulls will have played 8 of their last 9 on road and this will be their 5th road game in 8 days and playing in the mile city is no easy task.  They are also being over valued since they have covered in every single road game during this trip.  However the Nuggets have covered 4 in a row and are coming off an impressive double digit win vs the Jazz.  I see another big effort here from the Nuggets tonight.   Bulls are 0-4 ATS L4 meetings in Denver. 

I will gladly back the Knicks here as a short home favorite.  They have won 3 of their last 4 and their only loss while it was against the Wizards it was the second of a back to back.  Portland is being over valued here as they gave it all they had last time out in a blowout win over the Nets knowing this wouldn't be a great spot for them.  This will be Portland's 4th road game in 6 days.  They are also missing two key pieces with Aminu and Ezeli.  The Knicks will be able to match up well with McCollum and Lillard here.  Grab the Knicks at short price here tonight

I'm going to back Northwestern here tonight against Notre Dame.  Notre Dame is going to face a team that plays relentless defense.  NW caused all sorts of problems for the talented Texas team and I see doing the same here tonight.  This Northwestern team is out to prove something to make the NCAA tournament this year and this win tonight will get them on the right track.

I realize UConn has struggled out of the gates but this line is a huge over reaction here considering its a neutral court.  This team was ranked a few days ago and now are getting points against possibly the worst team in the Big 12.  I'm not high at all on Oklahoma St this year.  This is will be the Cowboys first hard test as well and I can't believe they are favored.  UConn still has more talent and the better coach.  Grab the points 

This may come as a surprise play, but I really believe the Bucks will be focused here as they have 3 days off after this game.  They fought hard against the Warriors which I did have them but fell short.  The Magic are a bad team plain and simple and I don't buy their recent wins, beating the Pelicans and Mavs.  This young Bucks team will put forth a huge effort here

This seems like a big over reaction in the line as the Pistons were just favored against a better team in the Celtics and lost by just 2 which was their only home loss on the season.  Now they are catching points against a worse team and a team that plays zero defense.  This is the Rockets 4th game in 6 days and I see them over looking this one as it's a weird scheduling spot for them and they host the Raptors next.  I like the Pistons here tonight to pull out the win

I will gladly lay the points here with the Hornets who will be motivated tonight after losing at the Pelicans.  The Grizzlies are simply being over valued with two blowout wins.  The Hornets are a very good home team with a 4-2 record so far.  This is a hard spot for Memphis as well with this being their 4th game in 6 days and also now Parsons is out which is a big loss.  Hornets bounce back in a big way here

I'm really surprised this line isn't higher.  I still think it's because GW is coming off NIT championship win.  Well that team lost a ton of talent even though they do return Tyler Cavanaugh.  They lost 45 ppg from the guys who are gone that is asking a ton for a team to replace that doesn't get the blue chip recruits.  I have Georgia as a sleeper in the SEC this year and it starts with their go to guy JJ Frazier.  They do return a lot of experience here even though they lost Kenny Gaines.  I see Georgia taking this game.  Also Georgia wasn't as bad as what people may believe this team did win 20 games last year

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY!

The Lakers are in a very good spot here and I expect them come out with the win here tonight.  The Bulls played a hard fought game last night vs the Clippers and you know they went out last night since staying in LA.  The Lakers will be ready for them and they are 4-2 @ home so far this season.  With the Bulls covering 5 in a row the betting public will be all over them here.  I actually expect this line to come down throughout the day

Really like Creighton here today taking on NC St.  This NC St is without one starter and two key role players.  Creighton is continued to be undervalued to start the season.  This team is a legit top 10 team lead by Watson and Foster.  NC St does have nice freshman Dennis Smith, but he will be outmatched here today.  Lay the points.

I was on UNI in their craxy come back against Oklahoma Friday night.  I see their luck coming to an end here today with Xavier.  Xavier is a team that will contend for the Big East title right up there with Villanova.  UNI is a good team, but I see the shots being a little harder here as the Musketeers play very good defense.

UPSET SPECIAL!

I'm gonna take a chance here, but I do like situation that we are presented with.  The Dolphins have won 4 in a row right now and a large part of that is because their OL was healthy and when they are healthy they are very very good.  Well now this week they are missing two key starters in Alberts and Pouncey.  That is a terrible combination when you consider that the Rams probably have the best DL in the NFL!  I see the Dolphins really struggling here to move the ball at all.   The Rams will start rookie Jared Goff @ QB which I expect the team to be a little extra motivated here for that. I'm calling for the upset here

This Davidson team is loaded this year with stud Jack Gibbs who averaged 23.5 ppg last year and they also return Peyton Aldridge who averaged 15 ppg.  The A-10 is an extremely tough conference and I expect Davidson to be right up there when season ends.  Arizona St played a similar team to Davidson in UNI and got their clocked clean.  I see the same thing happening today 

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I'm gonna go ahead and take the points here in a rivalry game that is going under the radar.  A lot of people are down now on UCLA because of their season and stud QB Rosen is out for the year now, but this team has shown they are giving up with a nice 14 point win over Oregon St last week.   Also they were 14 points dogs on the road the week before @ Colorado and now getting almost the same @ home.  USC is coming off a huge emotional upset win over Washington and I know they will be up for this game, but what a tough ask to ask them to blow a rival out after last game.  In UCLA's 5 conference losses only one was by double digits and that was Stanford by 11.  

I was against the Warriors last night and will be against them again here tonight as this will be their 3rd road game in 4 days while the Bucks have had a day off.  Remember last year Bucks were also the first team to beat the Warriors so this team can do it.  Also I doubt the Warriors are really too focused on this game while the young Bucks literally will be up for the challenge tonight. 

I'm not going to lie this is a play strictly on the line move here.  It has jumped so much the Twolves have to be the right side here.  I feel that Vegas knows Grizz have some injuries here that haven't been released yet.  The Grizz are coming off a 4 game road trip winning and covering 3 in a row here.  T Wolves get the job done tonight

Both of these teams played last night and lost in bad fashion.  This Pistons team so far has been an easy one to figure out and that is back them at home and fade them on the road.  Pistons are a perfect 5-0 SU and ATS @ home right now.  Celtics still have injury issues and the fact they are coming off the Warriors and probably don't have any interest in playing this game.

This is a very good spot here for Colorado who has everything to play here as they simply can't afford the loss or they have no chance of winning the Pac 12 title or even playing for it since USC holds the tie breaker over them.  Wazzu is getting a ton of respect and they do deserve it, but off two blowouts the betting public will likely take them here.  Also Wazzu lost their best WR in River Cracraft and they have the Apple Cup on deck with huge rival Washington next week @ home which will determine who will represent the PAC 12 North.

This Michigan team was beat last weekend in Iowa ending their undefeated season quest.  They are still in the playoff picture, but this game doesn't mean much to them and will be hard to get up for as well.  Michigan could care less about this game as they travel to Ohio St next weekend to earn a playoff berth.  Michigan also lost their QB Speight with a broken collarbone so that is another issue they will be dealing with.  Hooisers have been a nice surprise this year playing teams extremely tough but hasn't translated into wins.  Last week they were up 3 w/ under 5 minutes left and blew the game against Penn St.  Indiana worse loss is 21 @ Ohio St which was misleading

This Rhode Island team won't be getting much respect here vs a team like Cincinnati, but they are the real deal lead by EC Matthews.  Cincy was just tied at halftime with Albany and ended up blowing them out so that was a little misleading in that regard.  This game is also very close to home for Rhode Island even though played on a neutral court in Connecticut.  I look for Rhode Island and this experienced team get the win here today

This is one of the worst spots for anyone on the weekend.  First I realize Illinois isn't a great team but look at the situation here.  Iowa is by far coming off their best performance upsetting Michigan so obviously it will be hard to match the intensity here this week.  Also this Iowa team has struggled on the road only beat @Rutgers 14-7 @ Minnesota 14-7.  Illinois did just beat Michigan St @ home as well.  Also Iowa has a huge look ahead rivalry game next week with Nebraska.  

I have been eyeing this game all week and will finally pull the trigger.  TCU has a lot to play for yet as they need one more win to become bowl eligible.  I also don't trust this Oklahoma St team on the road as they were very lucky against Kansas St and lost @ Baylor.  The Cowboys have a huge look ahead game as well with rival Oklahoma looming.  TCU is coming off of their bye week so they will be hungry for the so called upset.  Ok St was lucky last week to escape with one point win over Texas Tech @ home.  I see a major let down happening here 

The Nuggets have a huge advantage here being well rested as this will only be their 2nd game in 5 nights while, this will be the Raptors 3rd in 4 nights.  Why that is worth noting is also because the Raptors are coming off the Cavs and Warriors making this an extremely difficult spot to get motivated here for.  

I know the Celtics are struggling to start the season, but this is just too many points for the Warriors to lay against this caliber of team.  Celtics have had plenty of injury problems, but this team is still 4-1 @ home and will most definitely be up for this one.  The Warriors caught the Raptors in a perfect spot last game as they were well rested and it was the second of a back to back for Toronto.  Do let that fool ya here.  This Celtics team can play defense with the best and will have it out for the Warriors tonight.   

I'm going to back the Panthers here tonight.  Both teams are coming off blow out wins, but I was very impressed with how UNI played against Arizona St.  They do return a lot of key pieces from last year lead by Morgan and their coach Ben Jacobson is one of the most underrated in the country.  Oklahoma coming off a blowout as I have mentioned but Tulane is awful plain and simple.  Sooners I am looking to play against at the beginning especially with the losses of Buddy Hield, Cousins and Spangler.  UNI will get in their face and defend.  Wouldn't be surprised at all to see UNI win this game is a coin flip IMO 

Really like the value here with the Hornets.  Both of these teams are playing surprisingly well to start the season, but I am ready to fade away on the Hawks right now.  They have won 6 in row and now will be playing their 3rd game on 4 nights while the Hornets return home and have had two days off.  Dwight Howard is also still banged up and is a big question mark if he will even play.  Hawks are just 2-10 ATS on road vs a team with a winning home record.  

Michigan coming off a big blowout win over Marquette, but this game to me is more about who they have played.  Pitt who SMU beat is a better team than Marquette.  Also Michigan turned the ball over 17 times which is very concerning considering SMU only committed 7.  Michigan shot the ball great from deep @ 40% can they do that back to back games on a neutral court?  SMU plays solid defense and will make them work for everything.  Grab the Mustangs I see this line rising

I was against the Jazz in their last home as they was a very bad spot for them returning home off a tough road trip and they lost out right.  I will gladly back them here as now they have had two days and will be ready to go tonight.  The Bulls will likely draw the public here as they are coming off a blowout win @ Portland and have now won and covered 3 straight.  The Jazz are the better team here and with the rest they get the job done tonight. 

It's do or die for Carolina here tonight.  I was on them last week as they were dominating the Chiefs up 17-3 in the 4th and lose the game outright in regulation.  Cam threw a costly pick six which switched all the momentum in the game.  I do know the Saints are playing better, but I cant trust a defense that gives up 6.3 yards per play and nearly 30 points per game.  Give me Cam and the Panthers here with a nice bounce back win

I'm gonna take the Cougars here tonight as they would love nothing more than to spoil the whole season for Lamar Jackson and Louisville.  Louisville is coming off a couple blowout wins, but last week was very misleading as that game was very close going into the 4th quarter.  Houston has failed to cover 5 in row, but those were all double digit favorites but one game.  Now they are catching over two TD's at home?  Big over reaction IMO will take the points

I will gladly take all the points here with this Grizzlies team who is now healthy.  This line has never been double digits going back 3 years for either team.  A large part of this inflated line is due to the Clippers hot start.  No doubt the Clippers are the best team in the NBA right now, but to be laying this many points with a team of this caliber makes no sense.  This will also be their 4th game in 6 nights as well.  I like the Grizzlies to keep this one a lot closer than people think

With the Thunder losing 4 in a row I believe that has created big time value here with them tonight.  First, I am willing to bet that they dont lose 4 games in a row @ home.  Two of those 4 losses were by two points which is getting over looked.  Also throw in that they simply weren't interested the other night @ Detroit.  This is a great spot for the Thunder to bounce back here as well since the Rockets still play zero defense.  Thunder are 6-0 ATS L6 games following a loss by 10 or more points. 

The Cavs are 9-1 and off to a great start of the season, however they have only covered 3 spreads and are in a difficult spot here tonight playing on a back to back against a division rival in Indiana.  Sure the Pacers have struggled so far with their new team and coach, but that is creating a ton of value here.  Indiana has owned this series as of late covering 7 of the last 8.  I like the fact they held the Magic to under 70 points the previous game which is telling me they are working harder to become a better defensive team which was hurting them.  Cavs have had 1 other back to back situation this season and failed to cover in that spot.  Take the live home dog here

Creighton struggled their first game, but I believe they were looking ahead to this match up.  The Bluejays are loaded this year.  They return 4 guys who started over 20 games last year and add a lot of depth here.  Marcus Foster a transfer from Kansas St is key here.  He will probably their leading scorer.  Him and Foster will give Wisconsin fits tonight.  Wisconsin is a good team and does return 4 starters themselves, I just have a gut feeling they won't be as good this year.  They won't be a surprise to anyone this year.  Also this is one of the least athletic teams they have had in a while as well.  Creighton just matches up extremely plus they are more athletic and playing @ home never hurts.

I'm going to back the T Wolves here in I feel is a big game for them as they try and get back to .500.  With the Sixers coming into town next and with them coming off a nice win which I had over the Lakers I see them putting forth a big effort.  I also think the Hornets will show very little interest here with them coming off a hard fought loss @ the Cavs.  Minnesota is playing a lot better lately and I see them winning this one here tonight as well.

Was hoping for a lower line with the Hoyas, but I dont mind it here.  Maryland is a team that will really struggle this year.  They lost a ton and I mean a ton of last years great team.  Sure they still have stud Melo Trimble back but that is the only starter back.  It came to no surprise to me that they struggled out of the gate with a 6 point victory over American as 20 point favorites.  G Town has really good depth and more importantly the edge here is experience.  They return 4 guys who started over 20 games last year and added some key pieces.  Transfer Rodney Pryor comes in from Robert Morris who averaged 18 ppg and displayed his immediate impact scoring 32 points in the first game.  G Town beats up on Maryland

Like the Bengals here tonight to take care of business coming of their bye week and still have a sout taste in their mouth after the tie in London against the Redskins.  Don't be fooled by the Bengals record because a lot of that had to do with injuries across the board.  The week off really help them and plus they simply can't afford to start 3-5.  The Giants are a team despite their 5-3 record I really dont trust.  They come in winning 3 in a row and covering all 3 of those games and despite doing that they are still a PK @ home.  Odds makers don't believe in this team either.  They were also out gained 113 yards by the Rams and 141 by the Eagles the previous two weeks and some how won both.  

The Thunder have hit a little slump here losing 3 in a row and were just upset last night on their home court to the Magic.  I see them losing again here tonight as quite frankly they will be over looking the Pistons here.  Detroit has had a rough start no doubt, but they are 4-0 @ home this season and will be plenty motivated here to play the Thunder.  This has been a place where the Thunder have struggled and that was with Durant.  They are just 1-4 ATS L5 meeting in Detroit.  With this being their second of a back to back I see the Pistons hungry another home win here.  

Villanova is the defending national champions coming into this season with a lot of expectations, but now also a big target on their backs.  This team will do great in the Big East again as the conference quite simply isnt what it use to be.  For me here tonight Nova is traveling to untested waters as they don't realize how hard it truly is to play @ Purdue.   This is a hidden gem as far as home courts are concerned in college basketball.  Nova has to replace Ryan Arcidiacono who I thought was the glue to last year's team.  He created so many opportunities for everyone and made them better.  They do have Josh Hart and Jalen Brunson who are both great players, but they will have to try and take games over themselves which is difficult task especially on the road.  Purdue lost AJ Hammons, but return sophomore stud Caleb Swanigan who quite frankly Nova won't have an answer to.  Their other twin tower is back as well in Isaac Haas.  This is the difference for me here in this game that Purdue will dominate down low and only give Nova one chance which is how you beat these guys.  Purdue also has some sneaky good guards themselves and they can shoot as well.  

I honestly cant believe the value we are getting here with the Suns.  I know most of it is because they played terrible last night in a loss to the Nets.  I feel the Suns were caught looking ahead big time here.  The Warriors are rested as well which is playing into the line but they have no motivation playing the Suns here before a big road trip awaits.  Just a couple games ago the Warriors were favored by this much over the Pelicans who are way worse than the Suns

I was sure wrong about both these teams last night.  However, I do see a big bounce back here for the T Wolves.  The Lakers are no doubt a nice surprise but I don't see them winning this one here tonight as both are on a back to back.  However, the Lakers have traveled from Sacramento to New Orleans now to Minnesota.  I see them running out of steam here

I LOVE IT GRAB IT NOW

NFL GAME OF THE YEAR!

The Steelers couldn't be more undervalued right now and the Cowboys couldn't be more over valued.  This Pittsburgh team will be extremely motivated here for this game as they have a lot to play for.  I know Dak has been great so far but this is by far the biggest game he will have played in so far.  Everyone loves Dallas, but trust me this is to time to fade away.  

The line says it all here to me as Carolina is 3-5 @ home and favored over a 6-2 team.  Carolina has had their struggles I know but they have had injuries as well.  Cam is back healthy and I see Panthers building off last week.  The Chiefs have benefited big time in turnovers all season long while the Panthers have been on the opposite side of that all season.  This is great value with a Panthers team I expect to play on the second half of the season

The Eagles are being way under valued here as they are coming off two losses, but both were on the road to division opponents.  Falcons are the new flavor this year in the NFL but don't deserve to be favored here at all with that defense.  The Eagles are way better on defense ranking 6th in the league right now.  The Eagles are the desperate team here no doubt about it and they will pull the upset if you call it that on Sunday

I'm gonna back the Jets here as I feel they are playing a lot better football.  Last week they had the Dolphins who are playing very well right now dead in water until a late kick return for a TD.  The Rams are starting to show their true colors as well losing 4 in row and now travel East for an early kick which is never easy.  The Jets have their bye week looming so I see a big effort from them.  If they want any chance of a wild card this is a must win game and I believe they will come through.  I also like this Jets defense a lot better @ home as well.  

Late NBA add... 

The Bucks are being undervalued here due to their loss against the Pelicans that should wake them up enough and make them motivated for a big bounce back here. Memphis is still struggling injuries and Parsons is questionable and Allen is out.  This young Bucks team will respond here after an ugly performance