I think UNLV is worth a look here at this price.  UNLV is coming off a bye here and I think the perception of Wyoming is a little overrated as most remember their win over Missouri in week 1.  Last week they covered vs Tulsa but had no business doing so as they were dominated.  UNLV has the better athletes here along with the speed.  This number is way too big 

This game is to is a crazy over reaction.  Yes, the Buckeyes are steam rolling people right now and you can't take that away from them.  Remind you though while they blew out Cincy they were favored by 17 and sharp money took that game down.  Now they are laying more on the road in a night game against a lot better opponent.  I also think the betting public is off Nebraska as well especially since they laid that egg on the road @ Colorado.  This is a game where obviously the Cornhuskers will be up for.  Also another thing here is that the Game Of The Year line was Ohio St -7.5 and now we are seeing a huge over reaction.  

I think the wrong team is favored here.  Reason is because Marshall barely won last week vs Ohio who was actually in a better spot.  I just think this Marshall offense will be able to put up some points.  I keep going back to that week 1 game against UCLA in which they were lucky to win and clearly this UCLA team is horrible.  Marshall has been tested against a good Boise team on the road which they only lost by 7 and covered the number.  I think both teams here are equal so give me the home dog.  

This might be the public side here for sure but I just think Iowa St is the better team.  They should have beat Iowa and were the better team on the field.  I truly believe with them coming up a point short we are getting a discount.  Baylor so far has played no one and are coming off an ugly game against a very bad Rice team.  I think the Cyclones handle their own here in Waco.

Last Friday we saw another USC QB go down and their 3rd stringer come in and beat a good Utah team.  I will say that game was a very misleading final which is creating value now with Washington.  I think this will be a similar case to when USC went on the road granted a 2nd string at this time @ BYU, but they came up short.  What did Washington do @ BYU last week?  I had them and they blew them out.  This offense is rolling right now and I think the environment will be to much for a 3rd string QB.  

This has all the feeling of a let the frustration out game.  No one wants a part of Vandy right now after an 0-3 start and failing to cover in every game.  Well they have played the toughest schedule in the country which I don't think is being taken into consideration.  While they were blown out last week vs LSU they did still manage to score 38 points.  Northern Illinois is coming off a bye which does help them but they gave up a fortune to Nebraska last time out.  This team is down compared to most seasons and I think Vandy lets it all out here looking for their first win

I was against Arizona St last week and they lost outright vs Colorado.  I definitely see the value on them here against Cal on Friday night.  I actually think both of these teams are very equal, but the fact that Cal is ranked and undefeated that betting public will love them.  I like this spot for a bounce back for the Sun Devils and will take the points.  I could also see Cal over look ASU here with a trip @ Oregon on deck

I think we get the max effort here from the Eagles tonight avoiding to go 1-4.  They have lost back to back coin flip games in the final minutes and easily could be 3-0.  Also they haven't covered the spread yet so the betting public wants nothing to do with them.  I think the Packers are overrated here playing two bad teams in Chicago and Denver.  The Denver game last week was a misleading final as well.  Even when they jumped out to a big lead against the Vikings they couldn't put it away and that is a concern.  I wouldn't be shocked if the Eagles won outright tonight

I have to take the Redskins here in this game.  The Bears have shown zero signs of an offense so far and were extremely lucky last week @ Denver who is a bad football team.  I simply don't trust Trubisky on the road at all.  The Skins despite not having big time play makers have shown some offense against the Eagles and Cowboys.  Odds makers are saying that the Bears would be favored by double digits on @ Chicago and no way am I buying that 

Coming Later

We are seeing a big time over reaction here on this game.  last week the look ahead line was Pittsburgh -1.5 and now with Big Ben going out, the line has moved 8 points?  He isn't worth 8 points no way.  People are also forgetting that Mason Rudolph played 70% of the game last week and still almost beat Seattle and would have had a great chance but a bad call at the end cost him the chance.  San Fran goes from small dogs in both first two games to now TD favorites?  Huge over reaction and I think Pitt keeps this very close.

So the betting public will most definitely be off the Chargers here.  The Chargers out played the Lions big time last week, but had some brutal mistakes like missing a couple field goals and a fumble at the 1 yard line that Detroit recovered.  Based on the result though I think we get a really focused SD team that the betting public won't want anything to do with.  The Texans are an overrated team and should have lost last week at home vs the Jags.  The Texans still struggle big time on the OL as they gave up 4 sacks last week and I think the Chargers will get after Watson again here.  

I will take the Chiefs here in their home opener for the season.  Mahomes to me is the best QB in the league and just so dangerous with all the weapons around them.  They are able to score points in a hurry and we saw that last week @ Oakland down 10-0 and then rattle off 28 straight.  I'm also not sold on the Ravens at all here as they have played the Dolphins and Cardinals.  They actually looked very sloppy last week and Murray threw for over 300 yards against them.  I think everyone still remember Lamar lighting up the Dolphins in week 1 and see this @ 6.5 and instantly bet it.  I don't think the Ravens are a come from behind team here and I like the Chiefs to really pour it on

I think the Bills are simply getting way too much respect here because they are 2-0 against an 0-2 team.  The Bengals went on the road week 1 and should have Bearns Seattle, I think people are forgetting about that.  Bills beat the Jets and Giants so which is nothing to impressive.  I wouldn’t be surprised here if the Bengals won outright

I think SDSU is being a little over valued here since they beat an awful UCLA team and then followed that up with another road win and cover last week over a bad New Mexico St team.  This Utah St has the best QB in the Mountain West in Love.  Utah St nearly won @ Wake who is clearly a very good team as we saw them beat North Carolina last week.  Utah St will put up points here and I don't think SDSU can keep up.  This is a short number and the Aggies are off a bye as well

Maybe this is a big time square play, but I simply can't back a team that just won a huge road over a ranked team but only scored 10 points in doing so.  Mind you, the Sun Devils were a 14 point dog in that game and now favored by over a TD against Colorado.  I also think another over reaction to that is since Colorado lost to Air Force last week.  ASU struggles on offense with the young QB.  I think the Buffs keep it close here

Coming Later

So we are seeing a 2-1 team on the road as a dog to a 0-3 team.  I actually think we will see some sharp money here late on this game.  So, I think we can give a pass to the Texas St in two games losing to Texas AM and last week vs SMU.  Let's look at the one competitive game they lost which they lost Wyoming as a 7 point dog.  They actually out played Wyoming big time in that one and was a misleading final. I think people are still remembering the fact that Georgia St went on the road and won @ Tennessee.  That is creating some value with Texas St here

Really like the Aggies here in this game.  I also think the betting public will be all over Auburn here.  The reason they will be is because they remember the week 1 gross come back win and cover over Oregon in a game they were completely outplayed.  The Aggies have a great home field advantage here in the 12th man and also this is will freshman QB Nix first true road game.  Texas AM for sure has this game circled with two losses to this Auburn team.  Aggies have the defense here and I think they cover this one fairly easily 

Pretty simple handicap here for me in this game.  BYU is simply getting too much love for beating USC last week and I feel like that game was handed to them as BYU could barely escape in OT despite being +3 in turnovers.  Also looking back last week odds makers are saying that on a neutral field Washington and USC are nearly equal?  I'm not buying it at all.  I know this is the Huskies first game on the road, but last week their offense broke open and I think this is a very good spot for Washington who won't be over looking this game

We have no choice but to be impressed with what SMU has done so far.  They beat a very solid Arkansas St program and destroyed a good North Texas team.  This game clearly means more to the Mustangs here than it does to TCU.  SMU has a high powered offense going right now averaging over 40 ppg.  TCU beat a down Purdue team last week, but covered in doing so giving us some value here.  SMU is a better team than Purdue.  I wouldn't be surprised at all if SMU pulled the upset

I'm not a believer here in the Titans at all and I think the wrong team is favored here.  First, I think we get a big time desperate performance here from the Jags as they are 0-2 and return home.  Minshew has been a great bright spot for the Jags and they should have won last week @ the Texans going for 2 and getting stopped at the half yard line.  Titans are simply getting a ton of respect because of the week 1 performance at the Browns, but the defense rose with touchdowns and that was a misleading final.  Their offense is no good here at all and I expect the jags to feast here.  They held a great Texans offense to 13.   Also the Titans were +2 in turnovers last week and still lost the game at home, that shows you how bad the offense is

I missed a good opener here with Tulane but will back them here in this spot.  I had the Green Wave in week 1 over FIU in an easy route.  Tulane is one of the most improved teams in the country and they are a tough option team to play against, but they actually have a good QB in McMillan.  

Houston is just in a very tough spot here coming off a game against Washington St and we all know their air raid style.  Now they have one week to prepare for the total opposite in Tulane.  Granted they are familiar to an extent but this is still tough to see total opposites in back to back weeks.  

Tulane has also played Auburn @ Auburn and held them to 24 points.  Tulane has a better defense then most think and they can contain King 

I just flat out think the wrong team is favored here in this game.  Odds makers are telling you if going by the lines last week that the Falcons would roughly be -2.5 at home over Minnesota.  Throw this Eagles line in the mix @ Atlanta and they are saying the Eagles would be -6 over the Vikings?  I'm not buying that at all.  The Eagles defense clearly has some issues as the Redskins with zero weapons torched them in the air with 380 yards by Keenum.  I simply think the line is completely off here.  Atlanta will bounce back here at home and put up some point on this Eagles team.  

Really like the Broncos here in this game.  The perfect storm happened on Monday night as they lost to the Raiders and everyone has the Raiders pegged as a bad team, but they actually looked pretty decent.  Denver had a hard time getting after the QB, but that won't be the case here in this game as we saw a Packer defense really get after Chicago.  The Bears are one of the most over hyped teams coming into the season and I am completely shocked they are favored by this given what we saw from them.  Now part of that I do realize is the fact Bears are on a longer week and the Broncos are on a shorter week, but I'm not worried.  This Broncos D will eat up Trubisky and company 

I really like the Bengals here and was on the right side of this move.  Last week the Bengals went into a tough place @ Seattle and took them down to the wire.  You can actually make the case that they were the better team out gaining them by over 200 yards, but the dreaded turnovers got the best of them losing that battle 3-1.  

The Niners weren't that impressive at all to me and benefited from Winston who still continues to throw picks.  The Niners had two touchdowns off 2 pick sixes.  You simply can't rely on that throughout the season in order to get things done.  I wasn't impresses at all bother offense either.  

I definitely think the betting public will want nothing to do with the Steelers here given the fact they looked awful on prime time.  This is easily a get right game for Pitt here and they will bounce back.  We saw how much Seattle gave up in the air to the Bengals and the Steelers have better weapons overall.  I also don't trust this Seattle team much away from home especially playing early on the east coast.  This is another line that will go up as the week goes on.

This to me is a huge overreaction here due to the fact that the Jags lost their QB Foles for quite some time now.  This is now giving us some serious value here with the Jags as the look ahead line here was +3 and now a full TD adjustment?  I was beyond impressed with backup QB Garner Minshew when he came in against the Chiefs and actually started 10/10.  The Texans will be on a short week now after the Monday game which I think they have a hangover from losing that tough game.  The Jags still have a tough defense and I expect them to play better against someone not named Mahomes 

I was on Nebraska last week and they blew that game which was gross after being up 17-0 at halftime and in total control.  I think this is the get right game here and just blow Northern Illinois out.  I love that it's a night game as well so the players will be pumped.  Frost knows the importance of the bounce back after that ugly loss.  I think they are catching Northern Illinois in a good spot here with them playing a back to back road game.  NIU is coming off a hard fought physical game against Utah in which they covered the 23.5 spread.  I just don't see them stopping Nebraska here and while most people will be down on them I think it's a great buy low spot

I just don't think Odds makers have adjusted enough here for Florida St.  Sure they played one good half against Boise but since then they have been just flat out terrible.  A large part of that is because of their defense.  Well, we know the Virginia defense is loaded and probably is 2nd best I the ACC outside of Clemson.  Blackmon isn't the answer the Notes had hoped for as they should have lost to La Monroe as 23 point favorites.  This is a night game in Virginia and I think they rise here and put a beat down on FSU.

I am just really surprised here by this crazy line movement.  First, the Game Of The Year lines had Iowa St -3 or -4 and the Cyclones played one game, I repeat one game this season and the line has flipped a full touchdown which is crazy and clearly a big time overreaction.  Also Iowa St dropped from the rankings while Iowa is 2-0 and have covered both games and coming off a shutout.  I'm not impressed by Iowa honestly and the best QB on the field is Purdy for Iowa St.  The Cyclones will be hungry here to end this little Iowa streak.  Iowa actually has some question marks with injuries on defense.  This will be the Hawkeyes first true test and I don't think they win and the wrong team is favored.

We have seen early so far how much the PAC 12 hasn't been quite that good.  I think that is the case here with the Sun Devils as well.  Their offense under a true freshman QB has been less than desirable.  They have played two cupcakes in Kent St and Sacramento St and have managed a whopping 49 total points.  I don't think they mustard up anything here against a very good Party defense that will be out for revenge from an ugly loss last season.  True Freshman first road game won't be an easy and I expect Sparty to create a few turnovers and jump on them early 

So far I'm really liking what the new coach Chris Klieman is showing at Kansas St.  Now, I know they haven't played anyone that may impress you but they have taken care of business in scoring 49 and 52 points in the first two games.  Also I like what the Wildcats are doing in the run game and I think they can expose Miss St there as they have gave up yards on the ground so far and have played weak teams as well.

The Bulldogs lost a ton from last season and even though they are 2-0 it is showing so far.  They had a very ugly win week 1 over La Layayette beating them by only 10 despite being +3 in turnovers.  They were also +3 in turnovers in game 2 which ultimately lead to them covering that game.  

The Wildcats have had one turnover so far and I believe they control the game here and also not to mention this is a nice revenge spot for Kansas St as well

I think this is way too many points here for Georgia.  We know the Bulldogs are a very good team, but this is now their 3rd week in a row playing a lower level team even though they played Candy week 1 and I doubt their interest level is too high here.  Arkansas St will sure be motivated here and are coming off a very dominate win over UNLV.  Another main reason here is that Georgia has a huge look ahead with Notre Dame coming to town next week

This game here will easily be a sharp/square divide.  Maryland is off to a great start right now but beating Howard and a bad Syracuse team isn't that great.  I actually had them last week in that win over Cuse.  Temple is more than a capable team here and have a defense that can contain the Terms.  I also think Temple will have this game circled here now that Maryland has came on the scene an they are also coming off a bye 

I like the spot here for this Wake Forest team.  Yes, UNC is riding high right now but following those those last two games and now playing their first true road game will be a tough task.  Also I can't believe I'm saying this but Wake has a better offense than both South Carolina and Miami.  Also UNC was extremely lucky against Miami completing that 4th and 17 or else the game is over.  I think this is the perfect slip up for Wake Forest here

With this line now now hitting 3 this is a big time overreaction here.  They are saying the Denver is nearly a double digit favorite @ Denver?  I'm not buying into that at all.  Sure, Oakland has had their distractions, but I think now that AB is gone this time will rise to the occasion and ball out tonight.  I think they win this game outright

I think the Steelers are being undervalued here.  Yes, they lost Brown but I think that was for the better of the team.  I know Tomlin has had his struggles against the Patriots but I think they can easily keep it within this number here.  There are a lot of questions with the Patriots team with the loss of Gronk this season and Edelman another year older.  Both teams have solid defenses and I think Big Ben will be playing with a chip on his shoulder this season and wouldn't be surprised if the Steelers won outright

I just really like the hire here of Bruce Arians and believe he will make a ton of difference as we saw first hand in Arizona.  He can and will handle Winston and make him a better QB by cutting down on those turnovers.  I t the Bucs wi be a competitive team and it’s not like they don’t have any weapons around him.  49ers are a team that seems to get love with Jimmy under the helm but I’m just not sold.  He hasnt looked anything special this preseason.  I definitely think this line rises.  The only thing the Niners really have going for them in this situation is the later start.  I just believe we see a much improved Bucs team 

This is my favorite NFL play of the week.  If you have listened to my NFL win totals podcast you know I am down on the Rams this season.  I just don't think the Rams can repeat the season they had and I think Carolina will have a major bounce back.  The Panthers were rolling last season before Newton went down.  The defense for the Rams will take a step back this season and Carolina's offense will be even better now all healthy.  I think the wrong team is favored here in this game

I didn't think we would see this line drop so much.  I have to take Miami here now.  So UNC beat a South Carolina that was clearly over valued.  So give UNC some credit yes, but this line preseason would have been around the 10 range so clear value with Miami just based on 1 game.  We saw UNC celebrating like they won the ACC and Coach Brown was even crying.  I think Miami has a legit defense and Howell won't have as easy of time with this Miami team.  Also worth mentioning Miami is coming off a bye as well

I had this Tulane team in week 1 vs FIU and it was an easy winner as they dominated from the get go.  Tulane racked up nearly 500 total yards of offense.  Their game is clearly played on the ground  and I think they can move the ball on Auburn.  We saw a lucky Auburn team come back and somehow cover that game against Oregon as they covered for in the final minute of the game.  This is a major letdown here for Auburn IMO and doubt they will be really motivated here coming off that win.  

So Texas St was probably in over their heads in week 1 against a very good Texas AM squad.  I think this week sets up perfect for them to grab a win.  Even if they don't pull the upset I think very good chance they keep within a TD.  Wyoming coming off a huge win for them over Missouri but they were completely out played in that game but the ball literally bounced their way.  The Cowboys weren't a team that was expected to do anything this season and now it seems like a lot of respect given their way because of that win

The wrong team is simply favored here in this game.  SMU is getting a lot of credit for winning on the road at Arkansas St.  Arkansas St is facing an uphill battle this season as they are dealing with the death of the coaches wife.  SMU was +2 in the turnover and still only won a by a touchdown.  Also I love Fine , the QB for North Texas here and while some might say revenge here, NT blew them out of the water as only 3 point favorites.  I think they win this outright as well

I think this line is pretty short here all things considered.  UCLA was a 2.5-3 point dog @ Cincy a very well respected non power 5 team which means they would have been a 3 point favorite at home over them.  Well based on that performance we are seeing IMO another overreaction in the line here.  SDSU is only 4 point difference?  UCLA had a lot of bad momentum swings in that Cincy and 2 turnovers were simply because the QB dropped the ball.  I think they take care of business here and blow out this SDSU team who struggled with Weber St last week winning 6-0

Call me a sucker here but I will roll with Nebraska.  I think this is way too much an overreaction from last week.  Yes, the cornhuskers looked terrible on offense but I have to believe that part of that is because Frost didn't really want to show anything.  This is also the ultimate revenge spot here with Colorado coming into Lincoln last year and winning.

Colorado's defense was very poor against a bad Colorado St team.  They gave up over 500 total yards of offense which has to be a concern.  I think Nebraska can control the game and we see a whole different team from last week

I like this Maryland team here and a large part of that is because of Va Tech transfer QB in Jackson.  Maryland granted they played Howard, but they did score 79 points which is impressive.  Also a thing you look at is when a road ranked team is a dog to an unranked team.  If you just back that spot blindly over the years you would be extremely profitable.  Cuse is clearly down from that 10 win season last year and are struggling on offense and still are getting credit from that season

I was really impressed with Wake Forest even though I got bit buy the hook as they won by 3 over Utah St but not covering.  Wake put up nearly 600 yards of offense in this game and now face a very bad Rice team. Rice were 23 point dogs to Army last week and covered only losing by 7.  They are getting some respect because of that.  I just think that Wake will put up big numbers and name their score here.  

I will take the Indians for a bounce back here after getting swept by the Rays.  The Indians are right in the mix for the wildcard and can't afford losses too these bad teams.  Civale has been a bright spot for the Indians in 6 starts this season with a 1.96 ERA.   Detwiler for the Sox has struggled on the road with an ERA over 7. 

The Yankees are 6-1 SU their last 7.  The Yankees smoke lefties averaging over 6 runs a game and are facing Minor who is in rough form right now with an ERA over 6 his last 3 starts.  Tanaka has had his best stuff by far at home this season with a 7-2 record and 3.26 ERA. He is coming off his best start in a while as well and I look forward to that carrying over.

I will lay there juice here with the Twins who's bats are hot as they have won 7 of their last 8 games.  Odorizzi has had his best stuff on the road this season with a 7-4 record and 3.67 ERA.  He also owns great numbers against the Tigers with a 5-1 record and 3.05 ERA.

Zimmermann has yet to win a home game this season and has a 7.39 ERA.  He also hasn't had much luck against the Twins with a 6.89 career ERA.

I'm not sold on this Texas team this season and think they will have their hands full here.  I think people are giving them a ton of credit for beating Georgia in the bowl.  The major concern is with the defense in this game only returning 3 starters from a flat out terrible defense especially against the pass.  

With a veteran QB in Smith for the Bulldogs I expect them to put up some points on that Texas D.  This LA Tech team went on the road @ LSU last season and only lost by 17.  I don't see them being caught up in the moment here @ Texas in a night game.  Will take my chances with the veteran LA Tech offense vs the new Texas D.

I think this Virginia team has high hope this season to represent the Coastal to play Clemson for the ACC Title.  They have 14 starters back from a team that went 8-5 last year.  They could have easily won 9 in the regular season losing the last two games both in OT.  Their worst performance last season was at home vs this Pitt team and I guarantee they want that revenge.  Virginia returns 8 guys on defense  that was a top 20 unit.  

Pitt only returns 11 total starters  They were an average defense last year and below average on offense.  Even though they are at home I don't think Virginia's D will have any trouble shutting them down.  Pitt has been so one dimensional and I think we see a step back here from a team believe it or not played for the ACC title last season

I will admit little bummed I missed out on a better number here but I just can't ignore what I see on paper.  I think North Carolina is in for another brutal season.  This team only won two games last season and have a very inexperienced from 7 on defense which I think will hurt them big time.  I

South Carolina is a team that I think can surprise in the SEC East this season.  QB Jake Bentley is surrounded by solid weapons.  Their defense will improve a Toni because they were so young last season and also now are healthy.  The talent gap between these two teams are huge.  I think the Gamecocks roll UNC.  The Mack Brown experiment is soon to be over.

I think FSU is due for a prime bounce back year obviously.  They have Briles in @ OC now and that is a huge addition to this offense as he has had a lot of success everywhere he has been.  FSU by far has the better athletes and now in year 2 of Taggart you have to expect a major step forward. 

Even though Boise is now a house hold name and probably the best team in the Mountain West I think they will take a step back compared to most years.  They have to replace their all do everything in Rypien at QB.  While I'm not saying Boise isn't going to be good I just think they are out matched here and running into a very hungry team to start the season

I think Toledo is worth a look at this underdog price.  The Rockets will be the best team in the MAC.  They return 6 starters from an explosive offense and even though they lost some skilled players at WR, I think the return of QB Guadagni will provide the leadership to this team again.  

Kentucky is a team coming off a remarkable season going 11-2.  They just simply can't repeat that because they have lost so much especially on defense.  Their secondary is all new and they had to replace their stud LB Allen.  With only 4 starters back on that side of the ball, I think Toledo can move it down the field and score some points.  Also Kentucky their lost stud RB Snell to the draft as well.  For a team not use to having that much talent it's very hard for them to replace. 

I'm not calling for the upset but I don't see Toledo getting blown out here

I like this Wake Forest team this season with 13 returning starters and are coming off a nice bowl win over Memphis.  On offense I this team will still be solid as most people wouldn't have guessed but they finished ranked 28 total last year.  Defense is where they need to improve especially right away given the fact they are healthy.  

I think we see a step back here from Utah St.  Yes, they return their stud QB Love who is fun to watch, but he will have to carry the load the whole time and I don't see that happening as its just him with one other starter on offense.  I also think they are getting a little to much love because of their year last season that they went 11-2.  It's going to be an uphill battle for Utah St.

Rutgers won 1 game last year and it was their first and proceeded to lose 11 straight after that.  They did play well at the end of the season covering 5 straight games.  They return freshman QB Sitkowski who I think will make a nice step forward under 2nd year OC McNulty.  Umass though I expect to be just a bad team this season.  They return a total of 8 starters here and only 3 on defense that was horrible and gave up nearly 43 ppg.  Rutgers will score point here and look for Rutgers to be a nice ATS team this season

While FIU is coming off a very good season going 9-3 and they do return their leader Morgan @ QB. While FIU will be good on offense I think Tulane returning 8 starters will be able to slow them down and be much improved on that side of the ball.  The main key here though is that Tulane can run it down your throat.  They had a top 25 rushing attack last season and will again this season.  FIU only returns 3 of the front 7 and they struggled big time against the run last season and clearly they will again IMO.  

I like the Twins to get the 3 game sweep here over the White Sox.  Berrios is in terrible form I get it, but he has had his best stuff on the road with a 3.45 ERA and a 5-3 record.  The major thing here is that he has completely owned the White Sox in his career with a 9-2 record and 2.24 ERA.  

Cease is 3-6 on the year with a 5.58 ERA.  He has only faced the Twins once and was torched against them, giving up 5 earned runs in 5 innings

This won't be a popular play by any means but the Mariners are still 5-3 their last 8 games.  I think they avoid the sweep here by the Blue Jays for several reason.  First is the Mariners have their best pitcher on the mound and second Buchholz is making his first start since May.  Buchholz was getting roughed up before before he got hurt.  I see no reason he doesn't get early and often here

Had the Cardinals plus money yesterday on the RL in an easy winner and let’s go back to them here.  The are coming off a 13 hit 8 run game and are one of the the hottest teams in the league.  Hudson is 5-2 @ home and is in great form with 1.08 ERA his last 3 starts 

Have to take the Cardinals here in this spot.  Flaherty has been a machine here as of late as he brings in a .47 ERA his last 3 starts.  Lambert on the other hand has been just terrible.  He brings in a 9.64 ERA his last 3 starts, a 6.40 ERA on the road.  Cardinals are on the of the hottest teams around right now as well going 10-3 their last 13

I like McKay here to shut down the Blue Jays today.  They had a crazy come from behind win and I think that bolds well for momentum here today.  McKay was really impressive his last time out @ Boston and can handle this Blue Jay team.  Tampa has owned Toronto this season going 8-3 SU.

With the Yankees coming alive Sunday night and avoiding the 4 game sweep against their rival Boston I think we are getting a cheap price here on the RL.  Happ isn’t the greatest but he will get run support here. Clarke has a 6.92 ERA on the rod in 6 starts

The Cubs have been hot since All star break only losing one game.  They have the advantage here with Hendricks and the Padres are sliding only winning one game since the break.  Hendricks has his best stuff at home with a 4-1 Record and an ERA under 2

I'm going to take the RL here with the Dodgers.  That was a brutal way for the D Backs to lose last night in the bottom of the 9th.  

Buehler is coming off a terrible out which was @ Colorado and as well know that can happen @ Coors Field.  He is 3-0 at home in 7 starts with a 3.05 ERA.  

I don't trust Kelly here facing the Dodgers for his first time.  He isn't in good form by any means with a 5.29 ERA his last 3 starts. 

Nationals won easily yesterday 6-1 and see no reason they don’t follow that up with another one tonight with the lefty Corbin on the mound.   He is coming off a nice start against the Phillies and look for that to carry over

I will lay the RL here with Price and company.  The Red Sox won yesterday and racked up hits against the hottest pitcher in all of the game in Giolito.  I see no reason for the Red Sox here to pound Fulmer who is making this first start of the season.  

I will take the Cubs here to bounce back after getting roughed up in LA.  Hamels is really have ing a solid season with a 6-2 record.  This is crazy but he hasn't gave up an earned run in 3 straight starts.   He is also 2-0 at home with a 2.58 ERA. 

I love the Warriors here tonight.  Yes, Durant is out, but people are forgetting that he went down in the 1st quarter last game.  That was a damn impressive performance for them to hang on like they did.  This series is going 7 games no doubt in my mind.  I think the Warriors actually make a big statement tonight.

The Braves bats are red hot right now.  They won't have an issue at all going against Keller who was roughed up big time in his first ever start.  Soroka is 7-1 on the year for the Braves and while he might come down to reality a little bit, the fact is that the Braves should continue to tee off and provide a lot of run support.

Obviously Durant is a huge question mark here.  I just think the Warriors will show up here tonight.  Their role players are beyond due for a respectable game and now in a do or die situation I think they respond big time.  Klay and Curry each get it going and force game 6

I really love the Warriors here tonight.  There is no doubt the betting public will be all over the Raptors here given last game.  The warriors will figure out even with the guys out tonight.  Curry will put the team on his shoulders here and lead them to a victory 

I had the Warriors in a winner last game and will back them again here.  When they want to they are still by far the best team in the league.  They also have a huge home court advantage and now the momentumn of the series has totally shifted.  Boogie made a difference back in the lineup as well.  

I'm going to take a chance here with the Padres on the RL.  They had a break out game yesterday scoring 8 runs and I think that carries over here.  Eickhoff here for the Phillies isn't in great form at all with a 7.54 ERA his last 3 starts.

Paddack for the Padres is a sneaky one as he has a 2.40 ERA on the year, but brings his best stuff at home.  In 5 home starts he has an ERA of 1.42.  

Hendricks is really starting to come into his own.  He coming off a great performance against the Astros going 8 innings and only giving up 1 run.  He has been lights out at home as well with a 1.29 ERA in five starts.  

Hoffman has pitched 3 games so far this season and brings in a 7.20 ERA.  All 3 of those games were at home and none of them are great offenses.  

I’m going to roll with the raptors here in game 1.  I think the Raptors get this game here due to the fact the Warriors have had so much time off which is tougher than people realize.  The Raptors match up very well with Durant being out 

I have to take the Raptors here in this game tonight.  Based on what we have seen the last 3 games the Raptors have figured out the Bucks.  Kawahi has been the best player in the playoffs and I think he carries them to a victory here tonight.  I actually think this line goes up

NBA Playoffs Game Of The Year!

I love the Raptors here in this spot.  They have failed to cover in the first two games but actually should have won game 1 outright.  gre spot for a much needed win and I think they get it here.  I bel this series goes 6 or 7 anyways.  Raptors all day here!!

Portla let one slip away last game. Clearly this is a do or die Game here now if they want any hope of winning the series.  I do they respond here and get the job done.  CJ is due for a breakout game now and returning home only helps matter. 

Took the Warriors in game 1 in an easy winner and will do so again tonigh.  I think the no Durant has actually motivated this team to prove how good they actually are.  Sure Portland will play better but they have to shoot lights out which I don’t see happening 

I think the betting public will take Portland here based on what we saw last game.  Warriors have had more rest and also people forget that they are still damn good without Durant in the lineup.  I think the Warriors win game 1 fairly easy tonight 

I just think this Toronto team is better than Philly.  Both teams are actually in a different spot here than they are use to, but there is one player in which this isn't new.  That is Kawahi and I am trusting him to come through tonight. 

Denver is 39-9 at home this season.  I think they get the job done tonight.  They are coming off a game where they shot terrible from the field at 38% and were still in the game.  The only reason Denver lost game 2 at home was because they shot 34% and still only lost by single digits.  When this team comes to play they are just better than Portland and we will see that tonight