I love Wake Forest here in a great homerun spot tonight.  They are off back to back losses which both came on the road.  Both were by single digits and to quality teams in Miami and Louisville.  FSU has played a ton of close games I get it but they just dont have the players they are use to.  

Lets' take the Sooners here tonight.  This team is very talented and while Baylor is very very good I dont think they they should lay that many to a upper conference team especially given they will be getting everyones best shot.  OU has had two weird slip ups but I think in large part because they weren't interested.  

Big line here Auburn to be laying.  They are ranked 9th and are getting a little too much respect because of that.  They have only played two true road games.  Their most recent wasn't a great. performance at St Louis considering that their best player is out for the year.  Winning by double digits in conference is hard especially on the road. 

Good spot for the Mavs here.  I think the Nuggets being dogs here given how they are playing says it all.  They are without several players tonight including Morris who means a lot more to this team than he gets credit for.  

I like the Steelers here in what will be Big Ben's last home game on prime time in Monday night football.  I think it's fair to say that both of these teams are equal right now.  I mean the Steelers just beat the Titans two weeks ago.  Baker is just struggling big time and their fall here is worth noting.  I think Big Ben rises here.

Not surprised this line is so high but I just love the spot here for the Nets.  The Nets have dropped 2 straight and after their last game Durant was extremely frustrated afterwards.  I think they come out with a purpose tonight.  Also the Grizzlies have a lot of Covid issues going on 

I really like this Purdue team and I would grab futures on them winning it all. I also think the Badgers are sneaky here tonight.  Wisky doesn't have great athletes here but they play a style that can really be frustrating especially to teams that do have superior athletic ability.  Badgers muck this game up and keep it close. 

Give me the 2 win team in the Lions who just play hard.  I think it's clear now that the Seahawks have gave up on the year and that was clear last week as the Bears beat them.  What does Seattle exactly want to do here?  I dont see it at all.  Their offense has been bad and them laying 7 with literally nothing to play for give me the Lions who play hard.

I will lay this number with the Saints.  I think they are very undervalued here simply because of Monday Night with a 3rd or 4th stringer in Ian Book.  Let's not forget that these Saints won 9-0 @ Tampa, yes held the Bucs to 0!  They won't have trouble here against Carolina who I believe has quit now on the season.  They will be missing several key pieces on defense.  Saints are still in the playoff hunt and hungry.

I like the 3.5 here with Washington.  These teams just met two weeks ago and the line opened Philly -4.5 at Phily well the Covid went rapid for Washington and they had to sign a 3rd string QB to start.  It was a 10-10 game at half.  I think there is extreme value here especially since Washington was embarrassed on Sunday Night Football.  

I will lay it here with the Titans for two reasons.  First, is I love the spot for the Titans here going off a Thursday night win over the Niners and having the extra time while the Dolphins are off the Monday night game vs the Saints.  Second,  The Dolphins during this streak have benefitted from playing some of the worst QB's in the league.  Book, Wilson x2,Taylor, Glennon,.  These are their most recent 5 games.  I mean come on here.  I think a big step up here and the Titans do have a healthy Brown as we saw what he means to this offense.

I know this is very square pick here in taking the Rams.  Stafford wasn't impressive at all last week but this is more of a play against the Ravens here.  This team is just so banged up especially on defense and I'm not scared if Lamar goes all signs point to he is no where near 100% anyways.  Rams OL and DL will dominate both sides here.  I will lay the short price with the Rams 

I know the sharp money will be on the Bengals but I dont think this is the spot to fade the Chiefs.  The Bengals are over valued here because of what took place last week but mind that was vs 3rd string QB.  Bengals 2 weeks ago ended beating Drew Lock who is horrible also.  Go back another 2 weeks and they lose to Chargers and Niners at home both in good spots.  Chiefs are on fire playing for the 1 seed.  

I like the Jazz here tonight.  Most will grab the Warriors here and I think because the Jazz are on a back to back. The Jazz have only covered once in their last 8 games. Mitchell is back here as well and Green is out for the Warriors which is very key.  

I just believe that Wake Forest is overall the better team here and I believe they win this game outright.   Miami has taken care of business at home I get it but the fact they are short favorites here tells me Wake is the side you wanna be on.  

I'm going to lay it here with Cuse tonight.  Virginia just isn't the same team if you have watched them play.  They dont have the athletes they are use to having here and their style of play I think feeds into Cuse and their zone.  Cuse will swallow them and make it very difficult as they are already limited on offense. 

I like Seton Hall in this matchup.  Nova is a household name and they are good but they are being priced like one of the big boys and quite frankly they aren't this season.  I think Seton Hall makes a statement win today.

I like Baylor here in this game.  The Iowa St story is a very good one.  I think people are forgetting that Iowa took money and was favored by 4 even 4.5 here.  Baylor is obviously a legit team and have legit players.  Big step up in class for Iowa St and I think Baylor handles them.

The betting public will love them some Creighton here and the line having Marquette favored is all you need to know.  This is a perfect get right game here for Marquette and I think a must win and they do get it today.

I like the Thunder here catching points tonight against a Knicks team with several guys out including Randle.  the Thunder return home where they are much better this season going 11-6 ATS. Knicks playing their 3rd straight road games in 4 days 

The Rockets here are a bad team yes however, they are playing Miami who really has no one playing for them having over 10 players out for Covid.  I just think you have give credit toward the Rockets and their familiarity within the team.

Like the Mavs here in this game.  These teams just played and the Mavs lost by 1.  Mavsa do have some cover issues and even with that and them being a favorite here tells me they are the right side.  

I like the Blazers here tonight with the Jazz best player in Mitchell being out.  The Blazers have some injuries themselves but being this big of a underdog I dont think is warranted. The Jazz will be popular but they have failed to cover in 6 straight games.  

I will take Indiana here tonight.  I think they will be hungry for revenge after losing two close games earlier this season.  The Pacers at home are just a different team and underrated.  Hornets are just 9-13 on the road this season,. 

Maybe this is a public dog here in the Thunder but the value I can't pass up on.  The thunder are by far playing their best basketball right now.  If you have followed me enough you know that I like to back the bad teams when they are hot because the books don't really adjust to them.  Thunder have covered 6 straight games and are 4-2 SU.  Kings are just 2-7 SU their last 9 games. 

The Lakers have dropped 5 straight games and Davis is going to be out for a while.  I'm just putting my faith here in LeBron to put a beat down on one of the top 3 worst teams in league.  Also not a great spot for the Rockets with this being their first home game back from a 5 game road trip.

This is strictly a play on the Sixers because of the Covid situation with the Raptors.  They are missing almost 10 players which is pretty much their whole roster.  Evidence that the Raptors are hurting?  They lost their last game by nearly 50 points.  

I will overreact here and take the Nets as I know everyone else will be also but I dont think the line has been adjusted enough considering PG and Kawhi are both out.  Clippers will just struggle big time on offense.  Nets have plenty of weapons and we saw that Christmas Day destroying the Lakers.  Not the greatest spot for the Nets, but the lack of players for the Clippers I have to go against them

I will take the Grizzlies here catching a lot of points.  Suns are off a tough Christmas Day game in which they lost to the Warriors.  I just think those situations are harder to bounce back from especially the first game after.  Ja is back for the Grizzlies.  Grizzlies are one of the hottest teams in the league going 11-4 SU their last 15.

I know I grabbed a good number here with Dolphins but I would still lay it.  Sure, the Saints beat the Bucs last week but it was 9-0 with Hill at QB.  This offense still has a lot of work to do and now given their QB situation for this game facing a very underrated Miami defense I think it's an uphill battle.  I would still lay the -3

I grabbed this one early before the Covid news hit the Chiefs.  I still like the current number even though I got the worst of the number.  I simply think Big Ben and the Steelers here cooked and quite frankly they have guys out as well.  The Chiefs defense is dying around right now and Big Ben IMO will give them 2 turnovers.  I think Pringle and Hardman are good enough for Mahomes to rely on.  

This line quite frankly makes no sense.  So the Raiders go off as the favorite on Monday night vs a Browns team with a depleted roster and 3rd string QB.  They needed a late second FG to win outright which isn't an impressive win at all.  Denver was favored over the Bengals by 3 who are way better than the Raiders.  If Cincy were at Las Vegas the Bengals would be favored big time.  Value here with the Broncos.  I know Lock is playing QB but they win outright.  Also the Broncos will want revenge here from a loss earlier and that was because of the Gruden letting go situation.  

I will take the Bears here in this game.  The Bears offense really struggled in the reds zone on Monday night but man did Fields make some plays. I believe this is the dream crusher spot here for the Seahawks.  First, they played on Tuesday in a division game and now are eliminated from the playoffs which I believe is very difficult for them to rise up here.  We have a struggling offense in Seattle laying nearly a full TD?  Give me the Bears 

Give me the full 3 here with the Ravens.  The Ravens have lost 3 straight games but a combined 5 points.  Two of those losses came down to 2 pt conversions at the end of the game and they failed in both.  I think Baltimore is very underrated given those losses.  Ravens have a sour taste in their mouth after the first meeting in which Cincy destroyed them.  I loved what I have seen from Huntley the backup if he goes.  Ravens win outright 

Odds makers are tilting their hand here with who they believe IMO.  The whole world saw a couple weeks ago that the Patriots beat the Bills @ Buffalo on Monday Night.  Why wouldn't they make this 3 knowing they would get Patriots money.  Bills in a lot better weather conditions here which I think means something a lot.  Give me Buffalo for another division revenge

I know it's a weird spot for the Eagles here after playing on Tuesday against another division rival.  I believe that game was misleading as the Eagles doubled up on Washington in that game.  The Giants are probably starting 3rd stringer in Fromm and I just believe they are throwing in the towel for the season now.  Philly has the best rushing offense and the #11 overall defense.  Giants are just a mess and I have no problem laying it here with Philly. 

This is the ultimate buy low sell high spot as you are going to see.  The Colts beat the Patriots last Saturday to really make a late push here for the playoffs.  The Cardinals had a horrible game losing to the Lions outright.  Cardinals couldn't have looked any worse.  Great bounce back spot for AZ who now really needs this game.  

Give me the Browns here in this game in a do or die situation for them as far as making the playoffs.  They had a hard fought effort with a 3rd stringer Monday night and came up short late.  Baker and Landry are back which is a big boost.  I actually think they can really run the ball on the Packers.  7.5 is a lot here take the Browns 

This is more of a gut play here I will admit because this is an interesting spot to me.  Yes, we know the Nuggets are better than the Thunder no doubt about it.  Most will argue that rest is a good thing and while I agree as a whole the Nuggets have had a ton of time off 4 days in fact which is so rare that you see this.  They aren't motivated here tonight playing @OKC either with a home game tomorrow night.  Thunder are playing hard currently winning 2 in a row and covering 3 straight.  

I know the Cavs are red hot right now but they are missing a ton of players tonight pretty much all the starters but 1 in fact.  Boston is missing players also but still have their big 2 playing in Tatum and Brown and I believe that is the difference. 

I think this game should be a PK.  Marquette has lost 3 of 4 and I believe that the reason that we are catching points here tonight.  All 3 of those losses are to tournament teams though and while UConn is a good team they shouldn't favored by this many on the road. 

I like the spot here for Washington tonight.  They get several guys back on defense here which I believe is key.  I think most are going to look at the QB position but lets face it did Washington have a top 15 QB to begin with? Nope.  We have a division game here and both teams need it like crazy.  I dont want any part of Philly laying this many against a decent team.  

Hornets put forth a lack luster effort last night at the Suns.  I like backing teams on a back to back after coming off an ugly performance.  Jazz have dropped 2 straight at home and maybe this is the stretch to fade them.  

I know I'm getting the worst of the number here but quite frankly I dont care.  I think people will look at the Bears effort last week vs Green Bay as a nice one.  While it was, the Bears did have several home run plays which just dont happen during the game.  The Vikings played on Thursday and having that extra time I love here.  The Vikings I believe just will control the game and I think that was a nice momentum win for Minnesota as they are very much alive.

Only way to play this game and it's pretty simple.  The Grizzlies handed the Thunder the wort loss in the NBA history at the beginning of the month losing by 73.  If that doesn't serve for enough motivation here I don't know what does.  Give me the Thunder

Give me the Steelers here and Tomlin with their backs against the wall.  Pitt is still playing hard and evidence was last Thursday when getting destroyed at the Vikings they climbed back into that game and gave themselves a shot.  Pitt just beat the Ravens 2 weeks ago.  Titans I want nothing to do with as they are still missing players across the board.  The Titans didn't look good last week even though they won 20-0.  The Titans can afford a loss here as they return their key players next week.  I think an all out effort here from Pitt gets it done.

I will take the Lions here in this spot.  So the Lions got blown out at Denver last week and I had the Broncos.  Well, the Lions were off their first win and then cover issues took over that game.  I think now is the great spot to back them though.  We are getting 13.5 with the Cardinals on a short week. Also Hopkins has been shut down for the season and Conner is highly questionable.  I dont see the effort level being there with the Cardinals.  I love Detroit here.

I think the Jets are in a sneaky good spot here.  The Jets may have lost 30-9 last week but that was a 13-6 game going into the 4th quarter.  The Jets ended up getting exposed on the ground well Miami might be without their top 3 RB's because of Coivd and are. by far without their best player in Waddle.  The Jets played Miami tough in the first meeting as it was tied going into the 4th.  Give me all the points here

I'm going to lay it here with the Jags. This whole Urban Meyer story I believe will actually make the Jags wake up and perform their best.  They clearly hated this guy as their coach.  This is nothing but a positive here for the rest of the Jags team.  Their numbers are better than the Texans across the board anyways,  The Texans are starting Davis Mills who is the worst starting QB in the league.  Lay it with the Jags 

I think a good spot here for Iowa to get back on track.  They have lost 3 straight games but they were all to ranked teams including 2 in the top 15.  Iowa has played at this venue before so for sure an upper hand.  Utah St's best player Justin Bean is also questionable 

Auburn is just a really good team.  I think St Louis is also but without their best player this one will be tough for them to over come.  St Louis getting some respect from a fluky cover over BC last game.  Auburn wins by double digits.

I really like the Colts here in this game.  The Patriots no doubt will be the most bet public dog this week and those always are a cause for concern and when I look to play against them.  I know the Patriots are vastly improved but man their schedule has been so easy you can't ignore it.  I also think the Patriots on the turf will struggle here.  The Colts are 6-2 SU their last 8 games playing as good as anyone.  I think the Colts run offense will be the difference here.  

This is a neutral court game here and while Houston is a good team they shouldn't be laying nearly double digits to a athletic squad like the Cowboys.  The Cowboys have 3 losses and none of them have been by double digits 

I really like this Dayton team and they have some impressive wins.  I think the betting public will gladly take them as the underdog here against an Ole Miss team who isn't highly thought of.  Ole Miss wins by 8

Clemson is the better team here but not by much.  To much is being put on them being home here in this rivalry game.  South Carolina has nice wins or WKU UAB and Florida St.  I believe they keep it close here

Another Big East game here that is simply too many points.  I think both of these teams are extremely equal and yet we are getting 8?  Take Providence and use them in your Round Robin ML

Grab this one now.  UAB is a very good team and I think they handle their own here against WVU.  This will be WVU first true road game and I believe they lose this one easily tonight. 

I am shocked by this line being so high.  I really didn't expect this so maybe I am missing something but I will gladly take Marquette here.  I think Xavier covering 6 straight thas played into this also plus to beat Cincy by 20.  10 is too many here.

I'm going to keep riding the Lakers as I have mentioned here the last few games.  They are off a big OT win @ Dallas.  I also think LeBron in a weird way will wanna prove something tonight as Westbrook is out of the lineup.  I know the betting public will be on the Lakers with me but as I have said I fully expect a winning streak here and we will continue to back them

This is just a dream spot here for the Celtics as I believe the Warriors will be sluggish.  So after their close game at Indiana they had weather issues and couldn't get to New York that night.  They play the Knicks just two nights ago and it was emotional as Curry was going for the record which he broke.  I think now is big let down spot here.

Alright I'm going to take the Hawks here tonight.  This team has lost 5 straight home games but the reason is because the Nuggets are clearly hurting with all their injuries and the depth right now.  Hawks are a little desperate right now so I believe we get a good effort.  

I'm going to lay it here with the Chiefs.  I know this is a public play because of how hot the Chiefs have been playing.  Their defense has been so good quite frankly not talked about enough here.  They have held their opponents to under 20 points for 6 straight games.  They also want revenge here after losing to the Chargers earlier this season.  Chargers defense here is no good as they give up a ton a big plays. I think with the Chargers winning and covering their last 2 games is keeping this line low.  Lay it with the Chiefs. 

I like the Wolves here tonight.  They are coming off a road win at Portland and having two days off here I think we get max effort.  They lost a close one earlier this season at home so I believe the revenge is very much in play here.  Also, the Nuggets have been team banged up with injuries are getting respect because they have won 3 of 4 but those came against the Pelicans, Spurs and Wizards.

I will take the Pacers here and I think you might get a better line if you wait but I think they win this game regardless.  The Bucks are so short handed right now even if Middleton does play tonight.  Their bench will be so short and this is their first game back after a road trip.  Pacers are playing extremely well winning 3 of their last 4 with their most recent loss being by just 2 to the best team in the league in the Warriors. Pacers win outright.

I think now is the time to start backing the Lakers.  LeBron is back in the lineup and with them pretty much playing .500 I think they have a ton of value.  This team will get right and go win 12 of 15 and I wanna be on them during that stretch. Luka is out tonight for the Mavs.

I know the Blazers are slipping but I think they rise up here tonight in a good spot.  the Suns played last night in a losing effort vs the Clippers.  The Suns were -5 at home vs Portland so without Booker they are -3.5 on the road?  Doesn't add up.  I will take Portland to show up here in a big game.

I really like Arkansas St here tonight vs Texas Tech.  The Red Raiders are playing well only losing 1 game so far and are off a big win over Tennessee.  Arkansas Stt isn't a push over though with a 7-2 record.  The thing here though is that Tech has Gonzaga on deck.  Give me the 24.5 tonight. 

I know this pick is square but I dont care here.  Whenvever superstars go to Madison Square Garden they are always motivated so you can expect Curry to show up and put on a show.  The Warriors are great but in terms of covering recently they have only covered 2 times inhale last 7 games.  The Knicks I simply can't back as they have lost 6 of 7.  

I like the Broncos here.  We are getting the Lions off an all out effort and their first win of the season.  The Broncos are off one of the most misleading games of the week.  they outplayed the Chiefs and held that offense to just 15 points.  Broncos should have covered that game easily but since they didn't its a discount here.  Denvers defense is playing well and I think given the spot can really shut down their opponent here.

I really like the Raiders here this week and this is a role they are so good in.  They are 5-1 ATS their L6 games as a road underdog.  The Raiders have lost 4 of their last 5 but their one win was as a 7.5 point dog t the Cowboys on Thanksgiving.  They are just a different team when catching a lot of points.  They have lost several coin flips like last week also.  Raiders are still better than Denver and these lines are the same as last week.  Chiefs offense wasn't that impressive as they needed a late pick 6 to get into the 20's.  

I must be missing something here with this game.  I think this game should be a PK.  I mean the Falcons didn't cover last week by they were only down 17-20 vs Bucs at half and didn't score at all the 2nd half.  They were only outgunned by 47 yards.  Too much respect for Carolina off the bye.  McCaffrey is done for the year once again and what is there to exactly like?  Darnold has been horrible.  Panthers have lost 4 straight home games.  Give me the Falcons here

Cowboys are off extra time winning and covering Thursday night vs the Saints.  They weren't impressive at all and need a couple late game turnovers that helped put it away.  Dak to me doesn't look right at all.  The Cowboys are just 2-3 SU their last 5 games with the two wins being the Saints and Falcons.  Washington I had in a winning effort last week.  Their defense is really playing very good right now holding 4 of their last 5 games to under 20 points.  In this league that is very impressive.  

The look ahead here was 6.5 and sure it has crossed 7 but I love Seattle here.  The Seahawks showed me a lot of fight last week in that win over the Niners and the Texans well they showed me a lot of quit.  I think that was the throwing in the towel moment last week as they scored zero.  Seattle still under valued because of their record and we all know in large part because of Russ injuries.  He finally looked healthier last week.

Plug your nose here with this game. The Saints here are bingo priced as if they are a top. half team in the league and there is no way they are.  The Eagles last week were -6.5 so odds makers are saying that the Saints and Eagles are almost equal?  Not buying it.  Saints have bad injuries across the board on defense.  Saints have lost 5 straight so you have to winder where their heads are.

I'm going to grab this one before it hits 3.  This is the homer spots of homer spots here for the Browns.  They are off their bye week and prior to that was their game Sunday night @ Baltimore.  It was a very close game they could have won despite getting no help from Baker.  The bye week came at a perfect time.  I also believe that the Browns know this is a must win here.  You can't drop below .500 right now or the season is over.  The Ravens haven't looked right in a while not scoring over 20 points for a month plus.  

I will back TCU here.  Texas Am has over achieved so far this season.  The Aggies were picked by most to finish last in the SEC.  I was extremely impressed with TCU last game vs Utah as they really took it to them.

I mean Notre Dame has shown no signs here that make me want to back them even though I know there betting public will be on Kentucky also.  ND has lost 3 straight and 4 of their last 5.  I think Kentucky is a young and talented team and they won't be over looking. 

Some steam here on AZ.  While Zona is one of the most improved teams in the country I dont think they should be favored here in this game.  I like Illinois to win this game outright.  Cockburn will be reason why. 

Wrong team is favored here in this game.  I think Drake is simply undervalued here because they haven't covered 7 straight games.  This team is very good and are a border line top 25 team.  

I will take the Celtics here to finish out their road trip.  They covered last game for me vs the Clippers losing by 3.  Weird situation here as the Suns have had 3 days off while most will make the case great rest spot I think it sets up for being flat out of the gate especially since Booker is out.  Celtics are more urgent here so I expect them to jump on a lead early

I mean there has to be a buy really buy low spot on the Lakers here soon if not the start of tonight.  I knew it would take some time for them to gel but following last nights ugly loss I think that is the wake up call they needed.  Thunder did beat LA twice this season and both games were very chippy to say the least.  I think this sets up for a big time Lakers performance.  

Just a weird one here tonight and you have to take Iowa.  The Hawkeyes have lost 2 straight games but both to tournament teams in Purdue and Illinois.  Iowa was in both of those games intact which is impressive.  So Iowa St has been by far the most improved team in the country coming off a 2 win season last year.  The line is telling you everything you need to know here as the home team is undefeated catching points and they are ranked. 

I will take the Sixers here as the home dog.  Both teams are playing very well here and are off back to back games.  Utah flat out embarrassed the Sixers winning by over 30 in thirst. meeting.  Those type of losses in the NBA dont get forgotten.  I think Philly responds here and wins this outright.

I will take the points here with Seton Hall as I think they should be favored here.  Seton Hall has played some really good competition as they have a big road win at Michigan and only a 3 points loss on a neutral vs Ohio St.  Texas is good yes but top 10 good?  Their only competition was Gonzaga and they lost by double digits.  Outside of that they haven't played anyone and that was their only true road game.  

The Celtics played horrible last night in a losing effort to the Lakers.  I love the quick turn around here with zero travel tonight vs the Clippers.  No one will want anything to do with the Celtics following last nights loss.  

Wrong team favored here in this game tonight.  Kansas St is a team that most have gotten wrong as they are improved a lot.  They are off a big win over Wichita St and I will pay to see it again for them.  Marquette off a Nast loss to Wisconsin which I think is a great bounce back spot here.

In a rare case here that I will lay it with Michigan St.  I think if this game were played two weeks ago this line would be double digits.  Everyone and I mean everyone had Minnesota pegged as the worse team in the Big 10.  They have surprised yes but a huge step up in class tonight.  I will lay with Sparty. Their only two losses are to Kansas and Baylor.

Grab this now.  I believe this crashes throughout the day.  The Grizzlies are hot I get it and the Mavs blew a game last night against the Nets.  But they are dogs here tonight and Ja Morant is out?  No way should that be.  Mavs put forth an effort here and wouldn't be shocked to see a win outright.

I am really confused here on this line, wrong team is favored here.  Utah has two losses but both to ranked teams in USC and BYU, nothing to hang your head on there.  TCU has played a very easy schedule so far and this is their toughest test.  I thin because Utah has only covered once in the last 5 games is why.  

I was hoping for a hair shorter price here in this game but will take SMU still.  Everyone is going to remember that Dayton recently has beat Miami Fl and Kansas.  This is their first true road test of the season and SMU is a perfect 7-0 at home.  

I think both of these teams are pretty much equal.  You know that the betting public will be all over the Badgers here given their blowout win over Marquette and they are ranked.  Hoosiers match up very well against Wisky here.  Take the points.

I'm confused here why Saint Louis is favored again.  I know they have a good record but this team stepping up in competition.  I had UAB against them in a winning effort last game and I think St Louis is going to be up against it at home when playing good teams.  Remember this team is without their best player.  

This is an easy play here for me taking Tennessee.   I have been very impressed with this team so far.  I thought their last game was a tough spot and I went against them in a losing effort @ Colrado but they won easily by double digits.  I think on a neutral they are just much better.  Tech is down compared to years past teams.  

I like Nebraska here tonight.  Michigan was a team that most had high hopes for this season but they dont pass the eye test at all if you have watched them.  Their only true road game they were blown out at tNorth Carolina last week.  Their 3 losses were against the 3 best teams thtey have played.  Giving me 7.5 with the Cornhuskers here I like this quite a bit. 

I will lay it here with the quick revenge.  These teams literally just played less than a week ago.  New Mexico St was lying 10.5 and lost outright.  I think here they bounce back with a big effort.  They are the much better team 

I think the world and the betting public are all over the the Patriots.  I give them credit yes and everyone says well the they keep improving.  Everyone is putting Mac Jones on this pedestal and quite frankly he doesn't deserve that all.  I just think Buffalo is undervalue now and going into the season we all knew the Bills were the team to beat in this division and they still are.  Now Im getting them at home under FG?  Lay the 2.5 or the 3.

I really like the Nuggets here tonight.  The Bulls are off a huge win over the Nets setting up for a let down here.  Bulls are without White and Caruso tonight which are both big losses to the Guard position.  Jokic is back for the Nuggets and they are just a different team with him in there.

It sounds like Iowa's leading scorer and #2 NCAAB scorer Keegan Murray is playing tonight.  I will lay it here with the Hawkeyes.  They were without him last game and had a legit shot to win @ Purdue who is #1 now.  I think Iowa so far has surprised several and Illinois might still have some of their big names but they aren't passing the eye test to me.  

Alright we are seeing a huge overreaction here in this line.  The Ravens were laying less at home on a primetime game vs the Browns than they are that should be your first pause.  This is big time rivalry game in which the underdog has dominated.  Pitt looked horrible last week and were destroyed by division rival Bengals.  I think a great buy low spot here on the Steelers.  The Ravens were very lucky to not only win but cover Sunday night.   Lamar has looked horrible.  The offense is hasn't scored over 20 for 3 straight weeks.  Give me the live home dog here.