NBA PLAY OF THE DAY

The Bulls have lost 4 in row and during that stretch that have failed to cover in all 4 of those.  They key here is that Jimmy Butler is expected to return which they badly need.  Rockets have no business being favored here with a 13-17 road record.  The Bulls will be extra motivated as they are actually outside the playoffs if ended today.  The Bulls have also had 2 days off to get back on track.  Rockets are 1-4 ATS L5 game following a SU win.  I really believe the Bulls will put forth a huge effort here.

I really think Cal is being over valued here since they have covered 8 in a row and just had a close loss @ Arizona.  The question is how much do they have left in the tank and will they be interested in tonight's game?  These two teams have already met and Cal was only favored by 7 then which means this game should be closer to a pick em but it's clearly inflated due to the recent success of Cal 

We are getting excellent value here with USC who is 16-1 @ home this season.  Oregon is being way over valued to their ranking and also the fact they have have 4 in a row but 3 of those were @  home.  Oregon was just 3 point favorites @ UCLA who isn't as good as USC.  Also these two teams have already played @ Oregon where Oregon won by 8 but were only favored by 4.  So taking that into consideration USC should really be favored here but we are seeing a big over reaction here toward the Ducks.  USC is 15-5-1 ATS L21 home games 

Really like the value here with the home team Davidson as they are 14-1 @ home with their only loss coming to VCU.  Davidson is coming off back to back losses which is giving us the good price here.  Davidson has covered 4 out of their L5 games though.  Davidson is 5-1-1 ATS L7 games following a SU loss.  Davidson is 5-1 ATS L6 games vs team with a winning record. 

West Virginia is coming into this winning 3 straight and covering all 3 of them.  Baylor comes in losing 2 of its last 3 but their losses were to Kansas and @ Oklahoma.  I really like the effort I saw from Baylor @ Oklahoma as they were down 20 and actually came back and took the lead with 4 minutes in the game.  They will be eager to get revenge on West Virginia here on senior day.  Baylor is 5-1-1 ATS L7 following a SU loss 

EARLY MORNING BLOWOUT WINNER

I must say this line really surprised me.  Tennessee is going to be without their best player and one of the best in the SEC in Kevin Punter.  Also their other guard Hubbs is questionable so clearly even if he goes he isn't 100%.  Ole Miss can't afford a loss here as they still have a chance to make the tourney, but will need a decent showing in the SEC Tournament next week.  I believe they realize this and will put forth a good effort behind Moody.  Ole Miss is 5-2-1 L8 road games. 

Both teams are riding winning streaks coming into this game.  Vandy is getting a little to much respect for being a 3-8 road team.  Vandy is coming off a blowout win over Tennessee and also beat Kentucky last week.  They also thumped Texas AM @ Vandy so the Aggies will be looking for revenge here today.  Texas Am has a chance to tie for the conference with Kentucky as well.  So the fact they have that and Vandy already beat them there is plenty of motivation here.  Vandy is 3-7 ATS L10 road games vs team with a winning home record.  Texas AM is 16-1 @ home!  The Aggies are 8-3 ATS L11 home games vs team with a losing road record. 

ESPN SHOWDOWN

I really believe this is a good spot here to back to Cavs who will be extra motivated playing tonight after having 3 days off.  Also the Cavs just lost @ Washington last week, but that was without LeBron and I really look for him to make a statement tonight on the National TV stage.  The Cavs won't be a popular choice like they always are since they have only covered 2 out of their last 8.  Also the Wizards have been winning games but it has been against bad competition.  Out of the Wizards L10 road games they have gave up 100 points or more 7 times and that's not counting the 99 and 98 so clearly they have defense issues especially on the road.  I realize Love is out as well but that doesn't worry me as the Cavs are fresh here.  

When you see a very strange line like this it requires looking into.  The Grizzlies have won 4 of 5 and are 22-9 @ home yet only favored by 1 over the Jazz who have lost 4 in row?  Doesn't make much sense... The Grizzlies have really benefited here from having an easy schedule with Gasol being out.  Also the Jazz are fighting for the 8th spot in the West and I really believe they will be extra motivated tonight to end this skid.  The Jazz will present problems for the Grizzlies down low without Gasol.  Also their best defender in Tony Allen is out tonight.  The Jazz will bounce back here tonight and get the W 

There is still a lot of respect given here to Portland who has been impressive.  I believe most people will look at this as a bounce back spot, but this is their 5th road game in 7 days.  Also we saw what the Celtics did to the trailblazers last out and that is largely in part of their defense.  The Raptors play defense as well and I see Portland struggling again tonight.  Raptors are 8-3 ATS L11 home games.  Another key here is that as the season winds down Toronto will be giving max effort to keep their 2 seed so that can dodge the Cavs until Eastern Conference Finals

LATE NIGHT BLOWOUT ATS

We are getting a great short price favorite with Arizona St here who is 10-5 @ home, meanwhile Stanford is just 2-6 on the road.  Stanford is being over valued as they are due for a huge let down here.  They are coming into this game beating USC and UCLA @ home and meanwhile have @ Arizona on deck.  Arizona St has lost 4 in a row but 3 were on the road and to all the top teams in teams in the conference. I see a big bounce back here Arizona St tonight.  Stanford is 3-13 ATS L16 road games vs team with a home winning percentage greater than 60%.  The favorite in this series is 5-0-1 ATS L6 games. 

After really looking over this closely I decided to make a play with the Thunder.  Everyone knows about their game last Saturday where Curry hit the game winner.  Also the Thunder blew a huge 4th quarter lead vs the Clippers last night and I expect Durant and Westbrook to be on a mission tonight.  The Thunder dominated the glass out rebounding the Warriors by 30 yes 30!!!!  Also Curry was 12-16 from the three point line, while everyone knows he is unbelievable I doubt we see 12 threes from him and he isn't exactly 100%.  They key in the game was turnovers Thunder turned it over 22 times while the Warriors only did 11.  That was also what hurt the Thunder late last night.  I really believe they will clean it up and bounce back here as they know this is a huge game.  Warriors are 4-10-1 ATS L15 games playing on 1 day rest.  

THURSDAY UNDERDOG SPECIAL

I'm very surprised by this line tonight between two top teams in the American.  Houston isn't getting enough respect here and I believe it's solely base on their name.  Houston is 14-3 @ home and are coming off a nice win @ UConn as a 9.5 point dog.  They are still in the tournament conversation as well is Cincinnati.  They key here tonight is look at Cincy's last game @ East Carolina they struggled with a bad team because two starters were out.  Well those two starters are out again tonight and I seem them struggling with a motivated Houston team here.  Cincy is 2-5 ATS L7 road games. 

Under the Radar Game

We are getting really good value here with Penn St who is a very solid 10-3 @ home.  These two teams have already met and Penn St won by 9 @ Northwestern as a 9.5 point dog.  I don't see them have any trouble with Northwestern tonight.  Also this line is low due to the fact Northwestern blew out Rutgers and Penn St got blown out by Michigan St.  Throw away the Michigan St game and Penn St has won 4 out of their L5.  I look for them to take care of Northwestern again.  Northwestern is 1-8-1 ATS L10 meetings @ Penn St.  

There are a few things here why we are getting a great short home price with Temple as they are tied for first in the conference with SMU.   Memphis is coming off a big home win over Tulsa by 10 points as a dog and also Memphis just beat Temple and that is why we are getting the value here.  Temple will be more motivated than ever here @ home where they are 10-3 this season.  Memphis is just 1-7 in true road games and you can't trust them here.  Memphis is 7-19 ATS L26 following an ATS win.  Memphis also just 6-15 ATS L21 road games vs team with a winning home record.  

NBA MARQUEE MATCH UP

The Thunder are getting a little to much respect here as they come into this game blowing out the Kings.  Since all star break the Thunder are just 2-4 SU.  In their only match up so far this season the Thunder made a huge come back @ the Clippers and I don't see the Clippers letting them do that tonight.  Also the Thunder have a big rematch look ahead game with the Warriors tomorrow night.  I really look for the Clippers to be focused here tonight and get it done.  Thunder are 2-8 ATS L10 following a SU win.  Thunder just 3-10 ATS L13 road games.  Clippers are 13-3-2 ATS L18 games following an ATS loss.  Clippers also 6-1 ATS L7 home games vs team with a winning record. 

SEC ATS BLOWOUT

Arkansas is getting way to much respect here as they have won 3 in a row.  Alabama really needs to win this game, not because it will get them in the tourney but a loss would easily eliminate them from the talks.  Alabama has lost 2 of its last 3 but is 7-3 its last 10.  Arkansas also just won its 2nd game on the road for the season making them 2-11 in road games.  No way you can trust them to win back to back road games in this spot.  Alabama is 21-6 ATS L27 games following an ATS loss. 

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY!

I was against Portland last night and will be against them again tonight.  They are obviously a hot team and are 8-2 ATS L10 but last night they benefited from New York shooting a pathetic 37% @ home.  This is a tough spot here for Portland as the Celtics are no joke.  This will be Portland's 4th game in 5 days and all on the road. They are due for a major let down tonight and the Celtics are the team to do it with how they play defense.  Boston has won 4 of 5 so it's not like they are playing bad ball right now.  Celtics are 5-0 ATS L5 games vs team with a winning record.  Portland is just 4-13-1 ATS L18 road games vs a team with with a winning percentage greater than .60  

ACC PLAY OF THE MONTH

The odds makers are clearly telling you that they don't trust Miami here even though they are ranked in the Top 10.  Miami is coming off back to back big home wins over Virginia and Louisville and are due for a let down here.  Notre Dame is coming off an ugly loss @ Florida St giving them the perfect bounce back spot @ home after  3 consecutive road games where Notre Dame is 13-1 this season.  Miami just 2-5 ATS L7 road games.  Notre Dame 5-0-1 ATS L6 games following an ATS loss. 

Virginia Tech simply isn't getting enough credit here tonight.  They are 6-2 as a home underdog this year and have covered 7 straight @ home as well.  Their only 2 losses @ home in the conference has came to North Carolina by 5 in which they should have won and Louisville by 8.  Pitt is getting a lot of love because they just beat Duke by 14 on Sunday.  This is a hard spot for Pitt to back that performance up.  This is actually the first time Pitt has been favored on the road in a conference game this season.  Pitt is 5-21 ATS L26 games following an ATS win.  Virginia Tech is 4-0 ATS L4 home games vs team with winning record.

BIG TEN PLAY OF THE YEAR! 

Iowa comes into this game losing 3 in a row but all of them weren't decided until the final minutes of each game.  Iowa still can still tie for the Big Ten title and I fully expect a big bounce back here on senior night.  This is a huge game for the Hawkeyes who will be looking for revenge here.  I'm still not sold on Indiana as they have benefited from the easiest Big Ten schedule and Iowa has had the hardest.  Indiana is 9-25 ATS L34 following an ATS win.  Iowa is 5-0 ATS L5 home games vs a team with a winning record.  Indiana is also 0-4 ATS L4 games @ Iowa 

There is no doubt that Portland is one of hottest teams in the league besides the Warriors.  This will be Portland's 3rd road game in 4 days.  The Knicks are coming off an ugly double digit loss @ home vs the Heat and expect them to respond here tonight.  These teams met back in December @ Portland and the Knicks were only 3.5 point dogs at their place and they came away with the win.  So clearly now being 5.5 point dogs @ home they are presenting good value here.  Portland is 4-10-1 ATS L15 game in New York 

ACC UNDERDOG SPECIAL 

Virginia will be getting all the public money here as they come off a big win over North Carolina.  I really don't trust how Virginia will respond as we saw North Carolina last night only beat Syracuse by 5.  Also Virginia has a huge game on deck with Louisville coming to their place.  Clemson is a very strong home going 13-3 with wins over Duke Louisville Miami & Pitt.  Clemson is no joke @ home and they are on the outside looking in but another big quality win like this would go a long ways.  Clemson is 6-1 ATS L7 following a SU loss.  Clemson is 10-3 ATS L13 games vs team with a SU winning record.  Virginia is 0-4-1 ATS L5 meetings @ Clemson

I believe we are getting good value here with Florida @ home who has lost their last 3 games and also lost their last 2 home games which has created the value.  Florida though is 12-3 @ home as I said with two consecutive losses and I highly doubt they lose 3 in a row.  Kentucky is getting to much respect here as they are just 3-7 ATS  on the road this season.  I really believe Florida has a strong bounce back performance tonight.  

NBA Underdog Special

This game here is more about motivation.  The Rockets are coming off a loss vs the Spurs and I just don't see them having any interest in playing the Bucks.  The Bucks are in a crucial spot here as they just started a 7 out 8 game home stand with a loss.  The Bucks are only 6 games out of the 8th spot and I don't see this young team throwing in the towel.  So with a lot of home games as I have stated I see them rallying here late in the season.  Rockets are just 6-15 ATS L21 games vs the Eastern Conference.  

I believe we are seeing a big number here between conference rivals for a reason.  The Cavs are coming off 2 losses in a row granted both were on the road and yesterday LeBron didn't play.  So I see LeBron returning and getting his team very motivated here as they have 4 home games in a row now.  The Pacers haven't been playing very well either as they have dropped 2 in a row @ home and have failed to cover in 4 consecutive games.  Pacers are 3-13 ATS L16 games playing on 0 days rest.  Cavs are 4-1-1 ATS L6 playing on 0 days rest.  

LATE NIGHT BIG TEN SPECIAL

Illinois comes into this game off an ugly loss to Indiana and that is why we are getting a good price on them tonight.  Minnesota is over valued due to the fact they beat Maryland @ home and have covered 3 in a row.  This is senior night for Illinois and look for them to take it to the Gophers tonight.  Minnesota is 4-11 ATS L15 following a SU win and are 3-8 ATS L11 road games.  Illinois is 8-1 ATS L9 vs a team winning below 40% of the games.  

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY!

This is a great spot to back Pacers here as they will be extra motivated coming off a close loss.  Meanwhile, Portland is due for a let down after beating Chicago last night.  The Pacers aren't getting enough credit here they their only losses after all star break was in OT @ Miami and a 1 point loss their last game vs Hornets.  Indiana has 6 of their next 7 on the road so they will be focused today.  Portland is 3-7 ATS L10 playing on 0 days rest.  Pacers are 4-1 ATS L5 following a SU loss. 

Pitt is coming into this game off an ugly late loss to Louisville and they really need this game today as their last two games are on road.  Duke will be the betting public's choice here as they have been playing better but I don't trust them in this spot and on the road.  Pitt is 9-1 ATS L10 an ATS loss.  Duke is 0-4-1 ATS L5 following an ATS win.  

BIG EAST SPECIAL

Xavier is coming into this game after beating #1 ranked Villanova and are due for a major let down here.  Seton Hall isn't getting enough credit here since they aren't ranked but they are playing really good basketball.  Seton Hall has won 7 of their last 8 and are 12-3 @ home this season.  Xavier has shot the ball lights out last two games and expect that to catch up with them here.  Seton Hall is also looking for revenge here.  Seton Hall is 6-0 ATS L6 home games vs a team with a winning road record.  Underdog is 4-1 ATS L5 meetings. 

TOP NBA PLAY!

I was against the Thunder last time out vs the Pelicans as I thought they would be looking ahead to the Warriors and sure enough they were.  The Warriors are clearly the public's team as they have been nothing short of spectacular all year long.  OKC is just 1-3 since all star break and they will be desperate here as they have a tough 4 game road trip coming up including a game @ Warriors.  OKC will be ready here tonight there is no doubt in my mind.  Warriors are just 4-10 ATS L14 games playing on 1 day rest.  Thunder are 27-9-1 ATS L37 home games vs a team with a winning percentage greater than 60%.  Warriors are also just 1-6 ATS L7 meetings @ OKC 

Late Night SEC Special

Now that everyone has written LSU off because they have lost 4 out of their L5 I feel it's time to buy back in here.  LSU is a solid 13-3 @ home this season and Florida is 3-7 on the road.  Florida isn't exactly lighting the world on fire as of late either as they are just 1-3 their L4 games.  I look for a big bounce back here from LSU after two consecutive road losses to poor quality teams.  Florida is 1-6 ATS L7 games vs a team with a winning record and are 1-4 ATS L5 meetings @ LSU 

Virginia simply isn't getting enough respect here as they have dropped 2 out of their L3 games.  Those losses were both on the road and they lost @ Duke by 1 and @ Miami by 3 so clearly there is nothing wrong there.  I'm really not sold on this North Carolina team as Roy struggles to get them to play defense consistently.  North Carolina is just 3-6 ATS in road games and are 1-4 ATS L5 road games.  Virginia is 9-3 ATS L12 games following a SU loss.  North Carolina is 1-4 ATS L5 meetings in Virginia.

It may be little to late for Vandy to make the tournament but a win here would sure go a long ways.  Vandy is starting to play the ball everyone thought they would as they are 4-1 their L5 with their only loss coming by 1 point.  Also Vandy is coming off back to back double digit wins and I look for that momentum to carry over.  Kentucky has been playing better but I still don't trust this team on the road as they are 4-8 ATS on the road.  Kentucky is just 1-6-1 ATS L8 meetings vs Vandy

Purdue will be licking their chops here to get revenge on Maryland from earlier in he season.  Purdue is 15-1 @ home this season and are catching Maryland at a good time because they aren't playing very well.  Maryland lost @ home to Wisconsin by 13 then lost @ Minnesota and were lucky to come away with a win over Michigan.  Purdue is just 2-2 their L4 games but 2 losses were both on road @ Michigan and Indiana and only lost by a combined 9 points.  Purdue is 7-3 ATS L10 homes games vs team with a winning road record. 

What a job Shaka Smart has done in his first season as head coach for Texas.  Texas is a very solid 13-2 @ home this season.  Oklahoma will be the betting public's choice as they have received a lot of attention this year.  Oklahoma is also coming in off a blow out over rival Oklahoma St.  I really look for Texas to make a statement here as they are a perfect 6-0 ATS playing with revenge this season.  Oklahoma is just 2-5 ATS L7 road games.  OU is 0-4 ATS L4 games following a 20 point win.  Texas is 6-1 ATS L7 following a SU win.  The Underdog is 7-1 ATS L8 meetings. 

I truly believe that Utah simply doesn't get enough respect and they are playing the best basketball in the Pac 12 right now.  This is a huge game for them as they can actually win the conference and would pull ahead of Arizona.  Most people will say Arizona will bounce back but Utah is riding a 5 game winning streak and are 14-1 @ home this season.  Utah is 37-16-2 ATS L55 home games.  Utah is 6-1 ATS L7 following an ATS win

Odds makers are giving Louisville to much credit here as they are riding a 3 game winning streak and have back to back wins over Duke and @ Pitt.  Miami had a great bounce back game vs Virginia last time out and I look for them to play extremely tough as they still have a chance to win the conference.  Miami is 14-1 @ home while Louisville is just 3-7 ATS away from home this season.  Louisville is 1-7 ATS L8 road games vs team with a winning home record.  Miami is 13-3-1  ATS L17 home games.  

I believe we are getting more than a fair price here on the Mavs.  Mavs are coming off a 13 point blowout loss to the Thunder while the Nuggets are coming off a huge road win @ Clippers as a double digit dog.  I see a motivated Mavs team here as they are still in playoff hunt and a letdown spot here for the Nuggets who have only won back to back road games once this season.  Mavs are 9-3 ATS L12 games following a loss by 10 or more points.  Nuggets are 1-3-1 L5 meetings in Dallas.  

We are seeing a high line here for reason.  The Bulls are obviously banged up but they have won 3 in a row and covered 4 in a row which will attract the public here.  Atlanta has lost 3 home games in a row and will be extra motivated here as they have dominated the Bulls in both meetings this season.  The Hawks also have had 3 days off here following their skid to get focused and ready for this one.  Atlanta is 10-2 ATS L12 home games following a double digit loss @ home.  Bulls are 2-9 ATS L11 games playing on 1 day rest 

I realize the Knicks haven't been winning games but coming off a hard fought loss @ Indiana and with 4 of the next 5 @ home I expect a big effort from them tonight.  Also if the Knicks have any playoffs hopes as they are 5 games out of it right now they need to win these upcoming home games which I believe they will.  Magic are in a tough spot here coming off an emotional game vs the Warriors which I believe there isn't much left in the tank.  Also this is the Magic's 4th game in 6th days.  Magic are 4-10-1 ATS L15 meeting vs the Knicks.  

LATE NIGHT PAC 12 SPECIAL

Stanford isn't getting enough credit here IMO.  They are a solid 10-5 @ home this season while USC is 4-7 away from home this season.  USC is getting way to much credit as they are just 1-3 their L4 and are 0-4 their L4 road games.  Stanford did just beat Oregon @ home as well and look for them to do the same tonight

I see a lot of value here with the Suns tonight.  This has to be the first time ever in the NBA that a team with only 4 road wins is favored on the road.  The betting public will want nothing to do with the Suns as they haven't won since January 23rd, and are coming off a 40 point blowout.  I was on the Nuggets last night as the Clippers were coming off the blowout win and we know what happened.  The Suns will bounce back here in a big way tonight as they know they are better than the Nets.  Nets are 4-10-1 ATS L15 meetings in Phoenix.  

I believe we are getting good value here with Illinois who has covered 4 of their L5 games.  The betting public will obviously be on Indiana here as they sit a top the conference, but they have a major look ahead game @ Iowa next.  Indiana is just 2-6 ATS away from home this season.  They were blown out @ Mich St lost @ Penn St and barely beat a bad Minnesota team.  I look for Illinois to view this as a way to end their season in style and ruin the conference hopes for Indiana.  

The betting public will be back all over the Thunder again as they covered easily last night @ Dallas.  This is obviously the 2nd of a back to back and the Thunder have the Warriors coming to town Saturday night.  The Pelicans were blown out last game @ Washington and I expect a big effort out of them tonight.  The Thunder are just 7-17 ATS on the road this season and I doubt they can cover 2 in a row on road in back to back nights.  

The betting public won't have anything to do with Iowa tonight as they are coming off a bad loss @ Penn St.  However, that loss was nearly a week ago and believe Iowa is in a prime bounce back spot here.  Wisconsin has been a nice surprise and do have some quality wins.  Iowa is a perfect 13-0 @ home this season and are 9-2 ATS L11 home games vs a team with a winning percentage above 60.  Also a side note,  Iowa star Jarrod Uthoff is a transfer from Wisconsin, but it caused a lot of controversy with Bo Ryan.  This will be Uthoff's last time facing his former team and expect a huge game that Iowa won't be over looking.  Wisconsin is 2-5 ATS L7 meetings @ Iowa 

The betting public will be all over Louisville here but I believe they are in big trouble tonight @ Pittsburgh.  Louisville is a horrid 1-7 ATS on the road season.  They are coming off a big win over a hot Duke team.  Pitt is a solid 14-3 @ home this season and they will be looking for revenge tonight as they were smoked @ Louisville.  

We are getting good value here with the Heat who have won and covered 3 in a row.  The Warriors are just favored by 6 over the Hawks and I believe Miami is a tougher opponent for the Warriors.  This is also the Warriors 4th consecutive away game and they have only covered once which was last out during this trip.  Miami is 4-0 ATS L4 games after scoring more than 100 points.  The Warriors are 1-4 ATS L5 games after scoring 100 points or more.  

This is more of play against the Pistons which I believe is an inflated line because of their big win @ Cavs.  The Pistons won't have near the intensity in this game and are due for a let down.  Prior to beating the Cavs the Pistons were on a game 5 game losing streak and also didn't cover in any of those.  The Sixers have also scored over 100 points in the L4 games and Detroit gives up 99.6 @ home so I don't see a blow out coming.  Pistons are 0-7 ATS L7 games playing on 0 days rest.  They are also 1-6 ATS L7 following a SU win. 

Well this is one of the biggest games of the year in college basketball.  Both teams are great and I believe will make deep runs in the tournament.  Xavier is a very difficult place to as they are 13-1 @ home this season.  Xavier still has a chance to also win the Big East, but they would have to win this game tonight which I firmly believe they will.  Xavier is 12-3 ATS L15 home games vs a team with winning percentage better than 60.  

This is one of those back to back double headers here for the Kings as they just squeaked by the Nuggets.  I doubt he Kings will play with much energy here tonight since they just beat them and have the Spurs on deck.  Nuggets will be looking for revenge 

Getting good price with Wizards here who were in a very tough spot last out vs Heat as it was their 3rd game in 3 days.  Pelicans are overvalued here as Davis is coming off a monster game but the Pelicans are just 7-21 on the road this season 

Vanderbilt has been terrible on road this season as they are 4-9 and have just one road win since the new year and that was at poor Tennessee.  Meanwhile Florida is a solid 12-2 @ home this season and will be hungry here as they still have tournament hopes after coming off a tough loss @ South Carolina 

NCAAB TOP PLAY!!!

Miami is coming into this game off a beat down @ North Carolina.  They lost by 25, but were also in a bad spot there with North Carolina blowing their prior game vs Duke @ home.  Both of these teams still have the conference title in sights.  Virginia has been playing well, but this is more about a big bounce back I expect here with Miami.  Virginia has 4 conference losses and all of them were on the road @ Virginia Tech, Georgia Tech, Florida St and Duke.  Virginia is just 3-6 ATS away from home this year.  Miami is a solid 13-1 @ home and are 12-3-1 ATS L16 home games. 

Both teams come into this losing their last game and also losing 3 out of their last 4.  Texas is in a sandwich spot here as they have two big home games looming with Oklahoma and Kansas.  This is Kansas St second consecutive home game and expect a big effort after losing to their in state rival in Kansas over the weekend.  It was just two weeks ago when Kansas St beat down Oklahoma on their home court.  Texas has struggled playing @ Kansas St as they are just 3-7-1 ATS L11 games there.  

This line is screaming to take the Blazers here as they have won 4 in a row and just coming off a huge win vs the Warriors.  This is a major letdown spot as they won't have near the focus tonight vs the Jazz.  The Jazz are quietly playing some very good basketball winning 8 out of their L10 games.  The road team has covered 7 out of the last 10 here and the Jazz are 9-4 ATS L13 games @ Portland. 

This is a tough spot here for Indiana as they are coming off a big win @ the Thunder.  They also have to Heat tomorrow night which I'm sure they are looking more forward to that game.  The Magic have won 3 of their last 4 and present good value here as they have covered 7 of the last 8.  Pacers are 0-6 ATS L6 following an ATS win.  Magic are 6-1 ATS L7 vs a team with a winning record. 

This is the ultimate let down spot here for Texas Tech as they have won 3 in a row against very good teams in Iowa St Baylor and Oklahoma.  Oklahoma St plays very tough @ home as they did knock off Kansas by 19.  Oklahoma St just lost by only 5 @ home to Iowa St and by 4 to Baylor.  There is a reason they are favored here

Really like the Heat tonight as they catch the Wizards in a weird spot.  This will be the Wizards 3rd game in 3 nights and they are coming off two wins since all star break.  Miami won their game last night @ Atlanta and expect them to carry the momentum over here.  

This is a really good spot here to back Nebraska as Ohio St is coming off a big win over rival Michigan and they have Michigan St and Iowa on deck.  Nebraska is 10-6 @ home and will be ready for this game today.  Ohio St is just 4-6 away from home this season.   

Cincinnati is coming off a heart breaker losing in OT @ Tulsa while UConn coming off a big emotional win over SMU.  Cincy really needs this game to stay alive in the tournament talks and I look for them to bounce back here

West Virginia is coming off an ugly loss @ Texas but they return home where they are 11-1 this year.  Oklahoma isn't playing so well losing 3 out of their last 4.  They have lost @ Texas Tech and @ Kansas St.  I expect the same here.  WVU is 4-0 ATS following an ATS loss

Texas is playing great ball right now being 13-1 @ home while Baylor is coming off a huge OT win vs Iowa St I expect a let down here for them today.  Baylor 0-5 ATS L5 following a SU win

This is an extremely difficult spot for Duke coming off a huge win @ North Carolina.  Louisville is also looking for revenge from a close loss @ Duke last week.  

I think we are seeing a big over reaction here to the Bulls losing streak.  Sure they lost ugly to the Cavs but that was at their place and I expect a big bounce back from them tonight.  Just last out vs the Raptors they were only 4pt dogs at their place.  Raptors are 0-7 ATS L7 meetings. 

I'm not sure the Hornets deserved to be favored here and think their last blowout win @ Indiana has played a lot in this line.  The Hornets are just 8-17 on the road this season while the Bucks haven;t played well, they do play well at home going going 15-8 so far.  The Bucks are a young team and had two nice wins before all star break and I expect them to play with a lot of fire this 2nd half

I like the Magic here tonight as they are coming out of all star break winning 2 in row vs the Hawks and took the Spurs down to the wire only losing by 2.  The Mavs have dropped 4 of 5and I don't see them being to interested tonight.  Magic are 6-1 ATS L7 vs team with a winning record.  Mavs are 1-5 ATS L6 road games. 

This is one of those games you have to take the home team here.  Cal is coming into this game winning and covering 3 in row, but all those games were @ home.  You simply can't trust Cal on the road as they are 1-8 and they have zero conference road wins.  Washington has lost 3 in a row and that is why this line is the way it is.  All their 3 losses have been by less than 10 points.  I expect a big effort tonight against a team that is terrible on the road 

UCLA season isn't completely lost yet, but this is a must win game if they wanna make the tourney.  They come into this game off a nice double digit win @ Arizona St and look for them to carry the momentum on here.  Utah is a hard team to figure out as they play extremely well @ home but struggle on the road just 3-5.  Utah is 2-5 ATS L7 games following a win by 20 points or more.  UCLA is 6-1 ATS L7 home games following a road trip of 3 or more games.  

I really believe Tulsa is quietly playing some good basketball.  They are just 3-2 in their L5 games but their losses were by 2 @ UConn, and by 4 @ Temple.  Those aren't easy places to play and they had their shots to come away with a victory there.  Cincinnati is a good quality team but feel they are getting the love solely based on their name here.  They barely beat a bad East Carolina team their last game out and were favored by 18.  Tulsa is 5-1 ATS L6 games following an ATS win

I think we are getting more than a generous line here with North Carolina.  Duke is riding a 4 game winning streak but 3 of those came down to the last minute and they were lucky to beat Virginia last out.  Duke is still struggling on defense without Jefferson and UNC matches up very well against them.  I realize this is a big rivalry and most people think it will be close, but I don't see it tonight.  Duke is 1-4 ATS L5 following a SU win

I really believe this line says it all with Syracuse riding a 5 game winning streak and Louisville coming off back to back losses.  Louisville is 15-1 @ home this season and I don't trust Syracuse on the road.  Syracuse is 4-10-1 ATS L15 road games vs a home team above 60% winning percentage

These two teams along with VCU will be battling it out for A10 conference title.  St Joe's is a very underrated team as they aren't getting much respect here since Dayton is the ranked team.  St Joe's has won 3 in a row and all there have been by double digits.  Meanwhile, Dayton has 9 in a row, but there two recent victories have only been by 2 points each.  This is a must win game for St Joe's if they want any chance to win the conference title and I believe they will respond tonight.  Dayton is 0-4 ATS L4 meetings @ St. Joe's.  St Joe's is 6-1 ATS L7 home games vs teams with a winning road record.  

This is a nice short price here to back Baylor who is coming off a terrible blowout loss @ home.  Baylor will be extra motivated here because of that performance alone.  Iowa St is coming off a nice double digit win over Texas which is why the low line.  Baylor was the first team this season to hand Iowa St a loss on their home court.  Baylor is 5-1 ATS L6 home games vs team with a winning record.

Ohio St is a team in the Big 10 that doesn't get a lot of pub but they are a solid team.  Ohio St is 12-4 @ home this year and need a good quality win here as the tournament is getting closer.  Michigan is coming off a crazy comeback vs Purdue and they pulled a nice upset win.  Looking a the conference play for the Buckeyes all their losses have came against the top quality teams in the league.  They also took Maryland down to the wire @ home just a couple games ago.  Michigan is 2-5 ATS L7 following a SU win.  Ohio St is 6-1-1 ATS L8 following a ATS loss.  

Shaka Smart has really turned around the image of Texas in his first year.  The Longhorns are a very impressive 12-1 @ home this season.  Texas is also coming off back to back losses which is playing a role in this line, but those were both on the road and @ quality teams (Oklahoma, Iowa St).  I look for a nice bounce back here for the Longhorns.  West Virginia is coming in off a blowout win and they have two big home games lurking ahead with Oklahoma and Iowa St.  Texas is 6-1 ATS L7 vs a team with a winning record.  

I know many will look at this and think it's a tough spot for Arizona St coming off a big win with rival Arizona on deck, but I believe coach Hurley will have this team ready to win 3 in a row here as Arizona St has 3 road games coming up.  UCLA suffered a close defeat @ Arizona last out, but this team is terrible on the road in conference as their only win was @ Oregon St.  UCLA is 1-5 ATS L6 following an ATS win.  Arizona St is 4-0 ATS L4 home games vs team with losing record.   

I really like this young Florida St team, but last game out vs Syracuse I'm just tossing that out since they shot over 60% which is clearly very rare in the game.  Prior to that Florida St had won 4 in a row.  I believe they are in the tournament right now but this would definitely be a statement win.  Miami will get the love here because they are the ranked team, but it recall this last week a ton of teams won @ home that were favored over ranked teams.  Miami is just 1-4 ATS in their L5 road games.  

I really like the spot here the Spartans as they are coming off a very tough loss @ Purdue, meanwhile Indiana is coming of an emotional win vs #4 ranked Iowa.  Indiana has benefited from the easiest Big 10 schedule this season and they are due for a flat out whipping.  Indiana is just 2-5 ATS on the road this season.  Michigan St has covered 5 in a row and I see them covering 6 today.  Indiana also just 9-23 ATS L32 following an ATS win.  

Wisconsin comes in playing pretty good basketball winning and covering 6 in a row but only two of those were on the road.  The road games were @ Penn St and @ Illinois so the bottom feeders in the Big 10.  Maryland has been play really well themselves winning 7 of their last 8.  Maryland won't be taking this game lightly as there is now a 3 way tie a top the conference right now.  I don't trust Wisconsin to hang here as they did the first time around with them.  

I believe this line tells it all.  Virginia comes in ranked in the top 10 and have also won 7 in a row but yet Duke is favored?  Duke is starting to playing better play as of late winning 4 of their last 5 and they know this is a must win game here.  Duke is 12-2 @ home this season and Virginia is just 2-6 ATS on the road this season.  Duke can make Virginia play out of their comfort zone today by playing very uptempo and they have the Cameron Crazies help in doing that.  

I really believe odds makers got this line way wrong.  Notre Dame really impressed me beating North Carolina last week, but what was more impressive is that they didn't have a let down going on the road the next game @ Clemson.  Notre Dame is 12-1 so far @ home this season.  Louisville is 1-6 ATS away from home this season.  

Oklahoma definitely has revenge on their minds here as they take on Kansas.  Kansas is getting respect sine they have covered 4 in a row.  Kansas has also lost their last 3 road games SU.  I believe Oklahoma is the better team here and will get it done today.  Oklahoma is a perfect 12-0 @ home this season. 

I see absolute no reason to back Texas AM here as they have lost 3 in a row and 4 of their last 5.  They have also lost their last 3 road games as well.  LSU is desperate for a win to stay atop the conference right now and I expect a big effort coming after their recent loss @ South Carolina.  LSU is near perfect @ home with a 12-2 record right now and are 14-5-1 ATS L20 following a SU loss.  Texas AM is 1-5-1 ATS L7 road games. 

I really believe this line is telling you what the odds makers think of USC and how under rated Arizona St is.  USC is coming of 3 consecutive wins, but all of those were at home.  Now they get ranked and go on the road.  Arizona St is coming off a win @ Washington St and I look for them to carry on the momentum.  Arizona St has been very competitive in every conference game but 1.  USC also has Arizona on deck here which is a big look ahead for them.  USC is 2-6 ATS L8 road games vs team with a winning home record.  

PAC 12 Special!

There is no doubt Oregon has been playing great basketball winning and covering 6 in a row.  However, they will be facing a desperate Cal who is on the bubble.  Cal is a perfect 14-0 @ home this season.  Cal is coming off an impressive 15 point victory over Stanford and I look for them to ride that momentum here tonight.  Cal is 6-1 ATS L7 home games. 

This is another game where we are getting good value with a home team that is 13-0.  Indiana was clearly looking ahead to this game as they laid an egg @ Penn St.  Iowa has been a great team this year but with this line I believe its clear what the odds makers believe.  Indiana will bounce back here in what I believe will be a fast uptempo entertaining game.  Indiana is 6-0 ATS L6 games vs a team with a winning percentage above 60%

Underdog Special!!

This line really has be confused as I thought Temple would be favored here.  I believe it's just because of the "UCONN" name is why they are favored.  Temple has won 6 of their last 7 with their only loss coming after their big win over then undefeated SMU.  UConn is just 6-13-1 ATS L20 games following an ATS loss.  Temple is 6-1 ATS L7 games vs a team with a winning record. 

Arkansas is getting way to much respect here as they are just 1-9 SU away from this season.  Arkansas is coming off a blowout win over Tennessee, but Tennessee is also a terrible road team.  Now they play @ Miss St with @ Ole Miss on deck who I'm sure they are looking ahead to that one.  Miss St isn't as bad as their record indicates as they have had several close losses.  Losing by 2 to Bama by 3 @ Florida by 6 @ Kentucky.  Miss St is 8-2 ATS L10 following an ATS loss.

This is a good spot here to back Purdue as they are looking for a big statement win.  Michigan St is playing extremely well right now which is attract the betting public.  Purdue is a solid 13-1 @ home with their only loss coming to Iowa.  This is a crucial spot here for Purdue as they just lost @ Maryland and play @ Michigan next so they need this win in the worst way.  I also believe that Purdue's size will create problems for Michigan St just like Iowa's size did when Michigan St played them twice earlier in the season.  Purdue is 8-2 ATS L10 following a SU loss.

At first glance this might look like a big line because of Pittsburgh's record.  I simply don't trust this team at all.  They looked flat out awful Saturday vs Virginia and I see no reason for that to change tonight.  Miami is a solid 11-1 @ home and are 4-0-1 ATS L5 home games.  Pittsburgh is out matched in every aspect here.  Pitt also has @ North Carolina on deck which is a big look ahead for them.  Pitt is just 6-15-1 ATS L22 road games.