I really think Oregon is going to have a ton of motivation here with their QB returning.  I don't think the betting public will want anything to do with them.  They also will want to make a bowl game so a win here would make that possible.  Oregon has played 3 of their last 4 games on road and to no surprise with a backup QB then they lost them all.  Him being back I think rallies the team in a big win 

I like the Hornets here tonight as both teams played last night in losing efforts.  The Hornets lost to the Bulls which sets them up for a big bounce back here tonight.  The Clippers also lost in a losing effort in OT to the Cavs.  I think it will be harder for them to bounce back knowing that they gave everything last night.  

Call me a sucker here for this one but Arizona St has way more talent and this Oregon St team that has 1 win on the season and quite frankly don't care about this game.  They care about next week having their rival Oregon on deck.  Their defense is just flat out awful as they give up 5.4 yards per run and 6.5 per pass attempt. 

Really like the Badgers here against Michigan.  Wisconsin simply doesn't get much love because of their style of play.  All they have done so far is just dominate teams and it's because of their #1 overall ranked defense.  Michigan does have a good defense as well but the two quality teams they have played in Michigan St and Penn St both were losses.  I do love the spot for Wisconsin as they will want to earn style points with the committee and Michigan as the biggest look ahead you could ask for with Ohio St on deck

Miami is coming off their biggest win in how many years last week just throttling Notre Dame and not to mention the week before was another big win over Virginia Tech.  It's pretty safe to say that Miami wno't have the same intensity as they have the last two weeks.  I also think Miami has a way of playing down to teams as we saw them barely escape with a win over a terrible UNC team just a few weeks ago.  Virginia isn't world beaters but I think they can move the ball and keep it closer hre

The Nuggets are playing better than what people realize.  They have now won 5 of their last 7 and 7 of their last 10.  This is a short price to get them at home.  The betting public will no doubt be on the Pelicans with Cousins and Davis

I have been fading the Clippers and the books havent adjusted enough.  This team is a mess right now because of the injuries they are dealing with.  The Cavs are starting to play better now winning 4 of 5 and 3 straight road games.  

The Jazz are a mess right now losing 6 of their last 7 games.  The Jazz have yet to win a game on the road as well this season

I know the Badgers play very well at home but you just can't ignore how IMO how much better Xavier is all the way around.  Badgers do return their best player in Happ, but lost 4 starters from a team that won 27 games last year.

Xavier is a legit team here to win the Big East over Villanova.  They will have to two best players on the court here tonight in Macura and Bluiett these guys are both very good and will be looked at for the next level probably late first or early 2nd rounders.  Many are forgetting this team made the Elite 8 last year and have a great chance to do so again with the veteran leaders they have back

This is just way too points for a middle of the road ACC team to be laying especially on a neutral court.  The Hokies made the tournament last year, but are now without their two leading scorers. I know they have put up some monster numbers in their first two games, but against teams that just push the pace.  

St Louis is a team to take note of this year and the reason they won't get much love at the start here is because they had a bad season. Well, that was because they had so many transfers that had to sit out.  Well now they can play and they will miss Henriquez no doubt tonight, but we are just asking them to cover the number here not win outright

This game should get ugly in a hurry here as Michigan just has way to much talent compared to Southern Miss.  This Southern Miss team is a mess as they only won 9 games last year and things don't look any promising going forward.  Michigan wins this in a route

Love Northwestern this season as they could be a a serious run in the Big 10.  While they don't have the overall talent Michigan St does they have a ton of experience on this team.  I also think they have one the underrated gyms to play in because it's very small and compacted.  Creighton is due is for just an average year as they are going to rely on Foster so much.  Well NW has the guards to shut him down in this matchup

I like the T Wolves here tonight against the Spurs.  The T Wolves will be looking for revenge here from a loss earlier this season @ the Spurs.  They were actually favored in that game so figuring this is a home court and the Wolves are catching the Spurs on a back to back I think the price is too good.

Spurs are just 1-4 ATS on the road this season.  They come in winning 5 of 6 but they have beat teams like the Mavs Bulls and Suns, 3 of the worst teams in the league.  T Wolves are starting to play a lot better winning 6 of their last 8 with one of those losses being @ Warriors.  

Let's lay the short number here with the Pelicans tonight.   New Orleans is starting to play a lot better ball winning 5 of their last 6 games.  In fact their only loss during that run was against these Raptors.  Revenge will definitely be on their mind here tonight. 

The Pelicans also catch the Raptors at the right time as well with Toronto coming off a big upset win @ the Rockets last night.   

The Pistons are the surprise team in the NBA so far this season with a 10-3 record.  Detroit has won 5 straight and their first win during this stretch came against the Bucks.  

The Bucks have now won and covered 3 straight games.  I think the acquisition of Bledsoe has helped them a lot on both sides of the ball.  I still think the Bucks down the road are the better team this is a short price to grab them here. 

Let's take the Hornets here tonight as you can expect a huge effort from them coming off a rare 4 days off.  They are also finally healthy with Batum returning here tonight.  The Cavs were very lucky last game @ Knicks to have that come back win.  I still think they have major issues.  The Hornets have lost 4 straight but all 4 were on the road.  They seem to be the classic home/away team as they are 4-1 @ home this season

Let's go with Ball St here who might just be the best team in the MAC this season catching a ton of points tonight.  They return their best player in Persons and he is probably the 2nd beast in the conference.  This team won 21 games last year.

I just can't back on Oklahoma team who won 11 games last season.  Sure they probably will be better but laying this much is something I don't want any part of .

Let's take the Knicks here at home tonight against the Jazz.  Utah has been a disappointing team, but that shouldn't come as a surprise this season with the loss of Hayward in the off season.  They are also without their key big man in Gorbert.  

Utah is 0-4 on the road this season and come into this game losing 5 of their last 6.  The Knicks are playing refreshed this season they have won 4 of their last 6 games and have covered 5 of those during that stretch.  

Well Kentucky hasn't looked very good at all so far and shouldn't come as a surprise to anyone.  They lost a ton and it takes a while with new kids to adapt.  They barely beat Utah Valley St winning by 10 and only beat Vermont by 4.  

Kansas is very good this season even though they did lose Jackson.  Malik Newman a transfer who sat out will have a huge impact this kid can flat out play.  I think Graham really setps up and replaces Mason shoes.  

Jayhawks roll tonight

This is sneaky team to look out for in the Sun Devils.  I think Hurley in his 3rd season now has the headaches off his team.  They some outstanding shooters here that will be the difference with Holder and Evans returning along with Justice.  They also landed a top 100 recruit in Lawrence.  SDSU was a team that really came up short and not sure it will get any better here this year.  I know they return some key guys, but this isn't the same SDSU team like we are use to seeing but they are being priced as so

So we have the hottest team in basketball right now in the Celtics winning 12 straight.  This is jsut too much love here for me even though I do love this team.  The Nets have had two days off and you know they have circled this game.  Remind you they already beat the Cavs at home this year also.  The Celtics have a huge look ahead game with the Warriors coming to town on Thursday.  Too many points here

This will be a great game to watch with just talent everywhere.  I know Duke is always a public team and will probably be tonight, but what they have is just incredible.  This might actually be Coach K's best recruiting class ever and that is saying something.  

Spraty does have Miles Bridges who is a flat out player I just think Duke does have enough bodies to keep him honest and wear him down.  Grayson Allen has been at Duke what seems like forever but he is a veteran and will have these young guys ready tonight.  

This Clippers team clearly isn't the same.  I have fading them several times on their recent skid and no way I back them here.  They are still missing Beverly and Gallinari who are key starters and contributors.  They are now down 3 starters.  The Sixers should be pretty hungry here after dropping their first two road games of this trip.  Clippers 0-5 SU and ATS L5 games.  

All this talk about the Lakers with the Ball hype is getting them a little to much hype.  This teams have the same amount of wins, but if you strictly just went by what you see on TV you would think the Suns are a lot worse.

Suns here have the revenge angle after dropping the first game against LA by 2 points.  That was also the Lakers only road win of the season.  The Suns just had a nice upset win over the T Wolves and look for them to get one back on LA tonight.  

This line is just begging you to take the Bucks here.  Let's look back the Bucks were just 6.5 point favorites over the Lakers who are clearly worse than the veteran Grizzlies team.  

Grizzlies are finishing a 5 game road trip where they look to have a winning record with a win here so you can expect great effort.  This will also only be the 2nd game for the Grizzlies in 6 days so they are fresh here.  This will be the Bucks 3rd game in 4 days and coming with wins over Spurs and Lakers it seems like a flat spot to me

Think South Carolina is getting way to much respect here in this game tonight.  South Carolina has the epic run last season we are all familiar with, but they lost a ton on that team.  They will be playing the best team in the MAC here tonight.  Also, WMU will have the best player by far on the court in Wilder who is a legit NBA prospect.  Too many points for a bottom feeder SEC against a mid major with a lot of upside

This is a ton of points for the Cowboys to be laying here considering their two best players are out for this game being suspended in Carroll and Dillard.  That won't go well for a Oklahoma St team who is projected to be one of if not the worst team in the Big 12.  Charlotte has a nucleus back with their 3 best players returning.  This game is going to be closer than what people think 

This line will go up now that we know Zeke is suspended here.  I also believe we get a desperate Falcons team here that has played 3 straight road games.  This is a must win game for them as they go to Seattle next week and they will treat it as that.  You also can't ignore the fact that the Falcons are the best yards per play team in football once again, but they aren't winning so the public will have nothing to do with them here.   Ryan shouldn't have a problem picking apart the Dallas secondary 

Like the Bills here at home in the underdog role.  The Saints as most know thrive in the dome but now traveling in cold weather here against a Buffalo team that is a perfect 4-0 at home this season.  They have the extra time here after following a division loss.  I think the Saints have dodged some bullets here recently.  I was on the Saints last week in a easy winner but look at the teams here.  The Bucs Bears Packers (no Rodgers) Miami and Detroit.  This will be their toughest test and they don't deserve to be favored here.  

In no way do I want to lay double digits with the Detroit Lions.  I think this team has been very lucky benefiting from turnovers early in the season and they dodged one last week with Rodgers being out.  The Browns are coming off their bye week from London in a game vs the Vikings which they lead at half.  Detroit also doesn't present a problem on the defensive side here I will take the double digits 

At this point I don't think there is a choice but only to back the Bears here.  They are coming off their bye week and would love nothing more than to pound a Packer team just like what we saw from the Lions last week.  The fact that the Packers were coming off their bye week at home on Monday night and that was the product we saw.  I think there is a lot to be concerned about.  The Bears still have hope here for the 2nd half of the season and I think we see a huge effort here

I was against Oklahoma in a loss last week against their rival Oklahoma St.  There were two key things that happened I felt that really shifted momentum.  Early in the game OU fumbled was return for TD but over ruled as an incomplete pass instead.  Late in the game 1st and goal Oklahoma St had a chance to take the lead and Rudolph throws and INT which ultimately did them in.

I'm really not sold at all on this OU defense I think they are frauds giving up 6 yards per play compare that to the best defense in the Big 12 in TCU who gives up just 4.9.  

I love how TCU responded last week after losing to Iowa St in a nice bounce back game they took care of business against Texas.  7 points is a ton for a team with no defense and given the magnitude of this game.  

Lines that really make you scratch your head huh? So we have Iowa coming off their win of the season on a national televised game blowing out Ohio St.  I'm not sold on Ohio St this year and think they are overrated so I'm not gonna over react and give Iowa all the credit here.  Iowa decided to open up the playbook for once and it clearly caught the Buckeyes off guard.  Let's remind you also Ohio St was coming off a huge comeback win over Penn St the week prior.  

Wisconsin is a team that doens't get any love at all because they aren't flashy they have no stand out NFL players.  All they do is simply play every week and win.  They are catching Iowa at the right now and the Hawkeyes are no longer a surprise team.  Iowa on the road this season is 0-3 ATS.  

All the love is gone for Georgia Tech now after their hot start to covering 6 starting.  The Yellow Jackets are a perfect 4-0 ATS at home and are catching Virginia Tech at the right time.  

I think after last week the Virginia Tech loss will serve as hangover as they went to Miami and just got beat down.  Tech still has plenty of motivation here IMO wanting to playing for a bowl game.  Having the hangover and playing an option type of team isn't the ideal situation you want so I think Tech wins this game SU.  

The Gators are done for the year.  If you didn't see last weeks results @ Missouri you should look that up for yourself.  

People may say well South Carolina has nothing to play for here.  If you remember Will Muschamp use to coach @ Florida so you can guarantee he would love to pour it on the scoreboard here.  This South Carolina team I had last week in a easy cover and a good effort against Georgia.  The Gators also have a laundry list of injuries.  Their season is over take the Gamecocks. 

I'm going to roll with the Cyclones here.  I faded them last week at West Virginia coming off their huge upset win over TCU and that worked out.  I will back them as I think Oklahoma St will be deflated here coming off an emotional loss against their rival Oklahoma.  Iowa St by far has the better defense here and with them catching 7 here suggest that Oklahoma St is equal to TCU but that clearly isn't the case.  I think people fall in love with high octane offenses.  I also think the fact that Iowa St is playing the underdog role this season and still have a legit shot at the Big 12 title game gives them all the motivation.

Talk about a very frustrating last two weeks for Penn St.  They had a lead for almost the whole game @ Ohio St to only lose in the final seconds and then travel to Michigan St last week and suffer another devastating loss by 3 to Sparty.  

I just think given the situation and results of the last two games that it's going to be very hard for Penn St to be excited in this game as their post season playoff and Big Ten conference hopes are over.  This will also be an early kick here which I think benefits Rutgers as I could see Penn St just going through the motions.  

The thing here also is that Rutgers has been undervalued here is that Rutgers is 7-2 ATS this year and have covered 4 straight.  In fact they have won 3 of their 4 last games outright.  This team is playing with a ton of confidence and have over achieved but the markets haven't reacted to them.   

How much is left in the tank here for NC St?  They are coming off back to back huge efforts both in losing outcomes against Notre Dame and Clemson.  Now their season in their eyes is over and I don't think the motivation will be there.  

This young Boston College team is having the season of their lives and would love nothing more to beat another ranked team this season.  Also a win here would make them bowl eligible as well.  I also really like the fact that they are coming off a bye week.   

I look for the Jazz to be hungry here.  They have lost 3 straight now and were just upset by the Sixers who were without Embiid.  The Jazz shot the worst they probably shoot all season last game and that was 30% yes 30% from the field.  You never see that.  Now with two days off to think about it I think we get a huge effort here.

Sign me up for the Thunder tonight as they will be a very pissed off team dropping another game last night @ Denver.  I think we see a max effort here.  The Clippers are very banged up with Rivers being questionable, Beverly out, and Galanari out.  This shouldn't be a problem at all for OKC to blow them out after losing 4 straight

I love this Missouri Tigers team here against Iowa St.  The Cyclones have been a great team the last couple years, but now they are in a big rebuilding stretch replacing 4 starters that contributed big time.  Their returning leading scorer only averages 6 points per game from last year.  They thrived on the 3 point shot and lost practically everyone who can knock them down consistently. 

Mizzou will be a team full of interest for several reason this year hiring Martin from Washington.  Well he brought Michael Porter Jr with him to Mizzou also because his dad is the assistant.  But this kid is the real deal and everyone will find out why.  Mizzou lands a top 5 recruiting class.  Add that to the fact Mizzou returns their 3 leading scorers.  I think this team will be a handful . 

Laying the big number here with Texas Tech and all their experience returning here.  The ball didnt bounce their way last year losing a lot of close games.  They should get off to a good start here vs South Alabama who many think will finish last in the Sun Belt and also lost their leading scorer from last year.

Wrong team is favored here plain and simple.  Dayton gets a lot respect because of their home court here but this team will be down this year in the always competitive A10. They won't be making the tournament or even getting close this year.  Ball St on the other hand in the MAC has hopes of making the tournament and could easily be the best team in that conference.  They return a lot of guys including their leading scorer and thats a positive with a team who won 21 games last year

This is a discount here on Bama given and it's because they are on a neutral court.  Bama won 10 conference games and 19 overall last year which left them on the bubble.  I think they are much improved this season in Johnson's third season.  They signed a top 10 overall player in Sexton and also got 2 time Bama Mr. Basketball in Petty.  Both are guards who will contribute right away.  Throw those two into the mix that they also return 4 starters to give them some quality depth.  

Memphis will be going the other way losing key transfers.  The AAC 2nd leading scorer and his brother who was AAC fresh of the year both transfer to Kansas.  They have a bunch of new faces everywhere only returning 2 starters. 

I just can't back this young Sixers team here as I doubt they have much interest in this game considering they have a huge look ahead with the Warriors.  Also the Kings might have just found something and will play with a lot of energy going against another young team here.  Also I can't recall the last time the Sixers were favored on the road let alone laying this many points.

I think it's time to fade the Pelicans on this road trip.  They have covered all 3 games so far but those were against the Bulls, Mavs and Pacers.  I  think they run into a buzz saw here tonight playing one of the top teams in the East.  The betting public won't have anything to do with the Raptors here after they have failed to cover 3 of their last 4 games. 

So this North Carolina team poured their hearts out prior to their bye week against Miami and came up short.  For a team that has 1 win on the season you think these kids really have much motivation after their possible upset of the year was so close?  I don't think so.   

Pit is also coming off their bye week here and I think they will be motivated here trying to make a bowl game sitting at 4 wins right now.  I know Pitt doesn't have the greatest defense but it's not like UNC brings a power house offense to the mix.  I like where Pitt is trending here winning their last two games outright as dogs.  UNC is being out gained by over 100 yards per game.  Pitt should have no problem here 

I like Ohio here tonight catching points as this is the biggest game in the MAC for the year.  Both teams are in first place and this will probably be the preview for the MAC Championship game.  

Ohio has out performed expectations in the ATS column going 7-2 ATS and 4-1 ATS at home.  While I know Toledo is a strong program there is no arguing that I just think they have a had a lot easier road so far in MAC play.  Also, since they have covered 4 straight the line is being favored toward them.  I see a really close battle here and think this game should be a PK

Let's take a look at the Spurs here as I think they are being undervalued since they have had a slow start to the season.  Well the Clippers are being very overrated right now as they have only played one yes one true road game to start the season.  Clippers are without Danillo their best outside shooter.  I think Spurs get the job done tonight

I like the Pacers here at home tonight as I think the betting public will go with the Pelicans here since they have the big names.  So the Pelicans have covered and won SU their last two road games but each were by one point and against the Bulls and Mavs two of the worst teams in the league.

The Pacers are 3-1 this season at home so far.  The fact they lost back to back games to the Knicks and Sixers is keeping this low, but both of those games were on the road.  Myles Turner seems to be 100% now so I think Indiana gets it done tonight

This is the Packers season on the line here coming off their bye week.  Hundley has had plenty of time here to prepare and given the fact this is a prime time game I expect a huge effort from Green Bay.  I don't trust this Lions team at all laying points.  This team could easily have just 1 win as 2 of their 3 were pretty lucky.  Let's take the division home dog here

Late Add

Late Add

You have to be very impressed with what we have seen from Dallas the last two weeks.  They seem to get a lot out of their bye week blowing out the 49ers and then really taking to their division rival the Redskins.

They are catching the Chiefs on a short week here with them coming off the Monday night football game.  The main key here now is that Zeke is going to play and what does Dallas do best that is run the football.  What do the Chiefs struggle against that is the run giving up 4.9 yards per rush.  This is a huge game for Dallas and I think they respond here

No choice but to take the Seahawks here as they are going to ride the momentum of last weeks thrilling victory in the final seconds against Texans.  

They actually get some relief here playing Washington as they might be the most injured team in the league.  They are without both TE's, a couple starting OL, maybe Crowder their WR plus many more.  I just don't see how they can move the ball on offense here at all.  

Maybe I am way off here, but the Jags always seem to get a lot of love, but with Bortles at QB I can't lay this.  This line is saying that the Jags are better than the Steelers and the Bengals took serious money going off as 4 point dogs @ Pitt.  

Jags also don't have much if any home field advantage here as they are 0-2 this season just averaging 16 ppg at home.  Their defense gets a lot of credit but they do give up 5.2 yards per rush.  I think the Bengals defense is more than respectable and will take the points

Let's go with the Saints here in a division rivalry game against the Bucs.  The Bucs have been very disappointing to say the least and a large part of that is because of their secondary.  Well if you have a bad secondary against the Saints especially playing on their field it's going to be a long day.  

Winston just hasn't taken the step forward here as what most people thought.  He has a combined 8 turnovers on the season with just 10 touch down passes.  

The Saints are playing with a lot of confidence here winning 5 straight games and I don't think they will have a problem here against a very bad defense 

Let's take the Titans here coming off their bye week looking to go to 5-3.  I think the Ravens are very over rated here as most people are remembering their Thursday night blowout win over the Dolphins.  The Ravens have one of the worst passing offenses only averaging 4.8 yards per pass attempt.  I also think that Flacco isn't 100% if you remember he took a nasty shot to the head last week as he attempted to slide.  The Ravens are still banged up with a lot of injuries.  Titans should have no problem holding their offense down

Was really surprised by this number as I think Arizona St bounces back here in a big way after playing terrible against USC last week.  Colorado really doesn't pose a threat here and are getting a lot of respect after blowing out Cal last week who is the 2nd worse team in the PAC 12.  This Colorado team destroyed ASU last year and I really like the revenge angle here as well.  The Buffs only two conference wins have came against the 2 worst teams in the conference this number shouldn't be an issue for the Sun Devils

I just think the Rams here are the much better team in this game.  They aren't getting much respect for several reason, but the fact they are favored and Wyoming has covered 5 straight games tells you something.  Colorado St has had a rough schedule stretch here playing 3 option teams in a row.  Wyoming doesn't have much of an offense here and the Rams really can move the ball.  So I think once the Rams get up it's going to be very difficult for them to play catch up

Love Oklahoma St here in this rivalry match up against the Sooners.  Oklahoma is getting a lot of respect here in my opinion since they did go on the road and win @ Ohio St, but that was early in the year.  Oklahoma defense is very very shaky giving up 8.0 yards per attempt while Oklahoma St averages over 10.0 yards per pass attempt.  I know this series has been OU recently I also think that is played into the line.  Oklahoma St also has the better defense that ranks 35th and OU pass defense ranks 87th.  The Cowboys get revenge here

Have no choice but to take the Gamecocks here getting all these points.  Georgia is now ranked #1 in the football college playoff so they don't need to impress the committee anymore here and just need to win go forward.  

I don't think South Carolina is getting enough credit on the defensive side of the ball here holding teams to 5.3 yards per play.  They are very good against the run as well just giving up 3.8 yards per run.  Georgia also has their biggest game of the season to date on deck next week @ Auburn. 

The love for Iowa St is just way too much for me right now.  While yes, this is a great story and Campbell deserves a ton of credit and probably just sealed the deal on coach of the year last week.  Iowa St is in the toughest spot of the year right now after a huge upset over TCU and now traveling to a tough place in Morgantown and the will be more than motivated here.  It's also worth noting that West Virginia played Oklahoma St pretty tough last week but the 5 turnovers simply did them in.  They are catching Iowa St at the right time

This Washington St team has been one you look to back at home and fade on the road.  So they have laid two eggs on the road first @ Cal, but during that game they had 7 turnovers.  Last week against Arizona who has been a red hot team here lately they committed 4 turnovers but still managed to rack up over 600 yards of offense.  

Stanford is 2-2 on the road but easily could be 0-4.  They barely beat Utah by 3 and last week without Love they should have lost to the worst team in the Pac 12 in Oregon St beating them by 1.  

This is also senior day for Washington St so they want to go out in style.  Also Stanford has a huge look ahead game with Washington coming to town

Mad I missed the good opener here, but still will take the Thunder.  I have cashed in on Boston here during this winning streak, but let's face it they haven't been beating world beaters with the Spurs, Sixers, Kings Heat.  With two days off prior to this game I think the Thunder are going to come out and make a statement win here tonight.  

The Suns have looked like a different team here since firing their coach and letting Bledsoe go.  I just think given this spot after back to back road underdog wins I'm banking on them coming up short tonight against the Knicks who were just blown out by the Rockets.  I dont think that was a great spot for New York there as the Rockets just dropped a game to the Sixers.  Prior to that loss the Knicks did win 3 straight.  

First game off the road trip for the Pistons and normally look to fade these teams, but they only played 3 road games out west won 2 of them beating the Clippers and Warriors.  Now they have had two days of rest which helps as well.  The Greek Freak is putting up all kinds of numbers right now, but this Bucks team just isn't playing very good right now.  Their only win in their last 4 games is against the Hawks who have 1 win.  

I think the Spurs are still being priced way too low given what we have seen from them so far.  They look a below average team right now, but aren't being priced as one.  

When generally the bottom half teams play the Warriors and the Warriors have had two days rest they are easily favored by double digits.  The fact the Spurs are still a household name keeps this lower than what it should be.  

My free pick was on the Warriors last game @ Clippers and they just destroyed them.  I expect the same result tonight as Leonard and Parker are still out

I know Norther Illinois is a respectable team, but Toledo this year is  just in a class by themselves in the MAC Conference.  

They are averaging 40.5 points per game and a massive 7.1 yards per attempt.  Nothern Illinois has a decent defense but they haven't faced a team like they will here tonight.  

The Huskies have been very lucky this season winning by 3 last week in OT, beating Buffalo by 1, and winning at Nebraska by 4 because they had two pick sixes in that game.  

I think Toledo puts the hammer down tonight

The Jazz may not be the flashiest team in the league, but so far this season they get the job done at home with a 4-0 record so far.  Portland right now despite their 4-3 record are really struggling on offense.  They have failed to cover in 3 straight games and have shot under 40% their last 3 of 4.  The Jazz are a very good defensive minded team I think Jazz protect their home court tonight 

I'm really not sold on this T Wolves team at all.  When you look back at it they could easily have 0 wins on the season.  They banked in a 3 against the Thunder at the buzzer, barely beat them the 2nd time around, survived OT last game and beat the Jazz in the final seconds.  The Pelicans just lost to the Magic, but I won't hold that against them as they have been a very pleasant surprise to start the season.  

I was way off last night on the Bucks as I thought they would show up against the Thunder.  That didn't happen and I will be fading them here on a back to back.  For me the Hornets are getting healthier even though Batum is still out.  They have back to back impressive wins over the Grizzlies and red hot Magic.  This is also their final home game before they hit the road for 5 of their next 6.  I think we see a big effort here

Let's take the Lakers here as a live home underdog.  First, the Pistons are in a very tough spot right now coming off back to back road underdog wins over the Clippers and Warriors.  This is just a prime let down spot here for them.

I also think the Lakers bounce back as they hung tough with the Raptors and then lost to the Jazz @ Utah which you can't blame them for either.  Remind you this is clearly being inflated because the Pistons were just a PK at the Knicks the other week.

I like the Lakers here who have had two days off returning home and this will be the Pistons 3rd road game in 4 days.  

I'm not sure why the Thunder are favored here given what we have seen from them so far but let's take the points here.  The Thunder have been swept by the T Wolves to start the season and they don't like anything special right now.  Their only wins have came against the Knicks, Pacers and Bulls., 3 of the bottom teams in the East.  

Now looking at the Bucks their only two losses came to the Cavs and the Celtics.  They did already beat the Celtics as well.  I just think this young Bucks team has something to prove and will get the job done tonight.  The Thunder just don't deserve to be favored here in this situation.  

Let's take the Rockets here in a rematch as they won't be over looking the Sixers now beings how they just faced them.  They key last time was that the Rockets were missing Ariza and Nene.  Now both are back and also the Sixers might be missing some key players with Redick and Embiid.  Rockets were just favored by 3 @ Sixers so this is a discount here

I will back the Celtics here tonight against the Spurs as they are catching them on a back to back.  The Spurs just haven't looked very good their last 2 games and when you think about this team could easily have a couple more losses under their belt.  

The Celtics had the day off, but are riding a 4 game winning streak and covering in all 4 of those as well.  The Spurs are still without their best player in Leonard and it has became clear that they miss him on both ends.  

I think we are seeing the classic over reaction from just one game.  So last week the Cowboys come off their bye week and blowout a 49ers team that has been playing everyone close.  Then on Monday night national televised game the Redskins fail to cover against the Eagles.  So, now everyone jumps ship and thinks the Cowboys are back and maybe they are but the line has moved so much.  This line prior to results from last week were Redskins -1 so clearly last week is playing into this line.   The Redskins played tough @ Kansas City gave them all they wanted and people are forgetting they did beat the Rams @ LA.  

Let's go with the Saints here as the Bears on the road I don't trust.  First, last weeks game vs Carolina is one of the craziest wins you will see in the NFL.  The Bears didn't score an offensive TD but did score twice on defense.  I think the public perception now is that the Panthers are a good team, but I'm not buying into them.    The Bears also had had 2 other non offensive touch downs the week before.  It's safe to say they have been getting extremely lucky and will need some offense here to keep pace with Saints at home in the dome

This is the buy low sell high type of game for me.  The Falcons started off the season flying high with their offense going 3-0.  Now, they have dropped 3 straight and failed to cover in those 3 games.  

The Jets at the beginning of the season were supposed to be the worst team ever in NFL history and now are just 3.5 point dogs to a team that most thought could make another Super Bowl appearance.   You tell me where the value is.  

I think the Jets are in a tough spot here coming off back to back heartbreakers against division rivals in the Dolphins last week which they should have won and the Patriots the week before.  

All I needed to see was that Cam Newton interview and him walking out on the media once again when things don't go his way.  Tampa knows this division is still up for grabs and a win here will go a long ways especially with another division game next week.  The Bucs were in prime position last week against Buffalo but a late turnover cost them.  I know Tampa doesn't have a great defense but it's not like the Panthers are an offensive juggernaut right now.  This is normally a tight game but under a field goal let's take the Bucs here

I'm going to give the 49ers a shot here against the Eagles coming off a huge monday night win over a division rival.  Clearly their intensity won't be the same here and there is no motivation for them to blow the 49ers out.  They simply want to win the game and move to 7-1.  The 49ers caught the Cowboys at the wrong time last week with them coming off their bye week.  It's also worth mentioning here that the Eagles lost their best OL in Peters for the season and also their LB Hicks for the season.  I like the Niners to bounce back and cover this big number

I think this is great value here with Texas Tech who may have been caught looking ahead last week toward this game.  They lost to to Iowa St who has been the surprise team in the country so far.  Mind you this Oklahoma team also lost to them on their home field as well.

Oklahoma just isn't the same team from earlier in the season.  They have been just escaping with some narrow victories by beating Baylor who is terrible by just 8, Texas by 5 and Kansas St last week in the final seconds by 7.   It's also worth noting that they ad Bedlam on deck here with Oklahoma St as that could decide the title.  They just wanna win this game not reason to blow Tech out

I know the line has gone against us here, but I cant believe Tennessee is taking any kind of money.  After last week against Bama I think all their motivation is gone here.  They didn't score an offensive touchdown at all.  We all know Butch Jones will be fired at the end of the season if not before.  Kentucky will have the motivation here as they can become bowl eligible here with a win and I think this is a spot to back them.  

Just love Purude here this week as they come into this game dropping back to back road games.  Now, last week they lost to Rutgers but that was very misleading as Purdue out gained them by over 200 yards.  I think a large part of last week was because they were looking ahead to this game vs Nebraska.  

The Cornhuskers are done for period.  This team couldnt manage to get up for home games vs Wisconsin and Ohio St, I don't care if they are off their bye they have no interest here.  Purdue is eager here to make a bowl game and they need this one in order to do so.

A lot of Iowa St love going on right now.   Yes, the story is a great one and you have to give coach Matt Campbell all the credit in the world.  I just think he is running into the best team in the conference and they are pricing Iowa St as possibly the 2nd best team.  TCU won't be over looking this match up now as they know what's at stake.  

Yes, this may seem like to big number to lay because it is UCLA with the pro QB, but this team can't play a lick of defense.  Don't let last weeks results fool ya as they beat up on a injured Oregon team.  UCLA has yet to win a true road game and now have their toughest task by far.  

I think the bye week did a lot of good for the Huskies who was be more than motivated after dropping their recent game @ Arizona St.  Arizona St held them to just 7 points which was crazy because they hadn't scored under 30 all games prior.  They will bounce back here as they face a terrible and I mean terrible Bruin defense.  

I did have Notre Dame last week against USC in a easy win.  I will go against them here this week as this is a extremely tough spot for them.  

First, the line is inflated big time here as NC St is better than USC in my opinion and we are catching 7.5.  The thing here is that the Wolfpack have a lot better defense than what people realize.  The other main key is that the Wolfpack are coming off a bye here and I always think that is key especially catching a team coming off a national victory like Notre Dame last week 

Yes, we know Penn St has been a covering machine all season long and are coming off a very impressive win over Michigan.  I'm not very high on this Michigan team this year so when you look at their schedule it has been pretty easy to say the least.  

Ohio St is in the perfect situation here as they are coming off a bye with plenty of time to prepare.  Meyer off a bye almost never losses a game.  Granted Ohio St hasn't been playing the greatest competition either, but their offense is starting to come a live at the right time.  

This will by far be the biggest challenge for Penn St especially on defense which I still have questions about.  With all time to prepare and the Buckeyes season is on the line I look for them to cover this one

I would sure like to think that is Florida St team and Jimbo have a lot more fight in them and won't let the players quit on this season.  Remember just a few weeks ago this Florida St team took the undefeated Miami Hurricanes down to the wire.  I just think the talent level is to far apart.  While Boston College is doing a great job I need more points to back them here

Like the situation here with the Knicks as they will be hungry for their first win.  This is similar reason why I backed the Bulls last night.  Also, the Nets are in a very difficult spot tonight as they are coming off a huge upset win over the Cavs.  While, that win does look good I haven't been impressed with the Cavs this year as the Bulls gave them a game and the Magic even throttled them.  I think the Knicks get the job done here 

I think it's safe to fade the Rockets here until they get healthy especially on the road.  The Rockets are without Paul Nene and Ariza.  Those are all 3 big pieces to the Rockets as we were aware last game as they should have lost SU to the Sixers.  The Rockets also struggle big time on defense as they have gave up over 100 points every game expect one when it was 98 points.  I think the Hornets are the right side here

I think the Clippers are taking a big step up in class tonight as they have had the luxury of playing on their home court for the first 3 games beating the Jazz, Suns and Lakers.  I think they find some trouble in Portland tonight who has been very impressive out of the gates to say the least so far.  I think the books are slow to adjust on Portland right now and in this game because the Clippers have covered all 3 of theirs so far.  

We all know this Bulls team is down this year this is no arguing that.  However, I am impresses with their effort here so far as they gave the Cavs all they could handle the other night and even put up a good fight against the Spurs.  So they have played those two teams and also the Raptors it's hard to find a tougher schedule out of the gate like that.

This team just like the Mavs last night we is desperate for their first win.   The thing to remember is that the Hawks are no good also as their only win came against the Mavs who just picked up their first.  Now, they are without their best player in Schroeder who really makes that offense go.  I look for the Bulls to pull away with their first victory tonight

We are seeing a big over reaction here as the Wizards just covered on the road @ Denver and even won SU.  They were steamed up to 5 point dogs in that game and now are laying 7 @ Lakers.  Are the Lakers really that much worse than the Nuggets?  No way!  

I don't trust this Wizards team laying a number like this on the road simply because of the defense or lack there off they decide to play.  I think that keeps the Lakers close here and wouldn't be surprised to see them win outright 

Paul George gets to face his former team here.  You know the Thunder will be looking to get him involved early and often here.  Well you look at this Pacers roster it is just terrible.  They are also missing Turner and Robinson for this game.  Last night we saw the Pacers upset the T Wolves, but they were without Butler in that game.  The thunder are coming off back to back losses and the last one was a buzzer beater.  They now have had two days off and I think make a statement win tonight.  I normally don't lay this many points in NBA, but given this situation I think it's right

Like the Nuggets here tonight to bounce back after really letting one slip away against the Wizards by making just dumb turnovers.  Tonight they get some relief because the Hornets aren't near full strength.  

Batum has been out which is a starter, they will also be missing Zeller and Carter-Williams.  MKG is also questionable tonight as well.  I think this is a good spot to back the Nuggets here who will want to start this road trip with a win

The Dodgers are red hot playing with a ton of confidence beating the Cubs 4-1 in the series.  Kershaw is just on a different level right now and even though I really like this Astros lineup they struggled big time on the road losing every game @ New York last series.  Keuchel also struggled big time his last time out not even making it 5 innings and giving up 4 earned runs.

I think this Wizards team is pretty overrated and I really don't care for this roster much as the depth isn't there.  They are also lucky to be 2-0, surviving two close home games against the Sixers and Pistons.  They have refused to play defense so far and the Nuggets will slow this game down getting them uncomfortable.  Nuggets win this pretty easy