To me this is the easiest over reaction of the week.  Bears are coming off a blowout win in a game they didnt get to 200 total yards.  That is about as misleading of a game as you will find in the Pro's  The Lions were less underdogs at a better team in the Vikings last week so we are getting a ton of value I feel.  This is a big game for both teams and Stafford is the better and proven QB getting a TD is very hard to pass up.

To me there is no choice but to take the Bucs here.  They have major cluster injuries on the OL with 3 starters out and possibly 4.  I think they realize that their season is surely over now as well.  The Bucs D isn't great but they will get pressure now with those OL out for the Skins.  Thompson their RB is out so is Richardson their WR with fellow WR Crowder questionable.  I just think the Bucs offense will still be able to put up points and the Skins are so limited they cant play catch up here 

Late Add

Thunder coming off the big win over the Rockets I simply dont trust them in this spot to bring it another game following that one.  

This is a terrible spot for the Sixers here.  They let a big lead slip away and went in OT last night and end up winning the game, but that makes this one very tough considering the Grizz have had two days and are perfect at home on the season.  Grizz are catching the Sixers at the right time here 

This is an ugly one I know but I will take Arkansas here at home in the night game.  This is jsut a terrible spot for LSU as their dreams were crushed last week getting shut out against Bama and knocked them out of the playoff picture.  I highly doubt they care at all about playing a 2 win Arkansas team.  While the Razorbacks wont be going to a bowl I see them laying everything on the line here to salvage the season.  

Cincy is one of the most improved teams in the country and I will back them here.  Now, I realize they do have a huge game on deck against UCF, but I dont think they over look USF here who brings in such a bad defense.  USF has only covered the number once in their last 7.  They have seemed to throw in the towel after dropping that game at Houston following a 41-17 loss to Tulane at home which is a bad sign.  Cincy in the night game with a very good defense wins this one easy 

I believe we are seeing two teams here heading in the opposite direction.  It's seems pretty clear that Miami has thrown in the towel after beating their rival Florida St.  They have lost 3 straight since that game and the most they have scored in the last 3 weeks is 14 points.  This team seems pretty disinterested.

Ga Tech on the other hand is playing their best football of the season winning 4 of their last 5 games and scoring over 35 points in 4 of them as well.  I also believe Tech has had this one circled after letting one slip away last year @ Miami losing by 1.  

This is strictly a spot play here and I look for Tennessee to be up while Kentucky to be down.  Kentucky had their dreams crushed last week at home against Georgia as they would have had a chance to play for the SEC title now they really have nothing to play for here at all.  Tennessee on other hand I feel this team is looking to finish their season strong and make a bowl and would love nothing more to play spoiler here to Kentucky.  This is one of those games based on the spot you kinda throw the stats and everything out the window.

I have backed this Iowa St team several times now since they lost their 2nd string and now Purdy who was their 3rd string has now taken over and really changed the whole season.  I just think now the price is getting a little out of hand.  Iowa St went from small dogs to small favorites and since they covered a big number last week they are getting a lot of love.  Baylor is coming off a nice win last week vs Oklahoma St as a home dog.  The weather I think will impact this game as well as it will be played more on the ground.  I also think Iowa St will be looking ahead to the match with Texas next week as it could put them in the Big 12 title game 

This game is a very odd line after looking at it.  So last week Old Dominion was a 4.5 point dog to at home to Mid Tenn St who is leading the other side of the conference and now they are over 2 touchdown dog?  Old Dominion out gained them last week putting up over 500 yards of offense, but they had 5 turnovers that really did them in.  North Texas is actually eliminated from playing for the conference title as UAB pretty much has it wrapped up.  ODU still is fighting for a bowl game and I think the effort will be there and this is an overreaction to last weeks game 

I really don't think this game will be close at all.  Texas AM returns home where they are 4-1 ATS and will be hungry here coming off back to back losses.  Last week the Aggies lost to Aubrun by 4 as 3.5 point dogs, but they actually dominated the stats having over 400 total yards compared to 270.  Ole Miss is just flat out terrible on the road giving up 500 yards a game.  I think the Aggies can take some frustration out here and blow them out

There sure is a ton of love right now for Auburn and their high ranking.  I'm not buying quite yet.  I was on Washington in their first game and yes they had a stretch of 5 minutes where they struggled before half but after that I was impressed.  This team is talented up and down and will give Auburn all they want.  I actually think Washington is the better team on a neutral so give me all the points here 

I will take the public side here on Texas.  Yes, this game is a neutral court. but Arkansas will be one of the worst teams in the SEC this season.  They have so many new faces it's hard to expect much from them.  Texas did lose Bamba and Davis but they still have a solid returning squad and also a stud freshman.  Texas should roll

I think the wrong team is favored here.  Stanford is the house hold name, but this team lost a ton from last season and simply won't be very good.  UNC-W is a solid mid major program here with plenty of experience returning here.  They have the leading re bounder in the country returning along with two good guards who both averaged double figures.  Stanford I think is also looking ahead to North Carolina on deck

I will take the Rockets here in a good spot catching the Thunder off a back to back situation here where they did actually have to play hard because the Cavs were in the game last night.  I had the Rockets the other night @ Indiana because they are now healthy.  Well, the Thunder is missing Westbrook here tonight.  They will have no answer for the Rockets 

I like the Lakers here tonight to bounce back from a terrible showing against the Raptors on Sunday night.  They were flat that game and were down 30 in the first.  This will be a game with a sense of urgency here plus throw in the fact they let one slip away at Minnesota not to long ago.  The T Wolves PG Teague is out and Butler is expected back but he clearly isn't 100%.  Lakers get a much needed blowout win

The Grizzlies aren't getting enough respect here.  They are 3-0 at home this season and are going to be the most improved team in the league when its all said and done.  I think the Nuggets are in a classic let down spot after that big win over Boston last game plus with Murray going for 48 they have no attracted some headlines.  

The Nuggets have only played 4 games this season on the road with the Lakers being the only team that is worth anything and they lost that game.  I think the Grizzlies win out right here 

I will take the Heat here in this one as they are coming off a nice road win as a dog at Detroit.  This is simply more because the Spurs haven't truly regressed as far as their record goes yet, but they will as the season goes along.  The Spurs dont have Gasol or Gay tonight to an already thin roster.  Miami will have a huge size advantage here tonight and I think they actually win this easily 

This Washington team is one that will surprise a lot of people this season in the PAC 12.  I think they are the 2nd best team and can knock of Zona for the title.  They return so many key players especially at guard and bring some big bodies as well.  What is going under the radar here is that that beat Nevada who is ranked in top 10 by double digits in a recent scrimmage 

This is a weird one as I thought the clear favorite should be Portland here.  This team doesn't get any respect in the Western Conference even though they have two of the best shooters in the game.  They also have the most underrated home court in all of basketball.  With the Bucks being 8-1 and Giannis being a player that the betting public loves I think it's time to fade them here with the Warriors on deck

I'm gonna fade this Notre Dame here on opening night.  They lost so much from last season in Colson and Farell plus Geben.  Those guys were a huge chunk of their scoring.  They do have Gibbs back but I do believe they struggle from the outside this year.

UIC is my pick to win the Horizon league this season.  They return several pieces from a team that won 20 games last season.  They will be lead by Ottey who averaged 14 ppg last season.  Their returning PG lead the league in assists.  They have the sharp shooter in Boahen who was sixth man of the year.

I see UIC really putting up a big fight here against a Notre Dame team who is very down 

I really like the Jazz here to bounce back in this spot tonight.  The Raptors were simply on fire last night at the Lakers without Kawahi and are getting a lot of respect.  I know the Jazz will be missing Mitchell, but playing a back to back in high altitude without your best player is a tough situation.  The Jazz get the outright win here

This is just too many points for Dallas to be laying.  Both teams are coming off bye weeks here and are motivated, but how much home field does Dallas really have? We are also seeing an extremely low total here which makes you believe low scoring.  I also trust Vrabel here more as a coach over Garrett.  The Titans have a great defense and I wouldn't be surprised to see an outright upset here.

I'm going to look at the Rockets here tonight.  A large part of their struggles have been because of injuries and mainly Harden being out.  Well he is back and they have the upper hand here.  I know the Pacers are a good team with a 7-3 record but it seems like the books are begging for their action here especially coming off that late second win against the Celtics.  

Late Add

Well we saw a great effort from the Packers last week coming off their bye week.  I think we get another one here.  I know Dix is gone from their secondary, but normally you dont see the full effects of a trade like that until a few weeks down the road.  I also think Rodgers wont have any problem picking apart this Patriot defense which isnt anything special.  The Patriots have some injuries all way the across the board which is a concern.  Yes, I know New England at home under a full TD is dangerous but give me the more desperate team

I got the worst of this line obviously because of the trade that took place with the Broncos sending Thomas to the Texans.  I'm honestly still not worried here.  I'm not a believer in this Texans team just look at who they have beat in this 5 game winning streak.  Colts, Cowboys, Jags, Bills and Dolphins.  They were actually very lucky in 3 of those games.  I think the Broncos put a max effort here with their bye week next.  

The Steelers are starting to play better football here as of late and the Ravens not so much.  I just think Pitt has big time revenge on their minds here.  Carolina who doesn't have a great offense really put it to the Ravens last week.  

Odds makers are saying that right now on a neutral field that these two teams are even and I'm not buying that all.  I actually expect this line to drop a lot come Sunday 

I know people are going to think this is an overreaction to taking the Bucs but I dont see it that way.  They clearly are way better with Fitzmagic at QB than Winston.  Yes, the Panthers were the right side last week but they were in the underdog role and now they are 7 point favorites against a division rival with a huge Thursday night game on deck?  The Bucs can score with anyone and I believe they keep within the 7 

I'm going to take the Browns here.  I think the general public will view the coaching situation here as a major let down for Cleveland.  I don't see it that way.  With the firing of their 2 coaches there will be a lot of emotion which means maximum effort here. This just seems like the ultimate flat spot here for the Chiefs coming off that Denver game.  Granted they were nearly the same amount of favorites vs the Broncos at home as they are the Browns on the road.  I will take the points here who are 3-1 ATS at home this season 

I simply trust Chris Peterson here to get the Huskies back on track after last week.  Believe it or not Washington still controls their own destiny in the PAC 12 North as they still play Washington St at the end of the year.  Stanford really gave that game away up 14 which I think this is a tough spot to bounce back from.  Stanford's numbers they really struggle on the road.  I know they won @ ASU recently but that game was extremely misleading as ASU out played them.  The Huskies D will shut this offense or lack thereof down

This line really does surprise me here as I thought it would come done.  La Tech is easily one of the better teams outside the Power 5.  I was on this team earlier in the year when they played at LSU as a 18.5 point dog and lost by 17 but it was actually closer than that.  Now they are getting 24 to a lesser opponent.  Miss St is coming off a big win over ranked Texas AM but the other key here is that they have Bama on deck next week.  Will take the points all day in this spot 

Let's take the Pacers here tonight.  This team is a very good Eastern Conference team but they dont get the love.  We all know how good the Celtics are but they really plying up to par right now.  They have questionable injuries to Brown and Hayward right now which will be tough.  I actually believe the Pacers win outright 

I was on Florida last week in a loser against Georgia, and that final score didnt really indicate how close it was.  It was clearly the turnovers and where they happened that turned the game.  If you watched this you know what I am talking about.  

I just think here we are going to see Missouri throw in the towel especially after last week.  Missouri let one slip away against highly ranked Kentucky in the 4th where they lead all game.  That is such a tough one here with going on the road next.  Drew Lock has also struggled big time against better competition and this will be the best defense he has faced.  Florida will create turnovers and Missouri wont be able to play catch up

I really like this Michigan and you know somehow they aren't really being talked about much considering how good they are.  This defense wont have an issue here at all shutting down Penn St who relies so much McSorley. I think people are forgetting Michigan's only loss was to Notre Dame in week 1 who isn't a bad loss by any means.  Michigan is coming off their bye week as well and will want revenge from an ugly loss last year.  Also dont think that isn't in the back of Harbaugh's mind as he will run this score up no doubt about it 

I like Purdue here for several reason.  2 weeks ago they had one of their biggest wins in program history in beating Ohio St so it's no surprise that they lost to Michigan St.  I just think the spot here will be very hard for Iowa to bounce back from after they had a late turnover 1st and goal which could have grabbed them a win @ Penn St.  Those losses are tough for anyone.  Purdue also plays a style that Iowa generally struggles with.  Purdue bounces back here

This spot is just sooooo good I cant pass it up.  Georgia Southern is coming off a huge win in destroying App St as 11 point dogs winning that game by 20.  Now they travel to LA Monroe who is off their bye week which you need to prepare for the option and they are playing a lot betting winning  straight.  Also Ga Southern has a huge game on deck with Troy.  

I will say little upset I didn't get the best of the number on Maryland but I do think this line drops and wouldn't be surprised to see the Terps go off favored here.  Michigan St was in a great spot last week as they were catching Purdue coming off their biggest win in years.  I know Sparty can stop the run but I'm more worries about their offense and their backup QB who was very shaky last week and now on the road I simply wont trust.  This Maryland team has athletes and are bowl hungry.  They also just fired their coach which I think actually helps this team as he hasn't been around this season

I could be way off here on this one but will take Memphis.  I am big on the revenge angle as the Jazz do have that here since Memphis already came to town and won SU.  Now the line has been adjusted but it wasn't like either team was on fire in the first go around.  Memphis has had two days off as well.  I'm not sure how good Utah is without Mitchell so will take the points

This Wizards team should be fired up here.  They have had a terrible road going 1-4 SU and ATS.  In fact they have only covered 1 game so far.  They have had some time off here to figure things out and I think with the Thunder coming they play with a sense of urgency here and get the W. 

Throw in the fact that the Thunder had to ply a very tough game last night and came away with a win I think this sets up nicely for a Washington win

I will take the Celtics here tonight as I think they take down the undefeated Bucks.  I actually thought this line would be a little bit higher.  I think the Celtics and Raptors are easily the two best teams in the Eastern Conference.  I think the Bucks have had a pretty easy schedule as well so far and their only big win really doesnt count IMO because Kawahi didn't play for Toronto 

This is one of those classic NBA weird lines.  When something looks so easy you run the other way.  The Kings here are a vastly improved team this season with all their young talent.  We all know the betting public will be all over the Kings here.  They have looked good winning back to back road games and actually 4 straight.  This will be their 3rd road game in 4 nights.  The Hawks have only played 2 games at home so far going 1-1.  I know they will be one of if not the worst team but given the situation I will take them here tonight

I will take the Hornets here tonight.  I had the Thunder in their last game in a winner, but something is a little off with that team.  The Hornets are being undervalued here as 3 of their 4 losses have came by 2 points or less.  This Charlotte team is very much improved this season and I believe they will be up for tonights game.

This game here just feels like a get right game for the Lakers.  Returning home after dropping back to back on the road both in close games.  LeBron will put his foot down here and take over tonight.  I also like the fact that the Lakers coming off those 2 losses have a couple days off after this game so the energy will be here for them tonight.  This is a young Mavs that has talent as well but strictly relying on LeBron here for a big statement game

I think the Jazz are feeling are sorts of fat happy here now after winning 3 straight on the road.  Just look at how this line is inflated as the Jazz were favored by just 4.5 @ Dallas and now nearly the same at Minnesota.  

I realize the T Wolves have made headlines for the wrong reasons and that seems to have scared some people away, but just look at last game vs the Lakers, they really rallied around Butler and I think they do the same tonight and come away with a win

Simply to short of price to pass up here with the Thunder.  These two have already met and the Thunder were without Westbrook and they flat out stunk it up shooting 35% for that game. While they do have other injuries the fact that Russell is back is big for me here.  

I'm not buying the Clippers start to the season with their 4-2 record.  They have all their wins practically because their opponents have all had big injuries.  I do expect this line to go up throughout the day so grab it now

So the Raptors lost their first game last night, no big deal.  They were without Kawahi and shot probably the worst they will shoot for any game all season last night in 38%.  Philly has proven nothing so far this season especially on the road where they haven't covered a game yet in 3 tries.  This team now has a target on their back and they won't be taken lightly anymore and I think that reason is key. I think Toronto take it to them tonight 

We are already getting a discount on the Cavs here as these teams just met less than two weeks ago and the Cavs went off favored by 8.  I know the Cavs haven't won yet and are without Love, but they have more talent than Atlanta.

The Hawks last time they played made 22 3's for the game you think that will happen here?  I also see a motivated Cavs team with a new coach as well.  

The Cavs also have had two days of rest while the Hawks just played last night.  

I look for the well rested Nuggets here to come out and really take it to the Pelicans here who are also off to a hot start.  I think more of the Pelicans is in large part because they have played an easier schedule and also only 1 road game.  Throw in that New Orleans has some injuries right now and they have Golden St on deck I think Denver is prime for a blowout win here.

So we have the in state rivalry here with the Mavs traveling to fave the Spurs.  The Mavs may have lost 3 straight but those were to the Raptors and Jazz two of the really good teams.  The Spurs quite frankly aren't the same team here. I also think they are coming off a pretty big win for them beating the Lakers.  I will take the young team here who will have more energy in this game. 

I'm going to lay it with the Knicks here who haven't won since their 1st game of the season.  First the Nets are coming off a high energy game yesterday giving the Warriors all they could handle in just a 6 point loss.  

These teams have already met as well with the Nets beating the Knicks by just 2 points.  The Knicks were just horrible 40% from the field in that game and yet still had a chance to win.  They won't shoot that bad this time around obviously and laying a short number with revenge I think they get the job done 

The Saints burnt me last week and they are getting to much respect here.  They were down 17-7 going into the 4th and had a lucky come back in my eyes.  They will now play back to back road games which is difficult.  I know people will say revenge here, but the Vikings are rolling right now and they can slow down that Saints offense.  Minnesota isn't getting the headlines or respect because most are remembering that Bills loss but that game I feel woke them up.  Prime time game in a tough place to play I will take the Vikings 

I like the Niners here to get some revenge here.  CJ has looked a lot better as of late and I think he will be eager as he torched AZ but the 5 turnovers cost them the game the first time around.  San Fran is just flat out the better team and the Cardinals seem to be in shambles.  This offense simply cant do anything.  49ers are a hungry team with revenge I will take them here

This one wont be popular at all but I think everyone is just counting out Oakland when I believe they got rid of some locker room issues.  The Colts beat the Bills easily does that mean we should overreact to anything?  The Raiders are coming off their bye week so we can agree that the effort will be there.  The Raiders just a few weeks ago were favored by 2.5 over a better Browns team than the Colts IMO.  Now the Colts are favored by 3?  Seems like quite the adjustment here I will take a hungry Raiders team. 

I really like the Steelers here as I feel they will be out for some revenge especially Big Ben.  The Steelers dominated the first game but gave up a big lead in large part because of all the turnovers.  That simply won't happen this time around as they are pissed about that tie.  Yes, the Browns have a different QB now in Mayfield, but I think this season is starting to take it's tole on them already.  They have played 3 of their last 4 games in OT.  The Steelers won't be looking past this Browns team 

Getting nearly double digits with the Jets team seems just crazy.  I think both of these teams are pretty similar.  The Bears are getting a lot of hyper because of the Mack trade and the defense upgrade.  I also think this is a difficult spot for the Bears to bounce back from after completing a hail mary against the Patriots and being tackled at the one yard line.  Miami with a back up QB put up over 500 total yards and the Bears defense numbers wise isn't as good as what people make them out to be.  I think this will be a tight game  

We have to take the Magic here as the betting public will be all over the undefeated Bucks especially since they blew out the T Wolves last night.  Well this is a classic sandwich spot as Milwaukee is looking forward to Monday night with the undefeated Raptors coming to town.  This Magic team has also played their best ball on the road in two games winning at Boston and losing to Philly by 1.  

LeBron and company really let one slip the other night playing this Spurs team missing some crucial free throws.  Since that game they have woke up playing two nice games and I think they get the job done and their revenge here.  This will be a max effort type of game and from what I saw last game against Denver I think they are growing pretty fast. 

I really like the Heat here in this match up tonight.  First, I always look for this weird angle in teams that play the Magic first traveling a long ways from home because chances are likely the Trailblazers have been partying on South Beach especially after a win @ Orlando.  The Heat  are underrated here as always.  They are 2-2 both their 2 losses both came by 3 points.  They could easily be 4-0 and we would see a bigger line.  Miami gets the W

No choice here IMO but to take Stanford.  I was on Washington St last week and I believe it's fair to say that that could be their biggest win ever given the circumstances since game day was there.  Washington St has covered every game and we all know the betting public loves that especially now given what we saw last week vs Oregon.  Stanford has had extra time to prepare here as well which is huge.  I also like the revenge angle with Stanford will swallow the Field Goal

Maybe I am way off on this game but the wrong team is favored here.  Texas AM has two losses on the season oh and they are too Clemson and Bama are those two teams any good?  Miss St has struggled big time especially Fitzgerald at QB.  Miss St has scored over 10 points just once in the last 4 games.  The Aggies defense will have no problem here eating them up.  This one seems so easy it is scary, but no opting but to take the Aggies who are all around better in every category 

I like Missouri in this spot against Kentucky.  Missouri had a rough patch but they played Georgia and Bama during that stretch.  I just think they can outscore Kentucky here and the Wildcats just dont have the QB to play catch up.  Their offense really struggles even though they have a good running game.  Lock is trying to showcase is stuff for the next level and I believe Missouri wins in a route

So Georgia is still being given a lot of respect because of their ranking.  Maybe they just haven't shown it yet, but from what we have seen there is no way I wanna lay it.  Georgia has played one hard team so far and they were beaten badly against a LSU team who struggles at the QB position.   Well I think Florida has just as good of defense oh and they beat that LSU team SU.  Both teams coming off the bye this game clearly means everything in the SEC East plus the revenge angle is well in play here with Florida.  I think we see a very close game and wouldn't be surprised to see Florida win out right

This game here is one where we have an undefeated team on the road catching a full TD.  I just think USF has been very lucky.  Look last week they beat an awful UConn team by just 8 as 33.5 point favorites.  Let's look at a couple games these teams have in common.  Houston won @ East Carolina 42-20 and USF beat them at home by just 7.  Houston also demolished Tulsa while USF beat them by 1.  Houston is by far the better team and the line is telling the story.

This line is really of to me.  Iowa St might be just 3-3 but they are playing like a top 25 team if you have watched their last 2 games.  They found their qb in stud freshman Purdy who last time out just tore about a top 10 team in West Virginia.  Thought this line would be closer to 7.  Iowa St is coming off a bye as well.  People will argue that Texh will want revenge well should have wanted it last year as well after giving up over 60 two years but failed to do so.  Iowa St wins easily 

There is some Purdue money here coming in which doesn't surprise me a whole lot.  But, we have another team coming off one of if not their biggest win ever in thumping Ohio St on national TV last week.  I think Sparty responds with a strong effort here after laying an egg last week to their rival in Michigan.  This is a great bounce back spot for them and a huge let down spot for Purdue.

Even though the Rockets will be without Harden tonight I think this team glues with Paul and he is back from his suspension.  I also like this angle here since Paul is back against his former team and plus they already lost to the Clippers.  I think this line will continue to go up grab it now 

This is a late add, but I do like the gophers here tonight.  I was against them last week in a winner as Nebraska destroyed them.  The thing is though even if it was Nebraska's first win they have played a lot better than their record indicates.  I look for the Gophers to bounce back here as I believe Coach Fleck knows the importance of the situation here tonight.  I also dont trust Indiana as a favorite and especially on the road given the fact they are coming off a very hard fought game in Penn St

Lakers got their first win last night and I think we see them get another here.  The Nuggets are off to a 4-0 start and even though this is a back to back I think the momentum from last night's win will carry over here despite having Rondo and Ingram still out.  This just feels like the right spot here for the Lakers 

This is a big game in the Sun Belt here as both of these teams are undefeated in conference play.  I look for Ga Southern to be able to keep it within the 10 here. I think since App St is the house hold name for the average bettor that they tend to get inflated lines.  The numbers on both of these teams pretty similar and with that I will side with the home dog on a week day and we all know how profitable they have been over the years. 

I will admit I could be way off here on this one because it's the classic Western vs Eastern Conference situation.  I just think from what we have seen so far this Magic team is vastly improved.  They could easily be 3-1 if it wasn't for a 1 point loss to the Sixers.  This will also be the Trailblazers first road game of the season.  Magic just won outright as a double digit dog @ Boston and now return home after a couple days off in another dog role.  I think they win again tonight

I really like the Bulls here tonight catching points at home against the Hornets.  Bulls are another team very motivated for their first win.  I know they have injury issues right now which most will stay away from.  I really like to back the home dog here especially when its a home and home situation here

This is the home opener for the young Hawks tonight.  They got a win last game out @ the Cavs and think they can again against another young team in the Mavs.  Dallas will be the public side here no doubt but Young and company will be motivated enough.  

I think the Cavs here will be more than motivated to get their first win of the season.  Everyone knew there would be bumps in the road for Cleveland, but I think we get a good effort here from them. Neither team really plays much defense either so I will take my chance with the home team here motivated to get win number 1 under their belt

This game I think the the Pistons will show up.  They are a playoff team in the East to me this season espe wilth Blake for a full season.  They simply don’t get talked about because they are the Pistons.  The Sixers will Win their fair share but in their only road game they were blown out this season.  This is a much bigger game for the Pistons so will take them

This is just too many points here for the Jazz to lay.  They are coming off a heartbreaking loss to the Warriors losing at the buzzer and are in a difficult spot as they have Houston on deck.  Also the Jazz are no longer a surprise team to anyone so their lines get inflated.  Memphis is a team now healthy and can compete with this young Jazz team.  Simply too many points here for Utah

I like the T Wolves here tonight to get their first cover of the year!  The T Wolves have won their only home game and lost both road games.  The Pacers have won both their home games and lost their only road game.  I also believe the betting public wants no part of Minnesota because of the Nutler drama but I think they get it done here tonight

So we will have a huge public play I believe here on the Saints here with their offense.  I just don't trust them on being away from home against the best defense in the league.  Baltimore will also have no problem putting up points on this Saints defense either.  I know everyone remembers what happened on Monday night vs the Redskins but that was an emotional game as Brees became the all time passing leader.  The Ravens are coming off 3 straight road games so they will be hungry here.  

We are clearly seeing a Jags team that plays very well at home and just terrible on the road.  The past two games have been flat out awful but that is creating some value here for us.  I would gladly lay -2 with the Jags on a neutral field against the Texans.  I'm not putting much stock into the Texans and their 3 game winning streaking beating the Bills, Cowboys and Colts.  This team still struggles on offense and a pissed off Jags defense will be hungry after last week.  How quick we forget that the Jags handled the Patriots easily on their home field 

I really like what I saw from Wentz and the Eagles last Thursday against the Giants.  I know the Giants are nothing special but it was still a division game and a desperate team.  I think thaat game and the extra time mean a lot here as Wentz is starting to look like his normal self again.  I'm not sold on the Carolina team at all who has won all their games at home. Their defense is terrible giving up 6.2 yards per play.  Mind you this Carolina team needed a 63 yard field goal at home to bet a bad Giants team and they were coming off a bye 

This is such a cheap price here considering if these teams would have played several weeks ago Vikings would have easily been 6-7 point favorites on the road here.  They are starting to click like everyone thought they would.  I'm just not buying the Jets scoring a lot of points the past two games against the Broncos and Colts.  The Vikings are the better team all the way around and I believe they control this from the get go

Let's take the Bucs here as I think they are undervalued in this game.  They have lost 3 straight games but 2 of those came down to the wire and could have gone either way.  The Browns really struggled last week an I think the Mayfield effect is over.  Tampa doesn't have a great defense as we all know but the Browns offense isn't world beaters either.  Winston leads them to a win and gets back too .500 ball

I'm going to take a stab here and say this Lakers team will bounce back.  I was against them in their first game which I won.  I just dont think the Rockets have really found themselves either. A team that really plays zero defense is hard to back laying points on the road especially against a quality opponent.  I think the Lakers bounce back and win this one outright 

I had USC last week as they were laying 7 against a ranked team in Colorado and won that game.  I just dont trust them on the road here in a tough environment.  Utah has had an extra day here but more importantly they haven't forgot about that 1 point loss last year @ USC in a game they lead 21-7 at half.  We have already seen USC struggle on the road against teams like Stanford and Texas and they also barely beat a bad Arizona team.   

I think one could make the case this is the biggest game in Washington St history for the fact this is the first time that College Gameday is here.  The Cougars have really surprised everyone and since they have covered every game that does worry me, but I think the spot is worse for Oregon coming off a huge win over Washington, but were very lucky to do so.  Oregon has quite faced an offense like this one yet and throw in the fact that Washington St is coming off a bye I really like them here

I had the Raptors last night as a winner over the Celtics and will back Washington here.  I know teams aren't tired yet as the season has just started, but playing a couple high emotional home games like the Raptors especially one last night and now traveling is a difficult spot here.  The Wizards are a difficult match up here with their quality of guards.  Wouldn't surprise me to see them go off favored here

I know it's always a bold task to go against Bama especially this year, but there are several things here why I like Tennessee.  First, Tua is clearly hurt and isn't 100% which is a big factor.  Also they have their bye week next before hosting playing @ LSU which I think they are looking ahead to especially given how good LSU has been so far.  I really like what I saw from Tennessee last week coming off their bye week @ Auburn and winning SU as a double touchdown favorite.  

This is the game where the Cornhuskers get their first win.  I'm not quite sure how they let last week slip away from them but they did.  I also think they haven't forgotten the beat down that Minnesota gave them last year.  The Gophers also have some big injuries including cluster ones now at the RB position.  Nebraska is hungry and motivated to get their first win which I think they get and can cover this small number

So we have an undefeated Cincy team at 6-0 who is now ranked on the road facing a 4-3 Temple team and they are underdogs?  Cincy has been a nice surprise not taking that away from them, but they have also benefited from an easy schedule.  Temple has played a lot tougher schedule and I think they get the job done and aren't over looking Cincy here. 

Let’s just fade the Warriors from the get go here.  This Jazz team is nothing to mess with and I wouldn’t be surprised to see them as the 2nd or 3rd best team in the West this season.  The Jazz do have the lineup to to cause fits for the Warriors. Utah upsets the champs here 

I had the Celtics in their opener vs the Sixers in a easy win.  I will back Toronto here as I think this team could end up having the best record in the East.  Kawahi is just so good and Toronto has a great home court.  While I do love the Celtics as well give this early spot will take the Home team

The biggest public play of the day will more than likely be the Pelicans as they scored a ton in a blowout win over the Rockets @ Houston.  I will take the young and talented Kings team who was impressive agains the Jazz and they could have won outright.  Pelicans are simply being way too high priced after one game

I do like LeBron a lot on this Lakers squad this year but on the road in the first game.  Portland has one of the most underrated home courts in the league and let’s face it this team had the 3rd best record in the league last season.  The Lakers will be fine but I do expect some struggle from the get go

I know the Sixers are considered the 2nd best team and some would say the best in the Eastern Conference but this tea now has a target on their backs now and will for a while.  This Bulls team I’m pretty high on this season and the main reason is injuries.  I love what we have seen from Lavine in the pre season and the addition of Parker is big as well.  This is too many points

The Grizzlies the last few seasons have been bit by the injury bug.  if healthy this team is a playoff team I believe so this is clearly to many points.  I know the Pacers have Oladipo and he is very good but I need to see them first here.  I just think people remember how bad the Grizzlies record was and assume they are bad.  A healthy team catching a lot of points I will look to back them often from the get go

So we have a clear public team here in the Bucks because of the Greek freak.  While he is a stud Im not sure they deserve to be favored here.  The Hornets are a newly looked team with Tony Parker as a backup which is huge.  The main thing here is that the Hornets will buckle down and play defens.  The Bucks lack in that department so will call for the so called upset today

This is probably the public side but I have to take the Celtics here.  I just think they are so much better when they have a healthy Kyrie and Hayward.  This is the team that can cause problems to the Warrior.  I also an still worried with Fultz if he can actually shoot and we all know Simmons struggles shooting.  Stevens is the best coach in the game and I trust him in this spot

I really like the Patriots here on Sunday night.  They will be more than motivated here for several reasons.  One is simply they are facing an undefeated team in the Chiefs.  Second, is that they want revenge from last season losing at home to them in a ugly game.  Patriots are now healthier and with the addition of Gordon, Brady will pick apart that shaky defense the Chiefs have.  Mahomes has cooled off a little bit since the first 3 games.  When Patriots are this short of price at home you have to take them especially given the situation 

I like the Ravens here to bounce back after losing in OT to the Browns.  I think they had a little hang over from beating the Steelers the week before.  I know most will look at this game and say its the Ravens 3rd straight road game which is hard don't get me wrong, but the matchup here is in their favor and the 2.5 line is very key.  The Titans proved to me last week who they really are losing to the Bills.  I think they are very overrated and their offense won't be able to do a lick against this defense.  

This one really stood out to me and luckily I grabbed the best of the number.  This Rams team is best team in the NFL but this spot here isn't ideal by any means.  They played a hard fought road game @ Seattle last week, so 2nd consecutive road game plus it's going to be cold and possible snow.  Denver is clearly a team that plays better at home and this is a game they will be up for.  I also really like their running game here against the Rams who haven't been as strong as what people might think.  Rams also suffered two concussions to Kupp and Cooks and they are questionable.  Denver keeps this close